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Fair Value
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2023
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair Value

Note 11: Fair Value

 

Fair Value

 

The Company complies with the provisions of FASB ASC 820 “Fair Value Measurements” for its financial and non-financial assets and liabilities. ASC 820 defines fair value, establishes a framework for measuring fair value and expands disclosure for each major asset and liability category measured at fair value on either a recurring or nonrecurring basis.

 

The Company accounts for certain assets and liabilities at fair value. The hierarchy below lists three levels of fair value based on the extent to which inputs used in measuring fair value are observable in the market. AIM categorizes each of its fair value measurements in one of these three levels based on the lowest level input that is significant to the fair value measurement in its entirety. These levels are:

 

  1. Level 1 – Quoted prices are available in active markets for identical assets or liabilities at the reporting date. Generally, this includes debt and equity securities that are traded in an active market.
  2. Level 2 – Observable inputs other than Level 1 prices such as quote prices for similar assets or liabilities; quoted prices in markets that are not active; or other inputs that are observable or can be corroborated by observable market data for substantially the full term of the assets or liabilities. Generally, this includes debt and equity securities that are not traded in an active market.
  3. Level 3 – Unobservable inputs that are supported by little or no market activity and that are significant to the fair value of the assets or liabilities. Level 3 assets and liabilities include financial instruments whose value is determined using pricing models, discounted cash flow methodologies, or other valuation techniques, as well as instruments for which the determination of fair value requires significant management judgment or estimation. As of September 30, 2023, the Company has classified the warrants with cash settlement features as Level 3. Management evaluates a variety of inputs and then estimates fair value based on those inputs. As discussed above, the Company utilized the Monte Carlo Simulation Model in valuing the warrants.

 

The table below presents the balances of assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis by level within the hierarchy as (in thousands):

 

  

As of

September 30, 2023

 
   Total   Level 1   Level 2   Level 3 
Assets:                    
Cash equivalent  $14,110   $14,110   $   $ 
Marketable investments  $7,167   $7,167   $   $ 

 

  

As of

December 31, 2022

 
   Total   Level 1   Level 2   Level 3 
Assets:                    
Cash equivalent  $25,180   $25,180   $   $ 
Marketable investments  $7,137   $7,137   $   $ 

 

The Company’s cash balances are representative of their fair values as these balances are comprised of deposits available on demand. For certain instruments, including funds receivable from New Jersey net operating loss, accounts payable and accrued expenses, it was estimated that the carrying values approximated the fair value due to the short-term maturities of these instruments (Level 1).

 

 

The Company also has certain redeemable warrants with a cash settlement feature in the occurrence of a Fundamental Transaction. The fair value of the redeemable warrants (“Redeemable Warrants”) related to the Company’s April 2018 and March 2019 common stock and warrant issuance, are calculated using a Monte Carlo Simulation (Level 3).

 

The Company recomputes the fair value of the Redeemable Warrants at the issuance date and the end of each quarterly reporting period. Such value computation includes subjective input assumptions that are consistently applied each period. If the Company were to alter its assumptions or the numbers input based on such assumptions, the resulting fair value could be materially different.

 

The Company utilized the following assumptions to estimate the fair value of the April 2018 Redeemable Warrants:

 

  

September 30,

2023

  

December 31,

2022

 
Underlying price per share  $0.46   $0.31 
Exercise price per share  $17.16   $17.16 
Risk-free interest rate   5.55%   4.74%
Expected holding period   0.07    0.81 
Expected volatility   85%   75%
Expected dividend yield        

 

The Company utilized the following assumptions to estimate the fair value of the March 2019 Redeemable Warrants:

 

  

September 30,

2023

  

December 31,

2022

 
Underlying price per share  $0.46   $0.31 
Exercise price per share  $8.80   $8.80 
Risk-free interest rate   5.53%   4.67%
Expected holding period   0.44    1.19 
Expected volatility   80%   70%
Expected dividend yield        

 

The significant assumptions using the Monte Carlo Simulation approach for valuation of the Warrants are:

 

  (i) Risk-Free Interest Rate. The risk-free interest rates for the Warrants are based on U.S. Treasury constant maturities for periods commensurate with the remaining expected holding periods of the warrants.
  (ii) Expected Holding Period. The expected holding period represents the period of time that the Warrants are expected to be outstanding until they are exercised. The Company utilizes the remaining contractual term of the Warrants at each valuation date as the expected holding period.
  (iii) Expected Volatility. Expected stock volatility is based on daily observations of the Company’s historical stock values for a period commensurate with the remaining expected holding period on the last day of the period for which the computation is made.
  (iv) Expected Dividend Yield. The expected dividend yield is based on the Company’s anticipated dividend payments over the remaining expected holding period. As the Company has never issued dividends, the expected dividend yield is 0% and this assumption will be continued in future calculations unless the Company changes its dividend policy.
  (v) Expected Probability of a Fundamental Transaction. Put rights arise if a Fundamental Transaction 1) is an all cash transaction; (2) results in the Company going private; or (3) is a transaction involving a person or entity not traded on a national securities exchange. The Company believes such an occurrence is unlikely because:

 

 

1. The Company only has one product that is FDA approved but is currently not available for commercial sales.
2. The Company will have to perform additional clinical trials for FDA approval of its flagship product.
3. Industry and market conditions continue to include uncertainty, adding risk to any transaction.
4. The nature of a life sciences company is heavily dependent on future funding and high fixed costs, including Research & Development.
5. The Company has minimal revenues streams which are insufficient to meet the funding needs for the cost of operations or construction at their manufacturing facility; and
6. The Company’s Rights Agreement and Executive Agreements make it less attractive to a potential buyer.

 

With the above factors utilized in analysis of the likelihood of the Put’s potential Liability, the Company estimated the range of probabilities related to a Put right being triggered as:

 

Range of Probability  Probability 
Low   0.5%
Medium   1.0%
High   5.0%

 

The Monte Carlo Simulation has incorporated a 5.0% probability of a Fundamental Transaction to date for the life of the securities.

 

  (vi) Expected Timing of Announcement of a Fundamental Transaction. As the Company has no specific expectation of a Fundamental Transaction, for reasons elucidated above, the Company utilized a discrete uniform probability distribution over the Expected Holding Period to model in the potential announcement of a Fundamental Transaction occurring during the Expected Holding Period.
  (vii) Expected 100 Day Volatility at Announcement of a Fundamental Transaction. An estimate of future volatility is necessary as there is no mechanism for directly measuring future stock price movements. Daily observations of the Company’s historical stock values for the 100 days immediately prior to the Redeemable Warrants’ grant dates, with a floor of 100%, were utilized as a proxy for future volatility estimates.
  (viii) Expected Risk-Free Interest Rate at Announcement of a Fundamental Transaction. The Company utilized a risk-free interest rate corresponding to the forward U.S. Treasury rate for the period equal to the time between the date forecast for the public announcement of a Fundamental Transaction and the Redeemable Warrant expiration date for each simulation.
  (ix) Expected Time Between Announcement and Consummation of a Fundamental Transaction. The expected time between the announcement and the consummation of a Fundamental Transaction is based on the Company’s experience with the due diligence process performed by acquirers and is estimated to be nine months. The Monte Carlo Simulation approach incorporates this additional period to reflect the delay Warrant Holders would experience in receiving the proceeds of the Put.

 

While the assumptions remain consistent from period to period (e.g., utilizing historical stock prices), the actual historical prices input for the relevant period input change. As of September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022 there was no carrying amount and estimated fair value of the above Redeemable Warrants.