(i) |
the assessment of Midroog that the renewable energy field in which the Company operates is characterized by medium risk, where the main risk is due to the high exposure to regulation in the production segment and to market prices, in the
countries in which the Company operates,
|
(ii) |
acquisition strategy and project finance-based (usually non-recourse), providing fixed tariffs in long-term agreements, supporting the certainty of the cash flow of the Company but causing slow coverage ratios due to long-term project
debt,
|
(iii) |
the barriers to entry into the electricity generation industry through renewable energies are low relative to the electricity generation industry through fossil power plants, which is characterized by high barriers to entry, resulting
from, among other things, significant capital investments, alongside technological and engineering complexity,
|
(iv) |
the regulatory environment in the industry in the countries in which the Company operates, along with long-term energy sale agreements with strong end customers, create relative certainty regarding the stability of expected long-term
cash flow,
|
(v) |
the growth trend that characterizes the renewable energy industry in Israel and around the world, supported by targets that are set for the promotion of renewable energies,
|
(vi) |
the Company’s market share and size are small relative to the reference group in the industry, but is expected to grow significantly in the short to medium term, with the expected commercial operation of the Talasol project in Spain by
the end of 2020, along with further growth potential through a significant number of additional PV projects in Italy and Spain,
|
(vii) |
the Company presents relatively low operating profit rates, inter alia, due to a high component of development and general and administrative expenses,
|
(viii) |
exposure to the financial markets, interest rates and credit risks of the countries in which the Company operates (Italy, Spain, the Netherlands and Israel), alongside exposure to exchange rates, which is partially moderated by hedging
transactions,
|
(ix) |
sale of the PV projects in Italy for an amount of approximately €39 million at the end of 2019,
|
(x) |
improvement in the balance sheet leverage in light of the early repayment of a series of debentures, using the cash flow received from the sale of the PV projects in Italy and the recording of a substantial capital gain,
|
(xi) |
as of the date of the Midroog report, most of the Company’s operating cash flow results from the PV projects that it holds in Spain and in Israel. In the short to medium term, the Company’s activity in the PV sector is expected to grow
significantly, with the completion of the construction of the Talasol project in Spain, but its completion is expected to significantly increase the concentration of operations and cash flows from Spain, before developing a new significant
portfolio of projects in Italy,
|
(xii) |
a relatively low revenue generation capacity in the short term, due to the sale of the PV projects in Italy, alongside a significant improvement expected upon completion of the Talasol project, and the expectation of a significant cash
flow from the project,
|
(xiii) |
the Company has a material multi-year investment plan, which includes, among other things, the completion of the
construction of the Talasol project in Spain in the short term, another PV project in Spain and a new portfolio of projects in Italy. According to the Company’s forecast, the capital expenditures are expected to be around €400 million in
the years 2020-2023,
|
(xiv) |
the level of the Company’s balance sheet leverage is relatively low as of the end of March 2020, but is expected to increase in the short to medium term, following the completion of the establishment of the Talasol project and the
initiation of additional projects. However, Midroog assumes that the Company will balance the level of leverage by raising capital, in accordance with its ongoing needs, as the investment plan progresses,
|
(xv) |
the Company’s financial policy in connection with the holding of liquid balances supports the rating, when as of March 31, 2020, the liquid balances were approximately €66 million (including short-term deposits and marketable
securities), and in the short-medium term the Company is expected to hold a minimum cash level of at least €30-€40 million,
|
(xvi) |
the Company has good financial flexibility, which is reflected, among others, in accessibility to banks and the capital market, and
|
(xvii) |
structural and cash flow inferiority of the Company in relation to its senior debt and inferior debts at the level of the projects that it holds.
|
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Ellomay Capital Ltd.
By: /s/ Ran Fridrich
Ran Fridrich
Chief Executive Officer and Director
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