10-Q 1 d10q.htm FORM 10-Q FORM 10-Q
Table of Contents

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, DC 20549

 

FORM 10-Q

 

(Mark One)

 

x QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

 

For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2004

 

OR

 

¨ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

 

For the transition period from                      to                     

 

Commission file number 1-13754

 

ALLMERICA FINANCIAL CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

Delaware   04-3263626
(State or other jurisdiction of   (I.R.S. Employer
incorporation or organization)   Identification No.)

 

440 Lincoln Street, Worcester, Massachusetts 01653

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

 

(508) 855-1000

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

 


(Former name, former address and former fiscal year, if changed since last report)

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes x No ¨

 

Indicate by a check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated filer (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes x No ¨

 

APPLICABLE ONLY TO ISSUERS INVOLVED IN BANKRUPTCY

PROCEEDINGS DURING THE PRECEDING FIVE YEARS:

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has filed all documents and reports required to be filed by Section 12, 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 subsequent to the distribution of securities under a plan confirmed by a court. Yes ¨ No ¨

 

APPLICABLE ONLY TO CORPORATE ISSUERS:

 

Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the registrant’s classes of common stock as of the latest practicable date:     53,239,867 shares of common stock outstanding, as of November 1, 2004.

 



Table of Contents

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

 

PART I.

  

FINANCIAL INFORMATION

    

Item 1.

  

Financial Statements

    
    

Consolidated Statements of Income

   3
    

Consolidated Balance Sheets

   4
    

Consolidated Statements of Shareholders’ Equity

   5
    

Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income

   6
    

Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

   7
    

Notes to Interim Consolidated Financial Statements

   8 – 21

Item 2.

  

Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

   22-57

Item 3.

  

Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

   58

Item 4.

  

Controls and Procedures

   58

PART II.

  

OTHER INFORMATION

    

Item 1.

  

Legal Proceedings

   59

Item 2.

  

Unregistered Sales of Equity Securities and Use of Proceeds

   59

Item 6.

  

Exhibits

   60

SIGNATURES

   61

 

2


Table of Contents

 

PART I - FINANCIAL INFORMATION

ITEM 1 - FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

 

ALLMERICA FINANCIAL CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME

 

     (Unaudited)
Quarter Ended
September 30,


   

(Unaudited)

Nine Months Ended

September 30,


 

(In millions, except per share data)


   2004

    2003

    2004

    2003

 

REVENUES

                                

Premiums

   $ 569.9     $ 568.2     $ 1,718.7     $ 1,711.8  

Universal life and investment product policy fees

     67.2       75.8       214.6       242.7  

Net investment income

     104.2       110.5       315.1       346.6  

Net realized investment (losses) gains

     (4.4 )     (8.0 )     18.3       18.4  

Other income

     22.7       42.7       73.3       143.4  
    


 


 


 


Total revenues

     759.6       789.2       2,340.0       2,462.9  
    


 


 


 


BENEFITS, LOSSES AND EXPENSES

                                

Policy benefits, claims, losses and loss adjustment expenses

     473.6       473.5       1,389.1       1,457.8  

Policy acquisition expenses

     158.4       146.8       458.1       460.3  

(Gains) losses from retirement of funding agreements and trust instruments supported by funding obligations

     (2.9 )     (0.7 )     0.3       (5.7 )

Income from sale of universal life business

     —         —         —         (5.5 )

Net (gains) losses on derivative instruments

     (0.9 )     1.1       0.4       1.6  

Restructuring costs

     0.3       1.2       5.8       5.8  

Other operating expenses

     115.2       163.4       386.6       477.5  
    


 


 


 


Total benefits, losses and expenses

     743.7       785.3       2,240.3       2,391.8  
    


 


 


 


Income before federal income taxes

     15.9       3.9       99.7       71.1  
    


 


 


 


Federal income tax expense (benefit)

                                

Current

     2.8       (23.0 )     (17.7 )     2.1  

Deferred

     (4.6 )     15.5       (2.0 )     (3.9 )
    


 


 


 


Total federal income tax benefit

     (1.8 )     (7.5 )     (19.7 )     (1.8 )
    


 


 


 


Income before cumulative effect of change in accounting principle

     17.7       11.4       119.4       72.9  

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle (less income tax benefit of $30.8 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004)

     —         —         (57.2 )     —    
    


 


 


 


Net income

   $ 17.7     $ 11.4     $ 62.2     $ 72.9  
    


 


 


 


PER SHARE DATA

                                

Basic

                                

Income before cumulative effect of change in accounting principle

   $ 0.33     $ 0.22     $ 2.25     $ 1.38  

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle (less income tax benefit of $0.58 for the nine months ended September 30, 2004)

     —         —         (1.08 )     —    
    


 


 


 


Net income

   $ 0.33     $ 0.22     $ 1.17     $ 1.38  
    


 


 


 


Weighted average shares outstanding

     53.2       52.9       53.2       52.9  
    


 


 


 


Diluted

                                

Income before cumulative effect of change in accounting principle

   $ 0.33     $ 0.21     $ 2.22     $ 1.37  

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle (less income tax benefit of $0.57 for the nine months ended September 30, 2004)

     —         —         (1.06 )     —    
    


 


 


 


Net income

   $ 0.33     $ 0.21     $ 1.16     $ 1.37  
    


 


 


 


Weighted average shares outstanding

     53.6       53.3       53.7       53.1  
    


 


 


 


 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements.

 

3


Table of Contents

ALLMERICA FINANCIAL CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS

 

(In millions, except per share data)


  

(Unaudited)

September 30,
2004


    December 31,
2003


 

ASSETS

                

Investments:

                

Fixed maturities-at fair value (amortized cost of $7,511.2 and $7,346.3)

   $ 7,788.7     $ 7,646.5  

Equity securities-at fair value (cost of $13.7 and $9.1)

     15.9       15.3  

Mortgage loans

     127.5       175.1  

Policy loans

     258.2       268.0  

Other long-term investments

     62.8       80.7  
    


 


Total investments

     8,253.1       8,185.6  
    


 


Cash and cash equivalents

     217.6       380.5  

Accrued investment income

     119.0       126.5  

Premiums, accounts and notes receivable, net

     498.1       480.9  

Reinsurance receivable on paid and unpaid losses, benefits and unearned premiums

     2,033.7       2,111.2  

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     926.1       1,115.5  

Deferred federal income taxes

     410.3       381.0  

Goodwill

     128.2       128.2  

Other assets

     434.9       367.7  

Separate account assets

     10,086.0       11,835.4  
    


 


Total assets

   $ 23,107.0     $ 25,112.5  
    


 


LIABILITIES

                

Policy liabilities and accruals:

                

Future policy benefits

   $ 3,561.3     $ 3,556.8  

Outstanding claims, losses and loss adjustment expenses

     3,196.4       3,124.9  

Unearned premiums

     1,083.0       1,032.5  

Contractholder deposit funds and other policy liabilities

     377.2       683.7  
    


 


Total policy liabilities and accruals

     8,217.9       8,397.9  
    


 


Expenses and taxes payable

     844.4       822.7  

Reinsurance premiums payable

     107.6       136.5  

Trust instruments supported by funding obligations

     1,048.1       1,200.3  

Long-term debt

     508.8       499.5  

Separate account liabilities

     10,086.0       11,835.4  
    


 


Total liabilities

     20,812.8       22,892.3  
    


 


Commitments and contingencies (Note 13)

                

SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY

                

Preferred stock, $0.01 par value, 20.0 million shares authorized, none issued

     —         —    

Common stock, $0.01 par value, 300.0 million shares authorized, 60.4 million shares issued

     0.6       0.6  

Additional paid-in capital

     1,782.0       1,775.6  

Accumulated other comprehensive income

     21.8       16.1  

Retained earnings

     882.1       833.1  

Treasury stock at cost (7.2 and 7.4 million shares)

     (392.3 )     (405.2 )
    


 


Total shareholders’ equity

     2,294.2       2,220.2  
    


 


Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

   $ 23,107.0     $ 25,112.5  
    


 


 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements.

 

4


Table of Contents

ALLMERICA FINANCIAL CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY

 

    

(Unaudited)

Nine Months Ended

September 30,


 

(In millions)


   2004

    2003

 

PREFERRED STOCK

                

Balance at beginning and end of period

   $ —       $ —    
    


 


COMMON STOCK

                

Balance at beginning and end of period

     0.6       0.6  
    


 


ADDITIONAL PAID-IN CAPITAL

                

Balance at beginning of period

     1,775.6       1,768.4  

Unearned compensation related to restricted stock and other

     6.4       5.8  
    


 


Balance at end of period

     1,782.0       1,774.2  
    


 


ACCUMULATED OTHER COMPREHENSIVE INCOME

                

NET UNREALIZED APPRECIATION ON INVESTMENTS AND DERIVATIVE INSTRUMENTS:

                

Balance at beginning of period

     89.4       83.4  

Appreciation during the period:

                

Net appreciation on available-for-sale securities and derivative instruments

     8.7       67.4  

Provision for deferred federal income taxes

     (3.0 )     (23.6 )
    


 


       5.7       43.8  
    


 


Balance at end of period

     95.1       127.2  
    


 


MINIMUM PENSION LIABILITY:

                

Balance at beginning and end of period

     (73.3 )     (120.8 )
    


 


Total accumulated other comprehensive income

     21.8       6.4  
    


 


RETAINED EARNINGS

                

Balance at beginning of period

     833.1       746.2  

Net income

     62.2       72.9  

Treasury stock issued for less than cost

     (13.2 )     —    
    


 


Balance at end of period

     882.1       819.1  
    


 


TREASURY STOCK

                

Balance at beginning of period

     (405.2 )     (405.6 )

Shares reissued at cost

     12.9       1.9  
    


 


Balance at end of period

     (392.3 )     (403.7 )
    


 


Total shareholders’ equity

   $ 2,294.2     $ 2,196.6  
    


 


 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements.

 

5


Table of Contents

ALLMERICA FINANCIAL CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME

 

    

(Unaudited)

Quarter Ended

September 30,


   

(Unaudited)

Nine Months Ended

September 30,


 

(In millions)


   2004

    2003

    2004

    2003

 

Net income

   $ 17.7     $ 11.4     $ 62.2     $ 72.9  

Other comprehensive income (loss):

                                

Available-for-sale securities:

                                

Net appreciation (depreciation) during the period

     110.5       (76.9 )     (32.1 )     56.4  

(Provision) benefit for deferred federal income taxes

     (38.6 )     26.9       11.3       (19.7 )
    


 


 


 


Total available-for-sale securities

     71.9       (50.0 )     (20.8 )     36.7  
    


 


 


 


Derivative instruments:

                                

Net (depreciation) appreciation during the period

     (4.4 )     14.0       40.8       11.0  

Benefit (provision) for deferred federal income taxes

     1.5       (4.9 )     (14.3 )     (3.9 )
    


 


 


 


Total derivative instruments

     (2.9 )     9.1       26.5       7.1  
    


 


 


 


Other comprehensive income (loss)

     69.0       (40.9 )     5.7       43.8  
    


 


 


 


Comprehensive income (loss)

   $ 86.7     $ (29.5 )   $ 67.9     $ 116.7  
    


 


 


 


 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements.

 

6


Table of Contents

ALLMERICA FINANCIAL CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

 

    

(Unaudited)

Nine Months Ended

September 30,


 

(In millions)


   2004

    2003

 

CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES

                

Net income

   $ 62.2     $ 72.9  

Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by (used in) operating activities:

                

Net realized investment gains

     (18.3 )     (18.4 )

Net amortization and depreciation

     28.4       24.0  

Interest credited to contractholder deposit funds and trust instruments supported by funding obligations

     35.4       43.2  

Deferred federal income taxes

     (2.0 )     (3.9 )

Change in deferred acquisition costs

     112.0       103.0  

Change in premiums and notes receivable, net of reinsurance payable

     (61.5 )     86.9  

Change in accrued investment income

     7.5       16.2  

Change in policy liabilities and accruals, net

     (91.9 )     (232.1 )

Change in reinsurance receivable

     77.5       (4.8 )

Change in expenses and taxes payable

     (48.9 )     (232.5 )

Other, net

     34.8       (12.4 )
    


 


Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities

     135.2       (157.9 )
    


 


CASH FLOWS FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES

                

Proceeds from disposals and maturities of available-for-sale fixed maturities

     1,293.1       2,092.0  

Proceeds from disposals of equity securities

     12.2       81.3  

Proceeds from disposals of other investments

     35.2       69.0  

Proceeds from mortgages matured or collected

     48.0       41.7  

Proceeds from collections of installment finance and notes receivable

     234.3       236.3  

Purchase of available-for-sale fixed maturities

     (1,327.2 )     (2,032.0 )

Purchase of equity securities

     (2.7 )     (36.0 )

Purchase of other investments

     (7.3 )     (24.0 )

Capital expenditures

     (3.9 )     (3.2 )

Net (payments) receipts related to margin deposits on derivative instruments

     (10.8 )     48.8  

Disbursements to fund installment finance and notes receivable

     (218.9 )     (229.9 )

Other investing activities, net

     0.4       2.3  
    


 


Net cash provided by investing activities

     52.4       246.3  
    


 


CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES

                

Withdrawals from contractholder deposit funds

     (201.6 )     (27.5 )

Withdrawals from trust instruments supported by funding obligations

     (152.5 )     (124.6 )

Exercise of options

     3.6       —    
    


 


Net cash used in financing activities

     (350.5 )     (152.1 )
    


 


Net change in cash and cash equivalents

     (162.9 )     (63.7 )

Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period

     380.5       389.8  
    


 


Cash and cash equivalents, end of period

   $ 217.6     $ 326.1  
    


 


 

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements.

 

7


Table of Contents

 

ALLMERICA FINANCIAL CORPORATION

NOTES TO INTERIM CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

 

1. Basis of Presentation and Principles of Consolidation

 

The accompanying unaudited consolidated financial statements of Allmerica Financial Corporation (“AFC” or the “Company”) have been prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles for interim financial information and with the requirements of Form 10-Q.

 

The interim consolidated financial statements of AFC include the accounts of The Hanover Insurance Company (“Hanover”) and Citizens Insurance Company of America (“Citizens”), AFC’s principal property and casualty companies; Allmerica Financial Life Insurance and Annuity Company (“AFLIAC”) and First Allmerica Financial Life Insurance Company (“FAFLIC”), AFC’s principal life insurance and annuity companies; and certain other insurance and non-insurance subsidiaries. These legal entities conduct their operations through several business segments discussed in Note 10. All significant intercompany accounts and transactions have been eliminated.

 

The accompanying interim consolidated financial statements reflect, in the opinion of the Company’s management, all adjustments necessary for a fair presentation of the financial position and results of operations. The results of operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2004, are not necessarily indicative of the results to be expected for the full year. These financial statements should be read in conjunction with the Company’s 2003 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

 

The preparation of financial statements in conformity with generally accepted accounting principles requires the Company to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amount of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results could differ from those estimates.

 

2. New Accounting Pronouncements

 

In March 2004, the Financial Accounting Standards Board’s Emerging Issues Task Force (“EITF”) reached several consensuses regarding the application of guidance related to the evaluation of whether an investment is other than temporarily impaired in accordance with EITF Issue No. 03-1, The Meaning of Other-Than-Temporary Impairment and its Application to Certain Investments (“EITF No. 03-1”). However, on September 30, 2004, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) delayed indefinitely the effective date for the measurement and recognition guidance of EITF No. 03-1. The disclosure requirements were not deferred. EITF No. 03-1 describes certain quantitative and qualitative disclosures that are required for marketable fixed maturities and equity securities covered by Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 115, Accounting for Certain Investments in Debt and Equity Securities, including the aggregate amount of unrealized losses and the aggregate related fair value of investments with unrealized losses, by investment type, as well as additional information supporting the conclusion that the impairments are not other than temporary, such as the nature of the investment(s), cause of impairment and severity and duration of the impairment. The disclosures required by EITF No. 03-1 were effective for fiscal years ending after December 15, 2003. The additional disclosures for cost method investments were effective for fiscal years ending after June 15, 2004. The Company implemented the disclosure requirements of this EITF for its fiscal year ending December 31, 2003. The adoption of the remaining provisions of EITF 03-1 is not expected to have a material effect on the Company’s financial position or results of operations.

 

In July 2003, the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants issued Statement of Position 03-1, Accounting and Reporting by Insurance Enterprises for Certain Nontraditional Long-Duration Contracts and for Separate Accounts (“SOP 03-1”). SOP 03-1 is applicable to all insurance enterprises as defined by Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 60, Accounting and Reporting by Insurance Enterprises. This statement provides guidance regarding accounting and disclosures of separate account assets and liabilities and an insurance company’s interest in such separate accounts. It further provides for the accounting and disclosures related to contractholder transfers to separate accounts from a company’s general account and the determination of the balance that accrues to the benefit of the contractholder. In addition, SOP 03-1 provides guidance for determining any additional liabilities for guaranteed minimum death benefits (“GMDB”) or other insurance benefit features, potential benefits available only on annuitization and liabilities related to sales inducements, such as immediate bonus payments, persistency bonuses, and enhanced crediting rates or “bonus interest” rates, as well as the required disclosures related to these items. This statement was effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2003. The determination of the GMDB reserve under SOP 03-1 is complex and requires various assumptions, including, among other items, estimates of future market returns and expected contract persistency. Upon adoption of this statement in the first quarter of 2004, the Company recorded a $57.2

 

8


Table of Contents

million charge, net of taxes. This charge was reported as a cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle in the Consolidated Statements of Income.

 

In January 2003, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) issued Interpretation No. 46, Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities – an interpretation of ARB No. 51, which was subsequently revised by the December 2003 issuance of Interpretation No. 46, (collectively referred to as “FIN 46” or the “Interpretation”). FIN 46 provides guidance regarding the application of Accounting Research Bulletin No. 51, Consolidated Financial Statements, specifically as it relates to the identification of entities for which control is achieved through a means other than voting rights (“variable interest entities”) and the determination of which party is responsible for consolidating the variable interest entities (the “primary beneficiary”). In addition to mandating that the primary beneficiary consolidate the variable interest entity, FIN 46 also requires disclosures by companies that hold a significant variable interest, even if they are not the primary beneficiary. Certain financial statement disclosures were applicable immediately for those entities for which it was reasonably possible that the enterprise would, upon adoption of FIN 46, consolidate or be required to disclose information about any variable interest entities. Additionally, an enterprise with an interest in an entity to which FIN 46 had not been applied as of December 24, 2003, is required to apply this Interpretation no later than the end of the first reporting period that ends after March 15, 2004. Application of FIN 46 for special purpose entities was required no later than as of the end of the first reporting period that ends after December 15, 2003. The Company performed a review of potential variable interest entities and concluded that AFC was not the primary beneficiary of any material variable interest entities and would not be required to consolidate those entities as a result of implementing FIN 46. However, the Company does hold a significant variable interest in a limited partnership. In 1997, the Company invested in the McDonald Corporate Tax Credit Fund - 1996 Limited Partnership, which was organized to invest in low income housing projects which qualify for tax credits under the Internal Revenue Code. The Company’s investment in this limited partnership, which represents approximately 36% of the partnership, is not a controlling interest; it entitles the Company to tax credits to be applied against its federal income tax liability in addition to tax losses to offset taxable income. The Company’s maximum exposure to loss on this investment is limited to its carrying value, which is $8.5 million at September 30, 2004. In addition, the Company has $300 million of mandatorily redeemable preferred securities of a subsidiary trust holding solely junior subordinated debentures of the Company. Prior to July 1, 2003, these securities were classified as a separate line item in the mezzanine level of the balance sheet. Upon adoption of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 150, Accounting for Certain Financial Instruments with Characteristics of both Liabilities and Equity, these securities were reclassified to debt. These securities were issued by a trust that was established for the sole purpose of issuing the securities to investors and are fully guaranteed by the Company. In the first quarter of 2004, the Company adopted the provisions of FIN 46, which require that the Company deconsolidate the trust for financial reporting purposes. The net effect of deconsolidating the trust was to increase the Company’s consolidated assets and liabilities by $9.3 million.

 

3. Adoption of Statement of Position 03-1, Accounting and Reporting by Insurance Enterprises for Certain Nontraditional Long-Duration Contracts and for Separate Accounts

 

Effective January 1, 2004, the Company adopted SOP 03-1 (see Note 2 – New Accounting Pronouncements). Upon adoption, the Company recorded a cumulative effect of change in accounting principle of $57.2 million, after-tax.

 

The following illustrates the components of that charge (in millions):

 

Increase in guaranteed minimum death benefit liability

   $ 80.6  

Establishment of guaranteed minimum income benefit liability

     4.1  

Change in deferred acquisition costs

     3.3  
    


       88.0  

Provision for federal income taxes

     (30.8 )
    


Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle

   $ 57.2  
    


 

Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits

 

The Company issued variable annuity contracts with a GMDB feature. The GMDB feature provides annuity contractholders with a guarantee that the benefit received at death will be no less than a prescribed minimum amount. This amount is based on either the net deposits paid into the contract, the net deposits accumulated at a specified rate, the highest historical account value on a contract anniversary, or more typically, the greatest of these values. If the GMDB is higher than the current account value at the time of death, the Company incurs a cost equal to the difference.

 

9


Table of Contents

The following summarizes the liability for GMDB contracts reflected in the general account (unaudited):

 

(in millions)


  

Nine Months

Ended

September 30,

2004


 

Balance at December 31, 2003

   $ 26.2  

Adoption of SOP 03-1

     80.6  
    


Balance at January 1, 2004

     106.8  

Provision for GMDB:

        

GMDB expense incurred

     37.1  

Volatility (1)

     4.1  
    


       41.2  

Paid claims, net of reinsurance:

        

Claims from policyholders

     (54.9 )

Claims ceded to reinsurers

     51.3  
    


       (3.6 )

GMDB reinsurance premium

     (49.3 )
    


Balance at September 30, 2004

   $ 95.1  
    


 

(1) Volatility reflects the difference between actual and expected investment performance, persistency, age distribution, mortality and other factors that are assumptions within the GMDB reserving model.

 

The following information relates to the reserving methodology and assumptions for GMDB, which the Company has begun utilizing in response to SOP 03-1. These assumptions are consistent with those utilized in the Company’s calculation of its deferred acquisition cost (“DAC”) asset.

 

  The projection model used 1,000 stochastically generated market return scenarios.

 

  The mean investment performance assumptions, prior to the consideration of mortality and expense fees, vary from approximately 5-10% depending on the underlying fund type. The long-term, aggregate, weighted average investment performance rate assumption is 8.06%, net of investment fees. This represents all separate account return assumptions weighted by account value at September 30, 2004.

 

  The volatility assumption was 17% for equity funds; 4% for bond funds; and 1% for money market funds.

 

  The mortality assumption was 75% of the 1994 GMDB table.

 

  The full surrender rate assumption varies from 1-35% depending on contract type and policy duration. The aggregate projected full surrender rates for 2004 and 2005 are approximately 16% and 11%, respectively. (Full surrender rates do not include partial withdrawals or deaths).

 

  The discount rate was 6.6%.

 

10


Table of Contents

The table below presents the account value, net amount at risk and average attained age of underlying contractholders for guarantees in the event of death as of September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003. The net amount at risk is the death benefit coverage in force or the amount that the Company would have to pay if all contractholders had died as of the specified date, and represents the excess of the guaranteed benefit over the fair value of the underlying investments.

 

(in millions, except for contractholder information)


  

(Unaudited)

September 30, 2004


  

(Unaudited)

December 31, 2003


Net deposits paid

             

Account value

   $ 1,202    $ 1,349

Net amount at risk

   $ 78    $ 85

Average attained age of contractholders

     66      65

Ratchet (highest historical account value at specified anniversary dates)

             

Account value

   $ 1,993    $ 2,451

Net amount at risk

   $ 278    $ 319

Average attained age of contractholders

     64      63

Roll-up (net deposits accumulated at a specified rate)

             

Account value

   $ 100    $ 108

Net amount at risk

   $ 25    $ 21

Average attained age of contractholders

     76      75

Higher of ratchet or roll-up

             

Account value

   $ 6,820    $ 7,768

Net amount at risk

   $ 2,109    $ 2,126

Average attained age of contractholders

     71      70
    

  

Total of guaranteed benefits categorized above

             

Account value

   $ 10,115    $ 11,676

Net amount at risk

   $ 2,490    $ 2,551

Average attained age of contractholders (weighted by account value)

     69      68

Number of contractholders

     195,561      219,647

 

Guaranteed Minimum Income Benefit

 

Additionally, the Company issued variable annuity contracts with a guaranteed minimum income benefit (“GMIB”) feature. The GMIB liability recorded at January 1, 2004 was $4.1 million. As of September 30, 2004, the balance increased to $ 5.2 million with no benefits being paid out. The GMIB liability is determined by estimating the expected value of the annuitization benefits in excess of the projected account balance at the date of annuitization and recognizing the excess ratably over the accumulation period based on total expected assessments. The Company regularly evaluates estimates used and adjusts the additional liability balance, with a related charge or credit to benefit expense, if actual experience or other evidence suggests that earlier assumptions should be revised.

 

Sales Inducements

 

The Company’s variable annuity product offerings included contracts that offered enhanced crediting rates or bonus payments. These enhanced rates are considered sales inducements under SOP 03-1. As such, the balance of sales inducement assets was required to be reclassified from DAC to other assets upon adoption of SOP 03-1, and amortization of these sales inducements over the life of the contract is required to be reflected as a policy benefit. Amortization of these contracts is required to be computed using the same methodology and assumptions used in amortizing DAC.

 

The balance of deferred sales inducements reclassified from DAC to other assets was $89.7 million on January 1, 2004. The balance of deferred sales inducements at September 30, 2004 was $74.0 million.

 

Separate Accounts with Credited Interest Guarantees

 

The Company issued variable annuity and life contracts through its separate accounts for which net investment income and investment gains and losses accrue directly to, and investment risk is borne by, the contractholder. The Company also issued

 

11


Table of Contents

variable annuity and life contracts through separate accounts where the Company contractually guarantees to the contractholder the total deposits made to the contract less any partial withdrawals plus a minimum return.

 

Prior to the adoption of SOP 03-1, the Company had recorded certain market value adjusted (“MVA”) fixed annuity products as separate account assets and separate account liabilities in the Consolidated Balance Sheets. Changes in the fair value of MVA assets were reflected in other comprehensive income in the Consolidated Balance Sheets. In addition, the Company reflected policy fees, interest spreads, realized gains and losses on investments and changes in the liability for minimum guarantees in net income. Notwithstanding the market value adjustment feature of this product, all of the investment performance of the separate account assets related to this product does not accrue to the contractholder, and it therefore, does not meet the conditions for separate account reporting under SOP 03-1.

 

Upon adoption of SOP 03-1, assets related to the MVA product, primarily fixed maturities, which are carried at fair value, were reclassified to the general account as available-for-sale securities. Reserves related to contract account values included in separate account liabilities were also reclassified to the Company’s general account. Changes in the fair value of these assets continue to be reflected in other comprehensive income in the Consolidated Balance Sheets. Additionally, amounts assessed against the contractholders for mortality, administrative, and other services continue to be included in universal life and investment product policy fees and changes in liabilities for minimum guarantees continue to be included in policy benefits, claims, losses and loss adjustment expenses in the Consolidated Statements of Income. Components of the interest spreads related to this product continue to be recorded in net investment income and policy benefits, claims losses and loss adjustment expenses in the Consolidated Statements of Income. Realized investment gains and losses are recognized as incurred, consistent with prior years.

 

At September 30, 2004, the Company had the following variable annuities with guaranteed minimum returns (unaudited):

 

Account value (in millions)

   $ 94.9  

Range of guaranteed minimum return rates

     3.0-6.5 %

 

Account balances of these contracts with guaranteed minimum returns were invested in variable separate accounts as follows:

 

(in millions)


   (Unaudited)

Asset Type

      

Fixed maturities

   $ 110.6

Cash and cash equivalents

     2.3
    

Total

   $ 112.9
    

 

4. Discontinued Operations

 

During 1999, the Company approved a plan to exit its group life and health insurance business, consisting of its Employee Benefit Services (“EBS”) business, its Affinity Group Underwriters business and its accident and health assumed reinsurance pool business (“reinsurance pool business”). During 1998, the Company ceased writing new premiums in the reinsurance pool business, subject to certain contractual obligations. Prior to 1999, these businesses comprised substantially all of the former Corporate Risk Management Services (“CRMS”) segment. Accordingly, the operating results of the discontinued segment, including its reinsurance pool business, have been reported in the Consolidated Statements of Income as discontinued operations in accordance with Accounting Principles Board Opinion No. 30, Reporting the Results of Operations – Reporting the Effects of Disposal of a Segment of a Business, and Extraordinary, Unusual and Infrequently Occurring Events and Transactions (“APB Opinion No. 30”). In 1999, the Company recorded a $30.5 million loss, net of taxes, on the disposal of this segment, consisting of after-tax losses from the run-off of the group life and health business of $46.9 million, partially offset by net proceeds from the sale of the EBS business of $16.4 million. Subsequent to the measurement date of June 30, 1999, approximately $17.7 million of the aforementioned $46.9 million loss has been generated from the operations of the discontinued business.

 

In March of 2000, the Company transferred its EBS business to Great-West Life and Annuity Insurance Company of Denver. As a result of this transaction, the Company has received consideration of $27.6 million, based on renewal rights for existing policies. The Company retained policy liabilities estimated at $84.0 million at September 30, 2004 related to this business.

 

12


Table of Contents

As permitted by APB Opinion No. 30, the Consolidated Balance Sheets have not been segregated between continuing and discontinued operations. At September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, the discontinued segment had assets of $283.5 million and $284.5 million, respectively, consisting primarily of invested assets and reinsurance recoverables, and liabilities of approximately $353.5 million and $350.5 million, respectively, consisting primarily of policy liabilities. Revenues for the discontinued operations were $3.1 million and $3.4 million for the quarters ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively, and $11.0 million and $11.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively.

 

5. Significant Transactions

 

In the first nine months of 2004 and 2003, the Company retired $183.6 million and $78.8 million, respectively, of long-term funding agreement obligations. These retirements resulted in a pre-tax loss of $0.3 million in 2004 and a pre-tax gain of $5.7 million in 2003. These results are reported as losses (gains) from retirement of funding agreements and trust instruments supported by funding obligations in the Consolidated Statements of Income. Certain amounts related to the termination of derivative instruments used to hedge the retired funding agreements were reported in separate line items in the Consolidated Statements of Income. The net market value loss on the early termination of derivative instruments used to hedge the retired funding agreements of $7.4 million in 2004 and $6.4 million in 2003, was recorded as net realized investment gains in the Consolidated Statements of Income. The net foreign currency transaction gain on the retired foreign-denominated funding agreements of $3.6 million in 2003 was recorded as other income in the Consolidated Statements of Income. There were no foreign currency transaction gains on the retired foreign denominated funding agreements in 2004 because the funding agreements were effectively hedged.

 

In the fourth quarter of 2003, the Company ceased operations of its Life Companies segment retail broker/dealer operations (see Note 10 for a description of the Company’s operating segments). These operations had distributed third-party investment and insurance products through VeraVest Investments, Inc. Results in 2003 include a pre-tax charge of $11.5 million for asset impairments in connection with this action. The Company also recognized a pre-tax restructuring charge of $21.9 million in the fourth quarter of 2003, in accordance with Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 146, Accounting for Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities (“Statement No. 146”). This charge consists of $12.1 million which is related to severance and other employee related costs associated with the elimination of 532 positions, and $9.8 million related to contract termination fees and other costs. During the first nine months of 2004, an additional 20 positions were eliminated. The Company recognized $ 2.9 million of additional pre-tax charges during the first nine months of 2004, of which $2.6 million related to severance and other employee related costs. Of the 552 positions eliminated, 522 employees have been terminated and 28 employees have been transferred to other positions within the Company as of September 30, 2004. All levels of employees within the broker/dealer operations, from staff to senior management, were affected by the decision. As of September 30, 2004, the Company has made payments of approximately $20.8 million related to this restructuring plan, of which $12.8 million related to severance and other employee related costs and $8.0 million related to contract termination fees and other costs. The liability balance at September 30, 2004 is $4.0 million. The Company currently anticipates an additional $1 million to $2 million of expenses will be recognized during the remainder of 2004 related to this restructuring.

 

In 2002, the Company recognized a pre-tax charge of $15.0 million related to the restructuring of its Life Companies segment, which has been accounted for under the guidance of EITF No. 94-3, Liability Recognition for Certain Employee Termination Benefits and Other Costs to Exit an Activity (including Certain Costs Incurred in a Restructuring). This charge consists of $11.7 million which is related to severance and other employee and agent related costs resulting from the elimination of 476 positions, of which 63 positions were vacant. The remaining employees have either been terminated or transferred to other positions within the Company as of September 30, 2004. All levels of employees, from staff to senior management, were affected by the restructuring. Additionally, the Company terminated all life insurance and annuity agent contracts effective December 31, 2002. In addition, $3.3 million of this charge related to other restructuring costs, consisting of lease and contract cancellations and the present value of idle leased space. As of September 30, 2004, the Company has made payments of approximately $14.6 million related to this restructuring plan, of which approximately $11.6 million related to severance and other employee related costs. During 2003, the Company eliminated an additional 151 positions related to this restructuring and as of September 30, 2004, 146 of these employees have been terminated and 4 employees have been transferred to other positions within the Company. The Company recorded a pre-tax charge of $7.0 million during 2003, in accordance with Statement No. 146, consisting of $6.7 million of employee related costs and $0.3 million related to contract cancellations. Of this amount, $6.0 million was recording during the nine months ended September 30, 2003. During the nine months ended September 30, 2004, the Company recorded an additional charge of $1.5 million, of which $0.9 million was employee-related costs and $0.6 million related to contract terminations and other costs. As of September 30, 2004, the Company has made payments of approximately $6.4 million related to this restructuring plan, of which $5.4 million related to severance and other employee related costs. The liability balance for these activities is $2.5 million as of September 30, 2004. The plan is substantially complete.

 

13


Table of Contents

6. Federal Income Taxes

 

Federal income tax expense for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, has been computed using estimated effective tax rates. These rates are revised, if necessary, at the end of each successive interim period to reflect the current estimates of the annual effective tax rates. The current year effective tax rate reflects a $30.3 million benefit resulting from the settlement of disputed items in the Company’s federal tax returns filed for 1979 to 1991. The largest of the disputed items relates to deductions taken for increased death benefits pertaining to certain life insurance contracts. The settlement entitles the Company to receive a refund of amounts paid for these years, as well as various tax credits that can be applied to offset federal tax liabilities in other years.

 

7. Pension and Other Postretirement Benefit Plans

 

The Company provides retirement benefits to substantially all of its employees under a non-contributory defined benefit pension plan based on a cash balance formula. In addition, certain transition group employees who have met specified age and service requirements as of December 31, 1994, are eligible for a grandfathered benefit based on service and compensation. Additional unfunded pension plans and postretirement plans provide certain benefits to a portion of full-time employees, former agents, retirees and their dependents.

 

The components of net periodic pension cost for pension and other postretirement benefit plans are as follows:

 

     (Unaudited)  
     Quarter Ended September 30,

 

(In millions)


   2004

    2003

    2004

    2003

 
     Pension Benefits

    Postretirement Benefits

 

Service cost – benefits earned during the period

   $ 2.5     $ 2.9     $ 0.4     $ 0.4  

Interest cost

     7.8       7.6       1.1       1.2  

Expected return on plan assets

     (6.7 )     (5.6 )     —         —    

Recognized net actuarial loss

     5.4       7.2       0.1       —    

Amortization of transition asset

     (0.6 )     (0.6 )     —         —    

Amortization of prior service cost

     (0.7 )     (0.7 )     (0.8 )     (0.5 )
    


 


 


 


Net periodic benefit cost

   $ 7.7     $ 10.8     $ 0.8     $ 1.1  
    


 


 


 


     (Unaudited)  
     Nine Months Ended September 30,

 
     2004

    2003

    2004

    2003

 
     Pension Benefits

    Postretirement Benefits

 

Service cost – benefits earned during the period

   $ 7.6     $ 8.8     $ 1.1     $ 1.1  

Interest cost

     23.4       22.8       3.3       3.6  

Expected return on plan assets

     (20.2 )     (16.8 )     —         —    

Recognized net actuarial loss

     16.2       21.7       0.3       0.1  

Amortization of transition asset

     (1.7 )     (1.7 )     —         —    

Amortization of prior service cost

     (2.2 )     (2.2 )     (2.3 )     (1.4 )
    


 


 


 


Net periodic benefit cost

   $ 23.1     $ 32.6     $ 2.4     $ 3.4  
    


 


 


 


 

14


Table of Contents

8. Closed Block

 

Summarized financial information of the Closed Block, established in 1995 upon demutualization, is as follows for the periods indicated:

 

(In millions)


  

(Unaudited)

September 30,

2004


   

December 31,

2003


 

ASSETS

                

Fixed maturities-at fair value (amortized cost of $497.7 and $496.2)

   $ 527.8     $ 523.4  

Mortgage loans

     39.7       40.7  

Policy loans

     146.7       156.1  

Cash and cash equivalents

     12.5       9.4  

Accrued investment income

     12.0       12.3  

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     4.9       6.1  

Deferred federal income taxes

     8.0       7.6  

Other assets

     1.5       4.9  
    


 


Total assets

   $ 753.1     $ 760.5  
    


 


LIABILITIES

                

Policy liabilities and accruals

   $ 731.2     $ 749.9  

Policyholder dividends

     61.5       62.8  

Other liabilities

     7.8       2.6  
    


 


Total liabilities

   $ 800.5     $ 815.3  
    


 


Excess of Closed Block liabilities over assets designated to the Closed Block

   $ 47.4     $ 54.8  

Amounts included in accumulated other comprehensive income:

                

Net unrealized investment losses, net of deferred federal income tax benefit of $6.0 million and $5.5 million

     (11.1 )     (10.2 )
    


 


Maximum future earnings to be recognized from Closed Block assets and liabilities

   $ 36.3     $ 44.6  
    


 


 

     (Unaudited)
Quarter Ended
September 30,


  

(Unaudited)

Nine Months Ended
September 30,


(In millions)


   2004

    2003

   2004

    2003

REVENUES

                             

Premiums

   $ 6.1     $ 6.6    $ 32.0     $ 33.5

Net investment income

     10.4       11.6      32.1       35.4

Net realized investment (losses) gains

     (0.2 )     —        (0.1 )     4.3
    


 

  


 

Total revenues

     16.3       18.2      64.0       73.2
    


 

  


 

BENEFITS AND EXPENSES

                             

Policy benefits

     13.8       15.9      54.5       65.5

Policy acquisition expenses

     0.5       0.8      1.3       1.2

Other operating expenses

     0.1       0.2      —         0.5
    


 

  


 

Total benefits and expenses

     14.4       16.9      55.8       67.2
    


 

  


 

Contribution from the Closed Block

   $ 1.9     $ 1.3    $ 8.2     $ 6.0
    


 

  


 

 

Many expenses related to Closed Block operations are charged to operations outside the Closed Block; accordingly, the contribution from the Closed Block does not represent the actual profitability of the Closed Block operations. Operating costs and expenses outside of the Closed Block are, therefore, disproportionate to the business outside the Closed Block.

 

15


Table of Contents

9. Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)

 

The following table provides a reconciliation of gross unrealized gains (losses) to the net balance shown in the Statements of Comprehensive Income.

 

    

(Unaudited)

Quarter Ended

September 30,


   

(Unaudited)

Nine Months Ended

September 30,


(In millions)


   2004

    2003

    2004

    2003

Unrealized gains (losses) on available-for-sale securities:

                              

Unrealized holding gains (losses) arising during period (net of income tax (expense) benefit of $(39.8) million and $29.5 million for the quarters ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 and $1.9 million and $(27.5) million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003)

   $ 74.3     $ (54.9 )   $ (3.2 )   $ 51.1

Less: reclassification adjustment for gains (losses) included in net income (net of income tax (expense) benefit of $(1.2) million and $2.6 million for the quarters ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 and $(9.4) million and $(7.8) million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003)

     2.4       (4.9 )     17.6       14.4
    


 


 


 

Total available-for-sale securities

     71.9       (50.0 )     (20.8 )     36.7
    


 


 


 

Unrealized (losses) gains on derivative instruments:

                              

Unrealized holding (losses) gains arising during period (net of income tax benefit (expense) of $15.3 million and $(5.6) million for the quarters ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 and $8.8 million and $(7.5) million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003)

     (28.3 )     10.4       (16.3 )     13.9

Less: reclassification adjustment for (losses) gains included in net income (net of income tax benefit (expense) of $13.8 million and $(0.7) million for the quarters ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 and $23.1 million and $(3.6) million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003)

     (25.4 )     1.3       (42.8 )     6.8
    


 


 


 

Total derivative instruments

     (2.9 )     9.1       26.5       7.1
    


 


 


 

Other comprehensive income (loss)

   $ 69.0     $ (40.9 )   $ 5.7     $ 43.8
    


 


 


 

 

16


Table of Contents

10. Segment Information

 

The Company’s business includes financial products and services in two major areas: Property and Casualty and Life Operations. Within these broad areas, the Company conducts business principally in four operating segments. These segments are Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, Other Property and Casualty, and Life Companies. In accordance with Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 131, Disclosures About Segments of an Enterprise and Related Information, the separate financial information of each segment is presented consistent with the way results are regularly evaluated by the chief operating decision maker in deciding how to allocate resources and in assessing performance. A summary of the Company’s reportable segments is included below.

 

The Property and Casualty group manages its operations principally through three segments based upon product and identified as Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Other Property and Casualty. Personal Lines include such property and casualty coverages as personal automobile, homeowners and other personal policies, while Commercial Lines include such property and casualty coverages as workers’ compensation, commercial automobile, commercial multiple peril and other commercial policies. In addition, the Other Property and Casualty segment consists of voluntary pools in which the Company has not actively participated since 1995, AMGRO, Inc. (“Amgro”), the Company’s premium financing business, and Opus Investment Management Inc. (“Opus”), which markets investment management services to institutions, pension funds and other organizations. Prior to 2004, the operating results of Amgro and Opus were included in the Company’s former Asset Management segment. In addition, during 2004 the Company allocated corporate overhead costs that were previously reported in its former Corporate segment to the four operating segments, including the three segments in the Property and Casualty group. All prior periods presented have been restated to reflect the current organization.

 

The Life Companies segment consists of the former Allmerica Financial Services segment (“AFS”), the Company’s guaranteed investments contracts (“GIC”) business (formerly part of the Asset Management segment) and the Company’s discontinued group life and health business (the former CRMS segment). The Life Companies segment manages a block of existing variable annuity, variable universal life and traditional life insurance products, and GICs, as well as certain group retirement products. During 2003, the Company managed this existing life insurance business and also operated an independent broker/dealer business, which distributed third party investment and insurance products. In the fourth quarter of 2003, the Company announced the cessation of the retail business of its independent broker/dealer. The assets and liabilities of the Company’s discontinued group life and health business were previously reported in the Company’s Property and Casualty segment. Also, a portion of corporate overhead costs previously included in the Corporate segment was allocated to the Life Companies segment. All prior periods have been restated to reflect the current organization.

 

The Company reports interest expense related to its corporate debt separately from the earnings of its operating segments. Corporate debt consists of the Company’s junior subordinated debentures and its senior debentures.

 

Management evaluates the results of the aforementioned segments based on a pre-tax basis. Segment income excludes certain items, which are included in net income, such as federal income taxes and net realized investment gains and losses, including certain gains or losses on derivative instruments, because fluctuations in these gains and losses are determined by interest rates, financial markets and the timing of sales. Also, segment income excludes net gains and losses on disposals of businesses, discontinued operations, restructuring costs, extraordinary items, the cumulative effect of accounting changes and certain other items. While these items may be significant components in understanding and assessing the Company’s financial performance, management believes that the presentation of segment income enhances understanding of the Company’s results of operations by highlighting net income attributable to the normal operations of the business. However, segment income should not be construed as a substitute for net income determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles.

 

17


Table of Contents

Summarized below is financial information with respect to business segments:

 

     (Unaudited)
Quarter Ended
September 30,


   

(Unaudited)

Nine Months Ended

September 30,


 

(In millions)


   2004

    2003

    2004

    2003

 

Segment revenues:

                                

Property and Casualty:

                                

Personal Lines

   $ 408.1     $ 410.3     $ 1,228.4     $ 1,214.3  

Commercial Lines

     210.0       202.0       622.5       622.0  

Other Property and Casualty

     6.6       7.1       20.7       21.6  
    


 


 


 


Total Property and Casualty

     624.7       619.4       1,871.6       1,857.9  

Life Companies

     142.4       179.3       456.8       592.8  

Interest on corporate debt

     0.2       —         0.6       —    

Intersegment revenues

     (2.6 )     (3.1 )     (8.2 )     (9.2 )
    


 


 


 


Total segment revenues

     764.7       795.6       2,320.8       2,441.5  

Adjustments to segment revenues:

                                

Net realized investment (losses) gains

     (4.4 )     (8.0 )     18.3       18.4  

Other (expenses) income

     (0.7 )     1.6       0.9       3.0  
    


 


 


 


Total revenues

   $ 759.6     $ 789.2     $ 2,340.0     $ 2,462.9  
    


 


 


 


Segment income before federal income taxes and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle:

                                

Property and Casualty:

                                

Personal Lines:

                                

Statutory underwriting profit (loss)

   $ 12.2     $ (19.6 )   $ 9.9     $ (74.9 )

Net investment income

     23.7       22.3       72.0       67.9  

Other

     6.2       8.8       6.8       16.0  
    


 


 


 


Personal Lines segment income

     42.1       11.5       88.7       9.0  

Commercial Lines:

                                

Statutory underwriting (loss) profit

     (32.7 )     (2.0 )     (45.4 )     24.1  

Net investment income

     23.8       22.6       72.4       68.8  

Other

     1.8       (2.5 )     5.0       (0.2 )
    


 


 


 


Commercial Lines segment (loss) income

     (7.1 )     18.1       32.0       92.7  

Other Property and Casualty:

                                

Statutory underwriting loss

     (1.3 )     (0.2 )     (3.4 )     (24.8 )

Net investment income

     0.5       0.4       1.6       1.5  

Fee income

     6.1       6.7       18.8       19.8  

Other

     (3.6 )     (4.3 )     (13.3 )     (14.5 )
    


 


 


 


Other Property and Casualty segment income (loss)

     1.7       2.6       3.7       (18.0 )
    


 


 


 


Total Property and Casualty

     36.7       32.2       124.4       83.7  

Life Companies

     (8.7 )     (8.1 )     (5.2 )     3.0  

Interest on corporate debt

     (10.0 )     (10.0 )     (29.9 )     (29.9 )
    


 


 


 


Segment income before federal income taxes

     18.0       14.1       89.3       56.8  

Adjustments to segment income:

                                

Net realized investment (losses) gains, net of deferred acquisition cost amortization

     (4.9 )     (10.2 )     16.0       7.5  

Gains on derivative instruments

     0.2       0.5       0.5       1.4  

Gains (losses) from retirement of funding agreements and trust instruments supported by funding obligations

     2.9       0.7       (0.3 )     5.7  

Restructuring costs

     (0.3 )     (1.2 )     (5.8 )     (5.8 )

Income from sale of universal life insurance business

     —         —         —         5.5  
    


 


 


 


Income before federal income taxes and cumulative effect of change in accounting principle

   $ 15.9     $ 3.9     $ 99.7     $ 71.1  
    


 


 


 


 

18


Table of Contents
     Identifiable Assets

    Deferred Acquisition Costs

(In millions)


  

(Unaudited)

September 30,

2004


   

December 31,

2003


   

(Unaudited)

September 30,

2004


  

December 31,

2003


Property and Casualty (1)

   $ 6,283.1     $ 6,055.8     $ 221.7    $ 220.9

Life Companies (2)

     16,824.5       19,057.7       704.4      894.6

Intersegment eliminations

     (0.6 )     (1.0 )     —        —  
    


 


 

  

Total

   $ 23,107.0     $ 25,112.5     $ 926.1    $ 1,115.5
    


 


 

  

 

(1) The Company reviews assets based on the total Property and Casualty Group and does not allocate between the Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Other Property and Casualty segments.

 

(2) Includes assets related to the Company’s discontinued operations of $283.5 million and $284.5 million at September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, respectively.

 

11. Earnings Per Share

 

The following table provides share information used in the calculation of the Company’s basic and diluted earnings per share.

 

     (Unaudited)
Quarter Ended
September 30,


  

(Unaudited)

Nine Months Ended

September 30,


(In millions)


   2004

   2003

   2004

   2003

Basic shares used in the calculation of earnings per share

     53.2      52.9      53.2      52.9

Dilutive effect of securities:

                           

Employee stock options

     0.4      0.3      0.5      0.1

Non-vested stock grants

     —        0.1      —        0.1
    

  

  

  

Diluted shares used in the calculation of earnings per share

     53.6      53.3      53.7      53.1
    

  

  

  

Per share effect of dilutive securities on income before cumulative effect of change in accounting principle

   $ —      $ 0.01    $ 0.03    $ 0.01
    

  

  

  

Per share effect of dilutive securities on net income

   $ —      $ 0.01    $ 0.01    $ 0.01
    

  

  

  

 

19


Table of Contents

12. Stock-Based Compensation Plans

 

The Company applies the provisions of Accounting Principles Board Opinion No. 25, Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees, and Related Interpretations (“APB Opinion No. 25”), in accounting for its stock-based compensation plans, and thus compensation cost is not generally required to be recognized in the financial statements for the Company’s stock options issued to employees. However, costs associated with the issuance of stock options to certain agents who did not qualify as employees were recognized in 2003.

 

The following table illustrates the effect on net income and net income per share if the Company had applied the fair value recognition provisions of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 123, Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation (“Statement No. 123”), to stock-based compensation.

 

    

(Unaudited)

Quarter Ended

September 30,


   

(Unaudited)

Nine Months Ended

September 30,


 

(In millions, except per share data)


   2004

    2003

    2004

    2003

 

Net income, as reported

   $ 17.7     $ 11.4     $ 62.2     $ 72.9  

Stock-based compensation expense included in reported net income, net of taxes

     0.1       0.7       0.4       2.8  

Total stock-based compensation expense determined under fair value based method for all awards, net of taxes

     (2.7 )     (3.5 )     (7.5 )     (10.9 )
    


 


 


 


Net income, after effect of Statement No. 123

   $ 15.1     $ 8.6     $ 55.1     $ 64.8  
    


 


 


 


Earnings per share:

                                

Basic - as reported

   $ 0.33     $ 0.22     $ 1.17     $ 1.38  
    


 


 


 


Basic - after effect of Statement No. 123

   $ 0.28     $ 0.16     $ 1.03     $ 1.22  
    


 


 


 


Diluted - as reported

   $ 0.33     $ 0.21     $ 1.16     $ 1.37  
    


 


 


 


Diluted - after effect of Statement No. 123

   $ 0.28     $ 0.16     $ 1.03     $ 1.22  
    


 


 


 


 

13. Commitments and Contingencies

 

Regulatory and Industry Developments

 

Unfavorable economic conditions may contribute to an increase in the number of insurance companies that are under regulatory supervision. This may result in an increase in mandatory assessments by state guaranty funds, or voluntary payments by solvent insurance companies to cover losses to policyholders of insolvent or rehabilitated companies. Mandatory assessments, which are subject to statutory limits, can be partially recovered through a reduction in future premium taxes in some states. The Company is not able to reasonably estimate the potential impact of any such future assessments or voluntary payments.

 

Litigation

 

On July 24, 2002, an action captioned American National Bank and Trust Company of Chicago, as Trustee f/b/o Emerald Investments Limited Partnership, and Emerald Investments Limited Partnership v. Allmerica Financial Life Insurance and Annuity Company, was commenced in the United States District Court for the Northern District of Illinois, Eastern Division. In 1999, plaintiffs purchased two variable annuity contracts with initial premiums aggregating $5 million. Plaintiffs, who AFLIAC subsequently identified as engaging in frequent transfers of significant sums between sub-accounts that in its opinion constituted “market timing”, were subject to restrictions upon such trading that AFLIAC imposed in December 2001. Plaintiffs allege that such restrictions constituted a breach of the terms of the annuity contracts. In December 2003, the court granted partial summary judgment to the plaintiffs, holding that at least certain restrictions imposed on their trading activities violated the terms of the annuity contracts. The Company filed a motion for reconsideration and clarification of the court’s partial summary judgment opinion, which was denied on April 8, 2004.

 

20


Table of Contents

On May 19, 2004, plaintiffs filed a Brief Statement of Damages in which, without quantifying their damage claim, they outlined a claim for (i) amounts totaling $150,000 for surrender charges imposed on the partial surrender by plaintiffs of the annuity contracts, (ii) loss of trading profits they expected over the remaining term of each annuity contract, and (iii) lost trading profits resulting from the Company’s alleged refusal to process five specific transfers in 2002 because of trading restrictions imposed on market timers. With respect to the lost profits, plaintiffs claim that pursuant to their trading strategy of transferring money from money market accounts to international equity accounts and back again to money market accounts, they have been able to consistently obtain relatively risk free returns of between 35% to 40% annually. Plaintiffs claim that they would have been able to continue to maintain such returns on the account values of their annuity contracts over the remaining terms of the annuity contracts (which are based in part on the lives of the named annuitants). The aggregate account value of plaintiffs’ annuities was approximately $12.8 million in December 2001.

 

The Company intends to vigorously defend this matter, and regards plaintiffs claims for lost trading profits as being highly speculative and, in any case, subject to an obligation to mitigate damages. In addition, any damages for lost profits should, in the Company’s view, terminate as a result of the investment management industry’s and regulators’ actions to eliminate market timing, such as implementing “fair value” pricing. The damage phase of the litigation is currently scheduled to be heard in February 2005.

 

While the monetary damages sought by plaintiffs, if awarded, could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s financial position, in the Company’s judgment, the outcome is not expected to be material to the Company’s financial position, although it could have a material effect on the results of operations for a particular quarter or annual period.

 

The Company has been named a defendant in various other legal proceedings arising in the normal course of business. The Company is also involved, from time to time, in investigations and proceedings by governmental and self-regulatory agencies, which currently include the Securities and Exchange Commission’s and the National Association of Securities Dealers’ industry-wide inquiries into “market timing”, “revenue sharing” and other matters, and regulatory inquiries into compensation arrangements with brokers and agents. In the Company’s opinion, based on the advice of legal counsel, the ultimate resolutions of such proceedings or investigations will not have a material effect on the Company’s consolidated financial position, although they could have a material effect on the results of operations for a particular quarter or annual period.

 

Residual Markets

 

The Company is required to participate in residual markets in various states. The results of the residual markets are not subject to the predictability associated with the Company’s own managed business, and are significant to the workers’ compensation line of business and both the personal and commercial automobile lines of business.

 

21


Table of Contents

 

PART I

ITEM 2

 

MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF

FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

 

TABLE OF CONTENTS

 

Introduction

   23

Executive Overview

   23-26

Description of Operating Segments

   23-24

Results of Operations

   24-25

Segment Income

   25-26

Other Items

   26-28

Segment Results

   29-45

Property and Casualty

   29-38

Life Companies

   39-45

Investment Portfolio

   46-48

Derivative Instruments

   48

Income Taxes

   48-49

Critical Accounting Policies

   49-50

Statutory Capital of Insurance Subsidiaries

   51

Liquidity and Capital Resources

   51-52

Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements

   52

Contingencies

   52-53

Rating Agency Actions

   53

Risks and Forward-Looking Statements

   53-55

Glossary of Selected Insurance Terms

   56-57

 

22


Table of Contents

The following analysis of the interim consolidated results of operations and financial condition of Allmerica Financial Corporation and subsidiaries (“AFC”) should be read in conjunction with the interim Consolidated Financial Statements and related footnotes included elsewhere in this Quarterly Report and the Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations contained in our 2003 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

 

Introduction

 

Our results of operations include the accounts of The Hanover Insurance Company (“Hanover”) and Citizens Insurance Company of America (“Citizens”), our principal property and casualty companies. Our results of operations also include the accounts of Allmerica Financial Life Insurance and Annuity Company (“AFLIAC”) and First Allmerica Financial Life Insurance Company (“FAFLIC”), our principal life insurance and annuity companies; and other insurance and non-insurance subsidiaries.

 

Executive Overview

 

In the first nine months of 2004, we continued to execute our strategies for improving the profitability of our personal lines business and for retaining our profitability in, and growing, our commercial lines business. During the first quarter, our A.M. Best ratings were restored to the A- level for our property and casualty companies, which we believe is important for achieving profitable commercial lines growth. In addition, we completed the process of exiting our broker/dealer operations and have focused on managing and reducing our expenses across our life insurance operations. Our statutory capital levels in both our life and property and casualty insurance businesses also improved.

 

During the first nine months of 2004, our segment earnings in the property and casualty business improved compared to the first nine months of the prior year, as we benefited from net premium rate increases across our principal product lines, and lower loss frequency and favorable development of prior years’ loss reserves in personal lines. In addition, prior year results reflected a significant charge from an adverse arbitration decision related to a single large property claim within a voluntary insurance pool that we exited in 1996. There were no similar charges in 2004. However, the increased earnings in 2004 were partially offset by significant catastrophe losses incurred during the third quarter due to several hurricanes and we incurred adverse development of prior years’ reserves in our commercial lines business. Expenses also increased as we continued to invest in personnel, product and technology initiatives and growth initiatives. Segment earnings in our life insurance business were unfavorably impacted by lower equity market returns, which resulted in higher amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs, as well as losses on our guaranteed minimum death benefit (“GMDB”) hedging program and increased GMDB expenses due to the application of SOP 03-1, Accounting and Reporting by Insurance Enterprises for Certain Nontraditional Long-Duration Contracts and for Separate Accounts (“SOP 03-1”).

 

Description of Operating Segments

 

Our business includes financial products and services in two major areas: Property and Casualty and Life Companies. Within these broad areas, we conduct business principally in four operating segments. These segments are Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, Other Property and Casualty, and Life Companies. We present the separate financial information of each segment consistent with the manner in which our chief operating decision maker evaluates results in deciding how to allocate resources and in assessing performance. A summary of our reportable segments and changes in our reportable segments from December 31, 2003 is included below.

 

The Property and Casualty group manages its operations principally through three segments based upon product and identified as Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Other Property and Casualty. Personal Lines includes such property and casualty coverages as personal automobile, homeowners and other personal policies, while Commercial Lines includes such property and casualty coverages as workers’ compensation, commercial automobile, commercial multiple peril and other commercial policies. The Other Property and Casualty segment consists of voluntary pools business which we have not actively participated in since 1995, Amgro, Inc. (“Amgro”), our premium financing business, and Opus Investment Management, Inc. (“Opus”), which markets investment management services to institutions, pension funds and other organizations. Prior to 2004, the operating results of Amgro and Opus were included in our former Asset Management segment. In addition, during 2004, we allocated corporate overhead costs that were previously reported in our former Corporate segment to the four operating segments, including the three segments in the Property and Casualty group. All prior periods presented have been restated to reflect the current organization.

 

23


Table of Contents

The Life Companies segment consists of the former Allmerica Financial Services segment (“AFS”), our guaranteed investment contract (“GIC”) business (formerly a part of the Asset Management segment), and our discontinued group life and health business (the former Corporate Risk Management Services segment). Our Life Companies segment manages a block of existing variable annuity, variable universal life and traditional life insurance products, GICs and certain group retirement products.

 

During 2003, we managed this existing life insurance business and operated an independent broker/dealer business, which distributed third party investment and insurance products. In the fourth quarter of 2003, we announced the cessation of the retail services of our independent broker/dealer, VeraVest Investments, Inc. (“VeraVest”). Also, a portion of corporate overhead costs previously included in our Corporate segment is allocated to the Life Companies segment. All prior periods presented have been restated to reflect the current organization.

 

We report interest expense related to our corporate debt separately from the earnings of our operating segments. Corporate debt consists of our junior subordinated debentures and our senior debentures.

 

Results of Operations

 

Our consolidated net income includes the results of our four operating segments and our interest expense on corporate debt, which we evaluate on a pre-tax basis. In addition, segment income is adjusted for certain items which we believe are not indicative of our core operations. The income of our segments excludes items such as federal income taxes and net realized investment gains and losses, including net gains or losses on certain derivative instruments, because fluctuations in these gains and losses are determined by interest rates, financial markets and the timing of sales. Also, segment income excludes net gains and losses on disposals of businesses, discontinued operations, restructuring costs, extraordinary items, the cumulative effect of accounting changes and certain other items. Although the items excluded from segment income may be significant components in understanding and assessing our financial performance, we believe segment income enhances an investor’s understanding of our results of operations by highlighting net income attributable to the normal operations of the business. However, segment income should not be construed as a substitute for net income determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”).

 

Our consolidated net income for the third quarter of 2004 was $17.7 million, compared to $11.4 million for the same period in 2003. The increase of $6.3 million, or 55.3%, resulted primarily from a $3.9 million improvement in segment income and a $4.5 million reduction in net realized investment losses, partially offset by a $4.0 million decrease in the federal income tax benefit on segment income.

 

Consolidated net income for the first nine months of 2004 decreased $10.7 million, or 14.7%, to net income of $62.2 million, compared to $72.9 million for the first nine months of 2003. The decrease is primarily attributable to an after tax charge of $57.2 million related to the implementation of SOP 03-1. Also contributing to the decrease in net income were increased federal income taxes on segment income of $12.7 million and a $0.2 million loss in 2004 from retirement of funding agreements and trust instruments supported by funding obligations compared to a $3.7 million gain in the same period for 2003. Partially offsetting these decreases were a $32.5 million improvement in segment income and a $30.3 million favorable federal income tax settlement received in the second quarter of 2004.

 

24


Table of Contents

The following table reflects segment income and a reconciliation to consolidated net income.

 

     Quarter Ended
September 30,


    Nine Months Ended
September 30,


 

(In millions)


   2004

    2003

    2004

    2003

 

Segment income before federal income taxes:

                                

Property and Casualty

                                

Personal Lines

   $ 42.1     $ 11.5     $ 88.7     $ 9.0  

Commercial Lines

     (7.1 )     18.1       32.0       92.7  

Other Property and Casualty

     1.7       2.6       3.7       (18.0 )
    


 


 


 


Total Property and Casualty

     36.7       32.2       124.4       83.7  

Life Companies

     (8.7 )     (8.1 )     (5.2 )     3.0  

Interest expense on corporate debt

     (10.0 )     (10.0 )     (29.9 )     (29.9 )
    


 


 


 


Total segment income before federal income taxes

     18.0       14.1       89.3       56.8  
    


 


 


 


Federal income tax benefit (expense) on segment income

     1.6       5.6       (7.4 )     5.3  

Federal income tax settlement

     —         —         30.3       —    

Net realized investment (losses) gains, net of taxes and deferred acquisition cost amortization

     (3.7 )     (8.2 )     10.9       6.4  

Net gains on derivative instruments, net of taxes

     0.1       0.3       0.3       0.9  

Gain (loss) from retirement of funding agreements and trust instruments supported by funding obligations, net of taxes

     1.9       0.4       (0.2 )     3.7  

Restructuring costs, net of taxes

     (0.2 )     (0.8 )     (3.8 )     (3.8 )

Income from sale of universal life business, net of taxes

     —         —         —         3.6  
    


 


 


 


Income before cumulative effect of change in accounting principle

     17.7       11.4       119.4       72.9  

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, net of taxes

     —         —         (57.2 )     —    
    


 


 


 


Net income

   $ 17.7     $ 11.4     $ 62.2     $ 72.9  
    


 


 


 


 

Segment Income

 

Quarter Ended September 30, 2004 Compared to Quarter Ended September 30, 2003

 

Our segment income before federal income taxes increased $3.9 million, or 27.7%, to $18.0 million in the third quarter of 2004. The increase was attributable to a $4.5 million improvement in Property and Casualty segment income, partially offset by a $0.6 million increase in Life Companies segment loss.

 

During the third quarter of 2004, segment income from our Property and Casualty group increased $4.5 million despite an increase in catastrophe losses of $44.8 million primarily due to several hurricanes in the Southeast. The increase in segment income is attributed to an estimated $40 million improvement in current accident year underwriting results due to net premium rate increases in all principal product lines and a decrease in non-catastrophe claims activity. In addition, segment income was favorably affected by a $16.8 million improvement in development of prior years’ loss and loss adjustment expense (“LAE”) reserves. These favorable items were partially offset by higher underwriting expenses of $7.7 million.

 

Life Companies segment results decreased $0.6 million, to a loss of $8.7 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2004, compared to a loss of $8.1 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2003. The decrease primarily resulted from a $12.6 million increase in deferred acquisition cost (“DAC”) amortization, principally due to unfavorable equity market returns. Also contributing to the Life Companies segment loss was the combined effect of increased GMDB expenses due to the application of SOP 03-1, derivatives gains related to the GMDB hedge program and related DAC amortization, of a net $6.2 million. Life Companies segment results also decreased $4.6 million due to lower interest margins on GICs, primarily from higher swap contract expenses. These decreases were partially offset by $12.3 million of net expense savings resulting from the cessation of the retail sales operations of our broker/dealer, VeraVest, and ongoing expense management efforts. In addition, $11.1 million of VeraVest asset impairments were recorded in 2003.

 

25


Table of Contents

Our federal income tax benefit on segment income was $1.6 million for the third quarter of 2004 compared to $5.6 million for the third quarter of 2003. The change in federal income tax expense is primarily the result of a lower dividends received deduction on our variable products in the current year.

 

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004 Compared to Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003

 

Our segment income before federal income taxes increased $32.5 million, or 57.2%, to $89.3 million in the first nine months of 2004, compared to $56.8 million in the first nine months of 2003. This increase was attributable to a $40.7 million increase in Property and Casualty segment income, offset by a decrease in Life Companies segment income of $8.2 million.

 

During the first nine months of 2003, segment income from our Property and Casualty group reflected a charge of $21.9 million resulting from an adverse arbitration decision related to a single large property claim within a voluntary pool that we exited in 1996. Excluding this charge, Property and Casualty segment income increased $18.8 million, despite an increase in catastrophe losses of $48.6 million as a result of several hurricanes. The increase in segment income is attributed to an estimated $95 million of improved current accident year underwriting results due to net premium rate increases in all principal product lines and a decrease in current year non-catastrophe claims activity. In addition, segment income was favorably affected by a $14.4 million improvement in development of prior years’ loss and LAE reserves. These favorable items were partially offset by increased underwriting expenses of $36.1 million.

 

Life Companies segment income decreased $8.2 million, to a loss of $5.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004, from income of $3.0 million for the same period in 2003. The decrease was primarily attributable to an increase in DAC amortization of $24.4 million, primarily resulting from changes in the equity market and, to a lesser extent, redemption patterns. As discussed in “Life Companies – Annuity Account Values and Redemptions”, redemption patterns continue to be unfavorable because of a higher proportion of total surrenders from our former agency distribution channel, which has a lower average age of annuitant as compared to the other channels. Also contributing to the decrease in segment income was the combined effect of increased GMDB expenses required under SOP 03-1, derivatives losses related to the GMDB hedge program and related DAC amortization of a net $11.4 million. Segment results also deteriorated $8.5 million due to lower GIC interest margins, primarily from higher swap contract expenses. These decreases were partially offset by $32.1 million of net expense savings resulting from the cessation of the retail sales operations of VeraVest and ongoing expense management efforts, as well as the absence, in 2004, of the aforementioned $11.1 million of VeraVest asset impairments.

 

Our federal income tax expense on segment income was $7.4 million for the first nine months of 2004 compared to a benefit of $5.3 million for the same period of 2003. The increase in tax expense is primarily the result of higher underwriting income, lower dividends received deduction on our variable products and lower tax-exempt interest in the current year.

 

Other Items

 

In the first nine months of 2004, we recorded income of $30.3 million relating to a federal income tax settlement for prior years (see Income Taxes).

 

Net realized investment losses, net of taxes and deferred acquisition cost amortization were $3.7 million in the third quarter of 2004, primarily due to losses on the termination of certain derivative instruments and from other-than-temporary impairments of fixed maturities, partially offset by gains from the sale of fixed maturities. During the third quarter of 2003, net realized investment losses, net of taxes and deferred acquisition cost amortization of $8.2 million primarily reflected losses recognized from impairments of fixed maturities and equity securities. Net realized investment gains, net of taxes and deferred acquisition cost amortization were $10.9 million and $6.4 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively. The net realized investment gains in both 2004 and 2003 primarily reflect net gains from the sales of fixed maturities and equity securities, partially offset by impairments of fixed maturities and equity securities, as well as losses from the termination of certain derivative instruments.

 

In the third quarters of 2003 and 2004, we retired $107.0 million and $13.2 million, respectively, of long-term funding agreement obligations, resulting in gains, net of taxes, of $1.9 and $0.4 million, respectively. In the first nine months of 2004 and 2003, we retired $183.6 million and $78.8 million of long-term funding agreement obligations, respectively, resulting in a loss of $0.2 million and a gain $3.7 million, net of taxes, respectively.

 

26


Table of Contents

In the fourth quarter of 2003, we announced the cessation of our retail operations related to our broker/dealer in our Life Companies segment. During 2002, we began restructuring efforts in our Life Companies segment after we terminated new sales of our proprietary life insurance and annuity products. We recognized $0.2 million and $0.8 million, net of taxes, in the third quarters of 2004 and 2003, respectively, and we recognized $3.8 million of restructuring costs, net of taxes, in the first nine months of both 2004 and 2003. These charges were due to severance and other costs related to these actions.

 

During the first nine months of 2003, we recognized incremental income of $3.6 million, net of taxes, from the settlement of post-closing items related to the sale of our universal life business in December 2002, through a 100% coinsurance agreement.

 

During the first quarter of 2004, we adopted SOP 03-1, which resulted in a charge of $57.2 million, net of taxes. The charge results from new requirements for recognizing guaranteed minimum death benefit and guaranteed minimum income reserves based on various assumptions, including estimates of future market returns and expected contract persistency.

 

Net income includes the following items (net of taxes) by segment:

 

     Quarter Ended September 30, 2004

 
     Property and Casualty

            

(In millions)


   Personal
Lines


    Commercial
Lines


    Other
Property
and
Casualty (2)


   Life
Companies


    Total

 

Net realized investment gains (losses), net of taxes and deferred acquisition cost amortization (1)

   $ 0.6     $ 0.2     $ 0.1    $ (4.6 )   $ (3.7 )

Net gains on derivative instruments

     —         —         —        0.1       0.1  

Gain from retirement of funding agreements and trust instruments supported by funding obligations

     —         —         —        1.9       1.9  

Restructuring costs

     —         —         —        (0.2 )     (0.2 )
     Quarter Ended September 30, 2003

 
     Property and Casualty

            
     Personal
Lines


    Commercial
Lines


    Other
Property
and
Casualty (2)


   Life
Companies


    Total

 

Net realized investment (losses) gains, net of taxes and deferred acquisition cost amortization (1)

   $ (2.2 )   $ (2.2 )   $ 0.1    $ (3.9 )   $ (8.2 )

Net gains on derivative instruments

     —         —         —        0.3       0.3  

Gain from retirement of funding agreements and trust instruments supported by funding obligations

     —         —         —        0.4       0.4  

Restructuring costs

     —         —         —        (0.8 )     (0.8 )

 

27


Table of Contents
     Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004

 
     Property and Casualty

             

(In millions)


   Personal
Lines


   Commercial
Lines


   Other
Property
and
Casualty (2)


    Life
Companies


    Total

 

Federal income tax settlement

   $ —      $ —      $ —       $ 30.3     $ 30.3  

Net realized investment gains (losses), net of taxes and deferred acquisition cost amortization (1)

     4.4      4.1      2.9       (0.5 )     10.9  

Net gains on derivative instruments

     —        —        —         0.3       0.3  

Loss from retirement of funding agreements and trust instruments supported by funding obligations

     —        —        —         (0.2 )     (0.2 )

Restructuring costs

     —        —        —         (3.8 )     (3.8 )

Cumulative effect of change in accounting principle

     —        —        —         (57.2 )     (57.2 )
     Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003

 
     Property and Casualty

             
     Personal
Lines


   Commercial
Lines


   Other
Property
and
Casualty (2)


    Life
Companies


    Total

 

Net realized investment gains (losses), net of taxes and deferred acquisition cost amortization (1)

   $ 2.7    $ 2.7    $ (3.1 )   $ 4.1     $ 6.4  

Net gains on derivative instruments

     —        —        —         0.9       0.9  

Gain from retirement of funding agreements and trust instruments supported by funding obligations

     —        —        —         3.7       3.7  

Restructuring costs

     —        0.2      —         (4.0 )     (3.8 )

Income from sale of universal life business

     —        —        —         3.6       3.6  

 

(1) We manage investment assets for our property and casualty business based on the requirements of the entire property and casualty group. We allocate the investment income, expenses and realized gains (losses) to our Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Other Property and Casualty segments based on actuarial information related to the underlying business.

 

(2) Includes corporate eliminations.

 

28


Table of Contents

Segment Results

 

The following is our discussion and analysis of the results of operations by business segment. The segment results are presented before taxes and minority interest and other items which we believe are not indicative of overall operating trends, including realized gains and losses.

 

Property and Casualty

 

The following table summarizes the results of operations for the Property and Casualty group.

 

     Quarter Ended
September 30,


  

Nine Months Ended

September 30,


(In millions)


   2004

   2003

   2004

   2003

Segment revenues

                           

Net premiums written

   $ 581.6    $ 588.7    $ 1,723.0    $ 1,710.2
    

  

  

  

Net premiums earned

   $ 563.7    $ 561.2    $ 1,686.2    $ 1,677.2

Net investment income

     48.0      45.3      146.0      138.2

Other income

     13.0      12.9      39.4      42.5
    

  

  

  

Total segment revenues

     624.7      619.4      1,871.6      1,857.9
    

  

  

  

Losses and operating expenses

                           

Losses and loss adjustment expense

     404.4      411.3      1,188.6      1,251.7

Policy acquisition expenses

     118.5      113.7      353.1      338.6

Other operating expenses

     65.1      62.2      205.5      183.9
    

  

  

  

Total losses and operating expenses

     588.0      587.2      1,747.2      1,774.2
    

  

  

  

Segment income

   $ 36.7    $ 32.2    $ 124.4    $ 83.7
    

  

  

  

 

Quarter Ended September 30, 2004 Compared to Quarter Ended September 30, 2003

 

Segment income from our Property and Casualty group increased $4.5 million, or 14.0%, to $36.7 million in the third quarter of 2004. In the third quarter of 2004, we experienced significant catastrophe losses due to several hurricanes in the Southeast. As a result, catastrophe losses increased $44.8 million, to $61.7 million in the third quarter of 2004 from $16.9 million in the third quarter of 2003. Excluding the increase in catastrophe losses, our property and casualty segment income increased $49.3 million in the third quarter of 2004 as compared to the same period in 2003. The increase in segment income is primarily attributable to an estimated $40 million of improved current accident year underwriting results due to net premium rate increases across all principal product lines and a decrease in non-catastrophe claim activity. Net premium rate increases reflect base rate actions, discretionary pricing adjustments, inflation and changes in exposure, net of the estimated impact of loss inflation and policy acquisition costs. We believe that the property and casualty industry is experiencing competitive pressure with respect to premium rates, both in personal and commercial lines, which could have an adverse impact on premium rates going forward. In addition, the increase in segment income reflects a $16.8 million improvement from prior years’ loss and LAE reserve development, to $1.5 million of favorable development in the third quarter of 2004 from $15.3 million of adverse development for the same period in 2003. Net investment income increased $2.7 million. These favorable items were partially offset by an increase of $7.7 million in underwriting expenses primarily due to higher contingent commissions related to improved underwriting results, technology and employee-related expenses.

 

We report underwriting results using statutory accounting principles, which are prescribed by state insurance regulators. The primary difference between statutory accounting principles and generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) is the deferral of certain underwriting costs under GAAP that are amortized over the life of the policy. Under statutory accounting principles, these costs are recognized when incurred or paid. We review the operations of this business based upon statutory results. We manage investment assets for our property and casualty business based on the requirements of the entire Property and Casualty group. We allocate net investment income to our Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Other Property and Casualty segments based on actuarial information related to the underlying business.

 

29


Table of Contents

We manage this segment’s operations through two lines of business based upon product offerings: Personal Lines and Commercial Lines. Personal Lines include personal automobile, homeowners and other personal policies. Commercial Lines include workers’ compensation, commercial automobile, commercial multiple peril and other commercial policies.

 

The following table summarizes statutory net premiums written and statutory loss and combined ratios for the Personal Lines and Commercial Lines segments. These items are not meaningful for our Other Property and Casualty segment.

 

     Quarter Ended September 30,

     2004

   2003

(In millions, except ratios)


   Statutory
Net
Premiums
Written


   Statutory
Loss
Ratios (1)


   Statutory
Net
Premiums
Written


   Statutory
Loss
Ratios (1)


Personal Lines:

                       

Personal automobile

   $ 263.7    59.0    $ 285.7    70.1

Homeowners

     119.9    37.7      116.7    51.0

Other personal

     11.0    51.0      12.2    47.7
    

       

    

Total personal

     394.6    53.0      414.6    64.7
    

       

    

Commercial Lines:

                       

Workers’ compensation

     30.4    85.8      29.0    83.6

Commercial automobile

     47.1    46.2      44.0    42.8

Commercial multiple peril

     83.2    38.3      79.5    51.2

Other commercial

     26.3    30.2      22.3    67.3
    

       

    

Total commercial

     187.0    47.4      174.8    56.7
    

       

    

Total

   $ 581.6    51.4    $ 589.4    62.4
    

       

    

Statutory combined ratio (2):

                       

Personal lines

     95.8           102.9     

Commercial lines

     117.0           101.6     

Total

     102.9           102.4     

 

(1) Statutory loss ratio is a common industry measurement of the results of property and casualty insurance underwriting. This ratio reflects incurred claims compared to premiums earned. Our statutory loss ratios exclude catastrophe losses.

 

(2) Statutory combined ratio is a common industry measurement of the results of property and casualty insurance underwriting. This ratio is the sum of the ratio of incurred claims and claim expenses to premiums earned and the ratio of underwriting expenses incurred to premiums written. Federal income taxes, net investment income and other non-underwriting expenses are not reflected in the statutory combined ratio. Our statutory combined ratios include catastrophe losses, which represented 6.3%, 20.6% and 10.9% of our Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Total statutory combined ratios, respectively, in the third quarter of 2004, and 3.2%, 2.5% and 3.0% of our Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Total statutory combined ratios, respectively, in the third quarter of 2003.

 

30


Table of Contents

The following table summarizes statutory underwriting results for the Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Other Property and Casualty segments and reconciles it to GAAP segment income.

 

     Quarter Ended September 30, 2004

    Quarter Ended September 30, 2003

 
    

Personal

Lines


    Commercial
Lines


    Other
Property
and
Casualty


    Total

    Personal
Lines


    Commercial
Lines


    Other
Property
and
Casualty


    Total

 

Statutory underwriting profit (loss), excluding prior year reserve development and catastrophes

   $ 29.2     $ 10.5     $ (1.3 )   $ 38.4     $ (0.9 )   $ 11.5     $ (0.2 )   $ 10.4  

Prior year reserve development favorable (unfavorable)

     7.0       (5.5 )     —         1.5       (6.2 )     (9.1 )     —         (15.3 )

Pre-tax catastrophe losses

     (24.0 )     (37.7 )     —         (61.7 )     (12.5 )     (4.4 )     —         (16.9 )
    


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


Statutory underwriting profit (loss)

     12.2       (32.7 )     (1.3 )     (21.8 )     (19.6 )     (2.0 )     (0.2 )     (21.8 )

Net investment income

     23.7       23.8       0.5       48.0       22.3       22.6       0.4       45.3  

Fee income

     —         —         6.1       6.1       —         —         6.7       6.7  

Other

     6.2       1.8       (3.6 )     4.4       8.8       (2.5 )     (4.3 )     2.0  
    


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


Segment income (loss)

   $ 42.1     $ (7.1 )   $ 1.7     $ 36.7     $ 11.5     $ 18.1     $ 2.6     $ 32.2  
    


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 

Personal Lines

 

Personal lines’ net premiums written decreased $20.0 million, or 4.8%, to $394.6 million for the third quarter of 2004. This was primarily the result of a decrease of $22.0 million, or 7.7%, in the personal automobile line, partially offset by an increase of $3.2 million, or 2.7%, in the homeowners line. The decrease in the personal automobile line is primarily attributable to a 10.0% decline in policies in force since the third quarter of 2003. A substantial portion of the decline was the result of our strategies to enhance margins, and in some cases, reduce exposures in certain states where the regulatory structure is challenging, particularly Massachusetts and New Jersey, where we conduct a significant amount of business. Additionally, in 2003, we exited certain sponsored market accounts (employer and affinity groups) that were unprofitable and not well aligned with our strategy. However, policies in force also declined in other markets, most significantly in Michigan where policies in force decreased 5.2% in the third quarter of 2004 as compared to the comparable quarter in 2003. We attribute this decline to the introduction of a new product that enhances our ability to segment risks, certain service issues, which management is currently addressing, and rate increases on specific classes of business. Partially offsetting the decline in policies in force is an 8.1% net premium rate increase in the personal automobile line. Net premium rate increases were obtained in substantially all states. The increase in the homeowners line resulted primarily from an 11.0% net premium rate increase in Michigan and a 10.0% net premium rate increase in New York, partially offset by a decrease in overall policies in force of 6.5% since the third quarter of 2003.

 

Personal lines’ segment income increased $30.6 million to $42.1 million for the third quarter of 2004. The increase in segment income was primarily attributable to an estimated $33 million improvement in current accident year underwriting results. The improved underwriting results are attributable to the favorable impact of net premium rate increases described above. Also, a decrease in non-catastrophe claims activity due to lower frequency in both the personal automobile and homeowners lines and improved involuntary pool results, primarily with respect to the Massachusetts Commonwealth Reinsurers (“CAR”) pool favorably impacted segment income. We believe our improved claims frequency experience is consistent with recent industry trends. Development on prior years’ loss and loss adjustment expense reserves improved $13.2 million, to $7.0 million of favorable development for the third quarter of 2004, from $6.2 million of adverse development for the same period in 2003. These favorable items were partially offset by an increase in catastrophe losses of $11.5 million, to $24.0 million for the third quarter of 2004, compared to $12.5 million for the same period in 2003, due to several hurricanes in the Southeast. Segment income was also negatively affected by an increase of $5.0 million in underwriting expenses for the third quarter of 2004, resulting primarily from higher contingent commissions related to improved underwriting results, and to a lesser extent, technology and employee-related expenses.

 

31


Table of Contents

Commercial Lines

 

Commercial lines’ net premiums written increased $12.2 million, or 7.0%, to $187.0 million for the third quarter of 2004, primarily due to an estimated $10 million of net premium rate increases in all commercial lines since September 30, 2003. The effect of these rate increases was partially offset by a 1.7% decline in policies in force. Policies in force decreased 2.3%, 1.8%, 1.3% and 0.5% in the other commercial, commercial automobile, commercial multiple peril, and workers’ compensation lines, respectively, since September 30, 2003.

 

Commercial lines’ segment income decreased $25.2 million to a loss of $7.1 million in the third quarter of 2004. The decrease in segment income was primarily attributable to an increase in catastrophe losses of $33.3 million, to $37.7 million for the third quarter of 2004, compared to $4.4 million for the same period in 2003. Catastrophe losses were unusually high due to several hurricanes in the Southeast. Also contributing to the decrease in segment income is the increase of approximately $5 million in underwriting expenses, during the third quarter of 2004 compared to the same period in 2003, which resulted primarily from higher contingent commissions, and to a lesser extent, technology and employee-related expenses. These unfavorable items were partially offset by an estimated $11 million in improved current accident year underwriting results primarily due to the net premium rate increases described above and a $3.6 million reduction in adverse development on prior years’ loss and LAE reserves in 2004.

 

Other Property and Casualty

 

Segment results of the Other Property and Casualty segment decreased $0.9 million to income of $1.7 million in third quarter of 2004, from $2.6 million in the same period of 2003.

 

Investment Results

 

Net investment income increased $2.7 million, or 6.0%, to $48.0 million for the quarter ended September 30, 2004. The increase in net investment income reflects an increase in average invested assets, partially offset by a reduction in average pre-tax yields on fixed maturities. Average pre-tax yields on fixed maturities decreased to 5.6% for the third quarter of 2004, compared to 6.1% for the third quarter of 2003 due to the lower prevailing fixed maturity investment rates. We expect our investment results will continue to be negatively affected by the lower prevailing fixed maturity investment rates.

 

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004 Compared to Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003

 

Property and Casualty’s segment income increased $40.7 million, or 48.6%, to $124.4 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004. During the first nine months of 2004 catastrophe losses were $97.9 million, compared to $49.3 million for the same period in 2003. Catastrophe losses were unusually high in 2004 due to several hurricanes in the Southeast. Also, during the first nine months of 2003 we recorded a charge of $21.9 million resulting from an adverse arbitration decision related to a single large property claim within a voluntary insurance pool. We exited this pool in 1996. Excluding the impact of the increase in catastrophe losses and this charge, segment income increased $67.4 million in the nine months ended September 30, 2004 as compared to the same period in 2003. The increase in segment income is primarily attributable to an estimated $95 million of improved current accident year underwriting results due to net premium rate increases across all principal product lines and a decrease in non-catastrophe claims activity. Additionally, favorable development on prior years’ loss and loss adjustment expense reserves increased $14.4 million, to $20.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004, compared to $5.8 million of favorable development for the same period in 2003. These favorable items were partially offset by an increase in underwriting expenses of $36.1 million primarily due to higher contingent commissions related to improved underwriting results, and to a lesser extent, technology and employee-related expenses.

 

32


Table of Contents

The following table summarizes statutory net premiums written and statutory loss and combined ratios for the Personal Lines and Commercial Lines segments. These items are not meaningful for our Other Property and Casualty segment.

 

     Nine Months Ended September 30,

     2004

   2003

(In millions, except ratios)


   Statutory
Net
Premiums
Written


   Statutory
Loss Ratios (1)


   Statutory
Net
Premiums
Written


   Statutory
Loss Ratios (1)


Personal Lines:

                       

Personal automobile

   $ 802.2    63.7    $ 841.8    73.1

Homeowners

     312.0    44.2      295.1    53.9

Other personal

     31.7    53.1      33.0    35.6
    

       

    

Total personal

     1,145.9    58.2      1,169.9    67.3
    

       

    

Commercial Lines:

                       

Workers’ compensation

     99.6    79.2      98.1    74.8

Commercial automobile

     145.0    48.3      133.0    49.6

Commercial multiple peril

     256.1    40.6      241.8    46.8

Other commercial

     76.8    45.6      67.5    33.9
    

       

    

Total commercial

     577.5    49.9      540.4    51.0
    

       

    

Total

   $ 1,723.4    55.7    $ 1,710.3    63.5
    

       

    

Statutory combined ratio (2):

                       

Personal lines

     99.0           105.7     

Commercial lines

     105.8           95.7     

Total

     101.6           103.9     

(1) Statutory loss ratio is a common industry measurement of the results of property and casualty insurance underwriting. This ratio reflects incurred claims compared to premiums earned. Our statutory loss ratios exclude catastrophe losses.

 

(2) Statutory combined ratio is a common industry measurement of the results of property and casualty insurance underwriting. This ratio is the sum of the ratio of incurred claims and claim expenses to premiums earned and the ratio of underwriting expenses incurred to premiums written. Federal income taxes, net investment income and other non-underwriting expenses are not reflected in the statutory combined ratio. Our statutory combined ratios include catastrophe losses, which represented 4.4%, 8.7% and 5.8% of our Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Total statutory combined ratios, respectively, in the first nine months of 2004, and 2.7%, 3.4% and 2.9% of our Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Total statutory combined ratios, respectively, in the first nine months of 2003.

 

33


Table of Contents

The following table summarizes statutory underwriting results for the Personal Lines, Commercial Lines and Other Property and Casualty segments and reconciles it to GAAP segment income.

 

     Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004

    Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003

 
     Personal
Lines


    Commercial
Lines


    Other
Property
and
Casualty


    Total

    Personal
Lines


    Commercial
Lines


    Other
Property
and
Casualty


    Total

 

Statutory underwriting profit (loss), excluding prior year reserve development and catastrophes

   $ 44.4     $ (2.2 )   $ (3.4 )   $ 38.8     $ (25.0 )   $ 16.6     $ (1.8 )   $ (10.2 )

Prior year reserve development favorable (unfavorable)

     16.0       4.2       —         20.2       (18.9 )     25.8       (23.0 )     (16.1 )

Pre-tax catastrophe losses

     (50.5 )     (47.4 )     —         (97.9 )     (31.0 )     (18.3 )     —         (49.3 )
    


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


Statutory underwriting profit (loss)

     9.9       (45.4 )     (3.4 )     (38.9 )     (74.9 )     24.1       (24.8 )     (75.6 )

Net investment income

     72.0       72.4       1.6       146.0       67.9       68.8       1.5       138.2  

Fee income

     —         —         18.8       18.8       —         —         19.8       19.8  

Other

     6.8       5.0       (13.3 )     (1.5 )     16.0       (0.2 )     (14.5 )     1.3  
    


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


Segment income (loss)

   $ 88.7     $ 32.0     $ 3.7     $ 124.4     $ 9.0     $ 92.7     $ (18.0 )   $ 83.7  
    


 


 


 


 


 


 


 


 

Personal Lines

 

Personal lines’ net premiums written decreased $24.0 million, or 2.1%, to $1.1 billion for the nine months ended September 30, 2004. This was primarily the result of a decrease of $39.6 million, or 4.7%, in the personal automobile line, partially offset by an increase of $16.9 million, or 5.7%, in the homeowners line. The decrease in the personal automobile line is primarily due to the decline in policies in force since September 30, 2003, as described in the quarterly discussion above. Partially offsetting this decrease was an 8.1% net premium rate increase in the personal automobile line. Net premium rate increases were obtained in substantially all states. The increase in the homeowners line resulted primarily from an 11.0% net premium rate increase in Michigan and a 10.0% net premium rate increase in New York, partially offset by a decrease in overall policies in force of 8.2% since September 30, 2003.

 

Personal lines’ segment income increased $79.7 million to $88.7 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004. The improvement in segment income is primarily attributable to an estimated $78 million improvement in current accident year underwriting results. The improved underwriting results are attributable to the favorable effect of net premium rate increases as discussed above. Also, a decrease in non-catastrophe claims activity due to lower frequency in both the personal automobile and homeowners lines favorably impacted segment income. We believe our improved non-catastrophe claims frequency experience is consistent with recent industry trends. In addition, development on prior years’ loss and LAE reserves improved $34.9 million, to $16.0 million of favorable development for the nine months ended September 30, 2004, from $18.9 million of adverse development for the same period in 2003. These favorable items were partially offset by an increase in catastrophe losses of $19.5 million, to $50.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004, compared to $31.0 million for the same period in 2003. Additionally, underwriting expenses increased $18.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 as compared to the same period in 2003, primarily due to higher contingent commissions related to improved underwriting results, and to a lesser extent, technology and employee-related expenses.

 

Commercial Lines

 

Commercial lines’ net premiums written increased $37.1 million, or 6.9%, to $577.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004, primarily due to an estimated $28 million of net premium rate increases in all of the commercial lines since September 30, 2003. Partially offsetting these rate increases, policies in force decreased 1.7% overall in commercial lines since September 30, 2003.

 

34


Table of Contents

Commercial lines’ segment income decreased $60.7 million to $32.0 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004. The change in segment income is primarily attributable to an increase in catastrophe losses of $29.1 million, to $47.4 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004, compared to $18.3 million for the same period in 2003. Also contributing to the decline in segment income is an increase of an estimated $23 million in underwriting expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2004, as compared to the same period in 2003. Underwriting expenses increased primarily due to higher contingent commissions, and to a lesser extent, technology and employee–related expenses. Additionally, favorable development on prior years’ loss and LAE reserves decreased $21.6 million, to $4.2 million of favorable development for the nine months ended September 30, 2004, from $25.8 million of favorable development for the same period in 2003. Also contributing to the decrease in segment income was a $7.6 million increase in loss adjustment expenses. Partially offsetting these unfavorable items was an estimated $18 million of improved current accident year underwriting results primarily due to net premium rate increases during the nine months ended September 30, 2004.

 

Other Property and Casualty

 

Segment results of the Other Property and Casualty segment increased $21.7 million to income of $3.7 million in the nine months ended September 30, 2004, from a loss of $18.0 million in the same period of 2003. Prior year results included a charge of $21.9 million resulting from an adverse arbitration decision related to a single large property claim within a voluntary insurance pool. We exited this pool in 1996.

 

Investment Results

 

Net investment income increased $7.8 million, or 5.6%, to $146.0 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004. The increase in net investment income reflects an increase in average invested assets, partially offset by a reduction in average pre-tax yields on fixed maturities. Average pre-tax yields on fixed maturities decreased to 5.7% for the first nine months of 2004, compared to 6.1% for the first nine months of 2003 due to the lower prevailing fixed maturity investment rates and a shift to higher credit quality fixed maturity investments.

 

Overview of Loss Reserve Estimation Process

 

We maintain reserves for our property and casualty products to provide for our ultimate liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses with respect to reported and unreported claims incurred as of the end of each accounting period. These reserves are estimates, involving actuarial projections at a given point in time, of what we expect the ultimate settlement and administration of claims will cost based on facts and circumstances then known, estimates of future trends in claim severity and frequency, judicial theories of liability and policy coverage, and other factors.

 

We determine the amount of loss and LAE reserves based on a very complex estimation process that uses information obtained from both company specific and industry data, as well as general economic information. The estimation process is judgmental, and requires us to continuously monitor and evaluate the life cycle of claims on type-of-business and nature-of-claim bases. Using data obtained from this monitoring and assumptions about emerging trends, we develop information about the size of ultimate claims based on our historical experience and other available market information. The most significant assumptions, which vary by line of business, that we use in the estimation process include determining the trend in loss costs, the expected consistency in the frequency and severity of claims incurred but not yet reported to prior year claims, changes in the timing of the reporting of losses from the loss date to the notification date and the expected costs to settle unpaid claims. Because the amount of the loss and LAE reserves are sensitive to our assumptions, we do not completely rely on only one estimate to determine our loss and LAE reserves. We develop several estimates using generally recognized actuarial projection methodologies that result in a range of possible loss and LAE reserve outcomes and we adopt the best estimate within that range. We may determine that the low or high end estimate calculated by the method does not represent a reasonable estimate because certain projection methodologies may not result in a reasonable reserve estimate for a particular line of business due to certain underlying data or assumptions. When trends emerge that we believe affect the future settlement of claims, we adjust our reserves accordingly.

 

Management’s Review of Judgments and Key Assumptions

 

There is greater inherent uncertainty in estimating insurance reserves for certain types of property and casualty insurance lines, particularly workers’ compensation and other liability lines, where a longer period of time may elapse before a definitive determination of ultimate liability and losses may be made. In addition, the technological, judicial, regulatory and political climates involving these types of claims change regularly. We maintain a practice of significantly limiting the issuance of long-tailed other liability policies, including directors and officers (“D&O”) liability, errors and omissions (“E&O”) liability and medical malpractice liability. The industry has experienced recent adverse loss trends in these lines of business.

 

35


Table of Contents

We regularly update our reserve estimates as new information becomes available and further events occur which may impact the resolution of unsettled claims. Reserve adjustments are reflected in results of operations as adjustments to losses and LAE. Often these adjustments are recognized in periods subsequent to the period in which the underlying policy was written and loss event occurred. These types of subsequent adjustments are described as “prior year reserve development”. Such development can be either favorable or unfavorable to our financial results and may vary by line of business.

 

Inflation generally increases the cost of losses covered by insurance contracts. The effect of inflation varies by product. Our property and casualty insurance premiums are established before the amount of losses and LAE and the extent to which inflation may affect such expenses are known. Consequently, we attempt, in establishing rates and reserves, to anticipate the potential impact of inflation in the projection of ultimate costs. We have experienced increasing medical costs associated with personal automobile personal injury protection claims, particularly in Michigan. This increase is reflected in our reserve estimates, but continued increases could contribute to increased losses and LAE in the future.

 

We regularly review our reserving techniques, our overall reserving position and our reinsurance. Based on (i) our review of historical data, legislative enactments, judicial decisions, legal developments in impositions of damages and policy coverage, political attitudes and trends in general economic conditions, (ii) our review of per claim information, (iii) our historical loss experience and that of the industry, (iv) the relatively short-term nature of most policies written by us and (v) our internal estimates of required reserves, we believe that adequate provision has been made for loss reserves. However, establishment of appropriate reserves is an inherently uncertain process and there can be no certainty that current established reserves will prove adequate in light of subsequent actual experience. A significant change to the estimated reserves could have a material impact on our results of operations and financial position.

 

Loss Reserves By Line of Business

 

We perform actuarial reviews on certain detailed line of business coverages. These individual estimates are summarized into six broader lines of business: personal automobile, homeowners, workers’ compensation, commercial automobile, commercial multiple peril and other lines.

 

The table below provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending reserve for unpaid losses and LAE as follows:

 

     Nine Months Ended
September 30,


(In millions)


   2004

    2003

Reserve for losses and LAE, beginning of period

   $ 3,018.9     $ 2,961.7

Incurred losses and LAE, net of reinsurance recoverable:

              

Provision for insured events of current year

     1,209.6       1,233.7

(Decrease) increase in provision for insured events of prior years

     (20.2 )     16.1
    


 

Total incurred losses and LAE

     1,189.4       1,249.8
    


 

Payments, net of reinsurance recoverable:

              

Losses and LAE attributable to insured events of current year

     553.2       608.7

Losses and LAE attributable to insured events of prior years

     540.0       642.8
    


 

Total payments

     1,093.2       1,251.5
    


 

Change in reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses

     (31.8 )     28.4
    


 

Reserve for losses and LAE, end of period

   $ 3,083.3     $ 2,988.4
    


 

 

As part of an ongoing process, we have re-estimated reserves for all prior accident years and the reserves were decreased by $20.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and increased by $16.1 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2003.

 

36


Table of Contents

The table below summarizes the reserve for losses and LAE by line of business.

 

(In millions)


   September 30,
2004


   December 31,
2003


Personal automobile

   $ 1,176.1    $ 1,184.6

Homeowners and other

     232.2      192.7
    

  

Total personal

     1,408.3      1,377.3
    

  

Workers’ compensation

     633.4      623.3

Commercial automobile

     260.1      277.2

Commercial multiple peril

     582.3      549.5

Other commercial

     199.2      191.6
    

  

Total commercial

     1,675.0      1,641.6
    

  

Total reserve for losses and LAE

   $ 3,083.3    $ 3,018.9
    

  

 

Prior Year Development by Line of Business

 

When trends emerge that we believe affect the future settlement of claims, we adjust our reserves accordingly. Reserve adjustments are reflected in the Consolidated Statements of Income as adjustments to losses and loss adjustment expenses. Often, we recognize these adjustments in periods subsequent to the period in which the underlying loss event occurred. These types of subsequent adjustments are disclosed and discussed separately as “prior year reserve development”. Such development can be either favorable or unfavorable to our financial results.

 

The table below summarizes the change in provision for insured events of prior years by line of business.

 

    

Nine Months

Ended September 30,


 

(In millions)


   2004

    2003

 

(Decrease) increase in loss provision for insured events of prior years:

                

Personal automobile

   $ (10.4 )   $ 17.1  

Homeowners and other

     (3.3 )     6.7  
    


 


Total personal

     (13.7 )     23.8  
    


 


Workers’ compensation

     9.1       7.5  

Commercial automobile

     (2.4 )     (4.1 )

Commercial multiple peril

     (12.8 )     (10.8 )

Other commercial

     12.1       23.7  
    


 


Total commercial

     6.0       16.3  
    


 


(Decrease) increase in loss provision for insured events of prior years

     (7.7 )     40.1  

Decrease in LAE provision for insured events of prior years

     (12.5 )     (24.0 )
    


 


(Decrease) increase in total loss and LAE provision for insured events of prior years

   $ (20.2 )   $ 16.1  
    


 


 

Estimated loss reserves for claims occurring in prior years developed favorably by $7.7 million during the first nine months of 2004 and unfavorably by $40.1 million during the first nine months of 2003. The favorable loss reserve development during the first nine months of 2004 is primarily the result of a decrease in personal and commercial automobile, homeowners and commercial multiple peril claim severity. The improving severity in the personal automobile line is primarily related to liability claims. Partially offsetting these items was continued adverse loss development in the workers’ compensation line of business, which primarily related to increased medical costs and long term attendant care. Additionally, adverse loss development was experienced in other commercial lines, primarily in umbrella and general liability, which is primarily the result of increases in estimated ultimate losses for these long-tail lines, particularly in the more recent accident years.

 

37


Table of Contents

The adverse loss reserve development during the first nine months of 2003 was primarily the result of the $21.9 million charge in the other commercial line resulting from the aforementioned voluntary pool arbitration decision. Additionally, loss reserve development was affected by an increase in personal automobile claim severity related to medical settlements. Adverse development in the workers’ compensation line was primarily due to increased claim severity. Partially offsetting these items was favorable development in 2003 in the commercial multiple peril line due to improved claim frequency in the 2002 accident year.

 

During the first nine months of 2004 and 2003, estimated LAE reserves for claims occurring in prior years developed favorably by $12.5 million and $24.0 million, respectively. The favorable development in both periods is primarily attributable to claims process improvement initiatives taken by us during the 1997 to 2001 calendar year period. Since 1997, we have lowered claim settlement costs through increased utilization of in-house attorneys and consolidation of claim offices. As actual experience begins to establish trends inherent within the claim settlement process, the actuarial process recognizes these trends within the reserving methodology affecting future claim settlement assumptions, resulting in the recognition of favorable development. The favorable impact on prior accident year LAE reserves begins to lessen as these claim settlement process improvements are recognized in current actuarial assumptions. Since we believe that the impact of these actions has been previously recognized, we expect little or no further favorable LAE prior year reserve development in future quarters from these process improvements. In addition, the aforementioned reduction in prior year claim severity in personal lines resulted in lower claims settlement costs. These items are reflected in the decline in favorable LAE prior year reserve development for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 versus the same period in 2003.

 

Asbestos and Environmental Reserves

 

We may be required to defend claims related to policies that include environmental damage and toxic tort liability. Ending loss and LAE reserves for all direct business written by our property and casualty companies related to asbestos, environmental damage and toxic tort liability, included in the reserve for losses and LAE, were $26.3 million at September 30, 2004 and $24.9 million at December 31, 2003, net of reinsurance of $16.6 million and $15.0 million at September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, respectively. As a result of our historical direct underwriting mix of commercial lines policies toward smaller and middle market risks, past asbestos, environmental damage and toxic tort liability loss experience has remained minimal in relation to our total loss and LAE incurred experience. We estimate our ultimate liability for these claims based upon currently known facts, reasonable assumptions where the facts are not known, current law and methodologies currently available. Although these outstanding claims are not significant, their existence gives rise to uncertainty and are discussed because of the possibility that they may become significant. We believe that, notwithstanding the evolution of case law expanding liability in asbestos and environmental claims, recorded reserves related to these claims are adequate. In addition, we are not aware of any litigation or pending claims that we believe will result in additional material liabilities in excess of recorded reserves. The environmental liability could be revised in the near term if the estimates used in determining the liability are revised.

 

In addition, we have established loss and LAE reserves for assumed reinsurance and pool business with asbestos, environmental damage and toxic tort liability of $45.6 million at both September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003. These reserves relate to pools in which we have terminated our participation; however, we continue to be subject to claims related to years in which we were a participant. As part of our pool reserves, we participated in the Excess and Casualty Reinsurance Association (“ECRA”) from 1950 to 1982. In 1982, the pool was dissolved and since that time, the business has been in runoff. Our participation in this pool has resulted in average paid losses and LAE of $2.5 million annually over the past ten years. During 2001, the pool commissioned an independent actuarial review of its then current reserve position, which noted a range of reserve deficiency primarily as a result of adverse development of asbestos claims. As a result of this study, we recorded an additional $33.0 million of losses in the fourth quarter of 2001, which is included in the reported outstanding loss and LAE reserves. During 2004, the pool has commissioned a current actuarial review of its current reserve position. Because of the inherent uncertainty regarding the types of claims in these pools, we cannot provide assurance that our reserves will be sufficient.

 

We estimated our ultimate liability for these claims based upon currently known facts, reasonable assumptions where the facts are not known, current law and methodologies currently available. Although these outstanding claims are not significant, their existence gives rise to uncertainty and we discuss them because of the possibility that they may become significant. We currently believe that, notwithstanding the evolution of case law expanding liability in environmental claims, recorded reserves related to these claims are adequate. In addition, we are not aware of any litigation or pending claims that we believe will result in additional material liabilities in excess of recorded reserves. The environmental liability could be revised in the near term if the estimates used in determining the liability are revised.

 

38


Table of Contents

Life Companies

 

The following table summarizes the results of operations for the Life Companies segment for the periods indicated. In the fourth quarter of 2003, we discontinued the retail sales operations of our broker/dealer, VeraVest, which sold non-proprietary products through our former life insurance and annuity agency channel. As a result of this decision, other income associated with the brokerage operations and the related other operating expenses are significantly lower than in the past. In addition, this decision was followed by reduced persistency in the first nine months of 2004 for the policies that were sold through our former agency distribution channel.

 

     Quarter Ended
September 30,


    Nine Months
Ended
September 30,


(In millions)


   2004

    2003

    2004

    2003

Segment revenues

                              

Premiums

   $ 6.2     $ 7.0     $ 32.5     $ 34.6

Fees:

                              

Fees from surrenders

     11.1       13.3       37.2       54.3

Other proprietary product fees

     56.1       62.5       177.4       188.4

Net investment income

     56.1       65.4       168.9       209.1

Other income (1)

     12.9       31.1       40.8       106.4
    


 


 


 

Total segment revenues

     142.4       179.3       456.8       592.8

Policy benefits, claims and losses

     69.0       62.1       200.2       201.7

Policy acquisition expenses

     39.6       31.0       103.0       115.2

Other operating expenses (2)

     42.5       94.3       158.8       272.9
    


 


 


 

Segment (loss) income

   $ (8.7 )   $ (8.1 )   $ (5.2 )   $ 3.0
    


 


 


 

 

(1) Other income includes $4.9 million and $5.8 million for the quarters ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively, and $15.8 million and $18.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively, of fees earned from the management of assets for proprietary products. Other income for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2003 also includes $19.8 million and $70.0 million, respectively, of fees earned from the distribution of non-proprietary insurance products.

 

(2) Other expenses include subadvisory fees of $2.3 million and $2.7 million for the quarters ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively, and $7.4 million and $8.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively. Other expenses for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2003 also include brokerage related commissions of $12.9 million and $47.7 million, respectively. We no longer sell non-proprietary products.

 

Quarter Ended September 30, 2004 Compared to Quarter Ended September 30, 2003

 

Life Companies’ segment loss was $8.7 million in the third quarter of 2004 compared to a loss of $8.1 million in the third quarter of 2003. While certain transactions may impact several income statement line items, the following items contributed to the overall change in segment income. First, there was a $12.6 million increase in DAC amortization primarily resulting from the effect of equity market returns being unfavorable relative to our assumptions in the third quarter of 2004, as compared to the effect of equity market returns modestly exceeding our assumptions in the same period of 2003. Additionally, the combined effect of increased GMDB reserve expenses under SOP 03-1, derivatives gains associated with the GMDB hedging program and related DAC amortization, contributed a net $6.2 million to the loss in the third quarter of 2004. See also “Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits” below. Segment results also decreased $4.6 million due to lower interest margins on GICs, primarily from higher swap contract expenses. These decreases were partially offset by $12.3 million of net expense savings resulting from the cessation of the retail sales operations of our broker/dealer, VeraVest, and ongoing expense management efforts. In addition, $11.1 million of VeraVest asset impairments were recorded in 2003.

 

39


Table of Contents

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004 Compared to Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003

 

Life Companies’ segment loss was $5.2 million in the first nine months of 2004 compared to income of $3.0 million for the first nine months of 2003. This decrease of $8.2 million was primarily the result of an increase in DAC amortization of $24.4 million primarily resulting from the effect of equity market returns and surrender patterns being unfavorable relative to our assumptions in 2004, as compared to the effect of equity market returns exceeding our assumptions, partially offset by a permanent impairment for the Select and Partner DAC assets in 2003. The combined effect of derivatives losses associated with the GMDB hedging program and increased GMDB reserve expenses required under SOP 03-1, net of DAC, also reduced Life Companies segment income by $11.4 million in the first nine months of 2004. See also “Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits” below. Segment results also deteriorated $8.5 million due to lower interest margins on GICs, primarily from higher swap contract expenses. Additionally, net investment income declined $5.3 million from the replacement of high-yield investments with lower yielding, higher quality fixed income securities. These decreases were partially offset by $32.1 million net expense savings resulting from the cessation of the retail sales operations of our broker/dealer, VeraVest, and ongoing expense management efforts, as well as the absence, in 2004, of the aforementioned $11.1 million of VeraVest asset impairments.

 

Net Investment Income

 

Net investment income declined $9.3 million, to $56.1 million for the third quarter of 2004 and $40.2 million, to $168.9 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004. The decline in net investment income reflects a decrease in average general account assets, principally resulting from annuity redemptions and reductions in outstanding GIC balances, and a decrease in pre-tax yields on fixed maturity securities. Average pre-tax yields on fixed maturities decreased to 5.9% for both the third quarter and the first nine months of 2004, compared to 6.2% for the third quarter of 2003 and 6.1% for the first nine months of 2003. The decline in average pre-tax yields is due to the lower prevailing fixed maturity investment rates and a shift to higher credit quality fixed maturity investments.

 

Deferred Acquisition Costs

 

DAC for variable life products and variable annuities consists of commissions, underwriting costs and other costs that are amortized in proportion to the estimated total gross profits from such products. We estimate that these costs will be earned over the expected life of the insurance contracts to which such costs relate. To estimate the profitability of our insurance contracts, we establish and apply assumptions relating to, among other matters, appreciation of account assets, contract persistency and contract costs (such as those relating to any GMDB feature and fees payable to distributors). We regularly evaluate these assumptions to determine whether recent experience or anticipated trends merit adjustments to such assumptions. For additional information regarding our accounting policy related to DAC, see “Critical Accounting Policies”.

 

In the third quarter of 2004, amortization of policy acquisition expenses increased $8.6 million, to $39.6 million. This increase is primarily due to equity market returns and the related effect on GMDB costs diverging from assumptions used in our DAC estimation process, both of which resulted in an increase in DAC amortization of $12.6 million. Also, the GMDB hedging program produced a $5.7 million increase in DAC amortization, discussed below. These increases were partially offset by a $5.4 million decrease in amortization related to previously capitalized sales inducements that have been classified as policy benefits in conformity with the adoption of SOP 03-1. In addition, this increase was partially offset by lower DAC amortization of $6.0 million resulting from decreased separate account and surrender fees.

 

In the first nine months of 2004, policy acquisition expenses decreased $12.2 million, to $103.0 million. This decline is primarily due to the aforementioned decline in surrender fees, as well as other insurance fees, which resulted in a decrease in DAC amortization of $25.7 million in the first nine months of 2004, compared to the first nine months of 2003. In addition, in the first nine months of 2004, $16.4 million of amortization related to the aforementioned previously capitalized sales inducements have been classified as policy benefits. This decrease was partially offset by the aforementioned equity market returns and the related effect on GMDB costs diverging from assumptions used in our DAC estimation process, which resulted in an increase in DAC amortization of $24.4 million in the first nine months of 2004, compared to the first nine months of 2003.

 

During the first nine months of 2003, we had two additional items affecting DAC. First, to facilitate our ongoing recoverability testing for the Partners and Select distribution channels, we refined our methodology concerning the aggregation of annuity contracts for the purpose of estimating future gross profits and current amortization. This refinement resulted in $19.2 million of additional amortization. Second, for all three distribution channels, we revised our estimate of persistency of variable annuity contracts. This was primarily the result of the significant decline in redemptions from the first quarter to the third quarter of 2003. In the aggregate for all distribution channels, redemptions have been relatively consistent with expectations since the third quarter of 2003. This change resulted in a $20.2 million decrease in DAC amortization. Changes in persistency, as well as in the equity market and GMDB costs, may continue to affect DAC amortization in future periods.

 

40


Table of Contents

Other Operating Expenses

 

In the third quarter of 2004, other operating expenses decreased $51.8 million, to $42.5 million. The decrease reflects lower commissions, distribution and insurance operation expenses as a result of our discontinuing retail sales operations of VeraVest and our ongoing expense management efforts. Also, a $5.9 million gain on the derivative contracts in conjunction with the GMDB hedging program contributed to the decrease.

 

Included in other operating expenses of $42.5 million is $11.9 million of interest expense related to trust instruments supported by funding obligations, $5.9 million of derivatives gains in connection with the GMDB hedging program and $2.3 million of brokerage and investment management variable expenses. Of the remaining $34.2 million of other operating expenses, we estimate that approximately 35% vary directly with policy count and we expect to manage these expenses down over time as the policy count decreases. The balance of these expenses is relatively fixed and primarily associated with technology, finance, human resources and legal activities that do not decline proportionally with policy count. These expenses also include allocations of corporate overhead.

 

In the first nine months of 2004, other operating expenses decreased $114.1 million, to $158.8 million. The decrease reflects lower commission, distribution and insurance operation expenses as a result of our discontinuing retail sales operations of VeraVest. Partially offsetting the lower distribution and insurance operation expenses was a $5.4 million loss on the derivative contracts in connection with the GMDB hedging program.

 

GIC Derivative Instruments

 

We use derivative instruments to hedge our GIC portfolio (see Derivative Instruments). For floating rate GIC liabilities that are matched with fixed rate securities, we manage the interest rate risk by hedging with interest rate swap contracts designed to pay fixed and receive floating interest. In addition, some funding agreements are denominated in foreign currencies. To mitigate the effect of changes in currency exchange rates, we hedge this risk by entering into foreign exchange swap, futures and options contracts, as well as compound foreign currency/interest rate swap contracts to hedge our net foreign currency exposure. These hedges resulted in a $5.2 million reduction in net investment income during the third quarter of 2004, as compared to a $1.4 million reduction in net investment income during the third quarter of 2003. Additionally, these hedges resulted in a $16.1 million reduction in net investment income during the first nine months of 2004, as compared to a $4.4 million reduction in net investment income during the first nine months of 2003. These reductions were offset by similar reductions in GIC interest credited during the third quarter of 2004 and 2003, and the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003.

 

The increased effect of derivative instruments was primarily due to new swap contracts entered into to replace the futures contracts that did not qualify for hedge accounting in accordance with Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 133, Accounting for Derivatives and Hedging Activities, and were therefore deemed “ineffective” for accounting purposes. The “ineffective” futures contracts resulted in a $0.4 million increase in other income during the third quarter of 2003. In addition, “ineffective” futures contracts resulted in a $6.4 million decrease in other income during the first nine months of 2003. The new foreign currency swaps are “effective” hedges for accounting purposes; thus, they had no impact on other income in the third quarter and the first nine months of 2004. While we do not currently expect fluctuations to other income to recur, there can be no assurances that we will not experience losses from ineffective hedges in the future.

 

Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits

 

The GMDB feature provides annuity contractholders with a guarantee that the benefit received at death will be no less than a prescribed minimum amount. This minimum amount is based on either the net deposits paid into the contract, the net deposits accumulated at a specified rate (most commonly 5% annually), the highest historical account value on a contract anniversary, or more typically the greatest of these values. If the GMDB is higher than the current account value at the time of death, we incur a cost equal to the difference. As of September 30, 2004, the difference between the GMDB and the current account value (the “net amount at risk”) for all existing contracts was approximately $2.5 billion, compared to approximately $2.6 billion at December 31, 2003. The decrease from December 31, 2003 was the result of an increase in equity market values during the nine months ended September 30, 2004, as well as surrenders, which result in forfeitures of the GMDB benefit. For each one percent increase or decrease in the S&P 500 Index from September 30, 2004 levels, the net amount at risk is estimated to decrease or increase, respectively, by approximately $50 million to $70 million. Other factors, such as interest rates and the relative performance of our funds, may also affect the net amount at risk.

 

41


Table of Contents

On January 1, 2004, we adopted Statement of Position 03-1. SOP 03-1 provides guidance for, among other items, determining liabilities for GMDB costs. The determination of the GMDB reserve under SOP 03-1 is complex and requires various assumptions including, among other items, mortality, estimates of future market returns and expected contract persistency. On January 1, 2004, we recorded an $88.0 million pre-tax charge to earnings, reflected in the cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle in the Consolidated Statements of Income. This reflects adjustments to both our GMDB reserve and our DAC asset, as well as additional reserves required for our product features. The reserve calculation required under SOP 03-1 resulted in an increase of GMDB expense of $6.4 million in the third quarter of 2004, and an increase of GMDB expense of $4.1 million in the first nine months of 2004, subsequent to the adoption of SOP 03-1. Subsequent changes in the reserve will continue to be included in segment income. Future changes in market levels, persistency of existing accounts, including the effect on the age distribution, specific fund performance, interest rates, mortality and other factors, may result in material changes to GMDB costs and related expenses.

 

On December 3, 2003, we implemented a hedging program for our in-force variable annuity policies with GMDB features. The program’s primary purpose is to provide us with an economic hedge against increased GMDB claims which could arise from declines in the equity market below levels at December 3, 2003. Also, the program is expected to reduce the volatility in statutory capital and risk-based capital levels from the effects of future equity market movements and allows us to retain most of the benefits of reduced GMDB costs in a rising equity market. The hedge program does not provide protection from the GMDB cost associated with the net amount at risk of $2.7 billion in existence on December 3, 2003. Over time, the actual amount of the unhedged economic cost will vary depending on equity market levels, redemption rates, and certain GMDB product features, such as roll-up (net deposits accumulated at a specified rate) or ratchet (highest historical account value on a contract anniversary). (See also, Note 3, Adoption of Statement of Position 03-1, Accounting and Reporting by Insurance Enterprises for Certain Nontraditional Long-Duration Contracts and for Separate Accounts for further information).

 

As the block of annuity contractholders ages, if the equity market does not appreciate over time, our mortality costs, as a percentage of the net amount at risk, will increase due to premium increases related to the GMDB mortality reinsurance program. The mortality reinsurance program, which extends until 2012, provides protection against adverse mortality experience but not against the increasing age of annuitants. The hedge program also does not protect against the reduction in proprietary product fees and cash flow which would result from the reduction in net account balances following a decline in the equity market.

 

We also expect that the hedge program will partially offset the volatility associated with the GMDB reserve caused by equity market changes. If the equity market declines, we believe that gains on the hedge derivatives will partially offset any increases in the GMDB reserve required under SOP 03-1. Alternately, if the equity market rises, we expect a decrease in the GMDB reserve to be partially offset by losses from the hedge derivatives. There can be no assurance that the hedge program will be effective in offsetting the costs of GMDB and related expenses.

 

The program utilizes a dynamic hedging approach involving exchange traded futures contracts. Under the program, hedge contracts are expected to generate cash to fund increases in the GMDB claims resulting from declines in the equity market. As part of the program, investment returns of a majority of the funds underlying our variable annuity products were matched to widely followed indices which have exchange traded futures contracts. There can be no assurance that the returns of the underlying funds will be perfectly correlated to the returns of the indices. Also, certain market risks such as those relating to interest rates have not been hedged; such interest rate risk is predominantly in separate accounts which have underlying bond funds, which represent approximately 17% of separate account assets as of September 30, 2004. As interest rates rise, account values decrease, and the net amount at risk and associated reinsurance premium increase. Consequently, the program is expected to generate increased expenses in a rising interest rate environment.

 

In connection with the GMDB hedging program, we recognized $5.9 million in pre-tax gains on the derivative contracts in the third quarter of 2004. The pre-tax gain in the third quarter of 2004 was offset by higher GMDB expenses of $6.4 million and increased DAC amortization of $5.7 million. We incurred $5.4 million in pre-tax losses on derivative contracts in the first nine months of 2004. The pre-tax loss in the first nine months of 2004 was further increased by a charge related to GMDB volatility of $4.1 million, as well as increased DAC amortization of $1.9 million.

 

42


Table of Contents

The following table provides a reconciliation of our beginning and ending reserve for GMDB utilizing generally accepted accounting principles. These reserves differ from the statutory GMDB reserves disclosed in the section “Statutory Capital of Insurance Subsidiaries”, which are calculated using prescribed statutory accounting principles.

 

     Quarter Ended

    Nine Months Ended

 

(In millions)


   September 30,
2004


    June 30,
2004


    September 30,
2003


    September 30,
2004


    September 30,
2003(1)


 

Reserve for GMDB, beginning of period

   $ 94.8     $ 97.2     $ 41.4     $ 26.2     $ 81.2  

Adoption of SOP 03-1

     —         —         —         80.6       —    

Provision for GMDB:

                                        

GMDB expense incurred

     12.2       12.3       11.5       37.1       34.5  

Volatility (2)

     6.4       3.4       —         4.1       —    
    


 


 


 


 


       18.6       15.7       11.5       41.2       34.5  

Paid claims, net of reinsurance (3):

                                        

Claims from policyholders

     (16.9 )     (18.4 )     (20.1 )     (54.9 )     (75.8 )

Claims ceded to reinsurers (4)

     16.0       16.5       18.8       51.3       58.4  
    


 


 


 


 


       (0.9 )     (1.9 )     (1.3 )     (3.6 )     (17.4 )

GMDB reinsurance premiums paid (3)

     (17.4 )     (16.2 )     (19.6 )     (49.3 )     (66.3 )
    


 


 


 


 


Reserve for GMDB, end of period

   $ 95.1     $ 94.8     $ 32.0     $ 95.1     $ 32.0  
    


 


 


 


 


 

(1) Does not reflect adoption of SOP 03-1, which was implemented effective January 1, 2004.

 

(2) Volatility reflects the difference between actual and expected investment performance, persistency, age distribution, mortality and other factors that are assumptions within the GMDB reserving model.

 

(3) We maintain a GMDB mortality reinsurance program covering the incidence of mortality on variable annuity policies. We pay the reinsurers monthly premiums based on variable annuity net amount at risk in exchange for reimbursement of the net amount at risk portion of qualified cash claims. These premiums are significantly lower on products sold through our former agency channel due to the lower average age of the business. We retain the market risk associated with the net amount at risk on the variable annuity business.

 

(4) Claims ceded to reinsurers exclude those contracts with a date of death prior to December 1, 2002 and certain other claims.

 

Annuity Account Values and Redemptions

 

The following tables summarize annuity account values and redemption activity for the Life Companies segment according to the three distribution channels we used prior to discontinuing sales of proprietary products in the fourth quarter of 2002. Redemptions include both full policy and partial policy surrenders, withdrawals and death benefits (to the extent equal to account value).

 

     Quarter Ended

 
    

September 30,

2004


   

June 30,

2004


 
               Redemptions (2)

              Redemptions (2)

 

(In millions)


   Account
Values (1)


  

Average

Age (4)


   Amount

   Rates

    Account
Values (1)


  

Average

Age (4)


   Amount

   Rates

 

Agency

   $ 3,837.8    61    $ 245.3    27 %   $ 4,188.4    61    $ 304.9    31 %

Select

     2,684.0    70      91.5    14       2,781.2    70      96.3    14  

Partners

     4,285.2    73      154.9    15       4,374.7    73      154.7    15  
    

  
  

  

 

  
  

  

Total

   $ 10,807.0    68    $ 491.7    19 %   $ 11,344.3    68    $ 555.9    20 %
    

  
  

  

 

  
  

  

 

43


Table of Contents
     Quarter Ended

                      
    

September 30,

2003


                      
               Redemptions (2)

                      

(In millions)


   Account
Values (1)


  

Average

Age (4)


   Amount

   Rates

                      

Agency

   $ 4,303.5    61    $ 218.5    20 %                         

Select

     2,799.0    70      111.6    16                           

Partners

     4,381.3    73      163.5    15                           
    

  
  

  

                        

Total

   $ 11,483.8    67    $ 493.6    17 %                         
    

  
  

  

                        
     Nine Months Ended  
     September 30,

 
     2004

    2003

 
               Redemptions (2)

              Redemptions (2)

 

(In millions)


   Account
Values (3)


  

Average

Age (4)


   Amount

   Rates

    Account
Values (3)


  

Average

Age (4)


   Amount

   Rates

 

Agency

   $ 4,364.3    61    $ 885.1    30 %   $ 4,623.6    61    $ 908.3    27 %

Select

     2,852.3    70      312.9    15       2,995.3    69      510.1    24  

Partners

     4,526.0    73      483.7    15       4,507.2    72      618.1    19  
    

  
  

  

 

  
  

  

Total

   $ 11,742.6    68    $ 1,681.7    21 %   $ 12,126.1    67    $ 2,036.5    23 %
    

  
  

  

 

  
  

  

(1) Account values at September 30 reflect market values as of July 1 of the year indicated and account values at June 30 reflect market values as of April 1 of the year indicated.

 

(2) Redemptions reflect activity for the period indicated. Redemption rates are annualized based on the average account value in the period.

 

(3) Account values at September 30 reflect market values as of January 1 of the year indicated.

 

(4) Average age is based upon the account value at the beginning of the period indicated.

 

Redemption rates in the third quarter of 2004 were modestly higher than the third quarter of 2003. However, redemption rates in the third quarter of 2004 and the first nine months of 2004 declined from the second quarter of 2004 and the first nine months of 2003, respectively. The higher rate of redemptions in those periods is attributable to the lower financial strength ratings of our Life Companies in 2003 and the effects of the cessation of sales of proprietary products in the fourth quarter of 2002. Also, our mix of product surrenders continues to be unfavorable in the current quarter because a higher proportion of the total surrenders came from our former agency distribution channel. This channel has a lower average age of annuitant than the other channels. Therefore, should the higher relative surrender rates in this channel continue, our mortality costs as a percentage of overall net amount at risk will increase. Notwithstanding the recent redemption patterns, we believe that our current overall DAC assumptions include reasonable redemption levels. However, we cannot provide assurance that ultimately redemptions will not differ from our assumptions. Such differences could materially, adversely affect DAC amortization in future periods, as well as GMDB costs and reserves, and segment income excluding certain non-cash items.

 

Life Companies Segment Income Excluding Certain Non-Cash Items

 

In addition to our review of segment income, beginning in 2003, we also began utilizing an alternative non-GAAP method of viewing our Life Companies business. We adjust the segment income for the Life Companies for various non-cash items. We believe this measure allows for the review of the performance of this business based on the current cash operations. In addition, this measure provides us with information regarding cash flows of this business that we can use in assessing the funding requirements to support these operations and any excess cash the business may be generating. However, this measure does not reflect statutory earnings or increases in statutory surplus or amounts available to dividend from the life insurance companies. In addition, all dividends from our life insurance companies are subject to regulatory approval.

 

44


Table of Contents

We adjust segment income for DAC because the cash payments related to the acquisition of the remaining business were made in prior years. Since we are no longer selling the products that generated these deferred costs, we do not expect significant future cash payments associated with DAC. Additionally, we adjust segment income for the change in our GMDB reserve because this change represents the difference between the cash GMDB payments and the related expense reflected in segment income. The items excluded from segment income, including DAC amortization, the change in our GMDB reserve, depreciation and amortization of certain assets, and asset impairments may be significant in understanding and assessing our financial performance. Segment income excluding certain non-cash items, should not be construed as a substitute for segment income or net income determined in accordance with GAAP.

 

Although this measure excludes DAC amortization and changes in the GMDB reserves, it is sensitive to movements in the equity market. The primary drivers of this sensitivity are gains or losses on the GMDB hedging program derivatives, changes in the net amount at risk and the associated reinsurance premiums, and the fee income generated by separate account balances. This measure is also sensitive to surrender and withdrawal rates (which increase fees at the time of surrender if policies are within the surrender charge period, but result in lower ongoing proprietary product fees) and changes in surrender patterns, which may impact fees and GMDB costs. A sustained declining or flat equity market would result in declining fees as a result of the equity market and surrenders, while the aging annuitant base would result in higher GMDB costs. In certain equity market scenarios, such results could cause this measure to become negative and cause statutory losses which would reduce statutory capital.

 

The following tables provide a reconciliation of segment (loss) income before taxes to segment income excluding certain non-cash items.

 

     Quarter Ended

 

(In millions)


   September 30,
2004


    June 30,
2004


    September 30,
2003


 

Segment loss

   $ (8.7 )   $ (6.3 )   $ (8.1 )

Deferred acquisition cost operating amortization and amortization of sales inducements, net

     44.6       33.6       28.1  

Property, plant and equipment depreciation, net

     0.6       0.9       0.2  

Statement of Position 98-1 amortization, net

     1.1       1.1       1.1  

VeraVest asset impairment

     —         —         11.1  

Change in guaranteed minimum death benefit reserves

     0.3       (2.4 )     (9.4 )
    


 


 


Total segment income excluding certain non-cash items

   $ 37.9     $ 26.9     $ 23.0  
    


 


 


 

    

Nine Months Ended

September 30,


 

(In millions)


   2004

    2003

 

Segment (loss) income

   $ (5.2 )   $ 3.0  

Deferred acquisition cost operating amortization and amortization of sales inducements, net

     116.2       107.3  

Property, plant and equipment depreciation, net

     2.4       1.6  

Statement of Position 98-1 amortization, net

     3.4       3.0  

VeraVest asset impairment

     —         11.1  

Change in guaranteed minimum death benefit reserves

     (11.7 )     (49.2 )
    


 


Total segment income excluding certain non-cash items

   $ 105.1     $ 76.8  
    


 


 

Segment income excluding certain non-cash items increased $11.0 million, to $37.9 million in the third quarter of 2004, compared to $26.9 million in the second quarter of 2004. The increase is primarily due to derivatives gains of $5.9 million in connection with the GMDB hedging program in the third quarter of 2004 versus $5.9 million of derivatives losses in the second quarter of 2004. Segment income excluding certain non-cash items increased $14.9 million, to $37.9 in the third quarter of 2004, compared to $23.0 million in the third quarter of 2003. The increase is primarily due to lower expenses as a result of the cessation of the retail sales operations of VeraVest and ongoing expense management efforts, as well as the aforementioned derivatives gains associated with the GMDB hedging program, partially offset by lower fees, including surrender fees. For similar reasons, except that the GMDB hedge program produced year to date derivatives losses of $5.4 million, segment income excluding certain non-cash items increased $28.3 million to $105.1 million in the first nine months of 2004, compared to $76.8 million in the first nine months of 2003.

 

45


Table of Contents

Investment Portfolio

 

We held general account investment assets diversified across several asset classes, as follows:

 

     September 30, 2004

    December 31, 2003

 

(In millions, except percentage data)


  

Carrying

Value


   % of Total
Carrying Value


   

Carrying

Value


   % of Total
Carrying Value


 

Fixed maturities (1)

   $ 7,788.7    92.0 %   $ 7,646.5    89.3 %

Equity securities (1)

     15.9    0.2       15.3    0.2  

Mortgage loans

     127.5    1.5       175.1    2.0  

Policy loans (1)

     258.2    3.0       268.0    3.1  

Cash and cash equivalents (1)

     217.6    2.6       380.5    4.5  

Other long-term investments

     62.8    0.7       80.7    0.9  
    

  

 

  

Total

   $ 8,470.7    100.0 %   $ 8,566.1    100.0 %
    

  

 

  

 

(1) We carry these investments at fair value.

 

Total investment assets decreased $95.4 million, or 1.1%, to $8.5 billion during the first nine months of 2004, primarily as a result of decreases in cash and cash equivalents of $162.9 million, mortgages of $47.6 million and other long-term investments of $17.9 million, offset by an increase in fixed maturities of $142.2 million. Cash and cash equivalents decreased primarily as a result of group annuity contract redemptions, as well as the retirement of certain long-term funding agreements in our Life Companies segment. Fixed maturities increased primarily due to improved underwriting results in the Property and Casualty segment. This increase was partially offset by the maturity of certain long-term funding agreements in the Life Companies segment and unfavorable market value depreciation. Mortgage loans decreased principally due to loan payoffs, while other long-term investments decreased primarily due to capital distributions from limited partnerships and the sale of real estate, all occurring in the Life Companies segment.

 

Our fixed maturity portfolio is comprised primarily of investment grade corporate securities, tax-exempt issues of state and local governments, U.S. government and agency securities and other issues. Based on ratings by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (“NAIC”), investment grade securities comprised 94.3% at September 30, 2004 and 94.0% at December 31, 2003 of our total fixed maturity portfolio.

 

The following table provides information about the credit quality of our fixed maturities at September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003.

 

(In millions)


        September 30, 2004

   December 31, 2003

NAIC Designation


  

Rating Agency

Equivalent Designation


   Amortized
Cost


   Carrying
Value


   Amortized
Cost


   Carrying
Value


1

   Aaa/Aa/A    $ 4,887.1    $ 5,042.2    $ 4,702.6    $ 4,859.9

2

   Baa      2,210.5      2,303.5      2,221.7      2,329.8

3

   Ba      229.0      242.6      225.4      235.8

4

   B      129.5      134.8      140.4      149.8

5

   Caa and lower      41.9      49.2      40.2      54.0

6

   In or near default      13.2      16.4      16.0      17.2
         

  

  

  

Total fixed maturities

        $ 7,511.2    $ 7,788.7    $ 7,346.3    $ 7,646.5
         

  

  

  

 

Although we expect to invest new funds primarily in cash, cash equivalents and investment grade fixed maturities, we may invest a portion of new funds in below investment grade fixed maturities or equity securities. The average yield on fixed maturities was 5.8% for September 30, 2004 and 6.1% for September 30, 2003. This decline reflects lower prevailing fixed maturity investment rates, and an increased emphasis on higher credit quality fixed maturities. We expect that lower prevailing fixed maturity investment rates in the current interest rate environment will continue to negatively affect our investment yield.

 

At September 30, 2004, $178.4 million of our fixed maturities were invested in traditional private placement securities, as compared to $247.5 million at December 31, 2003. Fair values of traditional private placement securities are determined by either a third party broker or by internally developed pricing models, including the use of discounted cash flow analyses.

 

46


Table of Contents

We recognized $6.0 million of realized losses on other-than-temporary impairments of fixed maturities for the first nine months of 2004, as compared to $52.9 million for the first nine months of 2003, principally resulting from our exposure to below investment grade securities. For the first nine months of 2004, other-than-temporary impairments of fixed maturities included $5.8 million related to the airline/transportation sector and $0.2 million related to the communication sector. Other-than-temporary impairments of fixed maturities for the first nine months of 2003 included $18.8 million related to the airline/transportation sector; $10.4 million related to securitized investments; $8.5 million related to the industrial sector; and $7.1 million related to the finance sector, and $4.7 million related to the consumer non-cyclical sector. In addition, we recognized $0.1 million of realized losses on other-than-temporary impairments of equity securities for the first nine months of 2004, as compared to $3.3 million for the first nine months of 2003.

 

In our determination of other-than-temporary impairments, we consider several factors and circumstances, including the issuer’s overall financial condition; the issuer’s credit and financial strength ratings; the issuer’s financial performance, including earnings trends, dividend payments, and asset quality; a weakening of the general market conditions in the industry or geographic region in which the issuer operates, a prolonged period in which the fair value of an issuer’s securities remains below our cost; and with respect to fixed maturity investments, any factors that might raise doubt about the issuer’s ability to pay all amounts due according to the contractual terms. We apply these factors to all securities. Other-than-temporary impairments are recorded as a realized loss, which serves to reduce net income and earnings per share. Temporary losses are recorded as unrealized losses, which do not affect net income and earnings per share but reduce other comprehensive income. We cannot provide assurance that the other-than-temporary impairments will, in-fact, be adequate to cover future losses or that we will not have substantial additional impairments in the future.

 

The following table provides information about our fixed maturities and equity securities that have been continuously in an unrealized loss position.

 

     September 30, 2004

   December 31, 2003

(In millions)


   Gross
Unrealized
Losses


   Fair
Value


   Gross
Unrealized
Losses


   Fair
Value


Investment grade fixed maturities:

                           

0-6 months

   $ 5.4    $ 624.7    $ 17.8    $ 1,023.5

7-12 months

     4.7      161.0      15.7      331.7

Greater than 12 months

     15.6      381.9      4.9      96.3
    

  

  

  

Total investment grade fixed maturities

     25.7      1,167.6      38.4      1,451.5

Below investment grade fixed maturities:

                           

0-6 months

     4.1      53.8      1.2      38.5

7-12 months

     1.8      13.9      2.5      8.2

Greater than 12 months

     3.8      3.5      5.7      37.1
    

  

  

  

Total below investment grade fixed maturities

     9.7      71.2      9.4      83.8

Equity securities

     0.2      1.4      0.1      1.8
    

  

  

  

Total fixed maturities and equity securities

   $ 35.6    $ 1,240.2    $ 47.9    $ 1,537.1
    

  

  

  

 

We had $35.6 million of gross unrealized losses on fixed maturities and equity securities at September 30, 2004, as compared to $47.9 million at December 31, 2003. Approximately $5.9 million of the gross unrealized losses at September 30, 2004 relate to investment grade fixed maturity obligations of the U.S. Treasury, U.S. government and agency securities, states and political subdivisions, compared to $9.9 million at December 31, 2003. At both September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, substantially all below investment grade securities with an unrealized loss had been rated by the NAIC, Standard & Poor’s or Moody’s.

 

We view the gross unrealized losses of fixed maturities and equity securities as being temporary as it is our assessment that these securities will recover in the near-term. Furthermore, as of September 30, 2004, we had the intent and ability to retain such investments for a period of time sufficient to allow for this anticipated recovery in fair value. The risks inherent in the assessment methodology include the risk that, subsequent to the balance sheet date, market factors may differ from our expectations; we may decide to subsequently sell a security for unforeseen business needs; or changes in the credit assessment or equity characteristics from our original assessment may lead us to determine that a sale at the current value would maximize recovery on such investments. To the extent that there are such adverse changes, the unrealized loss would then be realized and we would record a charge to earnings. Although unrealized losses are not reflected in the results of financial operations until they are realized or deemed “other-than-temporary”, the fair value of the underlying investment, which does reflect the underlying loss, is reflected in our Consolidated Balance Sheets.

 

47


Table of Contents

The following table sets forth gross unrealized losses for fixed maturities by maturity period, and for equity securities at September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003. Actual maturities may differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay obligations, with or without call or prepayment penalties, or we may have the right to put or sell the obligations back to the issuers. Mortgage backed securities are included in the category representing their ultimate maturity.

 

(In millions)


   September 30,
2004


   December 31,
2003


Due in one year or less

   $ 0.7    $ 2.0

Due after one year through five years

     4.0      4.6

Due after five years through ten years

     16.4      22.0

Due after ten years

     14.3      19.2
    

  

Total fixed maturities

     35.4      47.8

Equity securities

     0.2      0.1
    

  

Total fixed maturities and equity securities

   $ 35.6    $ 47.9
    

  

 

We had fixed maturity securities with a carrying value of $36.8 million on non-accrual status at September 30, 2004, as compared to $28.6 million on non-accrual status at December 31, 2003. The effect of non-accruals, compared with amounts that would have been recognized in accordance with the original terms of the fixed maturities, was a reduction in net investment income of $4.8 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2004, as compared to a reduction of $7.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2003. We expect that defaults in the fixed maturities portfolio may continue to negatively affect investment income.

 

Derivative Instruments

 

We enter into foreign currency swap, futures and options contracts, as well as compound foreign currency/interest rate swap contracts, to hedge foreign currency and interest rate exposure on specific funding agreement liabilities. We also entered into various types of interest rate swap contracts to hedge exposure to interest rate fluctuations on floating rate funding agreement liabilities that were matched with fixed rate securities.

 

On December 3, 2003, we implemented an economic hedging program involving exchange traded futures contracts to hedge against increased GMDB claims that could arise from declines in the equity market below levels at December 3, 2003 (See Life Companies – Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits). The program is expected to reduce the volatility in statutory capital and risk-based capital levels from the effects of future equity market movements and allows us to retain most of the benefits of reduced GMDB costs in a rising equity market. During the third quarter of 2004, we recognized $5.9 million in gains, reflected in Life Companies segment income, as a result of this program. Conversely, for the nine months ended September 30, 2004, we recognized $5.4 million in losses, also reflected in Life Companies segment income. The program was not in place during the first nine months of 2003. The GMDB hedges do not qualify for hedge accounting under Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 133, Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities.

 

We recognized $8.0 million of realized losses on derivatives during the third quarter of 2004, as compared to $0.6 million of net realized losses on derivatives in the third quarter of 2003. Additionally, we recognized $8.7 million of net realized losses on derivatives during the nine months ended September 30, 2004, as compared to $4.8 million of net realized losses during the nine months ended September 30, 2003. The net realized losses during both the third quarter of 2004 and 2003 and the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 were primarily due to the termination of derivative instruments used to hedge funding agreements in response to the retirement of long-term funding agreements at discounts.

 

Income Taxes

 

We file a consolidated United States federal income tax return that includes AFC and its domestic subsidiaries (including non-insurance operations). We segregate the entities included within the consolidated group into either a life insurance or a non-life insurance company subgroup. The consolidation of these subgroups is subject to statutory restrictions on the percentage of eligible non-life tax losses that can be applied to offset life company taxable income.

 

48


Table of Contents

Quarter Ended September 30, 2004 Compared to Quarter Ended September 30, 2003

 

The provision for federal income taxes before the cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle was a benefit of $1.8 million during the third quarter of 2004 compared to a benefit of $7.5 million during the same period in 2003. These provisions resulted in consolidated effective federal tax benefit rates of 11.3% and 192.3% of pre-tax income for the quarters ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively. The decrease in the tax benefit from the prior year is primarily the result of higher underwriting income and a reduced level of the dividends received deduction in our variable products in the current year.

 

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004 Compared to Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003

 

The provision for federal income taxes before the cumulative effect of a change in accounting principle was a benefit of $19.7 million during the first nine months of 2004 compared to a benefit of $1.8 million during the same period in 2003. These benefits resulted in consolidated effective federal tax benefit rates of 19.8% and 2.5% of pre-tax income for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively. The current year effective tax rate reflects a $30.3 million benefit resulting from the settlement of disputed items in our federal tax returns filed for 1979 to 1991. The largest of the disputed items relates to deductions taken for increased death benefits pertaining to certain life insurance contracts existing in 1982 and 1983. The settlement entitles us to receive a refund of amounts paid for these years, as well as various tax credits that can be applied to offset federal tax liabilities in other years.

 

Absent the aforementioned $30.3 million benefit, the effective tax rate in the current year was 10.6%. The increase from the prior year is primarily due to the aforementioned higher underwriting income and a reduced level of the dividends received deduction associated with our variable products. In addition, there has been a reduction in the level of tax-exempt interest due to a reduction in the proportion of tax-exempt securities associated with our portfolio of fixed income securities.

 

Critical Accounting Policies

 

The discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations are based upon the consolidated financial statements. These statements have been prepared in accordance with GAAP, which requires us to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amount of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results could differ from those estimates. The following critical accounting policies, among others, are those which we believe affect the more significant judgments and estimates used in the preparation of our financial statements. Additional information about our significant accounting policies may be found in Note 1, “Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2003.

 

Property & Casualty Insurance Loss Reserves

 

We determine the amount of loss and loss adjustment expense reserves (the “loss reserves”), as discussed in “Segment Results – Property and Casualty, Overview of Loss Reserve Estimation Process” based on an estimation process that is very complex and uses information obtained from both company specific and industry data, as well as general economic information. The estimation process is judgmental, and requires us to continuously monitor and evaluate the life cycle of claims on type-of-business and nature-of-claim bases. Using data obtained from this monitoring and assumptions about emerging trends, we develop information about the size of ultimate claims based on historical experience and other available market information. The most significant assumptions used in the estimation process, which vary by line of business, include determining the trend in loss costs, the expected consistency in the frequency and severity of claims incurred but not yet reported to prior year claims, changes in the timing of the reporting of losses from the loss date to the notification date, and expected costs to settle unpaid claims. Because the amount of the loss reserves is sensitive to our assumptions, we do not completely rely on only one estimate to determine our loss reserves. We develop several estimates using generally recognized actuarial projection methodologies that result in various reasonably possible loss reserve outcomes and we adopt the best estimate. When trends emerge that we believe affect the future settlement of claims, we would adjust our reserves accordingly (see Segment Results – Property and Casualty, Management’s Review of Judgments and Key Assumptions for further explanation of factors affecting our reserve estimates, our review process and our process for determining changes to our reserve estimates). Reserve adjustments are reflected in the Consolidated Statements of Income as adjustments to losses and loss adjustment expenses. Often, these adjustments are recognized in periods subsequent to the period in which the underlying loss event occurred. These types of subsequent adjustments are disclosed and discussed separately as “prior year reserve development”. Such development can be either favorable or unfavorable to our financial results.

 

49


Table of Contents

Property & Casualty Reinsurance Recoverables

 

We share a significant amount of insurance risk of the primary underlying contracts with various insurance entities through the use of reinsurance contracts. As a result, when we experience loss events that are subject to the reinsurance contract, reinsurance recoveries are recorded. The amount of the reinsurance recoverable can vary based on the size of the individual loss or the aggregate amount of all losses in a particular line, book of business or an aggregate amount associated with a particular accident year. The valuation of losses recoverable depends on whether the underlying loss is a reported loss, or an incurred but not reported loss. For reported losses, we value reinsurance recoverables at the time the underlying loss is recognized, in accordance with contract terms. For incurred but not reported losses, we estimate the amount of reinsurance recoverable based on the terms of the reinsurance contracts and historical reinsurance recovery information and apply that information to the gross loss reserve estimates. The most significant assumption we use is the average size of the individual losses for those claims that have occurred but have not yet been recorded by us. The reinsurance recoverable is based on what we believe are reasonable estimates and is disclosed separately on the financial statements. However, the ultimate amount of the reinsurance recoverable is not known until all losses are settled.

 

Variable Products’ Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs

 

Deferred policy acquisition costs consist of commissions, underwriting costs and other costs, which vary with, and are primarily related to, the production of insurance deposits. Acquisition costs related to our variable products (variable universal life and variable annuities) are recorded on the balance sheet and amortized through the income statement in proportion to total estimated gross profits over the expected life of the contracts. Our estimated gross profits are based on assumptions including mortality, contract persistency, asset growth rates, expenses associated with policy maintenance and contract costs (such as those relating to any GMDB feature and fees payable to distributors). The principal source of earnings for these policies is from asset-based fees, which can vary in relation to changes in the equity market.

 

At each balance sheet date, we evaluate the historical and expected future gross profits. Any adjustment in estimated profit requires that the amortization rate be revised retroactively to the date of policy/annuity issuance. The cumulative difference related to prior periods is recognized as a component of the current periods’ amortization, along with amortization associated with the actual gross profits of the period. Lower actual gross profits would typically result in less amortization expense. The converse would also be true. However, if lower gross profits were to continue into the future, a partial permanent impairment of the existing DAC asset may occur.

 

Decreased persistency and equity market value declines are factors which would lower our estimated gross profits. Decreased persistency not only lowers net fees due to lower average invested assets, it also will increase the cost of the GMDB feature of variable annuity contracts, further reducing profitability. This results in future revenues being insufficient to offset GMDB claims in the near term.

 

We periodically review the DAC asset to determine if it is recoverable from future income. If DAC is determined to be unrecoverable, such costs are expensed at the time of determination. The amount of DAC considered recoverable would be reduced in the near-term if the estimate of ultimate or future gross profits is reduced. We would revise the amount of DAC amortization if any of the estimates discussed above were revised. In addition, the disposition of a line of business can result in the permanent impairment of the related DAC asset.

 

Other-Than-Temporary Impairments

 

We employ a systematic methodology to evaluate declines in fair values below amortized cost for all investments. The methodology utilizes a quantitative and qualitative process ensuring that available evidence concerning the declines in fair value below amortized cost is evaluated in a disciplined manner. In determining whether a decline in fair value below amortized cost is other-than-temporary, we evaluate the length of time and the extent to which the fair value has been less than amortized cost; the financial condition and near-term prospects of the issuer; the issuer’s credit and financial strength ratings; the issuer’s financial performance, including earnings trends, dividend payments, and asset quality; any specific events which may influence the operations of the issuer; general market conditions; the financial condition and prospects of the issuer’s market and industry; and, our ability and intent to hold the investment. We apply judgment in assessing whether the aforementioned factors have caused an other-than-temporary decline in value. When an other-than-temporary decline in value is deemed to have occurred, we reduce the cost basis of the investment to fair value. This reduction is permanent and is recognized as a realized investment loss (see Investment Portfolio for further discussions regarding other-than-temporary impairments and securities in an unrealized loss position).

 

50


Table of Contents

Statutory Capital of Insurance Subsidiaries

 

The NAIC prescribes an annual calculation regarding risk based capital (“RBC”). RBC is a method of measuring the minimum amount of capital appropriate for an insurance company to support its overall business operations in consideration of its size and risk profile. The RBC ratio for regulatory purposes is calculated as total adjusted capital divided by required risk based capital. Total adjusted capital for life insurance companies is defined as capital and surplus, plus asset valuation reserve, plus 50% of dividends apportioned for payment. Total adjusted capital for property and casualty companies is capital and surplus. The Company Action Level is the first level at which regulatory involvement is specified based upon the level of capital. Regulators may take action for reasons other than triggering various RBC action levels.

 

RBC ratios for regulatory purposes, as described above, are expressed as a percentage of the capital required to be above the Authorized Control Level (the “Regulatory Scale”); however, in the insurance industry RBC ratios are widely expressed as a percentage of the Company Action Level (without regard to the application of the negative trend test). Set forth below are statutory GMDB reserves, Total Adjusted Capital and RBC ratios for our life insurance subsidiaries and for Hanover, as applicable, as of September 30, 2004, expressed both on the Industry Scale (Total Adjusted Capital divided by the Company Action Level) and Regulatory Scale (Total Adjusted Capital divided by Authorized Control Level).

 

    

Statutory GMDB

Reserves (3)


  

Total
Adjusted

Capital


  

Company
Action

Level


  

Authorized
Control

Level


  

RBC Ratio

Industry
Scale


   

RBC Ratio

Regulatory
Scale


 

(In millions, except ratios)


   Gross of
Reinsurance


   Net of
Reinsurance


             

AFLIAC (1)

   $ 142.0    $ 105.2    $ 610.7    $ 131.2    $ 65.6    465 %   931 %

FAFLIC

     3.5      2.7      198.7      64.7      32.3    307 %   615 %

Hanover (2)

     N/A      N/A      1,076.2      426.6      213.3    252 %   505 %

 

(1) AFLIAC’s Total Adjusted Capital includes $198.7 million related to its subsidiary, FAFLIC.

 

(2) Hanover’s Total Adjusted Capital includes $599.5 million related to its subsidiary, Citizens.

 

(3) AFLIAC statutory GMDB reserve balances exclude those reserves held by its subsidiary, FAFLIC.

 

The total adjusted statutory capital position of our life companies continued to improve during the first nine months of 2004, increasing from $553.4 million at December 31, 2003 to $610.7 million at September 30, 2004. This increase includes a $30.3 million benefit related to the favorable settlement of prior years’ tax liabilities (see Income Taxes). The remaining increase in statutory surplus primarily resulted from our utilization of our net operating loss carryforwards and other tax attributes. Statutory GMDB reserves, and thus total adjusted capital and RBC ratios, are highly sensitive to equity market conditions. A sustained declining or flat equity market would result in declining fees as a result of the equity market and surrenders, while the aging annuitant base would result in higher GMDB costs. In certain equity market scenarios, such results could cause this measure to become negative and cause statutory losses which would reduce statutory capital.

 

The improvement of our life companies’ RBC ratios reflect lower required risk based capital primarily as a result of lower deposit fund reserves and group annuity contracts. Additionally, lower required statutory GMDB reserves as a result of improvements in the equity market and surrender activity contributed to the improvement in our RBC ratios.

 

Liquidity and Capital Resources

 

Net cash provided by operating activities was $135.2 million during the first nine months of 2004 versus net cash used of $157.9 million during the same period last year. The $293.1 million increase in cash provided by operating activities was primarily due to lower net loss and LAE payments in the Property and Casualty business. In addition, cash flows from operations improved in 2004 due to lower net payments from the general account as a result of fewer annuity contract redemptions in the Life Companies. Cash outflows in 2003 included a payment to settle approximately $100 million of the payable related to the sale of our universal life insurance business. Additionally, we received a $30.3 million federal income tax settlement in 2004, which contributed to the improvement in operating cash flows.

 

51


Table of Contents

Net cash provided by investing activities was $52.4 million during the first nine months of 2004, compared to $246.3 million for the same period of 2003. During 2004, cash was primarily provided by net sales of fixed maturities and other investment assets, resulting from funding agreement withdrawals and general account annuity redemptions in the Life Companies segment. These were partially offset by purchases of fixed maturities, resulting from improved underwriting results in the Property and Casualty segment. During 2003, net sales of fixed maturities and equity securities were required primarily to fund increased annuity surrenders in the Life Companies segment. Additionally, net receipts related to margin deposits on future contracts in the Life Companies segment resulted from foreign currency rate fluctuations.

 

Net cash used in financing activities was $350.5 million during the first nine months of 2004, compared to $152.1 million for the same period of 2003. The $198.4 million increase in cash used in 2004 is primarily due to increased retirements and maturities of net funding agreements, including retirements from trust instruments supported by funding obligations.

 

We expect to continue to generate sufficient positive operating cash flow to meet all short-term and long-term cash requirements. Our insurance subsidiaries maintain a high degree of liquidity within their respective investment portfolios in fixed maturity investments, common stock and short-term investments. In addition, we had no commercial paper borrowings as of September 30, 2004 and we do not anticipate utilizing commercial paper in the remainder of 2004. Debt ratings downgrades in prior years continue to preclude or adversely affect the cost and availability of credit lines, commercial paper and other additional debt and equity financing.

 

Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements

 

We currently do not have any material off-balance sheet arrangements that are reasonably likely to have an effect on our financial position, revenues, expenses, results of operations, liquidity, capital expenditures, or capital resources.

 

Contingencies

 

On July 24, 2002, an action captioned American National Bank and Trust Company of Chicago, as Trustee f/b/o Emerald Investments Limited Partnership, and Emerald Investments Limited Partnership v. Allmerica Financial Life Insurance and Annuity Company, was commenced in the United States District Court for the Northern District of Illinois, Eastern Division. In 1999, plaintiffs purchased two variable annuity contracts with initial premiums aggregating $5 million. Plaintiffs, who AFLIAC subsequently identified as engaging in frequent transfers of significant sums between sub-accounts that in our opinion constituted “market timing”, were subject to restrictions upon such trading that we imposed in December 2001. Plaintiffs allege that such restrictions constituted a breach of the terms of the annuity contracts. In December 2003, the court granted partial summary judgment to the plaintiffs, holding that at least certain restrictions imposed on their trading activities violated the terms of the annuity contracts. We filed a motion for reconsideration and clarification of the court’s partial summary judgment opinion, which was denied on April 8, 2004.

 

On May 19, 2004, plaintiffs filed a Brief Statement of Damages in which, without quantifying their damage claim, they outlined a claim for (i) amounts totaling $150,000 for surrender charges imposed on the partial surrender by plaintiffs of the annuity contracts, (ii) loss of trading profits they expected over the remaining term of each annuity contract, and (iii) lost trading profits resulting from our alleged refusal to process five specific transfers in 2002 because of trading restrictions imposed on market timers. With respect to the lost profits, plaintiffs claim that pursuant to their trading strategy of transferring money from money market accounts to international equity accounts and back again to money market accounts, they have been able to consistently obtain relatively risk free returns of between 35% to 40% annually. Plaintiffs claim that they would have been able to continue to maintain such returns on the account values of their annuity contracts over the remaining terms of the annuity contracts (which are based in part on the lives of the named annuitants). The aggregate account value of plaintiffs’ annuities was approximately $12.8 million in December 2001.

 

We intend to vigorously defend this matter, and regard plaintiffs claims for lost trading profits as being highly speculative and, in any case, subject to an obligation to mitigate damages. In addition, any damages for lost profits should, in our view, terminate as a result of the investment management industry’s and regulators’ actions to eliminate market timing, such as implementing “fair value” pricing. The damage phase of the litigation is currently scheduled to be heard in February 2005.

 

While the monetary damages sought by plaintiffs, if awarded, could have a material adverse effect on our financial position, in our judgment, the outcome is not expected to be material to our financial position, although it could have a material effect on the results of operations for a particular quarter or annual period.

 

52


Table of Contents

We have been named a defendant in various other legal proceedings arising in the normal course of business. We are also involved, from time to time, in investigations and proceedings by governmental and self-regulatory agencies, which currently include the Securities and Exchange Commission’s and the National Association of Securities Dealers’ industry-wide inquiries into “market timing”, “revenue sharing” and other matters, and regulatory inquiries into compensation arrangements with brokers and agents. In our opinion, based on the advice of legal counsel, the ultimate resolutions of such proceedings or investigations will not have a material effect on our financial position, although they could have a material effect on our results of operations for a particular quarter or annual period.

 

Rating Agency Actions

 

Insurance companies are rated by rating agencies to provide both industry participants and insurance consumers information on specific insurance companies. Higher ratings generally indicate the rating agencies’ opinion of better financial stability and a stronger ability to pay claims.

 

We believe that strong ratings are important factors in marketing our products to our agents and customers, since rating information is broadly disseminated and generally used throughout the industry. Insurance company financial strength ratings are assigned to an insurer based upon factors deemed by the rating agencies to be relevant to policyholders and are not directed toward protection of investors. Such ratings are neither a rating of securities nor a recommendation to buy, hold or sell any security.

 

On July 27, 2004, Moody’s upgraded the financial strength ratings of our property and casualty companies, from Baa2 (Adequate) to Baa1 (Adequate). In addition, Moody’s raised our senior debt rating from Ba3 (Questionable) to Ba1 (Questionable), and our Capital Securities rating from B2 (Poor) to Ba2 (Questionable). All ratings from Moody’s were assigned a stable outlook.

 

On June 8, 2004, Standard & Poor’s Rating Services upgraded the financial strength rating of our life companies from B+ (Weak) to BB (Marginal), and reaffirmed the financial strength ratings of our property and casualty companies of BBB+ (Good). In addition, Standard and Poor’s raised our senior debt rating from BB- (Marginal) to BB (Marginal), and our Capital Securities rating from B- (Weak) to B (Weak).

 

In April 2004, Moody’s upgraded the financial strength rating outlook for our property and casualty companies, then rated at Baa2 (Adequate), to a positive outlook and re-affirmed the financial strength ratings of the life companies at Ba1 (Questionable) with a stable outlook.

 

During January 2004, A.M. Best Co. upgraded the financial strength ratings of our property and casualty companies to A- (Excellent) from B++ (Very Good) and life insurance companies to B+ (Very Good) from B- (Fair). In addition, A.M. Best upgraded our senior debt rating to bb+ from bb, our Capital Securities rating to bb- from b+ and our short-term debt rating to AMB-3 from AMB-4 . All ratings from A.M. Best were assigned a “stable” outlook.

 

Risks and Forward-Looking Statements

 

We wish to caution readers that the following important factors, among others, in some cases have affected and in the future could affect our actual results and could cause our actual results for 2004 and beyond to differ materially from historical results and from those expressed in any forward-looking statements made by, or on our behalf. When used in Management’s Discussion and Analysis, the words “believes”, “anticipates”, “expects” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward looking statements. See “Important Factors Regarding Forward-Looking Statements” filed as Exhibit 99-2 to our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the period ended December 31, 2003.

 

53


Table of Contents

The following important factors, among others, in some cases have affected and in the future could affect our actual results, and cause actual results to differ materially from historical or projected results. While any of these factors could affect our business as a whole, we have grouped certain factors by the business segment to which we believe they are most likely to apply.

 

Risks Relating to Our Property and Casualty Insurance Business

 

We generate a significant portion of our total revenues and earnings through our property and casualty insurance subsidiaries. The results of companies in the property and casualty insurance industry historically have been subject to significant fluctuations and uncertainties. Our profitability could be affected significantly by (i) adverse catastrophe experience, severe weather or other unanticipated significant losses; (ii) adverse loss development or loss adjustment expense for events we have insured in either the current or in prior years; (iii) an inability to retain profitable policies in force and attract profitable policies in our Personal Lines segment; (iv) increases in costs, particularly those occurring after the time our products are priced and including construction, automobile, and medical and rehabilitation costs; (v) restrictions on insurance underwriting; and (vi) industry-wide change resulting from current investigations and inquiries relating to compensation arrangements with insurance brokers and agents.

 

Risks Relating to Our Life Companies

 

Our businesses may be affected by (i) lower appreciation or decline in value of our managed investments or the investment markets in general, resulting in reduced variable product assets and related variable product management fees, lapses and increased surrenders, increased DAC amortization, as well as increased cost of guaranteed minimum death benefits; (ii) adverse trends in mortality and morbidity; (iii) possible claims relating to sales practices for insurance and investment products; (iv) earlier than expected withdrawals and changes in redemption patterns from our general account annuities and other insurance products; (v) losses due to foreign currency fluctuations; (vi) the extent to which the performance of the various hedging instruments utilized in our GMDB hedging program do not correlate with the investment performance and underlying annuity sub-accounts; and (vii) the continued availability of equity index futures.

 

We have provided forward looking information relating to the impact of equity market values on certain financial metrics, including among other things, GMDB expenses and DAC amortization and net amount at risk. This information is an estimation only and is based upon matters in effect on September 30, 2004. Actual amounts of these certain financial metrics would vary based upon numerous other factors, including but not limited to, variable product account values, allocation between separate and general accounts, mortality experience, surrender and withdrawal rates and patterns, investment experience and performance of equity and financial markets throughout the period, as well as from period to period.

 

Risks Relating to Our Business Generally

 

Other market fluctuations and general economic, market and political conditions also may negatively affect our business and profitability. These conditions include (i) heightened competition, including the intensification of price competition, the entry of new competitors and the introduction of new products by new and existing competitors, or as the result of consolidation within the financial services industry and the entry of additional financial institutions into the insurance industry; (ii) adverse state and federal legislation or regulation, including decreases in rates, the inability to obtain further rate increases, limitations on premium levels, increases in minimum capital and reserve requirements, benefit mandates, limitations on the ability to manage care and utilization, requirements to write certain classes of business, limitations on the use of credit scoring, such as the recent proposal to ban the use of credit scores with respect to personal lines in Michigan, recent and future changes affecting the tax treatment of insurance and annuity products, restrictions on the use of certain compensation arrangements with agents and brokers, as well as continued compliance with state and federal regulations; (iii) changes in interest rates causing a reduction of investment income or in the market value of interest rate sensitive investments; (iv) failure to obtain new customers, retain existing customers or reductions in policies in force by existing customers; (v) higher service, administrative or general expense due to the need for additional advertising, marketing, administrative or management information systems expenditures; (vi) the inability to attract, or the loss or retirement of key executives; (vii) changes in our liquidity due to changes in asset and liability matching, including the effect of defaults of debt securities; (viii) adverse changes in the ratings obtained from independent rating agencies, such as Moody’s, Standard and Poor’s and A.M. Best; (ix) failure of a reinsurer of our policies to pay its liabilities under reinsurance or coinsurance contracts or adverse effects on the cost and availability of reinsurance; (x) changes in the mix of assets comprising our investment portfolios and changes in general market conditions that may cause the market value of our investment portfolio to fluctuate; (xi) losses resulting from our participation in certain reinsurance pools; (xii) defaults or impairments of debt securities held by us; (xiii) higher employee benefit costs due to changes in market values of plan assets, interest rates and employee compensation levels; (xiv) the effects of our restructuring actions, including any resulting from the cessation of retail sales through VeraVest or from our review of operational matters related to our business, including a review of our markets, products,

 

54


Table of Contents

organization, financial capabilities, agency management, regulatory environment, ancillary businesses and service processes; and (xv) interruptions in our ability to conduct business as a result of terrorist actions, catastrophes or other significant events affecting infrastructure, and delays in recovery of our operating capabilities.

 

In addition, except where required or permitted by applicable accounting principles, components of our consolidated balance sheets are not marked to market or otherwise intended to reflect our estimates of the fair market or disposition value of such assets or liabilities or the related businesses. The recorded value of certain assets, such as deferred acquisitions costs, deferred federal income taxes and goodwill, and certain liabilities such as guaranteed minimum death benefit reserves, reflect the application of our assumptions to generally accepted accounting principles. See “Critical Accounting Principles” in this Managements’s Discussion and Analysis and in our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2003, and the Notes to the Interim Consolidated Financial Statements included in Form 10-Q and to the Consolidated Financial Statements included in Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2003. Accordingly, in the event of a disposition of all or a portion of any such assets, liabilities or related businesses, the value obtainable in such a transaction may differ materially from the value reflected in our consolidated financial statements, which would in turn have a material impact on Shareholders’ Equity and book value per share. From time to time management evaluates strategic options for the Life Companies, which options could include the disposition of all or a portion of such business. In the event of such a disposition, it is management’s expectation that the realizable value would be substantially and materially lower than the value reflected in Shareholders’ Equity in our Consolidated Balance Sheets.

 

55


Table of Contents

Glossary of Selected Insurance Terms

 

Annuity contracts – An annuity contract is an arrangement whereby an annuitant is guaranteed to receive a series of stipulated amounts commencing either immediately or at some future date. Annuity contracts can be issued to individuals or to groups.

 

Benefit payments – Payments made to an insured or their beneficiary in accordance with the terms of an insurance policy.

 

Casualty insurance – Insurance that is primarily concerned with the losses caused by injuries to third persons and their property (other than the policyholder) and the related legal liability of the insured for such losses.

 

Catastrophe – A single event that causes our property and casualty companies both a significant number of claims (175 or more) and $500,000 or more in insured property damage losses.

 

Cede; cedent; ceding company – When a party reinsures its liability with another, it “cedes” business and is referred to as the “cedent” or “ceding company”.

 

Closed Block – Consists of certain individual life insurance participating policies, individual deferred annuity contracts and supplementary contracts not involving life contingencies which were in force as of FAFLIC’s demutualization in 1995. The purpose of this block of business is to protect the policy dividend expectations of such FAFLIC dividend paying policies and contracts. The closed block will be in effect until none of the closed block policies are in force, unless an earlier date is agreed to by the Massachusetts Insurance Commissioner.

 

Combined ratio, Statutory – This ratio is widely used as a benchmark for determining an insurer’s underwriting performance. A ratio below 100% generally indicates profitable underwriting prior to the consideration of investment income. A combined ratio over 100% generally indicates unprofitable underwriting prior to the consideration of investment income. The combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio, the loss adjustment expense ratio, and the underwriting expense ratio.

 

Dividends received deduction – A corporation is entitled to a special tax deduction from gross income for dividends received from a domestic corporation that is subject to income tax.

 

Earned premium – The portion of a premium that is recognized as income, or earned, based on the expired portion of the policy period, that is, the period for which loss coverage has actually been provided. For example, after six months, $50 of a $100 annual premium is considered earned premium. The remaining $50 of annual premium is unearned premium. Net earned premium is earned premium net of reinsurance.

 

Excess of loss reinsurance – Reinsurance that indemnifies the insured against all or a specific portion of losses under reinsured policies in excess of a specified dollar amount or “retention”.

 

Frequency – The number of claims occurring during a given coverage period.

 

Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefit (GMDB) – A contract feature, which provides annuity contractholders with a guarantee that the benefit received at death will be no less than a prescribed minimum amount. This minimum amount is based on either the net deposits paid into the contract, the net deposits accumulated at a specified rate, the highest historical account value on a contract anniversary, or more typically, the greatest of these values.

 

Loss adjustment expenses (LAE) – Expenses incurred in the adjusting, recording, and settlement of claims. These expenses include both internal company expenses and outside services. Examples of LAE include claims adjustment services, adjuster salaries and fringe benefits, legal fees and court costs, investigation fees, and claims processing fees.

 

Loss adjustment expense ratio, Statutory – The ratio of loss adjustment expenses to earned premiums for a given period.

 

Loss costs – An amount of money paid for a property and casualty claim.

 

Loss ratio, Statutory – The ratio of losses to premiums earned for a given period.

 

Loss reserves – Liabilities established by insurers to reflect the estimated cost of claims payments and the related expenses that the insurer will ultimately be required to pay in respect of insurance it has written. Reserves are established for losses and for LAE.

 

Net premium rate increase – A measure of the estimated earnings impact of increasing premium rates charged to property and casualty policyholders. This measure includes the estimated increase in revenue associated with higher prices (premiums), including those caused by price inflation and changes in exposure, partially offset by higher volume driven expenses and inflation of loss costs. Volume driven expenses include policy acquisition costs such as commissions paid to property and casualty agents which are typically based on a percentage of premium dollars.

 

Peril – A cause of loss.

 

56


Table of Contents

Property insurance – Insurance that provides coverage for tangible property in the event of loss, damage or loss of use.

 

Rates – The pricing factor upon which the policyholder’s premium is based.

 

Registered representative – Salesperson of a broker/dealer. Salespeople are registered with the Centralized Registration Depository, a system operated by the National Association of Securities Dealers, that maintains registration information regarding broker/dealers and their registered personnel.

 

Reinsurance – An arrangement in which an insurance company, the reinsurer, agrees to indemnify another insurance or reinsurance company, the ceding company, against all or a portion of the insurance or reinsurance risks underwritten by the ceding company under one or more policies. Reinsurance can provide a ceding company with several benefits, including a reduction in net liability on risks and catastrophe protection from large or multiple losses. Reinsurance does not legally discharge the primary insurer from its liability with respect to its obligations to the insured.

 

Reversion-to-the-mean – Actuarial approach to develop estimates of future returns, which assumes that the market will return to an average gross long-term return estimate, developed with reference to historical long-term equity market performance and subject to assessment of the reasonableness of resulting estimates of future return assumptions. For purposes of making this reasonableness assessment, we have set limitations as to maximum and minimum future rates of return assumptions, as well as the duration of use of these maximum or minimum rates of return.

 

Separate accounts – An investment account that is maintained separately from an insurer’s general investment portfolio and that allows the insurer to manage the funds placed in variable life insurance policies and variable annuity policies. Policyholders direct the investment of policy funds among the different types of separate accounts available from the insurer.

 

Severity – A monetary increase in the loss costs associated with the same or similar type of event or coverage.

 

Statutory accounting principles – Recording transactions and preparing financial statements in accordance with the rules and procedures prescribed or permitted by insurance regulatory authorities including the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (“NAIC”), which in general reflect a liquidating, rather than going concern, concept of accounting.

 

Surrender or withdrawal – Surrenders of life insurance policies and annuity contracts for their entire net cash surrender values and withdrawals of a portion of such values.

 

Underwriting – The process of selecting risks for insurance and determining in what amounts and on what terms the insurance company will accept risks.

 

Underwriting expenses – Expenses incurred in connection with the acquisition, pricing, and administration of a policy.

 

Underwriting expense ratio, Statutory – This ratio reflects underwriting expenses to written premiums.

 

Unearned premiums – The portion of a premium representing the unexpired amount of the contract term as of a certain date.

 

Variable annuity – An annuity which includes a provision for benefit payments to vary according to the investment experience of the separate account in which the amounts paid to provide for this annuity are allocated.

 

Written premium – The premium assessed for the entire coverage period of a property and casualty policy without regard to how much of the premium has been earned. See also earned premium. Net written premium is written premium net of reinsurance.

 

57


Table of Contents

 

PART I – FINANCIAL INFORMATION

ITEM 3

 

QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES

ABOUT MARKET RISK

 

Our market risks, and the ways we manage them, are summarized in Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations as of December 31, 2003, included in our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2003. There have been no material changes in the first nine months of 2004 to such risks or our management of such risks.

 

ITEM 4

 

CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES

 

Based on their evaluation, as of the end of the period covered by this report, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer have concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures were effective. There have been no significant changes in internal controls or in other factors that could significantly affect these controls subsequent to the date of their evaluation.

 

58


Table of Contents

 

PART II - OTHER INFORMATION

 

ITEM 1 - LEGAL PROCEEDINGS

 

On July 24, 2002, an action captioned American National Bank and Trust Company of Chicago, as Trustee f/b/o Emerald Investments Limited Partnership, and Emerald Investments Limited Partnership v. Allmerica Financial Life Insurance and Annuity Company, was commenced in the United States District Court for the Northern District of Illinois, Eastern Division. In 1999, plaintiffs purchased two variable annuity contracts with initial premiums aggregating $5 million. Plaintiffs, who AFLIAC subsequently identified as engaging in frequent transfers of significant sums between sub-accounts that in our opinion constituted “market timing”, were subject to restrictions upon such trading that we imposed in December 2001. Plaintiffs allege that such restrictions constituted a breach of the terms of the annuity contracts. In December 2003, the court granted partial summary judgment to the plaintiffs, holding that at least certain restrictions imposed on their trading activities violated the terms of the annuity contracts. We filed a motion for reconsideration and clarification of the court’s partial summary judgment opinion, which was denied on April 8, 2004.

 

On May 19, 2004, plaintiffs filed a Brief Statement of Damages in which, without quantifying their damage claim, they outlined a claim for (i) amounts totaling $150,000 for surrender charges imposed on the partial surrender by plaintiffs of the annuity contracts, (ii) loss of trading profits they expected over the remaining term of each annuity contract, and (iii) lost trading profits resulting from our alleged refusal to process five specific transfers in 2002 because of trading restrictions imposed on market timers. With respect to the lost profits, plaintiffs claim that pursuant to their trading strategy of transferring money from money market accounts to international equity accounts and back again to money market accounts, they have been able to consistently obtain relatively risk free returns of between 35% to 40% annually. Plaintiffs claim that they would have been able to continue to maintain such returns on the account values of their annuity contracts over the remaining terms of the annuity contracts (which are based in part on the lives of the named annuitants). The aggregate account value of plaintiffs’ annuities was approximately $12.8 million in December 2001.

 

We intend to vigorously defend this matter, and regard plaintiffs claims for lost trading profits as being highly speculative and, in any case, subject to an obligation to mitigate damages. In addition, any damages for lost profits should, in our view, terminate as a result of the investment management industry’s and regulators’ actions to eliminate market timing, such as implementing “fair value” pricing. The damage phase of the litigation is currently scheduled to be heard in February 2005.

 

While the monetary damages sought by plaintiffs, if awarded, could have a material adverse effect on our financial position, in our judgment, the outcome is not expected to be material to our financial position, although it could have a material effect on the results of operations for a particular quarter or annual period.

 

ITEM 2 – UNREGISTERED SALES OF EQUITY SECURITIES AND USE OF PROCEEDS

 

(c) Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities

 

Period


   Total Number of
Shares Purchased


  

Average Price

Paid per Share


   Total Number of
Shares Purchased as
Part of Publicly
Announced Plans or
Programs


   Maximum Number of
Shares That May Yet
be Purchased Under the
Plans or Programs


July 1 – 31, 2004

   —      $ —      —      —  

August 1 – 31, 2004

   —        —      —      —  

September 1 – 30, 2004

   —        —      —      —  
    
  

  
  

Total

   —      $ —      —      —  
    
  

  
  

 

59


Table of Contents

 

ITEM 6 - EXHIBITS

 

EX – 10.63    Short-Term Incentive Compensation Plan incorporated herein by reference to Exhibit A contained in the Registrant’s Proxy Statement (Commission File No. 001-13754) originally filed with the Commission on April 5, 2004.
EX – 31.1    Certification of the Chief Executive Officer, pursuant to 15 U.S.C. 78m, 78o(d), as adopted pursuant to section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
EX – 31.2    Certification of the Chief Financial Officer, pursuant to 15 U.S.C. 78m, 78o(d), as adopted pursuant to section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
EX – 32.1    Certification of the Chief Executive Officer, pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.
EX – 32.2    Certification of the Chief Financial Officer, pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002.

 

60


Table of Contents

SIGNATURES

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

 

Dated November 4, 2004

 

Allmerica Financial Corporation

Registrant

/s/    FREDERICK H. EPPINGER, JR.        
Frederick H. Eppinger, Jr.

President, Chief Executive Officer

and Director

 

Dated November 4, 2004

 

/s/    EDWARD J. PARRY, III        
Edward J. Parry, III
Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President,
Principal Accounting Officer and Director

 

61