EX-99.(C)(1) 5 d49340aexv99wxcyx1y.htm APPRAISAL exv99wxcyx1y
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Exhibit 99(c)(1)
(KTR LOGO)
COMPLETE APPRAISAL
SUMMARY APPRAISAL REPORT OF
FOX RUN APARTMENTS
PLAINSBORO, NEW JERSEY 08536
PREPARED FOR:
AIMCO
4582 S. ULSTER STREET PARKWAY
DENVER, COLORADO 80237
As of:
January 19, 2007
KTR JOB NO. 7-6-06519C

 


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(KTR LOGO)
March 9, 2007

Ms. Martha Long
Senior Vice President
Apartment Investment and Management Company
4582 S. Ulster Street Parkway, Suite 1100
Denver, Colorado 80237
     
Re:
  Fox Run Apartments
 
  60 Fox Run Drive
 
  Plainsboro, New Jersey 08536
Dear Ms. Long:
At your request, KTR Valuation & Consulting Services, LLC has appraised the above referenced property. The purpose of the appraisal is to estimate the Market Value of the leased fee interest in the subject property, free and clear of financing, as of January 19, 2007.
The subject property consists of a 46.409-acre site improved with a 776-unit garden apartment complex comprised of 58 two-story buildings. The property is known as Fox Run Apartments and was constructed in 1972 and 1973. The property contains a mix of one and two-bedroom unit types, with an average unit size of 713 square feet. The property has a good suburban location in a primarily residential setting near parks and schools. Quality and condition are average.
The following report contains information considered relevant to the valuation of the property and the methods by which collected data have been analyzed in arriving at our value conclusion. Our analysis included an inspection of the premises, interviews with knowledgeable market participants, a review of historical income and expense statements, the current rent roll, and other relevant financial and market information. As an income-producing property, greatest reliance is placed upon the value derived through the Income Capitalization Approach, with support provided by the conclusion rendered through implementation of the Sales Comparison Approach.
This appraisal report has been prepared in order to comply with the reporting requirements set forth under Standards Rule 2-2(b) of the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP) for a Complete Appraisal in Summary Report format. As such, it presents only summary discussions of the data, reasoning, and analyses that were used in the appraisal process to develop the appraiser’s opinion of value. Supporting documentation not presented herein has been retained in the appraiser’s file. The depth of discussion contained in this report is specific to the needs of the client and for the intended use stated herein.
Continued...
33 Wood Avenue South, Suite 600, Iselin, NJ 08830
t e l 732.321.4235 f a x 732.321.6562
w w w . f i r s t a m . c o m

 


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(KTR LOGO)
     
Ms. Martha Long
  March 9, 2007
Apartment Investment and Management Company
  Page 2
The attached Summary Appraisal Report describes our investigation and analyses, together with Certification, Basic Assumptions and Limiting Conditions, upon which we have based our opinion that the market value of the Leased Fee Estate of the subject property, as of January 19, 2007, was:
ONE HUNDRED TWO MILLION THREE HUNDRED THOUSAND DOLLARS
($ 102,300,000)
It has been a pleasure to be of service to you. Please do not hesitate to call with any questions you may have regarding our assumptions, observations or conclusion.
Very truly yours,
KTR VALUATION & CONSULTING SERVICES, LLC
-s- John J. DeFoe
     
By:
  John J. DeFoe, MAI
 
  Senior Managing Director
 
  NJ Certification #RG01246

 


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Fox Run Apartments   January 19, 2007
Plainsboro, New Jersey   Page i
CERTIFICATE OF VALUE
I, John J. DeFoe, MAI certify that to the best of my knowledge and belief:
The statements of fact contained in this appraisal are true and correct.
The reported analyses, opinions, and conclusions are limited only by the reported assumptions and limiting conditions, and are my personal, unbiased professional analyses, opinions, and conclusions.
I have no present or prospective interest in the property that is the subject property of this appraisal, and I have no personal interest or bias with respect to the parties involved.
My compensation is not contingent upon the reporting of a predetermined value or direction in value that favors the cause of the client, the amount of value estimate, the attainment of a stipulated result, or the occurrence of a subsequent event
My analyses, opinions, and conclusions were developed, and this report has been prepared, in conformity with the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (USPAP) as promulgated by the Appraisal Standards Board of the Appraisal Foundation, the Code of Professional Ethics and the Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice of the Appraisal Institute, and Title XI (and amendments) of the Financial Institutions Reform, Recovery and Enforcement Act of 1989 (FIRREA) effective August 9, 1990.
I have made a personal inspection of the property that is the subject of this appraisal. No one provided significant professional assistance in the completion of this appraisal.
This appraisal was not prepared in conjunction with a request for a specific value or a value within a given range or predicated upon loan approval.
I have the knowledge and experience necessary to perform this appraisal assignment and have previously appraised this type of property.
As of the date of this appraisal, I have completed the requirements under the continuing education program of the Appraisal Institute.
The use of this report is subject to the requirements of the Appraisal Institute relating to review its duly authorized representatives.
KTR VALUATION & CONSULTING SERVICES, LLC
-s- John J. DeFoe
     
By:
  John J. DeFoe, MAI
 
  Senior Managing Director
 
  NJ Certification #RG01246

 


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Fox Run Apartments   January 19, 2007
Plainsboro, New Jersey   Page ii
BASIC ASSUMPTIONS AND LIMITING CONDITIONS
This Appraisal Report is subject to underlying assumptions and limiting conditions qualifying the information contained in the Report as follows:
The valuation estimates apply only to the property specifically identified and described in the ensuing Report.
Information and data contained in the Report, although obtained from public record and other reliable sources and where possible, carefully checked by the Appraiser, are accepted as satisfactory evidence upon which rests the final expression of property value.
The Appraiser has made no legal survey nor has he commissioned one to be prepared and therefore, reference to a sketch, plat, diagram or previous survey appearing in the Report is only for the purpose of assisting the reader in visualizing the property.
It is assumed that all information known to the client and relative to the valuation has been accurately furnished and that there are no undisclosed leases, agreements, liens or other encumbrances affecting the use of the property.
Ownership and management are assumed to be competent and in responsible hands.
No responsibility beyond reasonableness is assumed for matters of a legal nature, whether existing or pending.
Information identified as being furnished or prepared by others is believed to be reliable but no responsibility for its accuracy is assumed.
The Appraiser, by reason of this appraisal, shall not be required to give testimony as an expert witness in any legal hearing or before any court of law unless justly and fairly compensated for such service.
By reason of the Purpose of the Appraisal or Function of the Report herein set forth, the value reported is only applicable to the Property Rights Appraised and the Appraisal Report should not be used for any other purpose.
Disclosure of the contents of this report is governed by the by-laws and Regulations of the Appraisal Institute.
Unless otherwise stated in this report, the existence of hazardous material, which may or may not be present on the property, was not observed by the appraiser. The appraiser has no knowledge of the existence of such materials on or in the property. The appraiser, however, is not qualified to detect such substances. The presence of substances such as asbestos, urea-formaldehyde foam insulation or other potentially hazardous materials may affect the value of the property. Any value estimate is predicated on the assumption that there is no such material on or in the property that would cause a loss in value. No responsibility is assumed for any such conditions, or for any expertise or engineering knowledge required to discover them. The client is urged to retain an expert in this field, if desired.

 


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Fox Run Apartments   January 19, 2007
Plainsboro, New Jersey   Page iii
In arriving at the value set forth in this appraisal no consideration has been given to the effect of state, local or federal income and gains taxes or of occupancy, hotel, capital levy, gift, estate, succession, inheritance or similar taxes which may be imposed upon any owner, lessee, or mortgagee by reason of any sale, conveyance, transfer, leasing, hypothecation, mortgage, pledge or other disposition of the appraised property.
The appraiser was not provided architectural plans for the subject property, thus the square footage as indicated on the rent roll, marketing brochures, and unit mix provided by the client has been utilized. In the event this information is inaccurate, we reserve the right to modify this appraisal if so warranted.
This report has been prepared exclusively for the use of our client, Apartment Investment and Management Company. It is not to be relied upon by any third party for any purpose.

 


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Fox Run Apartments   January 19, 2007
Plainsboro, New Jersey   Page iv
SUBJECT PROPERTY PHOTOGRAPH
(GRAPHIC)

 


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Fox Run Apartments   January 19, 2007
Plainsboro, New Jersey   Page v
LOCATION MAP
(MAP)

 


 

Fox Run Apartments   January 19, 2007
Plainsboro, New Jersey   Page vi
TABLE OF CONTENTS
         
Title Page
       
Letter of Transmittal
       
     i  
  ii  
  iv  
     v  
  vi  
 
       
    1  
    2  
    4  
    13  
    16  
    18  
    20  
    26  
 
       
    27  
    28  
    33  
    35  
ADDENDA
Additional Subject Photographs
Tax Map
Aerial Photograph
Appraiser Qualifications

 


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Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 1
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
     
Property:
  Fox Run Apartments
 
   
Location:
  60 Fox Run Drive, Plainsboro, New Jersey 08536
 
   
Purpose of Appraisal:
  To estimate the Market Value of the subject property as of the date of value.
 
   
Date of Value:
  January 19, 2007
 
   
Date of Report:
  March 9, 2007
 
   
Interest Appraised:
  Leased Fee Estate
 
   
Description of Property:
  The subject property consists of a 46.409-acre site improved with a 776- unit garden apartment complex comprised of 58 two-story buildings. The property is known as Fox Run Apartments and was constructed in 1972 and 1973. The property contains a mix of one and two-bedroom unit types, with an average unit size of 713 square feet. The property has a good suburban location in a primarily residential setting near parks and schools. Quality and condition are average.
 
   
Zoning:
  The subject site is located within the PCD Planned Development Zone. The subject is a legal conforming use within this district.
 
   
Flood Zone:
  According to the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map Number 340275 0004B, dated June 19, 1985, all or nearly all the subject site is located within Zone C, an area of minimal flooding. It appears that a small area of the southern portion of the site which borders Plainsboro Pond may lie within Zone A, an area of 100-year flooding. Since this Portion of the site is unimproved, its potential location in a flood zone does not diminish the utility or marketability of the existing improvements. A survey is recommended to definitively determine the subject’s flood zone status.
 
   
Highest and Best Use:
  Multifamily residential development.
 
   
Marketing Period:
  Less than 12 months
         
Final Estimate of Market Value, by Approach
       
Cost Approach:
    N/A  
Sales Comparison Approach:
  $ 102,400,000  
Income Approach:
  $ 102,300,000  
Final Estimate of Market Value:
  $ 102,300,000  

 


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Fox Run Apartments   January 19, 2007
Plainsboro, New Jersey   Page 2
INTRODUCTION AND PREMISES OF THE APPRAISAL
SCOPE OF THE ASSIGNMENT
According to the Appraisal Institute’s Code of Professional Ethics and Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice, the scope of the appraisal is cited as “the extent of the process of collecting, confirming, and reporting data” included in an appraisal report. The scope of this appraisal employs all applicable appraisal techniques and constitutes a Complete Appraisal as defined by USPAP. The presentation of data, analyses and conclusions are presented in summary report format.
The data included in this report has been researched from the subject property’s influencing market. County and City officials were interviewed regarding taxes, zoning requirements, flood zone information, demographic data, planned construction, recently completed developments, and other economic impacting events. Market participants, including real estate brokers and property managers, were consulted regarding market parameters and activity. Lenders as well as investor surveys were consulted regarding investment parameters. The Sales Comparison and Income Capitalization Approaches to value have been performed in estimating the Market Value of the subject. Leasing agents for the competitive complexes were interviewed regarding property specific information. Supply and demand factors affecting the local market have been analyzed.
PURPOSE AND USE OF APPRAISAL
The purpose of the appraisal is to estimate the market value of the leased fee estate in the subject property as of January 19, 2007. It is for the internal use of AIMCO to facilitate asset evaluation.
PROPERTY RIGHTS APPRAISED
The property interest appraised is that of the Leased Fee Estate. A Leased Fee Estate is defined by The Dictionary of Real Estate Appraisal, Second Edition AIREA, as:
“An ownership interest held by a landlord with the right of use and occupancy conveyed by lease to others; the rights of lessor (the leased fee owner) and leased fee are specified by contract terms contained within the lease.”
MARKETING PERIOD
The value conclusion reported herein assumes a marketing period of less than one year. According to the Korpacz Real Estate Investor Survey, 4th Quarter 2006, apartment properties in the national market have an average marketing time of 5.73 months. This estimate seems reasonable, given the recent market activity and the subject profile.
PROPERTY HISTORY
The subject property is owned by Fox Run XI. The current improvements were reportedly constructed in 1972 and 1973. There have been no transfers of ownership within the three-year period prior to the date of value. It is our understanding that the subject property is not listed for sale and we are not aware of any contracts of sale pending at this time.
MOST LIKELY BUYER
National and regional investors typically purchase multifamily properties of this size in markets such as the subject.

 


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Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 3
DEFINITION OF MARKET VALUE
Market Value, as approved and adopted by the Appraisal Foundation in the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice is as follows:
“The most probable price which a property should bring in a competitive and open market under all conditions requisite to a fair sale, the buyer and seller each acting prudently and knowledgeably, and assuming the price is not affected by undue stimulus.
Implicit in this definition is the consummation of a sale as of a specified date and the passing of title from seller to buyer under conditions whereby:
  1.   buyer and seller are typically motivated;
 
  2.   both parties are well-informed or well advised, and acting in what they consider their best interests;
 
  3.   a reasonable time is allowed for exposure in the open market;
 
  4.   payment is made in terms of cash in United States dollars or in terms of financial arrangements comparable thereto; and
 
  5.   the price represents the normal consideration for the property sold unaffected by special or creative financing or sales concessions granted by anyone associated with the sale.”

 


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Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 4
ECONOMIC BASE ANALYSIS
The subject property is situated in the Township of Plainsboro, Middlesex County, New Jersey. Middlesex County is located in Northern New Jersey.
Generally defined as the eleven-county region in New Jersey (Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Hunterdon, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Passaic, Somerset, Sussex and Union), Northern New Jersey is an integral component of the larger New York Metropolitan area. Centrally located in the Boston to Washington corridor, the region combines excellent transportation links, a diverse and educated work force, a range of housing and proximity to New York City and Philadelphia.
The region is one of contrast and change. In the west, Hunterdon and Sussex counties remain basically rural with much of the area composed of farmland, forests, rolling hills and valleys, and lakes and rivers, although suburbia has begun to put pressure on open space. To the east, in Morris, Somerset and Passaic Counties, the land use is more suburban, with a heavier concentration of population and industry. Passaic County, the birthplace of the American Industrial Revolution, has an old industrial base and a population largely concentrated in Clifton, Passaic and Paterson, three of New Jersey’s larger cities. Morris and Somerset counties are more suburban, with smaller manufacturing bases. Monmouth County is the region’s summer playground, with its beaches on the Atlantic Ocean. Home to major corporate headquarters, financial institutions and research and development activity, these counties have a highly skilled labor force and some of the lowest unemployment rates in the state. Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Middlesex and Union counties are suburban to urban, housing 68.0% of the region’s population and 41.0% of the state’s population. Separated from New York by the Hudson River and Raritan Bay, the eastern portions of these counties (especially Bergen and Hudson) contain some of the most densely developed land in the nation.

 


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Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 5
REGIONAL MAP
(MAP)
New Jersey is the nation’s most densely populated state. Approximately 6 million people live in Northern New Jersey and the region houses two thirds of the entire state population. At this point, future growth in many areas is restricted by land costs and infrastructure limitations including traffic congestion, water and sewer shortages and waste disposal restraints. Out migration from the heavily urbanized northeastern counties to the suburban and rural western and southern counties is expected to continue in the coming decade. Growth will be concentrated in the central counties of Middlesex and Somerset along the established transportation corridors of I-287, I-78 and Route 1. New household formations are expected to be concentrated in Bergen, Morris and Middlesex counties. These three counties will gain 153,000, well over half of the total number of new households.

 


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Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 6
Northern New Jersey Population Projections
                                                 
                                            % Change
County   1998   2005   2008   2010   2015   1998-2005
Bergen
    875,200       905,600       918,800       928,800       953,500       3.47 %
Essex
    766,400       778,400       783,600       787,000       800,600       1.57 %
Hudson
    570,100       586,300       599,500       605,700       624,300       2.84 %
Hunterdon
    125,900       134,300       137,500       13,900       148,200       6.67 %
Middlesex
    731,400       773,300       792,400       804,300       840,600       5.73 %
Monmouth
    617,900       658,300       674,500       685,400       714,100       6.54 %
Morris
    470,700       500,500       512,500       520,600       545,400       6.33 %
Passaic
    494,900       498,600       501,100       503,800       505,300       75.00 %
Somerset
    291,300       326,800       340,400       348,600       377,100       12.19 %
Sussex
    146,600       155,800       159,400       162,100       171,200       6.28 %
Union
    509,900       521,600       526,800       530,700       536,100       2.29 %
Source: NJ Dept. of Labor
According to estimates from the US Bureau of the Census, the number of persons living in the region rose by 103,080 from April 2000 to total 5,800,716 in July 2002, an increase of 1.8% compared with the state’s 2.1%. Within the region, Middlesex County posted the largest numeric gain, increasing by 25,387 to 775,549. Other counties with significant growth included Monmouth (14,535), Somerset (12,396) and Bergen (10,973). Population growth was positive for the entire 11-county Northern New Jersey Region. Per capita income in the 11-county northern region was an estimated $42,638 in 2001 (the latest data available on a county level), higher than both the state ($38,625) and nation ($30,413). Incomes in the region are high due, in significant part, to well paying jobs in New York City where many residents work and to the presence of a number of major corporate headquarters, financial institutions and research and development facilities. Seven of the top ten counties with the highest per capita incomes in the state are located in the region. Bergen, Hunterdon, Morris, and Somerset are ranked among the top 50 of the nation’s highest per capita counties.
Transportation
The metropolitan region benefits from a vast transportation infrastructure that has historically provided its framework for growth. The Port of New York/New Jersey is the nation’s largest in terms of both total tonnage and the dollar value of freight hauled. Port Newark/Elizabeth accounts for more than 75% of the total tonnage that moves through New York Harbor and occupies an area in excess of 2,200 acres, providing docking services for over 2,500 ships annually. It is directly accessible to Newark International Airport, the New Jersey Turnpike (Interstate 95) and connecting highways. A dredging project is underway that will provide a 45-foot depth, permitting the next generation of container ships to access the port. In 2001, the Port of New York/New Jersey handled 20 million tons of general cargo including nearly 3.3 million TEUs (20-foot equivalent units) of containerized cargo.
Port Newark and the Elizabeth Port Authority Marine Terminal operate as one fully integrated marine terminal, forming the largest and most comprehensive collection of maritime cargo handling facilities on the East Coast of North America. The entire complex is part of Foreign-Trade Zone No. 49, operated by the Port Authority of New York & New Jersey. Located on the western shore of Newark Bay in Essex and Union counties in New Jersey, the Newark/Elizabeth facility encompasses a full range of maritime commerce activities: major container handling terminals, automobile processing and storage facilities, liquid and solid bulk terminals, break bulk facilities, warehousing and distribution buildings, trucking firms, and an on-dock rail terminal.

 


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Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 7
The leading airports in the area are Newark International Airport in northern New Jersey, and Kennedy International and LaGuardia Airports in New York City’s Borough of Queens, and Philadelphia International Airport, in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Newark International Airport was recently renamed Newark Liberty International Airport, and is currently undergoing a $3.8 billion development program that includes the recently completed extension of the AirTrain system, completion of a second International Arrivals Facility, modernizing passenger terminals, improving airport access, expanding roadways, additional parking, and improving runways and taxiways.
Public mass transit needs are served by extensive commuter rail and bus networks, which are primarily designed to provide commuter service between the suburbs and Manhattan. The NJ Transit and the PATH railway systems service the New Jersey suburbs. Covering a service area of 5,325 square miles, NJ Transit is the nation’s third largest provider of bus, rail and light rail transit, linking major points in New Jersey, New York and Philadelphia. The agency’s fleet of 2,025 buses, 614 trains and 45 light rail vehicles serves more than 380,500 customers daily. On 238 bus routes and 12 rail lines statewide, NJ Transit provides nearly 224 million passenger trips each year.
Significant interstate highways serving the Northern New Jersey region include Interstate 95, which connects the area with other cities along the eastern seaboard, Interstate 80, which extends west to Pennsylvania from a junction in northern New Jersey with Interstate 95; Interstate 78, which provides access to New York City via Staten Island and to Pennsylvania to the west; Interstate 287 (completed in late 1993) which provides a western circumferential route around New York City for long distance auto and truck traffic; and Interstate 87, which provides access to New York City from upstate New York and Canada.
Economy and Employment
Northern New Jersey enjoys a highly diverse economy. As of 2003, the New Jersey Department of Labor estimated a work force totaling 2,989,400.
Companies with a presence in the region include a significant number of pharmaceutical companies, such as Aventis Pharma AG and Novartis Pharmeceuticals, which both have their U.S. headquarters in New Jersey, and a thriving R&D sector. New Jersey ranks first nationally in the manufacturing of pharmaceutical products, with 40% of all new drugs approved by the Federal Drug Administration coming from the state. The eastern most counties of Hudson, Essex, and Union include a large industrial sector.
Employment growth by sector for the entire state over the past year is summarized in the following table.

 


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Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 8
New Jersey Non-farm Employment Estimates
                         
Sector   Dec. ’05   Dec. ’06   Change
Total Nonfarm
    4,101,500       4,122,000       20,500  
Total Private Sector
    3,446,900       3,462,600       15,700  
Goods Producing
    499,300       489,400       -9,900  
Natural Resources and Mining
    1,800       1,900       100  
Construction
    172,600       173,400       800  
Manufacturing
    324,900       314,100       -10,800  
Service-Providing
    3,602,200       3,632,600       30,400  
Private Service-Providing
    2,947,600       2,973,200       25,600  
Trade, Transportation, & Utilities
    910,600       909,100       -1,500  
Information
    97,400       94,400       -3,000  
Financial Activities
    283,800       284,800       1,000  
Professional and Business Services
    597,900       607,700       9,800  
Educational and Health Services
    569,300       580,700       11,400  
Leisure and Hospitality
    329,900       335,900       6,000  
Other Services
    158,700       160,600       1,9100  
Total Government
    654,600       659,400       4,800  
Source: NJ Department of Labor
New Jersey’s non-farm employment increased by 20,500, or nearly 0.5%, in 2006. State employment is at an all-time high. The state has regained all of the jobs lost during the national recession, and added more jobs. The December 2006 unemployment rate was 4.2% for the state, and 4.5% for the nation.
With a continued economic rebound expected, the State Department of Labor projects regional employment growth of 11% by 2008, with the majority of new jobs coming in the services, professional/technical and sales sectors.
Conclusion
The region is experiencing positive growth in all sectors of the economy, excluding manufacturing, which is being restructured primarily in response to foreign competition. Employment is at an all time high, above the records set during the boom of the late 1990’s. Services and trade should remain strong due to the region’s location, extensive transportation network, and a highly educated workforce that continue to attract new businesses. Furthermore, the region’s wholesale trade should benefit from strong growth in many emerging economies and in international trade.
County Analysis
Middlesex County is situated within the central-easterly portion of New Jersey and is bordered by Union County to the north, Somerset County and Mercer County to the west, Monmouth County to the south, and Raritan Bay and Staten Island, New York to the east. The county seat, the City of New Brunswick, lies approximately 32 miles southwest of New York City and 70 miles northeast of Philadelphia. The county is comprised of 25 municipalities and contains approximately 318 square miles, making it the 12th largest in size among the state’s 21 counties.
The county is traversed by many major roadways, including the New Jersey Turnpike (Interstate 95), the Garden State Parkway, Interstate 287, and U.S. Routes 1, 9, 18, 27, 35, and 130. Passenger rail and bus lines provide access to Philadelphia, Trenton, Newark, New York City, and various other points. Passenger rail service is provided by New Jersey Transit that provides service along the Northeast

 


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Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 9
Corridor line, the North Jersey Coast Line, and the Raritan Valley Line. Amtrak also provides service between Philadelphia and Newark along the Northeast Corridor line. New Jersey Transit and Suburban Transit provide bus service within the county as well as to New York and Philadelphia. Newark International Airport, John F. Kennedy International Airport (in New York City), and LaGuardia Airport (also located in New York City) provide service to county residents.
The northern half of the county is densely developed. The southern portion is more rural, with large tracts of vacant and agricultural land and lower density residential development.
Land use within the county is summarized as follows:
Middlesex County Land Use
                 
Class   # Parcels   % Valuation
Vacant
    20,729       4.00  
Residential
    172,682       57.98  
Farm
    1,819       .33  
Commercial
    7,885       13.28  
Industrial
    2,180       19.10  
Apartment
    669       5.32  
Total
    205,964          
Source: NJ Municipal Data Book
Much of the rural land in the county’s southern areas is being converted to residential or commercial uses. This trend is expected to continue, as businesses and population seek to escape the congestion and social problems of the state’s urbanized northern areas.
Population
The county enjoys steady population growth, due in large part to the ongoing migration from the urbanized northeastern portion of the state to areas south and west. Population growth since 1970 is summarized as follows:
Middlesex County Population Trends
             
1990   2000   2005   2010
671,747
  750,162   800,915   848,816
Source: DemographicsNow
Income
DemographicsNow estimates that median household income in the county was $68,685 as of 2005. Average household income was $103,075.

 


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Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 10
Employment
Growth in employment in the county has coincided with population growth. Much of this employment growth has been in the service sector. Service sector employment gains have been due largely to job growth in health and engineering, management and accounting services. Hospitals account for half of the jobs in health services.
Over the last ten years, Middlesex County’s unemployment rate has been consistently lower than the state and national rates. As of December 2006, the county had an unadjusted unemployment rate of 3.4%, below the state unadjusted unemployment rate of 3.9%.
Major employers in the county are summarized below.
Major Middlesex County Employers
         
Company   Employees
Telecordia Technology
    4,000 - 4,249  
Bristol-Myers Squibb
    3,750 - 3,999  
Merrill Lynch & Company
    3,250 - 3,499  
Prudential Insurance Company
    3,000 - 3,249  
Silverline Building Products
    3,000 - 3,249  
Johnson & Johnson
    2,750 - 2,999  
Robert Wood Johnson University Hospital
    2,750 - 2,999  
AT & T
    2,500 - 2,749  
J.F.K. Medical Center
    2,500 - 2,749  
St. Peter’s University Hospital
    2,250 - 2,499  
Dow Jones & Company
    1,750 - 1,999  
Raritan Bay Medical Center
    1,750 - 1,999  
White Consolidated Industries
    1,750 - 1,999  
Amerada Hess Corporation
    1,500 - 1,749  
Siemens AG
    1,500 - 1,749  
Source: Middlesex County Office of Economic Development

 


Table of Contents

Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 11
AREA MAP
(MAP)
Municipal and Neighborhood Analysis
Plainsboro Township, located in southern Middlesex County, is a growing suburban municipality. Growth has resulted in large part from the township’s location along the dynamic Route One corridor (the state’s largest office submarket).
The township comprises 12.01 square miles and is characterized by agricultural and low-density residential land uses, although there is a significant commercial component in the form of retail, hotel and office development along the Route One corridor.
Median household income as of the 2000 census was $72,097. Population as of 2000 was 20,215, up 42.2% from 1990. Many residents are attracted to the township because of the quality of the local school district, which is consistently ranked among the best in the state.
The subject is located in the southern portion of the township. Other properties in the neighborhood include single-family residences, schools, parks, the township municipal building, and a small business park. Plainsboro Pond borders the subject to the south. The Princeton Junction train station, located less than two miles south of the subject in West Windsor, provides commuter access to New York City. Route One, which features a high concentration of retail and office uses, is located approximately two miles west of the subject.
The subject is very well located for apartment use, given the nature of its neighborhood and its convenient access to shopping and employment.

 


Table of Contents

Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 12
NEIGHBORHOOD MAP
(MAP)

 


Table of Contents

Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 13
SITE ANALYSIS
     
Location
  The site is located along the southern side of Plainsboro Road, approximately 500 feet of its intersection with Edgemere Avenue. The site also features a small amount of frontage along the eastern side of Pond View Road. The site is bordered to the south by Plainsboro Pond.
 
   
Size
  The site comprises 46.409 acres.
 
   
Excess Land
  None
 
   
Topography
  The site’s topography varies, but is generally level and at street grade.
 
   
Street Improvements
  Plainsboro Road is an asphalt paved, two-way lane, concrete curbed thoroughfare.
 
   
Desirability of Location
  Good
 
   
Access to Major Arteries
  Good
 
   
Access to Local Arteries
  Good
 
   
Curb Appeal
  Good
 
   
Ingress/Egress
  Average
 
   
Visibility from Road
  Average
 
   
Public Transportation
  Average
 
   
Neighborhood Appearance
  Good
 
   
Easements
  The appraisers were not provided with a site survey or title documents that provide information on the existence of easements and encroachments. Other than typical utility easements, visual observation of the site did not reveal the existence of adverse easements or encroachments. However in the absence of a site survey and title documents, the appraiser makes no representation as to the presence of adverse easements or encroachments.
 
   
Soil Conditions
  Visual observation does not indicate any surface or subsurface soil conditions that are unusual for the area. Based on our inspection, it appears that the soil is of adequate load bearing capacity to support the subject improvements. No major foundation cracks were visible upon inspection of the subject improvements that would indicate the subsoil conditions are not stable. No nuisances or hazards were noted.

 


Table of Contents

Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 14
     
Flood Zone:
  According to the FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map Number 3402750004B, dated June 19, 1985, all or nearly all the subject site is located within Zone C, an area of minimal flooding. It appears that a small area of the southern portion of the site along Plainsboro Pond may lie within Zone A, an area of 100-year flooding. Since this portion of the site is unimproved, its potential location in a flood zone does not diminish the utility or marketability of the existing improvements. A survey is recommended to definitively determine the subject’s flood zone status.
 
   
Land Use Restrictions
  The appraisers are unaware of any deed restrictions, which may adversely affect the utility of the subject site; however, this is not a guarantee that such restrictions may exist. Therefore, it is recommended that a current title policy be obtained for the subject property, which would disclose any land use restrictions that may exist.
 
   
Zoning:
  The subject site is located within the PCD Planned Development Zone. The subject is a legal conforming use within this district.

 


Table of Contents

Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 15
REAL ESTATE TAXES
The subject is within the taxing jurisdiction of Plainsboro Township. Taxes are on a calendar year basis. The subject’s assessment and tax information is summarized as follows.
     
Assessor’s I.D.
  Block 2001, Lots 3 & 17
Equalization Rate
  92.63%
Total Assessment
  $45,396,000
Tax rate per $100 of Value
  $2.049 (2006 rate, 2007 rate not yet established).
Annual Taxes
  $930,164
Payment Due Date
  Paid quarterly on a calendar year basis.
The most recent municipal revaluation occurred in 2005. There is no revaluation planned for the near future. Applying the equalization rate to the assessment results in the assessor’s market value estimate of $49,007,881. This is 52.1% below our market value estimate of $102,300,000. As a result, there is the chance that the subject’s tax burden could increase significantly upon reassessment.

 


Table of Contents

Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 16
DESCRIPTION OF IMPROVEMENTS
The subject site is improved with a 776-unit garden apartment complex known as the Fox Run Apartments. Construction of the improvements was reportedly completed in 1972 and 1973. The property contains a mix of one and two-bedroom units types, with an average units size of 713 square feet. The units are located in 58 buildings located along both sides of Fox Run Drive, a private thoroughfare which runs through entire site and leads to Plainsboro Road.
The buildings feature wood frame construction with vinyl siding and brick veneer exterior walls and pitched roofs covered with composition shingles. Amenities common to all units include standard kitchen appliances (refrigerator/freezer, oven/range, garbage disposal and dishwasher) and decks or patios. Some units (reportedly about 35%) have washers and dryers. Community amenities include an on-site management/leasing office, an in ground pool, tennis court, fitness center, and a business center.
Construction details are further summarized as follows.
     
KTR Newmark Site Inspector
  John J. DeFoe
Date of Inspection
  January 19, 2007
Property Contact
  Rebecca Farrand - On-site Manager
Year Built
  1972 & 1973
Number Units
  776
Buildings, Stories
  58 buildings, two-story
Parking
  There is an adequate amount of open space parking in the numerous lots near the buildings.
Foundations:
  Reinforced concrete
Frame:
  Wood
Exterior Walls:
  Vinyl and brick siding
Roof:
  Pitched covered with composition shingles. Roofs over open stairways to second floor units are flat.
Doors and Windows:
  Exterior entrance doors are solid core wood. Interior doors are hollow-core wood. Windows are sliding style. Sliding glass doors provide access to patios and balconies.
HVAC:
  Units feature individual gas fired forced hot air heating and electric central air conditioning. Plumbing: Kitchens contain sink, dishwasher, and garbage disposal. Bathrooms contain toilets, and vanity sink and tub/shower combinations with ceramic tile surrounds.
Electrical:
  Each apartment has its own breaker box and is separately metered for electricity.
Walls and Ceilings:
  Walls and ceilings are painted sheetrock.
Floors:
  Interior floors are carpet over padding in living areas and bedrooms with ceramic tile or vinyl flooring in the entrance area, kitchen, and bathrooms.
Kitchen Equipment:
  Built-in cabinets are wood with laminate counter tops and stainless steel sink. Appliances include a gas stove/range, dishwasher, garbage disposal and refrigerator/freezer.
The following chart illustrates the property’s unit breakdown and size.

 


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Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 17
SUBJECT PROPERTY UNIT MIX AND SIZES
                         
Type   Number   Size(SF)   Total Size (SF)
1BR/1BA
    624       675       421,200  
2BR/1BA
    72       835       60,120  
2BR/1.5BA
    80       900       72,000  
 
                       
Total/Avg.
    776       713       553,320  
The improvements are of good quality and in average condition, with no significant deferred maintenance noted. Appeal is good, given the layouts of the site and the apartment units.

 


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Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 18
APARTMENT MARKET OVERVIEW
Apartments remain a staple in the portfolios of institutional investors. Although massive new development in some markets has resulted in diminished investor interest, demand remains very strong in markets with significant barriers to entry. The average overall capitalization rate reported by participants in the Korpacz Real Estate Investor Survey stood at 5.97% in the fourth quarter of 2006, 16 basis points below a year earlier. This reflects the continued strong demand from investors in the national apartment market.
Investors consider apartments to be attractive real estate investments for the following reasons:
1.   The diversity of the tenant base in apartment properties reduces uncertainty with regard to releasing risk over time;
2.   The strength of rental demand of apartment units is more readily determined from demographic data than most other property types;
3.   The short-term nature of most apartment leases forces property managers to adjust rents to market on a regular basis; and
4.   The relative stability of apartment cash flows makes multi-family properties a more liquid investment as compared to other types of commercial properties.
Investor demand for apartments in the New York region remains high, due to steady population and household growth, decreasing home affordability, and relatively limited potential for new development.
Northern New Jersey Market
The Northern New Jersey apartment market is considered among the stronger markets in the nation. This is due to the diversity of the regional economy, relatively high home ownership costs, and limited new development due to the scarcity of sites remaining to be developed.
Apartment development trends in Northern New Jersey are summarized in the following table.

 


Table of Contents

Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 19
Northern New Jersey
Apartment Development Trends
         
    Units
Year   Completed
1999
    2,100  
2000
    2,000  
2001
    1,150  
2002
    1,100  
2003
    2,250  
2004
    1,300  
2005
    350  
2006*
    1,000  
 
Source: Marcus & Millichap
* Estimate
According to Marcus & Millichap, vacancy at mid-year 2006 was 4.1%, down 20 basis points from the prior year. Given the downturn in new construction, and continued household and population growth, vacancy is expected to decrease in the near future. In October 2006, Marcus & Millichap forecast a year-end vacancy rate of 3.9%.
Marcus & Millichap reports regional rent growth of 2.8% for 2006, to an average asking rent of $1,404. Effective rents are estimated to have increased by 3.1% during the year, to $1,349 per month. Given the current low vacancy rate, a low level of new development, and the continued increase in demand, further rent growth is expected in the near term.
Marcus & Millichap ranked the Northern New Jersey market 27 out of the nation’s 55 markets in terms of fundamental strength for 2006. This ranking is down twelve places from 2005. Improving economic conditions, restrained new development, and the increasing cost of home ownership are expected to maintain upward pressure on rent and occupancy levels.
Submarket Analysis

The local apartment market has been characterized by high occupancy levels and steadily increasing rents. Rent growth is attributed to ongoing population and household growth, a relatively low level of new apartment development, and steadily increasing home ownership costs.
Among the subject and its four most direct competitors, occupancy levels range from 95% to 97%, with a weighted average occupancy level of 96%.
Conclusion

Given the strength of the regional and local apartment markets, the outlook for the subject property is quite positive.

 


Table of Contents

Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 20
ECONOMIC RENT ANALYSIS
Four competitive properties are presented on the following pages. They are located near the subject and are generally comparable to the subject in terms of physical characteristics. The information regarding the rent comparables was obtained through interviews of rental agents and property managers.

 


Table of Contents

Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 21
Rent Comparable One
     
Address:
  Hunters Glen
11-09 Hunters Glen Drive
Plainsboro
 
   
Number of Units:
  896 
 
   
Description:
  Two-story garden apartment complex which is very similar to subject in terms of age, design, quality, condition, and appeal.
 
   
In-Unit
   
Amenities:
  Garbage disposal, dishwasher, washers and dryer in select units, patio/balconies, air conditioning and carpeting.
 
   
Common Area:
  Fitness center, shared laundry rooms, swimming pool, playground, basketball court, and tennis court. Outdoor parking and bus shuttle to Princeton Junction train station.
 
   
Rental Summary:
   
                                                 
                                    Min Rent   Max Rent
Unit Type   Min SF   Max SF   Min Rent   Max Rent   PSF   PSF
1 BR
    695       695     $ 939     $ 1,039     $ 1.35     $ 1.49  
2 BR
    835       835     $ 1,219     $ 1,299     $ 1.46     $ 1.56  
2 BR
    920       920     $ 1,329     $ 1,409     $ 1.44     $ 1.53  
     
Utilities:
  Tenant pays for all utilities.
 
   
Concessions:
  NA
 
   
Occupancy:
  95% 

 


Table of Contents

Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 22
Rent Comparable Two
     
Address:
  Deer Creek
305 Deer Creek Drive
Plainsboro
 
   
Number of Units:
  288 
 
   
Description:
  Two-story garden apartment complex which is generally comparable to subject in terms of physical characteristics and appeal.
 
   
In-Unit
   
Amenities:
  Garbage disposal, dishwasher, microwave, washers and dryer in select units, patio/balconies, air conditioning, ceiling fans and carpeting.
 
   
Common Area:
  Fitness center, shared laundry room, swimming pool, paved jogging trail, sand volleyball court, and tennis court. Outdoor parking and bus shuttle to Princeton Junction train station.
 
   
Rental Summary:
   
                                                 
                                    Min Rent   Max Rent
Unit Type   Min SF   Max SF   Min Rent   Max Rent   PSF   PSF
1 BR
    695       695     $ 929     $ 1,019     $ 1.34     $ 1.47  
2 BR
    835       835     $ 1,219     $ 1,289     $ 1.46     $ 1.54  
2 BR
    920       920     $ 1,319     $ 1,409     $ 1.43     $ 1.53  
     
Utilities:
  Tenant pays for all utilities.
 
   
Concessions:
  Varies
 
   
Occupancy:
  95% 
 
   
Comments:
  There are $80 and $90 amenity fees per lease term for one and two-bedroom units respectively.

 


Table of Contents

Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 23
Rent Comparable Three
     
Address:
  Raven’s Crest
32-17 Ravens Crest Drive
Plainsboro
 
   
Number of Units:
  704 
 
   
Description:
  Two-story garden apartment complex which is generally comparable to subject in terms of physical characteristics and appeal.
 
   
In-Unit Amenities:
  Individual HVAC controls, dishwasher, washers and dryer, patio/balconies, storage, and walk-in closets. Some units have fireplaces.
 
   
Common Area:
  Package service, extra storage, swimming pool, playground, and tennis court and outdoor parking.
 
   
Rental Summary:
   
                                                 
                                    Min Rent   Max Rent
Unit Type   Min SF   Max SF   Min Rent   Max Rent   PSF   PSF
1 BR
    672       772     $ 885     $ 1,005     $ 1.28     $ 1.30  
2 BR/1BA
    880       880     $ 1,130     $ 1,195     $ 1.28     $ 1.36  
2 BR/2BA
    939       982     $ 1,285     $ 1,450     $ 1.37     $ 1.48  
2 BR/2BA/den
    1,131       1,131     $ 1,450     $ 1,500     $ 1.28     $ 1.33  
     
Utilities:
  Tenant pays for all utilities.
 
   
Concessions:
  None
 
   
Occupancy:
  96% 
 
   
Comments:
  There is a $175 annual recreational fee the first year and $50 a year after that. New tenants must pay a $45 inspection fee.

 


Table of Contents

Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 24
Rent Comparable Four
     
Address:
  Pheasant Hollow
19-12 Pheasant Hollow Drive
Plainsboro
 
   
Number of Units:
  440 
 
   
Description:
  A good quality two-story apartment property consisting of a 400 one and two- bedroom units built in 1981.
 
   
In-Unit
   
Amenities:
  Garbage disposal, dishwasher, patio/balconies, air conditioning, and cable ready. Some units have fireplaces.
 
   
Common Area:
  On site laundry room and tennis court with access to pool at Quail Ridge for fee. Outdoor parking and bus shuttle to Princeton train station or New Jersey Transit bus to New York City.
 
   
Rental Summary:
   
                                                 
                                    Min Rent   Max Rent
Unit Type   Min SF   Max SF   Min Rent   Max Rent   PSF   PSF
 
1 BR
    647       647     $ 870     $ 870     $ 1.34     $ 1.34  
2 BR/1BA
    854       854     $ 1,119     $ 1,119     $ 1.31     $ 1.31  
2 BR/2BA
    911       911     $ 1,225     $ 1,225     $ 1.34     $ 1.34  
     
Utilities:
  Tenant pays for all utilities.
 
   
Concessions:
  $250 off first month rent for one-year lease.
 
   
Occupancy:
  96% 
 
   
Comments:
  There are $80 and $90 amenity fees per lease term for one and two-bedroom units respectively.

 


Table of Contents

Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 25
ANALYSIS

The tables below illustrate the comparables with the most similar floor plans in relation to the subject’s floor plans.
ONE-BEDROOM FLOOR PLANS
                           
Comparable #     Unit Size (SF)   Rent/Month   Rent/SF
Subject Asking
    675     $ 949-$1,049     $ 1.41-$1.55  
Subject Average Contract
    675     $ 951     $ 1.41  
Hunters Glen
    695     $ 939-$1,039     $ 1.35-$1.49  
Deer Creek
    695     $ 929-$1,019     $ 1.34-$1.47  
Raven’s Crest
    672 - 772     $ 885-$1,005     $ 1.28-$1.30  
Pheasant Hollow
    647     $ 870     $ 1.34  
TWO-BEDROOM FLOOR PLANS
                           
Comparable #     Unit Size (SF)   Rent/Month   Rent/SF
Subject Asking
    835     $ 1,209 - $1,319     $ 1.45-$1.58  
Subject Average Contract
    835     $ 1,191     $ 1.43  
Subject Asking
    900     $ 1,289 - $1,399     $ 1.43-$1.55  
Subject Average Contract
    900     $ 1,278     $ 1.42  
Hunters Glen
    835 – 920     $ 1,219 - $1,409     $ 1.44-$1.56  
Deer Creek
    835 – 920     $ 1,219 - $1,409     $ 1.43-$1.54  
Raven’s Crest
    880 – 1,131     $ 1,130 - $1,500     $ 1.28-$1.48  
Pheasant Hollow
    854 - 911     $ 1,119 - $1,225     $ 1.31-$1.34  
The subject’s asking and average contract rents are consistent with the comparable rents and one another. To estimate potential rental income for the upcoming year, average contact rents will be applied. These rents will be escalated by 1.5% to reflect estimated annual market rent growth of 3.0%.

 


Table of Contents

Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 26
HIGHEST AND BEST USE
HIGHEST AND BEST USE AS IF VACANT

Surrounding Land Uses: Residential, Parks, Commercial
         
Physically Possible:
  Site can support various types of development.    
Legally Permissible:
  Multifamily    
Conclusion:
  As if vacant, a garden apartment complex.    
HIGHEST AND BEST USE AS IMPROVED
         
Current Improvement:
  776-unit garden apartment complex constructed in 1972 & 1973.    
Conclusion:
  Continued apartment use.    

 


Table of Contents

Fox Run Apartments
Plainsboro, New Jersey
  January 19, 2007
Page 27
VALUATION
There are three traditional approaches that can be employed in establishing Market Value. These approaches and their applicability to the valuation of the subject property are summarized as follows:
THE COST APPROACH

This method estimates the replacement or reproduction cost of the improvements, less the estimated depreciation (physical, functional, economic), plus the estimated market value of the land, in order to arrive at a final value indication. This approach is based on the premise that an informed purchaser would pay no more for a property than the cost of constructing a building of similar utility and condition. The Cost Approach is a reliable indicator of value for: (a) new properties; (b) special use properties; and (c) properties where the cost of reproducing the improvement is easily and accurately quantified and there is no external or economic obsolescence. Due to the age of the improvements, they have incurred physical deterioration due to normal wear and usage. Given the inherent inaccuracies and subjectivity involved in estimating substantial degrees of physical deterioration, the cost approach is not considered a reliable, independent approach to value in this instance.
THE SALES COMPARISON APPROACH

Using this technique, the property value is indicated by comparing the subject to similar, nearby properties that have recently sold. Essentially, the procedure is to gather bona fide, recent arm’s length sales of comparable properties and compare the most important characteristics of the sales to the subject. Adjustments are then made to the comparable properties for differences such as terms of financing, date of sale, location, and physical characteristics.
Attaining data with a high degree of comparability is most important when this technique is utilized. The reliability is dependent upon the availability of comparable sales data, the verification of the sales data, the degree of comparability and extent of adjustment necessary for differences and the absence of non-typical conditions affecting the sales price. Given the availability of recent comparable sales, this approach has been employed in the valuation process.
THE INCOME CAPITALIZATION APPROACH

The Income Capitalization Approach is a process in which the anticipated flow of future benefits is capitalized into a value indication. The Income Capitalization Approach is widely applied in appraising income-producing properties. The reliability of this technique is dependent upon the reliability of the net income estimate and the capitalization rate. Since the subject is income producing realty and anticipated to continue to be so, this approach has been employed in the valuation of the Leased Fee Estate.
RECONCILIATION AND FINAL VALUE ESTIMATE

The final step in the Appraisal Process is the reconciliation of the value indicators into a single value estimate. In the reconciliation or correlation, the appraiser considers the relative applicability of each of the three approaches, examines the range between the value indications and places major emphasis on the approach that appears to produce the most reliable solution to the specific appraisal problem. The purpose of the appraisal, the type of property and the adequacy and reliability of the data are analyzed and appropriate weight is given to each of the approaches to value.

 


Table of Contents

Fox Run Apartments   January 19, 2007
Plainsboro, New Jersey   Page 28
     
INCOME CAPITALIZATION APPROACH
Investment properties are normally valued in proportion to their ability to produce income; hence, an analysis of the property in terms of its ability to provide a sufficient net annual return on invested capital is an important means of valuing any asset. Value is estimated by deducting an appropriate vacancy and collection allowance and all applicable expenses from the anticipated gross annual income to arrive at a projected net operating income, which is then capitalized at an interest rate, or investment, yield, commensurate with the risk inherent in the ownership of the property. Such a conversion of projected income considers competitive returns offered by alternative investments.
There are two primary income capitalization methods: Direct Capitalization, which converts a single year’s net operating income into an indication of value and the Discounted Cash Flow Analysis (DCF), which estimates the present worth through the process of discounting the forecasted net income and the reversionary sale over the course of an anticipated investment period. The Direct Capitalization technique is employed in this analysis.
DIRECT CAPITALIZATION
The basic steps in the Direct Capitalization method are as follows:
1.   Calculate POTENTIAL GROSS INCOME from the dwelling units;
 
2.   Estimate VACANCY AND CREDIT LOSS to arrive at Effective Gross Income;
 
3.   Estimate OPERATING EXPENSES to arrive at the stabilized Net Operating Income;
 
4.   Develop the OVERALL CAPITALIZATION RATE;
 
5.   Divide NOI by the CAP RATE to arrive at VALUE.
Potential Rental Income: Potential rental income is estimated based on current average contract rents. Rental income is not applied to the unit utilized as a leasing and administrative office. Our calculation of potential rental income is summarized below.
                         
            Potential     Total Potential  
Unit Type   Units     Rent     Rent  
1BR/1BA
    624     $ 951     $ 593,424  
2BR/1BA
    72     $ 1,191     $ 85,752  
2BR/1.5BA
    80     $ 1,278     $ 102,240  
 
                 
Total/Avg.
    776     $ 1,007     $ 781,416  
As indicated, potential rental income is $781,416 per month, or $9,376,992 per year. To reflect estimated annual market rent growth of 3.0% (our general inflation estimate), this amount will be escalated by 1.5%, resulting in estimated potential rental income of $9,517,647 for the upcoming year.
Vacancy and Credit Loss: As of the date of inspection, the subject property was 97% occupied. The cited competitors reflect a vacancy rate range of 95 to 96%. The vacancy loss is estimated at 4.0% of potential rental income. In addition, a 1.0% allowance for credit loss is assessed. The combined vacancy and credit loss allowance equates to 5.0%.
Concession Loss: There are some limited concessions employed in the subject market, despite high occupancy rates. Over the past four years concession loss ranged from 2.8 to 4.2% of potential rental income, with an average of 3.5%. For 2007, management budgeted concession loss of 0.3%. Based on the subject’s history and budget, concession loss is estimated at 3.0% of potential rental income.

 


Table of Contents

Fox Run Apartments   January 19, 2007
Plainsboro, New Jersey   Page 29
     
Utility Reimbursements: Utility reimbursements ranged from $591 to $596 per unit over the past three years. For 2007, management has budgeted utility reimbursement income of $588 per unit. Based on the subject’s operating history and management’s budget, estimated utility reimbursement income for the upcoming year is $600 per unit.
Other Income: Included within this category is the revenue received from such items as application fees, forfeited deposits, late fees, pet fees, and rent premiums for short term leasing. Over the past four years, other income at the subject ranged from $561 to $601 per unit. Management has budgeted other income of $646 per unit for 2007. Based on the subject’s operating history and 2007 budget, other income is estimated at $650 per unit for the upcoming year.
Expenses: In order to project expenses for valuation purposes, the expenses historically incurred in the operation of the subject property have been reviewed and analyzed. The 2007 budget has also been considered. In addition, we have given consideration to the median expenses reported in a recent IREM survey of garden apartment complexes in the subject area. The following table presents a summary of the subject’s expense history and budget as well as our projection for the upcoming year.
SUMMARY OF HISTORICAL OPERATIONS FOX RUN APARTMENTS
                                                                                                 
    2003     2004     2005     1 - 11/06 Annualized     2007 Budget     KTR FY 2008  
Income   Total     Per Unit     Total     Per Unit     Total     Per Unit     Total     Per Unit     Total     Per Unit     Total     Per Unit  
Potential Rental Income
  $ 8,679,229     $ 11,185     $ 8,852,060     $ 11,407     $ 8,959,468     $ 11,546     $ 9,162,569     $ 11,807     $ 9,454,411     $ 12,184     $ 9,517,647     $ 12,265  
Vacancy & Collection Loss
    ($625,276 )     ($806 )     ($969,680 )     ($1,250 )     ($725,703 )     ($935 )     ($384,995 )     ($496 )     ($417,355 )     ($538 )     ($475,882 )     ($613 )
Concession Loss
    ($362,102 )     ($467 )     ($245,581 )     ($316 )     ($362,101 )     ($467 )     ($266,651 )     ($344 )     ($29,731 )     ($38 )     ($285,529 )     ($368 )
 
                                                                       
Effective Rental Income
  $ 7,691,851     $ 9,912     $ 7,636,799     $ 9,841     $ 7,871,664     $ 10,144     $ 8,510,924     $ 10,968     $ 9,007,325     $ 11,607     $ 8,756,235     $ 11,284  
 
                                                                                               
Utility Reimbursements
  $ 173,180     $ 223     $ 462,125     $ 596     $ 460,478     $ 593     $ 458,774     $ 591     $ 456,067     $ 588     $ 465,600     $ 600  
Other Income
  $ 455,533     $ 587     $ 461,738     $ 595     $ 435,597     $ 561     $ 466,102     $ 601     $ 501,362     $ 646     $ 504,400     $ 650  
 
                                                                       
Effective Gross Income
  $ 8,320,564     $ 10,722     $ 8,560,662     $ 11,032     $ 8,767,739     $ 11,299     $ 9,435,800     $ 12,160     $ 9,964,754     $ 12,841     $ 9,726,235     $ 12,534  
 
                                                                                               
Expenses
                                                                                               
Real Estate Taxes
  $ 1,104,345     $ 1,423     $ 1,120,407     $ 1,444     $ 955,030     $ 1,231     $ 1,022,477     $ 1,318     $ 1,083,524     $ 1,396     $ 958,069     $ 1,235  
Insurance
  $ 240,009     $ 309     $ 224,243     $ 289     $ 223,956     $ 289     $ 274,909     $ 354     $ 289,237     $ 373     $ 291,000     $ 375  
Repairs & Maintenance
  $ 513,176     $ 661     $ 535,108     $ 690     $ 610,901     $ 787     $ 556,952     $ 718     $ 570,647     $ 735     $ 582,000     $ 750  
Utilities
  $ 817,575     $ 1,054     $ 782,094     $ 1,008     $ 890,684     $ 1,148     $ 840,463     $ 1,083     $ 903,503     $ 1,164     $ 892,400     $ 1,150  
Payroll
  $ 402,145     $ 518     $ 434,359     $ 560     $ 517,326     $ 667     $ 479,871     $ 618     $ 510,509     $ 658     $ 504,400     $ 650  
Marketing
  $ 35,581     $ 46     $ 92,304     $ 119     $ 96,465     $ 124     $ 138,088     $ 178     $ 153,682     $ 198     $ 155,200     $ 200  
Management Fees
  $ 410,151     $ 529     $ 417,125     $ 538     $ 438,619     $ 565     $ 469,677     $ 605     $ 502,903     $ 648     $ 291,787     $ 376  
General & Adminstrative
  $ 174,643     $ 225     $ 188,485     $ 243     $ 221,606     $ 286     $ 211,694     $ 273     $ 178,757     $ 230     $ 194,000     $ 250  
Reserves
  $ 0     $ 0     $ 0     $ 0     $ 0     $ 0     $ 0     $ 0     $ 0     $ 0     $ 232,800     $ 300  
 
                                                                       
Total
  $ 3,697,625     $ 4,765     $ 3,794,125     $ 4,889     $ 3,954,587     $ 5,096     $ 3,994,131     $ 5,147     $ 4,192,762     $ 5,403     $ 4,101,656     $ 5,286  
 
                                                                                               
Net Operating Income
  $ 4,622,939     $ 5,957     $ 4,766,537     $ 6,142     $ 4,813,152     $ 6,203     $ 5,441,668     $ 7,012     $ 5,771,992     $ 7,438     $ 5,624,579     $ 7,248  
     
Real Estate Taxes:
  Real Estate taxes are estimated by increasing the 2006 amount to reflect 3.0% annual inflation.
 
   
Insurance:
  Based primarily on management’s budget, the insurance expense is estimated at $375 per unit.
 
   
Repairs & Maintenance:
  This category includes all costs associated with the upkeep and maintenance of the property. Since 2003, this expense has ranged from $661 to $787 per unit, with $735 per unit budgeted for 2007. Based on the subject’s operating history and management’s budget, the repairs and maintenance expense is estimated at $750 per unit.
 
   
Utilities:
  Based on the subject’s recent operating history and management’ sbudget, the estimated utilities expense is $1,150 per unit.

 


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Fox Run Apartments   January 19, 2007
Plainsboro, New Jersey   Page 30
     
     
Payroll:
  This expense covers salaries, payroll taxes, and workers compensation insurance for on site management, leasing, and maintenance personnel. Based on the subject’s operating history and budget, the estimated payroll expense is $650 per unit.
 
   
Marketing:
  Based on the subject’s recent operating history and management’s budget, the estimated marketing expense is $200 per unit.
 
   
Management Fees:
  The estimated management fee is 3.0% of effective gross income. This amount is market consistent for apartment complexes of the subject’s size.
 
   
General & Administrative:
  Office expenses, telephone, computer maintenance and supplies, professional fees and miscellaneous expenses are covered in this category. Based on the subject’s operating history and budget, a general& administrative expense of $250 per unit is estimated.
 
   
Reserves for Replacement:
  In addition to the repairs and maintenance expenditures, the property will incur annual capital expenditures to keep it in prime condition. A reserve category is typical for multifamily property; therefore we have included reserves as an additional budget item. A reserve for replacement allowance of $300 per unit or $232,800 is estimated for the subject property.
 
   
Total Expenses:
  Total expenses have been estimated at $4,101,656 or $5,286 per unit inclusive of reserves. The resulting operating expense ratio equates to approximately 42%.
 
   
Net Operating Income:
  The Net Operating Income is that amount of the income remaining after paying all operating expenses. This affords the owner capital with which to satisfy the debt service, if any, and provide a return on the owners equity. We have estimated the NOI to be $5,624,579.

 


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Fox Run Apartments   January 19, 2007
Plainsboro, New Jersey   Page 31
     
INCOME AND EXPENSE PRO FORMA
                 
Income   Total     Per Unit  
Potential Rental Income
  $ 9,517,647     $ 12,265  
Vacancy & Collection Loss
    ($475,882 )     ($613 )
Concession Loss
    ($285,529 )     ($368 )
 
           
Effective Rental Income
  $ 8,756,235     $ 11,284  
 
               
Utility Reimbursements
  $ 465,600     $ 600  
Other Income
  $ 504,400     $ 650  
 
           
Effective Gross Income
  $ 9,726,235     $ 12,534  
 
               
Expenses
               
Real Estate Taxes
  $ 958,069     $ 1,235  
Insurance
  $ 291,000     $ 375  
Repairs & Maintenance
  $ 582,000     $ 750  
Utilities
  $ 892,400     $ 1,150  
Payroll
  $ 504,400     $ 650  
Marketing
  $ 155,200     $ 200  
Management Fees
  $ 291,787     $ 376  
General & Adminstrative
  $ 194,000     $ 250  
Reserves
  $ 232,800     $ 300  
 
           
Total
  $ 4,101,656     $ 5,286  
 
               
Net Operating Income
  $ 5,624,579     $ 7,248  
Capitalization: Capitalization rates express relationships between net income and total value. The rate employed must be consistent with and reflective of those rates currently employed by investors active in the market place.
In order to perform this analysis, estimates of an appropriate capitalization rate must be formed. By its nature this is a judgmental process, however, selected rates should approximate the investment perimeters expected to be employed by the most probable buyer for the subject property.
Several approaches are typically followed in selecting the investment parameters; review and analysis of alternative real estate and non-real estate investments; review and analysis of published real estate investor surveys; derivation of rates from empirical market data; and use of in-house experience with similar types of investments.
     
Most Probable Buyer  
Considering the size and quality of the asset, the subject buyer would most likely attract national or regional investors.
   
 
Survey of Investors  
The most useful approach used to estimate an approximate rate of return required by the most probable buyer is to analyze the current investment parameters applied by institutional investors and advisors to real estate pension and portfolio funds when acquiring real estate. According to the Fourth Quarter 2006 Korpacz Real Estate Investor Survey, capitalization rates for institutional grade apartment properties range from 3.5% to 8.0% with an average of 6.0%. The subject property is a very well

 


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Fox Run Apartments   January 19, 2007
Plainsboro, New Jersey   Page 32
     
     
   
located garden apartment property. The subject property would likely appeal to a multitude of national and regional investors.
   
 
Market Extraction  
The sales utilized in the Sales Comparison Approach reflect a capitalization rate range of 4.9% to 7.0%, with an average of 5.6%. The sales are of regional apartment properties. Given the subject’s location and physical attributes and considering the potential for the subject’s real estate tax expense to increase significantly in the event of a reassessment, a subject capitalization rate slightly below the average is appropriate.
   
 
Conclusion  
Considering the investor surveys and the capitalization rates reflected by the comparable sales, an appropriate capitalization rate for the subject property is concluded to be 5.5%.
   
 
Valuation:  
Capitalizing the estimated Net Operating Income of $5,624,579 at 5.5%results in a value conclusion of $102,265,073, rounded to $102,300,000.
   
 
Final Value:  
$102,300,000

 


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Fox Run Apartments   January 19, 2007
Plainsboro, New Jersey   Page 33
 
THE SALES COMPARISON APPROACH
The Sales Comparison Approach to value is the process of comparing recent sales of competitive properties. The estimated value derived via this approach represents the probable price at which the subject property would be sold by a willing seller to a willing buyer as of the date of value.
To estimate the property value by the Sales Comparison Approach, five local apartment property sales, which are summarized in the following table, have been examined and analyzed.
The price per apartment unit has been relied upon as the unit of comparison in this approach. The comparative process involves judgment as to the similarity between the subject property and the comparable sale property with regard to a variety of factors affecting value such as location, age and condition of the structure, market conditions, rent levels, property rights conveyed, financing terms, conditions of sale, operational efficiencies and other factors.
ANALYSIS OF SALES: The comparable sales are summarized in the following table.
SUMMARY OF COMPARABLE BUILDING SALES
                                         
    Sale 1   Sale 2   Sale 3   Sale 4   Sale 5
 
    Crystal Ridge   Avalon at           Brookside    
Name   Club   Aberdeen Station   Carlton Club   Gardens   Matawan Village
Location   Watchung, NJ   Aberdeen, NJ   Piscataway, NJ   Somerville, NJ   Matawan, NJ
Sale Date
    9/06       6/06       4/06       1/06       1/06  
Price Per Unit
  $ 247,006     $ 198,621     $ 82,569     $ 103,193     $ 96,528  
OAR
    5.0 %     5.5 %     5.5 %     4.9 %     7.0 %
NOI/Unit
  $ 12,350     $ 10,924     $ 4,541     $ 5,056     $ 6,757  
Number of Units
    334       290       436       642       72  
Year Built
    2003       2002       1965       1939       1950’s  
The sales reflect per unit prices ranging from $82,569 to $247,006. The primary difference between the comparables and the subject are location, quality, condition and unit mix/average unit size.
The most value influencing difference between the subject and the comparable sales is the amount of net operating income generated on a per unit basis. In an attempt to quantify appropriate adjustments to the prices indicated by the comparables, we have analyzed the difference between the net operating income (NOI) per unit of the comparables relative to the NOI of the subject property. In this analysis we have adjusted the sale price of the comparables based on the percentage difference in net income. This factor takes into account the adjustments necessary for the aforementioned factors that are considered to have the most impact on value.
The adjustments applied to the comparable sales are summarized as follows.

 


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Fox Run Apartments   January 19, 2007
Plainsboro, New Jersey   Page 34
 
PRICE PER UNIT ANALYSIS
                                         
                    Subject   Adjustment   Adjusted
Sale   Price/Unit   NOI/Unit   NOI/Unit   Factor   Price/Unit
 
1
  $ 247,006     $ 12,350     $ 7,248       0.59     $ 144,964  
2
  $ 198,621     $ 10,924     $ 7,248       0.66     $ 131,784  
3
  $ 82,569     $ 4,541     $ 7,248       1.60     $ 131,782  
4
  $ 103,193     $ 5,056     $ 7,248       1.43     $ 147,918  
5
  $ 96,528     $ 6,757     $ 7,248       1.07     $ 103,543  
The adjusted unit prices range from $103,543 to $144,964 with an average of $131,998. As discussed in the Income Capitalization Approach, the estimated capitalization rate for the subject is 5.5%. This is the rate reflected by Sales Two and Three (5.5%), which reflect adjusted unit prices of $131,784 and $131,782. A similar subject value is suggested. Accordingly, the estimated unit value for the subject is $132,000. Applied to the subject’s 776 units, this results in a total value estimate of $102,432,000, rounded to $102,400,000.
         
Value via the Sales Comparison Approach
  $102,400,000  

 


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Fox Run Apartments   January 19, 2007
Plainsboro, New Jersey   Page 35
 
RECONCILIATION
         
Cost Approach
    N/A  
Income Capitalization Approach
  $ 102,300,000  
Sales Comparison Approach
  $ 102,400,000  
Income Capitalization and Sales Comparison Approaches to value were employed in the appraisal of the subject property. Buyers and sellers rarely rely on the Cost Approach to price commercial real estate. Furthermore, the age of the improvements and subjectivity involved in estimating substantial degrees of physical deterioration reduces the reliability of this approach. As such, a Cost Approach was not employed.
The value derived from the Income Capitalization Approach is well documented and market oriented. Sufficient sales data was available from the local and regional markets in order to develop a Sales Comparison Approach. The value derived through use of the Sales Comparison Approach supports the value concluded for the property via the Income Approach. Due to the income producing nature of the subject property, the results of the Income Capitalization Approach are emphasized.
         
FINAL ESTIMATE OF VALUE:
  $102,300,000    

 


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ADDENDA

 


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SUBJECT PHOTOGRAPHS
(GRAPHIC)
Plainsboro Road – Northwesterly View
(GRAPHIC)
Plainsboro Road – Southeasterly View

 


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SUBJECT PHOTOGRAPHS
(GRAPHIC)
Fox Run Drive – Southwesterly View
(GRAPHIC)
Typical Building

 


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SUBJECT PHOTOGRAPHS
(GRAPHIC)
Typical Building
(GRAPHIC)
View of Pond from Subject Property

 


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SUBJECT PHOTOGRAPHS
(GRAPHIC)
Pool
(GRAPHIC)
Tennis Courts

 


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SUBJECT PHOTOGRAPHS
(GRAPHIC)
Typical Kitchen
(GRAPHIC)
Typical Living Room

 


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SUBJECT PHOTOGRAPHS
(GRAPHIC)
Typical Bathroom

 


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AERIAL PHOTOGRAPH
(GRAPHIC)

 


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John J. DeFoe, MAI
John is the manager of the New Jersey office of KTR Valuation & Consulting Services, LLC. His responsibilities include completion of appraisal and consulting assignments, staff supervision, appraisal review, and client development.
Since beginning his real estate career in 1988, John has appraised and analyzed all types of commercial real estate throughout the United States, including shopping centers, industrial properties, office buildings, apartments, and vacant land. Assignments have been performed for a variety of clients, including banks, mortgage conduits, insurance companies, government agencies, attorneys, and property owners. From 1998 through 2002, John managed KTR’s Los Angeles office. Prior to joining KTR, he was employed by several New York regional appraisal firms.
John received a Master of Science degree in Real Estate (concentration in Valuation and Analysis) from New York University in 1995 and a Bachelor of Arts degree in Economics (concentration in Finance) from Rutgers University in 1988. He has attended numerous courses and seminars offered by the Appraisal Institute.
John is a member of the Appraisal Institute and is a Certified General Real Estate Appraiser in the State of New Jersey.