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Fair Value Measurements (Tables)
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2020
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis
The following tables present the Company’s assets and liabilities that are measured at fair value on a recurring basis at March 31, 2020, and December 31, 2019:

 
 
 
 
Fair value measurements at reporting date using:
 
 
 
 
Quoted prices in
active markets
for identical assets
 
Significant
other observable
inputs
 
Significant
unobservable
inputs
Description
 
March 31, 2020
 
(Level 1)
 
(Level 2)
 
(Level 3)
Assets
 
(in millions)
Cash equivalents
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash equivalents (a)
 
$
3,495

 
$
3,495

 
$

 
$

Commercial paper
 
360

 

 
360

 

Certificates of deposit
 
19

 

 
19

 

Time deposits
 
66

 

 
66

 

Short-term investments:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Treasury bills
 
1,396

 
1,396

 

 

Certificates of deposit
 
184

 

 
184

 

Time deposits
 
25

 

 
25

 

Interest rate derivatives (see Note 4)
 
4

 


 
4

 


Fuel derivatives:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Option contracts (b)
 
85

 

 

 
85

Other available-for-sale securities
 
182

 
182

 

 

Total assets
 
$
5,816

 
$
5,073

 
$
658

 
$
85

Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate derivatives (see Note 4)
 
$
(71
)
 
$

 
$
(71
)
 
$

(a) Cash equivalents are primarily composed of money market investments.
(b) In the unaudited Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet amounts are presented as an asset. See Note 4.


 
 
 
 
Fair value measurements at reporting date using:
 
 
 
 
Quoted prices in
active markets
for identical assets
 
Significant
other observable
inputs
 
Significant
unobservable
inputs
Description
 
December 31, 2019
 
(Level 1)
 
(Level 2)
 
(Level 3)
Assets
 
(in millions)
Cash equivalents
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash equivalents (a)
 
$
1,999

 
$
1,999

 
$

 
$

Commercial paper
 
535

 

 
535

 

Certificates of deposit
 
14

 

 
14

 

Short-term investments:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Treasury bills
 
1,196

 
1,196

 

 

Certificates of deposit
 
268

 

 
268

 

Time deposits
 
60

 

 
60

 

Interest rate derivatives (see Note 4)
 
2

 

 
2

 

Fuel derivatives:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Option contracts (b)
 
110

 

 

 
110

Other available-for-sale securities
 
197

 
197

 

 

Total assets
 
$
4,381

 
$
3,392

 
$
879

 
$
110

Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate derivatives (see Note 4)
 
$
(6
)
 
$

 
$
(6
)
 
$

(a) Cash equivalents are primarily composed of money market investments.
(b) In the unaudited Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet amounts are presented as a net asset. See Note 4.

Fair Value, Assets Measured on Recurring Basis, Unobservable Input Reconciliation The following tables present the Company’s activity for items measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) for the three months ended March 31, 2020 and the year ended December 31, 2019:
Fair value measurements using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3)
(in millions)
Fuel derivatives
 
Balance at December 31, 2019
$
110

 
Total losses for the period


 
Included in earnings
(2
)
(a)
Included in other comprehensive income
(106
)
 
Purchases
83

(b)
Balance at March 31, 2020
$
85

 
The amount of total losses for the period
  included in earnings attributable to the
  change in unrealized gains or losses relating
  to assets still held at March 31, 2020
$
(2
)
(a)
The amount of total losses for the period
  included in other comprehensive loss attributable to the
  change in unrealized gains or losses relating
  to assets still held at March 31, 2020
$
(100
)
 
(a) Included in Other (gains) losses, net, within the unaudited Condensed Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive Income (Loss).
(b) The purchase of fuel derivatives is recorded gross based on the structure of the derivative instrument and whether a contract with multiple derivatives was purchased as a single instrument or separate instruments.

Fair value measurements using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3)
(in millions)
Fuel derivatives
 
Balance at December 31, 2018
$
138

 
Losses included in other comprehensive loss
(112
)
 
Purchases
133

(a)
Sales
(2
)
(a)
Settlements
(47
)
 
Balance at December 31, 2019
$
110

 

(a) The purchase and sale of fuel derivatives are recorded gross based on the structure of the derivative instrument and whether a contract with multiple derivatives was purchased as a single instrument or separate instruments.

Fair Value Valuation Techniques
The following table presents a range and weighted average of the unobservable inputs utilized in the fair value measurements of the Company’s fuel derivatives classified as Level 3 at March 31, 2020:

Quantitative information about Level 3 fair value measurements
 
 
Valuation technique
 
Unobservable input
 
Period (by year)
 
Range
 
Weighted Average (a)
Fuel derivatives
 
Option model
 
Implied volatility
 
Second quarter 2020
 
49-121%
 
93
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Third quarter 2020
 
50-73%
 
59
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fourth quarter 2020
 
41-56%
 
47
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
2021
 
28-47%
 
36
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
2022
 
27-30%
 
28
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beyond 2022
 
25-27%
 
26
%

(a) Implied volatility weighted by the notional amount (barrels of fuel) that will settle in respective period.
Fair value, by Balance Sheet Grouping
The carrying amounts and estimated fair values of the Company’s short-term and long-term debt (including current maturities), as well as the applicable fair value hierarchy tier, at March 31, 2020, are presented in the table below. The fair values of the Company’s publicly held long-term debt are determined based on inputs that are readily available in public markets or can be derived from information available in publicly quoted markets; therefore, the Company has categorized these agreements as Level 2. Debt under five of the Company’s debt agreements is not publicly held. The Company has determined the estimated fair value of this debt to be Level 3, as certain inputs used to determine the fair value of these agreements are unobservable. The Company utilizes indicative pricing from counterparties and a discounted cash flow method to estimate the fair value of the Level 3 items.

(in millions)
 Carrying value
 
Estimated fair value
 
Fair value level hierarchy
2.65% Notes due 2020
$
504

 
$
495

 
Level 2
Term Loan Agreement payable through 2020 - 5.223%
120

 
120

 
Level 3
737 Aircraft Note payable through 2020
7

 
7

 
Level 3
Revolving Credit Facility
1,000

 
978

 
Level 3
Term Loan Agreement due 2021 - 3.000%
1,000

 
990

 
Level 3
2.75% Notes due 2022
300

 
283

 
Level 2
Pass Through Certificates due 2022 - 6.24%
168

 
167

 
Level 2
Term Loan Agreement payable through 2026 - 3.03%
178

 
164

 
Level 3
3.00% Notes due 2026
300

 
284

 
Level 2
3.45% Notes due 2027
300

 
264

 
Level 2
7.375% Debentures due 2027
121

 
139

 
Level 2
2.625% Notes due 2030
500

 
420

 
Level 2