EX-99.2 3 exhibit2.htm EX-99.2 EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

(dollars in thousands, except per share data)

                                 
    Three   Three   Twelve   Twelve
    months   months   months   months
    ended   ended   ended   ended
    December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
    2008   2007   2008   2007
Operating revenue
                               
Management fee revenue, net
  $ 204,790   $ 204,549   $ 897,526   $ 894,981
Premiums earned
  51,688   51,574   207,407   207,562
Service agreement revenue
  8,817   7,562   32,298   29,748
 
                               
Total operating revenue
  265,295   263,685   1,137,231   1,132,291
 
                               
Operating expenses
                               
Cost of management operations
  187,258   178,873   765,012   755,642
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
  32,399   33,114   137,167   125,903
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
  12,626   12,131   49,218   48,909
 
                               
Total operating expenses
  232,283   224,118   951,397   930,454
 
                               
Investment (loss) income – unaffiliated
                               
Investment income, net of expenses
  10,823   12,483   44,181   52,833
Net realized losses on investments
  (32,816 )   (12,742 )   (113,019 )   (5,192 )
Equity in (losses) earnings of limited partnerships
  (14,600 )   12,823   5,710   59,690
 
                               
Total investment (loss) income – unaffiliated
  (36,593 )   12,564   (63,128 )   107,331
 
                               
(Loss) income before income taxes and equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance
  (3,581 )   52,131   122,706   309,168
Provision for income taxes
  (685 )   19,370   39,865   99,137
Equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance, net of tax
  (3,406 )   (159 )   (13,603 )   2,914
 
                               
Net (loss) income
  ($6,302 )   $ 32,602   $ 69,238   $ 212,945
 
                               
Net (loss) income per share:
                               
Class A common stock – basic
  ($0.12 )   $ 0.61   $ 1.34   $ 3.80
 
                               
Class A common stock – diluted
  (0.12 )   0.55   1.19   3.43
 
                               
Class B common stock – basic and diluted
  (12.39 )   90.23   204.20   572.98
 
                               
Weighted average shares outstanding:
                               
Class A common stock – basic
  51,349,457   53,550,013   51,824,649   55,928,177
 
                               
Class A common stock – diluted*
  51,369,552   59,689,852   57,967,144   62,096,816
 
                               
Class B common stock – basic and diluted
  2,551   2,551   2,551   2,563
 
                               
Dividends declared per share:
                               
Class A common stock
  $ 0.45   $ 0.44   $ 1.77   $ 1.64
 
                               
Class B common stock
  67.50   66.00   265.50   246.00
 
                               

*Given the net loss generated in the fourth quarter of 2008, the effect of using the if-converted method would be anti-dilutive; therefore the two class method was used to calculate earnings per share for the Class A common stock-diluted for the three months ended December 31, 2008.

1

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS — SEGMENT BASIS

(amounts in thousands, except per share data)

                                 
    Three   Three   Twelve   Twelve
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
    2008   2007   2008   2007
         
Management operations
                               
Management fee revenue
  $ 216,644   $ 216,332   $ 949,775   $ 947,023
Service agreement revenue
  8,817   7,562   32,298   29,748
 
                               
Total revenue from management operations
  225,461   223,894   982,073   976,771
Cost of management operations
  198,121   189,220   809,548   799,597
 
                               
Income from management operations
  27,340   34,674   172,525   177,174
 
                               
Insurance underwriting operations
                               
Premiums earned
  51,688   51,574   207,407   207,562
 
                               
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
  32,399   33,114   137,167   125,903
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
  13,618   13,567   56,931   56,996
 
                               
Total losses and expenses
  46,017   46,681   194,098   182,899
 
                               
Underwriting income
  5,671   4,893   13,309   24,663
 
                               
Investment operations
                               
Investment income, net of expenses
  10,823   12,483   44,181   52,833
Net realized losses on investments
  (32,816 )   (12,742 )   (113,019 )   (5,192 )
Equity in (losses) earnings of limited partnerships
  (14,600 )   12,823   5,710   59,690
Equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance
  (3,662 )   (171 )   (14,627 )   3,133
 
                               
Net (loss) revenue from investment operations
  (40,255 )   12,393   (77,755 )   110,464
 
                               
(Loss) income before income taxes
  (7,244 )   51,960   108,079   312,301
Provision for income taxes
  (942 )   19,358   38,841   99,356
 
                               
Net (loss) income
  ($6,302 )   $ 32,602   $ 69,238   $ 212,945
 
                               
Net (loss) income per share – Class A basic
  ($0.12 )   $ 0.61   $ 1.34   $ 3.80
 
                               
Net (loss) income per share – Class A diluted*
  (0.12 )   0.55   1.19   3.43
 
                               
Net (loss) income per share – Class B basic and diluted
  (12.39 )   90.23   204.20   572.98
 
                               
Weighted average shares outstanding - Class A diluted*
  51,370   59,690   57,967   62,097
 
                               

Amounts presented on a segment basis are gross of intercompany/intersegment items.

*Given the net loss generated in the fourth quarter of 2008, the effect of using the if-converted method would be anti-dilutive; therefore the two class method was used to calculate earnings per share for the Class A common stock-diluted for the three months ended December 31, 2008.

2

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

RECONCILIATION OF OPERATING INCOME TO NET INCOME

Definition of non-GAAP and operating measures

We believe that investors’ understanding of our performance is enhanced by the disclosure of the following non-GAAP financial measure. Our method of calculating this measure may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

Operating income is net income excluding realized capital gains and losses and related federal income taxes. We elected the fair value measurement option for our common stock portfolio effective January 1, 2008. As such, changes in value related to common stocks are reported in earnings. These unrealized gains or losses are included in the net realized losses/gains on investments on the Consolidated Statements of Operations that is used to calculate operating income. Equity in earnings or losses of Erie Family Life Insurance Company and equity in earnings or losses of limited partnerships are not excluded from the calculation of operating income. Equity in earnings or losses of limited partnerships includes the respective investment’s realized capital gains and losses, as well as unrealized gains and losses.

Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income.

We use operating income to evaluate the results of operations. It reveals trends in our management services, insurance underwriting and investment operations that may be obscured by the net effects of realized capital gains and losses. Realized capital gains and losses may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and economic developments such as capital market condition, the timing of which is unrelated to management services and insurance underwriting processes. We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our performance. We are aware that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income as the denominator. Operating income should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect our overall profitability.

The following table reconciles operating income and net income for the periods ended December 31, 2008 and 2007:

                                 
    Three   Three   Twelve   Twelve
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
    2008   2007   2008   2007
(in thousands, except per share data)                                
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Operating income
  $ 15,028     $ 40,884     $ 142,700     $ 216,320  
Net realized losses on investments
    (32,816 )     (12,742 )     (113,019 )     (5,192 )
Income tax benefit on realized losses
    11,486       4,460       39,557       1,817  
 
                               
Realized losses, net of income taxes
    (21,330 )     (8,282 )     (73,462 )     (3,375 )
 
                               
Net (loss) income
    ($6,302 )   $ 32,602     $ 69,238     $ 212,945  
 
                               
 
  Three   Three   Twelve   Twelve
 
  months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
 
  December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
 
  2008   2007   2008   2007
 
                               
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Per Class A share – diluted:
                               
Operating income
  $ 0.29   $ 0.69   $ 2.46   $ 3.48
Net realized losses on investments
  (0.63 )   (0.21 )   (1.95 )   (0.08 )
Income tax benefit on realized losses
  0.22   0.07   0.68   0.03
 
                               
Realized losses, net of income taxes
  (0.41 )   (0.14 )   (1.27 )   (0.05 )
 
                               
Net (loss) income
  ($0.12 )   $ 0.55   $ 1.19   $ 3.43
 
                               

3

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

(amounts in thousands, except per share data)

                 
    December 31,   December 31,
    2008   2007
Assets
               
Investments
               
Available-for-sale securities, at fair value:
               
Fixed maturities
  $ 563,429   $ 703,406
Equity securities
  55,281   218,270
Trading securities, at fair value
  33,338   0
Other invested assets
  300,391   297,059
 
               
Total investments
  952,439   1,218,735
Cash and cash equivalents
  61,073   31,070
Equity in Erie Family Life Insurance
  29,236   59,046
Premiums receivable from policyholders
  244,760   243,612
Receivables from affiliates
  1,130,610   1,177,830
Other assets
  195,268   148,330
 
               
Total assets
  $ 2,613,386   $ 2,878,623
 
               
Liabilities and shareholders’ equity
               
Liabilities
               
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 965,081   $ 1,026,531
Unearned premiums
  424,370   421,263
Other liabilities
  432,060   379,550
 
               
Total liabilities
  1,821,511   1,827,344
Total shareholders’ equity
  791,875   1,051,279
 
               
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 2,613,386   $ 2,878,623
 
               
Book value per share
  $ 13.79   $ 17.68
 
               
Shares outstanding
  57,405   59,461
 
               
 

4

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
RECONCILIATION OF PROPERTY AND CASUALTY GROUP TO INDEMNITY RESULTS

                                 
    Three   Three   Twelve   Twelve
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
    2008   2007   2008   2007
(dollars in thousands)                                
Property and Casualty Group insurance underwriting operations (SAP basis)
                               
         
Direct underwriting results
                               
Direct written premium
  $ 862,177   $ 856,926   $ 3,799,901   $ 3,784,891
 
                               
Premiums earned
  929,576   926,876   3,786,632   3,786,603
 
                               
Loss and loss adjustment expenses incurred
  608,514   632,764   2,509,350   2,294,964
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
  240,477   236,998   1,050,734   1,048,510
 
                               
Total losses and expenses
  848,991   869,762   3,560,084   3,343,474
 
                               
Direct underwriting income
  80,585   57,114   226,548   443,129
 
                               
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting results
                               
Assumed voluntary-less ceded retrocessions
  16,014   19,125   16,500   12,234
Assumed involuntary
  12,218   (1,468 )   25,310   15,009
Less: Ceded
  13,495   (4,202 )   28,478   16,281
 
                               
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting income
  14,737   21,859   13,332   10,962
 
                               
 
               
Net underwriting income (SAP basis)
  $ 95,322   $ 78,973   $ 239,880   $ 454,091
 
                               
Erie Indemnity insurance underwriting operations (SAP to GAAP basis)
                               
Percent of pool assumed by the Indemnity Company
  5.50 %   5.50 %   5.50 %   5.50 %
 
                               
Indemnity preliminary underwriting income (SAP basis)
  $ 5,243   $ 4,344   $ 13,193   $ 24,975
SAP to GAAP adjustments
  428   549   116   (312 )
 
                               
Indemnity underwriting income before tax (GAAP basis)
  $ 5,671   $ 4,893   $ 13,309   $ 24,663
 
                               
Property & Casualty Group (SAP basis)
                               
Net basis:
                               
Loss and LAE ratio
  63.9 %   66.0 %   66.0 %   60.5 %
Underwriting ratio
  27.3   26.9   27.2   27.0
Policyholder dividends ratio
  0.1   0.2   0.1   0.2
 
                               
Statutory combined ratio
  91.3   93.1   93.3   87.7
 
                               
Adjusted combined ratio, excluding profit component
  89.1   89.9   89.6   83.8
 
                           
Direct business:
                           
Loss ratio points from prior accident year reserve development – (redundancy) deficiency
  (3.4 )   1.2   (3.2 )   (5.3 )
Loss ratio points from prior accident years from salvage and subrogation recoveries collected
  (1.2 )   (0.9 )   (1.8 )   (1.7 )
 
                               
Total loss ratio points from prior accident years
  (4.6 )   0.3   (5.0 )   (7.0 )
 
                               
 
                           
Loss ratio points from catastrophes
  0.8   0.9   3.4   1.7
 
                           
Erie Indemnity Company
                           
GAAP combined ratio
  89.0   90.5   93.6   88.1
GAAP loss ratio points from catastrophes
  0.8   0.9   3.4   1.7

SAP basis represents statutory accounting principles as codified by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC).

5

Selected financial data of Erie Insurance Exchange:

The selected financial data below is derived from the Erie Insurance Exchange’s financial statements prepared in accordance with Statutory Accounting Principles. In our opinion, all adjustments consisting only of normal recurring accruals, considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included. The financial data set forth below is only a summary.

                                 
    Three   Three   Twelve   Twelve
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
    2008   2007   2008   2007
(dollars in thousands)                                
Statutory accounting basis        
Premiums earned
  $ 871,648   $ 869,867   $ 3,566,450   $ 3,572,189
Losses, loss adjustment expenses and
                               
underwriting expenses
  781,572   795,191   3,339,743   3,142,990
 
                               
Net underwriting income
  90,076   74,676   226,707   429,199
 
                               
Total investment (loss) income
  (346,207 )   103,573   (640,348 )   563,087
 
                               
(Loss) income before income taxes
  (256,131 )   178,249   (413,641 )   992,286
Federal income tax (benefit) expense
  (179,412 )   87,912   (50,248 )   372,209
 
                               
Net (loss) income
  ($76,719 )   $ 90,337   ($363,393 )   $ 620,077
 
                               
                 
    As of   As of
    December 31,   December 31,
    2008   2007
(dollars in thousands)                
Statutory accounting basis
               
Cash and invested assets
  $ 7,595,727   $ 8,927,997
Other assets
  1,552,902   1,033,852
 
               
Total assets
  $ 9,148,629   $ 9,961,849
 
               
Loss, loss adjustment expense and
               
unearned premium reserves
  $ 4,768,240   $ 4,848,549
Other liabilities
  334,399   345,776
 
               
Total liabilities
  5,102,639   5,194,325
 
               
Policyholders’ surplus
  4,045,990   4,767,524
 
               
Total liabilities and policyholders’ surplus
  $ 9,148,629   $ 9,961,849
 
               

6

Management fee revenue by major lines of business – Segment basis:

                                                 
    Three months   Three months           Twelve months   Twelve months    
    ended   ended           ended   ended    
    December 31,   December 31,   %   December 31,   December 31,   %
    2008   2007   Change   2008   2007   Change
(dollars in thousands)                                                
Private passenger auto
  $ 104,471     $ 103,040       1.4 %   $ 456,536     $ 450,651       1.3 %
Homeowners
    44,025       42,973       2.4       185,831       183,221       1.4  
Commercial multi-peril
    24,371       24,537       (0.7 )     108,942       108,907       0.0  
Commercial auto
    17,066       17,500       (2.5 )     77,772       78,963       (1.5 )
Workers compensation
    13,650       14,882       (8.3 )     70,186       76,641       (8.4 )
All other lines of business
    11,961       11,300       5.8       50,708       47,840       6.0  
 
                                               
 
    215,544       214,232       0.6       949,975       946,223       0.4  
Change in allowance
for management fee returned
on cancelled policies
 

1,100
 

2,100
 

 

(200)
 

800
 


 
                                         
Management fee revenue,
net of allowance
 
$216,644
 
$216,332
 
0.1%
 
$949,775
 
$947,023
 
0.3%
 
                                               
Management fee rate
    25.00 %     25.00 %             25.00 %     25.00 %  
 
                                         

7

Growth rates of policies in force for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                                 
    Private   12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    Passenger   growth           growth   All Other   growth   Personal   growth
Date   Auto   rate   Homeowners   rate   Personal Lines   rate   Lines   rate
12/31/2006
    1,633,882       (0.4 )%     1,377,965       1.8 %     301,497       5.2 %     3,313,344       1.0 %
03/31/2007
    1,635,714       0.0       1,384,856       2.1       305,591       5.4       3,326,161       1.3  
06/30/2007
    1,644,561       0.4       1,398,034       2.3       311,761       5.9       3,354,356       1.7  
09/30/2007
    1,649,801       0.8       1,408,114       2.5       316,786       6.2       3,374,701       2.0  
12/31/2007
    1,651,234       1.1       1,413,712       2.6       321,431       6.6       3,386,377       2.2  
03/31/2008
    1,655,869       1.2       1,420,250       2.6       325,926       6.7       3,402,045       2.3  
06/30/2008
    1,667,446       1.4       1,433,504       2.5       332,922       6.8       3,433,872       2.4  
09/30/2008
    1,677,151       1.7       1,446,779       2.7       340,566       7.5       3,464,496       2.7  
12/31/2008
    1,683,526       2.0       1,454,797       2.9       346,953       7.9       3,485,276       2.9  
                                                                                 
            12-mth.   CML*   12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    CML*   growth   Multi-   growth   Workers   growth   All Other   growth   CML*   growth
Date   Auto   rate   Peril   rate   Comp.   rate   CML* Lines   rate   Lines   rate
12/31/2006
    119,801       0.9 %     218,542       2.4 %     53,923       (4.1 )%     92,687       2.7 %     484,953       1.3 %
03/31/2007
    119,907       1.1       219,300       2.3       53,498       (3.2 )     92,857       2.8       485,562       1.5  
06/30/2007
    121,587       1.8       223,670       3.0       53,955       (1.7 )     94,612       3.3       493,824       2.2  
09/30/2007
    122,154       2.2       226,302       3.9       54,341       (0.1 )     96,167       3.8       498,964       3.0  
12/31/2007
    122,558       2.3       228,214       4.4       54,720       1.5       96,464       4.1       501,956       3.5  
03/31/2008
    122,882       2.5       229,577       4.7       54,927       2.7       96,511       3.9       503,897       3.8  
06/30/2008
    123,955       1.9       234,393       4.8       55,801       3.4       97,745       3.3       511,894       3.7  
09/30/2008
    124,418       1.9       236,994       4.7       56,381       3.8       98,786       2.7       516,579       3.5  
12/31/2008
    124,205       1.3       237,228       3.9       56,704       3.6       98,796       2.4       516,933       3.0  
                 
            12-mth.
    Total All   growth
Date   Lines   rate
12/31/2006
    3,798,297       1.0 %
03/31/2007
    3,811,723       1.3  
06/30/2007
    3,848,180       1.8  
09/30/2007
    3,873,665       2.1  
12/31/2007
    3,888,333       2.4  
03/31/2008
    3,905,942       2.5  
06/30/2008
    3,945,766       2.5  
09/30/2008
    3,981,075       2.8  
12/31/2008
    4,002,209       2.9  

CML* = Commercial

8

Policy retention trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                         
    Private                   CML*            
    Passenger   CML*           Multi-   Workers   All Other    
Date   Auto   Auto   Homeowners   Peril   Comp.   Lines   Total All Lines
12/31/2006
    90.8 %     87.7 %     89.4 %     86.0 %     85.7 %     87.1 %     89.5 %
03/31/2007
    91.0       88.0       89.7       86.1       86.2       87.2       89.7  
06/30/2007
    91.1       88.1       89.9       86.0       86.3       87.6       89.9  
09/30/2007
    91.3       88.2       90.1       86.1       86.8       87.5       90.0  
12/31/2007
    91.5       88.2       90.3       86.0       86.8       87.8       90.2  
03/31/2008
    91.6       88.4       90.5       86.5       87.6       87.9       90.4  
06/30/2008
    91.6       87.9       90.7       86.2       87.5       88.1       90.4  
09/30/2008
    91.7       87.8       91.0       86.0       87.2       88.2       90.5  
12/31/2008
    91.8       87.6       91.1       85.6       86.6       88.5       90.6  

CML* = Commercial

9

Average premium per policy trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                                 
    Private   12-mth.           12-mth.   All other   12-mth.           12-mth.
    Passenger   percent           percent   Personal   percent   Total Personal   percent
Date   Auto   change   Homeowners   change   Lines   change   Lines   change
12/31/2006
  $ 1,110       (5.5 )%   $ 526       (3.1 )%   $ 349       0.3 %   $ 797       (5.2 )%
03/31/2007
    1,100       (5.3 )     524       (2.8 )     349       0.0       791       (4.9 )
06/30/2007
    1,094       (4.0 )     520       (2.8 )     351       0.9       786       (3.9 )
09/30/2007
    1,093       (2.6 )     519       (2.1 )     352       1.1       783       (2.9 )
12/31/2007
    1,092       (1.6 )     518       (1.5 )     353       1.1       782       (1.9 )
03/31/2008
    1,091       (0.8 )     518       (1.1 )     354       1.4       781       (1.3 )
06/30/2008
    1,088       (0.5 )     514       (1.2 )     353       0.6       777       (1.1 )
09/30/2008
    1,086       (0.6 )     511       (1.5 )     354       0.6       774       (1.1 )
12/31/2008
    1,085       (0.6 )     511       (1.4 )     356       0.8       773       (1.2 )
                                                                 
            12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
            percent           percent   All Other   percent   CML*   percent
Date   CML* Auto   change   Workers Comp.   change   CML* Lines   change   Lines   change
12/31/2006
  $ 2,687       (3.4 )%   $ 5,985       (3.7 )%   $ 1,657       (2.8 )%   $ 2,393       (4.3 )%
03/31/2007
    2,664       (4.1 )     5,914       (5.7 )     1,641       (4.0 )     2,365       (5.4 )
06/30/2007
    2,627       (3.8 )     5,901       (3.9 )     1,616       (3.6 )     2,333       (4.5 )
09/30/2007
    2,600       (3.9 )     5,780       (4.4 )     1,592       (4.6 )     2,295       (5.0 )
12/31/2007
    2,577       (4.1 )     5,602       (6.4 )     1,581       (4.6 )     2,262       (5.5 )
03/31/2008
    2,568       (3.6 )     5,453       (7.8 )     1,576       (4.0 )     2,240       (5.3 )
06/30/2008
    2,530       (3.7 )     5,236       (11.3 )     1,546       (4.3 )     2,187       (6.3 )
09/30/2008
    2,514       (3.3 )     5,067       (12.3 )     1,536       (3.5 )     2,157       (6.0 )
12/31/2008
    2,505       (2.8 )     4,951       (11.6 )     1,533       (3.0 )     2,141       (5.3 )
                 
            12-mth.
    Total All   percent
Date   Lines   change
12/31/2006
  $ 1,001       (4.8 )%
03/31/2007
    991       (5.1 )
06/30/2007
    984       (4.1 )
09/30/2007
    978       (3.3 )
12/31/2007
    973       (2.8 )
03/31/2008
    969       (2.2 )
06/30/2008
    960       (2.4 )
09/30/2008
    953       (2.6 )
12/31/2008
    949       (2.5 )

CML* = Commercial

10

PROPERTY & CASUALTY GROUP ADJUSTED COMBINED RATIO BY
MAJOR LINES OF BUSINESS (SAP BASIS) – DIRECT BUSINESS

                                                                 
    Three Months ended   Three Months ended
    December 31, 2008   December 31, 2007
 
  Calendar*
Year
  Prior Year**
Reserve
Development
Deficiency

(Redundancy)
  Catastrophe
Losses
  Current
Accident
Year
Excluding

Catastrophes
  Calendar*
Year
  Prior Year**
Reserve
Development
Deficiency

(Redundancy)
  Catastrophe
Losses
  Current
Accident
Year
Excluding

Catastrophes
 
                                                               
Private Passenger Auto
    103.0 %     -0.2 %     0.1 %     103.1 %     101.1 %     1.4 %     0.2 %     99.5 %
Homeowners
    73.9 %     0.7 %     1.3 %     71.9 %     71.9 %     0.2 %     2.9 %     68.8 %
Other Personal Lines
    15.7 %     -60.2 %     1.6 %     74.3 %     64.4 %     -11.2 %     1.5 %     74.1 %
Total Personal
  91.0 %   -2.7 %   0.5 %   93.2 %   91.5 %   0.5 %   1.0 %   90.0 %
Commercial Multi-Peril
    69.7 %     -21.3 %     4.1 %     86.9 %     83.9 %     0.6 %     1.6 %     81.7 %
Commercial Auto
    85.4 %     -4.2 %     0.0 %     89.6 %     74.7 %     -9.7 %     0.0 %     84.4 %
Workers’ Compensation
    74.9 %     -19.2 %     0.0 %     94.1 %     137.1 %     33.2 %     0.0 %     103.9 %
Other Commercial Lines
    223.8 %     129.8 %     0.5 %     93.5 %     14.2 %     -50.2 %     -0.1 %     64.5 %
Total Commercial
  86.5 %   -5.1 %   1.6 %   90.0 %   90.7 %   2.8 %   0.6 %   87.3 %
Grand Total – Direct
Business Only
 
89.6%
 
-3.4%
 
0.8%
 
92.2%
 
91.2%
 
1.2%
 
0.9%
 
89.1%
            Twelve Months ended                   Twelve Months ended        
            December 31, 2008                   December 31, 2007        
         
 
  Calendar*
Year
  Prior Year**
Reserve
Development
Deficiency

(Redundancy)
  Catastrophe
Losses
  Current
Accident
Year
Excluding

Catastrophes
  Calendar*
Year
  Prior Year**
Reserve
Development
Deficiency

(Redundancy)
  Catastrophe
Losses
  Current
Accident
Year
Excluding

Catastrophes
 
                                                               
Private Passenger Auto
    88.6 %     -4.3 %     0.6 %     92.3 %     85.0 %     -8.2 %     0.5 %     92.7 %
Homeowners
    92.2 %     -2.3 %     12.0 %     82.5 %     81.6 %     -1.8 %     6.4 %     77.0 %
Other Personal Lines
    60.0 %     -20.3 %     4.8 %     75.5 %     80.1 %     0.2 %     3.0 %     76.9 %
Total Personal
  88.3 %   -4.5 %   4.0 %   88.8 %   83.9 %   -6.1 %   2.2 %   87.8 %
Commercial Multi-Peril
    93.0 %     -5.3 %     4.5 %     93.8 %     88.7 %     -3.3 %     1.2 %     90.8 %
Commercial Auto
    80.7 %     -6.0 %     0.5 %     86.2 %     73.7 %     -12.6 %     0.5 %     85.8 %
Workers’ Compensation
    99.0 %     -0.1 %     0.0 %     99.1 %     99.9 %     8.8 %     0.0 %     91.1 %
Other Commercial Lines
    137.5 %     50.0 %     0.4 %     87.1 %     45.2 %     -16.3 %     0.0 %     61.5 %
Total Commercial
  94.2 %   -0.3 %   1.9 %   92.6 %   84.7 %   -3.5 %   0.6 %   87.6 %
Grand Total – Direct
Business Only
 
90.1%
 
-3.2%
 
3.4%
 
89.9%
 
84.1%
 
-5.3%
 
1.7%
 
87.7%
*The calendar year combined ratio represents the adjusted statutory combined ratio, which removes the profit component of the management fee earned by the Company.
                               
**The prior accident year reserve development does not include the effects of salvage and subrogation recoveries.
                                       

11