EX-99.2 3 exhibit2.htm EX-99.2 EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

(dollars in thousands, except per share data)

                 
    Three   Three
    months   months
    ended   ended
    March 31,   March 31,
    2007   2006
    (Unaudited)
Operating revenue
               
Management fee revenue – net
  $ 216,020     $ 220,102  
Premiums earned
    51,974       54,026  
Service agreement revenue
    7,418       7,592  
 
               
Total operating revenue
    275,412       281,720  
 
               
Operating expenses
               
Cost of management operations
    179,886       183,154  
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
    32,234       30,053  
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
    11,995       14,501  
 
               
Total operating expenses
    224,115       227,708  
 
               
Investment income – unaffiliated
               
Investment income, net of expenses
    13,978       15,000  
Net realized gains on investments
    1,890       784  
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
    12,518       4,142  
 
               
Total investment income – unaffiliated
    28,386       19,926  
 
               
Income before income taxes and equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company
    79,683       73,938  
Provision for income taxes
    24,592       25,077  
Equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company, net of tax
    1,270       605  
 
               
Net income
  $ 56,361     $ 49,466  
 
               
Net income per share:
               
Class A common stock – basic
  $ 0.97     $ 0.81  
 
               
Class A common stock – diluted
    0.88       0.73  
 
               
Class B common stock – basic and diluted
    149.01       121.08  
 
               
Weighted average shares outstanding:
               
Class A common stock – basic
    57,691,289       60,630,395  
 
               
Class A common stock – diluted
    63,906,458       67,505,125  
 
               
Class B common stock – basic and diluted
    2,573       2,833  
 
               
Dividends declared per share:
               
Class A common stock
  $ 0.40     $ 0.36  
 
               
Class B common stock
    60.00       54.00  
 
               

1

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS — SEGMENT BASIS

(amounts in thousands, except per share data)

                 
    Three   Three
    months   months
    ended   ended
    March 31,   March 31,
    2007   2006
    (Unaudited)
Management Operations
               
Management fee revenue
  $ 228,645     $ 232,935  
Service agreement revenue
    7,418       7,592  
 
               
Total revenue from management operations
    236,063       240,527  
Cost of management operations
    190,385       193,825  
 
               
Income from management operations
    45,678       46,702  
 
               
Insurance Underwriting Operations
               
Premiums earned
    51,974       54,026  
 
               
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
    32,234       30,053  
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
    14,121       16,663  
 
               
Total losses and expenses
    46,355       46,716  
 
               
Underwriting gain
    5,619       7,310  
 
               
Investment Operations
               
Investment income, net of expenses
    13,978       15,000  
Net realized gains on investments
    1,890       784  
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
    12,518       4,142  
Equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company
    1,366       651  
 
               
Net revenue from investment operations
    29,752       20,577  
 
               
Income before income taxes
    81,049       74,589  
Provision for income taxes
    24,688       25,123  
 
               
Net income
  $ 56,361     $ 49,466  
 
               
Net income per share – Class A basic
  $ 0.97     $ 0.81  
 
               
Net income per share – Class A diluted
    0.88       0.73  
 
               
Net income per share – Class B basic and diluted
    149.01       121.08  
 
               
Weighted average shares outstanding - Class A diluted
  63,906     67,505  
 
               

Amounts presented on a segment basis are gross of intercompany/intersegment items

2

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

RECONCILIATION OF OPERATING INCOME TO NET INCOME

Definition on Non-GAAP and Operating Measures

We believe that investors’ understanding of our performance is enhanced by the disclosure of the following non-GAAP financial measure. Our method of calculating this measure may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

Operating income is net income excluding realized capital gains and losses and related federal income taxes. Equity in earnings or losses of Erie Family Life Insurance Company and equity in earnings or losses of limited partnerships are not excluded from the calculation of operating income. Both of these categories include the respective investment’s realized capital gains and losses, as well as unrealized gains and losses, as these investments are accounted for under the equity method.

Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income.

We use operating income to evaluate the results of operations. It reveals trends in our management services, insurance underwriting and investment operations that may be obscured by the net effects of realized capital gains and losses. Realized capital gains and losses may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and economic developments such as capital market condition, the timing of which is unrelated to management services and the insurance underwriting processes. We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our performance. We are aware that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income as the denominator. Operating income should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect our overall profitability.

The following table reconciles operating income and net income for the periods ended March 31, 2007 and 2006:

                 
    Three   Three
    months ended   months ended
    March 31,   March 31,
    2007   2006
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
(in thousands, except per share data)
               
Operating income
  $ 55,133   $ 48,956
Net realized gains on investments
  1,890   784
Income tax expense on realized gains
  (662 )   (274 )
 
               
Realized gains, net of income taxes
  1,228   510
 
               
Net income
  $ 56,361   $ 49,466
 
               
 
  Three months   Three months
 
  ended   ended
 
  March 31,   March 31,
 
  2007   2006
 
  (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
 
               
Per Class A Share – Diluted
               
Operating income
  $ 0.86   $ 0.72
Net realized gains on investments
  0.03   0.01
Income tax expense on realized gains
  (0.01 )   0.00
 
               
Realized gains, net of income taxes
  0.02   0.01
 
               
Net income
  $ 0.88   $ 0.73
 
               

3

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

(amounts in thousands, except per share data)

                 
    March 31,   December 31,
    2007   2006
    (Unaudited)        
ASSETS
               
Investments
               
Fixed maturities
  $ 836,323   $ 836,738
Equity securities
               
Preferred stock
  138,478   133,401
Common stock
  116,492   117,246
Other invested assets
  254,086   235,672
 
               
Total investments
  1,345,379   1,323,057
Cash and cash equivalents
  10,578   60,241
Equity in Erie Family Life Insurance Company
  59,033   57,162
Premiums receivable from policyholders
  242,280   247,187
Receivables from affiliates
  1,183,818   1,220,058
Other assets
  139,257   131,656
 
               
Total assets
  $ 2,980,345   $ 3,039,361
 
               
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
               
Liabilities
               
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 1,048,909   $ 1,073,570
Unearned premiums
  418,949   424,282
Other liabilities
  331,264   379,661
 
               
Total liabilities
  1,799,122   1,877,513
Total shareholders’ equity
  1,181,223   1,161,848
 
               
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 2,980,345   $ 3,039,361
 
               
Book value per share
  $ 18.55   $ 18.17
 
               
Shares outstanding
  63,669   63,952
 
               

4

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
RECONCILIATION OF PROPERTY AND CASUALTY GROUP TO INDEMNITY RESULTS

                 
    Three   Three
    months ended   months ended
    March 31,   March 31,
    2007   2006
(dollars in thousands)                
Property and Casualty Group Insurance Underwriting Operations (SAP Basis)
               
Direct underwriting results
               
Direct written premium
  $ 918,178     $ 942,768  
 
               
Premiums earned
    942,157       983,829  
 
               
Loss and loss adjustment expenses incurred
    572,327       522,490  
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
    257,102       301,474  
 
               
Total losses and expenses
    829,429       823,964  
 
               
Direct underwriting income
    112,728       159,865  
 
               
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting results
               
Assumed voluntary-less ceded retrocessions
    (2,898 )     689  
Assumed involuntary
    (1,364 )     (10,295 )
Less: Ceded
    7,815       7,199  
 
               
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting loss
    (12,077 )     (16,805 )
 
               
 
               
Net Underwriting Gain (SAP Basis)
  $ 100,651     $ 143,060  
 
               
 
               
Erie Indemnity Insurance Underwriting Operations (SAP to GAAP Basis)
               
Percent of pool assumed by the Indemnity Company
    5.50 %     5.50 %
 
               
Indemnity preliminary underwriting gain (SAP Basis)
  $ 5,536     $ 7,868  
Excess-of-loss changes to recoveries under the agreement
    0       (145 )
SAP to GAAP adjustments
    83       (413 )
 
               
Indemnity Underwriting Gain before tax (GAAP Basis)
  $ 5,619     $ 7,310  
 
               
Property & Casualty Group (SAP Basis)
               
Net basis
               
Loss and LAE ratio
    62.3 %     54.9 %
Underwriting ratio
    27.1       31.7  
Policyholder dividends ratio
    0.2       (0.1 )
 
               
Statutory combined ratio
    89.6       86.5  
 
               
Adjusted combined ratio, excluding profit component
    85.5       82.3  
Direct business
               
Loss ratio points from prior accident year reserve development –redundancy
    (10.3 )     (7.9 )
Loss ratio points from salvage and subrogation recoveries collected
    (3.1 )     (3.1 )
 
               
Total loss ratio points from prior accident years
    (13.4 )     (11.0 )
 
               
Loss ratio points from catastrophes
    0.5       0.6  
Erie Indemnity Company
               
GAAP combined ratio
    89.2       86.5  
GAAP loss ratio points from catastrophes
    0.5       0.6  

SAP Basis represents statutory accounting principles as codified by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC)

5 Selected financial data of Erie Insurance Exchange:

The selected financial data below is derived from the Erie Insurance Exchange’s financial statements prepared in accordance with Statutory Accounting Principles. In the opinion of management, all adjustments consisting only of normal recurring accruals, considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included. The financial data set forth below is only a summary.

                 
    Three   Three
    months ended   months ended
    March 31,   March 31,
    2007   2006
(in thousands)                
Statutory Accounting Basis   (Unaudited)
Premiums earned
  $ 889,551     $ 928,408  
Losses, loss adjustment expenses and
               
underwriting expenses
    794,427       793,147  
 
               
Net underwriting gain
    95,124       135,261  
Total investment income
    136,646       126,006  
 
               
Income before income taxes
    231,770       261,267  
Federal income tax expense
    71,992       89,020  
 
               
Net income
  $ 159,778     $ 172,247  
 
               
                 
    As of   As of
    March 31,   December 31,
    2007   2006
(in thousands)                
Statutory Accounting Basis
  (Unaudited)        
Cash and invested assets
  $ 8,655,560     $ 8,494,655  
Other assets
    1,024,599       1,021,489  
 
               
Total assets
  $ 9,680,159     $ 9,516,144  
 
               
Claims and unearned premium reserves
  $ 4,931,575     $ 4,993,365  
Other liabilities
    495,048       435,683  
 
               
Total liabilities
    5,426,623       5,429,048  
 
               
Policyholders’ surplus
    4,253,536       4,087,096  
 
               
Total liabilities and policyholders’ surplus
  $ 9,680,159     $ 9,516,144  
 
               

6

Management fee revenue by major lines of business – Segment basis:

                         
    Three months   Three months    
    ended   ended    
    March 31,   March 31,   %
    2007   2006   Change
(in thousands)                        
Private passenger auto
  $ 108,676     $ 111,055       -2.1 %
Commercial auto
    20,792       21,198       -1.9  
Homeowners
    37,093       36,656       1.2  
Commercial multi-peril
    28,764       29,436       -2.3  
Workers’ compensation
    22,976       24,316       -5.5  
All other lines of business
    11,244       10,674       5.3  
 
                       
 
    229,545       233,335       -1.6 %
Change in allowance for management fee returned on cancelled policies
    (900 )     (400 )        
 
                       
Management fee revenue, net of allowance
  $ 228,645     $ 232,935       -1.8 %
 
                       
Management fee rate
    25.00 %     24.75 %        
 
                       

7

Growth rates of policies in force for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                                 
    Private   12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    passenger   growth           growth   All other   growth   Personal   growth
Date   auto   rate   Homeowners   rate   personal lines   rate   lines   rate
03/31/2005
    1,661,955       (1.0 )%     1,343,803       0.6 %     279,927       1.4 %     3,285,685       (0.1 )%
 
                                                               
06/30/2005
    1,658,278       (1.7 )     1,350,491       0.2       282,670       1.5       3,291,439       (0.6 )
 
                                                               
09/30/2005
    1,651,629       (1.8 )     1,354,487       0.3       285,134       2.3       3,291,250       (0.6 )
 
                                                               
12/31/2005
    1,640,563       (1.8 )     1,353,912       0.5       286,604       2.7       3,281,079       (0.5 )
 
                                                               
03/31/2006
    1,636,048       (1.6 )     1,356,885       1.0       289,964       3.6       3,282,897       (0.1 )
 
                                                               
06/30/2006
    1,637,472       (1.3 )     1,366,633       1.2       294,409       4.2       3,298,514       0.2  
 
                                                               
09/30/2006
    1,636,947       (0.9 )     1,373,763       1.4       298,361       4.6       3,309,071       0.5  
 
                                                               
12/31/2006
    1,633,882       (0.4 )     1,377,965       1.8       301,497       5.2       3,313,344       1.0  
 
                                                               
03/31/2007
    1,635,714       0.0       1,384,856       2.1       305,591       5.4       3,326,161       1.3  
                                                                                 
            12-mth.   CML*   12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    CML*   growth   multi-   growth   Workers’   growth   All other   growth   CML*   growth
Date   auto   rate   peril   rate   comp.   rate   CML* lines   rate   lines   rate
03/31/2005
    117,382       1.4 %     209,619       1.3 %     57,949       (5.6 )%     87,877       1.8 %     472,827       0.5 %
 
                                                                               
06/30/2005
    118,445       1.2       212,100       1.1       57,398       (5.5 )     88,981       2.1       476,924       0.5  
 
                                                                               
09/30/2005
    118,555       1.3       212,939       1.4       56,877       (5.0 )     90,074       2.4       478,445       0.7  
 
                                                                               
12/31/2005
    118,728       1.2       213,347       1.8       56,218       (4.6 )     90,227       2.7       478,520       1.0  
 
                                                                               
03/31/2006
    118,587       1.0       214,461       2.3       55,254       (4.7 )     90,301       2.8       478,603       1.2  
 
                                                                               
06/30/2006
    119,471       0.9       217,134       2.4       54,871       (4.4 )     91,568       2.9       483,044       1.3  
 
                                                                               
09/30/2006
    119,555       0.8       217,763       2.3       54,379       (4.4 )     92,687       2.9       484,384       1.2  
 
                                                                               
12/31/2006
    119,801       0.9       218,542       2.4       53,923       (4.1 )     92,687       2.7       484,953       1.3  
 
                                                                               
03/31/2007
    119,907       1.1       219,300       2.3       53,498       (3.2 )     92,857       2.8       485,562       1.5  
                 
            12-mth.
    Total All   growth
Date   lines   rate
03/31/2005
    3,758,512       (0.1 )%
 
               
06/30/2005
    3,768,363       (0.5 )
 
               
09/30/2005
    3,769,695       (0.5 )
 
               
12/31/2005
    3,759,599       (0.3 )
 
               
03/31/2006
    3,761,500       0.1  
 
               
06/30/2006
    3,781,558       0.4  
 
               
09/30/2006
    3,793,455       0.6  
 
               
12/31/2006
    3,798,297       1.0  
 
               
03/31/2007
    3,811,723       1.3  

CML* = Commercial

8

Policy retention trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                         
    Private                   CML*            
    passenger   CML*           multi-   Workers’   All other    
Date   auto   auto   Homeowners   peril   comp.   lines   Total All lines
03/31/2005
    89.9 %     88.2 %     87.6 %     85.5 %     85.9 %     85.5 %     88.3 %
 
                                                       
06/30/2005
    89.8       87.8       87.8       85.0       85.8       85.5       88.3  
 
                                                       
09/30/2005
    89.9       88.0       88.0       85.1       86.0       85.6       88.4  
 
                                                       
12/31/2005
    90.0       87.9       88.2       85.4       86.2       86.0       88.6  
 
                                                       
03/31/2006
    90.1       88.0       88.6       85.9       86.0       86.2       88.8  
 
                                                       
06/30/2006
    90.3       87.7       88.9       85.9       85.9       86.5       89.0  
 
                                                       
09/30/2006
    90.5       87.8       89.2       86.0       85.8       86.7       89.2  
 
                                                       
12/31/2006
    90.8       87.7       89.4       86.0       85.7       87.1       89.5  
 
                                                       
03/31/2007
    91.0       88.0       89.7       86.1       86.2       87.2       89.7  

CML* = Commercial

9

Average premium per policy trends for Property and Casualty insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                                 
    Private   12-mth.           12-mth.   All other   12-mth.           12-mth.
    passenger   percent           percent   personal   percent   Total Personal   percent
Date   auto   change   Homeowners   change   lines   change   lines   change
03/31/2005
  $ 1,193       4.3 %   $ 552       13.8 %   $ 347       8.4 %   $ 858       6.3 %
 
                                                               
06/30/2005
    1,186       2.4       549       7.6       346       5.5       851       3.3  
 
                                                               
09/30/2005
    1,179       0.3       546       2.8       347       3.3       846       0.6  
 
                                                               
12/31/2005
    1,174       (1.3 )     543       (0.5 )     348       0.3       841       (1.6 )
 
                                                               
03/31/2006
    1,161       (2.7 )     539       (2.4 )     349       0.6       832       (3.0 )
 
                                                               
06/30/2006
    1,140       (3.9 )     535       (2.6 )     348       0.6       818       (3.9 )
 
                                                               
09/30/2006
    1,122       (4.8 )     530       (2.9 )     348       0.3       806       (4.7 )
 
                                                               
12/31/2006
    1,110       (5.5 )     526       (3.1 )     349       0.3       797       (5.2 )
 
                                                               
03/31/2007
    1,100       (5.3 )     524       (2.8 )     349       0.0       791       (4.9 )
                                                                 
            12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
            percent           percent   All other   percent   CML*   percent
Date   CML* auto   change   Workers’ Comp.   change   CML* lines   change   lines   change
03/31/2005
  $ 2,799       3.1 %   $ 6,004       13.6 %   $ 1,720       6.2 %   $ 2,513       6.2 %
 
                                                               
06/30/2005
    2,780       1.2       6,102       12.2       1,708       3.8       2,503       4.2  
 
                                                               
09/30/2005
    2,789       0.8       6,104       8.2       1,694       1.2       2,490       1.9  
 
                                                               
12/31/2005
    2,781       (0.3 )     6,212       6.7       1,705       (0.1 )     2,501       0.6  
 
                                                               
03/31/2006
    2,778       (0.8 )     6,270       4.4       1,710       (0.6 )     2,501       (0.5 )
 
                                                               
06/30/2006
    2,730       (1.8 )     6,143       0.7       1,676       (1.9 )     2,444       (2.4 )
 
                                                               
09/30/2006
    2,705       (3.0 )     6,047       (0.9 )     1,669       (1.5 )     2,416       (3.0 )
 
                                                               
12/31/2006
    2,687       (3.4 )     5,985       (3.7 )     1,657       (2.8 )     2,393       (4.3 )
 
                                                               
03/31/2007
    2,664       (4.1 )     5,914       (5.7 )     1,641       (4.0 )     2,365       (5.4 )
                 
            12-mth.
    Total All   percent
Date   lines   change
03/31/2005
  $ 1,066       6.4 %
 
               
06/30/2005
    1,061       3.8  
 
               
09/30/2005
    1,055       1.2  
 
               
12/31/2005
    1,052       (0.8 )
 
               
03/31/2006
    1,044       (2.1 )
 
               
06/30/2006
    1,026       (3.3 )
 
               
09/30/2006
    1,011       (4.2 )
 
               
12/31/2006
    1,001       (4.8 )
 
               
03/31/2007
    991       (5.1 )

CML* = Commercial

10

PROPERTY & CASUALTY GROUP ADJUSTED COMBINED RATIO BY
MAJOR LINES OF BUSINESS (SAP BASIS) – DIRECT BUSINESS

                                                                 
    Three Months Ended   Three Months Ended
    March 31, 2007   March 31, 2006
 
          Prior Year**           Current           Prior Year**           Current
 
          Reserve           Accident           Reserve           Accident
 
          Development           Year           Development           Year
 
  Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding   Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding
 
  Year
  (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes   Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes
 
                                   
Private Passenger Auto
  83.8 %   -14.4 %   0.0 %   98.2 %   83.8 %   -8.3 %   0.0 %   92.1 %
Homeowners
  78.1 %   -9.1 %   0.5 %   86.7 %   70.0 %   -9.0 %   0.3 %   78.7 %
Other Personal Lines
  78.9 %   -5.9 %   0.0 %   84.8 %   70.8 %   0.9 %   0.0 %   69.9 %
Total Personal
  81.8 %   -12.6 %   0.5 %   93.9 %   79.5 %***   -8.1 %   0.4 %   87.2 %
Commercial Multi-Peril
  93.7 %   -1.0 %   0.0 %   94.7 %   77.5 %   0.0 %   0.2 %   77.3 %
Commercial Auto
  77.9 %   -12.3 %   0.0 %   90.2 %   74.0 %   -1.9 %   0.0 %   75.9 %
Workers’ Compensation
  102.8 %   0.5 %   0.0 %   102.3 %   58.5 %   -19.4 %   0.0 %   77.9 %
Other Commercial Lines
  45.4 %   -24.8 %   0.0 %   70.2 %   55.6 %   -21.0 %   0.0 %   76.6 %
Total Commercial
  88.7 %   -5.2 %   0.0 %   93.9 %   69.6 %***   -7.5 %   0.2 %   76.9 %
Grand Total – Direct Business Only
  84.0 %   -10.3 %   0.5 %   93.8 %   76.4 %***   -7.9 %   0.6 %   83.7 %
*The calendar year combined ratio represents the adjusted statutory combined ratio, which removes the profit component of the management fee earned by the Company.
                       
**The prior accident year reserve development does not include the effects of salvage and subrogation recoveries.
                                       
*** Calendar year combined ratios in the first quarter of 2006 are shown exclusive of the write off of eCommerce assets. Including these in underwriting expenses would have contributed 4.0 points to the combined ratio calculations.
       

11