10-Q 1 j0215101e10vq.htm ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY | FORM 10-Q Erie Idemnity Co. 10-Q
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FORM 10-Q

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549

QUARTERLY REPORT UNDER SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF
THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the quarter ended June 30, 2003

Commission file number 0-24000

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY


(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
     
PENNSYLVANIA   25-0466020

 
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)
  (I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
     
100 Erie Insurance Place, Erie, Pennsylvania  
16530

 


(Address of principal executive offices)  
(Zip Code)
     
(814) 870-2000    

   
Registrant’s telephone number, including area code    
     
Not applicable    

 
Former address and former fiscal year, if changed since last report    

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter periods that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes X No    

Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer’s classes of common stock, as of the latest practical date.

      Class A Common Stock, no par value, with a stated value of $.0292 per share—64,089,906 shares as of July 17, 2003.

      Class B Common Stock, no par value, with a stated value of $70 per share—2,878 shares as of July 17, 2003.

The common stock is the only class of stock the Registrant is presently authorized to issue.

 


PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION
ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION
ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION
ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (UNAUDITED)
ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (UNAUDITED)
ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (UNAUDITED)
ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)
ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
ITEM 1. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS
PART II. OTHER INFORMATION
ITEM 1. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS (CONTINUED)
ITEM 4. SUBMISSION OF MATTERS TO A VOTE OF SECURITY HOLDERS
ITEM 6. EXHIBITS AND REPORTS ON FORM 8-K
ITEM 11.STATEMENT REGARDING COMPUTATION OF PER SHARE EARNINGS
SIGNATURES
Exhibit 31.1
Exhibit 31.2
Exhibit 32


Table of Contents

INDEX

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION

     
Item 1.   Financial Statements (Unaudited)
 
    Consolidated Statements of Financial Position—June 30, 2003 and December 31, 2002
 
    Consolidated Statements of Operations—Three months and six months ended June 30, 2003 and 2002
 
    Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income—Six months ended June 30, 2003 and 2002
 
    Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows—Six months ended June 30, 2003 and 2002
 
    Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements—June 30, 2003
 
Item 2.   Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
 
Item 3.   Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
 
Item 4.   Controls and Procedures

PART II. OTHER INFORMATION

     
Item 1.   Legal Proceedings
Item 4.   Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders
Item 6.   Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K
Item 11.   Statement Regarding Computation of Per Share Earnings

SIGNATURES

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PART I. FINANCIAL INFORMATION

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

                     
        (Dollars in thousands)
        June 30,   December 31,
ASSETS   2003   2002
   
 
    (Unaudited)        
INVESTMENTS
               
 
Fixed maturities at fair value (amortized cost of $725,437 and $675,876, respectively)
  $ 784,566     $ 708,068  
 
Equity securities at fair value (cost of $162,564 and $175,593, respectively)
    196,570       194,078  
 
Limited partnerships (cost of $94,625 and $85,709, respectively)
    101,189       91,046  
 
Real estate mortgage loans
    5,248       5,567  
 
   
     
 
 
               
   
Total investments
  $ 1,087,573     $ 998,759  
 
               
 
Cash and cash equivalents
    139,820       85,712  
 
Accrued investment income
    10,528       10,892  
 
Premiums receivable from Policyholders
    268,074       239,704  
 
Prepaid federal income tax
    1,737       12,000  
 
Reinsurance recoverable from Erie Insurance Exchange on unpaid losses
    630,070       577,917  
 
Ceded unearned premiums to Erie Insurance Exchange
    87,195       71,091  
 
Note receivable from Erie Family Life Insurance Company
    15,000       15,000  
 
Other receivables from Erie Insurance Exchange and affiliates
    211,147       180,041  
 
Reinsurance recoverable non-affiliates
    461       232  
 
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    23,844       21,713  
 
Property and equipment
    14,549       14,378  
 
Equity in Erie Family Life Insurance Company
    59,434       48,545  
 
Prepaid pension
    54,034       40,352  
 
Other assets
    47,871       41,340  
 
   
     
 
 
               
   
Total assets
  $ 2,651,337     $ 2,357,676  
 
   
     
 

(Continued)

See Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

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ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

                       
          (Dollars in thousands)
          June 30,   December 31,
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY   2003   2002
   
 
    (Unaudited)        
LIABILITIES
               
 
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 780,837     $ 717,015  
 
Unearned premiums
    439,214       393,091  
 
Commissions payable and accrued
    148,812       135,311  
 
Securities lending collateral
    55,072       43,916  
 
Accounts payable and accrued expenses
    65,865       39,139  
 
Deferred income taxes
    29,149       12,618  
 
Dividends payable
    12,258       12,250  
 
Employee benefit obligations
    18,967       16,964  
 
   
     
 
 
               
     
Total liabilities
  $ 1,550,174     $ 1,370,304  
 
SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
               
 
Capital Stock
               
   
Class A common, stated value $.0292 per share; authorized 74,996,930 shares; 67,488,000 and 67,440,000 shares issued, respectively; 64,085,106 and 64,037,106 shares outstanding, respectively
  $ 1,968     $ 1,967  
   
Class B common, convertible at a rate of 2,400 Class A shares for one Class B share, stated value $70 per share; 2,880 and 2,900 shares authorized, issued and outstanding, respectively
    202       203  
 
Additional paid-in capital
    7,830       7,830  
 
Accumulated other comprehensive income
    76,631       38,685  
 
Retained earnings
    1,116,392       1,040,547  
 
   
     
 
 
               
     
Total contributed capital and retained earnings
  $ 1,203,023     $ 1,089,232  
 
               
 
Treasury stock, at cost 3,402,894 shares in 2003 and 2002
    (101,860 )     (101,860 )
 
   
     
 
 
               
     
Total shareholders’ equity
  $ 1,101,163     $ 987,372  
 
   
     
 
 
               
     
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 2,651,337     $ 2,357,676  
 
   
     
 

See Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

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ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (UNAUDITED)

                                     
        Three Months Ended   Six Months Ended
        June 30   June 30
        2003   2002   2003   2002
       
 
 
 
        (Dollars in thousands)
OPERATING REVENUE:
                               
 
Management fee revenue
  $ 232,737     $ 206,575     $ 439,983     $ 384,827  
 
Premiums earned
    47,219       40,434       92,401       77,653  
 
Service agreement revenue
    6,863       7,776       13,347       15,118  
 
   
     
     
     
 
   
Total operating revenue
  $ 286,819     $ 254,785     $ 545,731     $ 477,598  
 
                               
OPERATING EXPENSES:
                               
 
Cost of management operations
  $ 170,087     $ 147,504     $ 324,460     $ 276,296  
 
Losses and loss expenses incurred
    39,364       34,050       76,864       63,387  
 
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
    14,135       12,430       27,487       23,927  
 
   
     
     
     
 
   
Total operating expenses
    223,586       193,984       428,811       363,610  
 
                               
OTHER INCOME AND EXPENSES:
                               
 
Net investment income
  $ 14,219     $ 14,133     $ 28,538     $ 26,837  
 
Net realized gains (losses) on investments
    3,376       (5,801 )     3,969       (4,581 )
 
Equity in (losses) earnings of limited partnerships
    (1,420 )     2,221       (2,746 )     307  
 
   
     
     
     
 
   
Total other income and expenses
  $ 16,175     $ 10,553     $ 29,761     $ 22,563  
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
                               
Income before income taxes and equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Co.
  $ 79,408     $ 71,354     $ 146,681     $ 136,551  
 
                               
Less: provision for income taxes
    26,522       23,730       48,982       45,441  
 
                               
Equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company, net of tax
  $ 1,572     $ 202     $ 2,659     $ 917  
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
                               
   
Net income
  $ 54,458     $ 47,826     $ 100,358     $ 92,027  
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
                               
   
Net income per share (basic and diluted)
  $ 0.77     $ 0.67     $ 1.41     $ 1.29  
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
                               
   
Weighted average shares outstanding
    70,997       71,144       70,997       71,162  
 
                               
 
Dividends declared per share:
                               
   
Class A
  $ 0.19     $ 0.17     $ 0.38     $ 0.34  
   
Class B
    28.50       25.50       57.00       51.00  

See Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

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ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (UNAUDITED)

                                       
          Three Months Ended   Six Months Ended
          June 30   June 30
          2003   2002   2003   2002
         
 
 
 
                  (Dollars in thousands)        
Net Income
  $ 54,458     $ 47,826     $ 100,358     $ 92,027  
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
Unrealized gains (losses) on securities:
                               
   
Unrealized holding gains (losses) arising during period
    46,747       (10,591 )     62,348       (24,182 )
   
Less: (Gains) losses included in net income
    (3,376 )     5,801       (3,969 )     4,581  
 
   
     
     
     
 
     
Net unrealized holding gains (losses) arising during period
    43,371       (4,790 )     58,379       (19,601 )
 
Income tax (expense) benefit related to unrealized gains (losses)
    (15,180 )     1,676       (20,433 )     6,860  
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
                               
 
Net appreciation (depreciation) of investments
    28,191       (3,114 )     37,946       (12,741 )
 
                               
 
Minimum pension liability adjustment
    0       0       0       4,315  
 
Less: Tax benefit related to pension liability adjustment
    0       0       0       (1,510 )
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
Net pension liability adjustment
    0       0       0       2,805  
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
                               
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax
    28,191       (3,114 )     37,946       (9,936 )
 
   
     
     
     
 
Comprehensive income
  $ 82,649     $ 44,712     $ 138,304     $ 82,091  
 
   
     
     
     
 

     See Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

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ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (UNAUDITED)

                         
            Six Months Ended   Six Months Ended
            June 30, 2003   June 30, 2002
           
 
            (Dollars in thousands)
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES
               
 
Management fee received
  $ 405,448     $ 344,106  
 
Service agreement fee received
    13,347       15,118  
 
Premiums collected
    97,480       81,323  
 
Net investment income received
    30,845       26,980  
 
Dividends received from Erie Family Life
    858       858  
 
Salaries and wages paid
    (58,934 )     (68,328 )
 
Commissions paid to Agents
    (222,733 )     (180,283 )
 
General operating expenses paid
    (40,555 )     (33,749 )
 
Losses and loss adjustment expenses paid
    (65,425 )     (57,107 )
 
Underwriting and acquisition costs paid
    (30,764 )     (28,023 )
 
Income taxes paid
    (38,036 )     (28,296 )
 
   
     
 
     
Net cash provided by operating activities
  $ 91,531     $ 72,599  
 
               
CASH FLOWS FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES
               
 
Purchase of investments:
               
   
Fixed maturities
  ($ 190,723 )   ($ 175,188 )
   
Equity securities
    (21,752 )     (34,308 )
   
Mortgage loans
    (1,500 )        
   
Limited partnership investments
    (18,262 )     (22,138 )
 
Sales/maturities of investments:
               
   
Fixed maturity sales
    90,463       51,937  
   
Fixed maturity calls/maturities
    76,330       42,120  
   
Equity securities
    33,027       25,779  
   
Mortgage loans
    1,819       66  
   
Limited partnership sales or distributions
    7,596       14,953  
 
Increase (decrease) in collateral from securities lending
    11,156       (30,803 )
 
Sale of property and equipment
    32       0  
 
Purchase of property and equipment
    0       (1,272 )
 
Purchase of computer software
    (1,706 )     (322 )
 
Loans to Agents
    (1,495 )     (1,672 )
 
Collections on Agent loans
    2,096       1,328  
 
   
     
 
       
Net cash used in investing activities
  ($ 12,919 )   ($ 129,520 )
 
               
CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES
               
 
Dividends paid to shareholders
  ($ 24,504 )   ($ 21,857 )
 
Purchase of treasury stock
    0       (5,871 )
 
   
     
 
     
Net cash used in financing activities
  ($ 24,504 )   ($ 27,728 )
 
   
     
 
 
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents
    54,108       (84,649 )
 
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period
    85,712       119,016  
 
   
     
 
     
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period
  $ 139,820     $ 34,367  
 
   
     
 

     See Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

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ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

(All dollar amounts are in thousands except per share data)

NOTE 1 — BASIS OF PRESENTATION

The accompanying unaudited consolidated financial statements, which include the accounts of Erie Indemnity Company and its wholly owned property and casualty insurance subsidiaries, Erie Insurance Company (EIC), Erie Insurance Company of New York (EINY) and Erie Insurance Property & Casualty Company, have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America for interim financial information and with the instructions to Form 10-Q and Article 10 of Regulation S-X. Accordingly, they do not include all of the information and footnotes required by generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) for complete financial statements. In the opinion of management, all adjustments (consisting of normal recurring accruals) considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included. Operating results for the six-month period ended June 30, 2003 are not necessarily indicative of the results that may be expected for the year ending December 31, 2003. For further information, refer to the consolidated financial statements and footnotes thereto included in the Company’s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2002 as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on March 27, 2003.

NOTE 2 — RECENT ACCOUNTING PRONOUNCEMENTS

In January 2003, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued FASB Interpretation No. 46, “Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities.” This Interpretation provides guidance on the identification of entities for which control is achieved through means other than through voting rights, so called variable interest entities, and how to determine when and which business enterprises should consolidate variable interest entities. The entity identified as the variable interest entity’s primary beneficiary is required to consolidate the variable interest entity. This Interpretation applies immediately to variable interest entities created after January 31, 2003. It applies in the third quarter 2003 to variable interest entities in which an enterprise holds a variable interest that it acquired after January 31, 2003.

Management is in the process of completing the evaluation of the impact of the Interpretation on the Company’s financial statements. Management believes the Erie Insurance Exchange (Exchange) qualifies as a variable interest entity (VIE) under the Interpretation, and may require consolidation in the Company’s financial statements dependent on the conclusions of the evaluation. Due to the unique relationship of the Company and the Exchange, the complexity of this Interpretation, and other factors, application of the Interpretation is complex. In addition, application of the Interpretation to the Exchange, may result in consolidation of Erie Family Life Insurance Company (EFL) in the Company’s financial statements. Summarized financial statement information prepared on a statutory basis for the Exchange and for EFL on a GAAP-basis and other information relative to the Exchange and EFL is provided in the Company’s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2002 as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on March 27, 2003. Additional information on the current operations of the Exchange and EFL is contained herein and in Management’s Discussion and Analysis.

Several limited partnership investments were identified as qualifying as VIEs. These limited partnerships do not require consolidation with the Company’s financial statements because the Company is not the primary beneficiary, as defined by the Interpretation. See Note 5 for additional information on our limited partnership investments.

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NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 2 — RECENT ACCOUNTING PRONOUNCEMENTS (Continued)

In June 2002, the FASB, issued Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) No. 146, “Accounting for Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal Activities”, which supercedes Emerging Issues Task Force (EITF) Issue No. 94-3, “Liability Recognition for Certain Employee Termination Benefits and Other Costs to Exit an Activity (Including Certain Costs Incurred in a Restructuring)”. The provisions of this Statement are effective for exit or disposal activities initiated after December 31, 2002. SFAS No. 146 requires recognition of a liability for costs associated with an exit or disposal activity when the liability is incurred, rather than when the entity commits to an exit plan under EITF Issue No. 94-3. This Statement applies to costs associated with an exit activity that does not involve an entity newly acquired in a business combination or with a disposal activity covered by SFAS No. 144, “Accounting for the Impairment or Disposal of Long-Lived Assets”. Additionally, this Statement does not apply to costs associated with the retirement of a long-lived asset covered by SFAS No. 143, “Accounting for Asset Retirement Obligations”. The adoption of this standard had no current impact on the Company’s results of operations, financial position or liquidity. Certain provisions of SFAS No. 146 may apply to the Group’s exit from the assumed reinsurance business. However, the Company does not expect to record any material charges under SFAS No. 146 related to the Group’s exit from its assumed reinsurance business during 2003.

NOTE 3 — RECLASSIFICATIONS

Certain amounts previously reported in the 2002 financial statements have been reclassified to conform to the current period’s presentation. Such reclassifications did not impact earnings.

NOTE 4 — EARNINGS PER SHARE

Earnings per share is based on the weighted average number of Class A shares outstanding (64,085,106 and 63,794,175 at June 30, 2003 and 2002, respectively), giving effect to the conversion of the weighted average number of Class B shares outstanding (2,880 in 2003 and 3,070 in 2002) at a rate of 2,400 Class A shares for one Class B share. In June 2003, 10 shares of Class B voting stock were converted to 24,000 non voting shares of Class A common stock. Weighted average equivalent shares outstanding totaled 70,997,106 for the quarter ended June 30, 2003 and 71,143,580 for the same period one year ago. For the six months ended June 30, 2003 weighted average equivalent shares outstanding were 70,997,106 compared to 71,162,175 for the six months ended June 30, 2002.

NOTE 5 — INVESTMENTS

Marketable equity securities consist primarily of common and non redeemable preferred stocks while fixed maturities consist of bonds, notes and redeemable preferred stock. Management considers all fixed maturities and marketable equity securities available-for-sale. Management determines the appropriate classification of fixed maturities at the time of purchase and reevaluates such designation as of each statement of financial position date. Available-for-sale securities are stated at fair value, with the unrealized gains and losses, net of deferred tax, reported as a separate component of accumulated other comprehensive income in shareholders’ equity. When a decline in the value of an investment is considered to be other-than-temporary by management, the investment is written down to estimated realizable value. Investment impairments are evaluated on an individual security position basis.

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NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 5 — INVESTMENTS (Continued)

Adjustments to the carrying value of marketable equity securities and fixed maturities that are considered impaired are recorded as realized losses in the Consolidated Statements of Operations. Adjustments to the carrying value of limited partnerships that are considered impaired are recorded as a component of equity in losses or earnings of limited partnerships in the Consolidated Statements of Operations. In the second quarter of 2003, the Company recognized impairment charges on limited partnerships totaling $480. There were no impairment charges on marketable equity securities or fixed maturities in the second quarter of 2003. In the second quarter of 2002, there were $10,693 impairment charges related to marketable equity securities and fixed maturities and $176 related to limited partnerships. Impairment charges totaled $7,734 for the six months ended June 30, 2003 compared to $12,074 for the six months ended June 30, 2002.

The Company had loaned securities, included as part of its invested assets, with a market value of $53,596 and $42,747 at June 30, 2003 and December 31, 2002, respectively. Securities lending collateral is recorded by the Company as a liability. The proceeds from the collateral are invested in cash and short-term investments and are reported on the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position as cash and cash equivalents. The Company shares a portion of the interest on these short-term investments with the borrower. The Company has incurred no losses on the loan program since the program’s inception.

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NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 5 — INVESTMENTS (Continued)

The following is a summary of available-for-sale securities:

                                       
              Gross   Gross   Estimated
          Amortized   Unrealized   Unrealized   Fair
          Cost   Gains   Losses   Value
         
 
 
 
June 30, 2003
                               
 
                               
Fixed maturities:
                               
U.S. treasuries & government agencies
  $ 19,297     $ 703     $ 1     $ 19,999  
States & political subdivisions
    53,362       3,217       32       56,547  
Special revenue
    117,747       5,654       73       123,328  
Public utilities
    50,989       5,666       0       56,655  
U.S. industrial & miscellaneous
    393,971       35,026       493       428,504  
Foreign
    66,393       8,359       54       74,698  
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
                               
     
Total bonds
  $ 701,759     $ 58,625     $ 653     $ 759,731  
 
                               
Redeemable preferred stock
    23,678       1,219       62       24,835  
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
                               
     
Total fixed maturities
  $ 725,437     $ 59,844     $ 715     $ 784,566  
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
                               
Equity securities:
                               
Common stock:
                               
 
U.S. banks, trusts & insurance companies
  $ 2,097     $ 2,645     $ 0     $ 4,742  
 
U.S. industrial & miscellaneous
    19,145       16,349       196       35,298  
 
Foreign
    417       317       0       734  
 
                               
Nonredeemable
                               
 
preferred stock:
                               
 
Public utilities
    20,102       2,454       6       22,550  
 
U.S. banks, trusts & insurance companies
    28,684       2,742       186       31,240  
 
U.S. industrial & miscellaneous
    68,694       7,648       357       75,985  
 
Foreign
    23,425       2,670       74       26,021  
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
                               
     
Total equity securities
  $ 162,564     $ 34,825     $ 819     $ 196,570  
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
                               
     
Total fixed maturities and equity securities
  $ 888,001     $ 94,669     $ 1,534     $ 981,136  
 
   
     
     
     
 

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NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 5 — INVESTMENTS (Continued)

                                       
                  Gross   Gross   Estimated
          Amortized   Unrealized   Unrealized   Fair
          Cost   Gains   Losses   Value
         
 
 
 
December 31, 2002
                               
 
                               
Fixed maturities:
                               
U.S. treasuries & government agencies
  $ 10,279     $ 554     $ 0     $ 10,833  
States & political subdivisions
    48,394       2,940       0       51,334  
Special revenue
    98,260       4,994       5       103,249  
Public utilities
    45,076       2,353       894       46,535  
U.S. industrial & miscellaneous
    392,894       22,850       3,624       412,120  
Foreign
    60,920       3,355       1,297       62,978  
 
   
     
     
     
 
     
Total bonds
  $ 655,823     $ 37,046     $ 5,820     $ 687,049  
Redeemable preferred stock
    20,053       1,076       110       21,019  
 
   
     
     
     
 
     
Total fixed maturities
  $ 675,876     $ 38,122     $ 5,930     $ 708,068  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Equity securities:
                               
Common stock:
                               
   
U.S. banks, trusts & insurance companies
  $ 1,030     $ 554     $ 171     $ 1,413  
   
U.S. industrial & miscellaneous
    20,478       14,986       1,061       34,403  
   
Foreign
    417       282       0       699  
Nonredeemable
                               
 
preferred stock:
                               
 
Public utilities
    18,902       599       135       19,366  
 
U.S. banks, trusts & insurance companies
    27,686       1,550       792       28,444  
 
U.S. industrial & miscellaneous
    83,655       4,193       2,820       85,028  
 
Foreign
    23,425       1,370       70       24,725  
 
   
     
     
     
 
     
Total equity securities
  $ 175,593     $ 23,534     $ 5,049     $ 194,078  
 
   
     
     
     
 
     
Total fixed maturities and equity securities
  $ 851,469     $ 61,656     $ 10,979     $ 902,146  
 
   
     
     
     
 

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NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 5 — INVESTMENTS (Continued)

The components of net realized (losses) gains on investments as reported in the Consolidated Statements of Operations are included below. There were no impairment charges on fixed maturities or equity securities in the second quarter of 2003. Included in the second quarter of 2002 gross realized losses are impairment charges of $8,366 and $2,327 related to fixed maturities and equity securities, respectively.

                                   
      Three Months Ended   Six Months Ended
      June 30   June 30
     
 
      2003   2002   2003   2002
Fixed maturities:
                               
Gross realized gains
  $ 2,408     $ 2,460     $ 9,147     $ 2,873  
Gross realized losses
    (41 )     (8,411 )     (3,423 )     (8,419 )
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
Net realized gains (losses)
  $ 2,367     ($ 5,951 )   $ 5,724     ($  5,546 )
 
   
     
     
     
 
Equity securities:
                               
Gross realized gains
  $ 2,027     $ 6,688     $ 2,993     $ 7,570  
Gross realized losses
    (1,018 )     (6,538 )     (4,748 )     (6,605 )
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
Net realized gains (losses)
  $ 1,009     $ 150     ($ 1,755 )   $ 965  
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
Net realized gains (losses) on investments
  $ 3,376     ($ 5,801 )   $ 3,969     ($  4,581 )
 
   
     
     
     
 

Limited partnerships include U.S. and foreign private equity, real estate and fixed income investments. The private equity limited partnerships invest in small- to medium-sized companies. Limited partnerships are recorded using the equity method, which approximates the Company’s share of the carrying value of the partnership. Unrealized gains and losses on private equity limited partnerships are reflected in shareholders’ equity in accumulated other comprehensive income, net of deferred taxes. The Company has not guaranteed any of the partnership liabilities.

Limited partnerships that have declined in value below cost and for which the decline is considered to be other-than-temporary by management are written down to realizable value. These impairments are made directly on an individual limited partnership basis and are considered a loss in the Equity in Earnings of Limited Partnerships in the Consolidated Statements of Operations. Impairment charges totaling $480 and $176 were recorded in the second quarter of 2003 and 2002, respectively related to private equity limited partnerships. The Components of Equity in Earnings of Limited Partnerships as reported in the Consolidated Statements of Operations are included below.

                                   
      Three Months Ended   Six Months Ended
      June 30   June 30
     
 
      2003   2002   2003   2002
     
 
 
 
Private equity
  ($ 1,872 )   ($ 332 )   ($ 3,513 )   ($ 3,257 )
Real estate
    128       2,470       563       3,480  
Fixed income
    324       83       204       84  
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
Total equity in (losses) earnings of limited partnerships
  ($ 1,420 )   $ 2,221     ($ 2,746 )   $ 307  
 
   
     
     
     
 

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NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 6 — SUMMARIZED FINANCIAL STATEMENT INFORMATION OF AFFILIATE

The Company owns 21.6% of Erie Family Life Insurance Company’s (EFL) outstanding common shares and accounts for this investment using the equity method of accounting. EFL is a Pennsylvania-domiciled life insurance company operating in 10 states and the District of Columbia.

The following represents unaudited condensed financial statement information for EFL on a GAAP basis:

                 
    Six Months Ended   Six Months Ended
    June 30, 2003   June 30, 2002
   
 
Revenues
  $ 70,905     $ 55,714  
Benefits and expenses
    50,660       47,470  
 
   
     
 
Income before income taxes
    20,245       8,244  
Income taxes
    7,025       2,852  
 
   
     
 
Net income
  $ 13,220     $ 5,392  
 
   
     
 
Comprehensive income
  $ 54,315     $ 1,992  
 
   
     
 
Dividends paid to shareholders
  $ 3,969     $ 3,827  
 
   
     
 
Net unrealized appreciation on investment securities at June 30, net of deferred taxes
  $ 77,240     $ 14,959  
 
   
     
 
Total assets
  $ 1,598,285     $ 1,389,619  
 
   
     
 
Total shareholders’ equity
  $ 272,808     $ 224,447  
 
   
     
 

NOTE 7 — NOTES RECEIVABLE FROM ERIE FAMILY LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY

The Company is due $15,000 from EFL in the form of a surplus note. This note bears an annual interest rate of 6.45% and all payments of interest and principal on the note may be repaid only out of unassigned surplus of EFL and are subject to prior approval by the Pennsylvania Insurance Commissioner. Interest on the surplus note is scheduled to be paid semi-annually. The note will be payable on demand on or after December 31, 2005, subject to approval of the Pennsylvania Insurance Commissioner. EFL paid interest of $484 in the second quarters of 2003 and 2002 to the Company.

An additional surplus note is intended to be issued by EFL to the Company during the second half of 2003 not to exceed $25,000 in exchange for an equivalent amount of cash upon approval of the Pennsylvania Insurance Department. All payments of interest and principal on this second note would only be payable out of unassigned surplus of EFL and would be subject to prior approval by the Pennsylvania Insurance Commissioner. This note is being issued to strengthen the surplus of EFL.

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NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 8 — STATUTORY INFORMATION

Cash and securities with carrying values of $5,512 and $3,493 were deposited by the Company’s property and casualty insurance subsidiaries with regulatory authorities under statutory requirements as of June 30, 2003 and December 31, 2002, respectively.

NOTE 9 — SUPPLEMENTARY DATA ON CASH FLOWS

A reconciliation of net income to net cash provided by operating activities as presented in the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows is as follows:

                       
          Six Months Ended June 30,
         
          2003   2002
         
 
          (Dollars in thousands)
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES:
               
 
               
   
Net income
  $ 100,358     $ 92,027  
   
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
               
     
Depreciation and amortization
    1,504       1,921  
     
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
    884       (1,966 )
     
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
    17,288       13,832  
     
Equity in losses (earnings) of limited partnerships
    2,746       (307 )
     
Net realized (gains) losses on investments
    (3,969 )     4,581  
     
Net amortization of bond premium (discount)
    438       (288 )
     
Undistributed earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company
    (2,001 )     (127 )
     
Deferred compensation
    602       456  
   
Decrease (increase) in accrued investment income
    365       (1,490 )
   
Increase in reinsurance recoverable from Erie Insurance Exchange on unpaid losses
    (52,513 )     (35,590 )
   
Increase in receivables
    (75,449 )     (88,688 )
   
Policy acquisition costs deferred
    (19,419 )     (16,929 )
   
Increase in prepaid expenses and other assets
    (20,818 )     (18,064 )
   
Increase (decrease) in accounts payable and accrued expenses
    7,806       (5,883 )
   
Increase in commissions payable and accrued
    13,501       16,428  
   
Increase in income taxes payable
    0       19,180  
   
Decrease in income taxes receivable
    10,263       0  
   
Increase in loss reserves
    63,822       41,865  
   
Increase in unearned premiums
    46,123       51,641  
 
   
     
 
 
Net cash provided by operating activities
  $ 91,531     $ 72,599  
 
   
     
 

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NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 10 — COMMITMENTS

The Company has contractual commitments to invest up to $95,100 related to its limited partnership investments at June 30, 2003. These commitments will be funded as required by the partnerships’ agreements which expire through 2007. At June 30, 2003, the total commitment to fund limited partnerships that invest in private equity securities is $54,200, real estate activities is $21,400 and fixed income securities is $19,500. The Company expects to have sufficient cash flows from operations to meet these partnership commitments.

During 2001 and 2002, the Company entered into contracts with various external vendors to provide services related to the eCommerce program. The total outstanding commitment for these contracts at June 30, 2003, was $18,886, of which approximately $15,919 will be reimbursed to the Company by the Erie Insurance Exchange (Exchange). The majority of these committed services are expected to be performed in 2003.

NOTE 11 — SEGMENT INFORMATION

The Company operates its business as three reportable segments — management operations, insurance underwriting operations and investment operations. Accounting policies for segments are the same as those described in the summary of significant accounting policies Note 2, of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2002 as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on March 27, 2003. Assets are not allocated to the segments and are reviewed in total by management for purposes of decision making. No single customer or Agent provides 10% or more of revenues for the Property and Casualty Group. The Property and Casualty Group includes the Exchange and its property and casualty insurance subsidiary, Flagship City Insurance Company, and the Company’s three property and casualty insurance subsidiaries, Erie Insurance Company, Erie Insurance Company of New York and Erie Insurance Property & Casualty Company.

The Company’s principal operations consist of serving as attorney-in-fact for the Exchange, performing certain services related to the sales, underwriting and issuance of policies, which constitute its management operations. The Company operates in this capacity solely for the Exchange. The Company’s insurance underwriting operations arise through direct business of its property/casualty insurance subsidiaries and by virtue of the pooling agreement between its subsidiaries and the Exchange. Results derived under the pooling agreement include assumed and ceded reinsurance from non-affiliated domestic and foreign sources. Insurance underwriting operations also include the results of the all-lines aggregate excess-of-loss reinsurance agreement ceded to the Exchange.

Insurance provided in the insurance underwriting operations consists of personal and commercial lines and is sold by independent Agents. Personal lines are marketed to individuals and commercial lines are marketed to small- and medium-sized businesses. The performance of the personal and commercial lines is evaluated based upon the underwriting results as determined under statutory accounting practices (SAP) for the total pooled business of the Property and Casualty Group.

Investment operations consist of investments made with excess cash flows that are generated from the management operations and insurance underwriting operations segments. Investment income is not allocated to the two other segments.

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NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 11 – SEGMENT INFORMATION (continued)

Summarized financial information for these operations is presented below:

                                         
            Three Months Ended   Six Months Ended
            June 30   June 30
           
 
            2003   2002   2003   2002
Management Operations:
                               
 
Operating revenue:
                               
   
Management fee revenue
  $ 232,737     $ 206,575     $ 439,983     $ 384,827  
   
Service agreement revenue
    6,863       7,776       13,347       15,118  
 
   
     
     
     
 
       
Total operating revenue
  $ 239,600     $ 214,351     $ 453,330     $ 399,945  
 
Cost of management operations
    170,087       147,504       324,460       276,296  
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
Income before taxes
  $ 69,513     $ 66,847     $ 128,870     $ 123,649  
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
Net income from management operations
  $ 46,300     $ 44,615     $ 85,837     $ 82,498  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Insurance Underwriting Operations:
                               
 
Operating revenue:
                               
   
Premiums earned:
                               
     
Commercial lines
  $ 14,211     $ 11,399     $ 27,977     $ 21,981  
     
Personal lines
    33,199       28,054       64,075       54,012  
     
Reinsurance
    1,022       2,445       1,878       3,757  
 
   
     
     
     
 
       
Total premiums earned (SAP)
    48,432       41,898       93,930       79,750  
     
GAAP adjustments
    (1,213 )     (1,464 )     (1,529 )     (2,097 )
 
   
     
     
     
 
       
Total premiums earned (GAAP)
  $ 47,219     $ 40,434     $ 92,401     $ 77,653  
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
Operating expenses:
                               
 
Losses and expenses:
                               
   
Commercial lines
  $ 16,253     $ 12,713     $ 32,280     $ 24,903  
   
Personal lines
    35,523       33,942       71,535       62,592  
   
Reinsurance
    3,108       1,789       2,667       2,916  
 
   
     
     
     
 
     
Total losses and expenses (SAP)
    54,884       48,444       106,482       90,411  
   
GAAP adjustments
    (1,385 )     (1,964 )     (2,131 )     (3,097 )
 
   
     
     
     
 
     
Total losses and expenses (GAAP)
  $ 53,499     $ 46,480     $ 104,351     $ 87,314  
 
   
     
     
     
 
(Loss) income before taxes
  ($ 6,280 )   ($ 6,046 )   ($ 11,950 )   ($ 9,661 )
 
   
     
     
     
 
Net (loss) income from insurance underwriting operations
  ($ 4,183 )   ($ 4,035 )   ($ 7,959 )   ($ 6,449 )
 
   
     
     
     
 
Investment Operations:
                               
Investment income, net of expenses
  $ 14,219     $ 14,133     $ 28,538     $ 26,837  
Net realized gains (losses) on investments
    3,376       (5,801 )     3,969       (4,581 )
Equity in (losses) earnings of limited partnerships
    (1,420 )     2,221       (2,746 )     307  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Income before income taxes and before equity in earnings of EFL
  $ 16,175     $ 10,553     $ 29,761     $ 22,563  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Equity in earnings of EFL, net of tax
  $ 1,572     $ 202     $ 2,659     $ 917  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Net income from investment operations
  $ 12,341     $ 7,246     $ 22,480     $ 15,978  
 
   
     
     
     
 

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NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 11 — SEGMENT INFORMATION (Continued)

Company management evaluates profitability of its management operations segment principally on the gross margin from management operations while profitability of the insurance underwriting operations segment is evaluated principally based on combined ratio. The GAAP combined ratio represents the ratio of losses, loss adjustment, acquisition, and other underwriting expenses incurred to premiums earned. Investment operations performance is evaluated by Company management based on appreciation of assets, rate of return and overall return.

In the fourth quarter of 2002, the Company began recording an allowance to recognize the management fee anticipated to be returned to the Exchange on mid-term cancellations. The following table presents the management fee revenue by line of business.

                                                         
    Three Months Ended           Six Months Ended    
    June 30   %   June 30   %
    2003           2002   Change   2003   2002   Change
   
         
 
 
 
 
Private passenger auto
  $ 117,549             $ 107,330       9.5 %   $ 222,755     $ 201,844       10.4 %
Commercial auto
    20,110               17,718       13.5       39,107       34,185       14.4  
Homeowner
    39,718               33,541       18.4       67,530       56,313       19.9  
Commercial multi-peril
    26,392               24,036       9.8       51,445       45,372       13.4  
Workers’ compensation
    20,247               17,674       14.6       42,628       35,778       19.1  
All other lines of business
    9,721               6,276       54.9       17,918       11,335       58.1  
 
   
             
     
     
     
     
 
Total
  $ 233,737             $ 206,575       13.1 %   $ 441,383     $ 384,827       14.7 %
 
                           
                     
 
Allowance for management fee returned on cancelled policies
    1,000               0               1,400       0          
 
   
             
             
     
         
Management fee revenue
  $ 232,737             $ 206,575             $ 439,983     $ 384,827          
 
   
             
             
     
         

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NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (UNAUDITED)

NOTE 11 — SEGMENT INFORMATION (Continued)

The growth rate of policies in force and policy retention trends (the percentage of current Policyholders who have renewed their policies) directly impact the Company’s management and property and casualty insurance operating segments. Below is a summary of each by line of business for the Property and Casualty Group’s insurance business.

Growth rates of policies in force for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations:

                                                                 
    Private   12-mth.           12-mth.   All other   12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    passenger   growth           growth   personal lines   growth   Personal   growth
Date   auto   rate   Homeowners   rate   of business   rate   Lines   rate

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
03/31/2002
    1,469,617       8.3 %     1,104,806       10.1 %     222,061       12.2 %     2,796,484       9.3 %
06/30/2002
    1,512,335       9.4 %     1,146,639       11.4 %     231,951       13.4 %     2,890,925       10.5 %
09/30/2002
    1,554,425       10.4 %     1,190,651       13.1 %     240,410       14.4 %     2,985,486       11.8 %
12/31/2002
    1,591,161       11.1 %     1,230,895       14.4 %     249,544       16.0 %     3,071,600       12.8 %
03/31/2003
    1,623,429       10.5 %     1,263,118       14.3 %     257,327       15.9 %     3,143,874       12.4 %
06/30/2003
    1,650,225       9.1 %     1,293,575       12.8 %     264,423       14.0 %     3,208,223       11.0 %
                                                                                 
            12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   All other   12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    CML*   growth   CML*   growth   Workers'   growth   CML* lines   growth   CML*   growth
Date   auto   rate   multi-peril   rate   comp.   rate   of business   rate   Lines   rate

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
03/31/2002
    98,926       10.7 %     171,283       12.5 %     53,320       10.8 %     73,392       10.7 %     396,921       11.5 %
06/30/2002
    102,447       11.6 %     179,761       13.9 %     55,607       11.9 %     75,884       11.7 %     413,699       12.6 %
09/30/2002
    105,353       11.8 %     185,608       14.4 %     57,375       12.5 %     78,131       11.5 %     426,467       13.0 %
12/31/2002
    108,069       12.5 %     190,787       14.8 %     58,930       13.3 %     79,772       11.5 %     437,558       13.4 %
03/31/2003
    109,963       11.2 %     194,911       13.8 %     60,104       12.7 %     81,356       10.9 %     446,334       12.4 %
06/30/2003
    112,911       10.2 %     201,614       12.2 %     61,932       11.4 %     83,826       10.5 %     460,283       11.3 %
                 
            12-mth.
    Total   growth
Date   All Lines   rate

 
 
03/31/2002
    3,193,405       9.6 %
06/30/2002
    3,304,624       10.8 %
09/30/2002
    3,411,953       11.9 %
12/31/2002
    3,509,158       12.8 %
03/31/2003
    3,590,208       12.4 %
06/30/2003
    3,668,506       11.0 %

Policy retention trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations:

                                                         
    Private                                   All other    
    passenger   CML*           CML*   Workers'   lines of    
Date   auto   auto   Homeowners   multi-peril   comp.   business   Total

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
03/31/2002
    92.3 %     90.9 %     90.2 %     88.8 %     89.3 %     88.1 %     90.9 %
06/30/2002
    92.4       91.1       90.4       89.0       89.5       88.2       91.1  
09/30/2002
    92.5       90.8       90.5       88.7       89.1       88.2       91.1  
12/31/2002
    92.6       91.0       90.5       88.7       89.4       88.5       91.2  
03/31/2003
    92.5       91.3       90.6       89.1       90.2       88.5       91.2  
06/30/2003
    92.2       91.1       90.5       88.4       89.4       88.4       91.0  

*CML = Commercial

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ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

The following information should be read in conjunction with the historical financial information and the notes thereto included in Item 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations contained in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2002 as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on March 27, 2003. The following discussion of financial results focuses heavily on the Erie Indemnity Company’s (the Company) three primary segments: management operations, insurance underwriting operations and investment operations consistent with the presentation in Note 11 in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements. That presentation, which management uses internally to monitor and evaluate results, is an alternative presentation of the Company’s Consolidated Statements of Operations.

BACKGROUND

The Company operates predominantly as a provider of management services including sales, underwriting and policy issuance services to Erie Insurance Exchange (the Exchange) and also as an underwriter of insurance risk through its property and casualty insurance subsidiaries. The financial results of the Exchange are not consolidated with the Company. The Property and Casualty Group, which includes the results of operations of the Exchange and its subsidiary as well as the Company’s three property and casualty insurance subsidiaries, writes personal and commercial lines property and casualty insurance coverages exclusively through over 7,200 independent agents.

RECENT DEVELOPMENTS

The Company is in the process of refining its focus on underwriting profitability, concentrating on initiatives that will achieve a combined ratio of the Property and Casualty Group more in line with historical results. This process requires that new and current projects be prioritized with consideration to the impact on underwriting profitability. Through this process, the Company is taking several actions in support of its underwriting profitability goals: exiting the Property and Casualty Group’s assumed reinsurance business; suspending new agent appointments as of August 15, 2003, through the remainder of 2003; and relaxing the timeframe for the Erie Insurance Group operations in Minnesota.

The Property and Casualty Group plans to exit the assumed reinsurance business effective December 31, 2003, and is examining strategic options around the disposition of this business. The Property and Casualty Group is taking this action in order to align resources around its core business operations – personal and small commercial property and casualty lines, life insurance and fixed annuities – and lessen its underwriting exposure.

The Erie Insurance Group plans to add Minnesota to its service territory, but will not begin operations in Minnesota in the fourth quarter of 2004. The Company is continuing the process of obtaining a license in Minnesota in anticipation of entry into the state at a future date. In regard to agent appointments, year to date, the Company has appointed approximately 40 new agencies. Modifying the agent recruitment goals will give the Company the opportunity to concentrate on underwriting and reunderwriting fundamentals, and allows field staff to accelerate training for newer agents.

The Company estimates the effect of these actions on 2003 net income is immaterial. The effect of these actions on 2004 net income is estimated to be $.09 per share.

OVERVIEW OF OPERATING SEGMENTS

Results of Operations

                                 
    Three Months Ended   Six Months Ended
    June 30   June 30
(dollars in thousands)   2003   2002   2003   2002
   
 
 
 
    (unaudited)   (unaudited)
Income from management operations
  $ 69,513     $ 66,847     $ 128,870     $ 123,649  
Underwriting loss
    (6,280 )     (6,046 )     (11,950 )     (9,661 )
Net revenue from investment operations
    17,865       10,771       32,621       23,549  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Income before income taxes
  $ 81,098     $ 71,572     $ 149,541     $ 137,537  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Net income
  $ 54,458     $ 47,826     $ 100,358     $ 92,027  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Net income per share
  $ 0.77     $ 0.67     $ 1.41     $ 1.29  
 
   
     
     
     
 

Consolidated net income for the second quarter of 2003 increased 13.9% to $54.5 million from $47.8 million during the same period in 2002. Net income per share increased 14.1% to $.77 in the second quarter of 2003 from $.67 in the second quarter of 2002. Income from management operations grew as a result of a 17.9% increase in direct written premiums of the Property and Casualty Group, which was partially offset by a decrease in the management fee rate for the quarter to 24% from 25% in 2002. Losses continued to outpace premiums on direct business resulting in losses in the insurance underwriting operations for the quarter. Revenue from investment operations increased in 2003 as no impairment charges were recognized on fixed maturities and equity securities in the second quarter of 2003, while impairment charges of $10.7 million were recorded in the second quarter of 2002.

Consolidated net income for the six months ended June 30, 2003 increased 9.1% to $100,358 compared to $92,027 during the same period in 2002. Income from management operations grew

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ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

as a result of a 19.5% increase in direct written premiums of the Property and Casualty Group. Insurance operations continued to generate losses as the benefits of rate increases and other underwriting actions have yet to be fully realized. Revenue from investment operations increased 38.5% in the first six months of 2003 compared to the same period in 2002. This increase is partially due to lower impairment charges in the first six months of 2003 of $7.7 million compared to $12.1 million for the first six months of 2002.

Net income excluding net realized gains or losses and related federal income taxes increased 1.3% to $52.3 million in the second quarter of 2003 compared to $51.6 million in the second quarter of 2002. For the six months ended June 30, 2003, net income excluding net realized gains and related federal income taxes increased 2.9% to $97.8 million, from $95.0 million reported for the same period in 2002.

The table below reconciles the Company’s GAAP-basis net income to net income excluding net realized gains or losses and related income taxes. Management believes this measure assists the financial statement reader in interpreting and evaluating the financial results of the Company by removing the effects of gains or losses from investment sales and other-than-temporary impairment charges, which could significantly impact the Company’s financial results from one period to another based on the timing of investment sales and resulting gains or losses, which may or may not be recurring and the impact of impairment charges. Net realized gains or losses on investments presented below include amounts recognized for impairment charges for fixed maturities and equity securities of $10.7 million in the second quarter of 2002 and $6.0 million and $10.7 million for the six months ended June 30, 2003 and 2002, respectively. There were no impairment charges for such securities included in net realized gains in the second quarter of 2003.

                                     
        Three months ended   Six months ended
        June 30,   June 30,
(dollars in thousands)   2003   2002   2003   2002
   
 
 
 
    (unaudited)  
                      (unaudited)
Net income
  $ 54,458     $ 47,826     $ 100,358     $ 92,027  
 
   
     
     
     
 
 
Net realized (gains) losses on investments
    (3,376 )     5,801       (3,969 )     4,581  
 
Income tax expense (benefit) on realized (gains) losses
    1,182       (2,030 )     1,389       (1,603 )
   
Realized (gains) losses net of income tax expense (benefit)
  ($ 2,194 )   $ 3,771     ($ 2,580 )   $ 2,978  
 
   
     
     
     
 
   
Net income excluding net realized (gains) losses and related income taxes
  $ 52,264     $ 51,597     $ 97,778     $ 95,005  
 
   
     
     
     
 

The Company has benefited during the first six months of 2003, and expects to continue to benefit, from premium increases by the Property and Casualty Group that have resulted from pricing actions approved by regulators through June 30, 2003. These rate increases accounted for $89.5 million in increased premiums from the Property and Casualty Group for the six months ended June 30, 2003. These increases were primarily related to private passenger automobile and homeowners lines of business premium rate increases realized in the states of Pennsylvania, Ohio and Maryland. Premium rate increases to be recognized in future periods from pricing actions contemplated or filed and awaiting approval are in the private passenger automobile, workers’ compensation and homeowners lines of business primarily in Pennsylvania and Maryland. (See additional discussion of pricing actions in the “Factors That May Affect Future Results” section herein).

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ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

Management Operations

                                 
    Three Months Ended   Six Months Ended
    June 30   June 30
   
 
(dollars in thousands)   2003   2002   2003   2002
    (unaudited)   (unaudited)
Management fee revenue
  $ 232,737     $ 206,575     $ 439,983     $ 384,827  
Service agreement revenue
    6,863       7,776       13,347       15,118  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Total revenue from management operations
  $ 239,600     $ 214,351     $ 453,330     $ 399,945  
Cost of management operations
    170,087       147,504       324,460       276,296  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Income from management operations
  $ 69,513     $ 66,847     $ 128,870     $ 123,649  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Gross margin percentage
    29.0 %     31.2 %     28.4 %     30.9 %
 
   
     
     
     
 

Management fees from the Exchange represented 76.8% and 77.9% of the Company’s total revenues for the second quarter of 2003 and 2002, respectively. For the first six months of 2003 and 2002, management fees from the Exchange represented 76.5% and 76.9%, respectively, of the Company’s total revenues.

The direct and affiliated assumed premiums of the Exchange, on which the management fee revenue is based, grew 17.9% in the second quarter of 2003 to $973.9 million from $826.3 million in the second quarter of 2002. Management fee revenue, rose 12.7% to $232.7 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2003 from $206.6 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2002.

For the first six months of 2003, direct and affiliated assumed premiums of the Exchange increased 19.5% to $1.8 billion compared to $1.5 billion for the first six months of 2002. For the first six months of 2003, management fee revenue increased 14.3% to $440.0 million compared to $384.8 million for the first half of 2002.

The management fee rate was reduced by the Company’s Board of Directors to 24% in 2003 from 25% in 2002. This 1% reduction in the management fee rate resulted in $18.4 million less in management fee revenue for the six months ended June 30, 2003, or a reduction in net income of $.17 per share. Management fees are returned to the Exchange when Policyholders cancel their coverage mid-term and unearned premiums are refunded. In the fourth quarter of 2002, the Company established an estimated allowance for management fees returned on mid-term cancellations. Second quarter 2003 revenues were reduced $1.0 million and year to date 2003 revenues were reduced $1.4 million in recording this allowance. (See also Note 11 “Segment Information” which details management fee revenue by line of business).

Increases in average premium per policy and continuing favorable policy retention rates were contributing factors in the growth of direct written premiums. The average premium per policy increased 10% to $940 for the twelve months ended June 30, 2003 from $855 for the twelve months ended June 30, 2002. The average premium per personal lines policy increased 7.7% while commercial lines increased 15.5% for the twelve months ended June 30, 2003. In private passenger auto, the average premium per policy increased 7.8% to $1,078 for the twelve months ended June 30, 2003 from $1,000 for the twelve months ended June 30, 2002.

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ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

Policy retention decreased slightly to 91.0% for the twelve months ended June 30, 2003 from 91.1% for the same period one year ago, for all lines of business combined (see Note 11, “Segment Information” which contains policies in force and policy retention trends by line of business). Policies in force increased 11.0% to 3.7 million at June 30, 2003, from 3.3 million at June 30, 2002.

Personal lines new business premium written decreased 4.3% for the second quarter of 2003 to $88.8 million, from $92.8 million, while commercial lines new premium written decreased 10.0% to $51.0 million, from $56.7 million, during the same period in 2002. The decreases in new business premiums written are partly attributable to the Company addressing underwriting profitability by controlling exposure growth and improving underwriting risk selection as fully discussed in the insurance underwriting operations section. In 2002 an incentive promotion for Erie agencies produced strong new policy growth.

Service agreement revenue decreased by 11.7% to $6.9 million for the second quarter of 2003, from $7.8 million for the same period in 2002. Included in service agreement revenue are service charges the Company collects from Policyholders for providing extended payment plans on policies written by the Property and Casualty Group. The service charge revenue for the second quarter of 2003 was $5.0 million, compared to $4.8 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2002.

Also included in service agreement revenue is service income received from the Exchange as compensation for the management and administration of voluntary assumed reinsurance from non-affiliated insurers. These fees decreased $1.1 million to $1.9 million in the second quarter of 2003 from $3.0 million in the second quarter of 2002. The service fee rate charged the Exchange was reduced from 7% of non-affiliated assumed reinsurance premiums in 2002 to 6% in 2003. This rate reduction resulted in a decrease in service income of $.3 million. The balance of the decrease was due to lower non-affiliated voluntary assumed reinsurance premium written in the second quarter of 2003 of $32.2 million compared to $42.5 million in the same period in 2002. During the 2003 treaty renewal season, the Exchange reduced its aggregate exposure in assumed reinsurance by non-renewal of unprofitable business which in turn impacted the level of service income received.

The cost of management operations increased 15.3% for the second quarter of 2003 to $170.1 million from $147.5 million during the second quarter of 2002. For the six months ended June 30, 2003 the cost of management operations grew by 17.4% to $324.5 million compared to $276.3 million for the same period in 2002.

Commission costs totaled $125.3 million for the second quarter of 2003, a 17.8% increase over the $106.4 million reported in the second quarter of 2002. Commissions to independent Agents, which are the largest component of the Cost of Management Operations, include scheduled commissions earned by independent Agents on premiums written, Agent contingency awards and accelerated commissions. Scheduled commissions and Agent contingency awards increased 17.9% to $122.7 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2003 driven by the corresponding increase in premiums written by the Property and Casualty Group of 17.9%. Agent contingency awards are based upon the 36-month underwriting profitability of the direct business written with the Property and Casualty Group by the independent Agent. The estimate for the Agent contingency awards is modeled on a monthly basis using the two prior years actual underwriting data by Agency combined with the current year to date actual data. Company estimates use projected underwriting data for the remainder of the current year in order to model the 36-month underwriting results by Agency.

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ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

Accelerated commissions are offered to newly recruited Agents in addition to normal commission schedules. Charges incurred for accelerated commissions above normal scheduled rate commissions increased $.2 million to $2.6 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2003 compared to $2.4 million for the second quarter of 2002.

The cost of management operations excluding commission costs, increased 9.0% for the three months ended June 30, 2003 to $44.8 million from $41.1 million recorded in the second quarter of 2002. Personnel costs, including salaries, employee benefits, and payroll taxes, are the second largest component in cost of operations. The Company’s personnel costs totaled $26.0 million for the three months ended June 30, 2003, compared to $24.0 million for the same period in 2002, an increase of 8.6%. This increase was driven by employment growth of 6.8%. Retirement benefit costs also increased due to lower expected long-term returns on assets and the decrease in the pension and other post-retirement benefit discount rate assumption. Retirement benefit costs totaled $.7 million in the second quarter of 2003, compared to $.1 million in the second quarter of 2002. This current level of expense will be incurred for the remainder of 2003.

Also included in cost of management operations are hardware and infrastructure expenses stemming from the Property and Casualty Group’s eCommerce initiative launched in June 2001. Company expenses totaled $.1 million for the second quarter 2003 compared to $.6 million from the same period one year ago. For the first half of 2003, these costs totaled $.2 million compared to $2.3 million for the first half of 2002. (See additional discussion of this program under the “Factors That May Affect Future Results” section herein)

The gross margins from management operations were 29.0% and 31.2% in the second quarters of 2003 and 2002, respectively. If the management fee and service fee rates, which are currently 24% and 6%, respectively, had remained consistent with the 2002 rates of 25% and 7%, respectively, the gross margin for the second quarter 2003 would have been 31.9%. Gross margins were 28.4% and 30.9% for the first six months of 2003 and 2002, respectively.

Insurance Underwriting Operations

                                 
    Three Months Ended   Six Months Ended
    June 30   June 30
   
 
(dollars in thousands)   2003   2002   2003   2002
    (unaudited)   (unaudited)
Premiums earned
  $ 47,219     $ 40,434     $ 92,401     $ 77,653  
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
    39,364       34,050       76,864       63,387  
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
    14,135       12,430       27,487       23,927  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Total losses and expenses
  $ 53,499     $ 46,480     $ 104,351     $ 87,314  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Underwriting loss
  ($ 6,280 )   ($ 6,046 )   ($ 11,950 )   ($ 9,661 )
 
   
     
     
     
 
GAAP combined ratio
    113.3       115.0       112.9       112.4  
 
   
     
     
     
 

The underwriting loss from the insurance operations of the Company’s property and casualty insurance subsidiaries, Erie Insurance Company (EIC) and Erie Insurance Company of New York (EINY), increased to $6.3 million during the second quarter of 2003 compared to underwriting losses of $6.0 million during the same period in 2002. The statutory combined ratio for the Property and Casualty Group improved to 105.7 in the second quarter of 2003 compared to 113.4 for the second quarter of 2002 as a result of the improved loss ratio in the private

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ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

passenger automobile line of business and reduced level of catastrophe losses. The Company’s 5.5% share of the underwriting loss of the Property and Casualty Group under the intercompany pooling agreement decreased to $4.4 million during the second quarter of 2003 compared to $7.0 million during the same period in 2002. Insurance underwriting operations of the Company reflect amounts recognized under the excess-of-loss agreement with the Exchange. During the second quarter of 2003, there was a $1.8 million reversal of reinsurance recoveries that had been recorded in the first quarter of 2003 under this agreement. The amount recoverable under the agreement was reduced as a result of the improved underwriting results for the Property and Casualty Group during the second quarter of 2003. The Company benefited in the second quarter of 2002 by recognizing recoveries of $.9 million under the excess-of-loss agreement that resulted from adverse development of prior accident years. The Company had underwriting losses of $12.0 million and $9.7 million for the first six months of 2003 and 2002, respectively.

The Company’s property and casualty insurance subsidiaries’ 5.5% share of the Property and Casualty Group’s direct business generated underwriting losses of $4.2 million and $6.7 million for the second quarters of 2003 and 2002, respectively. Catastrophe losses decreased to $2.1 million in the second quarter of 2003 compared to $3.5 million in the second quarter of 2002 which benefited the direct business underwriting results. Also contributing to the lower direct losses are the Company’s specific efforts in 2003 to focus on underwriting profitability. The Company is addressing underwriting profitability by instituting programs, including but not limited to, controlling exposure growth, improving underwriting risk selection, controlling loss severity and obtaining additional premium on risks through rate increases. During the two years ended June 30, 2003, rate increases were filed by the Property and Casualty Group, including the Company’s property and casualty subsidiaries, for certain lines of business in various states to offset growing loss costs in those lines of business. The Property and Casualty Group writes one-year policies; therefore, rate increases take 24 months to be reflected fully in earned premium because it takes 12 months to implement the rate increase to all Policyholders and 12 months more to earn fully the increased premiums. (See “Factors That May Affect Future Results, Pricing Actions and Underwriting Initiatives” section herein). For the six months ended June 30, 2003 underwriting losses on direct business were $11.2 million compared to $10.5 million for the same period in 2002.

Catastrophes are an inherent risk of the property and casualty insurance business and can have a material impact on the Company’s insurance underwriting results. In addressing this risk, the Company has developed what it believes are reasonable underwriting standards and monitors the Property and Casualty Group’s exposure by geographic region. Effective January 1, 2003, the Property and Casualty Group entered into a reinsurance treaty to mitigate the future potential of a single large catastrophe loss exposure. The agreement is a property catastrophe reinsurance treaty that provides coverage of up to 95.0% of a loss of $415 million in excess of the Property and Casualty Group’s loss retention of $115 million per occurrence. Additionally, EIC and EINY have in effect an all-lines aggregate excess-of-loss agreement with the Exchange (discussed below), which should substantially mitigate the effect of catastrophe losses on the Company’s financial position. The Company’s share of catastrophe losses, as defined by the Property and Casualty Group, was $2.1 million and $3.5 million for the second quarters of 2003 and 2002, respectively. Catastrophe losses were $3.2 million and $3.9 million for the first half of 2003 and 2002, respectively

The Company’s assigned risk buyout program costs, referred to as LAD/CLAD (Limited Assignment Distribution and Commercial Limited Assignment Distribution agreements), are included in the Company’s policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses. These costs decreased to $.2 million in the second quarter of 2003 from $.3 million in the second quarter of 2002. The majority

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ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

of the LAD/CLAD expense is attributable to the program in the state of New York. Contributing to the decrease in 2003 is the Company’s lower rate it negotiated to pay the LAD carrier for 2003 due to anticipated improvements in the loss experience in the residual market in New York. The determination of the amount of residual business each company is assigned in New York includes a credit mechanism for policies written in certain “high-risk” areas of New York State. The Company entered into a contract with another carrier to purchase its excess credits which will reduce the number of assignments made to the Property and Casualty Group in 2003.

Also included in the Company’s policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses is the property and casualty insurance subsidiaries’ share of costs related to the eCommerce initiative. The Company’s share of certain cost associated with the eCommerce initiative totaled $.8 million and $1.0 million in the second quarters of 2003 and 2002, respectively. These costs relate to application development expenses associated with the eCommerce initiative covered under an intercompany technology cost-sharing agreement (“Agreement”). The Agreement provides that the application development costs and the related enabling technology costs, such as technical infrastructure and architectural tools, will be shared among the Property and Casualty Group in a manner consistent with the sharing of property/casualty underwriting results under the existing intercompany pooling agreement. Since the amounts are pooled within the Exchange and ceded to members of the pooling agreement at their participation levels, the Company, by way of its insurance subsidiaries, incurs a 5.5% share of these costs. For the six months ended June 30, 2003, eCommerce cost sharing expenses totaled $1.5 million.

The Company’s property and casualty insurance subsidiaries’ reinsurance business includes its share of the Property and Casualty Group’s unaffiliated voluntary assumed business and reinsurance ceded under the excess-of-loss agreement with the Exchange. The Company’s reinsurance business generated an underwriting loss of $2.1 million in the second quarter of 2003 compared to underwriting income of $.7 million in the second quarter of 2002.

As discussed previously, the second quarter of 2003 included a $1.8 million reversal of reinsurance recoveries that had been recorded in the first quarter of 2003 under the excess-of-loss agreement with the Exchange. The Company benefited in the second quarter of 2002 by recoveries of $.9 million under the excess-of-loss agreement that resulted from adverse development of prior accident years. Recoveries totaled $.1 million for the first six months of 2003 compared to recoveries of $1.6 million for the first six months of 2002.

EIC and EINY’s aggregate excess-of-loss reinsurance agreement with the Exchange limits their net retained share of ultimate net losses in any applicable accident year. Under the agreement, the Exchange assumes losses that exceed 72.5% of the Company’s earned premium for each accident year. The Exchange is liable for 95.0% of the amount of such excess up to, but not exceeding, 15.0% of the Company’s earned premium. EIC and EINY are liable for amounts in excess of the coverage in the excess-of-loss agreement. This reinsurance treaty is excluded from the intercompany pooling agreement. The premium for this coverage was 1.01% of EIC and EINY’s net premium earned in 2002 and was increased to 1.29% in 2003 to reflect current market conditions. In addition, the 2003 contract excluded losses from terrorism, nuclear, biological and chemical events. The premium paid to the Exchange for the agreement totaled $1.2 million during the six months ended June 30, 2003, and $.9 million during the six months ended June 30, 2002. No cash payments have been made between companies in 2003 or 2002 for recoveries under this agreement since related losses are reserved but not yet paid.

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ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

The Company’s share of unaffiliated voluntary assumed reinsurance business generated underwriting loss of $.3 million in each of the quarters ended June 30, 2003 and 2002. For each of the six months ended June 30, 2003, the Company’s share of the unaffiliated voluntary assumed reinsurance business generated underwriting income of $.2 million. The Company has been taking measures to improve the underwriting results from its non-affiliated voluntary assumed reinsurance book of business. The effect of these measures was to lower the Property and Casualty Group’s exposure to loss by excluding terrorism coverage on certain contracts, not renewing unprofitable contracts and, at the same time, raising pricing. Pricing in the assumed reinsurance marketplace has firmed considerably since the events of September 11, 2001, and as such, the Company obtained price increases in its 2002 and 2003 treaty renewals.

The combined ratio for the Company’s property and casualty insurance operations calculated under generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) was 113.3% and 115.0% for the three months ended June 30, 2003 and 2002, respectively. The GAAP combined ratio represents the ratio of losses, loss adjustment, acquisition, and other underwriting expenses incurred to premiums earned. During the second quarter of 2003, this ratio was impacted by 4.5 points related to catastrophe losses incurred and by 1.6 combined ratio points related to eCommerce expenses. The GAAP combined ratio was 112.9 for the first six months of 2003 compared to 112.4 for the same period in 2002.

Investment Operations

                                 
    Three Months Ended   Six Months Ended
    June 30   June 30
   
 
(dollars in thousands)   2003   2002   2003   2002
    (unaudited)   (unaudited)
Net investment income
  $ 14,219     $ 14,133     $ 28,538     $ 26,837  
Net realized gains (losses) on investments
    3,376       (5,801 )     3,969       (4,581 )
Equity in earnings of EFL
    1,690       218       2,859       986  
Equity in (losses) earnings of limited partnerships
    (1,420 )     2,221       (2,746 )     307  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Net revenue from investment operations
  $ 17,865     $ 10,771     $ 32,620     $ 23,549  
 
   
     
     
     
 

Net revenue from investment operations for the second quarter of 2003 increased to $17.9 million from $10.8 million in the second quarter of 2002. This increase was principally the result of a $10.4 million reduction in impairment charges being recognized in the second quarter of 2003 compared to the second quarter of 2002. Net revenue from investment operations increased 38.5% for the six months ended June 30, 2003 to $32.6 million compared to $23.5 million for the same period in 2002.

Net realized gains on investments in the second quarter of 2003 of $3.4 million contain no impairment charges on fixed maturities or marketable equity securities. The net realized losses on investments in the second quarter of 2002 of $5.8 million include $10.7 million in impairment charges for fixed maturity and non-redeemable preferred stock investments. For the six months ended June 30, 2003 net realized gains were $4.0 million compared to net realized losses of $4.6 million for the six months ended June 30, 2002.

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ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

The Company’s performance of its fixed maturities and equity securities compared to selected market indices is presented below.

           
Pre-tax annualized returns        

       
 
Two years ended
 
June 30, 2003
 
         
 
Erie Indemnity Company:
       
 
Fixed maturities – corporate
    9.37 %
 
Fixed maturities – municipal
    6.32 (1)
 
Preferred stock
    10.35 (1)
 
Common stock
    (14.57 )
 
Other indices:
       
 
Lehman Brothers Global Aggregate
Bond Index – Unhedged
    13.45 %
 
Lehman Brothers Global Aggregate
Bond Index – Hedged
    7.74  
 
S&P 500 Composite Index
    (9.31 )
_________________
       


(1)   Returns on municipal fixed maturities and preferred stocks have tax-equivalent yields of 9.26% and 12.34%, respectively.

Equity in losses of limited partnerships was $1.4 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2003 compared to earnings of $2.2 million for the same period in 2002. Private equity and fixed income limited partnerships realized losses of $1.5 million for the three months ended June 30, 2003 compared to losses of $.2 million for the same period of 2002. Real estate limited partnerships reflected earnings of $.1 million for the second quarter of 2003 compared to earnings of $2.4 million for the same period of 2002. In the second quarter of 2003, there were impairment charges related to private equity limited partnerships of $.5 million compared to $.2 million in the second quarter of 2002.

FINANCIAL CONDITION

Investments

The Company’s investment strategy takes a long-term perspective emphasizing investment quality, diversification and superior investment returns. Investments are managed on a total return approach that focuses on current income and capital appreciation. The Company’s investment strategy also provides for liquidity to meet the short- and long-term commitments of the Company. At June 30, 2003, the Company’s investment portfolio of investment-grade bonds and preferred stock, common stock and cash and cash equivalents totaled $1.1 billion, or 40.8%, of total assets. These investments provide the liquidity the Company requires to meet the demands on its funds.

The Company continually reviews the investment portfolio to evaluate positions that might incur other-than-temporary declines in value. For all investment holdings, general economic conditions and/or conditions specifically affecting the underlying issuer or its industry, including downgrades by the major rating agencies, are considered in evaluating impairment in value. In addition to specific factors, other factors considered in the Company’s review of investment valuation are the length of time the market value is below cost and the amount the market value is below cost.

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For common equity securities and equity limited partnerships where the decline in market value is more than 20% below cost for a period exceeding six months, there is a presumption of impairment. The Company considers market conditions, industry characteristics and the fundamental operating results of the issuer to determine if sufficient objective evidence exists to refute the presumption of impairment. When the presumption of impairment is confirmed, the Company will sell the investment at a loss, or recognize an impairment charge to operations. For common equity securities and equity limited partnerships that have declined more than 20% below cost for a period exceeding twelve months, the position is either sold or recognized as impaired and a charge to operations is recognized. Common stock impairments are included in realized losses in the Consolidated Statements of Operations. For limited partnerships, the impairment charge is included as a component of equity in losses or earnings of limited partnerships in the Consolidated Statements of Operations. There were no impairment charges on equity securities in the second quarter of 2003, compared to $2.3 million impairment charges on equity securities in the second quarter of 2002. There were $.5 million and $.2 million of impairment charges on equity limited partnerships for the second quarters of 2003 and 2002, respectively.

For fixed maturity and preferred stock investments, the Company individually analyzes all positions with emphasis on those that have declined more than 20% below cost. The Company considers market conditions, industry characteristics and the fundamental operating results of the issuer to determine if the decline is due to changes in interest rates, changes relating to a decline in credit quality, or other issues affecting the investment. Positions that have incurred market price declines of over 20% for a period greater than six months where the creditworthiness of the issuer indicates a decline that is other-than-temporary are either sold or recognized as impaired and reflected as a charge to the Company’s operations. There were no impairments recognized in the second quarter of 2003 related to fixed maturity investments. There were $8.4 million of impairment charges on fixed maturities in the second quarter of 2002. (See “Analysis of Investment Operations” section).

If the Company’s policy for determining the recognition of impaired positions were different, the Company’s Consolidated Results of Operations could be significantly impacted. Management believes its investment valuation philosophy and accounting practices result in appropriate and timely measurement of value and recognition of impairment.

The Company’s investments are subject to certain risks, including interest rate and price risk. The Company’s exposure to interest rates is concentrated in the fixed maturities portfolio. The fixed maturities portfolio comprises 72.1% and 70.9% of invested assets at June 30, 2003 and December 31, 2002, respectively. The Company does not hedge its exposure to interest rate risk since it has the capacity and intention to hold the fixed maturity positions until maturity. The Company calculates the duration and convexity of fixed maturities portfolio each month to measure the price sensitivity of the portfolio to interest rate changes. Duration measures the relative sensitivity of the fair value of an investment to changes in interest rates. Convexity measures the rate of change of duration with respect to changes in interest rates. These factors are analyzed monthly to ensure that both the duration and convexity remain in the targeted ranges established by management.

The Company’s portfolio of marketable equity securities, which is carried on the Consolidated Statements of Financial Position at estimated fair value, has exposure to price risk, the risk of potential loss in estimated fair value resulting from an adverse change in prices. The Company’s

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objective is to earn competitive relative returns by investing in a diverse portfolio of high-quality, liquid securities. Portfolio holdings are diversified across industries and among exchange traded mid- to large-cap stocks. The Company measures risk by comparing the performance of the marketable equity portfolio to benchmark returns such as the S&P 500.

The Company’s portfolio of limited partnership investments has exposure to market risks, primarily relating to the financial performance of the various entities in which they invest. The limited partnership portfolio comprises 9.3% and 9.1% of invested assets at June 30, 2003 and December 31, 2002. These investments consist primarily of equity investments in small and medium size companies and in real estate. The Company does not hedge its exposure to equity price risk inherent in its equity investments. The Company achieves diversification within the limited partnership portfolio by investing in approximately 60 partnerships that have approximately 1,100 distinct investments. The Company continuously monitors the limited partnership investments by sector, geography and vintage year. These limited partnership investments are diversified to avoid concentration in a particular industry. The Company performs extensive research prior to investment in these partnerships.

Property/casualty insurance liabilities

Reserves for property/casualty insurance unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses include estimates of a variety of factors such as medical inflation trends, regulatory and judicial rulings, legal settlements, property replacements and repair cost trends, and losses for assumed reinsurance activities. In recent years, certain of these component costs, such as medical inflation trends and legal settlements, have experienced significant volatility and resulted in incurred amounts higher than original estimates. Management has factored these changes in trends into the Company’s loss estimates. Due to the nature of these liabilities, actual results ultimately could vary significantly from the amounts recorded.

At June 30, 2003, the Property and Casualty Group’s estimated total loss exposure related to the events of September 11th remained at $150 million. During the first quarter of 2003, the Company updated its comprehensive review of reinsurance claims related to the World Trade Center attack. At June 30, 2003, total paid claims and case reserves on reported claims total $84.1 million with an additional exposure to adverse development of $47.4 million if every claim ultimately develops into the full layer limit loss. These estimates are based on the September 11th attack being considered one event. If the attack comes to be considered two events, the Company anticipates an additional loss of approximately $22 million. Based on this review, the Company believes the $150 million total loss estimate should be sufficient to absorb any potential development that may occur from the first and/or second event. The Company’s property and casualty insurance subsidiaries share of losses related to the World Trade Center attack amounted to $5.8 million in 2001 net of recoveries under the excess-of-loss reinsurance agreement with the Exchange. No losses were recognized by the Company’s property and casualty subsidiaries in 2002 or 2003 related to the World Trade Center attack.

Financial Ratings

Insurance companies are rated by rating agencies to provide insurance consumers and investors with meaningful information on the rated companies. Higher ratings generally indicate financial stability and a stronger ability to pay claims. The ratings are generally based upon factors relevant to policyholders and are not directed toward return to investors.

Each member of the Property and Casualty Group rating from A.M. Best was lowered from A++ (“Superior”, the highest A.M. Best rating) to A+ (“Superior”, the second highest A.M. Best rating) in March 2003. The A+ rating places the members of the Property and Casualty Group

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in the top 10% of approximately 3,000 property/casualty insurers rated and represents a superior ability to meet ongoing obligations to policyholders. Each member of the Property and Casualty Group also has a rating of Api (“strong”) from Standard & Poors. A rating of “A” means that the insurer has strong financial security characteristics. The subscript “pi” means the rating was based on publicly available information.

Members of the Property and Casualty Group are also rated by Weiss Ratings, Inc., which is a consumer-oriented rating company that issues ratings designed to provide an independent opinion of an insurance company’s financial strength. The ratings by Weiss Ratings, Inc. for the Exchange and Erie Insurance Company were downgraded in June 2003. The Erie Insurance Exchange was downgraded from a B- (Good) to a C (Fair) and the Erie Insurance Company was downgraded from a B to a B-. The remaining members of the Property and Casualty Group maintained B ratings (Good). Management believes that financial ratings are among many important factors in marketing the Property and Casualty Group’s products to its Agents and customers.

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

Liquidity is a measure of an entity’s ability to secure enough cash to meet its contractual obligations and operating needs. Operating cash flows are generated from the Company’s management operations, the net cash flow from the EIC’s 5% and the EINY’s .5% participation in the underwriting results of the intercompany pooling agreement with the Exchange, and the Company’s investment income from affiliated and non-affiliated investments. With respect to the management fee, funds are generally received from the Exchange on a premiums collected basis. The Company has a receivable from the Exchange and affiliates related to the management fee receivable from premiums written but not yet collected as well as the management fee receivable on premiums collected in the current month. The Company pays nearly all general and administrative expenses on behalf of the Exchange and other affiliated companies. The Exchange generally reimburses the Company for these expenses on a paid basis each month.

Management fee and other cash settlements due from the Exchange were $208.6 million at June 30, 2003 and $177.2 million at December 31, 2002. A receivable from EFL for cash settlements totaled $2.5 million at June 30, 2003, compared to $2.8 million at December 31, 2002. The Company also has a receivable due from the Exchange for reinsurance recoverable from unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses and unearned premium balances ceded to the intercompany reinsurance pool. The reinsurance recoverable from the Exchange rose 10.5% to $717.3 million at June 30, 2003 from $649.0 million at December 31, 2002. The increases are the result of corresponding increases in direct loss reserves, loss adjustment expense reserves and unearned premium reserves of the Company’s property/casualty insurance subsidiaries that are ceded to the Exchange under the intercompany pooling agreement. The increase in direct loss reserves, loss adjustment expense reserves and unearned premium reserves ceded to the Exchange is a result of a corresponding increase in direct premium written by the Company’s property/casualty insurance subsidiaries. The increase in direct written premium of the subsidiaries of the Company that is ceded to the Exchange was 18.8% and 26.2% for the six month period ended June 30, 2003 and 2002, respectively. Total receivables from the Exchange represented 12.1% of the Exchange’s assets at June 30, 2003, and 11.8% at December 31, 2002. Cash outflows are variable because of the fluctuations in settlement dates for liabilities for unpaid losses and because of the potential for large losses, either individually or in aggregate.

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ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

The Company generates sufficient net positive cash flow from its operations to fund its commitments and build its investment portfolio, thereby increasing future investment returns. The Company also maintains a high degree of liquidity in its investment portfolio in the form of readily marketable fixed maturities, equity securities and short-term investments. Net cash flows provided by operating activities were $91.5 million and $72.6 million for the six months ended June 30, 2003 and 2002, respectively.

Dividends declared and paid to shareholders for the six months ended June 30, 2003 and 2002, totaled $24.5 million and $21.9 million, respectively. There are no regulatory restrictions on the payment of dividends to the Company’s shareholders, although there are state law restrictions on the payment of dividends from the Company’s insurance subsidiaries to the Company. Dividends from insurance subsidiaries are not material to the Company’s cash flows.

FACTORS THAT MAY AFFECT FUTURE RESULTS

Financial Condition of the Exchange

The financial condition of the Company is dependent on that of the Exchange. The Exchange’s profitability and surplus levels are considered by the Company’s Board of Directors in setting the management fee rate. Management fee revenues, which accounted for 76.8% of the Company’s revenues for the second quarter of 2003, are based on the direct written premiums of the Exchange and the other members of the Property and Casualty Group. Additionally, the Company participates in the underwriting results of the Exchange through the pooling arrangement in which the Company’s insurance subsidiaries have a 5.5% participation. Finally, a concentration of credit risk exists related to the unsecured receivables due from the Exchange for certain fees, costs and reimbursements.

The financial statements of the Exchange are prepared in accordance with Statutory Accounting Principles (SAP) required by the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, as modified to include prescribed or permitted practices of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. The Exchange does not, nor is it required to, prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP.

Financial statements prepared under SAP generally provide a more conservative approach than under GAAP. Under SAP, the principle focus is on the solvency of the insurer in order to protect the interests of the policyholders. Some significant differences between SAP and GAAP include the following:

  SAP records certain invested assets, principally fixed maturity securities at amortized cost versus fair market value;

  SAP recognizes policy issuance expenses when incurred and does not allow for the establishment of deferred policy acquisition cost assets. Under permitted accounting practices for reciprocal insurers domiciled in the state of Pennsylvania the Exchange records deferred policy acquisition costs as a contra-liability offsetting its unearned premium liability on its statements of financial condition;

  Statutory deferred tax calculations include certain aspects provided under GAAP accounting with modifications for the realization criteria of deferred tax assets and the recording of the impact of changes in its deferred tax balances;

  GAAP requires the establishment of an asset for the estimated salvage and subrogation that will be recovered in the future. In accordance with SAP a company may establish this recoverable but is not required to do so. The Exchange does not record a salvage and subrogation recovery receivable on its statements of financial condition.

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The selected financial data below as of and for the six months ended June 30, 2003 and 2002 is derived from the Exchange’s unaudited financial statements prepared in accordance with SAP. In the opinion of management, all adjustments consisting only of normal recurring accruals, considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included. The financial data set forth below is only a summary.

Selected Financial Data of the Exchange

                                 
    Three Months Ended   Six Months Ended
    June 30   June 30
   
 
(in thousands)   2003   2002   2003   2002
(Statutory Accounting Basis)   (unaudited)   (unaudited)
                 
Premiums earned
  $ 832,147     $ 719,877     $ 1,634,794     $ 1,386,306  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 643,028     $ 601,741     $ 1,322,883     $ 1,117,656  
Insurance underwriting and other expenses*
    266,195       246,679       508,865       466,009  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Net underwriting loss
  ($ 77,076 )   ($ 128,543 )   ($ 196,954 )   ($ 197,359 )
 
   
     
     
     
 
Net investment income
    57,110       60,256       111,175       113,999  
Net realized gains (loss)
    111,569       (71,998 )     78,214       (74,834 )
Federal income tax benefit
    (5,151 )     (25,809 )     (46,681 )     (36,184 )
 
   
     
     
     
 
Net income (loss)
  $ 96,754     ($ 114,476 )   $ 39,116   ($ 122,010 )
 
   
     
     
     
 

*   Includes management fees and service fees paid or accrued to the Company

                 
    As of
   
    June 30,   December 31,
(In thousands) (Statutory Accounting Basis)   2003   2002
   
 
    (Unaudited)    
         
Cash and invested assets
  $ 6,585,491     $ 5,967,051  
Total assets
    7,633,674       7,007,803  
 
   
     
 
Claims and unearned premium reserves
    4,316,262       3,962,218  
Total liabilities
    5,342,289       4,892,032  
 
   
     
 
Policyholders’ surplus
  $ 2,291,385     $ 2,115,771  
 
   
     
 

The Exchange’s Policyholders’ surplus has increased 8.3% during the six months ended June 30, 2003 primarily as a result of realized and unrealized gains from investments.

The Exchange’s cash and invested assets consist of:

                                   
      Carrying value at
      June 30,           December 31,    
(in thousands)   2003   %   2002   %
   
 
 
 
Equity securities:
                               
 
Common stock
  $ 1,950,499       29.6 %   $ 2,192,387       36.7 %
 
Preferred stock
    510,495       7.8       477,636       8.0  
Fixed maturities
    2,969,144       45.1       2,327,467       39.0  
Limited partnerships
    447,250       6.8       412,656       7.0  
Real estate mortgage loans
    11,304       .2       11,952       .2  
Properties occupied by the Exchange
    41,140       .6       39,278       .6  
Cash and cash equivalents
    655,659       9.9       505,675       8.5  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Total invested assets
  $ 6,585,491       100.0 %   $ 5,967,051       100.0 %
 
   
     
     
     
 

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Common equity securities represent a significant portion of the Exchange’s investment portfolio and surplus and are exposed to price risk, volatility of the capital markets and general economic conditions. During the second quarter of 2003, the Exchange initiated a planned re-allocation of its invested assets with the intent of lessening its exposure to common stock investments. During the second quarter of 2003, the Exchange had realized and unrealized capital gains of $334.0 million on its common stock portfolio. During the same period the Exchange generated proceeds from the sale of its common stock investments of $598.4 million, which included $102.4 million in realized gains. The weighted average current price to trailing twelve months earnings ratio of the Exchange’s common stock portfolio was 21.53 at June 30, 2003 and 26.05 at June 20, 2002. The Standard & Poors composite price to trailing twelve months earnings ratio was 31.64 at June 30, 2003 and 42.08 at June 30, 2002.

The underwriting loss of the Exchange for the six months ended June 30, 2003 was $77.1 million compared to an underwriting loss of $128.5 million during the same period in 2002. (See “Analysis of Insurance Underwriting Operations”.)

To the extent that the Exchange incurs underwriting losses or investment losses resulting from declines in the value of its marketable securities, the Exchange’s policyholders’ surplus will be adversely affected. If the surplus of the Exchange were to decline significantly from its current level, the Property and Casualty Group could find it more difficult to retain its existing business and attract new business. A decline in the business of the Property and Casualty Group would have an adverse effect on the amount of the management fees the Company receives and the underwriting results of the Property and Casualty Group in which the Company has a 5.5% participation. In addition, a decline in the surplus of the Exchange from its current level would make it more likely that the management fee rate received by the Company could be further reduced.

Pricing Actions and Underwriting Initiatives

Rate increases filed by the Property and Casualty Group for certain lines of business in various states were sought to offset growing loss costs in those lines. Pricing actions contemplated or taken by the insurers of the Property and Casualty Group are subject to various regulatory requirements of the states in which the insurers operate. Premium increases realized in the first six months of 2003 totaled $89.5 million. Premium increases anticipated due to pricing actions approved through June 30, 2003, could amount to approximately $105.8 million in additional premium for the Property and Casualty Group in the second half of 2003 and $61.9 million in premium for the Property and Casualty Group in 2004. There is also the potential for an additional $10.7 million in premium for the Property and Casualty Group in 2003 and $166.6 million in 2004 resulting from pricing actions contemplated or filed and awaiting approval. There is no assurance that such pricing actions will be approved by state regulators. The majority of the anticipated increase stems from the private passenger and homeowners lines of business while significant rate increases are also being taken in the commercial lines of business. Further rate actions continue to be contemplated for 2003. Price increases can reduce the Property and Casualty Group’s ability to attract new Policyholders and to retain existing Policyholders because of the possibility of acquiring coverage for less premium from other insurers.

In addition to pricing actions, the Property and Casualty Group has issued and is implementing revised underwriting and reunderwriting standards, the criteria under which Policyholders are selected or renewed and premium rates are determined. The revised underwriting standards will

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affect the number of new Policyholders eligible for coverage with the Property and Casualty Group as well as the number eligible to renew and the terms of renewal. Taken together, pricing actions and revised underwriting standards are designed to improve the overall underwriting results of the Property and Casualty Group. These actions will also reduce the growth rate of the Property and Casualty Group’s new and renewal premium and could adversely affect policy retention rates currently enjoyed by the Property and Casualty Group. To the extent the premium growth rate of the Property and Casualty Group direct written premiums is impacted by these actions, the growth in the Company’s management fee revenue will be proportionally affected.

Catastrophe Risk

The Property and Casualty Group conducts business in only 11 states and the District of Columbia, primarily in the mid-Atlantic, midwestern and southeastern portions of the United States. A substantial portion of the business is private passenger and commercial automobile, homeowners and workers’ compensation insurance in Ohio, Maryland, Virginia and particularly, Pennsylvania. As a result, a single catastrophe occurrence or destructive weather pattern could materially adversely affect the results of operations and surplus position of the members of the Property and Casualty Group. Common catastrophe events include hurricanes, earthquakes, tornadoes, wind and hail storms, fires and explosions. Effective January 1, 2003, the Property and Casualty Group entered into a reinsurance treaty to mitigate the future potential catastrophe loss exposure. Catastrophe insurance had not been acquired since 1993. The 2003 agreement is a property catastrophe reinsurance treaty that provides coverage of up to 95.0% of a loss of $415 million in excess of the Property and Casualty Group’s loss retention of $115 million per occurrence. No loss recoverables were recorded under this treaty at June 30, 2003.

Information Technology Costs

In 2001, the Erie Insurance Group began a comprehensive program of eCommerce initiatives in support of the Erie Insurance Group’s agency force and back office policy underwriting, issuance and administration. The eCommerce program is intended to improve service and efficiency, as well as result in increased sales. The second major component of the eCommerce program (network and desktop hardware deployment) and the release of the new web interface to a limited number of Agents and employees was completed in 2002. The Erie Insurance Group is working with a well-known provider of information technology services and solutions, to develop the Erie Insurance Group’s eCommerce system named ERIEConnectionsm. This service provider is the chief integrator and co-manager of the eCommerce program and is providing software applications that meet the Company’s needs. Through June 30, 2003, the Erie Insurance Group has spent $140.9 million on its current technology development efforts. The Erie Insurance Group expects to incur additional expenses of $37.1 million over the next two years for a total program cost of $178 million. The Company’s share of the costs remaining for implementation under the eCommerce program amounts to $2.0 million, ($1.3 million and $.02 per share, after taxes). These costs will be incurred over the next two years.

Exposure to Losses for Mold

The industry continues to work to understand mold and toxic mold and control exposures and losses involving property damage and personal injuries, arguably related to mold. Due to media coverage and heightened awareness, the Property and Casualty Group is seeing an increase in the number of claims with a mold component from both second party and third party coverages in personal and commercial lines. While the level of activity has not reached significant proportions,

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this trend is expected to continue. The costs associated with these losses, both investigative and remedial, will continue to rise. At June 30, 2003, approximately 2,300 mold or mold- related claims had been submitted to the Property and Casualty Group. Over 1,600 of these claims have been settled with an average loss and loss adjustment expense paid of approximately $4,000.

Mold exclusions and limitations for commercial lines have been approved with effective dates of June 1, 2003, for liability coverages and August 1, 2003, for property coverages in all states except Maryland and New York. Filings for mold exclusions and limitations are in process in the state of Maryland. The state of New York has disapproved any mold exclusions or limitations on commercial lines. Exclusions and limitations in personal lines policies were filed, have been approved and became effective February 1, 2003, in six states in which the Property and Casualty Group writes business, including Pennsylvania. The remaining states filings are in various stages.

Contingencies

In February 2000, a civil class action lawsuit was filed against Erie Insurance Company and Erie Insurance Exchange (collectively, “ERIE”) in the Court of Common Pleas of Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania. The Exchange issued an automobile insurance policy to the plaintiff. The class action complaint alleges that the plaintiff was involved in an accident and that her insured vehicle was damaged in the accident. The complaint alleges that ERIE acted improperly when it used non-original equipment manufacturer (non-OEM) parts in repairing the damage to the plaintiff’s vehicle. In March 2002, the courts granted the plaintiff’s Revised Motion for Class Certification.

ERIE attempted to appeal the court order granting certification of the class. ERIE filed a Petition for Review with the Pennsylvania Superior Court. On August 8, 2002, the Superior Court denied ERIE’s Petition for Review. ERIE then filed a Petition for Allowance of Appeal with the Supreme Court of Pennsylvania. On November 27, 2002, the Supreme Court denied ERIE’s Petition for Allowance of Appeal.

ERIE filed a Class Certification Joinder Complaint against several individuals and/or entities that are the manufacturers and/or distributors of non-OEM crash parts. The Joinder Complaint asserts causes of action against the manufacturers and/or distributors of the non-OEM parts.

ERIE and the Plaintiffs have entered into a Settlement Agreement and a Motion for Preliminary Approval has been filed with the Court. Although the terms of the settlement are still subject to Court Approval, the terms of the Settlement Agreement call for ERIE to pay $6,250,000 into a Settlement Fund. ERIE is to pay the sum of $750,000 within 10 days of the Court’s entry of the Preliminary Approval Order. ERIE is to pay the remaining $5,500,000 into the Settlement Fund within 10 days of the Settlement Agreement becoming final. The terms of the Settlement Agreement specifically state that under no circumstances shall ERIE be required to make any other payment in connection with the settlement. The Court held a hearing on the motion for Preliminary Approval on June 5, 2003. The Court has not made a ruling on the motion for Preliminary Approval. As the likelihood of the settlement is probable, ERIE recorded an accrual in the estimated amount of $6,250,000 in March 2003. The Company’s share of $.3 million was also recorded in March 2003. It is possible that the settlement will not be finalized and/or approved by the Court. If the settlement is not finalized and/or approved by the Court, it is still too early to assess the probable outcome of the amount of damages of this civil class action lawsuit. The Company believes that ERIE has meritoriously legal and factual defenses to the lawsuit and these defenses will be pursued vigorously if the Court does not approve and/or finalize the settlement.

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ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

Like other members of the insurance industry, the Property and Casualty Group is the target of an increasing in number of class action lawsuits like the one described above as well as other types of litigation. The litigation is based on a variety of issues, including insurance and claim settlement practices. Company management assesses the likelihood of any adverse outcomes to these matters as well as potential ranges of probable losses. There can be no assurance that actual outcomes will not differ from those assessments.

Terrorism

The World Trade Center terrorist attack resulted in staggering losses for the insurance industry and has caused uncertainty in the insurance and reinsurance markets. The Property and Casualty Group recorded a loss of $150 million in 2001 related to this attack.

The Company’s 5.5% share of this incurred loss was $5.8 million, after consideration of recoveries under the excess-of-loss reinsurance agreement. Accordingly, the industry has been compelled to re-examine policy language and to address the potential for future threats of terrorist events and losses. The Property and Casualty Group’s personal and commercial property/casualty insurance policies were not priced to cover the risk of terrorist attacks and losses such as those suffered in the World Trade Center terrorist attack. The Property and Casualty Group has withdrawn from some coverages and exposures where permitted by state regulators. However, the Property and Casualty Group is still exposed to terrorism under several lines, including commercial, personal lines and workers’ compensation, and in most states, losses caused by ensuing fires.

On November 26, 2002, President Bush signed the Terrorism Risk Insurance Act of 2002 (“Act”), establishing a program for commercial property and casualty losses, including workers’ compensation, resulting from foreign acts of terrorism. The Act requires commercial insurers to make terrorism coverage available immediately and provides limited federal protection above individual company retention levels, based upon a percentage of direct earned premium, and above aggregate industry retention levels that range from $10 billion in the second year to $15 billion in the third year. The federal government will pay 90% of covered terrorism losses that exceed retention levels. The Act is scheduled to expire on December 31, 2005. Personal lines are not included under the protection of the Act, and state regulators have not approved exclusions for acts of terrorism on personal lines policies. The Property and Casualty Group could incur large unexpected losses if future terrorist attacks occur.

The Erie Insurance Group has taken the steps necessary to comply with the Act by providing notices to all commercial Policyholders, disclosing the premium, if any, attributable to coverage for acts of terrorism, as defined in the Act, and disclosing federal participation in payment of terrorism losses. The Act pre-empted any exclusion or provision in place prior to November 26, 2002 that excluded or limited coverage for losses from foreign acts of terrorism. Insurers may exclude coverage for foreign acts of terrorism if the Policyholder accepts an exclusion and rejects coverage or fails to pay additional premium charges, after notice is given. The Erie Insurance Group is evaluating systems and procedures and developing a rate structure and guidelines to accommodate premium charges for terrorism coverage where deemed appropriate for new and renewal commercial policies.

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ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (Continued)

Asbestos

The insurance industry as a whole faces a challenge in the area of asbestos litigation. According to insurance industry trade associations, there are currently over 200,000 asbestos lawsuits filed in courts throughout the United States and approximately 40,000 new claims are filed each year. Asbestos has already cost defendants over $200 billion to defend or settle. The Property and Casualty Group’s exposure to asbestos claims is currently quite limited, as shown by the $17 million in reserves that have been set aside by the Property and Casualty Group for asbestos claims.

Senate Bill 1125, which would create the Fairness in Asbestos Injury Resolution Act of 2003, is currently pending in the United States Senate. The premise of the bill is to remove asbestos claims from the tort litigation system and resolve them through a federally based administrative system that would pay claimants pre-determined amounts depending on their proven medical impairment. Payments would be made from a trust fund, funded by insurers and asbestos defendants. The insurers and defendants, in return, would be protected from being sued in court for most asbestos-related claims. If the bill passes, the insurance industry would be responsible for funding a certain share of the trust fund (currently $52 billion). The industry would then have the option of agreeing on an allocation of that amount among individual insurers or, failing agreement, an allocation commission would be established by the federal government to allocate responsibility for funding the insurance industry’s share among individual insurers.

Passage of Senate Bill 1125 is far from certain. Similarly, attempts by industry groups to agree on a formula for allocating responsibility for the insurance industry’s share of the trust fund among individual insurers have as yet been unsuccessful. All proposed allocations to which members of the Property and Casualty Group have been privy, however, have resulted in proposed allocations to the Property and Casualty Group that are reasonably near what management believes the likely asbestos exposure of the Property and Casualty Group to be.

ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK

The Company’s exposure to market risk is primarily related to fluctuations in prices and interest rates. Quantitative and qualitative disclosures about market risk resulting from changes in prices and interest rates are included in Item 7A. in the Company’s 2002 Annual Report on Form 10-K. There have been no material changes in such risks or the Company’s periodic reviews of asset and liability positions during the six months ended June 30, 2003. The information contained in the investments section of Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations is incorporated herein by reference.

The Company’s objective is to earn competitive returns by investing in a diversified portfolio of securities. The Company is exposed to credit risk through its portfolios of fixed maturity securities, nonredeemable preferred stock, mortgage loans and to a lesser extent short-term investments. This risk is defined as the potential loss in market value resulting from adverse changes in the borrower’s ability to repay the debt. The Company manages this risk by performing up front underwriting analysis and ongoing reviews of credit quality by position and for the fixed maturity portfolio in total. The Company does not hedge credit risk inherent in its fixed maturity investments.

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ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK (Continued)

The Company has significant receivables from the Exchange, which are subject to credit risk. Company results are directly related to the financial strength of the Exchange. Credit risks related to the receivables from the Exchange are evaluated periodically by Company management. Since the Company’s inception, it has collected all amounts due from the Exchange in a timely manner (generally within 120 days).

“Safe Harbor” Statement Under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Certain forward-looking statements contained herein involve risks and uncertainties. These statements include certain discussions relating to management fee revenue, cost of management operations, underwriting, premium and investment income volume, business strategies, profitability and business relationships and the Company’s other business activities during 2003 and beyond. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terms such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “could,” “would,” “expect,” “plan,” “intend,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “project,” “predict,” “potential” and similar expressions. These forward-looking statements reflect the Company’s current views about future events, are based on assumptions and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause results to differ materially from those anticipated in those statements. Many of the factors that will determine future events or achievements are beyond our ability to control or predict.

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ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES

As of June 30, 2003, the Company carried out an evaluation, under the supervision and with the participation of the Company’s management, including its Chief Executive Officer and its Chief Financial Officer, of the design and operation of the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures. Based on this evaluation, the Company’s Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures are effective for gathering, analyzing and disclosing the information the Company is required to disclose in the reports it files under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, within the time periods specified in the SEC’s rules and forms. There have been no significant changes in the Company’s internal controls or in other factors that could significantly affect internal controls subsequent to the date of this evaluation.

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PART II. OTHER INFORMATION

ITEM 1. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS

Brenda L. Foultz v. Erie Insurance Exchange and Erie Insurance Company

This civil class action lawsuit was filed in February of 2000 in the Court of Common Pleas of Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania. Erie Insurance Exchange and Erie Insurance Company (collectively, the ERIE) are the named defendants in the suit. The Erie Insurance Exchange issued an automobile insurance policy to the Plaintiff. The Class Action Complaint alleges that the Plaintiff was involved in an accident and that her insured vehicle was damaged in the accident. The Complaint alleges that the ERIE acted improperly when it prepared estimates using non-OEM parts in repairing the damage to the Plaintiff’s vehicle. In repairing the Plaintiff’s vehicle, two “non-OEM parts” were used. The two non-OEM parts used in repairing the Plaintiff’s vehicle were the left and right front lens and housing assemblies. The Plaintiff’s Complaint asserts that all non-OEM crash parts are inferior, defective and substandard, and do not return a damaged vehicle to its condition prior to the accident.

The Complaint, as amended, contains four counts. In the Count I, Plaintiff alleges that the ERIE’s conduct constitutes a breach of contract under its insurance policy. Count II of the Complaint alleges that the ERIE’s conduct violates the Pennsylvania Unfair Trade Practices and Consumer Protection law. Count III alleges that the ERIE’s conduct violates the Pennsylvania bad faith statute. In Count IV of the Complaint Plaintiff requested declaratory relief and an injunction prohibiting the ERIE from using non-OEM parts. The Plaintiff later voluntarily dismissed Count IV. The ERIE answered the Complaint and denied liability on all of the counts. The ERIE also filed a Joinder Complaint in January of 2002 against the manufacturer and distributor of the non-OEM parts alleged by the Plaintiff to be defective. The Court issued an Order permitting the ERIE’s joinder of TYC Brother Industrial Co. Ltd., the manufacturer of the parts at issue, and Genera Corporation, the distributor of the parts. TYC Brother Industrial Co. Ltd. and Genera have also denied any and all liability.

On March 13, 2002, the Court of Common Pleas of Philadelphia County granted the Plaintiff’s Revised Motion for Class Certification. The Court certified the following class:

All persons in the United States (1) who have been insured by an automobile policy issued by Erie Insurance Company or any other member of the Exchange; (2) who have made a claim at any time on or after February 2, 1994 for vehicle repairs pursuant to their Erie Insurance policies; and (3) have had non-OEM crash parts specified for their repairs. Excluded from the Class are officers, directors and employees of Erie Insurance Company, Exchange, and their subsidiaries.

ERIE filed a Class Certification Joinder Complaint against several individuals and/or entities that are the manufacturers and/or distributors of non-OEM crash parts. The Joinder Complaint asserts causes of action against the manufacturers and/or distributors of the non-OEM parts.

ERIE and the Plaintiffs have entered into a Settlement Agreement and a Motion for Preliminary Approval has been filed with the Court. Although the terms of the settlement are still subject to Court Approval, the terms of the Settlement Agreement call for ERIE to pay $6,250,000 into a Settlement Fund. ERIE is to pay the sum of $750,000 within 10 days of the Court’s entry of the Preliminary Approval Order. ERIE is to pay the remaining $5,500,000 into the Settlement Fund within 10 days of the Settlement Agreement becoming final. The terms of the Settlement Agreement specifically state that under no circumstances shall ERIE be required to make any

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PART II. OTHER INFORMATION

ITEM 1. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS (CONTINUED)

other payment in connection with the settlement. The Court held a hearing on the motion for Preliminary Approval on June 5, 2003. The Court has not made a ruling on the motion for Preliminary Approval. As the likelihood of the settlement is probable, ERIE recorded an accrual in the estimated amount of $6,250,000 in March 2003. It is possible that the settlement will not be finalized and/or approved by the Court. If the settlement is not finalized and/or approved by the Court, it is still too early to assess the probable outcome of the amount of damages of this civil class action lawsuit. The Company believes that ERIE has meritoriously legal and factual defenses to the lawsuit and these defenses will be pursued vigorously if the Court does not approve and/or finalize the settlement.

ITEM 4. SUBMISSION OF MATTERS TO A VOTE OF SECURITY HOLDERS

On April 29, 2003, the Registrant held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders:

The following directors were elected for a one-year term and until a successor is elected and qualified:

     
Kaj Ahlmann   C. Scott Hartz
John T. Baily   F. William Hirt
Samuel P. Black, III   Samuel P. Katz
J. Ralph Borneman, Jr.   Claude C. Lilly, III
Wilson C. Cooney   Jeffrey A. Ludrof
Patricia Garrison-Corbin   Jan R. Van Gorder, Esq.
John R. Graham   Robert C. Wilburn
Susan Hirt Hagen    

A change to the long-term incentive plan was approved to increase the maximum value of phantom share units that may be earned by any participant from $.5 million to $1 million in any performance period.

ITEM 6. EXHIBITS AND REPORTS ON FORM 8-K

     
Exhibit
Number
  Description of Exhibit
 
31.1   Certification of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
 
31.2   Certification of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
 
32   Certification pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002

Reports on Form 8-K

On April 24, 2003, the Company filed a report on Form 8-K reporting under Item 9, the Company’s results for the first quarter of 2003. The results were discussed for the quarter based on the three primary segments, management operations, insurance underwriting operations and investment operations. The Company’s Consolidated Statements of Operations, Consolidated Statements of Operations Segment Basis, Consolidated Statements of Financial Position, Segment Information and Selected Financial Data of Erie Insurance Exchange were included in the filing.

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ITEM 11. STATEMENT REGARDING COMPUTATION OF PER SHARE EARNINGS

                                 
    Three Months Ended   Six Months Ended
    June 30       June 30    
   
 
    2003   2002   2003   2002
Class A weighted average common shares outstanding (stated value $.0292)
    64,085,106       63,775,580       64,085,106       63,794,175  
Class B common shares outstanding (stated value $70) Conversion of Class B shares to Class A shares (one share of Class B For 2,400 shares of Class A)
    6,912,000       7,368,000       6,912,000       7,368,000  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Total weighted average shares outstanding
    70,997,106       71,143,580       70,997,106       71,162,175  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Net income
  $ 54,457,671     $ 47,825,511     $ 100,357,772     $ 92,027,092  
 
   
     
     
     
 
Net income per share
  $ 0.77     $ 0.67     $ 1.41     $ 1.29  
 
   
     
     
     
 

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SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.

     
    Erie Indemnity Company

(Registrant)
 
Date: July 24, 2003   /s/ Jeffrey A. Ludrof

Jeffrey A. Ludrof, President & CEO
 
    /s/ Philip A. Garcia

Philip A. Garcia, Executive Vice President & CFO

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