EX-99 3 ppl8k99_2.htm EXHIBIT 99.2 ppl8k99_2.htm
 
 

Cautionary Statements And Factors That May Affect Future Results Any statements made in this presentation about future operating results or other future events are forward-looking statements under the Safe Harbor Provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from such forward-looking statements. A discussion of factors that could cause actual results or events to vary is contained in the Appendix to this presentation and in the Company’s SEC filings. 1 
 

Agenda Second Quarter 2007 Earnings and Review of Longer-Term Earnings and Outlook Second Quarter Operating Results, 2007 Forecast and Financial Overview Operational Review Q&A J. H. Miller P. Farr W. H. Spence 
 

Strong Second Quarter Results Earnings from Ongoing Operations Per share $0.53 $0.63 $0.00 $0.50 $1.00 2Q 2006 2Q 2007 3 Note: See Appendix for the reconciliation of reported earnings and earnings from ongoing operations. Per share $0.47 $0.88 $0.00 $0.50 $1.00 2Q 2006 2Q 2007 Reported Earnings 
 

Solid Year-to-Date Results Earnings from Ongoing Operations Per share $1.21 $1.28 $0.00 $0.50 $1.00 $1.50 YTD 2006 YTD 2007 4 Note: See Appendix for the reconciliation of reported earnings and earnings from ongoing operations. Per share $1.19 $1.41 $0.00 $0.50 $1.00 $1.50 YTD 2006 YTD 2007 Reported Earnings 
 

Strong Long-Term Earnings Growth Forecast 5 ** Earnings from ongoing operations – See Appendix for the per share reconciliation of reported earnings and earnings from ongoing operations. * Midpoint of $2.40 to $2.50 earnings forecast. $3.50 $2.25 $2.45 $0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 2006A** 2007 2010 To be updated later in 2007 
 

 Ongoing Earnings Overview 2ndQuarter Total $0.63 $0.53 $0.10 International Delivery 0.26 0.20 0.06 Pennsylvania Delivery 0.07 0.08 (0.01) Supply $0.30 $0.25 $ 0.05 2007 2006 Change (Dollars per Share) 6 Note: See Appendix for the per share reconciliation of reported earnings and earnings from ongoing operations.
 

Supply Segment Earnings Drivers Q2 2007 EPS – Ongoing Earnings $0.30 Total 0.05 O&M (0.02) Margins–West - Margins–East $0.07 Q2 2006 EPS – Ongoing Earnings $0.25 2ndQuarter (Dollars per Share) 7 Note: See Appendix for the per share reconciliation of reported earnings and earnings from ongoing operations. 
 

Pennsylvania Delivery Segment Earnings Drivers Q2 2007 EPS – Ongoing Earnings $0.07 Total (0.01) Income Taxes & Other (0.01) O&M (0.01) Delivery Margins $0.01 Q2 2006 EPS – Ongoing Earnings $0.08 2ndQuarter 8 (Dollars per Share) Note: See Appendix for the per share reconciliation of reported earnings and earnings from ongoing operations. 
 

International Delivery Segment Earnings Drivers Latin American Operations 0.03 Foreign currency translation 0.02 Q2 2007 EPS – Ongoing Earnings $0.26 Total 0.06 Income Taxes & Other 0.03 O&M (0.02) Delivery Margins - Q2 2006 EPS – Ongoing Earnings $0.20 2ndQuarter (Dollars per Share) 9 Note: See Appendix for the per share reconciliation of reported earnings and earnings from ongoing operations. 
 

2007 Ongoing Earnings Forecast EPS(Dollars per Share) $1.00 $1.25 $1.50 $1.75 $2.00 $2.25 $2.50 2005A 2006A 2007 Forecast $2.08 $2.25 $2.40 to $2.50 10 Note: See Appendix for the per share reconciliation of reported earnings and earnings from ongoing operations. 
 

Expected 2007 Ongoing Earnings Contributions (Dollars per Share) 11 *Midpoint of forecast Note: See Appendix for the reconciliation of reported earnings and earnings from ongoing operations. $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 2006A $2.25 Energy Margins $0.22 Latin American Operations ($0.03) U.K. Liquidations ($0.07) O&M ($0.04) Income Taxes& Other ($0.03)$2.45* Int’l Tax Benefit $0.08 Foreign Currency Translation $0.04 PA Delivery Margins $0.03 2007E 
 

Cash Flow Forecast Millions -$300 -$100 $100 $300 $500 $700 $900 $1,100 2006A 2007 2008 2009 2010 Free cash flow before dividends 12 Note: See Appendix for the reconciliation of cash flow measures. 
 

$0.82 $0.92 $1.00 $1.10 $1.22 $0.00 $0.25 $0.50 $0.75 $1.00 $1.25 2004 April 2005 October 2005 April 2006 April 2007* $/share Annualized *Annualized rate based on quarterly dividend declared in February 2007. 
 

Operational Update •Scrubbers expected to be completed on schedule and on budget •Generation uprates continue to progress •PPL Electric Utilities completed first solicitation for 2010 generation supply •Continue to work through process of PPL EU rate increase •Divestiture of non-core businesses 14 
 

PPL EU Completed First RFP for 2010 •Solicitation for 850 MWs of residential and small commercial and industrial load •PUC approval of winning bids received July 26, 2007 •Based on first solicitation results, residential bills could increase by approximately 28% •Second solicitation bids due October 1, PUC approval expected October 4 15 
 

PPL Electric Utilities Distribution Rate Case Facts Distribution rate base $2,020 million $2,015 million $2,017 million (est.) Common equity 43.1% 43.1% 43.1% Return on equity 11.5% 9.36% 10.13% Revenue increase $77.0 million $27.0 million $49.0 million (est.) Office of Trial Staff Office of Consumer Advocate PPL Electric Utilities Request Sensitivity: 1% change in ROE = $16.0 million Docket No. R-00072155 16 
 

Growing Constrained Region in PJM Increases Value of PPL Generation 17 CCoonnssttrraainineedd R Reeggioionn CCoonnssttrraainineedd R Reeggioionn Montour Brunner Island Holtwood Wallenpaupack Martins Creek Keystone Conemaugh Safe Harbor PA Combustion Turbines Lower Mt. Bethel Susquehanna EExxisisttiningg C Coonnssttrraainintt Source: Map developed based on PJM RPM Planning Period Parameters. 
 

RPM Auction Provided Robust Prices 18 $111.92 $148.80 $210.11 $188.54 $197.67 $40.80 $0.00 $20.00 $40.00 $60.00 $80.00 $100.00 $120.00 $140.00 $160.00 $180.00 $200.00 $220.00 Rest of Pool Eastern MAAC Southwest MAAC April 2007 Auction Results - 07/08 Planning Year July 2007 Auction Results - 08/09 Planning Year $/MWD PJM RPM Auction Results 09/10 Planning year auction – Oct. 2007 10/11 Planning year auction – Jan. 2008 
 

 
 

Market Prices (1)Market prices based on the average of broker quotes as of 6/29/2007. (2)24-hour average. (3)NYMEX and TZ6NNY forward gas prices on 6/29/2007. (4)Prices at 12/2005 when 2010 earnings forecast of $3.50 was developed. (5)Market Heat Rate = PJM on-peak power price divided by TZ6NNY gas price. A-1 8.5 8.5 8.2 8.4 8.0 PJM MARKET HEAT RATE(5) TZ6NNY $7.30 $8.27 $9.52 $9.38 $9.01 NYMEX $7.25 $7.24 $8.41 $8.36 $8.00 GAS(3) ATC(2)$45 $54 $64 $66 $58 Off-Peak $39 $48 $57 $58 $52 On-Peak $50 $59 $69 $72 $62 Mid-Columbia WEST ATC(2)$51 $56 $62 $64 $59 Off-Peak $37 $44 $49 $51 $48 On-Peak $62 $70 $78 $79 $72 PJM EAST 2006 2007 2008 2010 2010 Actual Forward (1) At 12/05 (4) 
 

Current Hedge Positions - Electricity and Fuel A-2 Total 97% 86% 78% Coal East 96% 80% 70% West 100% 100% 100% Total 98% 97% 94% West 100% 100% 77% East 97% 97% 97% Electricity Sales 2007 2008 2009 
 

PPL’s Generation Portfolio Oil 52 Hydro 44 Total Domestic Generation: 11,196 MW Planned Uprate Projects: 355 MW Coal 3,454* Nuclear 2,120 Oil 1,722 Gas 1,524 Hydro 337 CTs 451 QFs 299 East 9,907 MW* Nuclear Uprate (2008-2010) 143 Hydro Uprate (2011) 125 Coal Uprate (2007-2009) 37 Coal 687 Hydro 602 West 1,289 MW Coal Uprate (2007-2008) 10 Hydro Uprate (2007) 12 Hydro Uprate (2011) 28 *Reflects reduction of 300 MW at Martins Creek that PPL has agreed to shut down by September 2007 and 60 MW expected loss due to increased plant usage during scrubber operation. A-3 
 

PPL’s Generation Portfolio Oil 52 Hydro 44 Total Domestic Generation: 11,196 MW Planned Uprate Projects: 355 MW Coal 3,454* Nuclear 2,120 Oil 1,722 Gas 1,524 Hydro 337 CTs 451 QFs 299 East 9,907 MW* Nuclear Uprate (2008-2010) 143 Hydro Uprate (2011) 125 Coal Uprate (2007-2009) 37 Coal 687 Hydro 602 West 1,289 MW Coal Uprate (2007-2008) 10 Hydro Uprate (2007) 12 Hydro Uprate (2011) 28 *Reflects reduction of 300 MW at Martins Creek that PPL has agreed to shut down by September 2007 and 60 MW expected loss due to increased plant usage during scrubber operation. A-3 PPL Supply Business Overview Production GWh A-4 Gas/Oil 32% Coal 39% Nuclear 18% Hydro 8% QFs 3% Installed Capacity MW Gas/Oil 6% Coal 56% Nuclear 30% Hydro 8% �� In 2007, 94% of our owned generation output is expected to be produced at a fuel cost of approximately $16/MWh or less. 
 

Proactive Coal Supply Management Supports Growth in Margins Projected 2007 Coal Supply Supply region diversity Fleet trains (1600 cars) Average delivered costs 4%-5% annual increase 2006 to 2010 A-5 Central PA 16% PRB 6% Montana Mine-mouth 21% Central Appalachia 12% Southwest PA 45%
 

Key Drivers/Challenges Through 2010 Increased prices for POLR sales Expiration of supply contracts remarketed at current forward prices Power plant uprates Net economic benefits from the installation of scrubbers at the Montour and Brunner Island coalfired power plants Increased fuel and O&M costs Loss of synfuel tax credits and increased replacement coal costs Cost of compliance with evolving environmental regulation A-6 
 

Increasing Prices Under the POLR Contract $42.30 $42.70 $43.30 $44.10 $47.80 $48.40 $49.10 $50.20 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 $/MWh A-7 Note: Includes Gross Receipts Tax (GRT) at a rate of 4.4%. 
 

Distribution Rate Case Timetable June 2007 Public input hearings January 1, 2008 New distribution rates effective December 2007 PUC adopts and enters final order Administrative Law Judge issues recommended decision (non-binding) October 2007 August 2007 Evidentiary hearings May 30, 2007 Rate case suspended for investigation March 29, 2007 Rate case filed with PUC A-8 
 

Scrubbers Expected to be Completed on Budget and on Schedule Montour Unit #2 Absorber A-9 Brunner Island 1 & 2 Q2-09 Brunner Island 3 Q4-08 Montour 2 Q2-08 Montour 1 Q1-08 In-Service Dates 
 

Reconciliation of Cash from Operations to Free Cash Flow before Dividends (Millions of Dollars) A-10 Free Cash Flow before Dividends $167 $(89) $90 $391 $832 Other Investing Activities-net 85 310 19 (2) 34 Capital Expenditures (1,394) (1,747) (1,398) (1,286) (1,284) Transition Bond Repayment (282) (294) (310) - - Increase/(Decrease) in cash due to: Cash from Operations $1,758 $1,642 $1,779 $1,679 $2,082 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 
 

 
 Millions $738 $1,121 $819 $643 $570 $603 $340 $315 $291 $348 $409 $469 $316 $311 $288 $295 $305 $311 $0 $400 $800 $1,200 $1,600 $2,000 2006A 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E Supply PA Delivery International Delivery $1,394 $1,284 $1,383 $1, 286 $1,398 $1,747 A-11
 

Reconciliation of Second Quarter Reported Earnings and Earnings from Ongoing Operations A-12 (Millions of Dollars) Pennsylvania International Supply Delivery Delivery Total Qtr. Ending June 30, 2007 Reported earnings $132 $30 $183 $345 Special Items: MTM adj's from energy-related, nontrading economic hedges 16 16 Divestiture of Latin American businesses 83 83 Impairment of telecommunication assets (2) (2) 1 4 83 97 Earnings from ongoing operations $118 $30 $100 $248 Qtr. Ending June 30, 2006 Reported earnings $74 $28 $79 $181 Special Items: MTM adj's from energy-related, nontrading economic hedges (8) (8) Off-site remediation of ash basin leak 5 5 Enron reserve adjustment 2 2 Sale of interest in Griffith (17) ( 17) Synfuels impairment (6) (6) ( 24) (24) Earnings from ongoing operations $98 $28 $79 $205 Change excluding special items $20 $2 $21 $43
 

econciliation of Second Quarter Reported Earnings and Earnings from Ongoing Operations A-13 (Dollars Per Share) Pennsylvania International Supply Delivery Delivery Total Qtr. Ending June 30, 2007 Reported earnings $0.34 $0.07 $0.47 $0.88 Special Items: MTM adj's from energy-related, non-trading economic hedges 0.04 0.04 Divestiture of Latin American businesses 0.21 0 .21 0.04 0.21 0.25 Earnings from ongoing operations $0.30 $0.07 $0.26 $0.63 Qtr. Ending June 30, 2006 Reported earnings $0.19 $0.08 $0.20 $0.47 Special Items: MTM adj's from energy-related, non-trading economic hedges (0.02) (0.02) Off-site remediation of ash basin leak 0.01 0 .01 Enron reserve adjustment  .01 Sale of interest in Griffith (0.05) ( 0.05) Synfuels impairment (0.01) (0.01) (0.06) (0.06) Earnings from ongoing operations $0.25 $0.08 $0.20 $0.53 Change excluding special items $0.05 ($0.01) $0.06 $0.10
 

Reconciliation of Year-to-Date Reported Earnings and Earnings from Ongoing Operations A-14 (Millions of Dollars) Pennsylvania International Supply Delivery Delivery Total Year-to-DateJune 30, 2007 Reported earnings $249 $88 $211 $548 Special Items: MTM adj's from energy-related, nontrading economic hedges 26 26 PJM billing dispute (1) ( 1) Divestiture of Latin American businesses 43 43 Impairment of telecommunication assets (20) (20) 5 43 48 Earnings from ongoing operations $244 $88 $168 $500 Year-to-DateJune 30, 2006 Reported earnings $217 $84 $160 $461 Special Items: MTM adj's from energy-related, nontrading economic hedges (1) (1) Off-site remediation of ash basin leak 6 6 Enron reserve adjustment 11 1 1 2 Sale of interest in Griffith (17) ( 17) Synfuels impairment (6) (6) ( 7) 1 (6) Earnings from ongoing operations $224 $84 $159 $467 Change excluding special items $20 $4 $9 $33 
 

Reconciliation of Year-to-Date Reported Earnings and Earnings from Ongoing Operations A-15 (Dollars Per Share) Pennsylvania International Supply Delivery Delivery Total Year-to-DateJune 30, 2007 Reported earnings $0.64 $0.23 $0.54 $1.41 Special Items: MTM adj's from energy-related, non-trading economic hedges 0.07 0.07 PJM billing dispute Divestiture of Latin American businesses 0.11 0 .11 Impairment of telecommunication assets (0.05) (0.05) 0.02 0.11 0.13 Earnings from ongoing operations $0.62 $0.23 $0.43 $1.28 Year-to-DateJune 30, 2006 Reported earnings $0.56 $0.22 $0.41 $1.19 Special Items: MTM adj's from energy-related, non-trading economic hedges Off-site remediation of ash basin leak 0.01 0 .01 Enron reserve adjustment 0.03 0 .03 Sale of interest in Griffith (0.05) ( 0.05) Synfuels impairment (0.01) (0.01) (0.02) (0.02) Earnings from ongoing operations $0.58 $0.22 $0.41 $1.21 Change excluding special items $0.04 $0.01 $0.02 $0.07 
 

Reconciliation of PPL’s Reported Earnings and Earnings from Ongoing Operations High Low 2007 2007 2006 2005 Per Share Earnings from Ongoing Operations $2.50 $2.40 $2.25 $2.08 Special items (net of taxes): economic hedges 0.07 0.07 (0.03) Write-off of Hurricane Isabel regulatory asset (0.02) Synfuels impairment (0.01) Sale of interest in Griffith (0.04) Enron reserve adjustment 0.03 Stock-based compensation adjustment (0.01) Conditional asset retirement obligation (0.02) Off-site remediation of ash basin leak 0.02 (0.07) Sale of Sundance (0.12) PJM billing dispute 0.01 (0.07) NorthWestern litigation (0.02) Benefits related to Black Lung Trust assets 0.05 Susquehanna w orkforce reduction (0.01) Impairment of nuclear decom. trust investments (0.01) Divestiture of Latin American businesses 0.11 0.11 Impairment of telecommunication assets (0.05) (0.05) 0.13 0.13 (0.01) (0.31) Reported Earnings Per Share $2.63 $2.53 $2.24 $1.77 Note: Per share amounts are based on diluted shares outstanding. Forecast MTM adj's from energy-related, non-trading Actual A-16 
 

Credit Ratings A-17 Outlook STABLE STABLE STABLE Senior Secured Debt A3 A- ACommercial Paper P-2 A-2 F-2 Preferred Stock Baa3 BBB BBB+ Issuer Rating Baa1 AFirst Mortgage Bonds A3 A- APollution Control Bonds* Aaa AAA Preference Stock Baa3 BBB BBB PPL Electric Utilities Senior Unsecured Debt Baa2 BBB- BBB Subordinated Debt Baa3 BB+ BBBMedium- Term Notes Baa2 BBB- BBB Outlook STABLE STABLE STABLE PPL Capital Funding Issuer Rating BBB Senior Notes Baa2 BBB BBB+ Commercial paper P-2 A-2 F-2 Outlook STABLE STABLE STABLE PPL Energy Supply Outlook STABLE STABLE STABLE Issuer Rating Baa2 BBB PPL Corporation Moody’s Standard & Poor’s Fitch
 

Credit Ratings (cont.) A-18 Commercial Paper A-3 Issuer Rating Baa1 BBB+ BBB+ Senior Unsecured Debt Baa1 BBB+ ACommercial Paper P-2 A-2 F2 Outlook STABLE STABLE STABLE Western Power Distribution (South West) PLC Issuer Rating BBB+ BBB+ Senior Unsecured Debt Baa1 BBB+ ACommercial Paper A-2 F2 Outlook STABLE STABLE STABLE Western Power Distribution (South Wales) PLC Outlook STABLE STABLE STABLE Outlook STABLE STABLE STABLE Preferred Stock Baa3 BB BBB Issuer Rating BBB- BBB WPD Holdings LLP Issuer Rating Baa3 BBB- BBBSenior Unsecured Debt Baa3 BBB- BBB Commercial Paper A-3 WPD Holdings Limited Pass-Through Certificates Baa3 BBB- BBB Outlook STABLE STABLE PPL Montana Transition Bonds Aaa AAA AAA PPL Transition Bond Co. Moody’s Standard & Poor’s Fitch 
 

Forward-Looking Information Statement Statements contained in this news release, including statements with respect to future earnings, energy prices, margins, sales and supply, marketing performance, growth, revenues, expenses, rates, cash flows, credit profile, financing, dividends, business disposition, corporate strategy, capital additions and expenditures, and generating capacity and performance, are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Although PPL Corporation believes that the expectations and assumptions reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, these statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from the results discussed in the statements. The following are among the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements: market demand and prices for energy, capacity and fuel; market prices for crude oil and the potential impact on the phaseout of synthetic fuel tax credits and synthetic fuel operations; weather conditions affecting generation production, customer energy usage and operating costs; competition in retail and wholesale power markets; liquidity of wholesale power markets; the effect of any business or industry restructuring; the profitability and liquidity, including access to capital markets and credit facilities of PPL Corporation and its subsidiaries; new accounting requirements or new interpretations or applications of existing requirements; operation and availability of existing generation facilities and operating costs; transmission and distribution system conditions and operating costs; current and future environmental conditions and requirements and the related costs of compliance, including environmental capital expenditures and emission allowance and other expenses; significant delays in the planned installation of pollution control equipment at certain coal-fired generating units in Pennsylvania due to weather conditions, contractor performance or other reasons; development of new projects, markets and technologies; performance of new ventures; asset acquisitions and dispositions; political, regulatory or economic conditions in states, regions or countries where PPL Corporation or its subsidiaries conduct business; any impact of hurricanes or other severe weather on PPL and its subsidiaries, including any impact on fuel prices; receipt of necessary governmental permits, approvals and rate relief; new state, federal or foreign legislation, including new tax legislation; state, federal and foreign regulatory developments; any impact of state, federal or foreign investigations applicable to PPL Corporation and its subsidiaries and the energy industry; capital markets conditions, including changes in interest rates, and decisions regarding capital structure; stock price performance of PPL Corporation; the market prices of equity securities and the impact on pension costs and resultant cash funding requirements for defined benefit pension plans; securities and credit ratings; disposition proceeds; foreign currency exchange rates; the outcome of litigation against PPL Corporation and its subsidiaries; potential effects of threatened or actual terrorism or war or other hostilities; and the commitments and liabilities of PPL Corporation and its subsidiaries. Any such forward-looking statements should be considered in light of such important factors and in conjunction with PPL Corporation’s Form 10-K and other reports on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission. A-19
 

Definitions of Financial Measures A-20 “Earnings from ongoing operations” excludes the impact of special items. Special items include charges, credits or gains that are unusual or non-recurring and the mark-to-market impact of energy-related, non-trading economic hedges. The mark-to-market impact of these hedges is economically neutral to the company in that offsetting gains or losses on underlying accrual positions will be recognized as energy is delivered over the terms of the contracts. Earnings from ongoing operations should not be considered as an alternative to reported earnings, or net income, which is an indicator of operating performance determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). PPL believes that earnings from ongoing operations, although a non-GAAP measure, is also useful and meaningful to investors because it provides them with PPL’s underlying earnings performance as another criterion in making their investment decisions. PPL’s management also uses earnings from ongoing operations in measuring certain corporate performance goals. Other companies may use different measures to present financial performance. “Free cash flow before dividends” is derived by deducting capital expenditures and other investing activities-net, as well as the repayment of transition bonds, from cash flow from operations. Free cash flow before dividends should not be considered as an alternative to cash flow from operations, which is determined in accordance with GAAP. PPL believes that free cash flow before dividends, although a non-GAAP measure, is an important measure to both management and investors since it is an indicator of the company’s ability to sustain operations and growth without additional outside financing beyond the requirement to fund maturing debt obligations. Other companies may calculate free cash flow before dividends in a different manner.