EX-99.2 3 ppl8kexhibit992.htm EXHIBIT 99.2 Exhibit 99.2
Exhibit 99.2
Fourth Quarter Earnings Webcast
February 1, 2007
 
 

 
Cautionary Statements And Factors
That May Affect Future Results
Any statements made in this presentation about future operating results or other future events are forward-looking statements under the Safe Harbor Provisions of the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995.  Actual results
may differ materially from such forward-looking
statements.  A discussion of factors that could
cause actual results or events to vary is
contained in the Appendix to this presentation
and in the Company’s SEC filings.
 
1

 
J. H. Miller
J. R. Biggar
W. H. Spence
Agenda
n
Fourth Quarter and Year-End 2006
Earnings and Review of Longer-Term
Earnings and Outlook
n
2006 Operating Results, 2007 Forecast
and Financial Overview
n
Operational Review 
n
Q&A
 
2

 
Solid 2006 Results
Millions
Per share
Note:  See Appendix for the reconciliation of reported earnings and earnings from ongoing operations.
Earnings from Ongoing Operations
 
3

 
 **  Earnings from ongoing operations - see Appendix for the per share reconciliation of reported
earnings and earnings from ongoing operations. 
Forecast
*
  *  Midpoint of $2.30 to $2.40 earnings forecast.
Strong Long-Term Earnings Growth
 
4

 
(Dollars per Share)
Note:  See Appendix for the per share reconciliation of reported earnings and earnings from ongoing operations.
Ongoing Earnings Overview
 
5

 
(Dollars per Share)
Note:  See Appendix for the per share reconciliation of reported earnings and earnings from ongoing operations.
2006 Ongoing Earnings Contributions
 
6

 
2007 Earnings Forecast
EPS
*Earnings from ongoing operations - see Appendix for the per share reconciliation of reported earnings
 
and earnings from ongoing operations.
$2.08
(Dollars per Share)
$2.22
$2.30
to
 $2.40
 
7

 
(Dollars per Share)
* Midpoint of forecast
Note:  See Appendix for the reconciliation of reported earnings and earnings from ongoing operations.  
$2.35*
2007 Expected Ongoing Earnings Contributions
 
8

 
Millions
Note:  See Appendix for the reconciliation of cash flow measures.
Cash Flow Forecast
 
9

 
Equity %
Actual
Forecast
Strong Balance Sheet
 
10

 
$/share
Annualized
Dividend Payout Ratio Greater than 50% after 2006 
 
11

 
Supply Margins
(Millions)
$1,488
$1,675
$1,818
$1,845
$1,984
$2,748
Key Drivers of Margin Growth
 
 
 
12

 
Generation Equivalent Availability
 
13

 
Generation Uprates
 
14

 
Global Climate Change
n
Pre-eminent public policy issue
n
Efforts should be national in scope and cover all major
industrial and transportation sectors
n
If mandatory program is adopted we support
cap-and-trade system
n
PPL to be fully involved in policy debate
n
PPL is active in renewable energy as well as numerous
R&D efforts
 
15

 
In-Service Dates
Montour 1                       Q1-08
Montour 2                       Q2-08
Brunner Island 3            Q4-08
Brunner Island 1 & 2     Q2-09
Montour Unit #2 Absorber
Scrubbers Expected to be Completed
on Budget and on Schedule
 
16

 
Reserve Margin
Shrinking Reserve Margins Create
Potential Value for PPL
 
17

 
PPL Electric Utilities Regulatory Update
n
Modest rate increase request to be filed in late March
n
For the 12-months ending September 30, 2006
Rate Base                    $1,926B
Equity                              43.4%
Return on Rate Base       6.97%
Return on Equity              8.10%
n
New rates to be effective beginning in 2008
n
PUC action expected shortly regarding PPL Electric
Utilities’ POLR transition proposal
 
18

 
 
 

 
A-1
(1) Market prices based on the average of broker quotes as of 12/29/2006.
(2) 24-hour average.
(3) NYMEX forward gas price on 12/29/2006.
Market Prices
 
 

 
A-2
Current Hedge Positions - Electricity and Fuel
 
 

 
PPL’s Generation Portfolio
Total Domestic Generation: 11,196 MW
Planned Uprate Projects:          369 MW
East                         9,907 MW*
 
Coal                               3,454*
Nuclear                          2,120
Oil                                  1,722
Gas                                 1,524
Hydro                                337
CTs                                   451
QFs                                   299
 
Nuclear Uprate (2008-2010)    185 
Hydro Uprate (2011)                125
Coal Uprate (2007-2009)           37
 
West                         1,289 MW
Coal                                   687
Hydro                                 602
Coal Uprate (2007-2008)           10
Hydro Uprate (2007)                  12
*Reflects reduction of 300 MW at Martins Creek that PPL has agreed to shut down
 
by September 2007 and 60 MW expected lost due to increased plant usage during
 
scrubber operation.
A-3
 
 

 
Coal
39%
Gas/Oil
32%
Nuclear
18%
Hydro
8%
QFs
3%
Coal
55%
Gas/Oil
7%
Nuclear
30%
Hydro
8%
n
In 2007, 93% of our owned generation output
is expected to be produced at a fuel cost of
approximately $16/MWh or less.
PPL Supply Business Overview
Installed Capacity MW
Production GWh
A-4
 
 

 
 Proactive Coal Supply Management
Supports Growth in Margins
Projected 2007 Coal Supply
Central
Appalachia
Southwest PA
Central PA
Powder
River
Basin
Montana
Mine-mouth
17%
45%
11%
21%
6%
A-5
n
Supply region diversity
n
Fleet trains (1600 cars)
n
Average delivered costs
n
4%-5% annual
increase 2006 to 2010
 
 

 
A-6
Key Drivers/Challenges Through 2010
n
Increased prices for POLR sales
n
Expiration of supply contracts remarketed at current
forward prices
n
Power plant uprates
n
Net benefits from the installation of scrubbers at the
Montour and Brunner Island coal-fired power plants
n
Increased fuel and O&M costs
n
Loss of synfuel tax credits and increased replacement
coal costs
n
Cost of compliance with evolving environmental
regulation
 
 

 
A-7
Increasing Prices Under the POLR Contract
 
 

 
A-8
PPL Proposal to Transition to
Competitive Electricity Markets
n
Conduct procurements for 2010 POLR supply in March
and September of 2007, 2008 and 2009
n
Reduce the risk of customer exposure to price spikes in
wholesale markets
n
PUC approval would remove risk for PPL Electric
Utilities by ensuring a pre-approved process is in place
to reflect market prices in customer rates
n
PUC action expected in the first quarter of 2007
 
 

 
Millions
Note:  See Appendix for the reconciliation of cash flow measures.
A-9
Improving Cash from Operations
 
 

 
(millions of dollars)
A-10
Reconciliation of Cash from Operations
to Free Cash Flow before Dividends
 
 

 
A-11
Reconciliation of GAAP Equity Ratios
to Adjusted Equity Ratios
                                                  Actual               Actual           Forecast       Forecast
                                            12/31/05           12/31/06         12/31/07       12/31/10
GAAP Equity to
  Total Capitalization Ratio        38%                 41%               43%             45%
Adjustments to Debt
  (millions of dollars)
     Less Non-Recourse Debt:
        Transition Bonds             $  892              $  605             $  305           $   -
        International                      2,166               2,733              2,552         2,760
Adjusted Equity to
  Total Capitalization Ratio        51%                  55%               55%            55%
 
 

 
A-12
Millions
Capital Expenditures by Segment
 
 

 
A-13
(Millions of Dollars)
Reconciliation of Fourth Quarter Reported Earnings
and Earnings from Ongoing Operations
 
 

 
A-14
(Dollars Per Share)
Reconciliation of Fourth Quarter Reported Earnings
and Earnings from Ongoing Operations
 
 

 
(Millions of Dollars)
A-15
Reconciliation of Reported Earnings and Earnings
from Ongoing Operations
 
 

 
(Dollars Per Share)
A-16
Reconciliation of Reported Earnings and
Earnings from Ongoing Operations
 
 

 
A-17
Reconciliation of PPL’s Reported Earnings and
Earnings from Ongoing Operations
 
 

 
Credit Ratings
A-18
 
 

 
Credit Ratings (cont.)
A-19
 
 

 
Statements contained in this presentation, including statements with respect to future earnings, energy prices, margins and sales, growth, rates, revenues, expenses, cash flows, cash from operations, dividends, credit profile, financing, capital additions and expenditures, and generating capacity and availability, are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Although PPL Corporation believes that the expectations and assumptions reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, these statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from the results discussed in the statements. The following are among the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements: market demand and prices for energy, capacity and fuel; market prices for crude oil and the potential impact on synthetic fuel operations, synthetic fuel purchases from third parties and the phase-out of synthetic fuel credits; weather conditions affecting generation production, customer energy usage and operating costs; competition in retail and wholesale power markets; liquidity of wholesale power markets; the effect of any business or industry restructuring; the profitability and liquidity, including access to capital markets and credit facilities, of PPL Corporation and its subsidiaries; new accounting requirements or new interpretations or applications of existing requirements; operation and availability of existing generation facilities and operating costs; transmission and distribution system conditions and operating costs; current and future environmental conditions and requirements and the related costs of compliance, including environmental capital expenditures and emission allowance and other expenses; significant delays in the planned installation of pollution control equipment at certain coal-fired generating units in Pennsylvania because of weather conditions, contractor performance or other reasons; market prices of commodity inputs for ongoing capital expenditures; collective labor bargaining negotiations; development of new projects, markets and technologies; performance of new ventures; asset acquisitions and dispositions; political, regulatory or economic conditions in states, regions or countries where PPL Corporation or its subsidiaries conduct business; any impact of hurricanes or other severe weather on PPL Corporation’s business, including any impact on fuel prices; receipt of necessary governmental permits, approvals and rate relief; new state, federal or foreign legislation, including new tax legislation; state, federal and foreign regulatory developments; the impact of any state, federal or foreign investigations applicable to PPL Corporation and its subsidiaries and the energy industry; capital markets conditions, including changes in interest rates, and decisions regarding capital structure; stock price performance of PPL Corporation; the market prices of equity securities and the impact on pension costs and resultant cash funding requirements for defined benefit pension plans; securities and credit ratings; foreign currency exchange rates; the outcome of litigation against PPL Corporation and its subsidiaries; potential effects of threatened or actual terrorism or war or other hostilities; and the commitments and liabilities of PPL Corporation and its subsidiaries. Any such forward-looking statements should be considered in light of such important factors and in conjunction with PPL Corporation’s Form 10-K and other reports on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
A-20
Forward-Looking Information Statement
 
 

 
A-21
“Earnings from ongoing operations” excludes the impact of unusual items. Earnings from ongoing operations should not be considered as an alternative to reported earnings, or net income, which is an indicator of operating
performance determined in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). PPL believes that
earnings from ongoing operations, although a non-GAAP measure, is also useful and meaningful to investors
because it provides them with PPL’s underlying earnings performance as another criterion in making their
investment decisions. PPL’s management also uses earnings from ongoing operations in measuring certain
corporate performance goals. Other companies may use different measures to present financial performance.
“Free cash flow before dividends” is derived by deducting capital expenditures and certain other investing activities, as well as the repayment of transition bonds, from cash flow from operations.  (Other investing activities
are adjusted to exclude the purchases and sales of short-term investments and changes in restricted cash.)
Free cash flow before dividends should not be considered as an alternative to cash flow from operations, which
is determined in accordance with GAAP. PPL believes that free cash flow before dividends is an important
measure to both management and investors since it is an indicator of the company’s ability to sustain operations
and growth without additional outside financing beyond the requirement to fund maturing debt obligations. Other
companies may calculate free cash flow before dividends in a different manner.
“Equity to total capitalization ratio” includes as equity minority interest and preferred stock, as well as all of the components of common equity as presented on the balance sheet. Total capitalization is calculated as equity
plus short-term debt plus long-term debt as presented on the balance sheet.
“Adjusted equity to total capitalization ratio” excludes transition bonds issued by PPL Transition Bond Company, LLC, under the Pennsylvania Electricity Generation Customer Choice and Competition Act and excludes debt of
international affiliates, which are non-recourse to PPL. The adjusted equity to total capitalization ratio should not
be considered as an alternative to an equity to total capitalization ratio using debt and equity balances as
reflected on the balance sheet. PPL believes that this adjusted equity ratio is useful to investors because it
provides them with another indicator of credit quality. The adjusted equity to total capitalization ratio focuses
primarily on debt that is recourse to PPL, whether the debt is on or off balance sheet. Other companies may
present adjusted equity ratios in a different manner. 
Definitions of Financial Measures