10-Q 1 a2146585z10-q.txt 10-Q UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q (Mark One) /X/ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2004 OR / / TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from _______________ to _______________ Commission File Number 0-25000 ML PRINCIPAL PROTECTION L.P. ---------------------------- (Exact Name of Registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware 13-3750642 (Registrant) ------------------------------- --------------------------------- (State or other jurisdiction of (IRS Employer Identification No.) incorporation or organization) c/o Merrill Lynch Investment Managers LLC 222 Broadway 27th Floor New York, NY 10038-2510 ---------------------------------------- (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code) 609-282-6996 ---------------------------------------------------- (Registrant's telephone number, including area code) Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes /X/ No / / PART I - FINANCIAL INFORMATION Item 1. Financial Statements ML PRINCIPAL PROTECTION L.P. (A DELAWARE LIMITED PARTNERSHIP) STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION
SEPTEMBER 30, DECEMBER 31, 2004 2003 ------------- ------------- (UNAUDITED) ASSETS Equity in commodity futures trading accounts: Cash $ 507,183 $ 503,091 Investment in MM LLC 12,711,793 15,441,696 Accrued interest receivable 693 389 ------------- ------------- TOTAL $ 13,219,669 $ 15,945,176 ============= ============= LIABILITIES AND PARTNERS' CAPITAL LIABILITIES: Redemptions payable $ 236,357 $ 392,038 Payable to MM LLC 271,519 111,442 ------------- ------------- Total liabilities 507,876 503,480 ------------- ------------- PARTNERS' CAPITAL: General Partner (146,547 and 123,681 Units) 152,135 159,703 Limited Partners (12,097,690 and 11,785,836 Units) 12,559,658 15,281,993 ------------- ------------- Total partners' capital 12,711,793 15,441,696 ------------- ------------- TOTAL $ 13,219,669 $ 15,945,176 ============= =============
NET ASSET VALUE PER UNIT (SEE NOTE 3) See notes to financial statements. 2 ML PRINCIPAL PROTECTION L.P. (A DELAWARE LIMITED PARTNERSHIP) STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (unaudited)
FOR THE THREE FOR THE THREE FOR THE NINE FOR THE NINE MONTHS ENDED MONTHS ENDED MONTHS ENDED MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, SEPTEMBER 30, SEPTEMBER 30, SEPTEMBER 30, 2004 2003 2004 2003 -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- REVENUES: Trading profits (loss): Realized $ (465,277) $ (168,399) $ 479,236 $ 2,304,658 Change in unrealized 574,570 196,398 (337,320) (508,428) -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- Total trading results 109,293 27,999 141,916 1,796,230 -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- Interest income 44,507 40,008 116,099 142,387 -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- Total revenues 153,800 68,007 258,015 1,938,617 -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- EXPENSES: Brokerage commissions 237,038 284,958 747,953 896,001 Administrative fees 8,172 9,773 25,772 30,764 Profit shares 42,685 1,849 90,935 232,592 -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- Total expenses 287,895 296,580 864,660 1,159,357 -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- NET INCOME (LOSS) $ (134,095) $ (228,573) $ (606,645) $ 779,260 ============== ============== ============== ============== NET INCOME (LOSS) PER UNIT: Weighted average number of General Partner and Limited Partner units outstanding 12,556,112 13,275,846 13,090,147 13,935,935 ============== ============== ============== ============== Net income (loss) per weighted average General Partner and Limited Partner Unit $ (0.0107) $ (0.0172) $ (0.0463) $ 0.0559 ============== ============== ============== ==============
Substantially all revenues and expenses are derived from the investment in MM LLC. See notes to financial statements. 3 ML PRINCIPAL PROTECTION L.P. (A DELAWARE LIMITED PARTNERSHIP) STATEMENTS OF CHANGES IN PARTNERS' CAPITAL FOR THE NINE ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2004 AND 2003 (unaudited)
GENERAL LIMITED UNITS PARTNER PARTNERS TOTAL -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- PARTNERS' CAPITAL, December 31, 2002 149,307 $ 185,021 $ 17,255,541 $ 17,440,562 Conversion of Units (Note 3) 14,633,051 59 5,440 5,499 Net income - 8,390 770,870 779,260 Redemptions (2,097,321) - (2,558,002) (2,558,002) Distributions - (653) (61,634) (62,287) -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- PARTNERS' CAPITAL, September 30, 2003 12,685,037 $ 192,817 $ 15,412,215 $ 15,605,032 ============== ============== ============== ============== PARTNERS' CAPITAL, December 31, 2003 11,909,517 $ 159,703 $ 15,281,993 $ 15,441,696 Conversion of Units (Note 3) 2,266,687 - 314 314 Net loss - (7,568) (599,077) (606,645) Redemptions (1,931,967) - (2,123,572) (2,123,572) -------------- -------------- -------------- -------------- PARTNERS' CAPITAL, September 30, 2004 12,244,237 $ 152,135 $ 12,559,658 $ 12,711,793 ============== ============== ============== ==============
See notes to financial statements. 4 ML PRINCIPAL PROTECTION L.P. (A DELAWARE LIMITED PARTNERSHIP) NOTES TO FINANCIAL STATEMENTS (unaudited) 1. SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT ACCOUNTING POLICIES In the opinion of management, the financial statements contain all adjustments necessary to present fairly the financial position of ML Principal Protection L.P. (the "Partnership") as of September 30, 2004, and the results of its operations for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003. However, the operating results for the interim periods may not be indicative of the results for the full year. Certain information and footnote disclosures normally included in annual financial statements prepared in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States have been omitted. It is suggested that these financial statements be read in conjunction with the financial statements and notes thereto included in the Partnership's Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission for the year ended December 31, 2003. 2. INVESTMENTS As of September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, the Partnership had an investment in ML Multi-Manager Portfolio LLC ("MM LLC") of $12,711,793 and $15,441,696, respectively. As of September 30, 2004, and December 31, 2003, the Partnership's percentage ownership share of MM LLC was 12.96% and 11.02%, respectively. Condensed statements of financial condition and statements of operations for MM LLC are set forth as follows:
SEPTEMBER 30, DECEMBER 31, 2004 2003 -------------- -------------- (UNAUDITED) Assets $ 102,069,659 $ 148,476,219 ============== ============== Liabilities $ 3,957,634 $ 8,347,374 Members' Capital 98,112,025 140,128,845 -------------- -------------- Total $ 102,069,659 $ 148,476,219 ============== ==============
5
FOR THE THREE MONTHS FOR THE THREE MONTHS FOR THE NINE MONTHS FOR THE NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2004 ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2003 ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2004 ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2003 (UNAUDITED) (UNAUDITED) (UNAUDITED) UNAUDITED) ------------------------ ------------------------ ------------------------ ------------------------ Revenues $ 972,365 $ 421,491 $ 1,289,591 $ 10,962,893 Expenses 1,665,822 1,528,145 5,052,221 6,582,622 ------------------------ ------------------------ ------------------------ ------------------------ Net income (loss) $ (693,457) $ (1,106,654) $ (3,762,630) $ 4,380,271 ======================== ======================== ======================== ========================
3. NET ASSET VALUE PER UNIT Prior to the opening of business on January 2, 2004, Series G, H, and O through R, those series that had come to term on or before December 31, 2003, but after December 31, 2002, were consolidated into a new series, Series 2004, with a $1.00 per Unit Net Asset Value. The aggregate Net Asset Value of each investor's new Units is equal to the aggregate Net Asset Value of their original Units at December 31, 2003. The consolidation had no adverse economic effect on the investors. The General Partner contributed $314 to the Partnership, the amount necessary due to the effects of rounding to ensure all investors received Units equal in value to their original holdings at December 31, 2003. The following is a list of the number of new Units each investor received of Series 2004 for each Unit of their original series holding.
NUMBER SERIES OF UNITS ------ ---------- G 110.859969 H 102.336331 O 129.904347 P 132.546751 Q 122.531124 R 123.779041
Prior to the opening of business on January 2, 2003, Series A through F and K through N, those series whose guarantee had come to term on or before December 31, 2002, were consolidated into a new series, Series A 2003, with a $1.00 per Unit Net Asset Value. The aggregate Net Asset Value of each investor's new Units is equal to the aggregate Net Asset Value of their original Units at December 31, 2002. The consolidation had no adverse economic effect on the investors. The General Partner contributed $5,499 to the Partnership, the amount necessary due to the effects of rounding, to ensure all investors received Units equal in value to their original holdings at December 31, 2002. The following is a listing of the number of new Units each investor received of Series A 2003 for each Unit of their original series holding. 6
NUMBER SERIES OF UNITS ------ ---------- A 122.021960 B 117.269077 C 115.242141 D 112.085339 E 111.088709 F 104.084994 K 123.799970 L 120.674078 M 122.310644 N 117.973383
After the series consolidations, the brokerage commission rates for Series 2004 and Series A 2003 were reduced to a monthly rate of 0.604 of 1% (a 7.25% annual rate). At September 30, 2004 and December 31, 2003, the Net Asset Values of the different series of Units were: September 30, 2004 (unaudited)
NET ASSET VALUE NET ASSET VALUE NUMBER OF UNITS PER UNIT ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- Series A 2003 Units $ 10,763,490 10,256,080 $ 1.0495 Series 2004 Units 1,891,990 1,987,682 0.9519 Series S Units 56,313 475 118.55 ---------------- ---------------- $ 12,711,793 12,244,237 ================ ================
December 31, 2003
NET ASSET VALUE NUMBER OF UNITS NET ASSET VALUE ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- Series A 2003 Units $ 13,096,718 11,889,700.0000 $ 1.1015 Series G Units 415,800 3,752.0300 110.82 Series H Units 495,479 4,842.1050 102.33 Series O Units 599,734 4,616.7419 129.90 Series P Units 251,706 1,899.0000 132.55 Series Q Units 77,950 636.2408 122.52 Series R Units 445,046 3,596.0000 123.76 Series S Units 59,263 475.0000 124.76 ---------------- ---------------- $ 15,441,696 11,909,517.1177 ================ ================
7 4. ANNUAL DISTRIBUTIONS The Partnership makes annual fixed-rate distributions, payable irrespective of profitability, of $3.50 per Unit on Units issued prior to May 1, 1997. The Partnership may also pay discretionary distributions on such Series of Units of up to 50% of any Distributable New Appreciation, as defined on such Units. No distributions are payable on Units issued after May 1, 1997. The Principal Assurance Dates for Series A through R came to term on or before December 31, 2003 and were not renewed. The Series that remain outstanding at September 30, 2004 have 100% of their assets allocated to trading, without any "principal protection" feature and no longer pay quarterly distributions. The Partnership has made the following distributions for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2003, and for the nine month period ended September 30, 2004:
DISTRIBUTION FIXED-RATE DISCRETIONARY SERIES DATE DISTRIBUTION DISTRIBUTION ------ ------------ ------------ ------------- 2004 None 2003 Series F 01/01/2003 $ 3.50 $ - Series G 04/01/2003 3.50 - Series H 07/01/2003 3.50 -
5. FAIR VALUE AND OFF-BALANCE SHEET RISK The Partnership invests indirectly in derivative instruments as a result of its investment in MM LLC, but does not itself hold any derivative instrument positions. The nature of this Partnership has certain risks, which cannot be presented on the financial statements. The following summarizes some of those risks resulting from its investment in MM LLC. MARKET RISK Derivative instruments involve varying degrees of off-balance sheet market risk. Changes in the level or volatility of interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates or the market values of the financial instruments or commodities underlying such derivative instruments frequently result in changes in the Partnership's allocation of net unrealized profit (loss) on such derivative instruments as reflected in the Statements of Financial Condition of MM LLC. The Partnership's exposure to market risk is influenced by a number of factors, including the relationships among the derivative instruments held by MM LLC as well as the volatility and liquidity of the markets in which such derivative instruments are traded. The General Partner, Merrill Lynch Investment Managers LLC ("MLIM LLC"), has procedures in place intended to control market risk exposure, although there can be no assurance that they will, in fact, succeed in doing so. These procedures focus primarily on monitoring the trading of the Advisors selected from time to time by MM LLC, and include calculating the Net Asset Values of their respective Partnership accounts and MM LLC accounts as of the close of business on each day and reviewing outstanding positions for over-concentrations both on an Advisor-by-Advisor and on an overall Partnership basis. While MLIM LLC does not itself intervene in the markets to hedge or diversify the Partnership's market exposure, MLIM LLC may urge Advisors to reallocate positions, or itself reallocate Partnership assets, through MM LLC, among Advisors (although typically only as 8 of the end of a month) in an attempt to avoid over-concentrations. However, such interventions are unusual and unless it appears that an Advisor has begun to deviate from past practice or trading policies or to be trading erratically, MLIM LLC's basic risk control procedures consist simply of the ongoing process of advisor monitoring and selection with the market risk controls being applied by the Advisors themselves. CREDIT RISK The risks associated with exchange-traded contracts are typically perceived to be less than those associated with over-the-counter (non-exchange-traded) transactions, because exchanges typically (but not universally) provide clearinghouse arrangements in which the collective credit (in some cases limited in amount, in some cases not) of the members of the exchange is pledged to support the financial integrity of the exchange. In over-the-counter transactions, on the other hand, traders must rely solely on the credit of their respective individual counterparties. Margins, which may be subject to loss in the event of a default, are generally required in exchange trading, and counterparties may require margin in the over-the-counter markets. The Partnership, through MM LLC, has credit risk in respect of its counterparties and brokers, but attempts to mitigate this risk by dealing exclusively with Merrill Lynch entities as clearing brokers. The Partnership, through MM LLC, in its normal course of business, enters into various contracts with Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith ("MLPF&S") acting as its commodity broker. Pursuant to the brokerage agreement with MLPF&S (which includes a netting arrangement), to the extent that such trading results in receivables from and payables to MLPF&S, these receivables and payables are offset and reported as a net receivable or payable in the financial statements of MM LLC under Equity in commodity futures trading accounts in Net Unrealized profit on open contracts on the Statements of Financial Condition. Item 2: MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS MONTH-END NET ASSET VALUE PER SERIES A 2003 UNIT
JAN. FEB. MAR. APR. MAY JUN. JUL. AUG. SEP. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2003 $ 1.0331 $ 1.0654 $ 1.0196 $ 1.0262 $ 1.0790 $ 1.0620 $ 1.0472 $ 1.0434 $ 1.0480 2004 $ 1.1075 $ 1.1504 $ 1.1486 $ 1.1082 $ 1.0940 $ 1.0602 $ 1.0573 $ 1.0502 $ 1.0495
Performance Summary All of the Partnership's trading assets are invested in MM LLC. The Partnership recognizes trading profits or losses as an investor in MM LLC. The following commentary describes the trading results of MM LLC. JANUARY 1, 2004 TO SEPTEMBER 30, 2004 January 1, 2004 to March 31, 2004 MM LLC experienced gains in the interest rate, metals, agricultural commodities, energy, and currency sectors and losses in stock indices. Overall, for the quarter, MM LLC experienced gains. 9 The interest sector posted the largest gains for the quarter despite choppy trading conditions early in the quarter. In January, profits were generated from various positions at the short end of the curve in Canada and Europe, while losses were posted at longer points in the curve in both the U.S. and Europe. In February, fixed income markets resumed their slow upward trend. In March, long exposure to most of the major global yield curves proved to generate positive results. The metals sector posted gains for the quarter as well. In January, both precious and industrial metals generated positive returns from the long side. Base metals continued to move higher with the exception of nickel. Copper rose to its highest price in more than six years due to supply disruptions and heavy demand from new home construction. In February, base metals continued their upward move as the sector experienced strong demand, shrinking supply and U.S. dollar weakness, helping to drive prices higher. Strong industrial demand for copper and continued speculative interest pushed the market to a seven year high. In March, industrial metals generated minor losses for MM LLC, while precious metals contributed significantly, particularly, gold and silver. The agricultural commodities sector posted gains early in the quarter as the USDA cut its forecast of the crop supply for both soybeans and corn, which sent prices surging. In February, grain markets extended their long-term rally, with corn and soybeans being pushed to highs on strong demand and low stockpiles. Grain markets continued to extend their long-term rally in March, with corn, soybeans and soymeal being pushed higher on strong demand from Asia and lower estimates of supply from South America. The energy sector posted gains for the quarter. In crude oil and more broad energy markets, weather and OPEC were the dominant factors behind price moves during January. Weather was extremely cold in the Northeast and Midwest U.S., which caused a sharp rally in natural gas and heating oil. Crude oil had a sharp rally in early February and gradually sold-off as the markets became complacent about the OPEC meeting. The market continued this trend, as weather-related demand and tight U.S. inventories continued. In March, the energy sectors posted a small loss under extremely volatile market conditions. The crude oil market had very choppy performance during the month, as did the heating oil market. The currency sector posted slight gains for the quarter. The currency sector began the quarter with gains as it continued its long trend of a weakening U.S. dollar. However, trading was very choppy and gains generated in the early part of January were lost. In February and March, the trend continued as currency trading was very difficult due to the heightened volatility in the markets. Stock indices posted losses despite gains early in the quarter. Stock indices posted a profit for January, as long exposure to global equities from momentum based and fundamental models performed well. In February, long exposure to global equities produced positive performance. In March, stock indices posted a loss that exceeded the gains from earlier in the quarter. Long Nikkei profits were overcome by losses in long exposure to European equities, which later flipped to short positions, by month-end. April 1, 2004 to June 30, 2004 MM LLC experienced an overall loss for the quarter. The energy sector was the only profitable sector for MM LLC. The energy sector posted gains for the quarter despite volatile market conditions. Crude oil and unleaded gas were the main drivers of performance. In May, crude oil prices continued to increase during the month, including refined products, as did market volatility. Political uncertainties in the Middle East added an additional risk premium to the markets. Losses were posted for the month of June. Crude oil and heating oil were the largest contributors to losses as markets sold-off early during the month when OPEC agreed to provide more supply, while U.S. inventory levels showed a gradual increase. MM LLC maintained a long bias in this sector throughout the quarter. 10 The agricultural sector posted a loss for the quarter despite small gains in April and June. Early in the quarter, agricultural markets reversed their upward trend with the fear that demand from China would slow down. Long exposure to the soybean complex outweighed losses in other markets, particularly corn. Large losses were posted in May. Soybean prices collapsed, and sold off close to 20% from highs in April as ideal weather conditions persisted in the Midwest and exports failed to materialize. Demand from China and diminishing supplies had kept prices high for quite some time. Small gains were posted in June, with cotton prices dropping allowing short exposures to generate profits. Corn also posted a significant decline during the month, which caused the portfolio to adjust positions from long to short. Corn experienced a dramatic improvement in estimates of acreage and yields, due to high prices and positive weather conditions. The interest rate sector posted a loss for the quarter with small gains posted in May. In April, the fixed income markets experienced heightened volatility and then fell sharply, followed by a short bounce and then trended down for the rest of the month. The portfolio was long on many of the global yield curves at the start of the month and began reducing exposure and initiating shorts mid month. In May, Eurodollars and short sterling exposure proved profitable during the month, as strong employment figures in the U.S. confirmed a scenario whereby the Federal Reserve will raise rates by this summer and the Bank of England indicated it will raise rates to slow down the growth in the economy. In June, Eurodollars fell early in the month and finally gained 28 basis points from their lows. U.S. fixed income trading was flat, while gains in trading Japanese Government bonds were outweighed by losses in trading the European yield curve. Stock indices posted losses throughout the quarter. In April, equities continued to rally in the early part of the month, but the fear of rate increase based on positive economic news sent equities falling with a steep sell-off towards the end of the month. Equities worldwide stayed weak, on concerns of the imminent rate increases in U.S. interest rates. The Japanese Nikkei experienced a sudden deterioration in sentiment, which sent the market plunging around 5% in one day. The metals sector posted losses for the quarter. In April, both industrial and precious metals generated significant losses for the portfolio. The U.S. dollar strengthening and the fear of higher interest rates, which would curb growth, caused base and precious metals to sell-off. Both industrial and precious metals generated slight losses for the portfolio in May. In June, industrial metals detracted from performance as zinc fell by approximately 11% and copper lost 3%. The currency sector posted the largest losses for the quarter. In April, the U.S. dollar strengthened considerably during the month, with the Euro falling below 120 and the British pound falling to 1.77. The Japanese yen fell sharply after a strong rebound in March. Gains in the British pound and the Euro overcame losses from the Japanese yen and Australian dollar positioning. In May, the U.S. dollar weakened against major currencies except for the Australian dollar after strengthening considerably during the prior month. Losses in the Japanese yen, Australian dollar and the Swiss franc were mitigated by gains in the British pound. In June, most major currencies displayed no clear direction, but exhibited high intra day volatility. Losses were incurred from positions in the Australian dollar, Swiss franc, British pound and other major markets. July 1, 2004 to September 30, 2004 MM LLC experienced gains in the interest rate, energy, agricultural commodities and metals sectors and losses in the stock indices and currency sectors. Overall, for the quarter, MM LLC experienced gains. The interest rate sector posted gains for MM LLC for the quarter. In July, U.S. bond prices rallied for a second month on weaker employment data. Bond prices in Europe advanced, while in Japan they declined. U.S. fixed income trading was positive; gains in trading German Bunds were offset by losses in other international yield curves. In August, U.S. bond prices rallied early in the month following the 11 release of lackluster payroll data. Bond prices in Europe also advanced. Strong gains were generated in U.S. and European fixed income trading. The interest rate sector turned around in September but gains still offset those losses for the quarter. U.S. Treasury markets reacted to the employment data with a violent sell-off at the beginning of the month, which caused the Advisors to reduce the portfolio's long exposure or change to a net short bias. Softer economic data eventually pushed longer-term maturities higher by the end of the month. The energy sector posted profits throughout the quarter. Crude oil prices climbed as prices reached record levels. Energy markets had been driven higher on concerns about limited spare capacity from OPEC, growing demand globally, instability with Russian suppliers and terrorism. In August, crude oil reached a 21-year high mid-month before selling off. Short exposure to natural gas also contributed to performance. The energy sector continued to rally, as hurricanes in the southeastern U.S., higher demand from overseas and ongoing geopolitical tensions create supply concerns. The agricultural commodities sector also posted a gain for the quarter. In July, the sector posted a gain for the month as cotton prices dropped allowing short exposures to generate profits. Corn also posted a significant decline, which was profitable for short positions. New crop soybeans, corn, and wheat are all trading in what has developed to be the best growing season in years. Weather conditions had been quite optimal, which lead many to believe that crops would have record yields. The market priced in a near term surplus for many of these markets. In August, the USDA gave a low crop estimate as there were forecasts of an early freeze following a cool summer and slow crop development all surprising the market and posting losses as the short positions were covered. In September, many grain markets resumed their downward trend, particularly soybeans, corn and cotton after rallying in August. This sell-off was based on fundamental data reported. The metals sector also posted a small gain for the quarter despite losses in July and August. In July, industrial metals slightly detracted from performance, as gains in long copper exposure could not offset losses in nickel and aluminum positioning. Gold prices posted a modest gain during the month. In August, gains in short zinc exposure could not offset losses in long base metal positioning. Gold prices rose during the month, as weak economic data continued to drive down expectations of future rate hikes in the U.S. The sector posted a gain in September. Industrial metals, particularly copper added to performance, while exposure to precious metals contributed a small gain. Copper rallied based on increasing demand from China and tight supply conditions. Trading in stock indices posted a loss for the quarter despite small gains posted in August. Major global equity markets recorded sharp declines in July with a lack of volatility. A short bias to U.S. early in the month allowed for some positive performance, but a long bias to most international equities detracted from performance. Exposure to Japan and European equities contributed most of the losses. Global equity indices were largely unchanged mid quarter after an initial sell-off and rally at the end of August. A short bias to global equities late in the quarter allowed for some positive performance and short positions were later covered toward the end of the quarter, as the markets changed direction. Gains in the U.S. outweighed losses in exposure to Asian and European equities. Global equity indices experienced a small rally during September. European equities outperformed the U.S. and Asian markets. Losses in the U.S. outweighed moderate gains in some of the international markets late in the quarter. The currency sector posted the largest losses for the quarter for MM LLC. Currency markets remained choppy as the market continued to react to new releases of economic data. Weaker economic data was reported, particularly the employment report, and then went onto rally, based on a robust forecast for U.S. economic growth by Federal Reserve Chairman, Alan Greenspan. Gains made in trading Euro were offset by losses in the Swiss franc, British pound and Japanese yen. The market uncertainty about the future macroeconomic environment resulted in random price moves and a lack of any sustainable trends within the sector. August began with the U.S. dollar weakening, on soft economic data, most notably the payroll data and the trade deficit. In September, the positive non-farm payroll data initially caused an 12 appreciation of the U.S. dollar, which later faded toward the end of the month, as the announcement of China joining the G-8 meeting re-ignited a U.S. dollar weakening. JANUARY 1, 2003 TO SEPTEMBER 30, 2003 January 1, 2003 to March 31, 2003 MM LLC experienced gains in the currency, energy, interest rate and stock index sectors and losses in the agricultural commodity and metals sectors. Overall, for the quarter, MM LLC experienced gains. The currency forward and futures trading had the most significant gains for the quarter. The weakening U.S. dollar was continuing to decline as it has for over a year and MM LLC was well positioned to capitalize on its U.S. dollar positions against other currencies. The largest gains versus the U.S. dollar during January and February were with the Australian dollar and Canadian dollar. In March, the U.S. dollar strengthened, on hopes that the war with Iraq would be short, and returned some of the profits earned early in the year. Energy was a profitable sector for the quarter. With the continuation of the strike in Venezuela, the tensions with Iraq and the cold winter, long positions in oil and natural gas were profitable in the beginning of the year. In February, the best performing month, natural gas prices rose nearly 40% in a single day citing expected severely cold weather and supply shortages. MM LLC profited from this event but such volatility caused many of the Advisors to reduce their long positions. This helped MM LLC retain profits as prices declined in crude oil and natural gas in March. Interest rate futures were also profitable for the quarter. February had significant gains offsetting losses in both January and March. U.S. and European bonds rallied amid concerns of a global economic slowdown benefiting MM LLC's long exposures. Selective long/short rate exposure globally was the main driver to gains generated in the sector. The global fixed income markets continued their upward climb until mid-March when expectations of a short conflict triggered the liquidation of many fixed income investments, hurting long exposures. Trading in stock indices posted slight gains for the quarter. The market was choppy throughout the quarter making trading difficult. MM LLC was able to realize some gains in January on short positions as most indices recorded three-month lows. During the rest of the quarter, choppy markets caused short positions to be covered to protect against the risk of significant losses. The metals sector had losses for the quarter. Gold drove profits in January as it continued its run up. The general perception of risks in the financial markets and the geopolitical situation unfolding was the main driver for the gold market in January. MM LLC sustained losses in February and March as the long bias in precious metals hurt the portfolio when gold reversed its rising trend in February and continued to decline. Gold's appeal as a safe investment diminished. Trading in agricultural commodities posted losses for the quarter. MM LLC held positions in sugar, livestock and the soybean complex. Livestock markets were off in February as Russia imposed an import limit to help its domestic production. Sugar was to blame for losses in March as prices reversed and hit a two-month low. April 1, 2003 to June 30, 2003 MM LLC was profitable in the financial futures, currencies, interest rates and stock index sectors, and incurred losses in the physical commodity sectors, energy, agriculture and metals. 13 The currency sector was the strongest performer for MM LLC. The U.S. dollar depreciated against most major currencies throughout most of the second quarter. The currency markets judged the developments in the Middle East as negative for the U.S. economy and trade, and the U.S. dollar sold off against most major currencies. The U.S. dollar continued to weaken significantly during the month of May when U.S. Treasury Secretary Snow indicated he was comfortable with current declines and that a cheaper U.S. dollar would increase exports. The U.S. dollar strengthened against most major currencies late June, reversing some earlier profits. The interest rate sector generated strong gains during the second quarter producing significant profits in May. After a mixed start in April, the bond market rally continued through May despite the stock market recovery. The U.S., European and Japanese bond markets reached new highs in June, as investors were convinced the Federal Reserve would cut short-term rates by 50 basis points. A stronger Consumer Price Index and a rate cut of only 25 basis points disappointed the markets causing bond prices to reverse sharply by the end of the month. The stock index sector posted gains for the quarter. Gains were generated in short-term trading in the U.S. and Europe, primarily the S&P 500 and selected European indices. Overall exposure to the sector remained relatively light. The energy markets posted losses for the quarter. The markets in April and May were dominated by the developments in the Middle East, especially OPEC's reaction to the developments in Iraq. Production was not being resumed as initially estimated even though the destruction of the oilfields was smaller than expected. The SARS epidemic was expected to reduce the demand for jet fuel, which the markets extrapolated to affect crude oil prices. Natural gas was very volatile during June. Trading in agricultural commodities had losses for the quarter. Gains in April, mainly from soybeans, which rallied due to revisions crop estimates and weather overseas, were overshadowed by losses in May and June due to changes in crop estimates and a volatile livestock market. Losses were posted in livestock, oil seed and grains. The metals sector generated the greatest losses for MM LLC this quarter. Short positions in base metals and precious metals contributed to losses in the sector. Gold generated losses in June reacting to the U.S. dollar sell off. July 1, 2003 to September 30, 2003 For the third quarter, gains were generated in the metals, agricultural commodities, interest rates and the stock indices sectors, while the currencies and energy sectors posted losses. The metals sector posted the highest gain for the third quarter. Long positions in the metals particularly in gold and nickel made significant price movements to the upside. At the closing of the third quarter both the industrial and metal complex sectors benefited from increases in valuation. The agricultural commodities sector posted a gain for the third quarter. At the beginning of the third quarter, short exposure in corn generated strong profits as the U.S. government forecasts reported a record crop for this year. Supply and demand continued to drive the cattle market as prices rose sharply in the beginning of the third quarter. The middle of the third quarter grain markets exhibited a large price move as soybeans and corn rallied 16% and 14%, respectively. Weather drove prices up due to very little rain in the Midwest, where the majority of the U.S. crops grow. Trend-followers covered their short exposure to these markets and, by the middle of the quarter, went long, managing to recoup some of the losses. By the end of the third quarter, supply concerns drove the corn and soybean markets due to the fact the USDA reported a better than expected yield on corn and low yields on soybeans. Managers that were short corn took advantage of the decrease in price due to the high yields. Due to the USDA announcement regarding low soybean yields and low soybean harvest results, the price of soybean rallied 14 by 13.8%. Most of the fundamental and systematic managers were able to profit from these developments. The interest rate sector posted a small gain for the third quarter. At the beginning of the third quarter, the U.S. bond market suffered losses after the U.S. government announced its intentions to borrow a record amount to finance the huge deficit. European bonds were weaker, but outperformed the U.S. Profits were generated in the U.S. segment of the portfolio, primarily in the ten-year note, but negative performance from global bonds outweighed these gains. During the middle of the third quarter, interest rates posted a gain due to the massive sell-off in bonds during July which seemed to have found a base during the month of August. Despite a record $60 billion refunding program in the U.S., bonds managed a timid recovery after making new lows. Japanese Government Bonds lost five figures during this period with interest rates on hold at the short end of the curve in Europe and in the U.S. Trading was characterized by small ranges, which generated losses and Japanese Government Bond exposure outweighed moderate losses across other global fixed income markets. At the end of the third quarter short positions in the ten year and 30 year sector of the U.S. bond market generated losses, as yields dropped from 4.46% to 3.94% on the ten year. The stock index sector posted the smallest gain for the third quarter. At the beginning of the third quarter, the equities were fairly quiet with strong gains being generated in trading global stock indices, primarily the Nikkei 225. During the middle of the quarter the losses in the S&P 500 and Dow Jones futures outweighed gains in other markets. However, the Japanese Nikkei was the star performer as it gained over 8% on strong economic numbers. The currency sector posted a loss for the third quarter. At the beginning of the third quarter, the U.S. dollar appreciated relative to other currencies with losses being experienced in most positions specifically, the Australian dollar, the Canadian dollar and the British pound. Large reversals occurred in these carry-trades, as markets focused attention on economic fundamentals rather than yield differentials. During the middle of the third quarter the U.S. dollar appreciated relative to the European currencies. The third quarter ended with the G-7 summit directing the market to the idea that a weak U.S. dollar is important to global trade balance causing losses on trades with the U.S. dollar. The energy sector posted a loss for the third quarter. OPEC maintained their output targets, demonstrating that they are comfortable with energy prices near the high end of the range. During the middle of the quarter, crude oil and most of the other energy markets were almost unchanged with high volatility throughout this period. The volatility was mainly due to the uncertainty in supply and estimates of demand that were projected to increase. This was partly offset by expectations of the possible resumption of oil production by Iraq. Strong gains were generated in trading unleaded gas and crude oil, only to be reversed in September. Many of the systematic managers had difficulties trading crude oil in the last part of the third quarter as the price dropped from a high of $31.40 on September 3rd to a low of $26.65 on September 19th. This caused many managers to flip positions from long to short positions and incur losses. Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk Not applicable Item 4. Controls and Procedures Merrill Lynch Investment Managers LLC, the General Partner of ML Principal Protection L.P., with the participation of the General Partner's Principal Executive Officer and the Chief Financial Officer, has evaluated the effectiveness of the design and operation of its disclosure controls and procedures with respect to the Partnership within 90 days of the filing date of this quarterly report, and, based on this evaluation, has concluded that these disclosure controls and procedures are effective. Additionally, there 15 were no significant changes in the Partnership's internal controls or in other factors that could significantly affect these controls subsequent to the date of their evaluation, including any corrective actions with regard to significant deficiencies and material weaknesses. 16 PART II - OTHER INFORMATION Item 1. Legal Proceedings There are no pending legal proceedings to which the Partnership, MM LLC or MLIM LLC is a party. Item 2. Changes in Securities and Use of Proceeds (a) None. (b) None. (c) None. (d) None. Item 3. Defaults Upon Senior Securities None. Item 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders None. Item 5. Other Information None. Item 6. Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K. (a) Exhibits There are no exhibits required to be filed with this report. (b) REPORTS ON FORM 8-K There were no reports on Form 8-K filed during the first nine months of fiscal 2004. 17 SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. ML PRINCIPAL PROTECTION L.P. ---------------------------- By: MERRILL LYNCH INVESTMENT MANAGERS LLC General Partner Date: November 15, 2004 By /s/ VINAY MENDIRATTA -------------------- Vinay Mendiratta Managing Director and Chief Operating Officer - Alternative Strategies and Quantitative Advisers Divisions (Principal Executive Officer) Date: November 15, 2004 By /s/ PATRICK HAYWARD ------------------- Patrick Hayward Chief Financial Officer (Principal Financial and Accounting Officer) 18