EX-99.1 2 a14-17949_1ex99d1.htm EX-99.1

Exhibit 99.1

 

GRAPHIC

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

 

Contacts:

 

Maryellen Thielen

Pat Macellaro

Media Relations

Investor Relations

(847) 402-5600

(847) 402-2800

 

Allstate’s Strategy and Operating Performance Drive Strong Financial Results

 

NORTHBROOK, Ill., July 30, 2014 – The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) today reported financial results for the second quarter of 2014. The financial highlights were:

 

The Allstate Corporation Consolidated Highlights

 

 

 

 

 

Three months ended
June 30,

 

Six months ended
June 30,

($ millions, except per share amounts and ratios)

 

 

2014

 

 

2013

 

 

% / pts
Change

 

2014

 

 

2013

 

 

% / pts
Change

 

 

Consolidated revenues

 

 

$ 8,860

 

 

$ 8,787

 

 

0.8 

 

$17,544

 

 

$17,250

 

 

1.7 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income available to common shareholders

 

 

614

 

 

434

 

 

41.5 

 

1,201

 

 

1,143

 

 

5.1 

per diluted common share

 

 

1.39

 

 

0.92

 

 

51.1 

 

2.69

 

 

2.39

 

 

12.6 

Operating income*

 

 

445

 

 

529

 

 

(15.9)

 

1,033

 

 

1,176

 

 

(12.2)

per diluted common share*

 

 

1.01

 

 

1.12

 

 

(9.8)

 

2.31

 

 

2.46

 

 

(6.1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Return on common shareholders’ equity

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income available to common shareholders

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

11.4%

 

 

11.6%

 

 

(0.2) pts

Operating income *

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

13.7%

 

 

12.3%

 

 

1.4  pts

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Book value per common share

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

47.97

 

 

41.63

 

 

15.2 

Book value per common share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities*

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

44.13

 

 

38.47

 

 

14.7 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability combined ratio

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Recorded

 

 

97.4

 

 

96.1

 

 

1.3  pts

 

96.1

 

 

94.7

 

 

1.4  pts

Underlying combined ratio* (excludes catastrophes, prior year reserve reestimates and amortization of purchased intangibles)

 

 

84.7

 

 

86.9

 

 

(2.2) pts

 

86.6

 

 

87.3

 

 

(0.7) pts

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Catastrophe losses

 

 

936

 

 

647

 

 

44.7   

 

1,381

 

 

1,006

 

 

37.3 

 

*             Measures used in this release that are not based on accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (“non-GAAP”) are defined and reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP measure in the “Definitions of Non-GAAP Measures” section of this document.

 

“Allstate delivered strong results in the second quarter through continued focus on our five 2014 operating priorities,” said Thomas J. Wilson, chairman, president and chief executive officer of The Allstate Corporation. “Allstate Protection net written premiums increased by 5.5% and consolidated net income was $614 million for the quarter. Operating income was $1.01 per share, despite pre-tax catastrophe losses of $936 million. Policies in force grew in all three underwriting brands, led by increased momentum in the Allstate brand. Esurance’s substantial net written premium growth continued at 15.3% over the prior year quarter; but the rate of increase declined compared to prior quarters as we took actions to improve returns. The property-liability underlying combined ratio was 84.7 for the quarter, achieving our goal of maintaining profitability with first half results better than the full year outlook of 87 to 89. Proactively managing risk and returns of the investment portfolio generated good results as lower interest income was offset by excellent limited partnership returns.

 

1



 

“We also made continued progress on creating shareholder value through strategic initiatives and capital management,” Wilson said. “Allstate’s telematics offering continues to grow rapidly and the customer value proposition is being expanded. The dispositions of Lincoln Benefit Life and Sterling Collision Centers were completed in the quarter. Shareholders were also provided strong cash returns with dividends and share repurchases, which totaled $1.37 billion for the first half of the year.”

 

Second Quarter 2014 Financial Results

 

·                  Allstate’s focus on growth produced positive results in the second quarter. Premium growth was driven by all three brands which underwrite insurance; Allstate brand premiums increased 5.0%, Encompass premiums improved 8.3% and Esurance premiums climbed 15.3%, compared to second quarter 2013. Allstate Financial premiums and contract charges of $518 million declined by 10.5% for the second quarter of 2014 from the year-earlier period due to the sale of Lincoln Benefit Life.

 

·                  Second quarter 2014 net income available to common shareholders was $614 million, or $1.39 per diluted common share, compared to $434 million, or $0.92 per diluted common share in the second quarter of 2013. The quarterly comparison was affected by a second quarter 2013 after-tax loss of $312 million on extinguishment of debt.

 

·                  Operating income was $445 million, or $1.01 per diluted common share in the second quarter of 2014, compared to $529 million, or $1.12 per diluted common share in the same period of 2013. The decrease in operating income was driven by catastrophe losses of $936 million, pre-tax, which were 44.7% higher than in the second quarter of 2013.

 

·                  The property-liability combined ratio was 97.4 for the second quarter of 2014, 1.3 points higher than the prior year quarter due to higher catastrophe losses. The underlying combined ratio of 84.7 for the second quarter was 2.2 points lower than in the same period of last year.

 

·                  Allstate Financial’s net income declined $45 million in the second quarter of 2014 to $145 million compared to the second quarter of 2013. An increase in operating income was more than offset by realized capital losses versus realized capital gains in the second quarter of 2013 and an increase to the loss on disposition of Lincoln Benefit Life. Operating income increased 5.1% to $165 million from the same quarter a year ago as strong improvement in investment and benefit spreads and a decrease in operating expenses more than offset the absence of earnings on the disposed Lincoln Benefit Life business.

 

·                  Total net investment income was $898 million in the second quarter of 2014, and included $195 million from limited partnership interests and $36 million related to prepayment fee income and litigation proceeds.

 

2014 Operating Priorities

 

Grow insurance policies in force. Allstate Protection insurance policies in force increased by 735,000, or 2.2% in the second quarter of 2014 versus the same period of last year.

 

·                  The Allstate brand, which serves consumers who prefer local advice from Allstate agencies and a wide range of products, grew insurance policies in force by 1.5% in the second quarter of 2014 compared to the prior year quarter. This growth was driven by a 450,000 policy increase in Allstate auto, 2.3% higher than the second quarter of 2013, and a 37,000 increase in other personal lines, 0.9% higher than the second quarter of 2013.  The rate of decline in homeowners continued to decelerate, as there were 28,000 fewer policies in force, or 0.5% less than the second quarter of 2013.

 

·                 Esurance, serving the self-directed consumer segment, grew insurance policies in force by 17.5%, or 213,000 policies in the second quarter of 2014 versus the second quarter of 2013. Esurance’s rate of policy growth has slowed from prior periods, reflecting the impact of profit improvement actions designed to improve the loss ratio.

 

·                  Encompass, which serves brand-neutral consumers who value local advice, grew insurance policies in force by 4.8%, or 59,000 policies, in the second quarter of 2014 compared with the same quarter of 2013.

 

2



 

Maintain the underlying combined ratio. The property-liability underlying combined ratio of 84.7 in the second quarter of 2014 was 2.2 points better than in the prior year quarter. Underlying loss costs improved in the second quarter of 2014 after increasing due to severe weather in the first quarter of 2014.

 

·                  The Allstate brand combined ratio was 95.4 in the second quarter, with an underlying combined ratio of 83.0, 2.4 points lower than in the prior year quarter. Allstate brand auto had a second quarter 2014 combined ratio of 95.4 and an underlying combined ratio of 91.8, 2.3 points lower than in the prior year quarter. Allstate brand homeowners recorded a combined ratio of 98.6 and an underlying combined ratio of 60.2, 2.5 points lower than in the second quarter of 2013.

 

·                  Esurance recorded a second quarter 2014 combined ratio of 112.3 and an underlying combined ratio of 107.7, 5.2 points lower than prior year, reflecting the impact of ongoing profit improvement actions. The Esurance loss ratio was 75.4 for the second quarter of 2014, a 4.5 point decline from the same period of 2013. Esurance continues to adjust pricing and underwriting to ensure growth generates long-term profitability.

 

·                  In the Encompass brand, the second quarter combined ratio was 119.2, 16.8 points higher than the second quarter of 2013, due to higher catastrophe losses. The underlying combined ratio of 94.8 was 2.1 points higher than the second quarter of 2013. The Encompass team continues to implement pricing and underwriting changes to ensure it achieves desired returns.

 

Proactively manage our investments to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns. Net investment income was 8.7% lower in the second quarter of 2014 compared with the same period a year ago. Continued strong limited partnership returns were more than offset by the divestiture of $12 billion of investments associated with Lincoln Benefit Life and lower reinvestment yields in the Allstate Protection portfolio.

 

·                  The annualized portfolio yield in the second quarter of 2014 was 4.7%, an increase from the prior year quarter, as strong limited partnership results more than offset the lower contribution from the interest-bearing portfolio. Portfolio total return for the second quarter of 2014 was 2.2%, reflecting improved fixed income valuations and positive equity market performance.

 

·                  Limited partnership interests contributed income of $195 million in the second quarter, 54.8% higher than the prior year quarter, reflecting continued favorable valuations and strong cash distributions.

 

·                  Allstate’s consolidated investment portfolio totaled $82.6 billion at June 30, 2014 compared to $81.2 billion at December 31, 2013, which excluded Lincoln Benefit Life investments held for sale. The higher portfolio value reflected increased fixed income valuations due to a decrease in interest rates in 2014.

 

Operational priorities. Allstate continues to make progress on streamlining and modernizing its operating model to deliver improved customer service and build long-term growth platforms.

 

·                  Allstate agency capacity is growing, reflecting an increase in the number and size of agencies.

 

·                  Allstate Financial operating expenses are declining, as operations are downsized to reflect the Lincoln Benefit Life sale and ongoing operational simplification.

 

·                 Allstate is strategically investing in telematics and broadening the value proposition for the connected consumer.

 

·                  Esurance continues to expand its product suite, offering auto insurance in 43 states, renters insurance in 18 states, motorcycle insurance in nine states and homeowners insurance in seven states as of June 2014.

 

Strong Capital Position

 

“We continue to build Allstate’s financial strength and strategic flexibility,” said Steve Shebik, chief financial officer. “During the second quarter, Allstate repaid $300 million of 6.20% senior notes and issued $250 million of 6.25% noncumulative perpetual preferred stock. Book value per diluted common share reached $47.97 at June 30, 2014, an increase of 15.2% from a year ago. Our operating income return on equity was a strong 13.7% in the second quarter on a trailing twelve month basis, lower than the full year 2013 of 14.5%, reflecting higher catastrophes and higher equity resulting from pension benefit changes made last year.”

 

3



 

During the second quarter, Allstate repurchased $142 million of common stock through open market purchases. The $2.5 billion share repurchase program announced in February is 40% complete as of June 30, 2014. Statutory surplus at June 30, 2014 was an estimated $18.0 billion for the combined insurance operating companies, an increase of $1.0 billion from June 30, 2013. Property-liability statutory surplus was an estimated $15.2 billion of this total, with Allstate Financial companies accounting for the remainder. During the second quarter, Allstate Life Insurance Company distributed $700 million in a return of capital to Allstate Insurance Company.

 

 

Visit www.allstateinvestors.com to view additional information about Allstate’s results, including a webcast of its quarterly conference call and the presentation discussed on the call. The conference call will be held at 9 a.m. ET on Thursday, July 31.

 

The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) is the nation’s largest publicly held personal lines insurer, protecting approximately 16 million households from life’s uncertainties through its Allstate, Encompass, Esurance and Answer Financial brand names and Allstate Financial business segment.  Allstate is widely known through the slogan “You’re In Good Hands With Allstate®.”  The Allstate brand’s network of small businesses offers auto, home, life and retirement products and services to customers in the United States and Canada.

 

Financial information, including material announcements about The Allstate Corporation, is routinely posted on www.allstateinvestors.com.

 

4



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

 

($ in millions, except per share data)

 

Three months ended
June 30,

 

Six months ended
June 30,

 

 

 

2014

 

2013

 

2014

 

2013

 

 

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-liability insurance premiums

$

7,204 

$

6,862 

$

14,268 

$

13,632

 

Life and annuity premiums and contract charges

 

518 

 

579 

 

1,125 

 

1,158

 

Net investment income

 

898 

 

984 

 

1,857 

 

1,967

 

Realized capital gains and losses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total other-than-temporary impairment losses

 

(44)

 

(55)

 

(124)

 

(82

)

Portion of loss recognized in other comprehensive income

 

(1)

 

(5)

 

(2)

 

(15

)

Net other-than-temporary impairment losses recognized in earnings

 

(45)

 

(60)

 

(126)

 

(97

)

Sales and other realized capital gains and losses

 

285 

 

422 

 

420 

 

590

 

Total realized capital gains and losses

 

240 

 

362 

 

294 

 

493

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

8,860 

 

8,787 

 

17,544 

 

17,250

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Costs and expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-liability insurance claims and claims expense

 

5,142 

 

4,741 

 

9,901 

 

9,201

 

Life and annuity contract benefits

 

413 

 

471 

 

901 

 

929

 

Interest credited to contractholder funds

 

212 

 

311 

 

519 

 

656

 

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

1,035 

 

961 

 

2,070 

 

1,907

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

1,023 

 

1,090 

 

2,117 

 

2,192

 

Restructuring and related charges

 

 

20 

 

10 

 

46

 

Loss on extinguishment of debt

 

 

480 

 

 

480

 

Interest expense

 

84 

 

99 

 

171 

 

197

 

 

 

7,914 

 

8,173 

 

15,690 

 

15,608

 

 

Gain (loss) on disposition of operations

 

 

-- 

 

(50)

 

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income from operations before income tax expense

 

955 

 

614 

 

1,804 

 

1,644

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income tax expense

 

310 

 

180 

 

559 

 

501

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

645 

 

434 

 

1,245 

 

1,143

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Preferred stock dividends

 

31 

 

-- 

 

44 

 

--

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income available to common shareholders

$

614 

$

434 

$

1,201 

$

1,143

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Earnings per common share:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income available to common shareholders per common share – Basic

$

1.41 

$

0.93 

$

2.73 

$

2.42

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average common shares – Basic

 

434.3 

 

468.3 

 

440.4 

 

471.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income available to common shareholders per common share – Diluted

$

1.39 

$

0.92 

$

2.69 

$

2.39

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average common shares – Diluted

 

440.7 

 

473.8 

 

446.8 

 

477.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash dividends declared per common share

$

0.28 

$

0.25 

$

0.56 

$

0.50

 

 

5



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

BUSINESS RESULTS

 

($ in millions, except ratios)

 

Three months ended

 

Six months ended

 

 

 

June 30,

 

June 30,

 

 

 

2014

 

2013

 

2014

 

2013

 

Property-Liability

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums written

$

7,547 

$

7,151 

$

14,516 

$

13,776

 

Premiums earned

$

7,204 

$

6,862 

$

14,268 

$

13,632

 

Claims and claims expense

 

(5,142)

 

(4,741)

 

(9,901)

 

(9,201

)

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

(969)

 

(890)

 

(1,930)

 

(1,761

)

Operating costs and expenses

 

(901)

 

(943)

 

(1,869)

 

(1,900

)

Restructuring and related charges

 

(3)

 

(19)

 

(7)

 

(43

)

Underwriting income*

 

189 

 

269 

 

561 

 

727

 

Net investment income

 

351 

 

343 

 

663 

 

684

 

Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments

 

(3)

 

(2)

 

(6)

 

(3

)

Amortization of purchased intangible assets

 

17 

 

20 

 

34 

 

41

 

Income tax expense on operations

 

(190)

 

(197)

 

(420)

 

(460

)

Operating income

 

364 

 

433 

 

832 

 

989

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

161 

 

197 

 

195 

 

270

 

Gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

38 

 

(1)

 

38 

 

(1

)

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

 

 

 

2

 

Amortization of purchased intangible assets, after-tax

 

(11)

 

(13)

 

(22)

 

(27

)

Net income available to common shareholders

$

554 

$

617 

$

1,047 

$

1,233

 

Catastrophe losses

$

936 

$

647 

$

1,381 

$

1,006

 

Operating ratios:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Claims and claims expense ratio

 

71.4 

 

69.1 

 

69.4 

 

67.5

 

Expense ratio

 

26.0 

 

27.0 

 

26.7 

 

27.2

 

Combined ratio

 

97.4 

 

96.1 

 

96.1 

 

94.7

 

Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio

 

13.0 

 

9.4 

 

9.7 

 

7.4

 

Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio

 

(0.1)

 

(0.8)

 

(0.1) 

 

(0.7

)

Effect of catastrophe losses included in prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio

 

0.5 

 

(0.3)

 

0.3 

 

(0.4

)

Effect of amortization of purchased intangible assets on combined ratio

 

0.3 

 

0.3 

 

0.2 

 

0.3

 

Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio

 

0.1 

 

0.1 

 

0.1 

 

0.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Financial

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums and contract charges

$

518 

$

579 

$

1,125 

$

1,158

 

Net investment income

 

538 

 

633 

 

1,178 

 

1,268

 

Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments

 

(1)

 

 

(1)

 

15

 

Contract benefits

 

(413)

 

(471)

 

(901)

 

(929

)

Interest credited to contractholder funds

 

(208)

 

(315)

 

(499)

 

(651

)

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

(65)

 

(65)

 

(139)

 

(141

)

Operating costs and expenses

 

(112)

 

(140)

 

(230)

 

(288

)

Restructuring and related charges

 

(1)

 

(1)

 

(3)

 

(3

)

Income tax expense on operations

 

(91)

 

(68)

 

(176)

 

(128

)

Operating income

 

165 

 

157 

 

354 

 

301

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(6)

 

37 

 

(6)

 

49

 

Valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, after-tax

 

(3)

 

 

(14)

 

(3

)

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses and valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, after-tax

 

-- 

 

(4)

 

-- 

 

(3

)

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

 

(4)

 

 

(10

)

(Loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

(12)

 

 

(28)

 

2

 

Net income available to common shareholders

$

145

$

190 

$

307 

$

336

 

Corporate and Other

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net investment income

$

$

$

16 

$

15

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

(94)

 

(106)

 

(189)

 

(201

)

Income tax benefit on operations

 

32 

 

37 

 

64 

 

72

 

Preferred stock dividends

 

(31)

 

-- 

 

(44)

 

--

 

Operating loss

 

(84)

 

(61)

 

(153)

 

(114

)

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(1)

 

-- 

 

-- 

 

--

 

Loss on extinguishment of debt, after-tax

 

-- 

 

(312)

 

-- 

 

(312

)

Net loss available to common shareholders

$

(85)

$

(373)

$

(153)

$

(426

)

Consolidated net income available to common shareholders

$

614 

$

434 

$

1,201 

$

1,143

 

 

6



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

 

($ in millions, except par value data) 

 

June 30,

 

December 31,

 

 

2014

 

2013

Assets

 

(unaudited)

 

 

 

Investments:

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed income securities, at fair value (amortized cost $59,447 and $59,008)

$

62,634 

$

60,910

 

Equity securities, at fair value (cost $4,658 and $4,473)

 

5,394 

 

5,097

 

Mortgage loans

 

4,174 

 

4,721

 

Limited partnership interests

 

4,309 

 

4,967

 

Short-term, at fair value (amortized cost $2,914 and $2,393)

 

2,914 

 

2,393

 

Other

 

3,138 

 

3,067

 

Total investments

 

82,563 

 

81,155

 

Cash

 

889 

 

675

 

Premium installment receivables, net

 

5,384 

 

5,237

 

Deferred policy acquisition costs

 

3,377 

 

3,372

 

Reinsurance recoverables, net

 

7,500 

 

7,621

 

Accrued investment income

 

611 

 

624

 

Property and equipment, net

 

990 

 

1,024

 

Goodwill

 

1,219 

 

1,243

 

Other assets

 

2,920 

 

1,937

 

Separate Accounts

 

4,780 

 

5,039

 

Assets held for sale

 

-- 

 

15,593

 

Total assets

$

110,233 

$

123,520

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

Reserve for property-liability insurance claims and claims expense

$

22,317 

$

21,857

 

Reserve for life-contingent contract benefits

 

12,688 

 

12,386

 

Contractholder funds

 

23,472 

 

24,304

 

Unearned premiums

 

11,217 

 

10,932

 

Claim payments outstanding

 

851 

 

631

 

Deferred income taxes

 

1,146 

 

635

 

Other liabilities and accrued expenses

 

5,044 

 

5,156

 

Long-term debt

 

5,846 

 

6,201

 

Separate Accounts

 

4,780 

 

5,039

 

Liabilities held for sale

 

-- 

 

14,899

 

Total liabilities

 

87,361 

 

102,040

 

Equity

 

 

 

 

 

Preferred stock and additional capital paid-in, $1 par value, 72.2 thousand and 32.3 thousand shares issued and outstanding, $1,805 and $807.5 aggregate liquidation preference

 

1,746 

 

780

 

Common stock, $.01 par value, 900 million issued, 434 million and 449 million shares outstanding

 

 

9

 

Additional capital paid-in

 

3,035 

 

3,143

 

Retained income

 

36,532 

 

35,580

 

Deferred ESOP expense

 

(31)

 

(31

)

Treasury stock, at cost (466 million and 451 million shares)

 

(19,985)

 

(19,047

)

Accumulated other comprehensive income:

 

 

 

 

 

Unrealized net capital gains and losses:

 

 

 

 

 

Unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities with OTTI

 

72 

 

50

 

Other unrealized net capital gains and losses

 

2,461 

 

1,698

 

Unrealized adjustment to DAC, DSI and insurance reserves

 

(383)

 

(102

)

Total unrealized net capital gains and losses

 

2,150 

 

1,646

 

Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustments

 

35 

 

38

 

Unrecognized pension and other postretirement benefit cost

 

(619)

 

(638

)

Total accumulated other comprehensive income

 

1,566 

 

1,046

 

Total shareholders’ equity

 

22,872 

 

21,480

 

Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

$

110,233 

$

123,520

 

 

7



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

 

($ in millions)

 

Six months ended
June 30,

 

 

 

2014

 

2013

 

Cash flows from operating activities

 

(unaudited)

 

Net income

$

1,245 

$

1,143

 

Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:

 

 

 

 

 

Depreciation, amortization and other non-cash items

 

189 

 

180

 

Realized capital gains and losses

 

(294)

 

(493

)

Loss on extinguishment of debt

 

 

480

 

Loss (gain) on disposition of operations

 

50 

 

(2

)

Interest credited to contractholder funds

 

519 

 

656

 

Changes in:

 

 

 

 

 

Policy benefits and other insurance reserves

 

103 

 

(607

)

Unearned premiums

 

287 

 

165

 

Deferred policy acquisition costs

 

(77)

 

(107

)

Premium installment receivables, net

 

(152)

 

(81

)

Reinsurance recoverables, net

 

(39)

 

327

 

Income taxes

 

(195)

 

283

 

Other operating assets and liabilities

 

(436)

 

(391

)

Net cash provided by operating activities

 

1,201 

 

1,553

 

Cash flows from investing activities

 

 

 

 

 

Proceeds from sales

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed income securities

 

14,205 

 

10,461

 

Equity securities

 

2,744 

 

1,742

 

Limited partnership interests

 

802 

 

438

 

Mortgage loans

 

10 

 

20

 

Other investments

 

81 

 

38

 

Investment collections

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed income securities

 

1,730 

 

3,658

 

Mortgage loans

 

726 

 

475

 

Other investments

 

107 

 

171

 

Investment purchases

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed income securities

 

(15,802)

 

(10,637

)

Equity securities

 

(2,668)

 

(2,010

)

Limited partnership interests

 

(653)

 

(477

)

Mortgage loans

 

(109)

 

(314

)

Other investments

 

(395)

 

(538

)

Change in short-term investments, net

 

(60)

 

(423

)

Change in other investments, net

 

49 

 

91

 

Purchases of property and equipment, net

 

(124)

 

(43

)

Disposition of operations

 

378 

 

--

 

Net cash provided by investing activities

 

1,021 

 

2,652

 

Cash flows from financing activities

 

 

 

 

 

Change in short-term debt

 

-- 

 

500

 

Proceeds from issuance of long-term debt

 

-- 

 

1,481

 

Repayment of long-term debt

 

(355)

 

(2,540

)

Proceeds from issuance of preferred stock

 

965 

 

278

 

Contractholder fund deposits

 

666 

 

1,119

 

Contractholder fund withdrawals

 

(1,922)

 

(4,273

)

Dividends paid on common stock

 

(238)

 

(119

)

Dividends paid on preferred stock

 

(25)

 

--

 

Treasury stock purchases

 

(1,257)

 

(897

)

Shares reissued under equity incentive plans, net

 

149 

 

60

 

Excess tax benefits on share-based payment arrangements

 

18 

 

29

 

Other

 

(9)

 

(15

)

Net cash used in financing activities

 

(2,008)

 

(4,377

)

Net increase (decrease) in cash

 

214 

 

(172

)

Cash at beginning of period

 

675 

 

806

 

Cash at end of period

$

889 

$

634

 

 

8



 

Definitions of Non-GAAP Measures

We believe that investors’ understanding of Allstate’s performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following non-GAAP measures. Our methods for calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

 

Operating income is net income available to common shareholders, excluding:

·         realized capital gains and losses, after-tax, except for periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, which are reported with realized capital gains and losses but included in operating income,

·         valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, after-tax,

·         amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs (DAC) and deferred sales inducements (DSI), to the extent they resulted from the recognition of certain realized capital gains and losses or valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, after-tax,

·         amortization of purchased intangible assets, after-tax,

·         gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax, and

·         adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, when (a) the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is reasonably unlikely to recur within two years, or (b) there has been no similar charge or gain within the prior two years.

 

Net income available to common shareholders is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income.

 

We use operating income as an important measure to evaluate our results of operations. We believe that the measure provides investors with a valuable measure of the company’s ongoing performance because it reveals trends in our insurance and financial services business that may be obscured by the net effect of realized capital gains and losses, valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, amortization of purchased intangible assets, gain (loss) on disposition of operations and adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items. Realized capital gains and losses, valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged and gain (loss) on disposition of operations may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and external economic developments such as capital market conditions, the timing of which is unrelated to the insurance underwriting process. Consistent with our intent to protect results or earn additional income, operating income includes periodic settlements and accruals on certain derivative instruments that are reported in realized capital gains and losses because they do not qualify for hedge accounting or are not designated as hedges for accounting purposes. These instruments are used for economic hedges and to replicate fixed income securities, and by including them in operating income, we are appropriately reflecting their trends in our performance and in a manner consistent with the economically hedged investments, product attributes (e.g. net investment income and interest credited to contractholder funds) or replicated investments. Amortization of purchased intangible assets is excluded because it relates to the acquisition purchase price and is not indicative of our underlying insurance business results or trends. Non-recurring items are excluded because, by their nature, they are not indicative of our business or economic trends. Accordingly, operating income excludes the effect of items that tend to be highly variable from period to period and highlights the results from ongoing operations and the underlying profitability of our business. A byproduct of excluding these items to determine operating income is the transparency and understanding of their significance to net income variability and profitability while recognizing these or similar items may recur in subsequent periods. Operating income is used by management along with the other components of net income available to common shareholders to assess our performance. We use adjusted measures of operating income and operating income per diluted common share in incentive compensation. Therefore, we believe it is useful for investors to evaluate net income available to common shareholders, operating income and their components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing and evaluating our performance. We note that investors, financial analysts, financial and business media organizations and rating agencies utilize operating income results in their evaluation of our and our industry’s financial performance and in their investment decisions, recommendations and communications as it represents a reliable, representative and consistent measurement of the industry and the company and management’s performance. We note that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by insurance investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income as the denominator. Operating income should not be considered a substitute for net income available to common shareholders and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.

 

The following table reconciles operating income and net income available to common shareholders.

 

($ in millions, except per share data)

 

For the three months ended June 30,

 

 

Property-Liability

 

Allstate Financial

 

Consolidated

 

Per diluted
common share

 

 

2014

 

2013

 

2014

 

2013

 

2014

 

2013

 

2014

 

2013

Operating income

364 

433 

165 

157 

445 

529 

1.01 

1.12 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

161 

 

197 

 

(6)

 

37 

 

154 

 

234 

 

0.35 

 

0.50 

Valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, after-tax

 

-- 

 

-- 

 

(3)

 

 

(3)

 

 

(0.01)

 

0.01 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses and valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, after-tax

 

-- 

 

-- 

 

-- 

 

(4)

 

-- 

 

(4)

 

-- 

 

(0.01)

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

 

 

 

(4)

 

 

(3)

 

0.01 

 

(0.01)

Amortization of purchased intangible assets, after-tax

 

(11)

 

(13)

 

-- 

 

-- 

 

(11)

 

(13)

 

(0.03)

 

(0.03)

Gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

38 

 

(1)

 

(12)

 

 

26 

 

-- 

 

0.06 

 

-- 

Loss on extinguishment of debt, after-tax

 

-- 

 

-- 

 

-- 

 

-- 

 

-- 

 

(312)

 

-- 

 

(0.66)

Net income available to common shareholders

554 

617 

145 

190 

614 

434 

1.39 

0.92 

 

9



 

($ in millions, except per share data)

 

For the six months ended June 30,

 

 

Property-Liability

 

Allstate
Financial

 

Consolidated

 

Per diluted
common share

 

 

2014

 

2013

 

2014

 

2013

 

2014

 

2013

 

2014

 

2013

Operating income

832 

989 

354 

301 

1,033 

1,176 

2.31 

2.46 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

195 

 

270 

 

(6)

 

49 

 

189 

 

319 

 

0.43 

 

0.67 

Valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, after-tax

 

-- 

 

-- 

 

(14)

 

(3)

 

(14)

 

(3)

 

(0.03)

 

(0.01)

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses and valuation changes on embedded derivatives that are not hedged, after-tax

 

-- 

 

-- 

 

-- 

 

(3)

 

-- 

 

(3)

 

-- 

 

(0.01)

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

 

 

 

(10)

 

 

(8)

 

0.01 

 

(0.02)

Amortization of purchased intangible assets, after-tax

 

(22)

 

(27)

 

-- 

 

-- 

 

(22)

 

(27)

 

(0.05)

 

(0.05)

Gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

38 

 

(1)

 

(28)

 

 

10 

 

 

0.02 

 

-- 

Loss on extinguishment of debt, after-tax

 

-- 

 

-- 

 

-- 

 

-- 

 

-- 

 

(312)

 

-- 

 

(0.65)

Net income available to common shareholders

1,047 

1,233 

307 

336 

1,201 

1,143 

2.69 

2.39 

 

Operating income return on common shareholders’ equity is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure. It is calculated by dividing the rolling 12-month operating income by the average of common shareholders’ equity at the beginning and at the end of the 12-months, after excluding the effect of unrealized net capital gains and losses. Return on common shareholders’ equity is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. We use operating income as the numerator for the same reasons we use operating income, as discussed above. We use average common shareholders’ equity excluding the effect of unrealized net capital gains and losses for the denominator as a representation of common shareholders’ equity primarily attributable to the company’s earned and realized business operations because it eliminates the effect of items that are unrealized and vary significantly between periods due to external economic developments such as capital market conditions like changes in equity prices and interest rates, the amount and timing of which are unrelated to the insurance underwriting process. We use it to supplement our evaluation of net income available to common shareholders and return on common shareholders’ equity because it excludes the effect of items that tend to be highly variable from period to period. We believe that this measure is useful to investors and that it provides a valuable tool for investors when considered along with net income return on common shareholders’ equity because it eliminates the after-tax effects of realized and unrealized net capital gains and losses that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and that are driven by economic developments, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management. In addition, it eliminates non-recurring items that are not indicative of our ongoing business or economic trends. A byproduct of excluding the items noted above to determine operating income return on common shareholders’ equity from return on common shareholders’ equity is the transparency and understanding of their significance to return on common shareholders’ equity variability and profitability while recognizing these or similar items may recur in subsequent periods. Therefore, we believe it is useful for investors to have operating income return on common shareholders’ equity and return on common shareholders’ equity when evaluating our performance. We note that investors, financial analysts, financial and business media organizations and rating agencies utilize operating income return on common shareholders’ equity results in their evaluation of our and our industry’s financial performance and in their investment decisions, recommendations and communications as it represents a reliable, representative and consistent measurement of the industry and the company and management’s utilization of capital. Operating income return on common shareholders’ equity should not be considered a substitute for return on common shareholders’ equity and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.

 

10



 

The following tables reconcile return on common shareholders’ equity and operating income return on common shareholders’ equity.

 

($ in millions)

 

For the twelve months ended
June 30,

 

 

2014

 

2013

Return on common shareholders’ equity

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

Net income available to common shareholders

$

2,321

$

2,260

 

 

 

 

 

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

Beginning common shareholders’ equity

$

19,591

$

19,475

Ending common shareholders’ equity (1)

 

21,126

 

19,591

Average common shareholders’ equity

$

20,359

$

19,533

Return on common shareholders’ equity

 

11.4%

 

11.6%

 

 

 

For the twelve months ended
June 30,

 

 

2014

 

2013

Operating income return on common shareholders’ equity

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

Operating income

$

2,527

$

2,182

 

 

 

 

 

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

Beginning common shareholders’ equity

$

19,591

$

19,475

Unrealized net capital gains and losses

 

1,651

 

2,070

Adjusted beginning common shareholders’ equity

 

17,940

 

17,405

 

 

 

 

 

Ending common shareholders’ equity

 

21,126

 

19,591

Unrealized net capital gains and losses

 

2,150

 

1,651

Adjusted ending common shareholders’ equity

 

18,976

 

17,940

Average adjusted common shareholders’ equity

$

18,458

$

17,673

 Operating income return on common shareholders’ equity

 

13.7%

 

12.3%

_____________

 

(1) Excludes equity related to preferred stock of $1,746 million and $278 million as of June 30, 2014 and 2013, respectively.

 

Underwriting income is calculated as premiums earned, less claims and claims expense (“losses”), amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges as determined using GAAP. Management uses this measure in its evaluation of the results of operations to analyze the profitability of our Property-Liability insurance operations separately from investment results. It is also an integral component of incentive compensation. It is useful for investors to evaluate the components of income separately and in the aggregate when reviewing performance. Net income available to common shareholders is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Underwriting income should not be considered a substitute for net income available to common shareholders and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business. A reconciliation of Property-Liability underwriting income to net income available to common shareholders is provided in the “Business Results” page.

 

11



 

Combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes, prior year reserve reestimates and amortization of purchased intangible assets (“underlying combined ratio”) is a non-GAAP ratio, which is computed as the difference between four GAAP operating ratios: the combined ratio, the effect of catastrophes on the combined ratio, the effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates on the combined ratio, and the effect of amortization of purchased intangible assets on the combined ratio. We believe that this ratio is useful to investors and it is used by management to reveal the trends in our Property-Liability business that may be obscured by catastrophe losses, prior year reserve reestimates and amortization of purchased intangible assets. Catastrophe losses cause our loss trends to vary significantly between periods as a result of their incidence of occurrence and magnitude, and can have a significant impact on the combined ratio. Prior year reserve reestimates are caused by unexpected loss development on historical reserves. Amortization of purchased intangible assets relates to the acquisition purchase price and is not indicative of our underlying insurance business results or trends. We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our underwriting performance. We also provide it to facilitate a comparison to our outlook on the underlying combined ratio. The most directly comparable GAAP measure is the combined ratio. The underlying combined ratio should not be considered a substitute for the combined ratio and does not reflect the overall underwriting profitability of our business.

 

The following table reconciles the Property-Liability underlying combined ratio to the Property-Liability combined ratio.

 

 

 

Three months ended
June 30,

 

Six months ended
June 30,

 

 

2014

 

2013

 

2014

 

2013

Combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes, prior year reserve reestimates and amortization of purchased intangible assets (“underlying combined ratio”)

 

84.7 

 

86.9 

 

86.6 

 

87.3 

Effect of catastrophe losses

 

13.0 

 

9.4 

 

9.7 

 

7.4 

Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates

 

(0.6)

 

(0.5)

 

(0.4)

 

(0.3)

Effect of amortization of purchased intangible assets

 

0.3 

 

0.3 

 

0.2 

 

0.3 

Combined ratio

 

97.4 

 

96.1 

 

96.1 

 

94.7 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of prior year catastrophe reserve reestimates

 

0.5 

 

(0.3)

 

0.3 

 

(0.4)

 

Underwriting margin is calculated as 100% minus the combined ratio.

 

In this news release, we provide our outlook range on the Property-Liability 2014 underlying combined ratio. A reconciliation of this measure to the combined ratio is not possible on a forward-looking basis because it is not possible to provide a reliable forecast of catastrophes. Future prior year reserve reestimates are expected to be zero because reserves are determined based on our best estimate of ultimate loss reserves as of the reporting date.

 

The following table reconciles the Allstate brand underlying combined ratio to the Allstate brand combined ratio.

 

 

 

Three months ended
June 30,

 

Six months ended
June 30,

 

 

2014

 

2013

 

2014

 

2013

Underlying combined ratio

 

83.0 

 

85.4 

 

84.7 

 

85.8 

Effect of catastrophe losses

 

13.1 

 

9.8 

 

9.8 

 

7.7 

Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates

 

(0.7)

 

(0.7)

 

(0.5)

 

(0.5)

Combined ratio

 

95.4 

 

94.5 

 

94.0 

 

93.0 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of prior year catastrophe reserve reestimates

 

0.6 

 

(0.2)

 

0.4 

 

(0.2)

 

The following table reconciles the Allstate brand auto underlying combined ratio to the Allstate brand auto combined ratio.

 

 

 

Three months ended
June 30,

 

Six months ended
June 30,

 

 

2014

 

2013

 

2014

 

2013

Underlying combined ratio

 

91.8 

 

94.1 

 

92.8 

 

93.6 

Effect of catastrophe losses

 

4.1 

 

1.9 

 

2.3 

 

1.5 

Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates

 

(0.5)

 

(1.3)

 

(0.7)

 

(0.8)

Combined ratio

 

95.4 

 

94.7 

 

94.4 

 

94.3 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of prior year catastrophe reserve reestimates

 

(0.1)

 

(0.5)

 

--  

 

(0.9)

 

12



 

The following table reconciles the Allstate brand homeowners underlying combined ratio to the Allstate brand homeowners combined ratio.

 

 

 

Three months ended
June 30,

 

Six months ended
June 30,

 

 

2014

 

2013

 

2014

 

2013

Underlying combined ratio

 

60.2 

 

62.7 

 

63.0 

 

64.2 

Effect of catastrophe losses

 

38.7 

 

32.5 

 

30.0 

 

25.6 

Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates

 

(0.3)

 

-- 

 

(0.1)

 

0.4 

Combined ratio

 

98.6 

 

95.2 

 

92.9 

 

90.2 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of prior year catastrophe reserve reestimates

 

2.4 

 

1.0 

 

1.5 

 

1.4 

 

The following table reconciles the Encompass brand underlying combined ratio to the Encompass brand combined ratio.

 

 

 

Three months ended
June 30,

 

Six months ended
June 30,

 

 

2014

 

2013

 

2014

 

2013

Underlying combined ratio

 

94.8 

 

92.7 

 

93.3 

 

95.2 

Effect of catastrophe losses

 

23.7 

 

10.1 

 

17.5 

 

7.4 

Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates

 

0.7 

 

(0.4)

 

0.1 

 

(0.3)

Combined ratio

 

119.2 

 

102.4 

 

110.9 

 

102.3 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of prior year catastrophe reserve reestimates

 

0.3 

 

(1.0)

 

-- 

 

(0.8)

 

The following table reconciles the Esurance brand underlying combined ratio to the Esurance brand combined ratio.

 

 

 

Three months ended
June 30,

 

Six months ended
June 30,

 

 

2014

 

2013

 

2014

 

2013

Underlying combined ratio

 

107.7 

 

112.9 

 

115.7 

 

111.6 

Effect of catastrophe losses

 

2.7 

 

1.6 

 

1.6 

 

1.4 

Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates

 

(1.4)

 

-- 

 

(1.1)

 

-- 

Effect of amortization of purchased intangible assets

 

3.3 

 

5.2 

 

3.3 

 

5.3 

Combined ratio

 

112.3 

 

119.7 

 

119.5 

 

118.3 

 

Book value per common share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure. It is calculated by dividing common shareholders’ equity after excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities and related DAC, DSI and life insurance reserves by total common shares outstanding plus dilutive potential common shares outstanding. We use the trend in book value per common share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, in conjunction with book value per common share to identify and analyze the change in net worth attributable to management efforts between periods. We believe the non-GAAP ratio is useful to investors because it eliminates the effect of items that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and are generally driven by economic developments, primarily capital market conditions, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management, and we believe it enhances understanding and comparability of performance by highlighting underlying business activity and profitability drivers. We note that book value per common share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, is a measure commonly used by insurance investors as a valuation technique. Book value per common share is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Book value per common share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, should not be considered a substitute for book value per common share, and does not reflect the recorded net worth of our business. The following table shows the reconciliation.

 

($ in millions, except per share data)

 

As of June 30,

 

 

2014

 

2013

Book value per common share

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

Common shareholders’ equity

$

21,126

$

19,591

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

Common shares outstanding and dilutive potential common shares outstanding

 

440.4

 

470.6

Book value per common share

$

47.97

$

41.63

 

 

 

 

 

Book value per common share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

Common shareholders’ equity

$

21,126

$

19,591

Unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities

 

1,690

 

1,489

Adjusted common shareholders’ equity

$

19,436

$

18,102

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

Common shares outstanding and dilutive potential common shares outstanding

 

440.4

 

470.6

Book value per common share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities

$

44.13

$

38.47

 

13



 

Forward-Looking Statements and Risk Factors

This news release contains forward-looking statements about our outlook for the Property-Liability combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes, prior year reserve reestimates and amortization of purchased intangible assets for 2014. These statements are subject to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are based on management’s estimates, assumptions and projections. Actual results may differ materially from those projected based on the risk factors described below.

·                   Premiums written and premiums earned, the denominator of the underlying combined ratio, may be materially less than projected. Policyholder attrition may be greater than anticipated resulting in a lower amount of insurance in force.

·                   Unanticipated increases in the severity or frequency of auto insurance claims may adversely affect our underwriting results. Changes in the severity or frequency of claims may affect the profitability of our Allstate Protection segment. Changes in bodily injury claim severity are driven primarily by inflation in the medical sector of the economy and litigation. Changes in auto physical damage claim severity are driven primarily by inflation in auto repair costs, auto parts prices and used car prices. The short-term level of claim frequency we experience may vary from period to period and may not be sustainable over the longer term. A decline in gas prices, increase in miles driven, and higher unemployment are examples of factors leading to a short-term frequency change. A significant long-term increase in claim frequency could have an adverse effect on our underwriting results.

We undertake no obligation to publicly correct or update any forward-looking statements. This news release contains unaudited financial information.

 

# # # # #

 

14