EX-99 2 a06-21089_2ex99.htm EX-99

Exhibit 99

For Immediate Release

 

Allstate Reports 2006 Third Quarter Results
Net Income EPS Increased to $1.83
Operating Income EPS Increased to $1.88

NORTHBROOK, Ill., Oct. 18, 2006 – The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) today reported for the third quarter of 2006:

Consolidated Highlights(1)

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

(in millions, except per share amounts and ratios)

 

Est.
2006

 

2005

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consolidated revenues

 

$

8,738

 

$

8,942

 

$

(204

)

Net income (loss)

 

1,158

 

(1,548

)

2,706

 

Net income (loss) per diluted share

 

1.83

 

(2.36

)

4.19

 

Operating income (loss)(1)

 

1,191

 

(1,650

)

2,841

 

Operating income (loss) per diluted share(1)

 

1.88

 

(2.52

)

4.40

 

Property-Liability combined ratio

 

84.1

 

149.6

 

 

Catastrophe losses

 

169

 

4,707

 

(4,538

)

Book value per share

 

35.08

 

29.66

 

5.42

 

Return on equity

 

23.2

 

9.2

 

14.0 pts

 

Operating income return on equity(1)

 

25.4

 

9.0

 

16.4 pts

 

 

·      Property-Liability premiums written(1) declined 0.5% from the third quarter of 2005, reflecting the cost of the Allstate Protection catastrophe reinsurance program. Excluding the cost of the reinsurance program, premiums written grew 1.6% in the third quarter compared to the third quarter of last year, driven by an Allstate brand standard auto increase of 2.2%.  Policies in force (“PIF”) increased 0.8% for Allstate Protection, driven by an Allstate brand standard auto increase of 2.6% from September 30, 2005 levels.

·      Property-Liability underwriting income(1) was $1.08 billion compared to a $3.36 billion loss in the third quarter of 2005, driven by lower catastrophe losses.

·      After-tax catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance, totaled $110 million in the third quarter of 2006 compared to $3.06 billion in the third quarter of 2005.  The effect of catastrophe losses on net income (loss) per diluted share was $0.17 in the third quarter of 2006 compared to $4.67 in the third quarter of 2005.

·      Allstate Financial operating income for the quarter was $148 million, compared to $156 million in the third quarter of 2005 reflecting higher restructuring charges and reduced tax benefits than reported in the prior year period.  Premiums and deposits(1), excluding variable annuities, were $2.53 billion, an increase of 31.5% over the third quarter of 2005, due primarily to increased fixed annuity deposits.

·      Book value per share increased 18.3% compared to September 30, 2005, and 13.1% compared to December 31, 2005.  Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities(1) was $33.46 at September 30, 2006, reflecting an increase of 21.9% compared to September 30, 2005 and 15.1% when compared to December 31, 2005.

·      As announced separately today, the Board of Directors approved a new $3 billion share repurchase program.  This program is expected to commence upon the completion of our current $4 billion program during the fourth quarter of 2006 and will be completed by March 31, 2008.    By the end of 2006 we will have completed seven share repurchase programs totaling $12.8 billion for an estimated 325 million shares.

 


(1) Measures used in this release that are not based on accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (“non-GAAP”) are defined and reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP measure, and operating measures are defined in the “Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures” section of this document.

1




 

·      Allstate is increasing annual operating income per diluted share guidance for 2006 (assuming average expected catastrophe losses for the remainder of the year and no additional prior year reserve reestimates) to a range of $7.35 to $7.50, compared to the previously announced range of $6.70 to $7.00.

“It was another very solid quarter for Allstate as overall profitability was excellent for the corporation. Our auto insurance business continues to perform exceptionally well,” said Edward M. Liddy, chairman and CEO for The Allstate Corporation. “We run our business with the intention of delivering profitable growth over a sustainable period of time. We believe we have the right strategy in place to do that and this quarter is another strong indication that the strategy is working.

“While consolidated revenues were down 2.3 percent, Property-Liability premiums earned increased despite the costs associated with our broad and substantial reinsurance program and our efforts to reduce our exposure to catastrophic losses,” continued Liddy.

For Allstate Protection, premiums written declined slightly, 0.5 percent compared to the third quarter of 2005; however policies in force grew almost one percent over the prior year. This growth of policies in force in the quarter was driven by a strong performance for Allstate brand standard auto, which was up 2.6 percent compared to the third quarter of 2005. “We continued to deliver great value to consumers by utilizing sophisticated pricing to absorb inflationary cost increases while delivering our new Allstate® Your Choice Auto products,” commented Thomas J. Wilson, president and chief operating officer.

“Underwriting income for Allstate Protection was once again outstanding at $1.2 billion in the quarter. Automobile accident frequency continues to be favorable and claim severities were in line with our expectations and general inflationary trends. For the Allstate brand homeowners line, profitability remained solid. So far the 2006 hurricane season has been relatively mild especially compared to the unprecedented storms the country endured in 2004 and 2005.”

Allstate Financial generated operating income of $148 million compared to $156 million in the third quarter of 2005. This reflects higher restructuring charges and reduced tax benefits than reported in the prior period. When adjusted for these events, operating income was up slightly in the quarter compared to the third quarter of 2005. Premiums and deposits, excluding variable annuities, were $2.53 billion, up 31.5 percent over the third quarter of 2005 due primarily to increases in sales of fixed deferred annuities. Notably, sales of new financial services products by the Allstate agency channel(1) were up 5.9 percent compared to the third quarter of 2005. The continuation of this trend is a positive reflection of the Allstate agency force’s ability to expand beyond its traditional suite of property and casualty products.

“We are increasing annual operating income per diluted share guidance for 2006 (assuming no additional prior year reserve reestimates and average expected catastrophe losses for the remainder of the year) to a range of $7.35 to $7.50, compared to the previously announced range of $6.70 to $7.00,” said Liddy.

“Finally, in the third quarter, we announced a leadership succession plan that will be effective January 1, 2007, which will result in Tom Wilson taking over as CEO and me remaining as chairman until my retirement in spring 2008. Tom is the right person for the job at the right time. And at the end of the year, I will hand over the job of CEO feeling extremely proud of our leadership team at Allstate and knowing that it has been a privilege to lead the great people at this tremendous company. As these results indicate, the company is performing very well, our management team is strong and extremely talented, and the prospects for continued success remain bright.”

2




 

Consolidated Highlights

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30

 

 

 

($ in millions, except per share
and return amounts)

 

Est.
2006

 

2005

 

Est. 
2006

 

2005

 

Discussion of Results for the
Three Months Ended September 30, 2006

 

Consolidated revenues

 

$

8,738

 

$

8,942

 

$

26,694

 

$

26,438

 

·  Net realized capital losses, partially offset by higher net investment income and growth of Property-Liability premiums earned.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income (loss)

 

1,191

 

(1,650

)

3,767

 

607

 

·  Higher Property-Liability underwriting income which reflects $3.06 billion in catastrophe losses after-tax in 2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(39

)

121

 

61

 

288

 

·  See the Components of Realized Capital Gains and Losses (pretax) table.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

16

 

(2

)

40

 

(106

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax

 

 

 

 

(22

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

(9

)

(10

)

(28

)

(32

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

(1

)

(7

)

(60

)

(11

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income (loss)

 

1,158

 

(1,548

)

3,780

 

724

 

·  2005 results included $3.06 billion in catastrophe losses after-tax

 

Income (loss) per diluted share:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net

 

1.83

 

(2.36

)

5.91

 

1.08

 

 

 

Operating

 

1.88

 

(2.52

)

5.89

 

0.90

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net shares outstanding

 

627.4

 

650.4

 

627.4

 

650.4

 

·  During the third quarter of 2006, Allstate purchased 5.4 million shares of its stock for $308 million, leaving $295 million remaining in the current $4 billion authorization. This program began in January 2005 and is expected to be completed in 2006.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average shares outstanding (diluted)

 

633.9

 

654.8

 

639.9

 

671.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Return on equity:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

·  See the return on equity calculation

 

Net income

 

 

 

 

 

23.2

 

9.2

 

in the Definitions of Non-GAAP

 

Operating income

 

 

 

 

 

25.4

 

9.0

 

and Operating Measures section

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

of this document.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Book value per share

 

 

 

 

 

35.08

 

29.66

 

·  At September 30, 2006 and 2005, net unrealized gains on fixed income securities totaling $1.02 billion and $1.45 billion, respectively, represented $1.62 and $2.21, respectively, of book value per share.

 

 

·                  Book value per share increased 18.3% compared to September 30, 2005, 8.2% when compared to June 30, 2006 and 13.1% when compared to December 31, 2005.  Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities was $33.46 at September 30, 2006, reflecting increases of 21.9% compared to September 30, 2005, 4.6% when compared to June 30, 2006 and 15.1% when compared to December 31, 2005.  Book value per share is expected to be negatively impacted by the adoption of SFAS No. 158 in the fourth quarter of 2006 (For additional information, see “Estimated Impact of Adopting SFAS No. 158” section on page 22).

3




Property-Liability Highlights

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

 

 

($ in millions, except ratios)

 

Est.
2006

 

2005

 

Est.
2006

 

2005

 

Discussion of Results for the
Three Months Ended September 30, 2006

 

Property-Liability net premiums written

 

$

7,123

 

$

7,158

 

$

20,922

 

$

20,733

 

·                  See the Property-Liability Premiums Written by Market Segment table

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability revenues

 

7,222

 

7,398

 

22,152

 

21,919

 

·                  Net realized capital losses partially offset by increased premiums earned.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Underwriting income (loss)

 

1,078

 

(3,363

)

3,519

 

(1,388

)

·                  Significantly lower catastrophe losses, higher premiums earned, continued favorable auto and homeowners loss frequencies excluding catastrophes, and net favorable prior year reserve reestimates, partially offset by the cost of the catastrophe reinsurance program, a $79 million pension settlement charge and a $54 million incentive benefit accrual release in the prior year.  See the Allstate Protection Market Segment Analysis table.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net investment income

 

455

 

454

 

1,382

 

1,333

 

·                  Higher net interest and dividends.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income (loss)

 

1,067

 

(1,785

)

3,378

 

236

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(22

)

99

 

153

 

248

 

·                  See the Components of Realized Capital Gains and Losses (pretax) table.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

 

 

(1

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income (loss)

 

1,045

 

(1,686

)

3,530

 

484

 

·                  Higher operating income.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Catastrophe losses

 

169

 

4,707

 

531

 

5,017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ratios:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection combined ratio

 

82.4

 

147.6

 

82.2

 

106.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio

 

1.7

 

2.0

 

0.7

 

0.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability combined ratio

 

84.1

 

149.6

 

82.9

 

106.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio

 

2.5

 

69.4

 

2.6

 

24.8

 

 

 

Property-Liability combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes(1)

 

81.6

 

80.2

 

80.3

 

82.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio

 

0.7

 

0.1

 

0.7

 

0.2

 

 

 

 

·                  The impact of the cost of the catastrophe reinsurance program on premiums written and premiums earned totaled $214 million in the third quarter of 2006 compared to $119 million in the second quarter of 2006 and $60 million in the third quarter of last year.  Excluding this cost, premiums written grew 1.6% and 2.2% in the third quarter and second quarter of 2006, respectively, when compared to the prior year quarters.   

·                  We continue to aggressively seek recovery of our reinsurance cost.  Through the end of the third quarter, we have submitted more than 350 rate filings in 29 states related to the cost of our reinsurance programs. Including rates approved in Florida and other states related to our reinsurance programs, rates currently effective reflect approximately 35% of the total cost of our reinsurance programs, and will be included in premiums written during 2007.  We expect rates will be in effect which will reflect over 50% of the total cost of these reinsurance programs by the end of 2007, and be included in premiums written during 2008.

·                  Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners PIF increased 2.6% and 0.6%, respectively, from September 30, 2005 levels, compared to increases of 2.9% and 1.5%, respectively, in the second quarter of 2006 over the second quarter of 2005.

·                  New issued applications for Allstate brand standard auto decreased 1.4% compared to the third quarter of 2005 due to competitive pressures in certain markets and the impact of catastrophe management actions on cross-sell

4




opportunities.  New issued applications for Allstate brand homeowners decreased 19.8% compared to the third quarter of 2005 due to our catastrophe risk management actions.  For detailed information on our catastrophe risk management actions, see the Allstate Protection Catastrophe Management Strategy section of this document. 

·                  Standard auto six month average premium of $419 grew 0.5%, while homeowners 12 month average premium of $833 grew 4.5% from the third quarter of 2005.  Average premium is calculated using premiums written before reinsurance.

·                  The renewal ratios for Allstate brand standard auto and homeowners were 90.1 and 87.4, respectively, compared to 90.5 and 88.5 in the prior year third quarter.  The decline in the standard auto renewal ratio is due to competitive pressures in certain states and the decline in the homeowner renewal ratio is primarily due to our catastrophe risk management actions.  The standard auto renewal ratio in the second quarter of 2006 was 90.2.

·                  Property-Liability prior year favorable reserve reestimates for the quarter totaled $221 million, compared to $150 million in the prior year third quarter, resulting primarily from claim severity and late reported loss development that was better than anticipated in previous estimates in Allstate Protection.  Favorable Allstate Protection reserve reestimates were partially offset by a $115 million unfavorable reestimate for Discontinued Lines and Coverages.  For further information see the Effect of Pretax Prior Year Reserve Reestimates on the Combined Ratio table and the Discontinued Lines and Coverages Reserves section. 

·                  The Property-Liability combined ratio of 84.1 in the third quarter of 2006 was impacted by 3.1 points for reinsurance premiums ceded on earned premiums, 2.5 points for catastrophes and (3.2) points for favorable prior year reserve reestimates, for a net unfavorable impact of 2.4 points.  The combined ratio of 149.6 in the third quarter of 2005 was impacted by 0.9 points for reinsurance premiums ceded on earned premiums, 69.4 points for catastrophes and (2.2) points for favorable prior year reserve reestimates, for a net unfavorable impact of 68.1 points.

5




Allstate Financial Highlights

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

Est.
2006

 

2005

 

Est.
2006

 

2005

 

Discussion of Results for the
Three Months Ended September 30, 2006

 

Premiums and deposits

 

$

2,531

 

$

2,377

 

$

9,435

 

$

10,388

 

·       See the Allstate Financial Premiums and Deposits table.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Financial revenues

 

1,477

 

1,506

 

4,431

 

4,415

 

·       Lower premiums and contract charges from the reinsurance of substantially all of our variable annuity business and net realized capital losses partially offset by higher investment income.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income

 

148

 

156

 

452

 

442

 

·       Reduced tax benefits compared to prior period and higher restructuring charges, partially offset by higher investment margin and lower non-deferred expenses.

.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(19

)

17

 

(89

)

33

 

·       See the Components of Realized Capital Gains and Losses (pretax) table.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

16

 

(2

)

40

 

(106

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax

 

 

 

 

(22

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

(9

)

(10

)

(28

)

(32

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

(1

)

(7

)

(59

)

(11

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

135

 

154

 

316

 

304

 

 

 

 

·                  Deferred fixed annuity deposits in the third quarter of 2006 were $1.77 billion (including indexed annuities), an increase of 66.9% from the prior year quarter and 8.8% below the second quarter of 2006.  The magnitude of this increase reflects relatively low fixed annuity deposits in the third quarter of 2005.  Additionally, deposits on our innovative Allstate® Treasury-Linked Annuity were $283 million, an increase of $226 million over the prior year quarter.  The crediting rate on this patented product is indexed to the 5-year treasury rate, which increases the crediting rate to the customer in a rising interest rate environment.

·                  Dividends of $300 million in the third quarter and $125 million in the second quarter were paid by Allstate Life Insurance Company (“ALIC”) to its parent, Allstate Insurance Company (“AIC”), primarily as a result of the variable annuity disposition completed in the second quarter.  Subject to regulatory approval, ALIC expects to pay additional dividends of approximately $150 million during the fourth quarter of 2006. In addition to the variable annuity transaction, these capital management actions reflect other proactive efforts to improve returns.

·                  Investments as of September 30, 2006 increased 1.6% from September 30, 2005 levels primarily due to growth in new business partially offset by lower unrealized capital gains, the transfer of assets to Prudential Financial, Inc. upon the closing of the variable annuity disposition and dividends paid.

·                  Allstate Financial prioritizes the allocation of fixed income investments to support sales of those retail products with the best sustainable growth and contribution margins, and to maintain our retail market presence. Partially as a result of this effort there were no sales of institutional products during the quarter.  Our institutional business remains opportunistic.

6




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

 

Three Months Ended

  

 

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

($ in millions, except per share data)

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-liability insurance premiums

 

$

6,801

 

$

6,781

 

0.3

 

$

20,537

 

$

20,201

 

1.7

 

Life and annuity premiums and contract charges

 

444

 

505

 

(12.1

)

1,454

 

1,525

 

(4.7

)

Net investment income

 

1,554

 

1,457

 

6.7

 

4,613

 

4,264

 

8.2

 

Realized capital gains and losses

 

(61

)

199

 

(130.7

)

90

 

448

 

(79.9

)

Total revenues

 

8,738

 

8,942

 

(2.3

)

26,694

 

26,438

 

1.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Costs and expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-liability insurance claims and claims expense

 

4,012

 

8,529

 

(53.0

)

11,879

 

16,706

 

(28.9

)

Life and annuity contract benefits

 

388

 

395

 

(1.8

)

1,135

 

1,209

 

(6.1

)

Interest credited to contractholder funds

 

667

 

608

 

9.7

 

1,939

 

1,784

 

8.7

 

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

1,160

 

1,160

 

 

3,522

 

3,557

 

(1.0

)

Operating costs and expenses

 

726

 

713

 

1.8

 

2,252

 

2,266

 

(0.6

)

Restructuring and related charges

 

52

 

10

 

 

171

 

36

 

 

Interest expense

 

90

 

85

 

5.9

 

261

 

251

 

4.0

 

Total costs and expenses

 

7,095

 

11,500

 

(38.3

)

21,159

 

25,809

 

(18.0

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss on disposition of operations

 

(1

)

(4

)

75.0

 

(89

)

(12

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income (loss) from operations before income tax expense (benefit)

 

1,642

 

(2,562

)

 

5,446

 

617

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income tax expense (benefit)

 

484

 

(1,014

)

 

1,666

 

(107

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income (loss)

 

$

1,158

 

$

(1,548

)

 

$

3,780

 

$

724

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income (loss) per share - Basic

 

$

1.84

 

$

(2.36

)

 

 

$

5.95

 

$

1.09

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average shares - Basic

 

629.0

 

654.8

 

 

 

635.4

 

666.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income (loss) per share - Diluted (1)

 

$

1.83

 

$

(2.36

)

 

 

$

5.91

 

$

1.08

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average shares - Diluted (1)

 

633.9

 

654.8

 

 

 

639.9

 

671.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash dividends declared per share

 

$

0.35

 

$

0.32

 

 

 

$

1.05

 

$

0.96

 

 

 


(1)             For the period ended September 30, 2005, as prescribed by generally accepted accounting principles, the quarter earnings per share amounts were computed discretely and the antidilutive effects of potential common shares outstanding totaling 5.6 million were excluded from weighted average shares - diluted due to the third quarter 2005 net loss. Accordingly, the sum of the per share amounts for the three quarters of 2005 does not equal the year to date per share amount.

7




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

CONTRIBUTION TO INCOME

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

($ in millions, except per share data)

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Contribution to income

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income (loss) before the impact of restructuring and related charges

 

$

1,225

 

$

(1,644

)

 

$

3,878

 

$

630

 

 

Restructuring and related charges, after-tax

 

34

 

6

 

 

111

 

23

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income (loss)

 

1,191

 

(1,650

)

 

3,767

 

607

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(39

)

121

 

(132.2

)

61

 

288

 

(78.8

)

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

16

 

(2

)

 

40

 

(106

)

137.7

 

Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax

 

 

 

 

 

(22

)

100.0

 

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

(9

)

(10

)

10.0

 

(28

)

(32

)

12.5

 

Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

(1

)

(7

)

85.7

 

(60

)

(11

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income (loss)

 

$

1,158

 

$

(1,548

)

 

$

3,780

 

$

724

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income (loss) per share - Diluted (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income (loss) before the impact of restructuring and related charges

 

$

1.93

 

$

(2.51

)

 

$

6.06

 

$

0.94

 

 

Restructuring and related charges, after-tax

 

0.05

 

0.01

 

 

0.17

 

0.04

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income (loss)

 

1.88

 

(2.52

)

 

5.89

 

0.90

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(0.06

)

0.18

 

(133.3

)

0.09

 

0.43

 

(79.1

)

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

0.02

 

 

 

0.06

 

(0.16

)

137.5

 

Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax

 

 

 

 

 

(0.03

)

100.0

 

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

(0.01

)

(0.01

)

 

(0.04

)

(0.05

)

20.0

 

Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

 

(0.01

)

100.0

 

(0.09

)

(0.01

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income (loss)

 

$

1.83

 

$

(2.36

)

 

$

5.91

 

$

1.08

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Book value per share - Diluted

 

$

35.08

 

$

29.66

 

18.3

 

$

35.08

 

$

29.66

 

18.3

 


(1)             For the period ended September 30, 2005, as prescribed by generally accepted accounting principles, the quarter earnings per share amounts were computed discretely and the antidilutive effects of potential common shares outstanding totaling 5.6 million were excluded from weighted average shares - diluted due to the third quarter 2005 net loss.  Accordingly, the sum of the per share amounts for the three quarters of 2005 does not equal the year to date per share amount.

 

8




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
COMPONENTS OF REALIZED CAPITAL GAINS AND LOSSES (PRETAX)

 

Three Months Ended September 30, 2006 (Est.)

 

 

 

Property-

 

Allstate

 

Corporate

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

Liability

 

Financial

 

and Other

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Valuation of derivative instruments

 

$

19

 

$

(47

)

$

 

$

(28

)

Settlements of derivative instruments

 

(106

)

(8

)

 

(114

)

Dispositions (1)

 

61

 

33

 

3

 

97

 

Investment write-downs

 

(8

)

(8

)

 

(16

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

(34

)

$

(30

)

$

3

 

$

(61

)

 

 

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006 (Est.)

 

 

 

Property-

 

Allstate

 

Corporate

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

Liability

 

Financial

 

and Other

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Valuation of derivative instruments

 

$

22

 

$

(33

)

$

 

$

(11

)

Settlements of derivative instruments

 

(76

)

30

 

 

(46

)

Dispositions (1)

 

309

 

(118

)

(5

)

186

 

Investment write-downs

 

(22

)

(17

)

 

(39

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

233

 

$

(138

)

$

(5

)

$

90

 

 

 

Three Months Ended September 30, 2005

 

 

 

Property-

 

Allstate

 

Corporate

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

Liability

 

Financial

 

and Other

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Valuation of derivative instruments

 

$

23

 

$

(32

)

$

 

$

(9

)

Settlements of derivative instruments

 

21

 

45

 

 

66

 

Dispositions

 

125

 

24

 

9

 

158

 

Investment write-downs

 

(6

)

(10

)

 

(16

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

163

 

$

27

 

$

9

 

$

199

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2005

 

 

 

Property-

 

Allstate

 

Corporate

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

Liability

 

Financial

 

and Other

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Valuation of derivative instruments

 

$

(4

)

$

(101

)

$

 

$

(105

)

Settlements of derivative instruments

 

24

 

54

 

 

78

 

Dispositions

 

385

 

122

 

11

 

518

 

Investment write-downs

 

(20

)

(23

)

 

(43

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

385

 

$

52

 

$

11

 

$

448

 


(1)             In the third quarter of 2006, the Company recognized $3 million of losses related to a change in our intent to hold certain securities with unrealized losses until they recover in value. The change in our intent is primarily related to comprehensive reviews of our portfolios for both Allstate Protection and Allstate Financial. The Company identified $2.17 billion of securities that we expect to sell to achieve these objectives.

9




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
SEGMENT RESULTS

 

Three Months Ended

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

September 30,

 

September 30,

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

2006

 

2005

 

2006

 

2005

 

Property-Liability

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums written

 

$

7,123

 

$

7,158

 

$

20,922

 

$

20,733

 

Premiums earned

 

$

6,801

 

$

6,781

 

$

20,537

 

$

20,201

 

Claims and claims expense (1) (2)

 

4,012

 

8,529

 

11,879

 

16,706

 

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

1,039

 

1,029

 

3,088

 

3,061

 

Operating costs and expenses (1)

 

625

 

577

 

1,905

 

1,787

 

Restructuring and related charges (1)

 

47

 

9

 

146

 

35

 

Underwriting income (loss)

 

1,078

 

(3,363

)

3,519

 

(1,388

)

Net investment income

 

455

 

454

 

1,382

 

1,333

 

Income tax expense (benefit) on operations

 

466

 

(1,124

)

1,523

 

(291

)

Operating income (loss)

 

1,067

 

(1,785

)

3,378

 

236

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(22

)

99

 

153

 

248

 

Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

 

 

(1

)

 

Net income (loss)

 

$

1,045

 

$

(1,686

)

$

3,530

 

$

484

 

Catastrophe losses

 

$

169

 

$

4,707

 

$

531

 

$

5,017

 

Operating ratios

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Claims and claims expense ratio (2)

 

59.0

 

125.8

 

57.9

 

82.7

 

Expense ratio (1)

 

25.1

 

23.8

 

25.0

 

24.2

 

Combined ratio (1)

 

84.1

 

149.6

 

82.9

 

106.9

 

Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio

 

2.5

 

69.4

 

2.6

 

24.8

 

Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio

 

0.7

 

0.1

 

0.7

 

0.2

 

Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio

 

1.7

 

2.0

 

0.7

 

0.9

 

Allstate Financial

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums and deposits

 

$

2,531

 

$

2,377

 

$

9,435

 

$

10,388

 

Investments

 

$

77,125

 

$

75,881

 

$

77,125

 

$

75,881

 

Premiums and contract charges

 

$

444

 

$

505

 

$

1,454

 

$

1,525

 

Net investment income

 

1,063

 

974

 

3,115

 

2,838

 

Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments

 

14

 

14

 

44

 

49

 

Contract benefits

 

388

 

395

 

1,135

 

1,209

 

Interest credited to contractholder funds

 

671

 

608

 

1,945

 

1,752

 

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

142

 

128

 

491

 

365

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

102

 

142

 

349

 

454

 

Restructuring and related charges

 

5

 

1

 

24

 

1

 

Income tax expense on operations

 

65

 

63

 

217

 

189

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income

 

148

 

156

 

452

 

442

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(19

)

17

 

(89

)

33

 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains
 and losses, after-tax

 

16

 

(2

)

40

 

(106

)

Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax

 

 

 

 

(22

)

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

(9

)

(10

)

(28

)

(32

)

Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

(1

)

(7

)

(59

)

(11

)

Net income

 

$

135

 

$

154

 

$

316

 

$

304

 

Corporate and Other

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net investment income

 

$

36

 

$

29

 

$

116

 

$

93

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

89

 

79

 

259

 

248

 

Restructuring and related charges

 

 

 

1

 

 

Income tax benefit on operations

 

(29

)

(29

)

(81

)

(84

)

Operating loss

 

(24

)

(21

)

(63

)

(71

)

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

2

 

5

 

(3

)

7

 

Net loss

 

$

(22

)

$

(16

)

$

(66

)

$

(64

)

Consolidated net income (loss)

 

$

1,158

 

$

(1,548

)

$

3,780

 

$

724

 


(1)             During the third quarter of 2006, higher lump sum payments to participants of the Company’s pension plans resulted in a non-cash settlement charge totaling $79 million.  Allstate Protection also had a favorable $35 million incentive benefit accrual release in the third quarter of 2005 due to lower than anticipated financial results.

(2)             For the nine months ended September 30, 2005, claims and claims expense and claims and claims expense ratio include the effect of $120 million or 0.6 points related to an accrual for a pending settlement of a worker classification lawsuit challenging the overtime exemption claimed by the Company under California wage and hour laws.

10




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
UNDERWRITING RESULTS BY AREA OF BUSINESS

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

($ in millions)

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability Underwriting Summary

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

$

1,196

 

$

(3,227

)

137.1

 

$

3,652

 

$

(1,218

)

 

Discontinued Lines and Coverages

 

(118

)

(136

)

13.2

 

(133

)

(170

)

21.8

 

Underwriting income (loss)

 

$

1,078

 

$

(3,363

)

132.1

 

$

3,519

 

$

(1,388

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection Underwriting Summary

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums written

 

$

7,123

 

$

7,158

 

(0.5

)

$

20,921

 

$

20,732

 

0.9

 

Premiums earned

 

$

6,801

 

$

6,780

 

0.3

 

$

20,535

 

$

20,201

 

1.7

 

Claims and claims expense

 

3,897

 

8,394

 

(53.6

)

11,752

 

16,543

 

(29.0

)

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

1,039

 

1,029

 

1.0

 

3,088

 

3,061

 

0.9

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

622

 

575

 

8.2

 

1,897

 

1,780

 

6.6

 

Restructuring and related charges

 

47

 

9

 

 

146

 

35

 

 

Underwriting income (loss)

 

$

1,196

 

$

(3,227

)

137.1

 

$

3,652

 

$

(1,218

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Catastrophe losses

 

$

169

 

$

4,707

 

(96.4

)

$

531

 

$

5,017

 

(89.4

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating ratios

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Claims and claims expense ratio

 

57.3

 

123.8

 

 

 

57.2

 

81.9

 

 

 

Expense ratio (1)

 

25.1

 

23.8

 

 

 

25.0

 

24.1

 

 

 

Combined ratio (1)

 

82.4

 

147.6

 

 

 

82.2

 

106.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio

 

2.5

 

69.4

 

 

 

2.6

 

24.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio

 

0.7

 

0.1

 

 

 

0.7

 

0.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discontinued Lines and Coverages Underwriting Summary

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums written

 

$

 

$

 

 

$

1

 

$

1

 

 

Premiums earned

 

$

 

$

1

 

(100.0

)

$

2

 

$

 

 

Claims and claims expense

 

115

 

135

 

(14.8

)

127

 

163

 

(22.1

)

Operating costs and expenses

 

3

 

2

 

50.0

 

8

 

7

 

14.3

 

Underwriting loss

 

$

(118

)

$

(136

)

13.2

 

$

(133

)

$

(170

)

21.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on the Property-Liability combined ratio

 

1.7

 

2.0

 

 

 

0.7

 

0.9

 

 

 


(1)             During the third quarter of 2006, a non-cash settlement charge impacted the expense ratio by 0.7 points and the combined ratio by 1.2 points.  During the third quarter of 2005, an incentive benefit accrual release favorably impacted the expense ratio and the combined ratio by 0.5 points. 

11




 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
PROPERTY-LIABILITY
ANNUAL IMPACT OF NET RATE CHANGES APPROVED ON PREMIUMS WRITTEN (1)

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

 

 

September 30, 2006 (Est.)

 

 

Number of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

States

 

Countrywide (%) (2)

 

State Specific (%) (3)

 

Allstate brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

11

 

(0.1

)

(0.9

)

Non-standard auto

 

 

 

 

Auto

 

11

 

(0.1

)

(0.9

)

Homeowners

 

5

 

0.4

 

4.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Encompass brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

1

 

 

5.0

 

Non-standard auto (Deerbrook)

 

1

 

 

(10.7

)

Auto

 

2

 

 

4.4

 

Homeowners

 

14

 

1.2

 

3.5

 

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

September 30, 2006 (Est.)

 

Number of

 

 

 

 

 

 

States

 

Countrywide (%) (2)

 

State Specific (%) (3)

 

Allstate brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

21

 

(0.3

)

(1.3

)

Non-standard auto

 

1

 

(1.0

)

(9.0

)

Auto

 

21

 

(0.4

)

(1.6

)

Homeowners (4)

 

23

 

1.6

 

1.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Encompass brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

10

 

(0.6

)

(4.8

)

Non-standard auto (Deerbrook)

 

3

 

 

(0.2

)

Auto

 

12

 

(0.6

)

(4.6

)

Homeowners

 

20

 

1.7

 

4.2

 


(1)             Rate increases that are indicated based on a loss trend analysis to achieve a targeted return will continue to be pursued in all locations and for all products.  Rate changes include changes approved based on our net cost of reinsurance.  These rate changes do not reflect initial rates filed for insurance subsidiaries initially writing new business.

(2)             Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved during 2006 as a percentage of total countrywide prior year-end premiums written.

(3)             Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved during 2006 as a percentage of total prior year-end premiums written in those states.

(4)             Rate changes include a negotiated rate reduction in the state of Texas.

12




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

PROPERTY-LIABILITY PREMIUMS WRITTEN BY MARKET SEGMENT

 

 

Three Months Ended

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

($ in millions)

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

$

3,988

 

$

3,901

 

2.2

 

$

11,813

 

$

11,435

 

3.3

 

Non-standard auto

 

346

 

398

 

(13.1

)

1,076

 

1,226

 

(12.2

)

Auto

 

4,334

 

4,299

 

0.8

 

12,889

 

12,661

 

1.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Involuntary auto

 

24

 

35

 

(31.4

)

95

 

133

 

(28.6

)

Commercial lines

 

195

 

224

 

(12.9

)

644

 

706

 

(8.8

)

Homeowners

 

1,635

 

1,678

 

(2.6

)

4,543

 

4,548

 

(0.1

)

Other personal lines

 

424

 

383

 

10.7

 

1,238

 

1,099

 

12.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6,612

 

6,619

 

(0.1

)

19,409

 

19,147

 

1.4

 

Encompass brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

296

 

305

 

(3.0

)

872

 

900

 

(3.1

)

Non-standard auto (Deerbrook)

 

23

 

28

 

(17.9

)

72

 

90

 

(20.0

)

Auto

 

319

 

333

 

(4.2

)

944

 

990

 

(4.6

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Involuntary auto

 

5

 

9

 

(44.4

)

19

 

36

 

(47.2

)

Homeowners

 

156

 

163

 

(4.3

)

458

 

463

 

(1.1

)

Other personal lines

 

31

 

34

 

(8.8

)

91

 

96

 

(5.2

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

511

 

539

 

(5.2

)

1,512

 

1,585

 

(4.6

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

7,123

 

7,158

 

(0.5

)

20,921

 

20,732

 

0.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discontinued Lines and Coverages

 

 

 

 

1

 

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability

 

$

7,123

 

$

7,158

 

(0.5

)

$

20,922

 

$

20,733

 

0.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

$

4,284

 

$

4,206

 

1.9

 

$

12,685

 

$

12,335

 

2.8

 

Non-standard auto

 

369

 

426

 

(13.4

)

1,148

 

1,316

 

(12.8

)

Auto

 

4,653

 

4,632

 

0.5

 

13,833

 

13,651

 

1.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Involuntary auto

 

29

 

44

 

(34.1

)

114

 

169

 

(32.5

)

Commercial lines

 

195

 

224

 

(12.9

)

644

 

706

 

(8.8

)

Homeowners

 

1,791

 

1,841

 

(2.7

)

5,001

 

5,011

 

(0.2

)

Other personal lines

 

455

 

417

 

9.1

 

1,329

 

1,195

 

11.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

7,123

 

$

7,158

 

(0.5

)

$

20,921

 

$

20,732

 

0.9

 

 

 

13




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

ALLSTATE PROTECTION MARKET SEGMENT ANALYSIS

 

 

Three Months Ended September 30,

 

($ in millions)

 

Est. 2006

 

2005

 

Est. 2006

 

2005

 

Est. 2006

 

2005

 

Est. 2006

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Catastrophe Losses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums Earned

 

Loss Ratio (2)

 

on the Loss Ratio

 

Expense Ratio

 

Allstate brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

$

3,909

 

$

3,791

 

59.9

 

64.8

 

0.1

 

6.5

 

24.4

 

23.2

 

Non-standard auto

 

353

 

407

 

56.7

 

59.5

 

(0.6

)

5.9

 

21.2

 

20.4

 

Auto

 

4,262

 

4,198

 

59.6

 

64.3

 

 

6.4

 

24.1

 

22.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Homeowners

 

1,418

 

1,441

 

49.8

 

298.1

 

7.8

 

257.9

 

26.1

 

23.5

 

Other (1)

 

626

 

626

 

56.6

 

148.6

 

2.1

 

91.3

 

26.5

 

25.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Allstate brand

 

6,306

 

6,265

 

57.1

 

126.5

 

2.0

 

72.8

 

24.8

 

23.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Encompass brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

290

 

295

 

51.4

 

75.3

 

0.3

 

5.8

 

29.3

 

30.5

 

Non-standard auto (Deerbrook)

 

24

 

31

 

83.3

 

64.5

 

 

3.2

 

25.0

 

25.8

 

Auto

 

314

 

326

 

53.8

 

74.2

 

0.3

 

5.5

 

29.0

 

30.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Homeowners

 

143

 

148

 

65.7

 

124.3

 

26.6

 

78.4

 

30.1

 

29.1

 

Other (1)

 

38

 

41

 

86.9

 

102.4

 

13.2

 

34.1

 

26.3

 

29.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Encompass brand

 

495

 

515

 

59.8

 

90.9

 

8.9

 

28.8

 

29.1

 

29.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

$

6,801

 

$

6,780

 

57.3

 

123.8

 

2.5

 

69.4

 

25.1

 

23.8

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

($ in millions)

 

Est. 2006

 

2005

 

Est. 2006

 

2005

 

Est. 2006

 

2005

 

Est. 2006

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Catastrophe Losses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums Earned

 

Loss Ratio (2)

 

on the Loss Ratio

 

Expense Ratio

 

Allstate brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

$

11,627

 

$

11,225

 

60.3

 

65.4

 

0.6

 

2.6

 

24.6

 

23.9

 

Non-standard auto

 

1,102

 

1,248

 

56.8

 

58.9

 

 

2.2

 

22.0

 

21.0

 

Auto

 

12,729

 

12,473

 

60.0

 

64.8

 

0.5

 

2.6

 

24.4

 

23.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Homeowners

 

4,369

 

4,301

 

49.6

 

131.6

 

9.1

 

90.7

 

24.9

 

22.9

 

Other (1)

 

1,928

 

1,885

 

51.8

 

89.9

 

(0.9

)

33.1

 

26.3

 

25.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Allstate brand

 

19,026

 

18,659

 

56.8

 

82.7

 

2.3

 

26.0

 

24.7

 

23.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Encompass brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

871

 

893

 

60.0

 

67.6

 

(0.5

)

1.9

 

28.1

 

30.7

 

Non-standard auto (Deerbrook)

 

75

 

97

 

81.4

 

73.2

 

 

1.0

 

29.3

 

27.8

 

Auto

 

946

 

990

 

61.7

 

68.2

 

(0.4

)

1.8

 

28.2

 

30.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Homeowners

 

446

 

431

 

59.6

 

78.2

 

17.9

 

31.8

 

30.1

 

29.7

 

Other (1)

 

117

 

121

 

80.3

 

81.0

 

8.5

 

14.1

 

29.1

 

28.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Encompass brand

 

1,509

 

1,542

 

62.5

 

72.0

 

5.7

 

11.2

 

28.8

 

30.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

$

20,535

 

$

20,201

 

57.2

 

81.9

 

2.6

 

24.8

 

25.0

 

24.1

 


(1)             Other includes involuntary auto, commercial lines, condominium, renters and other personal lines.

(2)             Loss Ratio comparisons on this exhibit are impacted by the relative level of prior year reserve reestimates.  Please refer to the “Effect of Pretax Prior Year Reserve Reestimates on the Combined Ratio” table for detailed reserve reestimate information.

14




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
PROPERTY-LIABILITY
EFFECT OF PRETAX PRIOR YEAR RESERVE REESTIMATES ON THE COMBINED RATIO

 

Three Months Ended September 30,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of Pretax Reserve

 

 

 

Pretax

 

Reestimates on the

 

 

 

Reserve Reestimates (1)

 

Combined Ratio

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

2006

 

2005

 

2006

 

2005

 

Auto

 

$

(220

)

$

(276

)

(3.2

)

(4.1

)

Homeowners (2)

 

(134

)

(12

)

(2.0

)

(0.2

)

Other

 

18

 

4

 

0.3

 

0.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

(336

)

(284

)

(4.9

)

(4.2

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discontinued Lines and Coverages

 

115

 

134

 

1.7

 

2.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability

 

$

(221

)

$

(150

)

(3.2

)

(2.2

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate brand

 

$

(321

)

$

(275

)

(4.7

)

(4.1

)

Encompass brand

 

(15

)

(9

)

(0.2

)

(0.1

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

$

(336

)

$

(284

)

(4.9

)

(4.2

)

 

 

Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of Pretax Reserve

 

 

 

Pretax

 

Reestimates on the

 

 

 

Reserve Reestimates (1)

 

Combined Ratio

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

2006

 

2005

 

2006

 

2005

 

Auto

 

$

(579

)

$

(501

)

(2.8

)

(2.5

)

Homeowners

 

(264

)

(4

)

(1.3

)

 

Other

 

(71

)

21

 

(0.4

)

0.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

(914

)

(484

)

(4.5

)

(2.4

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discontinued Lines and Coverages

 

127

 

162

 

0.7

 

0.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability

 

$

(787

)

$

(322

)

(3.8

)

(1.6

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate brand

 

$

(901

)

$

(485

)

(4.4

)

(2.4

)

Encompass brand

 

(13

)

1

 

(0.1

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

$

(914

)

$

(484

)

(4.5

)

(2.4

)


(1)             Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.

(2)             Reserve reestimates included in catastrophe losses were net favorable reserve reestimates of $9 million after reinsurance primarily related to Hurricane Katrina, and $12 million related to a reduction in our accrual for an expected assessment from Citizens Property Insurance Corporation in Florida (“FL Citizens”).

15




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
ALLSTATE FINANCIAL PREMIUMS AND DEPOSITS

 

Three Months Ended

 

 

 

Nine Months Ended

 

 

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

September 30,

 

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

($ in millions)

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

 

2006

 

2005

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Life Products

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest-sensitive life

 

$

368

 

$

380

 

(3.2

)

$

1,107

 

$

1,107

 

 

Traditional

 

87

 

86

 

1.2

 

245

 

235

 

4.3

 

Other

 

84

 

110

 

(23.6

)

251

 

317

 

(20.8

)

 

 

539

 

576

 

(6.4

)

1,603

 

1,659

 

(3.4

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annuities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Indexed annuities (1)

 

172

 

187

 

(8.0

)

566

 

534

 

6.0

 

Fixed deferred annuities (1)

 

1,600

 

875

 

82.9

 

4,242

 

3,450

 

23.0

 

Fixed immediate annuities

 

123

 

165

 

(25.5

)

422

 

639

 

(34.0

)

Variable annuities

 

 

452

 

(100.0

)

678

 

1,315

 

(48.4

)

 

 

1,895

 

1,679

 

12.9

 

5,908

 

5,938

 

(0.5

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Institutional Products (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Funding agreements backing medium-term notes

 

 

 

 

1,600

 

2,423

 

(34.0

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bank Deposits

 

97

 

122

 

(20.5

)

324

 

368

 

(12.0

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

2,531

 

$

2,377

 

6.5

 

$

9,435

 

$

10,388

 

(9.2

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total excluding variable annuities

 

$

2,531

 

$

1,925

 

31.5

 

$

8,757

 

$

9,073

 

(3.5

)


(1)             To conform to the current period presentation, prior periods have been reclassified.

(2)             There were no sales of institutional products during the third quarter of 2006 or 2005. Institutional product sales are made on an opportunistic basis.

16




THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

 

September 30,

 

December 31,

 

($ in millions, except par value data)

 

2006 (Est.)

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Assets

 

 

 

 

 

Investments

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed income securities, at fair value (amortized cost $97,188 and $94,777)

 

$

99,919

 

$

98,065

 

Equity securities, at fair value (cost $5,922 and $4,873)

 

7,377

 

6,164

 

Mortgage loans

 

9,116

 

8,748

 

Short-term

 

3,845

 

3,470

 

Other

 

1,924

 

1,850

 

Total investments (1)

 

122,181

 

118,297

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash

 

327

 

313

 

Premium installment receivables, net

 

4,943

 

4,739

 

Deferred policy acquisition costs

 

5,391

 

5,802

 

Reinsurance recoverables, net

 

5,979

 

5,180

 

Accrued investment income

 

1,072

 

1,074

 

Property and equipment, net

 

1,004

 

1,040

 

Goodwill

 

825

 

825

 

Other assets

 

3,007

 

3,567

 

Separate Accounts

 

15,595

 

15,235

 

Total assets

 

$

160,324

 

$

156,072

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

Reserve for property-liability insurance claims and claims expense

 

$

19,131

 

$

22,117

 

Reserve for life-contingent contract benefits

 

12,672

 

12,482

 

Contractholder funds

 

62,395

 

60,040

 

Unearned premiums

 

10,680

 

10,294

 

Claim payments outstanding

 

753

 

1,263

 

Other liabilities and accrued expenses

 

11,049

 

8,804

 

Deferred income taxes

 

320

 

351

 

Short-term debt

 

 

413

 

Long-term debt

 

5,529

 

4,887

 

Separate Accounts

 

15,595

 

15,235

 

Total liabilities

 

138,124

 

135,886

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders’ equity

 

 

 

 

 

Preferred stock, $1 par value, 25 million shares authorized, none issued

 

 

 

Common stock, $.01 par value, 2.0 billion shares authorized and 900 million issued, 627 million and 646 million shares outstanding

 

9

 

9

 

Additional capital paid-in

 

2,905

 

2,798

 

Retained income

 

28,075

 

24,962

 

Deferred ESOP expense

 

(84

)

(90

)

Treasury stock, at cost (273 million and 254 million shares)

 

(10,674

)

(9,575

)

Accumulated other comprehensive income:

 

 

 

 

 

Unrealized net capital gains and losses

 

1,961

 

2,090

 

Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustments

 

38

 

22

 

Minimum pension liability adjustment

 

(30

)

(30

)

Total accumulated other comprehensive income

 

1,969

 

2,082

 

Total shareholders’ equity

 

22,200

 

20,186

 

Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

 

$

160,324

 

$

156,072

 


(1)             Total investments includes $42,183 for Property-Liability, $77,125 for Allstate Financial and $2,873 for Corporate and Other investments at September 30, 2006. Total investments includes $39,574 for Property-Liability, $75,233 for Allstate Financial and $3,490 for Corporate and Other investments at December 31, 2005.

17




Allstate Protection Catastrophe Management Strategy

Throughout 2006 we have been implementing our strategy to manage our property catastrophe exposure to provide our shareholders an acceptable return on the risks assumed in our property business and to reduce the variability of our earnings, while providing protection to our customers.  Although in many areas of the country we are currently achieving returns within acceptable risk tolerances, we continue to seek solutions to improve returns in areas that have known exposure to hurricanes, earthquakes and other catastrophes.  We will continue to reduce our catastrophe exposure over time while working to mitigate the impact of our actions on customers.  We are also working for changes in the regulatory environment, including fewer restrictions on underwriting, recognizing the need for and improving appropriate risk based pricing and promoting the creation of government sponsored, privately funded solutions.  Our property business includes personal homeowners, commercial property and other property lines.

Actions we have taken or are considering to attain an acceptable catastrophe exposure level in our property business include:

·                  removing wind coverage from certain policies and allowing our agencies to help customers apply for wind coverage through state facilities such as wind pools;

·                  changes in rates, deductibles and coverage;

·                  limitations on new business writings;

·                  changes to underwriting requirements, including limitations in coastal and adjacent counties;

·                  not offering continuing coverage to some existing policyholders;

·                  purchase of reinsurance or other forms of risk transfer arrangements;

·                  discontinuing coverage for certain types of residences; and/or

·                  withdrawal from certain markets.

Examples of catastrophe exposure actions taken during 2006, related to our risk of hurricane loss, include purchasing additional reinsurance on a countrywide basis for our personal lines property insurance, and in areas most exposed to hurricanes; a limitation on personal homeowners new business writings in coastal areas of Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and certain other states; and not offering continuing coverage on select policies in eight coastal counties in the state of New York, which may continue for several years.  Additionally, we have entered into a reinsurance agreement to cede losses incurred on 120,000 personal property policies in the state of Florida to Royal Palm Insurance Company.  Allstate Floridian plans to no longer offer coverage on these policies after their contract terms expire, at which time Royal Palm may offer coverage to these policyholders.

Actions taken during 2006 related to our risk of earthquake loss include the previous announcement to no longer offer new optional earthquake coverage in most states and to begin removing optional earthquake coverage on approximately 400,000 property policies at December 31, 2005 (now 330,000 policies at September 30, 2006) upon renewal in most states.  We have entered into arrangements to make earthquake coverage available through other insurers for new and renewal business.  In California, we have changed homeowners underwriting requirements in an effort to reduce our exposure to fires following earthquakes.  We have also purchased reinsurance for fires following earthquakes.

During the third quarter of 2006 we entered into an arrangement to make earthquake coverage available, through other insurers, for many of the approximately 140,000 renewal homeowners customers in the states of Alabama, Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Missouri, Mississippi, Ohio, South Carolina and Tennessee. This arrangement is also applicable for new homeowners customers in these nine states. Additionally, Allstate entered into previous agreements in two states for approximately 58,000 homeowners policies with optional earthquake coverage.

By the end of 2007, we anticipate that we will have eliminated approximately 90% of our optional earthquake coverages countrywide, based on our policies in force at December 31, 2005. Allstate’s premiums written attributable to optional earthquake

18




coverage totaled approximately $60 million in 2005.  While this is a countrywide strategy, we will continue to have optional earthquake coverage available in certain states due to regulatory and other reasons.  We also will continue to have exposure to earthquake risk on certain policies and coverages that do not specifically exclude coverage for earthquake losses, including our auto policies, and to fires following earthquakes.  Allstate policyholders in the state of California are offered coverage through the California Earthquake Authority (“CEA”), a privately-financed, publicly-managed state agency created to provide insurance coverage for earthquake damage. Allstate is subject to assessments from the CEA under certain circumstances.

These actions have had an impact on our new business writings for homeowners insurance, as demonstrated in the following table by the decline in new issued applications.  We expect this trend to continue as we continue to address our catastrophe exposure.

 

(in thousands)

 

For the three months
ended September 30,

 

For the nine months
ended September 30,

 

 

 

2006

 

2005

 

%
Change

 

2006

 

2005

 

%
Change

 

Allstate Brand Homeowners

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hurricane Exposure States (1)

 

126

 

158

 

(20.3

)

367

 

446

 

(17.7

)

California

 

13

 

29

 

(55.2

)

43

 

87

 

(50.6

)

All other states

 

121

 

137

 

(11.7

)

353

 

382

 

(7.6

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total New Issued Applications

 

260

 

324

 

(19.8

)

763

 

915

 

(16.6

)

 


(1) Hurricane exposure states are Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Mississippi, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia and Washington, D.C.

Allstate brand homeowners new issued applications decreased in almost all hurricane exposure states as a result of our catastrophe management actions.  The decrease in California new issued applications is due to changes in our underwriting requirements.  The decrease in all other states results from generally lower new business in most of the states and includes the impact of earthquake coverage-related actions.

While our actions taken will be primarily focused on reducing the catastrophe exposure in our homeowners and property business, we also consider their impact on our ability to market our auto lines.

Standard auto new issued applications are shown in the table below.

(in thousands)

 

For the three months
ended September 30,

 

For the nine months
ended September 30,

 

 

 

2006

 

2005

 

%
Change

 

2006

 

2005

 

%
Change

 

Allstate Brand Standard Auto

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hurricane Exposure States

 

270

 

270

 

 

790

 

771

 

2.5

 

California

 

76

 

80

 

(5.0

)

238

 

236

 

0.8

 

All other states

 

159

 

162

 

(1.9

)

470

 

473

 

(0.6

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total New Issued Applications

 

505

 

512

 

(1.4

)

1,498

 

1,480

 

1.2

 

 

Allstate brand standard auto new issued applications in the hurricane exposure states were flat in the third quarter of 2006 compared to the third quarter of 2005. But in Florida, new issued applications increased 11.7% in the third quarter of 2006 due to agency growth, changes in underwriting requirements, and marketing.  New issued applications in the hurricane exposure states continue to be impacted by catastrophe management actions on cross-sell opportunities and competitive pressures in certain markets.

Our standard auto growth strategy includes actions such as the continued roll out of Allstate® Your Choice Auto, increased marketing, the continued roll out and refinement of Tiered Pricing, underwriting actions and agency growth.  These strategies are particularly emphasized as applicable in states impacted by our catastrophe management actions such as Florida, New York and Texas.

19




Discontinued Lines and Coverages Reserves

The Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment includes results from insurance coverage that we no longer write and results for certain commercial and other businesses in run-off.  Our exposure to asbestos, environmental and other discontinued lines claims is reported in this segment.  We have assigned management of this segment to a designated group of professionals with expertise in claims handling, policy coverage interpretation and exposure identification.  As part of its responsibilities, this group is also regularly engaged in policy buybacks, settlements and reinsurance assumed and ceded commutations.

Summarized underwriting results for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2006 and 2005, are presented in the following table.

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

($ in millions)

 

Est.
2006

 

2005

 

Est.
2006

 

2005

 

Premiums written

 

$

 

$

 

$

1

 

$

1

 

Premiums earned

 

 

1

 

2

 

 

Claims and claims expense

 

(115

)

(135

)

(127

)

(163

)

Other costs and expenses

 

(3

)

(2

)

(8

)

(7

)

Underwriting loss

 

$

(118

)

$

(136

)

$

(133

)

$

(170

)

 

Underwriting losses of $118 million in the third quarter of 2006 were related to an $86 million reestimate of asbestos reserves compared to a $139 million reestimate in the third quarter 2005, a $10 million reestimate of environmental reserves and a $26 million increase in the allowance for future uncollectible reinsurance recoverables.

During the quarter, we completed our annual review to evaluate and establish asbestos, environmental and other discontinued lines reserves.  Reserves are recorded in the reporting period in which they are determined.  Using established industry and actuarial best practices and assuming no change in the regulatory or economic environment, this detailed and comprehensive “ground up” methodology determines reserves based on assessments of the characteristics of exposure (e.g. claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products versus non-products exposure) presented to policyholders.

 

20




Our net asbestos reserves by type of exposure and total reserve additions are shown in the following table.

 

Est. September 30, 2006

 

December 31, 2005

 

($ in millions)

 

Active
Policyholders

 

Est. Net
Reserves

 

% of Reserves

 

Active
Policyholders

 

Net
Reserves

 

% of Reserves

 

Direct policyholders*

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-Primary

 

45

 

$

16

 

1

%

46

 

$

18

 

1

%

-Excess

 

338

 

214

 

15

 

333

 

180

 

13

 

Total

 

383

 

230

 

16

%

379

 

198

 

14

%

Assumed reinsurance

 

 

 

203

 

15

 

 

 

215

 

16

 

Incurred but not reported
(“IBNR”) claims

 

 

 

963

 

69

 

 

 

960

 

70

 

Total net reserves

 

 

 

$

1,396

 

100

%

 

 

$

1,373

 

100

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reserve additions

 

 

 

$

86

 

 

 

 

 

$

139

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net survival ratio**

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-Annual

 

 

 

7.7

 

 

 

 

 

6.0

 

 

 

-3-Year

 

 

 

10.6

 

 

 

 

 

10.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net survival ratio excluding commutations, policy buy-backs and settlement agreements**

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

-Annual

 

 

 

21.1

 

 

 

 

 

24.9

 

 

 

-3-Year

 

 

 

25.9

 

 

 

 

 

26.8

 

 

 

 


*               During the first nine months of 2006, 22 direct primary and excess policyholders reported new claims, and claims of 18 policyholders were closed, so the number of direct policyholders with active claims increased by 4.

**          Our survival ratios are at levels we consider indicative of a strong asbestos reserve position.

Reserve additions for asbestos were primarily for products-related coverage.  They were essentially a result of reestimates of liabilities for increased assumed reinsurance cessions, as ceding companies (other insurance carriers) experienced increased claim activity.  This increased claim activity over prior estimates has also resulted in an increased estimate for future claims reported.  These trends are consistent with the trends of other carriers in the industry, which we believe are related to increased publicity and awareness of coverage, ongoing litigation and bankruptcy actions.  However, we are somewhat encouraged that the pace of industry asbestos claim activity seems to be slowing, perhaps reflecting various recent state legislative actions and increased legal scrutiny of the legitimacy of claims.  IBNR now represents 69% of total net asbestos reserves, one point lower than at December 31, 2005.  IBNR provides for estimated probable future unfavorable reserve development of known claims and future reporting of additional unknown claims from current and new policyholders and ceding companies.

Our non-products case reserves represent approximately 5% of total asbestos case reserves.  We do not anticipate significant changes in this percentage as insureds’ retentions associated with excess insurance programs and assumed reinsurance exposure are seldom exceeded. We did not write direct primary insurance on policyholders with the potential for significant non-products-related loss exposure.

To further limit our asbestos exposure, we have significant reinsurance, primarily to reduce our exposure to loss in our direct excess insurance business.  Our net reinsurance recoverables are estimated to be approximately 37% of our gross estimated loss reserves.

For environmental exposures, our “ground up” review resulted in $10 million of unfavorable reserve reestimates related to existing active claims.  There was essentially no change in environmental reserve reestimates as a result of this review in 2005.

As of September 30, 2006, we increased the allowance for uncollectible reinsurance by $26 million to a total of $235 million, or approximately 20% of total recoverables from reinsurers in the Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment.

We believe that our reserves are appropriately established based on assessments of pertinent factors and characteristics of exposure (e.g. claim activity, potential liability, jurisdiction, products

21




versus non-products exposure) presented by individual policyholders, assuming no change in the legal, legislative or economic environment.

Estimated Impact of Adopting SFAS No. 158 “Employers’ Accounting for Defined Benefit Pension and Other Postretirement Plans, an amendment of FASB Statements No. 87, 88, 106 and 132(R)” (“SFAS No. 158”) and the Pension Protection Act of 2006

In September 2006, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) issued Statement of Financial Accounting Standard No. 158 which requires recognition in the statement of financial position of the over or underfunded status of defined benefit pension and other postretirement plans, measured as the difference between the fair value of plan assets and the projected benefit obligation for the pension plan and the accumulated benefit obligation for our other postretirement benefit plans.  This effectively requires the recognition of all previously unrecognized actuarial gains and losses and prior service cost as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income, net of tax.  In addition, SFAS No. 158 requires, on a prospective basis, the actuarial gains and losses and the prior service costs and credits that arise during any reporting period but are not recognized as components of net periodic benefit cost be recognized as a component of other comprehensive income, net of tax, the measurement date of the plans to be the same as the statement of financial position, and disclosure in the notes to the financial statements of certain effects on the net periodic benefit cost in the upcoming fiscal year that arise from delayed recognition of the actuarial gains and losses and the prior service costs and credits.  Guidance relating to the recognition of the over or underfunded status of the plan and additional disclosure requirements is effective for years ending after December 15, 2006.  Guidance relating to the measurement date of the plans is effective for the years ending after December 15, 2008.  There is no impact on results of operations or cash flows.  Retrospective application of this standard is not permitted.  However based on our current interpretation and the most recent measurement date of our plans of October 31, 2005, if the standard had been effective and adopted as of December 31, 2005, the impact of adoption would have resulted in a decrease in shareholders’ equity of $1.37 billion and book value per share of $2.10, and an increase in the debt to shareholders’ equity ratio and the debt to capital resources ratio of 1.9 points and 1.2 points, respectively.  Adoption impacts will be based on the most recent measurement date of the plans as of December 31, 2006, which is October 31, 2006.

Certain rating agencies explicitly consider the funded status of the pension plans in the development of non-GAAP debt to capital ratios as part of the determination of company ratings.  While we do not expect any near-term change in our financial strength ratings as a result of these changes, the long term effects of these changes on the ratings process remains uncertain. Upon adoption, we plan to revise our non-GAAP measure of book value excluding the effects of unrealized gains and losses on fixed income securities to also exclude the effects of this new guidance.

Also during the third quarter of 2006, the federal government enacted the Pension Protection Act of 2006 (the “Act”) which changes the manner in which pension funding is determined.  The new rules are effective for funding beginning in 2008.  We are currently reviewing the implications of the Act, but do not expect it to have a material impact on funding.

Our funding policy for the pension plans is to make annual contributions at a minimum level that is at least in accordance with regulations under the Internal Revenue Code (“IRC”) and in accordance with generally accepted actuarial principles.  There was no minimum funding requirement under the IRC for the tax qualified pension plans as of December 31, 2005.

Our obligations have not changed as a result of these developments.  The pension and other postretirement plans are subject to revision at the discretion of management.  Any revisions could result in significant changes to our pension plan obligations and our obligation to fund the plans.

22




Definitions of GAAP Operating Ratios

Claims and claims expense (“loss”) ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense to premiums earned.  Loss ratios include the impact of catastrophe losses.

Expense ratio is the ratio of amortization of deferred acquisition costs (“DAC”), operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges to premiums earned.

Combined ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense, amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges to premiums earned.  The combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.  The difference between 100% and the combined ratio represents underwriting income (loss) as a percentage of premiums earned.

Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense and other costs and expenses in the Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment to Property-Liability premiums earned.  The sum of the effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on the combined ratio and the Allstate Protection combined ratio is equal to the Property-Liability combined ratio.

Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio is the percentage of catastrophe losses included in claims and claims expenses to premiums earned.

Effect of pretax reserve reestimates on combined ratio is the percentage of pretax reserve reestimates included in claims and claims expense to premiums earned.

Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio is the percentage of restructuring and related charges to premiums earned.

23




Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures

We believe that investors’ understanding of Allstate’s performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following non-GAAP financial measures.  Our methods of calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

Operating income (loss) is net income (loss) excluding:

·      realized capital gains and losses, after-tax, except for periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments which are reported with realized capital gains and losses but included in operating income,

·      amortization of DAC and deferred sales inducements (“DSI”), to the extent they resulted from the recognition of certain realized capital gains and losses,

·      (loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax, and

·      adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, when (a) the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is reasonably unlikely to recur within two years, or (b) there has been no similar charge or gain within the prior two years.

Net income (loss) is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income.

We use operating income (loss) to evaluate our results of operations.  It reveals trends in our insurance and financial services business that may be obscured by the net effect of realized capital gains and losses, (loss) gain on disposition of operations and adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items.  Realized capital gains and losses and (loss) gain on disposition of operations may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and economic developments such as market conditions, the timing of which is unrelated to the insurance underwriting process.  Moreover, we reclassify periodic settlements on non-hedge derivative instruments into operating income (loss) to report them in a manner consistent with the economically hedged investments, replicated assets or product attributes (e.g. net investment income and interest credited to contractholder funds) and by doing so, appropriately reflect trends in product performance.  Non-recurring items are excluded because, by their nature, they are not indicative of our business or economic trends.  Therefore, we believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our performance.  We note that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by insurance investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income (loss) as the denominator.  We use adjusted measures of operating income (loss) and operating income (loss) per diluted share in incentive compensation.  Operating income (loss) should not be considered as a substitute for net income (loss) and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.

The following tables reconcile operating income (loss) and net income (loss) for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2006 and 2005.

24




 

For the three months ended September 30,

 

Property-Liability

 

Allstate Financial

 

Consolidated

 

Per diluted share

 

($ in millions, except per share data)

 

Est.
2006

 

2005

 

Est.
2006

 

2005

 

Est.
2006

 

2005

 

Est.
2006

 

2005

 

Operating income (loss)

 

$

1,067

 

$

(1,785

)

$

148

 

$

156

 

$

1,191

 

$

(1,650

)

$

1.88

 

$

(2.52

)

Realized capital gains and losses

 

(34

)

163

 

(30

)

27

 

(61

)

199

 

 

 

 

 

Income tax benefit (expense)

 

12

 

(64

)

11

 

(10

)

22

 

(78

)

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses,
after-tax

 

(22

)

99

 

(19

)

17

 

(39

)

121

 

(0.06

)

0.18

 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses,
after-tax

 

 

 

16

 

(2

)

16

 

(2

)

0.02

 

 

Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

 

 

(9

)

(10

)

(9

)

(10

)

(0.01

)

(0.01

)

Loss on disposition of operations,
after-tax

 

 

 

(1

)

(7

)

(1

)

(7

)

 

(0.01

)

Net income (loss)

 

$

1,045

 

$

(1,686

)

$

135

 

$

154

 

$

1,158

 

$

(1,548

)

$

1.83

 

$

(2.36

)

 

For the nine months ended September 30,

 

Property-Liability

 

Allstate Financial

 

Consolidated

 

Per diluted share

 

($ in millions, except per share data)

 

Est.
2006

 

2005

 

Est.
2006

 

2005

 

Est.
2006

 

2005

 

Est.
2006

 

2005

 

Operating income

 

$

3,378

 

$

236

 

$

452

 

$

442

 

$

3,767

 

$

607

 

$

5.89

 

$

0.90

 

Realized capital gains and losses

 

233

 

385

 

(138

)

52

 

90

 

448

 

 

 

 

 

Income tax (expense) benefit

 

(80

)

(137

)

49

 

(19

)

(29

)

(160

)

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses,
after-tax

 

153

 

248

 

(89

)

33

 

61

 

288

 

0.09

 

0.43

 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses,
after-tax

 

 

 

40

 

(106

)

40

 

(106

)

0.06

 

(0.16

)

Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits

 

 

 

 

(22

)

 

(22

)

 

(0.03

)

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

 

 

(28

)

(32

)

(28

)

(32

)

(0.04

)

(0.05

)

Loss on disposition of operations,
after-tax

 

(1

)

 

(59

)

(11

)

(60

)

(11

)

(0.09

)

(0.01

)

Net income

 

$

3,530

 

$

484

 

$

316

 

$

304

 

$

3,780

 

$

724

 

$

5.91

 

$

1.08

 

 

In this press release, we provide guidance on operating income per diluted share for 2006.  A reconciliation of this measure to net income is not possible on a forward-looking basis because it is not possible to provide a reliable forecast of realized capital gains and losses including periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, which can vary substantially from one period to another and may have a significant impact on net income.  Because a forecast of realized capital gains and losses is not possible, neither is a forecast of the effects of amortization of DAC and DSI on realized capital gains and losses nor income taxes.  The other reconciling items between operating income and net income on a forward-looking basis are (loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax, and cumulative effect of changes in accounting principle, after-tax, which we assume to be zero for the year.

Underwriting income (loss) is calculated as premiums earned, less claims and claims expense (“losses”), amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges as determined using GAAP.  Management uses this measure in its evaluation of results of operations to analyze the profitability of our Property-Liability insurance operations separately from investment results.  It is also an integral component of incentive compensation.  It is useful for investors to evaluate the components of income separately and in the aggregate when reviewing

25




performance. Net income (loss) is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Underwriting income (loss) should not be considered as a substitute for net income (loss) and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.  A reconciliation of Property-Liability underwriting income (loss) to net income (loss) is provided in the Segment Results table.

Combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes is a non-GAAP ratio, which is computed as the difference between the two operating ratios, combined ratio (a GAAP measure) and the effect of catastrophes on the combined ratio.  The most directly comparable GAAP measure is the combined ratio.  We believe that this ratio is useful to investors and it is used by management to reveal the trends in our property-liability business that may be obscured by catastrophe losses, which cause our loss trends to vary significantly between periods as a result of their rate of occurrence and magnitude.  We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our underwriting performance.  The combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes should not be considered a substitute for the combined ratio and does not reflect the overall underwriting profitability of our business.  A reconciliation of combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes to combined ratio is provided in the Property-Liability Highlights table.

Operating income return on equity is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure. It is calculated by dividing the rolling 12-month operating income by the average of shareholders’ equity at the beginning and at the end of the 12-month period, after excluding the effect of unrealized net capital gains. We use it to supplement our evaluation of net income and return on equity. We believe that this measure is useful to investors because it eliminates the effect of items that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and that are driven by economic developments, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management:  the after-tax effects of realized and unrealized capital gains and losses and the cumulative effect of change in accounting principle, and non-recurring items that are not indicative of our business or economic trends. Return on equity is the most directly comparable GAAP measure.  The following table shows the reconciliation.

26




 

 

For the twelve months ended
September 30,

 

($ in millions)

 

Est. 2006

 

2005

 

Return on equity

 

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

4,821

 

$

1,866

 

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

 

Beginning shareholders’ equity

 

19,419

 

21,038

 

Ending shareholders’ equity

 

22,200

 

19,419

 

Average shareholders’ equity

 

$

20,810

 

$

20,229

 

Return on equity

 

23.2

%

9.2

%

 

 

For the twelve months ended
September 30,

 

 

 

Est. 2006

 

2005

 

Operating income return on equity

 

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income

 

$

4,742

 

$

1,593

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

 

Beginning shareholders’ equity

 

19,419

 

21,038

 

Unrealized net capital gains

 

2,301

 

2,802

 

Adjusted beginning shareholders’ equity

 

17,118

 

18,236

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ending shareholders’ equity

 

22,200

 

19,419

 

Unrealized net capital gains

 

1,961

 

2,301

 

Adjusted ending shareholders’ equity

 

20,239

 

17,118

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average adjusted shareholders’ equity

 

$

18,679

 

$

17,677

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income return on equity

 

25.4

%

9.0

%

 

Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure.  It is calculated by dividing shareholders’ equity after excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities and related DAC and life insurance reserves by total shares outstanding plus dilutive potential shares outstanding.  Book value per share is the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

We use the trend in book value per share, excluding unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities in conjunction with book value per share to identify and analyze the change in net worth attributable to management efforts between periods.  We believe the non-GAAP ratio is useful to investors because it eliminates the effect of items that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and are generally driven by economic developments, primarily market conditions, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management, and we believe it enhances understanding and comparability of performance by highlighting underlying business activity and profitability drivers.  We note that book value per share, excluding unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities is a measure commonly used by insurance investors as a valuation technique.  Book value per share, excluding unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities should not be considered as a substitute for book value per share and does not reflect the recorded net worth of our business.  The following table shows the reconciliation.

27




 

 

As of
September 30,

 

As of
December 31,

 

(in millions, except per share data)

 

Est.
2006

 

2005

 

2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Book value per share

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders’ equity

 

$

22,200

 

$

19,419

 

$

20,186

 

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shares outstanding and dilutive potential shares outstanding

 

632.9

 

654.8

 

651.0

 

Book value per share

 

$

35.08

 

$

29.66

 

$

31.01

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders’ equity

 

$

22,200

 

$

19,419

 

$

20,186

 

Unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities

 

1,023

 

1,447

 

1,255

 

Adjusted shareholders’ equity

 

$

21,177

 

$

17,972

 

$

18,931

 

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shares outstanding and dilutive potential shares outstanding

 

632.9

 

654.8

 

651.0

 

Book value per share, excluding unrealized net capital gains on fixed income securities

 

$

33.46

 

$

27.45

 

$

29.08

 

 

Gross margin represents life and annuity premiums and contract charges and net investment income and periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, less contract benefits and interest credited to contractholder funds excluding amortization of DSI.  We reclassify periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments into gross margin to report them in a manner consistent with the economically hedged investments, replicated assets or product attributes (e.g. net investment income or interest credited to contractholder funds) and by doing so, appropriately reflect trends in product performance.  We use gross margin as a component of our evaluation of the profitability of Allstate Financial’s life insurance and financial product portfolio.  Additionally, for many of our products, including fixed annuities, variable life and annuities, and interest-sensitive life insurance, the amortization of DAC and DSI is determined based on actual and expected gross margin.  Gross margin is comprised of three components that are utilized to further analyze the business; they include the investment margin, benefit margin, and contract charges and fees.  We believe gross margin and its components are useful to investors because they allow for the evaluation of income components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing performance.  Gross margin, investment margin and benefit margin should not be considered as a substitute for net income and do not reflect the overall profitability of the business.  Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to these margins.  Gross margin is reconciled to Allstate Financial’s GAAP net income in the following table.

28




 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 

($ in millions)

 

Est. 2006

 

2005

 

Est. 2006

 

2005

 

Life and annuity premiums and contract charges

 

$

444

 

$

505

 

$

1,454

 

$

1,525

 

Net investment income

 

1,063

 

974

 

3,115

 

2,838

 

Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments

 

14

 

14

 

44

 

49

 

Contract benefits

 

(388

)

(395

)

(1,135

)

(1,209

)

Interest credited to contractholder funds (2)

 

(658

)

(597

)

(1,907

)

(1,719

)

Gross margin

 

475

 

501

 

1,571

 

1,484

 

Amortization of DAC and DSI

 

(155

)

(139

)

(529

)

(398

)

Operating costs and expenses

 

(102

)

(142

)

(349

)

(454

)

Restructuring and related charges

 

(5

)

(1

)

(24

)

(1

)

Income tax expense

 

(65

)

(63

)

(217

)

(189

)

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(19

)

17

 

(89

)

33

 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

16

 

(2

)

40

 

(106

)

Non-recurring increase in liability for future benefits, after-tax

 

 

 

 

(22

)

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

(9

)

(10

)

(28

)

(32

)

Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

(1

)

(7

)

(59

)

(11

)

Allstate Financial net income

 

$

135

 

$

154

 

$

316

 

$

304

 

 


(2)             Amortization of DSI was excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating gross margin.  Amortization of DSI totaled est. $9 million in the third quarter of 2006 and est. $32 million for the first nine months of 2006 compared to $11 million in the third quarter of 2005 and $65 million for the first nine months of 2005. 

 

Investment margin is a component of gross margin.  Investment margin represents the excess of net investment income and periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments over interest credited to contractholder funds and the implied interest on life contingent immediate annuities included in Allstate Financial’s reserve for life-contingent contract benefits.  Amortization of DSI is excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating investment margin.  We use investment margin to evaluate Allstate Financial’s profitability related to the difference between investment returns on assets supporting certain products and the amounts credited to customers (“spread”) during a fiscal period.

 

Benefit margin is a component of gross margin.  Benefit margin represents life and life-contingent immediate annuity premiums, cost of insurance contract charges and variable annuity fees for contract guarantees less contract benefits.  Benefit margin excludes the implied interest on life-contingent immediate annuities, which is included in the calculation of investment margin.  We use benefit margin to evaluate Allstate Financial’s underwriting performance, as it reflects the profitability of our products with respect to mortality or morbidity risk during a fiscal period.

 

The components of gross margin are reconciled to the corresponding financial statement line items in the following tables.

29




 

 

 

Three Months Ended September 30,

 

 

 

Investment
Margin

 

Benefit
Margin(4)

 

Contract Charges
and Fees(4)

 

Gross
Margin(4)

 


(in millions)

 

Est.
2006

 


2005

 

Est.
2006

 


2005

 

Est.
2006

 


2005

 

Est.
2006

 


2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Life and annuity premiums

 

$

 

$

 

$

211

 

$

218

 

$

 

$

 

$

211

 

$

218

 

Contract charges

 

 

 

154

 

158

 

79

 

129

 

233

 

287

 

Net investment Income

 

1,063

 

974

 

 

 

 

 

1,063

 

974

 

Periodic settlements and accruals on
non-hedge derivative instruments

 

14

 

14

 

 

 

 

 

14

 

14

 

Contract benefits

 

(139

)

(135

)

(249

)

(260

)

 

 

(388

)

(395

)

Interest credited to contractholder funds (3)

 

(658

)

(597

)

 

 

 

 

(658

)

(597

)

 

 

$

280

 

$

256

 

$

116

 

$

116

 

$

79

 

$

129

 

$

475

 

$

501

 

 


(3)   Amortization of DSI was excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating gross margin.  Amortization of DSI totaled est. $9 million in the third quarter of 2006 and $11 million in the third quarter of 2005.

(4)   We disposed through reinsurance substantially all of our variable annuity business as of June 1, 2006.  In the third quarter of 2005 this business had a negative impact on our benefit margin of $5 million and had contract charges and fees of $63 million for a total impact on the gross margin of $58 million.

 

 

Nine Months Ended September 30,

 

 

 

Investment
Margin

 

Benefit
Margin(4)

 

Contract Charges and Fees(4)

 

Gross
Margin(4)

 


(in millions)

 

Est.
2006

 


2005

 

Est.
2006

 


2005

 

Est.
2006

 


2005

 

Est.
2006

 


2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Life and annuity premiums

 

$

 

$

 

$

631

 

$

689

 

$

 

$

 

$

631

 

$

689

 

Contract charges

 

 

 

482

 

465

 

341

 

371

 

823

 

836

 

Net investment Income

 

3,115

 

2,838

 

 

 

 

 

3,115

 

2,838

 

Periodic settlements and accruals on
non-hedge derivative instruments

 

44

 

49

 

 

 

 

 

44

 

49

 

Contract benefits

 

(405

)

(398

)

(730

)

(811

)

 

 

(1,135

)

(1,209

)

Interest credited to contractholder funds (3)

 

(1,907

)

(1,719

)

 

 

 

 

(1,907

)

(1,719

)

 

 

$

847

 

$

770

 

$

383

 

$

343

 

$

341

 

$

371

 

$

1,571

 

$

1,484

 

 


(3)   Amortization of DSI was excluded from interest credited to contractholder funds for purposes of calculating gross margin.  Amortization of DSI totaled est. $32 million in the first nine months of 2006 and $65 million in the first nine months of 2005.

(4)   We disposed through reinsurance substantially all of our variable annuity business as of June 1, 2006.  In the nine months ended September 30, 2005, this business had a negative impact on our benefit margin of $8 million and had contract charges and fees of $83 million for a total impact on the gross margin of $75 million.

Operating Measures

We believe that investors’ understanding of Allstate’s performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following operating financial measures.  Our method of calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

Premiums written is the amount of premiums charged for policies issued during a fiscal period.  Premiums earned is a GAAP measure.  Premiums are considered earned and are included in financial results on a pro-rata basis over the policy period.  The portion of premiums written applicable to the unexpired terms of the policies is recorded as unearned premiums on our Consolidated Statements of Financial Position. A reconciliation of premiums written to premiums earned is presented in the following table.

30




 

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 


($ in millions)

 

Est.
2006

 


2005

 

Est.
2006

 


2005

 

Premiums written

 

$

7,123

 

$

7,158

 

$

20,922

 

$

20,733

 

(Increase) decrease in Property-Liability unearned premiums

 

(352

)

(393

)

(609

)

(548

)

Other

 

30

 

16

 

224

 

16

 

Premiums earned

 

$

6,801

 

$

6,781

 

$

20,537

 

$

20,201

 

 

Premiums and deposits is an operating measure that we use to analyze production trends for Allstate Financial sales.  It includes premiums on insurance policies and annuities and all deposits and other funds received from customers on deposit-type products including the net new deposits of Allstate Bank, which we account for under GAAP as increases to liabilities rather than as revenue.

The following table illustrates where premiums and deposits are reflected in the consolidated financial statements.

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 


($ in millions)

 

Est.
2006

 


2005

 

Est.
2006

 


2005

 

Premiums and deposits excluding variable annuities

 

$

2,531

 

$

1,925

 

$

8,757

 

$

9,073

 

Variable annuity deposits(6)

 

 

452

 

678

 

1,315

 

Total premiums and deposits

 

2,531

 

2,377

 

9,435

 

10,388

 

Deposits to contractholder funds

 

(2,288

)

(1,783

)

(8,137

)

(8,614

)

Deposits to separate accounts

 

(32

)

(379

)

(680

)

(1,101

)

Change in unearned premiums and other adjustments

 

 

3

 

13

 

16

 

Life and annuity premiums (5)

 

$

211

 

$

218

 

$

631

 

$

689

 

 


(5)   Life and annuity contract charges in the amount of est. $233 million and $287 million for the three months ended September 30, 2006 and 2005, respectively, and est. $823 million and $836 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2006 and 2005, respectively, which are also revenues recognized for GAAP, have been excluded from the table above, but are a component of the Consolidated Statements of Operations line item life and annuity premiums and contract charges.

(6)   Disposed through reinsurance effective June 1, 2006.

New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies is an operating measure that we use to quantify the current year sales of financial products by the Allstate Agency proprietary distribution channel.  New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies includes proprietary products such as annual premiums on new life insurance policies, premiums and deposits on annuities, net new deposits in the Allstate Bank and sales of variable annuities, and non-proprietary products such as mutual funds.  New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies exclude renewal premiums on life insurance policies.  New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2006 and 2005 are presented in the following table.

 

Three Months Ended
September 30,

 

Nine Months Ended
September 30,

 


($ in millions)

 

Est.
2006

 


2005

 

Est.
2006

 


2005

 

Proprietary (excluding variable annuities)

 

$

315

 

$

303

 

$

892

 

$

912

 

Proprietary variable annuities(7)

 

60

 

83

 

266

 

239

 

Non-proprietary

 

203

 

160

 

577

 

497

 

Total

 

$

578

 

$

546

 

$

1,735

 

$

1,648

 

 


(7)   Disposed through reinsurance effective June 1, 2006.  The duration of the transition period of this reinsurance agreement is expected to be 24 months or less.

31




 

Forward-Looking Statements and Risk Factors

This press release contains forward-looking statements about our operating income per share for 2006 and our catastrophe exposure management strategies.  These statements are subject to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are based on management’s estimates, assumptions and projections.  Actual results may differ materially from those projected based on the risk factors described below.

·      While we believe that the actions we are taking to earn an acceptable return on the risks assumed in our property business and to reduce the associated variability of our earnings will be successful over the long term, it is possible that they will have a negative impact on near-term growth and earnings.  Homeowners premium growth rates and retention could be adversely impacted by adjustments to our business structure, size and underwriting practices in markets with significant catastrophe risk exposure.  In addition, due to the diminished potential for cross-selling opportunities, new business growth in our auto lines could be lower than expected.  Efforts to recover the costs of our catastrophe reinsurance program through rate increases may not be entirely successful due to resistance by regulators or non-renewal decisions by policyholders resulting in a lower amount of insurance in force.

·      We may continue to incur catastrophe losses in our property business in amounts in excess of those experienced in prior years, in excess of those that management projects would be incurred based on hurricane and earthquake losses which have a one percent probability of occurring on an annual aggregate countrywide basis, in excess of those that modelers estimate would be incurred based on other levels of probability, in excess of the average expected level, and in excess of our current reinsurance coverage limits.  To maintain our current ratings, rating agencies may require us to maintain our current level of capital despite our reductions in exposure to catastrophic risk.

·      Allstate Financial’s investment margin depends upon maintaining sufficient spreads between investment yields and crediting rates.  Additionally, changing interest rates may impact consumer demand for certain of Allstate Financial’s products.  Lower interest rates could decrease investment margins and the profitability of the Allstate Financial segment.  Higher interest rates could lead us to reset interest-crediting rates or result in increased surrenders and withdrawals, which may reduce investment margin and profitability of the Allstate Financial segment.

·      Results from the management and review of our investment portfolios could cause lower than expected net investment income.

·      Financial strength ratings are important factors in establishing the competitive position of insurance companies and generally have an effect on an insurance company’s business.  On an ongoing basis, rating agencies review the financial performance and condition of insurers and could downgrade or change the outlook on an insurer’s ratings due to, for example, a change in an insurer’s statutory capital; a change in a rating agency’s determination of the amount of risk-adjusted capital required to maintain a particular rating; an increase in the perceived risk of an insurer’s investment portfolio; a reduced confidence in management; or a host of other considerations that may or may not be under the insurer’s control.

·      The completion of the $4 billion stock repurchase program that we announced in November 2004 and the $3 billion stock repurchase program announced today are subject to the risks identified above and their impact on net income and cash flows, as well as management discretion and assessment of alternative uses of funds and the market price of Allstate’s common stock from time to time.

We undertake no obligation to publicly correct or update any forward-looking statements.  This press release contains unaudited financial information.

Now celebrating the 75th anniversary of the founding of Allstate Insurance Company, The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) is the nation’s largest publicly held personal lines insurer. Widely known through the “You’re In Good Hands With Allstate®” slogan, Allstate helps individuals in approximately 17 million households protect what they have today and better prepare for tomorrow through approximately 14,100 exclusive agencies and financial professionals in the U.S. and Canada. Customers can access Allstate products and services such as auto insurance and

32




 

homeowners insurance through Allstate agencies, or in select states at allstate.com and 1-800 Allstate®. EncompassSM and Deerbrook® Insurance brand property and casualty products are sold exclusively through independent agents. The Allstate Financial Group provides life insurance, supplemental accident and health insurance, annuity, banking and retirement products designed for individual, institutional and worksite customers that are distributed through Allstate agencies, independent agencies, financial institutions and broker-dealers.

We post an investor supplement on our web site. You can access it by going to allstate.com and clicking on “Investor Relations.” From there, go to the “Quarterly Investor Info” button.  We will post additional information to the supplement over the next 30 days as it becomes available.

Contact:

Michael Trevino

 

Robert Block, Larry Moews, Phil Dorn

Media Relations

 

Investor Relations

(847) 402-5600

 

(847) 402-2800

 

###

 

33