FWP 1 ms651_fwp-00396.htm PRELIMINARY TERMS NO. 651

January 2024

Preliminary Terms No. 651

Registration Statement Nos. 333-275587; 333-275587-01

Dated January 9, 2024

Filed pursuant to Rule 433

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Structured Investments

Opportunities in U.S. Equities

Jump Securities with Auto-Callable Feature due January 24, 2029

All Payments on the Securities Based on the Worst Performing of the Nasdaq-100 Index®, the Russell 2000® Index and the Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund

Fully and Unconditionally Guaranteed by Morgan Stanley

Principal at Risk Securities

The securities offered are unsecured obligations of Morgan Stanley Finance LLC (“MSFL”), fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Morgan Stanley, and have the terms described in the accompanying product supplement, index supplement and prospectus, as supplemented or modified by this document. The securities do not guarantee the repayment of principal and do not provide for the regular payment of interest. The securities will be automatically redeemed if the closing level of each of the Nasdaq-100 Index®, the Russell 2000® Index and the Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund which we refer to as the underlyings, on the first determination date is greater than or equal to 100% of its respective initial level, which we refer to as the respective call threshold level, for an early redemption payment of at least $1,300 per security (to be determined on the pricing date), as described below. No further payments will be made on the securities once they have been redeemed. At maturity, if the securities have not previously been redeemed and the final level of each underlying is greater than or equal to its respective initial level, investors will receive the stated principal amount of their investment plus a return reflecting 410% of the upside performance of the worst performing underlying. If the securities have not previously been redeemed and the final level of any underlying is less than its respective initial level but the final level of each underlying is greater than or equal to 70% of its respective initial level, which we refer to as the respective downside threshold level, investors will receive a payment at maturity of $1,000 per $1,000 security. However, if the securities are not redeemed prior to maturity and the final level of any underlying is less than its respective downside threshold level, investors will be exposed to the decline in the worst performing underlying on a 1-to-1 basis, and will receive a payment at maturity that is less than 70% of the stated principal amount of the securities and could be zero. Accordingly, investors in the securities must be willing to accept the risk of losing their entire initial investment. These long-dated securities are for investors who are willing to risk their principal and forgo current income in exchange for the possibility of receiving an early redemption payment if each underlying closes at or above the respective call threshold level on the first determination date and the potential upside exposure to the worst performing underlying at maturity. Because all payments on the securities are based on the worst performing of the underlyings, a decline beyond the respective downside threshold level of any underlying will result in a significant loss of your investment, even if the other underlyings have appreciated or have not declined as much. The securities are notes issued as part of MSFL’s Series A Global Medium-Term Notes program.

All payments are subject to our credit risk. If we default on our obligations, you could lose some or all of your investment. These securities are not secured obligations and you will not have any security interest in, or otherwise have any access to, any underlying reference asset or assets.

SUMMARY TERMS

Issuer:

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Guarantor:

Morgan Stanley

Underlyings:

Nasdaq-100 Index® (the “NDX Index”), Russell 2000® Index (the “RTY Index”) and Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund (the “XLE Shares”)

Aggregate principal amount:

$

Stated principal amount:

$1,000 per security

Issue price:

$1,000 per security

Pricing date:

January 19, 2024

Original issue date:

January 24, 2024 (3 business days after the pricing date)

Maturity date:

January 24, 2029

Early redemption:

If, on the first determination date, the closing level of each underlying is greater than or equal to its respective call threshold level, the securities will be automatically redeemed for the early redemption payment on the early redemption date.

The securities will not be redeemed early on the early redemption date if the closing level of any underlying is below its respective call threshold level on the first determination date.

Early redemption payment:

The early redemption payment will be an amount in cash per stated principal amount of at least $1,300 (to be determined on the pricing date), as set forth under “Determination Dates, Early Redemption Date and Early Redemption Payment” below.

No further payments will be made on the securities once they have been redeemed.

Determination dates:

See “Determination Dates, Early Redemption Date and Early Redemption Payment” below.

The determination dates are subject to postponement for non-index business days and certain market disruption events.

Early redemption date:

See “Determination Dates, Early Redemption Date and Early Redemption Payment” below. If such day is not a business day, the early redemption payment, if payable, will be paid on the next business day, and no adjustment will be made to the early redemption payment.

Downside threshold level:

With respect to the NDX Index, , which is 70% of its initial level

With respect to the RTY Index, , which is 70% of its initial level

With respect to the XLE Shares, $ , which is 70% of its initial level

Call threshold level:

With respect to the NDX Index, , which is 100% of its initial level

With respect to the RTY Index, , which is 100% of its initial level

With respect to the XLE Shares, $ , which is 100% of its initial level

Payment at maturity:

If the securities have not previously been redeemed, you will receive at maturity a cash payment per security as follows:

If the final level of each underlying is greater than or equal to its respective initial level:

$1,000 + ($1,000 × underlying percent change of the worst performing underlying × 410%)

If the final level of any underlying is less than its respective initial level but the final level of each underlying is greater than or equal to its respective downside threshold level:

$1,000

If the final level of any underlying is less than its respective downside threshold level:

$1,000 × performance factor of the worst performing underlying

Under these circumstances, you will lose more than 30%, and possibly all, of your investment.

 

Terms continued on the following page

Agent:

Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC (“MS & Co.”), an affiliate of MSFL and a wholly owned subsidiary of Morgan Stanley. See “Supplemental information regarding plan of distribution; conflicts of interest.”

Estimated value on the pricing date:

Approximately $947.40 per security, or within $55.00 of that estimate. See “Investment Summary” beginning on page 3.

Commissions and issue price:

Price to public (1)

Agent’s commissions and fees (2)

Proceeds to us(3)

Per security

$1,000

$

$

Total

$

$

$

(1)The securities will be sold only to investors purchasing the securities in fee-based advisory accounts.

(2)MS & Co. expects to sell all of the securities that it purchases from us to an unaffiliated dealer at a price of $ per security, for further sale to certain fee-based advisory accounts at the price to public of $1,000 per security. In addition, selected dealers and their financial advisors may receive a structuring fee of up to $6.25 for each security from the agent or its affiliates. MS & Co. will not receive a sales commission with respect to the securities. See “Supplemental information regarding plan of distribution; conflicts of interest.” For additional information, see “Plan of Distribution (Conflicts of Interest)” in the accompanying product supplement.

(3)See “Use of proceeds and hedging” on page 24.

The securities involve risks not associated with an investment in ordinary debt securities. See “Risk Factors” beginning on page 9.

The Securities and Exchange Commission and state securities regulators have not approved or disapproved these securities, or determined if this document or the accompanying product supplement, index supplement and prospectus is truthful or complete. Any representation to the contrary is a criminal offense.

The securities are not deposits or savings accounts and are not insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other governmental agency or instrumentality, nor are they obligations of, or guaranteed by, a bank.

You should read this document together with the related product supplement, index supplement and prospectus, each of which can be accessed via the hyperlinks below. Please also see “Additional Terms of the Securities” and “Additional Information About the Securities” at the end of this document.

As used in this document, “we,” “us” and “our” refer to Morgan Stanley or MSFL, or Morgan Stanley and MSFL collectively, as the context requires.

Product Supplement for Auto-Callable Securities dated November 16, 2023Index Supplement dated November 16, 2023Prospectus dated November 16, 2023

 

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Jump Securities with Auto-Callable Feature due January 24, 2029

All Payments on the Securities Based on the Worst Performing of the Nasdaq-100 Index®, the Russell 2000® Index and the Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund

Principal at Risk Securities

 

Terms continued from previous page:

Initial level:

With respect to the NDX Index, , which is its closing level on the pricing date

With respect to the RTY Index, , which is its closing level on the pricing date

With respect to the XLE Shares, $ , which is its closing level on the pricing date

Closing level:

With respect to the NDX Index, the index closing value for such underlying on any index business day

With respect to the RTY Index, the index closing value for such underlying on any index business day

With respect to the XLE Shares, the closing price for such underlying on any trading day times the adjustment factor on such day

Final level:

With respect to the NDX Index, the closing level on the final determination date

With respect to the RTY Index, the closing level on the final determination date

With respect to the XLE Shares, the closing level on the final determination date

Adjustment factor:

With respect to the XLE Shares, 1.0, subject to adjustment in the event of certain events affecting the XLE Shares

Worst performing underlying:

The underlying with the lesser underlying percent change

Underlying percent change:

With respect to each underlying, (final level – initial level) / initial level

Performance factor:

With respect to each underlying, the final level divided by the initial level

CUSIP / ISIN:

61771WMV7 / US61771WMV71

Listing:

The securities will not be listed on any securities exchange.

 

 

Determination Dates, Early Redemption Date and Early Redemption Payment

Determination Dates

Early Redemption Date

Early Redemption Payment
(per $1,000 Security)*

1st determination date:

8/19/2025

1st early redemption date:

8/22/2025

At least $1,300

Final determination date:

1/19/2029

See “Maturity date” above.

See “Payment at maturity” above.

 

*The actual early redemption payment will be determined on the pricing date and will be an amount in cash per stated principal amount corresponding to at least $1,300.

January 2024 Page 2

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Jump Securities with Auto-Callable Feature due January 24, 2029

All Payments on the Securities Based on the Worst Performing of the Nasdaq-100 Index®, the Russell 2000® Index and the Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund

Principal at Risk Securities

 

Investment Summary

Jump Securities with Auto-Callable Feature

Principal at Risk Securities

The Jump Securities with Auto-Callable Feature due January 24, 2029 All Payments on the Securities Based on the Worst Performing of the Nasdaq-100 Index®, the Russell 2000® Index and the Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund (the “securities”) do not provide for the regular payment of interest. Instead, the securities will be automatically redeemed if the closing level of each of the Nasdaq-100 Index®, the Russell 2000® Index and the Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund on the first determination date is greater than or equal to its respective call threshold level, for an early redemption of at least $1,300 (to be determined on the pricing date), as described below. No further payments will be made on the securities once they have been redeemed. At maturity, if the securities have not previously been redeemed and the final level of each underlying is greater than or equal to its respective initial level, investors will receive the stated principal amount of their investment plus a return reflecting 410% of the upside performance of the worst performing underlying. If the securities have not previously been redeemed and the final level of any underlying is less than its respective initial level but the final level of each underlying is greater than or equal to its respective downside threshold level, investors will receive a payment of maturity of $1,000 per $1,000 security. However, if the securities are not redeemed prior to maturity and the final level of any underlying is less than its respective downside threshold level, investors will be exposed to the decline in the worst performing underlying on a 1-to-1 basis, and will receive a payment at maturity that is less than 70% of the stated principal amount of the securities and could be zero. Accordingly, investors in the securities must be willing to accept the risk of losing their entire initial investment.

Maturity:

5 years

Automatic early redemption:

If, on the first determination date, the closing level of each underlying is greater than or equal to its respective call threshold level, the securities will be automatically redeemed for the early redemption payment on the early redemption date.

Early redemption payment:

The early redemption payment will be an amount in cash per stated principal amount as follows*:

1st determination date: At least $1,300

 

*The actual early redemption payment will be determined on the pricing date.

No further payments will be made on the securities once they have been redeemed.

Payment at maturity:

If the securities have not previously been redeemed, you will receive at maturity a cash payment per security as follows:

If the final level of each underlying is greater than or equal to its respective initial level:

$1,000 + ($1,000 × underlying percent change of the worst performing underlying × 410%)

If the final level of any underlying is less than its respective initial level but the final level of each underlying is greater than or equal to its respective downside threshold level:

$1,000

If the final level of any underlying is less than its respective downside threshold level:

$1,000 × performance factor of the worst performing underlying

Under these circumstances, investors will lose a significant portion or all of their investment. Accordingly, investors in the securities must be willing to accept the risk of losing their entire initial investment.




January 2024 Page 3

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Jump Securities with Auto-Callable Feature due January 24, 2029

All Payments on the Securities Based on the Worst Performing of the Nasdaq-100 Index®, the Russell 2000® Index and the Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund

Principal at Risk Securities

 

The original issue price of each security is $1,000. This price includes costs associated with issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities, which are borne by you, and, consequently, the estimated value of the securities on the pricing date will be less than $1,000. We estimate that the value of each security on the pricing date will be approximately $947.40, or within $55.00 of that estimate. Our estimate of the value of the securities as determined on the pricing date will be set forth in the final pricing supplement.

What goes into the estimated value on the pricing date?

In valuing the securities on the pricing date, we take into account that the securities comprise both a debt component and a performance-based component linked to the underlyings. The estimated value of the securities is determined using our own pricing and valuation models, market inputs and assumptions relating to the underlyings, instruments based on the underlyings, volatility and other factors including current and expected interest rates, as well as an interest rate related to our secondary market credit spread, which is the implied interest rate at which our conventional fixed rate debt trades in the secondary market.

What determines the economic terms of the securities?

In determining the economic terms of the securities, including the early redemption payment amount, the call threshold levels and the downside threshold levels, we use an internal funding rate, which is likely to be lower than our secondary market credit spreads and therefore advantageous to us. If the issuing, selling, structuring and hedging costs borne by you were lower or if the internal funding rate were higher, one or more of the economic terms of the securities would be more favorable to you.

What is the relationship between the estimated value on the pricing date and the secondary market price of the securities?

The price at which MS & Co. purchases the securities in the secondary market, absent changes in market conditions, including those related to the underlyings, may vary from, and be lower than, the estimated value on the pricing date, because the secondary market price takes into account our secondary market credit spread as well as the bid-offer spread that MS & Co. would charge in a secondary market transaction of this type and other factors. However, because the costs associated with issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities are not fully deducted upon issuance, for a period of up to 6 months following the issue date, to the extent that MS & Co. may buy or sell the securities in the secondary market, absent changes in market conditions, including those related to the underlyings, and to our secondary market credit spreads, it would do so based on values higher than the estimated value. We expect that those higher values will also be reflected in your brokerage account statements.

MS & Co. may, but is not obligated to, make a market in the securities, and, if it once chooses to make a market, may cease doing so at any time.

January 2024 Page 4

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Jump Securities with Auto-Callable Feature due January 24, 2029

All Payments on the Securities Based on the Worst Performing of the Nasdaq-100 Index®, the Russell 2000® Index and the Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund

Principal at Risk Securities

 

Key Investment Rationale

The securities do not provide for the regular payment of interest. Instead, the securities will be automatically redeemed if the closing level of each of the Nasdaq-100 Index®, the Russell 2000® Index and the Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund on the first determination date is greater than or equal to its respective call threshold level.

The following scenarios are for illustrative purposes only to demonstrate how an automatic early redemption payment or the payment at maturity (if the securities have not previously been redeemed) are calculated, and do not attempt to demonstrate every situation that may occur. Accordingly, the securities may or may not be redeemed prior to maturity and the payment at maturity may be less than 70% of the stated principal amount of the securities and may be zero.

Scenario 1: The securities are redeemed prior to maturity

When each underlying closes at or above its respective call threshold level on the first determination date, the securities will be automatically redeemed for the early redemption payment on the early redemption date. Investors do not participate in any appreciation in any underlying.

Scenario 2: The securities are not redeemed prior to maturity, and investors receive a positive return at maturity

This scenario assumes that any underlying closes below its respective call threshold level on the first determination date. Consequently, the securities are not redeemed prior to maturity. On the final determination date, each underlying closes above its respective initial level. At maturity, investors will receive the stated principal amount of their investment plus a return reflecting 410% of the upside performance of the worst performing underlying.

Scenario 3: The securities are not redeemed prior to maturity, and investors receive the return of principal at maturity

This scenario assumes that any underlying closes below its respective call threshold level on the first determination date. Consequently, the securities are not redeemed prior to maturity. On the final determination date, at least one underlying closes below its respective initial level, but the final level of each underlying is greater than or equal to its respective downside threshold level. At maturity, investors will receive a cash payment equal to $1,000 per $1,000 security.

Scenario 4: The securities are not redeemed prior to maturity, and investors suffer a substantial loss of principal at maturity

This scenario assumes that any underlying closes below its respective call threshold level on the first determination date. Consequently, the securities are not redeemed prior to maturity. On the final determination date, any underlying closes below its respective downside threshold level. At maturity, investors will receive an amount equal to the stated principal amount multiplied by the performance factor of the worst performing underlying. Under these circumstances, the payment at maturity will be significantly less than the stated principal amount and could be zero.

January 2024 Page 5

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Jump Securities with Auto-Callable Feature due January 24, 2029

All Payments on the Securities Based on the Worst Performing of the Nasdaq-100 Index®, the Russell 2000® Index and the Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund

Principal at Risk Securities

 

Hypothetical Examples

The following hypothetical examples are for illustrative purposes only. Whether the securities are redeemed prior to maturity will be determined by reference to the closing level of each underlying on the first determination date, and the payment at maturity, if any, will be determined by reference to the closing level of each underlying on the final determination date. The actual early redemption payment will be determined on the pricing date. Some numbers appearing in the examples below have been rounded for ease of analysis. All payments on the securities are subject to our credit risk. The below examples are based on the following terms:

Hypothetical Early Redemption Payment:

The hypothetical early redemption payment will be an amount in cash per stated principal amount as follows:

1st determination date: $1,300

 

No further payments will be made on the securities once they have been redeemed.

Payment at Maturity:

If the securities have not previously been redeemed, you will receive at maturity a cash payment per security as follows:

If the final level of each underlying is greater than or equal to its initial level:

$1,000 + ($1,000 × underlying percent change of the worst performing underlying × 410%)

If the final level of any underlying is less than its respective initial level but the final level of each underlying is greater than or equal to its respective downside threshold level:

$1,000

If the final level of any underlying is less than its respective downside threshold level:

$1,000 × performance factor of the worst performing underlying.

Under these circumstances, you will lose a significant portion or all of your investment.

Stated Principal Amount:

$1,000

Hypothetical Initial Level:

With respect to the NDX Index: 15,000

With respect to the XLE Shares: $80.00

With respect to the RTY Index: 1,200

Hypothetical Downside Threshold Level:

With respect to the NDX Index: 10,500 which is 70% of its hypothetical initial level

With respect to the XLE Shares: $56.00, which is 70% of its hypothetical initial level

With respect to the RTY Index: 840 which is 70% of its hypothetical initial level

Hypothetical Call Threshold Level:

With respect to the NDX Index: 15,000, which is 100% of its hypothetical initial level

With respect to the XLE Shares: $80.00, which is 100% of its hypothetical initial level

With respect to the RTY Index: 1,200, which is 100% of its hypothetical initial level

January 2024 Page 6

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Jump Securities with Auto-Callable Feature due January 24, 2029

All Payments on the Securities Based on the Worst Performing of the Nasdaq-100 Index®, the Russell 2000® Index and the Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund

Principal at Risk Securities

 

Automatic Call:

Example 1 — the securities are redeemed following the first determination date

Date

NDX Index Closing Level

XLE Shares Closing Level

RTY Index Closing Level

Payment (per Security)

1st Determination Date

16,000 (at or above the call threshold level)

$90.00 (at or above the call threshold level)

1,750 (at or above the call threshold level)

$1,300

In this example, on the first determination date, the closing level of each underlying is at or above the respective call threshold level. Therefore, the securities are automatically redeemed on the early redemption date. Investors will receive a payment of $1,300 per security on the early redemption date. No further payments will be made on the securities once they have been redeemed, and investors do not participate in the appreciation in any underlying.

How to calculate the payment at maturity:

In the following examples, one or more of the underlyings close below the respective call threshold level(s) on the first determination date, and, consequently, the securities are not automatically redeemed prior to, and remain outstanding until, maturity.

 

NDX Index Final Level

XLE Shares Final Level

RTY Index Final Level

Payment at Maturity (per Security)

Example 1:

16,500 (at or above its initial level)

$104.00 (at or above its initial level)

1,680 (at or above its initial level)

$1,000 + ($1,000 × 10% × 410%) = $1,410

 

Example 2:

18,000 (at or above its initial level and downside threshold level)

$64.00 (below its initial level but at or above its downside threshold level)

1,320 (at or above its initial level and downside threshold level)

$1,000

Example 3:

18,000 (at or above its initial level and downside threshold level)

$100.00 (at or above its initial level and downside threshold level)

480 (below its downside threshold level)

$1,000 × (480 / 1,200) = $400

Example 4:

18,000 (at or above its initial level and downside threshold level)

$16.00 (below its downside threshold level)

900 (below its initial level but at or above its downside threshold level)

$1,000 × ($16.00 / $80.00) = $200

Example 5:

3,000 (below its downside threshold level)

$36.00 (below its downside threshold level)

600 (below its downside threshold level)

$1,000 × (3,000 / 15,000) = $200

In example 1, the final level of each underlying is at or above its respective initial level. The NDX Index has appreciated by 10% while the XLE Shares have appreciated 30% and the RTY Index has appreciated by 40%. Therefore, investors receive at maturity the stated principal amount plus a return reflecting 410% of the appreciation of the worst performing underlying, which is the NDX Index in this example. Investors receive $1,410 per security at maturity.

In example 2, the final levels of two of the underlyings are at or above their initial levels and downside threshold levels, but the final level of the other underlying is below its initial level and at or above its downside threshold level. The NDX Index has increased 20% from its initial level to its final level, the RTY Index has increased 10% from its initial level to its final level and the XLE Shares have declined 20% from its initial level to its final level. Therefore, investors receive $1,000 per security at maturity. Investors do not participate in any appreciation in any underlying.

In example 3, the final levels of two of the underlyings are at or above their initial levels and downside threshold levels, but the final level of the other underlying is below its respective downside threshold level. Therefore, investors are exposed to the downside performance of the worst performing underlying at maturity. The NDX Index has increased 20% from its initial level to its final level, the XLE Shares have increased 25% from its initial level to its final level and the RTY Index has declined 60% from its initial level to its final level. Therefore, investors receive at maturity an amount equal to the stated principal amount multiplied by the performance factor of the RTY Index, which is the worst performing underlying in this example.

In example 4, the final level of one of the underlyings is at or above its initial level and downside threshold level, the final level of one of the underlyings is below its initial level and at or above its downside threshold level, and the final level of the other underlying is below its respective downside threshold level. Therefore, investors are exposed to the downside performance of the worst performing underlying at maturity. The NDX Index has increased 20% from its initial level to its final level, the RTY Index has declined 25% from its initial level to its final level and the

January 2024 Page 7

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Jump Securities with Auto-Callable Feature due January 24, 2029

All Payments on the Securities Based on the Worst Performing of the Nasdaq-100 Index®, the Russell 2000® Index and the Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund

Principal at Risk Securities

 

XLE Shares have declined 80% from its initial level to its final level. Therefore, investors receive at maturity an amount equal to the stated principal amount multiplied by the performance factor of the XLE Shares, which is the worst performing underlying in this example.

In example 5, the final level of each underlying is below its respective downside threshold level, and investors receive at maturity an amount equal to the stated principal amount multiplied by the performance factor of the worst performing underlying. The NDX Index has declined 80% from its initial level to its final level, the XLE Shares have declined 55% from its initial level to its final level and the RTY Index has declined 50% from its initial level to its final level. Therefore, the payment at maturity equals the stated principal amount multiplied by the performance factor of the NDX Index, which is the worst performing underlying in this example.

If the final level of any underlying is below its respective downside threshold level, you will be exposed to the downside performance of the worst performing underlying at maturity, and your payment at maturity will be less than 70% of the stated principal amount per security and could be zero.

 

January 2024 Page 8

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Jump Securities with Auto-Callable Feature due January 24, 2029

All Payments on the Securities Based on the Worst Performing of the Nasdaq-100 Index®, the Russell 2000® Index and the Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund

Principal at Risk Securities

 

Risk Factors

This section describes the material risks relating to the securities. For further discussion of these and other risks, you should read the section entitled “Risk Factors” in the accompanying product supplement, index supplement and prospectus. We also urge you to consult with your investment, legal, tax, accounting and other advisers in connection with your investment in the securities.

Risks Relating to an Investment in the Securities

The securities do not pay interest or guarantee the return of any principal. The terms of the securities differ from those of ordinary debt securities in that they do not pay interest or guarantee the return of any of the principal amount at maturity. If the securities have not been automatically redeemed prior to maturity and if the final level of any underlying is less than its respective downside threshold level of 70% of its initial level, you will be exposed to the decline in the value of the worst performing underlying, as compared to its initial level, on a 1-to-1 basis, and you will receive for each security that you hold at maturity an amount equal to the stated principal amount multiplied by the performance factor of the worst performing underlying. In this case, the payment at maturity will be less than 70% of the stated principal amount and could be zero.

If the securities are redeemed prior to maturity, the appreciation potential of the securities is limited by the fixed early redemption payment specified for the first determination date. If each underlying closes at or above its respective call threshold level on the first determination date, the securities will be automatically redeemed. In this scenario, the appreciation potential of the securities is limited to the fixed early redemption payment specified for the first determination date, and no further payments will be made on the securities once they have been redeemed. In addition, if the securities are redeemed prior to maturity, you will not participate in any appreciation of any underlying, which could be significant. Moreover, the fixed early redemption payment may be less than the payment at maturity you would receive for the same level of appreciation of the worst performing underlying had the securities not been automatically redeemed and instead remained outstanding until maturity.

The market price will be influenced by many unpredictable factors. Several factors, many of which are beyond our control, will influence the value of the securities in the secondary market and the price at which MS & Co. may be willing to purchase or sell the securities in the secondary market. We expect that generally the level of interest rates available in the market and the value of each underlying on any day, including in relation to its respective initial level, call threshold level and downside threshold level, will affect the value of the securities more than any other factors. Other factors that may influence the value of the securities include:

othe volatility (frequency and magnitude of changes in value) of the underlyings and the stocks constituting the NDX Index, the RTY Index and the Energy Select Sector Index (the “share underlying index”),

ogeopolitical conditions and economic, financial, political, regulatory or judicial events that affect the underlyings or securities markets generally and which may affect the levels of each underlying,

odividend rates on the stocks constituting the NDX Index, the RTY Index and the share underlying index,

othe time remaining until the securities mature,

ointerest and yield rates in the market,

othe availability of comparable instruments,

othe composition of the underlyings and changes in the constituent stocks of the NDX Index, the RTY Index and the share underlying index,

othe occurrence of certain events affecting the XLE Shares that may or may not require an adjustment to the adjustment factor, and

oany actual or anticipated changes in our credit ratings or credit spreads.

 

Generally, the longer the time remaining to maturity, the more the market price of the securities will be affected by the other factors described above. Some or all of these factors will influence the price that you will receive if you sell your securities prior to maturity. For example, you may have to sell your securities at a substantial discount from the stated principal amount of $1,000 per security if the price of any underlying at the time of sale is near or below its downside threshold level or if market interest rates rise.

You cannot predict the future performance of any underlying based on its historical performance. The value(s) of one or more of the underlyings may decrease so that you will receive no return on your investment and receive a payment at maturity that is less than 70% of the stated principal amount. See Nasdaq-100 Index® Overview,” Russell 2000® Index Overview” and Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund Overview” below.

January 2024 Page 9

Morgan Stanley Finance LLC

Jump Securities with Auto-Callable Feature due January 24, 2029

All Payments on the Securities Based on the Worst Performing of the Nasdaq-100 Index®, the Russell 2000® Index and the Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund

Principal at Risk Securities

 

The securities are subject to our credit risk, and any actual or anticipated changes to our credit ratings or credit spreads may adversely affect the market value of the securities. You are dependent on our ability to pay all amounts due on the securities upon an early redemption or at maturity and therefore you are subject to our credit risk. If we default on our obligations under the securities, your investment would be at risk and you could lose some or all of your investment. As a result, the market value of the securities prior to maturity will be affected by changes in the market’s view of our creditworthiness. Any actual or anticipated decline in our credit ratings or increase in the credit spreads charged by the market for taking our credit risk is likely to adversely affect the market value of the securities.

As a finance subsidiary, MSFL has no independent operations and will have no independent assets. As a finance subsidiary, MSFL has no independent operations beyond the issuance and administration of its securities and will have no independent assets available for distributions to holders of MSFL securities if they make claims in respect of such securities in a bankruptcy, resolution or similar proceeding. Accordingly, any recoveries by such holders will be limited to those available under the related guarantee by Morgan Stanley and that guarantee will rank pari passu with all other unsecured, unsubordinated obligations of Morgan Stanley. Holders will have recourse only to a single claim against Morgan Stanley and its assets under the guarantee. Holders of securities issued by MSFL should accordingly assume that in any such proceedings they would not have any priority over and should be treated pari passu with the claims of other unsecured, unsubordinated creditors of Morgan Stanley, including holders of Morgan Stanley-issued securities.

Not equivalent to investing in the underlyings or the stocks composing the NDX Index, the RTY Index or the share underlying index. Investing in the securities is not equivalent to investing in the underlyings or the stocks that constitute the NDX Index, the RTY Index or the share underlying index. Investors in the securities will not have voting rights or rights to receive dividends or other distributions or any other rights with respect to stocks that constitute the NDX Index, the RTY Index or the share underlying index.

Reinvestment risk. The term of your investment in the securities may be shortened due to the automatic early redemption feature of the securities. If the securities are redeemed prior to maturity, you will receive no further payments on the securities and may be forced to invest in a lower interest rate environment and may not be able to reinvest at comparable terms or returns. However, under no circumstances will the securities be redeemed at any point other than the specified early redemption date.

The securities will not be listed on any securities exchange and secondary trading may be limited, and accordingly, you should be willing to hold your securities for the entire 5-year term of the securities. The securities will not be listed on any securities exchange. Therefore, there may be little or no secondary market for the securities. MS & Co. may, but is not obligated to, make a market in the securities and, if it once chooses to make a market, may cease doing so at any time. When it does make a market, it will generally do so for transactions of routine secondary market size at prices based on its estimate of the current value of the securities, taking into account its bid/offer spread, our credit spreads, market volatility, the notional size of the proposed sale, the cost of unwinding any related hedging positions, the time remaining to maturity and the likelihood that it will be able to resell the securities. Even if there is a secondary market, it may not provide enough liquidity to allow you to trade or sell the securities easily. Since other broker-dealers may not participate significantly in the secondary market for the securities, the price at which you may be able to trade your securities is likely to depend on the price, if any, at which MS & Co. is willing to transact. If, at any time, MS & Co. were to cease making a market in the securities, it is likely that there would be no secondary market for the securities. Accordingly, you should be willing to hold your securities to maturity.

The rate we are willing to pay for securities of this type, maturity and issuance size is likely to be lower than the rate implied by our secondary market credit spreads and advantageous to us. Both the lower rate and the inclusion of costs associated with issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities in the original issue price reduce the economic terms of the securities, cause the estimated value of the securities to be less than the original issue price and will adversely affect secondary market prices. Assuming no change in market conditions or any other relevant factors, the prices, if any, at which dealers, including MS & Co., may be willing to purchase the securities in secondary market transactions will likely be significantly lower than the original issue price, because secondary market prices will exclude the issuing, selling, structuring and hedging-related costs that are included in the original issue price and borne by you and because the secondary market prices will reflect our secondary market credit spreads and the bid-offer spread that any dealer would charge in a secondary market transaction of this type as well as other factors.

The inclusion of the costs of issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities in the original issue price and the lower rate we are willing to pay as issuer make the economic terms of the securities less favorable to you than they otherwise would be.

However, because the costs associated with issuing, selling, structuring and hedging the securities are not fully deducted upon issuance, for a period of up to 6 months following the issue date, to the extent that MS & Co. may buy or sell the securities in the secondary market, absent changes in market conditions, including those related to the underlyings, and to our secondary market credit spreads, it would do so based on values higher than the estimated value, and we expect that those higher values will also be reflected in your brokerage account statements.

The estimated value of the securities is determined by reference to our pricing and valuation models, which may differ from those of other dealers, and is not a maximum or minimum secondary market price. These pricing and valuation models are proprietary and

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rely in part on subjective views of certain market inputs and certain assumptions about future events, which may prove to be incorrect. As a result, because there is no market-standard way to value these types of securities, our models may yield a higher estimated value of the securities than those generated by others, including other dealers in the market, if they attempted to value the securities. In addition, the estimated value on the pricing date does not represent a minimum or maximum price at which dealers, including MS & Co., would be willing to purchase your securities in the secondary market (if any exists) at any time. The value of your securities at any time after the date of this document will vary based on many factors that cannot be predicted with accuracy, including our creditworthiness and changes in market conditions. See also “The market price will be influenced by many unpredictable factors” above.

Hedging and trading activity by our affiliates could potentially affect the value of the securities. One or more of our affiliates and/or third-party dealers expect to carry out hedging activities related to the securities (and to other instruments linked to the underlyings and the share underlying index), including taking positions in the XLE Shares and the stocks constituting the NDX Index, the RTY Index or the share underlying index, futures and/or options contracts on the underlyings or the component stock of the share underlying index listed on major securities markets. As a result, these entities may be unwinding or adjusting hedge positions during the term of the securities, and the hedging strategy may involve greater and more frequent dynamic adjustments to the hedge as the final determination date approaches. Some of our affiliates also trade the underlyings and other financial instruments related to the underlyings and the share underlying index on a regular basis as part of their general broker-dealer and other businesses. Any of these hedging or trading activities on or prior to the pricing date could potentially increase the initial level of an underlying, and, therefore, could increase (i) the value at or above which such underlying must close on the first determination date so that the securities are redeemed prior to maturity for the early redemption payment (depending also on the performance of the other underlyings) and (ii) the downside threshold level for such underlying, which is the value at or above which such underlying must close on the final determination date so that you are not exposed to the negative performance of the worst performing underlying at maturity (depending also on the performance of the other underlyings). Additionally, such hedging or trading activities during the term of the securities could potentially affect the value of any underlying on the determination dates, and, accordingly, whether we redeem the securities prior to maturity and the amount of cash you will receive at maturity, if any.

The calculation agent, which is a subsidiary of Morgan Stanley and an affiliate of MSFL, will make determinations with respect to the securities. As calculation agent, MS & Co. will determine the initial levels, the call threshold levels, the downside threshold levels, the final levels, whether the securities will be redeemed on the early redemption date , whether a market disruption event has occurred, whether to make any adjustments to the adjustment factors and the payment at maturity, if any. Moreover, certain determinations made by MS & Co., in its capacity as calculation agent, may require it to exercise discretion and make subjective judgments, such as with respect to the occurrence or non-occurrence of market disruption events or calculation of a closing level in the event of a market disruption event or discontinuance of an underlying. These potentially subjective determinations may affect the payout to you upon an early redemption or at maturity, if any. For further information regarding these types of determinations, see “Description of Auto-Callable Securities—Postponement of Determination Dates,” “—Alternate Exchange Calculation in Case of an Event of Default,” “—Discontinuance of Any Underlying Index; Alteration of Method of Calculation,” “—Calculation Agent and Calculations” and” “Description of Auto-Callable Securities—Auto-Callable Securities Linked to Underlying Shares” in the accompanying product supplement. In addition, MS & Co. has determined the estimated value of the securities on the pricing date.

The U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities are uncertain. Please read the discussion under “Additional Information—Tax considerations” in this document and the discussion under “United States Federal Taxation” in the accompanying product supplement for auto-callable securities (together, the “Tax Disclosure Sections”) concerning the U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities. As discussed in the Tax Disclosure Sections, there is a substantial risk that the “constructive ownership” rule could apply, in which case all or a portion of any long-term capital gain recognized by a U.S. Holder could be recharacterized as ordinary income and an interest charge could be imposed. If the Internal Revenue Service (the “IRS”) were successful in asserting an alternative treatment, the timing and character of income on the securities might differ significantly from the tax treatment described in the Tax Disclosure Sections. For example, under one possible treatment, the IRS could seek to recharacterize the securities as debt instruments. In that event, U.S. Holders would be required to accrue into income original issue discount on the securities every year at a “comparable yield” determined at the time of issuance and recognize all income and gain in respect of the securities as ordinary income. The risk that financial instruments providing for buffers, triggers or similar downside protection features, such as the securities, would be recharacterized as debt is greater than the risk of recharacterization for comparable financial instruments that do not have such features. We do not plan to request a ruling from the IRS regarding the tax treatment of the securities, and the IRS or a court may not agree with the tax treatment described in the Tax Disclosure Sections.

In 2007, the U.S. Treasury Department and the IRS released a notice requesting comments on the U.S. federal income tax treatment of “prepaid forward contracts” and similar instruments. The notice focuses in particular on whether to require holders of these instruments to accrue income over the term of their investment. It also asks for comments on a number of related topics, including the character of income or loss with respect to these instruments; whether short-term instruments should be subject to any such accrual regime; the relevance of factors such as the exchange-traded status of the instruments and the nature of the underlying property to which the instruments are linked; the degree, if any, to which income (including any mandated accruals) realized by non-U.S. investors should be subject to withholding tax;

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and whether these instruments are or should be subject to the “constructive ownership” rule, as discussed in this document. While the notice requests comments on appropriate transition rules and effective dates, any Treasury regulations or other guidance promulgated after consideration of these issues could materially and adversely affect the tax consequences of an investment in the securities, possibly with retroactive effect. Both U.S. and Non-U.S. Holders should consult their tax advisers regarding the U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities, including possible alternative treatments, the potential application of the constructive ownership rule, the issues presented by this notice and any tax consequences arising under the laws of any state, local or non-U.S. taxing jurisdiction.

Risks Relating to the Underlyings

You are exposed to the price risk of each underlying. Your return on the securities is not linked to a basket consisting of the underlyings. Rather, it will be contingent upon the independent performance of each underlying. Unlike an instrument with a return linked to a basket of underlying assets, in which risk is mitigated and diversified among all the components of the basket, you will be exposed to the risks related to each underlying. Poor performance by any underlying over the term of the securities may negatively affect your return and will not be offset or mitigated by any positive performance by the other underlyings. To receive the early redemption payment, each underlying must close at or above its respective call threshold level on the first determination date. In addition, if the securities have not been automatically redeemed early and any underlying has declined to below its respective downside threshold level as of the final determination date, you will be fully exposed to the decline in the worst performing underlying over the term of the securities on a 1-to-1 basis, even if one or both of the other underlyings have appreciated or have not declined as much. Under this scenario, the value of any such payment will be less than 70% of the stated principal amount and could be zero. Accordingly, your investment is subject to the price risk of each underlying.

The securities are linked to the Russell 2000® Index and are subject to risks associated with small-capitalization companies. As the Russell 2000® Index is one of the underlyings, and the Russell 2000® Index consists of stocks issued by companies with relatively small market capitalization, the securities are linked to the value of small-capitalization companies. These companies often have greater stock price volatility, lower trading volume and less liquidity than large-capitalization companies and therefore the Russell 2000® Index may be more volatile than indices that consist of stocks issued by large-capitalization companies. Stock prices of small-capitalization companies are also more vulnerable than those of large-capitalization companies to adverse business and economic developments, and the stocks of small-capitalization companies may be thinly traded. In addition, small capitalization companies are typically less well-established and less stable financially than large-capitalization companies and may depend on a small number of key personnel, making them more vulnerable to loss of personnel. Such companies tend to have smaller revenues, less diverse product lines, smaller shares of their product or service markets, fewer financial resources and less competitive strengths than large-capitalization companies and are more susceptible to adverse developments related to their products.

Investing in the securities exposes investors to risks associated with investments in securities with a concentration in the energy sector.  The stocks included in the Energy Select Sector Index and that are generally tracked by the XLE Shares are stocks of companies whose primary business is directly associated with the energy sector, including the following sub-sectors: (i) oil, gas and consumable fuels and (ii) energy equipment and services. Because the value of the securities is linked to the performance of the XLE Shares, an investment in the securities exposes investors to risks associated with investments in securities with a concentration in the energy sector.

Energy companies develop and produce crude oil and natural gas and/or provide drilling and other energy resources production and distribution related services. Stock prices for these types of companies are mainly affected by the business, financial and operating condition of the particular company, as well as changes in prices for oil, gas and other types of fuels, which in turn largely depend on supply and demand for various energy products and services. Some of the factors that may influence supply and demand for energy products and services include: general economic conditions and growth rates, weather conditions, the cost of exploring for, producing and delivering oil and gas, technological advances affecting energy efficiency and energy consumption, the ability of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to set and maintain production levels of oil, currency fluctuations, inflation, natural disasters, civil unrest, acts of sabotage or terrorism and other regional or global events. The profitability of energy companies may also be adversely affected by existing and future laws, regulations, government actions and other legal requirements relating to protection of the environment, health and safety matters and others that may increase the costs of conducting their business or may reduce or delay available business opportunities. Increased supply or weak demand for energy products and services, as well as various developments leading to higher costs of doing business or missed business opportunities, would adversely impact the performance of companies in the energy sector. The value of the securities may be subject to greater volatility and be more adversely affected by a single economic, political or regulatory occurrence affecting the energy sector or one of the sub-sectors of the energy sector than a different investment linked to securities of a more broadly diversified group of issuers.

Adjustments to the RTY Index or the NDX Index could adversely affect the value of the securities. The publisher of each of the RTY Index and the NDX Index may add, delete or substitute the component stocks of such underlying or make other methodological changes that could change the value of such underlying. Any of these actions could adversely affect the value of the securities. The publisher of

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each the RTY Index and the NDX Index may also discontinue or suspend calculation or publication of such underlying at any time. In these circumstances, MS & Co., as the calculation agent, will have the sole discretion to substitute a successor index that is comparable to the discontinued index. MS & Co. could have an economic interest that is different than that of investors in the securities insofar as, for example, MS & Co. is permitted to consider indices that are calculated and published by MS & Co. or any of its affiliates. If MS & Co. determines that there is no appropriate successor index, the payment at maturity on the securities will be an amount based on the closing prices of the stocks constituting such underlying at the time of such discontinuance, without rebalancing or substitution, computed by MS & Co. as calculation agent in accordance with the formula for calculating such underlying last in effect prior to such discontinuance.

Adjustments to the XLE Shares or the share underlying index could adversely affect the value of the securities. The investment adviser to the XLE Shares, SSGA Funds Management, Inc. (the “Investment Adviser”), seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of the Energy Select Sector Index (the “share underlying index”). Pursuant to its investment strategy or otherwise, the Investment Adviser may add, delete or substitute the stocks composing the XLE Shares. Any of these actions could adversely affect the price of the XLE Shares and, consequently, the value of the securities. S&P® Dow Jones Indices LLC (“S&P®”) is responsible for calculating and maintaining the share underlying index. S&P® may add, delete or substitute the stocks constituting the share underlying index or make other methodological changes that could change the value of the share underlying index. S&P® may discontinue or suspend calculation or publication of the share underlying index at any time. If trading in the underlying shares is permanently discontinued and/or the XLE Shares is liquidated or otherwise terminated, and S&P® subsequently discontinues publication of the share underlying index, the calculation agent will have the sole discretion to substitute a successor index that is comparable to the discontinued share underlying index and is permitted to consider indices that are calculated and published by the calculation agent or any of its affiliates. Any of these actions could adversely affect the value of the share underlying index, and, consequently, the price of the XLE Shares and the value of the securities.

The performance and market price of the XLE Shares, particularly during periods of market volatility, may not correlate with the performance of the share underlying index, the performance of the component securities of the share underlying index or the net asset value per share of the XLE Shares. The XLE Shares do not fully replicate the share underlying index and may hold securities that are different than those included in the share underlying index. In addition, the performance of the XLE Shares will reflect additional transaction costs and fees that are not included in the calculation of the share underlying index. All of these factors may lead to a lack of correlation between the performance of XLE Shares and the share underlying index. In addition, corporate actions (such as mergers and spin-offs) with respect to the equity securities underlying the XLE Shares may impact the variance between the performances of XLE Shares and the share underlying index. Finally, because the shares of the XLE Shares are traded on an exchange and are subject to market supply and investor demand, the market price of one share of the XLE Shares may differ from the net asset value per share of the XLE Shares.

In particular, during periods of market volatility, or unusual trading activity, trading in the securities underlying the XLE Shares may be disrupted or limited, or such securities may be unavailable in the secondary market. Under these circumstances, the liquidity of the XLE Shares may be adversely affected, market participants may be unable to calculate accurately the net asset value per share of the XLE Shares, and their ability to create and redeem shares of the XLE Shares may be disrupted. Under these circumstances, the market price of shares of the XLE Shares may vary substantially from the net asset value per share of the XLE Shares or the level of the share underlying index.

For all of the foregoing reasons, the performance of the XLE Shares may not correlate with the performance of the share underlying index, the performance of the component securities of the share underlying index or the net asset value per share of the XLE Shares. Any of these events could materially and adversely affect the price of the shares of the XLE Shares and, therefore, the value of the securities. Additionally, if market volatility or these events were to occur on the final observation date, the calculation agent would maintain discretion to determine whether such market volatility or events have caused a market disruption event to occur, and such determination may affect the payment at maturity of the securities. If the calculation agent determines that no market disruption event has taken place, the payment at maturity would be based on the published closing price per share of the XLE Shares on the final observation date, even if the XLE Shares’ shares are underperforming the share underlying index or the component securities of the share underlying index and/or trading below the net asset value per share of the XLE Shares.

The antidilution adjustments the calculation agent is required to make do not cover every event that could affect the XLE Shares. MS & Co., as calculation agent, will adjust the adjustment factor for certain events affecting the XLE Shares. However, the calculation agent will not make an adjustment for every event that could affect the XLE Shares. If an event occurs that does not require the calculation agent to adjust the adjustment factor, the market price of the securities may be materially and adversely affected.

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Nasdaq-100 Index® Overview

The Nasdaq-100 Index®, which is calculated, maintained and published by Nasdaq, Inc., is a modified capitalization-weighted index of 100 of the largest and most actively traded equity securities of non-financial companies listed on The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (the “Nasdaq”). The Nasdaq-100 Index® includes companies across a variety of major industry groups. At any moment in time, the value of the Nasdaq-100 Index® equals the aggregate value of the then-current Nasdaq-100 Index® share weights of each of the Nasdaq-100 Index® component securities, which are based on the total shares outstanding of each such Nasdaq-100 Index® component security, multiplied by each such security’s respective last sale price on the Nasdaq (which may be the official closing price published by the Nasdaq), and divided by a scaling factor, which becomes the basis for the reported Nasdaq-100 Index® value. For additional information about the Nasdaq-100 Index®, see the information set forth under “Nasdaq-100 Index®” in the accompanying index supplement.

Information as of market close on January 8, 2024:

Bloomberg Ticker Symbol:

NDX

52 Week High (on 12/27/2023):

16,906.80

Current Index Value:

16,649.88

52 Week Low (on 1/9/2023):

11,108.45

52 Weeks Ago:

11,108.45

 

 

The following graph sets forth the daily index closing values of the NDX Index for the period from January 1, 2019 through January 8, 2024. The related table sets forth the published high and low index closing values, as well as the end-of-quarter index closing values, of the NDX Index for each quarter in the same period. The index closing value of the NDX Index on January 8, 2024 was 16,649.88. We obtained the information in the graph and table below from Bloomberg Financial Markets, without independent verification. The historical index closing values of the NDX Index should not be taken as an indication of future performance, and no assurance can be given as to the value of the NDX Index at any time, including on the determination dates.

NDX Index Daily Index Closing Values

January 1, 2019 to January 8, 2024

 

 

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Nasdaq-100 Index®

High

Low

Period End

2019

 

 

 

First Quarter

7,493.27

6,147.13

7,378.77

Second Quarter

7,845.73

6,978.02

7,671.08

Third Quarter

8,016.95

7,415.69

7,749.45

Fourth Quarter

8,778.31

7,550.79

8,733.07

2020

 

 

 

First Quarter

9,718.73

6,994.29

7,813.50

Second Quarter

10,209.82

7,486.29

10,156.85

Third Quarter

12,420.54

10,279.25

11,418.06

Fourth Quarter

12,888.28

11,052.95

12,888.28

2021

 

 

 

First Quarter

13,807.70

12,299.08

13,091.44

Second Quarter

14,572.75

13,001.63

14,554.80

Third Quarter

15,675.76

14,549.09

14,689.62

Fourth Quarter

16,573.34

14,472.12

16,320.08

2022

 

 

 

First Quarter

16,501.77

13,046.64

14,838.49

Second Quarter

15,159.58

11,127.57

11,503.72

Third Quarter

13,667.18

10,971.22

10,971.22

Fourth Quarter

12,041.89

10,679.34

10,939.76

2023

 

 

 

First Quarter

13,181.35

10,741.22

13,181.35

Second Quarter

15,185.48

12,725.11

15,179.21

Third Quarter

15,841.35

14,545.83

14,715.24

Fourth Quarter

16,906.80

14,109.57

16,825.93

2024

 

 

 

First Quarter (through January 8, 2024)

16,649.88

16,282.01

16,649.88

“Nasdaq®,” “Nasdaq-100®” and “Nasdaq-100 Index®” are trademarks of Nasdaq, Inc. For more information, see “Nasdaq-100 Index®” in the accompanying index supplement.

 

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Russell 2000® Index Overview

The Russell 2000® Index is an index calculated, published and disseminated by FTSE International Limited (“FTSE Russell”), and measures the capitalization-weighted price performance of 2,000 U.S. small-capitalization stocks listed on eligible U.S. exchanges. The Russell 2000® Index is designed to track the performance of the small-capitalization segment of the U.S. equity market. The companies included in the Russell 2000® Index are the middle 2,000 (i.e., those ranked 1,001 through 3,000) of the companies that form the Russell 3000E™ Index. The Russell 2000® Index represents approximately 7% of the U.S. equity market. For additional information about the Russell 2000® Index, see the information set forth under “Russell Indices—Russell 2000® Index” in the accompanying index supplement.

 

Information as of market close on January 8, 2024:

Bloomberg Ticker Symbol:

RTY

52 Week High (on 12/27/2023):

2,066.214

Current Index Value:

1,989.006

52 Week Low (on 10/27/2023):

1,636.938

52 Weeks Ago:

1,795.911

 

 

The following graph sets forth the daily index closing values of the RTY Index for the period from January 1, 2019 through January 8, 2024. The related table sets forth the published high and low index closing values, as well as the end-of-quarter index closing values, of the RTY Index for each quarter in the same period. The index closing value of the RTY Index on January 8, 2024 was 1,989.006. We obtained the information in the graph and table below from Bloomberg Financial Markets, without independent verification. The historical index closing values of the RTY Index should not be taken as an indication of future performance, and no assurance can be given as to the value of the RTY Index at any time, including on the determination dates.

RTY Index Daily Index Closing Values

January 1, 2019 to January 8, 2024

 

 

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Russell 2000® Index

High

Low

Period End

2019

 

 

 

First Quarter

1,590.062

1,330.831

1,539.739

Second Quarter

1,614.976

1,465.487

1,566.572

Third Quarter

1,585.599

1,456.039

1,523.373

Fourth Quarter

1,678.010

1,472.598

1,668.469

2020

 

 

 

First Quarter

1,705.215

991.160

1,153.103

Second Quarter

1,536.895

1,052.053

1,441.365

Third Quarter

1,592.287

1,398.920

1,507.692

Fourth Quarter

2,007.104

1,531.202

1,974.855

2021

 

 

 

First Quarter

2,360.168

1,945.914

2,220.519

Second Quarter

2,343.758

2,135.139

2,310.549

Third Quarter

2,329.359

2,130.680

2,204.372

Fourth Quarter

2,442.742

2,139.875

2,245.313

2022

 

 

 

First Quarter

2,272.557

1,931.288

2,070.125

Second Quarter

2,095.440

1,649.836

1,707.990

Third Quarter

2,021.346

1,655.882

1,664.716

Fourth Quarter

1,892.839

1,682.403

1,761.246

2023

 

 

 

First Quarter

2,001.221

1,720.291

1,802.484

Second Quarter

1,896.333

1,718.811

1,888.734

Third Quarter

2,003.177

1,761.609

1,785.102

Fourth Quarter

2,066.214

1,636.938

2,027.074

2024

 

 

 

First Quarter (through January 8, 2024)

2,012.795

1,951.142

1,989.006

 

“Russell 2000® Index” and “Russell 3000ETM Index” are trademarks of FTSE Russell. For more information, see “Russell Indices” in the accompanying index supplement.

 

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Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund Overview

The Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund is an exchange-traded fund managed by the Select Sector SPDR Trust (the “Trust”), a registered investment company. The Trust consists of numerous separate investment portfolios, including the Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund. The Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before fees and expenses, of the Energy Select Sector Index. It is possible that this fund may not fully replicate the performance of the Energy Select Sector Index due to the temporary unavailability of certain securities in the secondary market or due to other extraordinary circumstances. Information provided to or filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “Commission”) by the Trust pursuant to the Securities Act of 1933 and the Investment Company Act of 1940 can be located by reference to Commission file numbers 333-57791 and 811-08837, respectively, through the Commission’s website at www.sec.gov. In addition, information may be obtained from other publicly available sources. Neither the issuer nor the agent makes any representation that any such publicly available information regarding the XLE Shares is accurate or complete.

Information as of market close on January 8, 2024:

Bloomberg Ticker Symbol:

XLE UP

52 Week High (on 9/14/2023):

$93.36

Current Share Price:

$83.70

52 Week Low (on 5/31/2023):

$76.59

52 Weeks Ago:

$87.25

 

 

The following graph sets forth the daily closing prices of the XLE Shares for the period from January 1, 2019 through January 8, 2024. The related table sets forth the published high and low closing prices, as well as the end-of-quarter closing prices, of the XLE Shares for each quarter in the same period. The closing price of the XLE Shares on January 8, 2024 was $83.70. We obtained the information in the graph and table below from Bloomberg Financial Markets, without independent verification. The historical performance of the XLE Shares should not be taken as an indication of future performance, and no assurance can be given as to the value of the XLE Shares at any time, including on the determination dates. The XLE Shares have at times experienced periods of high volatility, and you should not take the historical prices of the XLE Shares as an indication of their future performance.

XLE Shares Daily Closing Prices

January 1, 2019 to January 8, 2024

 

 

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Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund (CUSIP 81369Y506)

High ($)

Low ($)

Period End ($)

2019

 

 

 

First Quarter

67.29

57.90

66.12

Second Quarter

68.61

58.77

63.71

Third Quarter

64.44

55.85

59.20

Fourth Quarter

61.99

55.90

60.04

2020

 

 

 

First Quarter

60.87

23.57

29.06

Second Quarter

46.86

27.62

37.85

Third Quarter

38.58

29.95

29.95

Fourth Quarter

41.60

27.71

37.90

2021

 

 

 

First Quarter

53.57

37.96

49.06

Second Quarter

56.19

47.07

53.87

Third Quarter

54.81

45.79

52.09

Fourth Quarter

59.14

53.01

55.50

2022

 

 

 

First Quarter

78.75

57.22

76.44

Second Quarter

92.28

70.66

71.51

Third Quarter

84.09

67.49

72.02

Fourth Quarter

94.08

76.09

87.47

2023

 

 

 

First Quarter

93.11

76.97

82.83

Second Quarter

87.23

76.59

81.17

Third Quarter

93.36

79.09

90.39

Fourth Quarter

91.96

81.20

83.84

2024

 

 

 

First Quarter (through January 8, 2024)

86.12

83.70

83.70

This document relates only to the securities offered hereby and does not relate to the XLE Shares. We have derived all disclosures contained in this document regarding the Trust from the publicly available documents described above. In connection with the offering of the securities, neither we nor the agent has participated in the preparation of such documents or made any due diligence inquiry with respect to the Trust. Neither we nor the agent makes any representation that such publicly available documents or any other publicly available information regarding the Trust is accurate or complete. Furthermore, we cannot give any assurance that all events occurring prior to the date hereof (including events that would affect the accuracy or completeness of the publicly available documents described above) that would affect the trading price of the XLE Shares (and therefore the price of the XLE Shares at the time we price the securities) have been publicly disclosed. Subsequent disclosure of any such events or the disclosure of or failure to disclose material future events concerning the Trust could affect the value received with respect to the securities and therefore the value of the securities.

Neither we nor any of our affiliates makes any representation to you as to the performance of the XLE Shares.

We and/or our affiliates may presently or from time to time engage in business with the Trust. In the course of such business, we and/or our affiliates may acquire non-public information with respect to the Trust, and neither we nor any of our affiliates undertakes to disclose any such information to you. In addition, one or more of our affiliates may publish research reports with respect to the XLE Shares. The statements in the preceding two sentences are not intended to affect the rights of investors in the securities under the securities laws. As a prospective purchaser of the securities, you should undertake an independent investigation of the Trust as in your judgment is appropriate to make an informed decision with respect to an investment linked to the XLE Shares.

“Standard & Poor’s®”, “S&P®”, “S&P 500®”, “SPDR®”, “Select Sector SPDR” and “Select Sector SPDRs” are trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC (“S&P®”), an affiliate of S&P® Global Inc. The securities are not sponsored, endorsed, sold, or promoted by S&P®, S&P® Global Inc. or the Trust. S&P®, S&P® Global Inc. and the Trust make no representations or warranties to the owners of the securities or any member of the public regarding the advisability of investing in the securities. S&P®, S&P® Global Inc. and the Trust have no obligation or liability in connection with the operation, marketing, trading or sale of the securities.

January 2024 Page 19

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Energy Select Sector Index. The Energy Select Sector Index, which is one of the Select Sector sub-indices of the S&P 500® Index, is intended to give investors an efficient, modified market capitalization-based way to track the movements of certain public companies that represent the energy sector of the S&P 500® Index. The Energy Select Sector Index includes component stocks in industries such as energy equipment and services; and oil, gas & consumable fuels. For more information, see “S&P® Select Sector Indices—Energy Select Sector Index” in the accompanying index supplement.

 

 

 

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Additional Terms of the Securities

Please read this information in conjunction with the terms on the front cover of this document.

Additional Terms:

If the terms described herein are inconsistent with those described in the accompanying product supplement, index supplement or prospectus, the terms described herein shall control.

Underlying index publisher:

With respect to the NDX Index, Nasdaq, Inc., or any successor thereof.

With respect to the RTY Index, FTSE Russell, or any successor thereof.

Share underlying index:

The Energy Select Sector Index

Share underlying index publisher:

The S&P® Dow Jones Indices LLC, or any successor thereof.

Index closing value:

With respect to the NDX Index, the index closing value on any index business day shall be determined by the calculation agent and shall equal the official closing value of the NDX Index, or any successor index as defined under “Discontinuance of Any Underlying Index; Alteration of Method of Calculation” in the accompanying product supplement, published at the regular official weekday close of trading on such index business day by the underlying index publisher for the NDX Index, as determined by the calculation agent. In certain circumstances, the index closing value for the NDX Index will be based on the alternate calculation of the NDX Index as described under “Discontinuance of Any Underlying Index; Alteration of Method of Calculation” in the accompanying product supplement.

With respect to the RTY Index, the index closing value on any index business day shall be determined by the calculation agent and shall equal the closing value of the RTY Index, or any successor index reported by Bloomberg Financial Services, or any successor reporting service the calculation agent may select, on such index business day. In certain circumstances, the index closing value for the RTY Index will be based on the alternate calculation of the RTY Index as described under “Discontinuance of Any Underlying Index; Alteration of Method of Calculation” in the accompanying product supplement. The closing value of the RTY Index reported by Bloomberg Financial Services may be lower or higher than the official closing value of the RTY Index published by the underlying index publisher for the RTY Index.

Downside threshold level:

The accompanying product supplement refers to the downside threshold level as the “trigger level.”

Jump securities with auto-callable feature:

The accompanying product supplement refers to these jump securities with auto-callable feature as the “auto-callable securities.”

Trustee:

The Bank of New York Mellon

Calculation agent:

MS & Co.

Issuer notices to registered security holders, the trustee and the depositary:

In the event that the early redemption date or the maturity date is postponed due to postponement of the relevant determination date, the issuer shall give notice of such postponement and, once it has been determined, of the date to which the early redemption date or the maturity date, as applicable, has been rescheduled (i) to the holder of the securities by mailing notice of such postponement by first class mail, postage prepaid, to the holder’s last address as it shall appear upon the registry books, (ii) to the trustee by facsimile confirmed by mailing such notice to the trustee by first class mail, postage prepaid, at its New York office and (iii) to The Depository Trust Company (the “depositary”) by telephone or facsimile confirmed by mailing such notice to the depositary by first class mail, postage prepaid. Any notice that is mailed to the holder of the securities in the manner herein provided shall be conclusively presumed to have been duly given to such holder, whether or not such holder receives the notice. The issuer shall give such notice as promptly as possible, and in no case later than (i) with respect to notice of postponement of the early redemption date or the maturity date, as applicable, the business day immediately preceding the scheduled early redemption date or maturity date, as applicable, and (ii) with respect to notice of the date to which the early redemption date or the maturity date, as applicable, has been rescheduled, the business day immediately following the relevant determination date as postponed.

In the event that the securities are subject to early redemption, the issuer shall, (i) on the business day following the applicable determination date, give notice of the early redemption of the securities and the applicable early redemption payment, including specifying the payment date of the applicable amount due upon the early redemption, (x) to each registered holder of the securities by mailing notice of such early redemption by first class mail, postage prepaid, to such registered holder’s last address as it shall appear upon the registry books, (y) to the trustee by facsimile confirmed by mailing such notice to the

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trustee by first class mail, postage prepaid, at its New York office and (z) to the depositary by telephone or facsimile confirmed by mailing such notice to the depositary by first class mail, postage prepaid and (ii) on or prior to the early redemption date, deliver the aggregate cash amount due with respect to the securities to the trustee for delivery to the depositary, as holder of the securities. Any notice that is mailed to a registered holder of the securities in the manner herein provided shall be conclusively presumed to have been duly given to such holder, whether or not such registered holder receives the notice. This notice shall be given by the issuer or, at the issuer’s request, by the trustee in the name and at the expense of the issuer, with any such request to be accompanied by a copy of the notice to be given.

The issuer shall, or shall cause the calculation agent to, (i) provide written notice to the trustee, on which notice the trustee may conclusively rely, and to the depositary of the amount of cash, if any, to be delivered with respect to each stated principal amount of the securities, on or prior to 10:30 a.m. (New York City time) on the business day preceding the maturity date, and (ii) deliver the aggregate cash amount due with respect to the securities, if any, to the trustee for delivery to the depositary, as holder of the securities, on the maturity date.

 

January 2024 Page 22

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Additional Information About the Securities

Additional Information:

Minimum ticketing size:

$1,000 / 1 security

Tax considerations:

Although there is uncertainty regarding the U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities due to the lack of governing authority, in the opinion of our counsel, Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP, under current law, and based on current market conditions, a security should be treated as a single financial contract that is an “open transaction” for U.S. federal income tax purposes. However, because our counsel’s opinion is based in part on market conditions as of the date of this document, it is subject to confirmation on the pricing date.

Assuming this treatment of the securities is respected and subject to the discussion in “United States Federal Taxation” in the accompanying product supplement for auto-callable securities, the following U.S. federal income tax consequences should result based on current law:

A U.S. Holder should not be required to recognize taxable income over the term of the securities prior to settlement, other than pursuant to a sale or exchange.

Upon sale, exchange or settlement of the securities, a U.S. Holder should recognize gain or loss equal to the difference between the amount realized and the U.S. Holder’s tax basis in the securities. Subject to the discussion below concerning the potential application of the “constructive ownership” rule, such gain or loss should be long-term capital gain or loss if the investor has held the securities for more than one year, and short-term capital gain or loss otherwise.

Because the securities are linked to shares of an exchange-traded fund, although the matter is not clear, there is a substantial risk that an investment in the securities will be treated as a “constructive ownership transaction” under Section 1260 of the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended (the “Code”). If this treatment applies, all or a portion of any long-term capital gain of the U.S. Holder in respect of the securities could be recharacterized as ordinary income (in which case an interest charge will be imposed). As a result of certain features of the securities, including the leveraged upside payment and the fact that the securities are linked to indices in addition to an exchange-traded fund, it is unclear how to calculate the amount of gain that would be recharacterized if an investment in the securities were treated as a constructive ownership transaction. Due to the lack of governing authority, our counsel is unable to opine as to whether or how Section 1260 of the Code applies to the securities. U.S. investors should read the section entitled “United States Federal Taxation—Tax Consequences to U.S. Holders—Possible Application of Section 1260 of the Code” in the accompanying product supplement for auto-callable securities for additional information and consult their tax advisers regarding the potential application of the “constructive ownership” rule.

In 2007, the U.S. Treasury Department and the Internal Revenue Service (the “IRS”) released a notice requesting comments on the U.S. federal income tax treatment of “prepaid forward contracts” and similar instruments. The notice focuses in particular on whether to require holders of these instruments to accrue income over the term of their investment. It also asks for comments on a number of related topics, including the character of income or loss with respect to these instruments; whether short-term instruments should be subject to any such accrual regime; the relevance of factors such as the exchange-traded status of the instruments and the nature of the underlying property to which the instruments are linked; the degree, if any, to which income (including any mandated accruals) realized by non-U.S. investors should be subject to withholding tax; and whether these instruments are or should be subject to the “constructive ownership” rule, as discussed above. While the notice requests comments on appropriate transition rules and effective dates, any Treasury regulations or other guidance promulgated after consideration of these issues could materially and adversely affect the tax consequences of an investment in the securities, possibly with retroactive effect.

As discussed in the accompanying product supplement for auto-callable securities, Section 871(m) of the Code and Treasury regulations promulgated thereunder (“Section 871(m)”) generally impose a 30% (or a lower applicable treaty rate) withholding tax on dividend equivalents paid or deemed paid to Non-U.S. Holders with respect to certain financial instruments linked to U.S. equities or indices that include U.S. equities (each, an “Underlying Security”). Subject to certain exceptions, Section 871(m) generally applies to securities that substantially replicate the economic performance of one or more Underlying Securities, as determined based on tests set forth in the applicable Treasury regulations (a “Specified Security”). However, pursuant to an IRS notice, Section 871(m) will not apply to securities issued before January 1, 2025 that do not have a delta of one with respect to any Underlying Security. Based on the terms of the securities and current market conditions, we expect that the securities will not have

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a delta of one with respect to any Underlying Security on the pricing date. However, we will provide an updated determination in the pricing supplement. Assuming that the securities do not have a delta of one with respect to any Underlying Security, our counsel is of the opinion that the securities should not be Specified Securities and, therefore, should not be subject to Section 871(m).

Our determination is not binding on the IRS, and the IRS may disagree with this determination. Section 871(m) is complex and its application may depend on your particular circumstances, including whether you enter into other transactions with respect to an Underlying Security. If withholding is required, we will not be required to pay any additional amounts with respect to the amounts so withheld. You should consult your tax adviser regarding the potential application of Section 871(m) to the securities.

Both U.S. and non-U.S. investors considering an investment in the securities should read the discussion under “Risk Factors” in this document and the discussion under “United States Federal Taxation” in the accompanying product supplement for auto-callable securities and consult their tax advisers regarding all aspects of the U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the securities, including possible alternative treatments, the potential application of the constructive ownership rule, the issues presented by the aforementioned notice and any tax consequences arising under the laws of any state, local or non-U.S. taxing jurisdiction.

The discussion in the preceding paragraphs under “Tax considerations” and the discussion contained in the section entitled “United States Federal Taxation” in the accompanying product supplement for auto-callable securities, insofar as they purport to describe provisions of U.S. federal income tax laws or legal conclusions with respect thereto, constitute the full opinion of Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP regarding the material U.S. federal tax consequences of an investment in the securities.

Use of proceeds and hedging:

The proceeds from the sale of the securities will be used by us for general corporate purposes. We will receive, in aggregate, $1,000 per security issued, because, when we enter into hedging transactions in order to meet our obligations under the securities, our hedging counterparty will reimburse the cost of the agent’s commissions. The costs of the securities borne by you and described beginning on page 4 above comprise the agent’s commissions and the cost of issuing, structuring and hedging the securities.

On or prior to the pricing date, we will hedge our anticipated exposure in connection with the securities by entering into hedging transactions with our affiliates and/or third-party dealers. We expect our hedging counterparties to take positions in the XLE Shares, in stocks constituting the NDX Index, the RTY Index or the Energy Select Sector Index and in futures and/or options contracts on the XLE Shares, the NDX Index, the RTY Index, the Energy Select Sector Index or their component stocks, or positions in any other available securities or instruments that they may wish to use in connection with such hedging. Such purchase activity could potentially increase the initial level of an underlying and, therefore, could increase (i) the value at or above which such underlying must close on the determination dates so that the securities are redeemed prior to maturity for the early redemption payment (depending also on the performance of the other underlyings) and (ii) the downside threshold level for such underlying, which is the value at or above which such underlying must close on the final determination date so that you are not exposed to the negative performance of the worst performing underlying at maturity (depending also on the performance of the other underlyings). In addition, through our affiliates, we are likely to modify our hedge position throughout the term of the securities, including on the final determination date, by purchasing and selling the XLE Shares, the stocks constituting the NDX Index, the RTY Index or Energy Select Sector Index, futures or options contracts on the XLE Shares, the NDX Index, the XLE Index, the Energy Select Sector Index or their component stocks listed on major securities markets or by taking positions in any other available securities or instruments that we may wish to use in connection with such hedging activities. As a result, these entities may be unwinding or adjusting hedge positions during the term of the securities, and the hedging strategy may involve greater and more frequent dynamic adjustments to the hedge as the final determination date approaches. Additionally, our hedging activities, as well as our other trading activities, during the term of the securities could potentially affect the value of any underlying on the determination dates, and, accordingly, whether we redeem the securities prior to maturity and the amount of cash you will receive at maturity, if any. For further information on our use of proceeds and hedging, see “Use of Proceeds and Hedging” in the accompanying product supplement.

Additional considerations:

Client accounts over which Morgan Stanley, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management or any of their respective subsidiaries have investment discretion are not permitted to purchase the securities, either directly or indirectly.

January 2024 Page 24

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Supplemental information regarding plan of distribution; conflicts of interest:

MS & Co. expects to sell all of the securities that it purchases from us to an unaffiliated dealer at a price of $ per security, for further sale to certain fee-based advisory accounts at the price to public of $1,000 per security. In addition, selected dealers and their financial advisors may receive a structuring fee of up to $6.25 for each security from the agent or its affiliates. MS & Co. will not receive a sales commission with respect to the securities.

MS & Co. is an affiliate of MSFL and a wholly owned subsidiary of Morgan Stanley, and it and other affiliates of ours expect to make a profit by selling, structuring and, when applicable, hedging the securities. When MS & Co. prices this offering of securities, it will determine the economic terms of the securities, including the early redemption payment amount, such that for each security the estimated value on the pricing date will be no lower than the minimum level described in “Investment Summary” beginning on page 3.

MS & Co. will conduct this offering in compliance with the requirements of FINRA Rule 5121 of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, Inc., which is commonly referred to as FINRA, regarding a FINRA member firm’s distribution of the securities of an affiliate and related conflicts of interest. MS & Co. or any of our other affiliates may not make sales in this offering to any discretionary account. See “Plan of Distribution (Conflicts of Interest)” and “Use of Proceeds and Hedging” in the accompanying product supplement for auto-callable securities.

Where you can find more information:

Morgan Stanley and MSFL have filed a registration statement (including a prospectus, as supplemented by the product supplement for auto-callable securities and the index supplement) with the Securities and Exchange Commission, or SEC, for the offering to which this communication relates. You should read the prospectus in that registration statement, the product supplement for auto-callable securities, the index supplement and any other documents relating to this offering that Morgan Stanley and MSFL have filed with the SEC for more complete information about Morgan Stanley, MSFL and this offering. You may get these documents without cost by visiting EDGAR on the SEC web site at www.sec.gov. Alternatively, Morgan Stanley, MSFL, any underwriter or any dealer participating in the offering will arrange to send you the prospectus, the product supplement for auto-callable securities and the index supplement if you so request by calling toll-free 1-(800)-584-6837.

You may access these documents on the SEC web site at www.sec.gov as follows:

Product Supplement for Auto-Callable Securities dated November 16, 2023

Index Supplement dated November 16, 2023

Prospectus dated November 16, 2023

Terms used but not defined in this document are defined in the product supplement for auto-callable securities, in the index supplement or in the prospectus.

 

January 2024 Page 25