EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm RADIAN GROUP INC. NEWS RELEASE Radian Group Inc. News Release

Exhibit 99.1

LOGO

 

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

   LOGO
  

Contact:

 

Emily Riley –

   phone: 215 231.1035
      email: emily.riley@radian.biz
   Radian Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2009 Financial Results
   - Improves holding company liquidity position and now projects excess through 2012-
   - Improves foundation to write new MI business with 15.4:1 risk-to-capital ratio -
   PHILADELPHIA, February 23, 2010 - Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) today reported a net loss for the quarter ended December 31, 2009, of $91.9 million, or $1.12 per diluted share. This compares to a net loss of $250.4 million, or $3.11 per diluted share, for the prior-year quarter. The net loss for the full year 2009 was $147.9 million, or $1.80 per diluted share. This compares to a net loss of $410.6 million, or $5.12 per diluted share for the prior year. Book value per share at December 31, 2009, was $24.22.
   “We achieved our most important goals in the quarter by improving Radian’s liquidity position and effectively managing our capital,” said Chief Executive Officer S. A. Ibrahim. “As a result of a series of strategic actions and better-than-expected operating results that reduced our estimated inter-company tax obligation for 2010, we now anticipate having excess liquidity through 2012. In addition, by actively managing our risk-to-capital ratio to 15.4 to 1, we have improved our foundation to continue writing new, high-quality mortgage insurance business.”
   Ibrahim added, “Our results illustrate the challenging macroeconomic environment affecting our company. However, we are encouraged by signs of improvement in our mortgage insurance business, including a lower rate of new delinquencies, both sequentially and year-over-year, in a quarter that is traditionally prone to seasonal increases.”
   FOURTH QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS
  

•         Radian Guaranty Inc.’s risk-to-capital ratio was 15.4:1 at December 31, 2009, compared to a ratio of 16.1:1 at September 30, 2009, and 16.4:1 at December 31, 2008. While Radian Guaranty remains below the 25:1 risk-to-capital limit imposed by some states, the company has prepared, subject to final regulatory and GSE approval, its 50-state licensed mortgage insurance subsidiary, Amerin Guaranty, to write new business in those states if needed. Radian expects to continue writing high-quality mortgage insurance business, uninterrupted, for the foreseeable future.

Page 1


LOGO

 

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

  

•         The mortgage insurance provision for losses of $459.9 million in the fourth quarter and $1.3 billion for the full year 2009 reflects higher delinquency counts and the continued aging of delinquencies, in addition to ongoing benefits associated with the company’s various loss mitigation activities. As a result of the steady slowing of new delinquencies, Radian expects the delinquency level to stabilize throughout 2010, and decrease by the end of 2010.

  

•         Consistent with its strategy of actively managing the legacy portfolio and reducing non-core risk, Radian completed a series of transactions in the quarter that reduced the company’s risk in force in pool and modified pool insurance as well as NIMs, second-lien, international mortgage risk and financial guaranty credit default swaps (CDS).

  

•         Total mortgage insurance claims paid were $426.8 million for the fourth quarter and $970.1 million for the full-year 2009. For the fourth quarter, excluding a $197.7 million impact from first-lien terminations and net of proceeds received from captive terminations of $25.2 million, claims paid were $254.3 million, which consisted of $239.5 million of first-liens and $14.8 million of second-liens. For the full-year 2009, excluding the impact of first- and second-lien terminations as well as proceeds received from captive terminations, claims paid were $818.0 million, compared to $916.1 million in 2008. For 2010, the company expects mortgage insurance claims paid to be approximately $1.5 billion.

  

•         As a result of reduced mortgage industry origination volume and mortgage insurance penetration, new mortgage insurance written (NIW) was $2.4 billion in the quarter and $17.0 billion for the year. NIW in the quarter continued to consist of loans with excellent risk characteristics, and the company maintained market share for the quarter and also for the year of more than 20 percent.

  

•         Radian Asset Assurance Inc., the company’s principal financial guaranty subsidiary, continues to serve as an important source of capital support for Radian Guaranty, the company’s mortgage insurance subsidiary, and is expected to continue to provide Radian Guaranty with cash infusions over time.

  

•      As of December 31, 2009, Radian Asset had approximately $1.1 billion in statutory surplus with an additional $1.5 billion in claims-paying resources.

  

•      In October, Radian Asset transferred $143 million of contingency reserves to surplus, which strengthened Radian Guaranty’s statutory capital and positively impacted the company’s risk-to-capital ratio.

 

Page 2


LOGO

 

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

  

CONFERENCE CALL

 

Radian will discuss each of these items in its conference call today, Tuesday, February 23, 2010, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time. The conference call will be broadcast live over the Internet at http://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-audioarchives or at www.radian.biz. The call may also be accessed by dialing 800-230-1059 inside the U.S., or 612-288-0340 for international callers, using passcode 145249 or by referencing Radian.

   A replay of the webcast will be available on the Radian website approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of one year. A replay of the conference call will be available two and a half hours after the call ends for one week, using the following dial-in numbers and passcode: 800-475-6701 inside the U.S., or 320-365-3844 for international callers, passcode 145249.
   In addition to the information provided in the company’s earnings news release, other statistical and financial information, which is expected to be referred to during the conference call, will be available on Radian’s Web site under Investors >Quarterly Results, or by clicking on http://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-earnings.
   About Radian
   Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN), headquartered in Philadelphia, provides private mortgage insurance and related risk mitigation products and services to mortgage lenders nationwide through its principal operating subsidiary, Radian Guaranty Inc. These services help promote and preserve homeownership opportunities for homebuyers, while protecting lenders from default-related losses on residential first mortgages and facilitating the sale of low-downpayment mortgages in the secondary market. Additional information may be found at www.radian.biz.
   Financial Results and Supplemental Information Contents (Unaudited)
   For trend information on all schedules, refer to Radian’s quarterly financial statistics at http://www.radian.biz/investors/financial/corporate.aspx.

 

  Exhibit A:    Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
  Exhibit B:    Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
  Exhibit C:    Segment Information Quarter Ended December 31, 2009
  Exhibit D:    Segment Information Quarter Ended December 31, 2008
  Exhibit E:    Segment Information Year Ended December 31, 2009
  Exhibit F:    Segment Information Year Ended December 31, 2008
  Exhibit G:    Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information –
     For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
  Exhibit H:    Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information –
     For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
  Exhibit I:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information –
     For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
     New Insurance Written and Risk Written

 

Page 3


LOGO

 

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

  Exhibit J:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information –
     For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
     Insurance in Force and Risk in Force
  Exhibit K:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information –
     For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
     Risk in Force by LTV and Policy Year and other Risk in Force
  Exhibit L:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information –
     For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
     Claims and Reserves
  Exhibit M:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information –
     For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
     Default Statistics
  Exhibit N:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information –
     For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
     Net Premiums Written and Earned, Smart Home, Captives and Persistency
  Exhibit O:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information –
     For the Quarter Ended and as of December 31, 2009
     Reinsurance Progression Toward Attachment – Summary by Book Year
  Exhibit P:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information –
     For the Quarter Ended and as of December 31, 2009
     Modified Pool
  Exhibit Q:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information –
     For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
     Alt-A Risk in Force
  Exhibit R:    Financial Services Supplemental Information –
     For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009
  Exhibit S:    Impact of Mortgage Insurance Terminations –
     For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009

 

Page 4


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income

Exhibit A

 

     Quarter Ended
December 31
    Year Ended
December 31
 
(In thousands, except per-share data)    2009     2008     2009     2008  

Revenues:

        

Net premiums written - insurance

   $ 163,251      $ 147,467      $ 443,848  (1)    $ 816,869   
                                

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 211,570      $ 231,044      $ 825,901      $ 971,820   

Net investment income

     50,624        66,711        214,190        263,033   

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     142,913        (217,879     99,958        710,913   

Net gains (losses) on other financial instruments

     (7,390     (19,658     168,572        (94,300

Total other-than-temporary impairment losses

     (8,396     (2,936     (9,269     (55,166

Losses recognized in other comprehensive loss

     —          —          —          —     
                                

Net impairment losses recognized in earnings

     (8,396     (2,936     (9,269     (55,166

Other income

     3,539        2,145        14,026        11,736   
                                

Total revenues

     392,860        59,427        1,313,378        1,808,036   
                                

Expenses:

        

Provision for losses

     473,166        618,835        1,337,574        2,205,340   

Provision for premium deficiency

     16,065        (244,512 ) (2)      (61,504     (108,785 ) (2) 

Policy acquisition costs

     8,920        15,768        63,034        136,396   (3) 

Other operating expenses

     42,499        55,726        203,770        255,497   

Interest expense

     10,120        13,337        46,010        53,514   
                                

Total expenses

     550,770        459,154        1,588,884        2,541,962   
                                

Equity in net income of affiliates

     9,618        15,769        33,226        59,797   
                                

Pretax loss

     (148,292     (383,958     (242,280     (674,129

Income tax benefit

     (56,425     (133,566     (94,401     (263,550
                                

Net loss

   $ (91,867   $ (250,392   $ (147,879   $ (410,579
                                

Diluted net loss per share (4)

   $ (1.12   $ (3.11   $ (1.80   $ (5.12
                                

(1)     Includes the reversal of $185.6 million of premiums written related to the Ambac Commutation in our Financial Guaranty segment.

(2)     Includes $(150.1) million for first-lien mortgages and $(94.4) million for second-lien mortgages in the fourth quarter of 2008 and $(108.8) million for second-lien mortgages for the year ended December 31, 2008. All 2009 amounts relate to second-lien mortgages.

(3)     Includes the acceleration of $50.8 million of deferred policy acquisition cost amortization for the year ended December 31, 2008, as a result of the establishment of a first-lien premium deficiency reserve in the second quarter of 2008.

(4)     Weighted average shares outstanding (In thousands)

 

        

         

         

       

Average common shares outstanding

     81,926        80,642        81,937        80,258   

Increase in shares-potential exercise of options-diluted basis

     —          —          —          —     
                                

Weighted average shares outstanding

     81,926        80,642        81,937        80,258   
                                

For Trend Information, refer to our Quarterly Financial Statistics on Radian’s (RDN) website.

 

Page 5


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

Exhibit B

 

(In thousands, except per-share data)    December 31
2009
    December 31
2008
 

Assets:

    

Cash and investments

   $ 6,214,376      $ 6,060,601   

Investments in affiliates

     121,480        99,712   

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     160,281        160,526   

Prepaid federal income taxes

     —          248,828   

Derivative assets

     68,534        179,515   

Deferred income taxes, net

     440,948        446,102   

Reinsurance recoverables

     628,572        492,359   

Other assets

     442,115        428,476   
                

Total assets

   $ 8,076,306      $ 8,116,119   
                

Liabilities and stockholders’ equity:

    

Unearned premiums

   $ 823,621      $ 916,724   

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     3,578,982        3,224,542   

Reserve for premium deficiency

     25,357        86,861   

Long-term debt and other borrowings

     698,222        857,802   

Variable interest entity debt

     296,080        160,035   

Derivative liabilities

     238,697        519,260   

Other liabilities

     410,353        320,185   
                

Total liabilities

     6,071,312        6,085,409   
                

Common stock

     100        98   

Additional paid-in capital

     473,759        462,647   

Retained earnings

     1,602,143        1,766,946   

Accumulated other comprehensive income

     (71,008     (198,981
                

Total common stockholders’ equity

     2,004,994        2,030,710   
                

Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity

   $ 8,076,306      $ 8,116,119   
                

Book value per share

   $ 24.22      $ 25.06   

 

Page 6


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Quarter Ended December 31, 2009

Exhibit C

 

(In thousands)

   Mortgage
Insurance
    Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
   Total  

Revenues:

         

Net premiums written - insurance

   $ 164,198      $ (947   $ —      $ 163,251   
                               

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 189,634      $ 21,936      $ —      $ 211,570   

Net investment income

     32,406        18,217        1      50,624   

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     14,027        128,886        —        142,913   

Net gains (losses) on other financial instruments

     1,365        (8,755     —        (7,390

Net impairment losses recognized in earnings

     (8,396     —          —        (8,396

Other income

     2,393        1,078        68      3,539   
                               

Total revenues

     231,429        161,362        69      392,860   
                               

Expenses:

         

Provision for losses

     459,853        13,313        —        473,166   

Provision for premium deficiency

     16,065        —          —        16,065   

Policy acquisition costs

     5,231        3,689        —        8,920   

Other operating expenses

     29,763        12,604        132      42,499   

Interest expense

     3,320        6,800        —        10,120   
                               

Total expenses

     514,232        36,406        132      550,770   
                               

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —          —          9,618      9,618   
                               

Pretax (loss) income

     (282,803     124,956        9,555      (148,292

Income tax (benefit) provision

     (103,408     43,637        3,346      (56,425
                               

Net (loss) income

   $ (179,395   $ 81,319      $ 6,209    $ (91,867
                               

Cash and investments

   $ 3,775,682      $ 2,438,694      $ —      $ 6,214,376   

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     35,854        124,427        —        160,281   

Total assets

     4,968,963        2,985,919        121,424      8,076,306   

Unearned premiums

     240,346        583,275        —        823,621   

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     3,450,538        128,444        —        3,578,982   

Derivative liabilities

     —          238,697        —        238,697   

 

Page 7


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Quarter Ended December 31, 2008

Exhibit D

 

(In thousands)

   Mortgage
Insurance
    Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
   Total  

Revenues:

         

Net premiums written - insurance

   $ 188,368      $ (40,901   $ —      $ 147,467   
                               

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 203,213      $ 27,831      $ —      $ 231,044   

Net investment income

     38,804        27,907        —        66,711   

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (3,391     (214,488     —        (217,879

Net (losses) gains on other financial instruments

     (14,923     (4,765     30      (19,658

Net impairment losses recognized in earnings

     (1,999     (937     —        (2,936

Other income

     2,082        63        —        2,145   
                               

Total revenues

     223,786        (164,389     30      59,427   
                               

Expenses:

         

Provision for losses

     551,284        67,551        —        618,835   

Provision for premium deficiency

     (244,512     —          —        (244,512

Policy acquisition costs

     6,630        9,138        —        15,768   

Other operating expenses

     28,731        26,867        128      55,726   

Interest expense

     6,482        6,855        —        13,337   
                               

Total expenses

     348,615        110,411        128      459,154   
                               

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —          16        15,753      15,769   
                               

Pretax (loss) income

     (124,829     (274,784     15,655      (383,958

Income tax (benefit) provision

     (47,784     (91,572     5,790      (133,566
                               

Net (loss) income

   $ (77,045   $ (183,212   $ 9,865    $ (250,392
                               

Cash and investments

   $ 3,508,018      $ 2,552,583      $ —      $ 6,060,601   

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     21,286        139,240        —        160,526   

Total assets

     4,800,708        3,151,695        163,716      8,116,119   

Unearned premiums

     336,126        580,598        —        916,724   

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     2,989,994        234,548        —        3,224,542   

Derivative liabilities

     161,839        357,421        —        519,260   

 

Page 8


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Year Ended December 31, 2009

Exhibit E

 

(In thousands)

   Mortgage
Insurance
    Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
    Total  

Revenues:

        

Net premiums written - insurance

   $ 630,076      $ (186,228   $ —        $ 443,848   
                                

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 724,423      $ 101,478      $ —        $ 825,901   

Net investment income

     129,871        84,315        4        214,190   

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (14,428     114,386        —          99,958   

Net gains on other financial instruments

     65,615        102,957        —          168,572   

Net impairment losses recognized in earnings

     (9,246     (23     —          (9,269

Other income

     12,258        1,394        374        14,026   
                                

Total revenues

     908,493        404,507        378        1,313,378   
                                

Expenses:

        

Provision for losses

     1,300,827        36,747        —          1,337,574   

Provision for premium deficiency

     (61,504     —          —          (61,504

Policy acquisition costs

     27,563        35,471        —          63,034   

Other operating expenses

     140,487        67,223        (3,940     203,770   

Interest expense

     15,372        30,638        —          46,010   
                                

Total expenses

     1,422,745        170,079        (3,940     1,588,884   
                                

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —          —          33,226        33,226   
                                

Pretax (loss) income

     (514,252     234,428        37,544        (242,280

Income tax (benefit) provision

     (176,456     68,641        13,414        (94,401
                                

Net (loss) income

   $ (337,796   $ 165,787      $ 24,130      $ (147,879
                                

 

Page 9


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Year Ended December 31, 2008

Exhibit F

 

(In thousands)

   Mortgage
Insurance
    Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
   Total  

Revenues:

         

Net premiums written - insurance

   $ 787,232      $ 29,637      $ —      $ 816,869   
                               

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 808,781      $ 163,039      $ —      $ 971,820   

Net investment income

     154,607        108,412        14      263,033   

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     102,157        608,756        —        710,913   

Net (losses) gains on other financial instruments

     (62,906     (31,544     150      (94,300

Net impairment losses recognized in earnings

     (20,230     (34,936     —        (55,166

Other income

     11,133        300        303      11,736   
                               

Total revenues

     993,542        814,027        467      1,808,036   
                               

Expenses:

         

Provision for losses

     2,090,845        114,495        —        2,205,340   

Provision for premium deficiency

     (108,785     —          —        (108,785

Policy acquisition costs

     89,103        47,293        —        136,396   

Other operating expenses

     155,375        99,509        613      255,497   

Interest expense

     27,622        25,643        249      53,514   
                               

Total expenses

     2,254,160        286,940        862      2,541,962   
                               

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —          16        59,781      59,797   
                               

Pretax (loss) income

     (1,260,618     527,103        59,386      (674,129

Income tax (benefit) provision

     (475,970     187,965        24,455      (263,550
                               

Net (loss) income

   $ (784,648   $ 339,138      $ 34,931    $ (410,579
                               

 

Page 10


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009

Exhibit G

 

(In thousands)    Quarter Ended
December 31
    Year Ended
December 31
 
     2009     2008     2009     2008  

Net Premiums Earned:

        

Public finance direct

   $ 14,215      $ 12,997      $ 49,965      $ 56,191   

Public finance reinsurance

     5,935        24,082        44,232        89,227   

Structured direct

     1,208        3,207        6,364        14,418   

Structured reinsurance

     584        4,527        15,714        19,690   

Trade credit reinsurance

     17        162        191        657   
                                

Net Premiums Earned - insurance

     21,959        44,975        116,466        180,183   

Impact of commutations (1)

     (23     (17,144     (14,988     (17,144
                                

Total Net Premiums Earned - insurance

   $ 21,936      $ 27,831      $ 101,478      $ 163,039   
                                

Refundings included in earned premium

   $ 8,913      $ 19,443      $ 40,989      $ 75,090   
                                

Claims paid:

        

Trade credit reinsurance

   $ (136   $ 2,008      $ 776      $ 3,440   

Financial Guaranty

     10,258        14,932        134,019  (2)      128,972  (3) 
                                

Total

   $ 10,122      $ 16,940      $ 134,795      $ 132,412   
                                

Balance Sheet impact of initial adoption of the accounting standard for financial guarantee insurance contracts on January 1, 2009:

 

($ in millions)       

Increase in unearned premiums

   $ (292.8

Increase in premiums receivable

     161.4   

Increase in deferred policy acquisition costs

     66.0   

Decrease in reserve for losses and LAE

     8.2   

Decrease in deferred taxes, net

     20.2   

Increase in premium taxes payable

     (0.6
        

Decrease in equity

   $ (37.6
        

Balance Sheet impact of Ambac Commutation in Q3 2009:

 

($ in millions)     

Decrease in:

  

Cash and investments

   $ 100.0

Premiums receivable

     93.2

Unearned premiums

     185.6

Reserve for losses and LAE

     53.9

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     46.3

 

(1) Amounts recorded related to the recaptures of previously ceded business by primary insurer customers of the financial guaranty insurance business.
(2) Includes $53.9 million related to Ambac Commutation.
(3) Includes a $100 million payment related to one CDO of ABS transaction that was fully reserved for in 2007.

 

Page 11


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009

Exhibit H

 

($ in thousands, except ratios)    December 31
2009
    December 31
2008
Statutory Information:     

Capital and surplus

   $ 1,062,637      $ 968,197

Contingency reserve

     366,108        515,023
              

Qualified statutory capital

     1,428,745        1,483,220

Unearned premium reserve

     595,819        729,274

Loss and loss expense reserve

     128,754        82,340
              

Total statutory policyholders’ reserves

     2,153,318        2,294,834

Present value of installment premiums

     260,662        380,666

Soft capital facilities

     150,000        150,000
              

Total statutory claims paying resources

   $ 2,563,980      $ 2,825,500
              

Net debt service outstanding

   $ 110,207,923      $ 138,430,925
              

Capital leverage ratio (1)

     77        93

Claims paying leverage ratio (2)

     43        49

Net par outstanding by product:

    

Public finance direct

   $ 17,536,616      $ 17,836,221

Public finance reinsurance

     24,180,588        31,578,163

Structured direct

     43,528,366        46,001,355

Structured reinsurance

     2,174,433        5,310,004
              

Total

   $ 87,420,003  (3)    $ 100,725,743
              
Reserve for losses and LAE-GAAP Basis:     

Financial Guaranty

   $ 121,833      $ 219,671

Trade Credit

     6,611        14,877
              

Total

   $ 128,444      $ 234,548
              

 

(1) The capital leverage ratio is derived by dividing net debt service outstanding by qualified statutory capital.
(2) The claims paying leverage ratio is derived by dividing net debt service outstanding by total statutory claims paying resources.
(3) Reduction due to $9.8 billion of par that was commuted in connection with the Ambac Commutation in July 2009. Also included in public finance net par outstanding is $2.2 billion for legally defeased bond issues where our financial guaranty policy has not been extinguished but cash or securities have been deposited in an escrow account for the benefit of bondholders. The accounting standard for financial guarantee insurance contracts requires that these contracts continue to be accounted for as outstanding contracts despite the elimination of substantially all risk.

 

Page 12


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009

Exhibit I

 

     Quarter Ended
December 31
    Year Ended
December 31
 
($ in millions)    2009     2008     2009     2008  
     $     %     $     %     $     %     $     %  
Primary new insurance written                 

Flow

   $ 2,414      100.0   $ 5,025      99.7   $ 16,969      100.0   $ 31,265      96.2

Structured

     —        —          14      0.3     —        —          1,248      3.8
                                                        
Total Primary    $ 2,414      100.0   $ 5,039      100.0   $ 16,969      100.0   $ 32,513      100.0
                                                        

Flow

                

Prime

   $ 2,412      99.9   $ 5,003      99.6   $ 16,942      99.8   $ 29,359      93.9

Alt-A

     —        —          16      0.3     11      0.1     1,170      3.7

A minus and below

     2      0.1     6      0.1     16      0.1     736      2.4
                                                        

Total Flow

   $ 2,414      100.0   $ 5,025      100.0   $ 16,969      100.0   $ 31,265      100.0
                                                        

Structured

                

Prime

   $ —        —        $ 13      92.9   $ —        —        $ 1,245      99.8

Alt-A

     —        —          1      7.1     —        —          3      0.2
                                                        

Total Structured

   $ —        —        $ 14      100.0   $ —        —        $ 1,248      100.0
                                                        

Total

                

Prime

   $ 2,412      99.9   $ 5,016      99.6   $ 16,942      99.8   $ 30,604      94.1

Alt-A

     —        —          17      0.3     11      0.1     1,173      3.6

A minus and below

     2      0.1     6      0.1     16      0.1     736      2.3
                                                        

Total Primary

   $ 2,414      100.0   $ 5,039      100.0   $ 16,969      100.0   $ 32,513      100.0
                                                        

Total primary new insurance written by FICO score

                

Flow

                

>=740

   $ 1,829      75.8   $ 2,880      57.3   $ 12,293      72.5   $ 14,792      47.3

680-739

     581      24.1     1,725      34.3     4,403      25.9     11,454      36.6

620-679

     4      0.1     419      8.4     272      1.6     4,642      14.9

<=619

     —        —          1          1      —          377      1.2
                                                        

Total Flow

   $ 2,414      100.0   $ 5,025      100.0   $ 16,969      100.0   $ 31,265      100.0
                                                        

Structured

                

>=740

   $ —        —        $ 10      71.4   $ —        —        $ 790      63.3

680-739

     —        —          4      28.6     —        —          441      35.3

620-679

     —        —          —            —        —          17      1.4
                                                        

Total Structured

   $ —        —        $ 14      100.0   $ —        —        $ 1,248      100.0
                                                        
Total                 

>=740

   $ 1,829      75.8   $ 2,890      57.4   $ 12,293      72.5   $ 15,582      47.9

680-739

     581      24.1     1,729      34.3     4,403      25.9     11,895      36.6

620-679

     4      0.1     419      8.3     272      1.6     4,659      14.3

<=619

     —        —          1          1      —          377      1.2
                                                        

Total Primary

   $ 2,414      100.0   $ 5,039      100.0   $ 16,969      100.0   $ 32,513      100.0
                                                        

Percentage of primary new insurance written

                

Refinances

     26       17       41       30  

95.01% LTV and above

     0.2       1       0.1       11  

ARMs

                

Less than 5 years

     0.1       1       0.1       1  

5 years and longer

     5.8       3       1.6       8  
Primary risk written                 

Flow

   $ 533      100.0   $ 1,177      99.8   $ 3,663      100.0   $ 7,494      95.9

Structured

     —        —          2      0.2     —        —          318      4.1
                                                        

Total Primary

   $ 533      100.0   $ 1,179      100.0   $ 3,663      100.0   $ 7,812      100.0
                                                        

 

Page 13


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009

Exhibit J

 

($ in millions)    December 31
2009
    December 31
2008
 
     $     %     $     %  
Primary insurance in force         

Flow

   $ 121,596      84.3   $ 121,439      78.2

Structured

     22,672      15.7     33,800      21.8
                            

Total Primary

   $ 144,268      100.0   $ 155,239      100.0
                            

Prime

   $ 111,398      77.2   $ 111,558      71.9

Alt-A

     22,941      15.9     32,623      21.0

A minus and below

     9,929      6.9     11,058      7.1
                            

Total Primary

   $ 144,268      100.0   $ 155,239      100.0
                            
Primary risk in force         

Flow

   $ 29,971      88.8   $ 30,388      86.9

Structured

     3,794      11.2     4,563      13.1
                            

Total Primary

   $ 33,765      100.0   $ 34,951      100.0
                            

Flow

        

Prime

   $ 25,036      83.5   $ 24,815      81.7

Alt-A

     3,121      10.4     3,584      11.8

A minus and below

     1,814      6.1     1,989      6.5
                            

Total Flow

   $ 29,971      100.0   $ 30,388      100.0
                            

Structured

        

Prime

   $ 2,059      54.3   $ 2,390      52.4

Alt-A

     1,083      28.5     1,412      30.9

A minus and below

     652      17.2     761      16.7
                            

Total Structured

   $ 3,794      100.0   $ 4,563      100.0
                            

Total

        

Prime

   $ 27,095      80.2   $ 27,205      77.8

Alt-A

     4,204      12.5     4,996      14.3

A minus and below

     2,466      7.3     2,750      7.9
                            

Total Primary

   $ 33,765      100.0   $ 34,951      100.0
                            
Total primary risk in force by FICO score         

Flow

        

>=740

   $ 10,526      35.1   $ 9,436      31.1

680-739

     10,790      36.0     11,253      37.0

620-679

     7,329      24.5     8,195      27.0

<=619

     1,326      4.4     1,504      4.9
                            

Total Flow

   $ 29,971      100.0   $ 30,388      100.0
                            

Structured

        

>=740

   $ 1,036      27.3   $ 1,233      27.0

680-739

     1,168      30.8     1,422      31.2

620-679

     990      26.1     1,205      26.4

<=619

     600      15.8     703      15.4
                            

Total Structured

   $ 3,794      100.0   $ 4,563      100.0
                            

Total

        

>=740

   $ 11,562      34.3   $ 10,669      30.5

680-739

     11,958      35.4     12,675      36.3

620-679

     8,319      24.6     9,400      26.9

<=619

     1,926      5.7     2,207      6.3
                            

Total Primary

   $ 33,765      100.0   $ 34,951      100.0
                            
Percentage of primary risk in force         

Refinances

     31       30  

95.01% LTV and above

     21       22  

ARMs

        

Less than 5 years

     8       9  

5 years and longer

     8       9  
Pool risk in force         

Prime

   $ 1,918      71.1   $ 2,090      70.8

Alt-A

     246      9.1     291      9.9

A minus and below

     534      19.8     569      19.3
                            

Total

   $ 2,698      100.0   $ 2,950      100.0
                            

 

Page 14


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009

Exhibit K

 

($ in millions)    December 31
2009
    December 31
2008
 
     $    %     $    %  

Total primary risk in force by LTV

          

85.00% and below

   $ 3,263    9.6   $ 3,598    10.3

85.01% to 90.00%

     12,589    37.3     12,331    35.3

90.01% to 95.00%

     10,996    32.6     11,217    32.1

95.01% and above

     6,917    20.5     7,805    22.3
                          

Total

   $ 33,765    100.0   $ 34,951    100.0
                          

Total primary risk in force by policy year

          

2005 and prior

   $ 9,709    28.7   $ 11,526    33.0

2006

     4,390    13.0     5,196    14.9

2007

     9,443    28.0     10,711    30.6

2008

     6,725    19.9     7,518    21.5

2009

     3,498    10.4     —      —     
                          

Total

   $ 33,765    100.0   $ 34,951    100.0
                          

Total pool risk in force by policy year

          

2005 and prior

   $ 2,183    80.9   $ 2,402    81.4

2006

     236    8.7     252    8.6

2007

     223    8.3     237    8.0

2008

     56    2.1     59    2.0
                          

Total pool risk in force

   $ 2,698    100.0   $ 2,950    100.0
                          

Other risk in force

          

Second-lien

          

1st loss

   $ 147      $ 267   

2nd loss

     116        355   

NIMs

     353        438   

International

          

1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance

     257        413   

Reinsurance

     —          153   

Credit default swaps

     127        3,361   

Other

          

Domestic credit default swaps

     —          132   
                  

Total other risk in force

   $ 1,000      $ 5,119   
                  

Risk to capital ratio-Radian Guaranty only (1)

     15.4:1        16.4:1   

 

(1) Starting June 30, 2009, risk in force on policies currently in default and for which loss reserves have been established are deducted from total risk in force used for our risk to capital calculations. Risk to capital ratios for the prior periods have not been restated to conform with this presentation.

 

Page 15


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009

Exhibit L

 

($ in thousands)    Quarter Ended
December 31
    Year Ended
December 31
 
     2009     2008     2009     2008  

Direct claims paid

        

Prime

   $ 122,004      $ 87,990      $ 368,820      $ 310,965   

Alt-A

     70,295        58,262        219,544        210,700   

A minus and below

     47,196        48,701        163,069        211,612   

Second-lien and other

     14,849        44,778        66,584        182,872   
                                

Subtotal

     254,344        239,731        818,017        916,149   

Impact of first-lien terminations

     197,692        —          197,692        —     

Impact of captive terminations

     (25,194     —          (132,941     —     

Impact of second-lien terminations

     —          —          87,323        —     
                                

Total

   $ 426,842      $ 239,731      $ 970,091      $ 916,149   
                                

Average claim paid (1)

        

Prime

   $ 44.0      $ 43.4      $ 42.8      $ 40.9   

Alt-A

     56.9        57.3        54.9        54.8   

A minus and below

     39.8        40.4        39.1        39.0   

Second-lien and other

     38.0        36.8        41.2        35.5   

Total

   $ 45.5      $ 43.9      $ 44.5      $ 41.6   

Loss ratio - GAAP Basis

     242.5     268.4     179.6     250.4

Expense ratio - GAAP Basis

     18.5     17.2     23.2     29.3 % (2) 
                                
     261.0     285.6     202.8     279.7
                                

Reserve for losses by category

        

Prime

   $ 1,265,859      $ 829,097       

Alt-A

     767,043        977,177       

A minus and below

     456,281        446,193       

Pool insurance

     295,996        107,441       

Second-lien

     43,579        136,591       

Other

     136        1,659       
                    

Reserve for losses, net

     2,828,894        2,498,158       

Reinsurance recoverable

     621,644  (3)      491,836       
                    

Total

   $ 3,450,538      $ 2,989,994       
                    

 

(1) Calculated without giving effect to the impact of first-lien, second-lien and captive terminations.
(2) Includes the acceleration of $50.8 million of deferred policy acquisition cost amortization, as a result of the establishment of a first-lien premium deficiency reserve in the second quarter of 2008.
(3) Reinsurance recoverable on ceded losses related to captives ($490 million) and Smart Home ($131 million).

 

Page 16


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009

Exhibit M

 

     December 31
2009
    December 31
2008
 

Default Statistics

    

Primary insurance:

    

Flow

    

Prime

    

Number of insured loans

   614,590      624,970   

Number of loans in default

   78,130      44,575   

Percentage of loans in default

   12.71   7.13

Alt-A

    

Number of insured loans

   60,616      68,948   

Number of loans in default

   22,177      16,959   

Percentage of loans in default

   36.59   24.60

A minus and below

    

Number of insured loans

   53,932      59,189   

Number of loans in default

   20,911      15,768   

Percentage of loans in default

   38.77   26.64

Total Flow

    

Number of insured loans

   729,138      753,107   

Number of loans in default

   121,218      77,302   

Percentage of loans in default

   16.62   10.26

Structured

    

Prime

    

Number of insured loans

   52,629      67,165   

Number of loans in default

   7,520      6,692   

Percentage of loans in default

   14.29   9.96

Alt-A

    

Number of insured loans

   43,615      80,491   

Number of loans in default

   15,295      18,747   

Percentage of loans in default

   35.07   23.29

A minus and below

    

Number of insured loans

   19,287      22,315   

Number of loans in default

   7,965      7,812   

Percentage of loans in default

   41.30   35.01

Total Structured

    

Number of insured loans

   115,531      169,971   

Number of loans in default

   30,780      33,251   

Percentage of loans in default

   26.64   19.56

Total Primary Insurance

    

Prime

    

Number of insured loans

   667,219      692,135   

Number of loans in default

   85,650      51,267   

Percentage of loans in default

   12.84   7.41

Alt-A

    

Number of insured loans

   104,231      149,439   

Number of loans in default

   37,472      35,706   

Percentage of loans in default

   35.95   23.89

A minus and below

    

Number of insured loans

   73,219      81,504   

Number of loans in default

   28,876      23,580   

Percentage of loans in default

   39.44   28.93

Total Primary Insurance

    

Number of insured loans

   844,669      923,078   

Number of loans in default (1)

   151,998      110,553   

Percentage of loans in default

   17.99   11.98

Pool insurance:

    

Number of loans in default (2)

   36,397      32,677   

 

(1) Includes an estimated 3,302 and 5,373 defaults at December 31, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively, for which reserves have not been established because they were associated with transactions where no claim payment was anticipated primarily due to deductibles or where a partial reserve has been recorded that is less than the gross calculated reserve due to the presence of a deductible.
(2) Includes an estimated 18,033 and 23,364 defaults at December 31, 2009 and December 31, 2008, respectively, for which reserves have not been established because they were associated with transactions where no claim payment was anticipated primarily due to deductibles or where a partial reserve has been recorded that is less than the gross calculated reserve due to the presence of a deductible.

 

Page 17


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009

Exhibit N

 

     Quarter Ended
December 31
    Year Ended
December 31
 
     2009     2008     2009     2008  

Net Premiums Written (In thousands)

        

Primary and Pool Insurance

   $ 166,188      $ 181,173      $ 650,060      $ 759,943   

Second-lien

     709   (1)      3,028        (41 ) (1)      11,458   

International

     (2,699 ) (1)      4,167        (19,943 ) (1)      15,831   
                                

Total Net Premiums Written - Insurance

   $ 164,198      $ 188,368      $ 630,076      $ 787,232   
                                

Net Premiums Earned (In thousands)

        

Primary and Pool Insurance

   $ 185,306      $ 193,706      $ 703,076      $ 768,723   

Second-lien

     972        4,349        5,621        18,727   

International

     3,356        5,158        15,726        21,331   
                                

Total Net Premiums Earned - Insurance

   $ 189,634      $ 203,213      $ 724,423      $ 808,781   
                                

SMART HOME (In millions)

        

Ceded Premiums Written

   $ 2.9      $ 3.0      $ 10.9      $ 13.0   

Ceded Premiums Earned

   $ 2.9      $ 3.0      $ 10.9      $ 13.0   

1st Lien Captives

        

Premiums ceded to captives (In millions)

   $ 26.8      $ 33.9      $ 129.8      $ 138.3   

% of total premiums

     12.5     14.7     15.4     15.0

NIW subject to captives (In millions)

   $ 39.9      $ 1,556.8      $ 1,655.6      $ 11,824.9   

% of primary NIW

     1.7     30.9     9.8     36.4

IIF included in captives (2)

     29.3     34.8    

RIF included in captives (2)

     31.5     43.8    

Persistency (twelve months ended December 31)

     82.0     85.8    
     December 31
2009
    December 31
2008
             

SMART HOME

        

% of Primary RIF included in Smart Home Transactions (2)

     3.4     3.7    

 

(1) Reflects the impact of second-lien and international terminations.
(2) Radian reinsures the middle layer risk positions, while retaining a significant portion of the total risk comprising the first loss and most remote risk positions.

 

Page 18


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009

Exhibit O

Reinsurance Progression Toward Attachment - Summary by Book Year (1)

 

($ in millions)           December 31
2009
  December 31
2008 (5)

Book Year (2):

  Original Book
RIF
  Progression
to
Attachment
Point
  Gross
Current
RIF
  Ceded
Current
RIF(3)
  Net
Current
RIF
  Ever-to-
Date
Incurred
Losses
  Reinsurance
Benefit (4)
  Gross
Current RIF
  Ceded
Current
RIF(3)
  Net Current
RIF
  Ever-to-
Date
Incurred

Losses
  Reinsurance
Benefit (4)

Pre-2006

    0-50%   $ 375   $ 62   $ 313   $ 142     $ 1,120   $ 558   $ 562   $ 239  

Pre-2006

    50-75%     325     185     140     86       942     349     593     142  

Pre-2006

    75-99%     557     231     326     127       1,084     397     687     160  

Pre-2006

    Attached     1,673     452     1,221     381   $ 139     1,355     237     1,118     184   $ 75
                                                               

Pre-2006 Total

  $ 20,988     $ 2,930   $ 930   $ 2,000   $ 736   $ 139   $ 4,501   $ 1,541   $ 2,960   $ 725   $ 75
                                                               

2006

    0-50%   $ 1   $ —     $ 1   $ —       $ 32   $ 2   $ 30   $ 1  

2006

    50-75%     16     1     15     1       62     4     58     3  

2006

    75-99%     13     1     12     1       310     42     268     18  

2006

    Attached     1,695     242     1,453     355   $ 163     2,074     270     1,804     290   $ 161
                                                               

2006 Total

  $ 2,769     $ 1,725   $ 244   $ 1,481   $ 357   $ 163   $ 2,478   $ 318   $ 2,160   $ 312   $ 161
                                                               

2007

    0-50%   $ 1   $ —     $ 1   $ —       $ 31   $ 2   $ 29   $ —    

2007

    50-75%     12     1     11     —         225     12     213     8  

2007

    75-99%     15     1     14     1       71     7     64     3  

2007

    Attached     3,446     391     3,055     437   $ 191     4,329     454     3,875     350   $ 147
                                                               

2007 Total

  $ 4,311     $ 3,474   $ 393   $ 3,081   $ 438   $ 191   $ 4,656   $ 475   $ 4,181   $ 361   $ 147
                                                               

2008

    0-50%   $ 298   $ 22   $ 276   $ 6     $ 2,167   $ 197   $ 1,970   $ 25  

2008

    50-75%     149     8     141     6       42     4     38     1  

2008

    75-99%     1,454     166     1,288     56       —       —       —       —    

2008

    Attached     159     14     145     19   $ 11     190     15     175     16   $ 9
                                                               

2008 Total

  $ 2,386     $ 2,060   $ 210   $ 1,850   $ 87   $ 11   $ 2,399   $ 216   $ 2,183   $ 42   $ 9
                                                               

2009

    0-50%   $ 284   $ 12   $ 272   $ —       $ —     $ —     $ —     $ —    

2009

    50-75%     —       —       —       —         —       —       —       —    

2009

    75-99%     —       —       —       —         —       —       —       —    

2009

    Attached     —       —       —       —     $ —       —       —       —       —     $ —  
                                                               

2009 Total

  $ 298     $ 284   $ 12   $ 272   $ —     $ —     $ —     $ —     $ —     $ —     $ —  
                                                               

Quota Share

    0-50%   $ —     $ —     $ —     $ —       $ —     $ —     $ —     $ —    

Quota Share

    50-75%     —       —       —       —         —       —       —       —    

Quota Share

    75-99%     —       —       —       —         —       —       —       —    

Quota Share

    Attached     102     33     69     37   $ 17     116     37     79     27   $ 12
                                                               

Quota Share Total

  $ 313     $ 102   $ 33   $ 69   $ 37   $ 17   $ 116   $ 37   $ 79   $ 27   $ 12
                                                               

Total Captive (Including Quota Share)

  $ 31,065     $ 10,575   $ 1,822   $ 8,753   $ 1,655   $ 521   $ 14,150   $ 2,587   $ 11,563   $ 1,467   $ 404
                                                               

SmartHome

    0-50%   $ 32   $ 14   $ 18   $ 12     $ 117   $ 51   $ 66   $ 27  

SmartHome

    50-75%     71     29     42     23       —       —       —       —    

SmartHome

    75-99%     —       —       —       —         —       —       —       —    

SmartHome

    Attached     1,029     492     537     435   $ 143     1,188     521     667     346   $ 91
                                                               

Total SmartHome

  $ 3,900     $ 1,132   $ 535   $ 597   $ 470   $ 143   $ 1,305   $ 572   $ 733   $ 373   $ 91
                                                               

 

(1) Data is presented in the aggregate for all trusts for captives with risk in force at each period end only. Actual trust attachment points and exit points vary by individual contract. The attachment point is calculated at the contract/deal level and is based on Total Incurred Losses which are defined as claims paid ever-to-date plus loss reserves.
(2) Book year figures may include loans from additional periods pursuant to reinsurance agreement terms and conditions.
(3) Risk ceded to reinsurers based on individual contract terms.
(4) Captive Benefit is defined as ceded reserves at period end plus ever-to-date claims paid by the trust for captives with risk in force at period end only. Reinsurance benefit at December 31, 2009 excludes $71 million of recoveries recognized from the terminations of certain captive reinsurance agreements during the year.
(5) Revised from December 31, 2008 originally presented.

 

Page 19


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009

Modified Pool

Exhibit P

 

($ in millions)    December 31
2009
    December 31
2008
 
     $    %     $    %  

Primary risk in force by policy year

          

2005 and prior

   $ 243    41.7   $ 295    34.8

2006

     98    16.8     211    24.9

2007

     235    40.3     333    39.3

2008

     7    1.2     8    1.0
                          

Total

   $ 583    100.0   $ 847    100.0
                          

Primary risk in force by product

          

Prime

   $ 104    17.8   $ 154    18.2

Alt-A

     456    78.2     668    78.9

A minus and below

     23    4.0     25    2.9
                          

Total

   $ 583    100.0   $ 847    100.0
                          

Primary insurance in force by product

          

Prime

   $ 1,508    16.0   $ 3,141    17.0

Alt-A

     7,649    81.2     15,027    81.4

A minus and below

     258    2.8     294    1.6
                          

Total

   $ 9,415    100.0   $ 18,462    100.0
                          

Default Statistics:

          

Primary Insurance:

          

Total modified pool

          

Number of insured loans

      42,509         86,350   

Number of loans in default

      12,677         16,725   

Percentage of loans in default

      29.82      19.37

 

Page 20


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009

ALT-A

Exhibit Q

 

     December 31  
($ in millions)    2009     2008  
   $    %     $    %  

Primary risk in force by FICO score

          

>=740

   $ 1,037    24.7   $ 1,227    24.6

680-739

     2,028    48.2     2,399    48.0

660-679

     610    14.5     734    14.7

620-659

     500    11.9     603    12.1

<=619

     29    0.7     33    0.6
                          

Total

   $ 4,204    100.0   $ 4,996    100.0
                          

Primary risk in force by LTV

          

85.00% and below

   $ 977    23.2   $ 1,275    25.5

85.01% to 90.00%

     1,805    42.9     2,077    41.6

90.01% to 95.00%

     1,125    26.8     1,295    25.9

95.01% and above

     297    7.1     349    7.0
                          

Total

   $ 4,204    100.0   $ 4,996    100.0
                          

Primary risk in force by policy year

          

2005 and prior

   $ 1,363    32.4   $ 1,583    31.6

2006

     889    21.2     1,109    22.2

2007

     1,720    40.9     2,051    41.1

2008

     231    5.5     253    5.1

2009

     1    —          —      —     
                          

Total

   $ 4,204    100.0   $ 4,996    100.0
                          

 

Page 21


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Services Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009

Exhibit R

 

     Quarter Ended
December 31
    Year Ended
December 31
 
(In thousands)    2009     2008     2009     2008  

Investment in Affiliates-Selected Information

        

Sherman

        

Balance, beginning of period

   $ 111,979      $ 87,217      $ 99,656      $ 104,315   

Net income for period

     9,618        15,754        33,226        59,782   

Dividends received

     —          —          (11,040     (35,460

Other comprehensive loss

     (173     (3,315     (418     (3,195

Adjustment to investment related to buyback of MGIC interest

     —          —          —          (25,786
                                

Balance, end of period

   $ 121,424      $ 99,656      $ 121,424      $ 99,656   
                                

Portfolio Information:

        

Sherman

        

Total assets

   $ 1,913,296      $ 2,355,660       

Net revenues

   $ 277,611      $ 345,914      $ 1,245,686      $ 1,504,368   

 

Page 22


Radian Group Inc.

Impact of Mortgage Insurance Terminations

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2009

Exhibit S

($ in millions)

 

     As Reported
December 31
2009
    Impact of
Mortgage Insurance
Terminations
    Prior to
Mortgage Insurance
Terminations
 

Primary insurance in force

      

Prime

   $ 111,398      $ 1,376      $ 112,774   

Alt-A

     22,941        6,094        29,035   

A minus and below

     9,929        4        9,933   
                        

Total Primary

   $ 144,268      $ 7,474      $ 151,742   
                        

Primary risk in force

      

Prime

   $ 27,095      $ 43      $ 27,138   

Alt-A

     4,204        194        4,398   

A minus and below

     2,466        —          2,466   
                        

Total Primary

   $ 33,765      $ 237      $ 34,002   
                        

Pool risk in force

      

Prime

   $ 1,918      $ 26      $ 1,944   

Alt-A

     246        —          246   

A minus and below

     534        4        538   
                        

Total Pool

   $ 2,698      $ 30      $ 2,728   
                        

Primary insurance in force-modified pool (1)

      

Prime

   $ 1,508      $ 1,376      $ 2,884   

Alt-A

     7,649        6,094        13,743   

A minus and below

     258        4        262   
                        

Total Primary

   $ 9,415      $ 7,474      $ 16,889   
                        

Primary risk in force-modified pool (1)

      

Prime

   $ 104      $ 43      $ 147   

Alt-A

     456        194        650   

A minus and below

     23        —          23   
                        

Total Primary

   $ 583      $ 237      $ 820   
                        

Default Statistics:

      

Total Primary Insurance

      

Prime

      

Number of insured loans

     667,219        7,259        674,478   

Number of loans in default

     85,650        1,671        87,321   

Percentage of loans in default

     12.84     23.02     12.95

Alt-A

      

Number of insured loans

     104,231        29,553        133,784   

Number of loans in default

     37,472        10,894        48,366   

Percentage of loans in default

     35.95     36.86     36.15

A minus and below

      

Number of insured loans

     73,219        31        73,250   

Number of loans in default

     28,876        10        28,886   

Percentage of loans in default

     39.44     32.26     39.43

Total Primary Insurance

      

Number of insured loans

     844,669        36,843        881,512   

Number of loans in default

     151,998        12,575        164,573   

Percentage of loans in default

     17.99     34.13     18.67

Total modified pool insurance (1)

      

Number of insured loans

     42,509        36,840        79,349   

Number of loans in default

     12,677        12,573        25,250   

Percentage of loans in default

     29.82     34.13     31.82

Total pool insurance

      

Number of loans in default

     36,397        2,311        38,708   

 

(1) Included in primary insurance.

 

Page 23


LOGO

 

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

  

 

Forward-Looking Statements

 

  

Some of the statements in this release constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Generally, words such as “anticipate,” “may,” “will,” “could,” “should,” “would,” “expect,” “intend,” “plan,” “goal,” “contemplate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “predict,” “project,” “potential,” “continue,” or other variations on these and other similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are only predictions and, as such, are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Forward-looking statements are based upon assumptions as to future events or our future financial performance that may not prove to be accurate. These statements speak only as of the date of this news release, and we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ from those projected in such forward-looking statements include, without limitation, the following:

      changes in general financial and political conditions, such as the failure of the U.S. economy to recover from the most recent recession or the U.S. economy reentering a recessionary period following a brief period of stabilization or even growth, the lack of meaningful liquidity in the capital markets or in the credit markets, a prolonged period of high unemployment rates and limited home price appreciation or further depreciation (which has resulted in some borrowers voluntarily defaulting on their mortgages when their mortgage balances exceed the value of their homes), changes or volatility in interest rates or consumer confidence, changes in credit spreads, changes in the way investors perceive the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers, investor concern over the credit quality and specific risks faced by the particular businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our insurance;
      catastrophic events or further economic changes in geographic regions where our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance in force is more concentrated;
      our ability to successfully execute upon our capital plan for our mortgage insurance business (which depends, in part, on the performance of our financial guaranty portfolio), and if necessary, to obtain additional capital to support new business writings in our mortgage insurance business and the long-term liquidity needs of our holding company;
      a further decrease in the volume of home mortgage originations due to reduced liquidity in the lending market, tighter underwriting standards and the decrease in housing demand throughout the U.S.;
      our ability to maintain adequate risk-to-capital ratios and surplus requirements in our mortgage insurance business in light of ongoing losses in this business and continued deterioration in our financial guaranty portfolio which, in the absence of new capital, may depend on our ability to execute strategies for which regulatory and other approvals are required and may not be obtained;

 

Page 24


LOGO

 

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

      our ability to continue to effectively mitigate our mortgage insurance losses;
  

 

  

 

reduced opportunities for loss mitigation in markets where housing values do not appreciate or continue to decline;

  

 

  

 

the negative impact our increased levels of insurance rescissions and claim denials may have on our relationships with customers, including potentially heightened disputes and litigation;

  

 

  

 

the concentration of our mortgage insurance business among a relatively small number of large customers;

      disruption in the servicing of mortgages covered by our insurance policies;
      the aging of our mortgage insurance portfolio and changes in severity or frequency of losses associated with certain of our products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance policies;
      the performance of our insured portfolio of higher risk loans, such as Alternative-A (“Alt-A”) and subprime loans, and of adjustable rate products, such as adjustable rate mortgages and interest-only mortgages;
      a decrease in persistency rates of our mortgage insurance policies;
      an increase in the risk profile of our existing mortgage insurance portfolio due to mortgage refinancing in the current housing market;
      further downgrades or threatened downgrades of, or other ratings actions with respect to, our credit ratings or the ratings assigned by the major rating agencies to any of our rated insurance subsidiaries at any time (in particular, the credit rating of Radian Group Inc. and the financial strength ratings assigned to Radian Guaranty Inc.);
      heightened competition for our mortgage insurance business from others such as the Federal Housing Administration and the Veterans’ Administration or other private mortgage insurers (in particular those that have been assigned higher ratings from the major rating agencies);
      changes in the charters or business practices of Federal National Mortgage Association (“Fannie Mae”) and Freddie Mac, the largest purchasers of mortgage loans that we insure, and our ability to remain an eligible provider to both Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae;
      changes to the current system of housing finance, including the possibility of a new system in which private mortgage insurers are not required or its services are significantly limited in scope;

 

Page 25


LOGO

 

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

      the application of existing federal or state consumer, lending, insurance, tax, securities and other applicable laws and regulations, or changes in these laws and regulations or the way they are interpreted; including, without limitation: (i) the outcome of existing investigations or the possibility of private lawsuits or other formal investigations by state insurance departments and state attorneys general alleging that services offered by the mortgage insurance industry, such as captive reinsurance, pool insurance and contract underwriting, are violative of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act and/or similar state regulations, (ii) legislative and regulatory changes affecting demand for private mortgage insurance, or (iii) legislation or regulatory changes limiting or restricting our use of (or requirements for) additional capital, the products we may offer, the form in which we may execute the credit protection we provide or the aggregate notional amount of any product we may offer for any one transaction or in the aggregate;
      the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty businesses or premium deficiencies for our mortgage insurance business, or to estimate accurately the fair value amounts of derivative instruments in our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses in determining gains and losses on these contracts;
      the ability of our primary insurance customers in our financial guaranty reinsurance business to provide appropriate surveillance and to mitigate losses adequately with respect to our assumed insurance portfolio;
      volatility in our earnings caused by changes in the fair value of our derivative instruments and our need to reevaluate the premium deficiency in our mortgage insurance business on a quarterly basis;
      changes in accounting guidance from the Securities and Exchange Commission or the Financial Accounting Standards Board;
      legal and other limitations on amounts we may receive from our subsidiaries as dividends or through our tax- and expense-sharing arrangements with our subsidiaries; and
      our investment in, and other arrangements with, Sherman Financial Group LLC, which could be negatively affected in the current credit environment if Sherman is unable to maintain sufficient sources of funding for its business activities or remain in compliance with its credit facilities.
  

For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks that we face, you should review the risks described under Item 1A, “Risk Factors” under our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008, our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q/A for the quarter ended September 30, 2009 and subsequent reports and registration statements filed from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

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