EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm NEWS RELEASE News Release

Exhibit 99.1

 

LOGO   News Release

Contact:

 

For investors:   Terri Williams-Perry – phone: 215 231.1486
  Email: terri.williams-perry@radian.biz
For the media:   Rick Gillespie – phone: 215 231.1061
  Email: rick.gillespie@radian.biz

Radian Reports First Quarter Financial Results

PHILADELPHIA, May 5, 2009—Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) today reported a net loss for the quarter ended March 31, 2009, of $217.4 million, or $2.69 per diluted share. This compares to net income of $195.6 million, or $2.44 per diluted share, for the prior year quarter. Book value per share at March 31, 2009, was $22.12.

“Our net loss in the first quarter was primarily attributable to unrealized mark to market losses on derivatives and the continued increase in mortgage insurance defaults. Despite facing difficult operating conditions, we believe that our mortgage insurance franchise remains strong with sufficient capital to continue writing quality new business throughout 2009,” said S. A. Ibrahim, Chief Executive Officer of Radian. “The private mortgage insurance industry continues to play a vital role in the recovery of the U.S. housing market. While we continue to see disruption and uncertainty in the marketplace, Radian is prudently managing through the present downturn and positioning for the future, while working diligently to support homeowners and provide liquidity to the mortgage marketplace.”

FIRST QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS

— The unrealized loss on derivatives represented $284.4 million of the total pre-tax loss of $334.4 million.

— The mortgage insurance provision for losses of $322 million reflects the continued increase in the primary first lien default rate, which rose to 13.2% at the end of the first quarter.

 

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LOGO

 

— First quarter mortgage insurance claims paid were below expectations at $152 million for first liens and $88 million for second liens. The Company anticipates an increase in claims paid for first liens throughout 2009 as new and existing defaults move to claim and certain foreclosure moratoriums expire. Second quarter MI claims paid are expected to be approximately $300 million and the Company is reducing its full year estimated range to $1.2 to $1.4 billion.

— As a result of reduced mortgage origination volume and the Company’s move to a more traditional high quality focus, total primary new mortgage insurance written during the first quarter was $5.6 billion, 99.8 percent of which was prime credit quality.

— Radian’s loss management initiatives remain a critical priority to its capital preservation.

— The GSE charter remains unchanged and Radian Guaranty retains its eligibility status with the GSEs through frequent and proactive collaboration and demonstration of its capital position.

— Radian Asset Assurance Inc. (Radian Asset), the Company’s principal financial guaranty subsidiary, continues to serve as an important source of capital support for Radian Guaranty Inc. (Radian Guaranty), the Company’s principal mortgage insurance subsidiary, and is expected to continue to provide our core mortgage insurance business with cash infusions over time. Radian Asset had $1 billion in statutory capital and total claims-paying resources of $2.8 billion as of March 31, 2009.

— Radian has a 29 percent ownership interest in Sherman Financial and received $6.4 million in dividends from Sherman during the first quarter.

CONFERENCE CALL

Radian will discuss each of these items in its conference call today, Tuesday, May 5 at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time. The conference call will be broadcast live over the internet at http://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-audioarchives or at www.radian.biz. The call may also be accessed by dialing 800-230-1096 inside the U.S., or 612-288-0337 for international callers, using passcode 997299 or by referencing Radian.

A replay of the webcast will be available at the Radian website approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of one year. A replay of the conference call will be available two and a half hours after the call ends for one week, using the following dial-in numbers and passcode: 800-475-6701 inside the U.S., or 320-365-3844 for international callers, passcode 997299.

About Radian

Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN), headquartered in Philadelphia, provides private mortgage insurance and related risk management products and services to mortgage lenders nationwide through its principal operating subsidiary, Radian Guaranty Inc. These services help promote and preserve homeownership opportunities for homebuyers, while protecting lenders from default-related losses on residential first mortgages and facilitating the sale of low-downpayment mortgages in the secondary market. Additional information may be found at www.radian.biz.

 

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Financial Results and Supplemental Information Contents (Unaudited)

For trend information on all schedules, refer to Radian’s quarterly financial statistics at http://www.radian.biz/investors/financial/corporate.aspx.

 

Exhibit A: Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income

Exhibit B: Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

Exhibit C: Segment Information Quarter Ended March 31, 2009

Exhibit D: Segment Information Quarter Ended March 31, 2008

Exhibit E: Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information –
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Exhibit F: Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information –
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Exhibit G: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information –
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

New Insurance Written and Risk Written

Exhibit H: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information –
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Insurance in Force and Risk in Force

Exhibit I: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information –
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Risk in Force by LTV and Policy Year and other Risk in Force

Exhibit J: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information –
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Claims and Reserves

Exhibit K: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information –
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Default Statistics

Exhibit L: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information –
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Net Premiums Written and Earned, Smart Home, Captives and Persistency

Exhibit M: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information –
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Reinsurance Progression Toward Attachment – Summary by Book Year

Exhibit N: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information –
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Modified Pool Risk in Force

Exhibit O: Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information –
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Alt-A Risk in Force

Exhibit P: Financial Services Supplemental Information –
For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

 

3


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income

Exhibit A

 

     Quarter Ended
March 31
 
(In thousands, except per-share data)    2009     2008  

Revenues:

    

Net premiums written - insurance

   $ 156,756     $ 244,306  
                

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 211,215     $ 241,921  

Net investment income

     56,283       65,979  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (284,416 )     707,809  

Net gains (losses) on other financial instruments

     24,246       (54,884 )

Other income

     4,132       3,614  
                

Total revenues

     11,460       964,439  
                

Expenses:

    

Provision for losses

     326,754       582,711  

Provision for premium deficiency

     (48,184 )     18,090  

Policy acquisition costs

     13,954       23,906  

Other operating expenses

     51,602       55,141  

Interest expense

     12,299       12,493  
                

Total expenses

     356,425       692,341  
                

Equity in net income of affiliates

     10,552       12,526  
                

Pretax (loss) income

     (334,413 )     284,624  

Income tax (benefit) provision

     (116,976 )     88,986  
                

Net (loss) income

   $ (217,437 )   $ 195,638  
                

Diluted net (loss) income per share (1)

   $ (2.69 )   $ 2.44  
                

 

(1)    Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands)

    

Average common shares outstanding

     80,902       79,930  

Increase in shares-common stock equivalents-diluted basis

     —         110  
                

Weighted average shares outstanding

     80,902       80,040  

For Trend Information, refer to our Quarterly Financial Statistics on Radian’s (RDN) website.

 

Page 1


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

Exhibit B

 

(In thousands, except per-share data)    March 31
2009
    December 31
2008
 

Assets:

    

Cash and investments

   $ 6,498,215     $ 6,060,601  

Investments in affiliates

     103,291       99,712  

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     222,269       160,526  

Prepaid federal income taxes

     13,475       248,828  

Derivative assets

     169,993       179,515  

Deferred income taxes, net

     492,663       446,102  

Reinsurance recoverables

     537,359       492,359  

Other assets

     666,345       428,476  
                

Total assets

   $ 8,703,610     $ 8,116,119  
                

Liabilities and stockholders’ equity:

    

Unearned premiums

   $ 1,152,552     $ 916,724  

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     3,332,642       3,224,542  

Reserve for premium deficiency

     38,677       86,861  

Long-term debt and other borrowings

     857,324       857,802  

Variable interest entity debt

     206,505       160,035  

Derivative liabilities

     741,638       519,260  

Other liabilities

     573,366       320,185  
                

Total liabilities

     6,902,704       6,085,409  
                

Common stock

     99       98  

Additional paid-in capital

     464,705       462,647  

Retained earnings

     1,511,719       1,766,946  

Accumulated other comprehensive loss

     (175,617 )     (198,981 )
                

Total common stockholders’ equity

     1,800,906       2,030,710  
                

Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity

   $ 8,703,610     $ 8,116,119  
                

Book value per share

   $ 22.12     $ 25.06  

 

Page 2


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Quarter Ended March 31, 2009

Exhibit C

 

(In thousands)    Mortgage
Insurance
    Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
   Total  

Revenues:

         

Net premiums written - insurance

   $ 161,959     $ (5,203 )   $ —      $ 156,756  
                               

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 177,883     $ 33,332     $ —      $ 211,215  

Net investment income

     31,345       24,938       —        56,283  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (28,576 )     (255,840 )     —        (284,416 )

Net gains on other financial instruments

     12,276       11,970       —        24,246  

Other income

     3,818       153       161      4,132  
                               

Total revenues

     196,746       (185,447 )     161      11,460  
                               

Expenses:

         

Provision for losses

     321,684       5,070       —        326,754  

Provision for premium deficiency

     (48,184 )     —         —        (48,184 )

Policy acquisition costs

     5,739       8,215       —        13,954  

Other operating expenses

     35,694       15,833       75      51,602  

Interest expense

     5,694       6,605       —        12,299  
                               

Total expenses

     320,627       35,723       75      356,425  
                               

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —         —         10,552      10,552  
                               

Pretax (loss) income

     (123,881 )     (221,170 )     10,638      (334,413 )

Income tax (benefit) provision

     (35,084 )     (85,770 )     3,878      (116,976 )
                               

Net (loss) income

   $ (88,797 )   $ (135,400 )   $ 6,760    $ (217,437 )
                               

Cash and investments

   $ 4,141,601     $ 2,356,614     $ —      $ 6,498,215  

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     26,391       195,878       —        222,269  

Total assets

     5,241,881       3,344,269       117,460      8,703,610  

Unearned premiums

     319,785       832,767       —        1,152,552  

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     3,116,553       216,089       —        3,332,642  

Derivative liabilities

     127,472       614,166       —        741,638  

 

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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Quarter Ended March 31, 2008

Exhibit D

 

(In thousands)    Mortgage
Insurance
    Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
    Total  

Revenues:

        

Net premiums written - insurance

   $ 211,251     $ 33,055     $ —       $ 244,306  
                                

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 204,265     $ 37,656     $ —       $ 241,921  

Net investment income

     38,845       27,120       14       65,979  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     71,769       636,040       —         707,809  

Net losses on other financial instruments

     (36,733 )     (18,149 )     (2 )     (54,884 )

Other income

     3,491       121       2       3,614  
                                

Total revenues

     281,637       682,788       14       964,439  
                                

Expenses:

        

Provision for losses

     571,008       11,703       —         582,711  

Provision for premium deficiency

     18,090       —         —         18,090  

Policy acquisition costs

     13,460       10,446       —         23,906  

Other operating expenses

     34,170       20,738       233       55,141  

Interest expense

     7,090       5,154       249       12,493  
                                

Total expenses

     643,818       48,041       482       692,341  
                                

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —         —         12,526       12,526  
                                

Pretax (loss) income

     (362,181 )     634,747       12,058       284,624  

Income tax (benefit) provision

     (135,725 )     219,219       5,492       88,986  
                                

Net (loss) income

   $ (226,456 )   $ 415,528     $ 6,566     $ 195,638  
                                

Cash and investments

   $ 4,224,913     $ 2,516,072     $ —       $ 6,740,985  

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     62,860       176,540       —         239,400  

Total assets

     5,001,689       3,133,958       118,378       8,254,025  

Unearned premiums

     365,161       709,428       —         1,074,589  

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     1,741,169       160,959       —         1,902,128  

Derivative liabilities

     353,559       349,846       —         703,405  

 

Page 4


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Exhibit E

 

      Quarter Ended
March 31
 
($ in thousands, except ratios)    2009     2008  

Net Premiums Earned:

    

Public finance direct

   $ 14,452     $ 17,810  

Public finance reinsurance

     8,366       9,870  

Structured direct

     1,777       3,882  

Structured reinsurance

     8,641       5,599  

Trade credit reinsurance

     96       495  
                

Total Net Premiums Earned - insurance

   $ 33,332     $ 37,656  
                

Refundings included in earned premium

   $ 13,044     $ 11,657  
                

Claims paid:

    

Trade credit reinsurance

   $ 178     $ 586  

Financial Guaranty

     14,909       103,524  
                

Total

   $ 15,087     $ 104,110 (2)
                

Loss ratio - GAAP Basis(1)

     12.5 %     22.8 %

Expense ratio - GAAP Basis(1)

     51.1 %     60.7 %
                
     63.6 %     83.5 %
                

Balance Sheet impact of initial adoption of SFAS No. 163 on January 1, 2009:

    

Increase in unearned premiums

   $ (292,816 )  

Increase in premiums receivable

     161,422    

Increase in deferred acquisition costs

     66,006    

Decrease in reserves for losses

     8,163    

Decrease in deferred taxes, net

     20,239    

Increase in premium taxes payable

     (602 )  
          

Decrease in equity

   $ (37,588 )  
          

 

(1) Ratios include premiums earned on credit derivatives which are included in change in fair value of derivative instruments in the amount of $13.7 million in each of the three month periods ended March 31, 2009 and 2008. Loss ratio includes loss on credit derivatives included in change in fair value of derivative instruments in the amount of $0.8 million for the period ended March 31, 2009.
(2) Includes a $100 million payment related to one credit that is a CDO of ABS that was fully reserved for in 2007.

 

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Radian Group Inc.

Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Exhibit F

 

($ in thousands, except ratios)    March 31
2009
    December 31
2008
   March 31
2008

Capital and surplus

   $ 1,000,387     $ 968,197    $ 1,097,250

Contingency reserve

     484,899       515,023      464,655
                     

Qualified statutory capital

     1,485,286       1,483,220      1,561,905

Unearned premium reserve

     702,190       729,274      882,627

Loss and loss expense reserve

     104,220       82,340      58,207
                     

Total statutory policyholders’ reserves

     2,291,696       2,294,834      2,502,739

Present value of installment premiums

     385,514       380,666      443,408

Soft capital facilities

     150,000       150,000      150,000
                     

Total statutory claims paying resources

   $ 2,827,210     $ 2,825,500    $ 3,096,147
                     

Net debt service outstanding

   $ 134,341,161     $ 138,430,925    $ 165,931,040
                     

Capital leverage ratio (1)

     90       93      106

Claims paying leverage ratio (2)

     48       49      54

Net par outstanding by product:

       

Public finance direct

   $ 18,455,372     $ 17,836,221    $ 18,460,669

Public finance reinsurance

     33,494,951       31,578,163      44,404,128

Structured direct

     45,699,943       46,001,355      47,634,388

Structured reinsurance

     5,147,861       5,310,004      6,284,246
                     

Total

   $ 102,798,127 (3)   $ 100,725,743    $ 116,783,431
                     

Reserve for losses and LAE

       

Financial Guaranty

   $ 203,561     $ 219,671    $ 133,710

Trade Credit

     12,528       14,877      27,249
                     
   $ 216,089     $ 234,548    $ 160,959
                     

 

(1) Net debt service outstanding divided by qualified statutory capital
(2) Net debt service outstanding divided by total statutory claims paying resources
(3) Included in public finance net par outstanding is $3.6 billion for legally defeased bond issues where our financial guaranty policy has not been extinguished but cash or securities have been deposited in an escrow account for the benefit of bond holders. SFAS No. 163 requires that these contracts continue to be accounted for as outstanding contracts despite the elimination of substantially all risk.

 

Page 6


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Exhibit G

 

     Quarter Ended
March 31
 
($ in millions)    2009     %     2008     %  

Primary New Insurance Written

        

Flow

   $ 5,587     99.6 %   $ 9,284     90.2 %

Structured

     23     0.4 %     1,013     9.8 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 5,610     100.0 %   $ 10,297     100.0 %
                            

Flow

        

Prime

   $ 5,574     99.8 %   $ 8,208     88.4 %

Alt-A

     9     0.1 %     583     6.3 %

A minus and below

     4     0.1 %     493     5.3 %
                            

Total Flow

   $ 5,587     100.0 %   $ 9,284     100.0 %
                            

Structured

        

Prime

   $ 23     100.0 %   $ 1,012     99.9 %

Alt-A

     —       —         1     0.1 %
                            

Total Structured

   $ 23     100.0 %   $ 1,013     100.0 %
                            

Total

        

Prime

   $ 5,597     99.8 %   $ 9,220     89.5 %

Alt-A

     9     0.1 %     584     5.7 %

A minus and below

     4     0.1 %     493     4.8 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 5,610     100.0 %   $ 10,297     100.0 %
                            

Total Primary New Insurance Written by FICO Score

        

Flow

        

>=740

   $ 3,868     69.3 %   $ 3,466     37.3 %

680-739

     1,583     28.3 %     3,615     38.9 %

620-679

     136     2.4 %     1,938     20.9 %

<=619

     —       —         265     2.9 %
                            

Total Flow

   $ 5,587     100.0 %   $ 9,284     100.0 %
                            

Structured

        

>=740

   $ 17     73.9 %   $ 634     62.6 %

680-739

     6     26.1 %     369     36.4 %

620-679

     —       —         10     1.0 %
                            

Total Structured

   $ 23     100.0 %   $ 1,013     100.0 %
                            

Total

        

>=740

   $ 3,885     69.3 %   $ 4,100     39.8 %

680-739

     1,589     28.3 %     3,984     38.7 %

620-679

     136     2.4 %     1,948     18.9 %

<=619

     —       —         265     2.6 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 5,610     100.0 %   $ 10,297     100.0 %
                            

Percentage of primary new insurance written

        

Refinances

     48 %       40 %  

95.01% LTV and above

     0.1 %       20 %  

ARMs

        

Less than 5 years

     0.2 %       1 %  

5 years and longer

     0.4 %       6 %  

Primary risk written

        

Flow

   $ 1,193     99.7 %   $ 2,316     89.7 %

Structured

     3     0.3 %     266     10.3 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 1,196     100.0 %   $ 2,582     100.0 %
                            

 

Page 7


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Exhibit H

 

     March 31     March 31  
($ in millions)    2009     %     2008     %  

Primary insurance in force

        

Flow

   $ 122,656     78.8 %   $ 110,020     74.9 %

Structured

     33,012     21.2 %     36,929     25.1 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 155,668     100.0 %   $ 146,949     100.0 %
                            

Prime

   $ 113,117     72.7 %   $ 99,721     67.9 %

Alt-A

     31,826     20.4 %     34,949     23.8 %

A minus and below

     10,725     6.9 %     12,279     8.3 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 155,668     100.0 %   $ 146,949     100.0 %
                            

Primary risk in force

        

Flow

   $ 30,537     87.3 %   $ 27,751     84.6 %

Structured

     4,443     12.7 %     5,041     15.4 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 34,980     100.0 %   $ 32,792     100.0 %
                            

Flow

        

Prime

   $ 25,129     82.3 %   $ 21,810     78.6 %

Alt-A

     3,475     11.4 %     3,788     13.6 %

A minus and below

     1,933     6.3 %     2,153     7.8 %
                            

Total Flow

   $ 30,537     100.0 %   $ 27,751     100.0 %
                            

Structured

        

Prime

   $ 2,331     52.5 %   $ 2,577     51.1 %

Alt-A

     1,378     31.0 %     1,554     30.8 %

A minus and below

     734     16.5 %     910     18.1 %
                            

Total Structured

   $ 4,443     100.0 %   $ 5,041     100.0 %
                            

Total

        

Prime

   $ 27,460     78.5 %   $ 24,387     74.4 %

Alt-A

     4,853     13.9 %     5,342     16.3 %

A minus and below

     2,667     7.6 %     3,063     9.3 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 34,980     100.0 %   $ 32,792     100.0 %
                            

Total Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score

        

Flow

        

>=740

   $ 9,839     32.2 %   $ 7,570     27.3 %

680-739

     11,234     36.8 %     10,269     37.0 %

620-679

     8,002     26.2 %     8,262     29.8 %

<=619

     1,462     4.8 %     1,650     5.9 %
                            

Total Flow

   $ 30,537     100.0 %   $ 27,751     100.0 %
                            

Structured

        

>=740

   $ 1,205     27.1 %   $ 1,293     25.6 %

680-739

     1,394     31.4 %     1,517     30.1 %

620-679

     1,167     26.3 %     1,380     27.4 %

<=619

     677     15.2 %     851     16.9 %
                            

Total Structured

   $ 4,443     100.0 %   $ 5,041     100.0 %
                            

Total

        

>=740

   $ 11,044     31.6 %   $ 8,863     27.0 %

680-739

     12,628     36.1 %     11,786     36.0 %

620-679

     9,169     26.2 %     9,642     29.4 %

<=619

     2,139     6.1 %     2,501     7.6 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 34,980     100.0 %   $ 32,792     100.0 %
                            

Percentage of primary risk in force

        

Refinances

     31 %       31 %  

95.01% LTV and above

     22 %       24 %  

ARMs

        

Less than 5 years

     8 %       11 %  

5 years and longer

     9 %       9 %  

Pool risk in force

        

Prime

   $ 2,058     70.7 %   $ 2,113     70.6 %

Alt-A

     289     9.9 %     292     9.7 %

A minus and below

     564     19.4 %     590     19.7 %
                            

Total

   $ 2,911     100.0 %   $ 2,995     100.0 %
                            

 

Page 8


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Exhibit I

 

     March 31     March 31  
($ in millions)    2009    %     2008    %  

Total Primary Risk in Force by LTV

          

85.00% and below

   $ 3,613    10.3 %   $ 3,685    11.2 %

85.01% to 90.00%

     12,571    35.9 %     11,102    33.9 %

90.01% to 95.00%

     11,213    32.1 %     10,079    30.7 %

95.01% and above

     7,583    21.7 %     7,926    24.2 %
                          

Total

   $ 34,980    100.0 %   $ 32,792    100.0 %
                          

Total Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year

          

2005 and prior

   $ 11,083    31.7 %   $ 13,213    40.2 %

2006

     5,015    14.3 %     5,728    17.5 %

2007

     10,410    29.8 %     11,300    34.5 %

2008

     7,298    20.9 %     2,551    7.8 %

2009

     1,174    3.3 %     —      —    
                          

Total

   $ 34,980    100.0 %   $ 32,792    100.0 %
                          

Total Pool Risk in Force by Policy Year

          

2005 and prior

   $ 2,367    81.3 %   $ 2,456    82.0 %

2006

     250    8.6 %     261    8.7 %

2007

     235    8.1 %     250    8.4 %

2008

     59    2.0 %     28    0.9 %

2009

     —      —         —      —    
                          

Total Pool risk in Force

   $ 2,911    100.0 %   $ 2,995    100.0 %
                          

Other risk in force

          

Second-lien

          

1st loss

   $ 244      $ 336   

2nd loss

     140        507   

NIMS

     431        522   

International

          

1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance

     389        517   

Reinsurance

     170        125   

Credit default swaps

     3,072        8,872   

Other

          

Domestic credit default swaps

     123        212   
                  

Total other risk in force

   $ 4,569      $ 11,091   
                  

Risk to capital ratio-Radian Guaranty only

     17.6:1        11.4:1   

 

Page 9


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Exhibit J

 

      Quarter Ended
March 31
 
($ in thousands)    2009     2008  

Direct claims paid

    

Prime

   $ 69,459     $ 60,658  

Alt-A

     46,270       35,732  

A minus and below

     36,730       48,361  

Second-lien and other

     87,607 (1)     45,437  
                

Total

   $ 240,066     $ 190,188  
                

Average claim paid

    

Prime

   $ 41.9     $ 36.8  

Alt-A

     53.5       49.6  

A minus and below

     38.1       37.2  

Second-lien and other

     41.3 (2)     34.6  

Total

   $ 43.4 (2)   $ 38.2  

Loss ratio - GAAP Basis

     179.8 %     264.7 %

Expense ratio - GAAP Basis

     23.2 %     22.1 %
                
     203.0 %     286.8 %
                

Reserve for losses by category

    

Prime

   $ 921,050     $ 479,653  

Alt-A

     951,932       598,706  

A minus and below

     452,837       391,426  

Pool insurance

     140,192       56,893  

Second-lien

     111,985       176,121  

Other

     1,780       1,485  
                

Reserve for losses, net

     2,579,776       1,704,284  

Reinsurance recoverable

     536,777 (3)     36,885  
                

Total

   $ 3,116,553     $ 1,741,169  
                

 

(1) Includes a $65 million payment in Q1 ‘09 related to the settlement of certain second-lien transactions, which were fully reserved for at December 31, 2008.
(2) Excludes $65 million payment noted in (1) above.
(3) Reinsurance recoverable on ceded losses related to captives ($447 million) and Smart Home ($90 million).

 

Page 10


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Exhibit K

 

     March 31
2009
    December 31
2008
    March 31
2008
 

Default Statistics

      

Primary insurance:

      

Flow

      

Prime

      

Number of insured loans

   627,386     624,970     582,261  

Number of loans in default

   50,217     44,575     22,806  

Percentage of loans in default

   8.00 %   7.13 %   3.92 %

Alt-A

      

Number of insured loans

   66,952     68,948     73,672  

Number of loans in default

   18,628     16,959     10,014  

Percentage of loans in default

   27.82 %   24.60 %   13.59 %

A minus and below

      

Number of insured loans

   57,576     59,189     64,193  

Number of loans in default

   15,999     15,768     10,411  

Percentage of loans in default

   27.79 %   26.64 %   16.22 %

Total Flow

      

Number of insured loans

   751,914     753,107     720,126  

Number of loans in default

   84,844     77,302     43,231  

Percentage of loans in default

   11.28 %   10.26 %   6.00 %

Structured

      

Prime

      

Number of insured loans

   65,727     67,165     72,264  

Number of loans in default

   7,331     6,692     5,434  

Percentage of loans in default

   11.15 %   9.96 %   7.52 %

Alt-A

      

Number of insured loans

   78,901     80,491     87,325  

Number of loans in default

   21,600     18,747     12,056  

Percentage of loans in default

   27.38 %   23.29 %   13.81 %

A minus and below

      

Number of insured loans

   21,449     22,315     26,342  

Number of loans in default

   7,542     7,812     8,404  

Percentage of loans in default

   35.16 %   35.01 %   31.90 %

Total Structured

      

Number of insured loans

   166,077     169,971     185,931  

Number of loans in default

   36,473     33,251     25,894  

Percentage of loans in default

   21.96 %   19.56 %   13.93 %

Total Primary Insurance

      

Prime

      

Number of insured loans

   693,113     692,135     654,525  

Number of loans in default

   57,548     51,267     28,240  

Percentage of loans in default

   8.30 %   7.41 %   4.31 %

Alt-A

      

Number of insured loans

   145,853     149,439     160,997  

Number of loans in default

   40,228     35,706     22,070  

Percentage of loans in default

   27.58 %   23.89 %   13.71 %

A minus and below

      

Number of insured loans

   79,025     81,504     90,535  

Number of loans in default

   23,541     23,580     18,815  

Percentage of loans in default

   29.79 %   28.93 %   20.78 %

Total Primary Insurance

      

Number of insured loans

   917,991     923,078     906,057  

Number of loans in default

   121,317     110,553     69,125  

Percentage of loans in default (1)

   13.22 %   11.98 %   7.63 %

Pool insurance:

      

Number of loans in default (2)

   33,267     32,677     26,983  

 

(1) Includes 627, 539 and 1,504 defaults at March 31, 2009, December 31, 2008 and March 31, 2008, respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated.
(2) Includes 20,454, 21,719 and 20,417 defaults at March 31, 2009, December 31, 2008 and March 31, 2008, respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated.

 

Page 11


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Exhibit L

 

     Quarter Ended
March 31
 
     2009     2008  

Net Premiums Written (In thousands)

    

Primary and Pool Insurance

   $ 161,414     $ 200,477  

Second-lien

     (86 )     3,481  

International

     631       7,293  
                

Total Net Premiums Written - insurance

   $ 161,959     $ 211,251  
                

Net Premiums Earned (In thousands)

    

Primary and Pool Insurance

   $ 170,547     $ 193,483  

Second-lien

     1,236       6,164  

International

     6,100       4,618  
                

Total Net Premiums Earned - insurance

   $ 177,883     $ 204,265  
                

SMART HOME (In millions)

    

Ceded Premiums Written

   $ 2.7     $ 3.2  

Ceded Premiums Earned

   $ 2.7     $ 3.2  

1st Lien Captives

    

Premiums ceded to captives (In millions)

   $ 34.5     $ 35.7  

% of total premiums

     16.6 %     15.4 %

NIW subject to captives (In millions)

   $ 1,041     $ 3,986  

% of primary NIW

     18.6 %     38.7 %

IIF included in captives (1)

     35.7 %     37.4 %

RIF included in captives (1)

     43.4 %     42.2 %

Persistency (twelve months ended March 31)

     87.0 %     77.5 %
     March 31
2009
    March 31
2008
 

SMART HOME

    

% of Primary RIF included in Smart Home Transactions (1)

     3.6 %     5.0 %

 

(1) Radian reinsures the middle layer risk positions, while retaining a significant portion of the total risk comprising the first loss and most remote risk positions.

 

Page 12


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Exhibit M

Reinsurance Progression Toward Attachment - Summary by Book Year (1)

 

($ in millions)              March 31
2009
   December 31
2008 (5)

Book Year (2):

   Original
Book
RIF
  

Progression
to
Attachment
Point

   Gross
Current
RIF
   Ceded
Current
RIF(3)
   Net
Current
RIF
   Ever-to-
Date
Incurred
Losses
   Reinsurance
Benefit (4)
   Gross
Current
RIF
   Ceded
Current
RIF(3)
   Net
Current
RIF
   Ever-to-
Date
Incurred
Losses
   Reinsurance
Benefit (4)

Pre-2006

      0-50%    $ 837    $ 454    $ 383    $ 183       $ 1,120    $ 558    $ 562    $ 239   

Pre-2006

      50-75%      970      395      575      154         942      349      593      142   

Pre-2006

      75-99%      1,117      388      729      162         1,084      397      687      160   

Pre-2006

      Attached      1,327      239      1,088      197    $ 79      1,355      237      1,118      184    $ 75
                                                                           

Pre-2006 Total

   $ 25,849       $ 4,251    $ 1,476    $ 2,775    $ 696    $ 79    $ 4,501    $ 1,541    $ 2,960    $ 725    $ 75
                                                                           

2006

      0-50%    $ 10    $ 1    $ 9    $ —         $ 32    $ 2    $ 30    $ 1   

2006

      50-75%      26      2      24      1         62      4      58      3   

2006

      75-99%      57      4      53      4         310      42      268      18   

2006

      Attached      2,296      312      1,984      326    $ 167      2,074      270      1,804      290    $ 161
                                                                           

2006 Total

   $ 3,527       $ 2,389    $ 319    $ 2,070    $ 331    $ 167    $ 2,478    $ 318    $ 2,160    $ 312    $ 161
                                                                           

2007

      0-50%    $ 20    $ 1    $ 19    $ —         $ 31    $ 2    $ 29    $ —     

2007

      50-75%      11      1      10      —           225      12      213      8   

2007

      75-99%      267      18      249      14         71      7      64      3   

2007

      Attached      4,227      454      3,773      403    $ 180      4,329      454      3,875      350    $ 147
                                                                           

2007 Total

   $ 5,241       $ 4,525    $ 474    $ 4,051    $ 417    $ 180    $ 4,656    $ 475    $ 4,181    $ 361    $ 147
                                                                           

2008

      0-50%    $ 1,855    $ 167    $ 1,688    $ 31       $ 2,167    $ 197    $ 1,970    $ 25   

2008

      50-75%      322      36      286      8         42      4      38      1   

2008

      75-99%      42      4      38      2         —        —        —        —     

2008

      Attached      186      15      171      19    $ 12      190      15      175      16    $ 9
                                                                           

2008 Total

   $ 2,564       $ 2,405    $ 222    $ 2,183    $ 60    $ 12    $ 2,399    $ 216    $ 2,183    $ 42    $ 9
                                                                           

2009

      0-50%    $ 159    $ 7    $ 152    $ —         $ —      $ —      $ —      $ —     

2009

      50-75%      —        —        —        —           —        —        —        —     

2009

      75-99%      —        —        —        —           —        —        —        —     

2009

      Attached      —        —        —        —      $ —        —        —        —        —      $ —  
                                                                           

2009 Total

   $ 160       $ 159    $ 7    $ 152    $ —      $ —      $ —      $ —      $ —      $ —      $ —  
                                                                           

Quota Share

      0-50%    $ —      $ —      $ —      $ —         $ —      $ —      $ —      $ —     

Quota Share

      50-75%      —        —        —        —           —        —        —        —     

Quota Share

      75-99%      —        —        —        —           —        —        —        —     

Quota Share

      Attached      113      36      77      29    $ 13      116      37      79      27    $ 12
                                                                           

Quota Share Total

   $ 313       $ 113    $ 36    $ 77    $ 29    $ 13    $ 116    $ 37    $ 79    $ 27    $ 12
                                                                           

Total Captive (Including Quota Share)

   $ 37,654       $ 13,842    $ 2,534    $ 11,308    $ 1,533    $ 451    $ 14,150    $ 2,587    $ 11,563    $ 1,467    $ 404
                                                                           

SmartHome

      0-50%    $ 115    $ 49    $ 66    $ 29       $ 117    $ 51    $ 66    $ 27   

SmartHome

      50-75%      —        —        —        —           —        —        —        —     

SmartHome

      75-99%      —        —        —        —           —        —        —        —     

SmartHome

      Attached      1,146      516      630      361    $ 90      1,188      521      667      346    $ 91
                                                                           

Total SmartHome

   $ 3,900       $ 1,261    $ 565    $ 696    $ 390    $ 90    $ 1,305    $ 572    $ 733    $ 373    $ 91
                                                                           

 

(1) Data presented in aggregate for all trusts for captives active at each period end only. Actual trust attachment and exit points vary by individual contract. Attachment is calculated at the contract/deal level and is based on Total Incurred Losses which are defined as claims paid ever-to-date plus loss reserves.
(2) Book year figures may include loans from additional periods pursuant to reinsurance agreement terms and conditions.
(3) Risk ceded to reinsurers based on individual contract terms.
(4) Captive Benefit is defined as ceded reserves at period end plus ever-to-date claims paid by the trust.
(5) Revised from December 31, 2008 originally presented.

 

Page 13


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Exhibit N

 

      March31     March 31  
($ in millions)    2009    %     2008    %  

Modified Pool Risk in Force

          

Prime

          

2005 and prior

   $ 84    53.5 %   $ 90    57.0 %

2006

     47    29.9 %     44    27.8 %

2007

     22    14.0 %     23    14.6 %

2008

     4    2.6 %     1    0.6 %
                          

Total

   $ 157    100.0 %   $ 158    100.0 %
                          

Alt-A

          

2005 and prior

   $ 194    29.3 %   $ 212    31.0 %

2006

     161    24.3 %     165    24.1 %

2007

     304    45.8 %     304    44.5 %

2008

     4    0.6 %     3    0.4 %
                          

Total

   $ 663    100.0 %   $ 684    100.0 %
                          

A minus and below

          

2005 and prior

   $ 14    58.3 %   $ 16    61.6 %

2006

     3    12.5 %     3    11.5 %

2007

     7    29.2 %     7    26.9 %
                          

Total

   $ 24    100.0 %   $ 26    100.0 %
                          

Total

          

2005 and prior

   $ 292    34.6 %   $ 318    36.6 %

2006

     211    25.0 %     212    24.4 %

2007

     333    39.5 %     334    38.5 %

2008

     8    0.9 %     4    0.5 %
                          

Total Modified Pool Risk in Force

   $ 844    100.0 %   $ 868    100.0 %
                          

 

Page 14


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

ALT-A

Exhibit O

 

     Quarter Ended
March 31
 
($ in millions)    2009    %     2008    %  

Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score

          

>=740

   $ 1,192    24.5 %   $ 1,286    24.1 %

680-739

     2,335    48.1 %     2,540    47.6 %

660-679

     712    14.7 %     793    14.8 %

620-659

     582    12.0 %     686    12.8 %

<=619

     32    0.7 %     37    0.7 %
                          

Total

   $ 4,853    100.0 %   $ 5,342    100.0 %
                          

Primary Risk in Force by LTV

          

85.00% and below

   $ 1,249    25.7 %   $ 1,373    25.7 %

85.01% to 90.00%

     2,015    41.5 %     2,199    41.2 %

90.01% to 95.00%

     1,256    25.9 %     1,398    26.2 %

95.01% and above

     333    6.9 %     372    6.9 %
                          

Total

   $ 4,853    100.0 %   $ 5,342    100.0 %
                          

Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year

          

2005 and prior

   $ 1,532    31.6 %   $ 1,834    34.3 %

2006

     1,076    22.2 %     1,225    22.9 %

2007

     1,997    41.1 %     2,146    40.2 %

2008

     246    5.1 %     137    2.6 %

2009

     2    —         —      —    
                          

Total

   $ 4,853    100.0 %   $ 5,342    100.0 %
                          

 

Page 15


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Services Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2009

Exhibit P

 

     Quarter Ended
March 31
(In thousands)    2009     2008

Investment in Affiliates-Selected Information

    

Sherman

    

Balance, beginning of period

   $ 99,656     $ 104,315

Net income for period

     10,552       12,526

Dividends received

     6,441       —  

Other comprehensive (loss) income

     (531 )     88
              

Balance, end of period

   $ 103,236     $ 116,929
              

Portfolio Information:

    

Sherman

    

Total assets

   $ 2,149,767     $ 2,383,119

Net revenues

   $ 348,034     $ 391,968

 

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Forward Looking Statement

All statements in this news release that address events, developments or results that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements, which include, without limitation, projections regarding our future performance and financial condition are made on the basis of management’s current views and assumptions with respect to future events. Any forward-looking statement is not a guarantee of future performance and actual results could differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking information. The forward-looking statements, as well as our prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties, including the following:

 

   

changes in general financial and political conditions, such as a deepening of the existing national economic recession, further decreases in housing demand, mortgage originations or housing values (in particular, further deterioration in the housing, mortgage and related credit markets, which would harm our future consolidated results of operations and could cause losses for our businesses to be worse than expected), a further reduction in the liquidity in the capital markets and further contraction of credit markets, further increases in unemployment rates, changes or volatility in interest rates or consumer confidence, changes in credit spreads, changes in the way investors perceive the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers, investor concern over the credit quality and specific risks faced by the particular businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our insurance;

 

   

Further economic changes or catastrophic events in geographic regions where our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance in force is more concentrated;

 

   

our ability to successfully execute upon our internally sourced capital plan (which depends, in part, on the performance of our financial guaranty portfolio), and if necessary, to obtain additional capital to support new business writings in our mortgage insurance business and our long-term liquidity needs and to protect our credit ratings and the financial strength ratings of Radian Guaranty Inc., our primary mortgage insurance subsidiary, from further downgrades;

 

   

a further decrease in the volume of home mortgage originations due to reduced liquidity in the lending market, tighter underwriting standards and the on-going deterioration in housing markets throughout the U.S.;

 

   

our ability to maintain adequate risk-to-capital ratios and surplus requirements in our mortgage insurance business in light of on-going losses in this business;

 

   

the concentration of our mortgage insurance business among a relatively small number of large customers;

 

   

disruption in the servicing of mortgages covered by our insurance policies;

 

   

the aging of our mortgage insurance portfolio and changes in severity or frequency of losses associated with certain of our products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance policies;

 

   

the performance of our insured portfolio of higher risk loans, such as Alternative-A (“Alt-A”) and subprime loans, and adjustable rate products, such as adjustable rate mortgages and interest-only mortgages, which have resulted in increased losses and are expected to result in further losses;

 

   

reduced opportunities for loss mitigation in markets where housing values fail to appreciate or continue to decline;

 

   

changes in persistency rates of our mortgage insurance policies caused by changes in refinancing activity, in the rate of appreciation or depreciation of home values and changes in the mortgage insurance cancellation requirements of mortgage lenders and investors;

 

   

further downgrades or threatened downgrades of, or other ratings actions with respect to, our credit ratings or the ratings assigned by the major rating agencies to any of our rated insurance subsidiaries at any time (in particular, the credit rating of Radian Group Inc. and the financial strength ratings assigned to Radian Guaranty Inc.);

 

   

heightened competition for our mortgage insurance business from others such as the Federal Housing Administration and the Veterans’ Administration or other private mortgage insurers (in particular those that have been assigned higher ratings from the major rating agencies);

 

   

changes in the charters or business practices of Federal National Mortgage Association (“Fannie Mae”) and Freddie Mac, the largest purchasers of mortgage loans that we insure, and our ability to remain an eligible provider to both Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae;

 

   

the application of existing federal or state consumer, lending, insurance, securities and other applicable laws and regulations, or changes in these laws and regulations or the way they are interpreted, including without limitation: (i) the outcome of existing investigations or the possibility of private lawsuits or other formal investigations by state insurance departments and state attorneys general alleging that services offered by the mortgage insurance industry, such as captive reinsurance, pool insurance and contract underwriting, are violative of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act and/or similar state regulations, (ii) legislative and regulatory changes affecting demand for private mortgage insurance, or (iii) legislation and regulatory changes limiting or restricting our use of (or requirements for) additional capital, the products we may offer, the form in which we may execute the credit protection we provide or the aggregate notional amount of any product we may offer for any one transaction or in the aggregate;

 

   

the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty businesses, or the premium deficiencies for our first- and second-lien mortgage insurance business, or to estimate accurately the fair value amounts of derivative contracts in our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses in determining gains and losses on these contracts;

 

   

the ability of our primary insurance customers in our financial guaranty reinsurance business to provide appropriate surveillance and to mitigate losses adequately with respect to our assumed insurance portfolio;

 

   

volatility in our earnings caused by changes in the fair value of our derivative instruments and our need to reevaluate the premium deficiencies in our mortgage insurance business on a quarterly basis;

 

   

changes in accounting guidance from the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) or the Financial Accounting Standards Board;

 

   

legal and other limitations on amounts we may receive from our subsidiaries as dividends or through tax and expense sharing arrangements with our subsidiaries; and

 

   

the performance of our investment in Sherman Financial Group LLC, which could be negatively impacted if Sherman is unable to maintain sufficient sources of funding in the current credit environment.

We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date on which we issued this news release. For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks that we face, you should refer to the Risk Factors detailed in Part I of Item 1A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008. We do not intend to, and we disclaim any duty or obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements made in this news release to reflect new information or future events or for any other reason.

SOURCE: Radian Group Inc.

###

 

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