EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm RADIAN GROUP INC. NEWS RELEASE DATED FEBRUARY 24, 2009 Radian Group Inc. News Release dated February 24, 2009

Exhibit 99.1

 

LOGO    LOGO   

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

      News Release
   Contact:   
   For investors:    Terri Williams-Perry – phone: 215 231.1486
      Email: terri.williams-perry@radian.biz
   For the media:    Rick Gillespie – phone: 215 231.1061
      email: rick.gillespie@radian.biz
   Radian Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2008 Financial Results
   PHILADELPHIA, February 24, 2008 - Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) today reported a net loss for the quarter ended December 31, 2008 of $250.4 million, or $3.11 per diluted share. This compares to a net loss of $721.0 million, or $9.03 per diluted share, for the prior year quarter. The net loss for the full year 2008 was $410.6 million, or $5.12 per diluted share. This compares to a net loss of $1.3 billion, or $16.22 per diluted share for the prior year. Book value per share at December 31, 2008 was $25.06.
   “The private mortgage insurance industry remains a vital component of the U.S. housing finance system. While Radian and our industry experienced a difficult year, we believe that we have sufficient capital and liquidity to pay all anticipated claims, maintain a strong market position and continue to write new mortgage insurance business throughout 2009,” said S. A. Ibrahim, Chief Executive Officer of Radian. “We were successful in further reducing our credit risk exposure in Financial Guaranty and our non-traditional exposure in mortgage insurance. Furthermore, Radian remains uniquely positioned to benefit from Financial Guaranty as a continuing source of capital support for our MI business.”
   FOURTH QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS
   — Radian Asset Assurance Inc. (Radian Asset), the Company’s principal financial guaranty subsidiary, continues to serve as an important source of capital support for Radian Guaranty Inc. (Radian Guaranty), the Company’s principal mortgage insurance subsidiary, and is expected to continue to provide our core mortgage insurance business with cash infusions over time. Radian Asset had claims-paying resources of $2.8 billion including $965 million in statutory capital as of December 31, 2008.

 

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LOGO    LOGO

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

  

— Radian continues to reduce credit risk exposure in the Financial Guaranty (FG) portfolio and to decrease non-traditional mortgage insurance risk in force.

 

— Net par outstanding at FG was reduced to $100.7 billion from $116.0 billion a year ago.

 

— In the fourth quarter, the Company eliminated approximately $4.0 billion of mortgage insurance exposure on a large, international mortgage credit default swap transaction.

 

— The Company reduced its second lien mortgage insurance exposure by $209 million in January 2009, bringing its risk in force down to a current level of approximately $400 million, through a commutation agreement with a large second lien counterparty.

 

— Radian has a 29 percent ownership interest in Sherman Financial and received $35.5 million in dividends from Sherman during 2008 and $6 million in January 2009. Sherman continues to be a source of additional liquidity and a potential source of additional capital.

 

— Fourth quarter and full year first and second-lien MI claims paid came in below expectations at $240 million and $916 million, respectively. First quarter MI claims paid are expected to be approximately $270 million.

 

— The fourth-quarter first-lien primary MI delinquency rate was 12 percent.

 

— The delinquency rate for prime flow insurance was approximately 7.1 percent during the fourth quarter of 2008 and it is expected to continue to rise in the short-term.

 

— Positive trends are occurring in certain vintages with indications of improved performance in 2008 business written.

 

— As a result of reduced mortgage origination volume and the Company’s move to a more traditional high quality focus, total primary new MI insurance written during the fourth quarter was $5 billion, approximately 99.6 percent of which was prime. In addition, the average LTV was 90 percent and the average FICO score was 742 on business written in the fourth quarter.

 

— Radian’s loss management initiatives remain a critical priority to its capital preservation.

 

CONFERENCE CALL

 

Radian will discuss each of these items in its conference call today, Tuesday, February 24 at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time. The conference call will be broadcast live over the internet at http://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-audioarchives or at http://www.radian.biz >News. The call may also be accessed by dialing 888-428-4472 inside the U.S., or 651-291-0344 for international callers, using passcode 986186 or by referencing Radian.

 

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LOGO    LOGO

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

  

A replay of the webcast will be available at the Radian Web site approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of one year. A replay of the conference call will be available two and a half hours after the call ends for one week, using the following dial-in numbers and passcode: 800-475-6701 inside the U.S., or 320-365-3844 for international callers, passcode 986186.

 

About Radian

 

Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN), headquartered in Philadelphia, provides private mortgage insurance and related risk management products and services to mortgage lenders nationwide through its principal operating subsidiary, Radian Guaranty Inc. These services help promote and preserve homeownership opportunities for homebuyers, while protecting lenders from default-related losses on residential first mortgages and facilitating the sale of low-downpayment mortgages in the secondary market. Additional information may be found at www.radian.biz.

 

Financial Results and Supplemental Information Contents (Unaudited)

 

For trend information on all schedules, refer to Radian’s quarterly financial statistics at http://www.radian.biz/investors/financial/corporate.aspx.

 

   Exhibit A:    Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
   Exhibit B:    Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
   Exhibit C:    Segment Information Quarter Ended December 31, 2008
   Exhibit D:    Segment Information Quarter Ended December 31, 2007
   Exhibit E:    Segment Information Year Ended December 31, 2008
   Exhibit F:    Segment Information Year Ended December 31, 2007
   Exhibit G:    Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information-
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008
   Exhibit H:    Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information-
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008
   Exhibit I:   

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information-
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

New Insurance Written and Risk Written

   Exhibit J:   

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information-
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Insurance in Force and Risk in Force

   Exhibit K:   

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information-
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Risk in Force by LTV and Policy Year and other Risk in Force

   Exhibit L:   

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information-
For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Claims and Reserves

 

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LOGO    LOGO

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

   Exhibit M:   

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information-

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Defaults

 

   Exhibit N:   

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information-

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Net Premiums Written and Earned, Smart Home, Captives and Persistency

 

   Exhibit O:   

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information-

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Reinsurance Progression Toward Attachment – Summary by Book Year

   Exhibit P:   

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information-

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Modified Pool Risk in Force

   Exhibit Q:   

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information-

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Alt-A

   Exhibit R:   

Financial Services Supplemental Information-

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

   Schedule 1:   

Supplemental Schedule

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries-Consolidated

   Schedule 2:   

Supplemental Schedule -

Segment Information-Financial Guaranty

 

4


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income

Exhibit A

 

     Quarter Ended
December 31
    Year Ended
December 31
 
(In thousands, except per-share data)    2008     2007     2008     2007  

Revenues:

        

Net premiums written—insurance

   $ 147,467     $ 286,372     $ 816,869     $ 1,085,232  
                                

Net premiums earned—insurance

     231,044     $ 234,368     $ 971,820     $ 912,281  

Net investment income

     66,711       67,493       263,033       256,098  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments (1)

     (217,879 )     (580,614 )     710,913       (1,214,379 )

Net (losses) gains on other financial instruments

     (22,594 )     (673 )     (149,466 )     53,606  

Gain on sale of affiliate

     —         —         —         181,734  

Other income

     2,145       192       11,736       11,711  
                                

Total revenues

     59,427       (279,234 )     1,808,036       201,051  
                                

Expenses:

        

Provision for losses

     618,835       689,903       2,205,340       1,308,090  

Provision for premium deficiency (2)

     (244,512 )     40,470       (108,785 )     195,646  

Policy acquisition costs

     15,768       24,981       136,396  (3)     113,176  

Other operating expenses

     55,726       38,652       255,497       169,444  

Merger expenses

     —         —         —         14,001  

Interest expense

     13,337       14,258       53,514       53,068  
                                

Total expenses

     459,154       808,264       2,541,962       1,853,425  
                                

Equity in net income (loss) of affiliates

     15,769       (39,896 )     59,797       (416,541 )
                                

Pretax loss

     (383,958 )     (1,127,394 )     (674,129 )     (2,068,915 )

Income tax benefit

     (133,566 )     (406,409 )     (263,550 )     (778,616 )
                                

Net loss

   $ (250,392 )   $ (720,985 )   $ (410,579 )   $ (1,290,299 )
                                

Diluted net loss per share (4)

   $ (3.11 )   $ (9.03 )   $ (5.12 )   $ (16.22 )
                                

 

(1) Includes premiums earned on derivative contracts.
(2) Includes $(150.1) million for first-lien mortgages and $(94.4) million for second-lien mortgages in the fourth quarter of 2008 and $(108.8) million for second-lien mortgages for the year ended December 31, 2008.
(3) Includes the acceleration of $50.8 million of deferred policy acquisition cost amortization for the year ended December 31, 2008, as a result of the establishment of a first-lien premium deficiency reserve in the second quarter of 2008.
(4) Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands)

 

Average common shares outstanding

   80,642    79,850    80,258    79,556

Increase in shares-potential exercise of options-diluted basis

   —      —      —      —  
                   

Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands)

   80,642    79,850    80,258    79,556

For Trend Information, refer to our Quarterly Financial Statistics on Radian’s (RDN) website.

 

5


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

Exhibit B

 

(In thousands, except share and per-share data)    December 31
2008
    December 31
2007

Assets:

    

Cash and investments

   $ 6,060,601     $ 6,611,836

Investments in affiliates

     99,712       104,354

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     160,526       234,955

Prepaid federal income taxes

     248,828       793,486

Deferred income taxes, net

     446,102       —  

Reinsurance recoverables

     492,359       33,960

Other assets

     607,991       431,598
              

Total assets

   $ 8,116,119     $ 8,210,189
              

Liabilities and stockholders’ equity:

    

Unearned premiums

   $ 916,724     $ 1,094,710

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     3,224,542       1,598,756

Reserve for premium deficiency

     86,861       195,646

Long-term debt and other borrowings

     857,802       953,524

Variable interest entity debt

     160,035       —  

Deferred income taxes, net

     —         26,705

Derivative liabilities

     519,260       1,305,665

Other liabilities

     320,185       314,447
              

Total liabilities

     6,085,409       5,489,453
              

Common stock

     98       98

Additional paid-in capital

     462,647       442,312

Retained earnings

     1,766,946       2,181,191

Accumulated other comprehensive income

     (198,981 )     97,135
              

Total common stockholders’ equity

     2,030,710       2,720,736
              

Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity

   $ 8,116,119     $ 8,210,189
              

Book value per share

   $ 25.06     $ 33.83

 

6


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Quarter Ended December 31, 2008

Exhibit C

 

(In thousands)

   Mortgage
Insurance
    Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
   Total  

Revenues:

         

Net premiums written—insurance

   $ 188,368     $ (40,901 ) (1)   $ —      $ 147,467  
                               

Net premiums earned—insurance

   $ 203,213     $ 27,831     $ —      $ 231,044  

Net investment income

     38,804       27,907       —        66,711  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (3,391 )     (214,488 )     —        (217,879 )

Net (losses) gains on other financial instruments

     (16,922 )     (5,702 )     30      (22,594 )

Other income

     2,082       63       —        2,145  
                               

Total revenues

     223,786       (164,389 )     30      59,427  
                               

Expenses:

         

Provision for losses

     551,284       67,551       —        618,835  

Provision for premium deficiency

     (244,512 )     —         —        (244,512 )

Policy acquisition costs

     6,630       9,138       —        15,768  

Other operating expenses

     28,731       26,867       128      55,726  

Interest expense

     6,482       6,855       —        13,337  
                               

Total expenses

     348,615       110,411       128      459,154  
                               

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —         16       15,753      15,769  
                               

Pretax (loss) income

     (124,829 )     (274,784 )     15,655      (383,958 )

Income tax (benefit) provision

     (47,784 )     (91,572 )     5,790      (133,566 )
                               

Net (loss) income

   $ (77,045 )   $ (183,212 )   $ 9,865    $ (250,392 )
                               

Cash and investments

   $ 3,508,018     $ 2,552,583     $ —      $ 6,060,601  

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     21,286       139,240       —        160,526  

Total Assets

     4,800,708       3,151,695       163,716      8,116,119  

Unearned premiums

     336,126       580,598       —        916,724  

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     2,989,994       234,548       —        3,224,542  

Derivative liabilities

     161,839       357,421       —        519,260  

 

(1) See Schedule 1

 

7


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Quarter Ended December 31, 2007

Exhibit D

 

(In thousands)

   Mortgage
Insurance
    Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
    Total  

Revenues:

        

Net premiums written—insurance

   $ 245,064     $ 41,308     $ —       $ 286,372  
                                

Net premiums earned—insurance

   $ 200,430     $ 33,938     $ —       $ 234,368  

Net investment income

     38,970       28,505       18       67,493  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (48,483 )     (532,131 )     —         (580,614 )

Net gains (losses) on other financial instruments

     131       (1,468 )     664       (673 )

Other income

     1,980       (434 )     (1,354 )     192  
                                

Total revenues

     193,028       (471,590 )     (672 )     (279,234 )
                                

Expenses:

        

Provision for losses

     631,630       58,273       —         689,903  

Provision for premium deficiency

     40,470       —         —         40,470  

Policy acquisition costs

     13,806       11,175       —         24,981  

Other operating expenses

     32,606       12,053       (6,007 )     38,652  

Interest expense

     7,942       5,974       342       14,258  
                                

Total expenses

     726,454       87,475       (5,665 )     808,264  
                                

Equity in net income (loss) of affiliates

     —         5       (39,901 )     (39,896 )
                                

Pretax loss

     (533,426 )     (559,060 )     (34,908 )     (1,127,394 )

Income tax benefit

     (196,800 )     (193,055 )     (16,554 )     (406,409 )
                                

Net loss

   $ (336,626 )   $ (366,005 )   $ (18,354 )   $ (720,985 )
                                

Cash and investments

   $ 4,005,046     $ 2,606,790     $ —       $ 6,611,836  

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     62,266       172,689       —         234,955  

Total Assets

     5,077,001       3,027,098       106,090       8,210,189  

Unearned premiums

     364,775       729,935       —         1,094,710  

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     1,345,452       253,304       —         1,598,756  

Derivative liabilities

     520,161       785,504       —         1,305,665  

 

8


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Year Ended December 31, 2008

Exhibit E

 

(In thousands)

   Mortgage
Insurance
    Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
   Total  

Revenues:

         

Net premiums written—insurance

   $ 787,232     $ 29,637  (2)   $ —      $ 816,869  
                               

Net premiums earned—insurance

   $ 808,781     $ 163,039     $ —      $ 971,820  

Net investment income

     154,607       108,412       14      263,033  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     102,157       608,756       —        710,913  

Net (losses) gains on other financial instruments

     (83,136 )     (66,480 )     150      (149,466 )

Other income

     11,133       300       303      11,736  
                               

Total revenues

     993,542       814,027       467      1,808,036  
                               

Expenses:

         

Provision for losses

     2,090,845       114,495       —        2,205,340  

Provision for premium deficiency

     (108,785 )     —         —        (108,785 )

Policy acquisition costs

     89,103       47,293       —        136,396  

Other operating expenses

     155,375       99,509       613      255,497  

Interest expense

     27,622       25,643       249      53,514  
                               

Total expenses

     2,254,160       286,940       862      2,541,962  
                               

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —         16       59,781      59,797  
                               

Pretax (loss) income

     (1,260,618 )     527,103       59,386      (674,129 )

Income tax (benefit) provision

     (475,970 )     187,965       24,455      (263,550 )
                               

Net (loss) income

   $ (784,648 )   $ 339,138     $ 34,931    $ (410,579 )
                               

 

(2) See Schedule 2

 

9


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Year Ended December 31, 2007

Exhibit F

 

(In thousands)

   Mortgage
Insurance
    Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
    Total  

Revenues:

        

Net premiums written—insurance

   $ 898,503     $ 186,729     $ —       $ 1,085,232  
                                

Net premiums earned—insurance

   $ 779,259     $ 133,022     $ —       $ 912,281  

Net investment income

     148,253       107,665       180       256,098  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (467,579 )     (746,800 )     —         (1,214,379 )

Net gains on other financial instruments

     39,922       12,525       1,159       53,606  

Gain on sale of affiliate

     —         —         181,734       181,734  

Other income

     11,337       349       25       11,711  
                                

Total revenues

     511,192       (493,239 )     183,098       201,051  
                                

Expenses:

        

Provision for losses

     1,210,100       97,990       —         1,308,090  

Provision for premium deficiency

     195,646       —         —         195,646  

Policy acquisition costs

     67,750       45,426       —         113,176  

Other operating expenses

     121,696       48,683       (935 )     169,444  

Merger expenses

     13,434       567       —         14,001  

Interest expense

     27,901       19,840       5,327       53,068  
                                

Total expenses

     1,636,527       212,506       4,392       1,853,425  
                                

Equity in net income (loss) of affiliates

     —         5       (416,546 )     (416,541 )
                                

Pretax loss

     (1,125,335 )     (705,740 )     (237,840 )     (2,068,915 )

Income tax benefit

     (429,921 )     (265,559 )     (83,136 )     (778,616 )
                                

Net loss

   $ (695,414 )   $ (440,181 )   $ (154,704 )   $ (1,290,299 )
                                

 

10


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Exhibit G

 

($ in thousands, except ratios)    Quarter Ended
December 31
    Year Ended
December 31
 
   2008     2007     2008     2007  

Net Premiums Written: (1)

        

Public finance direct

   $ 20     $ 11,461     $ 15,558     $ 60,117  

Public finance reinsurance

     3,258       19,739       34,066       86,821  

Structured direct

     1,605       4,567       12,151       16,594  

Structured reinsurance

     5,134       5,327       18,735       21,933  

Trade credit reinsurance

     132       214       177       1,264  
                                
     10,149       41,308       80,687       186,729  

Impact of recapture (5)

     (51,050 )     —         (51,050 )     —    
                                

Total Net Premiums Written—insurance

   $ (40,901 )   $ 41,308     $ 29,637     $ 186,729  
                                

Net Premiums Earned: (2)

        

Public finance direct

   $ 12,997     $ 13,459     $ 56,191     $ 45,770  

Public finance reinsurance

     24,082       10,770       89,227       44,667  

Structured direct

     3,207       3,878       14,418       17,325  

Structured reinsurance

     4,527       5,461       19,690       22,957  

Trade credit reinsurance

     162       370       657       2,303  
                                
     44,975       33,938       180,183       133,022  

Impact of recaptures (5)

     (17,144 )     —         (17,144 )     —    
                                

Total Net Premiums Earned—insurance

   $ 27,831     $ 33,938     $ 163,039     $ 133,022  
                                

Refundings included in earned premium

   $ 19,443     $ 7,492     $ 75,090     $ 23,309  
                                

Claims paid:

        

Trade credit reinsurance

   $ 2,008     $ 1,557     $ 3,440     $ 8,579  

Financial guaranty

     14,932       13,269       128,972  (3)     24,263  
                                

Total

   $ 16,940     $ 14,826     $ 132,412     $ 32,842  
                                

Incurred losses:

        

Trade credit reinsurance

   $ (2,509 )   $ (2,967 )   $ (9,808 )   $ (16,511 )

Financial guaranty

     74,060       61,240       128,303       114,501  
                                

Subtotal

     71,551       58,273       118,495       97,990  

Impact of recaptures (5)

     (4,000 )     —         (4,000 )     —    
                                

Total

   $ 67,551     $ 58,273     $ 114,495     $ 97,990  
                                

Loss ratio—GAAP Basis

     165.0 %     123.0 %     52.7 %     50.2 %

Expense ratio—GAAP Basis (4)

     88.0 %     49.0 %     67.6 %     48.2 %
                                
     253.0 %     172.0 %     120.3 %     98.4 %
                                

Net payments (receipts) under derivative contracts (6)

   $ 55     $ (255 )   $ 9,383     $ (31,188 )
                                

 

(1) Premiums written on credit derivatives for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2008 were $12.1 million and $50.1 million, respectively, compared to $13.0 million and $43.0 million, respectively, for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2007.
(2) Premiums earned on credit derivatives for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2008 were $13.1 million and $54.1 million, respectively, compared to $13.4 million and $62.0 million, respectively, for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2007. Premiums earned on credit derivatives are included in change of fair value of derivative instruments.
(3) Includes a $100 million payment related to one credit that is a CDO of an ABS that was fully reserved for in 2007.
(4) Excludes merger expenses.
(5) Amounts recorded related to the recaptures of previously ceded business by primary insurer customers of the financial guaranty insurance business in the fourth quarter of 2008.
(6) Comprised of loss payments, premium payments or negotiated settlement receipts.

 

11


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Exhibit H

 

($ in thousands, except ratios)    December 31
2008
   December 31
2007

Capital and surplus

   $ 968,197    $ 1,158,537

Contingency reserve

     515,023      433,296
             

Qualified statutory capital

     1,483,220      1,591,833

Unearned premium reserve

     729,274      886,024

Loss and loss expense reserve

     82,340      61,038
             

Total statutory policyholders’ reserves

     2,294,834      2,538,895

Present value of installment premiums

     380,666      461,806

Soft capital facilities

     150,000      150,000
             

Total statutory claims paying resources

   $ 2,825,500    $ 3,150,701
             

Net debt service outstanding

   $ 138,430,925    $ 164,346,659
             

Capital leverage ratio (1)

     93      103

Claims paying leverage ratio (2)

     49      52

Net par outstanding by product:

     

Public finance direct

   $ 17,836,221    $ 18,228,946

Public finance reinsurance

     31,578,163      43,822,781

Structured direct

     46,001,355      47,878,168

Structured reinsurance

     5,310,004      6,091,717
             

Total

   $ 100,725,743    $ 116,021,612
             

Reserve for losses and LAE

     

Allocated

   $ 76,689    $ 49,317

Non-specific

     157,859      203,987
             

Total

   $ 234,548    $ 253,304
             

 

(1) Net debt service outstanding divided by qualified statutory capital
(2) Net debt service outstanding divided by total statutory claims paying resources

 

12


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Exhibit I

 

($ in millions)

   Quarter Ended
December 31
    Year Ended
December 31
 
   2008    %     2007    %     2008    %     2007    %  

Primary New Insurance Written

                    

Flow

   $ 5,025    99.7 %   $ 10,422    76.7 %   $ 31,265    96.2 %   $ 40,335    70.6 %

Structured

     14    0.3 %     3,174    23.3 %     1,248    3.8 %     16,797    29.4 %
                                                    

Total Primary

   $ 5,039    100.0 %   $ 13,596    100.0 %   $ 32,513    100.0 %   $ 57,132    100.0 %
                                                    

Flow

                    

Prime

   $ 5,003    99.6 %   $ 8,629    82.8 %   $ 29,359    93.9 %   $ 29,800    73.9 %

Alt-A

     16    0.3 %     832    8.0 %     1,170    3.7 %     6,847    17.0 %

A minus and below

     6    0.1 %     961    9.2 %     736    2.4 %     3,688    9.1 %
                                                    

Total Flow

   $ 5,025    100.0 %   $ 10,422    100.0 %   $ 31,265    100.0 %   $ 40,335    100.0 %
                                                    

Structured

                    

Prime

   $ 13    92.9 %   $ 1,795    56.6 %   $ 1,245    99.8 %   $ 3,436    20.5 %

Alt-A

     1    7.1 %     1,378    43.4 %     3    0.2 %     12,515    74.5 %

A minus and below

     —      —         1    0.0 %     —      —         846    5.0 %
                                                    

Total Structured

   $ 14    100.0 %   $ 3,174    100.0 %   $ 1,248    100.0 %   $ 16,797    100.0 %
                                                    

Total

                    

Prime

   $ 5,016    99.6 %   $ 10,424    76.6 %   $ 30,604    94.1 %   $ 33,236    58.2 %

Alt-A

     17    0.3 %     2,210    16.3 %     1,173    3.6 %     19,362    33.9 %

A minus and below

     6    0.1 %     962    7.1 %     736    2.3 %     4,534    7.9 %
                                                    

Total Primary

   $ 5,039    100.0 %   $ 13,596    100.0 %   $ 32,513    100.0 %   $ 57,132    100.0 %
                                                    

Total Primary New Insurance Written by FICO Score

                    

Flow

                    

<=619

   $ 1    —       $ 518    5.0 %   $ 377    1.2 %   $ 2,348    5.8 %

620-679

     419    8.4 %     2,830    27.1 %     4,642    14.9 %     11,988    29.7 %

680-739

     1,725    34.3 %     3,914    37.6 %     11,454    36.6 %     14,891    36.9 %

>=740

     2,880    57.3 %     3,160    30.3 %     14,792    47.3 %     11,108    27.6 %
                                                    

Total Flow

   $ 5,025    100.0 %   $ 10,422    100.0 %   $ 31,265    100.0 %   $ 40,335    100.0 %
                                                    

Structured

                    

<=619

   $ —      —       $ —      —       $ —      —       $ 538    3.2 %

620-679

     —      —         185    5.8 %     17    1.4 %     3,947    23.5 %

680-739

     4    28.6 %     963    30.3 %     441    35.3 %     7,123    42.4 %

>=740

     10    71.4 %     2,026    63.9 %     790    63.3 %     5,189    30.9 %
                                                    

Total Structured

   $ 14    100.0 %   $ 3,174    100.0 %   $ 1,248    100.0 %   $ 16,797    100.0 %
                                                    

Total

                    

<=619

   $ 1    —       $ 518    3.8 %   $ 377    1.2 %   $ 2,886    5.1 %

620-679

     419    8.3 %     3,015    22.2 %     4,659    14.3 %     15,935    27.9 %

680-739

     1,729    34.3 %     4,877    35.9 %     11,895    36.6 %     22,014    38.5 %

>=740

     2,890    57.4 %     5,186    38.1 %     15,582    47.9 %     16,297    28.5 %
                                                    

Total Primary

   $ 5,039    100.0 %   $ 13,596    100.0 %   $ 32,513    100.0 %   $ 57,132    100.0 %
                                                    

 

13


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Exhibit I (continued)

 

($ in millions)

   Quarter Ended
December 31
    Year Ended
December 31
 
   2008     %     2007     %     2008     %     2007     %  

Percentage of primary new insurance written

                

Refinances

     17 %       27 %       30 %       37 %  

95.01% LTV and above

     1 %       32 %       11 %       25 %  

ARMs

                

Less than 5 years

     1 %       1 %       1 %       13 %  

5 years and longer

     3 %       14 %       8 %       11 %  

Primary risk written

                

Flow

   $ 1,177     99.8 %   $ 2,684     77.9 %   $ 7,494     95.9 %   $ 10,325     85.3 %

Structured

     2     0.2 %     763     22.1 %     318     4.1 %     1,785     14.7 %
                                                        

Total Primary

   $ 1,179     100.0 %   $ 3,447     100.0 %   $ 7,812     100.0 %   $ 12,110     100.0 %
                                                        

Pool risk written

   $ —         $ 34       $ 60       $ 261    
                                        

Other risk written

                

Second-lien

                

1st loss

   $ —         $ —         $ —         $ 9    

2nd loss

     —           —           —           21    

NIMs

     —           —           —           377    

International

                

1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance

     —           34         51         130    

Reinsurance

     18         18         62         67    
                                        

Total other risk written

   $ 18       $ 52       $ 113       $ 604    
                                        

 

14


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Exhibit J

 

($ in millions)    December 31     December 31  
   2008    %     2007    %  

Primary insurance in force

          

Flow

   $ 121,439    78.2 %   $ 105,246    73.6 %

Structured

     33,800    21.8 %     37,820    26.4 %
                          

Total Primary

   $ 155,239    100.0 %   $ 143,066    100.0 %
                          

Prime

   $ 111,558    71.9 %   $ 93,577    65.4 %

Alt-A

     32,623    21.0 %     37,031    25.9 %

A minus and below

     11,058    7.1 %     12,458    8.7 %
                          

Total Primary

   $ 155,239    100.0 %   $ 143,066    100.0 %
                          

Primary risk in force

          

Flow

   $ 30,388    86.9 %   $ 26,531    83.9 %

Structured

     4,563    13.1 %     5,091    16.1 %
                          

Total Primary

   $ 34,951    100.0 %   $ 31,622    100.0 %
                          

Flow

          

Prime

   $ 24,815    81.7 %   $ 20,616    77.7 %

Alt-A

     3,584    11.8 %     3,810    14.4 %

A minus and below

     1,989    6.5 %     2,105    7.9 %
                          

Total Flow

   $ 30,388    100.0 %   $ 26,531    100.0 %
                          

Structured

          

Prime

   $ 2,390    52.4 %   $ 2,116    41.5 %

Alt-A

     1,412    30.9 %     1,978    38.9 %

A minus and below

     761    16.7 %     997    19.6 %
                          

Total Structured

   $ 4,563    100.0 %   $ 5,091    100.0 %
                          

Total

          

Prime

   $ 27,205    77.8 %   $ 22,732    71.9 %

Alt-A

     4,996    14.3 %     5,788    18.3 %

A minus and below

     2,750    7.9 %     3,102    9.8 %
                          

Total Primary

   $ 34,951    100.0 %   $ 31,622    100.0 %
                          

 

15


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Exhibit J (continued)

 

($ in millions)    December 31     December 31  
   2008     %     2007     %  

Total Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score

        

Flow

        

<=619

   $ 1,504     4.9 %   $ 1,639     6.2 %

620-679

     8,195     27.0 %     8,059     30.4 %

680-739

     11,253     37.0 %     9,773     36.8 %

>=740

     9,436     31.1 %     7,060     26.6 %
                            

Total Flow

   $ 30,388     100.0 %   $ 26,531     100.0 %
                            

Structured

        

<=619

   $ 703     15.4 %   $ 936     18.4 %

620-679

     1,205     26.4 %     1,490     29.3 %

680-739

     1,422     31.2 %     1,488     29.2 %

>=740

     1,233     27.0 %     1,177     23.1 %
                            

Total Structured

   $ 4,563     100.0 %   $ 5,091     100.0 %
                            

Total

        

<=619

   $ 2,207     6.3 %   $ 2,575     8.1 %

620-679

     9,400     26.9 %     9,549     30.2 %

680-739

     12,675     36.3 %     11,261     35.6 %

>=740

     10,669     30.5 %     8,237     26.1 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 34,951     100.0 %   $ 31,622     100.0 %
                            

Percentage of primary risk in force

        

Refinances

     30 %       31 %  

95.01% LTV and above

     22 %       24 %  

ARMs

        

Less than 5 years

     9 %       12 %  

5 years and longer

     9 %       10 %  

Pool risk in force

        

Prime

   $ 2,090     70.8 %   $ 2,111     70.3 %

Alt-A

     291     9.9 %     293     9.7 %

A minus and below

     569     19.3 %     600     20.0 %
                            

Total

   $ 2,950     100.0 %   $ 3,004     100.0 %
                            

 

16


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Exhibit K

 

      December 31     December 31  
($ in millions)    2008    %     2007    %  
Total Primary Risk in Force by LTV           

95.01% and above

   $ 7,805    22.3 %   $ 7,529    23.8 %

90.01% to 95.00%

     11,217    32.1 %     9,674    30.6 %

85.01% to 90.00%

     12,331    35.3 %     10,600    33.5 %

85.00% and below

     3,598    10.3 %     3,819    12.1 %
                          

Total

   $ 34,951    100.0 %   $ 31,622    100.0 %
                          
Total Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year           

2004 and prior

   $ 7,297    20.9 %   $ 8,871    28.0 %

2005

     4,229    12.1 %     5,112    16.2 %

2006

     5,196    14.9 %     6,016    19.0 %

2007

     10,711    30.6 %     11,623    36.8 %

2008

     7,518    21.5 %     —      —    
                          

Total

   $ 34,951    100.0 %   $ 31,622    100.0 %
                          
Total Pool Risk in Force by Policy Year           

2004 and prior

   $ 1,818    61.6 %   $ 1,889    62.9 %

2005

     584    19.8 %     595    19.8 %

2006

     252    8.6 %     265    8.8 %

2007

     237    8.0 %     255    8.5 %

2008

     59    2.0 %     —      —    
                          

Total Pool risk in Force

   $ 2,950    100.0 %   $ 3,004    100.0 %
                          
Other risk in force           

Second-lien

          

1st loss

   $ 267      $ 377   

2nd loss

     355        548   

NIMs

     438        604   

International

          

1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance

     413        465   

Reinsurance

     153        103   

Credit default swaps

     3,361        8,202   

Other

          

Domestic credit default swaps

     132        212   
                  

Total other risk in force

   $ 5,119      $ 10,511   
                  

Risk to capital ratio-Radian Guaranty only

     16.0:1        14.9:1   

 

17


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Exhibit L

 

      Quarter Ended
December 31
    Year Ended
December 31
 
($ in thousands)    2008     2007     2008     2007  

Direct claims paid

        

Prime

   $ 87,990     $ 56,015     $ 310,965     $ 166,967  

Alt-A

     58,262       37,017       210,700       107,672  

A minus and below

     48,701       49,538       211,612       152,670  

Second-lien and other

     44,778       30,825       182,872       90,799  
                                

Total

   $ 239,731     $ 173,395     $ 916,149     $ 518,108  
                                

Average claim paid

        

Prime

   $ 43.4     $ 36.8     $ 40.9     $ 31.8  

Alt-A

     57.3       51.6       54.8       45.4  

A minus and below

     40.4       38.5       39.0       33.8  

Second-lien and other

     36.8       40.7       35.5       32.4  

Total

   $ 43.9     $ 40.5     $ 41.6     $ 34.7  

Loss ratio—GAAP Basis

     268.4 %     295.4 %     250.4 %     143.5 %

Expense ratio—GAAP Basis (1)

     17.2 %     21.7 %     29.3 %     22.4 %
                                
     285.6 %     317.1 %     279.7 %     165.9 %
                                

Reserve for losses by category

        

Prime

   $ 829,097     $ 343,705      

Alt-A

     977,177       450,106      

A minus and below

     446,193       361,240      

Pool insurance

     107,441       54,394      

Second-lien

     136,591       112,751      

Other

     1,659       1,268      
                    

Reserve for losses, net

     2,498,158       1,323,464      

Reinsurance recoverable

     491,836  (2)     21,988      
                    

Total

   $ 2,989,994     $ 1,345,452      
                    

 

(1) Includes the acceleration of $50.8 million of deferred policy acquisition cost amortization for the year ended December 31, 2008, as a result of the establishment of a first-lien premium deficiency reserve in the second quarter of 2008 and excludes merger expenses.
(2) Reinsurance recoverable on ceded losses related to captives ($400.7 million) and Smart Home ($91.1 million).

 

18


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Exhibit M

 

     December 31     December 31  
     2008     2007  
Default Statistics     

Primary insurance:

    

Flow

    

Prime

    

Number of insured loans

   624,970     565,563  

Number of loans in default

   44,575     20,632  

Percentage of loans in default

   7.13 %   3.65 %

Alt-A

    

Number of insured loans

   68,948     74,559  

Number of loans in default

   16,959     7,980  

Percentage of loans in default

   24.60 %   10.70 %

A minus and below

    

Number of insured loans

   59,189     63,853  

Number of loans in default

   15,768     10,087  

Percentage of loans in default

   26.64 %   15.80 %

Total Flow

    

Number of insured loans

   753,107     703,975  

Number of loans in default

   77,302     38,699  

Percentage of loans in default

   10.26 %   5.50 %

Structured

    

Prime

    

Number of insured loans

   67,165     64,789  

Number of loans in default

   6,692     4,707  

Percentage of loans in default

   9.96 %   7.27 %

Alt-A

    

Number of insured loans

   80,491     97,526  

Number of loans in default

   18,747     8,783  

Percentage of loans in default

   23.29 %   9.01 %

A minus and below

    

Number of insured loans

   22,315     28,747  

Number of loans in default

   7,812     8,659  

Percentage of loans in default

   35.01 %   30.12 %

Total Structured

    

Number of insured loans

   169,971     191,062  

Number of loans in default

   33,251     22,149  

Percentage of loans in default

   19.56 %   11.59 %

 

19


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Exhibit M (continued)

 

     December 31     December 31  
     2008     2007  

Total Primary Insurance

    

Prime

    

Number of insured loans

   692,135     630,352  

Number of loans in default

   51,267     25,339  

Percentage of loans in default

   7.41 %   4.02 %

Alt-A

    

Number of insured loans

   149,439     172,085  

Number of loans in default

   35,706     16,763  

Percentage of loans in default

   23.89 %   9.74 %

A minus and below

    

Number of insured loans

   81,504     92,600  

Number of loans in default

   23,580     18,746  

Percentage of loans in default

   28.93 %   20.24 %

Total Primary Insurance

    

Number of insured loans

   923,078     895,037  

Number of loans in default

   110,553 (1)   60,848 (1)

Percentage of loans in default

   11.98 %   6.80 %

Pool insurance:

    

Number of loans in default

   32,677 (2)   26,526 (2)

 

(1) Includes approximately 539 and 2,595 defaults at December 31, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated.
(2) Includes approximately 21,719 and 20,193 defaults at December 31, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated.

 

20


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Exhibit N

 

     Quarter Ended
December 31
    Year Ended
December 31
 
     2008     2007     2008     2007  
Net Premiums Written (In thousands) (1)         

Primary and Pool Insurance

   $ 181,173     $ 223,372     $ 759,943     $ 835,961  

Second-lien

     3,028       4,896       11,458       27,236  

International

     4,167       16,796       15,831       35,306  
                                

Total Net Premiums Written—insurance

   $ 188,368     $ 245,064     $ 787,232     $ 898,503  
                                
Net Premiums Earned (In thousands) (2)         

Primary and Pool Insurance

   $ 193,706     $ 189,170     $ 768,723     $ 730,966  

Second-lien

     4,349       7,579       18,727       32,744  

International

     5,158       3,681       21,331       15,549  
                                

Total Net Premiums Earned—insurance

   $ 203,213     $ 200,430     $ 808,781     $ 779,259  
                                
SMART HOME (In millions)         

Ceded Premiums Written

   $ 3.0     $ 1.3     $ 13.0     $ 11.0  

Ceded Premiums Earned

   $ 3.0     $ 2.1     $ 13.0     $ 11.4  
1st Lien Captives         

Premiums ceded to captives (In millions)

   $ 33.9     $ 33.2     $ 138.3     $ 121.6  

% of total premiums

     14.7 %     14.8 %     15.0 %     14.1 %

NIW subject to captives (In millions)

   $ 1,557     $ 6,776     $ 11,825     $ 23,322  

% of primary NIW

     30.9 %     49.8 %     36.4 %     40.8 %

IIF included in captives (3)

     34.8 %     36.5 %    

RIF included in captives (3)

     43.8 %     41.6 %    

Persistency (twelve months ended December 31)

     85.8 %     75.4 %    
     December 31
2008
    December 31
2007
             

SMART HOME

        

% of Primary RIF included in Smart Home Transactions (3)

     3.7 %     5.3 %    

 

(1) Premiums written on credit derivatives for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2008 were $1.8 million and $18.7 million, respectively, compared to $10.2 million and $56.6 million, respectively, for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2007.
(2) Premiums earned on credit derivatives for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2008 were $2.2 million and $26.1 million, respectively, compared to $13.4 million and $64.3 million, respectively, for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2007. Premiums earned on credit derivatives are included in change of fair value of derivative instruments.
(3) Radian reinsures the middle layer risk positions, while retaining a significant portion of the total risk comprising the first loss and most remote risk positions.

 

21


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Exhibit O

Reinsurance Progression Toward Attachment—Summary by Book Year (1)

 

($ in millions)               December 31
2008
   December 31
2007

Book Year (2):

   Original
Book
RIF as of
December 31
2008
   Progression
to
Attachment
Point
    Current
RIF
   Ever-to-
Date
Incurred
Losses
   Captive
Benefit
(3)
   Current
RIF
   Ever-to-
Date
Incurred
Losses
   Captive
Benefit
(3)

Pre-2005

      0-50 %   $ 1,046    $ 236       $ 2,209    $ 279   

Pre-2005

      50-75 %     844      137         1,145      144   

Pre-2005

      75-99 %     775      143         32      19   

Pre-2005

      Attached       59      9    $ 1      12      3    $ 1
                                              

Pre-2005 Total

   $ 25,517      $ 2,724    $ 525    $ 1    $ 3,398    $ 445    $ 1
                                              

2005

      0-50 %   $ 74    $ 3       $ 697    $ 13   

2005

      50-75 %     98      5         429      15   

2005

      75-99 %     309      18         945      53   

2005

      Attached       1,296      175    $ 74      11      2    $ —  
                                              

2005 Total

   $ 3,309      $ 1,777    $ 201    $ 74    $ 2,082    $ 83    $ —  
                                              

2006

      0-50 %   $ 32    $ 1       $ 851    $ 12   

2006

      50-75 %     62      3         332      10   

2006

      75-99 %     310      17         1,470      71   

2006

      Attached       2,074      291    $ 161      210      10    $ 1
                                              

2006 Total

   $ 3,532      $ 2,478    $ 312    $ 161    $ 2,863    $ 103    $ 1
                                              

2007

      0-50 %   $ 31    $ —         $ 4,058    $ 36   

2007

      50-75 %     225      8         580      12   

2007

      75-99 %     71      3         4      —     

2007

      Attached       4,329      350    $ 147      1      —      $ —  
                                              

2007 Total

   $ 5,251      $ 4,656    $ 361    $ 147    $ 4,643    $ 48    $ —  
                                              

2008

      0-50 %   $ 2,167    $ 25       $ —      $ —     

2008

      50-75 %     42      1         —        —     

2008

      75-99 %     —        —           —        —     

2008

      Attached       190      16    $ 9      —        —      $ —  
                                              

2008 Total

   $ 2,494      $ 2,399    $ 42    $ 9    $ —      $ —      $ —  
                                              

 

(1) Data presented in aggregate for all trusts for captives active at each period end only. Actual trust attachment and exit points vary by individual contract. Attachment is calculated at the contract/deal level and is based on Total Incurred Losses which are defined as claims paid ever-to-date plus loss reserves.
(2) Book year figures may include loans from additional periods pursuant to reinsurance agreement terms and conditions.
(3) Captive Benefit is defined as ceded reserves at period end plus ever-to-date claims paid by the trust.

 

22


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Exhibit O (continued)

Reinsurance Progression Toward Attachment—Summary by Book Year (1)

 

($ in millions)               December 31
2008
   December 31
2007

Quota Share

      0-50 %   $ —      $ —         $ 20    $ —     

Quota Share

      50-75 %     —        —           7      1   

Quota Share

      75-99 %     —        —           —        —     

Quota Share

      Attached       116      27    $ 12      90      9    $ 4
                                              

Quota Share Total

   $ 313      $ 116    $ 27    $ 12    $ 117    $ 10    $ 4
                                              

Total Captive (Including Quota Share)

   $ 40,416      $ 14,150    $ 1,468    $ 404    $ 13,103    $ 689    $ 6
                                              

SmartHome

      0-50 %   $ 117    $ 27       $ 142    $ 23   

SmartHome

      50-75 %     —        —           693      92   

SmartHome

      75-99 %     —        —           —        —     

SmartHome

      Attached       1,188      346    $ 91      833      112    $ 10
                                              

Total SmartHome

   $ 3,900      $ 1,305    $ 373    $ 91    $ 1,668    $ 227    $ 10
                                              

 

(1) Data presented in aggregate for all trusts for captives active at each period end only. Actual trust attachment and exit points vary by individual contract. Attachment is calculated at the contract/deal level and is based on Total Incurred Losses which are defined as claims paid ever-to-date plus loss reserves.
(2) Book year figures may include loans from additional periods pursuant to reinsurance agreement terms and conditions.
(3) Captive Benefit is defined as ceded reserves at period end plus ever-to-date claims paid by the trust.

 

23


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Exhibit P

 

($ in millions)    December 31     December 31  
   2008    %     2007    %  

Modified Pool Risk in Force

          

Prime

          

2004 and prior

   $ 45    29.2 %   $ 47    28.8 %

2005

     39    25.3 %     47    28.8 %

2006

     44    28.6 %     44    27.0 %

2007

     22    14.3 %     25    15.4 %

2008

     4    2.6 %     —      —    
                          

Total

   $ 154    100.0 %   $ 163    100.0 %
                          

Alt-A

          

2004 and prior

   $ 97    14.5 %   $ 103    15.0 %

2005

     99    14.8 %     116    16.9 %

2006

     164    24.6 %     165    24.0 %

2007

     304    45.5 %     304    44.1 %

2008

     4    0.6 %     —      —    
                          

Total

   $ 668    100.0 %   $ 688    100.0 %
                          

A minus and below

          

2004 and prior

   $ 9    36.0 %   $ 10    37.1 %

2005

     6    24.0 %     7    25.9 %

2006

     3    12.0 %     3    11.1 %

2007

     7    28.0 %     7    25.9 %

2008

     —      —         —      —    
                          

Total

   $ 25    100.0 %   $ 27    100.0 %
                          

Total

          

2004 and prior

   $ 151    17.8 %   $ 160    18.2 %

2005

     144    17.0 %     170    19.4 %

2006

     211    24.9 %     212    24.1 %

2007

     333    39.3 %     336    38.3 %

2008

     8    1.0 %     —      —    
                          

Total Modified Pool Risk in Force

   $ 847    100.0 %   $ 878    100.0 %
                          

 

24


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

ALT-A

Exhibit Q

 

($ in millions)    Quarter Ended
December 31
    Year Ended
December 31
 
   2008    %     2007    %     2008    %     2007    %  

Primary New Insurance Written by FICO Score

                    

<=619

   $ —      —       $ 3    0.1 %   $ 3    0.3 %   $ 110    0.6 %

620-659

     —      —         43    1.9 %     26    2.2 %     1,889    9.7 %

660-679

     1    5.9 %     94    4.3 %     64    5.4 %     2,783    14.4 %

680-739

     10    58.8 %     785    35.5 %     571    48.7 %     9,158    47.3 %

>=740

     6    35.3 %     1,285    58.2 %     509    43.4 %     5,422    28.0 %
                                                    

Total

   $ 17    100.0 %   $ 2,210    100.0 %   $ 1,173    100.0 %   $ 19,362    100.0 %
                                                    

Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score

                    

<=619

   $ 33    0.6 %   $ 38    0.7 %          

620-659

     603    12.1 %     725    12.5 %          

660-679

     734    14.7 %     826    14.3 %          

680-739

     2,399    48.0 %     2,653    45.8 %          

>=740

     1,227    24.6 %     1,546    26.7 %          
                                    

Total

   $ 4,996    100.0 %   $ 5,788    100.0 %          
                                    

Primary Risk in Force by LTV

                    

95.01% and above

   $ 349    7.0 %   $ 379    6.6 %          

90.01% to 95.00%

     1,295    25.9 %     1,668    28.8 %          

85.01% to 90.00%

     2,077    41.6 %     2,317    40.0 %          

85.00% and below

     1,275    25.5 %     1,424    24.6 %          
                                    

Total

   $ 4,996    100.0 %   $ 5,788    100.0 %          
                                    

Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year

                    

2004 and prior

   $ 907    18.1 %   $ 1,102    19.0 %          

2005

     676    13.5 %     846    14.6 %          

2006

     1,109    22.2 %     1,273    22.0 %          

2007

     2,051    41.1 %     2,567    44.4 %          

2008

     253    5.1 %     —      —              
                                    

Total

   $ 4,996    100.0 %   $ 5,788    100.0 %          
                                    

 

25


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Services Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2008

Exhibit R

 

     Quarter Ended
December 31
   Year Ended
December 31
 
(In thousands)    2008     2007    2008     2007  

Investment in Affiliates-Selected Information

         

C-BASS

         

Balance, beginning of period

   $ —       $ —      $ —       $ 451,395  

Net income for period

     —         —        —         (451,395 )
                               

Balance, end of period

   $ —       $ —      $ —       $ —    
                               

Sherman

         

Balance, beginning of period

   $ 87,217     $ 94,110    $ 104,315     $ 167,412  

Net income for period

     15,754       10,098      59,782       84,848  

Dividends received

     —         —        35,460       51,512  

Other comprehensive (loss) income

     (3,315 )     107      (3,195 )     (567 )

Sale of ownership interest

     —         —        —         (95,866 )

Adjustment to investment related to buyback of MGIC interest

     —         —        (25,786 )     —    
                               

Balance, end of period

   $ 99,656     $ 104,315    $ 99,656     $ 104,315  
                               

Portfolio Information:

         

Sherman

         

Total assets

   $ 2,355,660     $ 2,242,087     

Total revenues

   $ 325,354     $ 364,635    $ 1,504,368     $ 1,245,248  

Radian owns a 46% interest in C-BASS and a 28.7% interest in Sherman. Prior to August 2008, we owned a 21.8% interest in Sherman. Prior to September 2007, we owned an interest in Sherman consisting of 40.96% of the Class A Common Units of Sherman (Class A Common Units represent 94% of the total equity in Sherman) and 50% of the Preferred Units of Sherman.

 

26


Supplemental Schedule

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries-Consolidated

   Schedule 1

The following schedules show selected lines from the Consolidated Income Statement as reported (Column 1) and adjustments (Column 2) to reflect the income statement impact of the recaptures of business previously ceded to the Company by primary insurer customers of the financial guaranty segment. The adjusted numbers are shown in Column 3.

The impact of the recaptures (Column 2) reflects the recapture of business ceded to the Company in prior periods. These recaptures only affected the fourth quarter (and, as a result, the year-to-date period) of 2008. Accordingly, management believes that Column 3 provides useful information to investors by presenting a more meaningful basis of comparison for the Company’s past and future results.

 

(Thousands of dollars, except per share data)

   As Reported
Quarter Ended
December 31
2008
    Impact
of
Recaptures
    As Adjusted
Quarter Ended
December 31, 2008
Excluding Recaptures
    Quarter Ended
December 31
2007
 

Net premiums written—insurance

   $ 147,467     $ (51,050 )   $ 198,517     $ 286,372  

Net premiums earned—insurance

     231,044       (17,144 )     248,188       234,368  

Total revenues

     59,427       (17,144 )     76,571       (279,234 )

Provision for losses

     618,835       (4,000 )     622,835       689,903  

Policy acquisition costs

     15,768       (2,395 )     18,163       24,981  

Total expenses

     459,154       (6,395 )     465,549       808,264  

Pretax loss

     (383,958 )     (10,749 )     (373,209 )     (1,127,394 )

Income tax benefit

     (133,566 )     (3,762 )     (129,804 )     (406,409 )

Net loss

   $ (250,392 )   $ (6,987 )   $ (243,405 )   $ (720,985 )

Diluted net loss per share

   $ (3.11 )   $ (0.09 )   $ (3.02 )   $ (9.03 )

(Thousands of dollars, except per share data)

   As Reported
Year Ended
December 31
2008
    Impact
of
Recaptures
    As Adjusted
Year Ended
December 31, 2008
Excluding Recaptures
    Year Ended
December 31
2007
 

Net premiums written—insurance

   $ 816,869     $ (51,050 )   $ 867,919     $ 1,085,232  

Net premiums earned—insurance

     971,820       (17,144 )     988,964       912,281  

Total revenues

     1,808,036       (17,144 )     1,825,180       201,051  

Provision for losses

     2,205,340       (4,000 )     2,209,340       1,308,090  

Policy acquisition costs

     136,396       (2,395 )     138,791       113,176  

Total expenses

     2,541,962       (6,395 )     2,548,357       1,853,425  

Pretax loss

     (674,129 )     (10,749 )     (663,380 )     (2,068,915 )

Income tax benefit

     (263,550 )     (3,762 )     (259,788 )     (778,616 )

Net loss

   $ (410,579 )   $ (6,987 )   $ (403,592 )   $ (1,290,299 )

Diluted net loss per share

   $ (5.12 )   $ (0.09 )   $ (5.03 )   $ (16.22 )

 

27


Supplemental Schedule

Segment Information-Financial Guaranty

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

   Schedule 2

The following schedules show selected lines from the Financial Guaranty Segment Income Statement as reported (Column 1) and adjustments (Column 2) to reflect the income statement impact of the recaptures of business previously ceded to the Company by primary insurer customers of the financial guaranty segment. The adjusted numbers are shown in Column 3. The impact of the recaptures (Column 2) reflects the recapture of business ceded to the Company in prior periods.

These recaptures only affected the fourth quarter (and, as a result, the year-to-date period) of 2008. Accordingly, management believes that Column 3 provides useful information to investors by presenting a more meaningful basis of comparison for the Company’s past and future results.

 

(Thousands of dollars)

   As Reported
Quarter Ended
December 31
2008
    Impact
of
Recaptures
    As Adjusted
Quarter Ended
December 31, 2008
Excluding Recaptures
    Quarter Ended
December 31
2007
 

Net premiums written—insurance

   $ (40,901 )   $ (51,050 )   $ 10,149     $ 41,308  

Net premiums earned—insurance

   $ 27,831     $ (17,144 )   $ 44,975     $ 33,938  

Total revenues

     (164,389 )     (17,144 )     (147,245 )     (471,590 )

Provision for losses

     67,551       (4,000 )     71,551       58,273  

Policy acquisition costs

     9,138       (2,395 )     11,533       11,175  

Total expenses

     110,411       (6,395 )     116,806       87,475  

Pretax loss

     (274,784 )     (10,749 )     (264,035 )     (559,060 )

Income tax benefit

     (91,572 )     (3,762 )     (87,810 )     (193,055 )

Net loss

   $ (183,212 )   $ (6,987 )   $ (176,225 )   $ (366,005 )

Loss ratio-excluding Recaptures

         123.2 %     123.0 %

Expense ratio-excluding Recaptures

         66.1 %     49.0 %
                    
         189.3 %     172.0 %
                    

(Thousands of dollars)

   As Reported
Year Ended
December 31
2008
    Impact
of
Recaptures
    As Adjusted
Year Ended
December 31, 2008
Excluding Recaptures
    Year Ended
December 31
2007
 

Net premiums written—insurance

   $ 29,637     $ (51,050 )   $ 80,687     $ 186,729  

Net premiums earned—insurance

   $ 163,039     $ (17,144 )   $ 180,183     $ 133,022  

Total revenues

     814,027       (17,144 )     831,171       (493,239 )

Provision for losses

     114,495       (4,000 )     118,495       97,990  

Policy acquisition costs

     47,293       (2,395 )     49,688       45,426  

Total expenses

     286,940       (6,395 )     293,335       212,507  

Pretax income (loss)

     527,103       (10,749 )     537,852       (705,741 )

Income tax provision (benefit)

     187,965       (3,762 )     191,727       (265,559 )

Net income (loss)

   $ 339,138     $ (6,987 )   $ 346,125     $ (440,182 )

Loss ratio-excluding Recaptures

         50.6 %     50.2 %

Expense ratio-excluding Recaptures

         63.7 %     48.2 %
                    
         114.3 %     98.4 %
                    

 

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Forward Looking Statement

All statements in this news release that address events, developments or results that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements, which include, without limitation, projections regarding our future performance and financial condition are made on the basis of management’s current views and assumptions with respect to future events. Any forward-looking statement is not a guarantee of future performance and actual results could differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking information. The forward-looking statements, as well as our prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties, including the following:

 

   

changes in general financial and political conditions, such as a deepening of the existing national economic recession, further decreases in housing demand, mortgage originations or housing values (in particular, further deterioration in the housing, mortgage and related credit markets, which would harm our future consolidated results of operations and could cause losses for our businesses to be worse than expected), a further reduction in the liquidity in the capital markets and further contraction of credit markets, further increases in unemployment rates, changes or volatility in interest rates or consumer confidence, changes in credit spreads, changes in the way investors perceive the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers, investor concern over the credit quality and specific risks faced by the particular businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our insurance;

 

   

Further economic changes or catastrophic events in geographic regions where our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance in force is more concentrated;

 

   

our ability to successfully execute upon our internally sourced capital plan (which depends, in part, on the performance of our financial guaranty portfolio), and if necessary, to obtain additional capital to support new business writings in our mortgage insurance business and our long-term liquidity needs and to protect our credit ratings and the financial strength ratings of Radian Guaranty Inc., our primary mortgage insurance subsidiary, from further downgrades;

 

   

a further decrease in the volume of home mortgage originations due to reduced liquidity in the lending market, tighter underwriting standards and the on-going deterioration in housing markets throughout the U.S.;

 

   

our ability to maintain adequate risk-to-capital ratios and surplus requirements in our mortgage insurance business in light of on-going losses in this business;

 

   

the concentration of our mortgage insurance business among a relatively small number of large customers;

 

   

disruption in the servicing of mortgages covered by our insurance policies;

 

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the aging of our mortgage insurance portfolio and changes in severity or frequency of losses associated with certain of our products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance policies;

 

   

the performance of our insured portfolio of higher risk loans, such as Alternative-A (“Alt-A”) and subprime loans, and adjustable rate products, such as adjustable rate mortgages and interest-only mortgages, which have resulted in increased losses in 2007 and 2008 and are expected to result in further losses;

 

   

reduced opportunities for loss mitigation in markets where housing values fail to appreciate or continue to decline;

 

   

changes in persistency rates of our mortgage insurance policies caused by changes in refinancing activity, in the rate of appreciation or depreciation of home values and changes in the mortgage insurance cancellation requirements of mortgage lenders and investors;

 

   

further downgrades or threatened downgrades of, or other ratings actions with respect to, our credit ratings or the ratings assigned by the major rating agencies to any of our rated insurance subsidiaries at any time (in particular, the credit rating of Radian Group Inc. and the financial strength ratings assigned to Radian Guaranty Inc.);

 

   

heightened competition for our mortgage insurance business from others such as the Federal Housing Administration and the Veterans’ Administration or other private mortgage insurers (in particular those that have been assigned higher ratings from the major rating agencies);

 

   

changes in the charters or business practices of Federal National Mortgage Association (“Fannie Mae”) and Freddie Mac, the largest purchasers of mortgage loans that we insure, and our ability to remain an eligible provider to both Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae;

 

   

the application of existing federal or state consumer, lending, insurance, securities and other applicable laws and regulations, or changes in these laws and regulations or the way they are interpreted, including without limitation: (i) the outcome of existing investigations or the possibility of private lawsuits or other formal investigations by state insurance departments and state attorneys general alleging that services offered by the mortgage insurance industry, such as captive reinsurance, pool insurance and contract underwriting, are violative of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act and/or similar state regulations, (ii) legislative and regulatory changes affecting demand for private mortgage insurance, or (iii) legislation and regulatory changes limiting or restricting our use of (or requirements for) additional capital, the products we may offer, the form in which we may execute the credit protection we provide or the aggregate notional amount of any product we may offer for any one transaction or in the aggregate;

 

   

the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty businesses, or the premium deficiencies for our first- and second-

 

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lien mortgage insurance business, or to estimate accurately the fair value amounts of derivative contracts in our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses in determining gains and losses on these contracts;

 

   

volatility in our earnings caused by changes in the fair value of our derivative instruments and our need to reevaluate the premium deficiencies in our mortgage insurance business on a quarterly basis;

 

   

changes in accounting guidance from the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) or the Financial Accounting Standards Board;

 

   

legal and other limitations on amounts we may receive from our subsidiaries as dividends or through tax and expense sharing arrangements with our subsidiaries; and

 

   

the performance of our investment in Sherman Financial Group LLC.

We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date on which we issued this news release. We do not intend to, and we disclaim any duty or obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements made in this news release to reflect new information or future events or for any other reason.

SOURCE: Radian Group Inc.

 

 

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