EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm RADIAN GROUP INC. NEWS RELEASE Radian Group Inc. News Release

Exhibit 99.1

 

LOGO

 

  

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1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

   News Release
  

 

Contact:

 

  
   For investors:    Terri Williams-Perry – phone: 215 231.1486
     

Email: terri.williams-perry@radian.biz

 

   For the media:    Rick Gillespie – phone: 215 231.1061
      email: rick.gillespie@radian.biz
  

 

Radian Reports Third Quarter Financial Results

 

  

PHILADELPHIA, November 5, 2008 - Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) today reported net income for the quarter ended September 30, 2008 of $36.7 million, or $0.46 per share. This compares to a net loss of $703.9 million, or $8.82 per share, for the prior year quarter. Book value per share at September 30, 2008 was $28.90.

 

“Radian’s third quarter results were impacted by a continuation of elevated mortgage insurance losses, which were offset by a reduction in our first-lien premium deficiency reserve,” said S. A. Ibrahim, Chief Executive Officer of Radian. “During the third quarter, we significantly strengthened the statutory capital of our mortgage insurance business through the contribution of our financial guaranty business. This non-dilutive action is expected to provide the MI business with cash infusions over time. We are focused on growing our core MI business and taking advantage of opportunities to write profitable, new business that will better position us as we move through and beyond these uncertain economic times.”

 

THIRD QUARTER HIGHLIGHTS

 

— As announced on September 18, Radian contributed its ownership interest in Radian Asset Assurance Inc. (Radian Asset), its principal financial guaranty subsidiary, to Radian Guaranty Inc. (Radian Guaranty), the Company’s principal mortgage insurance subsidiary, providing capital support to its mortgage insurance (MI) business.

 

— Radian Asset has $2.9 billion in claims-paying resources, including $935 million in statutory surplus.

 

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1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

 

 

— Radian has a 29 percent ownership interest in Sherman Financial and received $35.5 million in dividends from Sherman during the first three quarters of 2008, including $16 million in the third quarter. Sherman remains a solid contributor of earnings and quarterly dividends, and Radian has the flexibility to pursue a sale of its stake in Sherman.

 

— First and second-lien MI claims paid were in line with expectations at $277 million. Fourth quarter MI claims paid are expected to be similar to third quarter, with total claims paid for 2008 expected to be approximately $950 million, lower than previously guided.

 

— First-lien primary MI defaults were 9.71 percent, a 16 percent increase over the prior quarter.

 

— As a result of reduced mortgage origination volume, total primary new MI insurance written was $7.5 billion, a 22 percent decrease from the prior quarter. Radian Guaranty continues to maintain a strong market position.

 

— Representing a dramatic shift during the past year, approximately 98.4 percent of new MI business production in the third quarter of 2008 was prime, a trend that is expected to continue into 2009.

 

— Radian Guaranty’s strong efforts in loss mitigation remain a critical priority to its capital preservation. Radian Guaranty is involved in a number of initiatives to increase effective loss management, which include placing staff on-site with major mortgage servicers to expedite solutions, creating the Fast Advance program, launching a number of direct outreach programs including a borrower web site, partnering with the Consumer Credit Counseling Service of Delaware Valley to offer borrower counseling services and joining the Hope Now initiative.

 

— Radian has sustained relatively minimal credit losses through its high quality, diversified investment portfolio that has limited exposure to vulnerable asset classes.

 

— Compared to other financial guaranty insurers, Radian Asset has significantly less exposure to the weakening housing markets, further contributing to its strong capital position. Premiums written this quarter were much lower due to the Company’s decision to cease writing new business in light of current market conditions. Premiums earned were very strong reflecting heavy refunding activity.

 

— The GSE charter remains unchanged and Radian Guaranty remains a Top Tier provider to the GSEs through frequent and proactive collaboration and demonstration of its strong capital position.

 

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LOGO

 

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1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

 

 

UPDATE on RESERVES

 

Radian had total reserves of $3 billion as of September 30, 2008, including updated first-lien and second-lien premium deficiency reserves of $150.1 million and $181.3 million, respectively. As of September 30, 2008, the present value of Radian’s current projected aggregate future losses and expenses exceeded future premiums and current loss reserves for the domestic first-lien mortgage insurance book by $150.1 million. This projected net loss reflects the remaining life of the June 30, 2008 and prior book of business. The third quarter new production is expected to be profitable and therefore, its projected profitability is excluded from the premium deficiency reserve balance.

 

CONFERENCE CALL

 

Radian will discuss each of these items in its conference call today, Wednesday, November 5 at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time. The conference call will be broadcast live over the internet at http://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-audioarchives or at http://www.radian.biz >News. The call may also be accessed by dialing 800-398-9397 inside the U.S., or 612-332-1213 for international callers, using passcode 965834 or by referencing Radian.

 

A replay of the webcast will be available at the Radian Web site approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of one year. A replay of the conference call will be available two and a half hours after the call ends for one week, using the following dial-in numbers and passcode: 800-475-6701 inside the U.S., or 320-365-3844 for international callers, passcode 965834.

 

About Radian

 

Radian Group Inc. is a global credit risk management company headquartered in Philadelphia. Radian develops innovative financial solutions by applying its core mortgage credit risk expertise and structured finance capabilities to the credit enhancement needs of the capital markets worldwide, primarily through credit insurance products. The company also provides credit enhancement for public finance and other corporate and consumer assets on both a direct and reinsurance basis and holds strategic interests in credit-based consumer asset businesses. Additional information may be found at www.radian.biz.

 

Financial Results and Supplemental Information Contents (Unaudited)

 

For trend information on all schedules, refer to Radian’s quarterly financial statistics at http://www.radian.biz/investors/financial/corporate.aspx.

 

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1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

  Exhibit A:    Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
  Exhibit B:    Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
  Exhibit C:    Segment Information Quarter Ended September 30, 2008
  Exhibit D:    Segment Information Quarter Ended September 30, 2007
  Exhibit E:    Segment Information Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008
  Exhibit F:    Segment Information Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007
  Exhibit G:    Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008
  Exhibit H:    Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008
  Exhibit I:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008 New Insurance Written and Risk Written
  Exhibit J:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008 Insurance in Force and Risk in Force
  Exhibit K:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008 Risk in Force by LTV and Policy Year and other Risk in Force
  Exhibit L:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008 Claims and Reserves
  Exhibit M:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008 Defaults
  Exhibit N:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008 Net Premiums Written and Earned, Smart Home, Captives and Persistency
  Exhibit O:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008 Reinsurance Progression Toward Attachment – Summary by Book Year
  Exhibit P:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008 Modified Pool Risk in Force
  Exhibit Q:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008 Alt-A
  Exhibit R:    Financial Services Supplemental Information – For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008

 

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Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income

Exhibit A

 

     Quarter Ended
September 30
    Nine Months Ended
September 30
 

(In thousands, except per-share data)

   2008     2007     2008     2007  

Revenues:

        

Net premiums written - insurance

   $ 202,451     $ 308,011     $ 669,402     $ 798,860  
                                

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 249,718     $ 245,396     $ 740,776     $ 677,913  

Net investment income

     65,215       64,959       196,322       188,605  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments (1)

     164,757       (615,936 )     928,792       (633,765 )

Net (losses) gains on other financial instruments

     (63,737 )     14,840       (126,872 )     54,279  

Gain on sale of affiliate

     —         181,734       —         181,734  

Other income

     2,756       4,599       9,591       11,519  
                                

Total revenues

     418,709       (104,408 )     1,748,609       480,285  
                                

Expenses:

        

Provision for losses

     544,915       330,504       1,586,505       611,508  

Provision for premium deficiency (2)

     (252,170 )     155,176       135,727       155,176  

Policy acquisition costs

     20,770       35,743       120,628 (3)     88,195  

Other operating expenses

     80,781       34,891       199,771       137,471  

Merger expenses

     —         1,278       —         14,001  

Interest expense

     13,852       13,394       40,177       38,810  
                                

Total expenses

     408,148       570,986       2,082,808       1,045,161  
                                

Equity in net income (loss) of affiliates

     15,798       (448,924 )     44,028       (376,645 )
                                

Pretax income (loss)

     26,359       (1,124,318 )     (290,171 )     (941,521 )

Income tax (benefit) provision

     (10,340 )     (420,454 )     (129,984 )     (372,207 )
                                

Net income (loss)

   $ 36,699     $ (703,864 )   $ (160,187 )   $ (569,314 )
                                

Diluted net income (loss) per share (4)

   $ 0.46     $ (8.82 )   $ (2.01 )   $ (7.16 )
                                

(1)    Includes premiums earned on derivative contracts.

 

(2)    Includes $(271.7) million for first-lien and $19.6 million for second-lien in the third quarter of 2008, and $150.1 million for first-lien and $(14.3) million for second-lien for the first nine months of 2008.

 

(3)    Includes the acceleration of $50.8 million of deferred policy acquisition cost amortization in the nine months ended September 30, 2008, as a result of the establishment of a first-lien premium deficiency reserve in the second quarter of 2008.

 

(4)    Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands)

 

      

       

        

      

Average common shares outstanding

     79,960       79,800       79,603       79,467  

Increase in shares-potential exercise of options-diluted basis

     433       —         —         —    
                                

Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands)

     80,393       79,800       79,603       79,467  

For Trend Information, refer to our Quarterly Financial Statistics on Radian’s (RDN) website.

 

Page 1


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

Exhibit B

 

(In thousands, except share and per-share data)

   September 30
2008
    December 31
2007
   September 30
2007

Assets:

       

Cash and investments

   $ 6,330,214     $ 6,611,836    $ 6,575,797

Investments in affiliates

     87,256       104,354      94,144

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     178,581       234,955      233,582

Prepaid federal income taxes

     248,828       793,486      861,809

Tax recoverables

     462,694       1,816      2,043

Reinsurance recoverables

     310,984       33,960      37,674

Other assets

     619,597       429,782      409,811
                     

Total assets

   $ 8,238,154     $ 8,210,189    $ 8,214,860
                     

Liabilities and stockholders’ equity:

       

Unearned premiums

   $ 1,000,725     $ 1,094,710    $ 1,045,267

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     2,680,381       1,598,756      1,094,704

Reserve for premium deficiency

     331,373       195,646      155,176

Long-term debt and other borrowings

     908,282       953,524      948,010

Variable interest entity debt

     127,624       —        —  

Deferred income taxes

     —         26,705      383,172

Derivative liabilities

     343,296       1,305,665      675,432

Other liabilities

     514,147       314,447      465,607
                     

Total liabilities

     5,905,828       5,489,453      4,767,368
                     

Common stock

     98       98      97

Additional paid-in capital

     453,836       442,312      436,828

Retained earnings

     2,017,542       2,181,191      2,903,798

Accumulated other comprehensive income

     (139,150 )     97,135      106,769
                     

Total common stockholders’ equity

     2,332,326       2,720,736      3,447,492
                     

Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity

   $ 8,238,154     $ 8,210,189    $ 8,214,860
                     

Book value per share

   $ 28.90     $ 33.83    $ 42.86

 

Page 2


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Quarter Ended September 30, 2008

Exhibit C

 

(In thousands)

   Mortgage
Insurance
    Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
   Total  

Revenues:

         

Net premiums written - insurance

   $ 188,583     $ 13,868     $ —      $ 202,451  
                               

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 196,207     $ 53,511     $ —      $ 249,718  

Net investment income

     38,017       27,198       —        65,215  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     8,606       156,151       —        164,757  

Net gains (losses) on other financial instruments

     (39,925 )     (23,895 )     83      (63,737 )

Other income

     2,561       58       137      2,756  
                               

Total revenues

     205,466       213,023       220      418,709  
                               

Expenses:

         

Provision for losses

     519,257       25,658       —        544,915  

Provision for premium deficiency

     (252,170 )     —         —        (252,170 )

Policy acquisition costs

     5,327       15,443       —        20,770  

Other operating expenses

     43,771       36,885       125      80,781  

Interest expense

     6,718       7,134       —        13,852  
                               

Total expenses

     322,903       85,120       125      408,148  
                               

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —         —         15,798      15,798  
                               

Pretax (loss) income

     (117,437 )     127,903       15,893      26,359  

Income tax (benefit) provision

     (70,473 )     53,550       6,583      (10,340 )
                               

Net (loss) income

   $ (46,964 )   $ 74,353     $ 9,310    $ 36,699  
                               

Assets

   $ 5,120,152     $ 2,934,032     $ 183,970    $ 8,238,154  

Total investments

     3,816,513       2,406,739       —        6,223,252  

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     17,997       160,584       —        178,581  

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     2,496,412       183,969       —        2,680,381  

Derivative liabilities

     220,363       122,933       —        343,296  

Unearned premiums

     351,200       649,525       —        1,000,725  

Stockholders’ equity

     838,474       1,349,016       144,836      2,332,326  

 

Page 3


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Quarter Ended September 30, 2007

Exhibit D

 

(In thousands)

   Mortgage
Insurance
    Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
    Total  

Revenues:

        

Net premiums written - insurance

   $ 249,521     $ 58,490     $ —       $ 308,011  
                                

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 212,998     $ 32,398     $ —       $ 245,396  

Net investment income

     37,437       27,403       119       64,959  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (374,024 )     (241,912 )     —         (615,936 )

Net gains (losses) on other financial instruments

     9,312       5,560       (32 )     14,840  

Gain on sale of affiliate

     —         —         181,734       181,734  

Other income

     3,782       517       300       4,599  
                                

Total revenues

     (110,495 )     (176,034 )     182,121       (104,408 )
                                

Expenses:

        

Provision for losses

     278,785       51,719       —         330,504  

Provision for premium deficiency

     155,176       —         —         155,176  

Policy acquisition costs

     24,865       10,878       —         35,743  

Other operating expenses

     25,460       9,863       (432 )     34,891  

Merger expenses

     1,116       162       —         1,278  

Interest expense

     6,764       4,808       1,822       13,394  
                                

Total expenses

     492,166       77,430       1,390       570,986  
                                

Equity in net loss of affiliates

     —         —         (448,924 )     (448,924 )
                                

Pretax loss

     (602,661 )     (253,464 )     (268,193 )     (1,124,318 )

Income tax benefit

     (227,374 )     (99,350 )     (93,730 )     (420,454 )
                                

Net loss

   $ (375,287 )   $ (154,114 )   $ (174,463 )   $ (703,864 )
                                

Assets

   $ 5,232,832     $ 2,833,748     $ 148,280     $ 8,214,860  

Total investments

     3,956,943       2,556,054       —         6,512,997  

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     62,371       171,211       —         233,582  

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     884,985       209,719       —         1,094,704  

Unearned premiums

     322,109       723,158       —         1,045,267  

Stockholders’ equity

     1,894,959       1,409,168       143,365       3,447,492  

 

Page 4


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2008

Exhibit E

 

(In thousands)

   Mortgage
Insurance
    Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
   Total  

Revenues:

         

Net premiums written - insurance

   $ 598,864     $ 70,538     $ —      $ 669,402  
                               

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 605,568     $ 135,208     $ —      $ 740,776  

Net investment income

     115,803       80,505       14      196,322  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     105,548       823,244       —        928,792  

Net (losses) gains on other financial instruments

     (66,214 )     (60,778 )     120      (126,872 )

Other income

     9,051       237       303      9,591  
                               

Total revenues

     769,756       978,416       437      1,748,609  
                               

Expenses:

         

Provision for losses

     1,539,561       46,944       —        1,586,505  

Provision for premium deficiency

     135,727       —         —        135,727  

Policy acquisition costs

     82,473       38,155       —        120,628  

Other operating expenses

     126,644       72,642       485      199,771  

Interest expense

     21,140       18,788       249      40,177  
                               

Total expenses

     1,905,545       176,529       734      2,082,808  
                               

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —         —         44,028      44,028  
                               

Pretax (loss) income

     (1,135,789 )     801,887       43,731      (290,171 )

Income tax (benefit) provision

     (428,186 )     279,537       18,665      (129,984 )
                               

Net (loss) income

   $ (707,603 )   $ 522,350     $ 25,066    $ (160,187 )
                               

 

Page 5


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007

Exhibit F

 

(In thousands)

   Mortgage
Insurance
    Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
    Total  

Revenues:

        

Net premiums written - insurance

   $ 653,439     $ 145,421     $ —       $ 798,860  
                                

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 578,829     $ 99,084     $ —       $ 677,913  

Net investment income

     109,283       79,160       162       188,605  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (419,096 )     (214,669 )     —         (633,765 )

Net gains on other financial instruments

     39,791       13,993       495       54,279  

Gain on sale of affiliate

     —         —         181,734       181,734  

Other income

     9,357       783       1,379       11,519  
                                

Total revenues

     318,164       (21,649 )     183,770       480,285  
                                

Expenses:

        

Provision for losses

     571,791       39,717       —         611,508  

Provision for premium deficiency

     155,176       —         —         155,176  

Policy acquisition costs

     53,944       34,251       —         88,195  

Other operating expenses

     95,769       36,630       5,072       137,471  

Merger expenses

     13,434       567       —         14,001  

Interest expense

     19,959       13,866       4,985       38,810  
                                

Total expenses

     910,073       125,031       10,057       1,045,161  
                                

Equity in net loss of affiliates

     —         —         (376,645 )     (376,645 )
                                

Pretax loss

     (591,909 )     (146,680 )     (202,932 )     (941,521 )

Income tax benefit

     (233,121 )     (72,504 )     (66,582 )     (372,207 )
                                

Net loss

   $ (358,788 )   $ (74,176 )   $ (136,350 )   $ (569,314 )
                                

 

Page 6


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2008

Exhibit G

 

      Quarter Ended
September 30
    Nine Months Ended
September 30
 

($ in thousands, except ratios)

   2008     2007     2008     2007  

Net Premiums Written: (1)

        

Public finance direct

   $ 2,059     $ 17,746     $ 15,538     $ 48,656  

Public finance reinsurance

     6,046       31,433       30,808       67,082  

Structured direct

     3,358       3,991       10,546       12,027  

Structured reinsurance

     2,748       5,001       13,601       16,606  

Trade credit reinsurance

     (343 )     319       45       1,050  
                                

Total Net Premiums Written - insurance

   $ 13,868     $ 58,490     $ 70,538     $ 145,421  
                                

Net Premiums Earned: (2)

        

Public finance direct

   $ 13,380     $ 10,765     $ 43,194     $ 32,311  

Public finance reinsurance

     32,310       11,105       65,145       33,897  

Structured direct

     3,569       4,367       11,211       13,447  

Structured reinsurance

     4,472       5,560       15,163       17,496  

Trade credit reinsurance

     (220 )     601       495       1,933  
                                

Total Net Premiums Earned - insurance

   $ 53,511     $ 32,398     $ 135,208     $ 99,084  
                                

Refundings included in earned premium

   $ 27,326     $ 4,054     $ 55,647     $ 15,817  
                                

Claims paid:

        

Trade credit reinsurance

   $ 449     $ 1,751     $ 1,432     $ 7,022  

Other

     4,232       1,478       107,449 (3)     2,212  

Conseco

     2,218       2,663       6,591       8,782  
                                

Total

   $ 6,899     $ 5,892     $ 115,472     $ 18,016  
                                

Incurred losses:

        

Trade credit reinsurance

   $ (1,825 )   $ (1,928 )   $ (7,299 )   $ (13,544 )

Other

     27,483       53,647       54,915       53,261  

Conseco

     —         —         (672 )     —    
                                

Total

   $ 25,658     $ 51,719     $ 46,944     $ 39,717  
                                

Loss ratio- GAAP Basis

     38.1 %     111.7 %     26.6 %     26.9 %

Expense ratio- GAAP Basis (4)

     77.8 %     44.8 %     62.9 %     48.0 %
                                
     115.9 %     156.5 %     89.5 %     74.9 %
                                

Net payments (receipts) under derivatives contracts

   $ 3,750     $ (3,558 )   $ 9,328     $ (30,933 )
                                

 

(1) Premiums written on credit derivatives for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2008 were $12.1 million and $38.0 million, respectively, compared to $11.1 million and $30.0 million, respectively, for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2007.

 

(2) Premiums earned on credit derivatives for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2008 were $13.8 million and $41.0 million, respectively, compared to $13.9 million and $48.6 million, respectively, for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2007. Premiums earned on credit derivatives are included in change of fair value of derivative instruments.

 

(3) Includes a $100 million payment related to one credit that is a CDO of an ABS that was fully reserved for in 2007.

 

(4) Excludes merger expenses.

 

Page 7


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2008

Exhibit H

 

($ in thousands, except ratios)

   September 30,
2008
    December 31,
2007
    September 30,
2007
 

Capital and surplus

   $ 957,177     $ 1,158,537     $ 1,172,141  

Contingency reserve

     510,195       433,296       407,542  
                        

Qualified statutory capital

     1,467,372       1,591,833       1,579,683  

Unearned premium reserve

     818,365       886,024       874,380  

Loss and loss expense reserve

     70,621       61,038       67,127  
                        

Total statutory policyholders’ reserves

     2,356,358       2,538,895       2,521,190  

Present value of installment premiums

     402,223       461,806       433,428  

Reinsurance and soft capital facilities

     150,000       150,000       150,000  
                        

Total statutory claims paying resources

   $ 2,908,581     $ 3,150,701     $ 3,104,618  
                        

Net debt service outstanding

   $ 156,928,647     $ 164,346,659     $ 156,743,014  
                        

Capital leverage ratio (1)

     107       103       99  

Claims paying leverage ratio (2)

     54       52       50  

Net par outstanding by product:

      

Public finance direct

   $ 18,344,046     $ 18,228,946     $ 18,168,866  

Public finance reinsurance

     40,420,433       43,822,781       41,592,621  

Structured direct

     46,695,176       47,878,168       47,704,089  

Structured reinsurance

     5,567,853       6,091,717       5,300,388  
                        

Total

   $ 111,027,508     $ 116,021,612     $ 112,765,964  
                        

Reinsurance business net par outstanding:

      

Treaty

     63 %     59 %     58 %

Facultative

     37 %     41 %     42 %

Reserve for losses and LAE

      

Specific

   $ 47,495     $ 26,791     $ 27,979  

Conseco

     15,263       22,526       25,193  

Non-specific

     121,211       203,987       156,547  
                        

Total

   $ 183,969     $ 253,304     $ 209,719  
                        

 

(1) Net debt service outstanding divided by qualified statutory capital

 

(2) Net debt service outstanding divided by total statutory claims paying resources

 

Page 8


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2008

Exhibit I

 

    Quarter Ended
September 30
    Nine Months Ended
September 30
 

($ in millions)

  2008     %     2007     %     2008     %     2007     %  
Primary New Insurance Written                

Flow

  $ 7,524     99.8 %   $ 12,225     90.8 %   $ 26,240     95.5 %   $ 29,913     68.7 %

Structured

    16     0.2 %     1,234     9.2 %     1,234     4.5 %     13,623     31.3 %
                                                       

Total Primary

  $ 7,540     100.0 %   $ 13,459     100.0 %   $ 27,474     100.0 %   $ 43,536     100.0 %
                                                       

Flow

               

Prime

  $ 7,405     98.4 %   $ 8,448     69.1 %   $ 24,356     92.8 %   $ 21,171     70.8 %

Alt-A

    96     1.3 %     2,588     21.2 %     1,154     4.4 %     6,015     20.1 %

A minus and below

    23     0.3 %     1,189     9.7 %     730     2.8 %     2,727     9.1 %
                                                       

Total Flow

  $ 7,524     100.0 %   $ 12,225     100.0 %   $ 26,240     100.0 %   $ 29,913     100.0 %
                                                       

Structured

               

Prime

  $ 16     100.0 %   $ 967     78.4 %   $ 1,232     99.8 %   $ 1,641     12.0 %

Alt-A

    —       —         32     2.6 %     2     0.2 %     11,137     81.8 %

A minus and below

    —       —         235     19.0 %     —       —         845     6.2 %
                                                       

Total Structured

  $ 16     100.0 %   $ 1,234     100.0 %   $ 1,234     100.0 %   $ 13,623     100.0 %
                                                       

Total

               

Prime

  $ 7,421     98.4 %   $ 9,415     69.9 %   $ 25,588     93.1 %   $ 22,812     52.4 %

Alt-A

    96     1.3 %     2,620     19.5 %     1,156     4.2 %     17,152     39.4 %

A minus and below

    23     0.3 %     1,424     10.6 %     730     2.7 %     3,572     8.2 %
                                                       

Total Primary

  $ 7,540     100.0 %   $ 13,459     100.0 %   $ 27,474     100.0 %   $ 43,536     100.0 %
                                                       
Total Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score                

Flow

               

<=619

  $ 7     0.1 %   $ 703     5.7 %   $ 376     1.4 %   $ 1,830     6.1 %

620-679

    773     10.3 %     3,506     28.7 %     4,223     16.1 %     9,158     30.6 %

680-739

    2,662     35.4 %     4,644     38.0 %     9,729     37.1 %     10,977     36.7 %

>=740

    4,082     54.2 %     3,372     27.6 %     11,912     45.4 %     7,948     26.6 %
                                                       

Total Flow

  $ 7,524     100.0 %   $ 12,225     100.0 %   $ 26,240     100.0 %   $ 29,913     100.0 %
                                                       

Structured

               

<=619

  $ —       —       $ 129     10.5 %   $ —       —       $ 538     4.0 %

620-679

    —       —         296     24.0 %     17     1.4 %     3,762     27.6 %

680-739

    4     25.0 %     331     26.8 %     437     35.4 %     6,160     45.2 %

>=740

    12     75.0 %     478     38.7 %     780     63.2 %     3,163     23.2 %
                                                       

Total Structured

  $ 16     100.0 %   $ 1,234     100.0 %   $ 1,234     100.0 %   $ 13,623     100.0 %
                                                       

Total

               

<=619

  $ 7     0.1 %   $ 832     6.2 %   $ 376     1.4 %   $ 2,368     5.4 %

620-679

    773     10.3 %     3,802     28.2 %     4,240     15.4 %     12,920     29.7 %

680-739

    2,666     35.3 %     4,975     37.0 %     10,166     37.0 %     17,137     39.4 %

>=740

    4,094     54.3 %     3,850     28.6 %     12,692     46.2 %     11,111     25.5 %
                                                       

Total Primary

  $ 7,540     100.0 %   $ 13,459     100.0 %   $ 27,474     100.0 %   $ 43,536     100.0 %
                                                       
Percentage of primary new insurance written                

Refinances

    20 %       27 %       33 %       40 %  

95.01% LTV and above

    3 %       31 %       13 %       22 %  

ARMs

               

Less than 5 years

    1 %       4 %       1 %       17 %  

5 years and longer

    10 %       13 %       9 %       9 %  
Primary risk written                

Flow

  $ 1,770     99.9 %   $ 3,196     91.7 %   $ 6,317     95.2 %   $ 7,641     88.2 %

Structured

    2     0.1 %     291     8.3 %     316     4.8 %     1,022     11.8 %
                                                       

Total Primary

  $ 1,772     100.0 %   $ 3,487     100.0 %   $ 6,633     100.0 %   $ 8,663     100.0 %
                                                       
Pool risk written   $ 1       $ 42       $ 60       $ 227    
                                       
Other risk written                

Seconds

               

1st loss

  $ —         $ 3       $ —         $ 9    

2nd loss

    —           —           —           21    

NIMs

    —           —           —           377    

International

               

1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance

    —           46         51         96    

Reinsurance

    2         15         44         49    
                                       

Total other risk written

  $ 2       $ 64       $ 95       $ 552    
                                       

 

Page 9


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2008

Exhibit J

 

      September 30     September 30  

($ in millions)

   2008    %     2007    %  
Primary insurance in force           

Flow

   $ 119,593    77.5 %   $ 98,985    73.3 %

Structured

     34,699    22.5 %     36,030    26.7 %
                          

Total Primary

   $ 154,292    100.0 %   $ 135,015    100.0 %
                          

Prime

   $ 109,432    70.9 %   $ 86,530    64.1 %

Alt-A

     33,404    21.7 %     36,266    26.9 %

A minus and below

     11,456    7.4 %     12,219    9.0 %
                          

Total Primary

   $ 154,292    100.0 %   $ 135,015    100.0 %
                          
Primary risk in force           

Flow

   $ 29,968    86.4 %   $ 24,856    84.5 %

Structured

     4,701    13.6 %     4,545    15.5 %
                          
                          

Total Primary

   $ 34,669    100.0 %   $ 29,401    100.0 %
                          

Flow

          

Prime

   $ 24,242    80.9 %   $ 19,117    76.9 %

Alt-A

     3,674    12.3 %     3,799    15.3 %

A minus and below

     2,052    6.8 %     1,940    7.8 %
                          

Total Flow

   $ 29,968    100.0 %   $ 24,856    100.0 %
                          

Structured

          

Prime

   $ 2,451    52.1 %   $ 1,791    39.4 %

Alt-A

     1,451    30.9 %     1,668    36.7 %

A minus and below

     799    17.0 %     1,086    23.9 %
                          

Total Structured

   $ 4,701    100.0 %   $ 4,545    100.0 %
                          

Total

          

Prime

   $ 26,693    77.0 %   $ 20,908    71.1 %

Alt-A

     5,125    14.8 %     5,467    18.6 %

A minus and below

     2,851    8.2 %     3,026    10.3 %
                          

Total Primary

   $ 34,669    100.0 %   $ 29,401    100.0 %
                          
Total Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score           

Flow

          

<=619

   $ 1,550    5.2 %   $ 1,573    6.3 %

620-679

     8,318    27.8 %     7,632    30.7 %

680-739

     11,101    37.0 %     9,122    36.7 %

>=740

     8,999    30.0 %     6,529    26.3 %
                          

Total Flow

   $ 29,968    100.0 %   $ 24,856    100.0 %
                          

Structured

          

<=619

   $ 740    15.7 %   $ 1,025    22.6 %

620-679

     1,255    26.7 %     1,515    33.3 %

680-739

     1,452    30.9 %     1,282    28.2 %

>=740

     1,254    26.7 %     723    15.9 %
                          

Total Structured

   $ 4,701    100.0 %   $ 4,545    100.0 %
                          

Total

          

<=619

   $ 2,290    6.6 %   $ 2,598    8.8 %

620-679

     9,573    27.6 %     9,147    31.1 %

680-739

     12,553    36.2 %     10,404    35.4 %

>=740

     10,253    29.6 %     7,252    24.7 %
                          

Total Primary

   $ 34,669    100.0 %   $ 29,401    100.0 %
                          
Percentage of primary risk in force           

Refinances

      31 %      32 %

95.01% LTV and above

      23 %      22 %

ARMs

          

Less than 5 years

      9 %      14 %

5 years and longer

      9 %      9 %
Pool risk in force           

Prime

   $ 2,096    70.7 %   $ 2,088    69.9 %

Alt-A

     290    9.8 %     294    9.8 %

A minus and below

     577    19.5 %     605    20.3 %
                          

Total

   $ 2,963    100.0 %   $ 2,987    100.0 %
                          

 

Page 10


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2008

Exhibit K

 

     September 30     September 30  

($ in millions)

   2008    %     2007    %  
Total Primary Risk in Force by LTV           

95.01% and above

   $ 7,962    23.0 %   $ 6,543    22.3 %

90.01% to 95.00%

     11,003    31.7 %     8,929    30.4 %

85.01% to 90.00%

     12,045    34.7 %     10,040    34.1 %

85.00% and below

     3,659    10.6 %     3,889    13.2 %
                          

Total

   $ 34,669    100.0 %   $ 29,401    100.0 %
                          
Total Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year           

2004 and prior

   $ 7,598    22.0 %   $ 9,399    31.9 %

2005

     4,385    12.6 %     5,364    18.3 %

2006

     5,342    15.4 %     6,246    21.3 %

2007

     10,896    31.4 %     8,392    28.5 %

2008

     6,448    18.6 %     —      —    
                          

Total

   $ 34,669    100.0 %   $ 29,401    100.0 %
                          
Total Pool Risk in Force by Policy Year           

2004 and prior

   $ 1,821    61.5 %   $ 1,893    63.4 %

2005

     586    19.8 %     598    20.0 %

2006

     255    8.6 %     269    9.0 %

2007

     241    8.1 %     227    7.6 %

2008

     60    2.0 %     —      —    
                          

Total Pool risk in Force

   $ 2,963    100.0 %   $ 2,987    100.0 %
                          
Other risk in force           

Seconds

          

1st loss

   $ 289      $ 436   

2nd loss

     407        571   

NIMs

     456        712   

International

          

1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance

     442        432   

Reinsurance

     139        85   

Credit default swaps

     7,567        8,108   

Other

          

Domestic credit default swaps

     162        212   
                  

Total other risk in force

   $ 9,462      $ 10,556   
                  

Risk to capital ratio-STAT Basis

     19.7:1        11.9:1   

Risk to capital ratio-STAT Basis excluding AAA-rated CDS

     16.2:1        9.7:1   

Risk to capital ratio-Radian Guaranty only

     14.5:1        11.9:1   

 

Page 11


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2008

Exhibit L

 

     Quarter Ended
September 30
    Nine Months Ended
September 30
 

($ in thousands)

   2008     2007     2008     2007  

Direct claims paid

        

Prime

   $ 98,269     $ 43,601     $ 222,975     $ 110,952  

Alt-A

     68,960       28,902       152,438       70,655  

A minus and below

     65,280       39,025       162,911       103,132  

Seconds and other

     44,882       25,282       138,094       59,974  
                                

Total

   $ 277,391     $ 136,810     $ 676,418     $ 344,713  
                                

Average claim paid

        

Prime

   $ 45.0     $ 32.3     $ 40.0     $ 29.7  

Alt-A

     58.7       46.8       53.9       42.7  

A minus and below

     42.6       34.7       38.6       31.9  

Seconds

     36.9       31.2       35.1       29.4  

Total

   $ 45.4     $ 35.1     $ 40.8     $ 32.3  

Loss ratio -GAAP Basis

     258.1 %     122.8 %     244.6 %     90.8 %

Expense ratio - GAAP Basis (2)

     24.4 %     22.1 %     33.2 %     23.8 %
                                
     282.5 %     144.9 %     277.8 %     114.6 %
                                

Reserve for losses by category

        

Prime

   $ 667,349     $ 246,531      

Alt-A

     844,551       246,792      

A minus and below

     432,001       279,320      

Pool insurance

     87,429       42,582      

Seconds

     153,839       41,985      

Other

     1,436       1,341      
                    

Reserve for losses, net

     2,186,605       858,551      

Reinsurance recoverable

     309,807 (1)     26,434      
                    

Total

   $ 2,496,412     $ 884,985      
                    

 

(1) Reinsurance recoverable on ceded losses related to captives ($240.4 million) and Smart Home ($69.4 million).

 

(2) Includes the acceleration of $50.8 million of deferred policy acquisition cost amortization in the nine months ended September 30, 2008, as a result of the establishment of a first-lien premium deficiency reserve in the second quarter of 2008 and excludes merger expenses.

 

Page 12


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2008

Exhibit M

 

     September 30
2008
    December 31
2007
    September 30
2007
 
Default Statistics       

Primary insurance:

      

Flow

      

Prime

      

Number of insured loans

   619,035     565,563     542,819  

Number of loans in default

   33,330     20,632     16,908  

Percentage of loans in default

   5.38 %   3.65 %   3.11 %

Alt-A

      

Number of insured loans

   70,814     74,559     74,927  

Number of loans in default

   13,853     7,980     6,029  

Percentage of loans in default

   19.56 %   10.70 %   8.05 %

A minus and below

      

Number of insured loans

   60,946     63,853     60,826  

Number of loans in default

   13,436     10,087     8,638  

Percentage of loans in default

   22.05 %   15.80 %   14.20 %

Total Flow

      

Number of insured loans

   750,795     703,975     678,572  

Number of loans in default

   60,619     38,699     31,575  

Percentage of loans in default

   8.07 %   5.50 %   4.65 %

Structured

      

Prime

      

Number of insured loans

   68,744     64,789     59,163  

Number of loans in default

   5,900     4,707     4,072  

Percentage of loans in default

   8.58 %   7.27 %   6.88 %

Alt-A

      

Number of insured loans

   82,187     97,526     93,494  

Number of loans in default

   15,499     8,783     6,512  

Percentage of loans in default

   18.86 %   9.01 %   6.97 %

A minus and below

      

Number of insured loans

   23,337     28,747     31,034  

Number of loans in default

   7,784     8,659     8,496  

Percentage of loans in default

   33.35 %   30.12 %   27.38 %

Total Structured

      

Number of insured loans

   174,268     191,062     183,691  

Number of loans in default

   29,183     22,149     19,080  

Percentage of loans in default

   16.75 %   11.59 %   10.39 %

Total Primary Insurance

      

Prime

      

Number of insured loans

   687,779     630,352     601,982  

Number of loans in default

   39,230     25,339     20,980  

Percentage of loans in default

   5.70 %   4.02 %   3.49 %

Alt-A

      

Number of insured loans

   153,001     172,085     168,421  

Number of loans in default

   29,352     16,763     12,541  

Percentage of loans in default

   19.18 %   9.74 %   7.45 %

A minus and below

      

Number of insured loans

   84,283     92,600     91,860  

Number of loans in default

   21,220     18,746     17,134  

Percentage of loans in default

   25.18 %   20.24 %   18.65 %

Total Primary Insurance

      

Number of insured loans

   925,063     895,037     862,263  

Number of loans in default

   89,802 (1)   60,848 (1)   50,655 (1)

Percentage of loans in default

   9.71 %   6.80 %   5.87 %

Pool insurance:

      

Number of loans in default

   29,487 (2)   26,526 (2)   23,810 (2)

 

(1) Includes approximately 483, 2,595 and 2,796 defaults at September 30, 2008, December 31, 2007 and September 30, 2007, respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated.

 

(2) Includes approximately 20,965, 20,193 and 18,124 defaults at September 30, 2008, December 31, 2007 and September 30, 2007, respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated.

 

Page 13


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2008

Exhibit N

 

     Quarter Ended
September 30
    Nine Months Ended
September 30
 
     2008     2007     2008     2007  

Net Premiums Written (In thousands) (1)

        

Primary and Pool Insurance

   $ 186,524     $ 235,989     $ 578,770     $ 612,589  

Seconds

     2,044       4,711       8,430       22,340  

International

     15       8,821       11,664       18,510  
                                

Total Net Premiums Written - insurance

   $ 188,583     $ 249,521     $ 598,864     $ 653,439  
                                

Net Premiums Earned (In thousands) (2)

        

Primary and Pool Insurance

   $ 187,596     $ 200,467     $ 575,017     $ 541,796  

Seconds

     3,250       7,270       14,378       25,165  

International

     5,361       5,261       16,173       11,868  
                                

Total Net Premiums Earned - insurance

   $ 196,207     $ 212,998     $ 605,568     $ 578,829  
                                

SMART HOME (In millions)

        

Ceded Premiums Written

   $ 3.1     $ 3.3     $ 10.0     $ 9.7  

Ceded Premiums Earned

   $ 3.1     $ 3.3     $ 10.0     $ 9.3  

Captives

        

Premiums ceded to captives (In millions)

   $ 34.6     $ 30.3     $ 104.4     $ 88.4  

% of total premiums

     15.4 %     13.0 %     15.2 %     13.8 %

NIW subject to captives (In millions)

   $ 2,104     $ 5,406     $ 10,268     $ 16,546  

% of primary NIW

     27.9 %     40.2 %     37.4 %     38.0 %

IIF included in captives (3)

     36.6 %     35.3 %    

RIF included in captives (3)

     41.0 %     40.6 %    

Persistency (twelve months ended September 30)

     83.9 %     72.8 %    

 

     September 30,
2008
    September 30,
2007
 

SMART HOME

    

% of Primary RIF included in Smart Home Transactions (3)

   3.9 %   6.2 %

 

(1) Premiums written on credit derivatives for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2008 were $2.4 million and $16.9 million, respectively, compared to $11.0 million and $46.4 million, respectively, for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2007.

 

(2) Premiums earned on credit derivatives for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2008 were $5.0 million and $23.9 million, respectively, compared to $14.1 million and $50.9 million, respectively, for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2007. Premiums earned on credit derivatives are included in change of fair value of derivative instruments.

 

(3) Radian reinsures the middle layer risk positions, while retaining a significant portion of the total risk comprising the first loss and most remote risk positions.

 

Page 14


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of September 30, 2008

Exhibit O

Reinsurance Progression Toward Attachment - Summary by Book Year (1)

 

               September 30,
2008
  June 30,
2008
  December 31,
2007

($ in millions)

  Original
Book RIF as of

September 30,
2008
  Progression
to
Attachment
Point
    Current
RIF
  Ever-to-Date
Incurred
Losses
  Captive
Benefit
(3)
  Current
RIF
  Ever-to-Date
Incurred
Losses
  Captive
Benefit
(3)
  Current
RIF
  Ever-to-Date
Incurred
Losses
  Captive
Benefit
(3)

Book Year (2):

                     

Pre-2005

    0-50 %   $ 1,215   $ 236     $ 1,337   $ 240     $ 2,209   $ 279  

Pre-2005

    50-75 %     959     148       1,155     158       1,145     144  

Pre-2005

    75-99 %     618     106       514     81       32     19  

Pre-2005

    Attached       58     8   $ 1     17     5   $ 1     12     3   $ 1
                                                         

Pre-2005 Total

  $ 25,546     $ 2,850   $ 498   $ 1   $ 3,023   $ 484   $ 1   $ 3,398   $ 445   $ 1
                                                         

2005

    0-50 %   $ 121   $ 4     $ 187   $ 4     $ 697   $ 13  

2005

    50-75 %     375     17       430     17       429     15  

2005

    75-99 %     158     10       392     21       945     53  

2005

    Attached       1,176     135   $ 50     896     95   $ 29     11     2   $ —  
                                                         

2005 Total

  $ 3,316     $ 1,830   $ 166   $ 50   $ 1,905   $ 137   $ 29   $ 2,082   $ 83   $ —  
                                                         

2006

    0-50 %   $ 36   $ 1     $ 146   $ 3     $ 851   $ 12  

2006

    50-75 %     430     17       524     18       332     10  

2006

    75-99 %     142     8       153     7       1,470     71  

2006

    Attached       1,937     224   $ 118     1,800     169   $ 74     210     10   $ 1
                                                         

2006 Total

  $ 3,537     $ 2,545   $ 250   $ 118   $ 2,623   $ 197   $ 74   $ 2,863   $ 103   $ 1
                                                         

2007

    0-50 %   $ 262   $ 5     $ 913   $ 15     $ 4,058   $ 36  

2007

    50-75 %     62     2       2,876     91       580     12  

2007

    75-99 %     841     31       —       —         4     —    

2007

    Attached       3,586     214   $ 60     1,055     63   $ 21     1     —     $ —  
                                                         

2007 Total

  $ 5,270     $ 4,751   $ 252   $ 60   $ 4,844   $ 169   $ 21   $ 4,643   $ 48   $ —  
                                                         

2008

    0-50 %   $ 1,882   $ 12     $ 1,483   $ 3     $ —     $ —    

2008

    50-75 %     —       —         90     2       —       —    

2008

    75-99 %     2     —         —       —         —       —    

2008

    Attached       169     8   $ 2     —       —     $ —       —       —     $ —  
                                                         

2008 Total

  $ 2,111     $ 2,053   $ 20   $ 2   $ 1,573   $ 5   $ —     $ —     $ —     $ —  
                                                         

Quota Share

    0-50 %   $ —     $ —       $ 27   $ —       $ 20   $ —    

Quota Share

    50-75 %     —       —         —       —         7     1  

Quota Share

    75-99 %     —       —         6     1       —       —    

Quota Share

    Attached       117     22   $ 10     85     17   $ 8     90     9   $ 4
                                                         

Quota Share Total

  $ 311     $ 117   $ 22   $ 10   $ 118   $ 18   $ 8   $ 117   $ 10   $ 4
                                                         
  $  40,091     $ 14,146   $ 1,208   $ 241   $ 14,086   $ 1,010   $ 133   $ 13,103   $ 689   $ 6
                                                         

SmartHome

    0-50 %   $ 122   $ 25     $ 127   $ 24     $ 142   $ 23  

SmartHome

    50-75 %     —       —         —       —         693     92  

SmartHome

    75-99 %     —       —         622     115       —       —    

SmartHome

    Attached       1,234     304   $ 67     703     154   $ 45     833     112   $ 10
                                                         

Total SmartHome

  $ 3,900     $ 1,356   $ 329   $ 67   $ 1,452   $ 293   $ 45   $ 1,668   $ 227   $ 10
                                                         

 

(1) Data presented in aggregate for all trusts for captives active at each period end only. Actual trust attachment and exit points vary by individual contract. Attachment is calculated at the contract/deal level and is based on Total Incurred Losses which are defined as claims paid ever-to-date plus loss reserves.

 

(2) Book year figures may include loans from additional periods pursuant to reinsurance agreement terms and conditions.

 

(3) Captive Benefit is defined as ceded reserves at period end plus ever-to-date claims paid by the trust.

 

Page 15


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2008

Exhibit P

 

      September 30     September 30  

($ in millions)

   2008    %     2007    %  

Modified Pool Risk in Force

          

Prime

          

2004 and prior

   $ 46    29.5 %   $ 47    30.1 %

2005

     40    25.6 %     48    30.8 %

2006

     44    28.2 %     44    28.2 %

2007

     22    14.1 %     17    10.9 %

2008

     4    2.6 %     —      —    
                          

Total

   $ 156    100.0 %   $ 156    100.0 %
                          

Alt-A

          

2004 and prior

   $ 98    14.6 %   $ 105    15.4 %

2005

     102    15.2 %     118    17.4 %

2006

     165    24.5 %     165    24.3 %

2007

     304    45.2 %     292    42.9 %

2008

     4    0.5 %     —      —    
                          

Total

   $ 673    100.0 %   $ 680    100.0 %
                          

A minus and below

          

2004 and prior

   $ 9    36.0 %   $ 10    35.7 %

2005

     6    24.0 %     8    28.6 %

2006

     3    12.0 %     3    10.7 %

2007

     7    28.0 %     7    25.0 %

2008

     —      —         —      —    
                          

Total

   $ 25    100.0 %   $ 28    100.0 %
                          

Total

          

2004 and prior

   $ 153    17.9 %   $ 162    18.8 %

2005

     148    17.3 %     174    20.1 %

2006

     212    24.8 %     212    24.5 %

2007

     333    39.0 %     316    36.6 %

2008

     8    1.0 %     —      —    
                          

Total Modified Pool Risk in Force

   $ 854    100.0 %   $ 864    100.0 %
                          

 

Page 16


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of September 30, 2008

ALT-A

Exhibit Q

 

      Quarter Ended
September 30
    Nine Months Ended
September 30
 

($ in millions)

   2008    %     2007    %     2008    %     2007    %  

Primary New Insurance Written by FICO Score

                    

<=619

   $ —      —       $ 15    0.6 %   $ 3    0.3 %   $ 107    0.6 %

620-659

     9    9.4 %     167    6.4 %     26    2.2 %     1,846    10.8 %

660-679

     10    10.4 %     303    11.5 %     63    5.4 %     2,689    15.7 %

680-739

     30    31.2 %     1,350    51.5 %     561    48.6 %     8,373    48.8 %

>=740

     47    49.0 %     785    30.0 %     503    43.5 %     4,137    24.1 %
                                                    

Total

   $ 96    100.0 %   $ 2,620    100.0 %   $ 1,156    100.0 %   $ 17,152    100.0 %
                                                    

Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score

                    

<=619

   $ 34    0.7 %   $ 39    0.7 %          

620-659

     628    12.3 %     756    13.8 %          

660-679

     755    14.7 %     839    15.4 %          

680-739

     2,452    47.8 %     2,558    46.8 %          

>=740

     1,256    24.5 %     1,275    23.3 %          
                                    

Total

   $ 5,125    100.0 %   $ 5,467    100.0 %          
                                    

Primary Risk in Force by LTV

                    

95.01% and above

   $ 356    6.9 %   $ 382    7.0 %          

90.01% to 95.00%

     1,330    26.0 %     1,424    26.0 %          

85.01% to 90.00%

     2,131    41.6 %     2,216    40.6 %          

85.00% and below

     1,308    25.5 %     1,445    26.4 %          
                                    

Total

   $ 5,125    100.0 %   $ 5,467    100.0 %          
                                    

Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year

                    

2004 and prior

   $ 940    18.3 %   $ 1,182    21.6 %          

2005

     707    13.8 %     897    16.4 %          

2006

     1,141    22.3 %     1,325    24.2 %          

2007

     2,083    40.6 %     2,063    37.8 %          

2008

     254    5.0 %     —      —              
                                    

Total

   $ 5,125    100.0 %   $ 5,467    100.0 %          
                                    

 

Page 17


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Services Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2008

Exhibit R

 

     Quarter Ended
September 30
    Nine Months Ended
September 30
 

(In thousands )

   2008     2007     2008     2007  

Investment in Affiliates-Selected Information

        

C-BASS

        

Balance, beginning of period

   $ —       $ 467,800     $ —       $ 451,395  

Net income for period

     —         (467,800 )     —         (451,395 )
                                

Balance, end of period

   $ —       $ —       $ —       $ —    
                                

Sherman

        

Balance, beginning of period

   $ 112,644     $ 171,737     $ 104,315     $ 167,412  

Net income for period

     15,798       18,876       44,028       74,750  

Dividends received

     15,961       —         35,460       51,512  

Other comprehensive (loss) income

     522       (637 )     120       (674 )

Sale of ownership interest

     —         (95,866 )     —         (95,866 )

Adjustment to investment related to buyback of MGIC interest

     (25,786 )     —         (25,786 )     —    
                                

Balance, end of period

   $ 87,217     $ 94,110     $ 87,217     $ 94,110  
                                

Portfolio Information:

        

C-BASS

        

Servicing portfolio

     N/A     $ 57,700,000      

Total assets

     N/A       N/A      

Servicing income

     N/A       N/A       N/A       N/A  

Net interest income

     N/A       N/A       N/A       N/A  

Total revenues

     N/A       N/A       N/A       N/A  

Sherman

        

Total assets

   $ 2,433,666     $ 2,093,168      

Total revenues

   $ 381,047     $ 311,386     $ 1,179,014     $ 880,613  

Radian owns a 46% interest in C-BASS and a 28.7% interest in Sherman. Prior to August 2008, we owned a 21.8% interest in Sherman. Prior to September 2007, we owned an interest in Sherman consisting of 40.96% of the Class A Common Units of Sherman (Class A Common Units represent 94% of the total equity in Sherman) and 50% of the Preferred Units of Sherman.

 

Page 18


LOGO

 

 

LOGO

 

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

 

Forward Looking Statements

 

 

All statements in this news release that address events, developments or results that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements, which include, without limitation, projections regarding our future performance and financial condition are made on the basis of management’s current views and assumptions with respect to future events. Any forward-looking statement is not a guarantee of future performance and actual results could differ materially from those contained in the forward looking information. The forward-looking statements, as well as our prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties, including the following:

 

 

•       changes in general financial and political conditions, such as extended national or regional economic recessions, changes in housing demand or mortgage originations, changes in housing values (in particular, further deterioration in the housing, mortgage and related credit markets, which would harm our future consolidated results of operations and could cause losses for our businesses to be worse than expected), changes in the liquidity in the capital markets and the further contraction of credit markets, population trends and changes in household formation patterns, changes in unemployment rates, changes or volatility in interest rates or consumer confidence, changes in credit spreads, changes in the way investors perceive the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers, investor concern over the credit quality and specific risks faced by the particular businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our insurance;

 

•       economic changes or catastrophic events in geographic regions where our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance in force is more concentrated;

 

•       our ability to successfully execute upon our capital plan, and if necessary, to obtain additional capital to support our long-term liquidity needs and to protect our credit ratings and the financial strength ratings of Radian Guaranty Inc., our primary mortgage insurance subsidiary;

 

•       a further decrease in the volume of home mortgage originations due to reduced liquidity in the lending market, tighter underwriting standards and the on-going deterioration in housing markets throughout the U.S.;

 

•       our ability to maintain adequate risk-to-capital ratios, leverage ratios and surplus requirements in our mortgage insurance business in light of on-going losses in this business;

 

•       the loss of a customer for whom we write a significant amount of mortgage insurance or the influence of large customers;

 

•       disruption in the servicing of mortgages covered by our insurance policies;

 

•       the aging of our mortgage insurance portfolio and changes in severity or frequency of losses associated with certain of our products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance policies;


LOGO

 

 

LOGO

 

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

 

•       the performance of our insured portfolio of higher risk loans, such as Alternative-A (“Alt-A”) and subprime loans, and adjustable rate products, such as adjustable rate mortgages and interest-only mortgages, which have resulted in increased losses in 2007 and 2008 and are expected to result in further losses;

 

•       reduced opportunities for loss mitigation in markets where housing values fail to appreciate or begin to decline;

 

•       changes in persistency rates of our mortgage insurance policies caused by changes in refinancing activity, in the rate of appreciation or depreciation of home values and changes in the mortgage insurance cancellation requirements of mortgage lenders and investors;

 

•       downgrades or threatened downgrades of, or other ratings actions with respect to, our credit ratings or the ratings assigned by the major rating agencies to any of our rated insurance subsidiaries at any time (in particular, the credit rating of Radian Group Inc. and the financial strength ratings assigned to Radian Guaranty Inc., which are currently on Negative outlook);

 

•       heightened competition for our mortgage insurance business from others such as the Federal Housing Administration and the Veterans’ Administration or other private mortgage insurers (in particular those that have been assigned higher ratings from the major ratings agencies);

 

•       changes in the charters or business practices of Federal National Mortgage Association (“Fannie Mae”) and Freddie Mac, the largest purchasers of mortgage loans that we insure, and our ability to retain our “Top Tier” eligibility requirement from both Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae;

 

•       the application of existing federal or state consumer, lending, insurance, securities and other applicable laws and regulations, or changes in these laws and regulations or the way they are interpreted; including, without limitation: (i) the outcome of existing investigations or the possibility of private lawsuits or other formal investigations by state insurance departments and state attorneys general alleging that services offered by the mortgage insurance industry, such as captive reinsurance, pool insurance and contract underwriting, are violative of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act and/or similar state regulations, (ii) legislative and regulatory changes affecting demand for private mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance, or (iii) legislation and regulatory changes limiting or restricting our use of (or requirements for) additional capital, the products we may offer, the form in which we may execute the credit protection we provide or the aggregate notional amount of any product we may offer for any one transaction or in the aggregate;

 

•       the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty businesses, or the premium deficiencies for our first- and second-lien mortgage insurance business, or to estimate accurately the fair value amounts of derivative contracts in our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses in determining gains and losses on these contracts;


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•       volatility in our earnings caused by changes in the fair value of our derivative instruments and our need to reevaluate the premium deficiencies in our mortgage insurance business on a quarterly basis;

 

•       changes in accounting guidance from the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) or the Financial Accounting Standards Board;

 

•       legal and other limitations on amounts we may receive from our subsidiaries as dividends or through tax and expense sharing arrangements with our subsidiaries; and

 

•       vulnerability to the performance of our strategic investments, including in particular, our investment in Sherman Financial Group LLC.

 

For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks that we face, you should refer to the Risk Factors detailed in Item 1A of Part I of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 as well as the material changes to these risks discussed in Item 1A of Part II of our quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date on which we filed this news release. We do not intend to, and we disclaim any duty or obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements made in this news release to reflect new information or future events or for any other reason.

 

SOURCE: Radian Group Inc.

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