EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm PRESS RELEASE Press Release

Exhibit 99.1

 

LOGO
1601 Market Street
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
19103-2337
800 523.1988
215 564.6600

News Release

 

Contact:  
For investors:   Terri Williams-Perry – phone: 215 231.1486
  Email: terri.williams-perry@radian.biz
For the media:   Rick Gillespie – phone: 215 231.1061
  Email: rick.gillespie@radian.biz
  Steve Frankel / Tim Lynch
  Joele Frank, Wilkinson Brimmer Katcher
  212 355 4449

Radian Reports First Quarter Net Income of $195.6 Million

Results Reflect After-Tax Net Unrealized Mark-To-Market Gains of $410.9 Million

PHILADELPHIA, May 12, 2008 - Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) (the “Company”) today reported net income of $195.6 million and diluted earnings per share of $2.44 for the quarter ended March 31, 2008. Book value per share at March 31, 2008 was $35.64. Excluding the impact of net unrealized gains on derivatives and hybrid securities, the Company’s net operating loss was $215.2 million and the net operating loss per share was $2.69 for the quarter. “Net operating loss” and “net operating loss per share” are non-GAAP financial measures. A discussion of these measures, including a reconciliation to pre tax income, is included below.

Radian’s financial results for the first quarter of 2008 were significantly impacted by unrealized gains and losses on the Company’s hybrid securities and derivative assets and liabilities. Credit spreads on underlying collateral, both corporate credit spreads and asset-backed spreads, widened significantly during the quarter, which resulted in large unrealized losses on these


LOGO

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

 

positions. Offsetting these losses, however, is the impact of a change to the Company’s valuation methodology, which is adopted prospectively, that incorporates the market’s perception of Radian’s non-performance risk. This change in methodology is required under the provisions of SFAS No. 157. Given the significant widening of Radian’s credit default swap spread over the past year, the reduction in the valuation of the Company’s derivative liabilities related to non-performance risk more than offset the credit spread widening on underlying collateral for the current quarter. Below is a table with the detail of the impact on Radian’s quarterly results of underlying collateral credit spread widening and the aggregate impact of incorporation of Radian’s non-performance risk on our derivative instrument fair values.

 

     1Q08     1Q07  

Pretax Income

   $ 284.6     $ 158.2  

Removal of effect of unrealized (gains) and losses:

    

Hybrid Securities

     55.9       3.6  

Financial Guaranty credit derivatives

     1,330.0       (25.1 )

Mortgage Insurance domestic and intl. credit default swaps

     32.3       12.7  

NIMS

     50.8       (1.4 )

Soft capital put options on committed preferred securities

     (42.8 )     —    

Isolated impact of SFAS No. 157 fair value methodology change related specifically to Radian’s non-performance risk

     (2,058.3 )     —    
                

Pretax operating (loss) income

     (347.5 )     148.0  

Income tax (benefit) provision

     (132.3 )     41.1  
                

Net operating (loss) income

   $ (215.2 )   $ 106.9  
                

Net operating (loss) income per share

   $ (2.69 )   $ 1.34  
                


LOGO

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

 

“We have seen the continuation of weak housing and credit markets and these conditions have impacted results in our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses,” said S.A. Ibrahim, Chief Executive Officer of Radian. “As previously announced, we are considering a range of alternatives to strengthen our capital position, while at the same time considering the alternatives for our financial guaranty business which offer the best long term value. Our liquidity and claims paying capabilities remain strong across both business units.”

In the mortgage insurance business, paid claims during the first quarter were in line with the Company’s guidance. As of March 31, 2008, Radian had $1.7 billion in mortgage insurance loss reserves. Newly written product mix in the mortgage insurance business continued to shift significantly to prime loans, with 90% of production during the first quarter made up of prime business, up from 77% during the fourth quarter.

Mr. Ibrahim continued, “By focusing on prime loans, working closely with the Government Sponsored Enterprises and managing our existing Risk-In-Force exposure, Radian will continue to address the significant challenges in the housing markets and overall economic environment.”

Radian’s financial guaranty business continues to maintain a strong capital position with limited exposure to vulnerable asset classes. Although new written premiums declined approximately 21% from the first quarter of 2007, reinsurance business remained strong.

Radian will discuss each of these items in its conference call today, Monday, May 12, 2008, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time. The conference call will be broadcast live over the


LOGO

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

 

internet at http://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-audioarchives or at http://www.radian.biz >News. The call may also be accessed by dialing 800-230-1085 inside the U.S., or 612-288-0337 for international callers, using passcode 921836 or by referencing Radian.

A replay of the webcast will be available at the Radian website approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of one year. A replay of the conference call will be available two and a half hours after the call ends for one week, using the following dial-in numbers and passcode: 800-475-6701 inside the U.S., or 320-365-3844 for international callers, passcode 921836.

Non-GAAP Measures

The table set forth above reconciles “net operating loss” and “net operating loss per share” to pretax income. In order to assist investors in understanding our quarterly operating results, which recently have been impacted significantly by changes in market values of our derivative and hybrid securities portfolios, we define our net operating earnings to be our GAAP pretax income, adjusted to exclude unrealized gains and losses on these portfolios that relate to market risk, as tax-affected. Net operating earnings is not a substitute for pretax income computed in accordance with GAAP, but is a useful measure of performance used by management, equity analysts and investors because it allows a more consistent period-to-period comparison of our earnings without the effects of unrealized gains and losses on derivatives and hybrid securities. The definition of operating earnings used by us may differ from definitions of operating earnings used by other companies.

Radian Group Inc. is a global credit risk management company headquartered in Philadelphia with significant operations in New York and London. Radian develops innovative financial solutions by applying its core mortgage credit risk expertise and structured finance capabilities to the credit enhancement needs of the capital markets worldwide, primarily through credit insurance products. The company also provides credit enhancement for public finance and other corporate and consumer assets on both a direct and reinsurance basis and holds strategic interests in credit-based consumer asset businesses. Additional information may be found at www.radian.biz.


LOGO

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

 

For trend information on all schedules, refer to Radian's quarterly financial statistics at http://www.radian.biz/investors/financial/corporate.aspx

Financial Results and Supplemental Information Contents (Unaudited)

 

Exhibit A:    Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
Exhibit B:    Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
Exhibit C:    Segment Information Quarter Ended March 31, 2008
Exhibit D:    Segment Information Quarter Ended March 31, 2007
Exhibit E:    Financial Guaranty Insurance Supplemental Information - Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008
Exhibit F:    Financial Guaranty Insurance Supplemental Information - Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008
Exhibit G:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: New Insurance Written and Risk Written
Exhibit H:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Insurance in Force and Risk in Force
Exhibit I:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Risk in Force by LTV and Policy Year and Other Risk in Force
Exhibit J:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Claims and Reserves
Exhibit K:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Defaults
Exhibit L:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Net Premiums Written and Earned, Smart Home, Captives and Persistency
Exhibit M:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: ALT A
Exhibit N:    Financial Services Supplemental Information


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income

Exhibit A

 

     Quarter Ended
March 31

(In thousands, except per-share data)

   2008     2007

Revenues:

    

Net premiums written - insurance

   $ 244,306     $ 248,430
              

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 241,921     $ 214,507

Net investment income

     65,979       60,996

Net (losses) gains on securities

     (54,884 )     13,745

Change in fair value of derivative instruments (1)

     707,809       48,417

Other income

     3,614       3,818
              

Total revenues

     964,439       341,483
              

Expenses:

    

Provision for losses

     582,711       107,042

Provision for second-lien premium deficiency

     18,090       —  

Policy acquisition costs

     23,906       28,254

Other operating expenses

     55,141       54,367

Merger expenses

     —         3,328

Interest expense

     12,493       13,056
              

Total expenses

     692,341       206,047
              

Equity in net income of affiliates

     12,526       22,772
              

Pretax income

     284,624       158,208

Income tax provision

     88,986       44,741
              

Net income

   $ 195,638     $ 113,467
              

Diluted net income per share (2)

   $ 2.44     $ 1.42
              

 

    

(1)    Includes premiums earned on derivative contracts

    

(2)    Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands)

    

Average common shares outstanding

     79,930       79,428

Increase in shares-common stock equivalents-diluted basis

     110       652
              

Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands)

     80,040       80,080

For Trend Information, refer to our Quarterly Financial Statistics on Radian’s (RDN) website.

 

Page 1


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

Exhibit B

 

(In thousands, except share and per-share data)

   March 31
2008
   December 31
2007

Assets:

     

Cash and investments

   $ 6,740,985    $ 6,611,836

Investments in affiliates

     116,969      104,354

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     239,400      234,955

Prepaid federal income taxes

     536,343      793,486

Other assets

     620,328      465,558
             

Total assets

   $ 8,254,025    $ 8,210,189
             

Liabilities and stockholders’ equity:

     

Unearned premiums

   $ 1,074,589    $ 1,094,710

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     1,902,128      1,598,756

Reserve for second-lien premium deficiency

     213,736      195,646

Long-term debt and other borrowings

     959,244      953,524

Variable interest entity debt

     100,219      —  

Deferred income taxes

     52,360      26,705

Derivative liabilities

     703,405      1,305,665

Other liabilities

     380,988      314,447
             

Total liabilities

     5,386,669      5,489,453
             

Common stock

     98      98

Additional paid-in capital

     446,211      442,312

Retained earnings

     2,375,189      2,181,191

Accumulated other comprehensive income

     45,858      97,135
             

Total common stockholders’ equity

     2,867,356      2,720,736
             

Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity

   $ 8,254,025    $ 8,210,189
             

Book value per share

   $ 35.64    $ 33.83

Treasury Stock Repurchases (Year-to-Date for Periods Presented)

     

Total number of shares repurchased

     —        398,645

Average price paid per share

     —      $ 57.25

Total cost of repurchased shares

     —      $ 22,822,537

 

Page 2


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Quarter Ended March 31, 2008

Exhibit C

 

(In thousands)

   Mortgage
Insurance
    Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
    Total  

Revenues:

        

Net premiums written - insurance

   $ 211,251     $ 33,055     $ —       $ 244,306  
                                

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 204,265     $ 37,656     $ —       $ 241,921  

Net investment income

     38,845       27,120       14       65,979  

Net losses on securities

     (36,733 )     (18,149 )     (2 )     (54,884 )

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     71,769       636,040       —         707,809  

Other income

     3,491       121       2       3,614  
                                

Total revenues

     281,637       682,788       14       964,439  

Expenses:

        

Provision for losses

     571,008       11,703       —         582,711  

Provision for second-lien premium deficiency

     18,090       —         —         18,090  

Policy acquisition costs

     13,460       10,446       —         23,906  

Other operating expenses

     34,170       20,738       233       55,141  

Interest expense

     7,090       5,154       249       12,493  
                                

Total expenses

     643,818       48,041       482       692,341  
                                

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —         —         12,526       12,526  
                                

Pretax (loss) income

     (362,181 )     634,747       12,058       284,624  

Income tax (benefit) provision

     (135,725 )     219,219       5,492       88,986  
                                

Net (loss) income

   $ (226,456 )   $ 415,528     $ 6,566     $ 195,638  
                                

Assets

   $ 5,001,689     $ 3,133,958     $ 118,378     $ 8,254,025  

Total investments

     4,051,596       2,508,351       —         6,559,947  

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     62,860       176,540       —         239,400  

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     1,741,169       160,959       —         1,902,128  

Derivative liabilities

     353,559       349,846       —         703,405  

Unearned premiums

     365,161       709,428       —         1,074,589  

Stockholders’ equity

     1,328,594       1,412,429       126,333       2,867,356  

 

Page 3


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Quarter Ended March 31, 2007

Exhibit D

 

(In thousands)

   Mortgage
Insurance
   Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
    Total

Revenues:

         

Net premiums written - insurance

   $ 206,411    $ 42,019     $ —       $ 248,430
                             

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 180,243    $ 34,264     $ —       $ 214,507

Net investment income

     35,559      25,437       —         60,996

Net gains (losses) on securities

     11,123      2,824       (202 )     13,745

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     4,338      44,079       —         48,417

Other income

     2,849      140       829       3,818
                             

Total revenues

     234,112      106,744       627       341,483
                             

Expenses:

         

Provision for losses

     112,854      (5,812 )     —         107,042

Policy acquisition costs

     16,523      11,731       —         28,254

Other operating expenses

     36,272      14,235       3,860       54,367

Merger expenses

     3,328      —         —         3,328

Interest expense

     6,854      4,596       1,606       13,056
                             

Total expenses

     175,831      24,750       5,466       206,047
                             

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —        —         22,772       22,772
                             

Pretax income

     58,281      81,994       17,933       158,208

Income tax provision

     13,579      24,078       7,084       44,741

Net income

   $ 44,702    $ 57,916     $ 10,849     $ 113,467
                             

Assets

   $ 4,774,210    $ 2,757,800     $ 592,898     $ 8,124,908
                             

Total investments

     3,567,581      2,378,387       —         5,945,968

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     67,835      157,762       —         225,597

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     676,691      175,771       —         852,462

Unearned premiums

     277,135      697,633       —         974,768

Stockholders’ equity

     2,322,374      1,457,712       394,690       4,174,776

 

Page 4


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008

Exhibit E

 

     Quarter Ended
March 31
 

($ in thousands, except ratios)

   2008     2007  

Net Premiums Written: (1)

    

Public finance direct

   $ 5,603     $ 12,780  

Public finance reinsurance

     17,541       18,154  

Structured direct

     4,182       5,247  

Structured reinsurance

     5,442       5,912  

Trade credit reinsurance

     287       (74 )
                

Total Net Premiums Written - insurance

   $ 33,055     $ 42,019  
                

Net Premiums Earned: (1)

    

Public finance direct

   $ 17,810     $ 11,585  

Public finance reinsurance

     9,870       11,100  

Structured direct

     3,882       4,691  

Structured reinsurance

     5,599       6,194  

Trade credit reinsurance

     495       694  
                

Total Net Premiums Earned - insurance

   $ 37,656     $ 34,264  
                

Refundings included in earned premium

   $ 11,657     $ 6,586  
                

Claims paid:

    

Trade credit reinsurance

   $ 586     $ 2,646  

Other

     101,456 (2)     (69 )

Conseco

     2,068       3,108  
                

Total

   $ 104,110     $ 5,685  
                

Incurred losses:

    

Trade credit reinsurance

   $ (1,655 )   $ (3,136 )

Other

     13,358       (2,676 )
                

Total

   $ 11,703     $ (5,812 )
                

Loss ratio - GAAP Basis

     22.8 %     (10.9 )%

Expense ratio - GAAP Basis (3)

     60.7 %     48.8 %
                
     83.5 %     37.9 %
                

Net payments (receipts) under derivatives contracts

   $ —       $ (11,228 )
                

 

(1) Premiums written and earned on credit derivatives for the quarter ended March 31, 2008 were $12.9 million and $13.7 million, respectively, compared to $13.3 million and $18.9 million, respectively, for the quarter ended March 31, 2007. Premiums earned on credit derivatives are included in change of fair value of derivative instruments.
(2) Includes a $100 million payment related to one credit that is a CDO of an ABS that was fully reserved for in 2007.
(3) Excludes merger expenses in 2007.

 

Page 5


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008

Exhibit F

 

($ in thousands, except ratios)

   March 31
2008
    December 31
2007
    March 31
2007
 

Capital and surplus

   $ 1,097,250     $ 1,158,537     $ 1,042,548  

Contingency reserve

     464,655       433,296       357,176  
                        

Qualified statutory capital

     1,561,905       1,591,833       1,399,724  

Unearned premium reserve

     882,627       886,024       837,024  

Loss and loss expense reserve

     58,207       61,038       88,253  
                        

Total statutory policyholders’ reserves

     2,502,739       2,538,895       2,325,001  

Present value of installment premiums

     443,408       461,806       377,105  

Reinsurance and soft capital facilities

     150,000       150,000       150,000  
                        

Total statutory claims paying resources

   $ 3,096,147     $ 3,150,701     $ 2,852,106  
                        

Net debt service outstanding

   $ 165,931,040     $ 164,346,659     $ 155,568,589  
                        

Capital leverage ratio (1)

     106       103       111  

Claims paying leverage ratio (2)

     54       52       55  

Net par outstanding by product:

      

Public finance direct

   $ 18,460,669     $ 18,228,946     $ 16,590,493  

Public finance reinsurance

     44,404,128       43,822,781       39,311,697  

Structured direct

     47,634,388       47,878,168       52,945,169  

Structured reinsurance

     6,284,246       6,091,717       5,261,220  
                        

Total

   $ 116,783,431     $ 116,021,612     $ 114,108,579  
                        

Reinsurance business net par outstanding:

      

Treaty

     60 %     59 %     59 %

Facultative

     40 %     41 %     41 %

Reserve for losses and LAE

      

Specific

   $ 27,056     $ 26,791     $ 33,011  

Conseco

     20,457       22,526       30,866  

Non-specific

     113,446       203,987       111,894  
                        

Total

   $ 160,959     $ 253,304     $ 175,771  
                        

 

(1) Net debt service outstanding divided by qualified statutory capital
(2) Net debt service outstanding divided by total statutory claims paying resources

 

Page 6


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008

Exhibit G

 

     Quarter Ended
March 31
 

($ in millions)

   2008     %     2007     %  

Primary New Insurance Written

        

Flow

   $ 9,284     90.2 %   $ 7,049     53.3 %

Structured

     1,013     9.8 %     6,178     46.7 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 10,297     100.0 %   $ 13,227     100.0 %
                            

Flow

        

Prime

   $ 8,208     88.4 %   $ 5,050     71.6 %

Alt-A

     583     6.3 %     1,401     19.9 %

A minus and below

     493     5.3 %     598     8.5 %
                            

Total Flow

   $ 9,284     100.0 %   $ 7,049     100.0 %
                            

Structured

        

Prime

   $ 1,012     99.9 %   $ 93     1.5 %

Alt-A

     1     0.1 %     5,905     95.6 %

A minus and below

     —       —         180     2.9 %
                            

Total Structured

   $ 1,013     100.0 %   $ 6,178     100.0 %
                            

Total

        

Prime

   $ 9,220     89.5 %   $ 5,143     38.9 %

Alt-A

     584     5.7 %     7,306     55.2 %

A minus and below

     493     4.8 %     778     5.9 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 10,297     100.0 %   $ 13,227     100.0 %
                            

Total Primary New Insurance Written by FICO Score

        

Flow

        

<=619

   $ 265     2.9 %   $ 486     6.9 %

620-679

     1,938     20.9 %     2,255     32.0 %

680-739

     3,615     38.9 %     2,479     35.2 %

>=740

     3,466     37.3 %     1,829     25.9 %
                            

Total Flow

   $ 9,284     100.0 %   $ 7,049     100.0 %
                            

Structured

        

<=619

   $ —       —   %   $ 126     2.0 %

620-679

     10     1.0 %     1,376     22.3 %

680-739

     369     36.4 %     3,068     49.7 %

>=740

     634     62.6 %     1,608     26.0 %
                            

Total Structured

   $ 1,013     100.0 %   $ 6,178     100.0 %
                            

Total

        

<=619

   $ 265     2.6 %   $ 612     4.6 %

620-679

     1,948     18.9 %     3,631     27.5 %

680-739

     3,984     38.7 %     5,547     41.9 %

>=740

     4,100     39.8 %     3,437     26.0 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 10,297     100.0 %   $ 13,227     100.0 %
                            

Percentage of primary new insurance written

        

Refinances

     40 %       51 %  

95.01% LTV and above

     20 %       16 %  

ARMs

        

Less than 5 years

     1 %       42 %  

5 years and longer

     6 %       5 %  

Primary risk written

        

Flow

   $ 2,316     89.7 %   $ 1,746     90.0 %

Structured

     266     10.3 %     194     10.0 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 2,582     100.0 %   $ 1,940     100.0 %
                            

Pool risk written

   $ 31       $ 89    
                    

Other risk written

        

Seconds

        

1st loss

   $ —         $ 3    

2nd loss

     —           21    

NIMs

     —           268    

International

        

1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance

     51         19    

Reinsurance

     19         17    
                    

Total other risk written

   $ 70       $ 328    
                    

 

Page 7


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008

Exhibit H

 

     March 31     March 31  

($ in millions)

   2008     %     2007     %  

Primary insurance in force

        

Flow

   $ 110,020     74.9 %   $ 85,649     71.5 %

Structured

     36,929     25.1 %     34,063     28.5 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 146,949     100.0 %   $ 119,712     100.0 %
                            

Prime

   $ 99,721     67.9 %   $ 77,414     64.7 %

Alt-A

     34,949     23.8 %     31,023     25.9 %

A minus and below

     12,279     8.3 %     11,275     9.4 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 146,949     100.0 %   $ 119,712     100.0 %
                            

Primary risk in force

        

Flow

   $ 27,751     84.6 %   $ 21,267     82.7 %

Structured

     5,041     15.4 %     4,446     17.3 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 32,792     100.0 %   $ 25,713     100.0 %
                            

Flow

        

Prime

   $ 21,810     78.6 %   $ 16,653     78.3 %

Alt-A

     3,788     13.6 %     3,015     14.2 %

A minus and below

     2,153     7.8 %     1,599     7.5 %
                            

Total Flow

   $ 27,751     100.0 %   $ 21,267     100.0 %
                            

Structured

        

Prime

   $ 2,577     51.1 %   $ 1,797     40.4 %

Alt-A

     1,554     30.8 %     1,442     32.4 %

A minus and below

     910     18.1 %     1,207     27.2 %
                            

Total Structured

   $ 5,041     100.0 %   $ 4,446     100.0 %
                            

Total

        

Prime

   $ 24,387     74.4 %   $ 18,450     71.8 %

Alt-A

     5,342     16.3 %     4,457     17.3 %

A minus and below

     3,063     9.3 %     2,806     10.9 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 32,792     100.0 %   $ 25,713     100.0 %
                            

Total Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score

        

Flow

        

<=619

   $ 1,650     5.9 %   $ 1,381     6.5 %

620-679

     8,262     29.8 %     6,574     30.9 %

680-739

     10,269     37.0 %     7,733     36.4 %

>=740

     7,570     27.3 %     5,579     26.2 %
                            

Total Flow

   $ 27,751     100.0 %   $ 21,267     100.0 %
                            

Structured

        

<=619

   $ 851     16.9 %   $ 1,205     27.1 %

620-679

     1,380     27.4 %     1,539     34.6 %

680-739

     1,517     30.1 %     1,130     25.4 %

>=740

     1,293     25.6 %     572     12.9 %
                            

Total Structured

   $ 5,041     100.0 %   $ 4,446     100.0 %
                            

Total

        

<=619

   $ 2,501     7.6 %   $ 2,586     10.0 %

620-679

     9,642     29.4 %     8,113     31.6 %

680-739

     11,786     36.0 %     8,863     34.5 %

>=740

     8,863     27.0 %     6,151     23.9 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 32,792     100.0 %   $ 25,713     100.0 %
                            

Percentage of primary risk in force

        

Refinances

     31 %       33 %  

95.01% LTV and above

     24 %       19 %  

ARMs

        

Less than 5 years

     11 %       18 %  

5 years and longer

     9 %       9 %  

Pool risk in force

        

Prime

   $ 2,113     70.6 %   $ 2,207     72.0 %

Alt-A

     292     9.7 %     301     9.8 %

A minus and below

     590     19.7 %     558     18.2 %
                            

Total

   $ 2,995     100.0 %   $ 3,066     100.0 %
                            

 

Page 8


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008

Exhibit I

 

     March 31     March 31  

($ in millions)

   2008     %     2007    %  

Total Primary Risk in Force by LTV

         

95.01% and above

   $ 7,926     24.2 %   $ 4,795    18.6 %

90.01% to 95.00%

     10,079     30.7 %     7,965    31.0 %

85.01% to 90.00%

     11,102     33.9 %     9,157    35.6 %

85.00% and below

     3,685     11.2 %     3,796    14.8 %
                           

Total

   $ 32,792     100.0 %   $ 25,713    100.0 %
                           

Total Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year

         

2004 and prior

   $ 8,408     25.6 %   $ 10,851    42.2 %

2005

     4,805     14.6 %     6,137    23.9 %

2006

     5,728     17.5 %     6,815    26.5 %

2007

     11,300     34.5 %     1,910    7.4 %

2008

     2,551     7.8 %     —      —    
                           

Total

   $ 32,792     100.0 %   $ 25,713    100.0 %
                           

Total Pool Risk in Force by Policy Year

         

2004 and prior

   $ 1,864     62.2 %   $ 2,039    66.5 %

2005

     592     19.8 %     650    21.2 %

2006

     261     8.7 %     285    9.3 %

2007

     250     8.4 %     92    3.0 %

2008

     28     0.9 %     —      —    
                           

Total Pool risk in Force

   $ 2,995     100.0 %   $ 3,066    100.0 %
                           

Other risk in force

         

Seconds

         

1st loss

   $ 336       $ 555   

2nd loss

     507         605   

NIMS

     522         783   

International

         

1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance

     517         353   

Reinsurance

     125         61   

Credit default swaps

     8,872 (1)       7,875   

Other

         

Domestic credit default swaps

     212         212   
                   

Total other risk in force

   $ 11,091       $ 10,444   
                   

Risk to capital ratio-STAT Basis

     17.7:1         10.4:1   

Risk to capital ratio-STAT Basis excluding AAA-rated CDS

     14.1:1         8.4:1   

 

(1) Due to foreign currency changes since we underwrote such risk, the current U.S. dollar-denominated risk has increased.

 

Page 9


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008

Exhibit J

 

     Quarter Ended
March 31
 

($ in thousands)

   2008     2007  

Direct claims paid

    

Prime

   $ 60,658     $ 33,125  

Alt-A

     35,732       19,998  

A minus and below

     48,361       29,080  

Seconds and other

     45,437       13,621  
                

Total

   $ 190,188     $ 95,824  
                

Average claim paid

    

Prime

   $ 36.8     $ 28.1  

Alt-A

     49.6       39.7  

A minus and below

     37.2       29.6  

Seconds

     34.6       28.8  

Total

   $ 38.2     $ 30.6  

Loss ratio - GAAP Basis

     264.7 %     57.6 %

Expense ratio - GAAP Basis (2)

     22.1 %     26.9 %
                
     286.8 %     84.5 %
                

Reserve for losses by category

    

Prime

   $ 479,653     $ 200,262  

Alt-A

     598,706       146,329  

A minus and below

     391,426       228,066  

Pool insurance

     56,893       34,599  

Seconds

     176,121       38,347  

Other

     1,485       900  
                

Reserve for losses, net

     1,704,284       648,503  

Reinsurance recoverable

     36,885 (1)     28,188  (1)
                

Total

   $ 1,741,169     $ 676,691  
                

 

(1) Reinsurance recoverable on ceded losses.
(2) Excludes merger expenses.

 

Page 10


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008

Exhibit K

 

     March 31
2008
    December 31
2007
    March 31
2007
 

Default Statistics

      

Primary insurance:

      

Flow

      

Prime

      

Number of insured loans

   582,261     565,563     504,941  

Number of loans in default

   22,806     20,632     14,013  

Percentage of loans in default

   3.92 %   3.65 %   2.78 %

Alt-A

      

Number of insured loans

   73,672     74,559     65,075  

Number of loans in default

   10,014     7,980     4,513  

Percentage of loans in default

   13.59 %   10.70 %   6.94 %

A minus and below

      

Number of insured loans

   64,193     63,853     53,379  

Number of loans in default

   10,411     10,087     6,704  

Percentage of loans in default

   16.22 %   15.80 %   12.56 %

Total Flow

      

Number of insured loans

   720,126     703,975     623,395  

Number of loans in default

   43,231     38,699     25,230  

Percentage of loans in default

   6.00 %   5.50 %   4.05 %

Structured

      

Prime

      

Number of insured loans

   72,264     64,789     59,194  

Number of loans in default

   5,434     4,707     3,231  

Percentage of loans in default

   7.52 %   7.27 %   5.46 %

Alt-A

      

Number of insured loans

   87,325     97,526     84,050  

Number of loans in default

   12,056     8,783     3,922  

Percentage of loans in default

   13.81 %   9.01 %   4.67 %

A minus and below

      

Number of insured loans

   26,342     28,747     34,429  

Number of loans in default

   8,404     8,659     7,971  

Percentage of loans in default

   31.90 %   30.12 %   23.15 %

Total Structured

      

Number of insured loans

   185,931     191,062     177,673  

Number of loans in default

   25,894     22,149     15,124  

Percentage of loans in default

   13.93 %   11.59 %   8.51 %

Total Primary Insurance

      

Prime

      

Number of insured loans

   654,525     630,352     564,135  

Number of loans in default

   28,240     25,339     17,244  

Percentage of loans in default

   4.31 %   4.02 %   3.06 %

Alt-A

      

Number of insured loans

   160,997     172,085     149,125  

Number of loans in default

   22,070     16,763     8,435  

Percentage of loans in default

   13.71 %   9.74 %   5.66 %

A minus and below

      

Number of insured loans

   90,535     92,600     87,808  

Number of loans in default

   18,815     18,746     14,675  

Percentage of loans in default

   20.78 %   20.24 %   16.71 %

Total Primary Insurance

      

Number of insured loans

   906,057     895,037     801,068  

Number of loans in default

   69,125 (1)   60,848 (1)   40,354 (1)

Percentage of loans in default

   7.63 %   6.80 %   5.04 %

Pool insurance:

      

Number of loans in default

   26,983 (2)   26,526 (2)   17,989 (2)

 

(1) Includes 1,504, 2,595 and 1,541 defaults at March 31, 2008, December 31, 2007 and March 31, 2007, respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated.
(2) Includes 20,417, 20,193 and 13,036 defaults at March 31, 2008, December 31, 2007 and March 31, 2007, respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated.

 

Page 11


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008

Exhibit L

 

     Quarter Ended
March 31
 
     2008     2007  

Net Premiums Written (In thousands) (1)

    

Primary and Pool Insurance

   $ 200,477     $ 192,108  

Seconds

     3,481       11,179  

International

     7,293       3,124  
                

Total Net Premiums Written - insurance

     211,251       206,411  
                

Net Premiums Earned (In thousands) (1)

    

Primary and Pool Insurance

   $ 193,483     $ 167,155  

Seconds

     6,164       9,172  

International

     4,618       3,916  
                

Total Net Premiums Earned - insurance

   $ 204,265     $ 180,243  
                

SMART HOME (In millions)

    

Ceded Premiums Written

   $ 3.2     $ 3.2  

Ceded Premiums Earned

   $ 3.2     $ 2.9  

Captives

    

Premiums ceded to captives (In millions)

   $ 35.7     $ 28.1  

% of total premiums

     15.4 %     14.2 %

NIW subject to captives (In millions)

   $ 3,986     $ 4,994  

% of primary NIW

     38.7 %     37.8 %

IIF included in captives (2)

     37.4 %     34.3 %

RIF included in captives (2)

     42.2 %     39.7 %

Persistency (twelve months ended March 31)

     77.5 %     69.5 %
     March 31
2008
    March 31
2007
 

SMART HOME

    

% of Primary RIF included in Smart Home Transactions (2)

     5.0 %     9.0 %

 

(1) Premiums written and earned on credit derivatives for the quarter ended March 31, 2008, were $8.9 million and $11.5 million, respectively, compared to $15.9 million and $15.7 million, respectively, for the quarter ended March 31, 2007. Premiums earned on credit derivatives are included in change of fair value of derivative instruments.
(2) Radian reinsures the middle layer risk positions, while retaining a significant portion of the total risk comprising the first loss and most remote risk positions.

 

Page 12


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008

ALT-A

Exhibit M

 

     Quarter Ended
March 31
 

($ in millions)

   2008    %     2007    %  

Primary New Insurance Written by FICO Score

          

<=619

   $ 1    0.2 %   $ 8    0.1 %

620-659

     9    1.5 %     589    8.1 %

660-679

     31    5.3 %     1,165    15.9 %

680-739

     301    51.6 %     3,640    49.8 %

>=740

     242    41.4 %     1,904    26.1 %
                          

Total

   $ 584    100.0 %   $ 7,306    100.0 %
                          

Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score

          

<=619

   $ 37    0.7 %   $ 22    0.5 %

620-659

     686    12.8 %     708    15.9 %

660-679

     793    14.8 %     723    16.2 %

680-739

     2,540    47.6 %     2,019    45.3 %

>=740

     1,286    24.1 %     985    22.1 %
                          

Total

   $ 5,342    100.0 %   $ 4,457    100.0 %
                          

Primary Risk in Force by LTV

          

95.01% and above

   $ 372    6.9 %   $ 150    3.4 %

90.01% to 95.00%

     1,398    26.2 %     1,225    27.5 %

85.01% to 90.00%

     2,199    41.2 %     1,916    43.0 %

85.00% and below

     1,373    25.7 %     1,166    26.1 %
                          

Total

   $ 5,342    100.0 %   $ 4,457    100.0 %
                          

Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year

          

2004 and prior

   $ 1,044    19.5 %   $ 1,401    31.4 %

2005

     790    14.8 %     1,056    23.7 %

2006

     1,225    22.9 %     1,478    33.2 %

2007

     2,146    40.2 %     522    11.7 %

2008

     137    2.6 %     —      —   %
                          

Total

   $ 5,342    100.0 %   $ 4,457    100.0 %
                          

 

Page 13


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Services Supplemental Information

For the Quarter Ended and as of March 31, 2008

Exhibit N

 

     Quarter Ended
March 31
 

(In thousands)

   2008    2007  

Investment in Affiliates-Selected Information

     

C-BASS

     

Balance, beginning of period

   $ —      $ 451,395  

Net income (loss) for period

     —        (6,804 )

Dividends received

     —        —    
               

Balance, end of period

   $ —      $ 444,591  
               

Sherman

     

Balance, beginning of period

   $ 104,315    $ 167,412  

Net income for period

     12,526      29,576  

Dividends received

     —        51,512  

Other comprehensive income (loss)

     88      (1,778 )
               

Balance, end of period

   $ 116,929    $ 143,698  
               

Portfolio Information:

     

C-BASS

     

Servicing portfolio

     N/A    $ 59,600,000  

Total assets

     N/A      6,867,894  

Servicing income

     N/A      43,126  

Net interest income

     N/A      78,852  

Total revenues

     N/A      38,981  

Sherman

     

Total assets

   $ 2,383,119    $ 1,234,046  

Net revenues

   $ 285,965    $ 283,788  

Radian owns a 46% interest in C-BASS and a 21.8% interest in Sherman. Prior to September 2007, we owned an interest in Sherman consisting of 40.96% of the Class A Common Units of Sherman (Class A Common Units represent 94% of the total equity in Sherman) and 50% of the Preferred Units of Sherman.

 

Page 14


All statements in this news release that address events, developments or results that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements, which include, without limitation, projections regarding our future performance and financial condition are made on the basis of management’s current views and assumptions with respect to future events. Any forward-looking statement is not a guarantee of future performance and actual results could differ materially from those contained in the forward looking information. The forward-looking statements, as well as our prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties, including the following:

 

   

actual or perceived changes in general financial and political conditions, such as extended national or regional economic recessions, changes in housing demand or mortgage originations, changes in housing values (in particular, further deterioration in the housing, mortgage and related credit markets, which would harm our future consolidated results of operations and could cause losses for our mortgage insurance business to be worse than expected), changes in the liquidity in the capital markets and the further contraction of credit markets, population trends and changes in household formation patterns, changes in unemployment rates, changes or volatility in interest rates or consumer confidence, changes in credit spreads, changes in the way investors perceive the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers, investor concern over the credit quality and specific risks faced by the particular businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our insurance;

 

   

actual or perceived economic changes or catastrophic events in geographic regions (both domestic and international) where our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance in force is more concentrated;

 

   

our ability to successfully obtain additional capital to support our long-term liquidity needs and to protect our credit and financial strength ratings;

 

   

a decrease in the volume of home mortgage originations due to reduced liquidity in the lending market, tighter underwriting standards and a deterioration in housing markets throughout the U.S.;

 

   

a decrease in the volume of the municipal bonds, and other public finance and structured finance transactions that we insure, or a decrease in the volume of such transactions for which issuers or investors seek or demand financial guaranty insurance;

 

   

the loss of a customer for whom we write a significant amount of mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance or the influence of large customers;

 

   

reduction in the volume of reinsurance business available to us from one or more of our primary financial guaranty insurer customers due to adverse changes in their ability to generate new profitable direct financial guaranty insurance or their need for us to reinsure their risk;

 

   

disruption in the servicing of mortgages covered by our insurance policies;

 

   

the aging of our mortgage insurance portfolio and changes in severity or frequency of losses associated with certain of our products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance policies;

 

   

the performance of our insured portfolio of higher risk loans, such as Alternative-A (“Alt-A”) and subprime loans, and adjustable rate products, such as adjustable rate mortgages and interest-only mortgages, which have resulted in increased losses in 2007 and 2008 and may result in further losses;


   

reduced opportunities for loss mitigation in markets where housing values fail to appreciate or begin to decline;

 

   

changes in persistency rates of our mortgage insurance policies caused by changes in refinancing activity, in the rate of appreciation or depreciation of home values and changes in the mortgage insurance cancellation requirements of mortgage lenders and investors;

 

   

downgrades or threatened downgrades of, or other ratings actions with respect to, our credit ratings or the insurance financial strength ratings assigned by the major rating agencies to any of our rated insurance subsidiaries at any time (in particular, our credit rating and the financial strength ratings of our mortgage insurance subsidiaries that are currently under review for possible downgrade);

 

   

heightened competition for our mortgage insurance business from others such as the Federal Housing Administration and the Veterans’ Administration or other private mortgage insurers (in particular those that have been assigned higher ratings from the major ratings agencies), from alternative products such as “80-10-10” loans or other forms of simultaneous second loan structures used by mortgage lenders, from investors using forms of credit enhancement other than mortgage insurance as a partial or complete substitution for private mortgage insurance and from mortgage lenders that demand increased participation in revenue sharing arrangements such as captive reinsurance arrangements;

 

   

changes in the charters or business practices of Federal National Mortgage Association and Freddie Mac, the largest purchasers of mortgage loans that we insure, and our ability to retain our “Top Tier” eligibility requirement from both Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae;

 

   

failure to bring the amendment to our credit facility, dated April 30, 2008, effective by May 15, 2008, which would result in a reinstatement of the ratings covenant under our credit facility;

 

   

heightened competition for financial guaranty business from other financial guaranty insurers, including those recently downgraded to ratings equal to or lower than our ratings, from other forms of credit enhancement such as letters of credit, guaranties and credit default swaps provided by foreign and domestic banks and other financial institutions and from alternative structures that may permit insurers to securitize assets more cost-effectively without the need for the types of credit enhancement we offer, or result in our having to reduce the premium we charge for our products;

 

   

the application of existing federal or state consumer, lending, insurance, securities and other applicable laws and regulations, or changes in these laws and regulations or the way they are interpreted; including, without limitation: (i) the possibility of private lawsuits or formal investigations by state insurance departments and state attorneys general alleging that services offered by the mortgage insurance industry, such as captive reinsurance, pool insurance and contract underwriting, are violative of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act and/or similar state regulations, (ii) legislative and regulatory changes affecting demand for private mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance, or (iii) legislation and regulatory changes limiting or restricting our


 

use of (or requirements for) additional capital, the products we may offer, the form in which we may execute the credit protection we provide or the aggregate notional amount of any product we may offer for any one transaction or in the aggregate;

 

   

the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty businesses, or the premium deficiency for our second-lien mortgage insurance business, or to estimate accurately the fair value amounts of derivative contracts in our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses in determining gains and losses on these contracts;

 

   

changes in accounting guidance from the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) or the Financial Accounting Standards Board;

 

   

our ability to profitably grow our insurance businesses in international markets, which depends on a number of factors such as foreign governments’ monetary policies and regulatory requirements, foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations, and our ability to develop and market products appropriate to foreign markets;

 

   

legal and other limitations on the amount of dividends we may receive from our subsidiaries; and

 

   

vulnerability to the performance of our strategic investments, including in particular, our investment in Sherman Financial Group LLC.

For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks that we face, you should refer to the Risk Factors detailed in Part I, Item 1A of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date on this news release. We do not intend to, and we disclaim any duty or obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements made in this news release to reflect new information or future events or for any other reason.

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