EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm RADIAN ASSET ASSURANCE INC. QUARTERLY OPERATING SUPPLEMENT, FOURTH QUARTER 2007 Radian Asset Assurance Inc. Quarterly Operating Supplement, Fourth Quarter 2007

Exhibit 99.1

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Quarterly

Operating Supplement

Fourth Quarter 2007


Table of Contents

     Page

Introductory Note

   2

Company Profile

   2

Company Information

   2

Consolidated GAAP Income Statements

   3

Consolidated GAAP Balance Sheets

   4

Consolidated Gross Premiums Written by Product

   5

Consolidated Net Premiums Earned by Product

   5

Consolidated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Future Installment Premiums

   5

Consolidated Selected Loss Information

   6

Consolidated Selected Derivative Information

   7

Consolidated Investment Portfolio Highlights

   8

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights

   9

Consolidated Explanatory Notes

   18

Safe Harbor Statement

   19

 

1      Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Dec. 31, 2007 / Table of Contents


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Quarterly Operating Supplement

December 31, 2007

Introductory Note

This operating supplement presents financial information for Radian Asset Assurance Inc. (Radian) and its consolidated subsidiaries on a GAAP basis. Please visit our website at www.radian.biz for selected statutory information.

Company Profile

Radian, founded in 1985 and rated* AA (outlook: Stable) by Standard & Poor’s, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies (S&P) and Aa3 (outlook: Negative) by Moody’s Investor Service (Moody’s), is a niche insurer of public finance transactions and a provider of credit enhancement to leading financial institutions in the structured finance market. As a direct writer of financial guaranty insurance for municipal bonds, asset-backed securities and structured transactions, Radian plays an important role in extending the benefits of insurance to a broad range of institutions and securities issuers. Radian is also a leading provider of reinsurance to the AAA-rated monoline financial guarantors. In addition, Radian provided Trade Credit reinsurance until 2005, when this line of business was placed in runoff.

Radian is a subsidiary of Radian Group Inc. (Radian Group) (NYSE: RDN), a global credit risk management company headquartered in Philadelphia with significant operations in both New York and London.

For more information regarding Radian and Radian Group, please visit our website at www.radian.biz

 

Company Information     
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.   Contact:   
335 Madison Avenue   John C. DeLuca   
New York, New York 10017   Senior Vice President   
1 877 337.4925 (within the U.S.)   Director of Marketing, Public Finance   
1 212 983.3100   1 212 984.9222   
www.radian.biz   john.deluca@radian.biz   

 

* Radian Group formally requested that Fitch Ratings (Fitch) withdraw its ratings of all Radian Group entities on September 5, 2007. Notwithstanding such request, Fitch rates Radian A+ (outlook: Evolving). Please refer to our website for more information.

 

2      Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Dec. 31, 2007 / Introductory Note / Company Profile / Company Information


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated GAAP Income Statements*

($ Thousands)

(Unaudited)

 

     Quarter ended     Twelve months ended  
     December 31
2007
    December 31
2006
    December 31
2007
    December 31
2006
 

Revenues

        

Net premiums written - insurance

   $ 41,256     $ 61,042     $ 185,718     $ 199,746  

Net premiums written - derivatives

     13,020       15,195       43,043       60,107  
                                

Total net premiums written

   $ 54,276     $ 76,237     $ 228,761     $ 259,853  
                                

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 33,633     $ 30,098     $ 131,833     $ 128,032  

Net premiums earned - derivatives

     13,422       18,649       62,066       71,541  
                                

Total net premiums earned

     47,055       48,747       193,899       199,573  

Net investment income

     27,559       24,526       104,372       92,656  

(Loss) gain on sale of investments

     (1,539 )     (43 )     12,334       1,505  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (545,554 )     21,245       (808,867 )     12,384  
                                

Total revenues

     (472,479 )     94,475       (498,262 )     306,118  
                                

Expenses

        

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

     59,058       4,179       107,232       21,849  

Policy acquisition costs

     11,161       10,320       45,163       46,263  

Other operating expenses

     12,022       13,600       48,821       59,543  

Other expense

     5,863       4,137       18,089       15,059  
                                

Total expenses

     88,104       32,236       219,305       142,714  
                                

(Loss) income before income taxes

     (560,583 )     62,239       (717,567 )     163,404  

Income tax (benefit) expense

     (198,050 )     16,671       (273,648 )     36,116  
                                

Net (loss) income

   $ (362,533 )   $ 45,568     $ (443,919 )   $ 127,288  
                                

Financial Ratios

        

Loss and LAE Ratio

     125.5 %     8.6 %     55.3 %     10.9 %

Underwriting Expense Ratio

     49.3 %     49.1 %     48.5 %     53.0 %
                                

Combined Ratio

     174.8 %     57.7 %     103.8 %     63.9 %
                                

 

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.

 

3      Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Dec. 31, 2007 / Consolidated GAAP Income Statements


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated GAAP Balance Sheets*

($ Thousands)**

(Unaudited)

 

     December 31
2007
   December 31
2006

Assets

     

Investments:

     

Fixed maturities, available for sale, at fair value (amortized cost $2,066,052 and $2,111,479)

   $ 2,092,720    $ 2,171,578

Fixed maturities - trading, at fair value (cost $16,125)

     16,132      —  

Hybrid securities, at fair value (amortized cost $140,325)

     155,844      —  

Trading securities, at fair value (cost $17,459)

     —        28,340

Common stock, at fair value (cost $931 and $931)

     1,143      1,152

Short-term investments

     253,614      93,042
             

Total Investments

     2,519,453      2,294,112

Cash and cash equivalents

     6,012      2,371

Deferred income taxes - net

     233,996      —  

Accrued interest and dividends receivable

     28,319      27,860

Premiums and other receivables

     21,582      25,760

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     172,560      153,094

Prepaid reinsurance premiums

     1,138      1,184

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses

     169      2,259

Prepaid federal income taxes

     14,995      14,995

Federal income tax recoverable

     —        409

Derivative financial guaranty contracts

     7,903      118,721

Put options on committed preferred securities

     35,242      —  

Other assets

     13,259      7,752
             

Total Assets

   $ 3,054,628    $ 2,648,517
             

Liabilities and Shareholder’s Equity

     

Liabilities

     

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

   $ 249,864    $ 173,990

Reinsurance payable on paid losses and loss adjustment expenses

     1,410      1,853

Deferred premium revenue

     713,726      659,877

Federal income taxes payable

     4,348      —  

Deferred federal income taxes

     —        109,849

Payable to affiliates

     6,298      5,141

Derivative financial guaranty contracts

     801,284      59,143

Accrued expenses and other liabilities

     24,721      32,388
             

Total Liabilities

     1,801,651      1,042,241
             

Shareholder’s Equity

     

Common stock - $150 par value

     

Authorized, issued and outstanding - 100,000 shares

     15,000      15,000

Additional paid-in capital

     704,500      600,654

Retained earnings

     504,341      944,996

Accumulated other comprehensive income

     29,136      45,626
             

Total Shareholder’s Equity

     1,252,977      1,606,276
             

Total Liabilities and Shareholder’s Equity

   $ 3,054,628    $ 2,648,517
             

 

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
** Except share amounts.

 

4      Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Dec. 31, 2007 / Consolidated GAAP Balance Sheets


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Gross Premiums Written by Product*

($ Thousands)

 

     Quarter ended          Twelve months ended       
     December 31
2007
   December 31
2006
   Percent
Change
    December 31
2007
   December 31
2006
   Percent
Change
 

Public Finance Direct

   $ 11,461    $ 30,300    -62.2 %   $ 60,117    $ 79,658    -24.5 %

Structured Finance Direct

     4,507      4,117    9.5 %     16,582      18,569    -10.7 %

Public Finance Reinsurance

     19,739      20,526    -3.8 %     86,821      81,065    7.1 %

Structured Finance Reinsurance

     5,327      5,901    -9.7 %     21,933      18,676    17.4 %

Trade Credit Reinsurance

     216      219    -1.4 %     1,723      3,905    -55.9 %

Derivatives

     13,180      15,332    -14.0 %     43,626      60,575    -28.0 %
                                
   $ 54,430    $ 76,395    -28.8 %   $ 230,802    $ 262,448    -12.1 %
                                

Consolidated Net Premiums Earned by Product*

($ Thousands)

 

     Quarter ended          Twelve months ended       
     December 31
2007
   December 31
2006
   Percent
Change
    December 31
2007
   December 31
2006
   Percent
Change
 

Public Finance Direct

   $ 13,459    $ 9,136    47.3 %   $ 45,770    $ 32,515    40.8 %

Structured Finance Direct

     3,878      4,705    -17.6 %     17,384      19,244    -9.7 %

Public Finance Reinsurance

     10,770      9,509    13.3 %     44,667      37,765    18.3 %

Structured Finance Reinsurance

     5,461      5,467    -0.1 %     22,957      21,086    8.9 %

Trade Credit Reinsurance

     65      1,281    -94.9 %     1,055      17,422    -93.9 %

Derivatives

     13,422      18,649    -28.0 %     62,066      71,541    -13.2 %
                                
   $ 47,055    $ 48,747    -3.5 %   $ 193,899    $ 199,573    -2.8 %
                                

Consolidated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Future Installment Premiums**

As of December 31, 2007

($ Millions)

 

     Ending Net
Unearned
Premiums
   Unearned
Premium
Amortization
   Future
Installments
   Total
Premium
Earnings

2008

   $ 642.1    $ 86.3    $ 67.5    $ 153.8

2009

     584.0      58.1      79.3      137.4

2010

     531.7      52.3      64.5      116.8

2011

     483.1      48.6      60.3      108.9

2012

     437.5      45.6      54.8      100.4
                       

2008 – 2012

     437.5      290.9      326.4      617.3

2013 – 2017

     250.6      186.9      146.6      333.5

2018 – 2022

     122.9      127.7      51.0      178.7

2023 – 2027

     46.1      76.8      39.4      116.2

After 2027

     —        46.1      62.1      108.2
                       

Total

     —      $ 728.4    $ 625.5    $ 1,353.9
                       

 

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
** This table depicts the expected amortization of the unearned premium, net of prepaid reinsurance premiums, including credit derivatives, for the existing financial guaranty portfolio, assuming no advance refundings as of December 31, 2007. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers have the right to call or repay financial guaranty obligations. Unearned premium amounts are net of prepaid reinsurance.

 

5      Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Dec. 31, 2007 / Consolidated: Gross Premiums Written / Net Premiums Earned / Net Unearned Premium


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Selected Loss Information*

($ Thousands)

Components of Claims Paid and Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

 

     Quarter ended     Twelve months ended  
     December 31
2007
    December 31
2006
    December 31
2007
    December 31
2006
 

Claims Paid

        

Trade Credit

   $ 1,528     $ 1,368     $ 7,973     $ 13,669  

Financial Guaranty

     10,070       (30 )     11,102       6,787  

Conseco Finance Corp

     2,667       3,513       11,449       15,763  
                                

Total

   $ 14,265     $ 4,851     $ 30,524     $ 36,219  
                                

Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

        

Trade Credit

   $ (2,182 )   $ 88     $ (7,269 )   $ 6,180  

Financial Guaranty

     61,240       4,091       114,501       16,951  

Conseco Finance Corp

     —         —         —         (1,282 )
                                

Total

   $ 59,058     $ 4,179     $ 107,232     $ 21,849  
                                

Net payments under derivative contracts

   $ —       $ (729 )   $ 1     $ 63,548  
                                

Components of Losses and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves

 

     December 31
2007
   December 31
2006

Financial Guaranty

     

Case

   $ 31,685    $ 42,459

Allocated non-specific

     141,270      26,185

Unallocated non-specific

     49,195      60,431
             
     222,150      129,075
             

Trade Credit and Other

     

Case

     14,800      20,770

IBNR

     12,914      24,145
             
     27,714      44,915
             

Total

   $ 249,864    $ 173,990
             

 

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.

 

6      Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Dec. 31, 2007 / Consolidated Selected Loss Information


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Selected Derivative Information*

($ Millions)

Balance Sheet Information

 

     December 31
2007
    December 31
2006
 

Notional value - insured portfolio

   $ 48,539.4     $ 43,728.0  
                

Gross unrealized gains on derivative financial guaranty contracts

   $ 7.9     $ 118.7  

Gross unrealized losses on derivative financial guaranty contracts

     (785.5 )     (24.3 )

Gross unrealized gains on put options on committed preferred securities

     35.2       —    
                

Net (losses) gains

   $ (742.4 )   $ 94.4  
                

Income Statement Information

 

     Quarter ended    Twelve months ended
     December 31
2007
    December 31
2006
   December 31
2007
    December 31
2006

Net gains (losses) on trading securities

   $ —       $ 4.2    $ (0.3 )   $ 4.9

Net (losses) gains on derivative financial guaranty contracts

     (577.8 )     17.0      (840.8 )     7.4

Net gains on put options on committed preferred securities

     32.2       —        32.2       —  
                             

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

   $ (545.6 )   $ 21.2    $ (808.9 )   $ 12.3
                             

Net Gains and (Losses)

 

     December 31
2007
    December 31
2006
 

Balance at January 1

   $ 94.4     $ 23.4  

Net (losses) gains on derivative financial guaranty contracts

     (840.8 )     7.4  

Settlements of derivatives contracts:

    

Early termination receipts

     (31.2 )     —    

Defaults

    

Recoveries

     —         (4.5 )

Payments

     —         68.1  

Net gains on put options on committed preferred securities

     32.2       —    

Payment to maintain put options on committed preferred securities

     3.0       —    
                

Balance at end of period

   $ (742.4 )   $ 94.4  
                

 

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.

 

7      Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Dec. 31, 2007 / Selected Consolidated Derivative Information


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Investment Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

 

Asset Quality**

   Book Value
(12/31/2007)
   Percent of
Book Value
    Book Value
(12/31/2006)
   Percent of
Book Value
 

AAA

   $ 1,698.4    67.5 %   $ 1,573.2    68.5 %

AA

     418.9    16.6 %     404.4    17.6 %

A

     220.8    8.8 %     172.6    7.5 %

BBB

     174.1    6.9 %     132.4    5.8 %

BIG

     —      0.0 %     3.5    0.2 %

NR

     6.1    0.2 %     5.8    0.3 %

Other

     1.2    0.0 %     2.2    0.1 %
                          

Total

   $ 2,519.5    100.0 %   $ 2,294.1    100.0 %
                          

Asset Class

   Book Value
(12/31/2007)
   Percent of
Book Value
    Book Value
(12/31/2006)
   Percent of
Book Value
 

Municipal Bonds

   $ 1,747.6    69.4 %   $ 1,703.6    74.2 %

Taxable Bonds

     361.3    14.3 %     344.2    15.0 %

Convertible Bonds

     125.8    5.0 %     116.5    5.1 %

Short-Term

     253.6    10.1 %     93.0    4.1 %

Other

     31.2    1.2 %     36.8    1.6 %
                          

Total

   $ 2,519.5    100.0 %   $ 2,294.1    100.0 %
                          

 

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
** Average duration of 5.8 years and 5.6 years at 12/31/2007 and 12/31/2006, respectively.

 

8      Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Dec. 31, 2007 / Consolidated Investment Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

Consolidated Gross Par Originated

 

     Quarter ended
     December 31, 2007    December 31, 2006
     Direct    Assumed    Total    Direct    Assumed**    Total

Public Finance

   $ 494    $ 3,132    $ 3,626    $ 1,448    $ 1,544    $ 2,992

Structured Finance

     450      1,099      1,549      5,994      815      6,809
                                         

Total

   $ 944    $ 4,231    $ 5,175    $ 7,442    $ 2,359    $ 9,801
                                         
     Twelve months ended
     December 31, 2007    December 31, 2006
     Direct    Assumed    Total    Direct    Assumed**    Total

Public Finance

   $ 3,282    $ 9,963    $ 13,245    $ 3,304    $ 6,486    $ 9,790

Structured Finance

     13,514      2,179      15,693      22,990      2,113      25,103
                                         

Total

   $ 16,796    $ 12,142    $ 28,938    $ 26,294    $ 8,599    $ 34,893
                                         

Sector Breakout

 

     Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2007)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
    Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2006)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
 

Public Finance

          

General Obligations

   $ 19,780    17.0 %   $ 16,760    16.1 %

Healthcare

     10,849    9.4 %     10,198    9.8 %

Transportation

     6,938    6.0 %     5,426    5.2 %

Utilities

     6,555    5.7 %     6,269    6.0 %

Tax Backed

     5,851    5.0 %     5,269    5.1 %

Education

     4,237    3.7 %     4,095    3.9 %

Investor-Owned Utilities

     3,889    3.4 %     2,355    2.3 %

Long Term Care

     1,548    1.3 %     1,464    1.4 %

Housing

     621    0.5 %     793    0.8 %

Other Public Finance

     1,784    1.5 %     1,184    1.1 %
                          

Subtotal Public Finance

   $ 62,052    53.5 %   $ 53,813    51.7 %
                          

Structured Finance

          

Collateralized Debt Obligations

   $ 46,961    40.5 %   $ 43,989    42.3 %

Asset Backed - Consumer

     1,799    1.5 %     1,310    1.3 %

Asset Backed - Commercial and Other

     1,359    1.2 %     1,109    1.1 %

Asset Backed - Mortgage and MBS

     1,195    1.0 %     1,023    1.0 %

Other Structured Finance

     2,656    2.3 %     2,722    2.6 %

Subtotal Structured Finance

     53,970    46.5 %     50,153    48.3 %
                          

Total

   $ 116,022    100.0 %   $ 103,966    100.0 %
                          

 

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
** Reflects one quarter lag

 

9      Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Dec. 31, 2007 / Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

Rating Distribution**

 

Rating**

   Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2007)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
    Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2006)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
 

Public Finance

          

AAA

   $ 1,943    1.7 %   $ 1,371    1.3 %

AA

     19,560    16.8 %     16,436    15.8 %

A

     20,753    17.9 %     18,715    18.0 %

BBB

     18,044    15.6 %     15,808    15.2 %

Below Investment Grade

     1,709    1.5 %     1,293    1.2 %

Not Rated

     43    0.0 %     190    0.2 %
                          

Subtotal Public Finance

   $ 62,052    53.5 %   $ 53,813    51.7 %
                          

Structured Finance

          

AAA

   $ 48,267    41.6 %   $ 41,800    40.2 %

AA

     858    0.8 %     2,976    2.9 %

A

     1,541    1.3 %     1,481    1.5 %

BBB

     2,471    2.1 %     2,511    2.4 %

Below Investment Grade

     86    0.1 %     119    0.1 %

Not Rated

     747    0.6 %     1,266    1.2 %
                          

Subtotal Structured Finance

   $ 53,970    46.5 %   $ 50,153    48.3 %
                          

Total

          

AAA

   $ 50,210    43.3 %   $ 43,171    41.5 %

AA

     20,418    17.6 %     19,412    18.7 %

A

     22,294    19.2 %     20,196    19.5 %

BBB

     20,515    17.7 %     18,319    17.6 %

Below Investment Grade

     1,795    1.6 %     1,412    1.3 %

Not Rated

     790    0.6 %     1,456    1.4 %
                          

Total

   $ 116,022    100.0 %   $ 103,966    100.0 %
                          

 

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
** Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies.

 

10      Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Dec. 31, 2007 / Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

Geographic Diversification

 

     Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2007)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
    Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2006)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
 

Domestic public finance

          

California

   $ 7,191    6.2 %   $ 6,185    5.9 %

New York

     5,862    5.2 %     5,051    4.9 %

Texas

     4,454    3.8 %     4,158    4.0 %

Florida

     3,466    3.0 %     3,245    3.1 %

Pennsylvania

     3,298    2.8 %     2,892    2.8 %

Illinois

     3,156    2.7 %     2,881    2.8 %

New Jersey

     2,666    2.3 %     2,250    2.2 %

Massachusetts

     2,417    2.1 %     2,238    2.2 %

Washington

     2,056    1.8 %     1,775    1.7 %

Colorado

     1,831    1.6 %     1,409    1.3 %

Top ten states - domestic public finance subtotal

     36,397    31.5 %     32,084    30.9 %

Total of other states - domestic public finance

     20,124    17.3 %     18,685    17.9 %

Total domestic public finance

     56,521    48.8 %     50,769    48.8 %

Domestic structured finance

     37,054    31.9 %     37,205    35.8 %

International public and structured finance

     22,447    19.3 %     15,992    15.4 %
                          

Total

   $ 116,022    100.0 %   $ 103,966    100.0 %
                          

 

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.

 

11      Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Dec. 31, 2007 / Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

25 Largest Public Finance Exposures

 

Obligor

   Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2007)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
    Rating**

New York, NY - G.O.

   $ 827    0.7 %   AA

California - G.O.

     745    0.7 %   A+

Port Authority of New York & New Jersey

     723    0.6 %   AA-

Chicago, IL - G.O.

     572    0.5 %   AA-

New Jersey Transportation Trust Fund Authority

     541    0.5 %   AA-

Washington - G.O.

     467    0.4 %   AA+

Los Angeles Unified School District, CA

     424    0.4 %   AA-

Massachusetts - G.O.

     414    0.4 %   AA

Metropolitan Transportation Authority, NY

     402    0.4 %   A

Massachusetts School Building Authority

     359    0.3 %   AA+

New Jersey Economic Development Authority School Facilities

     357    0.3 %   AA-

Puerto Rico - G.O.

     314    0.3 %   BBB-

Jefferson County, AL - Sewer Revenue

     302    0.3 %   A

Illinois - G.O.

     298    0.3 %   AA

Reliance Rail Corp., AU

     294    0.3 %   A-

Illinois Toll Highway Authority

     289    0.2 %   AA-

Long Island Power Authority, NY

     288    0.2 %   A-

Thames Water Utilities Finance PLC, UK

     268    0.2 %   BBB+

Citizens Prop Ins Corp., FL

     264    0.2 %   A+

District of Columbia

     254    0.2 %   A+

San Francisco International Airport, CA

     252    0.2 %   A1

New Jersey Turnpike Authority

     249    0.2 %   A

Metropolitan Washington DC Airports Authority

     243    0.2 %   AA-

Bay Area Toll Authority, CA

     241    0.2 %   AA

Massachusetts Water Resources Authority

     237    0.2 %   AA
               

Total

   $ 9,624    8.3 %  
               

Largest Structured Finance Exposures

Radian’s largest Structured Finance exposures consist of the following:

 

 

Seven $600 million transactions representing Static Synthetic Investment Grade Corporate CDOs rated AAA.

 

 

One $599 million transaction representing a Static Synthetic Investment Grade Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities CDO rated AAA.

 

 

One $563 million transaction representing a Static Synthetic Investment Grade Corporate CDO rated AAA.

 

 

One $502 million transaction representing a Managed Cashflow Investment Grade Asset-Backed CDO rated AAA.

 

 

Twenty eight $450 million transactions representing Static Synthetic Investment Grade Corporate CDOs rated AAA.

 

 

One $450 million transaction representing a Second-to-Pay CDO rated AAA.

 

 

One $450 million transaction representing a Static Synthetic Investment Grade Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities CDO rated AAA.

These 40 transactions combine to total $19.4 billion, or 16.7% of Radian’s Net Par Outstanding as of December 31, 2007.

 

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
** Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies.

 

12      Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Dec. 31, 2007 / Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

Below Investment Grade Exposure by Sector

 

Sector

   Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2007)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
 

Public Finance

     

General Obligations

   $ 1,155    1.0 %

Utilities

     121    0.1 %

Education

     114    0.1 %

Tax Backed

     102    0.1 %

Healthcare

     79    0.1 %

Long Term Care

     55    0.1 %

Transportation

     24    0.0 %

Housing

     20    0.0 %

Other Public Finance

     39    0.0 %
             

Subtotal Public Finance

     1,709    1.5 %
             

Structured Finance

     

Asset Backed - Consumer

     67    0.1 %

Asset Backed - Commercial and Other

     14    0.0 %

Collateralized Debt Obligations

     5    0.0 %

Subtotal Structured Finance

     86    0.1 %
             

Total

   $ 1,795    1.6 %
             

10 Largest Health Care Exposures

 

Obligor

   Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2007)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
    Rating**

Catholic Healthcare West

   $ 143    0.1 %   A+

Bon Secours Health System Inc

     130    0.1 %   A-

Capital Hospitals

     121    0.1 %   BBB-

Catholic Health Initiatives

     120    0.1 %   AA

MedStar Health

     117    0.1 %   A-

Partners Healthcare System

     114    0.1 %   AA

Consort Healthcare Limited

     109    0.1 %   BBB-

Kaiser Permanente

     109    0.1 %   A+

OSF Healthcare System Inc.

     105    0.1 %   A

Methodist Hospital

     105    0.1 %   AA
               

Total

   $ 1,173    1.0 %  
               

 

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
** Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies.

 

13      Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Dec. 31, 2007 / Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

CDO Exposure

 

     Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2007)
   Percent of
Total CDO
Net Par
    Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2006)
   Percent of
Total CDO
Net Par
 

Direct

   $ 45,121    96.1 %   $ 42,110    95.7 %

Assumed

     1,840    3.9 %     1,879    4.3 %
                          

Total

   $ 46,961    100.0 %   $ 43,989    100.0 %
                          

Total CDO Portfolio Rating Distribution**

 

     Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2007)
   Percent of
Total CDO
Net Par
    Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2006)
   Percent of
Total CDO
Net Par
 

AAA

   $ 46,491    99.0 %   $ 40,448    92.0 %

AA

     149    0.3 %     2,357    5.4 %

A

     175    0.4 %     505    1.1 %

BBB

     141    0.3 %     271    0.6 %

Below Investment Grade

     5    0.0 %     8    0.0 %

Not Rated

     —      0.0 %     400    0.9 %
                          

Total

   $ 46,961    100.0 %   $ 43,989    100.0 %
                          

Direct CDO Underlying Asset Types

 

     Direct CDO
Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2007)
   Percent of
Direct
CDO

Net Par
    Direct CDO
Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2006)
   Percent of
Direct
CDO

Net Par
 

Corporates

   $ 38,822    86.0 %   $ 36,319    86.2 %

Other

     6,299    14.0 %     5,791    13.8 %
                          

Total

   $ 45,121    100.0 %   $ 42,110    100.0 %
                          

 

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
** Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies.

 

14      Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Dec. 31, 2007 / Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

CDO of ABS, CMBS, and Multi-sector Portfolio

Type of Collateral as a Percentage of Total Pool

 

Year Insured

  Legal
Final
Maturity
  Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2007)
    ABS     RMBS     Subprime
RMBS
    CMBS     Investment
Grade
Corporate
    High Yield
Corporate
    CDO of
ABS
    CDO of
CDO
    Other     Total
Collateral
Pool
 

2003

  2010   $ 100 ***   4.7 %   28.5 %   25.0 %   23.8 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   13.2 %   1.5 %   3.3 %   100.0 %

2004

  2009     265     33.7 %   35.3 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   28.8 %   2.2 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   100.0 %

2005

  2010     150     25.2 %   49.0 %   15.8 %   0.0 %   8.6 %   1.4 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   100.0 %

2006

  2046     502     0.0 %   23.0 %   42.5 %   13.5 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   12.6 %   3.6 %   4.8 %   100.0 %

2006

  2047     450     0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   100.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   100.0 %

2006

  2049     599     0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   100.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   100.0 %

2006

  2056     353     0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   100.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   100.0 %

2007

  2047     430     0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   100.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   100.0 %

Total

    $ 2,849                      

 

Year Insured

   S&P
Rating
  Moody’s
Rating
   Original AAA
Subordination
    Radian
Attachment
Point
    Radian
Detachment
Point
    % RMBS A
or Better**
    % Subprime
A or
Better**
 

2003

   BBB   N/R    7.8 %   2.0 %   12.0 %   100.0 %   100.0 %

2004

   AAA   Aaa    2.2 %   20.7 %   39.4 %   100.0 %   0.0 %

2005

   AAA   N/R    4.5 %   13.0 %   38.0 %   100.0 %   100.0 %

2006

   AAA****   Aaa    4.9 %   20.0 %   100.0 %   79.2 %   74.6 %

2006

   AAA   N/R    2.4 %   6.8 %   30.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %

2006

   AAA   N/R    0.6 %   5.1 %   30.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %

2006

   AAA   N/R    5.5 %   6.5 %   30.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %

2007

   AAA   Aaa    2.4 %   7.0 %   50.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %

 

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
** Ratings are based on Moody’s ratings. If Moody’s rating is unavailable, then S&P rating applies.
*** A loss reserve equal to 100% of net par outstanding has been established for this extendible note program and Radian has paid claims equal to our exposure in the first quarter of 2008.
**** S&P placed this AAA CDO of ABS on negative watch on January 30, 2008.

 

15      Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Dec. 31, 2007 / Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

Non-CDO RMBS Portfolio: Breakdown by Asset Type

 

    

Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2007)

   % of
RMBS
Portfolio
   

Direct**

  

Assumed
Non-HELOCs

  

Assumed
HELOCs

  

Assumed
Total

   % 2006/2007
Vintage
   Ratings***  
                       AAA     AA     A     BBB****     BIG*****  

Subprime

   $423 MM 149 Policies    36.3 %   $147 MM 7 Policies 34.6%    $251 MM 141 Policies 59.4%   

$25 MM

1 Policy 5.9%

   $276 MM 142 Policies 65.4%    10.7% / 31.6%    19.6 %   0.2 %   25.8 %   11.7 %   42.7 %

Prime

   $270 MM 71 Policies    23.2 %   $124 MM 7 Policies 46.0%   

$81 MM

49 Policies 30.1%

   $65 MM 15 Policy 23.9%    $146 MM 64 Policies 54.0%    7.9% / 26.2%    66.6 %   9.4 %   4.2 %   18.7 %   1.1 %

Alt A

   $428 MM 61 Policies    36.8 %  

$78 MM

3 Policies 18.3%

   $271 MM 52 Policies 63.3%    $79 MM 6 Policies 18.4%    $350 MM 58 Policies 81.7%    25.8% / 32.4%    74.3 %   3.5 %   3.2 %   14.0 %   5.0 %

Second to Pay

  

$44 MM

14 Policies

   3.7 %  

$0 MM

0 Policies 0%

  

$44 MM

14 Policies 100.0%

  

$0 MM

0 Policies 0%

  

$44 MM

14 Policies 100.0%

   0.0% / 85.8%    100.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %

Total RMBS

   $1,165 MM 295 Policies    100.0 %  

$349 MM

17 Policies 29.9%

   $647 MM 256 Policies 55.6%    $169 MM 22 Policies 14.5%    $816 MM 278 Policies 70.1%    15.2% / 32.6%    53.6 %   3.6 %   11.5 %   13.7 %   17.6 %

Note: No direct RMBS have been written since 2005 and no direct Subprime RMBS have been written since 2004

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
** Radian has no direct HELOC exposure
*** Ratings are based on internal ratings
**** 100% of the BBB exposure is assumed through treaties from the monoline primaries
***** All of the BIG exposure is on Radian’s Watch List and reserves have been established for these as needed

 

16      Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Dec. 31, 2007 / Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

Net Debt Service Amortization

 

     Scheduled
Net Debt Service
Amortization

as of 12/31/2007
   Ending
Net Debt Service
Outstanding

2008

   $ 6,024    $ 158,323

2009

     7,618      150,705

2010

     7,007      143,698

2011

     6,995      136,703

2012

     11,310      125,393

2013-2017

     53,717      71,676

2018-2022

     23,097      48,579

2023-2027

     17,800      30,779

After 2027

     30,779      —  
         

Total

   $ 164,347   
         

 

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.

 

17      Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Dec. 31, 2007 / Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Explanatory Notes

 

1. The accompanying unaudited GAAP financial information includes the accounts of Radian, Radian Asset Assurance Limited, (RAAL) Radian Financial Products Limited, Van-American Insurance Agency, Inc. and Asset Recovery Solutions Group Inc.

These unaudited consolidated financial statements do not include all of the information and disclosures required by generally accepted accounting principles. These financial statements should be read in conjunction with the audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto, including the Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm for Radian for the year ended December 31, 2006.

 

2. Prior year amounts have been restated to conform to current year presentation.

 

3. For the quarter ended December 31, 2007, the change in fair value of derivatives was $(545.6) million comprised of a change of $(577.8) million in the fair value of derivative financial guaranty contracts partially offset by a $32.2 million change in the fair value of put options on committed preferred securities. The substantial loss resulted from the widening of credit spreads. For the year ended December 31, 2007, the change in fair value of derivatives was $(808.9) million, primarily comprised of a change of $(840.8) million in the fair value of derivative financial guaranty contracts partially offset by a $32.2 million change in the fair value of put options on committed preferred securities. The 2007 year to date results were also impacted by the widening of credit spreads. The 2006 year to date change in fair value of derivative instruments was a gain resulting from the tightening of credit spreads. However, the net gain of $12.3 million included a loss of $(17.2) million from a credit that settled in March 2006.

 

4. The current quarter’s and year to date increase in losses and loss adjustment expenses is primarily related to one financial guaranty transaction. An allocated non-specific reserve of $100 million was established for this transaction, of which $50 million was recorded during the quarter.

 

18      Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Dec. 31, 2007 / Consolidated Explanatory Notes


Safe Harbor Statement

All statements made herein that address events or developments that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are made on the basis of management’s current views and assumptions with respect to future events. These forward-looking statements, as well as our prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties, including the following: changes in general financial and political conditions such as extended national or regional economic recessions (or expansions), changes in income, population trends and changes in household formation patterns, changes in unemployment rates, changes or volatility in interest rates, consumer confidence, or credit spreads; future credit market disruptions - in particular, further deterioration in the municipal finance, corporate credit, mortgage and related credit markets; changes in investor perception of the strength of us individually, financial guaranty providers generally, or in the perception of the strength of our ultimate parent Radian Group Inc. and the other businesses in which it or its other subsidiaries participate, including the mortgage insurance industry; risks faced by the businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our insurance; the loss of a customer with whom we have a concentration of our insurance in force or the influence of large customers; increased severity or frequency of losses associated with certain of our products that are riskier than traditional financial guaranty insurance policies; losses associated with the aging of our municipal finance and structured finance insurance portfolios; ratings actions with respect to Radian Group’s credit ratings or the insurance financial-strength ratings assigned by the major ratings agencies to us or any of our insurance subsidiaries; heightened competition from other insurance providers, from federal and state governmental or quasi-governmental entities and from alternative products to financial guaranty insurance; the application of federal or state consumer, lending, insurance and other applicable laws and regulations, or changes in these laws and regulations or the way they are interpreted; the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our financial guaranty businesses or to estimate accurately the fair value amounts of derivative financial guaranty contracts in determining gains and losses on these contracts; changes in accounting guidance from the SEC or the Financial Accounting Standards Board regarding income recognition and the treatment of loss reserves in the financial guaranty insurance industry; legal and other limitations on the amount of dividends that we may pay; international expansion of our financial guaranty businesses into new markets and risks associated with our international business activities. For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties, as well as certain additional risks that we face, investors should refer to the risk factors detailed in Part I, Item 1A of Radian Group’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date on which this information was publicly released. We do not intend to, and disclaim any duty or obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements made in this document to reflect new information, future events or for any other reason.

 

19      Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Dec. 31, 2007 / Safe Harbor Statement