EX-99.3 4 dex993.htm PRESENTATION SLIDES FOR SEPTEMBER 5, 2007 INVESTOR CALL Presentation Slides for September 5, 2007 Investor Call
Investor Presentation
September 5, 2007
Exhibit 99.3


2
Forward Looking Statements –
Safe Harbor Provisions
All
statements
made
during
today’s
investor
call
or
included
in
the
accompanying
presentation
that
address
events
or
developments
that
we
expect
or
anticipate
may
occur
in
the
future
are
“forward-looking
statements”
within
the
meaning
of
Section
27A
of
the
Securities
Act
of
1933,
Section
21E
of
the
Securities
Exchange
Act
of
1934
and
the
U.S.
Private
Securities
Litigation
Reform
Act
of
1995.
These
statements,
which
include
projections
regarding
revenues
and
losses
as
well
as
other
statements
regarding
our
future
financial
condition,
are
made
on
the
basis
of
management’s
current
views
and
assumptions
with
respect
to
future
events.
These
forward-looking
statements,
as
well
as
our
prospects
as
a
whole,
are
subject
to
risks
and
uncertainties,
including
the
following:
changes
in
general
financial
and
political
conditions
such
as
extended
national
or
regional
economic
recessions
(or
expansions),
changes
in
housing
demand
or
mortgage
originations,
changes
in
housing
values,
population
trends
and
changes
in
household
formation
patterns,
changes
in
unemployment
rates,
changes
or
volatility
in
interest
rates,
consumer
confidence,
or
changes
in
credit
spreads;
changes
in
investor
perception
of
the
strength
of
private
mortgage
insurers
or
financial
guaranty
providers;
risks
faced
by
the
businesses,
municipalities
or
pools
of
assets
covered
by
our
insurance;
the
loss
of
a
customer
with
whom
we
have
a
concentration
of
our
insurance
in
force
or
the
influence
of
large
customers;
increased
severity
or
frequency
of
losses
associated
with
certain
of
our
products
that
are
riskier
than
traditional
mortgage
insurance
and
financial
guaranty
insurance
policies;
material
changes
in
the
persistency
rates
of
our
mortgage
insurance
policies;
losses
associated
with
the
aging
of
our
mortgage
insurance
portfolio;
ratings
actions
with
respect
to
our
credit
ratings
or
the
insurance
financial-strength
ratings
assigned
by
the
major
ratings
agencies
to
our
operating
subsidiaries;
heightened
competition
from
other
insurance
providers
and
from
alternative
products
to
private
mortgage
insurance
and
financial
guaranty
insurance;
changes
in
the
charters
or
business
practices
of
Fannie
Mae
and
Freddie
Mac;
the
application
of
federal
or
state
consumer,
lending,
insurance
and
other
applicable
laws
and
regulations,
or
changes
in
these
laws
and
regulations
or
the
way
they
are
interpreted;
the
possibility
that
we
may
fail
to
estimate
accurately
the
likelihood,
magnitude
and
timing
of
losses
in
connection
with
establishing
loss
reserves
for
our
mortgage
insurance
or
financial
guaranty
businesses
or
to
estimate
accurately
the
fair
value
amounts
of
derivative
financial
guaranty
contracts
in
determining
gains
and
losses
on
these
contracts;
changes
in
accounting
guidance
from
the
SEC
or
the
Financial
Accounting
Standards
Board
regarding
income
recognition
and
the
treatment
of
loss
reserves
in
the
mortgage
insurance
or
financial
guaranty
industries;
vulnerability
to
the
performance
of
our
strategic
investments
and
the
amount
of
the
impairment
charge
related
to
our
interest
in
Credit
Based
Asset
Servicing
and
Securitization
LLC
(“C-BASS”),
which
has
not
yet
been
determined
and
may
be
influenced
by:
(i)
changes
in
the
market
for
subprime
mortgages
and
the
amount,
timing
and
severity
of
market
dislocations
occurring
in
the
subprime
market;
(ii)
the
amount,
timing
and
severity
of
any
future
margin
calls
that
C-BASS
may
receive;
(iii)
C-BASS’s
ability
to
obtain
sufficient
and
timely
financing
to
support
its
liquidity
position;
and
(iv)
our
ability
to
sell
part
or
all
of
our
interest
in
C-BASS
and
the
amount
that
may
be
received
in
connection
with
any
such
sale;
legal
and
other
limitations
on
the
amount
of
dividends
that
we
may
receive
from
our
insurance
subsidiaries;
international
expansion
of
our
mortgage
insurance
and
financial
guaranty
businesses
into
new
markets
and
risks
associated
with
our
international
business
activities;
and
risks
and
uncertainties
associated
with
the
termination
of
our
merger
with
MGIC
Investment
Corporation,
including,
without
limitation:
possible
customer
attrition
and
disruption
from
the
transaction
making
it
more
difficult
to
maintain
relationships
with
customers,
employees
or
other
business
relationships,
which
may
have
a
materially
adverse
impact
on
our
financial
results
and
prospects.
For
more
information
regarding
these
risks
and
uncertainties,
as
well
as
certain
additional
risks
that
we
face,
investors
should
refer
to
the
risk
factors
detailed
in
Part
I,
Item
1A
of
our
annual
report
on
Form
10-K
for
the
year
ended
December
31,
2006.
We
caution
you
not
to
place
undue
reliance
on
these
forward-looking
statements,
which
are
current
only
as
of
the
date
of
this
presentation.
We
do
not
intend
to,
and
disclaim
any
duty
or
obligation
to,
update
or
revise
any
forward-looking
statements
made
during
today’s
investor
call
or
included
in
the
accompanying
presentation
to
reflect
new
information,
future
events
or
for
any
other
reason.


3
Agenda
1.
Introduction
S.A. Ibrahim, Chief Executive Officer
2.
Finance
Bob Quint, Executive Vice President
and Chief Financial Officer
3.
Mortgage Insurance
Mark Casale, President, Mortgage
Insurance
4.
Financial Guaranty
Steve Cooke, President, Financial
Guaranty
5.
Summary and Closing Remarks
S.A. Ibrahim, Chief Executive Officer
6.
Q&A


Introduction


5
Market developments have led us to mutually conclude that focusing on
managing our respective businesses has to be our most important priority
Management and employees remain fully committed to the business
Pre-deal executive team remains completely intact
Less than 5% of key employees covered under retention have left Radian
The strengths of our Mortgage Insurance business position us well to
capitalize on the current mortgage market trends
Our Financial Guaranty business will continue to provide stable results
Our primary near-term goals will be to preserve book value and stabilize
credit ratings
Situation Update


6
Based on Radian’s expected case financial projections
Projected Book Value per Share Development
(1)
Assumes an estimated NIMS mark-to-market credit loss of $270 million pre-tax; actual estimate and timing of mark-to-market and
actual claims are not yet determined. 
(1)
$51.53
$46.90
$49.87
$54.46
$59.96
$35
$45
$55
$65
6/30/2007
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E


7
Mortgage Update and Outlook
Home price appreciation rate
has decelerated nationally
Prices now declining in certain
markets
Deteriorating credit
performance for mortgage
assets
Subprime delinquency rates
particularly affected
Reevaluation of rating agency
credit models
Contributes to asset pricing and
secondary market volatility
Reduced mortgage risk appetite
among both lenders and
investors
Liquidity and asset valuations
under pressure
Increasing volume of ARM
resets
Recent Developments
Portfolio lenders benefit from
secondary market disruption
Gain on sale model challenging
in current environment
Declining subprime and Alt A
origination volume
Liquidity and pricing have
constrained capacity
Pure subprime and Alt A lenders
disappearing from market
Tighter underwriting guidelines
Reduced “piggy-back”
and  
short-reset ARM volume
Growing importance of GSEs
Pricing advantage for agency-
eligible products
Potential expansion in role of
FHA
Mortgage Industry Reaction
Growing market share for top-
tier lenders
Delinquencies will remain high
due to reduced refinancing
flexibility for borrowers
Increased mortgage industry
share for Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac
Strict underwriting standards
should improve credit
performance of late-2007 and
future vintages
Outlook
The ongoing mortgage market transition will create an attractive
environment for mortgage insurers


8
Mortgage Insurance –
Industry Overview
Strong fundamentals favoring the MI business as the market correction is
highlighting the value and benefit of MI
Increased penetration
Higher persistency
Tightened underwriting guidelines
Improved risk-adjusted pricing
GSEs still command a huge presence and influence on the industry
Emerging from a “dormant”
stage due to accounting and legislative pressures
More business is shifting towards the agencies
Increased concentration of origination volume among largest portfolio lenders
MI volume increasingly concentrated within traditional prime quality products
Strong long-term trends for home ownership
Favorable demographics
MI tax-deductibility helps first time buyers


9
What This Means for Radian
Our domestic Mortgage Insurance business is well positioned as large
lenders will benefit from market turmoil in the long-run
Radian’s emphasis has been on customized solutions used by larger lenders
Consolidation of mortgage industry has benefited Radian’s core customers
Recent market disruptions will continue to drive this trend
Large lenders and the GSEs have reaffirmed the value of Radian relationships by committing to
new business
Financial Guaranty and Sherman expected to provide diversification, and
stable and profitable results
Radian will continue to prudently write international Mortgage Insurance
and Financial Guaranty insurance in selected, proven markets


Finance


11
Finance –
Situation Update
Radian has been a public company since 1992 with a strong track record
of earnings, return on equity and book value growth
Credit and liquidity disruption during 2007 has caused a significant
increase in projected losses in the traditional MI portfolio
Radian has exposure to subprime mortgage assets separate from
traditional mortgage insurance risk
C-BASS: Subprime mortgage assets
NIMS: Guarantee of subprime mortgage securities
Second Liens
Financial Guaranty
Radian has always been aware of these non-traditional risks and
maintains adequate capital on both an economic and rating agency
basis
to support these risks


12
Finance –
Situation Update (continued)
As a result of these developments, between now and 2009 we expect:
Significant impairment to C-BASS investment to be recognized in the 3rd quarter of 2007
Approximately
$270
million
in
expected
incremental
credit
losses
(contained
in
mark-to-market)
in
NIMS
(claim
payments
expected
to
begin
in
2010)
Approximately $300 million in expected incremental losses in second lien book through year-
end 2010
Incurred loss ratio on primary / pool portfolio of 80%-90% in 2007 and 2008 and 60%-70% in
2009
Large short-term negative mark in FG book due to non-credit issues (primarily corporate spread
related only).  Although we do not currently anticipate losses associated with subprime
mortgage risk at FG, we continue to carefully monitor every deal
We expect book value to bottom in the 3
rd
quarter of 2007 after the        
C-BASS impairment and to increase steadily thereafter


13
Expected case performance delivers profitability and book value growth
through year-end 2010
Projected Book Value Development
* Assumes
full
impairment;
estimate
of
actual
impairment
not
yet
determined.
Note: All values in the above table are after-tax. 
Per Share
Total
(4.19)
(0.3B)
C-BASS *
$59.96
3.45
6.67
7.11
$51.53
$4.8B
0.3B
0.5B
0.6B
(0.2B)
(0.2B)
$4.1B
(2.43)
(2.18)
Financial Services
Traditional Mortgage Insurance
Core Business Performance:
Financial Guaranty
12/31/2010 Book Value
Seconds
NIMS
6/30/2007 Book Value


14
Capital Position and Initiatives
Strong capital / liquidity position
Radian has no current liquidity risk; claims will be paid over time
Investment portfolio of $6.0 billion at 6/30/07 consisting primarily of highly-rated liquid
investments
Core businesses have adequate capital to support risk
No current plans to pay cash dividends from any operating insurance subsidiary
Radian Group’s modest dividend conserves capital and liquidity
Capital enhancement opportunities
Potential
sale
of
a
portion
of
Sherman
interest
proceeds
to
support
mortgage
insurance
capital
Additional $200 million credit line available


15
C-BASS
Sherman
Sale remains a possibility
Full impairment possible, but not a
certainty
Litton servicing platform intact and
clearly valuable
Strong cash flow with manageable
leverage
Continued strong earnings contribution
from Sherman expected in 2007 and
beyond
Potential sale of partial ownership
interest by end of September
Proceeds will be used to supplement
MI capital
Update on C-BASS and Sherman


Mortgage Insurance


17
Primary MI Bulk
13%
Primary MI
Flow
71%
Pool
10%
NIMs / CDS
3%
Seconds
3%
Radian’s Mortgage Insurance Segment Overview
Radian’s business consists primarily
of traditional MI
Traditional MI consists of contracts
which protect the mortgage holders
from losses on a portion of the value
of a mortgage
Increases liquidity of a loan
Essential for high LTV underwriting
Traditional MI is where majority of
mortgage originations will occur in the
near-term
Less subprime
More Fannie / Freddie
Fewer or no “piggy-back”
structures
Represents domestic risk in force only; financial data as of July 31, 2007.
Losses for both products will be
substantially realized by year-end 2009
Risk in Force


Net Interest Margin Securities
(NIMS)


19
Outstanding insurance protection of $796 million as of 6/30/07
NIMS risk in force continues to decline
-
RIF
for
NIMS
has
decreased
by
$54
million
to
$742
million
during
July
and
August
Reflects the normal pay-down of the insured securities
Two bonds paid off
-
Average remaining term to expiration of existing NIMS is approximately 2 years
Radian has provided insurance protection on approximately $3 billion of
NIMS issued since 2001
-
To date, Radian has not paid out any claims and has earned over $240 million in premiums
Radian has discontinued writing new business
Net Interest Margin Securities (NIMS)


20
NIMS Loss Estimation Methodology
NIMS are bonds whose source of repayment is the excess cash flows coming from other securitizations
-
Roughly equal to interest income less interest expense less credit losses
-
Higher losses and faster pre-payment of mortgages in the underlying securitizations decrease a NIM bond’s
value by lowering overall cash flows used to pay interest and principal on the bond
A
NIMS
wrap
is
a
financial
guarantee
on
a
NIM
bond
for
payment
of
principal
and
interest
typically
having
a
5
year
legal
maturity
-
Claims are paid at maturity when the final amount of any cash shortfall owed to bond holders is known
-
Accordingly, NIMS cash losses (i.e., paid claims) do not develop
like traditional mortgage insurance
-
Majority of claims are not expected to be paid until 2010 and beyond
Using market based roll rates and
internally developed loss
assumptions, Radian estimates
the losses in the underlying
securitizations
Projected pre-payment speeds of
the underlying collateral in each
securitization incorporate actual
historical pre-payment experience
The estimated loss and
prepayment speeds are used to
estimate the cash flows for each
securitization, and thus for each
NIM bond
Cash flows are aggregated to arrive
at estimated future principal
outstanding on each NIM bond at
legal maturity
A zero balance implies the cash flows
were sufficient to pay the bond off
Any positive balance is paid by
Radian, along with any missed
interest payments
Estimate Losses and Prepayments
Estimate Cash Flows
Estimate Bond P&I
Valuation is more similar to mark to market estimation than a report on current losses


21
Estimated NIMS Economic Loss Development
NIMS –
Loss and Paydown schedule
($ in millions)
To Date, as of
Total Post-
Q2 2007
Q2 2007
Total
Premium Income
$240
$86
$326
Write-Downs
(70)
(270)
(340)
170
(184)
(14)
Risk in Force
795
0
0
Claims Paid
$0
($340)
($340)


Second Lien Portfolio


23
Second Lien Business –
Risk in Force
Summary Risk in Force as of 6/30/07
Transaction B
$77
7%
Remaining
Portfolio
$500
46%
Transaction A
$508
47%


24
Second Lien Business –
Expected Future Losses
Total Projected Claims through 2010 (in millions)
Transaction A
Transaction B
(1)  Radian’s portion of loss is contained in both first and second loss policies, but is essentially 50% of total projected losses.
(2)  Radian’s risk band is approximately 4.8% of Original Principal Balance.
$301
Total
40
Remaining Portfolio
77
Transaction B
$184
Transaction A
($ in millions)
($ in millions)
Radian Risk in Force
$77
Original Principal Balance
1,577
Projected Cumulative Loss
315
Radian Portion of Loss
(2)
77
Losses to Date
-
                 
Remaining Losses
$77
Radian Risk in Force
$508
Original Principal Balance
1,573
Projected Cumulative Loss
508
Radian Portion of Loss
(1)
254
Losses to Date
70
Remaining Losses
$184


25
Estimated Seconds Economic Loss Development
Second Lien Risk –
Loss and Paydown schedule
($ in millions)
Q3 - Q4
Total
2007
2008
2009
2010
Q3 2007 - 2010
Initial RIF
$1,063
$911
$581
$379
$1,063
Paydown
(100)
(230)
(112)
(220)
(662)
Claims Paid
(52)
(100)
(90)
(59)
(301)
Ending RIF
$911
$581
$379
$100
$100


Traditional Business


27
Risk in Force –
FICO Breakdown
2005 Vintage Risk in Force
2007
Vintage
Risk
in
Force
(1)
Beginning in 2006, Radian focused on writing higher FICO business
2005 Vintage RIF:  $5.6 billion
2007 Vintage RIF:  $6.1 billion
(1) 2007 vintage as of July 31, 2007.
<570
3%
660+
67%
620-659
21%
570-619
9%
570-619
6%
620-659
18%
660+
75%
<570
1%


28
Primary MI Portfolio Compared with the MI Industry
Note: IIF and RIF are sourced from MICA.  Industry average statistics are an average of Genworth, MGIC and PMI, as publicly available.
(As of June 30, 2007)
Attribute
Radian
Industry
Primary IIF
$128B
$730B
Primary RIF
$27B
$162B
FL Primary RIF (%)
9%
10%
CA Primary RIF (%)
8%
6%
TX Primary RIF (%)
6%
7%
620+ FICO - % of Primary RIF
91%
90%
Alt-A - % of Primary RIF
19%
16%
Interest Only - % of Primary RIF
9%
10%
> 95 LTV
20%
25%
ARMs < 5 years
16%
15%


29
Primary MI Book Current Expected Loss Parameters
(1) Cumulative Loss Rate on Balance is equal to the product of Cumulative Claim Rate on Balance and Cumulative Severity on Balance.
(2) Total Loss on Balance is equal to the product of Cumulative Loss Rate on Balance and IIF.
(3)  Losses will be recognized over the life of the insured loans.
($ in millions)
Expected Performance on Current Balance
Vintage
IIF
RIF
% of RIF
% ARM
Cumulative
Claim Rate on
Balance
Cumulative
Severity on
Balance
Cumulative
Loss Rate on
Balance
(1)
Total Loss on
Balance
(2) (3)
Total / Average
$73,647
$18,085
66.3%
10%
4.9%
26.6%
1.3%
$960
<=2003
19,915
4,656
17.1%
6%
2.8%
27.1%
0.8%
2004
10,570
2,622
9.6%
17%
3.6%
25.6%
0.9%
2005
13,842
3,462
12.7%
15%
5.0%
26.1%
1.3%
2006
16,414
4,173
15.3%
8%
7.4%
24.6%
1.8%
2007
12,906
3,173
11.6%
6%
7.5%
23.0%
1.7%
Total / Average
$41,315
$5,753
21.1%
18%
8.1%
17.2%
1.4%
$580
<=2003
4,477
1,092
4.0%
6%
3.1%
26.1%
0.8%
2004
2,395
616
2.3%
27%
8.4%
26.6%
2.2%
2005
6,400
845
3.1%
51%
9.3%
14.1%
1.3%
2006
13,156
1,530
5.6%
15%
9.9%
16.7%
1.7%
2007
14,886
1,669
6.1%
9%
8.7%
14.7%
1.3%
Total / Average
$13,305
$3,443
12.6%
60%
18.2%
25.8%
4.7%
$623
<=2003
1,870
477
1.7%
50%
9.1%
24.8%
2.3%
2004
2,061
591
2.2%
52%
18.8%
26.0%
4.9%
2005
5,434
1,383
5.1%
69%
20.5%
24.4%
5.0%
2006
2,911
774
2.8%
61%
21.7%
25.6%
5.6%
2007
1,029
219
0.8%
39%
20.5%
20.5%
4.2%
Grand Total / Average
$128,266
$27,281
100.0%
18%
7.3%
24.1%
1.8%
$2,163


MI Business Outlook


31
Capitalize on established relationships with top mortgage lenders
Continue to leverage creative structuring capabilities, but channel towards more
traditional products (primary / pool)
Selectively target middle market lenders using customized solutions
Mortgage Insurance Go-Forward Strategy
Manage Risk
and
Efficiency
Franchise
Target mortgage credit risk with a low volatility risk profile
Focus business on prime and high quality Alt-A which has proven performance over
last 10 years
Stopped
writing
non-traditional
MI
business
2nd
liens,
Credit
Default
Swaps
and
financial guaranty products (NIMS)
Improve operational efficiency
Lender-focused, consultative approach to customers represents significant competitive
advantage in rapidly evolving marketplace
Leverage mortgage banking talent brought into company to reinforce relationships and
further improve customer service / technology
These areas will increasingly become differentiating factors
Culture of new product innovations (first to create captives, LPMI, SMART Home, etc.)
Increase investment in sales organization
Build Upon
Core
Strengths


32
Radian’s Customers Will Benefit from Market Turmoil Long-Term
Radian’s emphasis has been on
customized solutions used by larger
well capitalized lenders
Consolidation of mortgage industry
into fewer hands has benefited
Radian’s core customers
Flow NIW at 8/31/07 is at $26 billion,
a 56% increase over the comparable
period last year
Large lenders have reaffirmed value
of Radian relationships by committing
to new business during the 3
rd
quarter
($ in billions)
Flow
NIW ($)
Radian
Market Share
% of
Radian NIW
Top 10 Lenders
$12.8
17%
50%
Top 11 - 50 Lenders
6.9
14%
27%
Top 51 - 100 Lenders
2.0
13%
8%
Top 101 - 250 Lenders
1.5
9%
6%
All Other Lenders (250+)
2.3
8%
9%
Total
$25.6
14%
100%
Radian New Insurance Written -
2005


33
Strong Trends in Traditional MI
$6.0
$12.9
$12.7
$10.9
$12.8
$11.5
$8.2
$7.6
$13.2
$16.9
$0.0
$2.0
$4.0
$6.0
$8.0
$10.0
$12.0
$14.0
$16.0
$18.0
($ in billions)
Primary New Insurance Written
Persistency
58.4%
56.9%
57.1%
58.2%
58.6%
62.8%
65.7%
67.3%
69.5%
71.1%
40.0%
45.0%
50.0%
55.0%
60.0%
65.0%
70.0%
75.0%
(12 months ended)


Financial Guaranty


35
Operates three product lines –
Global Structured Products, US Public
Finance and Reinsurance
Established track record serving distinct mix of clients
Focus on insuring obligations that are investment grade
Global Structured
Products
Provider of credit enhancement
in CDS or FG form to leading
financial institutions
$47 billion corporate CDO
exposure; more than 99% at
AAA or Super-AAA attachment
Heavily focused on synthetic
high grade corporate portfolios
Minimal RMBS exposure
US Public Finance
Niche insurer of primarily
investment grade credits in
underserved sectors
Over 2,000 deals insured
since 1990
Diversified insured portfolio
with minimal credit losses
Steady earnings stream from
seasoned book
Reinsurance
Leading provider of reinsurance
capacity to AAA insurers
Strong insured portfolio; 85%
rated A or better
Strategy of providing
Facultative capacity to take
advantage of underwriting
resources (40% of reinsurance
book)
Steady earnings stream and
provides portfolio diversification
Financial Guaranty


36
Financial Strength and Liquidity
Qualified Statutory Capital of $1.4 billion
Claims Paying Resources of $2.8 billion
Unearned Premium Reserve of $844.6 million and $364.5 million of
future
installments provides substantial earnings stream
Financial Guaranty does not enter into Credit Support Annexes (“CSA”) in
connection with the execution of its credit default swaps and does not
post collateral for any of its transactions
Financial Guaranty’s obligation is generally to make timely payments of
scheduled principal and interest in the event of a claim
$100 million of additional capital anticipated to be contributed
by Radian
Group
Note:  Data as of June 30, 2007.


37
Highly Rated, Diversified Insured Portfolio
$110.5 billion Net Par Outstanding as of June 30, 2007
Public finance exposure accounts for over 50% of the portfolio
Diversified book of over 7,000 credits; more than 40% derived from
reinsurance with the AAA insurers
44% of Radian’s insured portfolio is rated AAA, placing it among the
highest AAA % in the industry, and well above the industry average of 25% 
Corporate CDOs make up 42% of total book; more than 99% attach at AAA
or Super-Senior levels, with more than 84% having attachments of at least
2x the AAA attachment point as determined by S&P
Requires mark-to-market even though these assets are held to maturity and function like an
insurance policy
Credit exposure is extremely remote and provided no claims are paid, the mark-to-market
losses
resulting
from
widening
credit
spreads
will
reverse
to
$0
at
the
CDOs
maturity


38
US RMBS exposure totals $960.4 million (0.9% of par)
Lowest
par
amount
in
industry
and
well
below
industry
average
of
$18.8
billion
Lowest percent in industry and well below industry average of 6.7%
Source: Operating Supplements of each insurer
US RMBS Subprime
exposure totals $560.7 million (0.5% of par)
Par amount 2
nd
lowest in industry and well below industry average of $4.1 billion
Percent of Net Par 2
nd
lowest in industry and well below industry average of 1.68%
Source: S&P Subprime Exposure report (June 26, 2007)
2006 and 2007 vintages represent 20% and 13%, respectively, of total
subprime exposure.  All of these deals still maintain investment-grade
ratings, 63% of which are rated between A and AAA
Financial Guaranty also has limited subprime RMBS exposure in three
direct-insured CDOs of asset-backed securities with a total par outstanding
of $765 million, 0.7% of total par
The overall ratings distribution of these CDOs is AAA (87%) and BBB (13%)
Note: More information on our subprime exposure can be found at http://www.radian.biz/structured/index.aspx
Financial Guaranty –
US RMBS Exposure as of 6/30/07


39
Bolster market confidence by highlighting financial strength, portfolio quality
and franchise value
Maximize growth areas / opportunities in new markets
Expand new products (e.g., soft capital solutions and project finance)
Expand client base (e.g., from bulge bracket to regional and Yankee banks)
Expand sale point within existing clients (e.g., going beyond trading desks to portfolio management
units)
Market directly to issuers and other asset managers
Execute on strategy for managed international growth
Expanding on the PFI, PPP, and Project Finance markets by partnering with banks and helping
them compete against capital market executions
Financial Guaranty Go-Forward Strategy


Conclusion


41
Market developments have led us to mutually conclude that focusing on
managing our respective businesses has to be our most important priority
Management and employees remain fully committed to the business
Pre-deal executive team remains completely intact
Less than 5% of key employees covered under retention have left Radian
The strengths of our Mortgage Insurance business position us well to
capitalize on the current mortgage market trends
Our Financial Guaranty business will continue to provide stable results
Our primary near-term goals will be to preserve book value and stabilize
credit ratings
Summary


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