EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm RADIAN GROUP, INC. NEWS RELEASE DATED JANUARY 23, 2007 Radian Group, Inc. News Release dated January 23, 2007

Exhibit 99.1

LOGO

 

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

  News Release

 

Contact:   
For investors:    Mona Zeehandelaar – phone: 215 231.1674
   email: mona.zeehandelaar@radian.biz
For the media:    Michelle Davidson – phone: 215 231.1325
   cell: 215 260.6760
   email: michelle.davidson@radian.biz
   Courtney Robinson – phone: 215 231.1762
   cell: 215 629.6880
   email: courtney.robinson@radian.biz

Radian Reports Record 2006 Net Income of $582 Million

 

    Record 2006 diluted EPS increases 19.8 percent to $7.08

 

    Grows book value by 16.1 percent over 2005

 

    Posts fourth quarter 2006 diluted EPS of $1.96

PHILADELPHIA, Pa., January 23, 2007 — Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) today reported that for the year ended December 31, 2006, Radian earned record net income of $582.2 million and diluted net income per share of $7.08. This represents an increase of 11.3 percent and 19.8 percent, respectively, over 2005. Book value per share at December 31, 2006, was $51.23, an increase of 16.1 percent from a year earlier.

For the fourth quarter, Radian reported net income of $158.4 million and diluted net income per share of $1.96, compared to $104.5 million and $1.24 reported in the fourth quarter of 2005.

“Radian delivered record net income and grew book value by 16.1 percent, despite a challenging operating environment for our businesses including tight credit-spreads and competition from alternative products,” said Chief Executive Officer S.A. Ibrahim. “This performance demonstrates that our strategy to focus on diversification while maintaining a strict risk management culture continues to deliver long-term value.”

 

- 1 -


In its mortgage insurance business, Radian said it continued to benefit from its unique capital markets expertise, as well as positive trends in the mortgage market including stable interest rates and strong employment. The company also made strong progress in its international expansion efforts, establishing Radian Australia Limited and announcing a multi-year partnership with St. George Insurance Australia, a wholly owned subsidiary of St. George Bank, Australia’s fifth largest bank.

Mr. Ibrahim noted that the mortgage insurance business experienced a seasonal increase in delinquencies in the fourth quarter of 2006. The loss reserve, while up $57.0 million on a gross basis from year-end 2005, was up only slightly from the third quarter, due in part to an improved economic outlook.

“Forecasts for interest rate stability, strong employment and improved persistency bode well for the mortgage insurance industry,” Mr. Ibrahim added. “In this environment, we believe we are well positioned to benefit over the long-term from both cyclical and structural opportunities in the mortgage market.”

The company’s financial guaranty business continued to perform well in a difficult environment, reporting a 17.9 percent increase in net premiums written year-over-year. Radian also reported progress in international efforts for this business as it finds an attractive, fast-growing synthetic market for the AA credit enhancement solutions that are at the core of its success.

“During the year, we achieved an important milestone for our financial guaranty business when S&P affirmed the AA financial strength rating for Radian Asset Assurance, and revised its outlook upward to stable,” Mr. Ibrahim said. “In the fourth quarter, we exceeded $100 billion in net par outstanding. We believe that these milestones, along with the outstanding performance throughout the year, validate our AA franchise strategy. Our goal in 2007 is to continue to prudently grow our financial guaranty business.”

In the Financial Services segment, both C-BASS and Sherman continued to be important and steady contributors to Radian’s results.

 

- 2 -


The key financial highlights of the quarter and year ended December 31, 2006, are as follows:

Key Financial Highlights (dollars in millions, except per share data)

Fourth quarter

 

     Quarter ended
December 31,
2006
   Quarter ended
December 31,
2005
   Percent
Change
 

Revenue

   $ 347,884    $ 298,641    16.5 %

Net income

   $ 158,370    $ 104,461    51.6 %

Diluted net income per share

   $ 1.96    $ 1.24    58.1 %

Net premiums written

   $ 278,700    $ 272,721    2.2 %

Net premiums earned

   $ 248,919    $ 262,031    (5.0 )%

Equity in net income of affiliates

   $ 70,745    $ 55,746    26.9 %

Book value per share

   $ 51.23    $ 44.11    16.1 %

Full year

 

     Year Ended
December 31,
2006
   Year Ended
December 31,
2005
   Percent
Change
 

Revenue

   $ 1,327,946    $ 1,298,151    2.3 %

Net income

   $ 582,172    $ 522,854    11.3 %

Diluted net income per share

   $ 7.08    $ 5.91    19.8 %

Net premiums written

   $ 1,111,985    $ 1,100,687    1.0 %

Net premiums earned

   $ 1,015,846    $ 1,018,670    (0.3 %)

Equity in net income of affiliates

   $ 256,993    $ 217,692    18.1 %

 

- 3 -


Radian will hold a conference call on Wednesday, January 24, 2007, at 9:00 a.m. Eastern time to discuss the company’s fourth quarter and annual results. This call will be broadcast live over the Internet at http://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-audioarchives or at http://www.radian.biz > News. A replay of the Webcast will be available at this site approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of one year.

Statistical and financial information which is expected to be referred to during the conference call will be available on Radian’s website under Investors > Webcasts, Presentations and Transcripts or by clicking on http://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-audioarchives.

Radian Group Inc. is a global credit risk management company headquartered in Philadelphia with significant operations in New York and London. Radian develops innovative financial solutions by applying its core mortgage credit risk expertise and structured finance capabilities to the credit enhancement needs of the capital markets worldwide, primarily through credit insurance products. The company also provides credit enhancement for public finance and other corporate and consumer assets on both a direct and reinsurance basis and holds strategic interests in active credit-based consumer asset businesses. Additional information may be found at www.radian.biz.

 

- 4 -


Financial Results and Supplemental Information Contents

For trend information on all schedules, refer to Radian’s quarterly financial statistics at http://www.radian.biz/investors/financial/corporate.aspx.

 

Exhibit A:

   Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income

Exhibit B:

   Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

Exhibit C:

   Segment Information Quarter Ended December 31, 2006

Exhibit D:

   Segment Information Quarter Ended December 31, 2005

Exhibit E:

   Segment Information Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2006

Exhibit F:

   Segment Information Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2005

Exhibit G:

   Financial Guaranty Insurance Supplemental Information – Quarter and Twelve Months Ended and as of December 31, 2006

Exhibit H:

   Financial Guaranty Insurance Supplemental Information – Quarter and Twelve Months Ended and as of December 31, 2006

Exhibit I:

   Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: New Insurance Written and Risk Written

Exhibit J:

   Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Insurance in Force and Risk in Force

Exhibit K:

   Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Risk in Force by LTV and Policy Year and Other Risk in Force

Exhibit L:

   Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Claims and Reserves

Exhibit M:

   Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Defaults

Exhibit N:

   Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Net Premiums Written and Earned, Smart Home, Captives and Persistency

Exhibit O:

   Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: ALT A

Exhibit P:

   Financial Services Supplemental Information

 

- 5 -


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income

Exhibit A

 

    

Quarter Ended

December 31

   

Year Ended

December 31

(In thousands, except per-share data)    2006    2005     2006    2005
Revenues:           
Net premiums written    $ 278,700    $ 272,721     $ 1,111,985    $ 1,100,687
                            
Net premiums earned    $ 248,919    $ 262,031     $ 1,015,846    $ 1,018,670
Net investment income      60,222      54,303       234,345      208,422
Net gains on securities      11,255      11,195       40,842      36,638
Change in fair value of derivative instruments      23,097      (36,131 )     16,066      9,170
Other income      4,391      7,243       20,847      25,251
                            

Total revenues

     347,884      298,641       1,327,946      1,298,151
                            
Expenses:           
Provision for losses      84,389      104,865       369,278      390,633
Policy acquisition costs      31,074      27,496       111,609      115,851
Other operating expenses      61,552      62,958       242,634      225,977
Interest expense      12,256      11,940       48,149      43,043
                            

Total expenses

     189,271      207,259       771,670      775,504
                            
Equity in net income of affiliates      70,745      55,746       256,993      217,692
                            
Pretax income      229,358      147,128       813,269      740,339
Provision for income taxes      70,988      42,667       231,097      217,485
                            
Net income    $ 158,370    $ 104,461     $ 582,172    $ 522,854
                            
Diluted net income per share (1)    $ 1.96    $ 1.24     $ 7.08    $ 5.91
                            

          

(1)    Net income per share reconciliation

          

Net income

   $ 158,370    $ 104,461     $ 582,172    $ 522,854

Interest expense on convertible senior debentures (net of tax)

     —        —         —        1,871
                            

Net income available to common stockholders

   $ 158,370    $ 104,461     $ 582,172    $ 524,725
                            

Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands)

          

Average common shares outstanding

     79,923      83,028       81,338      85,637

Increase in shares-potential exercise of options-diluted basis

     770      889       923      894

Increase in shares-contingently convertible debt (2)

     —        —         —        2,215
                            

Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands)

     80,693      83,917       82,261      88,746

 

(2) The 2005 period includes the impact of shares underlying convertible debt that was redeemed on August 1, 2005. The impact on diluted net income per share of including these shares in the calculation was a reduction of $0.13 per share for the year ended December 31, 2005.

For Trend Information, refer to our Quarterly Financial Statistics on Radian’s (RDN) website.

 

Page 1


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

Exhibit B

 

(In thousands, except share and per-share data)    December 31
2006
    December 31
2005

Assets:

    

Cash and investments

   $ 5,827,344     $ 5,521,561

Investments in affiliates

     618,841       446,151

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     221,769       208,325

Prepaid federal income taxes

     808,740       585,514

Other assets

     451,977       469,059
              

Total assets

   $ 7,928,671     $ 7,230,610
              

Liabilities and stockholders’ equity:

    

Unearned premiums

   $ 943,687     $ 849,360

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     842,283       801,002

Long-term debt

     747,770       747,466

Deferred federal income taxes

     1,129,740       961,993

Other liabilities

     197,634       207,909
              

Total liabilities

     3,861,114       3,567,730
              

Common stock

     97       97

Additional paid-in capital

     416,193       629,019

Retained earnings

     3,489,290       2,913,649

Accumulated other comprehensive income

     161,977       120,115
              

Total common stockholders’ equity

     4,067,557       3,662,880
              

Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity

   $ 7,928,671     $ 7,230,610
              

Book value per share

   $ 51.23     $ 44.11
Treasury Stock Repurchases (Year-to-Date for Periods Presented)     

Total number of shares repurchased

     4,500,000 (1)     10,767,800

Average price paid per share

   $ 58.58     $ 49.58

Total cost of repurchased shares

   $ 263,600,341     $ 533,888,969

(1) 1.5 million shares were repurchased in the 4th quarter of 2006 at a cost of $81.1 million.

 

Page 2


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Quarter Ended December 31, 2006

Exhibit C

 

(In thousands)

   Mortgage
Insurance
   Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
   Total

Revenues:

          

Net premiums written

   $ 202,362    $ 76,338     $ —      $ 278,700
                            

Net premiums earned

   $ 199,207    $ 49,712     $ —      $ 248,919

Net investment income

     34,947      25,268       7      60,222

Net gains (losses) on securities

     11,956      (1,068 )     367      11,255

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     1,852      21,245       —        23,097

Other income

     2,967      74       1,350      4,391
                            

Total revenues

     250,929      95,231       1,724      347,884
                            

Expenses:

          

Provision for losses

     80,328      4,061       —        84,389

Policy acquisition costs

     20,628      10,446       —        31,074

Other operating expenses

     43,278      13,680       4,594      61,552

Interest expense

     6,581      4,278       1,397      12,256
                            

Total expenses

     150,815      32,465       5,991      189,271
                            

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —        —         70,745      70,745
                            

Pretax income

     100,114      62,766       66,478      229,358

Provision for income taxes

     30,004      17,716       23,268      70,988
                            

Net income

   $ 70,110    $ 45,050     $ 43,210    $ 158,370
                            

Assets

   $ 4,619,451    $ 2,680,738     $ 628,482    $ 7,928,671

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     68,381      153,388       —        221,769

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     653,236      189,047       —        842,283

Unearned premiums

     249,293      694,394       —        943,687

Stockholders’ equity

     2,259,796      1,377,263       430,498      4,067,557

 

Page 3


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Quarter Ended December 31, 2005

Exhibit D

 

(In thousands)

   Mortgage
Insurance
    Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
   Total  

Revenues:

         

Net premiums written

   $ 205,334     $ 67,387     $ —      $ 272,721  
                               

Net premiums earned

   $ 209,866     $ 52,165     $ —      $ 262,031  

Net investment income

     31,309       22,962       32      54,303  

Net gains on securities

     9,692       1,288       215      11,195  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (2,831 )     (33,324 )     24      (36,131 )

Other income

     4,384       69       2,790      7,243  
                               

Total revenues

     252,420       43,160       3,061      298,641  
                               

Expenses:

         

Provision for losses

     99,413       5,452       —        104,865  

Policy acquisition costs

     14,226       13,270       —        27,496  

Other operating expenses

     45,286       16,511       1,161      62,958  

Interest expense

     6,650       4,251       1,039      11,940  
                               

Total expenses

     165,575       39,484       2,200      207,259  
                               

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —         —         55,746      55,746  
                               

Pretax income

     86,845       3,676       56,607      147,128  

Provision for income taxes

     25,143       (2,288 )     19,812      42,667  
                               

Net income

   $ 61,702     $ 5,964     $ 36,795    $ 104,461  
                               

Assets

   $ 4,367,804     $ 2,405,234     $ 457,572    $ 7,230,610  

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     67,211       141,114       —        208,325  

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     596,210       204,792       —        801,002  

Unearned premiums

     212,875       636,485       —        849,360  

Stockholders’ equity

     2,080,445       1,251,396       331,039      3,662,880  

 

Page 4


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Year Ended December 31, 2006

Exhibit E

 

(In thousands)

   Mortgage
Insurance
   Financial
Guaranty
   Financial
Services
   Total

Revenues:

           

Net premiums written

   $ 849,111    $ 262,874    $ —      $ 1,111,985
                           

Net premiums earned

   $ 812,015    $ 203,831    $ —      $ 1,015,846

Net investment income

     138,310      95,895      140      234,345

Net gains on securities

     30,163      7,827      2,852      40,842

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     3,682      12,384      —        16,066

Other income

     13,075      692      7,080      20,847
                           

Total revenues

     997,245      320,629      10,072      1,327,946
                           

Expenses:

           

Provision for losses

     348,618      20,660      —        369,278

Policy acquisition costs

     64,964      46,645      —        111,609

Other operating expenses

     172,020      59,772      10,842      242,634

Interest expense

     26,623      16,590      4,936      48,149
                           

Total expenses

     612,225      143,667      15,778      771,670
                           

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —        —        256,993      256,993
                           

Pretax income

     385,020      176,962      251,287      813,269

Provision for income taxes

     102,266      40,880      87,951      231,097
                           

Net income

   $ 282,754    $ 136,082    $ 163,336    $ 582,172
                           

 

Page 5


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Year Ended December 31, 2005

Exhibit F

 

(In thousands)

   Mortgage
Insurance
    Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
    Total  

Revenues:

        

Net premiums written

   $ 877,632     $ 223,055     $ —       $ 1,100,687  
                                

Net premiums earned

   $ 806,897     $ 211,773     $ —       $ 1,018,670  

Net investment income

     118,325       89,977       120       208,422  

Net gains (losses) on securities

     27,649       10,737       (1,748 )     36,638  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     4,110       5,245       (185 )     9,170  

Other income

     19,008       939       5,304       25,251  
                                

Total revenues

     975,989       318,671       3,491       1,298,151  
                                

Expenses:

        

Provision for losses

     359,116       31,517       —         390,633  

Policy acquisition costs

     62,852       52,999       —         115,851  

Other operating expenses

     152,731       64,978       8,268       225,977  

Interest expense

     24,191       15,105       3,747       43,043  
                                

Total expenses

     598,890       164,599       12,015       775,504  
                                

Equity in net income (loss) of affiliates

     —         (361 )     218,053       217,692  
                                

Pretax income

     377,099       153,711       209,529       740,339  

Provision for income taxes

     108,493       35,657       73,335       217,485  
                                

Net income

   $ 268,606     $ 118,054 (1)   $ 136,194     $ 522,854 (1)
                                

        

(1)    Reflects a $4.1 million net loss from 1st quarter 2005 recapture of previously ceded business by one of the primary Financial Guaranty insurers (in millions):

       

     Incr/(Decr)                    

Net premiums earned

   $ (4.6 )      

Policy acquisition costs

     1.7        

Provision for income taxes

     (2.2 )      
              

Net loss

   $ (4.1 )      
              

 

Page 6


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2006

Exhibit G

 

($ in thousands, except ratios)

   Quarter Ended
December 31
   

Year Ended

December 31

 
   2006     2005     2006     2005  

Net Premiums Written:

        

Public finance direct

   $ 30,636     $ 21,832     $ 80,234     $ 73,117  

Public finance reinsurance

     20,526       16,443       81,065       77,797  

Structured direct

     18,981       18,923       78,107       71,211  

Structured reinsurance

     5,950       4,294       18,869       20,649  

Trade credit reinsurance

     245       5,895       4,599       35,023  
                                
     76,338       67,387       262,874       277,797  

Impact of recapture (1)

     —         —         —         (54,742 )
                                

Net Premiums Written

   $ 76,338     $ 67,387     $ 262,874     $ 223,055  
                                

Net Premiums Earned:

        

Public finance direct

   $ 9,336     $ 7,866     $ 33,017     $ 32,533  

Public finance reinsurance

     9,510       8,752       37,765       34,413  

Structured direct

     23,156       22,359       90,295       79,617  

Structured reinsurance

     5,516       4,877       21,278       20,440  

Trade credit reinsurance

     2,194       8,311       21,476       49,309  
                                
     49,712       52,165       203,831       216,312  

Impact of recapture (2)

     —         —         —         (4,539 )
                                

Net Premiums Earned

   $ 49,712     $ 52,165     $ 203,831     $ 211,773  
                                

Refundings included in earned premium

   $ 3,111     $ 3,282     $ 11,778     $ 12,796  
                                

Claims paid:

        

Trade credit reinsurance

   $ 1,338     $ 6,623     $ 15,144     $ 23,401  

Other financial guaranty

     248       (1,224 )     7,529       11,708  

Conseco

     3,513       6,181       15,763       29,574  
                                

Total

   $ 5,099     $ 11,580     $ 38,436     $ 64,683  
                                

Incurred losses:

        

Trade credit reinsurance

   $ (30 )   $ 1,586     $ 4,991     $ 16,019  

Other financial guaranty

     4,091       3,866       16,701       15,498  

Conseco

     —         —         (1,032 )     —    
                                

Total

   $ 4,061     $ 5,452     $ 20,660     $ 31,517  
                                

Loss ratio- GAAP Basis

     8.2 %     10.5 %     10.1 %     14.9 %

Expense ratio- GAAP Basis

     48.5 %     57.1 %     52.2 %     55.7 %
                                
     56.7 %     67.6 %     62.3 %     70.6 %
                                

Net claims paid (received) under derivatives contracts

   $ (729 )   $ (1,419 )   $ 63,548     $ (7,594 )
                                

        

(1)    Reflects the impact on net premiums written of the first quarter 2005 recapture of previously ceded business by one of the primary Financial Guaranty insurers:

       

                       (In thousands)  

Public reinsurance

           48,238  

Structured reinsurance

           6,504  

(2)    Reflects the impact on net premiums earned of the first quarter 2005 recapture of previously ceded business by one of the primary Financial Guaranty insurers:

       

                       (In thousands)  

Public reinsurance

           3,870  

Structured reinsurance

           669  

 

Page 7


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2006

Exhibit H

 

($ in thousands, except ratios)

   December 31
2006
    December 31
2005
 

Capital and surplus

   $ 1,014,958     $ 1,004,505  

Contingency reserve

     336,719       271,907  
                

Qualified statutory capital

     1,351,677       1,276,412  

Unearned premium reserve

     829,340       751,656  

Loss and loss expense reserve

     96,829       108,576  
                

Total policyholders’ reserves

     2,277,846       2,136,644  

Present value of installment premiums

     345,565       302,953  

Reinsurance and soft capital facilities

     150,000       150,000  
                

Total claims paying resources

   $ 2,773,411     $ 2,589,597  
                

Net debt service outstanding

   $ 143,728,116     $ 110,344,057  
                

Capital leverage ratio (1)

     106       86  

Claims paying leverage ratio (2)

     52       43  

Net par outstanding by product:

    

Public finance direct

   $ 16,324,170     $ 14,043,786  

Public finance reinsurance

     37,488,972       33,047,512  

Structured direct

     44,960,360       24,608,489  

Structured reinsurance

     5,192,122       4,952,146  
                

Total

   $ 103,965,624     $ 76,651,933  
                

Reinsurance business net par outstanding:

    

Treaty

     59 %     58 %

Facultative

     41 %     42 %

Reserve for losses and LAE

    

Specific

   $ 35,320     $ 29,311  

Conseco

     33,975       50,770  

Non-specific

     119,752       124,711  
                

Total

   $ 189,047     $ 204,792  
                

(1) Net debt service outstanding divided by qualified statutory capital
(2) Net debt service outstanding divided by total claims paying resources

 

Page 8


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2006

Exhibit I

 

    

Quarter Ended

December 31

   

Year Ended

December 31

 
     2006     %     2005     %     2006     %     2005     %  

Primary New Insurance Written ($ in millions)

                

Flow

   $ 6,451     85.2 %   $ 6,740     61.7 %   $ 25,364     63.2 %   $ 25,596     60.1 %

Structured

     1,123     14.8 %     4,188     38.3 %     14,753     36.8 %     16,996     39.9 %
                                                        

Total Primary

   $ 7,574     100.0 %   $ 10,928     100.0 %   $ 40,117     100.0 %   $ 42,592     100.0 %
                                                        

Flow

                

Prime

   $ 4,608     71.4 %   $ 5,025     74.6 %   $ 18,578     73.2 %   $ 19,177     74.9 %

Alt-A

     1,276     19.8 %     1,159     17.2 %     4,836     19.1 %     4,093     16.0 %

A minus and below

     567     8.8 %     556     8.2 %     1,950     7.7 %     2,326     9.1 %
                                                        

Total Flow

   $ 6,451     100.0 %   $ 6,740     100.0 %   $ 25,364     100.0 %   $ 25,596     100.0 %
                                                        

Structured

                

Prime

   $ 341     30.4 %   $ 1,676     40.0 %   $ 4,000     27.1 %   $ 5,657     33.3 %

Alt-A

     685     61.0 %     1,707     40.8 %     9,222     62.5 %     7,147     42.0 %

A minus and below

     97     8.6 %     805     19.2 %     1,531     10.4 %     4,192     24.7 %
                                                        

Total Structured

   $ 1,123     100.0 %   $ 4,188     100.0 %   $ 14,753     100.0 %   $ 16,996     100.0 %
                                                        

Total

                

Prime

   $ 4,949     65.3 %   $ 6,701     61.3 %   $ 22,578     56.3 %   $ 24,834     58.3 %

Alt-A

     1,961     25.9 %     2,866     26.2 %     14,058     35.0 %     11,240     26.4 %

A minus and below

     664     8.8 %     1,361     12.5 %     3,481     8.7 %     6,518     15.3 %
                                                        

Total Primary

   $ 7,574     100.0 %   $ 10,928     100.0 %   $ 40,117     100.0 %   $ 42,592     100.0 %
                                                        
Total Primary New Insurance Written by FICO Score ($ in millions)                 

Flow

                

<=619

   $ 498     7.7 %   $ 327     4.8 %   $ 1,603     6.3 %   $ 1,489     5.8 %

620-679

     2,049     31.8 %     2,000     29.7 %     7,693     30.3 %     7,680     30.0 %

680-739

     2,246     34.8 %     2,505     37.2 %     9,210     36.4 %     9,322     36.4 %

>=740

     1,658     25.7 %     1,908     28.3 %     6,858     27.0 %     7,105     27.8 %
                                                        

Total Flow

   $ 6,451     100.0 %   $ 6,740     100.0 %   $ 25,364     100.0 %   $ 25,596     100.0 %
                                                        

Structured

                

<=619

   $ 98     8.7 %   $ 808     19.3 %   $ 1,545     10.5 %   $ 4,207     24.8 %

620-679

     333     29.7 %     1,369     32.7 %     4,303     29.2 %     5,302     31.2 %

680-739

     428     38.1 %     1,337     31.9 %     5,760     39.0 %     4,833     28.4 %

>=740

     264     23.5 %     674     16.1 %     3,145     21.3 %     2,654     15.6 %
                                                        

Total Structured

   $ 1,123     100.0 %   $ 4,188     100.0 %   $ 14,753     100.0 %   $ 16,996     100.0 %
                                                        

Total

                

<=619

   $ 596     7.9 %   $ 1,135     10.4 %   $ 3,148     7.9 %   $ 5,696     13.4 %

620-679

     2,382     31.4 %     3,369     30.8 %     11,996     29.9 %     12,982     30.5 %

680-739

     2,674     35.3 %     3,842     35.2 %     14,970     37.3 %     14,155     33.2 %

>=740

     1,922     25.4 %     2,582     23.6 %     10,003     24.9 %     9,759     22.9 %
                                                        

Total Primary

   $ 7,574     100.0 %   $ 10,928     100.0 %   $ 40,117     100.0 %   $ 42,592     100.0 %
                                                        
Percentage of primary new insurance written                 

Refinances

     38 %       37 %       35 %       41 %  

95.01% LTV and above

     24 %       10 %       15 %       10 %  

ARMs

                

Less than 5 years

     16 %       31 %       24 %       35 %  

5 years and longer

     7 %       17 %       14 %       16 %  

Primary risk written ($ in millions)

                

Flow

   $ 1,590     91.8 %   $ 1,702     70.0 %   $ 6,386     82.0 %   $ 6,384     68.3 %

Structured

     142     8.2 %     729     30.0 %     1,404     18.0 %     2,961     31.7 %
                                                        

Total Primary

   $ 1,732     100.0 %   $ 2,431     100.0 %   $ 7,790     100.0 %   $ 9,345     100.0 %
                                                        

Pool risk written (In millions)

   $ 26       $ 102       $ 359       $ 569    
                                        

Other risk written (In millions)

                

Seconds

                

1st loss

   $ 4       $ 40       $ 47       $ 97    

2nd loss

     27         247         233         571    

NIMs

     264         33         502         99    

International

                

1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance

     34         27         65         271    

Reinsurance

     14         2         21         9    

Credit-default swaps

     —           7,303         —           7,303    

Other

                

Domestic credit default swaps

     —           30         32         180    

Financial guaranty wrap

     —           —           —           511    
                                        

Total other risk written

   $ 343       $ 7,682       $ 900       $ 9,041    
                                        

 

Page 9


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2006

Exhibit J

 

     December 31     December 31  
     2006     %     2005     %  

Primary insurance in force ($ in millions)

        

Flow

   $ 83,529     73.3 %   $ 82,700     75.4 %

Structured

     30,374     26.7 %     26,984     24.6 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 113,903     100.0 %   $ 109,684     100.0 %
                            

Prime

   $ 76,854     67.5 %   $ 74,940     68.3 %

Alt-A

     25,571     22.4 %     21,223     19.4 %

A minus and below

     11,478     10.1 %     13,521     12.3 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 113,903     100.0 %   $ 109,684     100.0 %
                            

Primary risk in force ($ in millions)

        

Flow

   $ 20,724     81.9 %   $ 20,330     79.0 %

Structured

     4,587     18.1 %     5,399     21.0 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 25,311     100.0 %   $ 25,729     100.0 %
                            

Flow

        

Prime

   $ 16,283     78.6 %   $ 15,630     76.9 %

Alt-A

     2,880     13.9 %     3,131     15.4 %

A minus and below

     1,561     7.5 %     1,569     7.7 %
                            

Total Flow

   $ 20,724     100.0 %   $ 20,330     100.0 %
                            

Structured

        

Prime

   $ 1,903     41.5 %   $ 2,208     40.9 %

Alt-A

     1,354     29.5 %     1,358     25.1 %

A minus and below

     1,330     29.0 %     1,833     34.0 %
                            

Total Structured

   $ 4,587     100.0 %   $ 5,399     100.0 %
                            

Total

        

Prime

   $ 18,186     71.9 %   $ 17,838     69.3 %

Alt-A

     4,234     16.7 %     4,489     17.5 %

A minus and below

     2,891     11.4 %     3,402     13.2 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 25,311     100.0 %   $ 25,729     100.0 %
                            

Total Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score

        

($ in millions)

        

Flow

        

<=619

   $ 1,342     6.5 %   $ 1,321     6.5 %

620-679

     6,391     30.8 %     6,352     31.2 %

680-739

     7,556     36.5 %     7,459     36.7 %

>=740

     5,435     26.2 %     5,198     25.6 %
                            

Total Flow

   $ 20,724     100.0 %   $ 20,330     100.0 %
                            

Structured

        

<=619

   $ 1,331     29.0 %   $ 1,833     34.0 %

620-679

     1,619     35.3 %     1,957     36.2 %

680-739

     1,095     23.9 %     1,111     20.6 %

>=740

     542     11.8 %     498     9.2 %
                            

Total Structured

   $ 4,587     100.0 %   $ 5,399     100.0 %
                            

Total

        

<=619

   $ 2,673     10.5 %   $ 3,154     12.3 %

620-679

     8,010     31.7 %     8,309     32.3 %

680-739

     8,651     34.2 %     8,570     33.3 %

>=740

     5,977     23.6 %     5,696     22.1 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 25,311     100.0 %   $ 25,729     100.0 %
                            

Percentage of primary risk in force

        

Refinances

     33 %       37 %  

95.01% LTV and above

     18 %       14 %  

ARMs

        

Less than 5 years

     19 %       23 %  

5 years and longer

     9 %       9 %  

Pool risk in force ($ in millions)

        

Prime

   $ 2,182     72.9 %   $ 2,098     77.4 %

Alt-A

     295     9.9 %     272     10.0 %

A minus and below

     514     17.2 %     341     12.6 %
                            

Total

   $ 2,991     100.0 %   $ 2,711     100.0 %
                            

 

Page 10


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2006

Exhibit K

 

     December 31     December 31  
     2006    %     2005    %  

Total Primary Risk in Force by LTV ($ in millions)

          

95.01% and above

   $ 4,441    17.6 %   $ 3,599    14.0 %

90.01% to 95.00%

     8,005    31.6 %     8,616    33.5 %

85.01% to 90.00%

     9,062    35.8 %     9,551    37.1 %

85.00% and below

     3,803    15.0 %     3,963    15.4 %
                          

Total

   $ 25,311    100.0 %   $ 25,729    100.0 %
                          

Total Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year ($ in millions)

          

2002 and prior

   $ 3,313    13.1 %   $ 4,658    18.1 %

2003

     3,800    15.0 %     5,511    21.4 %

2004

     4,565    18.1 %     7,091    27.6 %

2005

     6,538    25.8 %     8,469    32.9 %

2006

     7,095    28.0 %     —      —    
                          

Total

   $ 25,311    100.0 %   $ 25,729    100.0 %
                          

Total Pool Risk in Force by Policy Year ($ in millions)

          

2002 and prior

   $ 1,624    54.3 %   $ 1,664    61.4 %

2003

     134    4.5 %     172    6.3 %

2004

     290    9.7 %     294    10.9 %

2005

     651    21.7 %     581    21.4 %

2006

     292    9.8 %     —      —    
                          

Total Pool risk in Force

   $ 2,991    100.0 %   $ 2,711    100.0 %
                          

Other risk in force (In millions)

          

Seconds

          

1st loss

   $ 592      $ 591   

2nd loss

     610        638   

NIMs

     592        261   

International

          

1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance

     335        271   

Reinsurance

     47        29   

Credit default swaps

     7,897        7,469   

Other

          

Domestic credit default swaps

     212        180   

Financial guaranty wrap

     37        270   
                  

Total other risk in force

   $ 10,322      $ 9,709   
                  

Risk to capital ratio-STAT Basis

     10.4:1        11.6:1   

 

Page 11


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2006

Exhibit L

 

     Quarter Ended     Year Ended  
     December 31     December 31  
     2006     2005     2006     2005  

Direct claims paid (In thousands)

        

Prime

   $ 28,903     $ 33,156     $ 117,471     $ 121,297  

Alt-A

     16,654       19,968       64,018       79,371  

A minus and below

     25,996       23,762       93,662       85,980  

Seconds and other

     9,590       7,044       38,204       33,699  
                                

Total

   $ 81,143     $ 83,930     $ 313,355     $ 320,347  
                                

Average claim paid (In thousands)

        

Prime

   $ 26.7     $ 25.7     $ 26.1     $ 24.1  

Alt-A

     37.9       38.4       35.6       36.5  

A minus and below

     30.2       28.1       28.3       27.0  

Seconds

     29.2       20.5       26.8       22.0  

Total

   $ 29.9     $ 28.0     $ 28.4     $ 26.9  

Loss ratio -GAAP Basis

     40.3 %     47.4 %     42.9 %     44.5 %

Expense ratio-GAAP Basis

     32.1 %     28.4 %     29.2 %     26.7 %
                                
     72.4 %     75.8 %     72.1 %     71.2 %
                                

Reserve for losses by category (In thousands):

        

Prime

   $ 200,429     $ 179,152      

Alt-A

     135,073       137,430      

A minus and below

     227,203       190,312      

Pool Insurance

     31,116       44,135      

Seconds

     36,166       35,876      

Other

     1,635       9,305      
                    

Reserve for losses, net

     631,622       596,210      

Reinsurance recoverable

     21,614 (1)     —        
                    

Total

   $ 653,236     $ 596,210      
                    

(1) Reinsurance recoverable on a first-loss second lien captive.

 

Page 12


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2006

Exhibit M

 

     December 31
2006
    December 31
2005
 

Default Statistics

    

Primary insurance:

    

Flow

    

Prime

    

Number of insured loans

   500,464     508,117  

Number of loans in default

   15,141     18,045  

Percentage of loans in default

   3.03 %   3.55 %

Alt-A

    

Number of insured loans

   63,469     67,339  

Number of loans in default

   4,348     4,946  

Percentage of loans in default

   6.85 %   7.34 %

A minus and below

    

Number of insured loans

   52,440     54,066  

Number of loans in default

   7,250     7,543  

Percentage of loans in default

   13.83 %   13.95 %
Total Flow     

Number of insured loans

   616,373     629,522  

Number of loans in default

   26,739     30,534  

Percentage of loans in default

   4.34 %   4.85 %

Structured

    

Prime

    

Number of insured loans

   62,680     59,457  

Number of loans in default

   3,300     2,640  

Percentage of loans in default

   5.26 %   4.44 %

Alt-A

    

Number of insured loans

   70,164     50,997  

Number of loans in default

   3,647     2,564  

Percentage of loans in default

   5.20 %   5.03 %

A minus and below

    

Number of insured loans

   36,597     47,348  

Number of loans in default

   9,014     8,472  

Percentage of loans in default

   24.63 %   17.89 %

Total Structured

    

Number of insured loans

   169,441     157,802  

Number of loans in default

   15,961     13,676  

Percentage of loans in default

   9.42 %   8.67 %

Total Primary Insurance

    

Prime

    

Number of insured loans

   563,144     567,574  

Number of loans in default

   18,441     20,685  

Percentage of loans in default

   3.27 %   3.64 %

Alt-A

    

Number of insured loans

   133,633     118,336  

Number of loans in default

   7,995     7,510  

Percentage of loans in default

   5.98 %   6.35 %

A minus and below

    

Number of insured loans

   89,037     101,414  

Number of loans in default

   16,264     16,015  

Percentage of loans in default

   18.27 %   15.79 %

Total Primary Insurance

    

Number of insured loans

   785,814     787,324  

Number of loans in default

   42,700 (1)   44,210 (1)

Percentage of loans in default

   5.43 %   5.62 %

Pool insurance:

    

Number of loans in default

   18,681 (2)   10,194 (2)

(1) Includes approximately 1,161 and 452 defaults at December 31, 2006 and December 31, 2005, respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated.
(2) Includes approximately 13,309 and 3,699 defaults at December 31, 2006 and December 31, 2005, respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated.

 

Page 13


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2006

Exhibit N

 

    

Quarter Ended

December 31

    Year Ended
December 31
 
     2006     2005     2006     2005  

Net Premiums Written (In thousands)

        

Primary and Pool Insurance

   $ 162,875     $ 185,369     $ 723,213     $ 752,194  

Seconds

     15,469       8,391       57,935       56,092  

NIMs

     11,564       8,170       34,215       40,318  

International

     11,614       2,901       23,861       25,612  

Domestic credit default swaps

     821       408       9,778       3,132  

Financial guaranty wrap

     19       95       109       284  
                                

Net Premiums Written

   $ 202,362     $ 205,334     $ 849,111     $ 877,632  
                                

Net Premiums Earned (In thousands)

        

Primary and Pool Insurance

   $ 173,413     $ 187,162     $ 715,136     $ 712,538  

Seconds

     11,564       13,270       52,588       50,043  

NIMs

     10,228       7,513       28,251       39,877  

International

     2,448       1,228       10,644       3,338  

Domestic credit default swaps

     1,535       598       5,287       817  

Financial guaranty wrap

     19       95       109       284  
                                

Net Premiums Earned

   $ 199,207     $ 209,866     $ 812,015     $ 806,897  
                                

SMART HOME (In millions)

        

Ceded Premiums Written

   $ 3.5     $ 1.0     $ 12.0     $ 3.5  

Ceded Premiums Earned

   $ 3.7     $ 0.9     $ 12.3     $ 3.0  

Captives

        

Premiums ceded to captives (In millions)

   $ 25.4     $ 25.3     $ 96.7     $ 92.9  

% of total premiums

     12.6 %     12.0 %     11.7 %     11.5 %

NIW subject to captives (In millions)

   $ 3,457     $ 4,223     $ 13,157     $ 12,221  

% of primary NIW

     45.6 %     38.6 %     32.8 %     28.7 %

IIF included in captives (1)

     34.1 %     38.6 %    

RIF included in captives (1)

     38.9 %     35.6 %    

Persistency (twelve months ended December 31)

     67.3 %     58.2 %    
     December 31
2006
    December 31
2005
             

SMART HOME

        

% of Primary RIF included in Smart Home Transactions (1)

     10.1 %     7.8 %    

(1) Radian reinsures the middle layer risk positions, while retaining a significant portion of the total risk comprising the first loss and most remote risk positions.

 

Page 14


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2006

ALT-A

Exhibit O

 

($ in millions)    Quarter Ended December 31     Year Ended December 31  
   2006    %     2005    %     2006    %     2005    %  

Primary New Insurance Written by FICO Score

                    

<=619

   $ 3    0.2 %   $ 3    0.1 %   $ 28    0.2 %   $ 34    0.3 %

620-659

     208    10.6 %     440    15.4 %     1,600    11.4 %     1,903    16.9 %

660-679

     351    17.9 %     407    14.2 %     2,019    14.4 %     1,513    13.5 %

680-739

     903    46.0 %     1,302    45.4 %     6,756    48.0 %     4,990    44.4 %

>=740

     496    25.3 %     714    24.9 %     3,655    26.0 %     2,800    24.9 %
                                                    

Total

   $ 1,961    100.0 %   $ 2,866    100.0 %   $ 14,058    100.0 %   $ 11,240    100.0 %
                                                    

Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score

                    

<=619

   $ 24    0.6 %   $ 44    1.0 %          

620-659

     729    17.2 %     936    20.9 %          

660-679

     681    16.1 %     767    17.0 %          

680-739

     1,897    44.8 %     1,903    42.4 %          

>=740

     903    21.3 %     839    18.7 %          
                                    

Total

   $ 4,234    100.0 %   $ 4,489    100.0 %          
                                    

Primary Risk in Force by LTV

                    

95.01% and above

   $ 120    2.8 %   $ 190    4.2 %          

90.01% to 95.00%

     1,237    29.2 %     1,425    31.7 %          

85.01% to 90.00%

     1,832    43.3 %     1,938    43.2 %          

85.00% and below

     1,045    24.7 %     936    20.9 %          
                                    

Total

   $ 4,234    100.0 %   $ 4,489    100.0 %          
                                    

Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year

                    

2002 and prior

   $ 317    7.5 %   $ 520    11.6 %          

2003

     529    12.5 %     874    19.5 %          

2004

     712    16.8 %     1,432    31.9 %          

2005

     1,157    27.3 %     1,663    37.0 %          

2006

     1,519    35.9 %     —      —              
                                    

Total

   $ 4,234    100.0 %   $ 4,489    100.0 %          
                                    

 

Page 15


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Services Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2006

Exhibit P

 

    

Quarter Ended

December 31

   Year Ended
December 31
 
(In thousands )    2006     2005    2006     2005  

Investment in Affiliates-Selected Information

         

C-BASS

         

Balance, beginning of period

   $ 431,472     $ 343,344    $ 364,364     $ 290,073  

Net income for period

     31,598       27,520      133,900       107,791  

Dividends received

     11,675       6,500      46,869       33,500  
                               

Balance, end of period

   $ 451,395     $ 364,364    $ 451,395     $ 364,364  
                               

Sherman

         

Balance, beginning of period

   $ 129,064     $ 53,313    $ 81,753     $ 101,492  

Net income for period

     39,146       28,225      123,835       110,261  

Dividends received

     —         —        103,740       110,661  

Other comprehensive income

     (798 )     215      (743 )     1,683  

Purchase (sale) of ownership interest

     —         —        66,307       (18,947 )

Warrant repurchase

     —         —        —         (2,075 )
                               

Balance, end of period

   $ 167,412     $ 81,753    $ 167,412     $ 81,753  
                               

Portfolio Information:

         

C-BASS

         

Servicing portfolio

   $ 60,600,000     $ 44,830,000     

Total assets

     8,799,261       7,694,294     

Servicing income

     77,905       65,415    $ 309,508     $ 250,838  

Net interest income

     73,836       53,878      285,844       190,716  

Total revenues

     189,645       168,749      746,113       624,825  

Sherman

         

Total assets

   $ 1,213,049     $ 979,215     

Net revenues

   $ 230,916     $ 226,844    $ 934,536     $ 799,195  

Radian owns a 46% interest in C-BASS and an interest in Sherman, consisting of 40.96% of the Class A Common Units of Sherman (Class A Common Units represent 94% of the total equity in Sherman) and 50% of the Preferred Units of Sherman .

 

Page 16


All statements made in this news release that address events or developments that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are made on the basis of management’s current views and assumptions with respect to future events. The forward-looking statements, as well as Radian’s prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties, including the following: changes in general financial and political conditions such as extended national or regional economic recessions (or expansions), changes in housing demand or mortgage originations, changes in housing values, population trends and changes in household formation patterns, changes in unemployment rates, changes or volatility in interest rates or consumer confidence, or changes in credit spreads; changes in investor perception of the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers, and risks faced by the businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by Radian’s insurance; the loss of a customer with whom Radian has a concentration of its insurance in force or the influence of large customers; increased severity or frequency of losses associated with certain Radian products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance and municipal guaranty insurance policies; material changes in persistency rates of Radian’s mortgage insurance policies; downgrades of Radian’s credit ratings or the insurance financial-strength ratings assigned by the major ratings agencies to Radian’s operating subsidiaries; heightened competition from other insurance providers and from alternative products to private mortgage insurance and financial guaranty insurance; changes in the charters or business practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac; the application of federal or state consumer-lending, insurance and other applicable laws and regulations, or unfavorable changes in these laws and regulations or the way they are interpreted, including: (i) the possibility of private lawsuits or investigations by state insurance departments and state attorneys general alleging that services offered by the mortgage insurance industry, such as captive reinsurance, pool insurance and contract underwriting, are violative of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act and/or similar state regulations (particularly in light of public reports that some state insurance departments are investigating captive reinsurance arrangements used in the mortgage insurance industry), or (ii) legislative and regulatory changes affecting demand for private mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance; the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty businesses or to estimate accurately the fair value amounts of derivative financial guaranty contracts in determining gains and losses on these contracts; changes in accounting guidance from the SEC or the Financial Accounting Standards Board regarding income recognition and the treatment of loss reserves in the mortgage insurance or financial guaranty industries; changes in claims against mortgage insurance products resulting from the aging of Radian’s mortgage insurance policies; vulnerability to the performance of Radian’s strategic investments; changes in the availability of affordable or adequate reinsurance for our non-prime risk; legal and other limitations on the amount of dividends we may receive from our insurance subsidiaries; and international expansion of our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses into new markets and risks associated with our international business activities. For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties, as well as certain additional risks that we face, investors should refer to the risk factors detailed in Part I, Item 1A in our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2005 and the material changes to these risks identified in our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2006. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date of this news release. Radian does not intend to and disclaims any duty or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements made in this news release to reflect new information, future events or for any other reason.