EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm QUARTERLY OPERATING SUPPLEMENT Quarterly Operating Supplement

Exhibit 99.1

 

LOGO

 

Quarterly

Operating Supplement

Third Quarter 2004


Quarterly

                   Table of Contents
Operating     
Supplement     

 

     Page

Introductory Note

   2

Company Profile

   2

Company Information

   2

Key Financial Highlights

   3

Segment Information–Financial Guaranty

   4

Statutory Income Statements

   5

Statutory Balance Sheets

   6

Gross Premiums Written by Product

   7

Total Claims-Paying Resources and Leverage Ratios

   7

Investment Portfolio Highlights

   8

Insured Portfolio Highlights

   9

Explanatory Notes

   12

Management Team

   13

Safe Harbor Statement

   14

 

1    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended September 30, 2004 / Table of Contents


Quarterly

 

Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Operating

 

Quarterly Operating Supplement

Supplement

 

September 30, 2004

 

Introductory Note

 

Radian Reinsurance Inc. (“Radian Reinsurance”) was merged with and into Radian Asset Assurance Inc. effective as of June 1, 2004. All financial information presented herein is as if the merger had occurred on January 1, 2003.

 

Company Profile

 

Radian Asset Assurance Inc., founded in 1985 and rated AA by Standard & Poor’s and Fitch Ratings and Aa3 by Moody’s, provides credit enhancement to the holders of debt obligations and asset-backed securities. As a direct writer of financial guaranty insurance for municipal bonds, asset-backed securities and structured transactions, Radian Asset Assurance Inc. plays an important role in extending the benefits of insurance to a broad range of institutions and securities issuers.

 

Radian Asset Assurance Inc. is a subsidiary of Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN), a global credit enhancement provider headquartered in Philadelphia, with significant operations in New York City and a presence in London.

 

Company Information

   

Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

 

Contact:

335 Madison Avenue

 

John C. DeLuca

New York, New York 10017

 

Senior Vice President, Market Development

1 877 337.4925 (within the U.S.)

 

1 212 984.9222

1 212 983.3100

 

john.deluca@radian.biz

 

2    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended September 30, 2004 / Introductory Note / Company Profile / Company Information


Quarterly

 

Operating

 

Supplement

  

Radian Asset Assurance Inc

Key Financial Highlights*($  Thousands)

 

     Nine months ended September 30, 2004

     Mortgage
Insurance


    Financial
Services


    Financial
Guaranty


   Total

Net premiums written

   $ 651,213     $ —       $ 144,014    $ 795,227
    


 


 

  

Net premiums earned

   $ 611,916     $ —       $ 154,801    $ 766,717

Net investment income

     87,607       82       63,981      151,670

Gains on sales of investments

     34,582       2,663       3,711      40,956

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (3,821 )     (110 )     6,507      2,576

Other income

     16,601       5,160       1,235      22,996
    


 


 

  

Total revenues

     746,885       7,795       230,235      984,915
    


 


 

  

Provision for losses

     300,162       —         45,290      345,452

Policy acquisition costs

     56,757       —         32,801      89,558

Other operating expenses

     106,015       10,499       36,728      153,242

Interest expense

     15,106       1,869       9,039      26,014
    


 


 

  

Total expenses

     478,040       12,368       123,858      614,266
    


 


 

  

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —         129,180       1,400      130,580
    


 


 

  

Pretax income

     268,845       124,607       107,777      501,229

Income tax provision

     73,510       43,611       21,424      138,545
    


 


 

  

Net income

   $ 195,335     $ 80,996     $ 86,353    $ 362,684
    


 


 

  

Total assets

   $ 4,003,276     $ 328,072     $ 2,368,672    $ 6,700,020

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     72,076       —         135,377      207,453

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     533,060       —         243,843      776,903

Unearned premiums

     129,873       —         612,818      742,691

Equity

   $ 1,958,326     $ 284,300     $ 1,240,978    $ 3,483,604
                               

* Reported on a GAAP basis.

 

3    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended September 30, 2004 / Key Financial Highlights


Quarterly

  

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Operating

  

Segment Information–Financial Guaranty ($ Thousands)

Supplement

    

 

     Nine months ended September 30, 2004

     As Reported

   Impact of
Clawback


   

As Adjusted

Excluding

Clawback


Net premiums written

   $ 144,014    $ (96,417 )   $ 240,431
    

  


 

Net premiums earned

   $ 154,801    $ (24,892 )   $ 179,693

Net investment income

     63,981      —         63,981

Gains on sales of investments

     3,711      —         3,711

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     6,507      (791 )     7,298

Other income

     1,235      —         1,235
    

  


 

Total revenues

     230,235      (25,683 )     255,918
    

  


 

Provision for losses

     45,290      —         45,290

Policy acquisition costs

     32,801      (9,766 )     42,567

Other operating expenses

     36,728      —         36,728

Interest expense

     9,039      —         9,039
    

  


 

Total expenses

     123,858      (9,766 )     133,624
    

  


 

Equity in net income of affiliates

     1,400      —         1,400
    

  


 

Pretax income

     107,777      (15,917 )     123,694

Income tax provision

     21,424      (5,571 )     26,995
    

  


 

Net income

   $ 86,353    $ (10,346 )   $ 96,699
    

  


 

 

The above schedule shows the Financial Guaranty Segment, on a GAAP basis, as reported (Column 1) and adjustments (Column 2) to reflect the income statement impact of the recapture (referred to above as the clawback) of business previously ceded to the Company by one of the primary insurer customers of the Financial Guaranty Segment. The adjusted numbers are shown in Column 3. The impact of the clawback (Column 2) reflects the clawback of business ceded to the Company in prior periods. This clawback affected the first quarter (and, as a result, the year-to-date periods) of 2004. Accordingly, management believes that Column 3 provides useful information to investors by presenting a more meaningful basis of comparison for the Financial Guaranty Segment’s past and future results.

 

4    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended September 30, 2004 / Segment Information–Financial Guaranty


Quarterly

 

Operating

 

Supplement

  

Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Statutory Income Statements* ($Thousands)

 

     Quarter ended

    Nine months ended

 
    

September 30

2004


   

September 30

2003


    September 30
2004


    September 30
2003


 

Revenues

                                

Gross premiums written

   $ 56,998     $ 95,565     $ 96,556     $ 266,070  

Reinsurance premiums ceded

     (792 )     (2,883 )     (3,356 )     (6,354 )
    


 


 


 


Net premiums written

     56,206       92,682       93,200       259,716  

(Increase) decrease in unearned premiums

     (14,676 )     (31,893 )     36,484       (82,992 )
    


 


 


 


Premiums earned

     41,530       60,789       129,684       176,724  
    


 


 


 


Net investment income

     21,542       20,006       62,557       58,348  

Net realized gain on sale of investments

     912       2,362       8,193       8,712  
    


 


 


 


Net investment gains

     22,454       22,368       70,750       67,060  
    


 


 


 


Other expense

     (3,004 )     (2,775 )     (9,057 )     (2,715 )
    


 


 


 


Total revenues

     60,980       80,382       191,377       241,069  
    


 


 


 


Expenses

                                

Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred

     2,842       10,251       115,349       32,822  

Commissions incurred

     6,739       13,283       (10,357 )     47,995  

Other underwriting expenses

     18,241       16,607       51,804       46,330  
    


 


 


 


Total expenses

     27,822       40,141       156,796       127,147  
    


 


 


 


Income before income taxes

     33,158       40,241       34,581       113,922  

Federal and foreign income tax expense

     27,056       5,618       9,556       14,834  
    


 


 


 


Net income

   $ 6,102     $ 34,623     $ 25,025     $ 99,088  
    


 


 


 


Financial Ratios

                                

Loss and LAE Ratio

     6.8 %     16.9 %     88.9 %     18.6 %

Underwriting Expense Ratio

     44.4 %     32.2 %     44.5 %     36.3 %
    


 


 


 


Combined Ratio

     512 %     491 %     1334 %     549 %
    


 


 


 



* See Explanatory Notes on page 12.

 

5    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended September 30, 2004 / Statutory Income Statements


Quarterly

 

Operating

 

Supplement

  

Radian Asset Assurance Inc

Statutory Income Statements* ($Thousands)

 

    

September 30

2004


   December 31
2003


Assets              
Long-term bonds    $ 1,799,337    $ 1,662,554
Preferred stock      31,936      32,252
Common stock      114,464      74,204
Cash and short-term investments      46,294      143,729
Receivable for securities      560      515
    

  

Total Investments

     1,992,591      1,913,254
Investment income due and accrued      23,469      23,652
Premiums receivable      18,337      21,653
Funds held by reinsured companies      386      952
Current federal income tax recoverable      —        4,924
Net deferred tax asset      3,292      3,019
Other assets      3,208      2,317
    

  

Total Assets

   $ 2,041,283    $ 1,969,771
    

  

Liabilities              
Contingency reserve    $ 239,493    $ 321,312
Losses and loss adjustment expenses      85,407      62,850
Reinsurance payable on paid losses and loss adjustment expenses      5,257      6,059
Unearned premiums      674,002      710,486
Provision for reinsurance      —        284
Payable to affiliates      3,023      25,350
Payable for securities      653      2,962
Ceded reinsurance premiums payable      1,321      1,742
Federal and foreign income taxes payable      26,120      —  
Accrued expenses and other liabilities      13,669      15,652
    

  

Total Liabilities

     1,048,945      1,146,697
    

  

Policyholders’ Surplus              
Common stock      15,000      15,000
Additional paid-in capital      593,214      528,214
Unassigned funds      384,124      279,860
    

  

Total Policyholders’ Surplus      992,338      823,074
    

  

Total Liabilities and Policyholders’ Surplus    $ 2,041,283    $ 1,969,771
    

  

Qualified Statutory Capital    $ 1,231,831    $ 1,144,386
    

  


* See Explanatory Notes on page 12.

 

6    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended September 30, 2004 / Statutory Balance Sheets


Quarterly

Operating

Supplement

  

Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Gross Premiums Written by Product* ($ Thousands)

 

    

3rd Qtr

2004


   

3rd Qtr

2003


  

Percent

Change


    YTD 2004

    YTD 2003

  

Percent

Change


 

Public Finance Direct

   $ 10,006     $ 21,545    –53.6 %   $ 35,871     $ 43,280    –17.1 %

Structured Finance Direct

     23,431       30,396    –22.9 %     80,584       69,857    15.4 %

Public Finance Reinsurance

     19,305       19,404    –0.5 %     56,202       67,011    –16.1 %

Structured Finance Reinsurance

     6,311       11,088    –43.1 %     23,607       39,386    –40.1 %

Trade Credit Reinsurance

     (2,055 )     13,132    –115.6 %     (3,291 )     46,536    –107.1 %
    


 

        


 

      
       56,998       95,565    –40.4 %     192,973       266,070    –27.5 %

Impact of Recapture

     —         —              (96,417 )     —         
    


 

        


 

      
     $ 56,998     $ 95,565    –40.4 %   $ 96,556     $ 266,070    –63.7 %
    


 

        


 

      

 

Total Claims-Paying Resources and Leverage Ratios*

($ Thousands except ratios)

 

    

September 30

2004


  

December 31

2003


   Percent
Change


 

Capital and Surplus

   $ 992,338    $ 823,074    21 %

Contingency Reserve

     239,493      321,312    –25 %
    

  

      

Qualified Statutory Capital

     1,231,831      1,144,386    8 %

Unearned Premium Reserve

     674,002      710,486    –5 %

Loss and Loss Expense Reserves

     85,407      62,850    36 %
    

  

      

Total Policyholders’ Reserves

     1,991,240      1,917,722    4 %

Present Value of Future Installment Premiums

     362,124      444,368    –19 %

Reinsurance and Soft Capital Facilities

     245,000      275,000    –11 %
    

  

      

Total Claims-Paying Resources

   $ 2,598,364    $ 2,637,090    –1 %
    

  

      

Total Debt Service

                    

(Principal and Interest) Outstanding

   $ 100,137,737    $ 117,817,484    –15 %

Capital Leverage Ratio 1

     81:1      103:1       

Claims-Paying Ratio 2

     39:1      45:1       

* See Explanatory Notes on page 12.
1 Capital Leverage Ratio: Total debt service/Qualified statutory capital.
2 Claims-Paying Ratio: Total debt service/Total claims-paying resources.

 

7    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended September 30, 2004 / Gross Premiums / Total Claims-Paying Resources


Quarterly

  

Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Operating

  

Investment Portfolio Highlights

Supplement

    

 

Asset Quality

 

As of September 30, 2004, the book value of our investment portfolio was $2.0 billion, with an average duration of 5.6 years.

 

 

LOGO

 

Asset Class

 

Our conservative portfolio is invested primarily in fixed-income securities. Our primary objective is to achieve total return, with a secondary objective of maximizing after-tax income.

 

LOGO

 

8   

Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended September 30, 2004 / Investment Portfolio Highlights


Quarterly

Operating

Supplement

  

Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Insured Portfolio Highlights* ($ Millions)

 

Geographic Diversification

 

State


   Net Par
Outstanding
(9/30/2004)


   Percent
of total
Net Par


    Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2003)


   Percent
of total
Net Par


 

California

   $ 5,222    7.9 %   $ 6,255    8.1 %

New York

     4,409    6.7 %     4,930    6.4 %

Texas

     3,299    5.0 %     3,727    4.9 %

Florida

     2,711    4.1 %     3,132    4.1 %

Pennsylvania

     2,647    4.0 %     2,950    3.8 %

Illinois

     2,632    4.0 %     2,702    3.5 %

Massachusetts

     1,676    2.5 %     2,235    2.9 %

New Jersey

     1,367    2.1 %     2,137    2.8 %

Washington

     1,207    1.8 %     1,354    1.8 %

Ohio

     1,158    1.8 %     1,179    1.5 %

Top ten states subtotal

     26,328    39.9 %     30,601    39.8 %

Total of other states

     17,981    27.3 %     20,000    26.0 %

Domestic structured finance

     17,138    26.0 %     19,782    25.7 %

International

     4,514    6.8 %     6,531    8.5 %

Total

   $ 65,961    100.0 %   $ 76,914    100.0 %

* See Explanatory Notes on page 12.

 

9    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended September 30, 2004 / Insured Portfolio Highlights


Quarterly

 

Operating

 

Supplement

  

Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Insured Portfolio Highlights* ($ Millions)

 

Sector Breakout

 

Public Finance


  

Gross Par

Outstanding

(9/30/2004)


  

Percent

of total

Gross Par


   

Net Par

Outstanding

(9/30/2004)


  

Percent

of total

Net Par


   

Gross Par

Outstanding
(12/31/2003)


  

Percent

of total

Gross Par


   

Net Par

Outstanding

(12/31/2003)


   Percent
of total
Net Par


 

General Obligations

   $ 13,315    19.6 %   $ 13,286    20.1 %   $ 14,431    18.3 %   $ 14,387    18.7 %

Healthcare

     8,050    11.9 %     8,050    12.2 %     8,874    11.2 %     8,874    11.5 %

Utilities

     6,434    9.5 %     6,304    9.6 %     8,057    10.2 %     7,925    10.3 %

Transportation

     5,226    7.7 %     5,226    7.9 %     7,214    9.1 %     7,213    9.4 %

Tax Backed

     4,093    6.0 %     4,089    6.2 %     4,373    5.6 %     4,373    5.7 %

Education

     3,614    5.3 %     3,614    5.5 %     3,818    4.8 %     3,818    5.0 %

Investor Owned Utilities

     1,705    2.5 %     1,705    2.6 %     2,234    2.8 %     2,234    2.9 %

Other Public Finance

     1,467    2.2 %     1,212    1.8 %     1,530    1.9 %     1,276    1.7 %

Long Term Care

     1,134    1.7 %     1,134    1.7 %     1,149    1.5 %     1,149    1.5 %

Housing

     803    1.2 %     803    1.2 %     1,376    1.8 %     1,376    1.8 %

Second-To-Pay Municipal Wrap

     708    1.0 %     708    1.1 %     793    1.0 %     793    1.0 %
    

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Subtotal Public Finance

   $ 46,549    68.6 %   $ 46,131    69.9 %   $ 53,849    68.2 %   $ 53,418    69.5 %

Structured Finance


  

Gross Par

Outstanding

(9/30/2004)


  

Percent

of total

Gross Par


   

Net Par

Outstanding

(9/30/2004)


  

Percent

of total

Net Par


   

Gross Par

Outstanding
(12/31/2003)


  

Percent

of total

Gross Par


   

Net Par

Outstanding

(12/31/2003)


   Percent
of total
Net Par


 

Collateralized Debt Obligations

   $ 12,499    18.4 %   $ 12,499    19.0 %   $ 10,187    12.9 %   $ 10,187    13.2 %

Asset Backed – Consumer

     3,109    4.6 %     3,109    4.7 %     7,060    8.9 %     7,060    9.2 %

Asset Backed – Mortgage and MBS

     3,390    5.0 %     1,883    2.9 %     3,723    4.7 %     2,116    2.7 %

Asset Backed – Commercial and Other

     1,605    2.3 %     1,605    2.4 %     3,153    4.0 %     3,153    4.1 %

Other Structured Finance

     734    1.1 %     734    1.1 %     1,010    1.3 %     980    1.3 %
    

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Subtotal Structured Finance

   $ 21,337    31.4 %   $ 19,830    30.1 %   $ 25,133    31.8 %   $ 23,496    30.5 %
    

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Total

   $ 67,886    100.0 %   $ 65,961    100.0 %   $ 78,982    100.0 %   $ 76,914    100.0 %

 

Rating Distribution

 

Rating**


  

Gross Par

Outstanding

(9/30/2004)


  

Percent

of total

Gross Par


   

Net Par

Outstanding

(9/30/2004)


  

Percent

of total

Net Par


   

Gross Par

Outstanding
(12/31/2003)


  

Percent

of total

Gross Par


   

Net Par

Outstanding

(12/31/2003)


   Percent
of total
Net Par


 

AAA

   $ 12,553    18.5 %   $ 11,076    16.8 %   $ 12,936    16.4 %   $ 11,372    14.8 %

AA

     15,646    23.1 %     15,537    23.6 %     17,306    21.9 %     17,186    22.3 %

A

     21,830    32.2 %     21,530    32.6 %     26,986    34.2 %     26,660    34.7 %

BBB

     14,964    22.0 %     14,925    22.6 %     17,905    22.7 %     17,862    23.2 %

Investment Grade

     393    0.6 %     393    0.6 %     600    0.7 %     600    0.8 %

Below Investment Grade

     1,594    2.3 %     1,594    2.4 %     1,284    1.6 %     1,273    1.7 %

Not Rated

     906    1.3 %     906    1.4 %     1,965    2.5 %     1,961    2.5 %
    

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Total

   $ 67,886    100.0 %   $ 65,961    100.0 %   $ 78,982    100.0 %   $ 76,914    100.0 %

* See Explanatory Notes on page 12.
** Indicated category reflects highest rating of the three rating agencies.

 

10    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended September 30, 2004 / Insured Portfolio Highlights


Quarterly

Operating

Supplement

  

Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Insured Portfolio Highlights* ($ Millions)

 

10 Largest Public Finance Exposures

 

    

Net Par
Outstanding

(9/30/2004)


   Percent
of total
Net Par


    Rating 1

California State GO

   $ 387    0.59 %       A

New York, New York GO

     382    0.58 %       A+

Long Island Power Authority New York

     328    0.50 %       A–

Port Authority of New York & New Jersey

     321    0.49 %       AA–

Jefferson County Alabama Gas & Sewer

     297    0.45 %       A

New York City Muni Water Finance

     292    0.44 %       AA

Metropolitan Transportation Authority New York

     288    0.43 %       A

Illinois State GO

     284    0.43 %       AA

Houston Airport System

     262    0.40 %       A1

Chicago, Illinois GO

     258    0.39 %       AA–

Total

   $ 3,099    4.70 %    

 

10 Largest Structured Finance Exposures

 

    

Net Par
Outstanding

(9/30/2004)


  

Percent

of total

Net Par


    Rating 2

U.S. Static Synthetic Investment Grade CDO

   $ 450    0.68 %       AAA

CDO of ABS

     390    0.59 %       AA

U.S. Static Synthetic Investment Grade CDO

     373    0.57 %       AAA

U.S. Static Synthetic Investment Grade CDO

     350    0.53 %       BB+

U.S. Static Synthetic Investment Grade CDO

     340    0.51 %       AA

U.S. Static Synthetic Investment Grade CDO

     288    0.44 %       AAA

U.S. Static Synthetic Investment Grade CDO

     285    0.43 %       AA

U.S. Static Synthetic Investment Grade CDO

     250    0.38 %       AAA

U.S. Static Synthetic Investment Grade CDO

     250    0.38 %       AA

Managed High Yield CDO

     248    0.38 %       BBB–

Total

   $ 3,224    4.89 %    

* See Explanatory Notes on page 12.
1 Indicated category reflects highest rating of the three rating agencies.
2 Indicated category reflects highest rating of the three rating agencies. Represents lowest attachment point of transactions.

 

11    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended September 30, 2004 / Insured Portfolio Highlights


Quarterly

 

Operating

 

Supplement

  

Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Explanatory Notes

 

1. Effective January 31, 2004, one of the primary insurer customers of Radian Asset Assurance Inc. (the “Company”) exercised its right to recapture business that it previously ceded to the Company. In connection with this recapture, the Company has returned approximately $16.4 billion of par in force and approximately $96.4 million of statutory unearned premium reserves to the primary insurer. In addition, the Company has been reimbursed by the primary insurer for policy acquisition costs of approximately $31.0 million. The Company has also reimbursed the primary insurer approximately $7.5 million for case reserves which were net of $4.0 million of salvage.

 

2. In May 2004, Moody’s provided the Company with an initial insurance financial strength rating of “Aa3.” Concurrently and in anticipation of the merger of Radian Reinsurance with and into the Company (which became effective June 1, 2004), Moody’s downgraded Radian Reinsurance’s financial strength rating to “Aa3” from “Aa2.” Effective June 1, 2004, the Company and Radian Reinsurance were merged, with the Company as the surviving entity. The merged company is rated “Aa3” by Moody’s, “AA” (negative outlook) by S&P and “AA” (outlook stable) by Fitch. As a result of the downgrade of the Moody’s rating related to the financial guaranty reinsurance business conducted by Radian Reinsurance prior to the merger, two of the primary insurer customers of the financial guaranty reinsurance business had the right to recapture written business ceded to the Company. One of these customers has agreed, without cost to or concessions by the Company, to waive its recapture rights. On November 8, 2004, the remaining primary insurer customer with recapture rights notified the Company of its intent to recapture, at an unspecified date in the near future, approximately $5.8 billion of par in force ceded to the Company, including $49.8 million of written premiums as of September 30, 2004. The amount of future lost premiums due to this recapture will be approximately $94.0 million, which is made up of the unearned premium balance and the value of future installment premiums. This customer also has the right to recapture an additional $5.6 billion of par in force ceded to the Company, including $56.6 million of written premiums as of September 30, 2004. The Company is in discussions with this customer and cannot provide any assurances as to the outcome of these negotiations. The Company expects a decision on this matter before the end of 2004. Despite the recapture, the primary insurer customer also informally advised the Company that, going forward, the customer intends to continue its reinsurance relationship with the Company on the same terms.

 

3. Gross and net written premiums for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 decreased $170 million and $167 million, respectively, compared to the same period of 2003. These decreases were primarily the result of the January 31, 2004 recapture of $96 million of previously written premiums in the first quarter of 2004 and a $50 million reduction in trade credit premiums resulting from the Company novating business to affiliates.

 

4. Premiums earned for the third quarter of 2004 were $42 million versus $61 million for the same period of 2003, a decline of $19 million. This decline is primarily due to the novation of the trade credit business to affiliates.

 

5. Loss and loss adjustment expenses incurred for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 were $83 million higher than the comparable period of 2003 primarily due to the establishment of a $111 million reserve on a statutory basis (recorded on a GAAP basis in 2003) pertaining to a single manufactured housing transaction.

 

6. Commission expenses for the quarter ended September 30, 2004 were $7 million lower than the $13 million incurred for the same period of 2003 due to lower assumed premiums written. For the first nine months of 2004, commission expenses were $58 million lower than the same period of 2003. The January 31, 2004 recapture resulted in a reduction to commission expenses of $31 million. The remainder of the reduction in commission expenses is a result of lower assumed premiums written in the financial guaranty and trade credit products.

 

7. The contingency reserve decreased $82 million to $239 million at September 30, 2004 compared to December 31, 2003 primarily as a result of the January 31, 2004 recapture.

 

8. Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves increased by $23 million to $85 million at September 30, 2004 compared to December 31, 2003 primarily resulting from the establishment of a $111 million reserve on a statutory basis (recorded on a GAAP basis in 2003) for a single manufactured housing transaction, offset by a $17 million reduction in trade credit loss reserves novated by the Company to affiliates and by $76 million of loss payments.

 

9. Unearned premiums were $36 million lower at September 30, 2004 compared to December 31, 2003 as a result of the January 31, 2004 recapture of financial guaranty business by one of the Company’s primary insurers.

 

10. Additional paid-in capital increased $65 million from December 31, 2003, as the result of a capital contribution related to the manufactured housing transaction for which the $111 million reserve was established.

 

11. Investment in common stock increased $40 million at September 30, 2004 primarily as a result of the capitalization of Radian Financial Products Limited, the Company’s 100% owned United Kingdom based Securities and Futures Company.

 

12    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended September 30, 2004 / Explanatory Notes


Quarterly

Operating

Supplement

  

Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Management Team

 

Martin A. Kamarck

President

David J. Beidler

Senior Vice President, Counselor to the President

Sally B. Campbell

Senior Vice President, Public Finance

Stephen D. Cooke

Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer

John C. DeLuca

Senior Vice President, Market Development

Bonita Z. Dorland

Executive Vice President, Chief Underwriting Officer

Paul C. Larsen

Senior Vice President, Head of Surveillance and Risk Management

Anna M. Laudon

Vice President, Managing Director of Asset Backed Securities

Andrew C.J. Poole

Managing Director, Radian Asset Assurance Ltd. & Radian Representatives Ltd.

Jack Praschnik

Senior Vice President, Global Strategies

Andrew Reid

Vice President, Managing Director of Global Markets

Patrick Rossi

Senior Vice President, Controller

Jeffrey C. Salton

Senior Vice President, Operations and Analysis

Hao Wu

Vice President, Managing Director of Financial Products

 

13    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended September 30, 2004 / Management Team


Quarterly

Operating

Supplement

  

Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Safe Harbor Statement

 

All statements in this document that address operating performance, events or developments that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are made on the basis of management’s current views and assumptions with respect to future events.

 

The forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties including the following: changes in general financial and political conditions, such as extended national or regional economic recessions, changes in housing values, changes or volatility in interest rates, or other political instability; changes in investor perception of the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers, and risks faced by the businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by Radian’s insurance; the loss of significant customers with whom Radian has a concentration of its insurance in force; rising delinquencies in mortgage loans insured by Radian resulting from increased consolidation of mortgage lenders and servicers; increased severity or frequency of losses associated with certain Radian products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance and municipal guaranty insurance policies; material changes in persistency rates of Radian’s mortgage insurance policies; downgrades of the insurance financial-strength ratings assigned by the major ratings agencies to Radian’s operating subsidiaries; intense competition from others and from alternative products to private mortgage insurance and financial guaranty insurance; changes in the business practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac; legislative and regulatory changes affecting demand for private mortgage insurance and financial guaranty insurance; changes in claims against mortgage insurance products resulting from the aging of Radian’s mortgage insurance policies; changes in Radian’s ability to maintain sufficient reinsurance capacity in an increasingly concentrated reinsurance market; vulnerability to the performance of Radian’s strategic investments; and the loss of executive officers or other key personnel.

 

Investors are also directed to other risks discussed in documents filed by Radian with the SEC, including the factors detailed in our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2003 in the section immediately preceding Part I of the report.

 

Radian does not intend to and disclaims any duty or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements made in this document to reflect new information, future events or for any other reason.

 

14    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended September 30, 2004 / Safe Harbor Statement