EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm PRESS RELEASE Press Release

Exhibit 99.1

 

LOGO

1601 Market Street

   News Release

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

  

19103-2337

  

800  523.1988

  

215  564.6600

  

 

 

 

Contact:

 

For investors

      Mona Zeehandelaar – phone: 215 231.1674
          email: mona.zeehandelaar@radian.biz

For the media

      Emily Riley – phone: 215 231.1328
          email: emily.riley@radian.biz

 

 

 

Radian Reports Record Third Quarter 2004 Net Income of $122 Million

 

PHILADELPHIA, Pa., October 20, 2004 — Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) today reported its results for the quarter ended September 30, 2004. The key financial highlights of the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2004 are shown in the following tables:

 

Key Financial Highlights (dollars in millions, except per share data)

 

Third Quarter:

     Quarter Ended
September 30, 2004


   Quarter Ended
September 30, 2003


   Percent
Change


 

Net income

   $122.2    $114.0    7 %

Net income per share

   $  1.31    $  1.20    9 %

Net premiums written

   $282.5    $285.5    (1 %)

Premiums earned

   $264.0    $261.0    1 %

Revenues*

   $377.3    $349.0    8 %

Book value per share (as of 9/30)

   $37.90    $33.35    14 %

Equity in net income of affiliates

   $  45.9    $  21.3    116 %


Nine Months:

     Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2004


   Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2003


  

Percent
Change


 

Net income

   $   362.7    $   330.4    10 %

Net income per share

   $     3.84    $     3.50    10 %

Net premiums written

   $   795.2    $   811.8    (2 %)

Net premiums written**

   $   891.6    $   811.8    10 %

Premiums earned

   $   766.7    $   742.2    3 %

Premiums earned**

   $   791.6    $   742.2    7 %

Revenues*

   $1,112.9    $1,009.3    10 %

Equity in net income of affiliates

   $   130.6    $     70.0    87 %

 

* In conformity with the current period presentation, prior period revenues have been adjusted to include gain/loss on sales of investments. The adjusted presentation appears in the financial information that accompanies this release. Certain other prior-period amounts included in the accompanying financial information also have been reclassified to conform to the current period presentation.
** These amounts exclude the impact of one of the primary insurer’s recapture of business from Radian’s financial guaranty reinsurance business, which is described in Radian’s Current Report on Form 8-K, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on February 11, 2004. A reconciliation and additional information about the impact of this recapture can be found in Schedules 1 and 2 to this release.

 

 

“We’re pleased to report a record quarter for Radian,” stated Radian’s Chairman and CEO Frank P. Filipps. “The contributions from each business segment together helped Radian achieve its highest quarterly net income of $122 million and revenues of more than $377 million.”

 

- 2 -


Radian will hold a conference call to discuss its third quarter results on Thursday, October 21, 2004, at 9:00 a.m. Eastern time. This call will be broadcast live over the Internet at www.ir.radiangroupinc.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-audioarchives, or at www.radiangroupinc.com, under “News.” A replay of the webcast will be available at this site approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends and a transcript of the call will be available at this site approximately 24 hours after the call ends, both for a period of one year. Statistical and financial information, which is expected to be referred to during the conference call, will be available on Radian’s website under “Investor Information – News and Events – Webcasts and Presentations” or will be accessible by clicking on www.ir.radiangroupinc.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-audioarchives.

 

Radian Group Inc. is a leading credit enhancement provider to the global financial and capital markets, headquartered in Philadelphia. Radian’s subsidiaries provide products and services through three business lines: financial guaranty, mortgage insurance and other financial services. Additional information may be found at www.radiangroupinc.com.

 

- 3 -


Financial Results and Supplemental Information Contents

 

Exhibit A:

   Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income

Exhibit B:

   Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

Exhibit C:

   Segment Information Quarter Ended September 30, 2004

Exhibit D:

   Segment Information Quarter Ended September 30, 2003

Exhibit E:

   Segment Information Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004

Exhibit F:

   Segment Information Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003

Exhibit G:

   Financial Guaranty Insurance Supplemental Information – Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2004

Exhibit H:

   Financial Guaranty Insurance Supplemental Information – Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2004

Exhibit I:

   Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: New Insurance Written, Risk Written and Captives

Exhibit J:

   Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Insurance in Force and Risk in Force

Exhibit K:

   Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Risk in Force by LTV and Policy Year

Exhibit L:

   Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Claims and Defaults

Exhibit M:

   Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: ALT A

Exhibit N:

   Financial Services Supplemental Information

Exhibit O:

   Supplemental Schedule 1: Reinsurance Clawback Impact on Radian Group

Exhibit P:

   Supplemental Schedule 2: Reinsurance Clawback Impact on Financial Guaranty

 

- 4 -


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income

Exhibit A

 

     Quarter Ended
September 30


   Nine Months Ended
September 30


 
(Thousands of dollars, except per share data)    2004

    2003

   2004

   2003

 

Revenues:

                              

Net premiums written

   $ 282,530     $ 285,517    $ 795,227    $ 811,773  
    


 

  

  


Premiums earned

   $ 264,048     $ 261,043    $ 766,717    $ 742,184  

Net investment income

     51,086       46,365      151,670      140,041  

Equity in net income of affiliates

     45,926       21,287      130,580      70,034  

Gain/loss on sales of investments

     8,993       1,778      40,956      8,627  

Other income

     7,200       18,489      22,996      48,449  
    


 

  

  


Total revenues

     377,253       348,962      1,112,919      1,009,335  
    


 

  

  


Expenses:

                              

Provision for losses

     114,125       100,762      345,452      264,060  

Policy acquisition costs

     35,903       33,787      89,558      96,172  

Other operating expenses

     47,659       51,423      153,242      152,429  

Interest expense

     7,996       9,652      26,014      27,888  
    


 

  

  


Total expenses

     205,683       195,624      614,266      540,549  
    


 

  

  


Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (2,083 )     6,072      2,576      (6,655 )
    


 

  

  


Pretax income

     169,487       159,410      501,229      462,131  

Provision for income taxes

     47,316       45,432      138,545      131,707  
    


 

  

  


Net income available to common stockholders

   $ 122,171     $ 113,978    $ 362,684    $ 330,424  
    


 

  

  


Net income per share

   $ 1.31     $ 1.20    $ 3.84    $ 3.50  
    


 

  

  


Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands)

     93,387       94,886      94,456      94,514  

 

- 5 -


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

Exhibit B

 

(Thousands of dollars, except per share data)    September 30
2004


   December 31
2003


   September 30
2003


Assets:

                    

Cash and investments

   $ 5,303,946    $ 5,074,531    $ 4,845,309

Investments in affiliates

     347,404      328,478      300,465

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     207,453      218,779      212,078

Prepaid federal income taxes

     426,813      358,840      322,711

Other assets

     414,404      465,139      472,831
    

  

  

Total assets

   $ 6,700,020    $ 6,445,767    $ 6,153,394
    

  

  

Liabilities and stockholders’ equity:

                    

Unearned premiums

   $ 742,691    $ 718,649    $ 684,931

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     776,903      790,380      669,046

Long-term debt

     717,579      717,404      717,347

Deferred federal income taxes

     769,342      712,354      684,310

Other liabilities

     209,901      281,136      274,879
    

  

  

Total liabilities

     3,216,416      3,219,923      3,030,513
    

  

  

Common stock

     96      96      95

Additional paid-in capital

     1,096,793      1,199,056      1,186,481

Retained earnings

     2,243,400      1,886,548      1,832,950

Accumulated other comprehensive income

     143,315      140,144      103,355
    

  

  

Total common stockholders’ equity

     3,483,604      3,225,844      3,122,881
    

  

  

Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity

   $ 6,700,020    $ 6,445,767    $ 6,153,394
    

  

  

Book value per share

   $ 37.90    $ 34.31    $ 33.35

 

- 6 -


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Quarter Ended September 30, 2004

Exhibit C

 

(Thousands of dollars)    Mortgage
Insurance


    Financial
Services


    Financial
Guaranty


   Total

 

Revenues:

                               

Net premiums written

   $ 209,085     $     $ 73,445    $ 282,530  
    


 


 

  


Premiums earned

   $ 205,313     $ —       $ 58,735    $ 264,048  

Net investment income

     29,391       8       21,687      51,086  

Equity in net income (loss) of affiliates

     —         43,893       2,033      45,926  

Gain/loss on sales of investments

     6,359       64       2,570      8,993  

Other income

     5,381       1,438       381      7,200  
    


 


 

  


Total revenues

     246,444       45,403       85,406      377,253  
    


 


 

  


Expenses:

                               

Provision for losses

     101,000       —         13,125      114,125  

Policy acquisition costs

     22,538       —         13,365      35,903  

Other operating expenses

     31,817       2,184       13,658      47,659  

Interest expense

     4,694       559       2,743      7,996  
    


 


 

  


Total expenses

     160,049       2,743       42,891      205,683  
    


 


 

  


Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (7,035 )     (145 )     5,097      (2,083 )
    


 


 

  


Pretax income

     79,360       42,515       47,612      169,487  

Income tax provision

     21,212       14,879       11,225      47,316  
    


 


 

  


Net income

   $ 58,148     $ 27,636     $ 36,387    $ 122,171  
    


 


 

  


Assets

   $ 4,003,276     $ 328,072     $ 2,368,672    $ 6,700,020  

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     72,076       —         135,377      207,453  

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     533,060       —         243,843      776,903  

Unearned premiums

     129,873       —         612,818      742,691  

Equity

     1,958,326       284,300       1,240,978      3,483,604  

 

- 7 -


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

 

Segment Information

 

Quarter Ended September 30, 2003

 

Exhibit D

 

(Thousands of dollars)


   Mortgage
Insurance


    Financial
Services


    Financial
Guaranty


   Total

Revenues:

                             

Net premiums written

   $ 195,360     $ —       $ 90,157    $ 285,517
    


 


 

  

Premiums earned

   $ 199,787     $ —       $ 61,256    $ 261,043

Net investment income

     26,626       —         19,739      46,365

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —         19,138       2,149      21,287

Gain/loss on sales of investments

     506       (748 )     2,020      1,778

Other income

     10,729       7,509       251      18,489
    


 


 

  

Total revenues

     237,648       25,899       85,415      348,962
    


 


 

  

Expenses:

                             

Provision for losses

     82,074       —         18,688      100,762

Policy acquisition costs

     18,374       —         15,413      33,787

Other operating expenses

     33,846       7,942       9,635      51,423

Interest expense

     5,403       873       3,376      9,652
    


 


 

  

Total expenses

     139,697       8,815       47,112      195,624
    


 


 

  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (580 )     8       6,644      6,072
    


 


 

  

Pretax income

     97,371       17,092       44,947      159,410

Income tax provision

     26,256       6,848       12,328      45,432
    


 


 

  

Net income

   $ 71,115     $ 10,244     $ 32,619    $ 113,978
    


 


 

  

Assets

   $ 3,692,010     $ 286,546     $ 2,174,838    $ 6,153,394

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     76,844       —         135,234      212,078

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     499,583       —         169,463      669,046

Unearned premiums

     104,064       —         580,867      684,931

Equity

     1,760,328       234,106       1,128,447      3,122,881

 

- 8 -


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

 

Segment Information

 

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2004

 

Exhibit E

 

(Thousands of dollars)    Mortgage
Insurance


    Financial
Services


    Financial
Guaranty


   Total

Revenues:

                             

Net premiums written

   $ 651,213     $ —       $ 144,014    $ 795,227
    


 


 

  

Premiums earned

   $ 611,916     $ —       $ 154,801    $ 766,717

Net investment income

     87,607       82       63,981      151,670

Equity in net income (loss) of affiliates

     —         129,180       1,400      130,580

Gain/loss on sales of investments

     34,582       2,663       3,711      40,956

Other income

     16,601       5,160       1,235      22,996
    


 


 

  

Total revenues

     750,706       137,085       225,128      1,112,919
    


 


 

  

Expenses:

                             

Provision for losses

     300,162       —         45,290      345,452

Policy acquisition costs

     56,757       —         32,801      89,558

Other operating expenses

     106,015       10,499       36,728      153,242

Interest expense

     15,106       1,869       9,039      26,014
    


 


 

  

Total expenses

     478,040       12,368       123,858      614,266
    


 


 

  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (3,821 )     (110 )     6,507      2,576
    


 


 

  

Pretax income

     268,845       124,607       107,777      501,229

Income tax provision

     73,510       43,611       21,424      138,545
    


 


 

  

Net income

   $ 195,335     $ 80,996     $ 86,353    $ 362,684
    


 


 

  

 

 

- 9 -


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2003

Exhibit F

 

(Thousands of dollars)    Mortgage
Insurance


    Financial
Services


    Financial
Guaranty


    Total

 

Revenues:

                                

Net premiums written

   $ 550,359     $ —       $ 261,414     $ 811,773  
    


 


 


 


Premiums earned

   $ 557,537     $ —       $ 184,647     $ 742,184  

Net investment income

     81,208       36       58,797       140,041  

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —         62,427       7,607       70,034  

Gain/loss on sales of investments

     1,371       (1,666 )     8,922       8,627  

Other income

     25,145       20,294       3,010       48,449  
    


 


 


 


Total revenues

     665,261       81,091       262,983       1,009,335  
    


 


 


 


Expenses:

                                

Provision for losses

     212,278       —         51,782       264,060  

Policy acquisition costs

     53,297       —         42,875       96,172  

Other operating expenses

     96,442       28,166       27,821       152,429  

Interest expense

     16,065       2,346       9,477       27,888  
    


 


 


 


Total expenses

     378,082       30,512       131,955       540,549  
    


 


 


 


Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (606 )     35       (6,084 )     (6,655 )
    


 


 


 


Pretax income

     286,573       50,614       124,944       462,131  

Income tax provision

     77,614       20,247       33,846       131,707  
    


 


 


 


Net income

   $ 208,959     $ 30,367     $ 91,098     $ 330,424  
    


 


 


 


 

- 10 -


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Guaranty Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2004

Exhibit G

 

(Thousands of dollars, except ratios)    Quarter Ended
September 30


    Nine Months Ended
September 30


 
     2004

    2003

    2004

    2003

 

Net Premiums Written:

                        

Public finance direct

   10,006     21,570     35,871     43,118  

Public finance reinsurance

   19,305     19,380     56,202     66,930  

Structured direct

   23,293     24,743     76,526     62,445  

Structured reinsurance

   6,407     10,749     23,813     38,481  

Trade credit

   14,434     13,715     48,019     50,440  
    

 

 

 

     73,445     90,157     240,431     261,414  

Impact of recapture (1)

   —       —       (96,417 )   —    
    

 

 

 

Net Premiums Written

   73,445     90,157     144,014     261,414  
    

 

 

 

Net Premiums Earned:

                        

Public finance direct

   7,327     4,799     19,516     13,074  

Public finance reinsurance

   9,725     13,802     30,810     37,655  

Structured direct

   19,961     17,119     57,542     55,593  

Structured reinsurance

   7,285     11,282     24,948     36,631  

Trade credit

   14,437     14,254     46,877     41,694  
    

 

 

 

     58,735     61,256     179,693     184,647  

Impact of recapture (1)

   —       —       (24,892 )   —    
    

 

 

 

Net Premiums Earned

   58,735     61,256     154,801     184,647  
    

 

 

 

Claims paid:

                        

Trade credit

   3,288     7,274     18,478     15,595  

Financial guaranty

   7,474     4,708     24,640     6,530  

Conseco

   8,225     —       23,307     —    
    

 

 

 

Total

   18,987     11,982     66,425     22,125  

Impact of recapture (1)

   —       —       11,488     —    
    

 

 

 

Claims paid

   18,987     11,982     77,913     22,125  
    

 

 

 

Incurred losses:

                        

Trade credit

   6,907     9,440     23,541     23,538  

Financial guaranty

   6,218     9,248     21,749     28,244  

Conseco

   —       —       —       —    
    

 

 

 

Total

   13,125     18,688     45,290     51,782  
    

 

 

 

Loss ratio—  GAAP Basis

   22.3 %   30.5 %   29.3 %   28.0 %

Expense ratio—  GAAP Basis

   46.0 %   40.9 %   44.9 %   38.3 %
    

 

 

 

     68.3 %   71.4 %   74.2 %   66.3 %
    

 

 

 

Refundings included in earned premium

   1,895     1,400     4,167     6,305  
    

 

 

 

 

(1) Amounts recorded related to the recapture of previously ceded business by one of the primary insurer customers of the financial guaranty insurance business in the first quarter of 2004.

 

- 11 -


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Guaranty Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2004

Exhibit H

 

(Thousands of dollars, except ratios)    September 30
2004


   December 31
2003


   September 30
2003


Capital and surplus

   996,657    826,550    798,354

Contingency reserve

   239,493    321,312    307,697
    
  
  

Qualified statutory capital

   1,236,150    1,147,862    1,106,051

Unearned premium reserve

   709,302    735,156    690,525

Loss and loss expense reserve

   126,466    95,130    83,556
    
  
  

Total policyholders' reserves

   2,071,918    1,978,148    1,880,132

Present value of installment premiums

   363,166    444,368    438,750

Reinsurance and soft capital facilities

   245,000    275,000    275,000
    
  
  

Total claims paying resources

   2,680,084    2,697,516    2,593,882
    
  
  

Net debt service outstanding

   100,219,130    117,900,058    116,241,337
    
  
  

Capital leverage ratio (2)

   81    103    105

Claims paying leverage ratio (3)

   37    44    45

Reserve for losses and LAE

              

Specific

   43,970    86,378    82,421

Conseco

   87,693    111,000    —  

Non-specific

   112,180    79,529    87,042
    
  
  

Total

   243,843    276,907    169,463
    
  
  

 

(2) Net debt service outstanding divided by qualified statutory capital
(3) Net debt service outstanding divided by total claims paying resources

 

- 12 -


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2004

Exhibit I

 

    

Quarter Ended

September 30


   

Nine Months Ended

September 30


 
     2004

    %

    2003

    %

    2004

    %

    2003

    %

 
Primary New Insurance Written (in millions)                                                         

Flow

     9,123     78.1 %     14,311     88.0 %     28,392     85.7 %     38,167     68.6 %

Structured

     2,563     21.9 %     1,958     12.0 %     4,726     14.3 %     17,503     31.4 %
    


 

 


 

 


 

 


 

Total

     11,686     100.0 %     16,269     100.0 %     33,118     100.0 %     55,670     100.0 %
    


 

 


 

 


 

 


 

Prime

     7,181     61.5 %     11,740     72.2 %     21,462     64.8 %     36,950     66.4 %

Alt-A

     2,633     22.5 %     3,362     20.7 %     7,523     22.7 %     12,535     22.5 %

A minus and below

     1,872     16.0 %     1,167     7.1 %     4,133     12.5 %     6,185     11.1 %
    


 

 


 

 


 

 


 

Total

     11,686     100.0 %     16,269     100.0 %     33,118     100.0 %     55,670     100.0 %
    


 

 


 

 


 

 


 

Total Primary New Insurance Written by FICO Score                                                         
(in millions)                                                         

<=619

     1,581     13.5 %     924     5.7 %     3,381     10.2 %     5,443     9.8 %

620-679

     3,914     33.5 %     4,552     28.0 %     10,724     32.4 %     15,925     28.6 %

680-739

     3,796     32.5 %     6,681     41.0 %     11,610     35.0 %     19,978     35.9 %

>=740

     2,395     20.5 %     4,112     25.3 %     7,403     22.4 %     14,324     25.7 %
    


 

 


 

 


 

 


 

Total

     11,686     100.0 %     16,269     100.0 %     33,118     100.0 %     55,670     100.0 %
    


 

 


 

 


 

 


 

Percentage of primary new insurance written                                                         

Monthlies

     94 %           80 %           93 %           87 %      

Refinances

     37 %           48 %           38 %           53 %      

95.01% LTV and above

     11 %                         11 %                    

ARMs

     46 %           15 %           39 %           31 %      

Primary risk written (in millions)

                                                        

Flow

     2,287     73.9 %     3,339     86.4 %     7,196     83.2 %     9,053     65.6 %

Structured

     809     26.1 %     524     13.6 %     1,448     16.8 %     4,743     34.4 %
    


 

 


 

 


 

 


 

Total

     3,096     100.0 %     3,863     100.0 %     8,644     100.0 %     13,796     100.0 %
    


 

 


 

 


 

 


 

Pool risk written (in millions)

     52             88             376             654        

Other risk written (in millions)

                                                        

Seconds

     70                           132                      

NIMS and other

     33                           253                      
    


                     


                   

Total other risk written

     103                           385                      
    


                     


                   

Net Premiums Written (in thousands)

                                                        

Primary and Pool Insurance

     177,818             173,092             560,276             485,589        

Seconds, NIMS and other

     31,267             22,268             90,937             64,770        
    


       


       


       


     

Net Premiums Written

     209,085             195,360             651,213             550,359        
    


       


       


       


     

Net Premiums Earned (in thousands)

                                                        

Primary and Pool Insurance

     169,684             173,773             511,453             494,550        

Seconds, NIMS and other

     35,629             26,014             100,463             62,987        
    


       


       


       


     

Net Premiums Earned

     205,313             199,787             611,916             557,537        
    


       


       


       


     
Captives                                                         

Premiums ceded to captives($ millions)

   $ 22.6           $ 18.6           $ 64.5           $ 54.6        

% of total premiums

     11.6 %           9.8 %           11.2 %           10.0 %      

NIW subject to captives($ millions)

   $ 3,988           $ 6,501           $ 13,394           $ 17,192        

% of primary NIW

     34.1 %           40.0 %           40.4 %           30.9 %      

IIF subject to captives

     32.8 %           28.2 %                                  

RIF subject to captives

     34.6 %           30.4 %                                  

Persistency (twelve months ended September 30)

     57.4 %           46.1 %                                  

 

- 13 -


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2004—Exhibit J

 

(Thousands of dollars, except ratios)    September 30

    December 31

    September 30

 
     2004

    %

    2003

   %

    2003

   %

 

Primary insurance in force (in millions)

                                  

Flow

   90,964     78.8 %   91,709    76.5 %   91,170    75.1 %

Structured

   24,516     21.2 %   28,178    23.5 %   30,164    24.9 %
    

 

 
  

 
  

Total

   115,480     100.0 %   119,887    100.0 %   121,334    100.0 %
    

 

 
  

 
  

Prime

   79,900     69.2 %   82,096    68.5 %   84,957    70.0 %

Alt-A

   22,393     19.4 %   23,710    19.8 %   21,940    18.1 %

A minus and below

   13,187     11.4 %   14,081    11.7 %   14,437    11.9 %
    

 

 
  

 
  

Total

   115,480     100.0 %   119,887    100.0 %   121,334    100.0 %
    

 

 
  

 
  

Primary risk in force (in millions)

                                  

Flow

   22,234     83.0 %   22,261    82.1 %   21,957    80.8 %

Structured

   4,562     17.0 %   4,845    17.9 %   5,230    19.2 %
    

 

 
  

 
  

Total

   26,796     100.0 %   27,106    100.0 %   27,187    100.0 %
    

 

 
  

 
  

Prime

   18,349     68.5 %   18,449    68.0 %   19,138    70.4 %

Alt-A

   5,166     19.3 %   5,253    19.4 %   4,581    16.8 %

A minus and below

   3,281     12.2 %   3,404    12.6 %   3,468    12.8 %
    

 

 
  

 
  

Total

   26,796     100.0 %   27,106    100.0 %   27,187    100.0 %
    

 

 
  

 
  

Total Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score

                                  

(in millions)

                                  

<=619

   3,169     11.8 %   3,508    12.9 %   3,653    13.5 %

620-679

   8,701     32.5 %   8,773    32.4 %   8,761    32.2 %

680-739

   9,135     34.1 %   9,097    33.6 %   9,147    33.6 %

>=740

   5,791     21.6 %   5,728    21.1 %   5,626    20.7 %
    

 

 
  

 
  

Total

   26,796     100.0 %   27,106    100.0 %   27,187    100.0 %
    

 

 
  

 
  

Percentage of primary risk in force

                                  

Monthlies

   92 %                            

Refinances

   37 %                            

95.01% LTV and above

   13 %                            

ARMs

   28 %                            

 

- 14 -


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2004—Exhibit K

 

(Thousands of dollars, except ratios)    September 30

    December 31

    September 30

 
     2004

   %

    2003

   %

    2003

   %

 
Total Primary Risk in Force by LTV (in millions)                                  

95.01% and above

   3,381    12.6 %   3,067    11.3 %   2,796    10.3 %

90.01% to 95.00%

   9,911    37.0 %   10,184    37.6 %   10,253    37.7 %

85.01% to 90.00%

   10,119    37.8 %   10,024    37.0 %   10,125    37.2 %

85.00% and below

   3,385    12.6 %   3,831    14.1 %   4,013    14.8 %
    
  

 
  

 
  

Total

   26,796    100.0 %   27,106    100.0 %   27,187    100.0 %
    
  

 
  

 
  

Total Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year (in millions)                                  

2001 and prior

   4,764    17.8 %   7,837    28.9 %   9,362    34.4 %

2002

   3,977    14.8 %   6,198    22.9 %   7,234    26.6 %

2003

   10,094    37.7 %   13,071    48.2 %   10,591    39.0 %

2004

   7,961    29.7 %   —      —       —      —    
    
  

 
  

 
  

Total

   26,796    100.0 %   27,106    100.0 %   27,187    100.0 %
    
  

 
  

 
  

Pool risk in force (in millions)

   2,363          2,415          2,394       

GSE Pool risk in force (in millions)

   1,567          1,393          1,391       

Other risk in force (in millions)

                                 

Seconds

   693          725          675       

NIMS and other

   559          328          286       
    
        
        
      

Total other risk in force ($millions)

   1,252          1,053          961       
    
        
        
      

Risk to capital ratio-STAT Basis

   10.1:1          11.4:1          11.7:1       

 

- 15 -


Radian Group Inc.

 

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

 

For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2004 – Exhibit L

 

    

Quarter Ended

September 30


         

Nine Months Ended

September 30


 
     2004

    2003

          2004

    2003

 

Direct claims paid (in thousands)

                              

Prime

   36,036     32,411           105,683     88,746  

Alt-A

   21,123     15,072           64,025     35,771  

A Minus and below

   25,223     19,175           71,666     50,279  

Seconds

   9,836     4,561           33,134     17,602  
    

 

       

 

Total

   92,218     71,219           274,508     192,398  
    

 

       

 

Average claim paid (in thousands)

                              

Prime

   22.5     23.6           23.8     24.0  

Alt-A

   36.5     42.6           39.0     40.4  

A Minus and below

   26.3     26.0           26.8     25.7  

Seconds

   25.7     28.5           27.3     26.7  

Total

   26.2     27.2           27.5     26.7  

Loss ratio - GAAP Basis

   49.2 %   41.1 %         49.1 %   38.1 %

Expense ratio - GAAP Basis

   26.5 %   26.1 %         26.6 %   26.8 %
    

 

       

 

     75.7 %   67.2 %         75.7 %   64.9 %
    

 

       

 

                                
     September 30
2004


    December 31
2003


    September 30
2003


             

Default Statistics

                              

Primary insurance:

                              

Prime

                              

Number of insured loans

   616,468     640,778     663,870              

Number of loans in default

   19,199     22,156     21,232              

Percentage of loans in default

   3.11 %   3.46 %   3.20 %            

Alt A

                              

Number of insured loans

   130,860     138,571     128,278              

Number of loans in default

   8,213     7,343     5,832              

Percentage of loans in default

   6.28 %   5.30 %   4.55 %            

A Minus and below

                              

Number of insured loans

   102,599     110,054     112,498              

Number of loans in default

   12,078     12,497     11,768              

Percentage of loans in default

   11.77 %   11.36 %   10.46 %            

Total

                              

Number of insured loans

   849,927     889,403     904,646              

Number of loans in default

   39,490     41,996     38,832              

Percentage of loans in default

   4.65 %   4.72 %   4.29 %            

Pool insurance:

                              

Number of insured loans

   580,533     599,140     595,833              

Number of loans in default

   6,489     5,738     5,440              

Percentage of loans in default

   1.12 %   0.96 %   0.91 %            

 

- 16 -


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2004 – Exhibit M

ALT-A

 

     Quarter Ended     Nine Months Ended  
(Thousands of dollars, except ratios)    September 30

    September 30

 
     2004

   %

    2003

   %

    2004

   %

    2003

   %

 

Primary New Insurance Written by FICO Score


                                            
(in millions)                                             

<=619

   36    1.4 %   21    0.6 %   81    1.1 %   31    0.2 %

620-659

   482    18.3 %   653    19.4 %   1,255    16.7 %   2,377    19.0 %

660-679

   477    18.1 %   682    20.3 %   1,356    18.0 %   2,020    16.1 %

680-739

   1,147    43.6 %   1,269    37.8 %   3,404    45.2 %   4,761    38.0 %

>=740

   491    18.6 %   737    21.9 %   1,427    19.0 %   3,346    26.7 %
    
  

 
  

 
  

 
  

Total Alt A

   2,633    100.0 %   3,362    100.0 %   7,523    100.0 %   12,535    100.0 %
    
  

 
  

 
  

 
  

Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score (in millions)


                                            

<=619

   80    1.5 %   80    1.7 %                      

620-659

   1,117    21.6 %   1,190    26.0 %                      

660-679

   903    17.5 %   773    16.9 %                      

680-739

   2,175    42.1 %   1,772    38.7 %                      

>=740

   891    17.3 %   766    16.7 %                      
    
  

 
  

                     

Total Alt A

   5,166    100.0 %   4,581    100.0 %                      
    
  

 
  

                     

Primary Risk in Force by LTV (in millions)


                                            

95.01% and above

   415    8.0 %   389    8.5 %                      

90.01% to 95.00%

   1,842    35.7 %   1,545    33.7 %                      

85.01% to 90.00%

   2,154    41.7 %   1,801    39.3 %                      

85.00% and below

   755    14.6 %   846    18.5 %                      
    
  

 
  

                     

Total Alt A

   5,166    100.0 %   4,581    100.0 %                      
    
  

 
  

                     

Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year (in millions)


                                            

2001 and prior

   443    8.6 %   858    18.7 %                      

2002

   799    15.5 %   1,546    33.8 %                      

2003

   2,067    39.9 %   2,177    47.5 %                      

2004

   1,857    36.0 %   —      —                          
    
  

 
  

                     

Total Alt A

   5,166    100.0 %   4,581    100.0 %                      
    
  

 
  

                     

 

- 17 -


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Services Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Nine Months Ended and as of September 30, 2004 – Exhibit N

 

             Quarter Ended              Nine Months Ended  
(Thousands of dollars)            September 30

             September 30

 
             2004

    2003

             2004

   2003

 
Investment in Affiliate Reconciliation:                                         
C-BASS

                                        

Balance, beginning of period

           248,759     204,229              226,710    175,630  

Net income for period

           18,095     12,276              72,644    43,375  

Dividends received

           —       5,000              32,500    7,500  
            

 
            
  

Balance, end of period

           266,854     211,505              266,854    211,505  
Sherman

                                        

Balance, beginning of period

           48,709     46,228              65,979    52,142  

Net income for period

           25,798     6,862              56,536    19,052  

Dividends received

           —       —                49,800    12,450  

Other comprehensive income

           (914 )   1,416              878    (4,238 )
            

 
            
  

Balance, end of period

           73,593     54,506              73,593    54,506  
Portfolio Information:                                         
C-BASS

                                        

Servicing portfolio

           22,270,000     16,010,000                      

Total assets

           4,466,115     2,757,036                      

Servicing income

           38,931     32,259              112,958    90,476  

Net interest income

           37,025     32,287              109,207    90,210  

Total revenues

           105,115     79,065              354,174    256,510  
Sherman

                                        

Total assets

           444,368     490,806                      

Net revenues

           129,661     79,898              353,314    193,223  

 

- 18 -


 

Supplemental Schedule   Schedule 1

Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries-Consolidated—Exhibit O

 

The following schedule shows the Financial Guaranty Segment Income Statement as reported (Column 1) and adjustments (Column 2) to reflect the income statement impact of the recapture (referred to below as the clawback) of business previously ceded to the Company by one of the primary insurer customers of the financial guaranty segment. The adjusted numbers are shown in Column 3. The impact of the clawback (Column 2) reflects the clawback of business ceded to the Company in prior periods. This clawback only affected the first quarter (and, as a result, the year-to-date periods) of 2004. Accordingly, management believes that Column 3 provides useful information to investors by presenting a more meaningful basis of comparison for the Company's past and future results.

 

     As Reported         

As Adjusted

Nine Months Ended

      
     Nine Months Ended    Impact        Nine Months Ended  
     September 30    of     September 30    September 30  
     2004

   Clawback

    Excluding Clawback

   2003

 
(Thousands of dollars, except per-share data)                       

Revenues:

                              

Net premiums written

   $ 795,227    $ (96,417 )   $ 891,644    $ 811,773  
    

  


 

  


Premiums earned

   $ 766,717    $ (24,892 )   $ 791,609    $ 742,184  

Net investment income

     151,670      —         151,670      140,041  

Equity in net income of affiliates

     130,580      —         130,580      70,034  

Gain/loss on sales of investments

     40,956      —         40,956      8,627  

Other income

     22,996      —         22,996      48,449  
    

  


 

  


Total revenues

     1,112,919      (24,892 )     1,137,811      1,009,335  
    

  


 

  


Expenses:

                              

Provision for losses

     345,452      —         345,452      264,060  

Policy acquisition costs

     89,558      (9,766 )     99,324      96,172  

Other operating expenses

     153,242      —         153,242      152,429  

Interest expense

     26,014      —         26,014      27,888  
    

  


 

  


Total expenses

     614,266      (9,766 )     624,032      540,549  
    

  


 

  


Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     2,576      (791 )     3,367      (6,655 )
    

  


 

  


Pretax income

     501,229      (15,917 )     517,146      462,131  

Provision for income taxes

     138,545      (5,571 )     144,116      131,707  
    

  


 

  


Net income

   $ 362,684    $ (10,346 )   $ 373,030      330,424  
    

  


 

  


Net income available to common stockholders

   $ 362,684    $ (10,346 )   $ 373,030      330,424  
    

  


 

  


Net income per share

   $ 3.84    $ (0.11 )   $ 3.95      3.50  
    

  


 

  


Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands)

     94,456              94,456      94,514  

 

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Supplemental Schedule   Schedule 2

Segment Information-Financial Guaranty

Exhibit P

 

The following schedule shows the Financial Guaranty Segment Income Statement as reported (Column 1) and adjustments (Column 2) to reflect the income statement impact of the recapture (referred to below as the clawback) of business previously ceded to the Company by one of the primary insurer customers of the financial guaranty segment. The adjusted numbers are shown in Column 3. The impact of the clawback (Column 2) reflects the clawback of business ceded to the Company in prior periods. This clawback only affected the first quarter (and, as a result, the year-to-date periods) of 2004. Accordingly, management believes that Column 3 provides useful information to investors by presenting a more meaningful basis of comparison for the Company’s past and future results.

 

     As Reported          As Adjusted        
     Nine Months Ended    Impact     Nine Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
     September 30    of     September 30     September 30  
(Thousands of dollars)    2004

   Clawback

    Excluding Clawback

    2003

 

Revenues:

                               

Net premiums written

   $ 144,014    $ (96,417 )   $ 240,431     $ 261,414  
    

  


 


 


Premiums earned

   $ 154,801    $ (24,892 )   $ 179,693     $ 184,647  

Net investment income

     63,981      —         63,981       58,797  

Equity in net income (loss) of affiliates

     1,400      —         1,400       7,607  

Gain/loss on sales of investments

     3,711      —         3,711       8,922  

Other income

     1,235      —         1,235       3,010  
    

  


 


 


Total revenues

     225,128      (24,892 )   $ 250,020       262,983  
    

  


 


 


Expenses:

                               

Provision for losses

     45,290      —         45,290       51,782  

Policy acquisition costs

     32,801      (9,766 )     42,567       42,875  

Other operating expenses

     36,728      —         36,728       27,821  

Interest expense

     9,039      —         9,039       9,477  
    

  


 


 


Total expenses

     123,858      (9,766 )     133,624       131,955  
    

  


 


 


Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     6,507      (791 )     7,298       (6,084 )
    

  


 


 


Pretax income

     107,777      (15,917 )     123,694       124,944  

Income tax provision

     21,424      (5,571 )     26,995       33,846  
    

  


 


 


Net income

   $ 86,353    $ (10,346 )   $ 96,699     $ 91,098  
    

  


 


 


Loss ratio-excluding Clawback

                    25.2 %     28.0 %

Expense ratio-excluding Clawback

                    44.1 %     38.3 %
                   


 


                      69.3 %     66.3 %
                   


 


 

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All statements in this press release that address operating performance, events or developments that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are made on the basis of management’s current views and assumptions with respect to future events. The forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties including the following: changes in general financial and political conditions, such as extended national or regional economic recessions (or expansions), changes in housing values, changes or volatility in interest rates, or other political instability; changes in investor perception of the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers, and risks faced by the businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by Radian’s insurance; the loss of significant customers with whom Radian has a concentration of its insurance in force; rising delinquencies in mortgage loans insured by Radian resulting from increased consolidation of mortgage lenders and servicers; increased severity or frequency of losses associated with certain Radian products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance and municipal guaranty insurance policies; material changes in persistency rates of Radian’s mortgage insurance policies; downgrades of the insurance financial-strength ratings assigned by the major ratings agencies to Radian’s operating subsidiaries; intense competition from others and from alternative products to private mortgage insurance and financial guaranty insurance; changes in the business practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac; legislative and regulatory changes affecting demand for private mortgage insurance and financial guaranty insurance; changes in claims against mortgage insurance products resulting from the aging of Radian’s mortgage insurance policies; changes in Radian’s ability to maintain sufficient reinsurance capacity in an increasingly concentrated reinsurance market; vulnerability to the performance of Radian’s strategic investments; and the loss of executive officers or other key personnel. Investors are also directed to other risks discussed in documents filed by Radian with the SEC, including the factors detailed in our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2003 in the section immediately preceding Part I of the report. Radian does not intend to and disclaims any duty or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements made in this press release to reflect new information, future events or for any other reason.

 

# # #

 

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