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Acquisitions
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2015
Business Combinations [Abstract]  
ACQUISITIONS
ACQUISITIONS

We did not close any material acquisitions during the first quarters of 2015 and 2014.

On March 2, 2015, we announced that we entered into a definitive agreement with Endo International plc to acquire the American Medical Systems urology portfolio, which includes the Men's Health and Prostate Health businesses, for $1.600 billion in up-front cash and a potential additional $50 million milestone based on 2016 sales (AMS Portfolio Acquisition). We expect to close the transaction in the third quarter of 2015, subject to customary closing conditions.

In April 2015, we acquired Xlumena, Inc., a venture-backed medical device company that develops, manufactures and sells minimally invasive devices for Endoscopic Ultrasound (EUS) guided transluminal drainage of targeted areas within the gastrointestinal tract. The agreement calls for an upfront payment of approximately $63 million, an additional payment of $13 million upon FDA clearance of the HOT AXIOS™ product, and further sales-based milestones based on sales achieved through 2018. 

Contingent Consideration
Certain of our acquisitions involve contingent consideration arrangements. Payment of additional consideration is generally contingent on the acquired company reaching certain performance milestones, including attaining specified revenue levels, achieving product development targets and/or obtaining regulatory approvals. In accordance with U.S. GAAP, we recognize a liability equal to the fair value of the contingent payments we expect to make as of the acquisition date. We re-measure this liability each reporting period and record changes in the fair value through a separate line item within our consolidated statements of operations.
We recorded a net expense related to the change in fair value of our contingent consideration liabilities of $27 million during the first quarter of 2015 and a net benefit of $22 million during the first quarter of 2014. We paid $99 million of contingent consideration during the first quarter of 2015 and we paid $12 million during the first quarter of 2014.
Changes in the fair value of our contingent consideration liability were as follows (in millions):
Balance as of December 31, 2014
$
274

Amounts recorded related to new acquisitions

Other amounts recorded related to prior acquisitions

Net fair value adjustments
27

Payments made
(99
)
Balance as of March 31, 2015
$
202


As of March 31, 2015, the maximum amount of future contingent consideration (undiscounted) that we could be required to pay was approximately $1.810 billion.
Contingent consideration liabilities are re-measured to fair value each reporting period using projected revenues, discount rates, probabilities of payment and projected payment dates. The recurring Level 3 fair value measurements of our contingent consideration liability include the following significant unobservable inputs:
Contingent Consideration Liability
Fair Value as of March 31, 2015
Valuation Technique
Unobservable Input
Range
R&D, Regulatory and Commercialization-based Milestones
$13 million
Probability Weighted Discounted Cash Flow
Discount Rate
1.2%
Probability of Payment
95% - 100%
Projected Year of Payment
2015
Revenue-based Payments
$51 million
Probability Weighted Discounted Cash Flow
Discount Rate
11.5% - 15%
Probability of Payment
0% - 100%
Projected Year of Payment
2015 - 2018
$138 million
Monte Carlo
Revenue Volatility
11% - 13%
Risk Free Rate
LIBOR Term Structure
Projected Year of Payment
2015-2018


Increases or decreases in the fair value of our contingent consideration liability can result from changes in discount periods and rates, as well as changes in the timing and amount of revenue estimates or in the timing or likelihood of achieving regulatory-, revenue- or commercialization-based milestones. Projected contingent payment amounts related to research and development, regulatory- and commercialization-based milestones and certain revenue-based milestones are discounted back to the current period using a discounted cash flow (DCF) model. Other revenue-based payments are valued using a Monte Carlo valuation model, which simulates future revenues during the earn-out period using management's best estimates. Projected revenues are based on our most recent internal operational budgets and long-range strategic plans. Increases in projected revenues and probabilities of payment may result in higher fair value measurements. Increases in discount rates and the time to payment may result in lower fair value measurements. Increases or decreases in any of those inputs in together, or in isolation, may result in a significantly lower or higher fair value measurement.