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Loans Receivable
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2019
Receivables [Abstract]  
Loans Receivable LOANS RECEIVABLE

Loans receivable consists of the following:
(In millions)
As of December 31, 2019
 
Dealer Loans
 
Purchased Loans
 
Total
Loans receivable
$
4,623.3

 
$
2,597.9

 
$
7,221.2

Allowance for credit losses
(428.0
)
 
(108.0
)
 
(536.0
)
Loans receivable, net
$
4,195.3

 
$
2,489.9

 
$
6,685.2

 
 
 
 
 
 
(In millions)
As of December 31, 2018
 
Dealer Loans
 
Purchased Loans
 
Total
Loans receivable
$
4,141.0

 
$
2,084.2

 
$
6,225.2

Allowance for credit losses
(378.1
)
 
(83.8
)
 
(461.9
)
Loans receivable, net
$
3,762.9

 
$
2,000.4

 
$
5,763.3



A summary of changes in Loans receivable is as follows:
(In millions)
For the Year Ended December 31, 2019
 
Dealer Loans
 
Purchased Loans
 
Total
Balance, beginning of period
$
4,141.0

 
$
2,084.2

 
$
6,225.2

New Consumer Loan assignments (1)
2,424.5

 
1,347.7

 
3,772.2

Principal collected on Loans receivable
(2,049.4
)
 
(921.8
)
 
(2,971.2
)
Accelerated Dealer Holdback payments
58.8

 

 
58.8

Dealer Holdback payments
138.5

 

 
138.5

Transfers (2)
(87.2
)
 
87.2

 

Write-offs
(4.4
)
 
(0.5
)
 
(4.9
)
Recoveries (3)
1.5

 
1.1

 
2.6

Balance, end of period
$
4,623.3

 
$
2,597.9

 
$
7,221.2

 
 
 
 
 
 
(In millions)
For the Year Ended December 31, 2018
 
Dealer Loans
 
Purchased Loans
 
Total
Balance, beginning of period
$
3,518.1

 
$
1,530.9

 
$
5,049.0

New Consumer Loan assignments (1)
2,414.8

 
1,181.0

 
3,595.8

Principal collected on Loans receivable
(1,873.0
)
 
(703.7
)
 
(2,576.7
)
Accelerated Dealer Holdback payments
52.6

 

 
52.6

Dealer Holdback payments
128.9

 

 
128.9

Transfers (2)
(78.2
)
 
78.2

 

Write-offs
(25.2
)
 
(3.4
)
 
(28.6
)
Recoveries (3)
3.0

 
1.2

 
4.2

Balance, end of period
$
4,141.0

 
$
2,084.2

 
$
6,225.2

 
 
 
 
 
 
(In millions)
For the Year Ended December 31, 2017
 
Dealer Loans
 
Purchased Loans
 
Total
Balance, beginning of period
$
3,209.0

 
$
998.0

 
$
4,207.0

New Consumer Loan assignments (1)
1,968.3

 
904.8

 
2,873.1

Principal collected on Loans receivable
(1,729.9
)
 
(459.6
)
 
(2,189.5
)
Accelerated Dealer Holdback payments
47.1

 

 
47.1

Dealer Holdback payments
131.6

 

 
131.6

Transfers (2)
(93.1
)
 
93.1

 

Write-offs
(16.4
)
 
(5.7
)
 
(22.1
)
Recoveries (3)
1.5

 
0.3

 
1.8

Balance, end of period
$
3,518.1

 
$
1,530.9

 
$
5,049.0


(1)
The Dealer Loans amount represents advances paid to Dealers on Consumer Loans assigned under our Portfolio Program.  The Purchased Loans amount represents one-time payments made to Dealers to purchase Consumer Loans assigned under our Purchase Program.
(2)
Under our Portfolio Program, certain events may result in Dealers forfeiting their rights to Dealer Holdback.  We transfer the Dealer’s outstanding Dealer Loan balance and the related allowance for credit losses balance to Purchased Loans in the period this forfeiture occurs.
(3)
Represents collections received on previously written off Loans.
 
During the fourth quarter of 2017, we transferred $89.0 million of Dealer Loans along with the related allowance for credit losses balance of $31.8 million to Purchased Loans. Under our Portfolio Program, certain events may result in Dealers forfeiting their rights to Dealer Holdback. Substantially all of these transfers relate to Dealers where events had occurred in prior periods that met our criteria for forfeiture. However, while we intended to exercise our rights to Dealer Holdback in the period the forfeiture event occurred, we did not exercise our rights for these Dealers until the fourth quarter of 2017. We also enhanced our accounting methodology for transferring Loans. In the fourth quarter of 2017, we began transferring the related allowance for credit losses balance to Purchased Loans. Prior to the fourth quarter of 2017, rather than transferring the related allowance for credit losses balance to Purchased Loans, we reversed the balance through Dealer Loan provision for credit losses and established a new allowance for credit losses in Purchased Loans through Purchased Loan provision for credit losses.
Contractual net cash flows are comprised of the contractual repayments of the underlying Consumer Loans for Dealer Loans and Purchased Loans, less the related Dealer Holdback payments for Dealer Loans.  The difference between the contractual net cash flows and the expected net cash flows is referred to as the nonaccretable difference.  This difference is neither accreted into income nor recorded in our balance sheets.  We do not believe that the contractual net cash flows of our Loan portfolio are relevant in assessing our financial position.  We are contractually owed repayments on many Consumer Loans, primarily those older than 120 months, where we are not forecasting any future net cash flows.

The excess of expected net cash flows over the outstanding balance of Loans receivable, net is referred to as the accretable yield and is recognized on a level-yield basis as finance charge income over the remaining lives of the Loans.  A summary of changes in the accretable yield is as follows:
(In millions)
For the Year Ended December 31, 2019
 
Dealer Loans
 
Purchased Loans
 
Total
Balance, beginning of period
$
1,283.0

 
$
782.5

 
$
2,065.5

New Consumer Loan assignments (1)
971.6

 
561.2

 
1,532.8

Accretion (2)
(897.5
)
 
(480.7
)
 
(1,378.2
)
Provision for credit losses
65.9

 
10.5

 
76.4

Forecast changes
(7.9
)
 
22.5

 
14.6

Transfers (3)
(33.3
)
 
42.2

 
8.9

Balance, end of period
$
1,381.8

 
$
938.2

 
$
2,320.0

 
 
 
 
 
 
(In millions)
For the Year Ended December 31, 2018
 
Dealer Loans
 
Purchased Loans
 
Total
Balance, beginning of period
$
1,088.6

 
$
576.9

 
$
1,665.5

New Consumer Loan assignments (1)
990.2

 
488.4

 
1,478.6

Accretion (2)
(816.3
)
 
(369.3
)
 
(1,185.6
)
Provision for credit losses
48.0

 
8.9

 
56.9

Forecast changes
2.0

 
40.3

 
42.3

Transfers (3)
(29.5
)
 
37.3

 
7.8

Balance, end of period
$
1,283.0

 
$
782.5

 
$
2,065.5

 
 
 
 
 
 
(In millions)
For the Year Ended December 31, 2017
 
Dealer Loans
 
Purchased Loans
 
Total
Balance, beginning of period
$
982.6

 
$
348.1

 
$
1,330.7

New Consumer Loan assignments (1)
803.0

 
377.9

 
1,180.9

Accretion (2)
(766.6
)
 
(253.6
)
 
(1,020.2
)
Provision for credit losses
103.4

 
25.9

 
129.3

Forecast changes
(5.6
)
 
41.7

 
36.1

Transfers (3)
(28.2
)
 
36.9

 
8.7

Balance, end of period
$
1,088.6

 
$
576.9

 
$
1,665.5


(1)
The Dealer Loans amount represents the net cash flows expected at the time of assignment on Consumer Loans assigned under our Portfolio Program, less the related advances paid to Dealers.  The Purchased Loans amount represents the net cash flows expected at the time of assignment on Consumer Loans assigned under our Purchase Program, less the related one-time payments made to Dealers.
(2)
Represents finance charges excluding the amortization of deferred direct origination costs for Dealer Loans.
(3)
Under our Portfolio Program, certain events may result in Dealers forfeiting their rights to Dealer Holdback.  We transfer the Dealer’s outstanding Dealer Loan balance, the related allowance for credit losses balance and related expected future net cash flows to Purchased Loans in the period this forfeiture occurs.

Additional information related to new Consumer Loan assignments is as follows:
(In millions)
For the Year Ended December 31, 2019
 
Dealer Loans
 
Purchased Loans
 
Total
Contractual net cash flows at the time of assignment (1)
$
3,810.6

 
$
2,953.3

 
$
6,763.9

Expected net cash flows at the time of assignment (2)
3,396.1

 
1,908.9

 
5,305.0

Fair value at the time of assignment (3)
2,424.5

 
1,347.7

 
3,772.2

 
 
 
 
 
 
(In millions)
For the Year Ended December 31, 2018
 
Dealer Loans
 
Purchased Loans
 
Total
Contractual net cash flows at the time of assignment (1)
$
3,827.4

 
$
2,610.7

 
$
6,438.1

Expected net cash flows at the time of assignment (2)
3,405.0

 
1,669.4

 
5,074.4

Fair value at the time of assignment (3)
2,414.8

 
1,181.0

 
3,595.8

 
 
 
 
 
 
(In millions)
For the Year Ended December 31, 2017
 
Dealer Loans
 
Purchased Loans
 
Total
Contractual net cash flows at the time of assignment (1)
$
3,131.6

 
$
1,973.7

 
$
5,105.3

Expected net cash flows at the time of assignment (2)
2,771.3

 
1,282.7

 
4,054.0

Fair value at the time of assignment (3)
1,968.3

 
904.8

 
2,873.1


(1)
The Dealer Loans amount represents the repayments that we were contractually owed at the time of assignment on Consumer Loans assigned under our Portfolio Program, less the related Dealer Holdback payments that we would be required to make if we collected all of the contractual repayments.  The Purchased Loans amount represents the repayments that we were contractually owed at the time of assignment on Consumer Loans assigned under our Purchase Program.
(2)
The Dealer Loans amount represents the repayments that we expected to collect at the time of assignment on Consumer Loans assigned under our Portfolio Program, less the related Dealer Holdback payments that we expected to make.  The Purchased Loans amount represents the repayments that we expected to collect at the time of assignment on Consumer Loans assigned under our Purchase Program.
(3)
The Dealer Loans amount represents advances paid to Dealers on Consumer Loans assigned under our Portfolio Program.  The Purchased Loans amount represents one-time payments made to Dealers to purchase Consumer Loans assigned under our Purchase Program.

Credit Quality

We monitor and evaluate the credit quality of Consumer Loans assigned under our Portfolio and Purchase Programs on a monthly basis by comparing our current forecasted collection rates to our initial expectations.  For additional information regarding credit quality, see Note 2 to the consolidated financial statements.  The following table compares our forecast of Consumer Loan collection rates as of December 31, 2019, with the forecasts as of December 31, 2018, as of December 31, 2017, and at the time of assignment, segmented by year of assignment:
 
 
Forecasted Collection Percentage as of (1)
 
 Current Forecast Variance from
Consumer Loan Assignment Year
 
December 31, 2019
 
December 31, 2018

December 31, 2017
 
Initial
Forecast
 
December 31, 2018
 
December 31, 2017
 
Initial
Forecast
2010
 
77.8
%
 
77.7
%
 
77.6
%
 
73.6
%
 
0.1
 %
 
0.2
 %
 
4.2
 %
2011
 
74.8
%
 
74.7
%
 
74.7
%
 
72.5
%
 
0.1
 %
 
0.1
 %
 
2.3
 %
2012
 
73.9
%
 
73.8
%
 
73.8
%
 
71.4
%
 
0.1
 %
 
0.1
 %
 
2.5
 %
2013
 
73.5
%
 
73.5
%
 
73.5
%
 
72.0
%
 
0.0
 %
 
0.0
 %
 
1.5
 %
2014
 
71.7
%
 
71.7
%
 
71.7
%
 
71.8
%
 
0.0
 %
 
0.0
 %
 
-0.1
 %
2015
 
65.4
%
 
65.4
%
 
65.5
%
 
67.7
%
 
0.0
 %
 
-0.1
 %
 
-2.3
 %
2016
 
64.1
%
 
64.2
%
 
64.8
%
 
65.4
%
 
-0.1
 %
 
-0.7
 %
 
-1.3
 %
2017
 
64.8
%
 
65.5
%
 
65.6
%
 
64.0
%
 
-0.7
 %
 
-0.8
 %
 
0.8
 %
2018
 
65.1
%
 
65.0
%
 

 
63.6
%
 
0.1
 %
 

 
1.5
 %
2019
 
64.6
%
 

 

 
64.0
%
 

 

 
0.6
 %

(1)
Represents the total forecasted collections we expect to collect on the Consumer Loans as a percentage of the repayments that we were contractually owed on the Consumer Loans at the time of assignment.  Contractual repayments include both principal and interest. Forecasted collection rates are negatively impacted by canceled Consumer Loans as the contractual amount owed is not removed from the denominator for purposes of computing forecasted collection rates in the table.

Consumer Loans assigned in 2010 through 2013 and 2018 have yielded forecasted collection results materially better than our initial estimates, while Consumer Loans assigned in 2015 and 2016 have yielded forecasted collection results materially worse than our initial estimates. For Consumer Loans assigned in 2014, 2017 and 2019, actual results have been close to our initial estimates.

For the year ended December 31, 2019, forecasted collection rates improved for Consumer Loans assigned in 2019, declined for Consumer Loans assigned in 2017 and were generally consistent with expectations at the start of the period for all other assignment years presented.

For the year ended December 31, 2018, forecasted collection rates improved for Consumer Loans assigned in 2018, declined for Consumer Loans assigned in 2016 and were generally consistent with expectations at the start of the period for all other assignment years presented.

In addition to the statistical model used to forecast collection rates, we use a model to forecast the timing of future net cash flows. During the fourth quarter of 2017, we updated our net cash flow timing model to incorporate more recent data. The revised forecast resulted in an expected cash flow stream with a lower net present value as compared to the prior forecast, as less cash flows were expected in earlier periods and more cash flows were expected in later periods.

The reduction in net present value was primarily the result of a change in the expected timing of cash flows from longer-term Consumer Loans. Due to our limited historical experience with longer-term Consumer Loans, our prior model relied on extrapolations from the historical performance of shorter-term Consumer Loans to predict the timing of future net cash flows on longer-term Consumer Loans. We used our additional historical experience on these longer-term loans to refine our estimate.

The revision to our net cash flow timing forecast did not impact the amount of undiscounted net cash flows we expected to receive. As a result, the dollar amount of future net portfolio revenue (finance charges less provision for credit losses) was not impacted by the revision. However, the revision did impact the period in which those net revenues are recorded as a portion of the impact of the revised timing estimate was recorded as a current period expense and a portion was recorded as a yield adjustment. For the fourth quarter of 2017, the revision increased provision for credit losses by $41.6 million, reduced finance charge revenue by $7.3 million and reduced net income by $30.8 million. The revision reduced the yield on our Loan portfolio by 90 basis points, which impacts the timing of revenue recognition in future periods.

Advances paid to Dealers on Consumer Loans assigned under our Portfolio Program and one-time payments made to Dealers to purchase Consumer Loans assigned under our Purchase Program are aggregated into pools for purposes of recognizing revenue and evaluating impairment.  As a result of this aggregation, we are not able to segment the carrying amounts of the majority of our Loan portfolio by year of assignment.  We are able to segment our Loan portfolio by the performance of the Loan pools.  Performance considers both the amount and timing of expected net cash flows and is measured by comparing the balance of the Loan pool to the discounted value of the expected future net cash flows of each Loan pool using the yield established at the time of assignment.  The following table segments our Loan portfolio by the performance of the Loan pools:

(In millions)
As of December 31, 2019
 
Loan Pool Performance
Meets or Exceeds Initial Estimates
 
Loan Pool Performance
Less than Initial Estimates
 
Dealer
Loans
 
Purchased Loans
 
Total
 
Dealer
Loans
 
Purchased Loans
 
Total
Loans receivable
$
1,591.3

 
$
2,006.9

 
$
3,598.2

 
$
3,032.0

 
$
591.0

 
$
3,623.0

Allowance for credit losses

 

 

 
(428.0
)
 
(108.0
)
 
(536.0
)
Loans receivable, net
$
1,591.3

 
$
2,006.9

 
$
3,598.2

 
$
2,604.0

 
$
483.0

 
$
3,087.0

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(In millions)
As of December 31, 2018
 
Loan Pool Performance
Meets or Exceeds Initial Estimates
 
Loan Pool Performance
Less than Initial Estimates
 
Dealer
Loans
 
Purchased Loans
 
Total
 
Dealer
Loans
 
Purchased Loans
 
Total
Loans receivable
$
1,355.1

 
$
1,392.1

 
$
2,747.2

 
$
2,785.9

 
$
692.1

 
$
3,478.0

Allowance for credit losses

 

 

 
(378.1
)
 
(83.8
)
 
(461.9
)
Loans receivable, net
$
1,355.1

 
$
1,392.1

 
$
2,747.2

 
$
2,407.8

 
$
608.3

 
$
3,016.1



A summary of changes in the allowance for credit losses is as follows:
(In millions)
For the Year Ended December 31, 2019
 
Dealer Loans
 
Purchased Loans
 
Total
Balance, beginning of period
$
378.1

 
$
83.8

 
$
461.9

Provision for credit losses
65.9

 
10.5

 
76.4

Transfers (1)
(13.1
)
 
13.1

 

Write-offs
(4.4
)
 
(0.5
)
 
(4.9
)
Recoveries (2)
1.5

 
1.1

 
2.6

Balance, end of period
$
428.0

 
$
108.0

 
$
536.0

 
 
 
 
 
 
(In millions)
For the Year Ended December 31, 2018
 
Dealer Loans
 
Purchased Loans
 
Total
Balance, beginning of period
$
366.0

 
$
63.4

 
$
429.4

Provision for credit losses
48.0

 
8.9

 
56.9

Transfers (1)
(13.7
)
 
13.7

 

Write-offs
(25.2
)
 
(3.4
)
 
(28.6
)
Recoveries (2)
3.0

 
1.2

 
4.2

Balance, end of period
$
378.1

 
$
83.8

 
$
461.9

 
 
 
 
 
 
(In millions)
For the Year Ended December 31, 2017
 
Dealer Loans
 
Purchased Loans
 
Total
Balance, beginning of period
$
309.3

 
$
11.1

 
$
320.4

Provision for credit losses
103.4

 
25.9

 
129.3

Transfers (1)
(31.8
)
 
31.8

 

Write-offs
(16.4
)
 
(5.7
)
 
(22.1
)
Recoveries (2)
1.5

 
0.3

 
1.8

Balance, end of period
$
366.0

 
$
63.4

 
$
429.4


(1)
Under our Portfolio Program, certain events may result in Dealers forfeiting their rights to Dealer Holdback.  We transfer the Dealer’s outstanding Dealer Loan balance and the related allowance for credit losses balance to Purchased Loans in the period this forfeiture occurs.
(2)
Represents collections received on previously written off Loans.