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Fair Value Measurements
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2016
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair Value Measurements
 3. Fair Value Measurements

The fair value of the Company's financial instruments are estimates of the amounts that would be received if the Company were to sell an asset or pay to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date or exit price. The assets and liabilities are categorized and disclosed in one of the following three categories:

Level 1 – based on quoted market prices in active markets for identical assets and liabilities;
 
Level 2 – based on quoted market prices for similar assets and liabilities, using observable market-based inputs or unobservable market-based inputs corroborated by market data; and
 
Level 3 – based on unobservable inputs using management’s best estimate and assumptions when inputs are unavailable.

The following tables present the fair value of the Company's financial instruments measured at fair value on a recurring basis by level within the valuation hierarchy.
 
 
September 30, 2016
 
December 31, 2015
 
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Total
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Total
(In thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Financial assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Money market funds
 
$
190

 
$

 
$

 
$
190

 
$
94,801

 
$

 
$

 
$
94,801

Certificates of deposit
 

 
75,000

 

 
75,000

 

 

 

 

Commercial paper
 

 
17,981

 

 
17,981

 

 

 

 

Corporate securities
 

 

 

 

 

 
1,469

 

 
1,469

Foreign currency hedge contracts
 

 

 

 

 

 
2,802

 

 
2,802

Warrants
 

 
211

 
1,070

 
1,281

 

 
984

 

 
984

Royalty rights - at fair value
 

 

 
399,592

 
399,592

 

 

 
399,204

 
399,204

Total
 
$
190

 
$
93,192

 
$
400,662

 
$
494,044

 
$
94,801

 
$
5,255

 
$
399,204

 
$
499,260

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Financial liabilities:
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 
 
 

Anniversary payment
 
$

 
$

 
$
87,500

 
$
87,500

 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$

Contingent consideration
 

 

 
48,950

 
48,950

 

 

 

 

Total
 
$

 
$

 
$
136,450

 
$
136,450

 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$


 
As of September 30, 2016, the Company held $75.0 million in a long-term certificate of deposit, which is designated as cash collateral for the letter of credit issued with respect to the first anniversary payment under the Noden Purchase Agreement described below. There have been no transfers between levels during each of the three or nine-month periods ended September 30, 2016, and December 31, 2015. The Company recognizes transfers between levels on the date of the event or change in circumstances that caused the transfer.

The following table represents significant unobservable inputs used in determining the estimated fair value of impaired notes receivable investments:
Asset
 
Valuation
Technique
 
Unobservable
Input
 
September 30,
2016
 
December 31,
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Wellstat Diagnostics
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Intellectual Property
 
Income Approach
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Discount rate
 
13%
 
13%
 
 
 
 
Royalty amount
 
$55-74 million
 
$54-74 million
Real Estate Property
 
Market Approach
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Annual appreciation rate
 
4%
 
4%
 
 
 
 
Estimated realtor fee
 
6%
 
6%
 
 
 
 
Estimated disposal date
 
12/31/2017
 
12/31/2017
Direct Flow Medical
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
All Assets
 
Income Approach
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Discount rate
 
27%
 
27%
 
 
 
 
Implied revenue multiple
 
6.9
 
6.9
LENSAR
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
All Assets
 
Income Approach
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Discount rate
 
15.5%
 
15.75%
 
 
 
 
Implied revenue multiple
 
3.0
 
-


Certificates of Deposit

The fair value of the certificates of deposit is determined using quoted market prices for similar instruments and non-binding market prices that are corroborated by observable market data.

Corporate Securities

Corporate securities consist primarily of U.S. corporate equity holdings. The fair value of corporate securities is estimated using recently executed transactions or market quoted prices, where observable. Independent pricing sources are also used for valuation.

Royalty Rights - At Fair Value

Depomed Royalty Agreement

On October 18, 2013, the Company entered into the Royalty Purchase and Sale Agreement (the "Depomed Royalty Agreement") with Depomed, Inc. and Depo DR Sub, LLC (together, "Depomed"), whereby the Company acquired the rights to receive royalties and milestones payable on sales of Type 2 diabetes products licensed by Depomed in exchange for a $240.5 million cash payment. Total consideration was $241.3 million, which was comprised of the $240.5 million cash payment to Depomed and $0.8 million in transaction costs.

The rights acquired include Depomed’s royalty and milestone payments accruing from and after October 1, 2013: (a) from Santarus, Inc. ("Santarus") (which was subsequently acquired by Salix Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ("Salix), which itself was acquired by Valeant Pharmaceuticals International, Inc. ("Valeant")) with respect to sales of Glumetza (metformin HCL extended-release tablets) in the United States; (b) from Merck & Co., Inc. with respect to sales of Janumet® XR (sitagliptin and metformin HCL extended-release tablets); (c) from Janssen Pharmaceutica N.V. with respect to potential future development milestones and sales of its recently approved fixed-dose combination of Invokana® (canagliflozin) and extended-release metformin tablets, marketed as Invokamet XR®; (d) from Boehringer Ingelheim with respect to potential future development milestones and sales of the investigational fixed-dose combinations of drugs and extended-release metformin subject to Depomed’s license agreement with Boehringer Ingelheim, including its recently approved product, Jentadueto XR®; and (e) from LG Life Sciences and Valeant for sales of extended-release metformin tablets in Korea and Canada, respectively.

Under the terms of the Depomed Royalty Agreement, the Company receives all royalty and milestone payments due under license agreements between Depomed and its licensees until the Company has received payments equal to two times the cash payment it made to Depomed, after which all net payments received by Depomed will be shared evenly between the Company and Depomed.

The Depomed Royalty Agreement terminates on the third anniversary following the date upon which the later of the following occurs: (a) October 25, 2021, or (b) at such time as no royalty payments remain payable under any license agreement and each of the license agreements has expired by its terms.

As of September 30, 2016, and December 31, 2015, the Company determined that its royalty purchase interest in Depo DR Sub represented a variable interest in a variable interest entity. However, the Company does not have the power to direct the activities of Depo DR Sub that most significantly impact Depo DR Sub's economic performance and is not the primary beneficiary of Depo DR Sub; therefore, Depo DR Sub is not subject to consolidation by the Company.

The financial asset acquired represents a single unit of accounting. The fair value of the financial asset acquired was determined by using a discounted cash flow analysis related to the expected future cash flows to be generated by each licensed product. This financial asset is classified as a Level 3 asset within the fair value hierarchy, as the Company's valuation utilized significant unobservable inputs, including estimates as to the probability and timing of future commercialization for products not yet approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration ("FDA") or other regulatory agencies. The discounted cash flows are based upon expected royalties from sales of licensed products over a ten-year period. The discount rates utilized range from approximately 15% to 25%. Significant judgment is required in selecting appropriate discount rates. At September 30, 2016, an evaluation was performed to assess those rates and general market conditions potentially affecting the fair market value. Should these discount rates increase or decrease by 2.5%, the fair value of the asset could decrease by $6.2 million or increase by $7.0 million, respectively. A third-party expert was engaged to help management develop its original estimate of the expected future cash flows. The estimated fair value of the asset is subject to variation should those cash flows vary significantly from those estimates. The Company periodically assesses the expected future cash flows and to the extent such payments are greater or less than its initial estimates, or the timing of such payments is materially different than the original estimates, the Company will adjust the estimated fair value of the asset. Should the expected royalties increase or decrease by 2.5%, the fair value of the asset could increase by $3.3 million or decrease by $3.3 million, respectively.

When the Company acquired the Depomed royalty rights, Glumetza was marketed by Santarus. In January 2014, Salix acquired Santarus and assumed responsibility for commercializing Glumetza, which was generally perceived to be a positive development because of Salix's larger sales force and track record in the successful commercialization of therapies. In late 2014, Salix made a number of disclosures relating to an excess of supply at the distribution level of Glumetza and other drugs that it commercialized and the practices leading to this excess of supply which were under review by Salix's audit committee in relation to the related accounting practices. Because of these disclosures and the Company's lack of direct access to information as to the levels of inventory of Glumetza in the distribution channels, the Company commenced a review of all public statements by Salix, publicly available historical third-party prescription data, analyst reports and other relevant data sources. The Company also engaged a third-party expert to specifically assess estimated inventory levels of Glumetza in the distribution channel and to ascertain the potential effects those inventory levels may have on expected future cash flows. Salix was acquired by Valeant in early April 2015. In mid-2015, Valeant implemented two price increases on Glumetza. At year-end 2015, a third-party expert was engaged by the Company to assess the impact of the Glumetza price adjustments and near-term market entrance of manufacturer of generic equivalents to Glumetza to the expected future cash flows. Based on the analysis performed, management revised the underlying assumptions used in the discounted cash flow analysis at year-end 2015. In February 2016, a manufacturer of generic equivalents to Glumetza entered the market. At March 31, 2016, management evaluated, with assistance of a third-party expert, the erosion of market share data, the gross-to-net revenue adjustment assumptions and Glumetza demand data. These data and assumptions are based on available but limited information. The Company's expected future cash flows at year-end 2015 anticipated a reduction in future cash flows of Glumetza as a result of the generic competition in 2016. However, based on the demand and supply data of Glumetza it appeared that its market share decreased more rapidly than forecasted at year-end 2015. At the end of the third quarter in 2016, management re-evaluated, with the assistance of a third-party expert, the cash flow projections concluding that a further deterioration in the net pricing warranted revision of the assumptions used in the discounted cash flow model at September 30, 2016.

As of September 30, 2016, the Company's discounted cash flow analysis reflects its expectations as to the amount and timing of future cash flows up to the valuation date. The Company continues to monitor whether the generic competition further affects sales of Glumetza and thus royalties on such sales paid to the Company. Due to the uncertainty around Valeant's marketing and pricing strategy, as well as the recent generic competition and limited historical demand data after generic market entrance, the Company may need to further reduce future cash flows in the event of more rapid reduction in market share of Glumetza or a further erosion in net pricing. In January 2016, the Company exercised its audit right under the Depomed Royalty Agreement with respect to the Glumetza royalties. The information initially provided by Valeant to the independent auditors engaged to perform the royalty audit was substantially incomplete, and the Company has since identified the information necessary to complete the audit to Valeant and is awaiting the provision of the necessary and missing information.

On May 31, 2016, the Company obtained a notification indicating that the FDA approved Jentadueto XR for use in patients with Type 2 diabetes. In June 2016, the Company received a $6.0 million FDA approval milestone. The product approval was earlier than initially expected. Based on the FDA approval and expected product launch, the Company adjusted the timing of future cash flows and discount rate used in the discounted cash flow model at June 30, 2016.

On September 21, 2016, the Company obtained a notification indicating that the FDA approved Invokamet XR for use in patients with Type 2 diabetes. The product approval triggered a $5.0 million approval milestone. Based on the FDA approval and expected product launch, the Company adjusted the timing of future cash flows and discount rate used in the discounted cash flow model at September 30, 2016.

As of September 30, 2016, the fair value of the asset acquired as reported in the Company's Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet was $134.3 million and the maximum loss exposure was $134.3 million.

VB Royalty Agreement

On June 26, 2014, the Company entered into a Royalty Purchase and Sale Agreement (the "VB Royalty Agreement") with Viscogliosi Brothers, LLC ("VB"), whereby VB conveyed to the Company the right to receive royalties payable on sales of a spinal implant that has received pre-market approval from the FDA, in exchange for a $15.5 million cash payment, less fees.

The royalty rights acquired includes royalties accruing from and after April 1, 2014. Under the terms of the VB Royalty Agreement, the Company receives all royalty payments due to VB pursuant to certain technology transfer agreements between VB and Paradigm Spine until the Company has received payments equal to 2.3 times the cash payment made to VB, after which all rights to receive royalties will be returned to VB. VB may repurchase the royalty right at any time on or before June 26, 2018, for a specified amount. The chief executive officer of Paradigm Spine is one of the owners of VB. The Paradigm Spine Credit Agreement and the VB Royalty Agreement were negotiated separately.

The fair value of the royalty right at September 30, 2016, was determined by using a discounted cash flow analysis related to the expected future cash flows to be received. This asset is classified as a Level 3 asset, as the Company's valuation utilized significant unobservable inputs, including estimates as to the probability and timing of future sales of the licensed product. The discounted cash flow was based upon expected royalties from sales of licensed product over a ten-year period. The discount rate utilized was approximately 17.5%. Significant judgment is required in selecting the appropriate discount rate. Should this discount rate increase or decrease by 2.5%, the fair value of this asset could decrease by $1.3 million or increase by $1.5 million, respectively. Should the expected royalties increase or decrease by 2.5%, the fair value of the asset could increase by $0.4 million or decrease by $0.4 million, respectively. A third-party expert was engaged to assist management with the development of its estimate of the expected future cash flows, when deemed necessary. The fair value of the asset is subject to variation should those cash flows vary significantly from the Company's estimates. At each reporting period, an evaluation is performed to assess those estimates, discount rates utilized and general market conditions affecting fair market value.

As of September 30, 2016, the fair value of the asset acquired as reported in the Company's Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet was $14.8 million and the maximum loss exposure was $14.8 million.

U-M Royalty Agreement

On November 6, 2014, the Company acquired a portion of all royalty payments of the Regents of the University of Michigan's ("U-M") worldwide royalty interest in Cerdelga (eliglustat) for $65.6 million pursuant to the Royalty Purchase and Sale Agreement with U-M (the "U-M Royalty Agreement"). Under the terms of the U-M Royalty Agreement, the Company will receive 75% of all royalty payments due under U-M’s license agreement with Genzyme Corporation, a Sanofi company ("Genzyme") until expiration of the licensed patents, excluding any patent term extension. Cerdelga, an oral therapy for adult patients with Gaucher disease type 1, was developed by Genzyme. Cerdelga was approved in the United States on August 19, 2014, in the European Union on January 22, 2015, and in Japan in March 2015. In addition, marketing applications for Cerdelga are under review by other regulatory authorities. While marketing applications have been approved in the European Union and Japan, national pricing and reimbursement decisions are delayed in some countries. At June 30, 2016, a third party expert was engaged by the Company to assess the impact of the delayed pricing and reimbursement decisions to Cerdelga's expected future cash flows. Based on the analysis performed, management revised the underlying assumptions used in the discounted cash flow analysis at June 30, 2016.

The fair value of the royalty right at September 30, 2016, was determined by using a discounted cash flow analysis related to the expected future cash flows to be received. This asset is classified as a Level 3 asset, as the Company's valuation utilized significant unobservable inputs, including estimates as to the probability and timing of future sales of the licensed product. The discounted cash flow was based upon expected royalties from sales of licensed product over a six-year period. The discount rate utilized was approximately 12.8%. Significant judgment is required in selecting the appropriate discount rate. Should this discount rate increase or decrease by 2.5%, the fair value of this asset could decrease by $4.8 million or increase by $5.4 million, respectively. Should the expected royalties increase or decrease by 2.5%, the fair value of the asset could increase by $1.6 million or decrease by $1.6 million, respectively. A third-party expert is engaged to assist management with the development of its estimate of the expected future cash flows, when deemed necessary. The fair value of the asset is subject to variation should those cash flows vary significantly from the Company's estimates. An evaluation of those estimates, discount rates utilized and general market conditions affecting fair market value is performed in each reporting period.

As of September 30, 2016, the fair value of the asset acquired as reported in the Company's Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet was $64.6 million and the maximum loss exposure was $64.6 million.

ARIAD Royalty Agreement

On July 28, 2015, the Company entered into the revenue interest assignment agreement (the "ARIAD Royalty Agreement") with ARIAD Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ("ARIAD"), whereby the Company acquired the rights to receive royalties payable from ARIAD's net revenues generated by the sale, distribution or other use of Iclusig® (ponatinib), a cancer medicine for the treatment of adult patients with chronic myeloid leukemia, in exchange for up to $200.0 million in cash payments. The purchase price of $100.0 million was payable in two tranches of $50.0 million each, with the first tranche having been funded on July 28, 2015 and the second tranche having been funded on July 28, 2016. Prior to an amendment as discussed below, the ARIAD Royalty Agreement provided ARIAD with an option to draw up to an additional $100.0 million in up to two draws at any time between the six and 12 months after the closing date. ARIAD may repurchase the royalty rights at any time for a specified amount. Upon the occurrence of certain events, the Company has the right to require ARIAD to repurchase the royalty rights for a specified amount. Under the ARIAD Royalty Agreement, the Company has the right to a make-whole payment from ARIAD if the Company does not receive payments equal to or greater than the amounts funded on or prior to the fifth anniversary of each of the respective fundings. In such case, ARIAD will pay to the Company the difference between the amounts paid to such date by ARIAD (excluding any delinquent fee payments) and the amounts funded by the Company. The Company has elected the fair value option to account for the hybrid instrument in its entirety. Any embedded derivative shall not be separated from the host contract.

Under the terms of the ARIAD Royalty Agreement, the Company receives royalty payments at a royalty rate ranging from 2.5% to 7.5% of Iclusig revenue until the first to occur of (i) repurchase of the royalty rights by ARIAD or (ii) December 31, 2033. The annual royalty payments shall not exceed $20.0 million in any fiscal year for the years ended December 31, 2015 through December 31, 2018. If Iclusig revenue does not meet certain agreed-upon projections on an annual basis, the Company is entitled to certain royalty payments from net revenue of another ARIAD product, brigatinib, up to the amount of the shortfall from the projections for the applicable year. 

On May 9, 2016, ARIAD entered into a share purchase agreement with Incyte Corporation ("Incyte"), pursuant to which ARIAD agreed to sell to Incyte all of the outstanding shares of ARIAD Pharmaceuticals (Luxembourg) S.a.r.l., which is the parent company of ARIAD’s European subsidiaries responsible for the commercialization of Iclusig in the European Union and certain other countries.

On May 9, 2016, the Company and ARIAD agreed to amend the ARIAD Royalty Agreement to, among other things, include in the Iclusig Net Revenues calculation payable to the Company by ARIAD under the ARIAD Royalty Agreement, net sales of Iclusig made by Incyte once it takes over ARIAD’s commercialization operations with respect to Iclusig in the European Union and certain other countries. In addition, the Company and ARIAD agreed to restructure future funding under the ARIAD Royalty Agreement such that ARIAD’s option to draw up to an additional $100.0 million between January and July of 2016 was reduced to a maximum amount of up to an additional $40.0 million, which will be funded at ARIAD’s option in July of 2017 upon 90 days’ written notice to the Company. The amendment to the ARIAD Royalty Agreement did not affect the Company’s obligation to fund the second tranche of $50.0 million on the first anniversary of the ARIAD Royalty Agreement, which was funded on July 28, 2016.

The asset acquired pursuant to the ARIAD Royalty Agreement represents a single unit of accounting. The fair value of the royalty right at September 30, 2016, was determined by using a discounted cash flow analysis related to the expected future cash flows to be received. This asset is classified as a Level 3 asset, as the Company's valuation utilized significant unobservable inputs, including estimates as to the probability and timing of future sales of the licensed product. The discounted cash flow was based upon expected royalties from sales of licensed product over a six-year period. The discount rate utilized was approximately 10.0%. Significant judgment is required in selecting the appropriate discount rate. Should this discount rate increase or decrease by 2.5%, the fair value of this asset could decrease by $7.6 million or increase by $8.6 million, respectively. Should the expected royalties increase or decrease by 2.5%, the fair value of the asset could increase by $2.5 million or decrease by $2.5 million, respectively. A third-party expert is engaged to assist management with the development of its estimate of the expected future cash flows, when deemed necessary. The fair value of the asset is subject to variation should those cash flows vary significantly from the Company's estimates. An evaluation of those estimates, discount rates utilized and general market conditions affecting fair market value is performed in each reporting period.

As of September 30, 2016, the fair value of the asset acquired as reported in the Company's Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet was $100.1 million and the maximum loss exposure was $100.1 million.

AcelRx Royalty Agreement

On September 18, 2015, the Company entered into a royalty interest assignment agreement (the "AcelRx Royalty Agreement") with ARPI LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of AcelRx Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ("AcelRx"), whereby the Company acquired the rights to receive a portion of the royalties and certain milestone payments on sales of Zalviso® (sufentanil sublingual tablet system) in the European Union, Switzerland and Australia by AcelRx's commercial partner, Grünenthal, in exchange for a $65.0 million cash payment. Under the terms of the AcelRx Royalty Agreement, the Company will receive 75% of all royalty payments and 80% of the first four commercial milestone payments due under AcelRx's license agreement with Grünenthal until the earlier to occur of (i) receipt by the Company of payments equal to three times the cash payments made to AcelRx and (ii) the expiration of the licensed patents. Zalviso received marketing approval by the European Commission in September 2015. Grünenthal launched Zalviso in the second quarter of 2016 and the Company started to receive royalties in the third quarter of 2016.

As of September 30, 2016, and December 31, 2015, the Company determined that its royalty rights under the AcelRx Royalty Agreement represented a variable interest in a variable interest entity. However, the Company does not have the power to direct the activities of ARPI LLC that most significantly impact ARPI LLC's economic performance and is not the primary beneficiary of ARPI LLC; therefore, ARPI LLC is not subject to consolidation by the Company.

The fair value of the royalty right at September 30, 2016, was determined by using a discounted cash flow analysis related to the expected future cash flows to be received. This asset is classified as a Level 3 asset, as the Company's valuation utilized significant unobservable inputs, including estimates as to the probability and timing of future sales of the licensed product. The discounted cash flow was based upon expected royalties from sales of licensed product over a fifteen-year period. The discount rate utilized was approximately 13.4%. Significant judgment is required in selecting the appropriate discount rate. Should this discount rate increase or decrease by 2.5%, the fair value of this asset could decrease by $10.2 million or increase by $12.6 million, respectively. Should the expected royalties increase or decrease by 2.5%, the fair value of the asset could increase by $1.9 million or decrease by $1.9 million, respectively. A third-party expert is engaged to assist management with the development of its estimate of the expected future cash flows, when deemed necessary. The fair value of the asset is subject to variation should those cash flows vary significantly from the Company's estimates. At each reporting period, an evaluation of those estimates, discount rates utilized and general market conditions affecting fair market value is performed in each reporting period.

As of September 30, 2016, the fair value of the asset acquired as reported in the Company's Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet was $74.0 million and the maximum loss exposure was $74.0 million.

Dr. Stephen Hoffman is the President of 10x Capital, Inc., a third-party consultant to the Company, and is also a member of the board of directors of AcelRx. Dr. Hoffman recused himself from the AcelRx board of directors with respect to the entirety of its discussions and considerations of the transaction. Dr. Hoffman was compensated for his contribution to consummate this transaction by the Company as part of his consulting agreement with the Company. The Company concluded Dr. Hoffman is not considered a related party in accordance with FASB ASC 850, Related Party Disclosures and SEC Regulation S-X, Related Party Transactions Which Affect the Financial Statements.

Avinger Credit and Royalty Agreement

On April 18, 2013, the Company entered into the Credit Agreement (the "Avinger Credit and Royalty Agreement") with Avinger, Inc. ("Avinger"), under which the Company made available to Avinger up to $40.0 million (of which only $20.0 million was funded) to be used by Avinger in connection with the commercialization of its lumivascular catheter devices and the development of Avinger's lumivascular atherectomy device. On September 22, 2015, Avinger elected to prepay the note receivable in whole (including interest and a prepayment fee) for a payment of $21.4 million in cash.

Under the terms of the Avinger Credit and Royalty Agreement, the Company was entitled to receive royalties at a rate of 1.8% on Avinger's net revenues until the note receivable was repaid by Avinger. Upon the repayment of the note receivable by Avinger, which occurred on September 22, 2015, the royalty rate was reduced to 0.9% subject to certain minimum payments from the prepayment date until April 2018. The Company has accounted for the royalty rights in accordance with the fair value option. The fair value of the royalty right at September 30, 2016, was determined by using a discounted cash flow analysis related to the expected future cash flows to be received. This asset is classified as a Level 3 asset, as the Company's valuation utilized significant unobservable inputs, including estimates as to the probability and timing of future sales of the licensed product. The discounted cash flow was based upon expected royalties from sales of licensed product over a two-year period. The discount rate utilized was approximately 15.0%. Significant judgment is required in selecting the appropriate discount rate. Should this discount rate increase or decrease by 5%, the fair value of this asset could decrease by $73,000 or increase by $81,000, respectively. Should the expected royalties increase or decrease by 5%, the fair value of the asset could increase by $94,000 or decrease by $94,000, respectively. Management considered the contractual minimum payments when developing its estimate of the expected future cash flows. The fair value of the asset is subject to variation should those cash flows vary significantly from the Company's estimates. An evaluation of those estimates, discount rates utilized and general market conditions affecting fair market value is performed in each reporting period.

As of September 30, 2016, the fair value of the royalty asset as reported in the Company's Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet was $1.9 million and the maximum loss exposure was $1.9 million.

Kybella Royalty Agreement

On July 8, 2016, the Company entered into a royalty purchase and sales agreement with an individual, whereby the Company acquired that individual's rights to receive certain royalties on sales of KYBELLA® by Allergan, in exchange for a $9.5 million cash payment and up to $1.0 million in future milestone payments based upon product sales targets. The Company started to receive royalty payments during the third quarter of 2016.

The fair value of the royalty right at September 30, 2016, was determined by using a discounted cash flow analysis related to the expected future cash flows to be received. This asset is classified as a Level 3 asset, as the Company's valuation utilized significant unobservable inputs, including estimates as to the probability and timing of future sales of the licensed product. The discounted cash flow was based upon expected royalties from sales of a licensed product over a nine-year period. The discount rate utilized was approximately 14.4%. Significant judgment is required in selecting the appropriate discount rate. Should this discount rate increase or decrease by 2.5%, the fair value of this asset could decrease by $1.1 million or increase by $1.3 million, respectively. Should the expected royalties increase or decrease by 2.5%, the fair value of the asset could increase by $244,000 or decrease by $244,000, respectively. A third-party expert is engaged to assist management with the development of its estimate of the expected future cash flows, when deemed necessary. The fair value of the asset is subject to variation should those cash flows vary significantly from the Company's estimates. At each reporting period, an evaluation of those estimates, discount rates utilized and general market conditions affecting fair market value is performed in each reporting period.

As of September 30, 2016, the fair value of the asset acquired as reported in the Company's Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets was $9.8 million and the maximum loss exposure was $9.8 million.

The following tables summarize the changes in Level 3 assets and liabilities and the gains and losses included in earnings for the nine months ended September 30, 2016:

Fair Value Measurements Using Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3) - Royalty Rights Assets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(in thousands)
 
Royalty Rights -
At Fair Value
Fair value as of December 31, 2015
 
 
 
$
399,204

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fair value of financial instruments purchased
 
 
 
59,500

 
Total net change in fair for the period
 
 
 
 
 
 
Change in fair value of royalty rights - at fair value
 
$
(11,872
)
 
 
 
 
Proceeds from royalty rights - at fair value
 
$
(47,240
)
 
 
 
 
Total net change in fair value for the period
 
 
 
(59,112
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fair value as of September 30, 2016
 


 
$
399,592


Fair Value Measurements Using Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3) - Royalty Rights Assets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fair Value as of
 
New Royalty
 
Royalty Rights -
 
Fair Value as of
(in thousands)
 
December 31, 2015
 
Assets
 
Change in Fair Value
 
September 30, 2016
Depomed
 
$
191,865

 
$

 
$
(57,559
)
 
$
134,306

VB
 
17,133

 

 
(2,328
)
 
14,805

U-M
 
70,186

 

 
(5,549
)
 
64,637

ARIAD
 
50,041

 
50,000

 
103

 
100,144

AcelRx
 
67,437

 

 
6,612

 
74,049

Avinger
 
2,542

 

 
(667
)
 
1,875

KYBELLA
 

 
9,500

 
276

 
9,776

 
 
$
399,204

 
$
59,500

 
$
(59,112
)
 
$
399,592


Fair Value Measurements Using Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3) - Other Assets
 
 
 
(in thousands)
 
Preferred Stock
Warrants
Fair value as of December 31, 2015
 
$

 
 
 
 
 
 
Fair value of financial instruments purchased
 
1,172

 
Total net change in fair for the period
 
(102
)
 
 
 
 
 
Fair value as of September 30, 2016
 
$
1,070



Fair Value Measurements Using Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3) - Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
(in thousands)
 
Anniversary Payment
 
Contingent Consideration
Fair value as of December 31, 2015
 
$

 
$

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fair value of financial instruments purchased
 
(87,007
)
 
(47,360
)
 
Total net change in fair for the period
 
(493
)
 
(1,590
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fair value as of September 30, 2016
 
$
87,500

 
$
48,950



The fair value of the contingent consideration was determined using an income approach derived from the Noden Products revenue estimates and a probability assessment with respect to the likelihood of achieving (a) the level of net sales or (b) generic product launch that would trigger the milestone payments. The key assumptions in determining the fair value are the discount rate and the probability assigned to the potential milestones being achieved. The fair value of the contingent consideration is remeasured each reporting period, with changes in fair value recorded in the condensed consolidated statements of income. The change in fair value of the contingent consideration during the period ending September 30, 2016 is due primarily to the passage of time, as there have been no significant changes to date in the key assumptions used in the fair value calculation at the date of acquisition.

Gains and losses from changes in Level 3 assets included in earnings for each period are presented in "Royalty rights - change in fair value" and gains and losses from changes in Level 3 liabilities included in earnings for each period are presented in "Change in fair value of anniversary payment and contingent consideration" as follows:

 
 
Three Months Ended
 
Nine Months Ended
 
 
September 30,
 
September 30,
(in thousands)
 
2016
 
2015
 
2016
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total change in fair value for the period included in earnings for royalty right assets held at the end of the reporting period
 
$
16,085

 
$
(4,280
)
 
$
(11,872
)
 
$
19,298

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total change in fair value for the period included in earnings for liabilities held at the end of the reporting period
 
$
(2,083
)
 
$

 
$
(2,083
)
 
$


The following tables present the fair value of assets and liabilities not subject to fair value recognition by level within the valuation hierarchy:

 
 
September 30, 2016
 
December 31, 2015
 
 
Carrying Value
 
Fair Value
Level 2
 
Fair Value
Level 3
 
Carrying Value
 
Fair Value
Level 2
 
Fair Value
Level 3
(In thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Wellstat Diagnostics note receivable
 
$
50,191

 
$

 
$
52,688

 
$
50,191

 
$

 
$
55,970

Hyperion note receivable
 
1,200

 

 
1,200

 
1,200

 

 
1,200

LENSAR note receivable
 
43,909

 

 
43,909

 
42,271

 

 
42,618

Direct Flow Medical note receivable
 
60,111

 

 
62,484

 
51,852

 

 
51,992

Paradigm Spine note receivable
 

 

 

 
53,973

 

 
54,250

kaléo note receivable
 
146,707

 

 
143,884

 
146,778

 

 
146,789

CareView note receivable
 
18,879

 

 
20,168

 
18,640

 

 
19,495

Total
 
$
320,997

 
$

 
$
324,333

 
$
364,905

 
$

 
$
372,314

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Liabilities:
 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

 
 

February 2018 Notes
 
$
234,895

 
$
239,978

 
$

 
$
228,862

 
$
197,946

 
$

March 2015 Term Loan
 

 

 

 
24,966

 

 
25,000

Total
 
$
234,895

 
$
239,978

 
$

 
$
253,828

 
$
197,946

 
$
25,000



As of September 30, 2016 and December 31, 2015, the estimated fair values of the Paradigm Spine, LLC note receivable, kaléo, Inc. note receivable, Hyperion Catalysis International, Inc. note receivable, LENSAR, LLC note receivable, CareView Communications Inc. note receivable and Direct Flow Medical, Inc. note receivable were determined using one or more discounted cash flow models, incorporating expected payments and the interest rate extended on the notes receivable, with fixed interest rates and incorporating expected payments for notes receivable with a variable rate of return.

When deemed necessary the Company engages a third-party valuation expert to assist in evaluating its investments and the related inputs needed to estimate the fair value of certain investments. The Company determined its notes receivable assets are Level 3 assets as the Company's valuations utilized significant unobservable inputs, including estimates of future revenues, discount rates, expectations about settlement, terminal values and required yield. To provide support for the estimated fair value measurements, the Company considered forward-looking performance related to the investment and current measures associated with high yield indices, and reviewed the terms and yields of notes placed by specialty finance and venture firms both across industries and in similar sectors.

The Wellstat Diagnostics Note Receivable and Credit Agreement, as amended and restated, is secured by substantially all assets and equity interests in Wellstat Diagnostics. In addition, the note is subject to a guaranty from the Wellstat Diagnostics Guarantors. The estimated fair value of the collateral assets was determined by using an asset approach and discounted cash flow model related to the underlying collateral and was adjusted to consider estimated costs to sell the assets.

On September 30, 2016, the carrying values of several of the Company's notes receivable differed from their estimated fair value. This is the result of discount rates used when performing a discounted cash flow for fair value valuation purposes. The Company determined these notes receivable to be Level 3 assets, as its valuations utilized significant unobservable inputs, estimates of future revenues, expectations about settlement and required yield. To provide support for the fair value measurements, the Company considered forward-looking performance, and current measures associated with high yield and published indices, and reviewed the terms and yields of notes placed by specialty finance and venture firms both across industries and in a similar sector.

The fair values of the Company's convertible notes were determined using quoted market pricing or dealer quotes.

Warrants

Warrants consist primarily of purchased call options to buy U.S. corporate equity holdings and derivative assets acquired as part of note receivable investments. The fair value of the warrants is estimated using recently quoted market prices or estimated fair value of the underlying equity security and the Black-Scholes option pricing model.