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Losses and Loss Expenses
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2016
Liability for Claims and Claims Adjustment Expense [Abstract]  
Losses and loss expenses
Losses and Loss Expenses
The following table represents a reconciliation of the beginning and ending balances of unpaid losses and loss expenses, including an analysis of the Company’s paid and unpaid losses and loss expenses incurred for the years indicated:
(U.S. dollars in thousands)
2016
 
2015
 
2014
Unpaid losses and loss expenses at the beginning of the year
$
25,439,744

 
$
19,353,243

 
$
20,481,065

Unpaid losses and loss expenses recoverable (1)
5,248,905

 
3,411,528

 
3,414,735

Net unpaid losses and loss expenses at the beginning of the year
$
20,190,839

 
$
15,941,715

 
$
17,066,330

Acquired reserves
101,315

 
5,439,876

 

Increase (decrease) in net losses and loss expenses incurred in respect of losses occurring in:
 
 
 
 
 
Current year
6,374,377

 
5,072,830

 
3,513,465

Prior year
(301,542
)
 
(306,630
)
 
(255,072
)
Total net incurred losses and loss expenses
6,072,835

 
4,766,200

 
3,258,393

Exchange rate effects
(571,198
)
 
(582,300
)
 
(561,673
)
Less net losses and loss expenses paid in respect of losses occurring in:
  
 
  
 
  
Current year
1,444,251

 
1,047,277

 
381,008

Prior year
3,890,269

 
4,327,375

 
3,440,327

Total net paid losses
$
5,334,520

 
$
5,374,652

 
$
3,821,335

Net unpaid losses and loss expenses at the end of the year
20,459,271

 
20,190,839

 
15,941,715

Unpaid losses and loss expenses recoverable (1)
5,480,300

 
5,248,905

 
3,411,528

Unpaid losses and loss expenses at the end of the year
$
25,939,571

 
$
25,439,744

 
$
19,353,243

____________
(1)
Property and Casualty business only. See Note 12, "Reinsurance," for further information.
(a) Liability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Expenses
As the Company earns premiums for the underwriting risks it assumes, an estimate of the expected ultimate losses related to the premium is established. Loss reserves for unpaid loss and loss expenses are established due to the significant periods of time that may elapse between the occurrence, reporting and settlement of a loss. The process of establishing reserves for unpaid P&C claims can be complex and is subject to considerable variability, as it requires the use of judgment to make informed estimates. These estimates are based on numerous factors, and may be revised as additional experience and other data become available and are reviewed, as new or improved methodologies are developed or as current laws change. Loss reserves include:
Case reserves - reserves for reported losses and loss expenses that have not yet been settled; and
IBNR reserves – reserves for incurred but not reported losses or for reported losses over and above the amount of case reserves.
Case Reserves
Case reserves for the Company's P&C operations are established by management based on amounts reported from insureds or ceding companies and consultation with legal counsel, and represent the estimated ultimate cost of events or conditions that have been reported to or specifically identified by the Company. The method of establishing case reserves for reported claims differs among the Company's operations.
With respect to the Insurance segment, the Company is notified of insured losses and records a case reserve for the estimated amount of the settlement, if any. The estimate reflects the judgment of claims personnel based on general reserving practices, the experience and knowledge of such personnel regarding the nature of the specific claim and, where appropriate, advice of legal counsel. Reserves are also established to provide for the estimated expense of settling claims, including legal and other fees and the general expenses of administering the claims adjustment process.
With respect to reinsurance operations, case reserves for reported claims are generally established based on reports received from ceding companies. Additional case reserves may be established by the Company to reflect the estimated ultimate cost of a loss. For reinsurers, uncertainty in the reserving process stems, in part, from timing lags inherent in reporting by the claimant to the primary insurer, and subsequently by the primary insurer to the reinsurer. As a predominantly broker market reinsurer for both excess-of-loss and proportional contracts, the Company is potentially subject to an additional timing lag in the receipt of information as the primary insurer reports to the broker who in turn reports to the Company.
Since the Company relies on information regarding paid losses, case reserves and IBNR provided by ceding companies to estimate its liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses ("LAE"), certain procedures are maintained in order to help determine the completeness and accuracy of such information. Periodically, management assesses the reporting activities of its ceding companies on the basis of qualitative and quantitative criteria. In addition to conferring with ceding companies or brokers on claims matters, our claims personnel conduct periodic audits of specific claims and the overall claims procedures of ceding companies at their offices. The Company relies on its ability to effectively monitor the claims handling and claims reserving practices of ceding companies in order to help establish the proper reinsurance premium for reinsurance agreements and to establish proper loss reserves. Disputes with ceding companies have been rare and generally have been resolved through negotiation.
In addition to information received from ceding companies on reported claims, the Company also utilizes information on the pattern of ceding company loss reporting and loss settlements from previous catastrophic events in order to estimate the ultimate liability related to catastrophic events such as hurricanes. Commercial catastrophe model analyses and zonal aggregate exposures are utilized to assess potential client loss before and after an event. Initial cedant loss reports are generally obtained shortly after a catastrophic event, with subsequent updates received as new information becomes available. The Company actively requests loss updates from cedants periodically while there is still considerable uncertainty for an event, often for the first year following an event. The Company's claim settlement processes also incorporate an update to the total loss reserve at the time a claim payment is made to a ceding company.
While the reliance on loss reports from ceding companies may increase the level of uncertainty associated with the estimation of total loss reserves for property catastrophe reinsurance relative to direct property insurance, there are several factors which serve to reduce the uncertainty in loss reserve estimates for property catastrophe reinsurance. First, for large natural catastrophe events, aggregate limits in property catastrophe reinsurance contracts are in some cases fully exhausted by the loss reserve estimates. Second, as a reinsurer, the Company has access to information from a broad cross section of the insurance industry. The Company utilizes such information in order to perform consistency checks on the data provided by ceding companies and is able to identify trends in loss reporting and settlement activity and incorporate such information in the estimate of IBNR reserves. Finally, the Company also supplements the loss information received from cedants with loss estimates developed by market share techniques and/or from third party catastrophe models applied to exposure data supplied by cedants.
IBNR Reserves
IBNR reserves represent management’s best estimate, at a given point in time, of the amount in excess of case reserves that is needed for the future settlement and loss adjustment costs associated with claims incurred. It is possible that the ultimate liability may differ materially from these estimates. Because the ultimate amount of unpaid losses and LAE is uncertain, management believes that quantitative techniques to estimate these amounts are enhanced by professional and managerial judgment. Management reviews the IBNR estimates produced by its actuarial department and determines its best estimate of the liabilities to record in the financial statements. The Company considers this single point estimate to be the mean expected outcome.
IBNR reserves are estimated by the Company's actuaries using several standard actuarial methodologies including the loss ratio method, the loss development or chain ladder method, the Bornhuetter-Ferguson ("BF") method and frequency and severity approaches. IBNR related to a specific event may be based on the estimated exposure to an industry loss and may include the use of catastrophe modeling software. On a quarterly basis, IBNR reserves are reviewed by the Company's actuaries, and are adjusted as new information becomes available. Any such adjustments are accounted for as changes in estimates and are reflected in the results of operations in the period in which they are made.
The Company's actuaries use one set of assumptions in calculating the single point estimate, which includes actual loss data, loss development factors, loss ratios, reported claim frequency and severity. The actuarial reviews and documentation are completed in accordance with professional actuarial standards with reserves established on a basis consistent with GAAP. The selected assumptions reflect the actuary’s judgment based on historical data and experience combined with information concerning current underwriting, economic, judicial, regulatory and other influences on ultimate claim settlements.
When estimating IBNR reserves, each insurance and reinsurance business unit segregates business into exposure classes. Within each class, the business is further segregated by either the year in which the contract incepted ("underwriting year"), the year in which the claim occurred ("accident year"), or the year in which the claim is reported ("report year"). Within the Insurance Segment, reviews are on an accident year, underwriting year, or report year basis depending on the nature of the business. The Reinsurance segment is reviewed on an underwriting year basis. In each case, management believes the selected method most accurately represents the economic condition of the business.
Generally, initial actuarial estimates of IBNR reserves not related to a specific event are based on the loss ratio method applied to each class of business. Actual paid losses and case reserves ("reported losses") are subtracted from expected ultimate losses to determine IBNR reserves. Estimates of the initial expected ultimate losses involve management judgment and are based on historical information for that class of business, which includes loss ratios, market conditions, changes in pricing and conditions, underwriting changes, changes in claims emergence, and other factors that may influence expected ultimate losses.
Over time, as greater numbers of claims are reported, actuarial estimates of IBNR are based on the BF method and loss development techniques. The BF method utilizes actual loss data and the expected patterns of loss emergence, combined with an initial expectation of ultimate losses to determine an estimate of ultimate losses. This method may be appropriate when there is limited actual loss data and a relatively less stable pattern of loss emergence. The chain ladder method utilizes actual loss and expected patterns of loss emergence to determine an estimate of ultimate losses that is independent of the initial expectation of ultimate losses. This method may be appropriate when there is a relatively stable pattern of loss emergence and a relatively larger number of reported claims. Multiple estimates of ultimate losses using a variety of actuarial methods are calculated for each class of business for each year of loss experience. The Company's actuaries look at each class and determine the most appropriate point estimate based on the characteristics of the particular class and other relevant factors, such as historical ultimate loss ratios, the presence of individual large losses, and known occurrences that have not yet resulted in reported losses. Once the actuaries make their determination of the most appropriate point estimate for each class, this information is aggregated and presented to management for review and approval.
The pattern of loss emergence is determined using actuarial analysis and judgment and is based on the historical patterns of the recording of paid and reported losses, as well as industry information. Information that may cause historical patterns to differ from future patterns is considered and reflected in expected patterns as appropriate. For property, marine and aviation insurance, losses are generally reported within 2 to 3 years from the beginning of the accident year. For casualty insurance, loss emergence patterns can vary from 3 years to over 20 years depending on the type of business. For other insurance, loss emergence patterns generally fall within these ranges. For reinsurance business, loss reporting lags the corresponding insurance classes often by at least one quarter due to the need for loss information to flow from the ceding companies to us generally via reinsurance intermediaries. Such lags in loss reporting are reflected in the actuary’s selections of loss reporting patterns used in establishing our reserves.
Such estimates are not precise because, among other things, they are based on predictions of future developments and estimates of future trends in claim severity, claim frequency and other issues. In the process of estimating IBNR reserves, provisions for economic inflation and changes in the social and legal environment are considered, but involve considerable judgment. When estimating IBNR reserves, more judgment is typically required for lines of business with longer loss emergence patterns.
Due to the low frequency and high severity nature of some of the business the Company underwrites, our reserve estimates are highly dependent on actuarial and management judgment and are therefore uncertain. In property classes, there can be additional uncertainty in loss estimation related to large catastrophe events. With wind events, such as hurricanes, the damage assessment process may take more than a year. The cost of claims is subject to volatility due to supply shortages for construction materials and labor. In the case of earthquakes, the damage assessment process may take several years as buildings are discovered to have structural weaknesses not initially detected. The uncertainty inherent in IBNR reserve estimates is particularly pronounced for casualty coverages, such as excess liability, professional liability and workers’ compensation, where information emerges relatively slowly over time.
The three types of property and casualty reserve exposure with the longest tails included in the Company's portfolio are:
high layer excess casualty insurance;
casualty reinsurance; and
discontinued asbestos and run-off environmental insurance and reinsurance liabilities.
Certain aspects of casualty operations complicate the actuarial process for establishing reserves. Certain casualty business written by insurance operations is high layer excess casualty business, meaning that liability attaches after large deductibles, including self-insurance or insurance from other sources. The Company began writing this type of business in 1986 and issued policies in forms that were different from traditional policies used by the industry at that time. Initially, there was a lack of industry data available for this type of business. Consequently, the basis for establishing loss reserves for this type of business was largely based upon judgment and the Company's reported loss experience, which was used as a basis for determining ultimate losses and, therefore, IBNR reserves. Over time, the amount of available historical loss experience data has increased. As a result, there is a larger statistical base to assist in establishing reserves for these excess casualty insurance claims.
High layer excess casualty insurance claims typically involve claims relating to (i) a "shock loss" such as an explosion or transportation accident causing severe damage to persons and/or property over a short period of time, (ii) a "non-shock" loss where a large number of claimants are exposed to injurious conditions over a longer period of time, such as exposure to chemicals or pharmaceuticals or (iii) a professional liability loss such as a medical malpractice claim. In each case, these claims are ultimately settled following extensive negotiations and legal proceedings. This process typically takes 5 to 15 years following the date of loss.
Reinsurance operations by their nature add further complications to the reserving process, particularly for the casualty business written, in that there is an inherent lag in the timing and reporting of a loss event from an insured or ceding company to the reinsurer. This reporting lag creates an even longer period of time between the policy inception and when a claim is finally settled. As a result, more judgment is required to establish reserves for ultimate claims in reinsurance operations.
Casualty reinsurance business involves reserving methods that generally include historical aggregated claim information as reported by ceding companies, combined with the results of claims and underwriting reviews of a sample of the ceding company’s claims and underwriting files. Therefore, we do not always receive detailed claim information for this line of business.
Discontinued asbestos and run-off environmental liabilities are attached to certain policies previously written by NAC Re Corp. (now known as XL Reinsurance America Inc.), prior to being acquired by the Company; from business of Winterthur purchased by the Company from AXA Insurance in 2001; from a loss portfolio transfer in 2006; and acquired as a result of the Catlin Acquisition. At December 31, 2016, total gross unpaid losses and loss expenses with respect to these businesses represented less than 1% of unpaid losses and loss expenses of the Company.
Unpaid losses and loss expenses prior to reinsurance recoveries for the indicated years ended December 31 comprise the following:
(U.S. dollars in thousands)
2016
 
2015
Reserve for reported losses and loss expenses
$
10,343,481

 
$
10,293,448

Reserve for losses incurred but not reported
15,596,090

 
15,146,296

Unpaid losses and loss expenses
$
25,939,571

 
$
25,439,744


Claims Development
Management has determined that the appropriate level of disaggregation for the incurred and paid claims development information best falls into six categories within its two operating segments. This level of disaggregation is consistent with the Company's historical disclosure levels and provides groupings of the Company's insurance and reinsurance businesses of a credible size and with similar claim development characteristics, particularly payment patterns. It should be noted that when estimating IBNR reserves, the Company's Insurance and Reinsurance segments segregate business into exposure classes and over 250 classes are reviewed in total. Furthermore, large losses and catastrophe events are evaluated separately.
As noted previously, reserve reviews are carried out on an accident year, underwriting year or report year basis depending on the nature of the business. Typically, reserve reviews are carried out gross of reinsurance with ceded reinsurance recoveries evaluated separately to arrive at net reserves. However, in accordance with accounting guidance, the disclosures presented herein are accident year triangles, presented net of reinsurance recoverables. Underwriting year triangles are converted to an accident year basis using assumptions consistent with the underlying premium earning profiles and considering large losses in their respective accident year. Similarly, ceded reinsurance recoverables are allocated to accident year and class of business in order to present net accident year triangles. While we have compiled the triangles on a best efforts basis, the allocation bases required to develop historical net accident year triangles should be viewed as approximations only.
Within the Insurance segment, there are four business groups: Professional; Casualty and other; Energy, Property and Construction ("EPC"); and Specialty. Within the Reinsurance segment, all major products fall within two categories: Property and Other Short-Tail Lines, and Casualty and Other Long-Tail Lines. The Company has also provided aggregate triangles for the total Company and the Insurance and Reinsurance segments to reflect the levels at which the Company manages its business.
The nature of the Company's high excess of loss liability and catastrophe business can result in loss events that are both irregular and significant. Similarly, adjustments to reserves for individual years can be irregular and significant. Such adjustments are part of the normal course of business of the Company. There is no assurance that conditions and trends that have affected the development of liabilities in the past will continue. Furthermore, changes in business mix over time, including discontinuation of certain classes of business and growth in others, can impact development patterns. Accordingly, it may not be appropriate to extrapolate future redundancies or deficiencies based on the Company's historical results.
As discussed in further detail in part (c), except for certain workers’ compensation (including long term disability) liabilities and certain bodily injury liability claims, emanating from U.K. exposures, predominantly from the U.K. motor liability portfolio, the Company does not discount its unpaid losses and loss expenses. The development in the tables included herein is presented on a gross of discount basis, reflecting the undiscounted case reserves established using a tabular reserving methodology and the undiscounted IBNR. The amount of discount is then determined for both Case and IBNR reserves and booked accordingly. The amount of discount is included in the reconciliation of the reserves to the Consolidated Balance Sheet.
As a result of the Catlin Acquisition in 2015 as noted in Note 2(e), "Acquisitions and Disposals - Catlin Acquisition, the Company acquired approximately $5.4 billion of unpaid claims liability, net of reinsurance, as well as $101.3 million of unpaid claims liability, net of reinsurance due to the Allied Acquisition in 2016 as noted in Note 2(c), "Acquisitions and Disposals - Allied Acquisition." For purposes of this disclosure, the Company has applied the retrospective method for these acquired reserves, including the combined companies' incurred and paid claim development histories throughout the tables. It should be noted that historical reserves for the acquired businesses were established by the respective companies using methods, assumptions and procedures then in effect which may differ from the Company's current reserving bases. Accordingly, it may not be appropriate to extrapolate future redundancies or deficiencies based on the aggregated historical results shown in the triangles.
The Company has also revalued all historical data using exchange rates at December 31, 2016 in order to mitigate the effect of foreign exchange on the development throughout the triangles. Due to currency mix changes from one year end to the next, revaluation of incurred losses will result in different year-on-year movements within the triangles with each annual presentation. This approach for handling foreign exchange movements within the triangles differs somewhat from the underlying calculation of prior year development in our financial statements due the inclusion of historical loss payments as well as reserves and the level of granularity used in the calculation. The differences have been deemed not to be material.
The number of reported claims is provided for the Insurance segment on a per claim basis and excludes those claims which closed with no payment. It should be noted that certain claims may eventually close with no payment in the future at which time the claims will be excluded on a prospective basis. The number of reported claims can vary over time due to changes in mix of business and policy terms and conditions. For the Reinsurance segment, the number of reported claims is not provided due to the common industry practice of cedants reporting loss information for proportional treaties on a bulk basis without comprehensive claim details. Therefore, it is impractical to provide meaningful claim count detail for our Reinsurance business.
The Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses for each age has been derived using a weighted average of all cumulative paid amounts as a percentage of 2016 incurred losses and allocated loss expenses. The average annual percentage payout can change over time due to changes in business mix, policy terms and conditions as well as ceded reinsurance arrangements.
As previously noted, the process of establishing reserves for unpaid P&C claims can be complex and is subject to considerable variability, as it requires the use of judgment to make informed estimates. These estimates are based on numerous factors, and may be revised as additional experience and data become available, as new or improved methodologies are developed or as current laws change. In addition, there is no assurance that conditions and trends that have affected the development of liabilities in the past will continue. This variability may result in either favorable or adverse development in the Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Expense triangles provided by the Company. The variability experienced to date has been in line with management’s expectations given the underlying business written by the Company. We have provided additional commentary for the individual categories below:
For the Insurance Segment in total, while individual accident years have both favorable and adverse incremental development across the triangle, accident years 2007 to 2013 have all developed favorably since the first evaluation. The 2014 and 2015 accident years reflect modest adverse development due primarily to large loss activity in several lines that the Company does not view as a trend. In addition, the Company notes that these accident years are still relatively immature.
For the Insurance EPC category, individual accident years have generally developed favorably as updated loss estimates were received and volatility in the loss estimates decreased. The 2014 accident year experienced adverse development from the 2014 evaluation to the 2015 evaluation due to development on a large fire loss which occurred in late December 2014. The 2014 accident year then developed favorably from the 2015 evaluation to the 2016 evaluation. The 2015 accident year experienced adverse development from the first evaluation in 2015 to the second evaluation in 2016 due to movements on several claims in the international property and construction businesses.
For the Insurance Specialty category, individual accident years have generally developed favorably as updated loss estimates were received and volatility in the loss estimates decreased. This category includes a range of businesses with both short-tail and medium-tail exposures. Typically, development in the second year relates to short-tail lines with development on medium-tail business being reflected at subsequent evaluations.
For the Insurance Professional category, individual accident years have both favorable and adverse development across the triangle. These developments relate to the complexity associated with claims in this class of business. In 2008, the Company strengthened its reserves for the 2007 report/accident year due to the developing subprime-credit crisis. Due to the claims-made nature of the underlying Professional policies, the subprime-credit crisis impacted the 2008 to 2012 report years and reserves were re-allocated from the 2007 report year to these later years as claims developed. The cumulative impact of the credit crisis and developing loss trends were more severe than originally expected for these years. The 2014 and 2015 report years have experienced modest adverse development due to large loss activity in the international financial lines management liability book and the discontinued design subcontractors default portfolio.
For the Insurance Casualty category, individual accident years have both favorable and adverse development across the triangle. These developments relate to the complexity associated with claims in this class of business and the high level of attachment of the Company’s excess policies. The 2010 accident year experienced more adverse development than other accident years due to development on the Deepwater Horizon event. The 2013 to 2015 accident years reflect modest adverse development due to large loss activity relating to the excess casualty portfolio and strengthening of the excess and surplus portfolio and the newly acquired Allied business.
For the Reinsurance Segment in total, while individual accident years have both favorable and adverse incremental development across the triangle, all accident years except for the 2010 accident year developed favorably since the first evaluation. The adverse development since the first evaluation for the 2010 accident year was very modest.
For the Reinsurance Property and Other Short Tail category, individual accident years have generally developed favorably as updated loss estimates were received and volatility in the loss estimates decreased. The two outliers were the 2010 and 2012 accident years where there was modest adverse development related to large loss events from the business acquired in the Catlin Acquisition. Specifically, the 2010 adverse development relates to the Buncefield Explosion and the New Zealand Darfield Earthquake and the 2012 development relates to Costa Concordia and Superstorm Sandy. The favorable development on the 2011 year relates in part to reductions on the Japan Earthquake and Tsunami event also within the business acquired in the Catlin Acquisition. As noted earlier, the historical reserves for the acquired businesses were established by the respective companies using methods, assumptions and procedures then in effect which may differ from the Company's current reserving bases.  
For the Reinsurance Casualty and Other Long Tail category, the earlier years had modest favorable development and the later years had modest adverse development. The adverse development for the later accident years relates to changes in reserving methodology for certain long tailed lines of business that occurred in calendar years 2012 and 2015. In 2012, the Company changed its methodology to hold an explicit discount on loss reserves for U.K. bodily injury claims expected to settle via Periodical Payment Orders ("PPOs"). As these claims became more prevalent and costly, reserves were strengthened on an undiscounted basis. However, with the implementation of discounting, there was a minimal change in the loss reserves, net of the discount. Similarly, a significant portion of the increase in the Incurred Losses and Allocated Loss Expense, Net of Reinsurance for the 2015 calendar year is due to a change in the methodology used to determine the undiscounted ultimate losses for the reinsurance workers' compensation liabilities acquired in the Catlin Acquisition resulting in a large increase in the undiscounted losses but an insignificant change in the discounted losses.


Total Property and Casualty
(in thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Losses and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
For the Years Ended December 31,
As of Dec 31, 2016
 
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR (1)
Number of Claims
2007
$
4,632,657

$
4,806,850

$
4,718,961

$
4,684,540

$
4,689,256

$
4,569,019

$
4,541,978

$
4,519,599

$
4,432,150

$
4,390,981

$
246,827

N/A
2008
 
5,504,796

5,575,015

5,503,422

5,524,325

5,479,907

5,449,364

5,417,072

5,357,648

5,322,204

307,738

N/A
2009
 
 
4,622,547

4,627,569

4,542,408

4,556,902

4,550,362

4,550,542

4,422,167

4,392,904

317,583

N/A
2010
 
 
 
4,983,044

5,111,634

5,002,061

5,026,101

4,974,782

4,957,474

4,981,939

464,306

N/A
2011
 
 
 
 
6,236,775

6,187,474

6,111,779

5,980,635

6,116,046

6,083,796

558,008

N/A
2012
 
 
 
 
 
5,697,958

5,660,616

5,640,576

5,754,387

5,663,926

715,827

N/A
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
5,558,316

5,554,791

5,523,695

5,426,144

1,082,491

N/A
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
5,183,056

5,369,393

5,397,264

1,396,883

N/A
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
5,354,494

5,498,206

1,962,006

N/A
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
6,005,506

3,425,518

N/A
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
53,162,870

Total
 
 
 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the Years Ended December 31,
 
 
 
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
 
 
2007
$
521,083

$
1,289,961

$
2,055,288

$
2,587,918

$
3,126,834

$
3,397,370

$
3,612,934

$
3,744,872

$
3,822,207

$
3,894,280

 
 
2008
 
788,760

1,994,235

2,857,474

3,446,415

3,947,203

4,240,640

4,450,875

4,582,409

4,700,567

 
 
2009
 
 
638,179

1,530,295

2,192,791

2,655,163

3,117,922

3,366,917

3,551,474

3,663,224

 
 
2010
 
 
 
840,030

1,855,407

2,645,868

3,144,278

3,521,163

3,851,827

4,084,244

 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
1,246,596

2,872,319

3,664,970

4,242,053

4,737,827

5,021,000

 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
952,158

2,256,973

3,149,842

3,802,042

4,199,766

 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
976,023

2,194,912

3,049,907

3,614,076

 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
957,525

2,250,446

3,090,343

 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
970,277

2,152,569

 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,192,137

 
 
 
 
$
35,612,206

 
 
 
All outstanding liabilities prior to 2007, net of reinsurance
 
2,501,779

 
 
 
Liabilities for unpaid losses and loss expenses, net of reinsurance
 
$
20,052,443

 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance
 
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
 
17
%
22
%
15
%
10
%
9
%
6
%
3
%
3
%
3
%
1
%

____________
(1)
Total IBNR Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
Insurance Segment
(in thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Losses and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
For the Years Ended December 31,
As of Dec 31, 2016
 
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR (1)
Number of Claims
2007
$
3,258,668

$
3,490,955

$
3,426,696

$
3,431,600

$
3,442,331

$
3,329,848

$
3,317,676

$
3,318,423

$
3,274,775

$
3,246,355

$
158,351

45.542

2008
 
3,891,682

3,969,259

3,935,499

3,974,071

3,918,450

3,889,538

3,857,758

3,822,133

3,786,671

186,723

54.952

2009
 
 
3,472,222

3,499,124

3,458,320

3,480,715

3,483,027

3,500,575

3,369,614

3,346,817

190,193

54.896

2010
 
 
 
3,702,458

3,809,102

3,699,234

3,735,809

3,688,045

3,661,919

3,697,761

313,815

61.416

2011
 
 
 
 
4,014,389

3,986,420

4,009,166

3,921,559

4,026,511

4,001,271

379,349

65.437

2012
 
 
 
 
 
3,870,871

3,799,876

3,800,046

3,921,415

3,851,259

468,002

70.919

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
3,942,360

4,003,359

3,978,956

3,924,048

802,611

78.018

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3,748,154

3,917,364

3,978,436

1,052,314

87.491

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3,849,731

4,039,203

1,418,476

94.229

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4,160,269

2,358,172

65.684

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
38,032,090

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
For the Years Ended December 31,
 
 
 
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
 
 
2007
$
367,171

$
930,428

$
1,462,857

$
1,884,318

$
2,333,047

$
2,549,256

$
2,715,861

$
2,822,610

$
2,896,977

$
2,943,144

 
 
2008
 
461,606

1,339,577

1,973,577

2,427,033

2,843,188

3,069,812

3,234,869

3,337,607

3,415,212

 
 
2009
 
 
462,090

1,140,796

1,666,673

2,043,196

2,432,021

2,634,783

2,787,167

2,865,558

 
 
2010
 
 
 
607,658

1,377,513

1,978,027

2,370,062

2,685,015

2,914,856

3,072,546

 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
649,690

1,617,155

2,216,640

2,653,619

3,062,399

3,290,213

 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
634,043

1,471,761

2,079,400

2,578,639

2,886,674

 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
657,753

1,509,232

2,141,332

2,597,422

 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
669,745

1,597,123

2,263,643

 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
691,253

1,563,019

 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
861,429

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
25,758,860

 
 
 
All outstanding liabilities prior to 2007, net of reinsurance
 
1,069,908

 
 
 
Liabilities for unpaid losses and loss expenses, net of reinsurance
 
$
13,343,138

 
 

Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance
 
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
 
16
%
21
%
16
%
11
%
10
%
6
%
4
%
3
%
3
%
1
%

____________
(1)
Total IBNR Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims

EPC
(in thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Losses and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
For the Years Ended December 31,
As of Dec 31, 2016
 
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR (1)
Number of Claims
2007
$
439,938

$
394,730

$
385,373

$
365,395

$
364,454

$
361,632

$
358,820

$
357,009

$
356,106

$
355,709

$
(213
)
5,380

2008
 
841,913

834,562

806,976

782,005

777,476

769,906

774,108

768,610

767,031

10,701

9.013

2009
 
 
400,045

382,644

364,526

356,069

349,819

345,668

344,108

342,072

6,549

7.596

2010
 
 
 
596,340

611,917

589,119

571,375

565,494

574,091

568,574

(5,681
)
8.532

2011
 
 
 
 
979,353

911,684

890,820

857,510

846,315

842,481

7,165

10.172

2012
 
 
 
 
 
689,032

660,128

635,712

636,896

626,132

6,086

11.131

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
740,573

715,909

690,102

684,578

9,763

12.141

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
703,860

735,789

723,382

6,921

14.609

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
791,724

812,247

64,949

16.424

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
969,709

228,630

15.279

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
6,691,915

Total
 
 
 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the Years Ended December 31,
 
 
 
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
 
 
2007
$
69,288

$
208,210

$
298,622

$
316,321

$
329,883

$
341,442

$
347,421

$
348,059

$
350,602

$
351,151

 
 
2008
 
152,946

467,537

604,163

653,749

730,513

748,607

752,294

747,374

750,022

 
 
2009
 
 
84,638

190,194

254,420

287,809

311,335

313,434

328,222

331,246

 
 
2010
 
 
 
166,353

380,649

476,832

526,375

543,985

542,011

547,486

 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
211,176

610,086

744,330

784,418

813,298

815,694

 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
161,117

389,827

531,299

574,467

593,981

 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
165,460

452,805

586,539

636,623

 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
180,735

504,925

645,682

 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
224,497

484,431

 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
324,575

 
 
 
 
$
5,480,891

 
 
 
All outstanding liabilities prior to 2007, net of reinsurance
 
24,692

 
 
 
Liabilities for unpaid losses and loss expenses, net of reinsurance
 
$
1,235,716

 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance
 
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
 
26
%
38
%
20
%
6
%
5
%
1
%
1
%
%
1
%
1
%

____________
(1)
Total IBNR Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
Specialty
(in thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Losses and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
For the Years Ended December 31,
As of Dec 31, 2016
 
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR (1)
Number of Claims
2007
$
825,002

$
852,759

$
847,085

$
837,517

$
832,003

$
813,822

$
802,825

$
782,043

$
803,587

$
799,817

$
4,787

18.554

2008
 
875,540

934,797

884,249

863,902

851,059

839,237

813,581

830,905

826,097

3,738

22.083

2009
 
 
987,010

978,410

909,964

882,725

872,379

862,563

807,644

798,315

1,770

20.875

2010
 
 
 
1,004,165

962,021

894,249

875,392

849,972

838,086

837,473

12,588

24.437

2011
 
 
 
 
975,525

974,012

945,212

901,762

915,622

908,417

34,269

25,070

2012
 
 
 
 
 
1,009,999

950,530

917,430

901,214

890,061

19,757

27.855

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
940,906

979,459

943,553

941,582

45,919

31.103

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
945,355

964,163

948,242

66,235

36.659

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
967,064

1,027,349

137,686

39.552

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,065,208

386,279

28.418

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
9,042,561

Total
 
 
 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the Years Ended December 31,
 
 
 
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
 
 
2007
$
249,996

$
468,074

$
608,006

$
675,749

$
711,472

$
739,870

$
758,150

$
774,511

$
776,816

$
779,786

 
 
2008
 
244,084

511,167

637,898

699,636

742,474

767,795

786,003

791,620

797,195

 
 
2009
 
 
311,190

552,213

660,099

712,561

736,233

754,577

764,637

767,565

 
 
2010
 
 
 
317,829

548,616

660,232

714,045

757,382

774,635

783,693

 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
294,082

603,843

738,976

794,906

817,521

840,552

 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
310,705

589,660

698,093

767,416

804,007

 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
331,485

596,425

716,825

792,004

 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
338,376

618,150

749,446

 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
335,018

656,573

 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
409,665

 
 
 
 
$
7,380,486

 
 
 
All outstanding liabilities prior to 2007, net of reinsurance
 
139,887

 
 
 
Liabilities for unpaid losses and loss expenses, net of reinsurance
 
$
1,801,962

 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance
 
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
 
35
%
30
%
14
%
7
%
4
%
3
%
2
%
1
%
1
%
1
%

____________
(1)
Total IBNR Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
Professional
(in thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Losses and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
For the Years Ended December 31,
As of Dec 31, 2016
 
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR (1)
Number of Claims
2007
$
911,695

$
1,130,926

$
1,106,630

$
1,061,995

$
1,070,028

$
995,364

$
993,007

$
1,000,256

$
944,024

$
928,677

$
68,144

4.371

2008
 
1,033,982

1,087,436

1,131,685

1,221,906

1,195,931

1,174,486

1,167,289

1,136,720

1,114,924

60,568

5.187

2009
 
 
968,336

1,036,140

1,094,824

1,158,091

1,196,078

1,202,994

1,169,232

1,164,825

77,399

5.589

2010
 
 
 
989,432

984,780

957,486

1,035,571

996,024

1,016,013

1,061,340

113,635

5.418

2011
 
 
 
 
967,386

960,895

1,012,458

1,027,504

1,104,107

1,111,524

162,147

5.253

2012
 
 
 
 
 
976,450

976,593

1,011,363

1,124,437

1,117,970

212,997

5,320

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
965,875

963,634

942,022

922,634

339,380

5.595

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
747,671

799,952

843,003

371,270

5.969

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
755,087

800,568

493,667

6.391

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
730,198

654,395

3.704

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
9,795,663

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
For the Years Ended December 31,
 
 
 
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
 
 
2007
$
25,207

$
111,289

$
240,287

$
421,654

$
540,255

$
612,498

$
692,492

$
738,301

$
776,445

$
801,141

 
 
2008
 
17,987

185,149

346,923

516,426

697,071

782,381

853,405

911,634

969,698

 
 
2009
 
 
22,350

161,125

337,568

507,629

745,836

838,990

922,453

948,015

 
 
2010
 
 
 
21,803

155,845

324,580

480,475

623,975

735,626

803,916

 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
28,625

144,365

315,130

480,248

683,043

815,129

 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
44,486

195,088

378,059

591,820

713,165

 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
36,582

152,052

304,503

457,890

 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
17,042

138,832

312,548

 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
22,521

139,345

 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
23,462

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
5,984,309

 
 
 
All outstanding liabilities prior to 2007, net of reinsurance
 
140,029

 
 
 
Liabilities for unpaid losses and loss expenses, net of reinsurance
 
$
3,951,383

 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance
 
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
 
3
%
13
%
16
%
16
%
15
%
9
%
6
%
4
%
4
%
1
%

____________
(1)
Total IBNR Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims

Casualty and other
(in thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Losses and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
For the Years Ended December 31,
As of Dec 31, 2016
 
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR (1)
Number of Claims
2007
$
1,082,033

$
1,112,540

$
1,087,608

$
1,166,693

$
1,175,846

$
1,159,030

$
1,163,024

$
1,179,115

$
1,171,058

$
1,162,152

$
85,633

17.237

2008
 
1,140,247

1,112,464

1,112,589

1,106,258

1,093,984

1,105,909

1,102,780

1,085,898

1,078,619

111,716

18.669

2009
 
 
1,116,831

1,101,930

1,089,006

1,083,830

1,064,751

1,089,350

1,048,630

1,041,605

104,475

20.836

2010
 
 
 
1,112,521

1,250,384

1,258,380

1,253,471

1,276,555

1,233,729

1,230,374

193,273

23.029

2011
 
 
 
 
1,092,125

1,139,829

1,160,676

1,134,783

1,160,467

1,138,849

175,768

24.942

2012
 
 
 
 
 
1,195,390

1,212,625

1,235,541

1,258,868

1,217,096

229,162

26.613

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,295,006

1,344,357

1,403,279

1,375,254

407,549

29.179

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,351,268

1,417,460

1,463,809

607,888

30.254

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,335,856

1,399,039

722,174

31.862

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,395,154

1,088,868

18.283

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
12,501,951

Total
 
 
 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the Years Ended December 31,
 
 
 
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
 
 
2007
$
22,680

$
142,855

$
315,942

$
470,594

$
751,437

$
855,446

$
917,798

$
961,739

$
993,114

$
1,011,066

 
 
2008
 
46,589

175,724

384,593

557,222

673,130

771,029

843,167

886,979

898,297

 
 
2009
 
 
43,912

237,264

414,586

535,197

638,617

727,782

771,855

818,732

 
 
2010
 
 
 
101,673

292,403

516,383

649,167

759,673

862,584

937,451

 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
115,807

258,861

418,204

594,047

748,537

818,838

 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
117,735

297,186

471,949

644,936

775,521

 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
124,226

307,950

533,465

710,905

 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
133,592

335,216

555,967

 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
109,217

282,670

 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
103,727

 
 
 
 
$
6,913,174

 
 
 
All outstanding liabilities prior to 2007, net of reinsurance
 
765,300

 
 
 
Liabilities for unpaid losses and loss expenses, net of reinsurance
 
$
6,354,077

 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance
 
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
 
7
%
14
%
16
%
13
%
13
%
8
%
5
%
4
%
3
%
3
%

____________
(1)
Total IBNR Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
Reinsurance Segment
(in thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Losses and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
For the Years Ended December 31,
As of Dec 31, 2016
 
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR (1)
Number of Claims
2007
$
1,373,989

$
1,315,895

$
1,292,265

$
1,252,940

$
1,246,925

$
1,239,171

$
1,224,302

$
1,201,176

$
1,157,375

$
1,144,626

$
88,476

N/A
2008
 
1,613,114

1,605,756

1,567,923

1,550,254

1,561,457

1,559,826

1,559,314

1,535,515

1,535,533

121,015

N/A
2009
 
 
1,150,325

1,128,445

1,084,088

1,076,187

1,067,335

1,049,967

1,052,553

1,046,087

127,390

N/A
2010
 
 
 
1,280,586

1,302,532

1,302,827

1,290,292

1,286,737

1,295,555

1,284,178

150,491

N/A
2011
 
 
 
 
2,222,386

2,201,054

2,102,613

2,059,076

2,089,535

2,082,525

178,659

N/A
2012
 
 
 
 
 
1,827,087

1,860,740

1,840,530

1,832,972

1,812,667

247,825

N/A
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,615,956

1,551,432

1,544,739

1,502,096

279,880

N/A
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,434,902

1,452,029

1,418,828

344,569

N/A
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,504,763

1,459,003

543,530

N/A
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,845,237

1,067,346

N/A
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
15,130,780

Total
 
 
 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the Years Ended December 31,
 
 
 
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
 
 
2007
$
153,912

$
359,533

$
592,431

$
703,600

$
793,787

$
848,114

$
897,073

$
922,262

$
925,230

$
951,136

 
 
2008
 
327,154

654,658

883,897

1,019,382

1,104,015

1,170,828

1,216,006

1,244,802

1,285,355

 
 
2009
 
 
176,089

389,499

526,118

611,967

685,901

732,134

764,307

797,666

 
 
2010
 
 
 
232,372

477,894

667,841

774,216

836,148

936,971

1,011,698

 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
596,906

1,255,164

1,448,330

1,588,434

1,675,428

1,730,787

 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
318,115

785,212

1,070,442

1,223,403

1,313,092

 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
318,270

685,680

908,575

1,016,654

 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
287,780

653,323

826,700

 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
279,024

589,550

 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
330,708

 
 
 
 
$
9,853,346

 
 
 
All outstanding liabilities prior to 2007, net of reinsurance
 
1,431,871

 
 
 
Liabilities for unpaid losses and loss expenses, net of reinsurance
 
$
6,709,305

 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance
 
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
 
20
%
24
%
15
%
8
%
5
%
4
%
1
%
2
%
3
%
1
%

____________
(1)
Total IBNR Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims

Property and Other Short-tail Lines
(in thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Losses and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
For the Years Ended December 31,
As of Dec 31, 2016
 
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR (1)
Number of Claims
2007
$
655,785

$
612,847

$
591,325

$
576,823

$
556,160

$
543,586

$
542,517

$
531,757

$
505,908

$
504,777

$
9,948

N/A
2008
 
922,391

913,108

893,143

870,757

855,385

851,340

855,891

849,351

856,596

22,281

N/A
2009
 
 
574,748

541,926

507,488

488,419

479,539

474,526

468,240

472,758

4,958

N/A
2010
 
 
 
821,119

842,728

846,563

852,550

857,788

840,206

840,582

26,847

N/A
2011
 
 
 
 
1,728,879

1,697,826

1,617,499

1,589,207

1,593,064

1,585,694

42,172

N/A
2012
 
 
 
 
 
1,268,108

1,294,768

1,285,569

1,255,565

1,243,866

69,188

N/A
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,068,975

1,011,548

975,565

939,295

45,977

N/A
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
865,668

855,081

814,558

57,491

N/A
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
878,711

829,691

163,854

N/A
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,140,759

531,843

N/A
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
9,228,576

Total
 
 
 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the Years Ended December 31,
 
 
 
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
 
 
2007
$
128,299

$
274,682

$
427,810

$
470,765

$
487,471

$
491,862

$
503,233

$
497,701

$
478,062

$
483,023

 
 
2008
 
291,995

541,613

693,174

757,091

784,005

801,027

805,951

803,919

816,877

 
 
2009
 
 
145,413

307,294

389,835

421,579

441,032

445,905

445,861

453,626

 
 
2010
 
 
 
215,463

429,578

577,128

639,012

665,932

734,453

783,155

 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
581,324

1,196,404

1,344,405

1,432,899

1,472,992

1,493,813

 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
293,705

713,154

933,717

1,028,319

1,068,475

 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
291,534

604,497

768,385

819,523

 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
250,708

556,548

658,511

 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
236,009

472,543

 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
265,695

 
 
 
 
$
7,315,241

 
 
 
All outstanding liabilities prior to 2007, net of reinsurance
 
287,838

 
 
 
Liabilities for unpaid losses and loss expenses, net of reinsurance
 
$
2,201,173

 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance
 
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
 
29
%
34
%
17
%
7
%
3
%
4
%
2
%
1
%
(1
)%
1
%

____________
(1)
Total IBNR Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims

Casualty and Other Long-Tail Lines
(in thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Losses and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
For the Years Ended December 31,
As of Dec 31, 2016
 
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR (1)
Number of Claims
2007
$
718,204

$
703,048

$
700,940

$
676,117

$
690,765

$
695,585

$
681,785

$
669,419

$
651,467

$
639,849

$
78,528

N/A
2008
 
690,723

692,648

674,780

679,497

706,072

708,486

703,423

686,164

678,937

98,734

N/A
2009
 
 
575,577

586,519

576,600

587,768

587,796

575,441

584,313

573,329

122,432

N/A
2010
 
 
 
459,467

459,804

456,264

437,742

428,949

455,349

443,596

123,644

N/A
2011
 
 
 
 
493,507

503,228

485,114

469,869

496,471

496,831

136,487

N/A
2012
 
 
 
 
 
558,979

565,972

554,961

577,407

568,801

178,637

N/A
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
546,981

539,884

569,174

562,801

233,903

N/A
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
569,234

596,948

604,270

287,078

N/A
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
626,052

629,312

379,676

N/A
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
704,478

535,503

N/A
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
5,902,204

Total
 
 
 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses and Allocated Loss Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the Years Ended December 31,
 
 
 
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
Unaudited
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
 
 
2007
$
25,613

$
84,851

$
164,621

$
232,835

$
306,316

$
356,252

$
393,840

$
424,561

$
447,168

$
468,113

 
 
2008
 
35,159

113,045

190,723

262,291

320,010

369,801

410,055

440,883

468,478

 
 
2009
 
 
30,676

82,205

136,283

190,388

244,869

286,229

318,446

344,040

 
 
2010
 
 
 
16,909

48,316

90,713

135,204

170,216

202,518

228,543

 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
15,582

58,760

103,925

155,535

202,436

236,974

 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
24,410

72,058

136,725

195,084

244,617

 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
26,736

81,183

140,190

197,131

 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
37,072

96,775

168,189

 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
43,015

117,007

 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
65,013

 
 
 
 
$
2,538,105

 
 
 
All outstanding liabilities prior to 2007, net of reinsurance
 
1,144,033

 
 
 
Liabilities for unpaid losses and loss expenses, net of reinsurance
 
$
4,508,132

 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Losses by Age, Net of Reinsurance
 
Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
Year 5
Year 6
Year 7
Year 8
Year 9
Year 10
 
5
%
9
%
10
%
10
%
9
%
7
%
7
%
6
%
6
%
4
%

____________
(1)
Total IBNR Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims

Reconciliation
(U.S. dollars in thousands)
 
December 31, 2016
Net outstanding liabilities
 
 
Insurance Segment
 
 
EPC
 
$
1,235,716

Specialty
 
1,801,962

Professional
 
3,951,383

Casualty and other
 
6,354,077

Reinsurance Segment
 
 
Property and Other Short-Tail lines
 
2,201,173

Casualty and Other Long-Tail lines
 
4,508,132

Subtotal, disaggregated triangles
 
$
20,052,443

 
 
 
Unallocated loss expenses
 
482,680

Discount (1)
 
(413,522
)
Provision for uncollectible reinsurance
 
42,119

Other
 
295,551

Total net liability for unpaid losses and loss expenses
 
20,459,271

 
 
 
Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses
 
 
Insurance Segment
 
 
EPC
 
$
486,595

Specialty
 
524,545

Professional
 
1,195,720

Casualty
 
2,836,800

Reinsurance Segment
 
 
Property and Other Short-Tail lines
 
242,845

Casualty and Other Long-Tail lines
 
122,190

Other
 
71,605

Total recoverable on unpaid losses and loss expenses
 
$
5,480,300

 
 
 
Unpaid losses and loss expenses
 
$
25,939,571

____________
(1)
As noted in Note 10(c), "Losses and Loss Expenses - Loss Reserve Discounting," the Company discounts only certain workers’ compensation (including long term disability) liabilities and certain bodily injury liability claims, emanating from U.K. exposures, predominantly from the U.K. motor liability portfolio.
(b) Net losses and loss expenses incurred
Net losses and loss expenses incurred for the years indicated are comprised of:
(U.S. dollars in thousands)
2016
 
2015
 
2014
Loss and loss expenses payments
$
6,828,012

 
$
6,505,075

 
$
4,499,642

Change in unpaid losses and loss expenses
976,401

 
(168,263
)
 
(514,406
)
Change in unpaid losses and loss expenses recoverable
(238,086
)
 
(440,189
)
 
(48,536
)
Paid loss recoveries
(1,493,492
)
 
(1,130,423
)
 
(678,307
)
Net losses and loss expenses incurred
$
6,072,835

 
$
4,766,200

 
$
3,258,393


The following table presents the net (favorable) adverse prior year loss development of the Company’s loss and loss expense reserves for its property and casualty operations by operating segment for each of the years indicated:
(U.S. dollars in thousands)
2016
 
2015
 
2014
Insurance segment
$
(91,459
)
 
$
(65,030
)
 
$
(99,758
)
Reinsurance segment
(210,083
)
 
(241,600
)
 
(155,314
)
Total
$
(301,542
)
 
$
(306,630
)
 
$
(255,072
)

The significant developments in prior year loss reserve estimates for each of the years indicated within the Company’s Insurance and Reinsurance segments are discussed below.
Insurance Segment
The following table summarizes the net (favorable) adverse prior year development by business group relating to the Insurance segment for the indicated years ended December 31:
(U.S. dollars in thousands)
2016
 
2015
 
2014
EPC
$
(38,366
)
 
$
(6,447
)
 
$
(57,465
)
Specialty
(5,655
)
 
(93,043
)
 
(82,756
)
Professional
$
10,813

 
$
5,740

 
$
17,092

Casualty and other
(58,251
)
 
28,720

 
23,371

Total
$
(91,459
)
 
$
(65,030
)
 
$
(99,758
)

Net favorable prior year reserve development of $91.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2016 for the Insurance segment. This amount differs from the implied change in ultimate losses that can be calculated from the above triangles because the triangles exclude accident years prior to 2007 as well as minor business and, as noted earlier, utilize a different approach for handling foreign exchange. The total net prior year development of $91.5 million was driven by the following:
For EPC lines, net prior year development was $38.4 million favorable. This was driven by reflecting better than expected reported non-catastrophe loss experience, particularly on the more recent years in the energy book, and reductions in our estimates for prior year catastrophe losses.
For specialty lines, net prior year development was $5.7 million favorable. This was driven by releases of $19.8 million in the marine business due to better than expected reported loss experience on the cargo, hull and liability businesses, and $5.9 million in fine art and species to reflect benign reported loss activity. This was partially offset by strengthening of $26.0 million in Accident and Health driven by deteriorations in recent accident years in the U.S. and Switzerland books.
For professional lines, net prior year development was $10.8 million adverse. This was driven by significant large loss experience on the international financial lines management liability book, particularly on the 2015 report year and strengthening in more recent years on the discontinued design subcontractors default portfolio. This was partially offset by better than expected loss experience reported on the Bermuda directors and officers and employment practices liability portfolio and reductions in our estimates on the design practice book.
For casualty and other lines, net prior year development was $58.3 million favorable. This was driven by releases of $72.2 million in international casualty primarily to reflect better than expected loss experience reported on the general and professional liability portfolio, predominantly on the 2011 and prior years, and $21.7 million in discontinued casualty primarily due to our reassessment of the IBNR provision for a large risk U.S. Casualty portfolio discontinued prior to 2008, following favorable claims resolutions in recent years. This was partially offset by strengthening to reflect worse than expected loss experience reported on more recent years in the excess and surplus portfolio and the newly acquired Allied business.
Net favorable prior year reserve development totaled $65.0 million for the Insurance segment for the year ended December 31, 2015. Specialty benefited from releases in marine, the discontinued international political risk portfolio due to a favorable settlement of a loss on the 2009 accident year, and reductions in the discontinued specialty book. Casualty was subject to adverse development with deteriorations in excess and surplus and a large claim in the surety portfolio partially offset by releases in the excess casualty book and international casualty reflecting better than expected loss experience. Strengthening in the core U.S. standard commercial book and select accountants and public entities portfolios led to overall adverse development in Professional.
Net favorable prior year reserve development totaled $99.8 million for the Insurance segment for the year ended December 31, 2014. Specialty benefited from a release in aerospace and the discontinued international political risk portfolio due to better than expected loss experience reported. Better than expected loss experience reported for the non-catastrophe exposures primarily in the 2013 accident year led to a release in property. Casualty experienced strengthening in the U.S. environmental portfolio, Lloyd's middle market book and the U.S. primary casualty lines due to worse than expected loss experience from 2008 through 2013, while a strengthening in the core U.S. standard commercial book drove a strengthening in Professional.
There is no assurance that conditions and trends that have affected the development of liabilities in the past will continue. Accordingly, it may not be appropriate to extrapolate future redundancies or deficiencies based on the Company’s historical results.
Reinsurance Segment
The following table summarizes the net (favorable) adverse prior year development by line of business relating to the Reinsurance segment for the indicated years ended December 31:
(U.S. dollars in thousands)
2016
 
2015
 
2014
Property and Other Short-Tail Lines
$
(134,440
)
 
$
(173,754
)
 
$
(85,324
)
Casualty and Other Long-Tail Lines
(75,643
)
 
(67,846
)
 
(69,990
)
Total
$
(210,083
)
 
$
(241,600
)
 
$
(155,314
)

Net favorable prior year reserve development for the year ended December 31, 2016 totaled $210.1 million for the Reinsurance segment. This amount differs from the implied change in ultimate losses that can be calculated from the above triangles because the triangles exclude accident years prior to 2007 as well as minor business and, as noted earlier, utilize a different approach for handling foreign exchange. The total net prior year development of $210.1 million was attributable to the following:
Net favorable prior year development for the short-tail lines totaled $134.4 million. Details of the significant components are as follows:
For property catastrophe lines, net prior year development was $76.6 million favorable primarily due to IBNR release on older catastrophes and better than expected experience.
For property other lines, net prior year development was $25.6 million favorable mainly due to better than expected development on attritional losses on the Property lines partially offset by adverse developments on the crop book.
For specialty lines, net prior year development was $32.2 million favorable arising from better than expected development on attritional losses, predominantly on the marine book.
Net favorable prior year development for the long-tail lines totaled $75.6 million. Details of the significant components are as follows:
For casualty lines, net prior year development was $65.5 million favorable due to better than expected development on attritional losses for the 2013 and prior years of account.
For other lines, net prior year development was $10.0 million favorable largely due to better than expected development on attritional losses on the whole account book.
Net favorable prior year reserve development totaled $241.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2015. The short-tail lines benefited from $88.9 million in favorable development from Property other lines, $50.3 million favorable development in property catastrophe lines and $34.6 million in favorable development within specialty lines. The release in long tail lines was due to favorable development of $40.1 million and $27.8 million in casualty and other, respectively.
Net favorable prior year reserve development totaled $155.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2014. The short-tail lines benefited from $63.4 million in favorable development from Property other lines and $34.4 million in favorable marine and aviation development, partially offset by adverse property catastrophe development of $12.4 million. The release in long-tail lines was due to favorable development of $44.3 million and $25.7 million in casualty and other, respectively.
There is no assurance that conditions and trends that have affected the development of liabilities in the past will continue. Accordingly, it may not be appropriate to extrapolate future redundancies or deficiencies based on the Company's historical results.
(c) Loss Reserve Discounting
Except for certain workers’ compensation (including long term disability) liabilities and certain bodily injury liability claims, emanating from U.K. exposures, predominantly from the U.K. motor liability portfolio, the Company does not discount its unpaid losses and loss expenses.
The Company utilizes tabular reserving for workers’ compensation (including long-term disability) unpaid losses that are considered fixed and determinable, and discounts such losses using an interest rate of 3.75% in 2016 and 2015. The interest rate approximates the implied return on the market-based assets supporting the expected cash flows of our liabilities. The tabular reserving methodology results in applying uniform and consistent criteria for establishing expected future indemnity and medical payments (including an explicit factor for inflation) and the use of mortality tables to determine expected payment periods. Tabular unpaid losses and loss expenses, net of reinsurance, at December 31, 2016 and 2015 on an undiscounted basis were $727.4 million and $747.4 million, respectively. The aggregate discount for the time value of money deducted to derive the liability for unpaid losses and loss expenses were $287.7 million and $302.1 million at December 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively. The related discounted unpaid losses and loss expenses were $439.7 million and $445.3 million at December 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively. The interest accretion related to the unwind of the discounted reserves was $18.6 million and $7.8 million during the years ended December 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively. This interest accretion was recorded in the incurred loss line as adverse prior year development.
The Company records a specific reserve allowance for Periodical Payment Orders ("PPOs") related to bodily injury liability claims. This allowance includes the unpaid losses for claims already settled and notified as PPOs at December 31, 2016, as well as the unpaid losses for claims to be settled in the future. The future care element of the unpaid losses was discounted using an interest rate of 2% at both December 31, 2016 and 2015. Unpaid losses and loss expenses, net of reinsurance, at December 31, 2016 and 2015 on an undiscounted basis were $281.6 million and $298.1 million, respectively. The aggregate discount for the time value of money deducted to derive the liability for the unpaid losses and loss expenses were $125.9 million and $130.2 million at December 31, 2016 and 2015 After discounting the future care element, the unpaid losses and loss expenses were $155.7 million and $167.9 million at December 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively. The decrease in the net undiscounted unpaid losses and loss expenses between December 31, 2016 and 2015 is mainly due to foreign exchange rate movements. The interest accretion related to the unwind of the discounted reserves was $2.8 million and $2.6 million during the calendar years ended December 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively. This interest accretion was recorded in the incurred loss line as adverse prior year development.
(d) Discontinued Asbestos and Run-Off Environmental Related Claims
The Company’s reserving process includes a continuing evaluation of the potential impact on unpaid liabilities from exposure to discontinued asbestos and run-off environmental claims, including related loss adjustment expenses. Liabilities are established to cover both known and incurred but not reported claims. The Company’s reserving and exposures to environmental liability business currently written within the Casualty underwriting division are not included in this note, which only relates to specific discontinued and/or run-off coverages that were not originally written specifically to cover environmental hazards.
The Company’s exposure to discontinued asbestos and run-off environmental claims arises from the following four sources:
(1)
Reinsurance contracts written, both on a proportional and excess basis, after 1972. The Company discontinued writing contracts with these exposures in 1985. Business written was across many different policies, each with a relatively small contract limit. The Company’s reported asbestos claims relate to both traditional products and premises and operations coverage.
(2)
Winterthur – business of Winterthur purchased by the Company from AXA Insurance (formerly Winterthur Swiss Insurance Company) in 2001. Pursuant to the Sale and Purchase Agreement and related agreements, AXA Insurance reimburses the Company for all asbestos losses.
(3)
During 2006, the Company acquired $40.2 million in losses through a loss portfolio transfer contract of which $18.3 million in losses related to asbestos and environmental claims. Given the terms of the policy, the combined aggregate limit on the total acquired reserves is $60.0 million, not including coverage for claims handling costs over a defined period.
(4)
Catlin Acquisition - aviation insurance contracts written by Catlin in the Lloyd's market where the specific asbestos exclusion language was not implemented until 2003. Exposures only extend back to 1993 as Equitas was established to take on the Lloyd's market exposure for 1992 and prior. Exposure is due to asbestos-containing products in use by the aviation industry leading to claims against aviation manufacturers for asbestosis, mesothelioma and lung cancer.
A reconciliation of the opening and closing unpaid losses and loss expenses related to discontinued asbestos and run-off environmental exposure claims for the years indicated is as follows:
Year ended December 31,
(U.S. dollars in thousands)
2016
 
2015
 
2014
Net unpaid losses and loss expenses at beginning of year
$
93,704

 
$
81,416

 
$
80,435

Net incurred losses and loss expenses
9,042

 
15,663

 
8,903

Less net paid losses and loss expenses
9,912

 
9,087

 
7,922

Net increase (decrease) in unpaid losses and loss expenses
$
(870
)
 
$
6,576

 
$
981

Acquired reserves

 
5,712

 

Net unpaid losses and loss expenses at end of year
92,834

 
93,704

 
81,416

Unpaid losses and loss expenses recoverable at end of year
83,430

 
93,688

 
100,537

Gross unpaid losses and loss expenses at end of year
$
176,264

 
$
187,392

 
$
181,953


Reserves for incurred but not reported losses, net of reinsurance, included in the above table were $60.3 million, $65.1 million and $49.3 million at December 31, 2016, 2015 and 2014, respectively. Unpaid losses recoverable are net of potential uncollectible amounts.
At December 31, 2016, the Company had 2,417 open claim files for potential discontinued asbestos claims exposures and 458 open claim files for potential run-off environmental claims exposures. Approximately 34%, 32% and 46% of the open claim files are due to precautionary claim notices in 2016, 2015 and 2014, respectively. Precautionary claim notices are submitted by the ceding companies in order to preserve their right to receive coverage under the reinsurance contract. Such notices do not contain an incurred loss amount to the Company. The increase in total open claim files during 2015 was largely due to the Catlin Acquisition, as noted above.
The development of the number of open claim files for potential discontinued asbestos and run-off environmental claims, including precautionary claims, is as follows:
 
Asbestos
Claims
 
Environmental
Claims
Total number of claims outstanding at December 31, 2013
1,097

 
338

New claims reported in 2014
456

 
190

Claims resolved in 2014
(154
)
 
(69
)
Total number of claims outstanding at December 31, 2014
1,399

 
459

New claims reported in 2015
272

 
67

Claims resolved in 2015
(246
)
 
(96
)
Reserves acquired in 2015
1,166

 

Total number of claims outstanding at December 31, 2015
2,591

 
430

New claims reported in 2016
579

 
69

Claims resolved in 2016
(753
)
 
(41
)
Total number of claims outstanding at December 31, 2016
2,417

 
458


The Company’s reserving process includes an ongoing evaluation of the potential impact on unpaid liabilities from exposure to discontinued asbestos and run-off environmental claims, including related loss adjustment expenses. Liabilities are established to cover both known and IBNR claims.
The estimation of loss and loss expense liabilities for discontinued asbestos and run-off environmental exposures is subject to much greater uncertainty than is normally associated with the establishment of liabilities for certain other exposures due to several factors, including: (i) uncertain legal interpretations and application of insurance and reinsurance coverage and liability; (ii) the lack of reliable available historical claims data as an indicator of future claims development; (iii) an uncertain political climate which may impact, among other areas, the nature and amount of costs for remediating waste sites; and (iv) the potential of insurers and reinsurers to reach agreements in order to avoid further significant legal costs. Due to the potential significance of these uncertainties, the Company believes that no meaningful range of loss and loss expense liabilities beyond recorded reserves can be established. As the Company’s net unpaid loss and loss expense reserves related to discontinued asbestos and run-off environmental exposures are less than 1% of the total net reserves at December 31, 2016 and 2015, further adverse development is not expected to be material to the Company’s overall net loss reserves. The Company believes it has made reasonable provisions for its discontinued asbestos and run-off environmental exposures and is unaware of any specific issues that would significantly affect its estimate of loss and loss expenses.