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Reserve for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2021
Liability for Unpaid Claims and Claims Adjustment Expense, Activity in Liability [Abstract]  
Reserve for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
Rollforward of Liabilities for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

 
For the years ended December 31,
 202120202019
Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$29,622 $28,261 $24,584 
Reinsurance and other recoverables5,725 5,275 4,232 
Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
23,897 22,986 20,352 
Navigators Group acquisition— — 2,001 
Provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
   
Current accident year7,911 7,794 7,463 
Prior accident year development [1]199 (136)(65)
Total provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
8,110 7,658 7,398 
Change in deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance included in other liabilities [1](246)(312)(16)
Payments
   
Current accident year(2,276)(2,214)(2,374)
Prior accident years(4,119)(4,190)(4,374)
Total payments
(6,395)(6,404)(6,748)
Net change in reserves transferred to liabilities held for sale— (45)— 
Foreign currency adjustment14 (1)
Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
25,368 23,897 22,986 
Reinsurance and other recoverables6,081 5,725 5,275 
Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$31,449 $29,622 $28,261 
[1]Prior accident year development does not include the benefit of a portion of losses ceded under the Navigators and A&E ADC which, under retroactive reinsurance accounting, is deferred and is recognized over the period the ceded losses are recovered in cash from NICO. For additional information regarding the two adverse development cover reinsurance agreements, refer to Adverse Development Covers discussion below.
Property and Casualty Insurance Products Reserves, Net of Reinsurance, that are Discounted
For the years ended December 31,
202120202019
Liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, at undiscounted amounts$1,405 $1,334 $1,331 
Amount of discount355 367 388 
Carrying value of liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses$1,050 $967 $943 
Discount accretion included in losses and loss adjustment expenses$36 $36 $33 
Weighted average discount rate2.54 %2.68 %2.91 %
Range of discount rates0.83 %-14.03 %0.83 %-14.03 %1.76 %-14.03 %
Reserves are discounted at rates in effect at the time claims were incurred, ranging from 0.83% for accident year 2020 to 14.03% for accident year 1981.
The reserves recorded for the Company’s property and casualty insurance products at December 31, 2021 represent the Company’s best estimate of its ultimate liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses related to losses covered by policies written by the Company. However, because of the significant uncertainties surrounding reserves it is possible that management’s estimate of the ultimate liabilities for these claims may change and that the required adjustment to recorded reserves could exceed the currently recorded reserves by an amount that could be material to the Company’s results of operations or cash flows.
Losses and loss adjustment expenses are also impacted by trends including frequency and severity as well as changes in the legislative and regulatory environment. In the case of the reserves for asbestos exposures, factors contributing to the high degree of uncertainty in the ultimate settlement of the liabilities gross of reinsurance include inadequate loss development patterns, plaintiffs’ expanding theories of liability, the risks inherent in major litigation, and inconsistent emerging legal doctrines. In the case of the reserves for environmental exposures before reinsurance, factors contributing to the high degree of uncertainty in gross reserves include expanding theories of liabilities and damages, the risks inherent in major litigation, inconsistent decisions concerning the existence and scope of coverage for environmental claims, and uncertainty as to the monetary amount being sought by the claimant from the insured.
(Favorable) Unfavorable Prior Accident Year Development
For the years ended December 31,
202120202019
Workers’ compensation$(190)$(110)$(120)
Workers’ compensation discount accretion35 35 33 
General liability454 237 61 
Marine
Package business(91)(58)(47)
Commercial property(26)(4)(11)
Professional liability(2)(14)29 
Bond(26)(19)(3)
Assumed reinsurance(6)(6)
Automobile liability - Commercial Lines27 27 
Automobile liability - Personal Lines(90)(61)(38)
Homeowners
Net asbestos and environmental reserves— (2)— 
Catastrophes(154)(529)(42)
Uncollectible reinsurance(6)(8)(30)
Other reserve re-estimates, net 42 54 46 
Prior accident year development, including full benefit for the ADC cession
(47)(448)(81)
Change in deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance included in other liabilities [1]246 312 16 
Total prior accident year development$199 $(136)$(65)
[1]The change in deferred gain for the years ended December 31, 2021 and 2020 included $155 and $210, respectively of adverse development on A&E reserves in excess of ceded premium paid and included $91 and $102, respectively, of adverse development on Navigators 2018 and prior accident year reserves, primarily within professional liability, general liability and marine.
2021 re-estimates of prior accident year reserves
Workers’ compensation reserves were decreased within small commercial and middle & large commercial for the
2013 through 2018 accident years driven by lower than previously estimated claim severity.
General liability reserves were increased including an increase for sexual molestation and sexual abuse claims above the amount of reserves previously recorded for this exposure, primarily to reflect an increase in reserves for claims made against the Boy Scouts of America ("BSA") as discussed further below, partially offset by reserve decreases for other mass torts and extra contractual liability claims. In addition, the Company recognized reserve increases on Navigators’ wholesale construction business for 2018 and prior accident years, largely included within the change in deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance in the above table.
Package business reserves decreased largely due to lower estimated loss adjustment expenses for accident years 2014 to 2018 and a reduction in estimated reserves for extra contractual liability claims.
Commercial property reserves were decreased primarily due to favorable development for the 2020 accident year in both middle & large commercial and global specialty.
Professional liability reserves were decreased due to lower estimated severity in both large and middle market directors’ and officers’ (“D&O”) insurance for older accident years. More than offsetting this favorable reserve development were reserve increases on legacy Navigators public company directors’ and officers’ insurance for 2019 and prior accident years, a portion of which is reflected within the change in deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance in the above table.
Bond reserves were reduced mostly due to favorable emergence on contract surety claims driven by higher than previously anticipated recoveries, largely for the 2016 to 2017 accident years.
Automobile liability reserves were decreased in Personal Lines principally due to lower estimated severity on AARP Direct and Agency claims, primarily within accident years 2017 to 2020, and a reduction in estimated reserves for extra contractual liability claims.
Catastrophes reserves were decreased in both Commercial and Personal Lines primarily driven by a reduction in reserves for 2018 and 2019 wind and hail events, lower estimated losses from 2018 and 2020 hurricanes, a reduction in estimated losses from the 2017 and 2018 California wildfires, including an expected recovery of subrogation from a utility related to the 2018 Woolsey wildfire in California, and a reduction in losses relating to the 2020 civil unrest.
Asbestos and environmental reserves were reviewed in fourth quarter 2021 resulting in a $155 increase in reserves before ADC reinsurance, including $106 for asbestos and $49 for environmental. The Company recognized a $155 deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance, representing the amount of losses ceded to the ADC in excess of ceded premium paid. For additional information related to the adverse development cover with NICO, see the Adverse Development Covers section below and Note 15 - Commitments and Contingencies.
Other reserve re-estimates, net, were increased primarily due to an increase in reserves for sexual molestation and sexual abuse claims within P&C Other Operations, principally on assumed reinsurance, as well as an increase in unallocated loss adjustment expense ("ULAE") reserves within P&C Other Operations driven by an increase in gross asbestos and environmental reserves.
2020 re-estimates of prior accident year reserves
Workers’ compensation reserves were reduced on national account business within middle & large commercial, driven by lower than previously estimated claim severity for the 2015 and prior accident years, including on captives business, and were reduced in small commercial due to lower than expected claim severity for the 2013 to 2018 accident years.
General liability reserves were increased primarily due to a $254 increase in reserves for sexual molestation and sexual abuse claims related to cases brought against religious and other organizations that were insureds of the Company, partly offset by a decrease in reserves for other mass torts and extra contractual liability claims. The sexual molestation and sexual abuse exposures may involve potentially long latency periods and may implicate coverage in multiple policy periods, which can raise complex coverage issues with significant effects on the ultimate scope of coverage. This increase in reserves reflects an increase in claim incidence largely due to reviver statutes, which is legislation passed in a number of states that provides an opportunity for claimants to file claims for a period of time despite the fact that the original statute of limitations had expired. The reserve increase in 2020 was principally from claims asserted against the Boy Scouts of America (“Boy Scouts”).
In addition, general liability reserve increases on construction account business were largely offset by decreases in ULAE reserves. Reserves were increased for guaranteed cost construction business for accident years 2014 to 2019 as incurred losses are developing higher than previously expected for premises and operations claims and product liability claims, partly due to a change in industry mix and a heavier concentration of losses in California than initially assumed, as well as increased reserves for middle market and complex liability claims for accident year 2018 largely due to higher than expected severity. Also contributing were increases in reserves on primary layer construction account business within global specialty, mainly related to accident years 2015 to 2017, which is included as a component of the change in deferred gain under retroactive reinsurance in the above table.
Marine reserves were increased principally due to an increase in domestic marine liability, mostly in accident years 2017 and 2018 due to a higher number of large losses. The increase in marine reserves is included as a component of the change in deferred gain under retroactive reinsurance in the above table.
Package business reserves decreased for accident years 2014 to 2017 largely due to lower estimates of allocated loss adjustment expenses.
Commercial property reserves were decreased for accident year 2019 due to favorable developments on marine and middle market property claims.
Professional liability reserves were decreased primarily due to lower estimated severity on non-security class action D&O claims and fewer than expected E&O claims with financial institutions for the 2011 to 2018 accident years, partially offset by an increase in D&O reserves for the 2019 accident year driven by higher frequency of class action lawsuits and an increase in large Syndicate D&O losses for the 2016 and 2017 accident years. These Syndicate reserve increases within global specialty are included as a component of the change in deferred gain under retroactive reinsurance in the above table.
Bond reserves were reduced within contract surety driven by both favorable loss development on the 2015 to 2017 accident years and higher than expected loss recoveries on older accident years
Assumed reinsurance reserves were increased for accident year 2018 mostly due to higher accident and health reserve estimates for medical professionals on assumed casualty business. These reserve increases are included as a component of the change in deferred gain under retroactive reinsurance in the above table.
Automobile liability reserves were decreased in Personal Lines principally due to lower than previously expected AARP Direct automobile liability claim severity for the 2017 to 2019 accident years. Automobile liability reserves were increased in Commercial Lines primarily due to higher than expected large losses within middle & large commercial, predominantly within the 2015 to 2019 accident years.
Catastrophes reserves were reduced, primarily due to a reduction in estimated reserves for 2017 and 2018 California wildfires and a reduction in estimated catastrophes for wind and hail events in the 2017 to 2019 accident years, partially offset by an increase in reserves for 2019 typhoons Hagibis and Faxai in Asia. The reduction in reserves for the 2017 and 2018 wildfires was largely due to recognizing a $289 subrogation benefit in the second quarter of 2020 from PG&E Corporation and Pacific Gas and Electric Company ("PG&E") as well as a reduction in gross estimated losses on those wildfires.
In December, 2019, the judge overseeing the bankruptcy of PG&E approved an $11 billion settlement of insurance subrogation claims to resolve all such claims arising from the 2017 Northern California wildfires and 2018 Camp wildfire. That settlement was contingent upon, among other things, the judge entering an order confirming PG&E’s chapter 11 bankruptcy plan (“PG&E Plan”) incorporating the settlement agreement. On June 20, 2020, the bankruptcy court judge approved the PG&E Plan and PG&E subsequently transferred the $11 billion settlement amount to a trust designed to allocate and distribute the settlement among subrogation holders, including certain of the Company’s insurance subsidiaries. In the second quarter of 2020, the Company recorded an estimated $289 subrogation benefit though the ultimate amount it collects will depend on how the Company’s ultimate paid claims subject to subrogation compare to other insurers’ ultimate paid claims subject to subrogation.
Uncollectible reinsurance reserves were reduced due to higher than expected recoveries from reinsurers in older accident years.
Asbestos and environmental reserves were reviewed in fourth quarter 2020 resulting in a $218 increase in reserves before ADC reinsurance, including $127 for asbestos and $91 for environmental. Of the $218 increase in A&E reserves, the Company ceded $220 to the A&E ADC resulting in a net reserve release of $2. Of the $220 of adverse development ceded to the A&E ADC, the Company recognized a $210 deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance, representing the amount of losses ceded to the ADC in excess of ceded premium paid. For additional information related to the adverse development cover with NICO, see the Adverse Development Covers section below and Note 15 - Commitments and Contingencies.
Other reserve re-estimates, net, primarily represents an increase in ULAE reserves in Property & Casualty Other Operations that was largely driven by an increase in gross asbestos and environmental reserves.
2019 re-estimates of prior accident year reserves
Workers’ compensation reserves were reduced, principally in small commercial driven by lower than previously estimated claim severity for the 2014 through 2017 accident years and, to a lesser extent, in national accounts due to lower estimated claim severity, primarily for accident years 2013 and prior.
General liability reserves were increased, primarily due to reserve increases in small commercial for accident years 2017 and 2018 due to higher frequency of high-severity bodily injury claims, reserve increases in middle & large commercial for accident years 2015 to 2018 due to higher estimated severity, as well as increased estimated severity on the acquired Navigators Group book of business related to U.S. construction, premises liability, products liability and excess casualty, mostly related to accident years 2014 to 2017. In addition, an increase in reserves for mass torts for 2009 and prior accident years was offset by a decrease in reserves for extra contractual liability claims for more recent accident years, including the 2018 accident year.
Marine reserves were increased, principally related to pollution exposure from the 1980s and 1990s related to the Navigators Group book of business.
Package business reserves were decreased, primarily due to favorable emergence on property claims related to accident years 2016 through 2018 and due to favorable development of loss adjustment expenses on general liability claims for 2017 and prior accident years.
Commercial property reserves were decreased, principally due to favorable emergence of reported losses, including on the acquired Navigators Group book of business, related to offshore energy in accident years 2017 to 2018 and construction engineering across accident years 2015 to 2018.
Professional liability reserves were increased, primarily due to increased securities litigation and large loss
activity, including wrongful termination and discrimination claims, related to accident years 2017 and 2018 and increased estimated frequency and severity of directors’ and officers’ reserves on the Navigators Group book of business, principally for the 2014 to 2018 accident years. Partially offsetting the increase was a decrease in average severity on public company directors’ and officers’ claim reserves and errors and omissions claim reserves for accident years 2014 and prior.
Automobile liability reserves were decreased in Personal Lines and increased in Commercial Lines. The decrease in Personal Lines was due to the emergence of lower estimated severity in automobile liability for accident year 2017. The increase in Commercial Lines was due to higher estimated severity on national accounts, principally in accident years 2017 and 2018, and higher estimated severity for accident year 2018 in small commercial and middle market, partially offset by lower estimated severity for 2017 and prior accident years in small commercial and middle market.
Catastrophes reserves were reduced, primarily as a result of lower estimated net losses from 2017 hurricanes Harvey and Irma and the 2017 California wildfires. While gross loss reserve estimates for the 2018 California wildfires were also reduced, this was largely offset by a reduction in reinsurance recoverables resulting in very little change to estimated net losses from those wildfires.
Uncollectible reinsurance reserves were reduced due to higher than expected recoveries from reinsurers in older accident years.
Other reserve re-estimates, net, primarily represents an increase in ULAE reserves in Property & Casualty Other Operations that was driven by an increase in gross asbestos and environmental reserves, as well as higher than anticipated ULAE costs in recent years, prompting an increase in the projected ULAE run rate.
Settlement Agreement with Boy Scouts of America
On September 14, 2021, the Company announced that it entered into a new agreement-in-principle with the BSA, related to sexual molestation and sexual abuse claims associated with liability policies issued by various Hartford writing companies in the 1970s and early 1980s, superseding its prior agreement of April 16, 2021, which now includes the BSA, its local councils and the representatives of a majority of the sexual abuse claimants. As part of the agreement-in-principle, The Hartford will pay $787, before tax, for claims associated with policies mostly issued in the 1970s. In exchange for The Hartford’s payment, the BSA and its local councils will fully release The Hartford from any obligation under policies The Hartford issued to the BSA and its local councils. In addition, the representatives for the claimants joining this agreement-in-principle will support a plan of reorganization which incorporates the settlement. The prior agreement of April 16, 2021 to settle these claims for $650 did not include the local councils or representatives of a majority of the claimants.
The agreement-in-principle was reached in connection with BSA’s Chapter 11 bankruptcy and will become a final settlement upon the occurrence of certain conditions, including, but not
limited to, execution of a definitive settlement agreement, confirmation of BSA’s plan of reorganization, receipt of executed releases from the local councils, and approval of the parties' settlement as part of the confirmation of BSA's plan of reorganization by the bankruptcy and district courts. Assuming that all conditions are satisfied, the parties to the agreement-in-principle expect to receive court approval of the settlement by mid 2022. However, no assurance can be given that all the conditions precedent to the settlement will be satisfied or that final court approval, if obtained, will not be delayed for various procedural reasons.
If the bankruptcy court ultimately does not approve BSA’s plan of reorganization including terms of the agreement-in-principle, it is possible that adverse outcomes, if any, could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s consolidated operating results.
Adverse Development Covers
The Company has an adverse development cover reinsurance agreement with NICO, a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., to reinsure loss development after 2016 on substantially all of the Company’s asbestos and environmental reserves (the “A&E ADC”). Under the A&E ADC, the Company paid a reinsurance premium of $650 for NICO to assume adverse net loss reserve development up to $1.5 billion above the Company’s existing net A&E reserves as of December 31, 2016 of approximately $1.7 billion including reserves for A&E exposure for accident years prior to 1986 that are reported in Property & Casualty Other Operations ("Run-off A&E") and reserves for A&E exposure for accident years 1986 and subsequent from policies underwritten prior to 2016 that are reported in ongoing Commercial Lines and Personal Lines. The $650 reinsurance premium was placed into a collateral trust account as security for NICO’s claim payment obligations to the Company. The Company has retained the risk of collection on amounts due from other third-party reinsurers and continues to be responsible for claims handling and other administrative services, subject to certain conditions. The A&E ADC covers substantially all the Company’s A&E reserve development up to the reinsurance limit.
Under retroactive reinsurance accounting, net adverse A&E reserve development after December 31, 2016 results in an offsetting reinsurance recoverable up to the $1.5 billion limit. Cumulative ceded losses up to the $650 reinsurance premium paid have been recognized as a dollar-for-dollar offset to direct losses incurred. Cumulative ceded losses exceeding the $650 reinsurance premium paid result in a deferred gain. As of December 31, 2021, the Company has incurred $1,015 in cumulative adverse development on asbestos and environmental reserves that have been ceded under the A&E ADC treaty with NICO with $485 of available limit remaining under the A&E ADC. As a result, the Company has recorded a $365 deferred gain within other liabilities, representing the difference between the reinsurance recoverable of $1,015 and ceded premium paid of $650. The deferred gain is recognized over the claim settlement period in the proportion of the amount of cumulative ceded losses collected from the reinsurer to the estimated ultimate reinsurance recoveries. Consequently, until periods when the deferred gain is recognized as a benefit to earnings, cumulative adverse development of asbestos and environmental claims will result in charges against earnings which may be significant.
Immediately after closing on the acquisition of Navigators Group, effective May 23, 2019, the Company purchased the Navigators ADC, an aggregate excess of loss reinsurance agreement covering adverse reserve development, from NICO on behalf of Navigators Insurers. Under the Navigators ADC, the Navigators Insurers paid NICO a reinsurance premium of $91 in exchange for reinsurance coverage of $300 of adverse net loss reserve development that attaches $100 above the Navigators Insurers' existing net loss and allocated loss adjustment reserves as of December 31, 2018 subject to the treaty of $1.816 billion for accidents and losses prior to December 31, 2018.
As of December 31, 2021, the Company has recorded a reinsurance recoverable under the Navigators ADC of $300 as estimated cumulative loss development on the 2018 and prior accident year reserves has exhausted the treaty limit. While the reinsurance recoverable is $300, the Company has recorded a $209 cumulative deferred gain within other liabilities since, under retroactive reinsurance accounting, ceded losses in excess of the $91 of ceded premium paid must be recognized as a deferred gain. Of the $209 of cumulative ceded losses in excess of ceded premium paid, $91, $102 and $16 were recognized as changes in deferred gain in 2021, 2020 and 2019, respectively.
Reconciliation of Loss Development to Liability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses As of December 31, 2021
Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of ReinsuranceSubtotal
Reserve LineCumulative Incurred for Accident Years Displayed in TrianglesCumulative Paid for Accident Years Displayed in TrianglesUnpaid for Accident Years not Displayed in TrianglesUnpaid Unallocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of ReinsuranceDiscountUnpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of ReinsuranceReinsurance and Other RecoverablesLiability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
Workers' compensation$18,263 $(9,992)$2,981 $348 $(341)$11,259 $1,793 $13,052 
General liability6,731 (3,157)1,240 146 — 4,960 870 5,830 
Marine1,516 (1,242)17 12 — 303 235 538 
Package business6,952 (5,208)77 103 — 1,924 90 2,014 
Commercial property3,830 (3,342)24 18 — 530 268 798 
Commercial automobile liability3,908 (2,778)22 23 — 1,175 91 1,266 
Commercial automobile physical damage172 (162)— — 14 (1)13 
Professional liability2,511 (1,335)47 38 — 1,261 781 2,042 
Bond625 (254)32 31 — 434 10 444 
Assumed Reinsurance1,384 (1,106)— 285 50 335 
Personal automobile liability11,104 (9,809)29 66 — 1,390 23 1,413 
Personal automobile physical damage1,200 (1,170)— 40 — 40 
Homeowners6,307 (5,982)34 — 364 17 381 
Other ongoing business183 (14)174 310 484 
Asbestos and environmental [1]724 — — 724 1,545 2,269 
Other operations [1]374 157 — 531 (1)530 
Total P&C$64,503 $(45,537)$5,769 $988 $(355)$25,368 $6,081 $31,449 
[1]Asbestos and environmental and other operations include asbestos, environmental and other latent exposures not foreseen when coverages were written, including, but not limited to, potential liability for pharmaceutical products, silica, talcum powder, head injuries, lead paint, construction defects, sexual molestation and sexual abuse and other long-tail liabilities. These reserve lines do not have significant paid or incurred loss development for the most recent ten accident years and therefore do not have loss development displayed in triangles.
The reserve lines in the above table and the loss triangles that follow represent the significant lines of business for which the Company regularly reviews the appropriateness of reserve levels. These reserve lines differ from the reserve lines reported on a statutory basis, as prescribed by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC"). The cumulative incurred losses displayed in the above table include the full reinsurance benefit of ceding $300 of losses to the Navigators ADC even though $209 of that benefit has been recorded as a deferred gain within other liabilities and recognized as a charge to earnings within incurred loss and loss adjustment expenses included in the consolidated statement of operations. The $300 of Navigators Insurers losses ceded to the Navigators ADC included in the following triangles $110 for professional liability,$86 for general liability, $39 for marine, $29 for assumed reinsurance, $16 for commercial automobile and $3 for commercial property and included $17 for older accident years and lines of business that are not in the following triangles.
The following loss triangles present historical loss development for incurred and paid claims by accident year, including loss development on Navigators Insurers reserves prior to and after the May 23, 2019 acquisition date. Because the loss triangles include pre-acquisition date changes in ultimate incurred loss estimates for Navigators Insurers’ reserves, changes in reserve development evident in the incurred loss triangles may differ from prior accident year development recorded by the Company as shown in the (Favorable) Unfavorable Prior Accident Year Development table above as that only includes changes in Navigators Insurers’ reserves post acquisition. In addition, the incurred loss triangles include reserve development on both catastrophe and non-catastrophe claims whereas the (Favorable) Unfavorable Prior Accident Year Development table above shows the total amount of catastrophe reserve development across all lines of business on a single line.
Triangles are limited to the number of years for which claims incurred typically remain outstanding, not exceeding ten years. Short-tail lines, which represent claims generally expected to be paid within a few years, have three years of claim development displayed. Incurred but not reported ("IBNR") reserves shown in loss triangles include reserves for incurred but not reported claims as well as reserves for expected development on reported claims. Incurred and cumulative paid losses in currencies other than the U.S. dollar have been converted into U.S. dollars using the exchange rates as of December 31, 2021.
Workers' Compensation
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year
2012201320142015201620172018201920202021
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2012$2,185 $2,207 $2,207 $2,181 $2,168 $2,169 $2,154 $2,146 $2,135 $2,133 $310 171,562 
20132,020 1,981 1,920 1,883 1,861 1,861 1,850 1,831 1,811 346 151,492 
20141,869 1,838 1,789 1,761 1,713 1,692 1,679 1,654 386 126,288 
20151,873 1,835 1,801 1,724 1,714 1,699 1,667 412 114,113 
20161,772 1,772 1,780 1,767 1,748 1,708 489 112,302 
20171,862 1,869 1,840 1,822 1,757 636 111,800 
20181,916 1,917 1,915 1,904 726 118,951 
20191,937 1,935 1,934 844 119,416 
20201,865 1,864 1,114 90,199 
20211,831 1,314 93,860 
Total$18,263 



Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021
2012$359 $809 $1,106 $1,313 $1,436 $1,529 $1,587 $1,644 $1,678 $1,706 
2013304 675 917 1,071 1,175 1,260 1,304 1,339 1,361 
2014275 598 811 960 1,041 1,099 1,137 1,167 
2015261 576 778 909 1,004 1,068 1,117 
2016255 579 779 908 1,003 1,064 
2017261 575 778 900 977 
2018283 624 837 983 
2019291 637 856 
2020223 507 
2021254 
Total$9,992 
General Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2012$423 $402 $399 $392 $410 $408 $421 $413 $407 $406 $41 16,768 
2013455 442 456 484 488 502 505 508 500 42 14,134 
2014506 475 481 494 513 522 515 505 52 15,242 
2015556 560 554 594 633 647 637 71 15,627 
2016613 583 607 632 632 620 92 16,817 
2017626 614 613 615 613 174 16,447 
2018692 669 697 703 295 17,749 
2019822 827 822 512 16,858 
2020938 923 739 11,991 
20211,002 929 8,364 
Total$6,731 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021
2012$13 $55 $101 $170 $233 $280 $305 $323 $332 $352 
201313 53 141 233 320 372 398 422 442 
201415 42 130 214 304 358 402 423 
201510 55 156 278 409 477 524 
201612 52 131 283 368 447 
201715 67 156 255 344 
201821 84 177 288 
201929 100 193 
202045 110 
202134 
Total$3,157 
Marine
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021IBNR
Reserves [1]
Claims
Reported
2012$196 $220 $180 $169 $163 $164 $168 $164 $164 $165 $6,789 
2013149 152 134 136 140 135 138 140 139 (2)6,629 
2014163 160 158 165 164 169 167 171 7,137 
2015158 146 146 148 134 138 140 (3)10,137 
2016140 143 138 148 150 147 (17)13,178 
2017160 187 175 174 180 (8)15,586 
2018144 161 154 161 (8)14,037 
2019144 142 140 15 8,413 
2020150 142 26 4,730 
2021131 72 3,499 
Total$1,516 
[1]Contributing to the negative IBNR reserves for some accident years is a lag in the timing of expected reinsurance recoveries under the Navigators ADC with NICO. Recoveries from NICO will not be collected until the Company has cumulative loss payments for all covered lines of more than the attachment point.

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021
2012$51 $101 $125 $139 $148 $152 $155 $159 $158 $159 
201342 82 100 112 119 121 126 133 134 
201441 81 116 131 151 157 159 162 
201540 85 116 126 134 140 141 
201635 80 106 123 132 141 
201748 111 142 154 163 
201837 104 138 148 
201936 83 101 
202032 69 
202124 
Total$1,242 
Package Business
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2012$736 $725 $728 $731 $736 $735 $739 $732 $732 $727 $24 59,921 
2013579 565 573 585 586 592 586 587 583 22 43,675 
2014566 578 601 602 603 603 593 581 29 43,321 
2015582 588 585 583 588 581 567 34 42,232 
2016655 638 632 625 611 595 51 44,079 
2017695 702 692 657 644 73 46,638 
2018719 724 688 667 114 44,822 
2019813 769 749 175 43,073 
2020915 893 316 61,161 
2021946 412 40,792 
Total$6,952 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021
2012$286 $486 $560 $616 $652 $673 $687 $694 $697 $699 
2013225 339 414 467 504 522 541 549 552 
2014226 345 416 468 507 525 535 542 
2015212 332 383 445 486 505 513 
2016225 353 410 465 500 521 
2017235 372 447 496 534 
2018237 402 451 498 
2019254 413 488 
2020326 493 
2021368 
Total$5,208 
Commercial Property
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2012$369 $333 $334 $335 $337 $335 $334 $333 $332 $332 $— 26,861 
2013268 252 254 252 249 248 247 247 247 — 21,620 
2014293 281 282 280 279 280 280 279 (1)21,030 
2015299 301 302 301 305 304 301 — 21,029 
2016406 420 399 406 408 408 23,781 
2017577 516 456 439 441 24,382 
2018450 437 424 403 21,715 
2019480 440 419 21,002 
2020501 469 96 20,327 
2021531 108 16,394 
Total$3,830 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021
2012$182 $296 $317 $326 $331 $331 $331 $330 $330 $330 
2013161 223 238 243 242 244 245 245 245 
2014170 250 270 279 279 279 280 280 
2015179 257 285 296 302 303 302 
2016215 342 379 396 402 406 
2017229 378 412 427 433 
2018188 344 379 386 
2019215 351 383 
2020221 336 
2021241 
Total$3,342 
Commercial Automobile Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2012$311 $377 $391 $402 $395 $389 $387 $388 $388 $387 $36,053 
2013311 318 334 341 340 339 336 334 333 32,242 
2014309 317 331 337 341 334 333 332 29,613 
2015308 358 372 356 356 359 360 10 28,565 
2016385 393 390 391 391 395 15 29,167 
2017372 383 379 383 381 11 26,341 
2018349 396 405 406 36 24,610 
2019425 439 450 114 28,216 
2020428 424 227 21,557 
2021440 340 17,404 
Total$3,908 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expense, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021
2012$65 $143 $234 $307 $346 $359 $372 $376 $378 $379 
201362 130 202 259 295 311 320 323 324 
201459 131 197 252 299 309 318 320 
201562 142 207 267 314 335 344 
201665 147 232 303 339 357 
201760 134 211 285 328 
201862 153 238 305 
201967 160 247 
202055 119 
202155 
Total$2,778 
Commercial Automobile Physical Damage
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year201920202021IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2019$63 $64 $63 $19,853 
202051 51 14,671 
202158 14,253 
Total$172 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year201920202021
2019$56 $62 $62 
202045 50 
202150 
Total$162 
Professional Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Claims Made Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2012$242 $238 $238 $218 $221 $221 $219 $225 $217 $212 $(3)7,037 
2013207 195 187 174 174 173 171 171 169 14 5,979 
2014187 183 181 178 179 182 183 174 21 6,734 
2015164 174 180 190 214 207 200 15 7,245 
2016183 176 204 197 196 197 27 8,391 
2017205 203 232 226 241 47 9,466 
2018248 281 278 278 74 10,040 
2019298 317 336 150 9,654 
2020370 365 259 7,713 
2021339 310 5,450 
Total$2,511 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Claims Made Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021
2012$17 $67 $100 $139 $155 $169 $172 $175 $175 $176 
201310 44 67 88 116 131 137 142 148 
201438 74 108 131 135 146 145 
201540 85 107 125 141 164 
201651 88 112 125 149 
201711 48 88 123 151 
201815 73 130 166 
201921 78 150 
202019 71 
202115 
Total$1,335 
Bond
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2012$71 $70 $61 $55 $49 $49 $45 $48 $48 $46 $11 1,729 
201364 58 55 48 49 39 35 34 34 13 1,468 
201471 67 66 67 59 59 60 60 1,387 
201567 67 63 60 54 48 47 17 1,395 
201661 61 61 55 51 45 23 1,339 
201763 90 101 94 79 36 1,724 
201868 68 72 71 36 1,664 
201972 73 74 58 1,779 
202083 84 71 1,889 
202185 68 1,960 
Total$625 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021
2012$12 $25 $26 $24 $26 $26 $34 $35 $35 $34 
201317 19 19 19 20 20 20 
201418 31 40 43 43 44 46 47 
201520 24 31 34 32 30 
201612 15 20 22 22 
201746 55 54 42 
201816 23 24 
201913 15 
202012 
2021
Total$254 
Assumed Reinsurance
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021IBNR
Reserves [1]
Claims
Reported
2012$107 $99 $93 $88 $115 $120 $119 $120 $120 $120 $— 1,468 
2013115 119 103 105 102 102 103 103 103 (1)1,656 
2014119 142 122 118 115 116 116 115 (1)1,820 
2015102 92 94 94 95 96 96 — 1,582 
201689 91 98 100 102 102 (5)1,730 
2017129 153 162 157 153 (3)2,166 
2018129 128 130 135 (13)2,263 
2019181 190 187 20 2,522 
2020183 181 71 1,623 
2021192 104 584 
Total$1,384 
[1]Contributing to the negative IBNR reserves for some accident years is a lag in the timing of expected reinsurance recoveries under the Navigators ADC with NICO. Recoveries from NICO will not be collected until the Company has cumulative loss payments for all covered lines of more than the attachment point.
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021
2012$38 $77 $83 $85 $112 $118 $118 $119 $119 $119 
201353 83 91 98 100 101 103 103 103 
201466 119 106 109 112 113 114 115 
201542 65 77 83 91 94 95 
201636 66 84 90 95 97 
201744 116 135 145 147 
201825 112 134 140 
201962 132 154 
202050 90 
202146 
Total$1,106 
Personal Automobile Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2012$1,141 $1,149 $1,146 $1,142 $1,133 $1,130 $1,130 $1,130 $1,129 $1,128 $210,757 
20131,131 1,145 1,144 1,153 1,152 1,153 1,157 1,156 1,155 205,485 
20141,146 1,153 1,198 1,200 1,199 1,202 1,201 1,199 209,022 
20151,195 1,340 1,338 1,330 1,331 1,328 1,324 216,889 
20161,407 1,402 1,393 1,397 1,395 1,386 11 215,839 
20171,277 1,275 1,228 1,214 1,200 18 187,513 
20181,108 1,104 1,072 1,058 51 156,152 
20191,018 1,010 991 97 139,360 
2020805 782 192 95,755 
2021881 444 94,494 
Total$11,104 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021
2012$441 $818 $986 $1,067 $1,104 $1,114 $1,120 $1,122 $1,123 $1,123 
2013442 816 1,002 1,091 1,121 1,135 1,142 1,144 1,148 
2014430 843 1,032 1,125 1,165 1,182 1,186 1,190 
2015475 935 1,142 1,243 1,292 1,304 1,310 
2016505 968 1,188 1,308 1,345 1,363 
2017441 836 1,033 1,123 1,161 
2018359 710 888 965 
2019323 654 816 
2020238 486 
2021247 
Total$9,809 
Personal Automobile Physical Damage
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year201920202021IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2019$445 $442 $441 $— 277,060 
2020349 346 210,783 
2021413 (6)213,209 
Total$1,200 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year201920202021
2019$427 $441 $441 
2020333 341 
2021388 
Total$1,170 
Homeowners
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2012$774 $741 $741 $741 $739 $738 $738 $738 $737 $737 $— 142,860 
2013673 638 637 634 632 630 629 630 629 113,552 
2014710 707 702 700 698 698 698 698 — 121,923 
2015690 703 690 684 684 684 684 119,997 
2016669 673 663 658 658 658 119,793 
2017866 889 884 783 775 124,713 
2018903 910 673 642 (6)102,784 
2019501 475 470 13 84,536 
2020525 512 26 87,841 
2021502 107 71,196 
Total$6,307 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021
2012$547 $696 $719 $727 $731 $734 $735 $736 $736 $736 
2013467 590 611 622 626 627 628 628 628 
2014526 663 684 691 695 697 697 698 
2015487 645 665 674 680 681 681 
2016481 621 640 649 653 655 
2017538 747 795 757 761 
2018484 712 616 619 
2019318 425 445 
2020335 454 
2021305 
Total$5,982 
Property and casualty reserves, including IBNR reserves
The Company estimates ultimate losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses by accident year. IBNR represents the excess of estimated ultimate loss reserves over case reserves. The process to estimate ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses is an integral part of the Company's reserve setting. Reserves for allocated and unallocated loss adjustment expenses are generally established separate from the reserves for losses.
Reserves for losses are set by line of business within the reporting segments. Case reserves are established by a claims handler on each individual claim and are adjusted as new information becomes known during the course of handling the
claim. Lines of business for which reported losses emerge over a long period of time are referred to as long-tail lines of business. Lines of business for which reported losses emerge more quickly are referred to as short-tail lines of business. The Company’s shortest tail lines of business are homeowners, commercial property and automobile physical damage. The longest tail lines of business include workers’ compensation, general liability and professional liability. For short-tail lines of business, emergence of paid loss and case reserves is credible and likely indicative of ultimate losses. For long-tail lines of business, emergence of paid losses and case reserves is less credible in the early periods after a given accident year and, accordingly, may not be indicative of ultimate losses.
The Company’s reserving actuaries regularly review reserves for both current and prior accident years using the most current
claim data. A variety of actuarial methods and judgments are used for most lines of business to arrive at selections of estimated ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses. The reserve selections incorporate input, as appropriate, from claims personnel, pricing actuaries and operating management about reported loss cost trends and other factors that could affect the reserve estimates.
For both short-tail and long-tail lines of business, an expected loss ratio is used to record initial reserves. This expected loss ratio is determined by starting with the average loss ratio of recent prior accident years and adjusting that ratio for the effect of expected changes to earned pricing, loss frequency and severity, mix of business, ceded reinsurance and other factors. For short-tail lines, IBNR for the current accident year is initially recorded as the product of the expected loss ratio for the period, earned premium for the period and the proportion of losses expected to be reported in future calendar periods for the current accident period. For long-tailed lines, IBNR reserves for the current accident year are initially recorded as the product of the expected loss ratio for the period and the earned premium for the period, less reported losses for the period. For certain short-tailed lines of business, IBNR amounts in the above loss development triangles are negative due to anticipated salvage and subrogation recoveries on paid losses.
As losses for a given accident year emerge or develop in subsequent periods, reserving actuaries use other methods to estimate ultimate unpaid losses in addition to the expected loss ratio method. These primarily include paid and reported loss development methods, frequency/severity techniques and the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method (a combination of the expected loss ratio and paid development or reported development method). Within any one line of business, the methods that are given more weight vary based primarily on the maturity of the accident year, the mix of business and the particular internal and external influences impacting the claims experience or the methods. The output of the reserve reviews are reserve estimates that are referred to as actuarial indications.
Paid development and reported development techniques are used for most lines of business though more weight is given to the reported development method for some of the long-tailed lines like general liability. In addition, for long-tailed lines of business, the Company relies on the expected loss ratio method for immature accident years. Frequency/severity techniques are used predominantly for professional liability and are also used for automobile liability. The Berquist-Sherman technique is also used for automobile liability, marine and assumed reinsurance. For most lines, reserves for allocated loss adjustment expenses ("ALAE", or those expenses related to specific claims) are analyzed using paid development techniques and an analysis of the relationship between ALAE and loss payments. For most of the lines acquired through the Navigators Group book of business, loss and ALAE are reviewed on a combined basis. Reserves for ULAE are determined using the expected cost per claim year and the anticipated claim closure pattern as well as the ratio of paid ULAE to paid losses.
The recorded reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses represents the actuarial best estimate of the ultimate settlement amount of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses. In applying judgment, actuaries select the best estimate after considering the estimates derived from a number of actuarial
methods, giving more weight to those methods deemed more predictive of ultimate unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses. The Company does not produce a statistical range or confidence interval of reserve estimates and, since reserving methods with more credibility are given greater weight, the selected best estimate may differ from the mid-point of the various estimates produced by the actuarial methods used.
Cumulative number of reported claims
For most property and casualty lines, claim counts represent the number of claim features on a reported claim where a claim feature is each separate coverage for each claimant affected by the claim event. For example, one car accident that results in two bodily injury claims and one automobile damage liability claim would be counted as three claims within the personal automobile liability triangle. Similarly, a fire that impacts one commercial building may result in multiple claim features due to the potential for claims related to business interruption, structural damage, and loss of the physical contents of the building. Claim features that result in no paid losses are included in the reported claim counts. For some property and casualty lines, such as marine and assumed reinsurance, a claim count represents each reported claim regardless of the number of features. For assumed bordereau business and business written on binders, one claim count is posted for each bordereau received, which could account for multiple claims.
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance [1]
(Unaudited)
Reserve Line1st Year2nd Year3rd Year4th Year5th Year6th Year7th Year8th Year9th Year10th Year
Workers' compensation15.1 %18.7 %12.3 %8.2 %5.4 %4.0 %2.6 %2.1 %1.4 %1.3 %
General liability2.9 %7.8 %14.2 %18.2 %16.6 %11.2 %6.9 %4.5 %3.1 %4.8 %
Marine25.3 %31.4 %17.5 %8.0 %6.6 %3.4 %1.9 %3.1 %— %0.7 %
Package business37.4 %21.8 %10.4 %8.6 %6.2 %3.2 %2.1 %1.2 %0.4 %0.3 %
Commercial property53.5 %30.6 %7.7 %3.0 %1.0 %0.5 %0.1 %(0.1 %)(0.1 %)— %
Commercial automobile liability15.8 %20.3 %20.6 %17.6 %11.4 %4.5 %2.7 %0.8 %0.5 %0.4 %
Commercial automobile physical damage88.0 %9.7 %(0.4 %)
Professional liability5.3 %18.4 %18.7 %14.3 %10.8 %7.6 %5.9 %1.1 %1.6 %0.7 %
Bond12.2 %22.2 %10.3 %4.6 %(0.2 %)(0.5 %)4.4 %1.8 %(0.2 %)(1.6 %)
Assumed Reinsurance35.2 %36.9 %9.1 %4.9 %7.0 %2.4 %1.0 %0.3 %0.3 %0.1 %
Personal automobile liability34.7 %33.3 %16.0 %7.7 %3.1 %1.2 %0.5 %0.2 %0.2 %— %
Personal automobile physical damage95.7 %2.7 %(0.1 %)
Homeowners70.7 %23.5 %1.4 %0.3 %0.6 %0.3 %0.1 %0.1 %— %— %
[1]Negative percentages are generally due to salvage, subrogation or other recoveries.
Rollforward of Liabilities for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
For the years ended December 31,
202120202019
Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$8,233 $8,256 $8,445 
Reinsurance recoverables [1]237 247 239 
Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
7,996 8,009 8,206 
Provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
Current incurral year5,021 4,511 4,385 
Prior year's discount accretion201 209 219 
Prior incurral year development [2](458)(445)(410)
Total provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses [3]4,764 4,275 4,194 
Payments
Current incurral year(2,631)(2,288)(2,277)
Prior incurral years(2,164)(2,000)(2,114)
Total payments
(4,795)(4,288)(4,391)
Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
7,965 7,996 8,009 
Reinsurance recoverables245 237 247 
Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$8,210 $8,233 $8,256 
[1] Includes a cumulative effect adjustment of $(1) representing an adjustment to the ACL recorded on adoption of accounting guidance for credit losses on January 1, 2020. See Note 1 - Basis of Presentation and Significant Accounting Policies.
[2]Prior incurral year development represents the change in estimated ultimate incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses for prior incurral years on a discounted basis.
[3]Includes unallocated loss adjustment expenses of $179, $178 and $178 for the years ended December 31, 2021, 2020 and 2019, respectively, that are recorded in insurance operating costs and other expenses in the Consolidated Statements of Operations.
Group Life, Disability and Accident Products Reserves, Net of Reinsurance, that are Discounted
For the years ended December 31,
202120202019
Liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, at undiscounted amounts$8,176 $8,380 $8,636 
Amount of discount(1,304)(1,353)(1,401)
Carrying value of liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses$6,872 $7,027 $7,235 
Weighted average discount rate3.3 %3.4 %3.4 %
Range of discount rate2.1 %-8.0 %2.1 %-8.0 %2.1 %-8.0 %
Reserves are discounted at rates in effect at the time claims were incurred, ranging from 2.1% for life and disability reserves acquired from Aetna based on interest rates in effect at the acquisition date of November 1, 2017, to 8.0% for the Company’s pre-acquisition reserves for incurral year 1990, and vary by product. Prior year's discount accretion has been calculated as the average reserve balance for the year times the weighted average discount rate.
2021 re-estimates of prior incurral year reserves
Group disability- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $380 largely driven by group long-term disability claim incidence lower than prior assumptions together with strong recoveries on prior incurral year claims, and by a New York Paid Family Leave program refund.
Group life and accident (including group life premium waiver)- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $65 largely driven by lower-than-previously expected claim incidence in both group life premium waiver and group accidental death and dismemberment.
Supplemental Accident & Health- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $10 driven by lower-than-previously expected claim incidence during the pandemic.
2020 re-estimates of prior incurral year reserves
Group disability- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $365 largely driven by group long-term disability lower claim incidence and higher recoveries on prior incurral year claims, and a refund on the New York Paid Family Leave program.
Group life and accident (including group life premium waiver)- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $65 largely driven by lower-than-previously expected claim incidence in group life premium waiver.
Supplemental Accident & Health- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $15 driven by lower-than-expected emergence of prior year claims, especially for voluntary critical Illness and voluntary accident products.
2019 re-estimates of prior incurral year reserves
Group disability- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $340 largely driven by group long-term disability claim incidence lower than prior assumptions and strong recoveries on prior incurral year claims, including the impact of updating Long-term Disability ("LTD") recovery probabilities to be based on more recent experience. New York Paid Family Leave also experienced favorable claim emergence including an experience refund.
Group life and accident (including group life premium waiver)- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $60 largely driven by lower-than-previously expected claim incidence in group life premium waiver.
Reconciliation of Loss Development to Liability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses as of December 31, 2021
Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of ReinsuranceSubtotal
Reserve LineCumulative Incurred for Incurral Years Displayed in TrianglesCumulative Paid for Incurral Years Displayed in TrianglesUnpaid for Incurral Years not Displayed in TrianglesUnpaid Unallocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of ReinsuranceDiscountUnpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of ReinsuranceReinsurance and Other RecoverablesLiability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
Group long-term disability$14,113 $(8,219)$1,546 $189 $(1,192)$6,437 $234 $6,671 
Group life and accident, excluding premium waiver6,323 (5,644)163 (18)828 833 
Group short-term disability124 — 129 — 129 
Group life premium waiver620 11 (94)537 538 
Group supplemental health34 — 34 39 
Total Group Benefits$20,436 $(13,863)$2,487 $209 $(1,304)$7,965 $245 $8,210 
The following loss triangles present historical loss development for incurred and paid claims by the year the insured claim occurred, referred to as the incurral year. Triangles are limited to the number of years for which claims incurred typically remain
outstanding, not exceeding ten years. Short-tail lines, which represent claims generally expected to be paid within a few years, have three years of claim development displayed.
Group Long-Term Disability
Undiscounted Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Incurral
Year
2012201320142015201620172018201920202021
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2012$1,829 $1,605 $1,539 $1,532 $1,530 $1,515 $1,504 $1,486 $1,479 $1,474 $— 35,814 
20131,660 1,479 1,429 1,429 1,416 1,413 1,399 1,385 1,378 — 30,757 
20141,636 1,473 1,430 1,431 1,431 1,408 1,395 1,389 — 31,927 
20151,595 1,442 1,422 1,420 1,401 1,385 1,380 — 32,727 
20161,651 1,481 1,468 1,437 1,417 1,409 — 33,301 
20171,597 1,413 1,358 1,316 1,304 30,902 
20181,647 1,387 1,309 1,277 28,403 
20191,650 1,424 1,327 27,375 
20201,686 1,407 29 25,503 
20211,768 881 17,132 
Total$14,113 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Incurral Year2012201320142015201620172018201920202021
2012$108 $483 $708 $835 $933 $1,014 $1,080 $1,138 $1,185 $1,227 
2013102 443 664 791 881 954 1,016 1,067 1,113 
2014103 448 675 801 884 960 1,025 1,079 
2015108 460 687 806 891 962 1,025 
2016112 479 705 819 907 981 
2017109 452 658 757 842 
2018105 447 639 743 
2019101 454 650 
2020100 458 
2021101 
Total$8,219 
Group Life and Accident, excluding Premium Waiver
Undiscounted Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Incurral Year201920202021IBNR ReservesClaims Reported
2019$1,902 $1,866 $1,867 $57,811 
20202,072 2,072 21 60,509 
20212,384 467 51,507 
Total$6,323 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Incurral Year201920202021
2019$1,471 $1,830 $1,847 
20201,524 2,033 
20211,764 
Total$5,644 
Group life, disability and accident reserves, including IBNR
The majority of Group Benefits’ reserves are for LTD claimants who are known to be disabled and are currently receiving benefits. A Disabled Life Reserve ("DLR") is calculated for each
LTD claim. The DLR for each claim is the expected present value of all estimated future benefit payments and includes estimates of claim recovery, investment yield, and offsets from other income, including offsets from Social Security benefits and workers’ compensation. Estimated future benefit payments represent the monthly income benefit that is paid until recovery, death or expiration of benefits. Claim recoveries are estimated based on claim characteristics such as age and diagnosis and represent an estimate of benefits that will terminate, generally as a result of the claimant returning to work or being deemed able to return to work. The DLR also includes a liability for payments to claimants who have not yet been approved for LTD. In these cases, the present value of future benefits is reduced for the likelihood of claim denial based on Company experience. For claims recently closed due to recovery, a portion of the DLR is retained for the possibility that the claim reopens upon further evidence of disability. In addition, a reserve for estimated unpaid claim expenses is included in the DLR.
For incurral years with IBNR claims, estimates of ultimate losses are made by applying completion factors to the dollar amount of claims reported or expected depending on the market segment. IBNR represents estimated ultimate losses less both DLR and cumulative paid amounts for all reported claims. Completion factors are derived using standard actuarial techniques using triangles that display historical claim count emergence by incurral month. These estimates are reviewed for reasonableness and are adjusted for current trends and other factors expected to cause a change in claim emergence. The IBNR includes an estimate of unpaid claim expenses, including a provision for the cost of initial set-up of the claim once reported.
For all products, including LTD, there is a period generally ranging from two to twelve months, depending on the product and market segment, where emerged claim information for an incurral year is not yet credible enough to be a basis for an IBNR projection. In these cases, the ultimate losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses are estimated using earned premium multiplied by an expected loss ratio.
The Company also records reserves for future death benefits under group term life policies that provide for premiums to be waived in the event the insured is unable to work due to disability and has satisfied an elimination period, which is typically nine months (premium waiver reserves). The death benefit reserve for these group life premium waiver claims is estimated for a known disabled claimant equal to the present value of expected future cash outflows (typically a lump sum face amount payable at death plus claim expenses) with separate estimates for claimant recovery (when no death benefit is payable) and for death before recovery or benefit expiry (when death benefit is payable). The IBNR for premium waiver death benefits is estimated with standard actuarial development methods.
In addition, the Company also records reserves for group term life, accidental death & dismemberment, short term disability, and other group products that have short claim payout periods. For these products, reserves are determined using paid or reported actuarial development methods. The resulting claim triangles produce a completion pattern and estimate of ultimate loss. IBNR for these lines of business equals the estimated ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses less the amount of paid or reported claims depending on whether the paid or reported development method was used. Estimates are reviewed for reasonableness and are adjusted for current trends or other factors that affect the development pattern.
Cumulative number of reported claims
For group life, disability and accident coverages, claim counts include claims that are approved, pending approval and terminated and exclude denied claims. Due to the nature of the claims, one claimant represents one event.
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Unaudited)
1st Year2nd Year3rd Year4th Year5th Year6th Year7th Year8th Year9th Year10th Year
Group long-term disability7.5 %25.8 %15.7 %8.5 %6.3 %5.4 %4.5 %3.8 %3.3 %2.8 %
Group life and accident, excluding premium waiver75.4 %21.9 %1.0 %
13. RESERVE FOR FUTURE POLICY BENEFITS
Changes in Reserves for Future Policy Benefits [1]
For the years ended December 31,
20212020
Beginning liability balance$638 $635 
Incurred61 85 
Paid(94)(85)
Change in unrealized investment gains and losses(9)
Ending liability balance$596 $638 
Ending reinsurance recoverable asset$22 $28 
[1]Reserve for future policy benefits includes paid-up life insurance and whole-life policies resulting from conversion from group life policies included within the Group Benefits segment and reserves for run-off structured settlement and terminal funding agreement liabilities, which are in the Corporate category.