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Reserves for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses Level 3 (Tables)
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2016
Dec. 31, 2015
Dec. 31, 2014
Liability for Unpaid Claims and Claims Adjustment Expense, Activity in Liability [Abstract]      
Schedule of Liability for Unpaid Claims and Claims Adjustment Expense [Table Text Block]
Property and Casualty Insurance Products

Roll-forward of Liabilities for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
2016
2015
2014
Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$
21,825

$
21,806

$
21,704

Reinsurance and other recoverables
2,882

3,041

3,028

Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
18,943

18,765

18,676

Add: Maxum acquisition [1]
122



Provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
 

 

 

Current accident year
6,990

6,647

6,572

Prior accident year development
457

250

228

Total provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
7,447

6,897

6,800

Less: payments
 

 

 

Current accident year
2,749

2,653

2,639

Prior accident years
4,219

4,066

4,072

Total payments
6,968

6,719

6,711

Less: net reserves transferred to liabilities held for sale
487



Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
19,057

18,943

18,765

Reinsurance and other recoverables [2]
2,776

2,882

3,041

Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$
21,833

$
21,825

$
21,806

[1]
Represents Maxum reserves, net as of the acquisition date.
[2]
Includes reinsurance recoverables of $2,373, $2,515 and $2,730 as of December 31, 2016, 2015 and 2014, respectively.
Property and Casualty Insurance Products Reserves, Net of Reinsurance that are Discounted
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
2016
2015
2014
Liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, at undiscounted amounts
$
1,504
 
$
1,607
 
$
1,577
 
Less: amount of discount
483
 
523
 
556
 
Carrying value of liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
$
1,021
 
$
1,084
 
$
1,021
 
Discount accretion included in losses and loss adjustment expenses
$
29
 
$
38
 
$
31
 
Weighted average discount rate
3.11
%
3.24
%
3.50
%
Range of discount rates
1.77
%
-
14.15
%
1.77
%
-
14.15
%
1.77
%
-
14.15
%

The current accident year benefit from discounting property and casualty insurance product reserves was $27 in 2016, $35 in 2015 and $34 in 2014. The reduction in the discount benefit in 2016 as compared to 2015 reflects lower claim volume and a shorter than expected payment pattern in 2016. The reduction in the discount benefit in 2015 as compared to 2014 reflects lower claim volume and a shorter than expected payment pattern in 2015. Reserves are discounted at rates in effect at the time claims were incurred, ranging from 1.77% for accident year 2016 to 14.15% for accident year 1981.
The reserves recorded for the Company’s property and casualty insurance products at December 31, 2016 represent the Company’s best estimate of its ultimate liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses related to losses covered by policies written by the Company. However, because of the significant uncertainties surrounding reserves it is possible that management’s estimate of the ultimate liabilities for these claims may change and that the required adjustment to recorded reserves could exceed the currently recorded reserves by an amount that could be material to the Company’s results of operations or cash flows.
Losses and loss adjustment expenses are also impacted by trends including frequency and severity as well as changes in the legislative and regulatory environment. In the case of the reserves for asbestos exposures, factors contributing to the high degree of uncertainty in the ultimate settlement of the liabilities gross of reinsurance include inadequate loss development patterns, plaintiffs’ expanding theories of liability, the risks inherent in major litigation, and inconsistent emerging legal doctrines. In the case of the reserves for environmental exposures, factors contributing to the high degree of uncertainty in gross reserves include expanding theories of liabilities and damages, the risks inherent in major litigation, inconsistent decisions concerning the existence and scope of coverage for environmental claims, and uncertainty as to the monetary amount being sought by the claimant from the insured.
(Favorable) Unfavorable Prior Accident Year Development
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
2016
2015
2014
Workers’ compensation
$
(119
)
$
(37
)
$
(7
)
Workers’ compensation discount accretion
28

29

30

General liability
65

8

(25
)
Package business
65

28

3

Commercial property
1

(6
)
2

Professional liability
(37
)
(36
)
(17
)
Bond
(8
)
(2
)
8

Auto liability
217

54

25

Homeowners
(10
)
9

(7
)
Net asbestos reserves
197

146

212

Net environmental reserves
71

55

30

Catastrophes
(7
)
(18
)
(45
)
Uncollectible reinsurance
(30
)


Other reserve re-estimates, net
24

20

19

Total prior accident year development
$
457

$
250

$
228

2016 re-estimates of prior accident year reserves
Workers’ compensation reserves consider favorable emergence on reported losses for recent accident years as well as a partially offsetting adverse impact related to two recent Florida Supreme Court rulings that have increased the Company’s exposure to workers’ compensation claims in that state. The favorable emergence has been driven by lower frequency and, to a lesser extent, lower medical severity and management has placed additional weight on this favorable experience as it becomes more credible.
General liability reserves increased for accident years 2012 - 2015 primarily due to higher severity losses incurred on a class of business that insures service and maintenance contractors and increased reserves in general liability for accident years 2008 and 2010 primarily due to indemnity losses and legal costs associated with a litigated claim.
Small commercial package business reserves increased due to higher than expected severity on liability claims, principally for accident years 2013 - 2015. Severity for these accident years has developed unfavorably and management has placed more weight on emerged experience.
Professional liability reserves decreased for claims made years 2008 - 2013, primarily for large accounts, including on non-securities class action cases. Claim costs have emerged favorably as these years have matured and management has placed more weight on the emerged experience.
Auto liability reserves increased due to increases in both commercial lines auto and personal lines auto. Commercial auto liability reserves increased, predominately for the 2015 accident year, primarily due to increased frequency of large claims. Personal auto liability reserves increased, primarily related to increased bodily injury frequency and severity for the 2015 accident year, including for uninsured and under-insured motorist claims, and increased bodily injury severity for the 2014 accident year. Increases in auto liability loss costs were across both the direct and agency distribution channels.
Asbestos and environmental reserves were increased during the period as a result of the second quarter 2016 comprehensive annual review. For further discussion, refer to MD&A, Critical Accounting Estimates, Asbestos and Environmental Reserves.
Uncollectible reinsurance reserves decreased as a result of giving greater weight to favorable collectability experience in recent calendar periods in estimating future collections.
2015 re-estimates of prior accident year reserves
Workers' compensation reserves decreased due to an improvement in claim closure rates resulting in a decrease in outstanding claims for permanently disabled claimants. In addition, accident years 2013 and 2014 continue to exhibit favorable frequency and medical severity trends; management has been placing additional weight on this favorable experience as it becomes more credible.
Small Commercial package business reserves increased due to higher than expected severity on liability claims, impacting recent accident years.
Commercial auto liability reserves increased due to increased severity of large claims predominantly for accident years 2010 to 2013.
Professional liability reserves decreased for claims made years 2009 through 2012 primarily for large accounts. Claim costs have emerged favorably as these years have matured and management has placed more weight on the emerged experience.
Asbestos and environmental reserves were increased during the period as a result of the 2015 comprehensive annual review.
Catastrophe reserves decreased primarily for accident year 2014 as fourth quarter 2014 catastrophes have developed favorably.
Other reserve re-estimates, net, decreased due to decreased contract surety reserves across several accident years and decreased commercial surety reserves for accident years 2012 through 2014 as a result of lower emerged losses. These reserve decreases were offset by an increase in commercial surety reserves related to accident years 2007 and prior, as the number of new claims reported has outpaced expectations.
2014 re-estimates of prior accident years reserves
Workers' compensation reserves decreased for recent accident years due to improved frequency and lower estimated claim handling costs.
General liability reserves decreased due to lower frequency in late emerging claims.
Commercial auto liability reserves increased due to an increased frequency of severe claims spread across several accident years.
Professional liability reserves decreased for accident years 2013, 2012 and 2010 due to lower frequency of reported claims.
Bond reserves emerged favorably for accident years 2008 to 2013, offset by adverse emergence on reserves for accident years 2007 and prior.
Homeowners reserves emerged favorably for accident year 2013, primarily related to favorable development on fire and water related claims.
Asbestos and environmental reserves were increased during the period as a result of the 2014 comprehensive annual review.
Catastrophe reserves decreased primarily for accident year 2013, as fourth quarter 2013 catastrophes have developed favorably.
Reconciliation of Loss Development to Liability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses As of December 31, 2016
 
Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
Subtotal
 
 
Reserve Line
Cumulative Incurred for Accident Years Displayed in Triangles
Cumulative Paid for Accident Years Displayed in Triangles
Unpaid for Accident Years not Displayed in Triangles [1]
Unpaid Unallocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Discount
Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Reinsurance and Other Recoverables
Liability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
Workers' compensation
$
17,948

$
(10,775
)
$
2,152

$
330

$
(466
)
$
9,189

$
1,431

$
10,620

General liability
3,546

(1,981
)
464

84


2,113

225

2,338

Package business
6,469

(5,214
)
53

91


1,399

17

1,416

Commercial property
3,041

(2,870
)
16

8


195

15

210

Commercial auto liability
3,438

(2,594
)
15

21


880

38

918

Commercial auto physical damage
227

(219
)
1



9


9

Professional liability
1,761

(1,225
)
36

17


589

288

877

Bond
657

(444
)
(1
)
13


225

12

237

Personal auto liability
12,304

(10,703
)
13

61


1,675

24

1,699

Personal auto physical damage
1,908

(1,876
)
1

3


36


36

Homeowners
7,323

(7,024
)
7

35


341

1

342

Other ongoing business
 
 
208

1

(17
)
192

299

491

Asbestos and environmental [2]
 
 
1,655



1,655

390

2,045

Other operations [2]
 
 
468

91


559

36

595

Total P&C
$
58,622

$
(44,925
)
$
5,088

$
755

$
(483
)
$
19,057

$
2,776

$
21,833

[1]
Amounts represent reserves for claims that were incurred more than ten years ago for long-tail lines and more than three years ago for short-tail lines.
[2]
Asbestos and environmental and other operations include asbestos, environmental and other latent exposures not foreseen when coverages were written, including, but not limited to, potential liability for pharmaceutical products, silica, talcum powder, head injuries, lead paint, construction defects, molestation and other long-tail liabilities. These reserve lines do not have significant paid or incurred loss development for the most recent ten accident years and therefore do not have loss development displayed in triangles.
The reserve lines in the above table and the loss triangles that follow represent the significant lines of business for which the Company regularly reviews the appropriateness of reserve levels. These reserve lines differ from the reserve lines reported on a statutory basis, as prescribed by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC").
The following loss triangles present historical loss development for incurred and paid claims by accident year. Triangles are limited to the number of years for which claims incurred typically remain outstanding, not exceeding ten years. Short-tail lines, which represent claims generally expected to be paid within a few years, have three years of claim development displayed. IBNR reserves shown in loss triangles include reserve for incurred but not reported claims as well as reserves for expected development on reported claims.
Workers' Compensation
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
1,597

$
1,538

$
1,492

$
1,434

$
1,404

$
1,394

$
1,375

$
1,374

$
1,372

$
1,374

$
114

148,662

2008
 
1,456

1,444

1,456

1,470

1,473

1,477

1,477

1,492

1,493

129

141,632

2009
 
 
1,462

1,455

1,478

1,493

1,504

1,504

1,519

1,529

182

135,757

2010
 
 
 
1,560

1,775

1,814

1,858

1,857

1,882

1,881

267

156,400

2011
 
 
 
 
2,013

2,099

2,204

2,206

2,221

2,224

402

177,279

2012
 
 
 
 
 
2,185

2,207

2,207

2,181

2,168

512

170,535

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,020

1,981

1,920

1,883

596

147,997

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,869

1,838

1,789

761

123,794

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,873

1,835

1,012

110,894

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,772

1,256

98,070

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
17,948

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
239

$
547

$
727

$
845

$
935

$
1,000

$
1,053

$
1,094

$
1,122

$
1,141

2008
 
264

581

781

917

1,015

1,089

1,146

1,190

1,216

2009
 
 
265

587

792

937

1,042

1,115

1,170

1,208

2010
 
 
 
316

709

970

1,154

1,287

1,374

1,439

2011
 
 
 
 
371

841

1,156

1,368

1,518

1,622

2012
 
 
 
 
 
359

809

1,106

1,313

1,436

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
304

675

917

1,071

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
275

598

811

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
261

576

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
255

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
10,775

General Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
601

$
570

$
524

$
491

$
489

$
461

$
428

$
416

$
415

$
416

$
46

23,384

2008
 
501

457

468

454

451

416

398

401

398

50

21,181

2009
 
 
382

398

394

382

359

348

347

346

46

20,268

2010
 
 
 
355

362

352

355

343

345

376

43

18,482

2011
 
 
 
 
353

343

323

316

315

320

55

16,344

2012
 
 
 
 
 
321

315

310

295

304

93

11,230

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
318

321

332

352

145

9,211

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
317

318

336

180

9,366

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
316

346

260

9,246

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
352

323

8,463

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
3,546

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
46

$
94

$
161

$
230

$
289

$
315

$
335

$
347

$
355

$
362

2008
 
31

69

141

216

270

300

318

330

337

2009
 
 
22

63

124

181

227

256

277

287

2010
 
 
 
14

51

115

181

224

259

314

2011
 
 
 
 
11

47

93

154

198

234

2012
 
 
 
 
 
8

39

75

124

167

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
7

35

95

152

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
11

31

88

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
7

32

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
8

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
1,981

Package Business
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
575

$
626

$
638

$
621

$
600

$
600

$
592

$
592

$
586

$
586

$
17

53,645

2008
 
667

703

709

677

675

674

676

673

675

19

58,028

2009
 
 
587

584

584

572

578

577

576

576

25

50,263

2010
 
 
 
657

662

654

652

652

651

653

29

52,259

2011
 
 
 
 
810

792

790

800

808

814

44

60,793

2012
 
 
 
 
 
736

725

728

731

736

55

59,472

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
579

565

573

585

66

43,077

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
566

578

601

118

42,230

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
582

588

185

40,140

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
655

314

36,845

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
6,469

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
223

$
362

$
432

$
484

$
525

$
542

$
552

$
559

$
562

$
565

2008
 
278

451

510

562

595

620

633

643

649

2009
 
 
227

351

411

463

503

527

539

547

2010
 
 
 
270

414

487

539

570

601

613

2011
 
 
 
 
377

555

621

684

727

748

2012
 
 
 
 
 
286

486

560

616

652

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
225

339

414

467

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
226

345

416

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
212

332

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
225

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
5,214

Commercial Property
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
306

$
306

$
299

$
295

$
294

$
295

$
295

$
296

$
296

$
296

$
(1
)
32,589

2008
 
478

465

465

464

467

464

464

463

464


31,995

2009
 
 
267

264

259

258

251

257

257

257


28,284

2010
 
 
 
286

283

279

282

284

284

284


28,513

2011
 
 
 
 
357

356

356

362

361

360


29,099

2012
 
 
 
 
 
329

301

301

305

306

1

25,777

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
234

218

219

220


20,280

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
268

260

262


19,720

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
264

264

3

18,955

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
328

48

18,189

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
3,041

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
185

$
277

$
291

$
293

$
293

$
294

$
295

$
296

$
296

$
297

2008
 
280

422

449

459

464

464

464

465

466

2009
 
 
179

247

252

256

256

257

257

257

2010
 
 
 
198

266

276

281

283

284

284

2011
 
 
 
 
231

332

350

355

358

359

2012
 
 
 
 
 
171

279

294

300

304

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
157

208

216

218

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
168

243

258

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
172

239

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
188

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
2,870

Commercial Auto Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
334

$
333

$
351

$
352

$
351

$
350

$
350

$
351

$
353

$
355

$
1

50,392

2008
 
303

311

304

303

304

304

302

307

306

4

43,859

2009
 
 
306

292

287

287

297

301

302

302

1

38,651

2010
 
 
 
277

280

296

319

323

328

327

11

38,007

2011
 
 
 
 
272

310

356

356

366

365

12

39,093

2012
 
 
 
 
 
311

376

390

401

394

26

35,719

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
309

314

329

336

40

31,510

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
306

314

328

71

28,742

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
302

353

140

27,205

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
372

251

24,553

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
3,438

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expense, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
68

$
153

$
227

$
292

$
322

$
334

$
343

$
347

$
348

$
349

2008
 
61

124

185

238

270

289

295

299

300

2009
 
 
56

115

175

237

274

291

298

300

2010
 
 
 
55

125

188

252

289

300

308

2011
 
 
 
 
62

133

211

273

315

339

2012
 
 
 
 
 
65

142

233

306

345

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
61

128

199

255

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
58

129

195

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
61

141

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
62

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
2,594

Commercial Auto Physical Damage
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2014
$
72

$
73

$
73

$

31,724

2015
 
74

75


26,761

2016
 
 
79

1

24,826

Total
 
 
$
227

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2014
2015
2016
2014
$
67

$
73

$
73

2015
 
69

75

2016
 
 
71

Total
 
 
$
219

Professional Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Claims Made Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
275

$
274

$
237

$
203

$
201

$
212

$
210

$
210

$
210

$
220

$
14

4,182

2008
 
281

253

244

274

280

276

276

282

277

10

4,956

2009
 
 
254

251

244

266

257

263

255

257

19

5,113

2010
 
 
 
202

211

212

205

201

200

195

30

4,888

2011
 
 
 
 
226

228

232

226

219

219

42

4,702

2012
 
 
 
 
 
174

172

168

149

146

45

3,716

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
136

136

123

110

66

2,771

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
116

123

118

65

2,857

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
104

113

75

2,898

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
106

94

2,709

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
1,761

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Claims Made Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
11

$
53

$
85

$
117

$
142

$
178

$
187

$
190

$
191

$
200

2008
 
13

61

126

166

202

221

230

260

264

2009
 
 
17

69

127

177

194

226

225

226

2010
 
 
 
22

62

103

137

148

157

162

2011
 
 
 
 
11

57

100

128

163

170

2012
 
 
 
 
 
11

41

60

89

97

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
4

19

31

39

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4

21

40

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4

23

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
1,225

Bond
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
76

$
76

$
104

$
105

$
101

$
109

$
106

$
129

$
132

$
135

$
(3
)
5,387

2008
 
75

67

62

52

47

47

44

47

48

7

3,443

2009
 
 
71

71

69

58

57

51

49

49

4

3,301

2010
 
 
 
71

75

80

79

73

69

70


2,659

2011
 
 
 
 
72

76

76

75

70

70

11

2,118

2012
 
 
 
 
 
69

69

60

53

48

19

1,712

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
63

58

54

48

29

1,437

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
69

65

65

23

1,347

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
65

65

39

1,294

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
59

52

1,082

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
657

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
8

$
29

$
38

$
42

$
68

$
104

$
111

$
129

$
131

$
132

2008
 
5

18

23

30

32

34

39

39

39

2009
 
 
9

32

45

46

44

43

44

44

2010
 
 
 
13

46

59

58

59

63

66

2011
 
 
 
 
12

39

51

56

57

59

2012
 
 
 
 
 
12

25

26

24

25

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
3

9

17

18

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
18

31

40

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
9

19

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
444

Personal Auto Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
1,291

$
1,260

$
1,242

$
1,229

$
1,219

$
1,216

$
1,215

$
1,211

$
1,211

$
1,209

$
2

260,143

2008
 
1,253

1,249

1,227

1,207

1,197

1,196

1,192

1,191

1,188

2

248,987

2009
 
 
1,351

1,305

1,280

1,255

1,256

1,260

1,259

1,257

2

254,543

2010
 
 
 
1,346

1,321

1,293

1,287

1,282

1,275

1,265

4

248,940

2011
 
 
 
 
1,181

1,170

1,180

1,173

1,166

1,154

9

221,862

2012
 
 
 
 
 
1,141

1,149

1,146

1,142

1,133

14

210,715

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,131

1,145

1,144

1,153

23

205,308

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,146

1,153

1,198

72

208,364

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,195

1,340

206

214,436

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,407

571

201,606

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
12,304

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
452

$
846

$
1,037

$
1,129

$
1,175

$
1,191

$
1,200

$
1,204

$
1,205

$
1,206

2008
 
469

861

1,031

1,121

1,160

1,175

1,181

1,183

1,184

2009
 
 
492

888

1,083

1,171

1,223

1,240

1,246

1,250

2010
 
 
 
496

915

1,108

1,202

1,239

1,251

1,256

2011
 
 
 
 
447

826

1,006

1,088

1,126

1,140

2012
 
 
 
 
 
441

818

986

1,067

1,104

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
442

816

1,002

1,091

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
430

843

1,032

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
475

935

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
505

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
10,703

Personal Auto Physical Damage
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2014
$
614

$
612

$
611

$

392,193

2015
 
629

632


395,384

2016
 
 
665

(3
)
383,870

Total
 
 
$
1,908

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2014
2015
2016
2014
$
591

$
613

$
612

2015
 
610

630

2016
 
 
634

Total
 
 
$
1,876

Homeowners
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
578

$
590

$
581

$
581

$
582

$
581

$
580

$
580

$
580

$
580

$
1

133,741

2008
 
742

768

777

778

779

779

779

779

780

2

165,101

2009
 
 
757

777

776

772

772

772

772

769

2

149,783

2010
 
 
 
838

850

838

840

840

840

836

2

161,559

2011
 
 
 
 
955

920

919

916

914

911

4

179,353

2012
 
 
 
 
 
774

741

741

741

739

4

142,756

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
673

638

637

634

6

113,399

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
710

707

702

9

121,619

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
690

703

20

119,097

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
669

84

111,072

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
7,323

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
402

$
537

$
557

$
569

$
572

$
575

$
576

$
578

$
578

$
579

2008
 
548

721

750

764

773

775

777

777

778

2009
 
 
559

727

749

759

763

765

766

766

2010
 
 
 
599

789

815

825

829

832

833

2011
 
 
 
 
709

871

891

899

903

905

2012
 
 
 
 
 
547

696

719

727

731

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
467

590

611

622

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
526

663

684

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
487

645

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
481

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
7,024

Property and casualty reserves, including IBNR reserves
The Company estimates ultimate losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses by accident year. IBNR represents the excess of estimated ultimate loss reserves over case reserves. The process to estimate ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses is an integral part of the Company's reserve setting. Reserves for allocated and unallocated loss adjustment expenses are generally established separate from the reserves for losses.
Reserves for losses are set by line of business within the reporting segments. Case reserves are established by a claims handler on each individual claim and are adjusted as new information becomes known during the course of handling the claim. Lines of business for which reported losses emerge over a long period of time are referred to as long-tail lines of business. Lines of business for which reported losses emerge more quickly are referred to as short-tail lines of business. The Company’s shortest tail lines of business are homeowners, commercial property and auto physical damage. The longest tail lines of business include workers’ compensation, general liability and professional liability. For short-tail lines of business, emergence of paid loss and case reserves is credible and likely indicative of ultimate losses. For long-tail lines of business, emergence of paid losses and case reserves is less credible in the early periods after a given accident year and, accordingly, may not be indicative of ultimate losses.
The Company’s reserving actuaries regularly review reserves for both current and prior accident years using the most current claim data. A variety of actuarial methods and judgments are used for most lines of business to arrive at selections of estimated ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses. While actuarial methods used and judgments change depending on the age of the accident year, in 2016, there were no new methods or types of judgments introduced or changes in how those methods and judgments were applied. The reserve selections incorporate input, as appropriate, from claims personnel, pricing actuaries and operating management about reported loss cost trends and other factors that could affect the reserve estimates.
For both short-tail and long-tail lines of business, an expected loss ratio is used to record initial reserves. This expected loss ratio is determined by starting with the average loss ratio of recent prior accident years and adjusting that ratio for the effect of expected changes to earned pricing, loss frequency and severity, mix of business, ceded reinsurance and other factors. For short-tail lines, IBNR for the current accident year is initially recorded as the product of the expected loss ratio for the period, earned premium for the period and the proportion of losses expected to be reported in future calendar periods for the current accident period. For long-tailed lines, IBNR reserves for the current accident year are initially recorded as the product of the expected loss ratio for the period and the earned premium for the period, less reported losses for the period. For certain short-tailed lines of business, IBNR amounts in the above loss development triangles are negative due to anticipated salvage and subrogation recoveries on paid losses.
As losses for a given accident year emerge or develop in subsequent periods, reserving actuaries use other methods to estimate ultimate unpaid losses in addition to the expected loss ratio method. These primarily include paid and reported loss development methods, frequency / severity techniques and the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method (a combination of the expected loss ratio and paid development or reported development method). Within any one line of business, the methods that are given more weight vary based primarily on the maturity of the accident year, the mix of business and the particular internal and external influences impacting the claims experience or the methods. The output of the reserve reviews are reserve estimates that are referred to as the “actuarial indication”.
Paid development and reported development techniques are used for most lines of business though more weight is given to the reported development method for some of the long-tailed lines like general liability. In addition, for long-tailed lines of business, the Company relies on the expected loss ratio method for immature accident years. Frequency/severity techniques are used predominantly for professional liability and are also used for auto liability. For most lines, reserves for allocated loss adjustment expenses ("ALAE", or those expenses related to specific claims) are analyzed using paid development techniques and an analysis of the relationship between ALAE and loss payments. Reserves for unallocated loss adjustment expenses ("ULAE") are determined using the expected cost per claim year and the anticipated claim closure pattern as well as the ratio of paid ULAE to paid losses.
In the final step of the reserve review process, senior reserving actuaries and senior management apply their judgment to determine the appropriate level of reserves considering the actuarial indications and other factors not contemplated in the actuarial indications. Those factors include, but are not limited to, the assessed reliability of key loss trends and assumptions used in the current actuarial indications, pertinent trends observed over the recent past, the level of volatility within a particular line of business, and the improvement or deterioration of actuarial indications.
Cumulative number of reported claims
For property and casualty, claim counts represent the number of claim features on a reported claim where a claim feature is each separate coverage for each claimant affected by the claim event.  For example, one car accident that results in two bodily injury claims and one auto damage liability claim would be counted as three claims within the personal auto liability triangle. Similarly, a fire that impacts one commercial building may result in multiple claim features due to the potential for claims related to business interruption, structural damage, and loss of the physical contents of the building. Claim features that result in no paid losses are included in the reported claim counts.

Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
 
(Unaudited)
 
Reserve Line
1st Year
2nd Year
3rd Year
4th Year
5th Year
6th Year
7th Year
8th Year
9th Year
10th Year
Workers' compensation
16.3

20.3

13.3

9.2

6.6

4.7

3.7

2.8

1.9

1.3

General liability
4.5

9.4

16.2

17.3

13.4

8.5

7.5

3.0

1.8

1.5

Package business
39.2

22.4

10.7

8.3

5.6

3.6

1.9

1.3

0.8

0.5

Commercial property
64.0

28.0

4.5

1.4

0.8

0.2

0.2

0.2



Commercial auto liability
17.8

21.0

20.7

18.3

10.7

5.0

2.4

0.8

0.4

0.3

Commercial auto physical damage
91.2

8.7

(0.3
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Professional liability
5.4

18.2

17.6

15.2

9.7

8.8

2.4

4.1

0.9

4.1

Bond
14.7

27.7

14.1

3.4

3.8

7.6

5.2

4.7

0.7

1.7

Personal auto liability
37.8

33.1

15.4

7.4

3.5

1.2

0.5

0.3

0.1


Personal auto physical damage
96.2

3.4

(0.2
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Homeowners
72.6

21.1

3.1

1.5

0.6

0.3

0.1

0.1

0.1


Property and Casualty Insurance Products

Roll-forward of Liabilities for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
2016
2015
2014
Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$
21,825

$
21,806

$
21,704

Reinsurance and other recoverables
2,882

3,041

3,028

Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
18,943

18,765

18,676

Add: Maxum acquisition [1]
122



Provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
 

 

 

Current accident year
6,990

6,647

6,572

Prior accident year development
457

250

228

Total provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
7,447

6,897

6,800

Less: payments
 

 

 

Current accident year
2,749

2,653

2,639

Prior accident years
4,219

4,066

4,072

Total payments
6,968

6,719

6,711

Less: net reserves transferred to liabilities held for sale
487



Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
19,057

18,943

18,765

Reinsurance and other recoverables [2]
2,776

2,882

3,041

Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$
21,833

$
21,825

$
21,806

[1]
Represents Maxum reserves, net as of the acquisition date.
[2]
Includes reinsurance recoverables of $2,373, $2,515 and $2,730 as of December 31, 2016, 2015 and 2014, respectively.
(Favorable) Unfavorable Prior Accident Year Development
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
2016
2015
2014
Workers’ compensation
$
(119
)
$
(37
)
$
(7
)
Workers’ compensation discount accretion
28

29

30

General liability
65

8

(25
)
Package business
65

28

3

Commercial property
1

(6
)
2

Professional liability
(37
)
(36
)
(17
)
Bond
(8
)
(2
)
8

Auto liability
217

54

25

Homeowners
(10
)
9

(7
)
Net asbestos reserves
197

146

212

Net environmental reserves
71

55

30

Catastrophes
(7
)
(18
)
(45
)
Uncollectible reinsurance
(30
)


Other reserve re-estimates, net
24

20

19

Total prior accident year development
$
457

$
250

$
228

2016 re-estimates of prior accident year reserves
Workers’ compensation reserves consider favorable emergence on reported losses for recent accident years as well as a partially offsetting adverse impact related to two recent Florida Supreme Court rulings that have increased the Company’s exposure to workers’ compensation claims in that state. The favorable emergence has been driven by lower frequency and, to a lesser extent, lower medical severity and management has placed additional weight on this favorable experience as it becomes more credible.
General liability reserves increased for accident years 2012 - 2015 primarily due to higher severity losses incurred on a class of business that insures service and maintenance contractors and increased reserves in general liability for accident years 2008 and 2010 primarily due to indemnity losses and legal costs associated with a litigated claim.
Small commercial package business reserves increased due to higher than expected severity on liability claims, principally for accident years 2013 - 2015. Severity for these accident years has developed unfavorably and management has placed more weight on emerged experience.
Professional liability reserves decreased for claims made years 2008 - 2013, primarily for large accounts, including on non-securities class action cases. Claim costs have emerged favorably as these years have matured and management has placed more weight on the emerged experience.
Auto liability reserves increased due to increases in both commercial lines auto and personal lines auto. Commercial auto liability reserves increased, predominately for the 2015 accident year, primarily due to increased frequency of large claims. Personal auto liability reserves increased, primarily related to increased bodily injury frequency and severity for the 2015 accident year, including for uninsured and under-insured motorist claims, and increased bodily injury severity for the 2014 accident year. Increases in auto liability loss costs were across both the direct and agency distribution channels.
Asbestos and environmental reserves were increased during the period as a result of the second quarter 2016 comprehensive annual review. For further discussion, refer to MD&A, Critical Accounting Estimates, Asbestos and Environmental Reserves.
Uncollectible reinsurance reserves decreased as a result of giving greater weight to favorable collectability experience in recent calendar periods in estimating future collections.
2015 re-estimates of prior accident year reserves
Workers' compensation reserves decreased due to an improvement in claim closure rates resulting in a decrease in outstanding claims for permanently disabled claimants. In addition, accident years 2013 and 2014 continue to exhibit favorable frequency and medical severity trends; management has been placing additional weight on this favorable experience as it becomes more credible.
Small Commercial package business reserves increased due to higher than expected severity on liability claims, impacting recent accident years.
Commercial auto liability reserves increased due to increased severity of large claims predominantly for accident years 2010 to 2013.
Professional liability reserves decreased for claims made years 2009 through 2012 primarily for large accounts. Claim costs have emerged favorably as these years have matured and management has placed more weight on the emerged experience.
Asbestos and environmental reserves were increased during the period as a result of the 2015 comprehensive annual review.
Catastrophe reserves decreased primarily for accident year 2014 as fourth quarter 2014 catastrophes have developed favorably.
Other reserve re-estimates, net, decreased due to decreased contract surety reserves across several accident years and decreased commercial surety reserves for accident years 2012 through 2014 as a result of lower emerged losses. These reserve decreases were offset by an increase in commercial surety reserves related to accident years 2007 and prior, as the number of new claims reported has outpaced expectations.
2014 re-estimates of prior accident years reserves
Workers' compensation reserves decreased for recent accident years due to improved frequency and lower estimated claim handling costs.
General liability reserves decreased due to lower frequency in late emerging claims.
Commercial auto liability reserves increased due to an increased frequency of severe claims spread across several accident years.
Professional liability reserves decreased for accident years 2013, 2012 and 2010 due to lower frequency of reported claims.
Bond reserves emerged favorably for accident years 2008 to 2013, offset by adverse emergence on reserves for accident years 2007 and prior.
Homeowners reserves emerged favorably for accident year 2013, primarily related to favorable development on fire and water related claims.
Asbestos and environmental reserves were increased during the period as a result of the 2014 comprehensive annual review.
Catastrophe reserves decreased primarily for accident year 2013, as fourth quarter 2013 catastrophes have developed favorably.
Group Life, Disability and Accident Products

Roll-forward of Liabilities for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
2016
2015 [1]
2014 [1]
Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$
5,889

$
6,013

$
6,258

Reinsurance recoverables
218

209

210

Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
5,671

5,804

6,048

Provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
 
 
 
Current incurral year
2,562

2,447

2,446

Prior year's discount accretion
202

214

225

Prior incurral year development [2]
(162
)
(146
)
(223
)
Total provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses [3]
2,602

2,515

2,448

Less: payments
 
 
 
Current incurral year
1,327

1,257

1,211

Prior incurral years
1,382

1,391

1,482

Total payments
2,709

2,648

2,693

Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
5,564

5,671

5,804

Reinsurance recoverables
208

218

209

Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$
5,772

$
5,889

$
6,013

[1]
Certain prior year amounts have been reclassified to conform to the current year presentation for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses.
[2]
Prior incurral year development represents the change in estimated ultimate incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses for prior incurral years on a discounted basis.
[3]
Includes unallocated loss adjustment expenses of $100, $96 and $98 for the years ended December 31, 2016, 2015 and 2014, respectively, that are recorded in insurance operating costs and other expenses in the Consolidated Statements of Operations.

Group Life, Disability and Accident Products

Roll-forward of Liabilities for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
2016
2015 [1]
2014 [1]
Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$
5,889

$
6,013

$
6,258

Reinsurance recoverables
218

209

210

Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
5,671

5,804

6,048

Provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
 
 
 
Current incurral year
2,562

2,447

2,446

Prior year's discount accretion
202

214

225

Prior incurral year development [2]
(162
)
(146
)
(223
)
Total provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses [3]
2,602

2,515

2,448

Less: payments
 
 
 
Current incurral year
1,327

1,257

1,211

Prior incurral years
1,382

1,391

1,482

Total payments
2,709

2,648

2,693

Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
5,564

5,671

5,804

Reinsurance recoverables
208

218

209

Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$
5,772

$
5,889

$
6,013

[1]
Certain prior year amounts have been reclassified to conform to the current year presentation for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses.
[2]
Prior incurral year development represents the change in estimated ultimate incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses for prior incurral years on a discounted basis.
[3]
Includes unallocated loss adjustment expenses of $100, $96 and $98 for the years ended December 31, 2016, 2015 and 2014, respectively, that are recorded in insurance operating costs and other expenses in the Consolidated Statements of Operations.

Group life, Disability and Accident Products Reserves, Net of Reinsurance that are Discounted
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
2016
2015
2014
Liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, at undiscounted amounts
$
6,382
 
$
6,565
 
$
6,841
 
Less: amount of discount
1,303
 
1,382
 
1,502
 
Carrying value of liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
$
5,079
 
$
5,183
 
$
5,339
 
Weighted average discount rate
4.3
%
4.4
%
4.5
%
Range of discount rate
3.0
%
-
8.0
%
3.0
%
-
8.0
%
3.0
%
-
8.0
%
Reserves are discounted at rates in effect at the time claims were incurred, ranging from 3.0% for incurral year 2004 to 8.0% for incurral year 1990, and vary by product. Prior year's discount accretion has been calculated as the average reserve balance for the year times the weighted average discount rate.
Net favorable prior incurral year development in 2016 was driven by the following:
Group Disability- Prior period estimates decreased by approximately$90 largely driven by group long-term disability claim recoveries higher than prior reserve assumptions, particularly in the older incurral years. This favorability was partially offset by lower Social Security Disability approvals driven by lower approval rates and backlogs in the Social Security Administration.
Group Life and Accident (including Group Life Premium Waiver)- Contributing to an approximately $75 decrease in prior period reserve estimates was favorable claim incidence on group life premium waiver for incurral year 2015.
Net favorable prior incurral year development in 2015 was driven by the following:
Group Disability- Prior period estimates decreased by approximately$90 largely driven by updated assumptions related to the probability and timing of long-term disability claim recoveries, which were updated to reflect recent favorable trends. This favorability was partially offset by lower Social Security Disability approvals driven by lower approval rates and backlogs in the Social Security Administration.
Group Life and Accident (including Group Life Premium Waiver)- Prior period estimates decreased by approximately $50 largely driven by favorable claim incidence and recovery experience on group life premium waiver.
Net favorable prior incurral year development in 2014 was driven by the following:
Group Disability- Prior period estimates decreased by approximately$150 largely due to higher actual claim recoveries in group long-term disability, particularly in incurral years 2013 and 2012. In addition for incurral year 2013, group long-term disability claim incidence levels emerged favorably to reserve assumptions.
Group Life and Accident (including Group Life Premium Waiver- Prior period estimates decreased by approximately $65 driven largely by claim incidence and recovery experience on group life premium waiver. For group life premium waiver claims with disability dates prior to 2011, reserve estimates were updated to reflect more emerging favorable claim trends. Reserves for group life claims for incurral year 2013 were decreased due to lower-than-previously-assumed deaths reported in early 2014.
Reconciliation of Loss Development to Liability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses as of December 31, 2016
 
Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
Subtotal
 
 
Reserve Line
Cumulative Incurred for Incurral Years Displayed in Triangles
Cumulative Paid for Incurral Years Displayed in Triangles
Unpaid for Incurral Years not Displayed in Triangles
Unpaid Unallocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Discount
Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Reinsurance and Other Recoverables
Liability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
Group long-term disability
$
11,293

$
(6,570
)
$
1,021

$
128

$
(1,185
)
$
4,687

$
206

$
4,893

Group life and accident, excluding premium waiver
3,076

(2,821
)
80

2

(18
)
319


319

Group short-term disability
 
 
52

2


54


54

Group life premium waiver
 
 
558

7

(100
)
465

2

467

Group supplemental health
 
 
39



39


39

Total Group Benefits
$
14,369

$
(9,391
)
$
1,750

$
139

$
(1,303
)
$
5,564

$
208

$
5,772


The following loss triangles present historical loss development for incurred and paid claims by the year the insured claim occurred, referred to as the incurral year. Triangles are limited to the number of years for which claims incurred typically remain outstanding, but not exceeding ten years. Short-tail lines, which represent claims generally expected to be paid within a few years, have three years of claim development displayed.
Group Long-Term Disability
Undiscounted Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Incurral
Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
1,375

$
1,290

$
1,177

$
1,158

$
1,160

$
1,154

$
1,154

$
1,151

$
1,146

$
1,143

$

27,251

2008
 
1,415

1,311

1,250

1,237

1,250

1,249

1,243

1,239

1,241


27,811

2009
 
 
1,441

1,414

1,363

1,343

1,335

1,344

1,328

1,318


29,788

2010
 
 
 
1,542

1,471

1,397

1,367

1,376

1,351

1,344


30,432

2011
 
 
 
 
1,503

1,405

1,317

1,313

1,318

1,310


30,406

2012
 
 
 
 
 
1,358

1,199

1,143

1,141

1,135

1

27,357

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,121

985

954

940

1

20,376

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,051

969

936

3

19,879

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
985

923

11

18,916

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,003

371

12,748

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
11,293

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Incurral Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
81

$
340

$
495

$
585

$
661

$
726

$
781

$
828

$
869

$
906

2008
 
81

357

520

618

701

771

831

883

930

2009
 
 
88

391

573

682

769

843

906

960

2010
 
 
 
98

419

608

718

805

878

940

2011
 
 
 
 
98

410

595

707

790

860

2012
 
 
 
 
 
84

362

526

620

689

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
69

289

435

520

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
67

284

427

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
67

275

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
63

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
6,570

Group Life and Accident, excluding Premium Waiver
Undiscounted Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Incurral Year
2014
2015
2016
IBNR Reserves
Claims Reported
2014
$
982

$
973

$
975

$
2

25,589

2015
 
1,022

1,012

7

24,473

2016
 
 
1,089

190

19,445

Total
 
 
$
3,076

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Incurral Year
2014
2015
2016
2014
$
777

$
958

$
970

2015
 
809

1,000

2016
 
 
851

Total
 
 
$
2,821

Group life, disability and accident reserves, including IBNR
The majority of Group Benefits’ reserves are for long-term disability ("LTD") claimants who are known to be disabled and are currently receiving benefits. A Disabled Life Reserve ("DLR") is calculated for each LTD claim. The DLR for each claim is the expected present value of all estimated future benefit payments and includes estimates of claim recovery, investment yield, and offsets from other income, including offsets from Social Security benefits and workers’ compensation. Estimated future benefit payments represent the monthly income benefit that is paid until recovery, death or expiration of benefits. Claim recoveries are estimated based on claim characteristics such as age and diagnosis and represent an estimate of benefits that will terminate, generally as a result of the claimant returning to work or being deemed able to return to work. The DLR also includes a liability for payments to claimants who have not yet been approved for LTD either because they have not yet satisfied the waiting (or elimination) period or because the approval or denial decision has not yet been made. In these cases, the present value of future benefits is reduced for the likelihood of claim denial based on Company experience. For claims recently closed due to recovery, a portion of the DLR is retained for the possibility that the claim reopens upon further evidence of disability.  In addition, a reserve for estimated unpaid claim expenses is included in the DLR.
For incurral years with IBNR claims, estimates of ultimate losses are made by applying completion factors to the dollar amount of claims reported. IBNR represents estimated ultimate losses less both DLR and cumulative paid amounts for all reported claims. Completion factors are derived using standard actuarial techniques using triangles that display historical claim count emergence by incurral year. These estimates are reviewed for reasonableness and are adjusted for current trends and other factors expected to cause a change in claim emergence. The IBNR includes an estimate of unpaid claim expenses, including a provision for the cost of initial set-up of the claim once reported.
For all products, including LTD, there is a period generally ranging from two to twelve months, depending on the product, where emerged claim information for an incurral year is not yet credible enough to be a basis for an IBNR projection.  In these cases, the ultimate losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses are estimated using earned premium multiplied by an expected loss ratio.
The Company also records reserves for future death benefits under group term life policies that provide for premiums to be waived in the event the insured has a permanent and total disablement and has satisfied an elimination period, which is typically nine months ("premium waiver reserves"). The death benefit reserve for these group life premium waiver claims is estimated for a known disabled claimant equal to the present value of expected future cash outflows (typically a lump sum face amount payable at death plus claim expenses) with separate estimates for claimant recovery (when no death benefit is payable) and for death before recovery or benefit expiry (when death benefit is payable). The IBNR for premium waiver death benefits is estimated with standard actuarial development methods.
In addition, the Company also records reserves for group term life, accidental death & dismemberment, short term disability, and other group products that have short claim payout periods. For these products, reserves are determined using paid or reported actuarial development methods. The resulting claim triangles produce a completion pattern and estimate of ultimate loss. IBNR for these lines of business equals the estimated ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses less the amount of paid or reported claims depending on whether the paid or reported development method was used.  Estimates are reviewed for reasonableness and are adjusted for current trends or other factors that affect the development pattern.
Cumulative number of reported claims
For group life, disability and accident coverages, claim counts include claims that are approved, pending approval and terminated and exclude denied claims. Due to the nature of the claims, one claimant represents one event.

Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
1st Year
2nd Year
3rd Year
4th Year
5th Year
6th Year
7th Year
8th Year
9th Year
10th Year
Group long-term disability
7.1

23.2

14.3

8.3

6.5

5.5

4.7

4.2

3.7

3.2

Group life and accident, excluding premium waiver
79.3

18.7

1.2

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Net favorable prior incurral year development in 2016 was driven by the following:
Group Disability- Prior period estimates decreased by approximately$90 largely driven by group long-term disability claim recoveries higher than prior reserve assumptions, particularly in the older incurral years. This favorability was partially offset by lower Social Security Disability approvals driven by lower approval rates and backlogs in the Social Security Administration.
Group Life and Accident (including Group Life Premium Waiver)- Contributing to an approximately $75 decrease in prior period reserve estimates was favorable claim incidence on group life premium waiver for incurral year 2015.
Net favorable prior incurral year development in 2015 was driven by the following:
Group Disability- Prior period estimates decreased by approximately$90 largely driven by updated assumptions related to the probability and timing of long-term disability claim recoveries, which were updated to reflect recent favorable trends. This favorability was partially offset by lower Social Security Disability approvals driven by lower approval rates and backlogs in the Social Security Administration.
Group Life and Accident (including Group Life Premium Waiver)- Prior period estimates decreased by approximately $50 largely driven by favorable claim incidence and recovery experience on group life premium waiver.
Net favorable prior incurral year development in 2016 was driven by the following:
Group Disability- Prior period estimates decreased by approximately$90 largely driven by group long-term disability claim recoveries higher than prior reserve assumptions, particularly in the older incurral years. This favorability was partially offset by lower Social Security Disability approvals driven by lower approval rates and backlogs in the Social Security Administration.
Group Life and Accident (including Group Life Premium Waiver)- Contributing to an approximately $75 decrease in prior period reserve estimates was favorable claim incidence on group life premium waiver for incurral year 2015.
Net favorable prior incurral year development in 2015 was driven by the following:
Group Disability- Prior period estimates decreased by approximately$90 largely driven by updated assumptions related to the probability and timing of long-term disability claim recoveries, which were updated to reflect recent favorable trends. This favorability was partially offset by lower Social Security Disability approvals driven by lower approval rates and backlogs in the Social Security Administration.
Group Life and Accident (including Group Life Premium Waiver)- Prior period estimates decreased by approximately $50 largely driven by favorable claim incidence and recovery experience on group life premium waiver.
Net favorable prior incurral year development in 2014 was driven by the following:
Group Disability- Prior period estimates decreased by approximately$150 largely due to higher actual claim recoveries in group long-term disability, particularly in incurral years 2013 and 2012. In addition for incurral year 2013, group long-term disability claim incidence levels emerged favorably to reserve assumptions.
Group Life and Accident (including Group Life Premium Waiver- Prior period estimates decreased by approximately $65 driven largely by claim incidence and recovery experience on group life premium waiver. For group life premium waiver claims with disability dates prior to 2011, reserve estimates were updated to reflect more emerging favorable claim trends. Reserves for group life claims for incurral year 2013 were decreased due to lower-than-previously-assumed deaths reported in early 2014.
Schedule or Description of Weighted Average Discount Rate [Table Text Block]
Property and Casualty Insurance Products Reserves, Net of Reinsurance that are Discounted
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
2016
2015
2014
Liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, at undiscounted amounts
$
1,504
 
$
1,607
 
$
1,577
 
Less: amount of discount
483
 
523
 
556
 
Carrying value of liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
$
1,021
 
$
1,084
 
$
1,021
 
Discount accretion included in losses and loss adjustment expenses
$
29
 
$
38
 
$
31
 
Weighted average discount rate
3.11
%
3.24
%
3.50
%
Range of discount rates
1.77
%
-
14.15
%
1.77
%
-
14.15
%
1.77
%
-
14.15
%

The current accident year benefit from discounting property and casualty insurance product reserves was $27 in 2016, $35 in 2015 and $34 in 2014. The reduction in the discount benefit in 2016 as compared to 2015 reflects lower claim volume and a shorter than expected payment pattern in 2016. The reduction in the discount benefit in 2015 as compared to 2014 reflects lower claim volume and a shorter than expected payment pattern in 2015. Reserves are discounted at rates in effect at the time claims were incurred, ranging from 1.77% for accident year 2016 to 14.15% for accident year 1981.
The reserves recorded for the Company’s property and casualty insurance products at December 31, 2016 represent the Company’s best estimate of its ultimate liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses related to losses covered by policies written by the Company. However, because of the significant uncertainties surrounding reserves it is possible that management’s estimate of the ultimate liabilities for these claims may change and that the required adjustment to recorded reserves could exceed the currently recorded reserves by an amount that could be material to the Company’s results of operations or cash flows.
Losses and loss adjustment expenses are also impacted by trends including frequency and severity as well as changes in the legislative and regulatory environment. In the case of the reserves for asbestos exposures, factors contributing to the high degree of uncertainty in the ultimate settlement of the liabilities gross of reinsurance include inadequate loss development patterns, plaintiffs’ expanding theories of liability, the risks inherent in major litigation, and inconsistent emerging legal doctrines. In the case of the reserves for environmental exposures, factors contributing to the high degree of uncertainty in gross reserves include expanding theories of liabilities and damages, the risks inherent in major litigation, inconsistent decisions concerning the existence and scope of coverage for environmental claims, and uncertainty as to the monetary amount being sought by the claimant from the insured.
Group life, Disability and Accident Products Reserves, Net of Reinsurance that are Discounted
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
2016
2015
2014
Liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, at undiscounted amounts
$
6,382
 
$
6,565
 
$
6,841
 
Less: amount of discount
1,303
 
1,382
 
1,502
 
Carrying value of liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
$
5,079
 
$
5,183
 
$
5,339
 
Weighted average discount rate
4.3
%
4.4
%
4.5
%
Range of discount rate
3.0
%
-
8.0
%
3.0
%
-
8.0
%
3.0
%
-
8.0
%
Reserves are discounted at rates in effect at the time claims were incurred, ranging from 3.0% for incurral year 2004 to 8.0% for incurral year 1990, and vary by product. Prior year's discount accretion has been calculated as the average reserve balance for the year times the weighted average discount rate.
   
Short-duration Insurance Contracts, Reconciliation of Claims Development to Liability [Table Text Block]
Reconciliation of Loss Development to Liability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses As of December 31, 2016
 
Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
Subtotal
 
 
Reserve Line
Cumulative Incurred for Accident Years Displayed in Triangles
Cumulative Paid for Accident Years Displayed in Triangles
Unpaid for Accident Years not Displayed in Triangles [1]
Unpaid Unallocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Discount
Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Reinsurance and Other Recoverables
Liability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
Workers' compensation
$
17,948

$
(10,775
)
$
2,152

$
330

$
(466
)
$
9,189

$
1,431

$
10,620

General liability
3,546

(1,981
)
464

84


2,113

225

2,338

Package business
6,469

(5,214
)
53

91


1,399

17

1,416

Commercial property
3,041

(2,870
)
16

8


195

15

210

Commercial auto liability
3,438

(2,594
)
15

21


880

38

918

Commercial auto physical damage
227

(219
)
1



9


9

Professional liability
1,761

(1,225
)
36

17


589

288

877

Bond
657

(444
)
(1
)
13


225

12

237

Personal auto liability
12,304

(10,703
)
13

61


1,675

24

1,699

Personal auto physical damage
1,908

(1,876
)
1

3


36


36

Homeowners
7,323

(7,024
)
7

35


341

1

342

Other ongoing business
 
 
208

1

(17
)
192

299

491

Asbestos and environmental [2]
 
 
1,655



1,655

390

2,045

Other operations [2]
 
 
468

91


559

36

595

Total P&C
$
58,622

$
(44,925
)
$
5,088

$
755

$
(483
)
$
19,057

$
2,776

$
21,833

[1]
Amounts represent reserves for claims that were incurred more than ten years ago for long-tail lines and more than three years ago for short-tail lines.
[2]
Asbestos and environmental and other operations include asbestos, environmental and other latent exposures not foreseen when coverages were written, including, but not limited to, potential liability for pharmaceutical products, silica, talcum powder, head injuries, lead paint, construction defects, molestation and other long-tail liabilities. These reserve lines do not have significant paid or incurred loss development for the most recent ten accident years and therefore do not have loss development displayed in triangles.
The reserve lines in the above table and the loss triangles that follow represent the significant lines of business for which the Company regularly reviews the appropriateness of reserve levels. These reserve lines differ from the reserve lines reported on a statutory basis, as prescribed by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC").
The following loss triangles present historical loss development for incurred and paid claims by accident year. Triangles are limited to the number of years for which claims incurred typically remain outstanding, not exceeding ten years. Short-tail lines, which represent claims generally expected to be paid within a few years, have three years of claim development displayed. IBNR reserves shown in loss triangles include reserve for incurred but not reported claims as well as reserves for expected development on reported claims.
Reconciliation of Loss Development to Liability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses as of December 31, 2016
 
Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
Subtotal
 
 
Reserve Line
Cumulative Incurred for Incurral Years Displayed in Triangles
Cumulative Paid for Incurral Years Displayed in Triangles
Unpaid for Incurral Years not Displayed in Triangles
Unpaid Unallocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Discount
Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Reinsurance and Other Recoverables
Liability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
Group long-term disability
$
11,293

$
(6,570
)
$
1,021

$
128

$
(1,185
)
$
4,687

$
206

$
4,893

Group life and accident, excluding premium waiver
3,076

(2,821
)
80

2

(18
)
319


319

Group short-term disability
 
 
52

2


54


54

Group life premium waiver
 
 
558

7

(100
)
465

2

467

Group supplemental health
 
 
39



39


39

Total Group Benefits
$
14,369

$
(9,391
)
$
1,750

$
139

$
(1,303
)
$
5,564

$
208

$
5,772


   
Short-duration Insurance Contracts, Claims Development [Table Text Block]
The reserve lines in the above table and the loss triangles that follow represent the significant lines of business for which the Company regularly reviews the appropriateness of reserve levels. These reserve lines differ from the reserve lines reported on a statutory basis, as prescribed by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC").
The following loss triangles present historical loss development for incurred and paid claims by accident year. Triangles are limited to the number of years for which claims incurred typically remain outstanding, not exceeding ten years. Short-tail lines, which represent claims generally expected to be paid within a few years, have three years of claim development displayed. IBNR reserves shown in loss triangles include reserve for incurred but not reported claims as well as reserves for expected development on reported claims.
Workers' Compensation
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
1,597

$
1,538

$
1,492

$
1,434

$
1,404

$
1,394

$
1,375

$
1,374

$
1,372

$
1,374

$
114

148,662

2008
 
1,456

1,444

1,456

1,470

1,473

1,477

1,477

1,492

1,493

129

141,632

2009
 
 
1,462

1,455

1,478

1,493

1,504

1,504

1,519

1,529

182

135,757

2010
 
 
 
1,560

1,775

1,814

1,858

1,857

1,882

1,881

267

156,400

2011
 
 
 
 
2,013

2,099

2,204

2,206

2,221

2,224

402

177,279

2012
 
 
 
 
 
2,185

2,207

2,207

2,181

2,168

512

170,535

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,020

1,981

1,920

1,883

596

147,997

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,869

1,838

1,789

761

123,794

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,873

1,835

1,012

110,894

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,772

1,256

98,070

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
17,948

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
239

$
547

$
727

$
845

$
935

$
1,000

$
1,053

$
1,094

$
1,122

$
1,141

2008
 
264

581

781

917

1,015

1,089

1,146

1,190

1,216

2009
 
 
265

587

792

937

1,042

1,115

1,170

1,208

2010
 
 
 
316

709

970

1,154

1,287

1,374

1,439

2011
 
 
 
 
371

841

1,156

1,368

1,518

1,622

2012
 
 
 
 
 
359

809

1,106

1,313

1,436

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
304

675

917

1,071

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
275

598

811

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
261

576

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
255

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
10,775

General Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
601

$
570

$
524

$
491

$
489

$
461

$
428

$
416

$
415

$
416

$
46

23,384

2008
 
501

457

468

454

451

416

398

401

398

50

21,181

2009
 
 
382

398

394

382

359

348

347

346

46

20,268

2010
 
 
 
355

362

352

355

343

345

376

43

18,482

2011
 
 
 
 
353

343

323

316

315

320

55

16,344

2012
 
 
 
 
 
321

315

310

295

304

93

11,230

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
318

321

332

352

145

9,211

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
317

318

336

180

9,366

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
316

346

260

9,246

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
352

323

8,463

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
3,546

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
46

$
94

$
161

$
230

$
289

$
315

$
335

$
347

$
355

$
362

2008
 
31

69

141

216

270

300

318

330

337

2009
 
 
22

63

124

181

227

256

277

287

2010
 
 
 
14

51

115

181

224

259

314

2011
 
 
 
 
11

47

93

154

198

234

2012
 
 
 
 
 
8

39

75

124

167

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
7

35

95

152

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
11

31

88

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
7

32

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
8

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
1,981

Package Business
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
575

$
626

$
638

$
621

$
600

$
600

$
592

$
592

$
586

$
586

$
17

53,645

2008
 
667

703

709

677

675

674

676

673

675

19

58,028

2009
 
 
587

584

584

572

578

577

576

576

25

50,263

2010
 
 
 
657

662

654

652

652

651

653

29

52,259

2011
 
 
 
 
810

792

790

800

808

814

44

60,793

2012
 
 
 
 
 
736

725

728

731

736

55

59,472

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
579

565

573

585

66

43,077

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
566

578

601

118

42,230

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
582

588

185

40,140

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
655

314

36,845

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
6,469

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
223

$
362

$
432

$
484

$
525

$
542

$
552

$
559

$
562

$
565

2008
 
278

451

510

562

595

620

633

643

649

2009
 
 
227

351

411

463

503

527

539

547

2010
 
 
 
270

414

487

539

570

601

613

2011
 
 
 
 
377

555

621

684

727

748

2012
 
 
 
 
 
286

486

560

616

652

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
225

339

414

467

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
226

345

416

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
212

332

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
225

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
5,214

Commercial Property
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
306

$
306

$
299

$
295

$
294

$
295

$
295

$
296

$
296

$
296

$
(1
)
32,589

2008
 
478

465

465

464

467

464

464

463

464


31,995

2009
 
 
267

264

259

258

251

257

257

257


28,284

2010
 
 
 
286

283

279

282

284

284

284


28,513

2011
 
 
 
 
357

356

356

362

361

360


29,099

2012
 
 
 
 
 
329

301

301

305

306

1

25,777

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
234

218

219

220


20,280

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
268

260

262


19,720

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
264

264

3

18,955

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
328

48

18,189

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
3,041

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
185

$
277

$
291

$
293

$
293

$
294

$
295

$
296

$
296

$
297

2008
 
280

422

449

459

464

464

464

465

466

2009
 
 
179

247

252

256

256

257

257

257

2010
 
 
 
198

266

276

281

283

284

284

2011
 
 
 
 
231

332

350

355

358

359

2012
 
 
 
 
 
171

279

294

300

304

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
157

208

216

218

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
168

243

258

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
172

239

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
188

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
2,870

Commercial Auto Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
334

$
333

$
351

$
352

$
351

$
350

$
350

$
351

$
353

$
355

$
1

50,392

2008
 
303

311

304

303

304

304

302

307

306

4

43,859

2009
 
 
306

292

287

287

297

301

302

302

1

38,651

2010
 
 
 
277

280

296

319

323

328

327

11

38,007

2011
 
 
 
 
272

310

356

356

366

365

12

39,093

2012
 
 
 
 
 
311

376

390

401

394

26

35,719

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
309

314

329

336

40

31,510

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
306

314

328

71

28,742

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
302

353

140

27,205

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
372

251

24,553

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
3,438

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expense, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
68

$
153

$
227

$
292

$
322

$
334

$
343

$
347

$
348

$
349

2008
 
61

124

185

238

270

289

295

299

300

2009
 
 
56

115

175

237

274

291

298

300

2010
 
 
 
55

125

188

252

289

300

308

2011
 
 
 
 
62

133

211

273

315

339

2012
 
 
 
 
 
65

142

233

306

345

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
61

128

199

255

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
58

129

195

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
61

141

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
62

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
2,594

Commercial Auto Physical Damage
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2014
$
72

$
73

$
73

$

31,724

2015
 
74

75


26,761

2016
 
 
79

1

24,826

Total
 
 
$
227

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2014
2015
2016
2014
$
67

$
73

$
73

2015
 
69

75

2016
 
 
71

Total
 
 
$
219

Professional Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Claims Made Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
275

$
274

$
237

$
203

$
201

$
212

$
210

$
210

$
210

$
220

$
14

4,182

2008
 
281

253

244

274

280

276

276

282

277

10

4,956

2009
 
 
254

251

244

266

257

263

255

257

19

5,113

2010
 
 
 
202

211

212

205

201

200

195

30

4,888

2011
 
 
 
 
226

228

232

226

219

219

42

4,702

2012
 
 
 
 
 
174

172

168

149

146

45

3,716

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
136

136

123

110

66

2,771

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
116

123

118

65

2,857

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
104

113

75

2,898

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
106

94

2,709

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
1,761

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Claims Made Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
11

$
53

$
85

$
117

$
142

$
178

$
187

$
190

$
191

$
200

2008
 
13

61

126

166

202

221

230

260

264

2009
 
 
17

69

127

177

194

226

225

226

2010
 
 
 
22

62

103

137

148

157

162

2011
 
 
 
 
11

57

100

128

163

170

2012
 
 
 
 
 
11

41

60

89

97

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
4

19

31

39

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4

21

40

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4

23

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
1,225

Bond
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
76

$
76

$
104

$
105

$
101

$
109

$
106

$
129

$
132

$
135

$
(3
)
5,387

2008
 
75

67

62

52

47

47

44

47

48

7

3,443

2009
 
 
71

71

69

58

57

51

49

49

4

3,301

2010
 
 
 
71

75

80

79

73

69

70


2,659

2011
 
 
 
 
72

76

76

75

70

70

11

2,118

2012
 
 
 
 
 
69

69

60

53

48

19

1,712

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
63

58

54

48

29

1,437

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
69

65

65

23

1,347

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
65

65

39

1,294

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
59

52

1,082

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
657

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
8

$
29

$
38

$
42

$
68

$
104

$
111

$
129

$
131

$
132

2008
 
5

18

23

30

32

34

39

39

39

2009
 
 
9

32

45

46

44

43

44

44

2010
 
 
 
13

46

59

58

59

63

66

2011
 
 
 
 
12

39

51

56

57

59

2012
 
 
 
 
 
12

25

26

24

25

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
3

9

17

18

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
18

31

40

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
9

19

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
444

Personal Auto Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
1,291

$
1,260

$
1,242

$
1,229

$
1,219

$
1,216

$
1,215

$
1,211

$
1,211

$
1,209

$
2

260,143

2008
 
1,253

1,249

1,227

1,207

1,197

1,196

1,192

1,191

1,188

2

248,987

2009
 
 
1,351

1,305

1,280

1,255

1,256

1,260

1,259

1,257

2

254,543

2010
 
 
 
1,346

1,321

1,293

1,287

1,282

1,275

1,265

4

248,940

2011
 
 
 
 
1,181

1,170

1,180

1,173

1,166

1,154

9

221,862

2012
 
 
 
 
 
1,141

1,149

1,146

1,142

1,133

14

210,715

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,131

1,145

1,144

1,153

23

205,308

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,146

1,153

1,198

72

208,364

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,195

1,340

206

214,436

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,407

571

201,606

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
12,304

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
452

$
846

$
1,037

$
1,129

$
1,175

$
1,191

$
1,200

$
1,204

$
1,205

$
1,206

2008
 
469

861

1,031

1,121

1,160

1,175

1,181

1,183

1,184

2009
 
 
492

888

1,083

1,171

1,223

1,240

1,246

1,250

2010
 
 
 
496

915

1,108

1,202

1,239

1,251

1,256

2011
 
 
 
 
447

826

1,006

1,088

1,126

1,140

2012
 
 
 
 
 
441

818

986

1,067

1,104

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
442

816

1,002

1,091

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
430

843

1,032

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
475

935

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
505

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
10,703

Personal Auto Physical Damage
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2014
$
614

$
612

$
611

$

392,193

2015
 
629

632


395,384

2016
 
 
665

(3
)
383,870

Total
 
 
$
1,908

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2014
2015
2016
2014
$
591

$
613

$
612

2015
 
610

630

2016
 
 
634

Total
 
 
$
1,876

Homeowners
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
578

$
590

$
581

$
581

$
582

$
581

$
580

$
580

$
580

$
580

$
1

133,741

2008
 
742

768

777

778

779

779

779

779

780

2

165,101

2009
 
 
757

777

776

772

772

772

772

769

2

149,783

2010
 
 
 
838

850

838

840

840

840

836

2

161,559

2011
 
 
 
 
955

920

919

916

914

911

4

179,353

2012
 
 
 
 
 
774

741

741

741

739

4

142,756

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
673

638

637

634

6

113,399

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
710

707

702

9

121,619

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
690

703

20

119,097

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
669

84

111,072

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
7,323

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Accident Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
402

$
537

$
557

$
569

$
572

$
575

$
576

$
578

$
578

$
579

2008
 
548

721

750

764

773

775

777

777

778

2009
 
 
559

727

749

759

763

765

766

766

2010
 
 
 
599

789

815

825

829

832

833

2011
 
 
 
 
709

871

891

899

903

905

2012
 
 
 
 
 
547

696

719

727

731

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
467

590

611

622

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
526

663

684

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
487

645

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
481

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
7,024

Property and casualty reserves, including IBNR reserves
The Company estimates ultimate losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses by accident year. IBNR represents the excess of estimated ultimate loss reserves over case reserves. The process to estimate ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses is an integral part of the Company's reserve setting. Reserves for allocated and unallocated loss adjustment expenses are generally established separate from the reserves for losses.
Reserves for losses are set by line of business within the reporting segments. Case reserves are established by a claims handler on each individual claim and are adjusted as new information becomes known during the course of handling the claim. Lines of business for which reported losses emerge over a long period of time are referred to as long-tail lines of business. Lines of business for which reported losses emerge more quickly are referred to as short-tail lines of business. The Company’s shortest tail lines of business are homeowners, commercial property and auto physical damage. The longest tail lines of business include workers’ compensation, general liability and professional liability. For short-tail lines of business, emergence of paid loss and case reserves is credible and likely indicative of ultimate losses. For long-tail lines of business, emergence of paid losses and case reserves is less credible in the early periods after a given accident year and, accordingly, may not be indicative of ultimate losses.
The Company’s reserving actuaries regularly review reserves for both current and prior accident years using the most current claim data. A variety of actuarial methods and judgments are used for most lines of business to arrive at selections of estimated ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses. While actuarial methods used and judgments change depending on the age of the accident year, in 2016, there were no new methods or types of judgments introduced or changes in how those methods and judgments were applied. The reserve selections incorporate input, as appropriate, from claims personnel, pricing actuaries and operating management about reported loss cost trends and other factors that could affect the reserve estimates.
For both short-tail and long-tail lines of business, an expected loss ratio is used to record initial reserves. This expected loss ratio is determined by starting with the average loss ratio of recent prior accident years and adjusting that ratio for the effect of expected changes to earned pricing, loss frequency and severity, mix of business, ceded reinsurance and other factors. For short-tail lines, IBNR for the current accident year is initially recorded as the product of the expected loss ratio for the period, earned premium for the period and the proportion of losses expected to be reported in future calendar periods for the current accident period. For long-tailed lines, IBNR reserves for the current accident year are initially recorded as the product of the expected loss ratio for the period and the earned premium for the period, less reported losses for the period. For certain short-tailed lines of business, IBNR amounts in the above loss development triangles are negative due to anticipated salvage and subrogation recoveries on paid losses.
As losses for a given accident year emerge or develop in subsequent periods, reserving actuaries use other methods to estimate ultimate unpaid losses in addition to the expected loss ratio method. These primarily include paid and reported loss development methods, frequency / severity techniques and the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method (a combination of the expected loss ratio and paid development or reported development method). Within any one line of business, the methods that are given more weight vary based primarily on the maturity of the accident year, the mix of business and the particular internal and external influences impacting the claims experience or the methods. The output of the reserve reviews are reserve estimates that are referred to as the “actuarial indication”.
Paid development and reported development techniques are used for most lines of business though more weight is given to the reported development method for some of the long-tailed lines like general liability. In addition, for long-tailed lines of business, the Company relies on the expected loss ratio method for immature accident years. Frequency/severity techniques are used predominantly for professional liability and are also used for auto liability. For most lines, reserves for allocated loss adjustment expenses ("ALAE", or those expenses related to specific claims) are analyzed using paid development techniques and an analysis of the relationship between ALAE and loss payments. Reserves for unallocated loss adjustment expenses ("ULAE") are determined using the expected cost per claim year and the anticipated claim closure pattern as well as the ratio of paid ULAE to paid losses.
In the final step of the reserve review process, senior reserving actuaries and senior management apply their judgment to determine the appropriate level of reserves considering the actuarial indications and other factors not contemplated in the actuarial indications. Those factors include, but are not limited to, the assessed reliability of key loss trends and assumptions used in the current actuarial indications, pertinent trends observed over the recent past, the level of volatility within a particular line of business, and the improvement or deterioration of actuarial indications

The following loss triangles present historical loss development for incurred and paid claims by the year the insured claim occurred, referred to as the incurral year. Triangles are limited to the number of years for which claims incurred typically remain outstanding, but not exceeding ten years. Short-tail lines, which represent claims generally expected to be paid within a few years, have three years of claim development displayed.
Group Long-Term Disability
Undiscounted Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Incurral
Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2007
$
1,375

$
1,290

$
1,177

$
1,158

$
1,160

$
1,154

$
1,154

$
1,151

$
1,146

$
1,143

$

27,251

2008
 
1,415

1,311

1,250

1,237

1,250

1,249

1,243

1,239

1,241


27,811

2009
 
 
1,441

1,414

1,363

1,343

1,335

1,344

1,328

1,318


29,788

2010
 
 
 
1,542

1,471

1,397

1,367

1,376

1,351

1,344


30,432

2011
 
 
 
 
1,503

1,405

1,317

1,313

1,318

1,310


30,406

2012
 
 
 
 
 
1,358

1,199

1,143

1,141

1,135

1

27,357

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,121

985

954

940

1

20,376

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,051

969

936

3

19,879

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
985

923

11

18,916

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,003

371

12,748

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
11,293

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Incurral Year
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2007
$
81

$
340

$
495

$
585

$
661

$
726

$
781

$
828

$
869

$
906

2008
 
81

357

520

618

701

771

831

883

930

2009
 
 
88

391

573

682

769

843

906

960

2010
 
 
 
98

419

608

718

805

878

940

2011
 
 
 
 
98

410

595

707

790

860

2012
 
 
 
 
 
84

362

526

620

689

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
69

289

435

520

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
67

284

427

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
67

275

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
63

Total
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
$
6,570

Group Life and Accident, excluding Premium Waiver
Undiscounted Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Incurral Year
2014
2015
2016
IBNR Reserves
Claims Reported
2014
$
982

$
973

$
975

$
2

25,589

2015
 
1,022

1,012

7

24,473

2016
 
 
1,089

190

19,445

Total
 
 
$
3,076

 
 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
 
For the years ended December 31,
 
(Unaudited)
 
Incurral Year
2014
2015
2016
2014
$
777

$
958

$
970

2015
 
809

1,000

2016
 
 
851

Total
 
 
$
2,821

Group life, disability and accident reserves, including IBNR
The majority of Group Benefits’ reserves are for long-term disability ("LTD") claimants who are known to be disabled and are currently receiving benefits. A Disabled Life Reserve ("DLR") is calculated for each LTD claim. The DLR for each claim is the expected present value of all estimated future benefit payments and includes estimates of claim recovery, investment yield, and offsets from other income, including offsets from Social Security benefits and workers’ compensation. Estimated future benefit payments represent the monthly income benefit that is paid until recovery, death or expiration of benefits. Claim recoveries are estimated based on claim characteristics such as age and diagnosis and represent an estimate of benefits that will terminate, generally as a result of the claimant returning to work or being deemed able to return to work. The DLR also includes a liability for payments to claimants who have not yet been approved for LTD either because they have not yet satisfied the waiting (or elimination) period or because the approval or denial decision has not yet been made. In these cases, the present value of future benefits is reduced for the likelihood of claim denial based on Company experience. For claims recently closed due to recovery, a portion of the DLR is retained for the possibility that the claim reopens upon further evidence of disability.  In addition, a reserve for estimated unpaid claim expenses is included in the DLR.
For incurral years with IBNR claims, estimates of ultimate losses are made by applying completion factors to the dollar amount of claims reported. IBNR represents estimated ultimate losses less both DLR and cumulative paid amounts for all reported claims. Completion factors are derived using standard actuarial techniques using triangles that display historical claim count emergence by incurral year. These estimates are reviewed for reasonableness and are adjusted for current trends and other factors expected to cause a change in claim emergence. The IBNR includes an estimate of unpaid claim expenses, including a provision for the cost of initial set-up of the claim once reported.
For all products, including LTD, there is a period generally ranging from two to twelve months, depending on the product, where emerged claim information for an incurral year is not yet credible enough to be a basis for an IBNR projection.  In these cases, the ultimate losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses are estimated using earned premium multiplied by an expected loss ratio.
The Company also records reserves for future death benefits under group term life policies that provide for premiums to be waived in the event the insured has a permanent and total disablement and has satisfied an elimination period, which is typically nine months ("premium waiver reserves"). The death benefit reserve for these group life premium waiver claims is estimated for a known disabled claimant equal to the present value of expected future cash outflows (typically a lump sum face amount payable at death plus claim expenses) with separate estimates for claimant recovery (when no death benefit is payable) and for death before recovery or benefit expiry (when death benefit is payable). The IBNR for premium waiver death benefits is estimated with standard actuarial development methods.
In addition, the Company also records reserves for group term life, accidental death & dismemberment, short term disability, and other group products that have short claim payout periods. For these products, reserves are determined using paid or reported actuarial development methods. The resulting claim triangles produce a completion pattern and estimate of ultimate loss. IBNR for these lines of business equals the estimated ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses less the amount of paid or reported claims depending on whether the paid or reported development method was used.  Estimates are reviewed for reasonableness and are adjusted for current trends or other factors that affect the development pattern
   
Short-duration Insurance Contracts, Schedule of Historical Claims Duration [Table Text Block]
Cumulative number of reported claims
For property and casualty, claim counts represent the number of claim features on a reported claim where a claim feature is each separate coverage for each claimant affected by the claim event.  For example, one car accident that results in two bodily injury claims and one auto damage liability claim would be counted as three claims within the personal auto liability triangle. Similarly, a fire that impacts one commercial building may result in multiple claim features due to the potential for claims related to business interruption, structural damage, and loss of the physical contents of the building. Claim features that result in no paid losses are included in the reported claim counts.

Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
 
(Unaudited)
 
Reserve Line
1st Year
2nd Year
3rd Year
4th Year
5th Year
6th Year
7th Year
8th Year
9th Year
10th Year
Workers' compensation
16.3

20.3

13.3

9.2

6.6

4.7

3.7

2.8

1.9

1.3

General liability
4.5

9.4

16.2

17.3

13.4

8.5

7.5

3.0

1.8

1.5

Package business
39.2

22.4

10.7

8.3

5.6

3.6

1.9

1.3

0.8

0.5

Commercial property
64.0

28.0

4.5

1.4

0.8

0.2

0.2

0.2



Commercial auto liability
17.8

21.0

20.7

18.3

10.7

5.0

2.4

0.8

0.4

0.3

Commercial auto physical damage
91.2

8.7

(0.3
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Professional liability
5.4

18.2

17.6

15.2

9.7

8.8

2.4

4.1

0.9

4.1

Bond
14.7

27.7

14.1

3.4

3.8

7.6

5.2

4.7

0.7

1.7

Personal auto liability
37.8

33.1

15.4

7.4

3.5

1.2

0.5

0.3

0.1


Personal auto physical damage
96.2

3.4

(0.2
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Homeowners
72.6

21.1

3.1

1.5

0.6

0.3

0.1

0.1

0.1


Cumulative number of reported claims
For group life, disability and accident coverages, claim counts include claims that are approved, pending approval and terminated and exclude denied claims. Due to the nature of the claims, one claimant represents one event.

Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
1st Year
2nd Year
3rd Year
4th Year
5th Year
6th Year
7th Year
8th Year
9th Year
10th Year
Group long-term disability
7.1

23.2

14.3

8.3

6.5

5.5

4.7

4.2

3.7

3.2

Group life and accident, excluding premium waiver
79.3

18.7

1.2