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Fair Value
3 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2011
FAIR VALUE

3. FAIR VALUE

The fair value of current financial assets and liabilities, debt service reserves and other deposits approximates their reported carrying amounts. The fair value of non-recourse debt is estimated based upon the type of loan. The fair value of variable rate loans generally approximates their carrying amounts. For fixed rate loans, fair value is estimated using quoted market prices or discounted cash flow analyses. See Note 8Debt for additional information on the fair value and carrying value of debt. The fair value of interest rate swap, cap and floor agreements, foreign currency forwards, swaps and options and energy derivatives is the estimated net amount that the Company would receive or pay to sell or transfer the agreements as of the balance sheet date.

The estimated fair values of the Company's assets and liabilities have been determined using available market information. By virtue of these amounts being estimates and based on hypothetical transactions to sell assets or transfer liabilities, the use of different market assumptions and/or estimation methodologies may have a material effect on the estimated fair value amounts.

The following table summarizes the carrying amount and fair value of certain of the Company's financial assets and liabilities as of September 30, 2011 and December 31, 2010:

    September 30, 2011 December 31, 2010
    Carrying Fair Carrying Fair
    Amount Value Amount Value
               
    (in millions)
Assets            
 Marketable securities $ 1,093 $ 1,093 $ 1,767 $ 1,767
 Derivatives   117   117   124   124
  Total assets $ 1,210 $ 1,210 $ 1,891 $ 1,891
Liabilities            
 Debt $ 20,878 $ 21,101 $ 19,550 $ 20,137
 Derivatives   688   688   423   423
  Total liabilities $ 21,566 $ 21,789 $ 19,973 $ 20,560

Valuation Techniques:

The fair value measurement accounting guidance describes three main approaches to measuring the fair value of assets and liabilities: (1) market approach; (2) income approach and (3) cost approach. The market approach uses prices and other relevant information generated from market transactions involving identical or comparable assets or liabilities. The income approach uses valuation techniques to convert future amounts to a single present value amount. The measurement is based on current market expectations of the return on those future amounts. The cost approach is based on the amount that would currently be required to replace an asset. The Company measures its investments and derivatives at fair value on a recurring basis. Additionally, in connection with annual or event-driven impairment evaluations, certain nonfinancial assets and liabilities are measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis. These include long-lived tangible assets (i.e., property, plant and equipment), goodwill and intangible assets (e.g., sales concessions, land use rights and emissions allowances, etc.). In general, the Company determines the fair value of investments and derivatives using the market approach and the income approach, respectively. In the nonrecurring measurements of nonfinancial assets and liabilities, all three approaches are considered; however, fair value estimated under the income approach is often selected.

Investments

The Company's investments measured at fair value generally consist of marketable debt and equity securities. Equity securities are measured at fair value using quoted market prices. Debt securities primarily consist of unsecured debentures, certificates of deposit and government debt securities held by our Brazilian subsidiaries. Returns and pricing on these instruments are generally indexed to the CDI (Brazilian equivalent to London Inter-Bank Offered Rate, or LIBOR, a benchmark interest rate widely used by banks in the interbank lending market) or Selic (overnight borrowing rate) rates in Brazil. Fair value is determined from comparisons to market data obtained for similar assets and are considered Level 2 in the fair value hierarchy. For more detail regarding the fair value of investments see Note 4—Investments in Marketable Securities.

Derivatives

When deemed appropriate, the Company manages its risk from interest and foreign currency exchange rate and commodity price fluctuations through the use of over-the-counter financial and physical derivative instruments. The derivatives are primarily interest rate swaps to hedge non-recourse debt to establish a fixed rate on variable rate debt, foreign exchange instruments to hedge against currency fluctuations, commodity derivatives to hedge against commodity price fluctuations and embedded derivatives associated with commodity contracts. The Company's subsidiaries are counterparties to various over-the-counter derivatives, which include interest rate swaps and options, foreign currency options and forwards and commodity swaps. In addition, the Company's subsidiaries are counterparties to certain power purchase agreements (“PPAs”) and fuel supply agreements that are derivatives or include embedded derivatives.

For the derivatives where there is a standard industry valuation model, the Company uses that model to estimate the fair value. For the derivatives (such PPAs and fuel supply agreements that are derivatives or include embedded derivatives) where there is not a standard industry valuation model, the Company has created internal valuation models to estimate the fair value, using observable data to the extent available. For all derivatives, the income approach is used, which consists of forecasting future cash flows based on contractual notional amounts and applicable and available market data as of the valuation date. The following are among the most common market data inputs used in the income approach: volatilities, spot and forward benchmark interest rates (such as LIBOR and Euro Inter Bank Offered Rate (“EURIBOR”)), foreign exchange rates and commodity prices. Forward rates and prices are generally obtained from published information provided by pricing services for an instrument with the same duration as the derivative instrument being valued. In situations where significant inputs are not observable, the Company uses relevant techniques to best estimate the inputs, such as regression analysis, Monte Carlo simulation or prices for similarly traded instruments available in the market.

For each derivative, the income approach is used to estimate the cash flows over the remaining term of the contract. Those cash flows are then discounted using the relevant spot benchmark interest rate (such as LIBOR or EURIBOR) plus a spread that reflects the credit or nonperformance risk. This risk is estimated by the Company using credit spreads and risk premiums that are observable in the market, whenever possible, or estimated borrowing costs based on bank quotes, industry publications and/or information on financing closed on similar projects. To the extent that management can estimate the fair value of these assets or liabilities without the use of significant unobservable inputs, these derivatives are classified as Level 2.

In certain instances, the published forward rates or prices may not extend through the remaining term of the contract and management must make assumptions to extrapolate the curve, which necessitates the use of unobservable inputs, such as proxy commodity prices or historical settlements to forecast forward prices. In addition, in certain instances, there may not be third party data readily available, which requires the use of unobservable inputs. Similarly, in certain instances, the spread that reflects the credit or nonperformance risk is unobservable. The fair value hierarchy of an asset or a liability is based on the level of significance of the input assumptions. An input assumption is considered significant if it affects the fair value by at least 10%. Assets and liabilities are transferred to Level 3 when the use of unobservable inputs becomes significant. Similarly, when the use of unobservable input becomes insignificant for Level 3 assets and liabilities, they are transferred to Level 2.

Transfers in and out of Level 3 are from and to Level 2 and are determined as of the end of the reporting period. The Company has not had any Level 1 derivatives so there have not been any transfers between Levels 1 and 2.

Nonfinancial Assets and Liabilities

For nonrecurring measurements derived using the income approach, fair value is determined using valuation models based on the principles of discounted cash flows (“DCF”). The income approach is most often used in the impairment evaluation of long-lived tangible assets, goodwill and intangible assets. The Company has developed internal valuation models for such valuations; however, an independent valuation firm may be engaged in certain situations. In such situations, the independent valuation firm largely uses DCF valuation models as the primary measure of fair value though other valuation approaches are also considered. A few examples of input assumptions to such valuations include macroeconomic factors such as growth rates, industry demand, inflation, exchange rates and power and commodity prices. Whenever possible, the Company attempts to obtain market observable data to develop input assumptions. Where the use of market observable data is limited or not possible for certain input assumptions, the Company develops its own estimates using a variety of techniques such as regression analysis and extrapolations.

For nonrecurring measurements derived using the market approach, recent market transactions involving the sale of identical or similar assets are considered. The use of this approach is limited because it is often difficult to find sale transactions of identical or similar assets. This approach is used in the impairment evaluations of certain intangible assets. Otherwise, it is used to corroborate the fair value determined under the income approach.

For nonrecurring measurements derived using the cost approach, fair value is typically determined using the replacement cost approach. Under this approach, the depreciated replacement cost of assets is determined by first determining the current replacement cost of assets and then applying the remaining useful life percentages to such cost. Further adjustments for economic and functional obsolescence are made to the depreciated replacement cost. This approach involves a considerable amount of judgment, which is why its use is limited to the measurement of a few long-lived tangible assets. Like the market approach, this approach is also used to corroborate the fair value determined under the income approach. For the nine months ended September 30, 2011, the Company did not measure any nonfinancial assets under the cost approach.

Fair Value Considerations:

In determining fair value, the Company considers the source of observable market data inputs, liquidity of the instrument, the credit risk of the counterparty and the risk of the Company's or its counterparty's nonperformance. The conditions and criteria used to assess these factors are:

Sources of market assumptions

The Company derives most of its market assumptions from market efficient data sources (e.g., Bloomberg and Platt's). To determine fair value, where market data is not readily available, management uses comparable market sources and empirical evidence to develop its own estimates of market assumptions.

Market liquidity

The Company evaluates market liquidity based on whether the financial or physical instrument, or the underlying asset, is traded in an active or inactive market. An active market exists if the prices are fully transparent to market participants, can be measured by market bid and ask quotes, the market has a relatively large proportion of trading volume as compared to the Company's current trading volume and the market has a significant number of market participants that will allow the market to rapidly absorb the quantity of the assets traded without significantly affecting the market price. Another factor the Company considers when determining whether a market is active or inactive is the presence of government or regulatory controls over pricing that could make it difficult to establish a market based price when entering into a transaction.

Nonperformance risk

Nonperformance risk refers to the risk that the obligation will not be fulfilled and affects the value at which a liability is transferred or an asset is sold. Nonperformance risk includes, but may not be limited to, the Company or counterparty's credit and settlement risk. Nonperformance risk adjustments are dependent on credit spreads, letters of credit, collateral, other arrangements available and the nature of master netting arrangements. The Company and its subsidiaries are parties to various interest rate swaps and options; foreign currency options and forwards; and derivatives and embedded derivatives which subject the Company to nonperformance risk. The financial and physical instruments held at the subsidiary level are generally non-recourse to the Parent Company.

Nonperformance risk on the investments held by the Company is incorporated in the fair value derived from quoted market data to mark the investments to fair value.

The Company adjusts for nonperformance or credit risk on its derivative instruments by deducting a credit valuation adjustment (“CVA”). The CVA is based on the margin or debt spread of the Company's subsidiary or counterparty and the tenor of the respective derivative instrument. The counterparty for a derivative asset position is considered to be the bank or government sponsored banking entity or counterparty to the PPA or commodity contract. The CVA for asset positions is based on the counterparty's credit ratings and debt spreads or, in the absence of readily obtainable credit information, the respective country debt spreads are used as a proxy. The CVA for liability positions is based on the Parent Company's or the subsidiary's current debt spread, the margin on indicative financing arrangements, or in the absence of readily obtainable credit information, the respective country debt spreads are used as a proxy. All derivative instruments are analyzed individually and are subject to unique risk exposures.

Recurring Measurements

The following table sets forth, by level within the fair value hierarchy, the Company's financial assets and liabilities that were measured at fair value on a recurring basis as of September 30, 2011 and December 31, 2010. Financial assets and liabilities have been classified in their entirety based on the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement. The Company's assessment of the significance of a particular input to the fair value measurement requires judgment, and may affect the determination of the fair value of the assets and liabilities and their placement within the fair value hierarchy levels.

    Quoted Market Significant      
    Prices in Active Other Significant   
    Market for Observable Unobservable Total
    Identical Assets Inputs Inputs September 30,
    (Level 1) (Level 2) (Level 3) 2011
           
    (in millions)
               
Assets            
 Available-for-sale securities $ 2 $ 1,041 $ 40 $ 1,083
 Trading securities   10   -   -   10
 Derivatives   -   57   60   117
  Total assets $ 12 $ 1,098 $ 100 $ 1,210
               
Liabilities            
 Derivatives $ - $ 419 $ 269 $ 688
  Total liabilities $ - $ 419 $ 269 $ 688
               
    Quoted Market Significant      
    Prices in Active Other Significant   
    Market for Observable Unobservable Total
    Identical Assets Inputs Inputs December 31,
    (Level 1) (Level 2) (Level 3) 2010
           
    (in millions)
               
Assets            
 Available-for-sale securities $ 8 $ 1,707 $ 42 $ 1,757
 Trading securities   10   -   -   10
 Derivatives   -   63   61   124
  Total assets $ 18 $ 1,770 $ 103 $ 1,891
               
Liabilities            
 Derivatives $ - $ 411 $ 12 $ 423
  Total liabilities $ - $ 411 $ 12 $ 423

The following tables present a reconciliation of net derivative assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2011 and 2010 (presented net by type of derivative):

    Three Months Ended September 30, 2011
    Interest Cross Foreign Commodity  
    Rate  Currency Currency and Other Total
                
   (in millions)
                  
Balance at July 1 $ (60) $ 15 $ 38 $ 17 $ 10
 Total gains (losses) (realized and unrealized):               
  Included in earnings (1)   -   (3)   4   (44)   (43)
  Included in other comprehensive income   (36)   (37)   -   -   (73)
  Included in regulatory (assets) liabilities   -   -   -   (3)   (3)
 Settlements   4   4   (1)   (8)   (1)
 Transfers of assets (liabilities) into Level 3 (2)   (101)   -   -   -   (101)
 Transfers of (assets) liabilities out of Level 3 (2)   2   -   -   -   2
Balance at September 30 $ (191) $ (21) $ 41 $ (38) $ (209)
                  
Total gains/(losses) for the period included in earnings               
 attributable to the change in unrealized gains/(losses)               
 relating to assets and liabilities held at the end of the               
 period $ - $ (2) $ 2 $ (52) $ (52)
                  
    Three Months Ended September 30, 2010
    Interest Cross Foreign Commodity  
    Rate  Currency Currency and Other Total
                
   (in millions)
                  
Balance at July 1 $ (226) $ (34) $ 18 $ 19 $ (223)
 Total gains (losses) (realized and unrealized):               
  Included in earnings (1)   (2)   -   -   (3)   (5)
  Included in other comprehensive income   (63)   24   (1)   -   (40)
  Included in regulatory (assets) liabilities   (3)   -   -   (2)   (5)
 Settlements   15   1   -   (3)   13
 Transfers of assets (liabilities) into Level 3 (2)   (3)   -   -   -   (3)
 Transfers of (assets) liabilities out of Level 3 (2)   26   -   -   -   26
Balance at September 30 $ (256) $ (9) $ 17 $ 11 $ (237)
                  
Total gains/(losses) for the period included in earnings               
 attributable to the change in unrealized gains/(losses)               
 relating to assets and liabilities held at the end of the               
 period $ (1) $ - $ - $ - $ (1)

    Nine Months Ended September 30, 2011
    Interest Cross Foreign Commodity  
    Rate  Currency Currency and Other Total
                
   (in millions)
                  
Balance at January 1 $ (1) $ 10 $ 22 $ 18 $ 49
 Total gains (losses) (realized and unrealized):               
  Included in earnings (1)   -   (5)   21   (50)   (34)
  Included in other comprehensive income   (3)   (34)   -   -   (37)
  Included in regulatory (assets) liabilities   -   -   -   3   3
 Settlements   -   8   (2)   (9)   (3)
 Transfers of assets (liabilities) into Level 3 (2)   (189)   -   -   -   (189)
 Transfers of (assets) liabilities out of Level 3 (2)   2   -   -   -   2
Balance at September 30 $ (191) $ (21) $ 41 $ (38) $ (209)
                  
Total gains/(losses) for the period included in earnings               
 attributable to the change in unrealized gains/(losses)               
 relating to assets and liabilities held at the end of the               
 period $ - $ (2) $ 18 $ (56) $ (40)
                  
    Nine Months Ended September 30, 2010
    Interest Cross Foreign Commodity  
    Rate  Currency Currency and Other Total
                
   (in millions)
                  
Balance at January 1 $ (12) $ (12) $ - $ 24 $ -
 Total gains (losses) (realized and unrealized):               
  Included in earnings (1)   1   4   19   1   25
  Included in other comprehensive income   (20)   (5)   -   -   (25)
  Included in regulatory (assets) liabilities   (6)   -   -   2   (4)
 Settlements   6   4   (1)   (16)   (7)
 Transfers of assets (liabilities) into Level 3 (2)   (251)   -   (1)   -   (252)
 Transfers of (assets) liabilities out of Level 3 (2)   26   -   -   -   26
Balance at September 30 $ (256) $ (9) $ 17 $ 11 $ (237)
                  
Total gains/(losses) for the period included in earnings                
 attributable to the change in unrealized gains/(losses)                
 relating to assets and liabilities held at the end of the                
 period $ (2) $ 5 $ 20 $ (10) $ 13

(1)       The gains (losses) included in earnings for these Level 3 derivatives are classified as follows: interest rate and cross currency derivatives as interest expense, foreign currency derivatives as foreign currency transaction gains (losses) and commodity and other derivatives as either non-regulated revenue, non-regulated cost of sales, or other expense. See Note 5—Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities for further information regarding the classification of gains and losses included in earnings in the condensed consolidated statements of operations.

(2)       Transfers in and out of Level 3 are determined as of the end of the reporting period and are from and to Level 2, as the Company has no Level 1 derivative assets or liabilities. The (assets) liabilities transferred out of Level 3 are primarily the result of a decrease in the significance of unobservable inputs used to calculate the credit valuation adjustments of these derivative instruments. Similarly, the assets (liabilities) transferred into Level 3 are primarily the result of an increase in the significance of unobservable inputs used to calculate the credit valuation adjustments of these derivative instruments.

The following table presents a reconciliation of available-for-sale securities measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2011 and 2010:

    Three Months  Nine Months
    Ended September 30, Ended September 30,
    2011 2010 2011 2010
          
   (in millions)
               
Balance at beginning of period(1) $ 40 $ 42 $ 42 $ 42
 Settlements   -   -   (2)   -
Balance at September 30 $ 40 $ 42 $ 40 $ 42
               
Total gains/(losses) for the period included in             
 earnings attributable to the change in unrealized             
 gains/losses relating to assets held at the            
 end of the period $ - $ - $ - $ -

(1)       Available-for-sale securities in Level 3 are variable rate demand notes which have failed remarketing and for which there are no longer adequate observable inputs available to measure the fair value.

Nonrecurring Measurements:

For purposes of impairment evaluation, the Company measured the fair value of long-lived assets and equity method investments under the fair value measurement accounting guidance. For purposes of the measurement of impairment expense, the Company compares the fair value of assets and liabilities at the evaluation date to the carrying amount at the end of the month prior to the evaluation date. The following table summarizes major categories of assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis during the period and their level within the fair value hierarchy:

      Nine Months Ended September 30, 2011
    Carrying Fair Value Gross
    Amount Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Loss
                 
    (in millions)
Long-lived assets held and used:               
 Wind turbines and deposits $ 161 $ - $45 $ - $ 116
 Kelanitissa   66   -   -   29   37
 Carbon Reduction Projects   49   -   -   11   33(1)
 Bohemia   14   -   5   -   9
Equity method affiliates:               
 YangCheng   100   -   -   26   74
Goodwill:               
 Chigen   17   -   -   -   17
                 
      Nine Months Ended September 30, 2010
    Carrying Fair Value Gross
    Amount Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Loss
                 
    (in millions)
Long-lived assets held and used:               
 Southland (Huntington Beach) $ 288 $ - $ - $ 88 $ 200
 Tisza II   160   -   -   75   85
Goodwill:               
 Deepwater   18   -   -   -   18

(1)       The carrying amounts and fair value of the asset groups also include other assets and liabilities; however, impairment expense recognized was limited to the carrying amounts of long-lived assets.

Long-lived Assets Held and Used

Wind Turbines and Deposits. During the third quarter of 2011, the Company determined that certain wind turbines and deposits held by our Wind Generation business were impaired. The long-lived assets with a carrying amount of $161 million were written down to their estimated fair value of $45 million under the market approach. This resulted in the recognition of asset impairment expense of $116 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2011.

Kelanitissa. During the second quarter of 2011, the Company determined the long-lived assets at Kelanitissa, our diesel-fired plant in Sri Lanka, were impaired. The long-lived assets with a carrying amount of $66 million were written down to their estimated fair value of $33 million based on a discounted cash flow analysis. An additional impairment of $4 million was recognized in the three months ended September 30, 2011. This resulted in the recognition of asset impairment expense of $37 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2011.

Carbon Reduction Projects. During the third quarter of 2011, the Company determined there were impairment indicators for the long-lived asset groups at Carbon Reduction projects, our emission reduction credit projects in Asia and Latin America. The long-lived asset groups with an aggregate carrying amount of $49 million were written down as their estimated fair value was $11 million based on discounted cash flows analysis. This resulted in the recognition of asset impairment expense of $33 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2011.

Tisza II and Southland (Huntington Beach). During the third quarter of 2010, the Company determined there were impairment indicators for the long-lived assets at Tisza II, our gas-fired generation plant in Hungary, and Southland, our gas-fired generation plants in California. These long-lived assets had carrying amounts of $160 million and $288 million, respectively and were written down to their fair value of $75 million and $88 million, respectively. These resulted in the recognition of asset impairment expense of $85 million and $200 million, respectively during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2010.

For further discussion of these impairments, see Note 14Impairments.

Equity Method Affiliate

YangCheng. During the third quarter of 2011, the Company determined that the carrying amount of YangCheng, a 2,100 MW venture in China in which AES owns a 25% interest, had incurred an other-than-temporary impairment. YangCheng's carrying amount of $100 million was written down to its estimated fair value of $26 million determined under the income approach. This resulted in the recognition of other non-operating expense of $74 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2011. See Note 15Other Non-Operating Expense for further information.

Goodwill

During the third quarter of 2011, the Company determined there were impairment indicators for the goodwill at Chigen, our holding company in China that holds AES' interests in Chinese ventures. Goodwill of $17 million was written down to its implied fair value of zero during an interim impairment evaluation, resulting in the recognition of goodwill impairment of $17 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2011.

During the third quarter of 2010, the Company determined there were impairment indicators for the long-lived assets and goodwill at Deepwater, our pet coke-fired generation plant in Texas. Goodwill with an aggregate carrying amount of $18 million was written down to its implied fair value of zero, resulting in the recognition of goodwill impairment of $18 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2010.

For further discussion, see Note 14—Impairments.

Discontinued Operations and Held for Sale Businesses

The Company determined the fair value of nonfinancial assets and liabilities of our held for sale businesses during the nine months ended September 30, 2010. These included the Company's operations in Pakistan, Oman and Qatar. See Note 16—Discontinued Operations and Held for Sale Businesses for further information.