-----BEGIN PRIVACY-ENHANCED MESSAGE----- Proc-Type: 2001,MIC-CLEAR Originator-Name: webmaster@www.sec.gov Originator-Key-Asymmetric: MFgwCgYEVQgBAQICAf8DSgAwRwJAW2sNKK9AVtBzYZmr6aGjlWyK3XmZv3dTINen TWSM7vrzLADbmYQaionwg5sDW3P6oaM5D3tdezXMm7z1T+B+twIDAQAB MIC-Info: RSA-MD5,RSA, Ikp1/2LC+x+QK3Lzu3B+sZ6sV6tkR31YLRgrAl5GC3Egsum+bDAGe71bdGFr6LUB N/j3WLJdvcurpESiFPcMJQ== 0001104659-06-022203.txt : 20060404 0001104659-06-022203.hdr.sgml : 20060404 20060404171316 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0001104659-06-022203 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 8-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 57 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20060404 ITEM INFORMATION: Regulation FD Disclosure ITEM INFORMATION: Financial Statements and Exhibits FILED AS OF DATE: 20060404 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20060404 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: AES CORP CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0000874761 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: COGENERATION SERVICES & SMALL POWER PRODUCERS [4991] IRS NUMBER: 541163725 STATE OF INCORPORATION: DE FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 8-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 001-12291 FILM NUMBER: 06739211 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: 4300 WILSON BOULEVARD CITY: ARLINGTON STATE: VA ZIP: 22203 BUSINESS PHONE: 7035221315 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: 4300 WILSON BOULEVARD CITY: ARLINGTON STATE: VA ZIP: 22203 FORMER COMPANY: FORMER CONFORMED NAME: AES CORPORATION DATE OF NAME CHANGE: 19930328 8-K 1 a06-8250_18k.htm CURRENT REPORT OF MATERIAL EVENTS OR CORPORATE CHANGES

 

UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C.  20549

 

FORM 8-K

 

CURRENT REPORT

 

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

 

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported):  April 4, 2006

 

THE AES CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

Delaware

 

1-12291

 

54-1163725

(State or other jurisdiction
 of incorporation)

 

(Commission File Number)

 

(I.R.S. Employer
Identification Number)

 

 

 

 

 

4300 Wilson Boulevard, Suite 1100, Arlington, Virginia

 

22203

(Address of principal executive offices)

 

(zip code)

 

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (703) 522-1315

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2.):

 

o      Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

o      Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

o      Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

o      Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 

 



 

Item 7.01         Regulation FD Disclosure.

 

On April 4, 2006 The AES Corporation issued a Media Advisory announcing a financial review teleconference on Thursday, April 6, 2006. On April 4, 2006 the Company posted on its website the 2005 Financial Review and 2006 Outlook and the AES Investor Presentation that will be referenced in investor discussions prior to and during the financial review. A copy of the Media Advisory, the 2005 Financial Review and 2006 Outlook and the AES Investor Presentation is attached hereto as exhibits 99.1, 99.2 and 99.3.

 

Item 9.01         Financial Statements and Exhibits.

 

(d)           Exhibits

 

Exhibit No.

 

Description

 

 

 

99.1

 

Media Advisory issued by The AES Corporation, dated April 4, 2006, regarding a financial review teleconference scheduled for Thursday, April 6, 2006.

 

 

 

99.2

 

2005 Financial Review and 2006 Outlook

 

 

 

99.3

 

AES Investor Presentation, April 2006

 

2



 

SIGNATURE

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

 

THE AES CORPORATION

 

(Registrant)

 

 

 

 

 

 

By:

/s/ Vincent W. Mathis

 

 

Name: Vincent W. Mathis

 

 

Title: Deputy General Counsel

 

 

 

Date: April 4, 2006

 

 

3


EX-99.1 2 a06-8250_1ex99d1.htm EXHIBIT 99

Exhibit 99.1

 

 

The Global Power Company

 

MEDIA ADVISORY

 

 

Media Contact: Robin Pence 703-682-6552

 

 

Investor Contact: Scott Cunningham 703-682-6336

 

AES SCHEDULES FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL YEAR 2005

 FINANCIAL REVIEW CONFERENCE CALL ON APRIL 6, 2006

 

ARLINGTON, VA., April 4, 2006 – The AES Corporation (NYSE: AES) will hold a conference call on Thursday, April 6, 2006 at 09:00 am Eastern Daylight Time (EDT) to review its fourth quarter and full year 2005 financial results as well as its 2006 financial outlook. The call will include prepared remarks and a question and answer session. It will be open to the media and the public in listen-only mode by telephone and webcast.

 

Interested parties may listen to the teleconference by dialing 1-877-691-0877 at least ten minutes before the start of the call. International callers should dial +1-973-582-2852. Internet access to the conference call and presentation materials will be available on the AES website at www.aes.com on the Home Page and also by selecting “Investor Information,” then “Quarterly Financial Results.”

 

A replay will be accessible by telephone or by webcast. A telephonic replay of the call will be available from approximately 12:00 noon EDT on Thursday, April 6, 2006. Please dial 1-877-519-4471. International callers should dial +1-973-341-3080. The system will ask for a reservation number; please enter 7210619 followed by the pound key (#). The telephonic replay will be available until Thursday, April 27, 2006. A webcast replay will be available at www.aes.com beginning shortly after the completion of the call.

 

- more -

 

1



 

About AES: AES is one of the world’s largest global power companies, with 2005 revenues of $11.1 billion. With operations in 25 countries on five continents, AES’s generation and distribution facilities have the capacity to serve 100 million people worldwide. Our 14 regulated utilities amass annual sales of over 82,000 MWh and our 128 generation facilities have the capacity to generate over 44,000 megawatts. Our global workforce of 30,000 people is committed to operational excellence and meeting the world’s growing power needs. To learn more about AES, please visit www.aes.com or contact AES media relations at media@aes.com.

 

###

 


EX-99.2 3 a06-8250_1ex99d2.htm EXHIBIT 99

Exhibit 99.2

 

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AES Corporation

 

2005 Financial Review and 2006 Outlook

 

April 6, 2006

 

9:00am EDT

 

[LOGO]

 

The Global Power Company

 

1



 

Safe Harbor Disclosure

 

Certain statements in the following presentation regarding AES’s business operations may constitute “forward looking statements.”  Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, those related to future earnings, growth and financial and operating performance. Forward-looking statements are not intended to be a guarantee of future results, but instead constitute AES’s current expectations based on reasonable assumptions. Forecasted financial information is based on certain material assumptions. These assumptions include, but are not limited to continued normal or better levels of operating performance and electricity demand at our distribution companies and operational performance at our contract generation businesses consistent with historical levels, as well as achievements of planned productivity improvements and incremental growth from investments at investment levels and rates of return consistent with prior experience. For additional assumptions see the Appendix to this presentation. Actual results could differ materially from those projected in our forward-looking statements due to risks, uncertainties and other factors. Important factors that could affect actual results are discussed in AES’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission including but not limited to the risks discussed under Item 1A “Risk Factors” in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2005 as well as our other SEC filings. AES undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

 

www.aes.com

 

2



 

Fourth Quarter and

Full Year 2005 Highlights

Contains Forward Looking Statements

2005 was a record year for:

                  Revenues

                  Net cash from operating activities

                  Free cash flow(1)

 

Revenues exceed $11 billion for the first time

 

Fourth quarter and full-year earnings benefit from good operating results, favorable currencies and lower tax rate

 

2008 financial targets reaffirmed with cash flow target reintroduced(2):

                  $1.03 to $1.34 diluted EPS from continuing operations(3)

                  $3.5 billion gross margin

                  11% ROIC(1)

                  Net cash from operating activities $2.6 to $2.9 billion

 

2006 guidance consistent with 2008 targets

 


(1)          Non-GAAP financial measure. See Appendix.

 

(2)          Guidance includes growth projects committed to in 2004 and prior years.

 

(3)          Based on 13-19% per year growth in diluted EPS from continuing operations from $0.56 per share 2003 base (pre-restatement). Implied range of 2008 EPS forecasts of $1.03 to $1.34 in 2008 is unchanged based on restated 2003 diluted EPS from continuing operations. See Appendix.

 

3



 

2006 Guidance Elements:

2005-2006 EPS Bridge

 

Contains Forward Looking Statements

 

[CHART]

 


(1)          Non-GAAP measure. See Appendix.

 

4



 

2006 Guidance Elements:

Income Statement

 

Contains Forward Looking Statements

 

Guidance Element

 

2006 Guidance

 

 

 

 

 

Revenue Growth (% change)

 

4 to 5%

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Margin

 

$3.2 to $3.3 billion

 

 

 

 

 

Business Segment Income Before Tax & Minority Interest
(Excludes Corporate Costs of $625 Million)

 

$2.3 billion

 

Allocated by Segment as % of Total

 

 

 

                  Regulated Utilities

 

44%

 

                  Contract Generation

 

38%

 

                  Competitive Supply

 

18%

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted Earnings Per Share From Continuing Operations

 

$0.90

 

 

 

 

 

Adjusted Earnings Per Share Factors

 

$0.05

 

 

 

 

 

Adjusted Earnings Per Share(1)

 

$0.95

 

 


(1)          Non-GAAP measure. See Appendix.

 

5



 

2006 Guidance Elements:

Cash Flow and Sensitivities

 

Contains Forward Looking Statements

 

Guidance Element

 

2006 Guidance

 

 

 

 

 

Net Cash From Operating Activities

 

$2.2 to $2.3 billion

 

 

 

 

 

Maintenance Capital Expenditures

 

$800 to $900 million

 

 

 

 

 

Free Cash Flow(1)

 

$1.3 to $1.5 billion

 

 

 

 

 

Subsidiary Distributions(1)

 

$1.0 billion

 

 

 

 

 

Parent Investments and Capital Expenditures

 

$250 to $350 million

 

 

 

 

 

Foreign Currency Sensitivity (annual)

 

10% currency move = app. $0.07 /share

 

 

 

 

 

Interest Rate Sensitivity (annual)

 

1% rate move = app. $0.02 /share

 

 

 

 

 

Exchange Rate Assumptions (annual average)

 

 

 

                  Brazil Real

 

2.23/$

 

                  Venezuela Bolivar

 

2,388/$

 

                  Argentina Peso

 

3.10/$

 

 


(1)          Non-GAAP measures. See Appendix.

(2)          Excludes other sources of funds. Total 2006 capital expenditures are estimated to be $1.7 – $1.8 billion, including certain growth projects not yet awarded.

 

6



 

2006 Guidance Elements:
Subsidiary Distributions

 

($ Millions)

Contains Forward Looking Statements

 

Expected 2006 Subsidiary Distributions(1)

 

 

 

North
America

 

Latin
America

 

Europe, Middle
East & Africa

 

Asia

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Regulated Utilities

 

$

143

 

$

134

 

$

23

 

$

 

$

300

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Contract Generation

 

$

160

 

$

60

 

$

148

 

$

32

 

$

400

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Competitive Supply

 

$

224

 

$

49

 

 

$

27

 

$

300

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

527

 

$

243

 

$

171

 

$

59

 

$

1,000

 

 

54% of distributions are expected to come from North American Regulated Utilities and Worldwide Contract Generation.

 


(1)          Non-GAAP measure. See Appendix.

 

7



 

Fourth Quarter and

Full Year 2005 Highlights

 

($ Millions Except Earnings Per Share and Percent)

 

 

 

Fourth
Quarter
2005

 

Fourth
Quarter
2004(1)

 

%
Change

 

2005

 

2004(1)

 

%
Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

$

2,973

 

$

2,523

 

18

%

$

11,086

 

$

9,463

 

17

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Margin

 

$

929

 

$

706

 

32

%

$

3,178

 

$

2,782

 

14

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

as % of Revenues

 

31.2

%

28.0

%

320b.p.

 

28.7

%

29.4

%

(70b.p.

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income Before Income Taxes and Minority Interest (IBT&MI)

 

$

411

 

$

203

 

102

%

$

1,458

 

$

822

 

77

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted EPS from Continuing Operations

 

$

0.27

 

$

0.03

 

800

%

$

0.95

 

$

0.41

 

132

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Adjusted EPS(2)

 

$

0.28

 

$

0.10

 

180

%

$

0.91

 

$

0.59

 

54

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)(2)

 

11.3

%

7.7

%

360b.p

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenue Comparison

Quarter-Over-Quarter (QOQ)

 

Volume/Price/Mix

 

11

%

 

 

 

 

Currency

 

7

%

 

 

 

 

Total

 

18

%

 

Revenue Comparison

Year-Over-Year (YOY)

 

Volume/Price/Mix

 

10

%

 

 

 

 

Currency

 

7

%

 

 

 

 

Total

 

17

%

 


(1)          Restated.

(2)          Non-GAAP measure. See page 9 and Appendix.

 

8



 

Reconciliation of Adjusted

Earnings Per Share

 

($ Per Share)

 

 

 

Fourth
Quarter
2005

 

Fourth
Quarter
2004(1)

 

2005

 

2004(1)(2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted Earnings Per Share From Continuing Operations

 

$

0.27

 

$

0.03

 

$

0.95

 

$

0.41

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FAS 133 Mark-to-Market (Gains)/Losses(2)

 

 

 

 

0.06

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Currency Transaction (Gains)/Losses

 

0.01

 

0.01

 

(0.04

)

0.06

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Asset (Gains)/Losses and Impairments

 

 

0.05

 

 

0.05

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Debt Retirement (Gains)/Losses

 

 

0.01

 

 

0.01

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Adjusted Earnings Per Share(3)

 

$

0.28

 

$

0.10

 

$

0.91

 

$

0.59

 

 


(1)          Restated.

(2)          Includes Gener debt restructuring cost of $0.03 per share in the full year 2004 period.

(3)          Adjusted earnings per share (a non-GAAP financial measure) is defined as diluted earnings per share from continuing operations excluding gains or losses associate with (a) mark-to-market amounts related to FAS 133 derivative transactions, (b) foreign currency transaction gains and losses on the net monetary position related to Brazil, Venezuela, and Argentina, (c) significant asset gains or losses due to disposition transactions and impairments, and (d) early retirement of recourse debt. AES believes that adjusted earnings per share better reflects the underlying business performance of the Company, and is considered in the Company’s internal evaluation of financial performance. Factors in this determination include the variability associated with mark-to-market gains or losses related to certain derivative transactions, currency transaction gains or losses, periodic strategic decisions to dispose of certain assets which may influence results in a given period, and the early retirement of corporate debt.

 

9



 

Fourth Quarter 2005

Cash Flow Highlights

 

($ Millions)

 

 

 

Fourth
Quarter
2005

 

Fourth
Quarter
2004(2)

 

2005

 

2004(2)

 

Subsidiary-Only

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Subsidiary Net Cash from Operating Activities(1)

 

$

840

 

$

616

 

$

2,737

 

$

2,159

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consolidated

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Cash from Operating Activities

 

$

699

 

$

454

 

$

2,165

 

$

1,571

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Free Cash Flow(1)

 

$

577

 

$

310

 

$

1,534

 

$

1,064

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Parent-Only

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Subsidiary Distributions(1)

 

$

354

 

$

277

 

$

993

 

$

1,004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Return of Capital from Subsidiaries(1)

 

$

5

 

$

3

 

$

57

 

$

127

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Recourse Debt Repayment (Net)(3)

 

$

2

 

$

331

 

$

259

 

$

800

 

 


(1)          Non-GAAP measure. See Appendix.

(2)          Restated.

(3)          Includes payments for notes related to Directors’ and Officers’ Insurance.

 

10



 

Fourth Quarter and 2005

Subsidiary Distributions

 

($ Millions)

 

Fourth Quarter/ 2005 Subsidiary Distributions(1)

 

 

 

North
America

 

Latin
America

 

Europe, Middle
East & Africa

 

Asia

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Regulated Utilities

 

$54/208

 

$71/123

 

$27/28

 

$—/—

 

$152/359

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Contract Generation

 

$54/234

 

$25/36

 

$38/158

 

$24/37

 

$141/465

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Competitive Supply

 

$17/104

 

$28/47

 

$—/—

 

$16/18

 

$61/169

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total (1)

 

$125/546

 

$124/206

 

$65/186

 

$40/55

 

$354/993

 

 

55% of Fourth Quarter distributions and 68% of Full Year 2005 distributions were from North American Regulated Utilities and Worldwide Contract Generation.

 


(1)          Non-GAAP measure. See Appendix.

 

11



 

Fourth Quarter Segment Highlights

Regulated Utilities

 

($ Millions Except As Noted)

 

 

 

Fourth
Quarter
2005

 

Fourth
Quarter
2004

 

%
Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

$

1,537

 

$

1,355

 

13

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Margin

 

$

416

 

$

275

 

51

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

as % of Sales

 

27.1

%

20.3

%

680 b.p.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IBT&MI

 

$

275

 

$

222

 

24

%

 

Revenue Comparison (QOQ)

 

% Change

 

 

 

 

 

Volume/Price/Mix

 

1

%

 

 

 

 

Currency (Net)

 

12

%

 

 

 

 

Total

 

13

%

 

Segment Highlights

 

                  Revenues grew as a result of favorable currency effects in Brazil and higher tariffs in Brazil and Argentina.

 

                  Gross margin and gross margin as a percent of sales increased due to revenue gains, favorable currency translation impacts and lower purchased electricity costs, offset by unfavorable fixed cost comparisons.

 

12



 

Fourth Quarter Segment Highlights

Contract Generation

 

($ Millions Except As Noted)

 

 

 

Fourth
Quarter
2005

 

Fourth
Quarter
2004

 

%
Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

$

1,118

 

$

904

 

24

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Margin

 

$

405

 

$

374

 

8

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

as % of Sales

 

36.2

%

41.4

%

(520 b.p.

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IBT&MI

 

$

236

 

$

140

 

69

%

 

Revenue Comparison (QOQ)

 

% Change

 

 

 

 

 

Volume/Price/Mix

 

23

%

 

 

 

 

Currency (Net)

 

1

%

 

 

 

 

Total

 

24

%

 

Segment Highlights

 

                  Revenues grew as a result of increased contract pricing and dispatch in Chile, higher contract pricing in the Dominican Republic and higher dispatch in China and Pakistan. These positive effects were partially offset by a scheduled contract price reduction at Shady Point and an outage at Thames in the U.S.

 

                  Gross margin increased primarily as a result of higher revenues. The decline in gross margin percentage is driven by higher fuel costs throughout the businesses along with the contract reduction and outage in the U.S.

 

13



 

($ Millions Except As Noted)

 

Fourth Quarter Segment Highlights

Competitive Supply

 

 

 

Fourth
Quarter
2005

 

Fourth
Quarter
2004

 

%
Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

$

318

 

$

264

 

20

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross Margin

 

$

108

 

$

57

 

89

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

as % of Sales

 

34.0

%

21.6

%

1,240 b.p.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IBT&MI

 

$

80

 

$

13

 

515

%

 

Revenue Comparison (QOQ)

 

% Change

 

 

 

 

 

Volume/Price/Mix

 

23

%

 

 

 

 

Currency (Net)

 

(3

)%

 

 

 

 

Total

 

20

%

 

Segment Highlights

 

                  Revenues grew as a result of higher prices in New York, Argentina and Panama, higher volume, and sales of excess allowances in New York.

 

                  Gross margin increased primarily as a result of higher allowance sales and higher prices partially offset by higher fuel costs in New York.

 

14



 

Appendix

 

15



 

Parent Sources and Uses

of Cash

 

($ Millions)

 

 

 

Fourth
Quarter
2005

 

2005

 

Sources

 

 

 

 

 

Total Subsidiary Distributions(1)

 

$

354

 

$

993

 

Proceeds from Asset Sales, Net

 

 

2

 

Refinancing Proceeds, Net

 

 

 

Increased Revolver Commitments

 

 

200

 

Issuance of Common Stock, Net

 

6

 

26

 

Total Returns of Capital Distributions and Project Financing Proceeds

 

5

 

57

 

Beginning Liquidity(1)

 

436

 

643

 

Total Sources

 

$

801

 

$

1,921

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Uses

 

 

 

 

 

Repayments of Debt(2)

 

$

(2

)

$

(259

)

Investments in Subsidiaries, Net

 

(80

)

(233

)

Cash for Development, Selling, General and Administrative and Taxes

 

(42

)

(165

)

Cash Payments for Interest

 

(135

)

(426

)

Other, Net

 

82

 

(214

)

Ending Liquidity(1)

 

(624

)

(624

)

Total Uses

 

$

(801

)

$

(1,921

)

 


(1)          Non-GAAP financial measure. See Appendix.

(2)          Includes payments for notes related to Directors’ & Officers’ Insurance.

 

16



 

Fourth Quarter Reconciliation of

Changes to Debt Balances

 

($ Millions)

 

 

 

Debt Reconciliation

 

Parent Debt (Including Letters of Credit) at 12/31/04

 

$

5,250

(1)

 

 

 

 

Scheduled Debt Maturities:

 

(142

)

 

 

 

 

Discretionary Debt Repayments:

 

 

 

Prepayment of Debt

 

(112

)

 

 

 

 

Other

 

180

(2)

 

 

 

 

Parent Debt (Including Letters of Credit) at 12/31/05

 

$

5,176

 

 

 

 

 

Less: Letters of Credit Outstanding at 12/31/05

 

(294

)

 

 

 

 

Parent Debt (Excluding Letters of Credit) at 12/31/05

 

$

4,882

 

 


(1)          Amount reflects recourse debt of $5,152 million and $98 million of letters of credit under the parent revolver. Revolver availability at 12/31/05 was $356 million.

(2)          Other includes $196 million increase in letters of credit and $18 million decrease due to foreign currency changes.

 

17



 

Fourth Quarter 2005

Consolidated Cash Flow

 

($ Millions)

 

 

 

Subsidiaries

 

AES Corp (1)

 

Eliminations

 

Consolidated

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Cash from Operating Activities

 

$

840

 

$

213

 

$

(354

)

$

699

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Maintenance Capital Expenditures

 

(98

)

(24

)

 

(122

)

Growth Capital Expenditures

 

(220

)

 

 

(220

)

Investment in Subsidiaries

 

 

(80

)

80

 

 

Returns of Capital from Subsidiaries

 

 

5

 

(5

)

 

Net Proceeds from Asset Sales

 

5

 

 

 

5

 

Proceeds from the Sale of Emission Allowances

 

11

 

 

 

11

 

Sale of Short Term Investments, Net of Purchases

 

104

 

 

 

104

 

Cash Paid for Acquisitions

 

 

 

 

 

Increase in Restricted Cash

 

44

 

(3

)

 

41

 

Decrease in Debt Service Reserves and Other Assets

 

(20

)

 

 

(20

)

Other

 

25

 

 

 

25

 

Net Cash (for) from Investments

 

(149

)

(102

)

75

 

(176

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financing Proceeds for Growth Capital Expenditures

 

50

 

 

 

50

 

Financing Proceeds from Other Financings Including Refinancings

 

328

 

 

 

328

 

Equity Proceeds

 

 

6

 

 

6

 

Repayments, Net (Including Refinancings)

 

(568

)

(2

)

 

(570

)

Payments for Financing Costs

 

(11

)

 

 

(11

)

Equity Contributions by Parent

 

80

 

 

(80

)

 

Distributions to Parent

 

(354

)

 

354

 

 

Returns of Capital to Parent

 

(5

)

 

5

 

 

Other

 

(80

)

 

 

(80

)

Net Cash (for) from Financing

 

(560

)

4

 

279

 

(277

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Increase (Decrease) in Cash & Cash Equivalents

 

131

 

115

 

 

246

 

Effect of FX

 

(18

)

(2

)

 

(20

)

Beginning Cash & Cash Equivalents Balance

 

1,009

 

155

 

 

1,164

 

Ending Cash & Cash Equivalents Balance

 

$

1,122

 

$

268

 

$

 

$

1,390

 

 


(1)                                  Includes activity at qualified holding companies.

Note: Certain amounts have been netted, condensed and rounded for presentation purposes.

 

18



 

2005

Consolidated Cash Flow

 

($ Millions)

 

 

 

Subsidiaries

 

AES Corp (1)

 

Eliminations

 

Consolidated

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Cash from Operating Activities

 

$

2,737

 

$

421

 

$

(993

)

$

2,165

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Maintenance Capital Expenditures

 

(595

)

(36

)

 

(631

)

Growth Capital Expenditures

 

(512

)

 

 

(512

)

Investment in Subsidiaries

 

 

(148

)

148

 

 

Returns of Capital from Subsidiaries

 

 

57

 

(57

)

 

Net Proceeds from Asset Sales

 

24

 

2

 

 

26

 

Proceeds from the Sale of Emission Allowances

 

41

 

 

 

41

 

Sale of Short Term Investments, Net of Purchases

 

152

 

 

 

152

 

Cash Paid for Acquisitions

 

 

(85

)

 

(85

)

Increase in Restricted Cash

 

61

 

(3

)

 

58

 

Decrease in Debt Service Reserves and Other Assets

 

68

 

 

 

68

 

Other

 

10

 

 

 

10

 

Net Cash (for) from Investments

 

(751

)

(213

)

91

 

(873

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financing Proceeds for Growth Capital Expenditures

 

215

 

 

 

215

 

Financing Proceeds from Other Financings Including Refinancings

 

1,662

 

 

 

1,662

 

Equity Proceeds

 

 

26

 

 

26

 

Repayments, Net (Including Refinancings)

 

(2,622

)

(254

)

 

(2,876

)

Payments for Financing Costs

 

(19

)

(2

)

 

(21

)

Equity Contributions by Parent

 

148

 

 

(148

)

 

Distributions to Parent

 

(993

)

 

993

 

 

Returns of Capital to Parent

 

(57

)

 

57

 

 

Other

 

(201

)

 

 

(201

)

Net Cash (for) from Financing

 

(1,867

)

(230

)

902

 

(1,195

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Increase (Decrease) in Cash & Cash Equivalents

 

119

 

(22

)

 

97

 

Effect of FX

 

13

 

(1

)

 

12

 

Beginning Cash & Cash Equivalents Balance

 

990

 

291

 

 

1,281

 

Ending Cash & Cash Equivalents Balance

 

$

1,122

 

$

268

 

$

 

$

1,390

 

 


(1)                                  Includes activity at qualified holding companies.

Note: Certain amounts have been netted, condensed and rounded for presentation purposes.

 

19



 

Reconciliation of Subsidiary

Distributions and Parent Liquidity

 

($ Millions)

 

 

 

Quarter Ended

 

 

 

 

 

Total subsidiary distributions
& returns of capital to parent

 

Dec. 31,
2005

 

Sept. 30,
2005

 

Jun. 30,
2005

 

Mar. 31,
2005

 

Dec. 31,
2004

 

Sept. 30,
2004

 

June 30,
2004

 

Mar. 31,
2004

 

2005

 

2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Subsidiary distributions to parent

 

$

354

 

$

274

 

$

170

 

$

190

 

$

286

 

$

209

 

$

292

 

$

204

 

$

988

 

$

991

 

Net distributions to/(from) QHCs

 

 

 

 

5

 

(9

)

12

 

10

 

 

5

 

13

 

Total subsidiary distributions

 

354

 

274

 

170

 

195

 

277

 

221

 

302

 

204

 

993

 

1,004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Returns of capital distributions to parent

 

5

 

 

37

 

2

 

3

 

110

 

 

3

 

44

 

116

 

Net returns of capital distributions to/ (from) QHCs

 

 

 

13

 

 

 

11

 

 

 

13

 

11

 

Total returns of capital distributions

 

5

 

 

50

 

2

 

3

 

121

 

 

3

 

57

 

127

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Combined distributions & return of capital received

 

359

 

274

 

220

 

197

 

280

 

342

 

302

 

207

 

1,050

 

1,131

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Less: combined net distributions & returns of capital to/(from) QHCs

 

 

 

(13

)

(5

)

9

 

(23

)

(10

)

 

(18

)

(24

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total subsidiary distributions & returns of capital to parent

 

$

359

 

$

274

 

$

207

 

$

192

 

$

289

 

$

319

 

$

292

 

$

207

 

$

1,032

 

$

1,107

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Balance as of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liquidity

 

Dec. 31,
2005

 

Sept. 30,
2005

 

Jun. 30,
2005

 

Mar. 31,
2005

 

Dec. 31,
2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash at parent

 

$

262

 

$

146

 

$

145

 

$

256

 

$

287

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Availability under revolver

 

356

 

281

 

215

 

218

 

352

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash at QHCs

 

6

 

9

 

19

 

3

 

4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ending liquidity

 

$

624

 

$

436

 

$

379

 

$

477

 

$

643

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

See following page for further information.

 

20



 

Assumptions

 

Forecasted financial information is based on certain material assumptions. Such assumptions include, but are not limited to: (a) no unforeseen external events such as wars, depressions, or economic or political disruptions occur; (b) businesses continue to operate in a manner consistent with or better than prior operating performance, including achievement of planned productivity improvements including benefits of global sourcing, and in accordance with the provisions of their relevant contracts or concessions; (c) new business opportunities are available to AES in sufficient quantity so that AES can capture its historical market share or increase its share; (d) no material disruptions or discontinuities occur in GDP, foreign exchange rates, inflation or interest rates during the forecast period; (e) negative factors do not combine to create highly negative low-probability business situations; (f) material business-specific risks as described in the Company’s SEC filings do not occur. In addition, benefits from global sourcing include avoided costs, reduction in capital project costs versus budgetary estimates, and projected savings based on assumed spend volume which may or may not actually be achieved. Also, improvement in certain KPIs such as EFOR and commercial availability may not improve financial performance at all facilities based on commercial terms and conditions. These benefits will not be fully reflected in the Company’s consolidated financial results.

 

The cash held at qualifying holding companies (QHCs) represents cash sent to subsidiaries of the Company domiciled outside of the U.S. Such subsidiaries had no contractual restrictions on their ability to send cash to AES, the parent company. Cash at those subsidiaries was used for investment and related activities outside of the U.S. These investments included equity investments and loans to other foreign subsidiaries as well as development and general costs and expenses incurred outside the U.S. Since the cash held by these qualifying holding companies is available to the parent, AES uses the combined measure of subsidiary distributions to parent and qualified holding companies as a useful measure of cash available to the parent to meet its international liquidity needs. AES believes that unconsolidated parent company liquidity is important to the liquidity position of AES as a parent company because of the non-recourse nature of most of AES’s indebtedness.

 

21



 

Definitions of Non-GAAP Measures

 

                  Adjusted earnings per share (a non-GAAP financial measure), is defined as diluted earnings per share from continuing operations excluding gains or losses associated with (a) mark-to-market amounts related to FAS 133 derivative transactions, (b) foreign currency transaction impacts on the net monetary position related to Brazil, Venezuela, and Argentina, (c) significant asset gains or losses due to disposition transactions and impairments, and (d) early retirement of recourse debt. AES believes that adjusted earnings per share better reflects the underlying business performance of the Company, and are considered in the Company’s internal evaluation of financial performance. Factors in this determination include the variability associated with mark-to-market gains or losses related to certain derivative transactions, currency gains and losses, periodic strategic decisions to dispose of certain assets which may influence results in a given period, and the early retirement of corporate debt.

 

                  Free cash flow – Net cash flow from operating activities less maintenance capital expenditures. Maintenance capital expenditures reflect property additions less growth capital expenditures.

 

                  Liquidity – Cash at the parent company plus availability under corporate revolver plus cash at qualifying holding companies (QHCs).

 

                  Return on invested capital (ROIC) – Net operating profit after tax (NOPAT) divided by average capital. NOPAT is defined as income before tax and minority expense plus interest expense less income taxes less tax benefit on interest expense at effective tax rate. Average capital is defined as the average of beginning and ending total debt plus minority interest plus stockholders’ equity less debt service reserves and other deposits.

 

                  Subsidiary Distributions – Cash distributions (primarily dividends and interest income) from subsidiary companies to the parent company and qualified holding companies. These cash flows are the source of cash flow to the parent to meet corporate interest, overhead, cash taxes, and discretionary uses such as recourse debt reductions and corporate investments.

 

22



 

Reconciliation of

Cash Flow Items

 

Net Cash from Operating Activities – Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2005 ($ Millions)

 

 

 

Subsidiaries

 

AES
Corp(1)

 

Eliminations

 

Consolidated

 

Fourth Quarter 2005

 

$

840

 

$

213

 

$

(354

)

$

699

 

2005

 

$

2,737

 

$

421

 

$

(993

)

$

2,165

 

 

Reconciliation of Free Cash Flow ($ Millions)

 

 

 

2006
Guidance

 

2005

 

2004

 

Fourth
Quarter
2005

 

Fourth
Quarter
2004

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Cash from Operating Activities

 

$2,200 to $2,300

 

$

2,165

 

$

1,571

 

$

699

 

$

454

 

Maintenance Capital Expenditures

 

(800) to (900

)

(631

)

(507

)

(122

)

(144

)

Free Cash Flow

 

$1,300 to $1,500

 

$

1,534

 

$

1,064

 

$

577

 

$

310

 

 


(1) Includes activity at qualified holding companies.

 

23



 

Fourth Quarter Calculation of

Return on Invested Capital

 

($ Millions except percent)

 

Net Operating Profit After Tax(1)

 

First
Quarter
2004

 

Second
Quarter
2004

 

Third
Quarter
2004

 

Fourth
Quarter
2004

 

Rolling Twelve
Months
Fourth Quarter
2004

 

First
Quarter
2005

 

Second
Quarter
2005

 

Third
Quarter
2005

 

Fourth
Quarter
2005

 

Rolling Twelve
Months
Fourth Quarter
2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IBT&MI

 

$

161

 

$

233

 

$

225

 

$

203

 

$

822

 

$

377

 

$

186

 

$

484

 

$

411

 

$

1,458

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reported Interest Expense

 

511

 

428

 

500

 

493

 

1,932

 

467

 

475

 

450

 

504

 

1,896

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income Tax Expense(2)

 

(301

)

(45

)

(396

)

(507

)

(1,203

)

(329

)

(291

)

(276

)

(207

)

(1,070

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Operating Profit After Tax

 

371

 

616

 

329

 

189

 

1,551

 

515

 

370

 

658

 

708

 

2,284

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effective Tax Rate(3)

 

44.7

%

6.9

%

54.7

%

72.9

%

43.7

%

39.0

%

44.1

%

29.5

%

22.6

%

31.9

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ROIC(4)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

7.7

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

11.3

%

 

Total Capital(5)

 

Fourth
Quarter
2003

 

Fourth
Quarter
2004

 

Fourth
Quarter
2005

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Debt

 

$

19,638

 

$

18,588

 

$

17,706

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Minority Interest

 

995

 

1,305

 

1,611

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stockholders’ Equity

 

(101

)

956

 

1,649

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Debt Service Reserves and Other Deposits

 

(617

)

(737

)

(611

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Capital

 

$

19,915

 

$

20,112

 

$

20,355

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Capital(6)

 

 

 

$

20,014

 

$

20,234

 

 


(1)          Net operating profit after tax, a non-GAAP financial measure, is defined as income before tax and minority interest expense (IBT&MI) plus interest expense less income taxes less tax benefit on interest expense at the effective tax rate.

(2)          Income tax expense calculated by multiplying the sum of IBT&MI and reported interest expense for the period by the effective tax rate for the period.

(3)          Effective tax rate calculated by dividing reported income tax expense for the period by IBT&MI for the period.

(4)          Return on invested capital (ROIC), a non-GAAP financial measure, is defined as net operating profit after tax divided by average capital calculated over rolling 12 month basis.

(5)          Total capital, a non-GAAP financial measure, is defined as total debt plus minority interest plus stockholders’ equity less debt service reserves.

(6)          Average capital is defined as the average of beginning and ending total capital over the last 12 months.

 

24


EX-99.3 4 a06-8250_1ex99d3.htm EXHIBIT 99

Exhibit 99.3

 

 

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AES Investor Presentation

 

AES CORPORATION

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

April 4, 2006

 



 

Safe Harbor Disclosure

 

Certain statements in the following presentation regarding AES’s business operations may constitute “forward looking statements.”  Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, those related to future earnings, growth and financial and operating performance. Forward-looking statements are not intended to be a guarantee of future results, but instead constitute AES’s current expectations based on reasonable assumptions. Forecasted financial information is based on certain material assumptions. These assumptions include, but are not limited to continued normal or better levels of operating performance and electricity demand at our distribution companies and operational performance at our contract generation businesses consistent with historical levels, as well as achievements of planned productivity improvements and incremental growth from investments at investment levels and rates of return consistent with prior experience. For additional assumptions see the Appendix to this presentation. Actual results could differ materially from those projected in our forward-looking statements due to risks, uncertainties and other factors. Important factors that could affect actual results are discussed in AES’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission including but not limited to the risks discussed under Item 1A “Risk Factors” in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2005 as well as our other SEC filings. AES undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

 

www.aes.com

 

2



 

AES is Among the Largest Global Power Companies

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

$11.1 billion revenue power generation and distribution business
$2.2 billion net cash provide by operating activities
Capacity to serve 100 million people in 25 countries

 

Note: 2005 financial data.

 

3



 

Clear Strategic Focus

 

Contains Forward Looking Statements

 

 

 

Key Strategy Elements

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Global Operational Excellence

 

Deleveraging and Credit Improvement

 

Focused Growth Strategies

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008 Financial Metrics (1)

Diluted EPS from continuing operations of $1.03 – $1.34

Gross margin improvement to $3.5 billion

ROIC (2) of 11%

Net cash from operating activities of $2.6 – $2.9 billion


(1) Guidance includes growth projects committed to in 2004 and prior years. See Appendix.

(2) Non-GAAP financial measure. See Appendix.

 

4



 

Diversified Utilities and Generation Portfolio

 

2005 Revenue
$11.1 billion

 

2005 Gross Margin
$3.2 billion

 

 

 

[CHART]

 

[CHART]

 

 

 

                  Regulated Utilities in 7 countries

 

                  Generation (1)

 

 

77% Revenue from long-term contracts

 

 

23% Revenue from short-term contracts and spot sales

 


(1)               Generation comprises Contract Generation and Competitive Supply segments.

 

5



 

Generation KPIs

 

 

 

Key Performance Indicator (KPI)

 

 

 

Safety Excellence

 

                  Lost time accidents (LTA)

                  Near misses

 

 

 

Operational Excellence

 

                  Equivalent forced outage rate (EFOR)

                  Operating cost per megawatt hour

                  Heat rate

                  Global sourcing (target spend & sourced savings)

 

 

 

Customer Service Excellence

 

                  Equivalent forced outage rate (EFOR)

                  Commercial availability

 

6



 

KPI Focus – Commercial Availability in North America

 

60% of the businesses that identify commercial availability as a key driver realized improvements in 2005

 

 

 

 

 

Red Oak, Pennsylvania

 

Red Oak – Commercial Availability

                  Provided better training

 

 

                  Applied problem solving tools

 

 

                  Improved maintenance practices

 

[CHART]

                  Invested in targeted capex

 

 

                  Result: 2.4% point improvement since 2003

 

 

 

 

 

Cayuga, New York

 

 

                  Optimized boiler outages

 

Cayuga – Commercial Availability

                  Improved heat rate

 

 

                  Increased preventive maintenance

 

 

                  Result: 1.3% point improvement since 2003

 

[CHART]

 

7



 

KPI Focus – Heat Rate in Asia

 

Heat rate improved in 2005 for over half of the AES plants that identify it as a key driver

 

OPGC – Heat Rate (Btu/KWh)

 

 

 

OPGC, India and Kelanitissa, Sri Lanka

 

[CHART]

                  Improved component operations through a series of targeted operating and capital investments

 

 

                  Improved maintenance and work identification processes

 

Kelanitissa – Heat Rate (Btu/KWh)

                  Increased rigor in monitoring and immediately addressing heat rate deviations

 

 

                  Results: 3% and 1% improvement, respectively, since 2003

 

[CHART]

 

8



 

Utility KPIs

 

 

 

Key Performance Indicator (KPI)

 

 

 

Safety Excellence

 

                  Lost time accidents (LTA)

                  Near misses

                  Public safety

 

 

 

Operational Excellence

 

                  Losses rate

                  Collections rate

                  O&M per customer

                  Overhead per customer

 

 

 

Customer Service Excellence

 

                  System interruption frequency (SAIFI)

                  System interruption duration (SAIDI)

                  Customer satisfaction surveys

 

9



 

KPI Focus – Losses in Latin America

 

 

 

In 2005 every AES regulated utility improved year-over-year total loss rates

 

 

 

Eletropaulo – Total Losses (1)

 

Eletropaulo, Brazil

 

 

                  Refocused loss reduction efforts

 

 

                  Increased number and efficiency of theft inspections

[CHART]

 

                  Results: 10% improvement since beginning of 2004 and normalized 188 MWh in 2005

 

 

 

AES El Salvador – Total Losses (2)

 

AES El Salvador

 

 

                  Improved meter inspections and follow up (replacement and recalibration)

 

 

                  Improved meter reading practices

[CHART]

 

                  Changed 73,000 obsolete meters in 2004-2005

 

 

                  Result: 10% improvement since 2003

 


(1) Trailing 12 months, excludes rebilled energy.

(2) Trailing 12 months.

 

10



 

Financial Strategy Elements

 

 

 

Contains Forward Looking Statements

 

 

 

Target Capital Structure

 

                  Achieve BB credit statistics

                  Optimize return on invested capital

 

 

 

Robust Risk Management

 

                  Global interest rate, currency, energy cost risk management strategies

                  Limited recourse project finance structures

 

 

 

Transparent Disclosure

 

                  Financial analysis and reporting

                  Sarbanes/Oxley compliance

                  Proactive investor communications

                  Corporate values and rigorous code of business conduct and compliance program

 

11



 

Limited US Merchant Exposure Hedged With Creditworthy Customers

 

 

 

Contains Forward Looking Statements

 

 

 

AES Eastern Energy Contracting Strategy

 

 

 

Hedge Metrics (1)

 

Hedge % by Counterparty Credit (2006) (1)

 

 

 

[CHART]

 

[CHART]

 


(1)               Data as of December 31, 2005.

 

12



 

Actively Managed Floating Rate Debt Exposure

 

 

 

Contains Forward Looking Statements

 

 

 

AES Debt Profile

 

 

 

AES Fixed vs. Floating Rate Debt

 

Floating Rate Debt by Currency (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consolidated

 

Minority Interest
Adjusted

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[CHART]

 

US Dollar

 

51

%

66

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Brazil Real

 

38

%

18

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Colombia Peso

 

3

%

5

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Venezuela Bolivar

 

2

%

3

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Euro

 

2

%

3

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other currencies

 

4

%

4

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

100

%

100

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Floating rate debt

 

$

3.9 billion

 

$

2.4 billion

 

 


(1)               Including interest rate swaps.

(2)               Data as of December 31, 2005.

 

13



 

Measuring Improvement through Gross Margin and Return on Invested Capital

 

Performance Drivers

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Generation

 

Utilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

New Contracted Capacity

 

Tariff Process Management

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Competitive Supply Dispatch

 

Demand Growth (non-US)

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reduce EFOR

 

Reduce Commercial Losses

 

 

 

Gross

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Margin

 

 

Optimize Operating & Sourcing Costs

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating

 

 

 

 

Fuel Purchase Risk Management

 

Costs

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ROIC

Overhead Cost Management

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Below Gross

 

 

 

 

Currency and Other Risk Management

 

Margin

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Working Capital and Debt Reduction

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asset

 

 

 

 

Asset Utilization

 

Management

 

 

 

 

 

14



 

Strong Free Cash Flow

 

Contains Forward Looking Statements

 

[CHART]

 


(1)               Non-GAAP financial measure. See Appendix.

(2)               Based on midpoints of 2006 guidance of $2.2 to $2.3 billion net cash provided by operating activities, maintenance capital expenditures of $800 to $900 million, and free cash flow of $1.3 to $1.5 billion. Free cash flow is a non-GAAP financial measure equal to net cash provided by operating activities less maintenance capital expenditures.

 

15



 

Disciplined Use of Growing Free Cash Flow

 

Contains Forward Looking Statements

 

2006 Free Cash Flow (1) Profile

 

2006
Strategy

 

2007-2008 and Beyond
Strategy

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Parent
Free Cash
Flow
$350 MM

 

Achieve BB/Ba2
credit metrics

Rebuild
development
pipeline

 

Invest for growth

Alternatives if growth projects don’t develop at adequate returns

  investment grade credit
  cash dividends

Free Cash
Flow (1)
$1,400 MM

Optimize Annually

 

 

 

  share repurchases

 

Subsidiary
Free Cash
Flow
$1,050 MM

 

Subsidiary debt reduction

Platform expansion

Dividends (AES and minority owners)

 


(1)               Non-GAAP financial measure based on midpoint of 2006 guidance of $1.3 to $1.5 billion and is reconciled from 2006 guidance for net cash from operating activities of $2.2 to $2.3 billion less maintenance capital expenditures of $800 – $900 million. Estimated allocation of this midpoint 2006 free cash flow guidance is approximately $350 million at the parent company and $1,050 million at subsidiaries.

 

16



 

Breadth of AES Capabilities

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

Distribution

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

Coal-Fired

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

Hydroelectric

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

Wind Power

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

LNG

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

Gas-Fired

 

17



 

Rebuilding Development Pipeline

 

Contains Forward Looking Statements

 

Deep Development Pipeline Supports Sustained Growth

 

4-6 Years for Greenfield Projects

3-4 Years for Wind Projects

 

Development
Milestones

 

Market
Assessment/
Feasibility Study

Negotiations/
Permits/
RFP

Purchase
Agreement

Project
Financing

Construction

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current Activity

 

38 Countries

6 Countries

1 Country

2 Countries

3 Countries

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Examples of Current
Portfolio
Development
Activity

 

Central America

China

Eastern Europe

India

Pakistan

South Africa

US

Bahamas

El Salvador

Middle East

US

Vietnam

India

Chile

Bulgaria

Panama

Chile

Spain

US

 

18



 

Demonstrated Success With Generation Growth Program

 

Contains Forward Looking Statements

 

Cumulative Generation Additions 2003-2006E

(% Increase Above 2002 Base)

 

[CHART]

 

12 projects in 9 countries representing over 3,800 MW capacity

94% long-term contracts

 

Note: Includes projects under construction.

 

19



 

Four Elements Frame
AES Growth Strategy

 

Contains Forward Looking Statements

 

Platform Expansion

 

                  Leverage existing knowledge, relationships, and subsidiary cash

                  Examples: Los Vientos, Changuinola

 

Greenfield

 

                  Focus on contracted projects

                  Non-recourse financing

                  Examples: Maritza, MOUs in Vietnam and India

 

Privatization

 

                  Central Europe

                  Turkey

 

Acquisitions

 

                  Rebalance geographic portfolio

                  Select opportunities in AES country markets

 

20



 

Rigorous Capital Discipline

 

Contains Forward Looking Statements

 

Strategic Objectives

 

Market

 

Knowledge

 

 

                  Regional business model

                  Leverage existing assets

 

Execution

Skills

Value

Creation

 

                  Leverage operating model

                  People excellence

 

Risk

Management

 

 

                  Appropriate hurdle rates

                  Reduce portfolio earnings/cash flow volatility

 

Capital Allocation Process

 

Project Financial Analysis/Valuation

 

Independent Review

 

Executive Office Approval

 

Board of Directors Approval > $25 Million

 

Project Execution

 

21



 

Key Takeaways

 

Contains Forward Looking Statements

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

                  Global power market offers sizeable growth opportunities

                  AES well positioned to capitalize on these opportunities

                  Investment discipline firmly established

                  Strong AES financial metrics

                  Margin expansion

                  ROIC improvement

                  Growing free cash flow

                  Improving credit quality

                  Double digit EPS growth

                  Incentives aligned with investors

                  Stock performance (options)

                  Free cash flow growth (performance units)

                  Outperform S&P 500 total return (restricted stock)

 

22



 

AES: The power of being global.

 

[GRAHIC]

 

Thank you.

 



 

Appendix - - Assumptions

 

Forecasted financial information is based on certain material assumptions. Such assumptions include, but are not limited to: 1) no unforeseen external events such as wars, depressions, or economic or political disruptions occur; 2 ) businesses continue to operate in a manner consistent with or better than prior operating performance, including achievement of planned productivity improvements including benefits of global sourcing, and in accordance with the provisions of their relevant contracts or concessions; 3) new business opportunities are available to AES in sufficient quantity so that AES can capture its historical market share or increase its share; 4) no material disruptions or discontinuities occur in GDP, foreign exchange rates, inflation or interest rates during the forecast period; 5)  negative factors do not combine to create highly negative low-probability business situations; 6) material business-specific risks as described in the Company’s SEC filings do not occur.

 

In addition, benefits from global sourcing include avoided costs, reduction in capital project costs versus budgetary estimates, and projected savings based on assumed spend volume, which may or may not actually be achieved. Also, improvement in certain KPIs such as EFOR and commercial availability may not improve financial performance at all facilities based on commercial terms and conditions. These benefits will not be fully reflected in the Company’s consolidated financial results.

 

24



 

Appendix - - Definitions

 

                  Free Cash Flow – Net cash from operating activities less maintenance capital expenditures. Maintenance capital expenditures reflect property additions less growth capital expenditures.

 

                  Lost Time Accident (LTA) – An incident in which the injured person is kept away from work beyond the day of the incident.

 

                  Near Miss – An incident that occurred but did not result in any injury. In AES, we have expanded this to include unsafe conditions that have been observed.

 

                  O&M – Operation and maintenance.

 

                  Reliability Centered Maintenance (RCM) – An integrated maintenance methodology that optimizes among reactive, interval-based, condition-based, and proactive maintenance practices to take advantage of their respective strengths in order to maximize facility and equipment reliability while minimizing life-cycle costs.

 

                  Return on invested capital (ROIC) – Net operating profit after tax (NOPAT) divided by average capital. NOPAT is defined as income before tax and minority expense plus interest expense less income taxes less tax benefit on interest expense at effective tax rate. Average capital is defined as the average of beginning and ending total debt plus minority interest plus stockholders’ equity less debt service reserves and other deposits.

 

                  System Average Interruption Duration Index (SAIDI) – A measure of the cumulative duration of electric service forced and sustained interruptions experienced by customers each year, excluding “force majeure” events. SAIDI is calculated as the total number of customer minutes of sustained interruption divided by the number of customers served.

 

                  System Average Interruption Frequency Index (SAIFI) – A measure of the number of outages per customer per year. SAIFI is calculated by dividing the total number of customer-sustained interruptions by the number of customers served.

 

25



 

Appendix – Summary Financial
Information 2003 –2005

 

 

 

2005

 

2004 (1)

 

2003 (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

$

11,086

 

$

9,463

 

$

8,413

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross margin

 

3,178

 

2,782

 

2,459

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income (loss) from continuing operations

 

632

 

264

 

294

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted earnings per share from continuing operations

 

$

0.95

 

$

0.41

 

$

0.49

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net cash from operating activities

 

$

2,165

 

$

1,571

 

$

1,642

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Maintenance capital expenditures

 

(631

)

(507

)

(542

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Free cash flow (2)

 

$

1,534

 

$

1,064

 

$

1,100

 

 


(1)               Restated.

(2)               Non-GAAP financial measure. See page 25 for definition.

 

26



 

Appendix – Reconciliation of Adjusted Earnings Per Share

 

 

 

2005

 

2004 (1) (2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted EPS from Continuing Operations

 

$

0.95

 

$

0.41

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FAS 133 Mark-to-Market (Gains)/Losses (2)

 

 

0.06

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Currency Transaction (Gains)/Losses

 

(0.04

)

0.06

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Asset (Gains)/Losses and Impairments

 

 

0.05

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Debt Retirement (Gains)/Losses

 

 

0.01

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Adjustment Factors

 

(0.04

)

0.18

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Adjusted Earnings per Share (3)

 

$

0.91

 

$

0.59

 

 


(1)               Restated.

 

(2)               2004 results include $0.03 related to Chile debt restructuring costs.

 

(3)               Adjusted earnings per share (a non-GAAP financial measure) is defined as diluted earnings per share from continuing operations excluding gains or losses associated with (a) mark-to-market amounts related to FAS 133 derivative transactions, (b) foreign currency transaction impacts on the net monetary position related to Brazil, Venezuela, and Argentina, (c) significant asset gains or losses due to disposition transactions and impairments, and (d) early retirement of recourse debt. AES believes that adjusted earnings per share better reflects the underlying business performance of the Company, and are considered in the Company’s internal evaluation of financial performance. Factors in this determination include the variability associated with mark-to-market gains or losses related to certain derivative transactions, currency transaction gains or losses, periodic strategic decisions to dispose of certain assets which may influence results in a given period, and the early retirement of corporate debt.

 

27



 

Appendix – Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

 

Net Operating Profit After Tax (1)

 

2005

 

2004

 

2003

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IBT&MI

 

$

1,458

 

$

822

 

$

644

 

Reported Interest Expense

 

1,896

 

1,932

 

1,984

 

Income Tax Expense (2)

 

(1,070

)

(1,203

)

(861

)

Net Operating Profit After Tax

 

2,284

 

1,551

 

1,767

 

Effective Tax Rate (3)

 

32

%

44

%

33

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ROIC (4)

 

11.3

%

7.7

%

9.0

%

 

 

 

December

 

December

 

December

 

December

 

Total Capital (5)

 

2005

 

2004

 

2003

 

2002

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Debt

 

$

17,706

 

$

18,588

 

$

19,638

 

$

20,047

 

Minority Interest

 

1,611

 

1,305

 

995

 

885

 

Stockholders’ Equity

 

1,649

 

956

 

(101

)

(855

)

Debt Service Reserves and Other Deposits

 

(611

)

(737

)

(617

)

(515

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Capital

 

$

20,355

 

$

20,112

 

$

19,915

 

$

19,562

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Capital (6)

 

$

20,234

 

$

20,014

 

$

19,739

 

 

 

 


(1)               Net operating profit after tax, a non-GAAP financial measure, is defined as income before tax and minority interest expense (IBT&MI) plus interest expense less income taxes less tax benefit on interest expense at the effective tax rate.

(2)               Income tax expense calculated by multiplying the sum of IBT&MI and reported interest expense for the period by the effective tax rate for the period.

(3)               Effective tax rate calculated by dividing reported income tax expense for the period by IBT&MI for the period.

(4)               Return on invested capital (ROIC), a non-GAAP financial measure, is defined as net operating profit after tax divided by average capital calculated over rolling 12 month basis.

(5)               Total capital, a non-GAAP financial measure, is defined as total debt plus minority interest plus shareholders equity less debt service reserves.

(6)               Average capital is defined as the average of beginning and ending total capital over the last 12 months.

 

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