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Fair Value Measurements (Notes)
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2017
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair Value Measurements
Fair Value Measurements
Investments
Investments reported at fair value primarily consist of government bonds held by our captive insurance entities totaling $28 million and $47 million as of September 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016, respectively. These investments are traded in active markets, have readily determined market values and have maturity dates of greater than three months from the date of purchase. Because the fair value of these instruments is not estimated individually, but rather in the aggregate using alternative pricing methods, their fair value is classified as Level 2. These investments primarily represent collateral for several escrow and trust agreements with third-party beneficiaries and are recorded in deferred charges and other in the Balance Sheets while a portion is included in prepayments and other current assets.
Restructuring Commitments
Estimated Fair Value
(In millions)
Balance 
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
December 31, 2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Issuance of CEC Convertible Notes
$
1,600

 
$

 
$

 
$
1,600

Issuance of CEC common stock
1,936

 

 
1,936

 

PropCo Call Right
131

 

 

 
131

Total liabilities at fair value
$
3,667

 
$

 
$
1,936

 
$
1,731

September 30, 2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Issuance of CEC Convertible Notes
$
2,240

 
$

 
$

 
$
2,240

Issuance of CEC common stock
3,507

 
3,507

 

 

PropCo Call Right
189

 

 

 
189

Total liabilities at fair value
$
5,936

 
$
3,507

 
$

 
$
2,429


Changes in Level 3 Fair Value Measurements
 
Three Months Ended September 30, 2017
 
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2017
(In millions)
CEC Convertible Notes
 
PropCo Call Right
 
CEC Convertible Notes
 
PropCo Call Right
Balance as of beginning of period
$
1,910

 
$
193

 
$
1,600

 
$
131

Restructuring of CEOC and other
330

 
(4
)
 
640

 
58

Balance as of end of period
$
2,240

 
$
189

 
$
2,240

 
$
189


As described in Note 1, we recognized certain obligations that were settled on the Effective Date of the Plan. A portion of the obligations we recognized reflect our estimates of the fair value of the consideration CEC has agreed to provide in the form of CEC common stock, CEC Convertible Notes, and the PropCo Call Right in exchange for the settlement of litigation claims and potential claims against CEC and its affiliates. These obligations are recorded in accrued restructuring and support expenses on the Balance Sheets.
Valuation Methodologies
CEC Convertible Notes - We estimated the fair value of the CEC Convertible Notes to be issued using a binomial lattice valuation model that incorporates the value of both the straight debt and conversion features of the notes. In the Plan, the CEC Convertible Notes have a face value of $1.1 billion, a term of 7 years, a coupon rate of 5%, and are convertible into 156 million shares of CEC common stock. The valuation model incorporates assumptions regarding the incremental post-emergence cost of borrowing for CEC, the value of CEC’s equity into which these notes could convert, the expected volatility of such equity, and the risk-free rate.
Key Assumptions -
Incremental cost of borrowing - 5.0%
Expected volatility - 32%
Risk-free rate - 2.2%
Since the key assumptions used in the valuation model, including CEC’s estimated incremental post-emergence cost of borrowing and the expected volatility of CEC’s equity, are significant unobservable inputs, the fair value for the CEC convertible notes is classified as Level 3. Should CEC’s estimated incremental cost of borrowing or equity value fluctuate over time, it could result in an increase or decrease in the fair value of the notes and the corresponding restructuring accrual. Specifically, a decrease in the incremental borrowing rate or an increase in the expected volatility of CEC’s common stock would result in an increase in the restructuring accrual.
CEC Common Stock - On the Effective Date, CEC issued shares of CEC common stock for the settlement of claims and potential claims. Also on the Effective Date, CEC repurchased approximately 146 million shares of CEC common stock for approximately $1.0 billion from certain creditors of CEOC at a pre-negotiated price of $6.86 per share. The value of the purchase obligation is not subject to changes in fair value; therefore, the estimated fair value primarily represents the net shares that we issued after satisfying the repurchase obligation. We have used the fair value of CEC’s common stock as of the Effective Date to estimate this portion of the restructuring accrual, and the fair value is no longer subject to market fluctuations because the shares of common stock have been issued.
The valuation models used to estimate the fair value of CEC’s common stock expected to be issued do not require significant judgment and inputs can be observed in a liquid market, such as the current trading price; therefore, this portion of the restructuring accrual is classified as Level 1.
PropCo Call Right Agreement - On the Effective Date, PropCo received a call right for up to five years to purchase and leaseback the real property assets associated with Harrah’s Atlantic City and Harrah’s Laughlin from CERP and Harrah’s New Orleans from CGP for a cash purchase price of ten times the agreed upon annual rent for each property (subject to the terms of the CERP and CGPH credit agreements). The initial rent for each property under the agreement will be determined based on a rent-to-earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, and rent (“EBITDAR”) ratio of 1.00-to-1.67. PropCo’s purchase price will be determined by multiplying each property’s initial rent by 10.
The valuation model used to estimate the fair value of the PropCo Call Right is a Monte Carlo simulation and utilized the following key assumptions:
Key Assumptions -
Ratio of EBITDAR to Initial Rent under Property Lease - 1.67 to 1.00
EBITDAR volatility - 25%
Enterprise value to revenue volatility - 12%
Ratio of initial purchase price to property lease rent - 12.00 to 1.00
EBITDAR to multiple correlation - 0.0%
Composite projected revenue growth rate - 2.4%
Composite projected EBITDAR margin growth rate - 24.1%
Since the key assumptions used in the valuation model are significant unobservable inputs, the fair value for the call right is classified as Level 3. Should these assumptions fluctuate over time, it could result in an increase or decrease in the fair value of the call right and the corresponding restructuring accrual. Specifically, an increase in the volatility assumptions would result in an increase in the restructuring accrual.