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Investments
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2022
Text Block [Abstract]  
Investments
Note 8: Investments
Investments, excluding equity instruments, those elected under the fair value option and those classified as trading, consist of debt instruments classified as
available-for-sale
(“AFS”).
The following tables present the amortized cost, allowance for credit losses, corresponding gross unrealized gains and losses and fair value for AFS investments in the Company’s consolidated investment portfolio as of December 31, 2022 and 2021:
 
    
December 31, 2022
 
In millions
  
Amortized
Cost
    
Allowance
for Credit
Losses
    
Gross
Unrealized
Gains
    
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
    
Fair
Value
 
AFS Investments
                                            
Fixed-maturity investments:
                                            
U.S. Treasury and government agency
   $ 541      $      $ 5      $ (38)      $ 508  
State and municipal bonds
     173               2        (11)        164  
Foreign governments
     23                      (3)        20  
Corporate obligations
     862               1        (148)        715  
Mortgage-backed securities:
                                            
Residential mortgage-backed agency
     217                      (22)        195  
Residential mortgage-backed
non-agency
     96               3        (11)        88  
Commercial mortgage-backed
     24                      (1)        23  
Asset-backed securities:
                                            
Collateralized debt obligations
     117                      (5)        112  
Other asset-backed
     110                      (4)        106  
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
 
Total AFS investments
   $ 2,163      $      $ 11      $ (243)      $ 1,931  
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
 
 
    
December 31, 2021
 
In millions
  
Amortized
Cost
    
Allowance
for Credit
Losses
    
Gross
Unrealized
Gains
    
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
    
Fair
Value
 
AFS Investments
                                            
Fixed-maturity investments:
                                            
U.S. Treasury and government agency
   $ 782      $      $ 54      $ (2)      $ 834  
State and municipal bonds
     140               27               167  
Foreign governments
     13               1               14  
Corporate obligations
     905               53        (5)        953  
Mortgage-backed securities:
                                            
Residential mortgage-backed agency
     190               3        (1)        192  
Residential mortgage-backed
non-agency
     80               12               92  
Commercial mortgage-backed
     10                             10  
Asset-backed securities:
                                            
Collateralized debt obligations
     101                             101  
Other asset-backed
     95                      (1)        94  
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
 
Total AFS investments
   $ 2,316      $      $ 150      $ (9)      $ 2,457  
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
 
 
The following table presents the distribution by contractual maturity of AFS fixed-maturity securities at amortized cost, net of allowance for credit losses, and fair value as of December 31, 2022. Contractual maturity may differ from expected maturity as borrowers may have the right to call or prepay obligations.
 
    
AFS Securities
 
In millions
  
Net
Amortized
Cost
    
Fair
Value
 
Due in one year or less
   $ 199      $ 197  
Due after one year through five years
     280        270  
Due after five years through ten years
     332        288  
Due after ten years
     788        652  
Mortgage-backed and asset-backed
     564        524  
    
 
 
    
 
 
 
Total fixed-maturity investments
   $ 2,163      $ 1,931  
    
 
 
    
 
 
 
Deposited and Pledged Securities
The fair value of securities on deposit with various regulatory authorities as of December 31, 2022 and 2021 was $10 million and $11 million, respectively. These deposits are required to comply with state insurance laws.
Investment agreement obligations require the Company to pledge securities as collateral. Securities pledged in connection with investment agreements may not be repledged by the investment agreement counterparty. As of December 31, 2022 and 2021, the fair value of securities pledged as collateral for these investment agreements approximated $251 million and $280 million, respectively. The Company’s collateral as of December 31, 2022 consisted principally of U.S. Treasury and government agency and corporate obligations, and was primarily held with major U.S. banks.
Refer to “Note 9: Derivative Instruments” for information about securities posted to derivative counterparties.
Impaired Investments
The following tables present the
non-credit
related gross unrealized losses related to AFS investments as of December 31, 2022 and 2021:
 
    
December 31, 2022
 
    
Less than 12 Months
    
12 Months or Longer
    
Total
 
In millions
  
Fair
Value
    
Unrealized
Losses
    
Fair
Value
    
Unrealized
Losses
    
Fair
Value
    
Unrealized
Losses
 
AFS Investments
                                                     
Fixed-maturity investments:
                                                     
U.S. Treasury and government agency
   $ 266      $ (34)      $ 29      $ (4)      $ 295      $ (38)  
State and municipal bonds
     92        (10)        1        (1)        93        (11)  
Foreign governments
     9        (3)                      9        (3)  
Corporate obligations
     508        (106)        141        (42)        649        (148)  
Mortgage-backed securities:
                                                     
Residential mortgage-backed agency
     112        (9)        65        (13)        177        (22)  
Residential mortgage-backed
non-agency
     65        (10)        2        (1)        67        (11)  
Commercial mortgage-backed
     18        (1)        1               19        (1)  
Asset-backed securities:
                                                     
Collateralized debt obligations
     51        (1)        60        (4)        111        (5)  
Other asset-backed
     44        (3)        24        (1)        68        (4)  
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
 
Total AFS investments
   $ 1,165      $ (177)      $ 323      $ (66)      $ 1,488      $ (243)  
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
 
 
    
December 31, 2021
 
    
Less than 12 Months
    
12 Months or Longer
    
Total
 
In millions
  
Fair

Value
    
Unrealized

Losses
    
Fair

Value
    
Unrealized

Losses
    
Fair

Value
    
Unrealized

Losses
 
AFS Investments
                                                     
Fixed-maturity investments:
                                                     
U.S. Treasury and government agency
   $ 161      $ (1)      $ 16      $ (1)      $ 177      $ (2)  
State and municipal bonds
     11                             11         
Foreign governments
     3                             3         
Corporate obligations
     270        (5)        8               278        (5)  
Mortgage-backed securities:
                                                     
Residential mortgage-backed agency
     94        (1)        1               95        (1)  
Residential mortgage-backed non-agency
     3               1               4         
Commercial mortgage-backed
     2                             2         
Asset-backed securities:
                                                     
Collateralized debt obligations
     60               29               89         
Other asset-backed
     72        (1)                      72        (1)  
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
 
Total AFS investments
   $ 676      $ (8)      $ 55      $ (1)      $ 731      $ (9)  
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
 
Gross unrealized losses on AFS investments increased as of December 31, 2022 compared with December 31, 2021 primarily due to higher interest rates and widening credit spreads.

With the weighting applied on the fair value of each security relative to the total fair value, the weighted average contractual maturity of securities in an unrealized loss position as of December 31, 2022 and 2021 was 14 and 11 years, respectively. As of December 31, 2022 and 2021, there were 210 and 36 securities, respectively, that were in an unrealized loss position for a continuous twelve-month period or longer, of which, fair values of 190 and 7 securities, respectively, were below book value by more than 5%.
The following table presents the distribution of securities in an unrealized loss position for a continuous twelve-month period or longer where fair value was below book value by more than 5% as of December 31, 2022:
 
    
AFS Securities
 
Percentage of Fair Value
Below Book Value
  
Number of
Securities
    
Book Value
(in millions)
    
Fair Value
(in millions)
 
> 5% to 15%
     72      $ 129      $ 117  
> 15% to 25%
     63        117        93  
> 25% to 50%
     53        84        56  
> 50%
     2                
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
 
Total
     190      $ 330      $ 266  
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
 
As of December 31, 2022, the Company concluded that it does not have the intent to sell securities in an unrealized loss position and it is more likely than not, that it would not have to sell these securities before recovery of their cost basis. In making this conclusion, the Company examined the cash flow projections for its investment portfolios, the potential sources and uses of cash in its businesses, and the cash resources available to its business other than sales of securities. It also considered the existence of any risk management or other plans as of December 31, 2022 that would require the sale of impaired securities. Impaired securities that the Company intends to sell before the expected recovery of such securities’ fair values have been written down to fair value. For the year ended December 31, 2022, impairment loss due to intent to sell securities in an unrealized loss position was $21 million and reported in “Other net realized gains (losses)” on the Company’s consolidated results of operation.

 
Credit Losses on Investments
In calculating credit-related losses, the Company uses cash flow modeling based on the type of security. The Company’s cash flow analysis considers all sources of cash that support the payment of amounts owed by an issuer of a security. For AFS investments, this includes the credit enhancement taking into the consideration of cash expected to be provided by financial guarantors, including MBIA Corp. and National, resulting from an actual or potential insurance policy claim. In general, any change in the amount and/or timing of cash flows received or expected to be received, whether or not such cash flows are contractually defined, is reflected in the Company’s cash flow analysis for purposes of assessing a credit loss on an impaired security.

Each quarter, an internal committee, comprising staff that is independent of the Company’s evaluation process for determining credit losses of securities, reviews and approves the valuation of investments. Among other responsibilities, this committee ensures that the Company’s process for identifying and calculating allowance for credit losses, including the use of models and assumptions, is reasonable and complies with the Company’s internal policy.
Determination of Credit Losses on ABS, MBS and Corporate Obligations
AFS ABS investments are evaluated for credit loss using historical collateral performance, deal waterfall and structural protections, credit ratings, and forward looking projections of collateral performance based on business and economic conditions specific to each collateral type and risk. The underlying collateral is evaluated to identify any specific performance concerns, and stress scenarios are considered in forecasting ultimate returns of principal. Based on this evaluation, if a principal default is projected for a security, estimated future cash flows are discounted at the security’s effective interest rate used to recognize interest income on the security. For CDO investments, the Company uses the same tools as its RMBS investments discussed below, aggregating the bond level cash flows to the CDO investment level. If the present value of cash flows is less than the Company’s amortized cost for the security, the difference is recorded as a credit loss.
AFS RMBS investments are evaluated for credit losses using several quantitative tools. Loan level data is obtained and analyzed in a model that produces prepayment, default, and severity vectors. The model uses macro inputs, including housing price assumptions and interest rates. The vector outputs are used as inputs to a third-party cash flow model, which considers deal waterfall dynamics and structural features, to generate cash flows for an RMBS investment. The expected cash flows of the security are then discounted at the interest rate used to recognize interest income of the security to arrive at a present value amount. If the present value of the cash flows is less than the Company’s amortized cost for the investment, the difference is recorded as a credit loss.
For AFS corporate obligation investments, credit losses are evaluated using credit analysis techniques. The Company’s analysis includes a detailed review of a number of quantitative and qualitative factors impacting the value of an individual security. These factors include the interest rate of the security (fixed or floating), the security’s current market spread, any collateral supporting the security, the security’s position in the issuer’s capital structure, and credit rating upgrades or downgrades. Additionally, these factors include an assessment of various issuer-related credit metrics including market capitalization, earnings, cash flow, capitalization, interest coverage, leverage, liquidity and management. The Company’s analysis is augmented by comparing market prices for similar securities of other issuers in the same sector, as well as any recent corporate or government actions that may impact the ultimate return of principal. If the Company determines that a principal default is projected, a recovery analysis is performed using the above data. If the Company’s estimated recovery value for the security is less than its amortized cost, the difference is recorded as a credit loss.
Determination of Credit Loss Guaranteed by the Company on Other Third-Party Guarantors
The Company does not recognize credit losses on securities insured by MBIA Corp. and National since those securities, whether or not owned by the Company, are evaluated for impairments in accordance with its loss
reserving policy. Refer to “Note 2: Significant Accounting Policies” included herein for information about the Company’s loss reserving policy and “Note 6: Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves” for information about loss reserves.
The following table provides information about securities held by the Company as of December 31, 2022 that were in an unrealized loss position and insured by a financial guarantor, along with the amount of insurance loss reserves corresponding to the par amount owned by the Company. The Company did not hold any securities in an unrealized loss position that were insured by a third-party financial guarantor as of December 31, 2022.
 
In millions
  
Fair
Value
    
Unrealized
Loss
    
Insurance Loss
Reserve
(1)
 
Mortgage-backed
   $ 58      $ (9)      $ 71  
Corporate obligations
     71        (35)         
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
 
Total
   $ 129      $ (44)      $ 71  
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
 
 
(1)—Insurance loss reserve estimates are based on the proportion of par value owned to the total amount of par value insured and are discounted using a discount rate equal to the risk-free rate applicable to the currency and weighted average remaining life of the insurance contract and may differ from the fair value.
Allowance for Credit Losses Rollforward for AFS
The Company did not purchase any credit-deteriorated assets during 2022.
The following table presents the rollforward of allowance for credit losses on AFS investments for the year ended December 31, 2022. The additions to the allowance for credit losses for the year ended December 31, 2022 were related to concerns on an issuer’s credit deterioration as a result of the Ukraine and Russia conflict. Such allowance for credit losses was reversed in the same year due to the Company’s intent to sell these securities. The Company did not establish an allowance for credit losses for AFS securities during 2021.
 

 
 
Years Ended December 31, 2022
 
In millions
 
Balance
as of
December 31,
2021
 
 
Additions
not
previously
recorded
 
 
Additions
arising
from PCD
Assets
 
 
Reductions
from
Securities
Sold
 
 
Reductions-
Intent to
sell or
MLTN
 
 
Change in
Allowance
Previously
Recorded
 
 
Write
Offs
 
 
Recoveries
 
 
Balance as of
December 31,
2022
 
AFS Investments
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed-maturity
investments:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate
obligations
  $     $ 3     $     $     $ (3)     $     $     $     $  
   
 
 
   
 
 
   
 
 
   
 
 
   
 
 
   
 
 
   
 
 
   
 
 
   
 
 
 
Total Allowance
on AFS
investments
  $     $ 3     $     $     $ (3)     $     $     $     $  
   
 
 
   
 
 
   
 
 
   
 
 
   
 
 
   
 
 
   
 
 
   
 
 
   
 
 
 
 

Sales of Available-for-Sale Investments
Gross realized gains and losses from sales of AFS investments are recorded within “Net realized investment gains (losses)” on the Company’s consolidated statements of operations. The proceeds and the gross realized gains and losses from sales of fixed-maturity securities held as AFS for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020 are as
follows:
 
 
  
Years Ended December 31,
 
In millions
  
        2022        
 
  
        2021        
 
  
        2020        
 
Proceeds from sales
   $ 1,100      $ 597      $ 1,095  
Gross realized gains
   $ 5      $ 12      $ 59  
Gross realized losses
   $ (47)      $ (9)      $ (15)  
Equity and Trading Investments
Equity and trading investments are included within “Investments carried at fair value” on the Company’s consolidated balance sheets. Unrealized gains and losses recognized on equity and trading investments held as of the end of each period for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020 are as follows:

 
 
  
Years Ended
December 31,
 
In millions
 
2022
 
  
2021
 
  
2020
 
Net gains and (losses) recognized during the period on equity securities
   $ (21)      $ 6      $ 3  
Less:
                          
Net gains and (losses) recognized during the period on equity
securities sold during the period
     (6)        1        (1)  
    
 
 
    
 
 
    
 
 
 
Unrealized gains and (losses) recognized during the period on equity
securities still held at the reporting date
   $ (15)      $ 5      $ 4