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Investments
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2020
Text Block [Abstract]  
Investments
Note 7: Investments
Investments, excluding those elected under the fair value option, include debt and equity securities classified as either AFS or HTM.
The following tables present the amortized cost, allowance for credit losses, corresponding gross unrealized gains and losses and fair value for AFS and HTM investments in the Company’s consolidated investment portfolio as of March 31, 2020:
                                                                                                               
 
 
March 31, 2020
In millions
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Allowance
for Credit
Losses
 
Gross
Unrealized
Gains
 
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
 
Fair
Value
 
AFS Investments
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed-maturity investments:
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 
U.S. Treasury and government agency
  $
758
    $
-
    $
101
    $
-
    $
859
 
State and municipal bonds
   
168
     
-
     
23
     
-
     
191
 
Foreign governments
   
10
     
-
     
-
     
(1
)    
9
 
Corporate obligations
   
1,114
     
-
     
90
     
(33
)    
1,171
 
Mortgage-backed securities:
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 
Residential mortgage-backed agency
   
266
     
-
     
8
     
-
     
274
 
Residential mortgage-backed
non-agency
   
27
     
-
     
1
     
(7
)    
21
 
Commercial mortgage-backed
   
20
     
-
     
-
     
(1
)    
19
 
Asset-backed securities:
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 
Collateralized debt obligations
   
131
     
-
     
-
     
(19
)    
112
 
Other asset-backed
   
277
     
-
     
-
     
(2
)    
275
 
                                         
Total AFS investments
  $
2,771
    $
-
    $
223
    $
(63
)   $
2,931
 
                                         
HTM Investments
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Assets of consolidated VIEs:
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 
Corporate obligations
  $
575
    $
(46
)   $
43
    $
-
    $
572
 
                                         
Total HTM investments
  $
575
    $
(46
)   $
43
    $
-
    $
572
 
                                         
 
The following tables present the amortized cost, fair value, corresponding gross unrealized gains and losses and OTTI for AFS and HTM investments in the Company’s consolidated investment portfolio as of December 31, 2019:
                                                                                                               
 
 
December 31, 2019
In millions
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Gross
Unrealized
Gains
 
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
 
Fair
Value
 
Other-Than-
Temporary
Impairments
(1)
 
AFS Investments
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed-maturity investments:
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 
U.S. Treasury and government agency
  $
838
    $
46
    $
(2
)   $
882
    $
-
 
State and municipal bonds
   
178
     
22
     
-
     
200
     
-
 
Foreign governments
   
8
     
1
     
-
     
9
     
-
 
Corporate obligations
   
1,140
     
52
     
(1
)    
1,191
     
-
 
Mortgage-backed securities:
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 
Residential mortgage-backed agency
   
317
     
3
     
-
     
320
     
-
 
Residential mortgage-backed
non-agency
   
23
     
1
     
(5
)    
19
     
-
 
Commercial mortgage-backed
   
20
     
-
     
-
     
20
     
-
 
Asset-backed securities:
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 
Collateralized debt obligations
   
139
     
-
     
(2
)    
137
     
-
 
Other asset-backed
   
321
     
1
     
(1
)    
321
     
-
 
                                         
Total AFS investments
  $
2,984
    $
126
    $
(11
)   $
3,099
    $
-
 
                                         
HTM Investments
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Assets of consolidated VIEs:
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 
Corporate obligations
  $
890
    $
2
    $
-
    $
892
    $
-
 
                                         
Total HTM investments
  $
890
    $
2
    $
-
    $
892
    $
-
 
                                         
 
 
 
(1) - Represents unrealized gains or losses on OTTI securities recognized in AOCI, which includes the
non-credit
component of impairments, as well as all subsequent changes in fair value of such impaired securities reported in AOCI.
 
HTM investments declined due to the early redemption of assets and liabilities within a structured finance VIE that was deconsolidated during the first quarter of 2020.
The following table presents the distribution by contractual maturity of AFS and HTM fixed-maturity securities at amortized cost, net of allowance for credit losses, and fair value as of March 31, 2020. Contractual maturity may differ from expected maturity as borrowers may have the right to call or prepay obligations.
                                                                                         
 
 
AFS Securities
 
HTM Securities
 
 
 
 
 
 
Consolidated VIEs
In millions
 
Net
Amortized
Cost
 
Fair Value
 
Net
Amortized
Cost
 
Fair Value
 
Due in one year or less
  $
476
    $
476
    $
-
    $
-
 
Due after one year through five years
   
500
     
506
     
-
     
-
 
Due after five years through ten years
   
345
     
357
     
-
     
-
 
Due after ten years
   
729
     
891
     
529
     
572
 
Mortgage-backed and asset-backed
   
721
     
701
     
-
     
-
 
                                 
Total fixed-maturity investments
  $
2,771
    $
2,931
    $
529
    $
572
 
                                 
 
Deposited and Pledged Securities
The fair value of securities on deposit with various regulatory authorities as of March 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019 was $11 million. These deposits are required to comply with state insurance laws.
Pursuant to the Company’s tax sharing agreement, securities held by MBIA Inc. in the Tax Escrow Account are included as “Investments pledged as collateral, at fair value” on the Company’s consolidated balance sheets.
Investment agreement obligations require the Company to pledge securities as collateral. Securities pledged in connection with investment agreements may not be repledged by the investment agreement counterparty. As of March 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019, the fair value of securities pledged as collateral for these investment agreements approximated $299 million and $313 million, respectively. The Company’s collateral as of March 31, 2020 consisted principally of U.S. Treasury and government agency and corporate obligations, and was primarily held with major U.S. banks. Additionally, the Company pledged cash as collateral under investment agreements in the amount of $8 million as of March 31, 2020.
Refer to “Note 8: Derivative Instruments” for information about securities posted to derivative counterparties.
Impaired Investments
The following table presents the
non-credit
related gross unrealized losses related to AFS investments as of March 31, 2020:
                                                                                                                                     
 
 
March 31, 2020
 
 
Less than 12 Months
 
12 Months or Longer
 
Total
 
 
Fair
 
Unrealized
 
Fair
 
Unrealized
 
Fair
 
Unrealized
 
In millions
 
Value
 
Losses
 
Value
 
Losses
 
Value
 
Losses
 
AFS Investments
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed-maturity investments:
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 
U.S. Treasury and government agency
  $
4
    $
-
    $
-
    $
-
    $
4
    $
-
 
State and municipal bonds
   
31
     
-
     
-
     
-
     
31
     
-
 
Foreign governments
   
7
     
(1
)    
-
     
-
     
7
     
(1
)
Corporate obligations
   
482
     
(31
)    
6
     
(2
)    
488
     
(33
)
Mortgage-backed securities:
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 
Residential mortgage-backed
non-agency
   
9
     
(1
)    
9
     
(6
)    
18
     
(7
)
Commercial mortgage-backed
   
9
     
(1
)    
-
     
-
     
9
     
(1
)
Asset-backed securities:
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 
Collateralized debt obligations
   
49
     
(4
)    
64
     
(15
)    
113
     
(19
)
Other asset-backed
   
170
     
(2
)    
-
     
-
     
170
     
(2
)
                                                 
Total AFS investments
  $
761
    $
(40
)   $
79
    $
(23
)   $
840
    $
(63
)
                                                 
 
The following table presents the gross unrealized losses related to AFS investments as of December 31, 2019:
                                                                                                                                     
 
 
December 31, 2019
 
 
Less than 12
Months
 
12 Months or
Longer
 
Total
 
 
Fair
 
Unrealized
 
Fair
 
Unrealized
 
Fair
 
Unrealized
 
In millions
 
Value
 
Losses
 
Value
 
Losses
 
Value
 
Losses
 
AFS Investments
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed-maturity investments:
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 
U.S. Treasury and government agency
  $
148
    $
(1
)   $
79
    $
(1
)   $
227
    $
(2
)
State and municipal bonds
   
11
     
-
     
15
     
-
     
26
     
-
 
Corporate obligations
   
53
     
(1
)    
10
     
-
     
63
     
(1
)
Mortgage-backed securities:
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 
Residential mortgage-backed agency
   
62
     
-
     
7
     
-
     
69
     
-
 
Residential mortgage-backed
non-agency
   
-
     
-
     
11
     
(5
)    
11
     
(5
)
Commercial mortgage-backed
   
5
     
-
     
-
     
-
     
5
     
-
 
Asset-backed securities:
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 
Collateralized debt obligations
   
44
     
-
     
77
     
(2
)    
121
     
(2
)
Other asset-backed
   
48
     
(1
)    
7
     
-
     
55
     
(1
)
                                                 
Total AFS investments
  $
371
    $
(3
)   $
206
    $
(8
)   $
577
    $
(11
)
                                                 
 
 
Gross unrealized losses on AFS investments increased as of March 31, 2020 compared with December 31, 2019 primarily due to widening credit spreads, partially offset by lower interest rates.
With the weighting applied on the fair value of each security relative to the total fair value, the weighted average contractual maturity of securities in an unrealized loss position as of March 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019 was 8 and 10 years, respectively. As of March 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019, there were 42 and 63 securities, respectively, that were in an unrealized loss position for a continuous twelve-month period or longer, of which, fair values of 41 and 16 securities, respectively, were below book value by more than 5%.
The following table presents the distribution of securities in an unrealized loss position for a continuous twelve-month period or longer where fair value was below book value by more than 5% as of March 31, 2020:
                                                                   
 
 
AFS Securities
Percentage of Fair Value Below Book Value
 
Number of
Securities
 
Book Value
(in millions)
 
Fair Value
(in millions)
 
> 5% to 15%
   
8
    $
21
    $
20
 
> 15% to 25%
   
18
     
48
     
38
 
> 25% to 50%
   
13
     
33
     
21
 
> 50%
   
2
     
-
     
-
 
                         
Total
   
41
    $
102
    $
79
 
                         
 
 
The Company concluded that it does not have the intent to sell securities in an unrealized loss position and it is more likely than not, that it would not have to sell these securities before recovery of their cost basis. In making this conclusion, the Company examined the cash flow projections for its investment portfolios, the potential sources and uses of cash in its businesses, and the cash resources available to its business other than sales of securities. It also considered the existence of any risk management or other plans as of March 31, 2020 that would require the sale of impaired securities. Impaired securities that the Company intends to sell before the expected recovery of such securities’ fair values have been written down to fair value.
Credit Losses on Investments
In calculating credit-related losses, the Company uses cash flow modeling based on the type of security. The Company’s cash flow analysis considers all sources of cash that support the payment of amounts owed by an issuer of a security. For AFS investments, this includes the credit enhancement taking into the consideration of cash expected to be provided by financial guarantors, including MBIA Corp. and National, resulting from an actual or potential insurance policy claim. In general, any change in the amount and/or timing of cash flows received or expected to be received, whether or not such cash flows are contractually defined, is reflected in the Company’s cash flow analysis for purposes of assessing a credit loss on an impaired security.
Each quarter, an internal committee, comprising staff that is independent of the Company’s evaluation process for determining credit losses of securities, reviews and approves the valuation of investments. Among other responsibilities, this committee ensures that the Company’s process for identifying and calculating allowance for credit losses, including the use of models and assumptions, is reasonable and complies with the Company’s internal policy.
Determination of Credit Losses on ABS, MBS and Corporate Obligations
AFS ABS investments are evaluated for credit loss using historical collateral performance, deal waterfall and structural protections, credit ratings, and forward looking projections of collateral performance based on business and economic conditions specific to each collateral type and risk. The underlying collateral is evaluated to identify any specific performance concerns, and stress scenarios are considered in forecasting ultimate returns of principal. Based on this evaluation, if a principal default is projected for a security, estimated future cash flows are discounted at the security’s effective interest rate used to recognize interest income on the security. For CDO investments, the Company uses the same tools as its RMBS investments discussed below, aggregating the bond level cash flows to the CDO investment level. If the present value of cash flows is less than the Company’s amortized cost for the security, the difference is recorded as a credit loss.
AFS RMBS investments are evaluated for credit losses using several quantitative tools. Loan level data is obtained and analyzed in a model that produces prepayment, default, and severity vectors. The model uses macro inputs, including housing price assumptions and interest rates. The vector outputs are used as inputs to a third-party cash flow model, which considers deal waterfall dynamics and structural features, to generate cash flows for an RMBS investment. The expected cash flows of the security are then discounted at the interest rate used to recognize interest income of the security to arrive at a present value amount. If the present value of the cash flows is less than the Company’s amortized cost for the investment, the difference is recorded as a credit loss.
For AFS corporate obligation investments, credit losses are evaluated using credit analysis techniques. The Company’s analysis includes a detailed review of a number of quantitative and qualitative factors impacting the value of an individual security. These factors include the interest rate of the security (fixed or floating), the security’s current market spread, any collateral supporting the security, the security’s position in the issuer’s capital structure, and credit rating upgrades or downgrades. Additionally, these factors include an assessment of various issuer-related credit metrics including market capitalization, earnings, cash flow, capitalization, interest coverage, leverage, liquidity and management. The Company’s analysis is augmented by comparing market prices for similar securities of other issuers in the same sector, as well as any recent corporate or government actions that may impact the ultimate return of principal. If the Company determines that a principal default is projected, a recovery analysis is performed using the above data. If the Company’s estimated recovery value for the security is less than its amortized cost, the difference is recorded as a credit loss.
For HTM corporate obligation investments, credit losses are evaluated based on quarterly estimates of the probability-weighted amount of principal and interest cash flows expected to be collected over the estimated remaining lives of the security. Developing the Company’s probability-weighted expected future cash flows is a quantitative and qualitative process that incorporates information received from third-party sources along with certain internal assumptions regarding the future performance. The Company’s considerations include, but are not limited to, (a) changes in the financial conditions of the security’s underlying collateral, (b) whether the issuer is current on contractually obligated interest and principal payments, (c) changes in the financial condition, credit rating and near-term prospects of the issuer, (d) level of excess cash flows generated from the underlying collateral supporting the principal and interest payments of the security. Estimates of collectability require the use of significant management judgment and include the probability and timing of issuer’s default and loss severity estimates. In addition, cash flow projections may change when these factors are reviewed and updated as appropriate.
Determination of Credit Loss Guaranteed by the Company on Other Third-Party Guarantors
The Company does not recognize credit losses on securities insured by MBIA Corp. and National since those securities, whether or not owned by the Company, are evaluated for impairments in accordance with its loss reserving policy. The following table provides information about securities held by the Company as of March 31, 2020 that were in an unrealized loss position and insured by a financial guarantor, along with the amount of insurance loss reserves corresponding to the par amount owned by the Company:
                                                                   
In millions
 
Fair Value
 
Unrealized
Loss
 
Insurance Loss
Reserve
(2)
 
Mortgage-backed:
   
 
     
 
     
 
 
MBIA
(1)
  $
9
    $
(6)
    $
22
 
 
 
 
 
 
  (1) - Includes investments insured by MBIA Corp. and National.
 
 
 
 
  (2) - Insurance loss reserve estimates are based on the proportion of par value owned to the total amount of par value insured.
 
 
Allowance for Credit Losses Rollforward
The Company did not establish an allowance for credit losses for AFS securities as of March 31, 2020 or purchase any credit-deteriorated assets for the three months ended March 31, 2020.
The following table presents the rollforward of allowance for credit losses on HTM investments for the three months ended March 31, 2020:
                                                                                                                                     
 
In millions
 
 
 
Three Months Ended March 31, 2020
 
 
 
Balance
as of
January 1,
2020
1
 
Current period
provision for
expected
credit losses
 
Initial
allowance
recognized for
PCD assets
 
Write-Offs
 
Recoveries
 
Balance
as of
March 31,
2020
 
HTM Investments
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Assets of consolidated VIEs:
   
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 
Corporate obligations
  $
37
    $
9
    $
-
    $
-
    $
-
    $
46
 
                                                 
Total Allowance on HTM investments
  $
37
    $
9
    $
-
    $
-
    $
-
    $
46
 
                                                 
 
(1) - Represents transition adjustment upon adoption of ASU
2016-13.
Credit Loss Rollforward for AFS
The portion of certain unrealized losses on fixed-maturity securities that does not represent credit losses is recognized in AOCI. For these impairments, the net amount recognized in earnings represents the difference between the amortized cost of the security and the net present value of its projected future discounted cash flows prior to impairment. Any remaining difference between the fair value and amortized cost is recognized in AOCI. The following table presents the amount of credit loss impairments recognized in earnings on fixed-maturity securities held by MBIA as of the dates indicated, for which a portion of the
non-credit
related losses was recognized in AOCI, and the corresponding changes in such amounts. The additional credit loss impairments on securities previously impaired for the three months ended March 31, 2019 was primarily related to an impaired security for which a loss was recognized as the difference between the amortized cost and net present value of projected cash flows. The OTTI for the three months ended March 31, 2019 resulted from updated liquidity concerns and other adverse financial conditions of the issuer.
               
In millions
 
Three Months Ended
 
Credit Losses Recognized in Earnings Related to Other-Than-Temporary Impairments
 
March 31, 2019
 
Beginning balance
  $
37
 
Additions for credit loss impairments recognized in the current period on securities previously impaired
   
28
 
         
Ending balance
  $
65
 
         
 
Sales of
Available-for-Sale
Investments
Gross realized gains and losses are recorded within “Net gains (losses) on financial instruments at fair value and foreign exchange” on the Company’s consolidated statements of operations. The proceeds and the gross realized gains and losses from sales of fixed-maturity securities held as AFS for the three months ended March 31, 2020 and 2019 are as follows:
                                             
 
 
Three Months Ended
March 31,
In millions
 
2020
 
2019
 
Proceeds from sales
  $
279
    $
683
 
Gross realized gains
  $
11
    $
5
 
Gross realized losses
  $
(8
)   $
(1
)
Equity Investments
Unrealized gains and losses recognized on equity investments held as of the end of each period for the three months ended March 31, 2020 and 2019 are as follows:
                                             
 
 
Three Months Ended
March 31,
In millions
 
2020
 
2019
 
Net gains and (losses) recognized during the period on equity securities
  $
(13
)   $
5
 
Less:
   
 
     
 
 
Net gains and (losses) recognized during the period on equity securities sold during the period
   
-
     
1
 
                 
Unrealized gains and (losses) recognized during the period on equity securities still held at the reporting date
  $
(13
)   $
4