 2
Forward-Looking Statement
EXHIBIT 99
Readers are cautioned that statements contained in this presentation about our future
performance, including future revenues, earnings, strategies, prospects, consequences and all other statements that
are not purely historical, are forward-looking statements for purposes of the safe
harbor provisions under The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. When used herein, the words “anticipate”,
“intend”, “estimate”, “believe”, “expect”,
“plan”, “should”, “hypothetical”, “potential”, “forecast”, “project”, variations of such words and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements.
Although we believe that our expectations are based on reasonable assumptions, they are
subject to risks and uncertainties and we can give no assurance they will be achieved. The results or
developments projected or predicted in these statements may differ materially from what
may actually occur. Factors which could cause results or events to differ from current expectations include, but are
not limited to:
• adverse changes in the demand for or price of the capacity and energy that we
sell into wholesale electricity markets, • adverse changes in energy
industry law, policies and regulation, including market structures and a potential shift away from competitive markets toward subsidized market mechanisms,
transmission planning and cost allocation rules, including rules regarding how
transmission is planned and who is permitted to build transmission in the future, and reliability standards,
• any inability of our transmission and distribution businesses to obtain
adequate and timely rate relief and regulatory approvals from federal and state regulators,
• changes in federal and state environmental regulations that could increase our
costs or limit our operations, • changes in nuclear regulation and/or
general developments in the nuclear power industry, including various impacts from any accidents or incidents experienced at our facilities or by
others in the industry, that could limit operations of our nuclear generating units,
• actions or activities at one of our nuclear units located on a
multi-unit site that might adversely affect our ability to continue to operate that unit or other units located at the same site,
• any inability to balance our energy obligations, available supply and trading
risks, • any deterioration in our credit quality, or the credit quality of
our counterparties, including in our leveraged leases, •
availability of capital and credit at commercially reasonable terms and conditions and our ability to meet cash needs,
• any inability to realize anticipated tax benefits or retain tax credits,
• changes in the cost of, or interruption in the supply of, fuel and other
commodities necessary to the operation of our generating units, • delays
in receipt of necessary permits and approvals for our construction and development activities,
• delays or unforeseen cost escalations in our construction and development
activities, • any inability to achieve or continue to sustain, our
expected levels of operating performance, • increase in competition in
energy supply markets as well as competition for certain rate-based transmission projects,
• challenges associated with recruitment and/or retention of a qualified
workforce, • adverse performance of our decommissioning and defined
benefit plan trust fund investments and changes in discount rates and funding requirements, and
• changes in technology and customer usage patterns.
For further information, please refer to our Annual Report on Form 10-K, including
Item 1A. Risk Factors, and subsequent reports on Form 10-Q and Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission. These documents address in further detail our business, industry
issues and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in this presentation. In
addition, any forward-looking statements included herein represent our
estimates only as of today and should not be relied upon as representing our estimates as of any subsequent date. While we may
elect to update forward-looking statements from time to time, we specifically
disclaim any obligation to do so, even if our internal estimates change, unless otherwise required by applicable securities laws. |
 3
GAAP Disclaimer
PSEG presents Operating Earnings in addition to its Net Income reported in
accordance with generally accepted accounting principles
in the United
States (GAAP). Operating Earnings is a non-GAAP financial measure that
differs from Net Income because it excludes gains or losses associated with
Nuclear Decommissioning Trust (NDT), Mark-to-Market (MTM)
accounting, and other material one-time items. PSEG presents
Operating Earnings because management believes that it is appropriate for
investors to
consider results excluding these items in addition to the results reported in
accordance with GAAP. PSEG believes that the non-GAAP financial
measure of Operating Earnings provides a consistent and comparable
measure of performance of its businesses to help shareholders understand
performance trends. This information is not
intended to be viewed as an
alternative to GAAP information. The last page in this presentation (Page A)
includes a list of items excluded from Income from Continuing Operations to
reconcile to Operating Earnings, with a reference to that slide included on
each of the slides where the non-GAAP information appears.
|
 10
Our 2012 earnings guidance is influenced by a
decline in energy prices and increased investment
at PSE&G
2012 Operating Earnings Forecast
*See page A for Items excluded from Income from Continuing Operations to reconcile
to Operating Earnings; All periods reflect Texas in Discontinued
Operations. E=Estimate. 2011 Operating Earnings*
2012 Guidance
$2.25 to $2.50E
$2.74 |
 13
Guidance
$1.31
$1.13
PSEG’s 2012 earnings guidance of $2.25 to $2.50
reflects continued improvement at PSE&G and a
decline in margins at Power
$0.00
$0.20
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
2011 Operating Earnings*
2012E Earnings Guidance*
PSE&G Earnings Per Share
2012 Assumptions
PSE&G
Growth in investments that provide
contemporaneous returns
—
Transmission
—
Distribution economic stimulus programs
—
Programs supporting NJ’s Energy Master
Plan
Power
Impacted by lower energy prices
Near term effects minimized by hedges in place
~400MW new Peaking capacity in-service mid
2012
Energy Holdings / Parent
Operating earnings guidance of $0.07 to $0.09
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
2011 Operating Earnings*
2012E Earnings Guidance*
Power Earnings Per Share
Guidance
$1.10
$1.05
*See
page
A
for
Items
excluded
from
Income
from
Continuing
Operations
to
reconcile
to
Operating
Earnings;
2011
reflects
Texas
in
Discontinued
Operations. E = Estimate |
 21
The
business
of
PSEG:
Returning
cash
to
investors
through common dividends and preserving flexibility to
invest for future growth
PSEG Annual Dividend Rate
$1.08
$1.08
$1.10
$1.12
$1.14
$1.17
$1.29
$1.33
$1.37
$1.37
$1.42
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Payout
Ratio
111%
62%
70%
63%
66%
43%
44%
43%
44%
50%
60%*
5-year Rate of Growth 3.95%
10-year Rate of Growth 2.78%
*Based on mid-point of 2012 operating earnings guidance.
|
 34
Actively managing our fleet in a volatile commodity
market, with an asset profile that provides diverse
opportunities for value creation
•
Steep natural gas decline has had a major impact on US power prices and Dark
Spreads •
Coal prices have been supported by long-term contracting and international
demand •
Decline in Dark Spread has led to reduced coal-fired generation in the last 15
months •
Power’s investments in dual-fuel capability at Hudson and Mercer coal
units have made them more attractive than many other coal units in this
environment, and we have switched to gas generation as economics
dictate 2014
Forward
Prices
&
Dark
Spread*
2013
Forward
Prices
&
Dark
Spread*
* As of April 27, 2012. |
 35
•
Low power prices are not a good environment for any merchant generator, although
Power is more of a hybrid with long-term contracting through BGS sales
as well as forward hedging •
Forward markets signal continued strength in Spark Spreads and Heat Rates
•
Strong spark spreads in the Northeast have benefitted our gas-fired
fleet •
Power is well positioned with hedged nuclear output and efficient combined cycle
margin contribution
Henry
Hub
Gas
Forwards*
2013 and 2014 RTC
Forward
Prices
&
Spark
Spread*
0
1
2
3
4
2013
2014
2015
Managing our fleet to capitalize on volatility
* As of April 27, 2012. |
 48
PSEG Resources Leveraged Lease Portfolio
Lessee
Equipment
3/31/12
Invested
($ millions)
S&P
Credit
Rating*
REMA (GenOn)
Keystone, Conemaugh & Shawville (PA)
3 coal fired plants (1,162
equity MW)
334
B
Dynegy Holdings
Danskammer & Roseton Generating Station (NY)
370 MW coal fired and 1,200 MW oil/gas fired
-
-
Edison Mission
Energy (EME)
Powerton & Joliet Generating Stations (IL)
2 coal-fired generating facilities (1,640 equity MW)
218
CCC+
Merrill Creek –
(PECO, MetEd,
Delmarva P&L)
Reservoir in NJ
130
BBB,
BBB-,
BBB+
Grand Gulf
Nuclear station in Mississippi (154 equity MW)
66
A+
Renaissance Ctr.
Office towers located in Detroit, MI leased to GM
41
BB+
Wal-Mart
Portfolio of 6 Wal-Mart stores
12
AA
E-D Centers
Portfolio of 8 shopping centers
23
NR
Total Leases
$824
*Indicative recent rating as of 4/16/2012 reflecting either Lessee, additional
equity collateral support or parent company unsecured debt rating.
|
 50
PSEG 2012 Operating Earnings Guidance
-
By Subsidiary
$ millions (except EPS)
2012E
2011
PSEG Power
$575 –
$665
$ 845
PSE&G
$530 –
$560
$ 521
PSEG Energy Holdings/Parent
$35 –
$45
$ 23
Operating Earnings*
$1,140 –
$1,270
$ 1,389
Earnings per Share
$ 2.25 –
$ 2.50
$2.74
* See page A for Items excluded from Income from Continuing Operations to reconcile
to Operating Earnings. |
 57
Tax Update
Definitive agreement reached with the IRS that settles the tax
treatment for challenged lease transactions (LILO/SILO) for all
tax years
Settlement reached with the IRS for all federal audit issues for
tax years 1997-2006
Expected net refund of ~$170M |
 Items
Excluded from Income from Continuing Operations to Reconcile to Operating
Earnings Please see Page 3 for an explanation of PSEG’s use of Operating
Earnings as a non-GAAP financial measure and how it differs from Net Income.
Page A
Attachment 10
2012
2011
2011
2010
2009
Earnings Impact ($ Millions)
Gain (Loss) on Nuclear Decommissioning Trust (NDT)
Fund Related Activity (PSEG Power)
5
$
27
$
50
$
46
$
9
$
Gain (Loss) on Mark-to-Market (MTM)
(a)
(PSEG Power)
52
4
107
(1)
(11)
Lease Related Activity (PSEG Energy Holdings)
4
-
(173)
-
29
Market Transition Charge Refund (PSE&G)
-
-
-
(72)
-
Gain on Sale of Qwest Building (Energy Holdings)
-
-
34
-
-
Total Pro-forma adjustments
61
$
31
$
18
$
(27)
$
27
$
Fully Diluted Average Shares Outstanding (in Millions)
507
507
507
507
507
Per Share Impact (Diluted)
Gain (Loss) on NDT Fund Related Activity (PSEG Power)
0.01
$
0.05
$
0.10
$
0.09
$
0.02
$
Gain (Loss) on MTM
(a)
(PSEG Power)
0.10
0.01
0.21
-
(0.02)
Lease Related Activity (PSEG Energy Holdings)
0.01
-
(0.34)
-
0.05
Market Transition Charge Refund (PSE&G)
-
-
-
(0.14)
-
Gain on Sale of Qwest Building (Energy Holdings)
-
-
0.06
-
-
Total Pro-forma adjustments
0.12
$
0.06
$
0.03
$
(0.05)
$
0.05
$
(a) Includes the financial impact from positions with forward delivery months.
For the Three Months Ended
For the Year Ended
March 31,
PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INCORPORATED
Reconciling Items Excluded from Continuing Operations to Compute Operating Earnings
(Unaudited)
Pro-forma Adjustments, net of tax
December 31, |