EX-99 2 c55901_ex99.htm

Public Service Enterprise Group

NJ Utility Shareholder Group Meeting

Hasbrouck Heights, NJ

December 9, 2008


Forward-Looking Statement

Readers are cautioned that statements contained in this presentation about our and our subsidiaries’ future performance, including future
revenues, earnings, strategies, prospects and all other statements that are not purely historical, are forward-looking statements for purposes of the
safe harbor provisions under The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Although we believe that our expectations are based on
reasonable assumptions, we can give no assurance they will be achieved.  The results or events predicted in these statements may differ
materially from actual results or events.  Factors which could cause results or events to differ from current expectations include, but are not limited
to:

Adverse changes in energy industry, policies and regulation, including market rules that may adversely affect our operating results.

Any inability of our energy transmission and distribution businesses to obtain adequate and timely rate relief and/or regulatory approvals from
federal and/or state regulators.

Changes in federal and/or state environmental regulations that could increase our costs or limit operations of our generating units.

Changes in nuclear regulation and/or developments in the nuclear power industry generally, that could limit operations of our nuclear generating
units.

Actions or activities at one of our nuclear units that might adversely affect our ability to continue to operate that unit or other units at the same site.

Any inability to balance successfully our energy obligations, available supply and trading risks.

Any deterioration in our credit quality.

Availability of capital and credit markets at reasonable pricing terms and ability to meet cash needs.

Any inability to realize anticipated tax benefits or retain tax credits.

Increases in the cost of or interruption in the supply of fuel and other commodities necessary to the operation of our generating units.

Delays or cost escalations in our construction and development activities.

Adverse capital market performance of our decommissioning and defined benefit plan trust funds.

Changes in technology and/or increased customer conservation.

For further information, please refer to our Annual Report on Form 10-K, including Item 1A. Risk Factors, and subsequent reports on Form 10-Q
and Form 8-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.  These documents address in further detail our business, industry issues and
other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in this presentation.  In addition, any  forward-looking
statements included herein represent our estimates only as of today and should not be relied upon as representing our estimates as of any
subsequent date.  While we may elect to update forward-looking statements from time to time, we specifically disclaim any obligation to do so,
even if our estimates change, unless otherwise required by applicable securities laws.

2


GAAP Disclaimer

PSEG presents Operating Earnings in addition to its Net Income reported
in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United
States (GAAP). Operating Earnings is a non-GAAP financial measure that
differs from Net Income because it excludes the impact of the sale of
certain non-core domestic and international assets and material
impairments and lease-transaction-related charges. PSEG presents
Operating Earnings because management believes that it is appropriate
for investors to consider results excluding these items in addition to the
results reported in accordance with GAAP. PSEG believes that the non-
GAAP financial measure of Operating Earnings provides a consistent and
comparable measure of performance of its businesses to help
shareholders understand performance trends.  This information is
not intended to be viewed as an alternative to GAAP information. The last
slide in this presentation includes a list of items excluded from Net Income
to reconcile to Operating Earnings
, with a reference to that slide included
on each of the slides where the non-GAAP information appears.  

3


PSEG Strategic Overview

Tom O’Flynn                                                                 
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer


PSEG’s diverse asset mix, operational excellence and strong
balance sheet …

… position it to provide value and benefit from multiple growth
opportunities.

Stable electric and gas
distribution and electric
transmission company
rated top quartile for
reliability, providing
service in mature
service territory in New
Jersey.

Major merchant
generation company with
13,487 MW* of base-
load, intermediate and
load-following capability
operating in attractive
Northeast markets with
operating control of
additional 2,000 MW of
capacity in Texas.

Redeployment of capital
through the sale of
international assets.  
Focused on managing
Texas assets, lease
portfolio, modest
domestic PPA capacity
and potential investment
in renewable energy
development.

2007 Operating
Earnings:

$949M**

$115M**

$376M**

2008 Guidance:

$1,010M - $1,110M

$75M – $90M

$350M – $370M

** See page 19 for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings

* Includes recent uprates at Hope Creek (150MW) and Salem 2 (23MW)

5


PSEG is well-positioned …

Regulatory contract for new peaking capacity in CT (in-service date 2012)

Potential to leverage existing brownfield sites

Compressed Air Energy Storage (CAES)

Garden State Offshore Energy exploring development of 350MW offshore wind farm (could be fully operational in 2013)

Capacity
Needs

Significant new transmission capital program to improve reliability

FERC approved request for cost of service formula rates for existing and future transmission investments effective October 1, 2008

Capital investment in coal fleet to meet environmental requirements
maintains critical infrastructure and expands capability

Infrastructure
Requirements

PSEG Power’s base-load nuclear assets well situated in carbon                  
constrained environment

RGGI auction provides guide for eventual Federal action

NJ releases Energy Master Plan (EMP)

PSE&G pursuing investments in energy efficiency and renewables

Climate
Change

… to capitalize on the challenges of the current business environment.

6


PSEG – 2008 Highlights

$3.35 billion of available liquidity; capital needs funded from internal
cash

Responding to challenging credit markets – capital expenditures for
2009 reduced by $275 - $325 million

Strong balance
sheet

SAESA and Bioenergie sale closed; reserve established for
potential lease liability

Ratings outlook for PSEG, PSE&G, and Holdings moved from
Negative to Stable

Improved risk
profile

NJ releases Energy Master Plan

FERC Transmission rate order effective October 1, 2008

FERC endorses Reliability Pricing Model

RGGI auction in September 2008 – price for carbon at $3.07/ton

Supportive
regulatory
environment

  PSE&G honored as America’s Most Reliable Electric Utility

  PSEG Power – Nuclear capacity factor at 93% YTD September 30

                      – Nuclear uprates yield 173MW of new capacity

Strong operating
performance
maintained

  Maintaining 2008 guidance of $2.80 - $3.05 per share

  Supporting lower half of 2009 earnings of $3.05 - $3.35 per share

Solid earnings
performance

7


Low-cost portfolio

Strong cash generator

Regional focus in competitive,
liquid markets

Assets favorably located

Many units east of PJM constraints

Southern NEPOOL/Connecticut

Near customers/load centers

80% of fossil capacity has dual-fuel
capabilities

Integrated generation and portfolio
management optimizes asset-
based revenues

… with numerous competitive advantages over the long-term.

PSEG Power - right set of assets in right markets …

18%

46 %

8 %

27 %

Fuel Diversity – 2008

Coal

Gas

Oil

Nuclear

Pumped

Storage

1%

Energy Produced - 2007

54%

25%

19%

Oil 1%

Pumped
Storage
1%

Nuclear

Coal

Gas

Total GWh: 53,200**

Total MW: 13,487*

* Includes recent uprates at Hope Creek (150MW) and Salem 2 (23MW)

** Excludes 2,000MW of combined cycle generation in Texas under PSEG Power’s operating control.

8


Through its highly skilled workforce and disciplined capital
investments …

2008 National ReliabilityOne Award winner
– Winner in three of the last four years

Solid regulatory relationships on traditional
utility matters

NJ is ranked 2nd nationally in personal
income per capita

(0.2%)

1.6%

Historical Annual
Sales Growth

2003 - 2007

3,397M Therms

44,354 GWh  

Electric Sales and  Gas Sold
and Transported

LTM 9/30/08

0.2%

1.7 Million

Gas

0.5%

2.1 Million

Electric

Projected Annual
Sales Growth

2008 - 2012

Customers

1.3%

Historical Annual Peak Growth

2003-2007

10,654

Billing Peak (MW)

1,429

Network Circuit
Miles

1.4%*

Projected Annual Peak Growth

2008 - 2012

Electric and Gas Distribution Statistics (9/30/08)

Transmission Statistics (9/30/08)

… PSE&G has become a nationally recognized leader in delivering
safe and reliable service.

* to be updated in December, preliminary estimate of update is ~1.0%

9


By 2018, NJ’s load is expected to grow by 4,000MW while net import
capability decrease by 1,300MW …

Projects to NY

The Neptune HVDC project (685 MW)
connecting Sayreville to Long Island

The Linden VFT project (330 MW)
connecting Linden to Staten Island

The Bergen O66 project (670 MW)
connecting Bergen to ConEd’s West
49th Street substation

The Bergen Q75 project (1,000 MW)
connecting Bergen to ConEd’s West
49th Street substation

U2-046 project (660MW) originating at
Roseland 500kV

U2-047 project (672) connecting Deans
500kV with Long Island

U2-077 project (300MW) originating at
Linden 230kV

U2-100 project (1,000MW) originating
at Bergen 230kV

Projects to NJ

PSEG’s evaluation of the
proposed backbone
transmission projects:

Northern 500kV route
into Jefferson and
Roseland

Southern 500kV route
into Salem

… indicating the need for additional generation, DSM or transmission
investments.

Total Import
Capability

~ 4,000 MW

Total Export
Capability

~ 5,317 MW

2008-2018 NJ Summer Peak
Annual Growth Rate = 1.8%

Sources: Imports: PSE&G Estimates; Exports:  PJM 2008 Regional Transmission Expansion Plan; and Load Growth: PJM 2008 Load Forecast Report

Projects within NJ

Branchburg to
Roseland

Roseland to Hudson

10


FERC’s recent transmission formula rate order grants an 11.68%
ROE and fully-forecasted cost of service …

… creating an attractive investment environment for PSE&G’s
Transmission Capital Program.  

Branchburg

Roseland

Jefferson

New Freedom

Smithburg

Deans

MAPP

Hope Creek

Salem

Project

Transmission Growth

Effective October 1, 2008, PSE&G is operating under
fully forecasted transmission formula rates

PJM approval was received for the Susquehanna to
Roseland line in October 2007

Siting and permitting process underway

FERC approved Incentive rate filing:

125 BPS adder to ROE

100% CWIP in Rate Base

Current cost estimate $750 million

FERC approval of Sub-Transmission to Transmission
system reliability investments represents about $375
million through 2012, post-2012 ~$60 million/year

Other approved RTEP projects ~$250 million also
contribute meaningfully to improved reliability and
earnings growth

Backbone projects are in various stages of
consideration/approval, but present real opportunity to
improve reliability throughout the state, with the
potential investment of ~ $1.5B through 2015

Hudson

11


With the sale of international assets, Holdings is now focused …

… on its domestic generation assets, leveraged lease portfolio and
potential renewables development.

PSEG
Resources
47%

Chile & Peru
Distribution

Texas
Merchant
Generation

Other US
Generation

2007 Operating Earnings*

86% of the portfolio is
in energy-related
leveraged leases

2008 Guidance - Operating Earnings

13%

23%

17%

Texas
Merchant
Generation

67%

PSEG
Resources   
15%

Other US
Generation

18%

~390MW owned in
     CA, HI, NH
fully contracted

$ 115M

$ 75M - $90M

Two companies sold
and SAESA in Disc
            Ops. in 2007            

Two 1,000 MW CCGTs                 
1 in Central Texas (South Zone)     
1 in West Texas

* See page 19 for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings

12


-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

2007

2008E

2009E

2010E

2011E

PSEG Resources is managing its current investment portfolio …

… and earnings reflect potential resolution of tax matters.

PSEG Resources - Earnings Profile

Most of exposure related to cross border leases dealt with in 2nd quarter
2008.

$355 million charge to reflect potential changes to timing of tax cash flow.

$135 million increase to interest reserve.

$58

$15 -$20

($20) –
($30)

$15 - $25

(Net Income)

($20) –
($30)

13


2007 Operating Earnings*

2008 Guidance

2009 Guidance

$2.71

$2.80 - $3.05

On track to meet 2008 earnings guidance

* See page 19 for Items excluded from Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings

9 Months YTD
Operating
Earnings:
$2.43*

$3.05 - $3.35

… but, potential increases in coal prices and pension / financing
costs may limit growth in 2009 to lower half of forecast range.

14


PSEG Liquidity as of October 31, 2008

Expiration

Total

Primary

Usage at

Available

Company

Facility

Date

Facility

Purpose

10/31/2008

10/31/2008

PSEG

5-year Credit Facility

Dec-12

$1,000

1

CP Support/Funding/LCs

$13

$987

Bilateral Credit Facility

Jun-09

$100

CP Support/Funding

$0

$100

Uncommitted Bilateral Agreement

N/A

N/A

Funding

0

N/A

PSE&G

5-year Credit Facility

Jun-12

600

2

CP Support/Funding/LCs

116

484

Uncommitted Bilateral Agreement

N/A

N/A

Funding

0

N/A

Energy

5-year Credit Facility

Jun-10

136

Funding/LCs

21

115

Holdings

Power

5-Year Credit Facility

Dec-12

1,600

3

Funding/LCs

205

1,395

Bilateral Credit Facility

Jun-09

100

Funding/LCs

0

100

Bilateral Credit Facility

Mar-09

150

Funding/LCs

48

102

Bilateral Credit Facility

Sep-09

50

Funding

50

0

Bilateral Credit Facility

Mar-10

100

Funding/LCs

24

76

Total

$3,836

$3,359

1

PSEG Facility reduces by $47 million in 2012

2

PSE&G Facility reduces by $28 million in 2012

3

Power Facility reduces by $75 million in 2012

($ millions)

15


$1.12

$1.14

$1.29

$1.17

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009E

Our recent 10% dividend increase continues 100-year history of
paying common dividends.

A payout objective of 40 – 50% provides opportunity for growth
with earnings.

* Indicated annual dividend rate

*

44%

Payout
Ratio

40 – 50%

43%

66%

63%

?

Dividends per Share

16


Creating shareholder value for the long-term …

PSEG

S&P
Utilities

S&P 500

12.6%

10.1%

-1.4%

PSEG

S&P
Utilities

S&P 500

9.6%

3.2%

-0.9%

5-year Total Return*

10-year Total Return*

*Average monthly returns ending November 30, 2008

… has been and will continue to be our focus.

17


PSEG Value Proposition

PSEG is well-positioned in current business environment

Operational excellence efforts support:

Asset mix provides opportunities in attractive markets

Strengthened balance sheet supports capital investment

$3.35 billion available liquidity to support business

Return of cash to shareholders through dividends and share
repurchase provides discipline to investment process

maintaining reliability

controlling costs

providing value to the customer

18


Items Excluded from Net Income to Reconcile to Operating Earnings

Please see Slide 3 for an explanation of PSEG’s use of Operating Earnings as a non-GAAP financial measure and how

it differs from Net Income.

Nine Months

Nine Months

Ended

Year Ended

Ended

Year Ended

September 30,

September 30,

2008*

2007**

2008*

2007**

 Lease Transaction Reserves:

(490)

$        

-

$              

(0.96)

$     

-

$        

Impact of Asset Sales:

Chilquinta & Luz Del Sur

(23)

            

-

         

(0.05)

      

Write down of Turboven

(7)

              

-

         

(0.01)

      

Premium on bond redemption

(1)

              

(28)

            

-

         

(0.06)

      

Total Impact of Asset Sales

(1)

$            

(58)

$         

-

$        

(0.12)

$     

 Discontinued Operations:

208

$         

16

$           

0.41

$      

0.03

$      

*

As stated in Form 10-Q for the quarterly period ended September 30, 2008.

**

As stated in 2007 Form 10-K.

December 31,

December 31,

($ millions)

(EPS)

19