EX-99 2 dex99.htm NEWS RELEASE DATED DECEMBER 9, 2009 News release dated December 9, 2009

Exhibit 99

 

LOGO  

NEWS

RELEASE

 

 

 

The Progressive Corporation   Company Contact:
6300 Wilson Mills Road   Patrick Brennan
Mayfield Village, Ohio 44143   (440) 395-2370
http://www.progressive.com  

 

 

PROGRESSIVE REPORTS NOVEMBER RESULTS

MAYFIELD VILLAGE, OHIO — December 9, 2009 — The Progressive Corporation today reported the following results for November 2009:

 

(millions, except per share amounts and ratios)   

November

2009

  

November

2008

   Change  

Net premiums written

   $ 942.1    $ 926.9    2

Net premiums earned

   $ 1,063.9    $ 1,050.3    1

Net income

   $ 80.0    $ 137.5    (42 )% 

Per share

   $ .12    $ .20    (42 )% 

Total pretax net realized gains (losses) on securities (including net impairment losses)

   $ 6.1    $ 100.1    (94 )% 

Combined ratio

     92.2      93.8    (1.6 )pts. 

Average diluted equivalent shares

     668.8      671.2    0
(in thousands)   

November

2009

  

November

2008

   Change  

Policies in Force:

        

Agency – Auto

     4,321.0      4,313.6    0

Direct – Auto

     3,186.0      2,812.9    13
                

Total Personal Auto

     7,507.0      7,126.5    5

Total Special Lines

     3,458.6      3,365.9    3
                

Total Personal Lines

     10,965.6      10,492.4    5
                

Total Commercial Auto

     519.0      546.1    (5 )% 
                

Progressive offers insurance to personal and commercial auto drivers throughout the United States. Our Personal Lines business writes insurance for private passenger automobiles and recreational vehicles. Our Commercial Auto business writes primary liability, physical damage, and other auto-related insurance for automobiles and trucks owned by small businesses.

See the “Income Statements” and “Supplemental Information” for further month and year-to-date information and the “Monthly Commentary” at the end of this release for additional discussion.

 

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

INCOME STATEMENT

November 2009

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

 

     Current
Month
    Comments on Monthly Results1

Net premiums written

   $ 942.1     
          

Revenues:

    

Net premiums earned

   $ 1,063.9     

Investment income

     41.4     

Net realized gains (losses) on securities:

    

Other-than-temporary impairment losses:

    

Total other-than-temporary impairment losses

     (.2  

Less: portion of loss recognized in other comprehensive income

     0     
          

Net impairment losses recognized in earnings

     (.2  

Net realized gains (losses) on securities

     6.3     
          

Total net realized gains (losses) on securities

     6.1     

Service revenues

     1.5     
          

Total revenues

     1,112.9     
          

Expenses:

    

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

     745.9     

Policy acquisition costs

     103.1     

Other underwriting expenses

     131.9     

Investment expenses

     .9     

Service expenses

     1.5     

Interest expense

     11.8     
          

Total expenses

     995.1     
          

Income before income taxes

     117.8     

Provision for income taxes

     37.8     
          

Net income

   $ 80.0     
          

COMPUTATION OF EARNINGS PER SHARE

    

Basic:

    

Average shares outstanding

     662.4     
          

Per share

   $ .12     
          

Diluted:

    

Average shares outstanding

     662.4     

Net effect of dilutive stock-based compensation

     6.4     
          

Total equivalent shares

     668.8     
          

Per share

   $ .12     
          

 

1

See the Monthly Commentary at the end of this release for additional discussion. For a description of our reporting and accounting policies, see Note 1 to our 2008 audited consolidated financial statements included in our 2008 Shareholders’ Report, which can be found at www.progressive.com/annualreport.

 

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

INCOME STATEMENTS

November 2009 Year-to-Date

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

 

      Year-to-Date        
     2009     2008     % Change  

Net premiums written

   $ 12,847.1      $ 12,698.6      1   
                  

Revenues:

      

Net premiums earned

   $ 12,686.4      $ 12,583.9      1   

Investment income

     457.8        590.4      (22

Net realized gains (losses) on securities:

      

Other-than-temporary impairment losses:

      

Total other-than-temporary impairment losses

     (74.8    

Less: portion of loss recognized in other comprehensive income

     36.2       
            

Net impairment losses recognized in earnings

     (38.6    

Net realized gains (losses) on securities

     46.0       
            

Total net realized gains (losses) on securities

     7.4        (1,197.3   NM   

Service revenues

     15.3        15.0      2   
                  

Total revenues

     13,166.9        11,992.0      10   
                  

Expenses:

      

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

     8,950.5        9,193.1      (3

Policy acquisition costs

     1,236.4        1,254.4      (1

Other underwriting expenses

     1,444.7        1,412.8      2   

Investment expenses

     9.8        8.2      20   

Service expenses

     18.1        19.3      (6

Interest expense

     127.2        125.4      1   
                  

Total expenses

     11,786.7        12,013.2      (2
                  

Income (loss) before income taxes

     1,380.2        (21.2   NM   

Provision (benefit) for income taxes

     441.0        (74.4   NM   
                  

Net income

   $ 939.2      $ 53.2      1665   
                  

COMPUTATION OF EARNINGS PER SHARE

      

Basic:

      

Average shares outstanding

     667.3        668.0      0   
                  

Per share

   $ 1.41      $ .08      1667   
                  

Diluted:

      

Average shares outstanding

     667.3        668.0      0   

Net effect of dilutive stock-based compensation

     5.3        6.1      (13
                  

Total equivalent shares

     672.6        674.1      0   
                  

Per share

   $ 1.40      $ .08      1669   
                  

NM = Not Meaningful

 

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

INCOME STATEMENT – OTHER INFORMATION

November 2009

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

The following table sets forth the comprehensive income (loss) for the period:

 

      Current
Month
    Year-to-Date  
       2009     2008  

Net income

   $ 80.0      $ 939.2      $ 53.2   
                        

After-tax changes in (excluding cumulative effect adjustment1 ):

      

Net unrealized gains (losses) on securities

     81.7        734.8     

Portion of OTI losses recognized in other comprehensive income

     0        (23.5  
                  

Total net unrealized gains (losses) on securities

     81.7        711.3        (911.1

Net unrealized gains on forecasted transactions

     (.3     (2.5     (2.9
                        

Comprehensive income (loss)

   $ 161.4      $ 1,648.0      $ (860.8
                        

Per share2

   $ .24      $ 2.45      $ (1.29
                        

 

1

In June 2009, we recorded a $189.6 million ($291.8 million pretax) cumulative effect of change in accounting principle in accordance with the new accounting guidance for other-than-temporary impairments we adopted during the second quarter 2009.

2

For 2009, amounts disclosed are diluted comprehensive income per share. In 2008, due to the comprehensive loss for the year-to-date period, the calculated diluted comprehensive loss per share was antidilutive; therefore, basic comprehensive loss per share is disclosed.

The following table sets forth the investment results for the period:

 

     Current
Month
    Year-to-Date  
       2009     2008  

Fully taxable equivalent total return:

      

Fixed-income securities

   1.0   11.9   (9.8 )% 

Common stocks

   6.2   26.4   (37.6 )% 

Total portfolio

   1.2   12.1   (13.0 )% 

Pretax recurring investment book yield

   3.5   3.7   4.8

 

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION

November 2009

($ in millions)

(unaudited)

 

Current Month

 
     Personal Lines Business     Commercial
Auto
Business
    Other
Businesses1
    Companywide
Total
 
     Agency     Direct     Total        

Net Premiums Written

   $ 496.0      $ 346.9      $ 842.9      $ 98.7      $ .5      $ 942.1   

% Growth in NPW

     0     9     3     (9 )%      NM        2

Net Premiums Earned

   $ 558.1      $ 386.0      $ 944.1      $ 118.1      $ 1.7      $ 1,063.9   

% Growth in NPE

     (1 )%      9     3     (11 )%      NM        1

GAAP Ratios

            

Loss/LAE ratio

     69.6        74.0        71.5        59.6        NM        70.1   

Expense ratio

     22.9        20.9        22.0        22.5        NM        22.1   
                                                

Combined ratio

     92.5        94.9        93.5        82.1        NM        92.2   
                                                

Actuarial Adjustments2

            

Reserve Decrease/(Increase)

            

Prior accident years

             $ 4.1   

Current accident year

               .2   
                  

Calendar year actuarial adjustment

   $ .5      $ 1.0      $ 1.5      $ 3.0      $ (.2   $ 4.3   
                  

Prior Accident Years Development

            

Favorable/(Unfavorable)

            

Actuarial adjustment

             $ 4.1   

All other development

               22.1   
                  

Total development

             $ 26.2   
                  

Calendar year loss/LAE ratio

               70.1   
                  

Accident year loss/LAE ratio

               72.6   
                  

Statutory Ratios

            

Loss/LAE ratio

               70.0   

Expense ratio

               23.1   
                  

Combined ratio

               93.1   
                  

 

1

The other businesses generated an underwriting profit of $0.3 million for the month. Combined ratios and % growth are not meaningful (NM) due to the low level of premiums earned by, and the variability of loss costs in, such businesses.

2

Represents adjustments solely based on our corporate actuarial reviews.

 

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION

November 2009 Year-to-Date

($ in millions)

(unaudited)

 

Year-to-Date

 
     Personal Lines Business     Commercial
Auto
Business
    Other
Businesses1
    Companywide
Total
 
     Agency     Direct     Total        

Net Premiums Written

   $ 6,785.7      $ 4,624.5      $ 11,410.2      $ 1,421.6      $ 15.3      $ 12,847.1   

% Growth in NPW

     (1 )%      9     3     (12 )%      NM        1

Net Premiums Earned

   $ 6,719.9      $ 4,466.7      $ 11,186.6      $ 1,478.2      $ 21.6      $ 12,686.4   

% Growth in NPE

     (1 )%      8     2     (9 )%      NM        1

GAAP Ratios

            

Loss/LAE ratio

     71.0        72.1        71.4        64.7        NM        70.6   

Expense ratio

     21.3        20.7        21.1        21.3        NM        21.1   
                                                

Combined ratio

     92.3        92.8        92.5        86.0        NM        91.7   
                                                

Actuarial Adjustments2

            

Reserve Decrease/(Increase)

            

Prior accident years

             $ (.6

Current accident year

               (49.1
                  

Calendar year actuarial adjustment

   $ (29.1   $ (19.0   $ (48.1   $ (1.3   $ (.3   $ (49.7
                  

Prior Accident Years Development

            

Favorable/(Unfavorable)

            

Actuarial adjustment

             $ (.6

All other development

               120.6   
                  

Total development

             $ 120.0   
                  

Calendar year loss/LAE ratio

               70.6   
                  

Accident year loss/LAE ratio

               71.5   
                  

Statutory Ratios

            

Loss/LAE ratio

               70.5   

Expense ratio

               21.1   
                  

Combined ratio

               91.6   
                  

Statutory Surplus

             $ 5,743.6   
                  

NM = Not Meaningful

 

1

The other businesses generated an underwriting profit of $7.6 million.

2

Represents adjustments solely based on our corporate actuarial reviews.

 

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

BALANCE SHEET AND OTHER INFORMATION

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

 

      November
2009
 

CONDENSED GAAP BALANCE SHEET:1

  

Investments – Available-for-sale, at fair value:

  

Fixed maturities (amortized cost: $11,961.5)

   $ 11,931.8   

Equity securities:

  

Nonredeemable preferred stocks2 (cost: $698.6)

     1,209.6   

Common equities (cost: $587.8)

     793.7   

Short-term investments (amortized cost: $1,033.5)

     1,033.5   
        

Total investments3, 4

     14,968.6   

Net premiums receivable

     2,557.1   

Deferred acquisition costs

     418.6   

Other assets

     2,198.2   
        

Total assets

   $ 20,142.5   
        

Unearned premiums

   $ 4,342.7   

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves

     6,417.6   

Other liabilities4

     1,443.9   

Debt

     2,177.1   

Shareholders’ equity

     5,761.2   
        

Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

   $ 20,142.5   
        

Common shares outstanding

     673.1   

Shares repurchased – November

     2.2   

Average cost per share

   $ 16.99   

Book value per share

   $ 8.56   

Trailing 12-month return on average shareholders’ equity

     17.0

Net unrealized pretax gains (losses) on investments

   $ 684.5   

Increase (decrease) from October 2009

   $ 125.8   

Increase (decrease) from December 2008

   $ 802.7   

Debt-to-total capital ratio

     27.4

Fixed-income portfolio duration

     2.4 years   

Weighted average credit quality

     AA   

Year-to-date Gainshare factor

     .75   

 

1

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves are stated gross of reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses of $352.8 million.

2

As of November 30, 2009, we held certain hybrid securities and recognized a change in fair value of $2.7 million as a realized gain during the period we held these securities.

3

Includes $6.3 billion of short-term investments and U.S. Treasury securities prior to settling $23.9 million of net security transactions outstanding as of month-end.

4

Includes $23.9 million of net unsettled security transactions (as discussed in note 3 above).

 

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Monthly Commentary

 

   

For November, the year-over-year comparison in net income reflects reduced gains on securities sales. In November 2008, we realized $100.1 million of net realized gains, primarily from the sales of U.S. Treasury securities, as part of our tax planning strategy.

Upcoming Events

We are currently scheduled to release December results on Wednesday, January 20, 2010, before the market opens.

Pursuant to our accounting calendar for 2009, the fourth quarter will have 14 weeks of activity with December being a 5-week month. Progressive operates on an accounting calendar that typically consists of a 52-week year, with 13-week quarters and a 4-week December. Under this calendar, we periodically recognize an additional week of activity, as is the case for 2009. Consequently, our 2009, fourth quarter and December periods will each include an additional week, which will affect comparisons of those periods to prior years.

About Progressive

The Progressive Group of Insurance Companies, in business since 1937, is one of the country’s largest auto insurance groups, the largest seller of motorcycle policies and a market leader in commercial auto insurance based on premiums written.

Progressive is committed to becoming consumers’ #1 choice for auto insurance by providing competitive rates and innovative products and services that meet drivers’ needs throughout their lifetimes, including superior online and in-person customer service, and best-in-class, 24-hour claims service, such as its concierge level of claims service available at service centers located in major metropolitan areas throughout the United States.

Progressive companies offer consumers choices in how to shop for, buy and manage their auto insurance policies. Progressive offers its products, including personal and commercial auto, motorcycle, boat and recreational vehicle insurance, through more than 30,000 independent insurance agencies throughout the U.S. and online and by phone directly from the Company. Private passenger auto products and prices are different when purchased directly from Progressive or through independent agencies. To find an agent or to get a quote, go to http://www.progressive.com.

The Common Shares of The Progressive Corporation, the Mayfield Village, Ohio-based holding company, are publicly traded at NYSE:PGR. For more information, including a guide to interpreting the monthly reporting package, visit http://www.progressive.com.

 

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Safe Harbor Statement Under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Statements in this release that are not historical fact are forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events and results to differ materially from those discussed herein. These risks and uncertainties include, without limitation, uncertainties related to estimates, assumptions, and projections generally; inflation and changes in economic conditions (including changes in interest rates and financial markets); the financial condition of, and other issues relating to the strength of and liquidity available to, issuers of securities held in our investment portfolios and other companies with which we have ongoing business relationships, including counterparties to certain financial transactions; the accuracy and adequacy of our pricing and loss reserving methodologies; the competitiveness of our pricing and the effectiveness of our initiatives to retain more customers; initiatives by competitors and the effectiveness of our response; our ability to obtain regulatory approval for requested rate changes and the timing thereof; the effectiveness of our brand strategy and advertising campaigns relative to those of competitors; legislative and regulatory developments; disputes relating to intellectual property rights; the outcome of litigation pending or that may be filed against us; weather conditions (including the severity and frequency of storms, hurricanes, snowfalls, hail, and winter conditions); changes in driving patterns and loss trends; acts of war and terrorist activities; our ability to maintain the uninterrupted operation of our facilities, systems (including information technology systems), and business functions; court decisions and trends in litigation and health care and auto repair costs; and other matters described from time to time in our releases and publications, and in our periodic reports and other documents filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. In addition, investors should be aware that generally accepted accounting principles prescribe when a company may reserve for particular risks, including litigation exposures. Accordingly, results for a given reporting period could be significantly affected if and when a reserve is established for one or more contingencies. Also, our regular reserve reviews may result in adjustments of varying magnitude as additional information regarding pending loss and loss adjustment expense reserves becomes known. Reported results, therefore, may be volatile in certain accounting periods.

 

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