8-K

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the

Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) November 10, 2009

THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Ohio	1-9518	34-0963169
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)	(Commission File Number)	(IRS Employer Identification No.)

6300 Wilson Mills Road, Mayfield Village, Ohio	44143
(Address of principal executive offices)	(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code 440-461-5000

Not Applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

¨ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

¨ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure.

On November 10, 2009, The Progressive Corporation issued a news release containing financial results for the Company and its consolidated subsidiaries for the month of, and year-to-date period ended, October 2009. A copy of the news release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

See exhibit index on page 4.

- 2 -

SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

Date: November 10, 2009

THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION
By:	/S/    JEFFREY W. BASCH
Name:	Jeffrey W. Basch
Title:	Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer

- 3 -

EXHIBIT INDEX

Exhibit No. Under Reg. S-K Item 601	Form 8-K Exhibit No.	Description
(99)	99	News release dated November 10, 2009, containing financial results of The Progressive Corporation and its consolidated subsidiaries for the month of, and year-to-date period ended, October 2009.

- 4 -

EX-99

Exhibit 99

NEWS RELEASE

The Progressive Corporation	Company Contact:
6300 Wilson Mills Road	Patrick Brennan
Mayfield Village, Ohio 44143	(440) 395-2370
http://www.progressive.com

PROGRESSIVE REPORTS OCTOBER RESULTS

MAYFIELD VILLAGE, OHIO — November 10, 2009 — The Progressive Corporation today reported the following results for October 2009:

(millions, except per share amounts and ratios)	October 2009		October 2008		Change
Net premiums written	$	1,300.0	$	1,259.2	3	%
Net premiums earned	$	1,329.1	$	1,316.2	1	%
Net income	$	106.7	$	145.0	(26	)%
Per share	$	.16	$	.22	(26	)%
Total pretax net realized gains (losses) on securities (including net impairment losses)	$	20.0	$	88.4	(77	)%
Combined ratio		91.6		93.2	(1.6	) pts.
Average diluted equivalent shares		670.7		671.3	0	%
(in thousands)	October 2009		October 2008		Change
Policies in Force:
Agency – Auto		4,318.4		4,311.3	0	%
Direct – Auto		3,153.8		2,784.1	13	%
Total Personal Auto		7,472.2		7,095.4	5	%
Total Special Lines		3,472.7		3,384.0	3	%
Total Personal Lines		10,944.9		10,479.4	4	%
Total Commercial Auto		521.5		549.9	(5	)%

Progressive offers insurance to personal and commercial auto drivers throughout the United States. Our Personal Lines business writes insurance for private passenger automobiles and recreational vehicles. Our Commercial Auto business writes primary liability, physical damage, and other auto-related insurance for automobiles and trucks owned by small businesses.

See the “Income Statements” and “Supplemental Information” for further month and year-to-date information and the “Monthly Commentary” at the end of this release for additional discussion.

- 1 -

THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

INCOME STATEMENT

October 2009

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

	Current Month			Comments on Monthly Results1
Net premiums written	$	1,300.0
Revenues:
Net premiums earned	$	1,329.1
Investment income		40.2
Net realized gains (losses) on securities:
Other-than-temporary impairment losses:
Total other-than-temporary impairment losses		(.6	)
Less: portion of loss recognized in other comprehensive income		0
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings		(.6	)
Net realized gains (losses) on securities		20.6
Total net realized gains (losses) on securities		20.0
Service revenues		1.7
Total revenues		1,391.0
Expenses:
Losses and loss adjustment expenses		945.1
Policy acquisition costs		129.2
Other underwriting expenses		142.6
Investment expenses		.8
Service expenses		1.8
Interest expense		11.7
Total expenses		1,231.2
Income before income taxes		159.8
Provision for income taxes		53.1
Net income	$	106.7
COMPUTATION OF EARNINGS PER SHARE
Basic:
Average shares outstanding		664.4
Per share	$	.16
Diluted:
Average shares outstanding		664.4
Net effect of dilutive stock-based compensation		6.3
Total equivalent shares		670.7
Per share	$	.16

¹ See the Monthly Commentary at the end of this release for additional discussion. For a description of our reporting and accounting policies, see Note 1 to our 2008 audited consolidated financial statements included in our 2008 Shareholders’ Report, which can be found at www.progressive.com/annualreport.

- 2 -

THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

INCOME STATEMENTS

October 2009 Year-to-Date

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

	Year-to-Date
	2009			2008			% Change
Net premiums written		$11,905.0		$	11,771.7		1
Revenues:
Net premiums earned		$11,622.5		$	11,533.6		1
Investment income		416.4			539.1		(23	)
Net realized gains (losses) on securities:
Other-than-temporary impairment losses:
Total other-than-temporary impairment losses		(74.6	)
Less: portion of loss recognized in other comprehensive income		36.2
Net impairment losses recognized in earnings		(38.4	)
Net realized gains (losses) on securities		39.7
Total net realized gains (losses) on securities		1.3			(1,297.4	)	NM
Service revenues		13.8			13.8		0
Total revenues		12,054.0			10,789.1		12
Expenses:
Losses and loss adjustment expenses		8,204.6			8,428.8		(3	)
Policy acquisition costs		1,133.3			1,150.5		(1	)
Other underwriting expenses		1,312.8			1,295.6		1
Investment expenses		8.9			7.2		24
Service expenses		16.6			17.9		(7	)
Interest expense		115.4			114.1		1
Total expenses		10,791.6			11,014.1		(2	)
Income (loss) before income taxes		1,262.4			(225.0	)	NM
Provision (benefit) for income taxes		403.2			(140.7	)	NM
Net income (loss)	$	859.2		$	(84.3	)	NM
COMPUTATION OF EARNINGS PER SHARE
Basic:
Average shares outstanding		667.8			668.2		0
Per share	$	1.29		$	(.13	)	NM
Diluted:
Average shares outstanding		667.8			668.2		0
Net effect of dilutive stock-based compensation		5.1			6.1		(16	)
Total equivalent shares		672.9			674.3		0
Per share1	$	1.28		$	(.13	)	NM

NM = Not Meaningful

¹For 2009, the amount disclosed is diluted earnings per share. In 2008, due to the net loss for the year-to-date period, the calculated diluted earnings per share was antidilutive; therefore, basic earnings per share is disclosed.

- 3 -

THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

INCOME STATEMENT – OTHER INFORMATION

October 2009

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

The following table sets forth the comprehensive income (loss) for the period:

	Current			Year-to-Date
	Month			2009			2008
Net income (loss)	$	106.7		$	859.2		$	(84.3	)
After-tax changes in (excluding cumulative effect adjustment1):
Net unrealized gains (losses) on securities		50.1			653.1
Portion of OTI losses recognized in other comprehensive income		0			(23.5	)
Total net unrealized gains (losses) on securities		50.1			629.6			(725.1	)
Net unrealized gains on forecasted transactions		(.3	)		(2.2	)		(2.5	)
Comprehensive income (loss)	$	156.5		$	1,486.6		$	(811.9	)
Per share2	$	.23		$	2.21		$	(1.22	)

¹In June 2009, we recorded a $189.6 million ($291.8 million pretax) cumulative effect of change in accounting principle in accordance with the new accounting guidance for other-than-temporary impairments we adopted during the second quarter 2009.

² For 2009, amounts disclosed are diluted comprehensive income per share. In 2008, due to the comprehensive loss for the year-to-date period, the calculated diluted comprehensive loss per share was antidilutive; therefore, basic comprehensive loss per share is disclosed.

The following table sets forth the investment results for the period:

	Current		Year-to-Date
	Month		2009		2008
Fully taxable equivalent total return:
Fixed-income securities	1.1	%	10.9	%	(9.3	)%
Common stocks	(2.0	)%	18.9	%	(32.8	)%
Total portfolio	1.0	%	10.8	%	(12.1	)%
Pretax recurring investment book yield	3.4	%	3.7	%	4.8	%

- 4 -

THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION

October 2009

($ in millions)

(unaudited)

Current Month
	Personal Lines Business									Commercial Auto Business			Other Businesses1			Companywide Total
	Agency			Direct			Total
Net Premiums Written	$	682.1		$	478.4		$	1,160.5		$	139.0		$	.5		$	1,300.0
% Growth in NPW		1	%		12	%		5	%		(10	)%		NM			3	%
Net Premiums Earned	$	698.7		$	479.1		$	1,177.8		$	149.1		$	2.2		$	1,329.1
% Growth in NPE		(1	)%		9	%		3	%		(11	)%		NM			1	%
GAAP Ratios
Loss/LAE ratio		70.8			73.9			72.1			64.2			NM			71.1
Expense ratio		20.9			19.7			20.4			20.8			NM			20.5
Combined ratio		91.7			93.6			92.5			85.0			NM			91.6
Actuarial Adjustments2
Reserve Decrease/(Increase)
Prior accident years																$	(1.6	)
Current accident year																	.5
Calendar year actuarial adjustment	$	(.5	)	$	(3.7	)	$	(4.2	)	$	3.2		$	(.1	)	$	(1.1	)
Prior Accident Years Development
Favorable/(Unfavorable)
Actuarial adjustment																$	(1.6	)
All other development																	21.4
Total development																$	19.8
Calendar year loss/LAE ratio																	71.1
Accident year loss/LAE ratio																	72.6
Statutory Ratios
Loss/LAE ratio																	71.1
Expense ratio																	20.8
Combined ratio																	91.9

¹The other businesses generated an underwriting profit of $1.1 million for the month. Combined ratios and % growth are not meaningful (NM) due to the low level of premiums earned by, and the variability of loss costs in, such businesses.

²Represents adjustments solely based on our corporate actuarial reviews.

- 5 -

THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION

October 2009 Year-to-Date

($ in millions)

(unaudited)

Year-to-Date
	Personal Lines Business									Commercial Auto Business			Other Businesses1			Companywide Total
	Agency			Direct			Total
Net Premiums Written	$	6,289.7		$	4,277.6		$	10,567.3		$	1,322.9		$	14.8		$	11,905.0
% Growth in NPW		(1	)%		9	%		3	%		(12	)%		NM			1	%
Net Premiums Earned	$	6,161.8		$	4,080.7		$	10,242.5		$	1,360.1		$	19.9		$	11,622.5
% Growth in NPE		(1	)%		8	%		2	%		(9	)%		NM			1	%
GAAP Ratios
Loss/LAE ratio		71.0			71.9			71.4			65.2			NM			70.6
Expense ratio		21.2			20.7			21.0			21.2			NM			21.0
Combined ratio		92.2			92.6			92.4			86.4			NM			91.6
Actuarial Adjustments2
Reserve Decrease/(Increase)
Prior accident years																$	(4.7	)
Current accident year																	(49.3	)
Calendar year actuarial adjustment	$	(29.6	)	$	(20.0	)	$	(49.6	)	$	(4.3	)	$	(.1	)	$	(54.0	)
Prior Accident Years Development
Favorable/(Unfavorable)
Actuarial adjustment																$	(4.7	)
All other development																	98.5
Total development																$	93.8
Calendar year loss/LAE ratio																	70.6
Accident year loss/LAE ratio																	71.4
Statutory Ratios
Loss/LAE ratio																	70.6
Expense ratio																	20.9
Combined ratio																	91.5
Statutory Surplus																$	5,609.5

NM = Not Meaningful

¹ The other businesses generated an underwriting profit of $7.3 million.

²Represents adjustments solely based on our corporate actuarial reviews.

- 6 -

THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

BALANCE SHEET AND OTHER INFORMATION

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

	October 2009
CONDENSED GAAP BALANCE SHEET:1
Investments – Available-for-sale, at fair value:
Fixed maturities (amortized cost: $11,851.1)	$	11,734.6
Equity securities:
Nonredeemable preferred stocks2 (cost: $706.8)		1,215.5
Common equities (cost: $288.7)		454.7
Short-term investments (amortized cost: $1,387.1)		1,387.1
Total investments3, 4		14,791.9
Net premiums receivable		2,616.6
Deferred acquisition costs		430.9
Other assets		2,252.4
Total assets	$	20,091.8
Unearned premiums	$	4,465.4
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves		6,370.2
Other liabilities4		1,455.8
Debt		2,176.9
Shareholders’ equity		5,623.5
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity	$	20,091.8
Common shares outstanding		674.2
Shares repurchased – October		2.3
Average cost per share	$	16.38
Book value per share	$	8.34
Trailing 12-month return on average shareholders’ equity		18.7	%
Net unrealized pretax gains (losses) on investments	$	558.7
Increase (decrease) from September 2009	$	77.0
Increase (decrease) from December 2008	$	676.9
Debt-to-total capital ratio		27.9	%
Fixed-income portfolio duration		2.5 years
Weighted average credit quality		AA
Year-to-date Gainshare factor		.70

¹ Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves are stated gross of reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses of $308.2 million.

² As of October 31, 2009, we held certain hybrid securities and recognized a change in fair value of $0.5 million as a realized loss during the period we held these securities.

³ Includes $6.6 billion of short-term investments and U.S. Treasury securities prior to settling $47.6 million of net security transactions outstanding as of month-end.

⁴ Includes $47.6 million of net unsettled security transactions (as discussed in note 3 above).

- 7 -

Monthly Commentary

• At October 31, 2009, 18% of our portfolio was invested in Group I securities (i.e., common equities, redeemable and nonredeemable preferred stocks, and non-investment-grade and non-rated fixed-maturity securities). In early November 2009, we reallocated approximately $300 million of our securities into common equities; our allocation to Group I securities remains within our target of between 0% and 25% of the total portfolio.

Upcoming Events

Progressive is scheduled to hold a one-hour conference call to address questions on Wednesday, November 11, 2009 at 9:00 a.m., eastern time. Registration for the teleconference and webcast is available at http://investors.progressive.com/events.asp.

We are currently scheduled to release November results on Wednesday, December 9, 2009, before the market opens.

Pursuant to our accounting calendar for 2009, the fourth quarter will have 14 weeks of activity with December being a 5-week month. Progressive operates on an accounting calendar that typically consists of a 52-week year, with 13-week quarters and a 4-week December. Under this calendar, we periodically recognize an additional week of activity, as is the case for 2009. Consequently, our 2009, fourth quarter and December periods will each include an additional week, which will affect comparisons of those periods to prior years.

About Progressive

The Progressive Group of Insurance Companies, in business since 1937, is one of the country’s largest auto insurance groups, the largest seller of motorcycle policies and a market leader in commercial auto insurance based on premiums written.

Progressive is committed to becoming consumers’ #1 choice for auto insurance by providing competitive rates and innovative products and services that meet drivers’ needs throughout their lifetimes, including superior online and in-person customer service, and best-in-class, 24-hour claims service, such as its concierge level of claims service available at service centers located in major metropolitan areas throughout the United States.

Progressive companies offer consumers choices in how to shop for, buy and manage their auto insurance policies. Progressive offers its products, including personal and commercial auto, motorcycle, boat and recreational vehicle insurance, through more than 30,000 independent insurance agencies throughout the U.S. and online and by phone directly from the Company. Private passenger auto products and prices are different when purchased directly from Progressive or through independent agencies. To find an agent or to get a quote, go to http://www.progressive.com.

The Common Shares of The Progressive Corporation, the Mayfield Village, Ohio-based holding company, are publicly traded at NYSE:PGR. For more information, including a guide to interpreting the monthly reporting package, visit http://www.progressive.com.

- 8 -

Safe Harbor Statement Under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Statements in this release that are not historical fact are forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events and results to differ materially from those discussed herein. These risks and uncertainties include, without limitation, uncertainties related to estimates, assumptions, and projections generally; inflation and changes in economic conditions (including changes in interest rates and financial markets); the financial condition of, and other issues relating to the strength of and liquidity available to, issuers of securities held in our investment portfolios and other companies with which we have ongoing business relationships, including counterparties to certain financial transactions; the accuracy and adequacy of our pricing and loss reserving methodologies; the competitiveness of our pricing and the effectiveness of our initiatives to retain more customers; initiatives by competitors and the effectiveness of our response; our ability to obtain regulatory approval for requested rate changes and the timing thereof; the effectiveness of our brand strategy and advertising campaigns relative to those of competitors; legislative and regulatory developments; disputes relating to intellectual property rights; the outcome of litigation pending or that may be filed against us; weather conditions (including the severity and frequency of storms, hurricanes, snowfalls, hail, and winter conditions); changes in driving patterns and loss trends; acts of war and terrorist activities; our ability to maintain the uninterrupted operation of our facilities, systems (including information technology systems), and business functions; court decisions and trends in litigation and health care and auto repair costs; and other matters described from time to time in our releases and publications, and in our periodic reports and other documents filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. In addition, investors should be aware that generally accepted accounting principles prescribe when a company may reserve for particular risks, including litigation exposures. Accordingly, results for a given reporting period could be significantly affected if and when a reserve is established for one or more contingencies. Also, our regular reserve reviews may result in adjustments of varying magnitude as additional information regarding pending loss and loss adjustment expense reserves becomes known. Reported results, therefore, may be volatile in certain accounting periods.

- 9 -