EX-99 2 dex99.htm NEWS RELEASE DATED AUGUST 13, 2008 News release dated August 13, 2008

Exhibit 99

 

LOGO  

NEWS

RELEASE

 

 

The Progressive Corporation   Company Contact:        
6300 Wilson Mills Road   Patrick Brennan        
Mayfield Village, Ohio 44143   (440) 395-2370        
http://www.progressive.com  

 

 

PROGRESSIVE REPORTS JULY RESULTS

MAYFIELD VILLAGE, OHIO — August 13, 2008 — The Progressive Corporation today reported the following results for July 2008:

 

(millions, except per share amounts and ratios)    July
2008
           July
2007
           Change        

Net premiums written

   $1,383.8            $1,390.2            0%          
   

Net premiums earned

   $1,314.2         $1,337.5         (2)%       
   

Net income

   $81.8         $118.5         (31)%       
   

Per share

   $.12         $.16         (26)%       
   

Pretax net realized gains (losses) on securities

   $(16.1)         $13.2         NM       
   

Combined ratio

   92.8         91.3         1.5 pts.       
   

Average diluted equivalent shares

   672.9         719.4         (6)%       
   

NM = Not Meaningful

 

                                   

 

(in thousands)    July
2008
           July
2007
           Change        

Policies in Force:

                   
   

Total Personal Auto

   7,136.1            7,037.5            1%          
   

Total Special Lines

   3,384.8         3,120.2         8%       
   

Total Commercial Auto

 

   556.5

 

 

        537.2

 

 

        4%

 

 

    

Progressive offers insurance to personal and commercial auto drivers throughout the United States. Our Personal Lines Business writes insurance for private passenger automobiles and recreational vehicles. Our Commercial Auto Business writes primary liability, physical damage and other auto-related insurance for automobiles and trucks owned by small businesses.

See the “Income Statements” and “Supplemental Information” for further month and year-to-date information and the “Monthly Commentary” at the end of this release for additional discussion.

 

- 1 -


THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

INCOME STATEMENT

July 2008

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

 

         Current    
Month
      

    Comments on Monthly Results1                    

   

Net premiums written

    $1,383.8        
           
   

Revenues:

       

Net premiums earned

    $1,314.2        

Investment income

  51.8        

Net realized gains (losses) on securities

  (16.1)        

Service revenues

  1.4        
           

Total revenues

  1,351.3        
           

Expenses:

       

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

  942.5        

Policy acquisition costs

  130.5        

Other underwriting expenses

  146.8        

Investment expenses

  .6        

Service expenses

  1.7        

Interest expense

  11.4        
           

Total expenses

  1,233.5        
           
   

Income before income taxes

  117.8        

Provision for income taxes

  36.0        
           

Net income

  $81.8        
           
   

COMPUTATION OF EARNINGS PER SHARE

       

Basic:

       

Average shares outstanding

  666.3        
           

Per share

  $.12        
           

Diluted:

       

Average shares outstanding

  666.3        

Net effect of dilutive stock-based compensation

  6.6        
           

Total equivalent shares

  672.9        
           

Per share

  $.12        
           
                 

 

 

1See the Monthly Commentary at the end of this release for additional discussion. For a description of our reporting and accounting policies, see Note 1 to our 2007 audited consolidated financial statements included in our 2007 Shareholders’ Report, which can be found at www.progressive.com/annualreport.

 

 

 

 

The following table sets forth the investment results for the month:

         
   

Fully taxable equivalent total return:

       

Fixed-income securities

   (2.8)%     

Common stocks

   (1.2)%     

Total portfolio

   (2.6)%     
   

Pretax recurring investment book yield

 

   4.5%

 

    

 

- 2 -


THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

INCOME STATEMENTS

July 2008 Year-to-Date

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

 

    

 

Year-to-Date

                
     2008         2007         %
Change
    
   

Net premiums written

  $8,384.9        $8,595.6        (2)    
                       
   

Revenues:

             

Net premiums earned

  $8,115.4       $8,340.5       (3)    

Investment income

  376.9       387.5       (3)    

Net realized gains (losses) on securities

  (28.5)       29.9       NM    

Service revenues

  10.0       14.3       (30)    
                       

Total revenues

  8,473.8       8,772.2       (3)    
                       

Expenses:

             

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

  5,897.8       5,836.0       1    

Policy acquisition costs

  810.7       844.7       (4)    

Other underwriting expenses

  910.6       906.2       0    

Investment expenses

  5.0       8.4       (40)    

Service expenses

  12.2       11.9       3    

Interest expense

  80.0       51.0       57    
                       

Total expenses

  7,716.3       7,658.2       1    
                       
   

Income before income taxes

  757.5       1,114.0       (32)    

Provision for income taxes

  220.8       348.3       (37)    
                       

Net income

  $536.7       $765.7       (30)    
                       
   

COMPUTATION OF EARNINGS PER SHARE

             

Basic:

             

Average shares outstanding

  669.0       727.1       (8)    
                       

Per share

  $.80       $1.05       (24)    
                       

Diluted:

             

Average shares outstanding

  669.0       727.1       (8)    

Net effect of dilutive stock-based compensation

  6.1       7.6       (20)    
                       

Total equivalent shares

  675.1       734.7       (8)    
                       

Per share

  $.79       $1.04       (24)    
                       
   

NM = Not Meaningful

 

                           

 

The following table sets forth the investment results for the year-to-date period:

 

         2008                 2007           

Fully taxable equivalent total return:

         

Fixed-income securities

  (3.2)%        2.8%       

Common stocks

  (12.3)%       4.2%      

Total portfolio

  (4.7)%       3.1%      
   

Pretax recurring investment book yield

 

  4.7%

 

 

      4.7%

 

 

   

 

- 3 -


THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION

July 2008

($ in millions)

(unaudited)

 

Current Month  
     Personal Lines Business    

Commercial

Auto

    Other     Companywide  
  Agency     Direct     Total     Business     Businesses1     Total  

Net Premiums Written

  $749.0      $471.7      $1,220.7      $160.4      $2.7        $1,383.8   

% Growth in NPW

  (2)%     5%     1%     (8)%     NM     0%  

Net Premiums Earned

  $709.5     $432.2     $1,141.7     $170.4     $2.1     $1,314.2  

% Growth in NPE

  (4)%     3%     (1)%     (5)%     NM     (2)%  
   

GAAP Ratios

             

Loss/LAE ratio

  72.1     69.9     71.3     75.3     NM     71.7  

Expense ratio

  21.3     20.6     21.0     21.4     NM     21.1  
       

Combined ratio

  93.4     90.5     92.3     96.7     NM     92.8  
       

Actuarial Adjustments2

             

Reserve Decrease/(Increase)

             

Prior accident years

            $(4.7)  

Current accident year

            4.4  
                 

Calendar year actuarial adjustment

  $(.2)     $(1.0)     $(1.2)     $.9     $0     $(.3)  
                 
   

Prior Accident Years Development

             

Favorable/(Unfavorable)

             

Actuarial adjustment

            $(4.7)  

All other development

            (1.9)  
                 

Total development

            $(6.6)  
                 
   

Calendar year loss/LAE ratio

            71.7  
                 

Accident year loss/LAE ratio

            71.2  
                 
   

Statutory Ratios

             

Loss/LAE ratio

            71.8  

Expense ratio

            20.3  
                 

Combined ratio

            92.1  
                                     

 

1 Primarily includes professional liability insurance for community banks and Progressive’s run-off businesses. The other businesses generated an underwriting profit of $.5 million for the month. Combined ratios and % growth are not meaningful (NM) due to the low level of premiums earned by, and the variability of losses in, such businesses.

2 Represents adjustments solely based on our corporate actuarial reviews.

 

- 4 -


THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION

July 2008 Year-to-Date

($ in millions) (unaudited)

Year-to-Date  
     Personal Lines Business    

Commercial

Auto

   

Other

   

Companywide

 
     Agency     Direct     Total     Business     Businesses1     Total  

Net Premiums Written

  $4,526.1      $2,750.0      $7,276.1      $1,097.0      $11.8        $8,384.9   

% Growth in NPW

  (4)%     2%     (2)%     (6)%     NM     (2)%  

Net Premiums Earned

  $4,403.5     $2,639.3     $7,042.8     $1,060.4     $12.2     $8,115.4  

% Growth in NPE

  (4)%     1%     (2)%     (4)%     NM     (3)%  
   

GAAP Ratios

             

Loss/LAE ratio

  72.9     72.6     72.8     72.5     NM     72.7  

Expense ratio

  21.3     20.8     21.1     21.3     NM     21.2  
       

Combined ratio

  94.2     93.4     93.9     93.8     NM     93.9  
       
   

Actuarial Adjustments2

             

Reserve Decrease/(Increase)

             

Prior accident years

            $(38.3)  

Current accident year

            9.8  
                 

Calendar year actuarial adjustment

  $(7.0)     $(4.8)     $(11.8)     $(16.9)     $.2     $(28.5)  
                 
   

Prior Accident Years Development

             

Favorable/(Unfavorable)

             

Actuarial adjustment

            $(38.3)  

All other development

            (6.7)  
                 

Total development

            $(45.0)  
                 
   

Calendar year loss/LAE ratio

            72.7  
                 

Accident year loss/LAE ratio

            72.1  
                 
   

Statutory Ratios

             

Loss/LAE ratio

            72.7  

Expense ratio

            21.0  
                 

Combined ratio

            93.7  
                 
   

Statutory Surplus

            $4,921.6  
                 
   
NM = Not Meaningful                                    

 

Policies in Force

 

July

2008

   

July

2007

    Change  

(in thousands)

       

Agency – Auto

  4,395.6      4,490.1       (2)%   

Direct – Auto

  2,740.5     2,547.4      8%  

Special Lines3

  3,384.8     3,120.2      8%  
           

Total Personal Lines Business

          10,520.9     10,157.7      4%  
           

Commercial Auto Business

  556.5     537.2      4%  
             

 

1 The other businesses generated an underwriting profit of $.7 million.

2 Represents adjustments solely based on our corporate actuarial reviews.

3 Includes insurance for motorcycles, recreational vehicles, mobile homes, watercraft, snowmobiles and similar items, as well as a personal umbrella product.

 

 

- 5 -


THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

BALANCE SHEET AND OTHER INFORMATION

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

 

     

July

2008

 

CONDENSED GAAP BALANCE SHEET:1

    

Investments – Available-for-sale, at fair value:

    

Fixed maturities (amortized cost: $9,543.8)

               $9,315.7    

Equity securities:

    

Preferred stocks2 (cost: $2,741.8)

   1,854.5   

Common equities (cost: $1,307.4)

   2,007.8   

Short-term investments (amortized cost: $1,211.9)

   1,211.9   
        

Total investments3

   14,389.9   

Net premiums receivable

   2,543.4   

Deferred acquisition costs

   452.0   

Other assets

   2,091.3   
        

Total assets

   $19,476.6   
        
   

Unearned premiums

   $4,473.8   

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves

   6,033.5   

Other liabilities3

   2,165.9   

Debt

   2,174.8   

Shareholders’ equity

   4,628.6   
        

Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

   $19,476.6   
        
      
        
  
  
  

Common Shares outstanding

   675.5   

Shares repurchased – July

    

Average cost per share

   $0   

Book value per share

   $6.85   

Trailing 12-month return on average shareholders’ equity

   19.0%   

Net unrealized pretax gains (losses) on investments

   $(381.0)   

Increase (decrease) from June 2008

   $(404.7)   

Increase (decrease) from December 2007

   $(1,096.4)   

Debt-to-total capital ratio

   32.0%   

Fixed-income portfolio duration

   3.1 years   

Weighted average credit quality

   AA   

Year-to-date Gainshare factor

   .70   
      
        
  

1 Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves are stated gross of reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses of $261.1 million.

 

 

2 As of July 31, 2008, we held certain hybrid securities and recognized a change in fair value of $34.0 million as a realized loss during the period we held these securities.

 

  

3 Includes repurchase commitment transactions of $361.1 million and net unsettled security transactions of $342.6 million.  

 

- 6 -


Monthly Commentary

 

   

For discussions of losses in our investment portfolio during July, see our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q that was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on August 7, 2008, at pages 10-11 and 35.

About Progressive

The Progressive Group of Insurance Companies, in business since 1937, is one of the country’s largest auto insurance groups, the largest seller of motorcycle and personal watercraft policies and a market leader in commercial auto insurance based on premiums written.

Progressive is committed to becoming consumers’ #1 choice for auto insurance by providing competitive rates and innovative products and services that meet drivers’ needs throughout their lifetimes, including superior online and in-person customer service, and best-in-class, 24-hour claims service, such as its concierge level of claims service available at service centers located in major metropolitan areas throughout the United States.

Progressive companies offer consumers choices in how to shop for, buy and manage their auto insurance policies. Progressive offers its products, including personal and commercial auto, motorcycle, boat and recreational vehicle insurance, through more than 30,000 independent insurance agencies throughout the U.S. and online and by phone directly from the Company. Private passenger auto products and prices are different when purchased directly from Progressive or through independent agencies. To find an agent or to get a quote, go to www.progressive.com.

The Common Shares of The Progressive Corporation, the Mayfield Village, Ohio-based holding company, are publicly traded at NYSE:PGR. For more information, including a guide to interpreting the monthly reporting package, visit www.progressive.com.

Safe Harbor Statement Under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Statements in this release that are not historical fact are forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events and results to differ materially from those discussed herein. These risks and uncertainties include, without limitation, uncertainties related to estimates, assumptions and projections generally; inflation and changes in economic conditions (including changes in interest rates and financial markets); the financial condition of, and other issues relating to the strength of and liquidity available to, issuers of securities held in our investment portfolios; the accuracy and adequacy of our pricing and loss reserving methodologies; the competitiveness of our pricing and the effectiveness of our initiatives to retain more customers; initiatives by competitors and the effectiveness of our response; our ability to obtain regulatory approval for requested rate changes and the timing thereof; the effectiveness of our brand strategy and advertising campaigns relative to those of competitors; legislative and regulatory developments; disputes relating to intellectual property rights; the outcome of litigation pending or that may be filed against us; weather conditions (including the severity and frequency of storms, hurricanes, snowfalls, hail and winter conditions); changes in driving patterns and loss trends; acts of war and terrorist activities; our ability to maintain the uninterrupted operation of our facilities, systems (including information technology systems) and business functions; court decisions and trends in litigation and health care and auto repair costs; and other matters described from time to time in our releases and publications, and in our periodic reports and other documents filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. In addition, investors should be aware that generally accepted accounting principles prescribe when a company may reserve for particular risks, including litigation exposures. Accordingly, results for a given reporting period could be significantly affected if and when a reserve is established for one or more contingencies. Also, our regular reserve reviews may result in adjustments of varying magnitude as additional information regarding pending loss and loss adjustment expense reserves becomes known. Reported results, therefore, may be volatile in certain accounting periods.

 

- 7 -