EX-99 2 l15687aexv99.htm EX-99 PRESS RELEASE Exhibit 99
 

EXHIBIT 99
     
(PROGRESSIVE LOGO)   NEWS
RELEASE
 
     
The Progressive Corporation
  Company Contact:
6300 Wilson Mills Road
  Thomas A. King
Mayfield Village, Ohio 44143
  (440)395-2260
http://www.progressive.com
   
 
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
MAYFIELD VILLAGE, OHIO — August 18, 2005 — The Progressive Corporation today reported the following results for July 2005:
                         
    July     July        
(millions, except per share amounts and ratios)   2005     2004     Change
Net premiums written
  $ 1,403.2     $ 1,298.8       8 %
Net premiums earned
    1,337.8       1,257.1       6 %
Net income
    143.9       168.1       (14 )%
Per share
    .72       .77       (6 )%
Combined ratio
    86.9       82.6     (4.3) pts.
See the “Income Statements” for further month and year-to-date information.
     The Company offers insurance to personal and commercial auto drivers throughout the United States. The Company’s Personal Lines business units write insurance for private passenger automobiles and recreation vehicles. The Company’s Commercial Auto business unit writes primary liability, physical damage and other auto-related insurance for automobiles and trucks owned by small businesses. See “Supplemental Information” for month and year-to-date results.

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
INCOME STATEMENT
July 2005

(millions – except per share amounts)
(unaudited)
                 
    Current    
    Month1   Comments on Monthly Results
Direct premiums written
  $ 1,431.3          
 
               
 
Net premiums written
  $ 1,403.2          
 
               
 
               
Revenues:
               
Net premiums earned
  $ 1,337.8          
Investment income
    42.8          
Net realized gains (losses) on securities
    2.8          
Service revenues
    3.9          
 
               
Total revenues
    1,387.3          
 
               
Expenses:
               
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    905.6          
Policy acquisition costs
    140.8          
Other underwriting expenses
    115.7          
Investment expenses
    1.1          
Service expenses
    2.3          
Interest expense
    6.9          
 
               
Total expenses
    1,172.4          
 
               
 
               
Income before income taxes
    214.9          
Provision for income taxes
    71.0          
 
               
Net income
  $ 143.9          
 
               
 
               
COMPUTATION OF EARNINGS PER SHARE
               
Basic:
               
Average shares outstanding
    196.0          
 
               
Per share
  $ .73          
 
               
Diluted:
               
Average shares outstanding
    196.0          
Net effect of dilutive stock-based compensation
    2.9          
 
               
Total equivalent shares
    198.9          
 
               
Per share
  $ .72          
 
               
 
1   For a description of the Company’s reporting and accounting policies, see Note 1 to the Company’s 2004 audited consolidated financial statements included in the Company’s 2004 Shareholders’ Report, which can be found at progressive.com/annualreport.
The following table sets forth the investment results for the month:
         
Fully taxable equivalent total return:
       
Fixed-income securities
    (.3 )%
Common stocks
    4.0 %
Total portfolio
    .3 %
Pretax recurring investment book yield
    3.8 %

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
INCOME STATEMENTS
July 2005 Year-to-Date

(millions — except per share amounts)
(unaudited)
                         
    Year-to-Date    
    2005   2004   % Change
Direct premiums written
  $ 8,787.9     $ 8,141.8       8  
 
                       
Net premiums written
  $ 8,602.1     $ 7,937.7       8  
 
                       
 
                       
Revenues:
                       
Net premiums earned
  $ 8,141.6     $ 7,584.6       7  
Investment income
    293.0       279.6       5  
Net realized gains (losses) on securities
    9.2       55.5       (83 )
Service revenues
    25.4       29.2       (13 )
 
                       
Total revenues
    8,469.2       7,948.9       7  
 
                       
Expenses:
                       
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    5,338.8       4,848.8       10  
Policy acquisition costs
    863.1       817.1       6  
Other underwriting expenses
    781.3       707.5       10  
Investment expenses
    7.0       7.7       (9 )
Service expenses
    14.3       14.4       (1 )
Interest expense
    48.4       46.9       3  
 
                       
Total expenses
    7,052.9       6,442.4       9  
 
                       
 
                       
Income before income taxes
    1,416.3       1,506.5       (6 )
Provision for income taxes
    465.4       492.1       (5 )
 
                       
Net income
  $ 950.9     $ 1,014.4       (6 )
 
                       
 
                       
COMPUTATION OF EARNINGS PER SHARE
                       
Basic:
                       
Average shares outstanding
    197.8       216.3       (9 )
 
                       
Per share
  $ 4.81     $ 4.69       3  
 
                       
Diluted:
                       
Average shares outstanding
    197.8       216.3       (9 )
Net effect of dilutive stock-based compensation
    2.9       3.5       (17 )
 
                       
Total equivalent shares
    200.7       219.8       (9 )
 
                       
Per share
  $ 4.74     $ 4.62       3  
 
                       
The following table sets forth the investment results for the year-to-date period:
                 
    2005   2004
Fully taxable equivalent total return:
               
Fixed-income securities
    1.9 %     1.6 %
Common stocks
    4.4 %     (.6 )%
Total portfolio
    2.3 %     1.4 %
Pretax recurring investment book yield
    3.9 %     3.8 %

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION
July 2005

($ in millions)
(unaudited)
Current Month
                                                 
                            Commercial        
    Personal Lines   Auto   Other   Companywide
    Agency   Direct   Total   Business   Businesses1   Total
Net Premiums Written
  $ 802.9     $ 425.0     $ 1,227.9     $ 172.9     $ 2.4     $ 1,403.2  
% Growth in NPW
    4 %     15 %     8 %     10 %   NM     8 %
Net Premiums Earned
  $ 775.5     $ 397.7     $ 1,173.2     $ 162.1     $ 2.5     $ 1,337.8  
% Growth in NPE
    3 %     12 %     6 %     11 %   NM     6 %
 
                                               
GAAP Ratios
                                               
Loss/LAE ratio
    68.5       66.8       67.9       66.1     NM     67.7  
Expense ratio
    19.3       19.1       19.3       18.5     NM     19.2  
     
Combined ratio
    87.8       85.9       87.2       84.6     NM     86.9  
     
 
                                               
Actuarial Adjustments2
                                               
Reserve Decrease/(Increase)
                                               
Prior accident years
                                          $ 9.0  
Current accident year
                                            13.6  
 
                                               
Calendar year actuarial adjustment
  $ 14.0     $ 8.0     $ 22.0     $ .5     $ .1     $ 22.6  
 
                                               
 
                                               
Prior Accident Years Development
                                               
Favorable/(Unfavorable)
                                               
Actuarial adjustment
                                          $ 9.0  
All other development
                                            25.9  
 
                                               
Total development
                                          $ 34.9  
 
                                               
 
                                               
Calendar year loss/LAE ratio
                                            67.7  
 
                                               
Accident year loss/LAE ratio
                                            70.3  
 
                                               
 
                                               
Statutory Ratios
                                               
Loss/LAE ratio
                                            67.7  
Expense ratio
                                            18.2  
 
                                               
Combined ratio
                                            85.9  
 
                                               
 
NM = Not Meaningful    
1   Amounts primarily include professional liability insurance for community banks and the Company’s run-off businesses. The other businesses generated an underwriting profit of $.5 million for the month.
 
2   Represents adjustments solely based on the Company’s corporate actuarial review.

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION
July 2005 Year-to-Date

($ in millions)
(unaudited)
Year-to-Date
                                                 
                            Commercial        
    Personal Lines   Auto   Other   Companywide
    Agency   Direct   Total   Business   Businesses1   Total
Net Premiums Written
  $ 4,951.0     $ 2,544.0     $ 7,495.0     $ 1,093.2     $ 13.9     $ 8,602.1  
% Growth in NPW
    5 %     14 %     8 %     15 %   NM     8 %
Net Premiums Earned
  $ 4,766.8     $ 2,389.4     $ 7,156.2     $ 969.3     $ 16.1     $ 8,141.6  
% Growth in NPE
    4 %     12 %     7 %     12 %   NM     7 %
 
                                               
GAAP Ratios
                                               
Loss/LAE ratio
    66.0       66.7       66.2       61.5     NM     65.6  
Expense ratio
    20.5       19.8       20.3       19.9     NM     20.2  
     
Combined ratio
    86.5       86.5       86.5       81.4     NM     85.8  
     
 
                                               
Actuarial Adjustments2
                                               
Reserve Decrease/(Increase)
                                               
Prior accident years
                                          $ 78.0  
Current accident year
                                            24.6  
 
                                               
Calendar year actuarial adjustment
  $ 59.9     $ 26.8     $ 86.7     $ 14.0     $ 1.9     $ 102.6  
 
                                               
 
                                               
Prior Accident Years Development
                                               
Favorable/(Unfavorable)
                                               
Actuarial adjustment
                                          $ 78.0  
All other development
                                            159.4  
 
                                               
Total development
                                          $ 237.4  
 
                                               
 
                                               
Calendar year loss/LAE ratio
                                            65.6  
 
                                               
Accident year loss/LAE ratio
                                            68.5  
 
                                               
 
                                               
Statutory Ratios
                                               
Loss/LAE ratio
                                            65.6  
Expense ratio
                                            19.2  
 
                                               
Combined ratio
                                            84.8  
 
                                               
 
                                               
Statutory surplus
                                          $ 5,643.7  
 
                                               
                         
     July    July    
Policies in Force   2005   2004   Change
(in thousands)                        
Agency — Auto
    4,492       4,201       7 %
Direct — Auto
    2,282       2,012       13 %
Other Personal Lines3
    2,646       2,306       15 %
 
                       
Total Personal Lines
    9,420       8,519       11 %
 
                       
Commercial Auto Business
    459       410       12 %
 
                       
 
NM = Not Meaningful
 
1   The other businesses generated an underwriting profit of $8.9 million.
 
2   Represents adjustments solely based on the Company’s corporate actuarial review.
 
3   Includes insurance for motorcycles, recreation vehicles, mobile homes, watercraft, snowmobiles and similar items.

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
BALANCE SHEET AND OTHER INFORMATION
(millions— except per share amounts)
(unaudited)
         
                July
                2005
CONDENSED GAAP BALANCE SHEET:1
       
Investments — Available-for-sale, at market:
       
Fixed maturities (amortized cost: $9,869.0)
  $ 9,858.7  
Equity securities:
       
Preferred stocks (cost: $1,182.1)
    1,185.4  
Common equities (cost: $1,401.2)
    2,008.1  
Short-term investments (amortized cost: $2,400.7)
    2,401.3  
 
       
Total investments2
    15,453.5  
Net premiums receivable
    2,585.2  
Deferred acquisition costs
    475.3  
Other assets
    1,462.0  
 
       
Total assets
  $ 19,976.0  
 
       
 
       
Unearned premiums
  $ 4,567.2  
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves
    5,572.8  
Other liabilities2
    2,872.2  
Debt
    1,284.7  
Shareholders’ equity
    5,679.1  
 
       
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 19,976.0  
 
       
 
       
Common Shares outstanding
    197.2  
Shares repurchased — July
    .6  
Average cost per share
  $ 98.72  
Book value per share
  $ 28.80  
Trailing 12-month return on average shareholders’ equity
    29.2 %
Net unrealized pre-tax gains on investments
  $ 600.5  
Increase (decrease) from June 2005
  $ (12.7 )
Increase (decrease) from December 2004
  $ (68.9 )
Debt to total capital ratio
    18.4 %
Fixed-income portfolio duration
  2.8 years
Weighted average credit quality
        AA+
 
1   Pursuant to SFAS 113, “Accounting and Reporting for Reinsurance of Short-Duration and Long-Duration Contracts,” loss and loss adjustment expense reserves are stated gross of reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses of $338.2 million.
 
2   Amounts include net unsettled security acquisitions, including repurchase commitments, of $1,330.6 million.

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Monthly Commentary
      The Company has no additional commentary regarding July results.
The Progressive Group of Insurance Companies, in business since 1937, ranks third in the nation for auto insurance based on premiums written and provides drivers with competitive rates and 24/7, in-person and online service. The companies that offer insurance directly (by phone at 1-800-PROGRESSIVE and online at progressivedirect.com) market their products and services under the Progressive DirectSM brand, while the companies that offer insurance through more than 30,000 independent insurance agencies market their products and services under the Drive® Insurance from Progressive brand. The Common Shares of The Progressive Corporation, the Mayfield Village, Ohio-based holding company, are publicly traded at NYSE:PGR. More information can be found at progressive.com, including a guide to interpreting the monthly reporting package.
Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Statements in this release that are not historical fact are forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events and results to differ materially from those discussed herein. These risks and uncertainties include, without limitation, uncertainties related to estimates, assumptions and projections generally; inflation and changes in economic conditions (including changes in interest rates and financial markets); the accuracy and adequacy of the Company’s pricing and loss reserving methodologies; pricing competition and other initiatives by competitors; the Company’s ability to obtain regulatory approval for requested rate changes and the timing thereof; the effectiveness of the Company’s advertising campaigns; legislative and regulatory developments; disputes relating to intellectual property rights; the outcome of litigation pending or that may be filed against the Company; weather conditions (including the severity and frequency of storms, hurricanes, snowfalls, hail and winter conditions); changes in driving patterns and loss trends; acts of war and terrorist activities; the Company’s ability to maintain the uninterrupted operation of its facilities, systems (including information technology systems) and business functions; court decisions and trends in litigation and health care and auto repair costs; and other matters described from time to time by the Company in releases and publications, and in periodic reports and other documents filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. In addition, investors should be aware that generally accepted accounting principles prescribe when a company may reserve for particular risks, including litigation exposures. Accordingly, results for a given reporting period could be significantly affected if and when a reserve is established for one or more contingencies. Reported results, therefore, may appear to be volatile in certain accounting periods.

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