EX-99.4 13 ex99_4-20100429.htm EXHIBIT 99.4 ex99_4-20100429.htm
EXHIBIT 99.4
 
 
 
First Quarter 2010
First Quarter 2010
Earnings Conference Call
Earnings Conference Call
April 29, 2010
April 29, 2010
 
 
1
 
 
 
2
First Quarter 2010 Earnings - Highlights
 Core Results - $1.1 Billion vs. $407 Million in 1Q09
  Core EPS $1.32 (diluted) vs. $0.50 in 1Q09.
 Net Income - $1.1 Billion vs. $368 Million in 1Q09
  EPS $1.31 (diluted) vs. $0.45 in 1Q09.
  For comparability purposes, all prior period volumes, and
 volume based statistics, such as operating costs per
 barrel, are being stated on a pretax basis as we
 previously discussed.
 
 
2
 
 
 
3
*All Others include: Lower FX gains and higher operating costs.
1Q 09
Sales Price
Sales
Volume
Exploration
Expense
All
Others*
1Q 10
$553
$1,819
$1,385
$85
$2
$132
($ in millions)
$74
Higher
DD&A Rate
First Quarter 2010 Earnings - Oil & Gas
Segment Variance Analysis - 1Q10 vs. 1Q09
 Core Results for 1Q10 of $1.819 B vs. $553 mm in 1Q09
  Results reflect significantly higher commodity prices and higher volumes, partially offset by
 fully expensing CO2 costs in 2010, and higher DD&A rates.
 
 
3
 
 
 
4
*All Others include: Lower operating and administrative costs, partially offset by higher CO2 costs.
4Q 09
Sales Price
Sales
Volume
Exploration
Expense
All
Others*
1Q 10
$1,813
$1,819
$174
$179
$43
$37
($ in millions)
$69
Higher
DD&A Rate
First Quarter 2010 Earnings - Oil & Gas
Segment Variance Analysis - 1Q10 vs. 4Q09
 Core Results for 1Q10 of $1.819 B vs. $1.813 B in 4Q09
  Similar sequential results reflect higher oil and natural gas prices, partially offset by
 increased DD&A rates, the effect of fully expensing CO2, and lower total volumes.
 
 
4
 
 
 
5
 1Q10 4Q09
 1Q10 4Q09
Reported Segment Earnings ($ mm) $1,819 $1,643
Reported Segment Earnings ($ mm) $1,819 $1,643
WTI Oil Price ($/bbl) $78.71 $76.19 
WTI Oil Price ($/bbl) $78.71 $76.19 
NYMEX Gas Price ($/mcf) $5.39 $4.29
NYMEX Gas Price ($/mcf) $5.39 $4.29
Oxy’s Realized Prices
Oxy’s Realized Prices
 Worldwide Oil ($/bbl) $71.88 $69.39
 Worldwide Oil ($/bbl) $71.88 $69.39
 US Natural Gas ($/mcf)  $5.62 $4.37
 
 US Natural Gas ($/mcf)  $5.62 $4.37
 
First Quarter 2010 Earnings -
Oil & Gas Segment
 
 
5
 
 
 
6
First Quarter 2010 Earnings - Oil & Gas
Segment Variance Analysis - 1Q10 vs. 4Q09
First Quarter 2010 Earnings - Oil & Gas
Segment Variance Analysis - 1Q10 vs. 4Q09
        
        1Q10  4Q09
 Oil and Gas Production Volumes (mboe/d)  743  717
  sequential increase of over 3.5%.
 Sequential production volume increase includes:
  In Bahrain, daily volume increases of 2,000 bbl of oil and 126 mmcf
 of gas;
  Domestic operations + 5 mboe/d largely in the Kern County
 discovery area;
  Partially offsetting these increases were 5 mboe/d of lower volumes
 resulting from the Dolphin gas plant maintenance, which shut-in
 50% of the production for approximately two weeks.
 
 
6
 
 
 
7
First Quarter 2010 Earnings - Oil & Gas
Segment Variance Analysis - 1Q10 vs. 4Q09
First Quarter 2010 Earnings - Oil & Gas
Segment Variance Analysis - 1Q10 vs. 4Q09
        1Q10  4Q09
 Oil and Gas Sales Volumes (mboe/d)    726  722
 Sales volumes were lower than the production volumes due to the timing
 of liftings of 13 mboe/d in the Middle East/North Africa and Latin America,
 of which 11 mboe/d were in Libya.
 Exploration expense was $56 million in 1Q10.
 Oil and gas cash production costs, excluding production and property
 taxes, were $10.05 a boe for 1Q10, compared to last year's twelve-month
 costs of $9.37 a boe. The increase reflects $0.32 a boe higher CO2 costs,
 due to our decision to expense 100% of CO2 injected beginning in 2010,
 and higher field support operations and maintenance costs.
 Taxes - other than on income were $1.82 per boe for 1Q10 compared to
 $1.60 per boe for all of 2009. These costs, which are sensitive to product
 prices, reflect the effect of higher crude oil and gas prices in 2010.
 
 
7
 
 
 
8
First Quarter 2010 Earnings - Oil & Gas
Segment Variance Analysis - 1Q10 vs. 4Q09
First Quarter 2010 Earnings - Oil & Gas
Segment Variance Analysis - 1Q10 vs. 4Q09
 As a result of the factors discussed above, 1Q10, compared
 to 4Q09 benefitted by:
  $174 million from higher prices;
  $43 million lower exploration expense and,
  $62 million of lower cash operating costs and G&A expense.
 These gains were offset by:
  the effect of lower liftings of $102 million;
  the effect of two fewer sales days of $77 million;
  higher DD&A rates of $69 million and,
  higher CO2 costs of $25 million.
 
 
8
 
 
 
9
4Q 09
Sales
Volume/Mix
Operations/
Manufacturing*
Sales Price
All Others
1Q 10
$33
$30
$64
$53
$113
$7
($ in millions)
*Higher energy and feedstock costs.
First Quarter 2010 Earnings - Chemical
Segment Variance Analysis - 1Q10 vs. 4Q09
First Quarter 2010 Earnings - Chemical
Segment Variance Analysis - 1Q10 vs. 4Q09
 Core Results for 1Q10 of $30 mm vs. $33 mm in 4Q09
 Core Results for 1Q10 of $30 mm vs. $33 mm in 4Q09
  Reflects the continued weakness in domestic markets, particularly in the housing and
 construction sectors, and the significant margin erosion that was experienced
 through 2009 that carried into 1Q10.
  Reflects the continued weakness in domestic markets, particularly in the housing and
 construction sectors, and the significant margin erosion that was experienced
 through 2009 that carried into 1Q10.
 
 
9
 
 
 
10
($ in millions)
($ in millions)
4Q 09
Marketing
and
Trading
Dolphin
Pipeline
All Others
1Q 10
$81
$94
$21
$13
$5
First Quarter 2010 Earnings - Midstream
Segment Variance Analysis - 1Q10 vs. 4Q09
 Core Results for 1Q10 of $94 mm vs. $81 mm in 4Q09
  Increase in earnings was due to improved margins in the marketing and trading
 business, partially offset by lower pipeline income from Dolphin from the two-week
 partial shutdown of the gas plant for maintenance.
  Phibro’s earnings for 1Q10 were not significant.
 
 
10
 
 
 
11
First Quarter 2010 Earnings -
Capital Spending
First Quarter 2010 Earnings -
Capital Spending
 Capital spending for the first quarter of 2010 was about $850
 million.
 Capital spending for the first quarter of 2010 was about $850
 million.
  Capital expenditures by segment were 80 percent in Oil and Gas, 15
 percent in Midstream with the remainder in Chemicals.
  Capital expenditures by segment were 80 percent in Oil and Gas, 15
 percent in Midstream with the remainder in Chemicals.
  The spending run rate will increase through the year as we ramp up
 in California, Bahrain and Iraq.
  The spending run rate will increase through the year as we ramp up
 in California, Bahrain and Iraq.
  Our total year forecast for capital spending has been increased by
 $200 million to $4.5 billion.
  Our total year forecast for capital spending has been increased by
 $200 million to $4.5 billion.
 
 
11
 
 
 
12
$3,400
$225
$270
$300
$1,900
Available
Cash
Capex
Debt
Reduction
Dividends
Acquisitions
& Foreign
Bonuses
Ending Cash
Balance
3/31/10
Cash
Flow From
Operations
$2,200
($ in millions)
Beginning
Cash
$1,200
12/31/09
$850
Other
$145
  Free Cash Flow for 1Q10 after capex and dividends but before
 acquisitions and debt reduction was about $1.1 billion.
  Free Cash Flow for 1Q10 after capex and dividends but before
 acquisitions and debt reduction was about $1.1 billion.
First Quarter 2010 Earnings -
2010 YTD Cash Flow
 
 
12
 
 
 
13
First Quarter 2010 Earnings -
Shares Outstanding and Debt
 Shares Outstanding (mm) 1Q10  3/31/10
 Weighted Average Basic  812.1
 Weighted Average Diluted  813.5
 
 Basic Shares Outstanding    812.2 
 Diluted Shares Outstanding    813.6
      3/31/10 12/31/09
 
 
 Debt/Capital   8%  9% 
 
 
13
 
 
 
14
First Quarter 2010 Earnings -
Oil and Gas Production - 2Q10 Outlook
 We expect oil and gas sales volumes to be in the range of
 750 to 760 mboe/d at about current oil prices, with
 production slightly above these levels.
 Production volume increases in 2Q10 are expected from the
 following sources:
  Domestically, the Kern County discovery area is expected to show
 modest improvement during 2Q10.
  The production continues to be constrained by a lack of additional
 processing capacity.
  More significant increases are expected late in 2Q10, when we add the
 skid mounted gas processing facilities.
  We are continuing with drilling and have completed a number of wells.
  We have sufficient completed wells to fill the entire capacity of the skid
 mounted processing facilities.
  Our oil production is also constrained by the lack of gas processing
 capacity, since these wells also produce natural gas.
  The Midcontinent Gas region where we are currently drilling shallow
 oil wells is also expected to show production growth.
 
 
14
 
 
 
15
First Quarter 2010 Earnings -
Oil and Gas Production - 2Q10 Outlook
 In the Middle East, increases are expected in the Oman
 Mukhaizna field and in Dolphin where the plant maintenance
 down-time in 1Q10 is not expected to repeat.
 In Latin America, assuming no labor related stoppages,
 increases are expected in Argentina, where the current run
 rate is about 2 mboe/d higher than 1Q10, which was
 negatively affected by a short strike.
  The Argentine provincial legislature passed enabling legislation in the
 first quarter that will allow a 10-year extension for hydrocarbon
 concessions.
  We are now negotiating the specific contract terms of a 10-year
 extension of our concession.
 
 
15
 
 
 
16
First Quarter 2010 Earnings - 2Q10 Outlook
 Commodity Price Sensitivity - Earnings
  At current market prices, a $1.00 per barrel change in oil prices impacts oil and
 gas quarterly earnings before income taxes by about $36 mm;
  A swing of $0.50 per mm BTU in domestic gas prices has a $31 mm impact on
 quarterly pretax income; the current NYMEX gas price is around $4 p/mcf.
 We expect 2Q10 exploration expense to be about $80 mm for
 seismic and drilling for our exploration programs.
 
 
16
 
 
 
17
First Quarter 2010 Earnings - 2Q10 Outlook
First Quarter 2010 Earnings - 2Q10 Outlook
 For the Chemical segment:
  Demand for caustic soda and vinyls is expected to continue to
 improve in both the US and the international markets.
  Improving caustic soda pricing and low natural gas prices will
 contribute to margin improvement.
  The Chemical segment is expected to provide about $80 mm of
 earnings in 2Q10.
 We expect our combined worldwide tax rate in 2Q10 to be
 about 42 percent depending on the split between domestic
 and foreign sourced income.
 
 
17
 
 
 
18
 
18