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Inventory Impairments and Land Option Contract Abandonments
9 Months Ended
Aug. 31, 2013
Inventory Impairments and Land Option Contract Abandonments [Abstract]  
Inventory Impairments and Land Option Contract Abandonments
Inventory Impairments and Land Option Contract Abandonments
Each community or land parcel in our owned inventory is assessed to determine if indicators of potential impairment exist. Impairment indicators are assessed separately for each community or land parcel on a quarterly basis and include, but are not limited to, the following: significant decreases in net orders, average selling prices, volume of homes delivered, gross profit margins on homes delivered or projected gross profit margins on homes in backlog or future housing sales; significant increases in budgeted land development and home construction costs or cancellation rates; or projected losses on expected future land sales. If indicators of potential impairment exist for a community or land parcel, the identified asset is evaluated for recoverability in accordance with Accounting Standards Codification Topic No. 360, “Property, Plant, and Equipment” (“ASC 360”). We evaluated 16 and 33 communities or land parcels for recoverability during the three months ended August 31, 2013 and 2012, respectively. We evaluated 54 and 109 communities or land parcels for recoverability during the nine months ended August 31, 2013 and 2012, respectively. Some of the communities or land parcels evaluated during the nine months ended August 31, 2013 and 2012 were evaluated in more than one quarterly period.
When an indicator of potential impairment is identified for a community or land parcel, we test the asset for recoverability by comparing the carrying value of the asset to the undiscounted future net cash flows expected to be generated by the asset. The undiscounted future net cash flows are impacted by then-current conditions and trends in the market in which the asset is located as well as factors known to us at the time the cash flows are calculated. With the undiscounted future net cash flows, we also consider recent trends in our orders, backlog, cancellation rates and volume of homes delivered, as well as our expectations related to the following: product offerings; market supply and demand, including estimated average selling prices and related price appreciation; and land development, home construction and overhead costs to be incurred and related cost inflation. With respect to both the nine months ended August 31, 2013 and 2012, these expectations reflected our experience that notwithstanding fluctuations in our company-wide net orders, backlog levels, homes delivered and housing gross profit margin, on a year-over-year basis, market conditions for each of our assets in inventory where impairment indicators were identified have been generally stable or improved in 2012 and 2013, with no significant deterioration identified as to revenue and cost drivers that would prevent or otherwise impact recoverability. Based on this experience, and taking into account the signs of stability and improvement in many markets for new home sales, our inventory assessments as of August 31, 2013 considered an expected steady overall sales pace and average selling price performance for the remainder of 2013 and into 2014 relative to the generally improving pace and performance in recent quarters.
Given the inherent challenges and uncertainties in forecasting future results, our inventory assessments at the time they are made take into consideration whether a community or land parcel is active, meaning it is open for sales and/or undergoing development, or whether it is being held for future development. For active communities and land parcels, due to their short-term nature as compared to land held for future development, our inventory assessments generally assume the continuation of then-current market conditions, subject to identifying information suggesting significant sustained changes in such conditions. These assessments, at the time made, generally anticipate net orders, average selling prices, volume of homes delivered and costs to continue at or near then-current levels through the particular asset’s estimated remaining life. Inventory assessments for our land held for future development consider then-current market conditions as well as subjective forecasts regarding the timing and costs of land development and home construction and related cost inflation; the product(s) to be offered; and the net orders, volume of homes delivered, and selling prices and related price appreciation of the offered product(s) when an associated community is expected to open for sales. We evaluate various factors to develop these forecasts, including the availability of and demand for homes and finished lots within the relevant marketplace; historical, current and expected future sales trends for the marketplace; and third-party data, if available. These various estimates, trends, expectations and assumptions used in each of our inventory assessments are specific to each community or land parcel based on what we believe are reasonable forecasts for performance and may vary among communities or land parcels and may vary over time.
We record an inventory impairment charge when the carrying value of a real estate asset is greater than the undiscounted future net cash flows the asset is expected to generate. These real estate assets are written down to fair value, which is primarily based on the estimated future net cash flows discounted for inherent risk associated with each such asset. Inputs used in our calculation of estimated discounted future net cash flows are specific to each affected community or land parcel and are based on our expectations for each such asset as of the applicable measurement date, including, among others, expectations related to average selling prices and delivery rates. The discount rates we used were impacted by the following at the time each calculation was made: the risk-free rate of return; expected risk premium based on estimated land development, home construction and delivery timelines; market risk from potential future price erosion; cost uncertainty due to land development or home construction cost increases; and other risks specific to the affected asset or conditions in the market in which the asset was located.
The following table summarizes ranges for significant quantitative unobservable inputs we utilized in our fair value measurements with respect to the impaired communities or land parcels written down to fair value during the periods presented:
 
 
Nine Months Ended August 31,
 
Three Months Ended August 31,
Unobservable Input (a)
 
2013
 
2012
 
2013
 
2012
Average selling price
 
$

 
$115,200 - $497,900
 
$

 
$152,000 - $246,200
Deliveries per month
 

 
1 - 6
 

 
2 - 4
Discount rate
 
%
 
17% - 20%
 
%
 
17% - 20%
(a)
The ranges of inputs used primarily reflect the underlying variability among the various housing markets where each of the impacted communities or land parcels are located, rather than changes in prevailing market conditions.
Based on the results of our evaluations, we recognized no inventory impairment charges in the three months or nine months ended August 31, 2013. In the three months ended August 31, 2012, we recognized inventory impairment charges of $6.4 million associated with four communities with a post-impairment fair value of $3.2 million. In the nine months ended August 31, 2012, we recognized $22.9 million of such charges associated with 11 communities with a post-impairment fair value of $30.6 million. The charges we recognized in the three months and nine months ended August 31, 2012 reflected challenging economic and housing market conditions in the relevant markets at the time, and were partly due to our efforts to accelerate our return on investment in those communities. Inventory impairment charges are included in construction and land costs in our consolidated statements of operations.
As of August 31, 2013, the aggregate carrying value of our inventory that had been impacted by inventory impairment charges was $306.7 million, representing 42 communities and various other land parcels. As of November 30, 2012, the aggregate carrying value of our inventory that had been impacted by inventory impairment charges was $307.2 million, representing 46 communities and various other land parcels.
Our inventory controlled under land option contracts and other similar contracts is assessed to determine whether it continues to meet our internal investment and marketing standards. Assessments are made separately for each optioned land parcel on a quarterly basis and are affected by the following factors relative to the market in which the asset is located, among others: current and/or anticipated net orders, average selling prices and volume of homes delivered; estimated land development and home construction costs; and projected profitability on expected future housing or land sales. When a decision is made not to exercise certain land option contracts and other similar contracts due to market conditions and/or changes in our marketing strategy, we write off the related inventory costs, including non-refundable deposits and unrecoverable pre-acquisition costs. Based on the results of our assessments, we recognized no land option contract abandonment charges for the three months ended August 31, 2013 and $.3 million of such charges corresponding to 82 lots for the nine months ended August 31, 2013. We had no such charges for the three months or nine months ended August 31, 2012.
The estimated remaining life of each community or land parcel in our inventory depends on various factors, such as the total number of lots remaining; the expected timeline to acquire and entitle land and develop lots to build homes; the anticipated future net order and cancellation rates; and the expected timeline to build and deliver homes sold. While it is difficult to determine a precise timeframe for any particular inventory asset, we estimate our inventory assets’ remaining operating lives under current and expected future market conditions to range generally from one year to in excess of 10 years. Based on current market conditions and anticipated delivery timelines, we expect to realize, on an overall basis, the majority of our current inventory balance within five years.
Due to the judgment and assumptions applied in the estimation process with respect to inventory impairments, land option contract abandonments, the remaining operating lives of our inventory assets and the realization of our inventory balances, it is possible that actual results could differ substantially from those estimated.