EX-99.1 2 cmw968a.htm PRESS RELEASE

Financial Contact:
Patrick Davidson
(414) 343-8002

Media Contact:
Kathleen Lawler
(414) 343-4587

HARLEY-DAVIDSON, INC. REPORTS RECORD THIRD QUARTER

Milwaukee, Wis., October 13, 2004 — Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE: HDI) today announced record earnings for its third quarter ended September 26, 2004. Third quarter diluted earnings per share (EPS) were 77 cents, a 24.2 percent increase compared with last year’s 62 cents. Revenue for the quarter was $1.30 billion, which compares to $1.13 billion in the year-ago quarter.

“We are pleased to report that Harley-Davidson has once again produced record revenue and earnings for the quarter,” said Jeffrey L. Bleustein, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Harley-Davidson, Inc. “Our financial results for the first nine months of the year position us to deliver another record year and are in line with our previously stated long-term targets.”

“Retail sales of Harley-Davidson(R) motorcycles in the U.S. are up 7.1 percent on a year-to-date basis through September. As expected, third quarter retail sales were down compared with last year’s third quarter. In 2003, our dealers had a phenomenal third quarter as our 100th Anniversary celebration drove motorcycle sales up 27 percent versus the prior year’s performance,” added Bleustein.


“We are enthusiastic about the reception of our recently introduced 2005 model year motorcycles, in particular the new Softail(R) Deluxe, the Screamin’ Eagle(R) Custom Vehicles, the Sportster(R) 883 Low, and the redesigned Softail(R) Springer(R) Classic. Looking ahead to 2005, we expect demand for Harley-Davidson motorcycles to continue to grow and support a wholesale unit target of 339,000 motorcycles, which represents a 7 percent increase over this year’s target,” said Bleustein.

Motorcycles and Related Products Segment — Third Quarter Results

Third quarter revenue from Harley-Davidson motorcycles was $996.6 million, an increase of $152.3 million or 18.0 percent over last year. Worldwide shipments of Harley-Davidson motorcycles in the third quarter totaled 80,578 units, consistent with the Company’s previously announced target of 80,500. The Company’s 2004 shipment target for Harley-Davidson motorcycles remains 317,000 units.

Third quarter revenue from Parts & Accessories (P&A), which consists of Genuine Motor Parts and Genuine Motor Accessories, totaled $224.4 million. This is an 8.0 percent increase, or $16.6 million more than the same quarter a year-ago.

Third quarter revenue from General Merchandise, which consists of MotorClothes(R) apparel and collectibles, totaled $61.4 million, up 1.4 percent or $0.8 million over the same period last year.

Growth rates for P&A and General Merchandise fluctuate from quarter to quarter. However, for the long term the Company expects the growth rate for P&A revenue to be slightly higher than Harley-Davidson’s motorcycle unit growth rate, and the General Merchandise revenue growth rate is expected to be lower than the motorcycle unit growth rate.

Third quarter gross margin improved to 38.0 percent of revenue in 2004 compared to 35.6 percent of revenue in 2003. The increase in margin was primarily driven by a combination of foreign currency exchange rates, the full integration of the new Softail Plant in York, Pennsylvania and other operational efficiencies. Consistent with the higher gross margin, operating margin increased from 21.3 percent in 2003 to 23.6 percent in 2004.

Motorcycle Retail Data

“U.S. Harley-Davidson motorcycle retail sales for the third quarter were down 9.8 percent versus the same period last year, which was the largest retail sales quarter ever. Standing up to the challenge, our dealers recorded the second largest third quarter in Company history this year, even with the adverse weather-related issues that have plagued the Southeast during much of that time,” said Bleustein. Retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles in the United States were up 7.1 percent for the period January through September 2004 when compared to the same period last year.

In markets outside the U.S., retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles were down slightly during the first nine months of 2004, declining 0.9 percent or 400 units from the same period last year. While retail sales of Harley-Davidson motorcycles are growing in many of the Company’s international markets, dealers in select markets have seen decreases due to difficult economic and market conditions. Harley-Davidson retail motorcycle sales were down 5.1 percent in Europe, due largely to weakness in the German economy, and down 10.2 percent in Japan.

Data is listed in the accompanying tables.


Financial Services Segment

Harley-Davidson Financial Services, Inc. (HDFS) reported third quarter operating income of $50.1 million, up 8.4 percent from $46.2 million in the year-ago quarter. The segment’s performance was driven by continued strong marketplace acceptance of its finance and insurance products.

The Company’s third quarter securitization of $625 million of motorcycle retail loans resulted in a gain of $13.8 million during the third quarter of 2004. The gain as a percentage of loans securitized was 2.2 percent, in line with the Company’s previously stated guidance of 2.0 to 2.5 percent in the current competitive market and interest rate environment.

Annualized credit losses on a managed portfolio basis decreased during the first nine months of the year from 0.73 percent in 2003 to 0.69 percent in 2004.

Over the long term, the Company expects the HDFS growth rate in operating income to be slightly higher than the Company’s motorcycle unit growth rate.

Harley-Davidson, Inc. — Nine Month Results

For the nine month period in 2004, revenue totaled $3.79 billion, a 9.5 percent increase over the year-ago period. Diluted earnings per share were $2.29, an increase of 20.5 percent compared to the same period last year.

Through the first nine months of this year, shipments of Harley-Davidson motorcycles were 236,702, a 10.6 percent increase over last year’s 214,091. Harley-Davidson motorcycle revenue was $2.94 billion, a 9.7 percent increase over $2.68 billion in revenue in 2003. P&A revenue totaled $623.7 million, a 9.1 percent increase over last year’s $571.8 million. General Merchandise revenue totaled $168.8 million, a 5.1 percent increase compared with $160.7 million during the same period in 2003.

HDFS operating income was $149.4 million, an 11.5 percent increase compared with $134.0 million during last year’s first nine months.

Cash Flow — Nine Month Results

Operations generated cash of $956.9 million. The Company invested $109.9 million in capital expenditures, declared dividends of $82.4 million and repurchased 10.6 million shares at a cost of $564.1 million.

Company Background

Harley-Davidson, Inc. is the parent company for the group of companies doing business as Harley-Davidson Motor Company, Buell Motorcycle Company and Harley-Davidson Financial Services. Harley-Davidson Motor Company, the only major U.S.-based motorcycle manufacturer, produces heavyweight motorcycles and offers a complete line of motorcycle parts, accessories, apparel, and general merchandise. Buell Motorcycle Company produces sport motorcycles. Harley-Davidson Financial Services provides wholesale and retail financing and insurance programs to Harley-Davidson dealers and customers.


Forward-Looking Statements

The Company intends that certain matters discussed in this release are “forward-looking statements” intended to qualify for the safe harbor from liability established by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements can generally be identified as such because the context of the statement will include words such as the Company “believes,” “anticipates,” “expects,” “plans,” or “estimates” or words of similar meaning. Similarly, statements that describe future plans, objectives, outlooks, targets or goals are also forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated as of the date of this release. Certain of such risks and uncertainties are described below. Shareholders, potential investors, and other readers are urged to consider these factors in evaluating the forward-looking statements and cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements included in this release are only made as of the date of this release, and the Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update such forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances.

The Company’s ability to meet the targets and expectations noted depends upon, among other factors, the Company’s ability to (i) continue to realize production efficiencies at its production facilities through the implementation of innovative manufacturing techniques and other means, (ii) successfully implement production capacity increases in its facilities, (iii) successfully introduce new products and services, (iv) avoid unexpected P&A /general merchandise supplier backorders, (v) sell all of the Harley-Davidson motorcycles it plans to produce, (vi) continue to develop the capacity of its distributor and dealer network, (vii) avoid unexpected changes in the regulatory environment for its products, (viii) successfully adjust to foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations, (ix) successfully adjust to interest rate fluctuations, and (x) successfully manage changes in the credit quality of HDFS’s loan portfolio.

In addition, the Company could experience delays in the operation of manufacturing facilities as a result of work stoppages, difficulty with suppliers, natural causes, terrorism or other factors. Risk factors are also disclosed in documents previously filed by the Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission.


Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
(In thousands, except per share amounts)

(Unaudited) (Unaudited)
Three Months Ended
Nine Months Ended
Sep 26,
2004

Sep 28,
2003

Sep 26,
2004

Sep 28,
2003


Net revenue
    $ 1,300,684   $ 1,133,641   $ 3,794,193   $ 3,466,204  
Gross profit    494,568    403,290    1,438,113    1,249,540  
Operating expenses    187,980    161,317    529,344    501,189  




Operating income from  
 motorcycles & related products    306,588    241,973    908,769    748,351  

Financial services income
    77,484    74,660    239,038    216,716  
Financial services expense    27,410    28,447    89,644    82,680  




Operating income from financial services    50,074    46,213    149,394    134,036  

Corporate expenses
    3,348    3,367    12,871    12,023  




Total operating income    353,314    284,819    1,045,292    870,364  
Investment income and other, net    1,699    5,365    10,220    12,835  




Income before provision for taxes    355,013    290,184    1,055,512    883,199  
Provision for income taxes    126,030    100,112    374,708    304,701  




Net income   $ 228,983   $ 190,072   $ 680,804   $ 578,498  





Earnings per common share:
  
  Basic   $ 0.78   $ 0.63   $ 2.30   $ 1.91  
  Diluted   $ 0.77   $ 0.62   $ 2.29   $ 1.90  

Weighted-average common shares:
  
  Basic    294,031    302,313    295,362    302,280  
  Diluted    295,824    304,580    297,357    304,493  





Harley-Davidson, Inc. - 3rd Quarter 2004 Press Release Financial Tables - page 1


Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
(In thousands)

(Unaudited) (Unaudited)
Sep 26,
2004

Dec 31,
2003

Sep 28,
2003


ASSETS
               
Current assets:  
Cash and cash equivalents   $ 1,009,528   $ 812,449   $ 942,021  
Marketable securities    518,808    510,211    448,816  
Accounts receivable, net    139,022    112,406    119,178  
Finance receivables, net    998,114    1,001,990    814,837  
Inventories    234,728    207,726    210,925  
Other current assets    84,155    84,345    80,309  



Total current assets    2,984,355    2,729,127    2,616,086  
Finance receivables, net    581,296    735,859    704,430  
Other long-term assets    1,364,723    1,458,102    1,180,078  




Total assets
   $ 4,930,374   $ 4,923,088   $ 4,500,594  




LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
  
Current liabilities:  
Accounts payable & accrued expenses   $ 693,073   $ 631,468   $ 698,256  
Current portion of finance debt    109,179    324,305    337,657  



Total current liabilities    802,252    955,773    1,035,913  
Finance debt    670,000    670,000    380,000  
Other long-term liabilities    220,461    212,179    225,509  
Postretirement health care benefits    144,917    127,444    121,886  
Shareholders' equity    3,092,744    2,957,692    2,737,286  




Total liabilities and shareholders' equity
   $ 4,930,374   $ 4,923,088   $ 4,500,594  








Harley-Davidson, Inc. - 3rd Quarter 2004 Press Release Financial Tables - page 2


Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
(In thousands)

(Unaudited)
Nine months ended
Sep 26,
2004

Sep 28,
2003

Cash flows from operating activities:            
  Net income   $ 680,804   $ 578,498  
  Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by  
  operating activities:  
    Depreciation    160,765    146,063  
    Provision for long-term employee benefits    47,143    57,842  
    Provision for finance credit losses    2,420    2,708  
    Gain on current year securitizations    (58,302 )  (70,831 )
    Collection of retained securitization interests    97,494    82,671  
    Contributions to pension plans    --    (12,000 )
    Tax benefit of stock options    42,919    9,031  
    Other operating cash flows    18,387    8,211  
    Net changes in current assets and current liabilities    (34,768 )  60,137  


  Total adjustments    276,058    283,832  


Net cash provided by operating activities    956,862    862,330  

Cash flows from investing activities:
  
  Capital expenditures    (109,874 )  (124,390 )
  Finance receivables, net    182,959    (33,680 )
  Net change in marketable securities    (11,764 )  63,461  
  Other, net    (8,868 )  (206 )


Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities    52,453    (94,815 )

Cash flows from financing activities:
  
  Net decrease in finance debt    (214,290 )  (53,595 )
  Dividends    (82,411 )  (34,866 )
  Purchase of common stock for treasury    (564,132 )  (30,563 )
  Issuance of common stock under employee stock plans    48,597    12,602  


Net cash used in financing activities    (812,236 )  (106,422 )

Net increase in cash and cash equivalents
    197,079    661,093  

Cash and cash equivalents:
  
  At beginning of period    812,449    280,928  


  At end of period   $ 1,009,528   $ 942,021  





Harley-Davidson, Inc. - 3rd Quarter 2004 Press Release Financial Tables - page 3


Harley-Davidson, Inc.
Net Revenue and Motorcycle
Shipment Data

Three Months Ended
Nine Months Ended
Sep 26,
2004

Sep 28,
2003

Sep 26,
2004

Sep 28,
2003


NET REVENUE (in thousands)
                   
Harley-Davidson® motorcycles   $ 996,552   $ 844,264   $ 2,935,621   $ 2,676,196  
Buell® motorcycles    18,318    20,471    63,510    55,985  
Parts & Accessories    224,381    207,766    623,715    571,809  
General Merchandise    61,352    60,520    168,828    160,658  
Other    81    620    2,519    1,556  




    $ 1,300,684   $ 1,133,641   $ 3,794,193   $ 3,466,204  





HARLEY-DAVIDSON UNITS
  
Motorcycle shipments:  
  United States    66,859    54,829    191,705    173,712  
  Export    13,719    12,629    44,997    40,379  




Total    80,578    67,458    236,702    214,091  





Motorcycle product mix:
  
  Touring    21,818    21,071    68,253    60,471  
  Custom    39,857    33,011    116,128    113,259  
  Sportster®    18,903    13,376    52,321    40,361  




Total    80,578    67,458    236,702    214,091  





BUELL UNITS
  
Motorcycle shipments:  
  Buell    2,472    2,481    7,793    7,364  









Harley-Davidson, Inc. - 3rd Quarter 2004 Press Release Financial Tables - page 4


Year-to-date Heavyweight (651+ cc)
Motorcycle Retail Registrations (Units),
data through month indicated.

2004 2003 % change

United States
     
- H-D (September) 201,852 188,402 7.1%
- Industry (September) 419,267 392,755 6.8%

Europe
- H-D (September) 21,096 22,228 -5.1%
- Industry (August) 285,821 274,047 4.3%

Japan
- H-D (September) 7,563 8,419 -10.2%
- Industry (August) 31,175 32,511 -4.1%

Only Harley-Davidson® motorcycles are included in the Harley-Davidson (H-D) data.

Data for Europe includes registrations in Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and United Kingdom.

Data Sources: (subject to update)
United States: Motorcycle Industry Council
Europe: Company reports, Giral S.A.
Japan: Company reports, Industry sources









Harley-Davidson, Inc. - 3rd Quarter 2004 Press Release Financial Tables - page 5