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Finance Receivables
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2023
Receivables [Abstract]  
Finance Receivables Finance Receivables
Finance receivables include both retail and wholesale finance receivables, including amounts held by consolidated VIEs. Finance receivables are recorded in the financial statements at amortized cost net of an allowance for credit losses.
The Company provides retail financial services to customers of its dealers in the U.S. and Canada. The origination of retail loans is a separate and distinct transaction between the Company and the retail customer, unrelated to the Company’s sale of product to its dealers. Retail finance receivables consist of secured promissory notes and secured installment sales contracts and are primarily related to dealer sales of motorcycles to retail customers. The Company holds either titles or liens on titles to vehicles financed by promissory notes and installment sales contracts.
The Company offers wholesale financing to its dealers in the U.S. and Canada. Wholesale finance receivables are related primarily to the Company's sale of motorcycles and related parts and accessories to dealers. Wholesale loans to dealers are generally secured by financed inventory or property.
Finance receivables, net were as follows (in thousands):
March 31,
2023
December 31,
2022
March 27,
2022
Retail finance receivables$6,708,103 $6,748,201 $6,511,845 
Wholesale finance receivables1,224,051 748,948 650,181 
7,932,154 7,497,149 7,162,026 
Allowance for credit losses(358,431)(358,711)(340,473)
$7,573,723 $7,138,438 $6,821,553 
The Company’s finance receivables are reported at amortized cost, net of the allowance for credit losses. Amortized cost includes the principal outstanding, accrued interest, and deferred loan fees and costs. The Company's allowance for credit losses reflects expected lifetime credit losses on its finance receivables. Based on differences in the nature of the finance receivables and the underlying methodology for calculating the allowance for credit losses, the Company segments its finance receivables into the retail and wholesale portfolios. The Company further disaggregates each portfolio by credit quality indicators. As the credit risk varies between the retail and wholesale portfolios, the Company utilizes different credit quality indicators for each portfolio.
The retail portfolio primarily consists of a large number of small balance, homogeneous finance receivables. The Company performs a collective evaluation of the adequacy of the retail allowance for credit losses. The Company utilizes a vintage-based loss forecast methodology that includes decompositions for probability of default, exposure at default, attrition rate, and recovery balance rate. Reasonable and supportable economic forecasts for a two-year period are incorporated into the methodology to reflect the estimated impact of changes in future economic conditions, such as unemployment rates, household obligations or other relevant factors, over the two-year reasonable and supportable period. For periods beyond the Company’s reasonable and supportable forecasts, the Company reverts to its average historical loss experience using a mean-reversion process over a three-year period. Adjustments to historical loss information are made for differences in current loan-specific risk characteristics such as differences in underwriting standards, portfolio mix, or term as well as other relevant factors.
The wholesale portfolio is primarily composed of large balance, non-homogeneous loans. The Company’s evaluation for the wholesale allowance for credit losses is first based on a loan-by-loan review to determine whether the loans share similar risk characteristics. The Company individually evaluates loans that do not share risk characteristics. Loans identified as those for which foreclosure is probable are classified as Non-Performing, and a specific allowance for credit losses is established when appropriate. The specific allowance is determined based on the amortized cost of the related finance receivable and the estimated fair value of the collateral, less selling costs and the cash that the Company expects to receive. Finance receivables in the wholesale portfolio not individually assessed are aggregated, based on similar risk characteristics, according to the Company’s internal risk rating system and measured collectively. The related allowance for credit losses is based on factors such as the specific borrower’s financial performance and ability to repay, the Company’s past credit loss experience, reasonable and supportable economic forecasts, and the value of the underlying collateral and expected recoveries.
The Company considers various third-party economic forecast scenarios as part of estimating the allowance for expected credit losses and applies a probability-weighting to those economic forecast scenarios. Each quarter, the Company’s outlook on economic conditions impacts the Company's retail and wholesale estimates for expected credit losses. During the first quarter of 2023, the overall macro-economic conditions remained uncertain as near-term recession concerns did not abate, elevated levels of inflation continued to challenge the U.S. and global economies, and muted consumer confidence persisted, among other factors. As such, at the end the first quarter of 2023, the Company’s outlook on economic conditions and its probability weighting of its economic forecast scenarios were weighted towards a near-term recession.
Additionally, the historical experience incorporated into the portfolio-specific models does not fully reflect the Company's comprehensive expectations regarding the future. As such, the Company incorporated qualitative factors to establish an appropriate allowance for credit losses balance. These factors include motorcycle recovery value considerations, delinquency adjustments, specific problem loan trends, and changes in other portfolio-specific loan characteristics.
Due to the use of projections and assumptions in estimating the losses, the amount of losses actually incurred by the Company in either portfolio could differ from the amounts estimated. Further, the Company’s allowance for credit losses incorporates known conditions at the balance sheet date and the Company’s expectations surrounding the economic
forecasts. The Company will continue to monitor future economic trends and conditions. Expectations surrounding the Company's economic forecasts may change in future periods as additional information becomes available.
Changes in the Company's allowance for credit losses on its finance receivables by portfolio were as follows (in thousands):
 Three months ended March 31, 2023
 RetailWholesaleTotal
Balance, beginning of period$345,275 $13,436 $358,711 
Provision for credit losses50,969 1,395 52,364 
Charge-offs(68,008)— (68,008)
Recoveries15,364 — 15,364 
Balance, end of period$343,600 $14,831 $358,431 
 Three months ended March 27, 2022
 RetailWholesaleTotal
Balance, beginning of period$326,320 $13,059 $339,379 
Provision for credit losses28,614 208 28,822 
Charge-offs(41,804)— (41,804)
Recoveries14,076 — 14,076 
Balance, end of period$327,206 $13,267 $340,473 
The Company manages retail credit risk through its credit approval process and ongoing collection efforts. The Company uses FICO scores, a standard credit rating measurement, to differentiate the expected default rates of retail credit applicants, enabling the Company to better evaluate credit applicants for approval and to tailor pricing according to this assessment. For the Company’s U.S. and Canadian retail finance receivables, the Company determines the credit quality indicator for each loan at origination and does not update the credit quality indicator subsequent to the loan origination date.
As loan performance by credit quality indicator differs between the U.S. and Canadian retail loans, the Company’s credit quality indicators vary for the two portfolios. For U.S. retail finance receivables, those with a FICO score of 740 or above at origination are generally considered super prime, loans with a FICO score between 640 and 740 are generally categorized as prime, and loans with FICO score below 640 are generally considered sub-prime. For Canadian retail finance receivables, those with a FICO score of 700 or above at origination are generally considered super prime, loans with a FICO score between 620 and 700 are generally categorized as prime, and loans with FICO score below 620 are generally considered sub-prime.
The amortized cost of the Company's U.S. and Canadian retail finance receivables by vintage and credit quality indicator was as follows (in thousands):
March 31, 2023
202320222021202020192018 & PriorTotal
U.S. Retail:
Super prime$284,656 $1,007,543 $547,008 $240,495 $133,205 $72,247 $2,285,154 
Prime314,959 1,317,733 799,814 378,539 224,682 170,944 3,206,671 
Sub-prime86,541 379,206 264,358 145,132 94,898 85,829 1,055,964 
686,156 2,704,482 1,611,180 764,166 452,785 329,020 6,547,789 
Canadian Retail:
Super prime10,428 44,213 26,550 15,250 9,921 4,668 111,030 
Prime3,650 14,850 9,711 6,482 4,439 3,917 43,049 
Sub-prime579 2,013 1,237 1,033 754 619 6,235 
14,657 61,076 37,498 22,765 15,114 9,204 160,314 
$700,813 $2,765,558 $1,648,678 $786,931 $467,899 $338,224 $6,708,103 
Current-period gross charge-offs:
US Retail$— $23,440 $22,535 $10,215 $5,818 $5,100 $67,108 
Canadian Retail— 300 245 150 33 172 900 
$— $23,740 $22,780 $10,365 $5,851 $5,272 $68,008 
December 31, 2022
202220212020201920182017 & PriorTotal
U.S. Retail:
Super prime$1,118,198 $612,890 $276,492 $159,550 $69,652 $26,701 $2,263,483 
Prime1,433,141 887,817 425,401 260,458 135,454 79,611 3,221,882 
Sub-prime420,660 298,153 164,946 108,372 57,993 46,827 1,096,951 
2,971,999 1,798,860 866,839 528,380 263,099 153,139 6,582,316 
Canadian Retail:
Super prime49,033 30,090 17,553 12,215 4,975 1,527 115,393 
Prime16,094 10,705 7,283 5,098 3,068 1,787 44,035 
Sub-prime2,223 1,402 1,173 869 475 315 6,457 
67,350 42,197 26,009 18,182 8,518 3,629 165,885 
$3,039,349 $1,841,057 $892,848 $546,562 $271,617 $156,768 $6,748,201 
March 27, 2022
202220212020201920182017 & PriorTotal
U.S. Retail:
Super prime$311,114 $890,413 $422,454 $268,692 $139,540 $68,682 $2,100,895 
Prime394,793 1,247,764 627,102 407,242 233,630 176,018 3,086,549 
Sub-prime125,280 427,813 240,999 159,968 91,444 91,610 1,137,114 
831,187 2,565,990 1,290,555 835,902 464,614 336,310 6,324,558 
Canadian Retail:
Super prime14,015 47,025 29,382 23,367 11,524 4,515 129,828 
Prime4,228 15,842 11,513 8,349 5,454 4,391 49,777 
Sub-prime506 2,180 1,961 1,401 861 773 7,682 
18,749 65,047 42,856 33,117 17,839 9,679 187,287 
$849,936 $2,631,037 $1,333,411 $869,019 $482,453 $345,989 $6,511,845 
The Company's credit risk on the wholesale portfolio is different from that of the retail portfolio. Whereas the retail portfolio represents a relatively homogeneous pool of retail finance receivables that exhibit more consistent loss patterns, the wholesale portfolio exposures are less consistent. The Company utilizes an internal credit risk rating system to manage credit risk exposure consistently across wholesale borrowers and individually evaluates credit risk factors for each borrower. The Company uses the following internal credit quality indicators, based on an internal risk rating system, listed from highest level of risk to lowest level of risk for the wholesale portfolio: Doubtful, Substandard, Special Mention, Medium Risk and Low Risk. Based upon the Company’s review, the dealers classified in the Doubtful category are the dealers with the greatest likelihood of being charged-off, while the dealers classified as Low Risk are least likely to be charged-off. Additionally, the Company classifies dealers identified as those in which foreclosure is probable as Non-Performing. The internal rating system considers factors such as the specific borrower's ability to repay and the estimated value of any collateral. Dealer risk rating classifications are reviewed and updated by the Company on a quarterly basis.
The amortized cost of the Company's wholesale financial receivables, by vintage and credit quality indicator, was as follows (in thousands):
March 31, 2023
202320222021202020192018 & PriorTotal
Non-Performing$— $— $— $— $— $— $— 
Doubtful— — — — — — — 
Substandard— — — — — — — 
Special Mention— — — — — — — 
Medium Risk— — — — — — — 
Low Risk857,152 335,247 9,123 6,191 11,130 5,208 1,224,051 
$857,152 $335,247 $9,123 $6,191 $11,130 $5,208 $1,224,051 
December 31, 2022
202220212020201920182017 & PriorTotal
Non-Performing$— $— $— $— $— $— $— 
Doubtful— — — — — — — 
Substandard— — — — — — — 
Special Mention— — — — — — — 
Medium Risk— — — — — — — 
Low Risk714,238 11,478 6,646 8,457 7,938 191 748,948 
$714,238 $11,478 $6,646 $8,457 $7,938 $191 $748,948 
March 27, 2022
202220212020201920182017 & PriorTotal
Non-Performing$— $— $— $— $— $— $— 
Doubtful— — — — — — — 
Substandard— — — — — — — 
Special Mention— — — — — — — 
Medium Risk— — — — — — — 
Low Risk489,283 127,797 9,108 11,147 9,893 2,953 650,181 
$489,283 $127,797 $9,108 $11,147 $9,893 $2,953 $650,181 
Retail finance receivables are contractually delinquent if the minimum payment is not received by the specified due date. Retail finance receivables at amortized cost, excluding accrued interest, are generally charged-off when the receivable is 120 days or more delinquent, the related asset is repossessed, or the receivable is otherwise deemed uncollectible. The Company reverses accrued interest related to charged-off accounts against Financial Services interest income when the account is charged-off. The Company reversed $7.2 million and $4.9 million of accrued interest against Financial Services interest income during the three months ended March 31, 2023 and March 27, 2022, respectively. All retail finance receivables accrue interest until either collected or charged-off. Due to the timely write-off of accrued interest, the Company made the election provided under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) Topic 326, Financial Instruments - Credit Losses to exclude accrued interest from its allowance for credit losses. Accordingly, as of March 31, 2023, December 31, 2022 and March 27, 2022, all retail finance receivables were accounted for as interest-earning receivables.
Wholesale finance receivables are delinquent if the minimum payment is not received by the contractual due date. Wholesale finance receivables are written down once the Company determines that the specific borrower does not have the ability to repay the loan in full. Interest continues to accrue on past due finance receivables until the date the Company determines that foreclosure is probable, and the finance receivable is placed on non-accrual status. The Company will resume accruing interest on these accounts when payments are current according to the terms of the loans and future payments are reasonably assured. While on non-accrual status, all cash received is applied to principal or interest as appropriate. Once an account is charged-off, the Company will reverse the associated accrued interest against interest income. As the Company follows a non-accrual policy for interest, the allowance for credit losses excludes accrued interest for the wholesale portfolio.
There were no charged-off accounts during the three months ended March 31, 2023 and March 27, 2022. As such, the Company did not reverse any wholesale accrued interest in those periods. There were no dealers on non-accrual status at March 31, 2023, December 31, 2022, and March 27, 2022.
The aging analysis of the Company's finance receivables was as follows (in thousands):
 March 31, 2023
Current31-60 Days
Past Due
61-90 Days
Past Due
Greater than
90 Days
Past Due
Total
Past Due
Total
Retail finance receivables$6,488,892 $125,327 $44,748 $49,136 $219,211 $6,708,103 
Wholesale finance receivables1,223,752 298 — 299 1,224,051 
$7,712,644 $125,625 $44,748 $49,137 $219,510 $7,932,154 
 December 31, 2022
Current31-60 Days
Past Due
61-90 Days
Past Due
Greater than
90 Days
Past Due
Total
Past Due
Total
Retail finance receivables$6,473,462 $152,343 $60,446 $61,950 $274,739 $6,748,201 
Wholesale finance receivables748,682 222 44 — 266 748,948 
$7,222,144 $152,565 $60,490 $61,950 $275,005 $7,497,149 
 March 27, 2022
Current31-60 Days
Past Due
61-90 Days
Past Due
Greater than
90 Days
Past Due
Total
Past Due
Total
Retail finance receivables$6,343,673 $99,705 $32,521 $35,946 $168,172 $6,511,845 
Wholesale finance receivables649,948 178 27 28 233 650,181 
$6,993,621 $99,883 $32,548 $35,974 $168,405 $7,162,026 
Generally, it is the Company’s policy not to change the terms and conditions of finance receivables. However, to minimize economic loss, the Company may modify certain finance receivables in troubled loan modifications. Total finance receivables in troubled loan modifications were not significant as of March 31, 2023, December 31, 2022 and March 27, 2022. In accordance with its policies, in certain situations, the Company may offer short-term adjustments to customer payment due dates without affecting the associated interest rate or loan term.