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Finance Receivables
9 Months Ended
Sep. 25, 2022
Receivables [Abstract]  
Finance Receivables Finance Receivables
The Company provides retail financial services to customers of its dealers in the U.S. and Canada. The origination of retail loans is a separate and distinct transaction between the Company and the retail customer, unrelated to the Company’s sale of product to its dealers. Retail finance receivables consist of secured promissory notes and secured installment sales contracts and are primarily related to dealer sales of motorcycles to retail customers. The Company holds either titles or liens on titles to vehicles financed by promissory notes and installment sales contracts.
The Company offers wholesale financing to its dealers in the U.S. and Canada. Wholesale finance receivables are related primarily to the Company's sale of motorcycles and related parts and accessories to dealers. Wholesale loans to dealers are generally secured by financed inventory or property.
Finance receivables, net were as follows (in thousands):
September 25,
2022
December 31,
2021
September 26,
2021
Retail finance receivables$6,945,649 $6,493,519 $6,727,956 
Wholesale finance receivables756,895 417,781 491,136 
7,702,544 6,911,300 7,219,092 
Allowance for credit losses(360,096)(339,379)(355,834)
$7,342,448 $6,571,921 $6,863,258 
The Company’s finance receivables are reported at amortized cost, net of the allowance for credit losses. Amortized cost includes the principal outstanding, accrued interest, and deferred loan fees and costs. The Company's allowance for credit losses reflects expected lifetime credit losses on its finance receivables. Based on differences in the nature of the finance receivables and the underlying methodology for calculating the allowance for credit losses, the Company segments its finance receivables into the retail and wholesale portfolios. The Company further disaggregates each portfolio by credit quality indicators. As the credit risk varies between the retail and wholesale portfolios, the Company utilizes different credit quality indicators for each portfolio.
The retail portfolio primarily consists of a large number of small balance, homogeneous finance receivables. The Company performs a collective evaluation of the adequacy of the retail allowance for credit losses. The Company utilizes a vintage-based loss forecast methodology that includes decompositions for probability of default, exposure at default, attrition rate, and recovery balance rate. Reasonable and supportable economic forecasts for a two-year period are incorporated into the methodology to reflect the estimated impact of changes in future economic conditions, such as unemployment rates, household obligations or other relevant factors, over the two-year reasonable and supportable period. For periods beyond the Company’s reasonable and supportable forecasts, the Company reverts to its average historical loss experience using a mean-reversion process over a three-year period. Adjustments to historical loss information are made for differences in current loan-specific risk characteristics such as differences in underwriting standards, portfolio mix, or term as well as other relevant factors.
The wholesale portfolio is primarily composed of large balance, non-homogeneous loans. The Company’s evaluation for the wholesale allowance for credit losses is first based on a loan-by-loan review to determine whether the loans share similar risk characteristics. The Company individually evaluates loans that do not share risk characteristics. Loans identified as those for which foreclosure is probable are classified as Non-Performing, and a specific allowance for credit losses is established when appropriate. The specific allowance is determined based on the amortized cost of the related finance receivable and the estimated fair value of the collateral, less selling costs and the cash that the Company expects to receive. Finance receivables in the wholesale portfolio not individually assessed are aggregated, based on similar risk characteristics, according to the Company’s internal risk rating system and measured collectively. The related allowance for credit losses is based on factors such as the specific borrower’s financial performance and ability to repay, the Company’s past credit loss experience, reasonable and supportable economic forecasts, and the value of the underlying collateral and expected recoveries.
The Company considers various third-party economic forecast scenarios as part of estimating the allowance for expected credit losses and applies a probability-weighting to those economic forecast scenarios. Each quarter, the Company’s outlook on economic conditions impacts the Company's retail and wholesale estimates for expected credit losses. During the third quarter of 2022, economic recovery slowed and the ongoing pace of economic recovery remained uncertain as the magnitude of inflation continued to challenge the U.S. and global economies, near-term recession concerns have not abated, muted consumer confidence persisted, the conflict in Ukraine was wide-reaching with resolution uncertain, and global supply chain issues continued, among other factors. As such, at the end of the third quarter of 2022, the Company’s outlook on economic
conditions and its probability weighting of its economic forecast scenarios included continued slow economic improvement in certain factors, such as unemployment, with a high probability of a near-term recession.
Additionally, the historical experience incorporated into the portfolio-specific models does not fully reflect the Company's comprehensive expectations regarding the future. As such, the Company incorporated qualitative factors to establish an appropriate allowance for credit losses balance. These factors include motorcycle recovery value considerations, delinquency adjustments, specific problem loan trends, and changes in other portfolio-specific loan characteristics.
Due to the use of projections and assumptions in estimating the losses, the amount of losses actually incurred by the Company in either portfolio could differ from the amounts estimated. Further, the Company’s allowance for credit losses incorporates known conditions at the balance sheet date and the Company’s expectations surrounding the economic forecasts. The Company will continue to monitor future economic trends and conditions. Expectations surrounding the Company's economic forecasts may change in future periods as additional information becomes available.
Changes in the Company's allowance for credit losses on its finance receivables by portfolio were as follows (in thousands):
 Three months ended September 25, 2022Nine months ended September 25, 2022
 RetailWholesaleTotalRetailWholesaleTotal
Balance, beginning of period$342,691 $9,446 $352,137 $326,320 $13,059 $339,379 
Provision for credit losses34,697 1,920 36,617 96,265 (1,693)94,572 
Charge-offs(40,283)— (40,283)(114,145)— (114,145)
Recoveries11,625 — 11,625 40,290 — 40,290 
Balance, end of period$348,730 $11,366 $360,096 $348,730 $11,366 $360,096 
 Three months ended September 26, 2021Nine months ended September 26, 2021
 RetailWholesaleTotalRetailWholesaleTotal
Balance, beginning of period$342,490 $16,321 $358,811 $371,738 $19,198 $390,936 
Provision for credit losses13,861 (2,653)11,208 10,465 (5,530)4,935 
Charge-offs(24,670)— (24,670)(76,366)— (76,366)
Recoveries10,335 150 10,485 36,179 150 36,329 
Balance, end of period$342,016 $13,818 $355,834 $342,016 $13,818 $355,834 
The Company manages retail credit risk through its credit approval process and ongoing collection efforts. The Company uses FICO scores, a standard credit rating measurement, to differentiate the expected default rates of retail credit applicants, enabling the Company to better evaluate credit applicants for approval and to tailor pricing according to this assessment. For the Company’s U.S. and Canadian retail finance receivables, the Company determines the credit quality indicator for each loan at origination and does not update the credit quality indicator subsequent to the loan origination date.
As loan performance by credit quality indicator differs between the U.S. and Canadian retail loans, the Company’s credit quality indicators vary for the two portfolios. For U.S. retail finance receivables, those with a FICO score of 740 or above at origination are generally considered super prime, loans with a FICO score between 640 and 740 are generally categorized as prime, and loans with FICO score below 640 are generally considered sub-prime. For Canadian retail finance receivables, those with a FICO score of 700 or above at origination are generally considered super prime, loans with a FICO score between 620 and 700 are generally categorized as prime, and loans with FICO score below 620 are generally considered sub-prime.
The amortized cost of the Company's U.S. and Canadian retail finance receivables by vintage and credit quality indicator was as follows (in thousands):
September 25, 2022
202220212020201920182017 & PriorTotal
U.S. Retail:
Super prime$1,002,057 $684,597 $312,641 $187,399 $87,508 $36,424 $2,310,626 
Prime1,281,483 982,085 476,677 297,481 160,552 102,887 3,301,165 
Sub-prime389,674 334,611 185,874 122,231 67,147 58,364 1,157,901 
2,673,214 2,001,293 975,192 607,111 315,207 197,675 6,769,692 
Canadian Retail:
Super prime46,930 33,149 19,727 14,500 6,365 2,085 122,756 
Prime15,043 11,537 8,149 5,738 3,562 2,345 46,374 
Sub-prime1,984 1,552 1,321 991 582 397 6,827 
63,957 46,238 29,197 21,229 10,509 4,827 175,957 
$2,737,171 $2,047,531 $1,004,389 $628,340 $325,716 $202,502 $6,945,649 
December 31, 2021
202120202019201820172016 & PriorTotal
U.S. Retail:
Super prime$1,010,636 $484,479 $316,390 $171,763 $65,753 $27,424 $2,076,445 
Prime1,391,385 712,858 470,177 277,206 142,288 82,169 3,076,083 
Sub-prime476,688 273,787 182,002 105,330 61,923 51,035 1,150,765 
2,878,709 1,471,124 968,569 554,299 269,964 160,628 6,303,293 
Canadian Retail:
Super prime51,779 32,724 27,073 13,984 4,619 1,614 131,793 
Prime16,882 12,675 9,244 6,230 3,628 1,779 50,438 
Sub-prime2,356 2,134 1,571 947 606 381 7,995 
71,017 47,533 37,888 21,161 8,853 3,774 190,226 
$2,949,726 $1,518,657 $1,006,457 $575,460 $278,817 $164,402 $6,493,519 
September 26, 2021
202120202019201820172016 & PriorTotal
U.S. Retail:
Super prime$896,163 $551,078 $367,490 $206,333 $83,674 $38,494 $2,143,232 
Prime1,228,335 805,349 538,440 323,554 171,308 107,715 3,174,701 
Sub-prime428,238 312,163 207,139 119,730 72,026 64,890 1,204,186 
2,552,736 1,668,590 1,113,069 649,617 327,008 211,099 6,522,119 
Canadian Retail:
Super prime50,110 36,596 31,173 16,701 6,265 2,239 143,084 
Prime16,166 13,904 10,336 7,026 4,228 2,350 54,010 
Sub-prime2,345 2,436 1,694 1,090 704 474 8,743 
68,621 52,936 43,203 24,817 11,197 5,063 205,837 
$2,621,357 $1,721,526 $1,156,272 $674,434 $338,205 $216,162 $6,727,956 
The Company's credit risk on the wholesale portfolio is different from that of the retail portfolio. Whereas the retail portfolio represents a relatively homogeneous pool of retail finance receivables that exhibit more consistent loss patterns, the wholesale portfolio exposures are less consistent. The Company utilizes an internal credit risk rating system to manage credit risk exposure consistently across wholesale borrowers and individually evaluates credit risk factors for each borrower. The Company uses the following internal credit quality indicators, based on an internal risk rating system, listed from highest level of risk to lowest level of risk for the wholesale portfolio: Doubtful, Substandard, Special Mention, Medium Risk and Low Risk. Based upon the Company’s review, the dealers classified in the Doubtful category are the dealers with the greatest likelihood of being charged-off, while the dealers classified as Low Risk are least likely to be charged-off. Additionally, the Company classifies dealers identified as those in which foreclosure is probable as Non-Performing. The internal rating system considers factors such as the specific borrower's ability to repay and the estimated value of any collateral. Dealer risk rating classifications are reviewed and updated by the Company on a quarterly basis.
The amortized cost of the Company's wholesale financial receivables, by vintage and credit quality indicator, was as follows (in thousands):
September 25, 2022
202220212020201920182017 & PriorTotal
Non-Performing$— $— $— $— $— $— $— 
Doubtful— — — — — — — 
Substandard— — — — — — — 
Special Mention— — — — — — — 
Medium Risk— — — — — — — 
Low Risk714,122 22,850 7,169 3,749 8,607 398 756,895 
$714,122 $22,850 $7,169 $3,749 $8,607 $398 $756,895 
December 31, 2021
202120202019201820172016 & PriorTotal
Non-Performing$— $— $— $— $— $— $— 
Doubtful— — — — — — — 
Substandard— — — — — — — 
Special Mention— — — — — — — 
Medium Risk— — — — — — — 
Low Risk380,211 11,379 11,047 10,565 3,662 917 417,781 
$380,211 $11,379 $11,047 $10,565 $3,662 $917 $417,781 
September 26, 2021
202120202019201820172016 & PriorTotal
Non-Performing$— $— $— $— $— $— $— 
Doubtful— — — — — — — 
Substandard— — — — — — — 
Special Mention— — — — — — — 
Medium Risk— — — — — — — 
Low Risk432,088 19,082 22,821 11,218 4,222 1,705 491,136 
$432,088 $19,082 $22,821 $11,218 $4,222 $1,705 $491,136 
Retail finance receivables are contractually delinquent if the minimum payment is not received by the specified due date. Retail finance receivables at amortized cost, excluding accrued interest, are generally charged-off when the receivable is 120 days or more delinquent, the related asset is repossessed, or the receivable is otherwise deemed uncollectible. The Company reverses accrued interest related to charged-off accounts against Financial Services interest income when the account is charged-off. The Company reversed $3.9 million and $3.1 million of accrued interest against Financial Services interest income during the three months ended September 25, 2022 and September 26, 2021, respectively, and $13.0 million and $11.6 million during the nine months ended September 25, 2022 and September 26, 2021, respectively. All retail finance
receivables accrue interest until either collected or charged-off. Due to the timely write-off of accrued interest, the Company made the election provided under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) Topic 326, Financial Instruments - Credit Losses to exclude accrued interest from its allowance for credit losses. Accordingly, as of September 25, 2022, December 31, 2021 and September 26, 2021, all retail finance receivables were accounted for as interest-earning receivables.
Wholesale finance receivables are delinquent if the minimum payment is not received by the contractual due date. Wholesale finance receivables are written down once the Company determines that the specific borrower does not have the ability to repay the loan in full. Interest continues to accrue on past due finance receivables until the date the Company determines that foreclosure is probable, and the finance receivable is placed on non-accrual status. The Company will resume accruing interest on these accounts when payments are current according to the terms of the loans and future payments are reasonably assured. While on non-accrual status, all cash received is applied to principal or interest as appropriate. Once an account is charged-off, the Company will reverse the associated accrued interest against interest income. As the Company follows a non-accrual policy for interest, the allowance for credit losses excludes accrued interest for the wholesale portfolio. There were no charged-off accounts during the three and nine months ended September 25, 2022 and September 26, 2021. As such, the Company did not reverse any accrued interest in those periods. There were no dealers on non-accrual status at September 25, 2022, December 31, 2021, and September 26, 2021.
The aging analysis of the Company's finance receivables was as follows (in thousands):
 September 25, 2022
Current31-60 Days
Past Due
61-90 Days
Past Due
Greater than
90 Days
Past Due
Total
Past Due
Total
Retail finance receivables$6,714,095 $136,957 $49,260 $45,337 $231,554 $6,945,649 
Wholesale finance receivables756,609 271 15 — 286 756,895 
$7,470,704 $137,228 $49,275 $45,337 $231,840 $7,702,544 
 December 31, 2021
Current31-60 Days
Past Due
61-90 Days
Past Due
Greater than
90 Days
Past Due
Total
Past Due
Total
Retail finance receivables$6,298,485 $115,942 $44,326 $34,766 $195,034 $6,493,519 
Wholesale finance receivables417,720 51 61 417,781 
$6,716,205 $115,951 $44,327 $34,817 $195,095 $6,911,300 
 September 26, 2021
Current31-60 Days
Past Due
61-90 Days
Past Due
Greater than
90 Days
Past Due
Total
Past Due
Total
Retail finance receivables$6,561,412 $101,157 $35,273 $30,114 $166,544 $6,727,956 
Wholesale finance receivables490,974 46 92 24 162 491,136 
$7,052,386 $101,203 $35,365 $30,138 $166,706 $7,219,092 
Generally, it is the Company’s policy not to change the terms and conditions of finance receivables. However, to minimize economic loss, the Company may modify certain finance receivables in troubled debt restructurings. Total finance receivables in troubled debt restructurings were not significant as of September 25, 2022, December 31, 2021 and September 26, 2021. Additionally, in certain situations, the Company may offer short-term adjustments to customer payment due dates without affecting the associated interest rate or loan term. From the second quarter of 2020 through the end of the second quarter of 2021, in response to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Company granted an increased amount of short-term payment due date extensions on eligible retail loans to help retail customers get through financial difficulties associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. The Company continues to grant standard payment extensions to customers in accordance with its policies.