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Finance Receivables
9 Months Ended
Sep. 26, 2021
Receivables [Abstract]  
Finance Receivables Finance Receivables
The Company provides retail financial services to customers of its independent dealers in the U.S. and Canada. The origination of retail loans is a separate and distinct transaction between the Company and the retail customer, unrelated to the Company’s sale of product to its dealers. Retail finance receivables consist of secured promissory notes and secured installment sales contracts and are primarily related to independent dealer sales of motorcycles to retail customers. The Company holds either titles or liens on titles to vehicles financed by promissory notes and installment sales contracts.
The Company offers wholesale financing to its independent dealers in the U.S. and Canada. Wholesale finance receivables are related primarily to the Company's sale of motorcycles and related parts and accessories to dealers. Wholesale loans to dealers are generally secured by financed inventory or property.
Finance receivables, net were as follows (in thousands):
September 26,
2021
December 31,
2020
September 27,
2020
Retail finance receivables$6,727,956 $6,344,195 $6,585,298 
Wholesale finance receivables491,136 489,749 666,896 
7,219,092 6,833,944 7,252,194 
Allowance for credit losses(355,834)(390,936)(408,702)
$6,863,258 $6,443,008 $6,843,492 
On January 1, 2020, the Company adopted ASU No. 2016-13 Financial Instruments - Credit Losses (Topic 326): Measurement of Credit Losses on Financial Instruments (ASU 2016-13), which requires an entity to recognize expected lifetime losses on finance receivables upon origination. Under ASU 2016-13, the Company’s finance receivables are reported at amortized cost, net of the allowance for credit losses. Amortized cost includes the principal outstanding, accrued interest, and deferred loan fees and costs. Based on differences in the nature of the finance receivables and the underlying methodology for calculating the allowance for loan losses, the Company segments its finance receivables into the retail and wholesale portfolios. The Company further disaggregates each portfolio by credit quality indicators. As the credit risk varies between the retail and wholesale portfolios, the Company utilizes different credit quality indicators for each portfolio.
The retail portfolio primarily consists of a large number of small balance, homogeneous finance receivables. The Company performs a collective evaluation of the adequacy of the retail allowance for credit losses. The Company utilizes a vintage-based loss forecast methodology that includes decompositions for probability of default, exposure at default, attrition rate, and recovery balance rate. Reasonable and supportable economic forecasts for a two-year period are incorporated into the methodology to reflect the estimated impact of changes in future economic conditions, such as unemployment rates, household obligations or other relevant factors, over the two-year reasonable and supportable period. For periods beyond the Company’s reasonable and supportable forecasts, the Company reverts to its average historical loss experience using a mean-reversion process over a three-year period. Adjustments to historical loss information are made for differences in current loan-specific risk characteristics such as differences in underwriting standards, portfolio mix, or term as well as other relevant factors.
The wholesale portfolio is primarily composed of large balance, non-homogeneous loans. The Company’s evaluation for the wholesale allowance for credit losses is first based on a loan-by-loan review to determine whether the loans share similar risk characteristics. The Company individually evaluates loans that do not share risk characteristics. Loans identified as those for which foreclosure is probable are classified as Non-Performing, and a specific allowance for credit losses is established when appropriate. The specific allowance is determined based on the amortized cost of the related finance receivable and the estimated fair value of the collateral, less selling costs and the cash that the Company expects to receive. Finance receivables in the wholesale portfolio not individually assessed are aggregated, based on similar risk characteristics, according to the Company’s internal risk rating system and measured collectively. The related allowance for credit losses is based on factors such as the specific borrower’s financial performance and ability to repay, the Company’s past loan loss experience, reasonable and supportable economic forecasts, and the value of the underlying collateral and expected recoveries.
The Company considers various economic forecast scenarios as part of estimating the allowance for expected credit losses and applies a probability-weighting to those economic forecast scenarios. Changes in the Company’s outlook on economic conditions impacted the retail and wholesale estimates for expected credit losses at September 26, 2021. During the third quarter of 2021, the U.S. economy and the Company’s outlook on economic conditions improved from the second quarter of 2021; however, the pace of economic recovery remains uncertain as demonstrated by unemployment levels that remain higher than those experienced prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, muted consumer confidence and continuing COVID-19 pandemic-related challenges across the U.S., among other factors. As such, at the end of the third quarter of 2021, the Company’s outlook on economic conditions included continued slow economic improvement in its economic scenario weighting.
Additionally, the historical experience incorporated into the portfolio-specific models does not fully reflect the Company's comprehensive expectations regarding the future. As such, the Company incorporated qualitative factors to establish an appropriate allowance balance. These factors include motorcycle recovery value considerations, delinquency adjustments, specific problem loan trends, and others, as appropriate.
Due to the use of projections and assumptions in estimating the losses, the amount of losses actually incurred by the Company in either portfolio could differ from the amounts estimated. Further, the Company’s allowance for credit losses incorporates known conditions at the balance sheet date and the Company's management’s expectations surrounding the economic forecasts. The Company’s expectations surrounding its economic forecasts may change in future periods as additional information becomes available.
Changes in the allowance for credit losses on finance receivables by portfolio were as follows (in thousands):
 Three months ended September 26, 2021Nine months ended September 26, 2021
 RetailWholesaleTotalRetailWholesaleTotal
Balance, beginning of period$342,490 $16,321 $358,811 $371,738 $19,198 $390,936 
Provision for credit losses13,861 (2,653)11,208 10,465 (5,530)4,935 
Charge-offs(24,670)— (24,670)(76,366)— (76,366)
Recoveries10,335 150 10,485 36,179 150 36,329 
Balance, end of period$342,016 $13,818 $355,834 $342,016 $13,818 $355,834 
 Three months ended September 27, 2020Nine months ended September 27, 2020
 RetailWholesaleTotalRetailWholesaleTotal
Balance, beginning of period$389,758 $21,257 $411,015 $188,501 $10,080 $198,581 
Cumulative effect of change in accounting(a)
— — — 95,558 5,046 100,604 
Provision for credit losses8,024 (189)7,835 172,491 5,942 178,433 
Charge-offs(20,378)(2,442)(22,820)(105,452)(2,442)(107,894)
Recoveries12,672 — 12,672 38,978 — 38,978 
Balance, end of period$390,076 $18,626 $408,702 $390,076 $18,626 $408,702 
(a)On January 1, 2020, the Company adopted ASU 2016-13 and increased the allowance for loan loss through Retained earnings, net of income taxes, to establish an allowance that represents expected lifetime credit losses on the finance receivable portfolios at date of adoption.
The Company manages retail credit risk through its credit approval process and ongoing collection efforts. The Company uses FICO scores, a standard credit rating measurement, to differentiate the expected default rates of retail credit applicants, enabling the Company to better evaluate credit applicants for approval and to tailor pricing according to this assessment. For the Company’s U.S. and Canadian retail finance receivables, the Company determines the credit quality indicator for each loan at origination and does not update the credit quality indicator subsequent to the loan origination date.
As loan performance by credit quality indicator differs between the U.S. and Canadian retail loans, the Company’s credit quality indicators vary for the two portfolios. For U.S. retail finance receivables, those with a FICO score of 740 or above at origination are generally considered super prime, loans with a FICO score between 640 and 740 are generally categorized as prime, and loans with FICO score below 640 are generally considered sub-prime. For Canadian retail finance receivables, those with a FICO score of 700 or above at origination are generally considered super prime, loans with a FICO score between 620 and 700 are generally categorized as prime, and loans with FICO score below 620 are generally considered sub-prime.
The amortized cost of the Company's U.S. and Canadian retail finance receivables by vintage and credit quality indicator was as follows (in thousands):
September 26, 2021
202120202019201820172016 & PriorTotal
U.S. Retail:
Super prime$896,163 $551,078 $367,490 $206,333 $83,674 $38,494 $2,143,232 
Prime1,228,335 805,349 538,440 323,554 171,308 107,715 3,174,701 
Sub-prime428,238 312,163 207,139 119,730 72,026 64,890 1,204,186 
2,552,736 1,668,590 1,113,069 649,617 327,008 211,099 6,522,119 
Canadian Retail:
Super prime50,110 36,596 31,173 16,701 6,265 2,239 143,084 
Prime16,166 13,904 10,336 7,026 4,228 2,350 54,010 
Sub-prime2,345 2,436 1,694 1,090 704 474 8,743 
68,621 52,936 43,203 24,817 11,197 5,063 205,837 
$2,621,357 $1,721,526 $1,156,272 $674,434 $338,205 $216,162 $6,727,956 
December 31, 2020
202020192018201720162015 & PriorTotal
U.S. Retail:
Super prime$822,631 $575,977 $355,529 $165,436 $71,360 $29,181 $2,020,114 
Prime1,133,637 794,058 508,713 293,358 156,688 77,046 2,963,500 
Sub-prime435,875 295,403 177,598 111,163 72,556 52,060 1,144,655 
2,392,143 1,665,438 1,041,840 569,957 300,604 158,287 6,128,269 
Canadian Retail:
Super prime53,465 48,692 28,581 13,818 5,018 2,011 151,585 
Prime18,568 14,257 10,269 6,727 3,198 2,025 55,044 
Sub-prime3,172 2,498 1,560 1,095 607 365 9,297 
75,205 65,447 40,410 21,640 8,823 4,401 215,926 
$2,467,348 $1,730,885 $1,082,250 $591,597 $309,427 $162,688 $6,344,195 
September 27, 2020
202020192018201720162015 & PriorTotal
U.S. Retail:
Super prime$730,539 $649,174 $408,201 $196,050 $90,179 $39,749 $2,113,892 
Prime993,429 877,714 570,851 336,134 187,067 101,403 3,066,598 
Sub-prime387,766 326,537 196,001 124,312 82,975 64,537 1,182,128 
2,111,734 1,853,425 1,175,053 656,496 360,221 205,689 6,362,618 
Canadian Retail:
Super prime48,974 51,939 31,351 16,013 6,526 2,723 157,526 
Prime17,053 14,681 10,630 7,285 3,555 2,489 55,693 
Sub-prime2,790 2,630 1,706 1,171 685 479 9,461 
68,817 69,250 43,687 24,469 10,766 5,691 222,680 
$2,180,551 $1,922,675 $1,218,740 $680,965 $370,987 $211,380 $6,585,298 
The Company's credit risk on the wholesale portfolio is different from that of the retail portfolio. Whereas the retail portfolio represents a relatively homogeneous pool of retail finance receivables that exhibit more consistent loss patterns, the wholesale portfolio exposures are less consistent. The Company utilizes an internal credit risk rating system to manage credit risk exposure consistently across wholesale borrowers and individually evaluates credit risk factors for each borrower. The Company uses the following internal credit quality indicators, based on an internal risk rating system, listed from highest level of risk to lowest level of risk for the wholesale portfolio: Doubtful, Substandard, Special Mention, Medium Risk and Low Risk. Based upon the Company’s review, the dealers classified in the Doubtful category are the dealers with the greatest likelihood of being charged-off, while the dealers classified as Low Risk are least likely to be charged-off. Additionally, the Company classifies dealers identified as those in which foreclosure is probable as Non-Performing. The internal rating system considers factors such as the specific borrower's ability to repay and the estimated value of any collateral. Dealer risk rating classifications are reviewed and updated on a quarterly basis.
The amortized cost of wholesale financial receivables, by vintage and credit quality indicator, was as follows (in thousands):
September 26, 2021
202120202019201820172016 & PriorTotal
Non-Performing$— $— $— $— $— $— $— 
Doubtful— — — — — — — 
Substandard— — — — — — — 
Special Mention— — — — — — — 
Medium Risk— — — — — — — 
Low Risk432,088 19,082 22,821 11,218 4,222 1,705 491,136 
$432,088 $19,082 $22,821 $11,218 $4,222 $1,705 $491,136 
December 31, 2020
202020192018201720162015 & PriorTotal
Non-Performing$— $— $— $— $— $— $— 
Doubtful— — — — — — — 
Substandard— — — — — — — 
Special Mention658 365 31 — — — 1,054 
Medium Risk1,925 242 — — — — 2,167 
Low Risk388,568 71,441 13,412 7,887 2,297 2,923 486,528 
$391,151 $72,048 $13,443 $7,887 $2,297 $2,923 $489,749 
September 27, 2020
202020192018201720162015 & PriorTotal
Non-Performing$— $— $— $— $— $— $— 
Doubtful— — 14 — — — 14 
Substandard277 238 — — — — 515 
Special Mention2,316 1,213 160 — — 1,139 4,828 
Medium Risk1,283 448 33 — — — 1,764 
Low Risk505,328 118,466 18,602 8,551 5,525 3,303 659,775 
$509,204 $120,365 $18,809 $8,551 $5,525 $4,442 $666,896 
Retail finance receivables are contractually delinquent if the minimum payment is not received by the specified due date. Retail finance receivables at amortized cost, excluding accrued interest, are generally charged-off when the receivable is 120 days or more delinquent, the related asset is repossessed, or the receivable is otherwise deemed uncollectible. The Company reverses accrued interest related to charged-off accounts against interest income when the account is charged-off. The Company reversed $3.1 million of accrued interest against interest income during the three months ended September 26, 2021 and September 27, 2020, and $11.6 million and $14.5 million during the nine months ended September 26, 2021 and September 27, 2020, respectively. All retail finance receivables accrue interest until either collected or charged-off. Due to the timely write-off of accrued interest, the Company made the election provided under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) Topic 326, Financial Instruments - Credit Losses (ASC Topic 326) to exclude accrued interest from its allowance for credit losses. Accordingly, as of September 26, 2021, December 31, 2020 and September 27, 2020, all retail finance receivables were accounted for as interest-earning receivables.
Wholesale finance receivables are delinquent if the minimum payment is not received by the contractual due date. Wholesale finance receivables are written down once the Company determines that the specific borrower does not have the ability to repay the loan in full. Interest continues to accrue on past due finance receivables until the date the Company determines that foreclosure is probable, and the finance receivable is placed on non-accrual status. The Company will resume accruing interest on these accounts when payments are current according to the terms of the loans and future payments are reasonably assured. While on non-accrual status, all cash received is applied to principal or interest as appropriate. Once an account is charged-off, the Company will reverse the associated accrued interest against interest income. As the Company
follows a non-accrual policy for interest, the allowance for credit losses excludes accrued interest for the wholesale portfolio. There were no charged-off accounts during the three and nine months ended September 26, 2021. As such, the Company did not reverse any accrued interest in those periods. The Company reversed $0.4 million of accrued interest related to the charge-off of Non-Performing dealer loans during the three and nine months ended September 27, 2020. There were no dealers on non-accrual status at September 26, 2021, December 31, 2020, and September 27, 2020.
The aging analysis of finance receivables was as follows (in thousands):
 September 26, 2021
Current31-60 Days
Past Due
61-90 Days
Past Due
Greater than
90 Days
Past Due
Total
Past Due
Total
Retail finance receivables$6,561,412 $101,157 $35,273 $30,114 $166,544 $6,727,956 
Wholesale finance receivables490,974 46 92 24 162 491,136 
$7,052,386 $101,203 $35,365 $30,138 $166,706 $7,219,092 
 December 31, 2020
Current31-60 Days
Past Due
61-90 Days
Past Due
Greater than
90 Days
Past Due
Total
Past Due
Total
Retail finance receivables$6,164,369 $106,818 $39,933 $33,075 $179,826 $6,344,195 
Wholesale finance receivables489,556 166 23 193 489,749 
$6,653,925 $106,984 $39,956 $33,079 $180,019 $6,833,944 
 September 27, 2020
Current31-60 Days
Past Due
61-90 Days
Past Due
Greater than
90 Days
Past Due
Total
Past Due
Total
Retail finance receivables$6,434,642 $96,243 $31,467 $22,946 $150,656 $6,585,298 
Wholesale finance receivables666,335 244 314 561 666,896 
$7,100,977 $96,487 $31,470 $23,260 $151,217 $7,252,194 
Generally, it is the Company’s policy not to change the terms and conditions of finance receivables. However, to minimize economic loss, the Company may modify certain finance receivables in troubled debt restructurings. Total finance receivables in troubled debt restructurings were not significant as of September 26, 2021, December 31, 2020 and September 27, 2020. Additionally, in certain situations, the Company may offer short-term adjustments to customer payment due dates without affecting the associated interest rate or loan term. Starting in the second quarter of 2020, the Company granted an increased amount of short-term payment due date extensions on eligible retail loans to help retail customers get through financial difficulties associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. During the first half of 2021, the volume of extensions declined from the levels experienced during 2020 as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, but extensions did not return to pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels until the end of the second quarter of 2021. The Company discontinued extensions specific to the COVID-19 pandemic at the beginning of the third quarter of 2021; however, it continues to grant standard payment extensions to customers in accordance with its policies.