 EXHIBIT 99
We have the
energy
to make things better
…
for you, for our investors
and for our stakeholders. |
 PSEG
Kathleen Lally
VICE PRESIDENT,
INVESTOR RELATIONS
Caroline Dorsa
EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT AND
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER |
 3
Forward Looking Statement
Certain of the matters discussed in this report constitute
“forward-looking statements” within the meaning of
the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such
forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, which
could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated.
Such statements are based on management’s beliefs as well as
assumptions made by and information currently available to
management. When used herein, the words “anticipate,”
“intend,” “estimate,” “believe,” “expect,” “plan,” “should,”
“hypothetical,” “potential,” “forecast,”
“project,” variations of such words and similar expressions
are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Factors that may
cause actual results to differ are often presented with the forward-looking
statements themselves. Other factors that could cause actual
results to differ materially from those contemplated in any
forward-looking statements made by us herein are discussed in Item
1. Financial Statements—Note 9. Commitments and Contingent
Liabilities, Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial
Condition and Results of Operations, and other factors discussed
in filings we make with the United States Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC). These factors include, but are not limited to:
•
adverse
changes
in
the
demand
for
or
the
price
of
the
capacity
and
energy
that
we
sell into wholesale electricity markets,
•
adverse changes in energy industry law, policies and regulation, including
market structures and a potential shift away from competitive markets
toward subsidized market mechanisms, transmission planning and cost
allocation rules, including rules regarding how transmission is planned
and who is permitted to build transmission in the future, and reliability
standards, •
any inability of our transmission and distribution businesses to obtain
adequate and timely rate relief and regulatory approvals from federal and
state regulators, •
changes in federal and state environmental regulations that could increase
our costs or limit our operations,
•
changes in nuclear regulation and/or general developments in the nuclear
power industry, including various impacts from any accidents or incidents
experienced at our facilities or by others in the industry, that could
limit operations of our nuclear generating units,
•
actions
or
activities
at
one
of
our
nuclear
units
located
on
a
multi-unit
site
that
might adversely affect our ability to continue to operate that unit or other
units located at the same site,
•
any inability to balance our energy obligations, available supply and
risks, •
any deterioration in our credit quality or the credit quality of our
counterparties, including in our leveraged leases,
•
availability of capital and credit at commercially reasonable terms and
conditions and our ability to meet cash needs,
•
changes
in
the
cost
of,
or
interruption
in
the
supply
of,
fuel
and
other
commodities
necessary to the operation of our generating units,
•
delays in receipt of necessary permits and approvals for our construction
and development activities,
•
delays or unforeseen cost escalations in our construction and
development activities,
•
any
inability
to
achieve,
or
continue
to
sustain,
our
expected
levels
of
operating
performance,
•
any equipment failures, accidents, severe weather events or other incidents
that impact our ability to provide safe and reliable service to our
customers, and any inability to sufficiently obtain coverage or recover
proceeds of insurance on such matters,
•
increases in competition in energy supply markets as well as competition for
certain rate-based transmission projects,
•
any inability to realize anticipated tax benefits or retain tax credits,
•
challenges associated with recruitment and/or retention of a qualified
workforce, •
adverse
performance
of
our
decommissioning
and
defined
benefit
plan
trust
fund investments and changes in funding requirements, and
•
changes in technology and customer usage patterns.
All of the forward-looking statements made in this report are qualified by
these cautionary statements and we cannot assure you that the results
or developments anticipated by management will be realized or even if
realized, will have the expected consequences to, or effects on, us or
our business prospects, financial condition or results of operations.
Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these
forward-looking statements in making any investment decision.
Forward-looking statements made in this report apply only as of the
date of this report. While we may elect to update forward-looking
statements from time to time, we specifically disclaim any obligation
to do so, even if internal estimates change, unless otherwise required by
applicable securities laws. The forward-looking statements contained
in this report are intended to qualify for the safe harbor provisions
of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section
21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.
|
 4
GAAP Disclaimer
PSEG presents Operating Earnings in addition to its Income from Continuing
Operations/Net Income reported in accordance with accounting principles
generally accepted in the United States (GAAP). Operating Earnings
is a non- GAAP financial measure that differs from Net Income because
it excludes gains or losses associated with Nuclear Decommissioning
Trust (NDT), Mark-to-Market (MTM) accounting, and other material
one-time items. PSEG presents Operating Earnings because
management believes that it is appropriate for investors to consider
results excluding these items in addition to the results reported in
accordance with GAAP. PSEG believes that the non-GAAP financial
measure of Operating Earnings provides a consistent and comparable
measure of performance of its businesses to help shareholders understand
performance trends. This information is not intended to be viewed
as an alternative to GAAP information. Slides A and B at the end of this
presentation include a list of items excluded from Income from
Continuing Operations/Net Income to reconcile to Operating Earnings,
with a reference to that slide included on each of the slides where the
non-GAAP information appears. |
 PSEG OVERVIEW
& OUTLOOK |
 PSEG Strategy
Leveraging the
strength of PSEG’s
balance sheet to
invest primarily in
our stable, regulated
business in ways
that meet customer
needs and state
goals as we protect
the upside of the
merchant business
and provide growth
for our shareholders
DISCIPLINED
INVESTMENT
ENGAGED
WORKFORCE
FINANCIAL
STRENGTH
OPERATIONAL
EXCELLENCE
6 |
 PSEG met 2012’s challenges
with our strong platform of assets
ASSETS AND OPERATING EARNINGS ARE FOR THE YEAR ENDED 12/31/2012.
ENERGY HOLDINGS INCLUDES PARENT.
SEE PAGE A FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/NET INCOME
TO RECONCILE TO OPERATING EARNINGS. .
Electric & Gas Delivery
and Transmission
PSE&G positioned
to meet NJ’s
energy policy and
economic growth
objectives with an
investment program
exceeding $10 billion
through 2017
PSEG Power’s
low-cost, base
load and load
following fleet is
geographically well
positioned and
environmentally
responsible
Regional
Wholesale Energy
Renewable
Investments
PSEG Energy
Holdings positioned
to pursue attractive
renewable
generation and
develop new
business
opportunities
Assets $19.2B
Operating Earnings $528M
Assets $11.0B
Operating Earnings $644M
Assets $1.5B
Operating Earnings $64M
7 |
 8
PSEG –
2012 Highlights
2012 Earnings in-line with guidance
•
Achieved operating earnings of $2.44 per share, at the high end of guidance
range of $2.25-$2.50, including storm-related costs at
PSE&G •
PSE&G represented 43% of consolidated operating earnings with growth in
transmission Operational excellence
* In May 2013, the NJBPU approved the Solar Agreement reached with BPU Staff
and other parties; see slide 36 for details. •
Record output from CCGTs, continued strong production from Nuclear, and
Power’s control of O&M supported results
•
PSE&G recognized for reliability: National ReliabilityOne Excellence
Award, Mid-Atlantic Reliability Award, and Award for Outstanding
Response to a Major Outage Event; as well as EEI’s Emergency Response Award
•
Restored service to 2.1 million customers in a two-week period of time in
the aftermath of Superstorm Sandy and the Nor’easter that
followed •
Extension of major labor contracts
PSEG disciplined capital investment
•
Key regulatory approvals received for major transmission projects
•
BPU decisions pending on Solar4All Extension and Solar Loan III*
•
Power added 400 MW of new peakers in time to respond to summer demand
•
Holdings added 40 MW of new solar capacity |
 9
PSEG First Half 2013 Highlights
•
Based
on
financial
results
to
date,
we
expect
operating
earnings
for
the
full
year
to
be
at
the
upper
end
of
our
guidance
range
assuming
normal
weather
and
unit
operations
•
Focused on maintaining operating efficiency and customer reliability
•
PSE&G’s operating earnings expected to grow at double-digit rate
in 2013, and provide ~50% of consolidated operating earnings
•
Positive cash from Power and increasing cash flow from PSE&G supports
opportunity for dividend growth and funds capital spending program
without the need to issue equity •
Debt as a percentage of capital was 41.2% at June 30, 2013
Maintaining 2013 operating earnings guidance of $2.25 - $2.50 per share Executing
PSE&G’s existing $3.4 billion Transmission capital spending program on schedule
– fueling double-digit growth in PSE&G operating earnings
through 2015, based on approved programs PSE&G
pursuing Energy Strong, its $3.9 billion, ten-year infrastructure spending program to
strengthen electric and gas distribution, communications, and customer
reliability and resiliency. In addition, PSE&G plans to
invest $1.5 billion during this time-frame to harden its Transmission
system
Financial position remains strong Long history
of returning cash to the shareholder through the common dividend, with opportunity for
future growth
|
 10
First Half 2013 Operating Earnings by
Subsidiary
*SEE PAGE B FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/NET
INCOME TO RECONCILE TO OPERATING EARNINGS. Operating Earnings
Earnings per Share
$ millions (except EPS)
2013
2012
2013
2012
PSEG Power
$ 364
$ 306
$ 0.71
$ 0.60
PSE&G
300
298
0.59
0.59
PSEG Energy Holdings/
Enterprise
12
43
0.03
0.09
Operating Earnings*
$ 676
$ 647
$ 1.33
$ 1.28
Six months ended June 30 |
 11
PSEG EPS Reconciliation –
First-Half
2013 versus First Half 2012
* SEE PAGE B FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/NET
INCOME TO RECONCILE TO OPERATING EARNINGS.
$1.33
(0.06)
0.11
$1.28
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.25
1.50
YTD 2013
Operating
Earnings*
YTD 2012
Operating
Earnings*
Capacity 0.12
Net Price (0.05)
Volume 0.02
Gas Send-Out
and Fixed Cost
Recovery 0.04
O&M (0.01)
D&A (0.01)
PSEG Power
Transmission
Net Earnings 0.07
Distribution
O&M (0.02)
Net
Weather
0.01
Taxes
and Other 0.01
Absence
of Tax
Settlement (0.06)
D&A (0.01)
PSE&G
PSEG Energy
Holdings/
Enterprise
Asset Sale
0.01
Absence
of Tax
Settlement
(0.07)
0.00 |
 12
2013 Operating Earnings Guidance
* SEE PAGE A FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING
OPERATIONS/NET INCOME TO RECONCILE TO OPERATING EARNINGS..
Based on our performance year-to-date, we expect full year
operating earnings to be at the upper end of guidance,
assuming normal weather and unit operations
E = ESTIMATE |
 13
2013 Operating Earnings
*
Investment in the
regulated business
has changed the
earnings mix
Our 2009-2013
investment focus has
brought us to a 50/50
mix for 2013
PSE&G’s 2013-2017
Energy Strong Program
and ongoing transmission
investments will support
continued growth in
PSE&G’s earnings
Percent of Operating Earnings Contribution by Subsidiary
PSE&G
Power
Other
$2.74
$2.44
$2.25 -$2.50E
$3.09
$3.12
*SEE PAGE A FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/NET
INCOME
TO
RECONCILE
TO
OPERATING
EARNINGS;
ALL
PERIODS
REFLECT
TEXAS
IN DISCONTINUED
OPERATIONS.
E=ESTIMATE. |
 14
PSEG Focus
Operational excellence and disciplined investment helped offset the
earnings impact of lower energy prices
2008
2012
$69.85
PJM West RTC ($/MWh)
$33.88
•
2.4% (planned
1
)
•
$866
•
$0
•
$0
•
1.6%
•
29.3TWh
•
$0
$2.91
•
0.8% (actual
2
)
•
$2,500
•
$955
•
$888
•
1.7%
•
29.8TWh
•
$240
$2.44
•
O&M Growth per year
•
Transmission Rate Base
•
Utility Cap Stimulus Spending
•
Utility Solar & EE Cap Exp
•
EFORd Rate
CCGT
•
Nuclear Generation
•
Holdings Solar Investment
Operating Earnings Per Share
SEE PAGE A FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/NET INCOME
TO RECONCILE TO OPERATING EARNINGS. (1) PLANNED COMPOUND ANNUAL GROWTH
RATE 2008-2012.(2) ACTUAL COMPOUND ANNUAL GROWTH RATE 2008-2012. (3) 2013 INDICATED ANNUAL DIVIDEND RATE IS
$1.44 PER SHARE.
$1.29
Common
Dividend
Per
Share
³
$1.42
PSEG
Focus
($ millions, except as noted) |
 15
Superstorm
Sandy met by
an exceptional
response
The storm affected
PSE&G and Power
2.1 million PSE&G
customer restorations (2X Hurricane Irene and 3X the October ’11
Snowstorm)
96 Electric Substations Damaged (39% of the total)
14 Switching
Stations Affected (33% of total)
51 of 154 Transmission Lines Interrupted (33% of total)
2,427 Utility Poles Replaced or Repaired
48,000 Trees Removed or Trimmed
~4,200 mutual aid or contract workers brought in to assist restoration
efforts PSEG
Power’s
assets
were
stress
tested
by
Superstorm
Sandy,
but
when
the
load
returned in the days following, Power’s assets were available
|
 16
PSEG Capital Spending focused on growth
PSEG 2013-2015E Capital Spending*
$6.3 Billion
by Subsidiary
PSEG 2013-2015E Capital Spending*
$6.3 Billion
Growth / Environmental / Maintenance
E = ESTIMATE; CAPITAL EXCLUDES IDC AND AFUDC.
*THIS FORECAST DOES NOT REFLECT THE IMPACT OF THE ENERGY STRONG PROPOSAL
RECENTLY FILED WITH THE NJBPU. DATA AS OF JUNE 30, 2013.
PSE&G Growth
Power Growth
Maintenance
Environmental
Holdings Growth
PSE&G
Power
Holdings
Parent SC
$4.2B
67%
$0.3B
6%
$1.5B
24%
$0.2B
2%
$0.05B
1%
$5.1B
81%
$1.0B
16%
$0.05B
1%
$0.1B
2% |
 17
What’s Next: PSEG’s Capital Spending expansion opportunity directed
toward growth in regulated business with ~ 25% growth in planned
spending Potential
PSEG 2013-2015E Capital Spending*
$7.5 Billion
by Subsidiary
Potential
PSEG 2013-2015E Capital Spending*
$7.5 Billion
Growth / Environmental / Maintenance
E = ESTIMATE; CAPITAL EXCLUDES IDC AND AFUDC. DATA AS OF JUNE 30,
2013. PSE&G Growth
Power Growth
Maintenance
Environmental
Holdings Growth
$5.4B
73%
$0.3B
4%
$1.5B
20%
$0.2B
2%
$0.05B
1%
PSE&G
Power
Holdings
Parent SC
$6.3B
85%
$1.0B
13%
$0.1B
1%
$0.1B
1% |
 18
PSE&G’s Energy Strong Capital Program
addresses new reality
New ten-year, $3.9 Billion Infrastructure Program filed with the NJBPU to
strengthen PSE&G’s distribution system focusing on hardening
and resiliency Plan to invest an additional $1.5 Billion in transmission
grid over the ten-year period Energy Strong proposal includes:
Protecting 40 utility installations from severe storms ($1.7
Billion) Making the electric grid smarter and easier to repair
($454 Million) Adding backup distribution lines and system
redundancies ($415 Million) Undergrounding 20 miles of overhead
distribution lines ($60 Million) Modernizing the gas distribution
system ($1.1 Billion) Better
protection
for
homes
and
businesses
during
severe
weather
and
improved day to day system reliability
Proposed filing creates ~5,800 jobs and stimulates economic activity for
New Jersey businesses |
 19
55 local NJ towns and 5 counties
support
•
55 municipalities and five counties (Bergen, Hudson, Mercer,
Passaic and Somerset) have approved resolutions in support of
Energy Strong, PSE&G’s infrastructure proposal to improve and
fortify its electric and gas distribution systems
•
The Energy Strong proposal is currently being evaluated by the
NJ Board of Public Utilities
•
Public hearings are scheduled for September and October 2013
|
 20
PSEG
Power
value
advantaged
by
asset
diversity,
fuel flexibility and location
Fuel Diversity*
Total MW: 13,226
Energy Produced*
Total GWh: 52,511
Energy Market
Served* Total
MW: 13,226 18%
45%
8%
28%
1%
32%
57%
11%
42%
25%
33%
Intermediate
Peaking
Base load
Nuclear
Oil
Coal**
Gas
Pumped
Storage
*2012
**INCLUDES NJ UNITS THAT FUEL SWITCH TO GAS. |
 21
•
2.2% (forecast³) •
$12,600
•
$5,000
4
•
$6,900
5
•
$700
5
•
1.4%
•
30.4TWh
•
$290
•
$12-$15
2015E
•
0.8% (actual²) •
$9,000
•
$2,500
•
$5,900
•
$600
•
1.7%
•
29.8TWh
•
$240
•
$0
2012
Where we’re going
•
2.4% (planned¹) •
$6,800
•
$866
•
$5,900
•
$0
•
1.6%
•
29.3TWh
•
$0
•
$0
•
O&M Growth per year
•
PSE&G Rate Base
•
EFORd Rate -
CCGT
•
Nuclear Generation
•
Holdings Solar Investment
•
LIPA Earnings
PSEG Focus
($ millions, except as noted)
2008
E = ESTIMATE.
.
Transmission
E&G Distribution
EMP
(1)
Planned compound annual growth rate 2008-2012.
(2)
Actual compound annual growth rate 2008-2012.
(3)
Two-year compound annual growth rate from 2013.
(4)
Includes additional Transmission hardening.
(5)
Includes proposed filings: EE4A, SL3, S4Ae, and ES programs. |
 22
Balance Sheet Strengthened
PSEG has reduced risk
PSEG Total Capitalization
2009
2012
Power
Power
PSE&G
PSE&G
Equity
55%
Debt
45%
Equity
59%
Debt
41%
57%
43%
55%
45%
70%
30%
51%
49% |
 23
Using PSEG’s balance sheet strength
to finance growth in the regulated enterprise
without equity issuance
PSEG Total Capitalization
2012
2015E*
* E = ESTIMATE; INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING PROPOSED FILINGS: EE4A, SL3, S4AE,
ENERGY STRONG (ES) AND TRANSMISSION HARDENING.
Debt
41%
Equity
59%
Debt
44%
Equity
56% |
 24
PSEG Annual Dividend
A long history of growth and returning cash to
shareholders
Payout Ratio
62%
70%
63%
66%
43%
44%
43%
44%
50%
58%
61%*
5-year Rate of Growth 2.22%
10-year Rate of Growth 2.92%
PSEG Annual Dividend Rate
*2013 PAYOUT RATIO REFLECTS THE MIDPOINT OF 2013 OPERATING EARNINGS
GUIDANCE. **INDICATED ANNUAL RATE.
$1.08
$1.10
$1.12
$1.14
$1.17
$1.29
$1.33
$1.37
$1.37
$1.42
$1.44**
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013 |
 25
Value Proposition
PSEG is positioned to expand its investment in PSE&G
projects that provide reasonable, risk adjusted returns,
in ways that meet customer needs and state goals,
given strong cash flow of Power and growing cash
contribution from PSE&G.
PSEG will maintain a strong financial profile that
provides the opportunity to achieve our growth
objectives and maintains our track record of returning
cash to shareholders. |
 PSE&G |
 27
PSE&G
strategy
Building a
sustainable
platform that
balances
reliability,
customer rates
and public
policy to ensure
growth at
reasonable
returns
DISCIPLINED
INVESTMENT
OPERATIONAL
EXCELLENCE
FINANCIAL
STRENGTH
ENGAGED
WORKFORCE |
 28
PSE&G is the largest electric and gas distribution and transmission utility
company in New Jersey
Electric
Gas
Customers
Growth (2008 –
2012)
2.2 Million
0.6%
1.8 Million
0.6%
Electric Sales and Gas Sold and Transported
41,641 GWh
3,397 M
Therms
Projected
Annual
Load
Growth
(2013
–
2015)
0.7%*
0.2%*
Historical Annual Peak Load Growth
Transmission (2008 –
2012)
0.4%**
Projected Annual Load Growth
Transmission (2013 –
2015)
1.4%
Sales Mix
Residential
33%
60%
Commercial
57%
36%
Industrial
10%
4%
Transmission
Electric
Gas
Approved
Rate
of
Return
11.68% ROE***
10.3% ROE
10.3% ROE
Renewables and Energy Efficiency Approved
Programs
2009-2012
Solar Loan I-III
67 MW
179 MW
Solar 4 All and Extension
74 MW
125 MW
Energy Efficiency Annual Electric savings
160 GWh
200 GWh
Energy Efficiency Annual Gas savings
5M Therms
7M Therms
* WEATHER NORMALIZED - ESTIMATED ANNUAL GROWTH PER YEAR OVER FORECAST
PERIOD.
** TRANSMISSION LOAD GROWTH CAGR UTILIZES 2007 AS BASE YEAR.
*** SPECIFIC PROJECTS APPROVED FOR INCENTIVE RATE TREATMENT WITH ADDITIONAL
ROE. Total
Program
Plan
Gas Territory
Electric Territory
138KV
161KV
230KV
345KV
500KV
Transmission by Voltage |
 29
National
reliability
award winner
and recognized
for emergency
response during
Hurricane Irene |
 30
During
Superstorm
Sandy
strong
winds, heavy
rainfall and storm
surges caused
significant
damage to our
infrastructure |
 PSE&G brought in more than 4,000
contractors and mutual aid workers at the height of
restoration efforts
4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
993
1,179
1,220
1,476
1,488
1,586
1,702
2,757
3,176
3,176
3,345
3,936
4,174
3,867
3,683
3,576
10.2610.27
10.28
10.2910.30
10.31
11.1
11.2
11.3
11.4
11.5
11.6
11.7
11.8
11.9
11.10
FTE
Substation Personel
Tree Trimmers
Uneman
# of FTEs to Date
31 |
 32
PSE&G’s
response
to customer
outages
during recent
major events
Cumulative Customers Restored
Restoration response incorporated lessons learned
from Hurricane Irene
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
0
Irene
Sandy |
 33
PSE&G’s operating earnings grew ~10%*
with increased investment, cost control and supportive rate
mechanisms
* COMPOUND ANNUAL GROWTH RATE
SEE SLIDE A FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/
NET INCOME TO RECONCILE TO OPERATING EARNINGS. |
 34
Growth in rate base is driven by investments with
favorable recovery mechanisms
$9.0B
PSE&G Rate Base
$6.8B
PSE&G’s
rate base
has grown ~7%
annualized
with a
focus on meeting
the State’s goals
and customers’
needs
Renewables
& Energy
Solutions
Transmission
Gas
Distribution
Electric
Distribution |
 35
Represents ~28% of rate base in 2012
Overall,
Transmission
has
delivered
on planned
spending
PSE&G’s Transmission Capital Expenditures
2009 2009
Plan Actual
2010 2010
Plan Actual
2011 2011
Plan Actual
2012 2012
Plan Actual
Remaining Transmission
North East Grid
Mickelton-Gloucester-Camden
Susquehanna-Roseland
North Central Reliability
Burlington-Camden
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0 |
 36
Providing
solutions
for
New Jersey’s
energy and
economic
development
goals
($ Millions)
Approval
Date
Forecast
Amount*
Spend As
of
6/30/13
Remaining
Spending
Renewables
Solar Loan I & II
2008-
2009
$244
$228
$16
Solar 4 All
July 2009
457
456
1
Solar Loan III
May 2013
199
-
199
Solar 4 All Extension
May 2013
247
-
247
Energy Efficiency
Carbon Abatement
December
2008
45
45
-
Energy Efficiency
Economic Stimulus
July 2009
161
157
4
Demand Response
July 2009
34
29
5
Energy Efficiency Economic
Stimulus Extension
July 2011
93
23
70
Distribution
NJ Capital Infrastructure
Program 1 (CIP 1)
April 2009
702
702
-
NJ Capital Infrastructure
Program 2 (CIP 2)
July 2011
280
280
-
Total
$2,462
$1,920
$542
*SOLAR
4
ALL
EXT
AND
SOLAR
LOAN
3
REFLECT
BPU
APPROVED
PROGRAM
SPEND
“UP
TO”
LISTED
AMOUNTS. |
 37
Focus on controlling O&M allows us to earn
our authorized return
PSE&G O&M*
2008
–
2013
CAGR:
1.4%
* EXCLUDES REGULATORY
CLAUSES ** INCLUDES $40M IMPACT FROM SUPERSTORM SANDY IN
2012 E = ESTIMATE |
 38
PSE&G’s capital program will continue to be
focused on delivering energy solutions to meet New Jersey’s
public policy
PSE&G’s Capital Expenditures
DATA AS OF JUNE 30, 2013. * PROPOSED FILINGS INCLUDE
ENERGY STRONG (ES) AND EE4A. E = ESTIMATE |
 39
2013-2017 proposed investment plan
would grow our current capital plan by up to 50%
2013-2017E Capital Expenditures
Existing Plan
$7.2 Billion
Existing Plan and Proposed Filings
$10.3 Billion
* Distribution ES and Transmission Hardening extend 10 years
*
*
DATA AS OF JUNE 30, 2013. E = ESTIMATE
Distribution
Transmission
Approved Solar/Energy Efficiency
Distribution ES Filing
Transmission Hardening
Energy Efficiency Filings |
 40
PSE&G’s proposed investments would be
recovered through contemporaneous recovery mechanisms
Contemporaneous Recovery Mechanisms
Traditional Recovery Mechanisms
DATA AS OF JUNE 30, 2013. E = ESTIMATE
Energy Strong Filing (ES)
Solar/Energy Efficiency
Clauses
FERC Formula Rates
Distribution Base Rates
2013-2017E Capital Spending by Recovery Method
$10.3 Billion |
 41
PSE&G’s existing major transmission
investment program remains on schedule and on budget
Major Transmission Projects
Susquehanna
-Roseland
12.93%
$790
June 2014 /
June 2015
Northeast Grid Reliability
11.93%
$895
June 2015
North Central Reliability
11.68%
$390
June 2014
Burlington –
Camden 230kV
11.68%
$399
June 2014
Mickleton –
Gloucester-Camden 230kV
11.68%
$435
June 2015
Approved
ROE
Inclusion
of CWIP in
Rate Base
100%
Recovery
of Costs
Due to
Abandonment
Total
Estimated
Project
Costs
Expected
In-service
Date |
 42
Susquehanna-Roseland consists of
constructing 150 miles of 500kV circuit (46 miles in NJ) with
two new 500kV GIS switching stations at Roseland and
Hopatcong
Project
Estimate
Up To*
Through
Year-end 2012
2013-2015E
Expected
In-service Date
$790M
$324M
$466M
June 2014 /
June 2015
•
PJM RTEP project b0489
•
ROE of 12.93% (including 1.25% incentive)
•
100% CWIP in rate base during development
•
100% recovery of prudently incurred costs due to abandonment
Project Status: Major permitting & siting complete, outside and
inside plant construction in progress
*PROJECT IS SHARED WITH PPL. PROJECT ESTIMATE REPRESENTS PSE&G’S
CONSTRUCTION RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE NJ PORTION. E = ESTIMATE |
 43
Northeast Grid Reliability consists of
upgrading approximately 50 overhead circuit miles of 138kV
transmission line to 230kV, constructing ~18 miles of new
underground 230kV lines, and converting twelve existing
stations to 230kV operation
E = ESTIMATE
Project
Estimate Up
To
Through Year-
end 2012
2013-2015E
Expected
In-service Date
$895M
$88M
$807M
June 2015
•
PJM RTEP project b1304
•
ROE of 11.93% (including 0.25% incentive)
•
100% CWIP in rate base during development
•
100% recovery of prudently incurred costs due to abandonment
Project Status: Engineering, licensing, and outside plant
underground construction in progress |
 44
North Central Reliability consists of upgrading
55 circuit miles of 138kV transmission line to 230kV, and
converting six existing stations to 230kV operation
E = ESTIMATE
Project
Estimate Up To
Through Year-
end 2012
2013-2015E
Expected
In-service Date
$390M
$163M
$227M
June 2014
•
PJM RTEP project b1154
•
ROE of 11.68%
•
100% CWIP in rate base during development
•
100% recovery of prudently incurred costs due to abandonment
Project Status: Major permitting & siting complete, outside and inside
plant construction in progress |
 45
Burlington-Camden 230kV consists of upgrading
37 circuit miles (30 miles of overhead and 7 miles of under-
ground) of 138kV transmission line to 230kV, converting the
existing stations to 230kV operation
E = ESTIMATE
Project
Estimate
Up To
Through
Year-end
2012
2013-
2014E
Expected
In-service
Date
$399M
$169M
$230M
June
2014
•
PJM RTEP project b1156
•
ROE of 11.68%
•
100% CWIP in rate base during
development
•
100% recovery of prudently incurred costs
due to abandonment
Project Status: Major permitting & siting
complete, outside and inside plant
construction in progress |
 46
Mickleton-Gloucester-Camden 230kV
consists of upgrading 10 circuit miles of overhead transmission,
installing ~16 circuit miles of new 230kV underground, 10
circuit miles of new 230kV overhead, and
modifications/upgrades at five existing stations
E = ESTIMATE
Project
Estimate Up To
Through Year-
end 2012
2013-2015E
Expected
In-service Date
$435M
$24M
$411M
June 2015
•
PJM RTEP project b1398
•
ROE of 11.68%
•
100% CWIP in rate base during development
•
100% recovery of prudently incurred costs due to abandonment
Project Status: Major permitting & siting complete, outside and
inside plant construction in progress |
 47
State policy imperatives have been redefined
by Superstorm Sandy
•
On February 20, 2013, at its open
public meeting, the Board voted
that the recovery of all such storm
restoration costs would be
reviewed in a generic (multi-utility)
proceeding
Storm Deferral Filings:
•
On December 19, 2012 the Board
granted a PSE&G request for
•
Preparedness Efforts
•
Communications
•
Restoration and Response
•
Post Event Analysis
•
Underlying Infrastructure Issues
Storm report issued by NJBPU
focusing on:
general authority to defer storm
restoration costs, thereby making such
costs potentially recoverable in future
rate filings |
 48
We have also responded with a plan focused
on infrastructure hardening and resiliency
•
The filing complements the NJBPU’s
recently issued order requiring all
Electric Distribution Companies to
take specific actions to improve
preparedness and response to
major storms
•
Additional Transmission investment
of approximately $1.5 billion would
be included in future FERC Formula
Rate filings
•
PSE&G filed a petition on February 20,
2013, with the NJBPU seeking
approval for the Energy Strong
Program (ES) which will harden electric
and gas distribution infrastructure and
increase the resiliency of the electric
distribution system
•
ES program represents a potential
investment of approximately $3.9
billion over the next 10 years. PSE&G
has asked for initial funding approval
of $2.6 billion during the first
five years |
 49
Lower commodity costs and expiration of
certain transition charges are expected to fully offset the impact
to customer bills
*2018 BGS/BGSS RATES AS WELL AS SBC AND DISTRIBUTION RATES HELD CONSTANT AT
CURRENT 2013 RATES. RATES RELATED TO ELECTRIC RESTRUCTURING:
SECURITIZATION (STC), NON-UTILITY GENERATION CHARGE (NGC), & TRANSITIONAL ENERGY FACILITIES ASSESSMENT (TEFA), ARE REDUCED TO ZERO BY 2018. THE RGGI RECOVERY CHARGE (RRC), SOLAR PILOT
RECOVERY CHARGE (SPRC), AND CAPITAL ECONOMIC STIMULUS INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT
PROGRAM EXTENSION (CIP II ) BILL IMPACTS ARE INCLUDED IN THEIR RESPECTIVE GAS AND ELECTRIC BARS AND FORECASTED IN 2018 BASED UPON LATEST
ESTIMATE. THE 2018 BILL IMPACTS OF ES, EE4ALL, AND S4AEXT/SL3 IMPACTS ARE BASED
UPON CURRENT ESTIMATES AS OF MARCH 31, 2013. Typical Residential Annual
Bill |
 50
PSE&G’s 2013 operating earnings
benefiting from transmission growth and cost containment
initiatives
E= ESTIMATE
*SEE SLIDE A FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/NET
INCOME TO RECONCILE TO OPERATING EARNINGS.
$528
2012
2013 Guidance
PSE&G Operating Earnings*
($ Millions)
$580 -
$635E |
 LONG ISLAND
POWER AUTHORITY |
 52
LIPA T&D management contract
In December 2011, the Long Island Power Authority (LIPA) selected PSEG to manage
its electric transmission and distribution system for 10 years starting in
2014 Commitment to cost control and investment optimization
Corporate culture of transparency and data-driven decision making
Transition
activities
on-track
–
successfully
achieving
all
milestones
through
February
2013
Successful management of the LIPA transmission and distribution system
may lead to additional growth opportunities
LIPA /National Grid Contract
Thru Dec 2013
PSEG Transition Period
2012-2013
PSEG Long Island
Operating Period
2014 -
2023
Reasons for selecting PSEG included:
Proven technical capabilities and track record of top quartile customer service
and reliability Evaluating
impact
of
Superstorm
Sandy
and
recent
LIPA
management
changes
on
the
overall
schedule and transition |
 PSEG ENERGY
HOLDINGS |
 54
PSEG
Energy Holdings
strategy
Holdings’
priorities
are to manage
lease risks, sell
remaining non-
core assets and
grow the
renewables
portfolio
STREAMLINED
BUSINESS
AND REDUCED
FINANCIAL RISK
CAPITALIZE ON
RENEWABLE
OPPORTUNITIES
MAXIMIZING
THE VALUE OF
THE REMAINING
PORTFOLIO
DEVELOP AND EXECUTE
NEW BUSINESS
OPPORTUNITIES |
 55
PSEG Energy Holdings has monetized the
majority of its legacy assets, eliminated all Holdings debt,
and returned cash to PSEG
Holdings Investment Portfolio
Solar Investments
$1.2B
Merchant Energy
Leases
Regulated Energy
Leases & Other
Regulated
Energy Leases
& Other
Merchant
Energy Leases
LILO/SILO
Leases
International
Investments
$4.9B
Texas
LILO/SILO Lease
Terminations
~$1.2B
International &
Other Global
Asset Sales
~$2.1B
Texas Transfer
& Sale ~$600M
Dynegy Lease
Reserve ~$0.2B
2012
$M
Solar Source
$ 159
Merchant Energy Leases
GenOn (REMA)/NRG
$ 341
EME (Midwest Gen)
$ 218
Regulated Energy Leases
$ 202
Real Estate Leveraged Leases
$ 80
Real Estate Operating Leases
$ 100
Generation Legacy Assets
$ 96
Aircraft Leases and Other
$ 24
$1,220
2006
NOTE:
2006
AND
2012
DATA
REFLECT
BOOK
VALUES
OF
ASSETS,
EXCLUDING
DEFERRED
TAXES.
TRANSACTIONS REFLECT TRANSFER VALUE IN THE CASE OF TEXAS, MARKET VALUES
FOR ASSET DISPOSITIONS OR, IN THE CASE OF DYNEGY, BOOK VALUE RESERVE
TAKEN IN 2011.. |
 Reducing Risk and
Monetizing Legacy Assets
PSEG Energy Holdings
Growth in
unregulated renewables
PSEG Solar Source
Growth by
leveraging knowledge
PSEG Long Island
Merchant Energy
Leveraged Leases
Regulated Energy
Leveraged Leases
Real Estate Leveraged
and Operating Leases
Legacy
Generation Assets
…MANAGING
RISK
FOR
REMAINING
LEGACY
ASSETS
AND
INVESTING
IN
RENEWABLES
56 |
 57
PSEG Solar Source has completed 69 MW and has
an additional 19 MW under construction
Milford
Delaware (15 MW)
COD December 2012
Polycrystalline
-
fixed
tilt
Investment $47 million
20 year PPA with DEMEC
Hackettstown (Mars)
New Jersey (2 MW)
COD September 2009
Thin
film
panels
–
fixed
tilt
Investment $13 million
15 year PPA with Mars, Inc.
…
OPPORTUNITY FOR GROWTH IN UNREGULATED SOLAR
Badger I
Arizona (19 MW)
Expected
COD
late
2013
Polycrystalline -
single axis tracker
Investment $51 million
30 year PPA with APS
Wyandot
Ohio (12 MW)
COD May 2010
Thin film panels – fixed tilt
Investment $45 million
20 year PPA with AEP
Queen Creek
Arizona (25 MW)
COD October 2012
Polycrystalline - single axis tracker
Investment $75 million
20 year PPA with SRP
JEA
Florida (15 MW)
COD September 2010
Thin
film
panels – fixed tilt
Investment $59 million
30 year PPA with JEA
|
 58
PSEG Energy Holdings
These projects will produce steady results for PSEG
PSEG Solar Source EBITDA
E = ESTIMATE.
…
A STABLE, LOW-RISK PORTFOLIO |
 59
PSEG Energy Holdings
Simplifying the
business and creating
growth opportunities in
renewables
Operational Excellence
Financial
Strength
Disciplined Investment
STREAMLINED
BUSINESS
AND REDUCED
FINANCIAL RISK
CAPITALIZE ON
RENEWABLE
OPPORTUNITIES
MAXIMIZING
THE VALUE OF
THE REMAINING
PORTFOLIO
DEVELOP AND EXECUTE
NEW BUSINESS
OPPORTUNITIES |
 PSEG POWER |
 PSEG Power
strategy
Focused on safety
performance, unit
reliability, competitive
cost structure with
control of
maintenance costs,
achieving operational
excellence, and
supporting market
rules to maintain a
level playing field
DISCIPLINED
INVESTMENT
ENGAGED
WORKFORCE
FINANCIAL
STRENGTH
OPERATIONAL
EXCELLENCE
61 |
 62
PSEG Power creating value by responding to changing
markets and regulations
•
Installed 400 MW new peaking
capacity in 2012
Financial/Economic Focus
•
O&M cost control programs have
delivered
•
Sites offering competitive advantage
suited for expansion
Regulatory Focus
•
Strong regulatory performance
•
Industry leadership in the changing
regulatory environment
Safety/Environmental Focus
Fleet Diversity/Efficiency Focus
•
Fleet diversity across the dispatch
curve and fuel types provides flexibility
•
Nuclear units continue to achieve
strong operational results and are
well positioned for the future
•
Peach Bottom steam path retrofit
completed
•
Fossil fleet is suited for market
dynamics
•
CCGT achieved record output in 2012
|
 63
PSEG Power delivered in 2012
Storm and
weather challenges
•
Superstorm Sandy
impacted
our generating sites
•
Warm winter put
pressure on demand
and pricing for both
electricity and gas
•
Hot summer weather
created challenging
operating
environment
Market
challenges
•
Unit outages and
transmission
outages resulted in
pressure on basis
•
Lower gas cost
impacted dark
spread pressuring
coal unit dispatch
•
Load impacted by
weather and
economy
Value
delivered
•
Cost control
•
Lower dispatch and fuel cost
•
Captured value through coal/gas
switching, unit flexibility
•
Improved unit availability
•
Coal & oil sales optimized inventory
•
Expedited return from storm outages,
restored margin opportunities
•
Optimized unit dispatch across fleet
during storm recovery |
 64
PSEG Power has generating assets
in three competitive markets
•
Low cost portfolio
•
Fuel flexibility
•
Assets near loads
•
Poised to benefit in real
time markets
•
Fleet will maintain
diversity and efficiency in
2016 after HEDD
•
Most sites suitable for
expansion
ISO
New
England
New Haven
Bridgeport
Bethlehem Energy Center
(Albany)
Conemaugh
Keystone
Peach Bottom
Bergen
Kearny
Essex
Sewaren
Edison
Linden
Mercer
Burlington
National Park
Hudson
Hope Creek
Salem
Yards Creek
New York ISO
PJM |
 65
PSEG Power Nuclear fleet is a critical element
of success
Hope Creek
•
Operated by PSEG Nuclear
•
PSEG Ownership: 100%
•
Technology: Boiling Water
Reactor
•
Total Capacity: 1,174 MW
•
Owned
Capacity:
1,174
MW
•
License Expiration: 2046
•
Next Refueling
•
Fall 2013
Salem
Units 1 and 2
•
Operated by PSEG Nuclear
•
PSEG Ownership: 57%,
Exelon –
43%
•
Technology: Pressurized Water
Reactor
•
Total Capacity: 2,326 MW
•
Owned Capacity: 1,335 MW
•
License Expiration: 2036
and 2040
•
Next Refueling
•
Unit 1 –
Fall 2014
•
Unit 2 –
Spring 2014
Peach Bottom
Units 2 and 3
•
Operated by Exelon
•
PSEG Ownership: 50%
•
Technology: Boiling Water
Reactor
•
Total Capacity: 2,245 MW
•
Owned Capacity:
1,123 MW
•
License Expiration: 2033 and
2034
•
Next Refueling
•
Unit 2 –
Fall 2014
•
Unit 3 –
Fall 2013 |
 66
PSEG Power Nuclear is core to the fleet and has
competitive advantages
•
Continued strong nuclear operations –
eight consecutive years of >90%
capacity factor
•
Significant earnings contributor
•
Top quartile of cost performance/MWh
•
One third new staff, recruitment of the
best new and experienced talent and
attractive training program
•
Developing Fukushima action plan
in response to NRC staff review
•
Peach Bottom extended power uprate,
130 MW Power’s share, scheduled in
service 2015/2016
•
Active and influential participation at
INPO, NEI, EPRI, USA Alliance
|
 67
EFORp
improvement
and availability
at peak demand
times has
resulted in
performance
payments in
each of the last
four years
EFORd
improvement
resulted in over
200 MW of
additional
capacity
available
PSEG Power’s
Fossil Fleet
availability has
shown
steady
improvement |
 68
PSEG Power
improvements
achieved in
combined cycle
fleet efficiency
Actions Taken to Create Value
•
Heat rate improvement
program
•
Operational Excellence
Model
•
Training programs
•
Unit testing initiative
•
Outage work to restore
efficiency |
 69
Superstorm Sandy affected the fleet;
when the load returned, Power was ready
Planned
Outages
Salem 2
Bergen 1
Hudson 2
Storm
Outages
Salem 1
Linden CC
Linden 5,6,7,8
Kearny
9,12,13,14
Essex
9,10,11,12
Sewaren
1,2,3,4
Salem 1
Linden 5,7
Kearny
13,14
Linden 6,8
Bergen 1
Salem 2
Kearny 12
All PSEG NJ
Generation
Superstorm
Sandy
Hudson 2
Essex 9,10
Linden CC |
 PSEG Power’s fleet is among the lowest
emitting in the industry
•
Mercury reduced 80% across the timeframe above
•
Power is well positioned for HAPS
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Generation
SO
2
NOx
70 |
 71
PSEG Power’s
focus on costs
has resulted in
moderate
increase in O&M
for six years
2008 to 2013 CAGR = 1.9%
Power O&M Expense*
* INCLUDES IMPACTS FROM STORM RECOVERY COSTS AND POTENTIAL RELATED INSURANCE
PROCEEDS. E = ESTIMATE.
Cost control actions taken:
•
Coal assessment
•
CCGT material condition assessment
•
Contract renegotiation
•
Material management
•
Nuclear maintenance productivity study
•
Nuclear outage efficiency initiative |
 72
PSEG Power is well positioned
for growth in
the fleet when market conditions dictate
Available locations
•
Bergen
•
Burlington
•
Essex
•
Edison
•
Kearny
•
Hudson
•
Linden
•
Sewaren
•
Bridgeport
Harbor
•
Electric Interconnection
•
Gas Pipeline Access
•
Sites/Space
•
Emissions
Our sites possess infrastructure advantages |
 73
PSEG Power will maintain diversity and
efficiency after a realignment of the fleet in 2016
13,226 MW
11,200 MW
Fuel Diversity
52.5 TWh
52-54 TWh
Energy Produced
E
Other
E=ESTIMATE
Oil
CCGT
Pumped
Storage
HEDD
Other gas
Peakers
Coal
Nuclear
CCGT
Peakers
Coal
Nuclear
2012
2016E
2012
2016
Objective
2012
2016E
•
Maintain fuel diversity
•
Maintain load serving
capability
•
Improve fleet heat rate
by 6%
•
Maintain low cost
structure
•
Environmental
improvement |
 74
PSEG Power is an established leader
within the industry
INPO
•
Board of Directors
•
National Nuclear Accrediting Board
NEI
•
Chair Communications Advisory
Committee
•
Board of Directors
•
Board of Directors Executive
Committee
•
Chair Emergency Preparedness
Working Group
•
Security Working Group
•
Fukushima Response Steering
Committee
•
Nuclear Strategic Issues Advisory
Committee Steering Group
EPRI
•
Chairman Nuclear Power Counsel
•
Executive Committee Nuclear Power
Counsel
BWR Owners Group
•
Vice Chair of the Executive Oversight
Committee
USA Alliance
•
Chair
PJM/NY/NE ISO
•
Various Committees |
 75
PSEG Power has added value with focus on
operational excellence
* EXCLUDES SANDY IMPACT.
3,622
Nuclear capacity (MW)
3,632
92%
Nuclear equivalent availability
93%
29.3
Nuclear generation (TWhrs)
29.8
55
Total generation (TWhrs)
53
3,157
CCGT capacity (MW)
3,176
12.1
CCGT generation (TWhrs)
16.2
8.9%
Fossil EFORd
6.3%*
87%
Fossil equivalent availability
90%
63
SO
2
(Ktons)
9
16
NO
x
(Ktons)
10
2008
2012 |
 PSEG POWER
ER&T |
 DIVERSIFIED
ASSETS AND
FLEXIBLE DISPATCH
REGULATORY
ADVOCACY
MANAGING
RISKS AND
CREATING VALUE
ENGAGED
WORKFORCE
77
PSEG Power
ER&T strategy
Focused on
optimizing the value
of its asset portfolio
and providing
outstanding service
to our customers,
while prudently
managing risk |
 High performing, base load nuclear assets
3,632 MW
Fuel advantaged, base load coal plants in PA
776 MW
Flexible combined cycle fleet
3,176 MW
Well leveraged intermediate & peaking
assets 5,642 MW
Integrated trading and dispatch capability around fleet
78
Diversified assets and flexible dispatch
|
 Fleet capacity has been advanced by:
Reduced O&M and increased start-up success
Trading acumen to execute fuel switching opportunities
Capturing new products opportunity with
minimal investment
Improved Heat Rate capability
79 |
 80
Spark spread
replaces dark spread
as major value driver
•
Spark spread has risen above dark spread in PJM markets
•
Power’s gas units operating at record throughput
•
Gas operation provides much more operational flexibility
•
Enhances the ability of trading organization to capture volatility
|
 81
2013 BGS Auction Results for PSE&G Zone
Capacity
Load shape
Transmission
Congestion
Ancillary services
Risk premium
Green
$48
-
$50
$45
-
$47
$37
-
$38
$56
-
$58
$39
-
$40
BGS sales account for about a third of our forward portfolio of hedges
3 Year Average
Round the Clock
PJM West
Forward Energy
Price
$103.72
~ $47
$95.77
$94.30
~ $47
~ $48
~ $46
$83.88
~ $53
$92.18
BGS PRICES REFLECT PSE&G ZONE; RESULTS FOR 2011-2013 ARE THE NEW
BLENDED PRICES BEGINNING JUNE 1, 2013. 81 |
 82
•
3 Year forward BGS sales comprise smaller percentage of Power’s
hedges •
Other full requirement load deals help capture additional locational and load
shape premium
NOTE: PERCENTAGES REPRESENT HEDGED VOLUMES IN PLACE AFTER BGS
AUCTION. Our hedging mix has changed with the
market but still captures the fleet’s locational
advantage Other Load
BGS Sales to NJ
EDCs
Other Hedges
82 |
 Hedging strategy designed to protect gross margin
and leverage the portfolio
HEDGE
PERCENTAGES
AND
PRICES
AS
OF
JUNE
28,
2013.
REVENUES
OF
FULL
REQUIREMENT
LOAD
DEALS
BASED
ON
CONTRACT
PRICE,
INCLUDING
RENEWABLE
ENERGY
CREDITS,
ANCILLARY,
AND
TRANSMISSION
COMPONENTS
BUT
EXCLUDING
CAPACITY.
HEDGES
INCLUDE
POSITIONS
WITH
MTM
ACCOUNTING
TREATMENT
AND
OPTIONS.
83
Ratable Hedging on Base Load:
3 year ratable hedge tactics
3 year PJM hedge of capacity
(not included in table)
Load following sales (such as BGS)
have strong correlation to our units
for hedging basis and load shaping
premium
Dynamic Hedging on
Intermediate Coal, Combined
Cycle and Peaking:
Position fleet to take advantage
of market volatility
Gas and load-following fleet left
open until prompt year to capture
volatility
Use all trading products to
capture option value of assets and
benefit from market dislocations |
 New Haven
Current
plant
locations
Bridgeport
Bethlehem Energy Center
(Albany)
Conemaugh
Keystone
Peach Bottom
Bergen
Kearny
Essex
Sewaren
Edison
Linden
Mercer
Burlington
National Park
Hudson
Hope Creek
Salem
Yards Creek
•
Basis (PS Zone to PJM West) will continue to trend downward for forward
sales •
Volatility will remain significant in the prompt periods (especially
summer/winter) •
Power maintains sufficient length to participate in upside volatility as well
as a valuable 250MW transmission position into NYC
•
Basis will continue to have a positive impact on PSEG Power profitability
PSEG’s locational advantage
and electric basis
*AS OF MAY 15, 2013.
84
PS Zone On Peak Monthly Day Ahead
Basis to PJM West Hub* |
 •
Lower cost supplies of shale
gas have been beneficial to
both PSE&G customers and
PSEG Power
•
Over 50% of our available
pipeline capacity can access
market area supplies of
shale gas
•
Power’s generating units sit
in close proximity to the
Marcellus fairway
•
Power buys approximately
350BCF/year of gas
•
We have been able to
arbitrage gas values from
South to North and East to
West using our storage and
pipeline capacity
Albany
PSEG’s locational advantage
and gas basis
New York
85
Shale Supply
0.6 BCF/D
Storage
0.9 BCF/D
Gulf Coast Supply
0.7 BCF/D |
 PJM’s capacity market continues to recognize
locational value of our fleet
*PSEG Power’s cleared megawatts split between PS Zone and EMAAC.
86
$/MW-Day
2012 /
2013
2013 /
2014
2014 /
2015
2015 /
2016
2016 /
2017
Power’s Average Price
PS Zone
EMAAC
RTO
Power’s Capacity (MW)
$153
$140
$16
10,400
$244
$162
$167
$166
$219
$245
$137
$167
$119
$28
$126
$136
$59
10,600
10,300
9,000
8,637*
New Build and Higher Imports
Updated Transfer Capabilities
Updated Demand Curve
Environmental Retirements
Minimum Offer Price Rule
Lower Demand
Response
2016/2017 RPM Auction Influenced By: |
 Reserve margins in PJM declining with retirements
Generation Deactivation Notifications
Source: PJM TEAC, 1/10/2013
•
PJM Pending Deactivation Requests of
12,634 MW as of January 22, 2013
•
Approximately 4,000 MW of additional
owner announced retirements in PJM
through next auction
Forecast Reserve Margin (PJM January 2013)
•
PJM forecasts a declining Reserve Margin
through 2017
87
Reserve Requirement
RM: Existing + Expected New Gen |
 Regulatory Advocacy
Current Issues
•
PJM RPM rules for Capacity Markets
•
PJM Energy/Ancillary Services Market
•
New England Capacity Markets
•
New York Energy Markets
•
Trade Associations and ISO/RTO activities
Recent Rulings
•
FERC approval of Cost of New Entry (CONE)
•
PJM Area Regulation rules
•
EPA RICE/NESHAPS rules
•
FERC ruling imposing DR must offer requirement
in ISO-NE
88
ISSUE /POLICY
HOW ADDRESSED?
PJM
MOPR
Sufficiency/Exceptions
before FERC and courts
DEMAND RESPONSE RULES
ANCILLARY/ENERGY
Regulation/Black-
start
modifications under consideration in PJM stakeholder
process before FERC
NYISO
CAPACITY
Jurisdictional dispute
at FERC over retirement decisions; Impact of PSC
approved Reliability Must Run arrangement on markets
NEPOOL
FCM
FEDERAL
Gas/Electric Coordination
Participation
in ISO/FERC/Industry forums
Performance/eligibility/compensation issues before courts, FERC, and PJM
stakeholder process
Market design issues pending at Court of Appeals, FERC and ISO-NE
stakeholder process
|
 Diversified
Assets &
Flexible Dispatch
Regulatory
Advocacy
Managing
Risks &
Creating Value
Managing Risks & Creating Value
Consistent hedging strategy •
Full load requirements •
Capacity sales •Monetize optionality
Diversified Assets &
Flexible Dispatch
Strong operational performance
Fuel switching
Ancillary services
Regulatory Advocacy
Supports competitive markets
Seeks a level playing field
Provides insight
Creates opportunity
MARKET
EXPECTATIONS
89
PSEG wholesale market strategy
built on a strong asset portfolio |
 PSEG FINANCIAL
REVIEW
& OUTLOOK |
 91
Strong financial position to support our
business initiatives
Financial Position
Achieved Earnings Guidance
Stable Dividend and Opportunity for Growth
Strong Balance Sheet
Regulated Growth Opportunity without Equity Issuance
Solid Credit Ratings
O&M Controlled
Well Funded Pension |
 92
Maintaining 2013 operating earnings guidance
E = ESTIMATE
*SEE SLIDE A FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING
OPERATIONS/NET INCOME TO RECONCILE TO OPERATING EARNINGS.
Based on our performance year-to-date, we expect full year
operating earnings to be at the upper end of guidance,
assuming normal weather and unit operations
PSEG Operating Earnings
$ Millions (except EPS)
2013E
PSEG Power
$535 -
$600
PSE&G
$580 -
$635
PSEG Energy Holdings/Parent
$25 -
$35
Operating Earnings*
$1,140 -
$1,270
$2.25 - $2.50
2013 Earnings Guidance |
 93
PSE&G is expected to represent 50%
of 2013 operating earnings
PSE&G
Power
& Other
E = ESTIMATE
SEE SLIDE A FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING
OPERATIONS/NET INCOME TO RECONCILE TO OPERATING EARNINGS.
Business Mix of Operating Earnings |
 94
In 2012, PSE&G executed its capital program, Power
generated significant free cash flow and PSEG increased its
shareholder dividend
Power
Cash
from Ops
PSE&G
Cash
from Ops
(1)
PSE&G
Capital
Investment
Power
Capital
Investment
Cash
Other
Net
Cash
Flow
Shareholder
Dividend
Net Debt
Issuances
(1) PSE&G CASH FROM OPERATIONS ADJUSTS FOR SECURITIZATION PRINCIPAL
REPAYMENTS OF ~$216 MILLION. 2012 Sources and Uses
|
 95
Our capital investment options can result in as
much as $5.4B of utility growth investment through 2015
PSE&G
Growth
~$4.2B
PSE&G
Maintenance
Power
& Other
~$6.2B
~$6.3B
~$6.5B
~$7.5B
PSE&G
Growth
$5.4B
DATA AS OF JUNE 30, 2013. EMP: ENERGY MASTER PLAN
E = ESTIMATE
EMP
~$0.1B
New
Transmission
~$0.2B
New
Distribution
~$1B
Potential Opportunities
Approved Programs
2013 –
2015E Capital Investment |
 96
All scenarios can be financed without new equity
2013
–
2015E
Power
Cash
from Ops
PSE&G
Cash
from
Ops
(1)
PSE&G
Capital
Investment
Power
Capital
Investment
Shareholder
Dividend
Net Debt
Issuances
Other
Net Cash
Flow
2013
–
2015E
Power
Cash
from Ops
PSE&G
Cash
from Ops
(1)
PSE&G
Capital
Investment
Power
Capital
Investment
Shareholder
Dividend
Net Debt
Issuances
Other
Net
Cash
Flow
Approved Programs plus EMP, New
Transmission and New Distribution
Approved Programs
(1) PSE&G CASH FROM OPERATIONS ADJUSTS FOR SECURITIZATION PRINCIPAL
REPAYMENTS OF ~$725M FROM 2013-2015
E = ESTIMATE
Sources
Uses
Sources
Uses |
 97
PSE&G’s capital spending drives regulated
earnings growth with a potential future rate base of up to
~$12.6B 2013 –
2015E Rate Base Growth
2015E Rate Base
3-yr CAGR: ~12%
~$11.6B
~$12.6B
DATA AS OF JUNE 30, 2013. EMP: ENERGY MASTER PLAN
E = ESTIMATE
2012 Rate Base
2015E Rate Base
3-yr CAGR: ~8.2%
~$9B
~$2.4B
~$11.4B
Approved Programs
New
Transmission
~$0.2B
New
Distribution
~$1B
Potential New Opportunities
Includes
Recent Solar
Agreement
Approval |
 Power’s credit metrics are expected
to remain strong
Power FFO/Debt
2013
–
2015E
Average
E = ESTIMATE
98 |
 Using PSEG’s balance sheet strength
to finance growth in the regulated enterprise
without equity issuance
PSEG Total Capitalization
2012
2015E*
* E = ESTIMATE; INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING PROPOSED FILINGS: EE4A, SL3, S4AE,
ENERGY STRONG (ES) AND TRANSMISSION HARDENING.
99 |
 100
Our investment programs are affordable,
helped by the expiration of known charges by 2017, which
lower the average residential customer bill by ~ 8.7% based on
today’s current bill
PSE&G Securitization & NUG Impacts ($Millions)
PSE&G Securitization Impacts
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Revenues
439
445
386
0
0
Interest Expense
(46)
(30)
(11)
0
0
Amortization
(253)
(273)
(233)
0
0
Deferred Tax & Other
(140)
(142)
(142)
0
0
P&L Impact (GAAP view)
0
0
0
0
0
PSE&G Non–Utility Generation
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Revenues*
157
167
141
49
0
Expenses
(157)
(167)
(141)
(49)
0
P&L Impact (GAAP view)
0
0
0
0
0
*NUG revenues reflect Feb 1, 2013 rates
Typical Current Average Residential
Customer Bill Impact
Securitization
~6.6%
Non-Utility
Generation
~2.1% |
 101
Modest O&M growth with Power increases from
CCGT maintenance cycles, due to high utilization rates
(1) POWER EXCLUDES IMPACTS FROM STORM RECOVERY COSTS AND POTENTIAL RELATED
INSURANCE PROCEEDS NM = NOT MATERIAL. E = ESTIMATE.
PSEG O&M Expense
(1)
2013-2015E CAGR: ~2.2%
CAGR
Transmission
~0.4%
Distribution
~1.3%
Power
~2.9%
Holdings &
Other: N.M. |
 102
Pension contributions expected to decline with
well funded plan
Pension Plan Contributions
Amended
Benefit
Plans
E = ESTIMATE
2010
2011
2012
2013E
2014E
2015E
Funded Ratio
82%
84%
83%
>85%
>90%
>90% |
 103
PSEG’s long-term outlook is influenced by
Power’s hedge position and increased investment at
PSE&G 2014E
2015E
Each $1/mcf Change in Natural Gas
Each $2/MWh Change in Spark Spread
Each $2/MWh Change in Dark Spread
Each 1% Change in Nuclear Capacity Factor
Segment EPS Drivers
Each $100 Million of Incremental Investment
Each 1% Change in Sales
Electric
Gas
Each 1% Change in O&M
Each 10 bp Change in ROE
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.10 -
$0.13
$0.04
$0.01
$0.01
$0.03 -
$0.06
$0.04
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
$0.01
E = ESTIMATE |
 104
Opportunity for modest and sustainable
dividend increases consistent with stable regulated growth
and cash generation outlook at PSEG Power
PSE&G
EPS
$1.25
$1.14
Annual Dividend Per Share
E = ESTIMATE |
 105
PSEG Summary
•
Maintaining
2013
operating
earnings
guidance
of
$2.25
-
$2.50
per share --
based on financial results to date, we expect operating
earnings for the full year to be at the upper end of our guidance range
assuming normal weather and unit operations
•
Double digit operating earnings growth at PSE&G starting in 2013,
and continuing through 2015 driven by transmission investments
and approved programs
•
Power’s continued focus on operational excellence, market expertise
and financial strength reduces risk in low price environment
•
Strong Balance Sheet and Cash Flow support full capital program
without the need for equity
•
Long history of returning cash to the shareholder through the
common dividend, with opportunity for future growth
|
 APPENDIX |
 107
Second Quarter 2013 Operating Earnings
by Subsidiary
*SEE PAGE B FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/NET
INCOME TO RECONCILE TO OPERATING EARNINGS. Operating
Earnings
Earnings per
Share
$ millions (except EPS)
2013
2012
2013
2012
PSEG Power
$ 114
$ 110
$ 0.22
$ 0.22
PSE&G
121
101
0.24
0.20
PSEG Energy Holdings/
Enterprise
8
4
0.02
0.01
Operating Earnings*
$ 243
$ 215
$ 0.48
$ 0.43
Quarter ended June 30 |
 108
PSEG EPS Reconciliation –
Q2 2013
versus Q2 2012
* SEE PAGE B FOR ITEMS EXCLUDED FROM INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/NET
INCOME TO RECONCILE TO OPERATING EARNINGS. |
 109
PSE&G provides high reliability at below
average cost which creates superior value to customers
SAIDI = SYSTEM AVERAGE INTERRUPTION DURATION INDEX, A MEASURE OF AVERAGE
OUTAGE DURATION FOR ALL CUSTOMERS
SERVED. |
 110
PSE&G prioritizes public safety
while maintaining value to customers
LEAK RESPONSE RATE = PERCENTAGE OF UTILITY RESPONSES TO REPORTED
LEAKS WITHIN ONE HOUR. |
 111
Formula rates for transmission make the
process more predictable with contemporaneous returns
|
 112
New Jersey Board of Public Utilities (BPU)
•
The Board of Public Utilities consists of five commissioners appointed by
the Governor. These appointees are confirmed by the NJ Senate for
six- year,
staggered
terms.
The
Governor
appoints
one
of
the
five
to
serve
as
Commission President.
Currently, the commissioners are:
•
Robert M. Hanna, Commission President
•
Jeanne M. Fox
•
Joseph L. Fiordaliso
•
Mary-Anna Holden
•
Dianne Solomon
•
Stefanie Brand, Director of the N.J. Division of Rate Counsel
|
 113
Slow economic recovery in NJ is constraining
growth in all market sectors
Modest residential growth limited
by housing market inactivity and
the slow economic recovery
Consumer spending is trending
with the slow economic recovery
and impacting growth in the
commercial sector
Industrial sales growth continues
to be constrained by slow
economic recovery
0.3%
0.4%
0.0%
0.5%
0.9%
0.7%
0.3%
0.7%
2013 -
2015 Projected Sales
Growth –
Gas*
2013 -
2015 Projected
Sales Growth –
Electric*
Residential
Commercial
Industrial
Total
Residential
Commercial
Industrial
Total
* WEATHER NORMALIZED ESTIMATED ANNUAL GROWTH PER YEAR OVER FORECAST
PERIOD |
 114
Key economic indicators forecast renewed
growth over the 2012 to 2015 timeframe
The New Jersey economy increased by 0.3%
annually from 2010 to 2012 and is
anticipated to grow 2.3% per year from
2012 to 2015
New Jersey total non-farm employment
increased by 0.6% annually from 2010 to
2012 and is expected to grow 1.4% per year
from 2012 to 2015
Real personal income in New Jersey
increased by 1.4% annually from 2010 to
2012 and is expected to increase 2.5% per
year from 2012 to 2015
Single family housing starts declined by
2.6% annually from 2010 to 2012 and are
expected to increase ~24% per year from
2012 to 2015
NJ Total Employment
3,700
3,800
3,900
4,000
4,100
2010
2012
2015
NJ Real Gross State Product
$400,000
$420,000
$440,000
$460,000
$480,000
2010
2012
2015
NJ Real Personal Income
$360,000
$380,000
$400,000
$420,000
$440,000
$460,000
2010
2012
2015
NJ Single Family Housing Starts
0
5
10
15
20
2010
2012
2015
SOURCE: IHS GLOBAL INSIGHT FEBRUARY 2013 FORECAST.
|
 115
Nuclear fuel needs have been hedged through 2015
$0
$5
$10
2013
2014
2015
Anticipated Nuclear Fuel Cost
Hedged |
 116
Power’s coal hedging reflects 2013 supply
matched with 2013 sales…
Contracted Coal
Station
Coal Type
Pricing
($/MWh)
*
Comments
Bridgeport
Harbor
Adaro
Mid
$50’s
Higher
price,
lower BTU,
enviro coal
Hudson
CAPP
High
$40’s
Flexibility
after BET in
2010
Mercer
Metallurgical
CAPP/NAPP
Mid
$40’s
More
limited
segment of
coal
market
Keystone
NAPP
Mid
$20’s
Prices
steady
Conemaugh
NAPP
Mid
$20’s
Prices
steady
% Hedged
(left scale)
$/MWh
(right
scale)
*
COMMODITY
PLUS
TRANSPORTATION |
 117
The full requirements BGS rate recognizes the
forward PJM capacity market price |
 118
PSEG Energy Holdings
Investment Portfolio
* BOOK BALANCE EXCLUDING DEFERRED TAX ACCOUNTS
**EME AND ITS SUBSIDIARIES FILED CHAPTER 11 BANKRUPTCY ON 12/17/2012.
LEASE REJECTION OR ACCEPTANCE DECISION IS PENDING.
|
 119
PSEG Liquidity as of June 30, 2013
Expiration
Total
Available
Facility
Date
Facility
Usage
Liquidity
($Millions)
5-year Credit Facility (PSE&G)
Mar-18
$600
1
$170
$430
5-Year Credit Facility (Power)
Mar-17
1,600
54
1,546
5-Year Credit Facility (Power)
Mar-18
1,000
2
0
1,000
5-Year Bilateral (Power)
Sep-15
100
100
0
5-year Credit Facility (PSEG)
Mar-17
500
5
495
5-year Credit Facility (PSEG)
Mar-18
500
3
0
500
Total
$4,300
$329
$3,971
$114
PSE&G ST Investment
$0
1
PSEG Facility to be reduced by $29M on April 15, 2016
Total Liquidity Available
$4,085
2
Power Facility to be reduced by $48M on April 15, 2016
Total Parent / Power Liquidity
$3,655
3
PSEG Facility to be reduced by $23M on April 15, 2016
PSEG Money Pool ST Investment |
 120
Strong Balance Sheet supports our full capital
program without the need for equity
DEBT INCLUDES SHORT TERM DEBT (INCLUDING COMMERCIAL PAPER) AND EXCLUDES
NON- RECOURSE AND SECURITIZATION DEBT
$Billions
Capitalization
Subsidiary Debt
(1)
2010
2011
2012
PSE&G
4.28
4.27
5.06
PSEG Power
3.45
2.75
2.34
Parent & Other
0.08
0.04
0.04
Total PSEG Debt
7.81
7.06
7.44
Subsidiary Equity
PSE&G
4.42
4.65
5.17
PSEG Power
5.03
5.44
5.44
Parent & Other
0.18
0.18
0.17
Total PSEG Equity
9.63
10.27
10.78
PSE&G Debt to Cap
49%
48%
49%
Power Debt to Cap
41%
34%
30%
PSEG Debt to Cap
45%
41%
41% |
 Items Excluded from Income from Continuing
Operations/Net Income to Reconcile to Operating Earnings
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Earnings Impact ($ Millions)
Gain (Loss) on Nuclear Decommissioning Trust (NDT)
Fund Related Activity (PSEG Power)
52
$
50
$
46
$
9
$
(71)
$
Gain (Loss) on Mark-to-Market (MTM) (PSEG Power)
(10)
107
(1)
(11)
14
Lease Transaction Activity (Energy Holdings)
36
(173)
-
29
(490)
Storm O&M (PSEG Power)
(39)
-
-
-
-
Market Transition Charge Refund (PSE&G)
-
-
(72)
-
-
Gain (Loss) on Asset Sales and Impairments (Energy Holdings)
-
34
-
-
(13)
Total Pro-forma adjustments
39
$
18
$
(27)
$
27
$
(560)
$
Fully Diluted Average Shares Outstanding (in Millions)
507
507
507
507
508
Per Share Impact (Diluted)
Gain (Loss) on NDT Fund Related Activity (PSEG Power)
0.10
$
0.10
$
0.09
$
0.02
$
(0.14)
$
Gain (Loss) on MTM (PSEG Power)
(0.02)
0.21
-
(0.02)
0.03
Lease Transaction Activity (Energy Holdings)
0.07
(0.34)
-
0.05
(0.96)
Storm O&M (PSEG Power)
(0.08)
-
-
-
-
Market Transition Charge Refund (PSE&G)
-
-
(0.14)
-
-
Gain (Loss) on Asset Sales and Impairments (Energy Holdings)
-
0.06
-
-
(0.03)
Total Pro-forma adjustments
0.07
$
0.03
$
(0.05)
$
0.05
$
(1.10)
$
For the Year Ended
December 31,
(Unaudited)
Pro-forma Adjustments, net of tax
PLEASE SEE PAGE 3 FOR AN EXPLANATION OF PSEG’S USE OF OPERATING
EARNINGS AS A NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURE AND HOW IT DIFFERS FROM
INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/NET INCOME. A
|
 Items Excluded from Income from Continuing
Operations/Net Income to Reconcile to Operating Earnings
B
PLEASE SEE PAGE 3 FOR AN EXPLANATION OF PSEG’S USE OF OPERATING
EARNINGS AS A NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURE AND HOW IT DIFFERS FROM
INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS/NET INCOME. 2013
2012
2013
2012
Earnings
Impact
($
Millions)
Gain (Loss) on Nuclear Decommissioning Trust (NDT)
Fund Related Activity (PSEG Power)
8
$
4
$
17
$
9
$
Gain
(Loss)
on
Mark-to-Market
(MTM)
(a)
(PSEG Power)
80
(10)
(25)
42
Lease Related Activity (PSEG Energy Holdings)
-
2
-
6
Storm O&M, net of insurance recoveries (PSEG Power)
2
-
(15)
-
Total Pro-forma adjustments
90
$
(4)
$
(23)
$
57
$
Fully Diluted Average Shares Outstanding (in Millions)
507
507
507
507
Per
Share
Impact
(Diluted)
Gain (Loss) on NDT Fund Related Activity (PSEG Power)
0.02
$
0.01
$
0.04
$
0.02
$
Gain
(Loss)
on
MTM
(a)
(PSEG Power)
0.16
(0.02)
(0.05)
0.08
Lease Related Activity (PSEG Energy Holdings)
-
-
-
0.01
Storm O&M, net of insurance recoveries (PSEG Power)
-
-
(0.03)
-
Total Pro-forma adjustments
0.18
$
(0.01)
$
(0.04)
$
0.11
$
(a) Includes the financial impact from positions with forward delivery
months. Three Months Ended
Six Months Ended
PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INCORPORATED
Reconciling Items Excluded from Income from Continuing Operations/Net Income to
Compute Operating Earnings (Unaudited)
June 30,
June 30,
Pro-forma Adjustments, net of tax |