EX-99.2 3 dex992.htm PRESENTATION SLIDES Presentation Slides
Lehman Brothers
2008 Energy/Power Conference
New York, NY
September 4, 2008
Matthew Hilzinger
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Exhibit  99.2
Sustainable Value


2
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, that are subject to risks and uncertainties.  The factors
that could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements
include those discussed herein as well as those discussed in (1)
Exelon’s 2007 Annual Report
on Form 10-K in (a) ITEM 1A. Risk Factors, (b) ITEM 7. Management’s Discussion and
Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations and (c) ITEM 8. Financial
Statements and Supplementary Data: Note 19; (2) Exelon’s Second Quarter 2008 Quarterly
Report on Form 10-Q in (a) Part II, Other Information, ITEM 1A. Risk Factors and (b) Part I,
Financial Information, ITEM 1. Financial Statements: Note 12; and (3) other factors discussed
in filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission by Exelon
Corporation, Exelon
Generation Company, LLC, Commonwealth Edison Company, and PECO Energy Company
(Companies).  Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking
statements, which apply only as of the date of this presentation.  None of the Companies
undertakes any obligation to publicly release any revision to its forward-looking statements to
reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation.
This presentation includes references to adjusted (non-GAAP) operating earnings that exclude
the impact of certain factors. We believe that these adjusted operating earnings are
representative of the underlying operational results of the Companies. Please refer to the
appendix to this presentation for a reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating earnings to
GAAP earnings.


3
Key Messages
Tightening our 2008 operating earnings guidance range to $4.15 -
$4.30/share
We expect third quarter 2008 results to be lower-middle to middle of the
suggested contribution range (26-29%)
Announcing $1.5 billion share repurchase as part of 2008 Value
Return Plan
Largely hedged against market volatility in the near-term –
2009
earnings flat to 2008
Well positioned for these volatile markets and economic conditions
Outlook for 2011 remains strong
Pursuing Protect and Grow strategy


4
Protect Today’s Value
Deliver superior operating
performance
Advance competitive markets
Protect the value of our generation
Build healthy, self-sustaining
delivery companies
Grow Long-Term Value
Drive the organization to the next
level of performance
Set the industry standard for low
carbon energy generation and
delivery through reductions,
displacement and offsets
Rigorously evaluate and pursue
new growth opportunities
+
Strategic Direction


5
2008 Revised Guidance
2008 Revised EPS Guidance
(1)
Operating
EPS:
$4.15
-
$4.30
(2)
GAAP
EPS:
$3.90
-
$4.30
(3)
(1) See Appendix for reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating EPS to GAAP EPS.
(2)
Operating
EPS
Guidance
revised
from
previous
range
of
$4.00
-
$4.40
per
share.
(3)
GAAP
Guidance
revised
from
previous
range
of
$3.70
-
$4.10
per
share.
Key Drivers 2008 vs. 2007
Market conditions
Nuclear volume (refueling outages)
Inflationary pressures
PECO CTC amortization
Weather
Storms
PECO bad debt expense
ComEd transmission settlement
ComEd distribution rate case
We are revising FY08 operating earnings guidance to $4.15 to $4.30/share
2008
$4.15 -
$4.30


6
Executing on Value Return Plan
Recent Share Repurchases -
$3.25 billion
2008 Repurchases
$0.5 billion accelerated share repurchase in February 2008
$1.5 billion share repurchase announced in September 2008
2007 Repurchases
$1.25 billion accelerated share repurchase in September 2007
Dividends
Annual base dividend rate reset at $2.00/share (up 14%) in
December 2007
Anticipated to grow modestly over time
(1)
Higher base dividend reflected higher expected long-term earnings
due to improved market fundamentals
(1)
Future dividends are subject to declaration by the Board of Directors.


7
Value Return Framework
Less
Equals
Maintenance Capital and Committed Dividends
Free Cash Flow before Dividends and CapEx
Strengthen Balance Sheet /
Increase Financial Flexibility
Invest in Growth
Available
Cash
and
Balance
Sheet
Capacity
(1)
Return Value via
Share Repurchases,
Increased Dividends
Monetize
We evaluate value return on an annual basis
(1)
Exelon targets a FFO/Debt Ratio of ~25%.


8
Flexibility in our targeted financial hedge ranges allows us to be opportunistic while
mitigating downside risk
Hedging Targets
(1)
Percent
financially
hedged
is
our
estimate
of
the
gross
margin
that
is
hedged
at
a
95%
confidence
level
given
the
current
assessment
of
market
volatility.
The
formula
is
the
gross
margin
at
the
5th
percentile
/
expected
gross
margin.
Power Team employs commodity hedging
strategies to optimize Exelon
Generation’s earnings:
Maintain length for opportunistic sales
Use cross commodity option strategies to
enhance hedge activities
Time hedging around view of market
fundamentals
Supplement portfolio with load following
products
Use physical and financial fuel products to
manage variability in fossil generation output
Target Ranges
90% -
98%
70% -
90%
50% -
70%
~96%
Current Position
Top
of range
Above the
range*
Prompt Year
(2008)
Second Year
(2009)
Third Year
(2010)
Financial
Hedging
Range
(1)
* Due to ComEd financial swap


9
2009-2011 Earnings Drivers
2008 Guidance
2011
2009
$4.15 -
$4.30
40% EPS Growth
(1)
Exelon is focused on creating sustainable value
(1) As presented at Exelon’s 12/19/07 Investor Conference.
2011 Earnings Drivers
Market Conditions
PECO PPA roll-off
Managing our Base Case
Strong financial and operating performance
Executing regulatory recovery plan
Managing transition to competitive markets
Increasingly strong cash flows and balance
sheet
Alignment of and consistency between
value return, hedging, capital structure and
capital investment policies


10
Environmental / climate
change concerns
Slowing US economy
and increasing
inflationary cost
pressures
Energy dependence /
geopolitical concerns
Continued strong global
growth in energy
consumption
Declining US reserve
margins
Massive capital
investment
Tightening regulatory
environments
Increasing cost of new
build
Technology
improvements
Increasing commodity
prices
Increasing capacity
prices
Macro Trends
Market Response
Well Positioned to Provide Sustainable Value
Continued strong financial and operating
performance, and long-term earnings growth
driven by unregulated generation
Largest, lowest-cost nuclear fleet in the US, all
in competitive markets
Executing regulatory recovery plan to put
ComEd on a path toward appropriate returns
and solid credit metrics
Managing transition to competitive markets in
Pennsylvania
Increasingly strong cash flows and investment-
grade balance sheet
Alignment of and consistency between value
return, hedging, capital structure and capital
investment policies
Well-positioned to capture growth opportunities
consistent with low carbon energy strategy
Exelon’s Position


11
Appendix


12
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
9/07
10/07
11/07
12/07
1/08
2/08
3/08
4/08
5/08
6/08
7/08
8/08
55
65
75
85
95
105
9/07
10/07
11/07
12/07
1/08
2/08
3/08
4/08
5/08
6/08
7/08
8/08
7
7.5
8
8.5
9
9.5
10
10.5
11
11.5
12
9/07
10/07
11/07
12/07
1/08
2/08
3/08
4/08
5/08
6/08
7/08
8/08
Forward NYMEX Natural Gas
PJM-West and Ni-Hub On-Peak Forward Prices
PJM-West and Ni-Hub Wrap Forward Prices
2010 Ni-Hub
2011 Ni-Hub
2011 PJM-West
2010 PJM-West
2010
2011
Market Price Snapshot
Rolling 12 months, as of August 29, 2008. Source: OTC quotes and
electronic trading system. Quotes are daily.
2010 Ni-Hub
2011 Ni-Hub
2011 PJM-West
2010
PJM-West
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
9/07
10/07
11/07
12/07
1/08
2/08
3/08
4/08
5/08
6/08
7/08
8/08
Forward NYMEX Coal
2010
2011


13
8
8.2
8.4
8.6
8.8
9
9.2
9.4
9.6
9.8
10
9/07
10/07
11/07
12/07
1/08
2/08
3/08
4/08
5/08
6/08
7/08
8/08
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
9/07
10/07
11/07
12/07
1/08
2/08
3/08
4/08
5/08
6/08
7/08
8/08
7.5
8
8.5
9
9.5
10
10.5
11
11.5
12
12.5
9/07
10/07
11/07
12/07
1/08
2/08
3/08
4/08
5/08
6/08
7/08
8/08
2011
2010
2010
2011
2010
2011
Houston Ship Channel Natural Gas
Forward Prices
ERCOT North On-Peak Forward Prices
ERCOT North On-Peak v. Houston Ship Channel
Implied Heat Rate
Market Price Snapshot
Rolling 12 months, as of August 29, 2008. Source: OTC quotes and
electronic trading system. Quotes are daily.
2010
2011
ERCOT On Peak Spark Spread
Assumes a 7.2 Heat Rate, $1.50 O&M, and $.15 adder
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5
13.5
14.5
15.5
16.5
17.5
18.5
9/07
10/07
11/07
12/07
1/08
2/08
3/08
4/08
5/08
6/08
7/08
8/08


14
YTD GAAP EPS Reconciliation
(0.02)
-
-
(0.02)
-
2007 Illinois Electric Rate Settlement
$2.05
-
$0.33
$0.05
$1.67
YTD 2007 GAAP Earnings Per Share
$2.10
$(0.07)
$0.33
$0.07
$1.77
2007 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings (Loss) Per Share
0.01
-
-
-
0.01
Sale of Generation's investments in TEG and TEP
$0.08
$0.07
-
-
0.01
Investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities
(0.12)
-
-
-
(0.12)
Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
Exelon
Other
PECO
ComEd
ExGen
Six Months Ended June 30, 2007
$2.01
$0.01
$0.23
$0.12
$1.65
YTD 2008 GAAP Earnings Per Share
2.06
$(0.03)
$0.23
$0.12
$1.74
2008 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings (Loss) Per Share
(0.14)
-
-
-
(0.14)
2007 Illinois Electric Rate Settlement
0.17
0.04
-
-
0.13
Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
(0.08)
-
-
-
(0.08)
Unrealized gains and losses related to nuclear decommissioning trust funds
Exelon
Other
PECO
ComEd
ExGen
Six Months Ended June 30, 2008
NOTE:  All amounts shown are per Exelon share and represent contributions to Exelon's EPS.


15
2008/2009 Earnings Outlook
Exelon’s outlook for 2008/2009 adjusted (non-GAAP) operating
earnings excludes the earnings impacts of the following:
Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
Unrealized gains and losses from nuclear decommissioning trust fund investments
Significant impairments of assets, including goodwill
Significant changes in decommissioning obligation estimates
Costs associated with the Illinois electric rate settlement agreement, including ComEd’s
previously announced customer rate relief programs
Costs associated with ComEd’s settlement with the City of Chicago
Other unusual items
Significant future changes to GAAP
Both our operating earnings and GAAP earnings guidance are
based on the assumption of normal weather


16
Exelon Investor Relations Contacts
Inquiries concerning this presentation
should be directed to:
Exelon Investor Relations
10 South Dearborn Street
Chicago, Illinois 60603
312-394-2345
For copies of other presentations,
annual/quarterly reports, or to be
added to our email distribution list
please contact:
Felicia McGowan, Executive Admin
Coordinator
312-394-4069
Felicia.McGowan@ExelonCorp.com
Investor Relations Contacts:
Chaka Patterson, Vice President
312-394-7234
Chaka.Patterson@ExelonCorp.com
Karie Anderson, Director
312-394-4255
Karie.Anderson@ExelonCorp.com
Marybeth Flater, Manager
312-394-8354
Marybeth.Flater@ExelonCorp.com