EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm PRESENTATION SLIDES Presentation Slides
1
Exelon –
Value Driven
Sanford C. Bernstein
2007 Carbon Symposium
New York, New York
October 9, 2007
John F. Young
Executive Vice President and
Chief Financial Officer
Exhibit 99.1


2
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995, that are subject to risks and uncertainties.  The factors that could cause
actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements include those discussed herein
as well as those discussed in (1) Exelon’s 2006 Annual Report on Form 10-K in (a) ITEM 1A. Risk
Factors, (b) ITEM 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations and (c) ITEM 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data: Note 18; (2) Exelon’s
Second Quarter 2007 Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q in (a) Part II, Other Information, ITEM 1A. Risk
Factors
and
(b)
Part
I,
Financial
Information,
ITEM
1.
Financial
Statements:
Note
13;
and
(3)
other
factors discussed in filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) by Exelon
Corporation,
Exelon
Generation
Company,
LLC,
Commonwealth
Edison
Company,
and
PECO
Energy
Company (Companies).  Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking
statements, which apply only as of the date of this presentation.  None of the Companies undertakes
any obligation to publicly release any revision to its forward-looking statements to reflect events or
circumstances after the date of this presentation.
This presentation includes references to adjusted (non-GAAP) operating earnings that exclude the
impact of certain factors. We believe that these adjusted operating earnings are representative of the
underlying operational results of the company. Please refer to the appendix to the presentation for a
reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating earnings to GAAP earnings.


3
’06 Earnings
(1)
:   
$1,275M
’07E Earnings
(2)
$2,320 -
$2,385M     
’06 EPS
(1)
:  
$1.88
’07 EPS Guidance
(2)
:    
$3.45 -
$3.55         
Total Debt
(3)
:
$1.8B
Credit Rating
(4)
:
BBB+
The Exelon Companies
Nuclear, Fossil, Hydro & Renewable Generation
Power Marketing
‘06 Operating Earnings
(1)
:          
$2.2B
‘07E Operating Earnings
(2)
:       $2.8 -
$2.9B
‘07 EPS Guidance
(2)
:                   $4.15 -
$4.30
Assets (12/31/06):                       
$44.3B
Total Debt (12/31/06):                   
$13.0B
Credit Rating
(4)
:                                   BBB
(1) 2006 Adjusted (Non-GAAP) Operating Earnings and Operating EPS.
(2) Estimated 2007 Adjusted (Non-GAAP) Operating Earnings and 2007 Operating Earnings Guidance per Exelon share.
(3) As of 12/31/06.
(4) Standard & Poor’s senior unsecured debt ratings for Exelon and Generation and senior secured debt ratings for ComEd and PECO as of 10/1/07.
Pennsylvania
Utility
Illinois
Utility
’06 Earnings
(1)
:   
$528M
$455M
’07E Earnings
(2)
:           $130 -
$165M
$435 -
$470M
’06 EPS
(1)
:
$0.78
$0.67
’07 EPS Guidance
(2)
:
$0.20 -
$0.25
$0.65 -
$0.70
Total Debt
(3)
:
$4.6B
$4.2B
Credit Ratings
(4)
:                  BBB
A


4
Recognized Environmental Leadership
Named
to
the
2006/2007
and
2007/2008
Dow
Jones
Sustainability North America Index
Named to Climate Disclosure Leadership Index of the Carbon
Disclosure Project in 2005, 2006 and 2007
Signatory to the Global Roundtable on Climate Change and the
Ceres/Investor Network on Climate Risk statements
Member of the United States Climate Action Partnership (USCAP)
Corporate headquarters awarded Leadership in Energy and
Environmental
Design
(LEED
®
)
Platinum
Commercial
Interiors
certification by the U.S. Green Building Council


5
Exelon’s Climate Actions
Achieved SF6 leak rate of under 10% for 2006
Provides customer-based energy-efficiency
programs (compact fluorescent light bulbs,
demand response programs)
Reduced emissions from fleet –
35% of
ComEd’s fleet is hybrid vehicles and uses
biodiesel
across diesel fleet
First utility in PA to file to meet Tier 1
requirements under Alternative Energy
Portfolio Standards (AEPS)
Achieved SF6 leak rate of under 10% for
2006
Preparing to implement smart meters
system-wide and time-of-use programs
Retired older, inefficient plant
Invested in landfill gas power
generation expansion
Reduced power purchase
requirements at some nuclear plants
Committed to going beyond world-class nuclear performance and compliance with
regulations, Exelon is taking voluntary action to address climate change
Largest marketer of wind power east of
the Mississippi River
Signed 20-year deal to purchase output
from largest solar photovoltaic installation
in PJM region


6
Exelon’s Generation Portfolio
* Megawatts based on Exelon Generation’s ownership as of 12/31/06.
Total Capacity*
Owned:
25,543 MW
Contracted:
7,691 MW
Total:
33,234 MW
Fossil &
Hydro
20%
Nuclear
76%
Forward &
Spot
Purchases
4%
2007
Expected
Supply
(185
TWh)
Exelon is strategically positioned for carbon legislation
Exelon is strategically positioned for carbon legislation
Generating Plants
MW*
Nuclear
Hydro
Coal/Oil/Gas Base-load
Intermediate
Peaker
16,945
1,606
3,162
3,408
8,113


7
Exelon’s Strategic Direction
Protect Today’s Value
Deliver superior operating performance
Keep the lights on
Continue nuclear excellence
Support competitive markets
Maintain/bolster PJM
Step up advocacy
Encourage market-based new entry
Protect the value of our generation
Optimize the generation portfolio
Hedge market risk appropriately
Build healthy, self-sustaining delivery 
companies
ComEd –
drive path to financial health
PECO –
maintain performance and
prepare for 2011 transition to market
Grow Long-Term Value
Take the organization to the next level of
performance
Foster positive employee relations
Require accountability for results and values
Acquire, develop and retain key talent
Continuously improve productivity
Align our financial management policies with the
changing profile of our company
Rigorously evaluate new growth opportunities
Generation
Transmission
Distribution
Advance an environmental strategy that
leverages our carbon position
Provide environmental benefits that also
make good business sense
Build a low-carbon resource portfolio
+


8
Exelon and Federal Climate
Change Legislation
Climate change is real and results from human-caused
greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions
Actively involved in the climate debate in Washington, D.C.
Lobbying in favor of enacting legislation that is national,
mandatory
and economy-wide
Favors a cap-and-trade system over a carbon tax
Believes that any allocation scheme should include allowances
for
distribution
companies
to
help
offset
the
cost
of
carbon
for
the
end-user
To
limit
near-term
economic
impacts,
supports
a
“safety
valve”
for
cost of carbon that needs to increase over time


9
Allocation Methods
Auction
Government
-
Load-Based
Allocation
Distribution
Companies
Input-Based
Allocation
Output-Based
Allocation
Generators
Carbon
Emissions
MWhs
Metric to Allocate?
Who gets
the carbon
allowance?
Exelon believes any allocation scheme should include allowances for distribution
companies to help offset the cost of carbon for the end-user
Exelon believes any allocation scheme should include allowances for distribution
companies to help offset the cost of carbon for the end-user


10
Key Climate Bills
Several bills and drafts are gaining support in Washington:
Bingaman-Specter (Low Carbon Economy Act)
Economy-wide: All major GHG producing sectors
o
Point of regulation: Oil and natural gas refineries and coal-fired generators
Increasing auction of allowances
o
Allowance allocations include: 9% to states, 53% to industry declining 2% per year starting in 2017, 5% set
aside for agricultural
o
Safety Valve: Price of allowances capped at $12/ton of CO2 (“technology accelerator payment”) starting in
2012 and increasing 5% per year above inflation rate
Lieberman-Warner Draft
Economy-wide: All major GHG producing sectors
o
Point of regulation: Oil and natural gas refineries, electric generators, and other large industrial sources
Increasing auction of allowances
o
Allowance allocations include: 4% to states, 20% to power plants
(transitions to zero in 2035), 20% to
industry, 10% to electricity load-serving entities
o
Creates Carbon Market Efficiency Board to allow for borrowing of
future year allowances with payback
Dingell-Boucher White Paper
Reduce emissions by 60% to 80% by 2050
Best achieved by a cap-and-trade system


11
Reduction Goals


12
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Advanced Coal Generation
Distributed Energy Resources
Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles
Carbon Capture & Storage
Nuclear Generation
Renewables
Efficiency
Technology
Source:  Electric Power Research Institute
To stabilize emissions at 1990 levels, multiple technologies and
intensive R&D will be required
CO2 Reductions Demand Multiple
Generation Technologies
EIA Base Case 2007
The technical potential exists
for the U.S. electricity sector
to significantly reduce CO2
emissions over the coming
decades
No one technology will be a
silver bullet –
a portfolio of
technologies will be needed
Much of the needed
technology is not available
yet –
substantial R&D and
demonstration is required


13
Future Power Needs Demand
Multiple Generation Sources
Geothermal
Solar
Wind
Hydro
Coal
Natural Gas
& Oil
Future Demand
Nuclear


14
Cost of Generation
Source:  Sanford Bernstein research and analysis. CCGT= Combined
Cycle Gas Turbine; IGCC= Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle.
At
CO2
allowance
prices
of
$17/ton
or
higher
well
below
those
prevailing
in
the
EU
today
the all-in cost of electricity, including operating cost and capital recovery, will likely be
lower for a nuclear plant than a conventional coal plant, CCGT or IGCC w/ CO2 capture
Long-Run Marginal Cost of Electricity ($/MWh)
Conventional Coal
CCGT
IGCC with
CO2 Capture
Nuclear
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
$25
$30
$35
$40
$45
$50
Price of CO
2
Emissions Allowances ($ per ton)
Conventional Coal Plant, No CO2 Capture
IGCC With CO2 Capture
Nuclear
CCGT


15
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Carbon Credit ($/Ton)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Carbon Value
Climate change legislation is expected to drive substantial gross margin expansion
at Exelon Generation
(1) As of 10/4/07.
(2)
The
EIA
Carbon
Stabilization
Case
(Case
4)
dated
March
2006,
EIA
report
number
SR/OIAF/2006-1.
(3)
The
Energy
Information
Administration
(EIA)
valuation
of
the
McCain
Lieberman
Bill,
EIA
report
number
SR/OIAF/2003-02.
(4)
Low
Carbon
Economy
Act
initial
“Technology
Accelerator
Payment”
(TAP)
price
in
2012.
Allowance
price
increases
at
5%
above
the
rate
of
inflation
thereafter.
Note:
Assumes
below
$45/ton
carbon
cost,
no
carbon
reduction
technology
(e.g.,
sequestration)
is
economical.
EXC Market Sensitivity
2011: $10/ton
Europe Carbon Trading
2011: $33.25/ton
(1)
Midwest
~90,000 GWhs in Midwest nuclear
portfolio
~55% of time coal on the margin
~40% of time gas on the margin
Mid-Atlantic
~50,000 GWhs in Mid-Atlantic
nuclear portfolio
~45% of time coal on the margin
~50% of time gas on the margin
Carbon Value
McCain Lieberman Bill
(3)
2010-11: $22/ton
Assumes Open Position at Exelon Generation
EIA Carbon Case
(2)
2010: $31/ton
Bingaman Specter
(4)
: $12/ton


16
Exelon Generation Operating
Earnings Drivers: Next Five Years
Exelon Generation is poised for earnings growth over the next five years driven by the
end of the IL and PA transition periods and its unique competitive position
Revised 2007 Guidance
(2)
Note:
See
“Key
Assumptions”
slide
in
Appendix.
(1)
Differences in sensitivities are largely due to differences in the amount hedged in 2007 vs. 2011.
(2)
Operating
Earnings
Guidance
revised
from
previous
range
of
$2,280M
-
$2,420M.
$2,320M -
$2,385M
$660
N/A
+ $10/Ton Carbon
$340
$25
+/-
500 Btu/KWh ATC Heat rate
$50
$10
+/-
$10/MW-Day Capacity
$390
$25
+/-
$1/mmBtu Gas
2011
2007
Market Sensitivities
(1)
As of 12/31/06
(After-Tax $M)
Exelon Generation’s
Competitive Position
Large, low-cost, low-emissions,
exceptionally well-run nuclear fleet
Complementary and flexible fossil
and hydro fleet
Improving power market
fundamentals (heat rates and
capacity values)
Potential carbon restrictions


17
Exelon: Focused on Climate Change
Support competitive markets
Support nuclear energy
Address climate change


18


19
Appendix –
Other Information


20
The Exelon Story –
Value Driven
Premier U.S. nuclear generator uniquely positioned to capture
market opportunities through operational and commercial excellence
Primary source of Exelon’s value going forward
12% annual operating EPS growth since inception
(1)
Continued strong growth trend through 2011
Strong balance sheet and financial discipline
Realigned value return framework
Experienced management team
Predictable source of earnings through transition period;
preparing for 2011
Completed the transition to a “wires-only”
business with a
regulatory recovery plan in place
(1) Operating EPS growth rate through 2007 calculated using midpoint of 2007 Operating EPS guidance range.


21
  $3.22
$3.10
$2.78
$2.61
$2.41
$2.24
$1.93
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007E
10/00
4/01
10/01
4/02
10/02
4/03
10/03
4/04
10/04
4/05
10/05
4/06
10/06
4/07
10/07
Strong Financial Performance
10/20/00 –
9/28/07
Assumes dividend reinvestment
Source: Bloomberg
EXC
215%
UTY
90%
Total Shareholder Return
Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating EPS
Operating
EPS
Guidance
for
2007
revised
to
$4.15
-
$4.30
or
upper half of original guidance range
(1) Operating EPS growth rate through 2007 calculated using midpoint of 2007
Operating EPS guidance range.
$4.15 -
$4.30


22
Revised 2007 Operating
EPS Guidance
(1)
$3.22
$0.78
$0.67
$1.88
$0.65 -
$0.70
$3.45 -
$3.55
$4.15 -
$4.30
$0.20 -
$0.25
2006 Operating
EPS Actual
$ / Share
HoldCo/Other
ExGen
PECO
ComEd
$0.60 -
$0.63
Note:
See
“Key
Assumptions”
slide
in
Appendix.
(1)
Earnings
Guidance;
Operating
EPS
Guidance
revised
from
previous
range
of
$4.00
-
$4.30
per
share.
(2)
GAAP Guidance
revised
on
7/25/07
from
previous
range
of
$4.10
-
$4.40
per
share.
2007 and Beyond
Exelon Generation
ComEd
PECO
Exelon expects to see robust earnings growth over next five years driven by
Exelon Generation and ComEd’s recovery
Operating EPS
(1)
:
$4.15 -
$4.30 per share
GAAP EPS
(2)
:
$3.70 -
$4.00 per share
Revised 2007 Operating Earnings
Guidance
ComEd regulatory recovery plan
Improving market fundamentals
Gas prices
Capacity values
Heat rates
End of IL and PA transition periods
Carbon regulation
Earnings Drivers


23
Disciplined Financial Management
We have an increasingly strong balance sheet that will be deployed both
to protect and
grow shareholder value
In December, the Exelon Board approved a new “Value Return Policy”
The Policy:
Established a base dividend at $1.76/share, growing modestly over time
Returns excess cash and/or balance sheet capacity through share
repurchases
After funding maintenance capital and committed dividend
In absence of higher value-added growth opportunities
Maintains adequate credit metrics on a prospective basis
Consistent with the Policy, the Exelon Board approved a share repurchase
program for up to $1.25 billion of Exelon’s outstanding common stock
Expect to complete within the next six months


24
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
$14
20%
25%
30%
35%
2011 Balance Sheet Capacity
(Illustrative)
Exelon expects to create substantial incremental balance sheet capacity over the next
five years, based on planning assumptions
Potential Uses of
Balance Sheet Capacity
Acquisitions or other
growth opportunities
Future unfunded liabilities
Buffer against potentially lower
commodity prices
Share repurchases or other
value return options
Note:  Data has not been updated since December 12, 2006 Investor Conference.
(1)
Available
Cash
=
Cash
Flow
from
Operations
-
CapEx
-
Dividends
+/-
Net
Financings.
Cash
Flow
from
Operations
=
Net
cash
flows
provided
by
operating
activities
less
net
cash flows used in investing activities other than capital expenditures.  Net Financing (excluding Dividends) = Net cash flows used in financing activities excluding dividends
paid on common stock.  Assumes annualized dividend of $1.76 per share in 2007, growing 5% annually; actual amounts may vary, subject to board approval.
(2) Assumes regulatory recovery plan at ComEd.
(3)
See
“FFO
Calculation
and
Ratios”
definitions
slide.
Adjusted
FFO
/
Debt
includes:
debt
equivalents
for
purchased
power
agreements,
unfunded
pension
and
other
postretirement
benefits
obligations,
capital
adequacy
for
energy
trading,
and
related
imputed
interest.
S&P “BBB”
Target Range
Unadjusted FFO / Debt
(2)
Adjusted FFO / Debt
(2) (3)
2011 FFO / Debt (Forecasted)
(3)


25


26
Premier Nuclear Operator
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Exelon
Industry
Average Capacity Factor
Note: Exelon data prior to 2000 represents ComEd-only nuclear fleet
Average Capacity Factor
Note: Exelon data prior to 2000 represents ComEd-only nuclear fleet
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
Operator (# of Reactors)
Range
5-Year Average
Range of Fleet 2-Yr Avg Capacity Factor (2002-2006)
EXC 93.2%
Sources:
Platt’s,
Nuclear
News,
Nuclear
Energy
Institute
and
Energy
Information
Administration
(Department
of
Energy)


27
Nuclear Fuel Costs
Uranium market prices have increased, but
Exelon is managing its portfolio
Reduced uranium demand by 25%
Contracting strategy protects us and ensures
we are significantly below current spot market
prices through 2011
Uranium is small component of total
production cost
Expect long-term market price to decrease
due to increasing supply; stabilize based on
cost of production
Exelon Nuclear is managing fuel costs
Exelon Uranium Cost vs. Market
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Exelon average re-load price
Projected market price
Components of Exelon Nuclear's
Fuel Cost in 2006
Uranium
21%
Conversion
4%
Fabrication
16%
Tax/Interest
1%
Nuclear Waste
Fund
18%
Enrichment
40%
Exelon Projected Uranium Portfolio
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Contracted Supply
2003 Demand Projection
Current Demand Projection


28
Energy Policy Act –
Nuclear Incentives
$18 per MWh, 8 year PTC for
first 6,000 MWe of new capacity
Cap of $125M per 1,000 MWe of
capacity per year
Protects against a decrease in
market prices and revenues
earned
Significantly improves EPS
Benefit will be allocated/ prorated
among those who:
File COL by year-end 2008
Begin construction (first
safety-related concrete) by
1/1/2014
Place unit into service by
1/1/2021
Production Tax Credit (PTC)
Results in ability to obtain
non-recourse project
financing
Up to 80% of the project
cost, repayment within 30
years or 90% of the project
life
Need clarification of
implementation specifics
Availability of funds to
nuclear projects at risk given
latest program guidelines
Government Loan
Guarantee
“Insurance”
protecting against
regulatory delays in
commissioning a completed
plant
First two reactors would
receive immediate
“standby interest coverage”
including replacement
power up to $500M
The next four reactors
would be covered up to
$250M after six months of
delay
Regulatory Delay “Backstop”
Energy Policy Act provides financial incentives and
reduced risk by way of production tax credits and
loan guarantees


29
% Hedged
Low End of Profit
High End of Profit
Portfolio Management
Flexibility in our targeted financial hedge ranges allows us to be opportunistic while
mitigating downside risk
90% -
98%
Prompt Year
(2008)
Target Financial Hedge
(1)
Range
50% -
70%
70% -
90%
Third Year
(2010)
Second Year
(2009)
(1) Percent Financially Hedged is our estimate of the gross margin that is not at risk due to a market price drop and assuming normal generation operating
conditions.
The
formula
is:
Gross
margin
at
the
5th
percentile
/
Expected
Gross
margin.
Power Team employs commodity hedging
strategies to optimize Exelon Generation’s
earnings:
Maintain length for opportunistic sales
Use cross commodity option strategies to
enhance hedge activities
Time hedging around view of market
fundamentals
Supplement portfolio with load following
products
Use physical and financial fuel products to
manage variability in fossil generation output


30
The transition to competitive power procurement allows Exelon Generation to
capture the full market value of its generation portfolio and places more
emphasis on hedging and risk management
37,500
Fossil & Hydro
139,750
Nuclear
184,550
Total
7,300
Forward & Spot Purchases
2007 Expected Total Supply (GWh)
PECO PPA
22%
Other Midwest
Sales
42%
Other Mid-
Atlantic Sales
13%
IL Auction
15%
Other South
Sales
8%
Portfolio Characteristics
2007 Expected Total Sales (GWh)


31
Fundamentals
The overbuild is ending in the
Eastern Interconnect
New build costs are increasing
rapidly and are difficult to project with
precision due to limited active construction
Cost
of
New
Build
Generation
Construction
(1)
2,123
1,581
1,316
615
428
EIA ($/KW)
S&P ($/KW)
700
CCGT
4,000
Nuclear
2,795 –
2,925
IGCC
2,438
Pulverized Coal
Gas CT
Technology
(1) Notes:
EIA estimates from Annual Energy Outlook 2007; capital costs converted to
2006 dollars.
S&P costs from Commodity Report, "Which Power Generation Technologies
Will Take the Lead in Response to Carbon Controls," May 11, 2007.
Cost
estimates
from
EIA
and
S&P
are
generic
and
do
not
take
into
account
site-specific issues such as transmission and fuels access.
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Source: WoodMackenzie
Year New Capacity is Needed
VACAR
MRO
MAAC
NY
ERCOT
SPP
ECAR
NEPOOL
MAIN


32
$12.40
$10.30
$15.50
$1.50
$1.00
$102.51/MWh
(36-Month Price)
2006 Auction
2007 Auction
~ $35
$67.20 -
$67.50
~ $41
$98.88/MWh
(36-Month Price)
$57.70 -
$58.45
$102.51/MWh
(36-Month Price)
2006 Auction
2007 Auction
~ $35
$67.20 -
$67.50
~ $41
$98.88/MWh
(36-Month Price)
$57.70 -
$58.45
Full Requirements Cost
New Jersey BGS Auction for PSEG
ATC
Forward
Energy
Price
(1)
Full-Requirements Costs ($/MWh):
The higher full-requirements component is due to increases in costs associated with
capacity and congestion
(1) Range of forward market prices that traded during the 2006 and 2007 auctions.  The 2006 auction occurred on Feb. 6-7, 2006, and the 2007 auction occurred on Feb. 5-7, 2007.
$140/MW-Day
Transmission and Congestion
Migration Risk
and Volumetric
Risk
Capacity
Renewable
Energy
Load Shape and
Ancillary Services


33
PJM RPM 2007/2008 & 2008/2009
RPM will have limited impact on Exelon’s 2007 earnings due to current contracts and
forward sales commitments
Eastern MACC
2007/2008 RPM auction:
$197.67/MW-day
2008/2009 RPM auction:
$148.80/MW-day
Rest of Market
2007/2008 RPM auction:
$40.80/MW-day
2008/2009 RPM auction:
$111.92/MW-day
Southwest MAAC
2007/2008 RPM auction:
$188.54/MW-day
2008/2009 RPM auction:
$210.11/MW-day
2007/2008 System
Total CTR Value = 4,599 MW
2008/2009 System
Total CTR Value = 5,128 MW
2007/2008 System Total
CTR Value = 5,134 MW
2008/2009 System Total
CTR Value = 4,717 MW
0 MW
0 MW
N/A
0 MW
Southwest MAAC
480 -
525 MW
480 -
525 MW
NJ BGS
9,000 -
9,300 MW
9,000 -
9,300 MW
PECO PPA
9,500 MW
Eastern MAAC
6,600 -
6,800 MW
6,600 -
6,800 MW
IL Auction
16,000 MW
(3)
Rest of Market
2008/09
2007/08
Obligation
Exelon Generation Capacity Obligation
(2)
ExGen
Capacity
(1)
RPM = Reliability Pricing Model
CTR = Capacity Transfer Rights
(1)  All values are approximate.   (2) Not inclusive of all wholesale transactions.
(3) 2008/2009 ExGen Rest of Market Capacity decreases to 15,100 MW due to the roll-off of several PPAs.


34
Current Market Prices
1.
2004, 2005 and 2006 are actual settled prices.
2.
Real Time LMP (Locational Marginal Price).
3.
Next day over-the-counter market
4.
Average NYMEX settled prices.
5.
2007 information is a combination of actual prices through 9/28/07 and market prices for the balance of the year.
6.
2008 and 2009 are forward market prices as of 9/28/07.
PRICES (as of September 28th, 2007)
Units
2004 ¹
2005 ¹
2006 ¹
2007
5
2008
6
2009
6
PJM West Hub ATC
($/MWh)
42.35 ²
60.92 ²
51.07 ²
57.21
61.75
64.46
PJM NiHub ATC
($/MWh)
30.15 ²
46.39 ²
41.42 ²
43.71
46.77
48.70
NEPOOL MASS Hub ATC
($/MWh)
52.13 ²
76.65 ²
59.68 ²
64.70
73.81
76.59
ERCOT North On-Peak
($/MWh)
49.53 ³
76.90 ³
60.87 ³
59.52
70.71
75.85
Henry Hub Natural Gas
($/MMBTU)
5.85
4
8.85
4
6.74
4
6.97
7.95
8.27
WTI Crude Oil
($/bbl)
41.48
4
56.62
4
66.38
4
67.90
76.94
73.75
PRB 8800
($/Ton)
5.97
8.06
13.04
9.66
10.85
11.65
NAPP 3.0
($/Ton)
60.25
52.42
43.87
46.33
49.50
50.75
ATC HEAT RATES (as of September 28th, 2007)
PJM West Hub / Tetco M3
(MMBTU/MWh)
6.40
       
6.30
       
6.98
7.36
6.95
6.96
PJM NiHub / Chicago City Gate
(MMBTU/MWh)
5.52
       
5.52
       
6.32
6.39
5.96
5.91
ERCOT North / Houston Ship Channel
(MMBTU/MWh)
7.53
       
8.21
8.28
7.82
7.95
8.06


35
7.1
7.2
7.3
7.4
7.5
7.6
7.7
7.8
7.9
8.0
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
7.4
7.6
7.8
8
8.2
8.4
8.6
8.8
9
9.2
9.4
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
Market Price Snapshot
As of September 27, 2007. Source: OTC quotes and electronic trading system. Quotes are daily.
Forward NYMEX Natural Gas
PJM-West and Ni-Hub On-Peak 
Forward Prices
PJM-West On-Peak Implied Heat Rate
Ni-Hub On-Peak Implied Heat Rate
8.84
8.94
9.04
9.14
9.24
9.34
9.44
9.54
9.64
9.74
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
2008
2009
2009
2008
2008 PJM-West
2009 PJM-West
2009 Ni-Hub
2008 Ni-Hub
2008
2009


36
25
27
29
31
33
35
37
39
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
40
42
44
46
48
50
52
54
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
40
42
44
46
48
50
52
54
56
58
60
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
50
52
54
56
58
60
62
64
66
68
70
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
Market Price Snapshot
As of September 27, 2007. Source: OTC quotes and electronic trading system. Quotes are daily.
PJM-West ATC Forward Prices
2008
2009
PJM-West Wrap Forward Prices
2008
2009
NIHUB ATC Forward Prices
NIHUB Wrap Forward Prices
2009
2008
2009
2008


37
49
51
53
55
57
59
61
63
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
7.7
7.75
7.8
7.85
7.9
7.95
8
8.05
8.1
8.15
8.2
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
57
59
61
63
65
67
69
71
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
7
7.5
8
8.5
9
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
Market Price Snapshot
2008
2009
2009
2008
2008
2009
As of September 27, 2007. Source: OTC quotes and electronic trading system. Quotes are daily.
2008
2009
Houston Ship Channel Natural Gas
Forward Prices
ERCOT ATC Forward Prices
ERCOT ATC v. Houston Ship Channel
Implied Heat Rate
ERCOT Wrap Forward Prices


38
65
67
69
71
73
75
77
79
81
83
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
Market Price Snapshot
ERCOT On-Peak Forward Prices
2008
2009
As of September 27, 2007. Source: OTC quotes and electronic trading system. Quotes are daily.


39


40
ComEd Operating Earnings:
Next Five Years
2011
(1)
2011 Assumptions
(1)
Rate base:
~$9.6B
Equity
(2)
:
~45%
ROE:
~10%
Revised 2007 Guidance
(3)
Note:
See
“Key
Assumptions”
slide
in
Appendix.
(1) Provided solely for illustrative purposes, not intended as earnings guidance. The earnings figure represents a possible scenario that is based on the assumptions shown above as
well as assumptions about other factors, including, but not limited to, judgments about changes in load growth, spending and ratemaking proceedings, as well as future economic,
competitive and financial market conditions, and the absence of adverse regulatory and legislative developments, all of which are subject to uncertainties and have not been subject
to the same degree of analysis as we apply to 2007 forecasts. The scenario should not be relied upon as being necessarily indicative of future results.
(2) Reflects equity based on definition provided in most recent ICC distribution rate case order (book equity less goodwill). Projected book equity ratio in 2007 is 58%.
(3)
Original
Earnings
Guidance
of
$65M
-
$125M
included
anticipated
IL
Settlement
cost,
which
is
now
excluded
from
Operating
Earnings.
After
2007,
ComEd’s
earnings
are
expected
to
increase
as
regulatory
lag
is
reduced
over
time
through regular rate requests, putting ComEd on a path toward appropriate returns
$130M -
$165M
~$430M
2006 Actual
$528M
2007 Assumptions
Rate Base:
~$8.1B
Equity
(2)
:
~44%
ROE:
~3.5 –
4.5%
ComEd Highlights
Roll-out of customer rate relief
programs per the IL Settlement
IPA and new procurement process
Regulatory recovery plan
-
Transmission formula rate approved
by FERC, effective May 1, 2007
(subject to hearing and potential
refund)
-
Distribution rate case filing planned
for late 3Q07; decision expected 11
months after filing


41
Illinois Settlement
Continued ComEd membership in PJM
Competitive procurement for supply
Filed
competitive
declaration
for
100
-
400
kW
customers
Statute mandates cost recovery for purchased power
Reduced uncertainty around conditions for ICC approval
for strategic transactions such as reorganizations or
mergers
Immediate rate relief for customers
Provisions to help stabilize rates
Energy efficiency and demand response programs and
renewable portfolio standards
Protects Competitive
Markets
Protects value of
generation
Provides Strategic
Flexibility
Customer Focused
Eliminates the IL Attorney General’s challenges to the
2006 auction
Financial swap at market prices
No generation tax


42
Financial Swap Agreement
3,000
$53.48
January 1, 2013 -
May 31, 2013
3,000
$52.37
January 1, 2012 -
December 31, 2012
3,000
$51.26
January 1, 2011 -
December 31, 2011
3,000
$50.15
June 1, 2010 -
December 31, 2010
2,000
$50.15
January 1, 2010 -
May 31, 2010
2,000
$49.04
June 1, 2009 -
December 31, 2009
1,000
$49.04
January 1, 2009 -
May 31, 2009
1,000
$47.93
June 1, 2008 -
December 31, 2008
Notional Quantity (MW)
Fixed Price ($/MWH)
Portion of Term
Financial Swap Agreement between ComEd and Exelon Generation promotes
price stability for residential and small business customers
Designed to dovetail with ComEd’s remaining auction contracts for energy,
increasing in volume as the auction contracts expire
By June 1, 2010, will cover about 60% of the energy that ComEd’s residential and small
business customers use
Includes ATC baseload energy only
Does not include capacity, ancillary services or congestion


43
FERC Transmission Rate Order
FERC approved $116M in ComEd’s formula transmission rate effective as of 5/1/07,
subject to refund ($146M originally requested)
Approved 0.50% ROE adder for RTO participation
Approved capital structure of 58% equity / 42% debt
Denied inclusion of CWIP in the formula, which reduces the original revenue requirement by
$12M
Denied
incentive
rate
treatment
for
West
Loop
and
Grenshaw
projects,
which
reduces
the
original revenue requirement by $16M
Issues set for rehearing:
ROE: Base of 11.7%
Other: Post-retirement healthcare costs, pension asset, future plant additions, material and
supply, and cash working capital
Settlement proceedings are underway
Appropriate reserves for potential refunds have been established
Since last transmission rate update in 2003, ComEd will have invested more than $800
million in transmission-related plant to meet increasing demand and improve reliability
(through 2007). The new transmission rate is expected to increase customer bills by ~1%
CWIP = Construction work in progress.


44


45
PECO Operating Earnings:
Next Five Years
2011
(1)
2011 Assumptions
(1)
Rate Base:
~$4.7B
Equity:
~50%
ROE:
~10%
Revised 2007 Guidance
(2)
$435M -
$470M
PECO is expected to provide a predictable source of earnings to Exelon through the
remainder of the transition period
~$235M
Note:
See
“Key
Assumptions”
slide
in
Appendix.
(1)
Provided
solely
for
illustrative
purposes,
not
intended
as
earnings
guidance.
The
earnings
figure
represents
a
possible
scenario
that
is
based
on
the
assumptions
shown
above
as well as assumptions about other factors, including, but not limited to, judgments about changes in load growth, spending and ratemaking proceedings, as well as future
economic, competitive and financial market conditions, and the absence of adverse regulatory and legislative developments, all of which are subject to uncertainties and have
not been subject to the same degree of analysis as we apply to 2007 forecasts. The scenario should not be relied upon as being necessarily indicative of future results.
(2)
Operating
Earnings
Guidance
revised
from
previous
range
of
$400M
-
$420M.
PECO Highlights
Legislative activity:
HB 1203 and HB 1530 signed by governor on
7/17/07
Other energy issues are expected to be
addressed in a special legislative session that
began 9/17/07
PAPUC:
Issued POLR rules on 5/10/07
-
PUC’s Final Default Service rules provide
competitive procurement framework with full
cost recovery
-
PUC’s Price Mitigation Order focuses on
customer education to prepare customers for
potential rate increase
AEPS Act –
PECO received favorable ALJ
recommended decision on 9/13/07 with a PUC
decision expected in 4Q07 on its early
procurement filing of 3/07


46
Legislative Overview
The Pennsylvania General Assembly introduced four bills that would
enable elements of Governor Rendell’s Energy Independence Plan
One of the four bills, HB 1203, was passed by the General Assembly
and was signed into law on July 17, 2007
HB 1203 amends the Alternative Energy Portfolio Standards (AEPS)
Act
by increasing solar obligations and modifying standards that utilities must
meet in order to obtain “force majeure”
waiver from PAPUC
A bill not originally part of the Governor’s Energy Initiative, HB 1530,
was passed by the General Assembly and signed into law on July 17,
2007
Supported by Duquesne Energy, US Steel and ATI
Allows all distribution companies to provide long-term, fixed price
contracts for customers with peak demands of 15 MW or greater
Allows Duquesne to own generation to serve customers with peak
demands of 20 MW or greater (3-year window to enter into a contract or
acquire generation)
Legislature agreed to hold a Special Session on Energy Policy that
began on September 17, 2007


47
Special Session Agenda
Senate has agreed to take up the following topics in the Special
Session:
Investment in clean and renewable energy and incentives for conservation
without new taxes
Legislation to set standards for liquid fuels
Additional legislation supporting the Governor’s Energy Independence
Strategy is still under consideration in the Legislature; elements of
those bills may be considered in the Special Session:
Procurement
Conservation and renewable power
Rate increase phase-in plan
System benefits charge to support $850M bond initiative
Smart meters and time-of-use pilot
Micro-grids
Pennsylvania Energy Development Authority (PEDA) energy procurement
authority
Alternative fuels


48
Governor’s Energy Independence
Strategy –
Legislative Package
HB 1200 –
PEDA
Authorization
HB 1203 –
Renewable
Portfolio Standards
Amendment
HB 1202 –
Liquid
Fuels Bill
Procurement using the portfolio model with “lowest reasonable
rates”
and prioritizes demand side management and
alternative energy resources
Allows for long-term, cost-based rates for larger energy users
Provides for 3-year phase-in of rate increases for all customers
Establishes system benefits charge of 0.5 mills/KWh
Mandates time-of-use pilot for all customers and full
deployment of “smart meter”
program in 6 years
Authorizes Pennsylvania Energy Development Authority
(PEDA) to spend the $850M of proceeds from securitization of
systems benefit charge
Provides PEDA right to “acquire, buy and sell electric power”
Accelerates the minimum thresholds for the acquisition
of Solar/Photovoltaic as Tier-1 Resource 
Force Majeure language modified to consider “good faith
effort”
by utilities to procure renewable energy
Sets standards for ethanol content in transportation fuels
Sets standards for bio-diesel content of diesel fuel
HB 1201 –
PAPUC
Statute Bill


49
Summary of PAPUC Rulemakings
It will likely be effective
immediately, as it is a
policy statement
On hold, pending the
conclusion of the
Special Session on
Energy
Will address the
benefits of DSR/EE and
requirements for utilities
to implement such
programs
Demand Side Response
Energy Efficiency
(DSR/EE)
May 17, 2007
Issued May 10, 2007
Discusses consumer
education, conservation
and energy efficiency,
impact on low income
customers
Mitigation of Rate
Increases
May 10, 2007
Issued May 10, 2007
Reflects the PAPUC’s
current thinking on
application of the
regulations
Default Service
Policy Statement
September 15, 2007
Issued May 10, 2007
Addresses issues
around procurement,
rate design, cost
recovery, filing
requirements
Default Service
Regulations
Effective Date
Final Order
Description
Rulemaking


50
Default Service Provider
Regulations/Policy
Procurement
Competitive process but no statewide auction
Utility run RFPs
or auctions are preferred; portfolio approach is
allowed
Staggered
auctions/RFPs
to
avoid
high
market
risk
Long term contracts limited to renewable resources
Non-renewable contracts limited to 1-3 years
Encourages spot market purchases for a portion of supply
Cost Recovery
Full cost recovery, no prudence review
Reconciliation not required but is mandatory for AEPS
Rate Design
Preference for a single price for each rate class
Eliminates declining block rates and demand charges
Frequent
rate
changes
quarterly
or
monthly,
to
better
track
the market
Hourly or monthly pricing for large customers
Mitigation
Provides for an opt-in phase-in for increases of >25% for
customers <25 KW; must be competitively neutral
Transition period of up to 3 years for rate design changes
Statewide education program
Utility specific education plans to be filed by 12/31/2007
Encourages energy efficiency and demand response


51
PECO Post-2010 Strategy
PECO to propose an auction approach to conduct multiple
procurements prior to 2011
May offer 1-year fixed rate for large energy users
Requirement for some spot market purchases
PECO will file its individual Customer Education Plan with
PAPUC by 12/31/07
PECO will participate in PAPUC Working Group to
develop effective statewide campaign
PAPUC action on DSR/EE pending
PECO to begin real-time pricing program in 2008
Plan to expand current offerings and add new programs,
based upon PAPUC rules and cost recovery
Procurement
Rate Stabilization
Consumer Education
Demand Side
Response & Energy
Efficiency (DSR/EE)
Procurement plan will include early, staggered procurement
Rate increase phase-in for residential and small commercial
customers offered on an opt-in basis if rate increase > 25%
Three-year phase-out to minimize impact of rate design
changes


52
2011
PECO Average Electric Rates
(1)
Rates
increased
from
original
settlement
by
1.6%
to
reflect
the
roll-in
of
increased
Gross
Receipts
Tax
and
$0.02/kWh
for
Universal
Service
Fund
Charge
and
Nuclear
Decommissioning Cost Adjustment.
2.59
2.59
2.59
0.46
0.46
0.46
2.70
2.70
2.70
4.92
5.43
5.43
2006
2007
2008 -
2010
Energy / Capacity
Competitive
Transition Charge
Transmission
Distribution
10.67¢
11.18¢
11.18¢
Unit Rates (¢/kWh)
(1)
Electric Restructuring Settlement
+4.8%
CTC terminates at year-end 2010
Energy / Capacity price is expected to
increase; price will reflect associated
full requirements costs (including
capacity, load shaping, ancillary
services, line losses, transmission
congestion and gross receipts tax)  
PECO’s 2011 full requirements price is
expected
to
differ
from
PPL’s
first
auction price due, in part, to the timing
of the procurement and locational
differences
Rates will vary by customer class and
will depend on legislation and
approved procurement model
Post-Transition Factors


53
Appendix –
Key Assumptions, Projected
2007 Credit Measures &
GAAP Reconciliation


54
Key Assumptions
7.60
6.56
8.41
Chicago City Gate Gas Price ($/mmBtu)
9.00
7.31
9.67
Tetco M3 Gas Price ($/mmBtu)
37.0
37.0
37.5
Effective Tax Rate (%)
(4)
0.9
0.6
1.3
ComEd
0.6
1.2
0.9
PECO
Electric Delivery Growth (%)
(3)
53
77
79
ComEd
98
98
95
PECO
Electric Volume Retention (%)
16.60
1.75
0.13
PJM West Capacity Price ($/MW-day)
44.30
1.75
0.13
PJM East Capacity Price ($/MW-day)
5.80
6.32
5.52
NI Hub Implied ATC Heat Rate (mmbtu/MWh)
44.00
41.42
46.39
NI Hub ATC Price ($/MWh)
6.60
6.98
6.30
PJM West Hub Implied ATC Heat Rate (mmbtu/MWh)
59.50
51.07
60.92
PJM West Hub ATC Price ($/MWh)
8.00
6.74
8.85
Henry Hub Gas Price ($/mmBtu)
144,000
71,326
72,376
Total Genco Market and Retail Sales (GWhs)
(2)
40,500
(5)
119,354
121,961
Total Genco Sales to Energy Delivery (GWhs)
184,500
190,680
194,337
Total Genco Sales Excluding Trading (GWhs)
94.0
93.9
93.5
Nuclear Capacity Factor (%)
(1)
2007 Est.
2006 Actual
2005 Actual
(1)
Excludes Salem.
(2)
2007 estimate includes Illinois Auction Sales.
(3)
Weather-normalized retail load growth.
(4)
Excludes results related to investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities.
(5)
Sales to PECO only.
Notes:  2005 and 2006 prices are average for the year.
2007 prices reflect observable prices as of 9/14/06.


55
Projected 2007 Key Credit Measures
62% –
52%
52%
53%
Rating Agency Debt Ratio
Adjusted Book Debt Ratio: 49%
12% –
20%
18%
17%
FFO / Debt
2.5x –
3.5x
A
4.4x
4.4x
FFO / Interest
PECO:
52% –
42%
58%
61%
Rating Agency Debt Ratio
Adjusted Book Debt Ratio: 43%
25% –
40%
12%
10%
FFO / Debt
3.5x –
5.5x
BBB
3.0x
3.0x
FFO / Interest
ComEd:
52% –
42%
40%
58%
Rating Agency Debt Ratio
Adjusted Book Debt Ratio: 38%
25% –
40%
79%
41%
FFO / Debt
3.5x –
5.5x
BBB+
12.4x
6.5x
FFO / Interest
Generation:
63%
28%
5.6x
Without PPA &
Pension / OPEB
55% –
45%
70%
Rating Agency Debt Ratio
Adjusted Book Debt Ratio: 54%
20% –
30%
22%
FFO / Debt
3.2x –
4.5x
BBB
4.6x
FFO / Interest
Exelon Cons:
“BBB”
Target
Range
(3)
S&P Credit
Ratings
(2)
With PPA &
Pension / OPEB
(1)
Notes: Projected credit measures reflect impact of Illinois electric rates and policy settlement.  Exelon, ComEd and PECO metrics exclude securitization debt.  See following slide for
FFO
(Funds
from
Operations)/Interest,
FFO/Debt
and
Adjusted
Book
Debt
Ratio
reconciliations
to
GAAP.
(1)
Reflects S&P updated guidelines, which include imputed debt and interest related to purchased power agreements (PPA), unfunded pension and other postretirement benefits
(OPEB) obligations, and capital adequacy for energy trading.  Debt is imputed for estimated pension and OPEB obligations by operating company.
(2)
Current senior unsecured ratings for Exelon and Generation and senior secured ratings for ComEd and PECO as of 10/1/07.
(3)
Based on S&P Business Profiles: 7 for Exelon, 8 for Generation and ComEd, and 4 for PECO.
Exelon’s balance sheet is strong


56
FFO Calculation and Ratios (updated)
FFO Calculation
= FFO
-
PECO Transition Bond Principal Paydown
+
Gain
on
Sale,
Extraordinary
Items
and
Other
Non-Cash
Items
(3)
+ Change in Deferred Taxes
+
Depreciation,
amortization
(including
nucl
fuel
amortization),
AFUDC/Cap.
Interest
Add back non-cash items:
Net Income
= Adjusted Interest
+ 7% of Present Value (PV) of Operating Leases
+ Interest on imputed debt related to PV of Purchased Power Agreements
(PPA), unfunded Pension and Other Postretirement Benefits (OPEB)
obligations,
and
Capital
Adequacy
for
Energy
Trading
(2)
,
as
applicable
-
PECO Transition Bond Interest Expense
Net Interest Expense (Before AFUDC & Cap. Interest)
Adjusted Interest
FFO + Adjusted Interest
FFO Interest Coverage
+
Capital
Adequacy
for
Energy
Trading
(2)
FFO
= Adjusted Debt
+ PV of Operating Leases
+
100%
of
PV
of
Purchased
Power
Agreements
(2)
+
Unfunded
Pension
and
OPEB
obligations
(2)
+ A/R Financing
Add off-balance sheet debt equivalents:
-
PECO Transition Bond Principal Balance
+ STD
+ LTD
Debt:
Adjusted
Debt
(1)
FFO Debt Coverage
= Total Rating Agency Capitalization
+
Off-balance
sheet
debt
equivalents
(2)
-
Goodwill
Total Adjusted Capitalization
= Rating Agency Debt
+ ComEd Transition Bond Principal
Balance
+
Off-balance
sheet
debt
equivalents
(2)
Adjusted Book Debt
Rating Agency Capitalization
Rating Agency Debt
= Total Adjusted Capitalization
+ Adjusted Book Debt
+ Preferred Securities of Subsidiaries
+ Total Shareholders' Equity
Capitalization:
= Adjusted Book Debt
-
Transition Bond Principal Balance
+ STD
+ LTD
Debt:
Total Adjusted Capitalization
Adjusted Book Debt
Debt to Total Cap
Note: Updated to reflect revised S&P guidelines and company forecast.  FFO and Debt related to non-recourse debt are excluded from the calculations.
(1) Use current year-end adjusted debt balance.
(2) Metrics are calculated in presentation unadjusted and adjusted for debt equivalents and related interest for PPAs, unfunded Pension and OPEB obligations, and Capital
Adequacy for Energy Trading.
(3) Reflects depreciation adjustment for PPAs and decommissioning interest income and contributions.


57
GAAP EPS Reconciliation 2000-2002
2000 GAAP Reported EPS
$1.44
Change in common shares
(0.53)
Extraordinary items
(0.04)
Cumulative effect of accounting change
--
Unicom pre-merger results
0.79
Merger-related costs
0.34
Pro forma merger accounting adjustments
(0.07)
2000 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating EPS
$1.93
2001 GAAP Reported EPS
$2.21
Cumulative effect of adopting SFAS No. 133
(0.02)
Employee severance costs
0.05
Litigation reserves
0.01
Net loss on investments
0.01
CTC prepayment
(0.01)
Wholesale rate settlement
(0.01)
Settlement of transition bond swap
--
2001 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating EPS
$2.24
2002 GAAP Reported EPS
$2.22
Cumulative effect of adopting SFAS No. 141 and No. 142
0.35
Gain on sale of investment in AT&T Wireless
(0.18)
Employee severance costs
0.02
2002 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating EPS
$2.41


58
2004 GAAP Reported EPS
$2.78
Charges associated with debt repurchases
0.12
Investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities
(0.10)
Employee severance costs
0.07
Cumulative effect of adopting FIN 46-R
(0.05)
Settlement associated with the storage of spent nuclear fuel
(0.04)
Boston Generating 2004 impact
(0.03)
Charges associated with investment in Sithe Energies, Inc.
0.02
Charges related to the now terminated merger with PSEG
0.01
2004 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating EPS
$2.78
2003 GAAP Reported EPS
$1.38
Boston Generating impairment
0.87
Charges associated with investment in Sithe Energies, Inc.
0.27
Employee severance costs
0.24
Cumulative effect of adopting SFAS No. 143
(0.17)
Property tax accrual reductions
(0.07)
Enterprises’
Services goodwill impairment
0.03
Enterprises’
impairments due to anticipated sale
0.03
March 3 ComEd Settlement Agreement
0.03
2003 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating EPS
$2.61
GAAP EPS Reconciliation 2003-2005
2005 GAAP Reported EPS
$1.36
Investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities
(0.10)
Charges related to the now terminated merger with PSEG
0.03
Impairment of ComEd’s goodwill
1.78
2005 financial impact of Generation’s investment in Sithe
(0.03)
Cumulative effect of adopting FIN 47
2005 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating EPS
0.06
$3.10


59
GAAP Earnings Reconciliation
Year Ended December 31, 2006
776
-
-
776
-
Impairment of ComEd’s goodwill
(52)
-
-
(52)
-
Recovery of debt costs at ComEd
(89)
-
-
-
(89)
Nuclear decommissioning obligation reduction
(95)
-
-
(95)
-
Recovery of severance costs at ComEd
$(83)
-
1
36
24
-
$(144)
Other
$2,175
1
18
58
24
(58)
$1,592
Exelon
$455
-
4
10
-
-
$441
PECO
$528
-
4
4
-
3
$(112)
ComEd
ExGen
(in millions)
9
Severance charges
8
Charges related to now terminated merger with PSEG
$1,275
2006 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings (Loss)
1
Impairment of Generation’s investments in TEG and TEP
-
Investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities
(61)
Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
$1,407
2006 GAAP Reported Earnings (Loss)
Note: Amounts may not add due to rounding


60
GAAP EPS Reconciliation
Year Ended December 31, 2006
$3.22
(0.11)
0.67
$0.78
$1.88
2006 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating EPS
$2.35
(0.21)
0.65
(0.17)
$2.08
2006 GAAP Reported EPS
-
-
-
-
-
0.05
0.04
-
Other
(1)
(0.14)
1.15
(0.08)
-
0.01
0.01
-
-
ComEd
(1)
-
-
-
(0.13)
0.01
0.01
-
(0.09)
ExGen
(1)
-
-
-
-
0.01
0.01
-
-
PECO
(1)
Exelon
1.15
Impairment of ComEd’s goodwill
(0.08)
Recovery of debt costs at ComEd
0.03
Severance charges
(0.13)
Nuclear decommissioning obligation reduction
(0.14)
Recovery of severance costs at ComEd
0.09
Charges related to now terminated merger with PSEG
0.04
Investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities
(0.09)
Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
Note: Amounts may not add due to rounding
(1)
Amounts shown per Exelon share and represent contributions to Exelon's EPS


61
2007 Earnings Outlook
Exelon’s outlook for 2007 adjusted (non-GAAP) operating earnings
excludes the earnings impacts of the following:
costs associated with the Illinois electric rate settlement, including ComEd’s
previously announced customer Rate Relief and Assistance Initiative
mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities
significant impairments of intangible assets, including goodwill
significant changes in decommissioning obligation estimates
other unusual items
any future changes to GAAP
GAAP guidance excludes the impact of unusual items which the Company
is unable to forecast, including any future changes to GAAP
Both our operating earnings and GAAP earnings guidance are based
on the
assumption of normal weather


62
Net income (loss)
+/-
Cumulative effect of changes in accounting principle
+/-
Discontinued operations
+/-
Minority interest
+   Income taxes
Income (loss) from continuing operations before income taxes and
minority
interest
+  Interest expense
+  Interest expense to affiliates
-
Interest income from affiliates
+  Depreciation and amortization
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA)
Reconciliation of Net Income to
EBITDA


63
Exelon Investor Relations Contacts
Inquiries concerning this presentation should
be directed to:
Exelon Investor Relations
10 South Dearborn Street
Chicago, Illinois 60603
312-394-2345
312-394-4082 (Fax)
For copies of other presentations,
annual/quarterly reports, or to be added to our
email distribution list please contact:
Felicia McGowan, Executive Admin Coordinator
312-394-4069
Felicia.McGowan@ExelonCorp.com
Investor Relations Contacts:
Chaka Patterson, Vice President
312-394-7234
Chaka.Patterson@ExelonCorp.com
JaCee Burnes, Director
312-394-2948
JaCee.Burnes@ExelonCorp.com
Marybeth Flater, Manager
312-394-8354
Marybeth.Flater@ExelonCorp.com
Len Epelbaum, Principal Analyst
312-394-7356
Len.Epelbaum@ExelonCorp.com